Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:05):
This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
What is up, straight Fire player, It's me Jason McIntyre,
Straight Fi here for Friday shep December, the fifth and
the first NFL game of the season is in the books.
It was a crazy, freaking game between the spitting incident
to start things, then there was a lightning delay, and
(00:33):
then there was no points after the lightning. Just a
crazy game. You had one of the best receivers in
the league with I thought three drops, but it looks
like he's being credited for four. We're recording this twelve
thirty Eastern time. Right after the game. I told Robgie,
I'm fired up. Let's go. Let's get this thing cooking.
We will have Are you ready for this eleven minutes
of best bets? Yeah, that's probably too much college football
(00:57):
and NFL. At the end of the pod, we'll get
it that some bets obviously miss a full game. Eagles
were six and a half, seven, eight, whatever it was.
Bernie Freda with a nice hit. He called it yesterday
getting the eight. Depending on how you feel Eagles should
have covered or Cowboy should have won this outright, I mean,
this game was crazy. All the teasers legs got home,
(01:19):
thank you, and me and my boy have five survivor
entries in a survivor contest here in the South Bay.
I think the winner gets like one hundred and eighty k.
I don't the numbers are. I've never entered it, but
I'm in with him. And then you know, I got
in on the David Baker. I'm not allowed to reveal
our pick just because you know one hundred thousand dollars
(01:39):
buy in. He's like, hey, you gotta be sworn a secrecy.
I'm like fine. That being said, let's dive right in Dallas,
has a chance, has multiple chances to take down the
Super Bowl champs, and cannot get it done. Eagles survive
and it was a survive twenty four to twenty. Neither
side looked great after the lightning delay was about an
(02:01):
hour in total, it was like thirty to forty five.
And then they come back and they got a warm up.
But it was clear afterward that the delay just screwed everyone.
I know some people in fantasy are really upset. AJ
Brown one target, one catch, eight yards and it was
like on the final drive for the Eagles. It was
(02:21):
the Jalen Hurts Show. Basically Saquon Barkley held to sixty yards.
The Eagles had are you ready for this? Two plays
that were explosive plays in the entire game, and they
were by Will Shipley, who did not find the end zone.
My prop bet it looked like on their first drive,
he's getting work. I was like, oh my gosh, Will Shipley,
(02:42):
he's getting He got three carries twenty six yards. He
didn't really do much in the second half. They trusted
Saquan but he had a twenty yard carry and then
the fifty one yard passed to Johan Dotson. Yes he's alive, folks.
The Philadelphia Eagles had one reception over ten yards. That
is alarming. That's I mean, that's crazy. And it was
(03:04):
basically the Jalen Hurts show, and that's unsustainable. You cannot
do that all season. But it doesn't matter. All they
needed was the win. Here they get it twenty four
to twenty. It almost felt like rob this was more
about the Cowboys, because I'm not gonna lie. They look
pretty damn good. But how can you make it about
the Cowboys? When the spitting incident happened before the first
(03:25):
offensive step, and I thought that changed a complexion of
the game completely. So let's see it up here. Opening kickoff,
a guy on the Eagles special teams gets hurt. It
looked like an acl or achilles. I don't know. I
Rob has an update on that. Maybe maybe he does.
I haven't seen it. But he goes down in that
little break Dak Prescott, and we didn't see this view
(03:45):
until the lightning delay. For the longest time, it was like,
oh my gosh, Jalen Carter spit on Dak Prescott. That's
a fact. But when they were coming back from the
lightning delay, NBC, because there's seventy five million cameras at
the game, has a view of Dak Prescott look king
in the direction of Jalen Carter. Now Jalen Carter is
still at that point, like seven or eight yards away.
He spits on the ground in the direction of Carter.
(04:09):
Carter steps forward and is like, did you spit on me?
And you see Dak smile and pick his head up. Now,
Dak Prescott, by all accounts, is a good dude. Okay,
he's been a model citizen in the NFL. I know
he had the DUI before the draft, but it's hard
for me to believe Dak Prescott like had the intention
(04:32):
of trying to spit at Jalen Carter. He did spit
in his direction. That's you can't, it's inarguable. So Carter
steps forward and according to Jason Garrett for NBC, Carter said,
did you spit at me? And Dak allegedly told Carter
Jason Garrett, why would I spit at you? And that's
when Jalen Carter spat on his chest right in front
(04:53):
the referee. You guys know how it works in a fight. This,
You know, the first guy who throws the punch gets
away with it. Second he always gets in trouble. That's
in school. That's like an obvious, obvious thing. But this
is gonna be This is gonna be argued throughout the
weekend and probably until Monday. Rob who casts the first stone? Again?
When Dak Prescott told Jason Garrett that I said, why
(05:16):
would I spit at you? But in that video I
don't see Dak saying why would I spit at you?
And I watched it I recorded on my phone. Dak
spits in the direction of Carter. Carter starts walking toward him,
Dak little grin and then he gave the head nod
up like, I don't know what that's about. Maybe it's
just like two competitors. I didn't see Rob him saying
(05:39):
why would I spit at you? He didn't put his
arms up like why would I spit at you? You know,
like when you're asking a question to someone. But listen,
I'm not saying Dak was in the wrong. Clearly, Jalen
Carter was in the wrong. That's on. You don't walk
into someone and spit on them. That's freaking stupid. I
would guess he'll get a suspension next week, that's my guess.
But as soon as he went out, just clear sailing
(05:59):
for Javonte Williams up the middle. He had two touchdown runs.
Miles Sanders breaks off a big run like they were
able to run one hundred nineteen yards on the ground,
and like, Jalen Carter, you've got to be better, bro.
However I do, I'm gonna ask it. I don't know
the answer. But looking at the video, Rob, in my opinion,
Dak kind of sort of baited him again. Just on
(06:23):
that video. Do you think Dak instigated it or listen,
we obviously know Carters to blame I'm not arguing that,
but I'm wondering. My question to you, Rob, is Dak's
role in this? What do you say?
Speaker 3 (06:37):
I mean, I I think it's a stretch to say
that Dak instigated it because Dak Prescott is one of
those guys who has a reputation for being, as you mentioned,
a good dude, and he seems to be a stand
up citizen. He seems to be a well respected player
unless you're Michael Parsons here listing a top ten quarterback.
Speaker 4 (06:54):
Last thingk and leave him off the list.
Speaker 3 (06:55):
But other than that, everybody only seems to have good
things to say about Dak.
Speaker 4 (06:59):
Press.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
One thing he does have going for him that I
guess what do you call it?
Speaker 4 (07:04):
Negative? And when I've said on this podcast.
Speaker 3 (07:06):
Is he is one of the most sweaty qb ones
in the in the NFL, and I've talked about this
is one reason why I don't try Actually, yes, like
you watch him play and then again, this is an
inexact science. But I've said on this podcast before one
reason why I've never trusted Dak Prescott in big games
or big moments is because when he's out there, he
(07:29):
is dripping sweat all the time when he plays, and
that is a direct inverse to guys like Patrick Mahomes,
Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, where it's like, no matter if
they're up, ten, down, ten, two minutes to go, two
quarters to go, they are bone dry, cool as a cucumber.
And Dak Prescott is just always sweating so much that
(07:52):
it's like he must be feeling the heat in some
kind of way. So I can't trust him. And that's
a long way a way of saying, is he seems
like a guy who you know. I again, just in
that video, he's lathered up, he's excited, he's ready to go,
and he kind of just spits at the ground. And
Jalen Carter, I know that he is a fantastic player,
(08:13):
but there were character concerns about him coming out of college.
So it's not crazy to think that Jalen Carter may
have misinterpreted that or taken it some kind of way
and took it to a level that he absolutely did
not need to go to. And but yeah, long about
saying I don't think Dak instigated it.
Speaker 2 (08:30):
Now, Yeah, okay, fair enough, I'm not blaming Dak, but
it's you could see in the video he spits in
the direction of the Eagles. Now I don't think he's
spitting at Jalen Carter, but he's looking in his direction.
I it's just very difficult. I'm not again, Dak is
a good guy. Uh. That being said, so, I just
I would say that I don't want to make sweeping
(08:53):
conclusions here, Rob, But to me, it looked like the
Cowboys were ill prepared defensive for the pivotal third and three.
They go empty. The Eagles clearly couldn't do the tush
push because Landon Dickerson was hurt. Right, They did it earlier,
I think two or three times and it was successful.
And then it's third and three, game on the line. Okay,
(09:13):
they go empty backfield, Rob, I have never played a
snap of tackle football for a school in my life.
I'm watching at home, along with probably, I don't know,
twenty million other people. I'm assuming everybody said, bro, it's
gonna be a Jalen Hurts keeper. Everybody knew what was coming,
(09:34):
and Jalen Hurts still pulled it off. Hurts for the game,
by the way, fourteen carries sixty two yards. He only
threw for a buck fifty two nineteen of twenty three.
Very efficient. This is why to me, remember I said
he was the most he was the best dual threat
quarterback in the league. Like, yeah, josh Allen could do that.
I don't know if Josh Allen has the tush push
in him, but to me, Hurts singularly won that game
(09:58):
for the Eagles, who, by the by the way, they
had at least four attempts at batted balls drop balls
that they could have intercepted, and they got none of them.
Quinjon Mitchell, the awesome corner, had one in his hands
with like three minutes left on the sideline that would
have viced the game, could not snag it in and
that ultimately Dallas had one final chance. I thought Jalen
(10:19):
Hurts was excellent. I do want to ask one more question,
Rob so Ceedee Lamb is I gotta call it up again,
but it looks like CD Lamb is going to be
the third highest paid wide receiver in the league on
an annual basis at thirty four mil. Jamar Chases first,
then Justin Jefferson, then CD Lamb. That's according to the
(10:41):
spot track. Ceed Lamb had a really good game. Seven catches,
one hundred and ten yards, he was just eating him up.
But the drops are going to be the story. And
then he had the pivotal drop on fourth and what
was it, fourth and ten, fourth and seven, something like that.
Fourth and seven. It was a great route. He cooked
a blanket ship in a matchup that the Cowboys wo
(11:01):
take ten out of ten times. It was a great
pass by Dak Lamb, full extension, gets both hands on
it and cannot reel it. Now, I'm not there to
kill ceedee Lamb. I'm not gonna crush him, but if
you're making thirty four million dollars a year, you must
catch that pass. And I know that was a hard ball.
And Chris Collinsworth was excusing again on the on the call,
(11:22):
he was like, well, I'm not gonna call that a drop.
What the hell are you talking about, collins with your receiver,
you're picking up for your brethren. He got both hands
on it. And if he's the third highest paid wide
receiver in the league, you catch at football. And you know,
Lamb was obviously very upset. He went of the injury
tent after that, probably because he was just fricking pissed
at himself. And I don't I don't know if he
(11:43):
catches that, you know, Cowboys cowboy. I thought the Cowboys
are gonna win the game. Rub when they got two
chances in the fourth and the Eagles could not put
them away, I was like, I think Dallas. Now I'm
very negative when it comes to this kind of thing.
Speaker 1 (11:54):
Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
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Radio dot com and within the iHeartRadio app. Search FSR
to listen live.
Speaker 2 (12:06):
Did you think that last one was a drop by
Lamb or are you like, listen that's just too tough.
It was not a bad pass by Dack. In fact,
it was perfect. It was in the outstretched arms of
lam No defender could get to it. I thought it
was a great pass, and that's a drop by Lamb.
Speaker 3 (12:21):
Yeah, it was absolutely a drop one thousand percent, and
not just because of the caliber receiver that CD Lamb is,
Like you expect the guy who's paid like that shit
Makos kind of catches regularly, like routinely. That should be
something that's in your arsenal at all times. Secondly, the
reality is the gloves these guys wear have so much
(12:42):
tack and are so sticky that if anything touches your fingertips,
it should be a catch.
Speaker 4 (12:47):
In the NFL period, Like I know enough.
Speaker 3 (12:50):
Former NFL players, you know a lot as well, and
they'll tell you, Hey, the gloves these guys have now
and when they clap their hands for break, they got
to pull them apart because that's how much tack there is.
So ceed Lamb has to catch that. And and I
don't want to, you know, overreact. It is one game,
even though it was an Island Games, everybody was watching it.
But I've always been of the belief that CD Lamb's
(13:14):
production does not match CD Lamb the player. I have
never viewed CD Lamb as one of the upper elite
wide receivers in the NFL.
Speaker 2 (13:24):
Wait, you don't have him in the Chase Jefferson.
Speaker 4 (13:26):
Category, not even a little bit.
Speaker 2 (13:28):
Wo Now, hold on, wait twenty twenty three, one hundred
and thirty five catches on one hundred and eighty one targets,
seventeen hundred yards, twelve touchdowns.
Speaker 3 (13:38):
Oh my god, Yeah, I mean that was that was
an incredible season. And and Dak Prescott, to his credit,
was peppering him. You know, year and year are basically
for since his second season, he's been the number one
option there in Dallas, and a lot of it was.
And we talked about if you're a P one listener
to the pot, you'll remember that a lot of his catches,
especially the first two three even went into his fourth
(14:00):
year in the NFL where him in the slot that
he was not outside out wide like the prototypical number
one receiver is, and that's where he was doing a
lot of his damage. Eventually he moved past that, he evolved,
he became more of an outside threat. And it's not
to say he's not a very good receiver, say he's
not a Pro Bowl receiver. But again this is anecdotal,
(14:21):
But CD Lamb, when is the last time you remember
him making a big catch? This sounds very Rob Parker review. No,
I'm not trying to like pile on anything like that. Again,
it was one game, but I feel like, and if
somebody has stats to prove me wrong, I would love
to see him. But the last time I remember seeing
(14:42):
CD Lamb in a big game was in a playoff
game about a year and a half ago against the Packers,
and the very first drive, third down hits him right
in the hands, drop right and if you look at
Pro Football Reference and it lists his advanced stats and
his joy on everything like that. Okay, cd Lamb not
counting tonight obviously, But through the first five years of
(15:03):
his NFL career in the regular season, is credited with
thirty five drops.
Speaker 4 (15:09):
Okay, wow.
Speaker 3 (15:10):
In four playoff games, he's credited with five drops, all
right on the flip side. And this is the guy
who I believe is the gold standard when it comes
to playing red receiver in the NFL today. You don't
how many drops Justin Jefferson has had through the first
five years of NFL career.
Speaker 2 (15:29):
I'll go with you, said, cdee Lamb had thirty three five.
I'll go with Jefferson with twenty twenty exactly. No, wow,
I did not look.
Speaker 3 (15:38):
Do you know how many he's had in the postseed
now he's only played the two playoff games?
Speaker 4 (15:41):
How many? It has probably just zero? Right, Justin Jefferson
is the guy.
Speaker 3 (15:46):
And I can give you a laundry list of plays where, hey,
we gotta have it on the road in Buffalo, Kirk
Cousins Yolo somewhere, JJ's down there. I'm gonna throw it
up and he comes down between four defenders and brings
it down with one hand, and CD Lamb, in my opinion,
again anecdotal, there are way too many instances in the
gotta have him moments where he just doesn't come up
(16:09):
with the big play that you need, and in this
case last night, it happened multiple times.
Speaker 2 (16:15):
I mean, listen, that's a tough on because I'm looking
at the playoff game log against it and that Packers
beat down seventeen targets. Now they were playing catch up,
but I think it was twenty eight to nothing nine
for a buck ten in that tough loss at Sanfray,
and he had ten catches one hundred and seventeen, I mean,
one touchdown in four playoff games. Okay, I guess this
(16:36):
is one of those where Cowboys fans are gonna walk away.
This would be if I was a Cowboys fan, I
was really pissed. I'd be like, bro, we paid CD
Lamb all this money and we traded away Michael Parsons,
and what happens to us when we face the Eagles?
We got nobody, nobody to contain Jalen Hurts. I mean,
(16:56):
he was Jalen Hurts was just every pivotal play. It
felt like he just scrambled for whatever he want. And
I don't know if the announcers even referenced the lack
of Michael Parsons there, but it was clear. I thought
that they missed him against Jalen Hurts, a running quarterback,
because you know, Parsons is gonna get you off your
spot and he's also gonna chase you down. Michael Parsons
is an animal. Cowboys have to face some more running quarterbacks.
(17:20):
Rob Russell Wilson if he's still considered running. Caleb Williams
is very running, very running, Jordan Love justin fields, Jaden
Daniels twice, Kyler Murray. This could be a problem from
a gambling sandpoint, I will be looking to bet quarterback
rushing overs against Dallas because they don't seem to know
how to defend them. They don't, I mean, without Michael
(17:42):
Parsons there, I felt like that defensive line was toothless.
The Eagles rushed thirty eight times for about fifty eight
that's they just kind of had their way on the ground,
but the rest of the game was mostly even. Listen,
if Miles Sanders doesn't fumble in the red zone and
and Cde Lamb doesn't have four drops Cowboys winning this right.
Speaker 3 (18:03):
Rub Yeah, and actually you brought it up right at
the top of the pod. Is watching that game, I
came away, as you said, more impressed with Dallas than
I was with Philly, even though Philly got the win,
because I was expecting, like a lot of people for
Dallas too, especially after the Micah Parsons fiasco. Maybe they
cover the spread, but it's a backboard cover, right, like may,
they're never.
Speaker 4 (18:23):
Really in it.
Speaker 3 (18:24):
They're down early, they're playing catchup, and that's kind of
what happens. But no, they came out and they kicked
Philly in the mouth early and often they're in that
first half, Dak Prescott looked like it was twenty twenty
three Dak all over again where he was second team
All Pro MVP candidate. And that offensive line, the young
offensive line really came together. They're manhandling the Eagles up
front with no Jalen Carter. And however, to your point,
(18:50):
Jalen Hurts, who is the most disrespected Super.
Speaker 4 (18:54):
Bowl MVP in my recent memory.
Speaker 3 (18:56):
Yep, you know, all he does is make winning play
after winning play after winning play. Like you mentioned, the
passing yards were not great, but when you're nineteen of
twenty three. You know when you're consistently moving the chains.
You know when you're the leading rusher on your team
that has Saquon Barkley on it. Like that last play
(19:20):
on the was the third down right to steal the game.
Chris collins Worth that everybody in America on TV is like, oh,
they're going empty. Jalen Hurts is going to run this football.
We all know it's coming. Good luck trying to stop it.
And what happens. Jalen Hurts needs three, gets you four
and a half ball game. Like that's what he does.
It's not always going to be flashy, it's not always
(19:41):
going to be the most prolific because he's not that
kind of He's not Lamar Jackson, he's not Josh Allen.
But what he does is make winning plays at the
biggest moments, game after game after game after game.
Speaker 4 (19:54):
And yeah, he's he's really.
Speaker 2 (19:56):
Good, special talent. I'll just add this. I don't want
to again. Week one. You don'tant to overreact. The Eagles
had nine penalties for a hum buck ten. I felt
like two of those were on long like third and fifteen,
plus there was a PI on Pickens, and there was
the in the end zone. It questionable call that it
(20:18):
lengthened drives, although I think Sanders fumbled like two plays
after one of those. Eagles were kind of sloppy defensively.
And I gotta ask Rob, like, if Jalen Carter doesn't
spit on Dak Prescott like a fool and plays the
whole game, is there a world where the Eagles pass
rush up the middle. Nolan Smith had a really good
game off the edge. He wasn't living in the back
(20:40):
of He had one dumb penalty that I didn't like,
the taunting one, but he was a he was wrecking things.
And if all of a sudden Jalen Carter plays that game,
is this more of an Eagles comfortably? So? Are we
overreacting to Dallas beating the Eagles without Jalen Carter. I
that's one of those I don't know, and there's no
right we don't know the answer.
Speaker 3 (20:58):
It's hard to say that only becausebviously the game flow
would be different. You maybe you don't get as much
Davonte Williams in that first half, and maybe Dak is
slinging it more over the yard early and often. But
one thing you have to consider in a game like that,
even when a guy is knocked out, is every game
tells a different story. Like you can't just assume, Hey,
(21:18):
if so and so was there, this is a different thing.
And it's like, how do we know that instead of
Javontai Williams getting two rushing touchdowns, it's Jake Ferguson catching one,
it's you know, CD, maybe he doesn't drop four because
he's more involved early in the game. And with that
in mind, if Jalen Carter plays, obviously a different game.
(21:39):
But if you're Philadelphia, if Jalen Carter plays, is that
help you get the ball to aj Brown Moore? Because like, ultimately,
I don't think that Philadelphia, as great as they are
running the football, I don't think you're gonna blow teams
out of the water without some threat of a passing game,
you know what I mean. And they just that's not
really high on their priority list.
Speaker 2 (22:00):
Already cares about fantasy. But I was facing Saquon and
Javonte Williams. I guarantee you Javonte does not score twenty
fantasy points again the season. I'm almost certain of it,
all right, without further ado, let's get to best bets
for the NFL Week one and low college football as well.
Speaker 1 (22:16):
Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
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listen live. The only thing better than sitting on your
couch watching the games is making money while you do it.
(22:37):
Here's your best bet.
Speaker 2 (22:39):
All right, let's get to best bets for Week one
in the NFL and Week two in college football. I
still can't believe they call it week zero.
Speaker 4 (22:47):
Kind of dumb.
Speaker 2 (22:48):
Well, buzz through college first, because it's not a great weekend.
The game of the weekend in college football is Michigan
at Choklahoma. Apologies to my my buddy, son of my
son are friends and he went he's like the biggest
Oklahoma fan I know, like, listens to Oklahoma radio at
his house. Very smart guy. I don't want to go
(23:10):
against his sooners and back mister Underwood on the road,
but I'm just gonna take the five. It's kind of
a dead number. I'm gonna go ahead and assume that
Michigan is probably not as good as we saw last week.
But I don't know if Oklahoma is either I am.
The last time Oklahoma had a big game at home,
I feel like Jalen Milroe was bottled up and looked really,
(23:31):
really bad. So there's a world where they just confound
Underwood but a small bite of Michigan plus five. I
am on Pitt minus twenty one. I am and this
is simply a reaction to what I saw Monday night.
So Bill Belichick, on a short week after getting blasted,
now has to go on the road to Charlotte, and
(23:53):
somehow North Carolina is a fifteen and a half point favorite. Now,
if you watched any North Carolina and thought, oh there's
something here, go ahead, you know, don't bet this game.
But I looked at that team and they might have
a quarterback controversy. The defense is terrible, and now they
(24:14):
have to go on the road on a short week
against Charlotte. I'm not saying Charlotte's good, but going on
the road on a short week after getting decimated humiliated.
Stadium was half empty midway through the third quarter. I'm
sorry I took the fifteen and a half. I am
on Clemson minus thirty one and a half. I do
not like it. They killed me last week against LSU.
But and we'll see this in a second. It's just
(24:37):
a bounce back. It's just a spot play Dabo Dabbo,
however you say it, I don't know how to say it.
I don't know any humans named Dabbo except for Dabbo Sweeney. Anyways,
he was talking a lot of mess after that LSU game.
He's gonna rally his troops and say, hey, the season
is not over. We're in this. Let's go destroy whoever.
We're playing Clemson minus thirty one and a half. I'm
(24:57):
on Cincy minus twenty and a half. That comes from
a friend who is somewhat plugged into the Bearcat's program.
He thinks this is a smash spot. And finally, my boy,
who is a big college football guy, he is I
don't know if he's friends with Brad Powers, but he
is telling me you must take Texas minus thirty six
(25:19):
and a half. So I'm doing it now. Here's my
only issue. This is a noon game. I don't think
it's gonna be a wild scene in Austin for a
twelve o'clock game against a bad team. And it's like,
is a stadium gonna be full? Is anybody gonna be
juiced up to watch arch Manning throttle San Jose State.
(25:40):
I doubt it, but I'm gonna do it anyway. I'll
take Texas now. The other the last one is Oregon
minus twenty eight against Oklahoma State. If you paid attention
earlier this week, Mike Gundy was running his mouth about
nil and Dan Lanning fired back, and I have a
feeling Dan Lanning could just put it on him. My
buddies from uh Philadelphia posted last on an ig this
(26:03):
old video of Buddy Ryan with the Eagles against the Cowboys,
and this is how bad it was. Essentially, Buddy Ryan
lined up to take a knee in victory formation right,
and then Randall Cunningham backed off center and threw a
bob with like ten seconds left. I would not be
shocked if Dan Lanning said, hey, I don't care my gun.
(26:24):
Are you gonna run your mouth? This is what we're doing.
And Oregon wins by a lot. Again, no significant place here.
It's college football Week two. The games are not great,
but let's move to the NFL, where the only caution
I will have is, guys, just try not to go overboard.
It does have a Christmas feel and on Christmas, you
like to go hog wild. You open every present, you
(26:45):
just go great, it's amazing. It's so easy to lose
your mind and your bank roll in week one because
you have some big feelings about lines that have been
out for months. And you also, oh, by the way, realize,
oh yeah, this uh, this team is as bad as
we think they are, and then all of a sudden
they're not. I just want to remind folks last year,
(27:06):
in the first two weeks, the New Orleans Saints looked
like world beaters. They were with the Kubiak system totally dominant,
and let me see what the scores of their first
two weeks were. But last week last season, after two weeks,
they were destroyed. Of the season. Okay, so they beat
the Panthers forty seven to ten in week one, You're like,
(27:26):
oh my gosh, holy cow, this team is something. And
then they go and kick the Cowboys ass in Dallas
forty four to nineteen, and everybody's geeked. And then they
lost seven in a row and was like, ah, these
are okay, got it, these are the Saints. Wacky things
happen early. I saw a stat that in the last
six years, a significant underdog has been able to pull
(27:49):
off a big upset in Week one, whether it's the
Bengals losing. I think they lost to the Patriots. Bengals
have had a couple of the bad losses in there,
so just be careful that being said. And we just
watched the Eagles, so boy, that was I took a
nibble on the Chiefs SA Banus three in South Paulo
against the Chargers Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes September. Do I
(28:11):
need to say much more? And I know they lost
the lines a couple of years ago at home, guys, No,
Chris Jones and I don't think Kelsey played in that
one Chiefs Bonus three. I'm rooting Chargers, so that's an issue.
I don't like the Chiefs in my big money auction league.
I accidentally, well, I thought there was value. I got
Rashi Rice, I got Patrick Mahomes, and I think I
(28:37):
got Harrison Butker. So listen, you guys know I don't
love the Chiefs. But yeah, so anyways, let's see what
else I got here. Okay, the biggest play of the
weekend for me was the Rams Texans under forty four
bat at heavily a Wednesday and Thursday. Here's the problem.
It's down to forty three. But I don't think that's
(28:57):
a huge deal. So Matt Stafford took Zeroseason snaps he's
got the back injury. And if you look at last
year how the Rams ended the season, their defense was
so on fire. Meanwhile, they're facing a Texans front with
like a four new offensive line starters c J. Stroud
who was kicked around all of last year. I just
don't know how good this Houston offense is gonna be.
(29:18):
And so under forty four, I'm gonna look at the
first half under two in that one, I like Packers.
I have it minus two, minus two and a half.
I like the Packers in a teaser up to eight
or eight and a half. I just you could pair
it with the Broncos, you could pair it with the Falcons.
But I irrationally like the Packers, and I'm sure maybe they,
(29:42):
you know, get embarrassed again. The Lions have had their
number last three seasons Detroit five and one against the Packers.
I just think the Lions are falling off. I know
some people are not gonna to hear that. Give me
the Packers. I yes, I took a nibble on the
Browns plus five against Joe Burrow. As you heard yesterday
with Bernie Frado matchup, Browns are at home. There's a
lot of evidence in recent years that Burrow comes out
(30:05):
of the gate slow. You know, Denzel Ward is still
a not elite, but he's a very very good cornerback.
Bengals offensive line stinks, Bengals defense stinks. I don't see
why this can't be close, guys, I don't and a
great staff for my guy t A. The Bengals team
total has gone under in the last six meetings with
the Browns by eight points per game. So for whatever reason,
(30:28):
Jim Schwartz really has a dialed in against Burrow and
that and that, oh my gosh, Zach Taylor offense almost
forgot his name. Atlanta plus two, you know I like them.
I'm going with the Giants plus six. Yes, I know,
New York Giants grossed again. Go back to the yesterday's
pod for the lengthier breakdown on the divisional Dogs. I
(30:51):
have some props for you. These are not as sexy,
but I cannot wait to see will Micah Parsons have
a sack. I'm gonna bet it just for fun, I'm
gonna look at what's my hand? Oh, Mark Andrews against
the Baltimore Ravens. So you remember he dropped the huge
(31:15):
two point conversion last year against the Ravens. Do you
think that Lamar and company? Remember Mark Andrews took him
like weeks to speak about that defeat and he was cresfallen.
Do you think they're gonna try to force feet to
touchdown to Mark Andrews. I mean that just feels like
a layup. Okay, here it is New York Giants. I
haven't seen the number yet, but I'm gonna go first
(31:36):
half under on Giants Washington. I really do think that
Giants defense is going to be a shock to the system.
And I'll just remind you guys, and we talked about
it yesterday. Washington and the Giants played two close games
yesterday last season, so I don't see why this one
can also be very close the other games. I was,
(31:57):
oh for the contest, that's the last thing I wanted
to wrap So in the contest circa, I am looking
at Jacksonville. Did I mention I bet Jacksonville? Yeah, I
bet Jacksonville. Oh no, no, I did not because it's
up to three and a half. I missed it, so
I have not bet them. But I'm looking at Demon
Circa Browns and circa Denver. We'll see, I don't it
(32:18):
just might be too chalky. I mean, it just gets
you know. I feel like everybody who's in the circa
is gonna have Denver, and you just don't want to
be that guy that's never works out good. Green Bay
in the contest. Maybe Giants plus six Falcons, So I'm
looking at those six. We'll see what else emerges, but yeah,
(32:42):
it should be a good week one. I'll try to
maintain emotions. It's gonna be tough to keep them in check.
Dolphins Colts, I have nothing, but I'm looking at the
over just because you look at these defenses, they're quite bad.
But I just have no idea what to expect in
that game. It could be a forty one forty shootout.
I mean, I just Miami. Everybody's down on them. Colts
(33:05):
have Daniel Jones a quarterback. Do I need to say
much more? And I guess the last one and you
know you don't want to go against Josh Allen too early.
But I just I'm thinking back to that regular season matchup,
and the Ravens look good and the look at the
Bills injuries. This defense is not really juiced up. I'm
a little worried about Buffalo, but if you want super
(33:28):
Bowl futures, Buffalo loses this game and then you maybe
add to your futures. The only problem with that is
this is a big one for home field advantage, and
I know there's a long way to go, but you know,
you get that early win in the conference and put
Baltimore behind the eight pall, everybody's gonna be chasing the Chiefs.
We know that. And if you can get home field
(33:48):
in Buffalo, I would love the Bills to get to
the super Bowl. All right, that's it for Week one. Gosh, guys,
I am so jacked. I will obviously have a Monster
Pod on Monday. We'll talk about it all. Enjoy the weekend.