January 3, 2020 • 38 mins
On today's edition of Straight Outta Vegas, RJ Bell and the guys discuss the wild card weekend going on this weekend in the NFL. The guys also discuss the parting of ways between the Cowboys and Jason Garrett, including the odds of the next coach to land in Dallas with Josh McDaniels being the leading favorite. Plus, RJ and the crew breakdown the AFC wild card matchup in New England between the Patriots and Titans on Saturday, citing the Titans +14 ppg since Tannehill became starting QB could make this a good game, but his failures against Belichik over the years may continue. Listen to Steve Fezziks best bet of wild card weekend with Philadelphia getting the nod as +2 hosting the Seattle Seahawks. Steve and RJ cite the late season injuries and Eagles playing better down the stretch the reason they're so surprised the Eagles are underdogs. The guys cap the show off with their picks for all 4 wild card games going on this weekend.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
You're listening to Fox Sports Rarey. This is straight out
of Vegas with the voice of Vegas, your host r
J bowmon the pregame show America has always wanted from
(00:40):
the veggat trip. Here's r J bow That's right, I'm
r J live on a Friday here in Las Vegas
on two hundred FSR stations across this great nation. Joins
(01:04):
in studio full house Wise guys left, Fred Powers, Wise,
got in my right, Steve Fezik, Sports bettors listen for
the money. Sports fans listen to no more than their buddies.
You can't have pros if you don't have Joe's. He's
in l A, He's Jones. It's not always good to
be here, r J. On a day when we've got
(01:25):
the NFL playoffs kicking off this weekend, the potential end
of an era, and one member of this show takes
a victory lap. What is the Vegas lead? Yeah, this
victory lap is well deserved, but the lead unequivocally Jason
Garrett and really from Vegas. It's gonna be odds on
the next coach. Yeah, and the next coach should be
(01:47):
announced sometime sooner or at least before next season. That's
the plan, because as of right now, the Dallas Cowboys
have yet to make it official. A report came out
from Edward Or of ESPN on Thursday night. The Dallas
Cowboys owned team website says no news as of yet.
So again we are on Jason Garrett watch. Here's the question.
Jerry Jones is a master of pr doesn't mean he's
(02:13):
perfect at it, but boy, oh boy, he gets a
lot of publicity. Oh yeah, and it's not as if
it's not negative. A lot of theories are. You know,
any publicity is good as long as you're talking about you,
But with Jerry Jones, it's at least, if not more
(02:33):
positive in the course of a year. So he both
gets a lot of attention and he gets positive attention.
That's not easy to do. It's not And he doesn't
do things like this without consideration, without being deliberate. What
could it be that's causing him to drag out a
(02:55):
decision that feels obvious. I've got a theory, and we
don't talk politics because it's not our expertise. But when
there's something in the political realm that I think is applicable,
we we bring it in and I think that if
you think about the Malla Report and the different investigations
(03:17):
and all the news around that for multiple years. Really
one of the theories of the Trump administration pr the
theory from the outside was, hey, they would tell us
things that maybe seem bad, but not as bad as
they could be. But they tell them that weeks or
(03:37):
months ahead, and then you get comfortable with it. Except
for the most extreme things, you get more comfortable over time.
And quite frankly, even that, you know, you think about
even a death, maybe you know, a death that like
for a month or two, like you couldn't even enjoy yourself,
you know, like those kind of things ten years later,
(04:01):
twenty years later, Yeah, you think about it, but most people,
almost everyone, at some point it's in the past. You
gotta keep moving. Now. This is not an extreme like that.
But I think Jerry Jones is very, very cognizant that
he has a reputation of loyalty that he is. He's
(04:24):
not just a players or a players owner. He's a
cowboys owner. If you're a cowboy, he's got you covered.
And that's a how of a brand I have. It's
a good brand. And by firing Jason Garrett, who he
in a way you could say, well, he gave him
(04:46):
more than enough chance. Everyone thought he's fired him late. Yeah,
but in a weird way, every year you kept him,
it makes this firing even more consequential. It's like, you
fire a guy after one year does mean all that much.
But when they fired speaking to that Tom Landry, it
meant something right, and he took a ton of heat
(05:09):
Jerry Jones back then with the way they handled Landry.
Though you look at Dallas's record leading up to Landry going,
you know he wasn't at the top of his game,
it would seem and to me, I think this decision
is done, was made probably last week, and I think
he's dragging it out because it makes him look like
(05:31):
the good guy, doesn't it. If the theory is that
Jason Garrett should have been gone long ago, and if
he can make Jason or allow Jason Garrett to stay
around without hurting the team, meaning there's no recruiting going
on right now, there's no you know, in college, you
(05:51):
get that new coach in there quick, right because you
gotta worry about recruiting. Whatever. If Jason Garrett's replacement is
hired in a week or in a month. I'm not
saying there's not something they'd be doing, but how consequential
is it? The only issue is if you miss out
(06:12):
on the higher that you w want. That's where there's something.
Go ahead, Steve, say something so you don't want to
miss out on the higher that you may want. Are
you guys hearing something weird? I don't know, Steve. You're
gonna have to share. We'll have to figure that out.
I don't know what that was, but um, yeah, fair
enough is I think what Steve is saying and we'll
figure that out during the break. I think what Steve
(06:33):
is saying is and and and I agree with you.
If this time they're taking prevents them from hiring the
next guy that they want, then then there's a real downside. Um.
To me, we're not talking weeks. We're talking a couple
of days. Perhaps are dragging this out more. And it
feels like to me that does nothing except make Jerry
(06:57):
Jones look like a good guy? Does anyone Brad Jones?
I think I think Jerry Jones is doing this because
he likes the attention, the fact that they're not in
the playoffs and they're not part of the conversation. The
only way they can grab a headline right now is
by having people continue to wonder what's happening with Jason Garrett.
So yeah, it's a little pr It's also they love
(07:18):
this sort of attention. That's what they do. If anything,
our points are complementary because it and you just said it,
it's not only more attention, but it's positive attention. Yes, right,
what do you think, Brad anything? Well, two things. First,
I agree with you as far as Jerry Jones being
great pr. I mean, here's a franchise of Dallas Cowboys
(07:38):
haven't won a Super Bowl championship in twenty plus years,
and yet they're the most valuable NFL franchise. On top
of that, you know, delaying the process of firing Jason Garrett.
It makes them look like, oh, this was a really,
really tough decision. We had meetings, we talked it through.
I agree with you, r J. I could see it,
you know, making Jerry Jones to be the good guy
and actually setting up Jason Garrett better in the future.
(08:00):
Her Yeah, r J. Bell straight out of Vegas. Let's
talk about the odds here, because we actually have you
can beat it. Who will be the next Cowboys coach.
Josh McDaniels the favorite at three to one, filed by
San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Salo. There Lake and Riley.
Who Salah, Robert Sala, you know maybe we should have
(08:23):
Jonas read you want to give us that name? Jones?
You got it right, Robert, He didn't say anything. He
got it right, Robert Sala. I mean he didn't have
full confidence. Robert Sala. Well, I think he said it
differently that time. Though Lincoln Riley is five to one.
You were sure about that? Yeah, I was. Irvin Meyer
(08:44):
getting a lot of press. Six to one Matt rule
has been talked about a lot of these NFL jobs.
It's kind of I agree with you, are j a
little surprising he's down the board at seven to one.
Mike zimmer tend to one is an interesting name, Okay
zimm Er. Now, so looking at that list, it strikes
me that Josh McDaniels I love to have a no
(09:06):
And guys, remember this, this is an important betting tip
that you can apply anytime. If there's odds on something,
can you bet all the outcomes? Because the famous one
is will say Will aliens land at the Super Bowl
during halftime hundred to one. That's fun and all that,
(09:30):
but be interesting. If you could beat two d or
two hundred to win one, you know what I think?
I think it was alien odds would go up. So
so by having both sides of the bat, they guarantees
there's gonna be a fairly fair price because they will
be punished if it's too far the other way. They
don't do that here. McDaniel seems like he needs every
(09:54):
red carpet the world ever created. He will take a
job and still not want to put up with whatever
it is outside the Patriots bubble. And again I love
the Patriots for doing that. They created a good environment
for their coaches. But this is probably the most difficult
job in the NFL when it comes to deal with
the ownership, right the Cowboys. Yeah, as far as owners
(10:18):
who are constantly involved in the conversation, Yeah so, And
you know, top five or whatever, No matter how you
look at it, taught five difficult political jobs to navigate,
and Josh McDaniels seems like the worst suited for that
(10:38):
kind of situation, right, and correct me if I'm wrong,
But McDaniels could get a lot of jobs. I know
there's a sense because he gave up on the or
he whatever you wanna call it, left the colts of
the Altar. I still think though, he's in high demand,
so I get why Jerry Jones would want them. Now,
(11:02):
this next fellow, Brad what's his name, Robert Sale, that
was good. He was more confident. I don't know if
the forty niner is done enough. You know, fas, we
think we got your mic fixed. So just say uh
something short first, like yes or no? Yes, has he
done enough? The answer is no? Oh that sounds good
to keep going, baby, So Robert Salah, Hey, that defense
(11:24):
for the forty Niners sure look good when they are healthy. Right,
first eight opponents hold them all to twenty or fewer points.
Since then, not so good. Eight of the last nine
opponents have scored twenty or more points against the forty Niners.
And that's why I think, and and this has been
a debate every show I've been on this week, it's
been forty Niners best team in the NFC. Wow, I
(11:46):
don't know. I thought so I was a forty I
was ahead of the curve on the Niners. I'd say,
I think I'm getting off the train and I've been,
you know, and we'll do that next week. Is if
we dig into these games, it's one thing to say
score this, score that. I mean they don't. I'm not
sure their defense is top ten. Now we can say
(12:06):
it's injury, but if it's injuries, we better define what
injuries it was, and and and are they healthy? Now?
Did you have a number? You're jumping on it? Yeah,
Football Outsiders has the defense number two. Now that's an
average for the entire year. I have them number seven
right now. Oh, the physic numbers are saving Okay, well
listen that. I'm not even sure why we're debating it.
(12:29):
That's the physic, the creator of the numbers. He has
an abacus. I'm r J bow Anything else in this
Cowboys stuff? Well, hey Jones one Jones. He got off
almost the whole segment. It's a Friday before playoffs, and
he got the lead on Straight out of Vegas. And now,
you know, I've often found myself wondering what would it
be like if you could go back in time and
(12:50):
actually watch Beethoven create music so you can see the master.
Actually in I think Saturday Night Live had a skin
about that. Yeah, and and so I always wondered, like,
if could go back and just watch him while he's
in the midst of his genius, what would it be like?
And we here across the country got to be a
witness to genius at work. Brad Powers taking a victory
(13:13):
lap here today after showcasing his ability to recognize a
good bet in real time and striking while the iron
was hot yesterday. I don't think Jonas ever gave me
an intro like you know now we but here's the
thing bad bad for him. We now know what he
can do. So now we got a new standard, but
(13:34):
a little small decide. He's right, Brad. You know Fez
was off at the Feasic compound. And now is there
is in your mind the holiday finally over? Or is
there some extending like people of a certain you know,
silver spoon level, they have even another holiday. I mean,
how's it work well to Johnny goes back to school
(13:56):
on Monday. I still feel it's a little bit of
an extended holiday. So in a way, you have a
work life that is very similar to an eight year old. Yes,
and we now got that figured out. Now, Usually a
normal person would say, you know, it's tough because I
love spending time with my boy, but I gotta work. No,
we he said, we as in him and his eight
(14:16):
year old son having extended holiday. So I think that
was very revealing. Brad. You were here grinding right as
the show was starting. You identified, look at this, this
is only a few people on Twitter that you trusted.
And it was the Boston College Cincinnati game. And quickly
we'll go through it. What did you see? Yeah, So
(14:37):
in the Birmingham Bowl yesterday there was a long weather delay.
Game was delayed more than an hour right after the
game started, so there was reports coming out after that
long delay. BC wanted to skip the game, called the
game off, similar to what happened to Boston College in
a bowl game. It doesn't matter. So what you're saying
is Boston College was like, oh, look it's raining outside,
(14:58):
maybe we shouldn't play. Cincinnati, on the other side, insisted
on playing the game. And what happened in the first half.
Cincinnati's up seventeen. Nothing. I looked at the halftime line.
I think, you know what, more of the same here.
Cincinnati wants to be here, BC doesn't. I bet Cincinnati
minus four first, so just to be clear. The delay
happened at what point during the game, like two or
(15:19):
three minutes into the first quarter, all right, And then
what happened was it was so it wasn't before the
game they kicked off delay were leaked out that they
were like, we shouldn't even play Boston College. And you figure, look,
they're dominating, Cincinnati is dominating Boston College. Usually you expect
the other team to come back a little bit. That's
(15:39):
the way half timelines are. But you're saying the fact
that they didn't want to even play. If we would
have known that beforehand, we would have bet the game.
Why not bet it now in the moment? You bet
that baby live on air. A lot of people, I
mean Jonas I you know, I hear a lot of
positive stuff, but I mean this was one where it
(16:01):
was like they were like, thanks Brad for the money.
I mean, the feedback was actually well, I mean, especially
after the holidays, everybody's spending all that money for gifts
and then Brad comes through right down the chimney to
deliver him more. I mean that's amazing. Yeah, well the
holidays aren't over for everybody, all right. Was the hell
of a Handicapito I can tell you that I was
so good that whenever I bet, I could change the
(16:23):
odds for every bookmaker in the country. Well, Brad, you
did it yesterday. And by the way, what was the
final in the second half? Six? Second half? Now here's
what's funny. As we go, Jonas. I looked over at
him about twenty minutes after the show, and he had
his his hand in his and his forehead in his hand,
and he was like shaking it, and I go, what's wrong?
(16:43):
He goes blocked field goal touchdown Boston College is seven six?
I mean like it was like so depressed and then
the final in the second half six should have been
twenty four. Nothing say, he couldn't resisted? All right, Well
we come back. We're doing something new. It's called a
three sixty handicap. What does that mean? We're looking at
(17:04):
the four games of the playoffs from every angle that's
coming up next. He's r J Bell, I'm Jonas Knox.
Is the pregame show you've always wanted right here on
Fox Sports Radio. Be sure to catch live editions of
Straight Out of Vegas weekdays at six pm Eastern three
pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and The I Heart
Radio App. I'm r J. Bell, we are Straight out
(17:27):
of and I'm Jonas Knox, Voice of you the Fan.
Coming up here. In just a couple of moments, we
will begin our three hundred and sixty degree view of
the first round of the NFL Playoffs. Yeah, this should
be fun. Deep dives. We've got three best bets coming up.
Great day to join the fastest growing show on Fox
Sports Radio one and fifty percent from January to January.
(17:50):
You can listen five days a week two d FSR
stations nationwide. Also I Heart Radio app and Series x
M and Fox Words Radio dot Com and anytime on podcasts.
Just search r J Bow Right now here in Vegas
on the strip sixty degrees. The neon is chugging, So
(18:11):
r J let's get its started and we go to
Foxborough to get things here started. On Straight out of Vegas,
it is the Patriots hosting the Titans on Saturday night,
eight fifteen Eastern time on CBS Right now, New England
on pregame dot com is a five point favorite. Okay, now,
this is Brad Powers best Bat. I'm gonna pose a
question and I'm gonna hope that your best bat answers.
(18:35):
It are the Patriots and the Titans. Is the truth
of their team? And really handicapping ultimately is trying to
divine the truth, to ascertain the truth. What is the truth?
That's the question always Now oftentimes the truth is kind
(18:55):
of obvious. Bangals aren't very good, blah blah blah. This
is an example where you have two teams that had
two very different seasons within their own season Tennessee pre
quarterback change, Tennessee post Tannehill quarterback. Now, statistically the difference
(19:17):
is drastic. Tennessee's points per game Brad went up how
many fourteen points per game with Tannehill? Geez, now, what's amazing.
And I don't fully understand it. The defense got worse
by what like nine points nine game, so it's a
plus five point margin, but still Tennessee much much better.
(19:37):
Is it that it's Tannehill seems like it right, or
is it that in any six, seven, eight games sample
there can be randomness up down Now. On the other hand,
the Patriots after the Bills or from the Bills first
game on offense wasn't what we expected. But for a
(19:59):
long time the debate was, well, isn't the defense better
by a greater margin or at least an equal margin
to what the defense or the defense is better for
where the offense is dropped off. And pretty much, Steve,
the whole five, six, seven weeks that I was asking
that question, you were pretty much like about right about
(20:19):
you know, give me a dozen, I'll give you twelve
and we're even out. Is that how you saw it?
And then at some point that that offense kept neither
going down or it wasn't going up. I mean, he
might have had a game here. But in the defense though,
they went from is this the best defense of all time?
(20:42):
We don't think so. But jeez, you heard that conversation too,
I mean, is this is this even a top five
defense right now? So you know, we could speculator, we
could just go to the canonical source as they call it,
Steve Fensis power ringing. What does azig have the New
England defense at currently? I still have them in the
(21:03):
top five in fact, third, top five third. Okay, so
it really is if you look at the stats. If
you look at the stats, in fact, Mackenzie, do a
little pull this up. Is let's get the d v
O A for the Pats defense, like the last six
(21:25):
games bring that out. So they do a game by
game d v O A. Let's just see where football
outsiders got them. I don't think this team has been
a top three defense the last six weeks the Patriots.
So the question is this is the whole season the
truth for the Pats or is the last six games
the truth? And remember that whole season has some pretty
(21:47):
good offensive performances from the very beginning of the year
and with Tennessee whole season or is it from tannehillan
because if it's from tannehill On and it's the recent
Patriots kind of see's better true? And look at this
statistic the last seven games. If you just looked at
(22:07):
QB R. Brady in the league, Tannehill sixth. Think about that?
All right, Brad answer the question. I am taught that
a bigger sample size is usually better, and I'm gonna
trust the more truthful thing that we have is the
bigger sample size. Here, here's what we do know about Belichick.
(22:29):
He likes to take away what you do best, take
it away from you, and you gotta you know, beat
him left handed, sort of say well, here's what I expect,
and we never fully know what Belichick is gonna do,
but you'd have to think he wants to take away
the NFL's leading rusher, Derrick Henry. And you gotta ask
yourself this, if Belichick is able to limit Derrick Henry,
do you really trust yourself on a Saturday night in
(22:51):
a playoff game in Foxboro with Ryan Tannehill a quarterback.
I do not. Therefore, I do trust the larger sample
size best bet for me New England Patriots minus five.
I gotta be honest with you. That did not convince me, because,
in a way with you, if I were first off,
I'd say my second best pick, Oh, this is tight,
(23:13):
my best bets coming up. Let's just say this. If
I was forced to beat this game, I would beat
the Patriots and it wouldn't take me a millisecond. But
I'm not forced to bat it, and I won't bat it.
Here's what concerns me about your handicap. You pretty much said, hey, Patriots,
every team they struggle against teams that are multiple teams
(23:38):
that can do both running past and fast. Just in
a moment ago, you said, uh, you know Tannehill since uh,
it's the whole time he's been quarterback in last seven games,
literally the sixth best quarterback. So we know Henry is
really good. And if Tannehill is anywhere near what he seems,
(24:06):
this Tennessee teams multiple yes, and Henry might be even
better than we think. And here's why r J. Tennessee
held Henry out week sixteen. Wasn't that important a game
against the Saints, and so he has fresh legs most
of the time. Teams this time game sixteen games sixteen. Okay,
so the last week of the Sea, second week sixteen,
(24:26):
second to last week and last week you said it
twice and it couldn't say right there, So you're saying
the next to last game. And how you know, because
that's what I remember. Didn't they run the heck out
of him to get some kind of record? They did?
He got thirty two carries last week? And what are
you talking about? He looks so fresh, having had the
week off the week before. I mean, that's it. Your
(24:49):
Mike's going off the rest of this segment. How he said,
He says that, hey, they rested him. How many carries
you have last week already? Too? Is that resting? You know?
I'm gonna allow him try to explain it all your
Mike's back on make you you should just say, you know,
maybe I wasn't the right answer, that wasn't the right answer,
(25:12):
but a lot better zero carries and then thirty than
they have thirty last two weeks. You think, so, I
think you're insane. So you're saying, if the two choices
for fatigue of the back is fifteen and fifteen or
zero and thirty and the thirty being the most recent,
you'd want zero and thirty. No, I was saying, I
don't know. I'm saying if you had half as many carries. Yeah,
(25:34):
I think he'd be better fatigue wise if he had
half as many carries. Great point. Thank god we turned
his mic back on, so we eliminate that problem. All
that said, even a normal Henry is a good back, right, Yeah, absolutely.
I mean you did know you made this pick. Then
why are you putting your head down like you don't
even want to addressing I was just looking at what
(25:55):
other key factors in my handicap and it's just that
more trends. Yeah. I mean, what you're getting O two
is saying you trust Belichick. I trust Belichick, but if
there's any team that causes Belichick or anyone problems a
multiple offense. Now is that truly the case? And you're
right Tannehill's history, which seems weird because the Dolphins have
(26:18):
done so well against the Paths that but I saw
something I don't think I know for sure where the
source was. I don't want to quote it, but Tannehill's
against the Pats isn't very good at all, which seems
weird since Miami obviously his former team. Huh, maybe we
should look up how he's done against him, because that's
(26:40):
telling to me because if he's done pretty well Tannehill,
now you've gotta figure Belichick seeing him, Tannehill seeing Belichick,
and he's fine. But if it's poor like I expect,
if I recall, you know, it's a bigger problem. So
let's do this. I'm gonna look at that d v
O A from the Paths. We're gonna look at how
(27:00):
Tannehill did against the Pats with Miami. Okay, Tannehill, how's
he done historically against Belichick? Four and six versus the Patriots?
You would say that's pretty good. How many quarterbacks have
won four games against New England? Not four and six?
But he's actually oh and six at New England at
Gilette Stadium and six okay, so four and oh at
home when he was with Miami Tannehill, oh and six wow. Wow,
(27:27):
huh that helps you with the pads. And by the way,
I actually had And this is the thing about the
super or the playoffs. And I said it yesterday, I
said this like half a bet. I'm not. I'm still
kind of feeling like it should be a quarterbat. But
I like the Pats. I liked him yesterday. But here's
the thing, guys, don't forget how many games have you
(27:51):
bet during the regular season. Let's say, if you're betting
more than four sides in an NFL week, you're probably
betting too much. Let's say four, that's a lot. When
you say fetal sides, yes, Now one out of four
those if it's sixteen games, means four in the week,
all right, So it's it's it's one out of four games. Effectively,
(28:12):
there's four games this weekend. I've got the best bat.
It's not on the Patriots that I'm gonna have coming up.
So my second best bat, no doubt, Pats. I don't
know though, I just don't know. This feels like Ali
maybe against Homes you could squint and say looks the same.
I don't know last thing on that defense. So d
(28:35):
v o A they do a game by game analysis
and they also break up offense defense, and what I'm
gonna call these last five games are either great good, average, bad,
really bad. So there's five different categories and we're gonna
I'm making this up by color scheme because there's actual numbers,
(28:57):
but the numbers are gonna be confusing. So against Houston
they were bad, the defense was bad. Against Kansas City,
the defense was really good. I mean they really held
Kansas City. The numbers back it up. Against Cincinnati good,
but that's a very one dimensional team, or they're they're
zero dimensional team. Maybe against Buffalo pure average, it was
(29:22):
like as average as you could get right in the middle.
And against Miami horrible. So literally, in five games, you've
got one average, two above average, two below average. You
know what that adds up to as the sea that's
the fit the third best dest shouldn't be. Now that's
(29:43):
only five games, but still I think you really got
to question this. Pat's d h my second best pick
of the week go and Brad's best bat New England.
The final game of the weekend as far as the
NFL playoffs go. But the second game we're gonna look
at here today sees the Seahawks at the Eagles. Seattle
(30:04):
a two point favorite on pregame dot com. Okay, fast,
this is your best bet. So what we're gonna do
is we're gonna let you give This would be a
perfect tease across the commercial. We're gonna let you give
your number one factor in the game. Well, let me
ask you this. Actually, I'm gonna ask you a question
to start. I was on with calling today. We did
(30:26):
our podcast, so you can get that. It's his four
picks on every game, and I give my analysis of
his picks. And let's just say this a little tease
there is he was He literally was talking about how
bad the tons of trade was when he was going
against when he was going against Houston. I said, hold on,
(30:47):
you've been the main defender of that trade. And he
goes and he just kind of talking. So we're no sacred.
Kyle Herd's good stuff there on my Twitter. You can
get it at our j in Vegas. But you know,
one of the things that we were that I looked
at when we were doing. Our talk was if you
look at the Eagles yardage, Yeah, they've done pretty well
(31:09):
this year for a team that's supposed he as bad
as they are, and their point differential is better than
multiple playoff teams. Yeah, and better than Seattle's exactly. So
Seattle is a team that someone with the first initial
are in the middle initial J said, Seattle's like a
nine and sevent team. The heat came, it was relentless.
(31:33):
It was like the rain in Seattle. And no doubt,
I haven't heard from these people. I haven't heard as much.
We'll see. Now, we'll see Seattle could win the super Bowl.
But how is it that Philly. I get that they
could be better. I get the idea that Philly, uh,
(31:54):
if they were healthy, would be better. I also get
the idea you thought they would be better, But how
how are they with that point Diffrench were being pretty decent. Yeah,
I don't see much separating these two teams, and I'm
shocked Seattle has favored in this game and thus I
like Philly. Let's go back six weeks ago these two
teams played r J. Seattle was laying one and a
(32:16):
half at Philly. What's the line now, Seattle minus one
and a half at Philly. What's changed in the past
six weeks. I can make the case Seattle has played
a lot worse during the past six weeks and Philly
has played better. All right, finish your handicapfes Alright, Well,
I talked about how well Philly has been playing, how
badly Seattle has been playing, and the injuries Philly has had.
(32:37):
Philly has had these injuries for the past throughout the
entire year. But Seattle, all their injuries are recent. Their
three running backs all went out during the past month.
There left tackle Dwayne Brown got injured and Clowney got injured.
So we've got one team who's been injured the entire year, Philly,
and we have Seattle now, a team that has just
recently got injured, and yet the spread is the same
(32:58):
as it was back in the member. It makes no sense.
Seattle is a lot worse than they were back in November.
I think it's a good point, and it's really convenient
when you have those reference points, like a spread in
the game at the same venue, even and what's changed since,
Like you said, whatever amount of changer is, it's not
positive for Philly. I guess the one question I would
(33:21):
have and what we'll do is take a break. You
can answer that and when we come back. My best
bet also is Carson Wentz. The perception is, oh, listen,
this is Philly. Philly is really good with the pressure
on well, Carson Wentz literally his first playoffs start, and
especially considering that if he does poorly, you think he's
(33:43):
gonna hear something about maybe a quarterback that used to
be with Philadelphia. Pressures on Wentz. We'll get your take
on that. And my best bet that's coming up next
to he's r J. Bel. I'm Jonas Knox is in
the pregame show You've Always Wanted and it's money making
time next year on Fox Sports Radio. Be sure to
catch live editions of Straight Out of Vegas weekdays at
(34:04):
six pm Eastern, three pm Pacific. I'm r J. Bell,
we are Straight out of Vega and I'm Jonas Knocks
Voice of You the Fan. Alright, so we continue to
take a look at the opening weekend of the NFL playoffs,
and we finish up with our look at the Seahawks,
who right now on the road at the Eagles are
a two point favorite. Best bat from fezz is Philadelphia,
(34:24):
and I'll tell you this, this is one of those games.
The more I think about it, the more I like Philly.
It's funny. Early in the week, I actually liked coming
up here in this game Houston, and now I don't.
I'm probably leaning Buffalo. So you evolve throughout the week.
But I love the ones that I come too late
(34:44):
usually win more because they're less obvious. So, Steve, would
you agree with the following, Well, let's talk about the
concern quickly. We talked about wentz first playoffs start, and
we also talked about them being more injured than they've
been even typically during the year. Address to those two
concerns quickly. Yes, So Philly lost another alignment. That's my
(35:05):
biggest concern. And so now the right side of their line,
not only is Lane Johnson injured, but they lost their
pro bowler on that side of the line. That is
a major concern. As far as the playoffs, I'm not
so word because basically Philly has had four straight playoff games. Yeah,
that's the same thing Collins said. I asked you the
same question, but there is difference in Philly because with
Nick Folds being the contrast, how did he do in
(35:27):
the playoffs. We'll get to the Bills and Texans here
in one moment. You want to let you know we
are brought to you by Autozon. Autozon has got the
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Auto Zone. It is Bills at the Texas Texans coming
(35:50):
up tomorrow early afternoon. Right now, Houston a two and
a half point favorite. What does this line say, guys?
It says that amazingly, Buffalo is the better team. The
reason I liked Houston earlier in the week was I thought,
what did Buffalo do in the interim since that Dallas
game on Thanksgiving that was all that impressive. I don't
(36:12):
think they did much while at all. I mean, they
did fine, but not like it was like, oh my gosh,
they're so good. But on the other hand, what we've
seen is this Houston is not as good as I thought.
They've been outyarded on the season and outscored on the season.
It's lucky win against Tampa Bay. Alright, so you think
about it. You give up more yards in you gain,
(36:32):
you give up more points than you score. How good
are you? The only saving grace, potentially for Houston is
this is a team, like an NBA team with Lebron,
that seems to be up or down, and they tend
to do better in the playoffs then and again this
year Lebron has been more focused. But but those kind
(36:53):
of teams tend to do better in the playoffs. Why
because they have another gear above what you've seen. The
teams that are always in aevitably motivated during the regular
season tend to be overrated in the playoffs. The only
hope for Houston, I think is that some of those
poor performances were because of lack of motivation, which wouldn't
be the problem in the playoffs. I'm staying away, but
(37:15):
I probably lean Buffalo at this point. The final game
we're looking at here on Straight Out of Vegas involves
a best bet here on the show. The vikings are
at the Saints New Orleans, a seven and a half
point favorite on Sunday. This one's easy best bet r
J Special Vikings why because of the clock. No, not
because it's the New year's one o'clock. We did the
(37:38):
research pregame dot com. Jonas helped. He led the way
the kernel of the idea. Kirk Cousins. It's not about
the TV lights, it's about the time. Why he's a
man of routine. We went back and did the search.
One o'clock starts his whole career, whole career, six against
(37:58):
the spread. No quarterback has ever been that good against
the spread in his career. This is more than about
half the games. The other half the non one o'clock
starts for Kirk Cousins. So literally two thirds of the
time he starts at one o'clock eastern, he wins against
the spread. One third of the time when he starts
(38:20):
non one o'clock eastern, he loses right or he only
wins one third at the time loses two thirds. That's
the biggest difference. You know, what is the one o'clock game?
And oh, by the way, a team as good as
Minnesota getting over a touchdown, there's gonna be a good
reason it isn't Cousins. That means we're taking him Cousins
Minnesota plus eight best bet The Odd Couple is next.
(38:42):
On many of these Fox Sports Radio affiliates, we are
straight out of Vegas. If you missed any of today's show,
including three best bets on the NFL Playoffs, check out
the podcast at Fox Sports Radio dot com, and we're
back on Monday at six Eastern time right here on
fs A
You're listening to Fox Sports Rarey. This is straight out
of Vegas with the voice of Vegas, your host r
J bowmon the pregame show America has always wanted from
(00:40):
the veggat trip. Here's r J bow That's right, I'm
r J live on a Friday here in Las Vegas
on two hundred FSR stations across this great nation. Joins
(01:04):
in studio full house Wise guys left, Fred Powers, Wise,
got in my right, Steve Fezik, Sports bettors listen for
the money. Sports fans listen to no more than their buddies.
You can't have pros if you don't have Joe's. He's
in l A, He's Jones. It's not always good to
be here, r J. On a day when we've got
(01:25):
the NFL playoffs kicking off this weekend, the potential end
of an era, and one member of this show takes
a victory lap. What is the Vegas lead? Yeah, this
victory lap is well deserved, but the lead unequivocally Jason
Garrett and really from Vegas. It's gonna be odds on
the next coach. Yeah, and the next coach should be
(01:47):
announced sometime sooner or at least before next season. That's
the plan, because as of right now, the Dallas Cowboys
have yet to make it official. A report came out
from Edward Or of ESPN on Thursday night. The Dallas
Cowboys owned team website says no news as of yet.
So again we are on Jason Garrett watch. Here's the question.
Jerry Jones is a master of pr doesn't mean he's
(02:13):
perfect at it, but boy, oh boy, he gets a
lot of publicity. Oh yeah, and it's not as if
it's not negative. A lot of theories are. You know,
any publicity is good as long as you're talking about you,
But with Jerry Jones, it's at least, if not more
(02:33):
positive in the course of a year. So he both
gets a lot of attention and he gets positive attention.
That's not easy to do. It's not And he doesn't
do things like this without consideration, without being deliberate. What
could it be that's causing him to drag out a
(02:55):
decision that feels obvious. I've got a theory, and we
don't talk politics because it's not our expertise. But when
there's something in the political realm that I think is applicable,
we we bring it in and I think that if
you think about the Malla Report and the different investigations
(03:17):
and all the news around that for multiple years. Really
one of the theories of the Trump administration pr the
theory from the outside was, hey, they would tell us
things that maybe seem bad, but not as bad as
they could be. But they tell them that weeks or
(03:37):
months ahead, and then you get comfortable with it. Except
for the most extreme things, you get more comfortable over time.
And quite frankly, even that, you know, you think about
even a death, maybe you know, a death that like
for a month or two, like you couldn't even enjoy yourself,
you know, like those kind of things ten years later,
(04:01):
twenty years later, Yeah, you think about it, but most people,
almost everyone, at some point it's in the past. You
gotta keep moving. Now. This is not an extreme like that.
But I think Jerry Jones is very, very cognizant that
he has a reputation of loyalty that he is. He's
(04:24):
not just a players or a players owner. He's a
cowboys owner. If you're a cowboy, he's got you covered.
And that's a how of a brand I have. It's
a good brand. And by firing Jason Garrett, who he
in a way you could say, well, he gave him
(04:46):
more than enough chance. Everyone thought he's fired him late. Yeah,
but in a weird way, every year you kept him,
it makes this firing even more consequential. It's like, you
fire a guy after one year does mean all that much.
But when they fired speaking to that Tom Landry, it
meant something right, and he took a ton of heat
(05:09):
Jerry Jones back then with the way they handled Landry.
Though you look at Dallas's record leading up to Landry going,
you know he wasn't at the top of his game,
it would seem and to me, I think this decision
is done, was made probably last week, and I think
he's dragging it out because it makes him look like
(05:31):
the good guy, doesn't it. If the theory is that
Jason Garrett should have been gone long ago, and if
he can make Jason or allow Jason Garrett to stay
around without hurting the team, meaning there's no recruiting going
on right now, there's no you know, in college, you
(05:51):
get that new coach in there quick, right because you
gotta worry about recruiting. Whatever. If Jason Garrett's replacement is
hired in a week or in a month. I'm not
saying there's not something they'd be doing, but how consequential
is it? The only issue is if you miss out
(06:12):
on the higher that you w want. That's where there's something.
Go ahead, Steve, say something so you don't want to
miss out on the higher that you may want. Are
you guys hearing something weird? I don't know, Steve. You're
gonna have to share. We'll have to figure that out.
I don't know what that was, but um, yeah, fair
enough is I think what Steve is saying and we'll
figure that out during the break. I think what Steve
(06:33):
is saying is and and and I agree with you.
If this time they're taking prevents them from hiring the
next guy that they want, then then there's a real downside. Um.
To me, we're not talking weeks. We're talking a couple
of days. Perhaps are dragging this out more. And it
feels like to me that does nothing except make Jerry
(06:57):
Jones look like a good guy? Does anyone Brad Jones?
I think I think Jerry Jones is doing this because
he likes the attention, the fact that they're not in
the playoffs and they're not part of the conversation. The
only way they can grab a headline right now is
by having people continue to wonder what's happening with Jason Garrett.
So yeah, it's a little pr It's also they love
(07:18):
this sort of attention. That's what they do. If anything,
our points are complementary because it and you just said it,
it's not only more attention, but it's positive attention. Yes, right,
what do you think, Brad anything? Well, two things. First,
I agree with you as far as Jerry Jones being
great pr. I mean, here's a franchise of Dallas Cowboys
(07:38):
haven't won a Super Bowl championship in twenty plus years,
and yet they're the most valuable NFL franchise. On top
of that, you know, delaying the process of firing Jason Garrett.
It makes them look like, oh, this was a really,
really tough decision. We had meetings, we talked it through.
I agree with you, r J. I could see it,
you know, making Jerry Jones to be the good guy
and actually setting up Jason Garrett better in the future.
(08:00):
Her Yeah, r J. Bell straight out of Vegas. Let's
talk about the odds here, because we actually have you
can beat it. Who will be the next Cowboys coach.
Josh McDaniels the favorite at three to one, filed by
San Francisco defensive coordinator Robert Salo. There Lake and Riley.
Who Salah, Robert Sala, you know maybe we should have
(08:23):
Jonas read you want to give us that name? Jones?
You got it right, Robert, He didn't say anything. He
got it right, Robert Sala. I mean he didn't have
full confidence. Robert Sala. Well, I think he said it
differently that time. Though Lincoln Riley is five to one.
You were sure about that? Yeah, I was. Irvin Meyer
(08:44):
getting a lot of press. Six to one Matt rule
has been talked about a lot of these NFL jobs.
It's kind of I agree with you, are j a
little surprising he's down the board at seven to one.
Mike zimmer tend to one is an interesting name, Okay
zimm Er. Now, so looking at that list, it strikes
me that Josh McDaniels I love to have a no
(09:06):
And guys, remember this, this is an important betting tip
that you can apply anytime. If there's odds on something,
can you bet all the outcomes? Because the famous one
is will say Will aliens land at the Super Bowl
during halftime hundred to one. That's fun and all that,
(09:30):
but be interesting. If you could beat two d or
two hundred to win one, you know what I think?
I think it was alien odds would go up. So
so by having both sides of the bat, they guarantees
there's gonna be a fairly fair price because they will
be punished if it's too far the other way. They
don't do that here. McDaniel seems like he needs every
(09:54):
red carpet the world ever created. He will take a
job and still not want to put up with whatever
it is outside the Patriots bubble. And again I love
the Patriots for doing that. They created a good environment
for their coaches. But this is probably the most difficult
job in the NFL when it comes to deal with
the ownership, right the Cowboys. Yeah, as far as owners
(10:18):
who are constantly involved in the conversation, Yeah so, And
you know, top five or whatever, No matter how you
look at it, taught five difficult political jobs to navigate,
and Josh McDaniels seems like the worst suited for that
(10:38):
kind of situation, right, and correct me if I'm wrong,
But McDaniels could get a lot of jobs. I know
there's a sense because he gave up on the or
he whatever you wanna call it, left the colts of
the Altar. I still think though, he's in high demand,
so I get why Jerry Jones would want them. Now,
(11:02):
this next fellow, Brad what's his name, Robert Sale, that
was good. He was more confident. I don't know if
the forty niner is done enough. You know, fas, we
think we got your mic fixed. So just say uh
something short first, like yes or no? Yes, has he
done enough? The answer is no? Oh that sounds good
to keep going, baby, So Robert Salah, Hey, that defense
(11:24):
for the forty Niners sure look good when they are healthy. Right,
first eight opponents hold them all to twenty or fewer points.
Since then, not so good. Eight of the last nine
opponents have scored twenty or more points against the forty Niners.
And that's why I think, and and this has been
a debate every show I've been on this week, it's
been forty Niners best team in the NFC. Wow, I
(11:46):
don't know. I thought so I was a forty I
was ahead of the curve on the Niners. I'd say,
I think I'm getting off the train and I've been,
you know, and we'll do that next week. Is if
we dig into these games, it's one thing to say
score this, score that. I mean they don't. I'm not
sure their defense is top ten. Now we can say
(12:06):
it's injury, but if it's injuries, we better define what
injuries it was, and and and are they healthy? Now?
Did you have a number? You're jumping on it? Yeah,
Football Outsiders has the defense number two. Now that's an
average for the entire year. I have them number seven
right now. Oh, the physic numbers are saving Okay, well
listen that. I'm not even sure why we're debating it.
(12:29):
That's the physic, the creator of the numbers. He has
an abacus. I'm r J bow Anything else in this
Cowboys stuff? Well, hey Jones one Jones. He got off
almost the whole segment. It's a Friday before playoffs, and
he got the lead on Straight out of Vegas. And now,
you know, I've often found myself wondering what would it
be like if you could go back in time and
(12:50):
actually watch Beethoven create music so you can see the master.
Actually in I think Saturday Night Live had a skin
about that. Yeah, and and so I always wondered, like,
if could go back and just watch him while he's
in the midst of his genius, what would it be like?
And we here across the country got to be a
witness to genius at work. Brad Powers taking a victory
(13:13):
lap here today after showcasing his ability to recognize a
good bet in real time and striking while the iron
was hot yesterday. I don't think Jonas ever gave me
an intro like you know now we but here's the
thing bad bad for him. We now know what he
can do. So now we got a new standard, but
(13:34):
a little small decide. He's right, Brad. You know Fez
was off at the Feasic compound. And now is there
is in your mind the holiday finally over? Or is
there some extending like people of a certain you know,
silver spoon level, they have even another holiday. I mean,
how's it work well to Johnny goes back to school
(13:56):
on Monday. I still feel it's a little bit of
an extended holiday. So in a way, you have a
work life that is very similar to an eight year old. Yes,
and we now got that figured out. Now, Usually a
normal person would say, you know, it's tough because I
love spending time with my boy, but I gotta work. No,
we he said, we as in him and his eight
(14:16):
year old son having extended holiday. So I think that
was very revealing. Brad. You were here grinding right as
the show was starting. You identified, look at this, this
is only a few people on Twitter that you trusted.
And it was the Boston College Cincinnati game. And quickly
we'll go through it. What did you see? Yeah, So
(14:37):
in the Birmingham Bowl yesterday there was a long weather delay.
Game was delayed more than an hour right after the
game started, so there was reports coming out after that
long delay. BC wanted to skip the game, called the
game off, similar to what happened to Boston College in
a bowl game. It doesn't matter. So what you're saying
is Boston College was like, oh, look it's raining outside,
(14:58):
maybe we shouldn't play. Cincinnati, on the other side, insisted
on playing the game. And what happened in the first half.
Cincinnati's up seventeen. Nothing. I looked at the halftime line.
I think, you know what, more of the same here.
Cincinnati wants to be here, BC doesn't. I bet Cincinnati
minus four first, so just to be clear. The delay
happened at what point during the game, like two or
(15:19):
three minutes into the first quarter, all right, And then
what happened was it was so it wasn't before the
game they kicked off delay were leaked out that they
were like, we shouldn't even play Boston College. And you figure, look,
they're dominating, Cincinnati is dominating Boston College. Usually you expect
the other team to come back a little bit. That's
(15:39):
the way half timelines are. But you're saying the fact
that they didn't want to even play. If we would
have known that beforehand, we would have bet the game.
Why not bet it now in the moment? You bet
that baby live on air. A lot of people, I
mean Jonas I you know, I hear a lot of
positive stuff, but I mean this was one where it
(16:01):
was like they were like, thanks Brad for the money.
I mean, the feedback was actually well, I mean, especially
after the holidays, everybody's spending all that money for gifts
and then Brad comes through right down the chimney to
deliver him more. I mean that's amazing. Yeah, well the
holidays aren't over for everybody, all right. Was the hell
of a Handicapito I can tell you that I was
so good that whenever I bet, I could change the
(16:23):
odds for every bookmaker in the country. Well, Brad, you
did it yesterday. And by the way, what was the
final in the second half? Six? Second half? Now here's
what's funny. As we go, Jonas. I looked over at
him about twenty minutes after the show, and he had
his his hand in his and his forehead in his hand,
and he was like shaking it, and I go, what's wrong?
(16:43):
He goes blocked field goal touchdown Boston College is seven six?
I mean like it was like so depressed and then
the final in the second half six should have been
twenty four. Nothing say, he couldn't resisted? All right, Well
we come back. We're doing something new. It's called a
three sixty handicap. What does that mean? We're looking at
(17:04):
the four games of the playoffs from every angle that's
coming up next. He's r J Bell, I'm Jonas Knox.
Is the pregame show you've always wanted right here on
Fox Sports Radio. Be sure to catch live editions of
Straight Out of Vegas weekdays at six pm Eastern three
pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and The I Heart
Radio App. I'm r J. Bell, we are Straight out
(17:27):
of and I'm Jonas Knox, Voice of you the Fan.
Coming up here. In just a couple of moments, we
will begin our three hundred and sixty degree view of
the first round of the NFL Playoffs. Yeah, this should
be fun. Deep dives. We've got three best bets coming up.
Great day to join the fastest growing show on Fox
Sports Radio one and fifty percent from January to January.
(17:50):
You can listen five days a week two d FSR
stations nationwide. Also I Heart Radio app and Series x
M and Fox Words Radio dot Com and anytime on podcasts.
Just search r J Bow Right now here in Vegas
on the strip sixty degrees. The neon is chugging, So
(18:11):
r J let's get its started and we go to
Foxborough to get things here started. On Straight out of Vegas,
it is the Patriots hosting the Titans on Saturday night,
eight fifteen Eastern time on CBS Right now, New England
on pregame dot com is a five point favorite. Okay, now,
this is Brad Powers best Bat. I'm gonna pose a
question and I'm gonna hope that your best bat answers.
(18:35):
It are the Patriots and the Titans. Is the truth
of their team? And really handicapping ultimately is trying to
divine the truth, to ascertain the truth. What is the truth?
That's the question always Now oftentimes the truth is kind
(18:55):
of obvious. Bangals aren't very good, blah blah blah. This
is an example where you have two teams that had
two very different seasons within their own season Tennessee pre
quarterback change, Tennessee post Tannehill quarterback. Now, statistically the difference
(19:17):
is drastic. Tennessee's points per game Brad went up how
many fourteen points per game with Tannehill? Geez, now, what's amazing.
And I don't fully understand it. The defense got worse
by what like nine points nine game, so it's a
plus five point margin, but still Tennessee much much better.
(19:37):
Is it that it's Tannehill seems like it right, or
is it that in any six, seven, eight games sample
there can be randomness up down Now. On the other hand,
the Patriots after the Bills or from the Bills first
game on offense wasn't what we expected. But for a
(19:59):
long time the debate was, well, isn't the defense better
by a greater margin or at least an equal margin
to what the defense or the defense is better for
where the offense is dropped off. And pretty much, Steve,
the whole five, six, seven weeks that I was asking
that question, you were pretty much like about right about
(20:19):
you know, give me a dozen, I'll give you twelve
and we're even out. Is that how you saw it?
And then at some point that that offense kept neither
going down or it wasn't going up. I mean, he
might have had a game here. But in the defense though,
they went from is this the best defense of all time?
(20:42):
We don't think so. But jeez, you heard that conversation too,
I mean, is this is this even a top five
defense right now? So you know, we could speculator, we
could just go to the canonical source as they call it,
Steve Fensis power ringing. What does azig have the New
England defense at currently? I still have them in the
(21:03):
top five in fact, third, top five third. Okay, so
it really is if you look at the stats. If
you look at the stats, in fact, Mackenzie, do a
little pull this up. Is let's get the d v
O A for the Pats defense, like the last six
(21:25):
games bring that out. So they do a game by
game d v O A. Let's just see where football
outsiders got them. I don't think this team has been
a top three defense the last six weeks the Patriots.
So the question is this is the whole season the
truth for the Pats or is the last six games
the truth? And remember that whole season has some pretty
(21:47):
good offensive performances from the very beginning of the year
and with Tennessee whole season or is it from tannehillan
because if it's from tannehill On and it's the recent
Patriots kind of see's better true? And look at this
statistic the last seven games. If you just looked at
(22:07):
QB R. Brady in the league, Tannehill sixth. Think about that?
All right, Brad answer the question. I am taught that
a bigger sample size is usually better, and I'm gonna
trust the more truthful thing that we have is the
bigger sample size. Here, here's what we do know about Belichick.
(22:29):
He likes to take away what you do best, take
it away from you, and you gotta you know, beat
him left handed, sort of say well, here's what I expect,
and we never fully know what Belichick is gonna do,
but you'd have to think he wants to take away
the NFL's leading rusher, Derrick Henry. And you gotta ask
yourself this, if Belichick is able to limit Derrick Henry,
do you really trust yourself on a Saturday night in
(22:51):
a playoff game in Foxboro with Ryan Tannehill a quarterback.
I do not. Therefore, I do trust the larger sample
size best bet for me New England Patriots minus five.
I gotta be honest with you. That did not convince me, because,
in a way with you, if I were first off,
I'd say my second best pick, Oh, this is tight,
(23:13):
my best bets coming up. Let's just say this. If
I was forced to beat this game, I would beat
the Patriots and it wouldn't take me a millisecond. But
I'm not forced to bat it, and I won't bat it.
Here's what concerns me about your handicap. You pretty much said, hey, Patriots,
every team they struggle against teams that are multiple teams
(23:38):
that can do both running past and fast. Just in
a moment ago, you said, uh, you know Tannehill since uh,
it's the whole time he's been quarterback in last seven games,
literally the sixth best quarterback. So we know Henry is
really good. And if Tannehill is anywhere near what he seems,
(24:06):
this Tennessee teams multiple yes, and Henry might be even
better than we think. And here's why r J. Tennessee
held Henry out week sixteen. Wasn't that important a game
against the Saints, and so he has fresh legs most
of the time. Teams this time game sixteen games sixteen. Okay,
so the last week of the Sea, second week sixteen,
(24:26):
second to last week and last week you said it
twice and it couldn't say right there, So you're saying
the next to last game. And how you know, because
that's what I remember. Didn't they run the heck out
of him to get some kind of record? They did?
He got thirty two carries last week? And what are
you talking about? He looks so fresh, having had the
week off the week before. I mean, that's it. Your
(24:49):
Mike's going off the rest of this segment. How he said,
He says that, hey, they rested him. How many carries
you have last week already? Too? Is that resting? You know?
I'm gonna allow him try to explain it all your
Mike's back on make you you should just say, you know,
maybe I wasn't the right answer, that wasn't the right answer,
(25:12):
but a lot better zero carries and then thirty than
they have thirty last two weeks. You think, so, I
think you're insane. So you're saying, if the two choices
for fatigue of the back is fifteen and fifteen or
zero and thirty and the thirty being the most recent,
you'd want zero and thirty. No, I was saying, I
don't know. I'm saying if you had half as many carries. Yeah,
(25:34):
I think he'd be better fatigue wise if he had
half as many carries. Great point. Thank god we turned
his mic back on, so we eliminate that problem. All
that said, even a normal Henry is a good back, right, Yeah, absolutely.
I mean you did know you made this pick. Then
why are you putting your head down like you don't
even want to addressing I was just looking at what
(25:55):
other key factors in my handicap and it's just that
more trends. Yeah. I mean, what you're getting O two
is saying you trust Belichick. I trust Belichick, but if
there's any team that causes Belichick or anyone problems a
multiple offense. Now is that truly the case? And you're
right Tannehill's history, which seems weird because the Dolphins have
(26:18):
done so well against the Paths that but I saw
something I don't think I know for sure where the
source was. I don't want to quote it, but Tannehill's
against the Pats isn't very good at all, which seems
weird since Miami obviously his former team. Huh, maybe we
should look up how he's done against him, because that's
(26:40):
telling to me because if he's done pretty well Tannehill,
now you've gotta figure Belichick seeing him, Tannehill seeing Belichick,
and he's fine. But if it's poor like I expect,
if I recall, you know, it's a bigger problem. So
let's do this. I'm gonna look at that d v
O A from the Paths. We're gonna look at how
(27:00):
Tannehill did against the Pats with Miami. Okay, Tannehill, how's
he done historically against Belichick? Four and six versus the Patriots?
You would say that's pretty good. How many quarterbacks have
won four games against New England? Not four and six?
But he's actually oh and six at New England at
Gilette Stadium and six okay, so four and oh at
home when he was with Miami Tannehill, oh and six wow. Wow,
(27:27):
huh that helps you with the pads. And by the way,
I actually had And this is the thing about the
super or the playoffs. And I said it yesterday, I
said this like half a bet. I'm not. I'm still
kind of feeling like it should be a quarterbat. But
I like the Pats. I liked him yesterday. But here's
the thing, guys, don't forget how many games have you
(27:51):
bet during the regular season. Let's say, if you're betting
more than four sides in an NFL week, you're probably
betting too much. Let's say four, that's a lot. When
you say fetal sides, yes, Now one out of four
those if it's sixteen games, means four in the week,
all right, So it's it's it's one out of four games. Effectively,
(28:12):
there's four games this weekend. I've got the best bat.
It's not on the Patriots that I'm gonna have coming up.
So my second best bat, no doubt, Pats. I don't
know though, I just don't know. This feels like Ali
maybe against Homes you could squint and say looks the same.
I don't know last thing on that defense. So d
(28:35):
v o A they do a game by game analysis
and they also break up offense defense, and what I'm
gonna call these last five games are either great good, average, bad,
really bad. So there's five different categories and we're gonna
I'm making this up by color scheme because there's actual numbers,
(28:57):
but the numbers are gonna be confusing. So against Houston
they were bad, the defense was bad. Against Kansas City,
the defense was really good. I mean they really held
Kansas City. The numbers back it up. Against Cincinnati good,
but that's a very one dimensional team, or they're they're
zero dimensional team. Maybe against Buffalo pure average, it was
(29:22):
like as average as you could get right in the middle.
And against Miami horrible. So literally, in five games, you've
got one average, two above average, two below average. You
know what that adds up to as the sea that's
the fit the third best dest shouldn't be. Now that's
(29:43):
only five games, but still I think you really got
to question this. Pat's d h my second best pick
of the week go and Brad's best bat New England.
The final game of the weekend as far as the
NFL playoffs go. But the second game we're gonna look
at here today sees the Seahawks at the Eagles. Seattle
(30:04):
a two point favorite on pregame dot com. Okay, fast,
this is your best bet. So what we're gonna do
is we're gonna let you give This would be a
perfect tease across the commercial. We're gonna let you give
your number one factor in the game. Well, let me
ask you this. Actually, I'm gonna ask you a question
to start. I was on with calling today. We did
(30:26):
our podcast, so you can get that. It's his four
picks on every game, and I give my analysis of
his picks. And let's just say this a little tease
there is he was He literally was talking about how
bad the tons of trade was when he was going
against when he was going against Houston. I said, hold on,
(30:47):
you've been the main defender of that trade. And he
goes and he just kind of talking. So we're no sacred.
Kyle Herd's good stuff there on my Twitter. You can
get it at our j in Vegas. But you know,
one of the things that we were that I looked
at when we were doing. Our talk was if you
look at the Eagles yardage, Yeah, they've done pretty well
(31:09):
this year for a team that's supposed he as bad
as they are, and their point differential is better than
multiple playoff teams. Yeah, and better than Seattle's exactly. So
Seattle is a team that someone with the first initial
are in the middle initial J said, Seattle's like a
nine and sevent team. The heat came, it was relentless.
(31:33):
It was like the rain in Seattle. And no doubt,
I haven't heard from these people. I haven't heard as much.
We'll see. Now, we'll see Seattle could win the super Bowl.
But how is it that Philly. I get that they
could be better. I get the idea that Philly, uh,
(31:54):
if they were healthy, would be better. I also get
the idea you thought they would be better, But how
how are they with that point Diffrench were being pretty decent. Yeah,
I don't see much separating these two teams, and I'm
shocked Seattle has favored in this game and thus I
like Philly. Let's go back six weeks ago these two
teams played r J. Seattle was laying one and a
(32:16):
half at Philly. What's the line now, Seattle minus one
and a half at Philly. What's changed in the past
six weeks. I can make the case Seattle has played
a lot worse during the past six weeks and Philly
has played better. All right, finish your handicapfes Alright, Well,
I talked about how well Philly has been playing, how
badly Seattle has been playing, and the injuries Philly has had.
(32:37):
Philly has had these injuries for the past throughout the
entire year. But Seattle, all their injuries are recent. Their
three running backs all went out during the past month.
There left tackle Dwayne Brown got injured and Clowney got injured.
So we've got one team who's been injured the entire year, Philly,
and we have Seattle now, a team that has just
recently got injured, and yet the spread is the same
(32:58):
as it was back in the member. It makes no sense.
Seattle is a lot worse than they were back in November.
I think it's a good point, and it's really convenient
when you have those reference points, like a spread in
the game at the same venue, even and what's changed since,
Like you said, whatever amount of changer is, it's not
positive for Philly. I guess the one question I would
(33:21):
have and what we'll do is take a break. You
can answer that and when we come back. My best
bet also is Carson Wentz. The perception is, oh, listen,
this is Philly. Philly is really good with the pressure
on well, Carson Wentz literally his first playoffs start, and
especially considering that if he does poorly, you think he's
(33:43):
gonna hear something about maybe a quarterback that used to
be with Philadelphia. Pressures on Wentz. We'll get your take
on that. And my best bet that's coming up next
to he's r J. Bel. I'm Jonas Knox is in
the pregame show You've Always Wanted and it's money making
time next year on Fox Sports Radio. Be sure to
catch live editions of Straight Out of Vegas weekdays at
(34:04):
six pm Eastern, three pm Pacific. I'm r J. Bell,
we are Straight out of Vega and I'm Jonas Knocks
Voice of You the Fan. Alright, so we continue to
take a look at the opening weekend of the NFL playoffs,
and we finish up with our look at the Seahawks,
who right now on the road at the Eagles are
a two point favorite. Best bat from fezz is Philadelphia,
(34:24):
and I'll tell you this, this is one of those games.
The more I think about it, the more I like Philly.
It's funny. Early in the week, I actually liked coming
up here in this game Houston, and now I don't.
I'm probably leaning Buffalo. So you evolve throughout the week.
But I love the ones that I come too late
(34:44):
usually win more because they're less obvious. So, Steve, would
you agree with the following, Well, let's talk about the
concern quickly. We talked about wentz first playoffs start, and
we also talked about them being more injured than they've
been even typically during the year. Address to those two
concerns quickly. Yes, So Philly lost another alignment. That's my
(35:05):
biggest concern. And so now the right side of their line,
not only is Lane Johnson injured, but they lost their
pro bowler on that side of the line. That is
a major concern. As far as the playoffs, I'm not
so word because basically Philly has had four straight playoff games. Yeah,
that's the same thing Collins said. I asked you the
same question, but there is difference in Philly because with
Nick Folds being the contrast, how did he do in
(35:27):
the playoffs. We'll get to the Bills and Texans here
in one moment. You want to let you know we
are brought to you by Autozon. Autozon has got the
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Auto Zone. It is Bills at the Texas Texans coming
(35:50):
up tomorrow early afternoon. Right now, Houston a two and
a half point favorite. What does this line say, guys?
It says that amazingly, Buffalo is the better team. The
reason I liked Houston earlier in the week was I thought,
what did Buffalo do in the interim since that Dallas
game on Thanksgiving that was all that impressive. I don't
(36:12):
think they did much while at all. I mean, they
did fine, but not like it was like, oh my gosh,
they're so good. But on the other hand, what we've
seen is this Houston is not as good as I thought.
They've been outyarded on the season and outscored on the season.
It's lucky win against Tampa Bay. Alright, so you think
about it. You give up more yards in you gain,
(36:32):
you give up more points than you score. How good
are you? The only saving grace, potentially for Houston is
this is a team, like an NBA team with Lebron,
that seems to be up or down, and they tend
to do better in the playoffs then and again this
year Lebron has been more focused. But but those kind
(36:53):
of teams tend to do better in the playoffs. Why
because they have another gear above what you've seen. The
teams that are always in aevitably motivated during the regular
season tend to be overrated in the playoffs. The only
hope for Houston, I think is that some of those
poor performances were because of lack of motivation, which wouldn't
be the problem in the playoffs. I'm staying away, but
(37:15):
I probably lean Buffalo at this point. The final game
we're looking at here on Straight Out of Vegas involves
a best bet here on the show. The vikings are
at the Saints New Orleans, a seven and a half
point favorite on Sunday. This one's easy best bet r
J Special Vikings why because of the clock. No, not
because it's the New year's one o'clock. We did the
(37:38):
research pregame dot com. Jonas helped. He led the way
the kernel of the idea. Kirk Cousins. It's not about
the TV lights, it's about the time. Why he's a
man of routine. We went back and did the search.
One o'clock starts his whole career, whole career, six against
(37:58):
the spread. No quarterback has ever been that good against
the spread in his career. This is more than about
half the games. The other half the non one o'clock
starts for Kirk Cousins. So literally two thirds of the
time he starts at one o'clock eastern, he wins against
the spread. One third of the time when he starts
(38:20):
non one o'clock eastern, he loses right or he only
wins one third at the time loses two thirds. That's
the biggest difference. You know, what is the one o'clock game?
And oh, by the way, a team as good as
Minnesota getting over a touchdown, there's gonna be a good
reason it isn't Cousins. That means we're taking him Cousins
Minnesota plus eight best bet The Odd Couple is next.
(38:42):
On many of these Fox Sports Radio affiliates, we are
straight out of Vegas. If you missed any of today's show,
including three best bets on the NFL Playoffs, check out
the podcast at Fox Sports Radio dot com, and we're
back on Monday at six Eastern time right here on
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