Final 2024 Election Poll Shows Where Harris, Trump Stand

By Jason Hall

October 25, 2024

Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump Debate
Photo: Getty Images

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are reportedly deadlocked at 48% in the final New York Times/Siena College poll released on Friday (October 25).

Harris reportedly lost her edge over Trump in recent weeks, having previously held a 49% to 46% advantage in a previous New York Times/Siena College poll published earlier in October.

"Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump remain effectively tied even after three of the most tumultuous months in recent American political history. A high-profile debate, two attempts on Mr. Trump’s life, dozens of rallies across seven battlefield states and hundreds of millions spent on advertisements have seemingly done little to change the trajectory of the race," New York Times reporters Adam Nagourney and Ruth Igielnik wrote of the final poll results.

Harris and Trump were also reported to be deadlocked in the seven swing states, splitting battleground states and polling within the margin of error, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll released on Monday (October 21). Trump currently leads in Arizona (49% to 46%) and North Carolina (50% to 47%); Harris leads in Georgia (51% to 47%), Michigan (49% to 47%), Pennsylvania (49% to 47%) and Wisconsin (50% to 47%); and both candidates are tied in Nevada at 48% among likely voters.

Harris is also reported to lead in Georgia (50% to 44%), Nevada (47% to 44%), Pennsylvania (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (50% to 46%), while Trump has the advantage in Arizona (50% to 44%), Michigan (47% to 46%) and North Carolina (49% to 45) among registered voters. The margin of error for the swing state poll results ranged from plus-or-minus 3.9 to 5 percentage points.

Harris is also reported to have a 49% to 48% edge over Trump nationally, which has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points.

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