Polarizing Democrat Leads Vance In Hypothetical 2028 Presidential Poll
By Jason Hall
December 17, 2025
Democrat Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads Republican Vice President JD Vance in a hypothetical 2028 presidential poll released by Verasight.
The poll, which was conducted between December 5 and December 11, shows Ocasio-Cortez with a 51% to 49% edge over Vance, as well as majority support among female (56%), Black (79%), Hispanic (64%), college-educated (56%) voters and ages 18-29 (58%) and 30-44 (51%). Vance is reported to have majority support among male (54%), White (57%) and non-college-educated voters (51%), as well as individuals 65 and older (52%).
Regionally, Ocasio-Cortez has an advantage among voters from the Northeast (56%) and West (56%) while Vance has the edge among voters from the South (52%) and Midwest (52%). The congresswoman also has a majority 52% support among individuals who didn't vote in the 2024 presidential election.
The Argument/Verasight poll | 12/5-12/11
— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) December 17, 2025
US President 2028
🟦Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez 51%
🟥JD Vance 49% https://t.co/IhZDLmy1x7 pic.twitter.com/o3eQMsT6EM
Ocasio-Cortez, 36, is reportedly attempting to grow her national presence as she and her team decide on whether to run for president or Senate, sources with knowledge of the situation told Axios in an article published in September. The congresswoman joined Sen. Bernie Sanders -- who had multiple presidential campaigns -- on his 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour this past summer and has reportedly spent millions growing her social media presence and obtaining a list of potential supporters and donors for fundraising efforts.
Axios reiterated at the time that Ocasio-Cortez hadn't yet made a decision on her political future but her team wants to provide her with options. Some allies are reported to believe that she should run for president even if she doesn't believe she has a chance to win just so a progressive has a stake in the Democratic primary, a similar action taken by Sanders during his 2016 presidential campaign.