New Poll Shows Surprising Favorite For Democratic 2028 Nomination

By Jason Hall

June 27, 2025

US-VOTE-POLITICS-DEMOCRATIC-CONVENTION
Photo: Getty Images

Former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg led all other candidates in a 2028 Hypothetical Democratic Primary survey conducted by Emerson Polling.

The poll, which was shared on Friday (June 27), has Buttigieg at 16%, leading former Vice President and 2024 Democratic nominee Kamala Harris at 13%, California Gov. Gavin Newsom at 12%, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7% and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro at 7%. Undecided voters, however, were the overall majority at 23%.

The full results from the Emerson College 2028 Hypothetical Democratic Primary survey are included below:

  1. Pete Buttigieg- 16%
  2. Kamala Harris- 13%
  3. Gavin Newsom- 12%
  4. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez- 7%
  5. Josh Shapiro- 7%
  6. Bernie Sanders - 5%
  7. Cory Booker- 3%
  8. Gretchen Whitmer- 3%
  9. Andy Beshear - 2%
  10. JB Pritzker - 2%
  11. Wes Moore- 2%
  12. Amy Klobuchar- 1%
  13. Rahm Emanuel- 1%
  14. Someone else- 2%
  15. Undecided- 23%

Buttigieg had a significant increase in support from the November Emerson Hypothetical 2028 Primary survey, which saw him get a 4% share of support trailing Harris at 37% and Newsom at 7%.

Vice President JD Vance is the overwhelming favorite in the 2028 Republican Hypothetical Primary at 46%, leading Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 12%, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 9%, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 5% and Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem at 2%.

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