October 7, 2022 • 49 mins
Maller and his 5th Hour home-slice Danny G. have a special broadcast for you, as the popular BENNY VS. THE PENNY takes over the Friday podcast for yet another week! Who won last week? There was a slaughter! Who'll get more football picks right in NFL Week 5, Ben or an inanimate object? They pick every game with in-depth analysis!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, dred minutes
a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants
of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of hot takes,
break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
(00:24):
Maller starts right now, nine nine nine in the air everywhere,
and welcome into the podcast, o Joe. Not your normal
run of the mill podcast, No, no, no, it's the
Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g Radio as
we are back at it for another weekend. And Danny,
(00:47):
this being Friday, there's only one thing we need to
do here right anytime. Alright, we strike up the band
right now here we go. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's
time now penny the penny. All right, So now before
(01:13):
we look ahead, we must look back. We're gonna get
to the week five card every game on Sunday, every
game on the entire week at Sunday night, Monday, you
name it. Handicapping of NFL games for the regular guy,
crunching the numbers and the way this works. We're doing
this on radio and podcasting for many, many years. It
(01:35):
is man versus inanimate object who will pick more winners?
And Danny is the keeper of the penny, and we'll
clip the penny up for every single game. But we
must look back first, because I have people monitoring this
Robin Vegas, David in Florida with Roscoe, the parent, and others,
and they're keeping close track of how I am doing here.
(01:57):
They're monitoring my picks versus the penny. So in week
number four, looking back against the spread, I had a
middling week. I had a couple of games go the
wrong direction. I had a couple of pushes, and so
I ended up with a winning week. If you had
bet every game the same amount on every game, you
(02:18):
wouldn't want a couple of shekels. I was eight six
and two. We gotta do better than that. That's not
good enough. Eight six and two is not good enough.
But a five seventy one winning percentage the penny. Second
consecutive losing week for the penny, as the penny went
seven eight and one against the number, So that's a
(02:40):
four sixties seven winning percentage overall. Danny, if you look
at the numbers penny versus the penny. This year, the
penny has a losing record, had a terrible week three,
was actually doing pretty well the first two weeks. The
last couple of weeks have gone sideways. So the penny
is five games under five hundred thirty four and one.
(03:04):
That is a four sixty winning percentage, And yours truly,
Mr guest Baggery over here, I have a winning record
thirty and two. That is a five sixty five winning percentage.
So that's that's good. We could do better. There are
(03:25):
some games that we we lost. We were at Heartbreak
Hotel and some of these games. And remember, there's this
magic number, this magic percentage that you have to hit
in order to make money betting on sports, and right
now we are ahead of that, uh and so hopefully
we will continue doing that. But the penny, what's going
(03:46):
on with the penny here? I think, well, I guess
there's a good reason why the penny has been hiding
out in Mike broads. Yea and shame right head down,
tail between the legs. The whole thing now that the
magic number if you want to win money as a
sports better betting on on the NFL or anything for
that matter. But you have to hit more than fifty
(04:06):
two point four percent of your bets to make money.
And so right now I'm at fifty six percent, so
we're ahead of where we need to be. But we
gotta keep going. We gotta keep building, Danny, I gotta
keep you. You got the penny, don't worry about Let
the penny cook. This penny is doing about as good
(04:28):
as the Broncos head coach and Russell Wilson. Yeah. Not
not a pretty situation. All right, let's get right to it.
We're gonna start. We have another London game to kick
off the festivities here in week five, and a refresher
course if you're new to the the benny versus the
penny bit. Danny is the keeper of the pennies. We
said home team is heads, the road team is tales.
(04:48):
Is that correct, Danny, sir? Alright? Because you travel with
your tail, you're sitting your behind on planes, trains and automobiles,
and when you're at home you just use your head,
all right. So first game up from London, it is
the New York Giants three and one at the Packers
are versus the Packers because it's a neutral site game
(05:09):
also three and one. This game in London on the
NFL network. They just left Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez
in London. They called the game last Sunday in London.
They're back at it again. The Packers opened up a
sizeable favorite, an eight point favorite. I've seen this line
up at nine. It's back down to eight right now
(05:30):
as we are doing Benny versus the Penny. The handle
on this game over in favor of green Bay. Sunny
temperatures in the sixties in London as they will play
yet again, same location is last week. The Giants over
the recent years, when they've had to travel a long distance,
(05:51):
typically to the West Coast, they don't usually go to London,
but they have played there before. The Giants last fifteen
games against the spread, who in thirteen when traveling two
thousand miles or more. That's an interesting trend. Also, the Giants, though,
are averaging five point seven yards per Russia attempt, that
second best in the NFL. And Daniel Jones, who is
(06:14):
expected to start this game seven and three against the
spread the Giants are in his last ten starts. The
Giants going against the green Bay team here that does
not have a particularly great run defense. I'm gonna take
the Giants in this game. Daniel Jones as a sprained ankle,
He's going to start the game. How much mobility he
(06:36):
has we don't know, but se Quon Barkley should be
able to get some chunk plays as the game goes
on against Green Bay and the Packers just don't have
the wow factor for me. They barely got by Bailey
Zappy and the Patriots last week. Their offense is blah.
They're not gonna win many games by wide margins here,
(06:57):
and the Giants have shown that there are scrappy team.
You've got all those variables mixed in the first London
trip for the Packers. I say green Bay wins this game,
but it's a nip and tuck game. Packers twenty three
and the Giants twenty. Giants on the right side for
the wager, and we have a disagreement. Ride off the
(07:22):
bat the penny as a cheese head on it. Now,
that's a lot of points to lay though with a
team that's lacking at the wide receiver position. Next up
Seattle two and two at New Orleans one and three.
It's on Fox with Brandon Godden and Matt Millen. They
have the call. The line opened up the Saints by six.
(07:45):
The line is stayed the same. New Orleans a six
point favorite in this game, and the handle uh six
of the cash is on the side of the Seahawks
at the super Dome. So whether it's not a factor,
check this out. The Seahawks are five and two their
last seven games with Gino Smith under center, and New
(08:07):
Orleans has been a terrible bet at home in the Dome.
Remember they never lost there last ten games. From a
gambling perspective, which is what we care about here, New
Orleans just three and seven against the spread at the
super Dome their last ten, and they've averaged eight and
a half penalties per game. That is second worst of
(08:29):
the Saints in the NFL. Seattle is not much better,
their thirtieth in the NFL in penalty. So there's gonna
be a mistake filled game. Both teams are undisciplined, both
teams are lacking. The Seahawks, though, are the pick. I'm
gonna take Seattle. I realized that's a that's probably gonna
I'm gonna get burned by this, but I don't trust
the Saints and Gino Smith has been playing good, good football.
(08:53):
He's made a deal with the devil here and right
now he's the best quarterback in this game. Jamis Winston's hurt,
Maybe he plays, maybe not. Otherwise it's Andy Dalton, Michael Thomas,
the star receivers. Heard New Orleans is getting some guys back.
But the Seahawks have shown that they can they can
put some points up. Last week was a weird situation
(09:15):
because they played the Lions, and the Lions are a
team that could not stop the Fox Sports Radio football
squad on Thanksgiving. But I'm gonna take the Saints to
win this game. But I think Seattle, we'll hang around,
hanging around, hanging around. So Saints Seahawks twenty Seattle, the
right side of the back. The penny does not like
(09:39):
you this morning. It is going with the Saints, all right.
So the penny marching in to the lost column there
with New Orleans next up Houston, oh three and one
at Jacksonville, the Jags coming off that loss to Philly
there two and two. It's on CBS with Spiro Adidas
(10:01):
and Jay Feely, and this is a line that has
Jacksonville favored by seven. They opened as a seven point favorite.
They're still favored by seven and it appears to be
one of those games where they're just handing out free
money because the number on this, the amount of cash,
the percentage of cash on Jacksonville ninety over ninety percent
(10:26):
of the money. It's like a weird mirror the reflection
on that n on Jacksonville at t I A A
bank Field, Sonny and temperatures in the low eighties in
Jacksonville at kickoff Houston. They're they've gotta by coming up.
(10:46):
They've been very good over the years before a bye
with various coaches, seven and two of their last nine
before the bye. Davis Mills, although not very good statistically,
the Texans are seven and three against the spread his
last ten Stars and Jacksonville. I know they're better now,
but they've lost eight consecutive games to Houston straight up
(11:12):
and are just two and six against the the team
from Houston over the last few years. So it's been
really lopside. It's not like the Texans have had great
teams in recent years. They've they've been full of flatulence themselves.
I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. That's the pick.
(11:33):
The Texans have yet to really get anything right on
offense other than Damon Pierce, the running back is pretty good.
He had a big run last week against the Chargers.
I think it was a seventy yard touchdown scamper, But
he's the stud of the offense. Davis Mills has to
snap out of the funk, and he just gotta cut
(11:53):
down the interceptions here. He's had four of them the
last three weeks. The Jags have their own issues. They're
Trevor Lawrence fumbled four times in the rain last week.
I just think this is gonna be a competitive game.
I always love getting a touchdown or more in a
divisional game. The line as we look at it right
now is seven. That's a rule of thumb. So another
(12:14):
one of these games where I think the team wins
but doesn't cover the spread. So I'll take Jacksonville twenty three,
the Texans seventeen, and Houston the right side of the bet,
and finally, in agreement, the penny also going with the Texans. Alright,
So the penny on my side, and my deepest sympathy
(12:38):
to the penny there because that will probably a game
I lose now because the penny is on the side
of me. Next up Pittsburgh one in three at Buffalo
three and one. It's on CBS. What a rocky road
it has been for the Steelers. Jim Nance and Tony
Romo have the call. Why because the Steelers bring ray things,
(13:00):
no matter how big of a white hot tire fire
they are. People watch the Steelers and the Cowboys. Pittsburgh
certainly looks like they're on vacation right now, or they
need to take a vacation. The Bills opened up a
thirteen and a half point favorite, and they're getting the
embombing fluid ready for the Steelers, So the Bills are
(13:21):
a fourteen point favorite. There's a massive line in the
NFL the amount of money or so on the Bills,
which is a lot considering the point spread and temperatures
in the fifties at kickoff at high Mark Stadium here
in early October. Some of the trends on this. The
(13:45):
pitts merg Steelers as a road underdog are fourteen and
nine the last twenty three games as a road underdog,
but Mike Tomlin historically twenty games over five as a
old dog all time, going back to the good old
days in Prince Pittsburgh. Many people taking a wait and
(14:06):
see attitude on this Buffalo. They've been very good against
teams that have a losing record, eight and two against
the spread. I want to take the Steelers in this game.
That's the pick. And the Bills are coming off back
to back tough games. They played the Dolphins and the Ravens.
Those were big early season games for them, and this
(14:27):
is a game that they can sleep walk through and
still win. And I believe up ahead on the horizon
is a date with the Kansas City Chiefs that is
gonna be musty TV for Buffalo and Kansas City, a
rematch of that classic playoff duel from last week. Now,
the main reason to bet against the Steelers would be
(14:49):
Kenny Pickett, but I say no, he's gonna make his
first start here. He got tossed into the fray against
the Jets. People are saying he threw three interceptions, but
that just tells you they didn't want the game because
two of those interceptions were tip passes off wide receivers.
Hands for Pittsburgh, hands on balls. You gotta catch those balls.
(15:10):
And the last one was a Heill Mary at the
end of the game. So I'm hoping for some beginner's
luck here and again, I'm gonna go against the grade
on wash to think the Bills are just gonna show
up and win forty one to ten, and maybe that'll happen.
I look like a complete donkey here, But Pittsburgh, I
know they're gonna work like a bunch of mules under
(15:30):
Mike Tomlin. So I'll take them to hang around and
get a backdoor cover here. Bills and the Steelers sixteen
the final and the Penny says picket is the perfect
name for the Steelers new QB. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this
(15:51):
copper is part of the mafia. No, there'll be a
picket fence around Pittsburgh because of Kenny Pickett. Wrong hometown
kid from college to the NFL coasting along all right.
Next up, as we continue our exclusive Fenny Versus the
Penny coverage right here only on the podcast, Tell a friend.
(16:12):
Every NFL game Sunday and Monday, we handicap them, We
give you our opinion, we tell you why we think
the teams are gonna win. You know the deal here,
so let's go to it. Next up, Atlanta two and
two at Tampa Bay two and two It's on Fox
with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnson. Joe Davis, Dodger,
Guy Moose Johnson, the Old Cowboy. The Bucks opened up
(16:35):
an eight point favorite. They're favored by nine nine in
this game, and the handle a slight lean to the Falcons.
Temperatures in the mid eighties at Raymond James Stadium and
Sonny at kickoff. Tampa is nine and one against the
spread their last ten with Tom Brady starting against the Falcons.
(16:59):
So Tampa business very well as they've dominated here, and
the Falcons are still pigeonholders, a bad team even though
they're two and two. But from a gambling standpoint, there's
been value here and and you're you're barking up the
wrong tree if you think I'm not gonna take the value.
Atlanta eight and two against the spread their last ten
(17:20):
under Arthur Smith, and five and two against the spread
their last seven overall. The pick is the Falcons, even
with Cordarrel Patterson out to start running back. He's gone
and he's on injured reserve. But the Falcons, uh, they're
they're not gonna get down in the fetal position here.
Next man up through your job they've shown some gumption
(17:42):
of late, and the Buccaneers still have some issues. And
last week Tom Brady had a great stat line and
everyone got all excited, but you never really got the
feeling that the Chiefs were in any danger of losing
that particular game. And the defense for the Bucks was
all over the place. So who the heck knows who's
(18:03):
gonna show up Tom Brady in this practice this week.
He's got some nagging injuries. And I'm looking around here
and I'm like, wait a minute. I got an Atlanta
team that's not terrible. They're average. I don't think they're great,
but they're average. And you're getting over a touchdown against
the Tampa team that's I'm not I'm not all in on.
(18:24):
I'm not all in on on Tampa Bay. This is
not a whip saw situation. So anytime I get over
a touchdown in these divisional games, I always take them
where I don't bet them, And we bet every game
on benny versus the penny. So I will take the
Atlanta Falcons plus nine, getting almost double digit points here
with the dirty Birds Bucks seven Falcons twenty two. The
(18:46):
back door cover on this one as well, and the
Penny says, don't give Brady any extra chips for his
shoulder going with the bucks. Now, Brady, he doesn't have
to worry about where to put his wedding ring anymore, right,
because you don't have to worry about that. He's done
with that. He's checked out, right. Yes, well it's not
(19:07):
final yet. It's not final, but they've hired the lawyers.
If I and Giselle was without the ring this week.
So yeah, well, whenever a divorce attorney is involved, bet
that Tom Brady is going to be extra piste off. Yeah,
we'll bet that that the winner of this will be
the divorce laur They're the ones that are gonna win
(19:27):
in a blaze of glory. The real winner of any
of these bets. Yes, no matter whether you win your
case or not, the attorney will win. Garanteed. All right.
Next up Chicago two and two at Minnesota three and one.
It's on Fox with Adam Aman and marsh layh Riff.
The Bears still trying to chase rainbows with their their offense.
(19:50):
What a hot mess this is. And the Vikings opened
up a six and a half point favorite, and they
are favored by seven. I had to do a double
take this one. Also, the numbers that we have over
nine of the money's on Minnesota. Another one of these games.
Free money, free money, Just show up, get the money.
At us Bank Stadium. The temperature around the sixties, but
(20:14):
it's it's it's in the domes, so who cares. It
doesn't matter what the temperature is outside. The Bears their
last ten games with justin Fields, the former Ohio State
Buckeye at quarterback, are two and eight against the spread.
They are going the wrong direction there in quicksand right now.
The Bears four and eleven their last fifteen games against
(20:36):
teams that have a winning record. Frankly speaking, that blows.
But Minnesota, if you look at some of the trends
for the Vikings here, I'm gonna touch a raw nerve
with my guys in the Twin Cities. But the the
Vikings have not exactly been God's gift to football when
they've been playing at home. There ten fifteen, ten and
(20:56):
fifteen last games with Kirk Cousins against the spread at
home and as a home favorite. Since the Vikings have
a losing record as a home favorite against the spread,
They've had a losing record so against my better judgment.
Even though I believe that this offense should be taken
(21:19):
to euthanasia, I'm gonna take the Bears here. The pick
is the Bears justin fields running a nineteen forties style offense.
The Bears coaching staff doesn't trust him. They don't even
try to throw the ball all that much. The only
thing the Bears can do is run the ball. Is
that gonna be enough to hang around? The Vikings are
coming back from London. They're bouncing off the walls here.
(21:41):
It's a a weird situation in this game as well.
Minnesota has a habit of playing down to the competition.
Chicago is a trash team. But you know, there's big
value in trash. There is massive value in trash. Waste management.
You've heard of that company right there, Any waste management. Oh,
of course, I saw an ad that they were hiring.
(22:03):
There were well, we work in the trash business. There
were fifteen billion dollars and all they do is pick
up people's trash so they can you can live happily
ever after with trash, betting on trash. So I'm counting
on the Bears running game. And also there's there's a
couple of things. They're done. They've done all right on defense,
and I just mainly don't trust the Vikings that they
(22:24):
should win this game by thirty points. They will win
the game, but the Bears are gonna hang around. It's
a divisional game again, what do I always say? Divisional games?
When you get a touchdowner more, you don't ask a
lot of questions. You were framed from spending too much
time looking at the numbers here, and you take the
team that's the dog. And that's what I'm doing here.
(22:45):
Vikings twenty six, Bears twenty the final. The penny agrees
with you taking Chicago. Vikings are still hungover from too
much tea all week. Cow, that's both of us picking
the Bears with that terrible nineties offense, all right. Next up,
(23:06):
Tennessee at Washington. Titans come in two and two and
the team formula known as the Redskins one and threts
on CBS with Andrew Catalan and the Old Green Bay
Packer and Raider James Lofton have the call. This game
opened up a pick them and the Tennessee Titans are
a two and a half point favorite, two and a
(23:29):
half point favorite, and the money on this the handle
over sev last we checked with the Tennessee Titans. Temperatures
in the fifties, clear conditions in landover Maryland at FedEx
Field when they kicked this game off. Some of the
numbers here. Tennessee historically has been a terrible team on
(23:50):
the road before by there one in nine, one in
nine before by the last ten times. That's that's a
pretty strong trend. And the Titans are seven and eight
against the spread their last fifteen games overall under the
Mike Rabel regime. So they got off that great start
last year. The stars have not aligned, you know, in
(24:12):
you know, in a while. Last week they got to
win against the Colts. I loved the Titans last week.
I don't love the Titans this week. I just mildly
liked the Titans. But it's more a bet against the opposition.
So I'm gonna take the Titans as a small road
favorite against the uglies from Washington. There's no way I
(24:34):
can invest in the Commandos the way they are playing
right now. It's a bad product. Carson Wentz is the Titanic.
After the Iceberg back away, back away the first two
weeks of the season, Carson Wentz had seven touchdowns and
three interceptions of passer rating of a hundred, so you're like, Okay,
(24:54):
maybe we've got something here. The last two weeks Carson
Wentz one touch down, two interceptions, passerrating below sixty, the
artistic license of a finger painting by a kindergartener with fingerpaint,
and just a terrible numbers across the board, averaging less
than five yards per passim So this is more of
(25:16):
a bet against the commanders. Again, I don't love the
Titans here. Derrick Henry will get some yards and Tannehill's
blah whatever. But Tennessee Washington sixteen with several more Carson
Wentz turnovers delivered right to the front door the penny
(25:39):
letting it all hang out with the commandos. Alright, So
we disagree on that game. Another disagreement for the way
this is going right now. One of us is going
to be doing very well and the other one will
be like, what the hell app effective immediately? All right?
Next up Miami three and one at the Jets two
and two and a FC East battle Royal. Kevin Harlan
(26:04):
and Trent Green have the call on CBS and the
line on this game. The Dolphins. The early line, they
were favored by six points, and then with the injury
news to Miami, Miami, Miami, the line is down to three.
Dolphins a three point road favorite, and they lost. We know,
last week Thursday Night Football against the ben Gals, the
(26:28):
whole kit and kaboodle went away with two of getting hurt.
Temperatures in the low sixties and sunny in Jersey at
MetLife Stadium to start this game. Miami six and one
against the spread their last seven against the Jets, and
the Jets as a home dog are just one in
six against the spread their last seven. So those are
(26:49):
some of the trends. And I'm gonna go against something
I said a couple of weeks ago, I'm never gonna
bet on the Jets again. Blah blah blah. I bet
on him last week. I was happy with that, and
I actually like the Jets again this week. It's another
one of those games. Everyone thinks they just Miami shows
up and they're a wagon and they're gonna win this
game and all that stuff. The defense of the Dolphins
(27:11):
is not that particularly great. And I don't know what
to make a Teddy Bridgewater. He's a guy the more
he's played over the years. The more he gets out there,
the less impressive he looks. He's got some good skilled
players with the Dolphins. Just feed him the ball and
he'll be Okay. You figure get Tyreek killed the ball.
Waddle the ball. But this is a free money game
(27:34):
that the Jets have shown some fight here. This line
scares me some. I was expecting the Dolphins to be
favored by more. I'd like the Jets a whole lot
more if the line was higher. It is not. I
would like to like this game a lot, as I said,
under that scenario, but I do believe the Jets are
actually gonna win the game. So take that for what
it's worth. Jets twenty four Dolphins one. The final and
(28:04):
the penning says, out of your mind going with the Dolphins.
Another disagreement. All right, it's the weekend of disagreement on
Benny versus the penny. You're not raking this dandy. This
is legitimate, right. We don't want to get in trouble. No,
this is next up the l A Chargers of Carson
(28:24):
and Inglewood in the hood in Inglewood and their two
and two they take on Cleveland two and two on
CBS with a man that hates sports talk radio, Greg
Gumbel and Adam Archiletta, they have to call. The Chargers
opened up a one point favorite. They got back in
the wind calm last week against the Texans. Chargers now
a three point favorite. A number of players still in
(28:48):
limbo as we handicap this game right now. The handle
a lean towards Cleveland with almost sixty taking the Browns.
Sunny and temperatures in the fifties at First Energy Stadium
in Ohio, and the numbers on this game the Chargers.
(29:08):
They've been very good in Sunday road games going back
the last number of years. There are ten games over.
If you go back to last fifty and under Brandon Staley,
there's six and four against the spread on the road.
You go down the list here, Cleveland just two and
eight against the spread their last ten at home on
Sunday and four ten and one their last fifteen home
(29:33):
games in the Kevin Stefanski era. Jeez, Luise, does that
not sound particularly good as a gambler? Four ten and
one against the spread. So a lot to chew on.
But trends tell you what has happened. They don't tell
you what's going to happen? And I want to take
the Browns here. I learned this watching boxing for many
(29:55):
years back in the day, old school boxing. Fisticuffs, styles
make fights, night styles make fights. And we love Justin Herbert,
but Cleveland has an elite running game with Nick Chubb
and Kareem Hunt. The Chargers kryptonite has been stopping the
run their thirty feet in the NFL, allowing five point
(30:16):
four yards per carry. That ain't good. Uh, Cleveland, what
do they got? They got the Chubbing and Kareem Hunt,
and they also are supposed to get Miles Garrett back
this week for that defense, which should give heartburn to
Justin Herbert, the quarterback. Back to back road games for
the Chargers, the Browns as a home dog, Browns and
(30:40):
the Chargers twenty three the final. Wow, this is legit, Manny.
You can see the penny right here going with the Chargers.
All right, So Chargers, there we go another another disagreement.
Either I'm gonna have a great week of penny is
(31:00):
gonna have a great week And we'll figure that out
when all these games were done. Next up Detroit one
in three at New England one in three it's on
Fox with Kenny Albert, a friend of the show, and
he'll be hanging out with Jonathan Vilma as they have
the call on Fox. The Patriots opened up a one
(31:22):
and a half point favorite. They are the odds on
favorite here at minus three. And here's here's a number
that really upset me because I like the game one direction,
and I saw where the money is, and that always
scares me. I hate being on the side of the money.
But eighty over eight of the money is on the Patriots.
The early cash and Gillette Stadium. The scene here mostly sunny,
(31:44):
temperatures in the fifties as the Lions unleashed that biblically
bad defense. But they've been a great team for gamblers.
Detroit eight and two against the spread their last ten
games with Dan Campbell at coach, they're eleven and four
their last fifteen with Dan Campbell eight and two with
Jared Golf. The Lions coming off that soul crushing performance
(32:07):
where they gave up forty eight points to Geno Smith
forty eight points that's never happened since he was at
West Virginia. Forty eight points. The Lions defense gave up
New England is six and one against the spread their
last seven when playing at home following in overtime game,
(32:28):
I'm taking the Patriots. I I'm going against my better
judgment here because of the amount of money that's all
on New England, the Matt Patricia revenge game, the old
Lions coach here with Bailey Zappy making his first ever start. Yeah,
exactly what Western Kentucky's Bailey Zappy? And if New England
(32:51):
is going to be relevant, if they're going to have
a chance at a playoff situation, this is a must
win situation. Otherwise you start thinking about are they going
to tank for the NFL Draft? You start thinking about that.
And the Lions defense, I call it a seven eleven
(33:13):
defense because a lot of these guys will be working
at seven eleven soon if they don't figure out how
to tackle. I can't believe that forty eight point. If
you give up forty eight points to Gino Smith, you
should give up twenty four points to Bailey Zappy. The
Lions are bad in every phase of defensive football. They're
giving up five point six yards per carry. Five point
(33:36):
six yards per carry, And I look at that and
I'm like, Okay, Well, even if Bailey. Zappy doesn't do
all that well. He seemed okay and coming off the bench.
Last week we saw the game with with Green Bay
and came down to the very end of overtime. But
I'm thinking the strategy here for the Patriots with the
(33:58):
de facto offensive Cord and later Matt Patricia and Bill
Belichick is to just run, run, run, run, run, and
try to play keep away because the lines have been
able to move the ball with Jared Goff, so the
Patriots have a pretty good stable running backs and they
can rotate those backs in and get some yardage and
(34:19):
run time off the clock and shorten the game and
hand it off to Damon Harris and Ramandre Stevenson and
go back and forth and back and forth. And Patriots
twenty four, the Lions twenty the final and the Penny
(34:39):
is a big fan of the R and B group,
Roger and Zappy, who also going with the Patriots. Alright.
Next up for US we have the late television window
Now and San Francisco, which actually plays in Santa Clara,
The Forts two and two, the Panthers one and three.
It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis. The
(35:02):
forty Niners opened up a five and a half point favorite.
They're favored by six and a half a road favored
by six and a half. The handle on this game,
over sixty of the money is on the forty Niners.
They become a popular team based on the Monday night
game Sonny and in the seventies at Bank of America
Stadium in downtown Charlotte. The forty Niners have not done
(35:27):
well against Carolina the last twelve matchups over the years
three and nine against the spread, but the Niners have
been straight cash homy with Jimmy Garoppolo starting their eleven
and four their last fifteen games. That is a trolley
ride into heaven and nineteen and nine the last road
(35:49):
games for Garoppolo. However, I got, I got a number
for everything here the Niners, if you go back over
the years after playing on Monday Night Football, they are
sub five team the week after against the spread. There's
seven games under since if you go back to last
twenty five games they played in that situation, which goes
(36:11):
back since the beginning of this this period of time
the two thousands, Carolina they have been morbidly bad at home.
They're two and thirteen against the spread, their last fifteen
at home against teams that have a losing record, so
they haven't even been able to cover against teams that
have a losing record. The forty Niners are a five
(36:33):
other teams, so they're not a losing team. I'm gonna
take the Panthers in this game. I I'll tell you why.
The forty Niners will be smelling themselves after beating the
Rams on Monday Night football. Now they have to go
to the East Coast. They play a very unglamorous opponent
in Carolina, a team that has had Baker Mayfield called out.
(36:54):
The head coach, Matt Rule is on life support. The
Panthers do have a legitimate def ends. They ranked ninth
in yards per play allowed, twelve in defensive passer rating,
and fourth in red zone defense. The big bugaboo has
been Baker Mayfield, who has sucked at a time you
cannot suck. He's kept, he keeps getting the passes batted down,
(37:16):
He's turned the ball over. It's been a hot mess.
I believe, though this will be a low scoring game,
Caroline will be able to get a few field goals
and hang around. Hang around, even when the Niners win.
They don't usually put up that many points. Forty nine,
Ers seventeen and the Panthers twelve the final and Carolina
gets the money. The penny says, don't boo Baker, also
(37:42):
going with the Panthers. No booing Baker, No booing Baker.
Right next he said he doesn't hear any of that. Ben.
He doesn't care exactly, but but he also asked a
reporter this week for advice on how to avoid having
balls batted down the line. And I would say if
he wears like high heels, maybe that would help, and
(38:02):
I'll get him up a little bit more. It's a
hype thing out. Yeah, it's a cheap shot. Next up,
this is the game has got a little juice to it.
Philadelphia four and no at Arizona too and two. It's
on Fox with Chris Myers and Robert Smith. The line
opened up the Eagles by five despite playing on the road,
(38:26):
and they are a five point favorite. Still, the money's
pretty even on this game, nobody going one direction to
the other. Sunny and ninety degrees that kick off at
State Farm Stadium, Philadelphia five and eight against the spread.
Their last third team with Jalen hurts starting on the road.
(38:47):
And check this out. The Cliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals
last seven games at State Farm Stadium, their home stadium,
their own seven against the spread, and with Tayler Murray
little alligator arms Murray there two and eight the last
ten games at home. I very rarely take road favorites
(39:10):
as a general rule, doing Benny versus the penny over
the years, but I like to pick my spots. This
is one of those spots. Unless the Eagles go to
Arizona and are just hanging out of a day spot,
they should be fine. I'm gonna take the Eagles here
and I'll tell you why. Jalen Hurts. He was mortal
last week in the rain drops. We expect him to
return to elite form this week in the climate controlled
(39:33):
environment of a dome in Arizona. The Eagles have so
many ways they can attack that Cardinal defense, which is
a middle of the pack cardinal defense, and and it
needed late heroics last week Arizona did to beat a
bad Carolina team. They are blah and have been a
(39:54):
bad home team here as we said in recent years.
So I love the Eagles defense getting after Kyler Murray,
who is not very good himself. Eagles seven, Cardinals seventeen
the final and the Penny also going with the Eagles.
Suddenly three agreements in a row here. Alright, So things
(40:17):
are calming down here on Benny versus the Penny. But
next up for us a game. I actually considered going
to Danny and then I thought, you know what, I
don't know that I want to watch this game in
person after watching what happened on Monday night Dallas three
and one at the l A Raams two and two.
It's on Fox. Are you almost bet against your Rams
(40:38):
last week? Yeah? Well I did. Actually. Kevin Burkhard and
Greg Olsen have the call here. The Rams opened up
a seven point favorite a seven point favorite. They are
currently favorite by four and over eight eight percent over
of the money in favor of like Cowboys, Sonny and
(41:02):
eighty one agrees at SOFI Stadium. Even though it's got
a roof, the NFL says it's not a dome. Go figure. Uh.
Mike McCarthy has has not had any success against Sean McVeigh.
L A is six and one their last seven games
against Mike McCarthy coach teams, so that bodes well. The
Rams are nine and one their last ten games against
(41:24):
the spread after a conference loss, straight up, and I'm
gonna take the Rams in this game. And I'll tell
you why there's value in this because everyone thinks the
Rams are now a peewee football team because of the
way they played on Monday night. You're never as bad
as you look, and you're never as good as you look.
You're somewhere in the middle. I will agree. The blocking
(41:45):
was atrocious, the tackling was embarrassing, and I expect a
better performance this week. But Cooper Rush, he's worse than
Jimmy Garoppolo. He's a game manager. Now. The thing that
scares you here is Micah Parsons and that cowboy defense,
and Matthew Stafford is one brain fart after another at quarterback.
The Rams have nobody who can get any kind of
(42:07):
separation other than one guy at wide receiver. And they've
got one weapon right now that granted, that's a pretty
good weapon, but you gotta have a little more than that.
That being said, the Cowboys have a pretty big matchup
next week with Philadelphia, a key divisional game. Historically, they've
(42:28):
not been that good playing the week before they play
the Eagles. In fact, the last ten they've got a
losing record against the spread. So I will cover my
eyes on this. I'll take the Rams as a small
favorite at home to surprise the world, get back in
the wind column, and then that'll clear the path by
the way for Dakota Prescott to come back with a
(42:50):
bang if the Cowboys do end up in the lost
column this weekend, Rams twenty three and the Cowboys seventeen
the final and the penny is on the Cooper Rush
bandwagon going with the Cowboys all right? Next up for
US Sunday Night Football. Sunday Night Football Sincecinnati two and
(43:14):
two at Baltimore two and two, it's on and Bcy
with Mike Rico and Chris Collinsworth and the Ravens opened
up a three and a point favorite. They are a
three point favorite right now as we speak. Most of
the money's on the side of Baltimore of the cash
(43:37):
at M and T Bank Stadium, clear skies, temperatures in
the fifties that kick off on Sunday Night Football Cincinnati.
As a road underdog, they have been. They've been straight
money eighteen and seven their last twenty five games against
(43:57):
the spread. As a road dog and INTWO overall against
the spread their last ten on the road. And what's
going on with Baltimore. Baltimore has trailed for a total
of fourteen seconds and they've lost two games. That's it,
fourteen seconds, but they've lost a bunch of games in
a row at home here and with Lamar Jackson starting
(44:19):
in his last twenty nine games at M ANDT Bank Stadium,
Baltimore has a losing record against the spread. And that's
what we care about as gamblers here. I'm on the Bengals.
The Ravens are able to score, they will be able
to score here, but they're unable to hold leads against
teams that have halfway decent offenses. Baltimore's defense is thirty
(44:41):
in the NFL. It will throttle down yet again, giving
up four five yards per game. The past defense is
thirty second in the NFL. So Joe Burrows over there
licking his chops and the Bengals have been a little
slow on offense. They expect more from that Cincinnati offense
with Jamar Chase and whatnot, But Cincinnati's the team's got
(45:03):
a little extra rest. You like that. Bengals seven and
the Ravens the final, and I hope that's good luck
for you and the penny Bannett rolled off the table
and landed on tails bangals. Alright, so we agree on that.
Another agreement. Last game up, last game on the board.
(45:27):
Monday Night Football, Dun, dunt dune and dunt dune and
dunt dun. You know where Danny G will be? He'll
be watching this game at home? Danny? Or are you
going to a sports bar? What's the plan here? I'm
gonna be at the studios when it first starts, so
I'll probably have to run across the street to Buffalo
Wild Wings. All right, So you can meet Danny G
at Buffalo Bio Wings right across the street from the
(45:49):
Fox Sports Radio tire Track tire Rack dot tire rack
dot com studios. There the best rack in sports radio. Right,
absolutely correct? So Las Vegas one in three Kansas City
three and one on the Monday night football broadcast with
Joe Buck and Troy Aikman on ABC. And the line
(46:10):
of this game, the Chiefs opened a seven point favorite.
They are favored by seven another one of these games.
Everyone's all horny for the Chiefs now because they look
so good against Tampa Bay last week. Over nine percent
of the money is on the Chiefs. Light rain, temperatures
in the sixties at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. Andy Reid
(46:34):
seven and three against the spread his last ten against
the Raiders, and we know that the numbers are not
good across the board for the Raiders against the Chiefs.
They had that big win a couple of years ago
when John Gruden did the victory lap around Arrowhead and
that was like the highlights since since then and before then.
Don't ask Derek Carr when he started against the Chiefs.
(46:55):
The Raiders are five and ten against the spread. Every
train and says, bet on the Chiefs, bet on the Chiefs,
bet on the Chiefs. Bet on the Chiefs. Runaway from
the Raiders. So I'm taking the Raiders. This is a
sandwich game for Kansas City, and you love the sandwich,
so I'm not going to cook on my knee much
much munch. They played a primetime game with the Bucks
(47:17):
last week. They have a massive made for TV game
on deck the Buffalo Bills in week number six, and
the Raiders can sachet their way in here. I know
it's a divisional opponent, but right now, This is not
a team you get up for. The Raiders are one
in three, Derek Carr having some issues. The raiders red
(47:39):
zone offense has been terrible. Kansas City also won both
of last year's matchups by a combined score of eighty
nine to twenty three. They absolutely kicked the snot out
of the Raiders. But that's what happened last year. That
doesn't mean it's gonna happen this year. And that that part,
you know, it scares you a little bit what happened
(48:00):
last year. But these are different teams, different coaching staff
with the Raiders, and so I'm gonna puke up in
my mouth a little bit, but I'm gonna take your Raiders.
Danny g to hang around, hang around and claw a
little bit. Get the back door cover Chiefs thirty Raiders
twenty four. So the Raiders the right side of the
(48:21):
bet and the penny bags and I'm gonna throw this
penny back into the garage going with the Chiefs there,
all right, So the penny taking the Chiefs, I am
taking the Raiders the seven. Thank you for having them
not being blown out? Do you expect this to be
a blowout there? And be honest, you. Actually, after seeing
(48:43):
Josh Jacobs run the way he did last week, I
think the Raiders can keep it close. Unfortunately, though you're
playing the Chiefs, you're not playing the Broncos. But but
I do I do like the Raiders in this game.
I think divisional game. Usually these are pretty close. Last
year things got completely lopsided in favor of Kansas City.
All right, we'll get out on that. That's every game
against the number. If you like this, give us five
(49:05):
stars on the podcast page right there where you download this.
One star for you, one star for the penny. That's
two stars. No no, no, no, it's it's it's five
five stars for me. No stars for the penny because
the penny said back to back losing week's bad job
by the penny. And tell a friend if you got
buddies of years like gambling, and let them know about this. Hey,
(49:26):
I got a little podcast you might want to listen
to get a little knowledge on the NFL. But we'll
put the baby in bed and we have a whole
weekend of podcasts to come. Our normal fair will have
the Life of Mallard and Danny g podcast on Saturday
and coming up on Sunday, the mail bag and you
can eat your heart out on that, and we will
(49:47):
catch you next time. Osta pasta boffliction
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, dred minutes
a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants
of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of hot takes,
break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
(00:24):
Maller starts right now, nine nine nine in the air everywhere,
and welcome into the podcast, o Joe. Not your normal
run of the mill podcast, No, no, no, it's the
Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g Radio as
we are back at it for another weekend. And Danny,
(00:47):
this being Friday, there's only one thing we need to
do here right anytime. Alright, we strike up the band
right now here we go. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's
time now penny the penny. All right, So now before
(01:13):
we look ahead, we must look back. We're gonna get
to the week five card every game on Sunday, every
game on the entire week at Sunday night, Monday, you
name it. Handicapping of NFL games for the regular guy,
crunching the numbers and the way this works. We're doing
this on radio and podcasting for many, many years. It
(01:35):
is man versus inanimate object who will pick more winners?
And Danny is the keeper of the penny, and we'll
clip the penny up for every single game. But we
must look back first, because I have people monitoring this
Robin Vegas, David in Florida with Roscoe, the parent, and others,
and they're keeping close track of how I am doing here.
(01:57):
They're monitoring my picks versus the penny. So in week
number four, looking back against the spread, I had a
middling week. I had a couple of games go the
wrong direction. I had a couple of pushes, and so
I ended up with a winning week. If you had
bet every game the same amount on every game, you
(02:18):
wouldn't want a couple of shekels. I was eight six
and two. We gotta do better than that. That's not
good enough. Eight six and two is not good enough.
But a five seventy one winning percentage the penny. Second
consecutive losing week for the penny, as the penny went
seven eight and one against the number, So that's a
(02:40):
four sixties seven winning percentage overall. Danny, if you look
at the numbers penny versus the penny. This year, the
penny has a losing record, had a terrible week three,
was actually doing pretty well the first two weeks. The
last couple of weeks have gone sideways. So the penny
is five games under five hundred thirty four and one.
(03:04):
That is a four sixty winning percentage, And yours truly,
Mr guest Baggery over here, I have a winning record
thirty and two. That is a five sixty five winning percentage.
So that's that's good. We could do better. There are
(03:25):
some games that we we lost. We were at Heartbreak
Hotel and some of these games. And remember, there's this
magic number, this magic percentage that you have to hit
in order to make money betting on sports, and right
now we are ahead of that, uh and so hopefully
we will continue doing that. But the penny, what's going
(03:46):
on with the penny here? I think, well, I guess
there's a good reason why the penny has been hiding
out in Mike broads. Yea and shame right head down,
tail between the legs. The whole thing now that the
magic number if you want to win money as a
sports better betting on on the NFL or anything for
that matter. But you have to hit more than fifty
(04:06):
two point four percent of your bets to make money.
And so right now I'm at fifty six percent, so
we're ahead of where we need to be. But we
gotta keep going. We gotta keep building, Danny, I gotta
keep you. You got the penny, don't worry about Let
the penny cook. This penny is doing about as good
(04:28):
as the Broncos head coach and Russell Wilson. Yeah. Not
not a pretty situation. All right, let's get right to it.
We're gonna start. We have another London game to kick
off the festivities here in week five, and a refresher
course if you're new to the the benny versus the
penny bit. Danny is the keeper of the pennies. We
said home team is heads, the road team is tales.
(04:48):
Is that correct, Danny, sir? Alright? Because you travel with
your tail, you're sitting your behind on planes, trains and automobiles,
and when you're at home you just use your head,
all right. So first game up from London, it is
the New York Giants three and one at the Packers
are versus the Packers because it's a neutral site game
(05:09):
also three and one. This game in London on the
NFL network. They just left Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez
in London. They called the game last Sunday in London.
They're back at it again. The Packers opened up a
sizeable favorite, an eight point favorite. I've seen this line
up at nine. It's back down to eight right now
(05:30):
as we are doing Benny versus the Penny. The handle
on this game over in favor of green Bay. Sunny
temperatures in the sixties in London as they will play
yet again, same location is last week. The Giants over
the recent years, when they've had to travel a long distance,
(05:51):
typically to the West Coast, they don't usually go to London,
but they have played there before. The Giants last fifteen
games against the spread, who in thirteen when traveling two
thousand miles or more. That's an interesting trend. Also, the Giants, though,
are averaging five point seven yards per Russia attempt, that
second best in the NFL. And Daniel Jones, who is
(06:14):
expected to start this game seven and three against the
spread the Giants are in his last ten starts. The
Giants going against the green Bay team here that does
not have a particularly great run defense. I'm gonna take
the Giants in this game. Daniel Jones as a sprained ankle,
He's going to start the game. How much mobility he
(06:36):
has we don't know, but se Quon Barkley should be
able to get some chunk plays as the game goes
on against Green Bay and the Packers just don't have
the wow factor for me. They barely got by Bailey
Zappy and the Patriots last week. Their offense is blah.
They're not gonna win many games by wide margins here,
(06:57):
and the Giants have shown that there are scrappy team.
You've got all those variables mixed in the first London
trip for the Packers. I say green Bay wins this game,
but it's a nip and tuck game. Packers twenty three
and the Giants twenty. Giants on the right side for
the wager, and we have a disagreement. Ride off the
(07:22):
bat the penny as a cheese head on it. Now,
that's a lot of points to lay though with a
team that's lacking at the wide receiver position. Next up
Seattle two and two at New Orleans one and three.
It's on Fox with Brandon Godden and Matt Millen. They
have the call. The line opened up the Saints by six.
(07:45):
The line is stayed the same. New Orleans a six
point favorite in this game, and the handle uh six
of the cash is on the side of the Seahawks
at the super Dome. So whether it's not a factor,
check this out. The Seahawks are five and two their
last seven games with Gino Smith under center, and New
(08:07):
Orleans has been a terrible bet at home in the Dome.
Remember they never lost there last ten games. From a
gambling perspective, which is what we care about here, New
Orleans just three and seven against the spread at the
super Dome their last ten, and they've averaged eight and
a half penalties per game. That is second worst of
(08:29):
the Saints in the NFL. Seattle is not much better,
their thirtieth in the NFL in penalty. So there's gonna
be a mistake filled game. Both teams are undisciplined, both
teams are lacking. The Seahawks, though, are the pick. I'm
gonna take Seattle. I realized that's a that's probably gonna
I'm gonna get burned by this, but I don't trust
the Saints and Gino Smith has been playing good, good football.
(08:53):
He's made a deal with the devil here and right
now he's the best quarterback in this game. Jamis Winston's hurt,
Maybe he plays, maybe not. Otherwise it's Andy Dalton, Michael Thomas,
the star receivers. Heard New Orleans is getting some guys back.
But the Seahawks have shown that they can they can
put some points up. Last week was a weird situation
(09:15):
because they played the Lions, and the Lions are a
team that could not stop the Fox Sports Radio football
squad on Thanksgiving. But I'm gonna take the Saints to
win this game. But I think Seattle, we'll hang around,
hanging around, hanging around. So Saints Seahawks twenty Seattle, the
right side of the back. The penny does not like
(09:39):
you this morning. It is going with the Saints, all right.
So the penny marching in to the lost column there
with New Orleans next up Houston, oh three and one
at Jacksonville, the Jags coming off that loss to Philly
there two and two. It's on CBS with Spiro Adidas
(10:01):
and Jay Feely, and this is a line that has
Jacksonville favored by seven. They opened as a seven point favorite.
They're still favored by seven and it appears to be
one of those games where they're just handing out free
money because the number on this, the amount of cash,
the percentage of cash on Jacksonville ninety over ninety percent
(10:26):
of the money. It's like a weird mirror the reflection
on that n on Jacksonville at t I A A
bank Field, Sonny and temperatures in the low eighties in
Jacksonville at kickoff Houston. They're they've gotta by coming up.
(10:46):
They've been very good over the years before a bye
with various coaches, seven and two of their last nine
before the bye. Davis Mills, although not very good statistically,
the Texans are seven and three against the spread his
last ten Stars and Jacksonville. I know they're better now,
but they've lost eight consecutive games to Houston straight up
(11:12):
and are just two and six against the the team
from Houston over the last few years. So it's been
really lopside. It's not like the Texans have had great
teams in recent years. They've they've been full of flatulence themselves.
I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. That's the pick.
(11:33):
The Texans have yet to really get anything right on
offense other than Damon Pierce, the running back is pretty good.
He had a big run last week against the Chargers.
I think it was a seventy yard touchdown scamper, But
he's the stud of the offense. Davis Mills has to
snap out of the funk, and he just gotta cut
(11:53):
down the interceptions here. He's had four of them the
last three weeks. The Jags have their own issues. They're
Trevor Lawrence fumbled four times in the rain last week.
I just think this is gonna be a competitive game.
I always love getting a touchdown or more in a
divisional game. The line as we look at it right
now is seven. That's a rule of thumb. So another
(12:14):
one of these games where I think the team wins
but doesn't cover the spread. So I'll take Jacksonville twenty three,
the Texans seventeen, and Houston the right side of the bet,
and finally, in agreement, the penny also going with the Texans. Alright,
So the penny on my side, and my deepest sympathy
(12:38):
to the penny there because that will probably a game
I lose now because the penny is on the side
of me. Next up Pittsburgh one in three at Buffalo
three and one. It's on CBS. What a rocky road
it has been for the Steelers. Jim Nance and Tony
Romo have the call. Why because the Steelers bring ray things,
(13:00):
no matter how big of a white hot tire fire
they are. People watch the Steelers and the Cowboys. Pittsburgh
certainly looks like they're on vacation right now, or they
need to take a vacation. The Bills opened up a
thirteen and a half point favorite, and they're getting the
embombing fluid ready for the Steelers, So the Bills are
(13:21):
a fourteen point favorite. There's a massive line in the
NFL the amount of money or so on the Bills,
which is a lot considering the point spread and temperatures
in the fifties at kickoff at high Mark Stadium here
in early October. Some of the trends on this. The
(13:45):
pitts merg Steelers as a road underdog are fourteen and
nine the last twenty three games as a road underdog,
but Mike Tomlin historically twenty games over five as a
old dog all time, going back to the good old
days in Prince Pittsburgh. Many people taking a wait and
(14:06):
see attitude on this Buffalo. They've been very good against
teams that have a losing record, eight and two against
the spread. I want to take the Steelers in this game.
That's the pick. And the Bills are coming off back
to back tough games. They played the Dolphins and the Ravens.
Those were big early season games for them, and this
(14:27):
is a game that they can sleep walk through and
still win. And I believe up ahead on the horizon
is a date with the Kansas City Chiefs that is
gonna be musty TV for Buffalo and Kansas City, a
rematch of that classic playoff duel from last week. Now,
the main reason to bet against the Steelers would be
(14:49):
Kenny Pickett, but I say no, he's gonna make his
first start here. He got tossed into the fray against
the Jets. People are saying he threw three interceptions, but
that just tells you they didn't want the game because
two of those interceptions were tip passes off wide receivers.
Hands for Pittsburgh, hands on balls. You gotta catch those balls.
(15:10):
And the last one was a Heill Mary at the
end of the game. So I'm hoping for some beginner's
luck here and again, I'm gonna go against the grade
on wash to think the Bills are just gonna show
up and win forty one to ten, and maybe that'll happen.
I look like a complete donkey here, But Pittsburgh, I
know they're gonna work like a bunch of mules under
(15:30):
Mike Tomlin. So I'll take them to hang around and
get a backdoor cover here. Bills and the Steelers sixteen
the final and the Penny says picket is the perfect
name for the Steelers new QB. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this
(15:51):
copper is part of the mafia. No, there'll be a
picket fence around Pittsburgh because of Kenny Pickett. Wrong hometown
kid from college to the NFL coasting along all right.
Next up, as we continue our exclusive Fenny Versus the
Penny coverage right here only on the podcast, Tell a friend.
(16:12):
Every NFL game Sunday and Monday, we handicap them, We
give you our opinion, we tell you why we think
the teams are gonna win. You know the deal here,
so let's go to it. Next up, Atlanta two and
two at Tampa Bay two and two It's on Fox
with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnson. Joe Davis, Dodger,
Guy Moose Johnson, the Old Cowboy. The Bucks opened up
(16:35):
an eight point favorite. They're favored by nine nine in
this game, and the handle a slight lean to the Falcons.
Temperatures in the mid eighties at Raymond James Stadium and
Sonny at kickoff. Tampa is nine and one against the
spread their last ten with Tom Brady starting against the Falcons.
(16:59):
So Tampa business very well as they've dominated here, and
the Falcons are still pigeonholders, a bad team even though
they're two and two. But from a gambling standpoint, there's
been value here and and you're you're barking up the
wrong tree if you think I'm not gonna take the value.
Atlanta eight and two against the spread their last ten
(17:20):
under Arthur Smith, and five and two against the spread
their last seven overall. The pick is the Falcons, even
with Cordarrel Patterson out to start running back. He's gone
and he's on injured reserve. But the Falcons, uh, they're
they're not gonna get down in the fetal position here.
Next man up through your job they've shown some gumption
(17:42):
of late, and the Buccaneers still have some issues. And
last week Tom Brady had a great stat line and
everyone got all excited, but you never really got the
feeling that the Chiefs were in any danger of losing
that particular game. And the defense for the Bucks was
all over the place. So who the heck knows who's
(18:03):
gonna show up Tom Brady in this practice this week.
He's got some nagging injuries. And I'm looking around here
and I'm like, wait a minute. I got an Atlanta
team that's not terrible. They're average. I don't think they're great,
but they're average. And you're getting over a touchdown against
the Tampa team that's I'm not I'm not all in on.
(18:24):
I'm not all in on on Tampa Bay. This is
not a whip saw situation. So anytime I get over
a touchdown in these divisional games, I always take them
where I don't bet them, And we bet every game
on benny versus the penny. So I will take the
Atlanta Falcons plus nine, getting almost double digit points here
with the dirty Birds Bucks seven Falcons twenty two. The
(18:46):
back door cover on this one as well, and the
Penny says, don't give Brady any extra chips for his
shoulder going with the bucks. Now, Brady, he doesn't have
to worry about where to put his wedding ring anymore, right,
because you don't have to worry about that. He's done
with that. He's checked out, right. Yes, well it's not
(19:07):
final yet. It's not final, but they've hired the lawyers.
If I and Giselle was without the ring this week.
So yeah, well, whenever a divorce attorney is involved, bet
that Tom Brady is going to be extra piste off. Yeah,
we'll bet that that the winner of this will be
the divorce laur They're the ones that are gonna win
(19:27):
in a blaze of glory. The real winner of any
of these bets. Yes, no matter whether you win your
case or not, the attorney will win. Garanteed. All right.
Next up Chicago two and two at Minnesota three and one.
It's on Fox with Adam Aman and marsh layh Riff.
The Bears still trying to chase rainbows with their their offense.
(19:50):
What a hot mess this is. And the Vikings opened
up a six and a half point favorite, and they
are favored by seven. I had to do a double
take this one. Also, the numbers that we have over
nine of the money's on Minnesota. Another one of these games.
Free money, free money, Just show up, get the money.
At us Bank Stadium. The temperature around the sixties, but
(20:14):
it's it's it's in the domes, so who cares. It
doesn't matter what the temperature is outside. The Bears their
last ten games with justin Fields, the former Ohio State
Buckeye at quarterback, are two and eight against the spread.
They are going the wrong direction there in quicksand right now.
The Bears four and eleven their last fifteen games against
(20:36):
teams that have a winning record. Frankly speaking, that blows.
But Minnesota, if you look at some of the trends
for the Vikings here, I'm gonna touch a raw nerve
with my guys in the Twin Cities. But the the
Vikings have not exactly been God's gift to football when
they've been playing at home. There ten fifteen, ten and
(20:56):
fifteen last games with Kirk Cousins against the spread at
home and as a home favorite. Since the Vikings have
a losing record as a home favorite against the spread,
They've had a losing record so against my better judgment.
Even though I believe that this offense should be taken
(21:19):
to euthanasia, I'm gonna take the Bears here. The pick
is the Bears justin fields running a nineteen forties style offense.
The Bears coaching staff doesn't trust him. They don't even
try to throw the ball all that much. The only
thing the Bears can do is run the ball. Is
that gonna be enough to hang around? The Vikings are
coming back from London. They're bouncing off the walls here.
(21:41):
It's a a weird situation in this game as well.
Minnesota has a habit of playing down to the competition.
Chicago is a trash team. But you know, there's big
value in trash. There is massive value in trash. Waste management.
You've heard of that company right there, Any waste management. Oh,
of course, I saw an ad that they were hiring.
(22:03):
There were well, we work in the trash business. There
were fifteen billion dollars and all they do is pick
up people's trash so they can you can live happily
ever after with trash, betting on trash. So I'm counting
on the Bears running game. And also there's there's a
couple of things. They're done. They've done all right on defense,
and I just mainly don't trust the Vikings that they
(22:24):
should win this game by thirty points. They will win
the game, but the Bears are gonna hang around. It's
a divisional game again, what do I always say? Divisional games?
When you get a touchdowner more, you don't ask a
lot of questions. You were framed from spending too much
time looking at the numbers here, and you take the
team that's the dog. And that's what I'm doing here.
(22:45):
Vikings twenty six, Bears twenty the final. The penny agrees
with you taking Chicago. Vikings are still hungover from too
much tea all week. Cow, that's both of us picking
the Bears with that terrible nineties offense, all right. Next up,
(23:06):
Tennessee at Washington. Titans come in two and two and
the team formula known as the Redskins one and threts
on CBS with Andrew Catalan and the Old Green Bay
Packer and Raider James Lofton have the call. This game
opened up a pick them and the Tennessee Titans are
a two and a half point favorite, two and a
(23:29):
half point favorite, and the money on this the handle
over sev last we checked with the Tennessee Titans. Temperatures
in the fifties, clear conditions in landover Maryland at FedEx
Field when they kicked this game off. Some of the
numbers here. Tennessee historically has been a terrible team on
(23:50):
the road before by there one in nine, one in
nine before by the last ten times. That's that's a
pretty strong trend. And the Titans are seven and eight
against the spread their last fifteen games overall under the
Mike Rabel regime. So they got off that great start
last year. The stars have not aligned, you know, in
(24:12):
you know, in a while. Last week they got to
win against the Colts. I loved the Titans last week.
I don't love the Titans this week. I just mildly
liked the Titans. But it's more a bet against the opposition.
So I'm gonna take the Titans as a small road
favorite against the uglies from Washington. There's no way I
(24:34):
can invest in the Commandos the way they are playing
right now. It's a bad product. Carson Wentz is the Titanic.
After the Iceberg back away, back away the first two
weeks of the season, Carson Wentz had seven touchdowns and
three interceptions of passer rating of a hundred, so you're like, Okay,
(24:54):
maybe we've got something here. The last two weeks Carson
Wentz one touch down, two interceptions, passerrating below sixty, the
artistic license of a finger painting by a kindergartener with fingerpaint,
and just a terrible numbers across the board, averaging less
than five yards per passim So this is more of
(25:16):
a bet against the commanders. Again, I don't love the
Titans here. Derrick Henry will get some yards and Tannehill's
blah whatever. But Tennessee Washington sixteen with several more Carson
Wentz turnovers delivered right to the front door the penny
(25:39):
letting it all hang out with the commandos. Alright, So
we disagree on that game. Another disagreement for the way
this is going right now. One of us is going
to be doing very well and the other one will
be like, what the hell app effective immediately? All right?
Next up Miami three and one at the Jets two
and two and a FC East battle Royal. Kevin Harlan
(26:04):
and Trent Green have the call on CBS and the
line on this game. The Dolphins. The early line, they
were favored by six points, and then with the injury
news to Miami, Miami, Miami, the line is down to three.
Dolphins a three point road favorite, and they lost. We know,
last week Thursday Night Football against the ben Gals, the
(26:28):
whole kit and kaboodle went away with two of getting hurt.
Temperatures in the low sixties and sunny in Jersey at
MetLife Stadium to start this game. Miami six and one
against the spread their last seven against the Jets, and
the Jets as a home dog are just one in
six against the spread their last seven. So those are
(26:49):
some of the trends. And I'm gonna go against something
I said a couple of weeks ago, I'm never gonna
bet on the Jets again. Blah blah blah. I bet
on him last week. I was happy with that, and
I actually like the Jets again this week. It's another
one of those games. Everyone thinks they just Miami shows
up and they're a wagon and they're gonna win this
game and all that stuff. The defense of the Dolphins
(27:11):
is not that particularly great. And I don't know what
to make a Teddy Bridgewater. He's a guy the more
he's played over the years. The more he gets out there,
the less impressive he looks. He's got some good skilled
players with the Dolphins. Just feed him the ball and
he'll be Okay. You figure get Tyreek killed the ball.
Waddle the ball. But this is a free money game
(27:34):
that the Jets have shown some fight here. This line
scares me some. I was expecting the Dolphins to be
favored by more. I'd like the Jets a whole lot
more if the line was higher. It is not. I
would like to like this game a lot, as I said,
under that scenario, but I do believe the Jets are
actually gonna win the game. So take that for what
it's worth. Jets twenty four Dolphins one. The final and
(28:04):
the penning says, out of your mind going with the Dolphins.
Another disagreement. All right, it's the weekend of disagreement on
Benny versus the penny. You're not raking this dandy. This
is legitimate, right. We don't want to get in trouble. No,
this is next up the l A Chargers of Carson
(28:24):
and Inglewood in the hood in Inglewood and their two
and two they take on Cleveland two and two on
CBS with a man that hates sports talk radio, Greg
Gumbel and Adam Archiletta, they have to call. The Chargers
opened up a one point favorite. They got back in
the wind calm last week against the Texans. Chargers now
a three point favorite. A number of players still in
(28:48):
limbo as we handicap this game right now. The handle
a lean towards Cleveland with almost sixty taking the Browns.
Sunny and temperatures in the fifties at First Energy Stadium
in Ohio, and the numbers on this game the Chargers.
(29:08):
They've been very good in Sunday road games going back
the last number of years. There are ten games over.
If you go back to last fifty and under Brandon Staley,
there's six and four against the spread on the road.
You go down the list here, Cleveland just two and
eight against the spread their last ten at home on
Sunday and four ten and one their last fifteen home
(29:33):
games in the Kevin Stefanski era. Jeez, Luise, does that
not sound particularly good as a gambler? Four ten and
one against the spread. So a lot to chew on.
But trends tell you what has happened. They don't tell
you what's going to happen? And I want to take
the Browns here. I learned this watching boxing for many
(29:55):
years back in the day, old school boxing. Fisticuffs, styles
make fights, night styles make fights. And we love Justin Herbert,
but Cleveland has an elite running game with Nick Chubb
and Kareem Hunt. The Chargers kryptonite has been stopping the
run their thirty feet in the NFL, allowing five point
(30:16):
four yards per carry. That ain't good. Uh, Cleveland, what
do they got? They got the Chubbing and Kareem Hunt,
and they also are supposed to get Miles Garrett back
this week for that defense, which should give heartburn to
Justin Herbert, the quarterback. Back to back road games for
the Chargers, the Browns as a home dog, Browns and
(30:40):
the Chargers twenty three the final. Wow, this is legit, Manny.
You can see the penny right here going with the Chargers.
All right, So Chargers, there we go another another disagreement.
Either I'm gonna have a great week of penny is
(31:00):
gonna have a great week And we'll figure that out
when all these games were done. Next up Detroit one
in three at New England one in three it's on
Fox with Kenny Albert, a friend of the show, and
he'll be hanging out with Jonathan Vilma as they have
the call on Fox. The Patriots opened up a one
(31:22):
and a half point favorite. They are the odds on
favorite here at minus three. And here's here's a number
that really upset me because I like the game one direction,
and I saw where the money is, and that always
scares me. I hate being on the side of the money.
But eighty over eight of the money is on the Patriots.
The early cash and Gillette Stadium. The scene here mostly sunny,
(31:44):
temperatures in the fifties as the Lions unleashed that biblically
bad defense. But they've been a great team for gamblers.
Detroit eight and two against the spread their last ten
games with Dan Campbell at coach, they're eleven and four
their last fifteen with Dan Campbell eight and two with
Jared Golf. The Lions coming off that soul crushing performance
(32:07):
where they gave up forty eight points to Geno Smith
forty eight points that's never happened since he was at
West Virginia. Forty eight points. The Lions defense gave up
New England is six and one against the spread their
last seven when playing at home following in overtime game,
(32:28):
I'm taking the Patriots. I I'm going against my better
judgment here because of the amount of money that's all
on New England, the Matt Patricia revenge game, the old
Lions coach here with Bailey Zappy making his first ever start. Yeah,
exactly what Western Kentucky's Bailey Zappy? And if New England
(32:51):
is going to be relevant, if they're going to have
a chance at a playoff situation, this is a must
win situation. Otherwise you start thinking about are they going
to tank for the NFL Draft? You start thinking about that.
And the Lions defense, I call it a seven eleven
(33:13):
defense because a lot of these guys will be working
at seven eleven soon if they don't figure out how
to tackle. I can't believe that forty eight point. If
you give up forty eight points to Gino Smith, you
should give up twenty four points to Bailey Zappy. The
Lions are bad in every phase of defensive football. They're
giving up five point six yards per carry. Five point
(33:36):
six yards per carry, And I look at that and
I'm like, Okay, Well, even if Bailey. Zappy doesn't do
all that well. He seemed okay and coming off the bench.
Last week we saw the game with with Green Bay
and came down to the very end of overtime. But
I'm thinking the strategy here for the Patriots with the
(33:58):
de facto offensive Cord and later Matt Patricia and Bill
Belichick is to just run, run, run, run, run, and
try to play keep away because the lines have been
able to move the ball with Jared Goff, so the
Patriots have a pretty good stable running backs and they
can rotate those backs in and get some yardage and
(34:19):
run time off the clock and shorten the game and
hand it off to Damon Harris and Ramandre Stevenson and
go back and forth and back and forth. And Patriots
twenty four, the Lions twenty the final and the Penny
(34:39):
is a big fan of the R and B group,
Roger and Zappy, who also going with the Patriots. Alright.
Next up for US we have the late television window
Now and San Francisco, which actually plays in Santa Clara,
The Forts two and two, the Panthers one and three.
It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis. The
(35:02):
forty Niners opened up a five and a half point favorite.
They're favored by six and a half a road favored
by six and a half. The handle on this game,
over sixty of the money is on the forty Niners.
They become a popular team based on the Monday night
game Sonny and in the seventies at Bank of America
Stadium in downtown Charlotte. The forty Niners have not done
(35:27):
well against Carolina the last twelve matchups over the years
three and nine against the spread, but the Niners have
been straight cash homy with Jimmy Garoppolo starting their eleven
and four their last fifteen games. That is a trolley
ride into heaven and nineteen and nine the last road
(35:49):
games for Garoppolo. However, I got, I got a number
for everything here the Niners, if you go back over
the years after playing on Monday Night Football, they are
sub five team the week after against the spread. There's
seven games under since if you go back to last
twenty five games they played in that situation, which goes
(36:11):
back since the beginning of this this period of time
the two thousands, Carolina they have been morbidly bad at home.
They're two and thirteen against the spread, their last fifteen
at home against teams that have a losing record, so
they haven't even been able to cover against teams that
have a losing record. The forty Niners are a five
(36:33):
other teams, so they're not a losing team. I'm gonna
take the Panthers in this game. I I'll tell you why.
The forty Niners will be smelling themselves after beating the
Rams on Monday Night football. Now they have to go
to the East Coast. They play a very unglamorous opponent
in Carolina, a team that has had Baker Mayfield called out.
(36:54):
The head coach, Matt Rule is on life support. The
Panthers do have a legitimate def ends. They ranked ninth
in yards per play allowed, twelve in defensive passer rating,
and fourth in red zone defense. The big bugaboo has
been Baker Mayfield, who has sucked at a time you
cannot suck. He's kept, he keeps getting the passes batted down,
(37:16):
He's turned the ball over. It's been a hot mess.
I believe, though this will be a low scoring game,
Caroline will be able to get a few field goals
and hang around. Hang around, even when the Niners win.
They don't usually put up that many points. Forty nine,
Ers seventeen and the Panthers twelve the final and Carolina
gets the money. The penny says, don't boo Baker, also
(37:42):
going with the Panthers. No booing Baker, No booing Baker.
Right next he said he doesn't hear any of that. Ben.
He doesn't care exactly, but but he also asked a
reporter this week for advice on how to avoid having
balls batted down the line. And I would say if
he wears like high heels, maybe that would help, and
(38:02):
I'll get him up a little bit more. It's a
hype thing out. Yeah, it's a cheap shot. Next up,
this is the game has got a little juice to it.
Philadelphia four and no at Arizona too and two. It's
on Fox with Chris Myers and Robert Smith. The line
opened up the Eagles by five despite playing on the road,
(38:26):
and they are a five point favorite. Still, the money's
pretty even on this game, nobody going one direction to
the other. Sunny and ninety degrees that kick off at
State Farm Stadium, Philadelphia five and eight against the spread.
Their last third team with Jalen hurts starting on the road.
(38:47):
And check this out. The Cliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals
last seven games at State Farm Stadium, their home stadium,
their own seven against the spread, and with Tayler Murray
little alligator arms Murray there two and eight the last
ten games at home. I very rarely take road favorites
(39:10):
as a general rule, doing Benny versus the penny over
the years, but I like to pick my spots. This
is one of those spots. Unless the Eagles go to
Arizona and are just hanging out of a day spot,
they should be fine. I'm gonna take the Eagles here
and I'll tell you why. Jalen Hurts. He was mortal
last week in the rain drops. We expect him to
return to elite form this week in the climate controlled
(39:33):
environment of a dome in Arizona. The Eagles have so
many ways they can attack that Cardinal defense, which is
a middle of the pack cardinal defense, and and it
needed late heroics last week Arizona did to beat a
bad Carolina team. They are blah and have been a
(39:54):
bad home team here as we said in recent years.
So I love the Eagles defense getting after Kyler Murray,
who is not very good himself. Eagles seven, Cardinals seventeen
the final and the Penny also going with the Eagles.
Suddenly three agreements in a row here. Alright, So things
(40:17):
are calming down here on Benny versus the Penny. But
next up for us a game. I actually considered going
to Danny and then I thought, you know what, I
don't know that I want to watch this game in
person after watching what happened on Monday night Dallas three
and one at the l A Raams two and two.
It's on Fox. Are you almost bet against your Rams
(40:38):
last week? Yeah? Well I did. Actually. Kevin Burkhard and
Greg Olsen have the call here. The Rams opened up
a seven point favorite a seven point favorite. They are
currently favorite by four and over eight eight percent over
of the money in favor of like Cowboys, Sonny and
(41:02):
eighty one agrees at SOFI Stadium. Even though it's got
a roof, the NFL says it's not a dome. Go figure. Uh.
Mike McCarthy has has not had any success against Sean McVeigh.
L A is six and one their last seven games
against Mike McCarthy coach teams, so that bodes well. The
Rams are nine and one their last ten games against
(41:24):
the spread after a conference loss, straight up, and I'm
gonna take the Rams in this game. And I'll tell
you why there's value in this because everyone thinks the
Rams are now a peewee football team because of the
way they played on Monday night. You're never as bad
as you look, and you're never as good as you look.
You're somewhere in the middle. I will agree. The blocking
(41:45):
was atrocious, the tackling was embarrassing, and I expect a
better performance this week. But Cooper Rush, he's worse than
Jimmy Garoppolo. He's a game manager. Now. The thing that
scares you here is Micah Parsons and that cowboy defense,
and Matthew Stafford is one brain fart after another at quarterback.
The Rams have nobody who can get any kind of
(42:07):
separation other than one guy at wide receiver. And they've
got one weapon right now that granted, that's a pretty
good weapon, but you gotta have a little more than that.
That being said, the Cowboys have a pretty big matchup
next week with Philadelphia, a key divisional game. Historically, they've
(42:28):
not been that good playing the week before they play
the Eagles. In fact, the last ten they've got a
losing record against the spread. So I will cover my
eyes on this. I'll take the Rams as a small
favorite at home to surprise the world, get back in
the wind column, and then that'll clear the path by
the way for Dakota Prescott to come back with a
(42:50):
bang if the Cowboys do end up in the lost
column this weekend, Rams twenty three and the Cowboys seventeen
the final and the penny is on the Cooper Rush
bandwagon going with the Cowboys all right? Next up for
US Sunday Night Football. Sunday Night Football Sincecinnati two and
(43:14):
two at Baltimore two and two, it's on and Bcy
with Mike Rico and Chris Collinsworth and the Ravens opened
up a three and a point favorite. They are a
three point favorite right now as we speak. Most of
the money's on the side of Baltimore of the cash
(43:37):
at M and T Bank Stadium, clear skies, temperatures in
the fifties that kick off on Sunday Night Football Cincinnati.
As a road underdog, they have been. They've been straight
money eighteen and seven their last twenty five games against
(43:57):
the spread. As a road dog and INTWO overall against
the spread their last ten on the road. And what's
going on with Baltimore. Baltimore has trailed for a total
of fourteen seconds and they've lost two games. That's it,
fourteen seconds, but they've lost a bunch of games in
a row at home here and with Lamar Jackson starting
(44:19):
in his last twenty nine games at M ANDT Bank Stadium,
Baltimore has a losing record against the spread. And that's
what we care about as gamblers here. I'm on the Bengals.
The Ravens are able to score, they will be able
to score here, but they're unable to hold leads against
teams that have halfway decent offenses. Baltimore's defense is thirty
(44:41):
in the NFL. It will throttle down yet again, giving
up four five yards per game. The past defense is
thirty second in the NFL. So Joe Burrows over there
licking his chops and the Bengals have been a little
slow on offense. They expect more from that Cincinnati offense
with Jamar Chase and whatnot, But Cincinnati's the team's got
(45:03):
a little extra rest. You like that. Bengals seven and
the Ravens the final, and I hope that's good luck
for you and the penny Bannett rolled off the table
and landed on tails bangals. Alright, so we agree on that.
Another agreement. Last game up, last game on the board.
(45:27):
Monday Night Football, Dun, dunt dune and dunt dune and
dunt dun. You know where Danny G will be? He'll
be watching this game at home? Danny? Or are you
going to a sports bar? What's the plan here? I'm
gonna be at the studios when it first starts, so
I'll probably have to run across the street to Buffalo
Wild Wings. All right, So you can meet Danny G
at Buffalo Bio Wings right across the street from the
(45:49):
Fox Sports Radio tire Track tire Rack dot tire rack
dot com studios. There the best rack in sports radio. Right,
absolutely correct? So Las Vegas one in three Kansas City
three and one on the Monday night football broadcast with
Joe Buck and Troy Aikman on ABC. And the line
(46:10):
of this game, the Chiefs opened a seven point favorite.
They are favored by seven another one of these games.
Everyone's all horny for the Chiefs now because they look
so good against Tampa Bay last week. Over nine percent
of the money is on the Chiefs. Light rain, temperatures
in the sixties at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. Andy Reid
(46:34):
seven and three against the spread his last ten against
the Raiders, and we know that the numbers are not
good across the board for the Raiders against the Chiefs.
They had that big win a couple of years ago
when John Gruden did the victory lap around Arrowhead and
that was like the highlights since since then and before then.
Don't ask Derek Carr when he started against the Chiefs.
(46:55):
The Raiders are five and ten against the spread. Every
train and says, bet on the Chiefs, bet on the Chiefs,
bet on the Chiefs. Bet on the Chiefs. Runaway from
the Raiders. So I'm taking the Raiders. This is a
sandwich game for Kansas City, and you love the sandwich,
so I'm not going to cook on my knee much
much munch. They played a primetime game with the Bucks
(47:17):
last week. They have a massive made for TV game
on deck the Buffalo Bills in week number six, and
the Raiders can sachet their way in here. I know
it's a divisional opponent, but right now, This is not
a team you get up for. The Raiders are one
in three, Derek Carr having some issues. The raiders red
(47:39):
zone offense has been terrible. Kansas City also won both
of last year's matchups by a combined score of eighty
nine to twenty three. They absolutely kicked the snot out
of the Raiders. But that's what happened last year. That
doesn't mean it's gonna happen this year. And that that part,
you know, it scares you a little bit what happened
(48:00):
last year. But these are different teams, different coaching staff
with the Raiders, and so I'm gonna puke up in
my mouth a little bit, but I'm gonna take your Raiders.
Danny g to hang around, hang around and claw a
little bit. Get the back door cover Chiefs thirty Raiders
twenty four. So the Raiders the right side of the
(48:21):
bet and the penny bags and I'm gonna throw this
penny back into the garage going with the Chiefs there,
all right, So the penny taking the Chiefs, I am
taking the Raiders the seven. Thank you for having them
not being blown out? Do you expect this to be
a blowout there? And be honest, you. Actually, after seeing
(48:43):
Josh Jacobs run the way he did last week, I
think the Raiders can keep it close. Unfortunately, though you're
playing the Chiefs, you're not playing the Broncos. But but
I do I do like the Raiders in this game.
I think divisional game. Usually these are pretty close. Last
year things got completely lopsided in favor of Kansas City.
All right, we'll get out on that. That's every game
against the number. If you like this, give us five
(49:05):
stars on the podcast page right there where you download this.
One star for you, one star for the penny. That's
two stars. No no, no, no, it's it's it's five
five stars for me. No stars for the penny because
the penny said back to back losing week's bad job
by the penny. And tell a friend if you got
buddies of years like gambling, and let them know about this. Hey,
(49:26):
I got a little podcast you might want to listen
to get a little knowledge on the NFL. But we'll
put the baby in bed and we have a whole
weekend of podcasts to come. Our normal fair will have
the Life of Mallard and Danny g podcast on Saturday
and coming up on Sunday, the mail bag and you
can eat your heart out on that, and we will
(49:47):
catch you next time. Osta pasta boffliction
Host
Ben Maller
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