November 4, 2022 • 39 mins
Ben Maller and his 5th Hour home-slice Danny G. have a special broadcast for you, as the popular BENNY VS. THE PENNY takes over the Friday podcast for yet another week! What's the head-to-head record for the season so far? Who'll get more football picks right in NFL Week 9... Ben after hours of research, or an inanimate object? Every game is picked against the spread, with Maller-style analysis!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes
a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants
of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot
takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
(00:23):
Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere back
in the podcast dojo for a spectacular edition of The
Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g It's not
your normal podcast. No, it's got a little extra erasmatazz
(00:46):
because it is time now for Betty versus the Petty.
We welcome players. You're welcome, are you? It's time now
Penny versus the Penny. You know what, you could tell
(01:09):
that Halloween passed because we're both wearing long sleeves right now. Yes,
it's California cold. From California cold. Will she anywhere else
in the country that has actual cold weather, people will
be wearing shorts and and sandals. But in California we
pull out the long sleeve shirts, were ready to bundle.
(01:33):
We're such what's this? My chick got on Amazon the
other day and ordered some huge stand up heater or
it's my beautiful white so I'm gonna put it right
by the bed and I'm like, I'm gonna open the
sliding glass door. That's what I'm gonna do. Yeah. Well,
my my wife, of course, she has the heating blankets
stored for the cold season in California. So you gotta
(01:54):
pull out the heating blankets, which we've acquired over the years.
You know, one a year before you know it, You've
got one for every bed. You've gotta have some for
the sofa. So anywhere you are, you have to have
a heating blanket, and that's the the way to go.
But we're gonna get into it. It's Betty versus the
Penny of course, the voice of the Great Danny g
Radio right there, who is representing the penny. And there
(02:18):
might be some lawsuits over how this is going right now.
But before we look ahead to week nine, we must
look back to week eight. In the NFL Every Game Handicap.
To win money as a sports better you have to
win more than fifty two point four of your bets uh,
and likely a fair amount more than that because of
(02:38):
the juice the way that it works, spending on the NFL,
betting on sports in general. And so if you're new
to this podcast, if you've heard us on the radio,
and I've granted about this and given out picks Benny
versus the Penny, sports handicapping for the regular guy, a
bunch of the numbers, man versus an animate object who
will pick more winners. Over the years, I've lost some,
(03:02):
I've won some to the Penny. It's been crazy over
the years. And so this last week, eight fifteen games
on the card, I went ten and five against the spread,
and that is my fourth ten win weeks. So I've
had a pretty good run here to begin the year.
Ready to give it all back here as we get
to the second half of the season. But ten and five,
(03:24):
six sixty seven winning percentage. The Penny had another losing
week to Penny six and nine against the spread. That's
a four winning percentage. And if you look at the
overall season totals, if you look at your radio, and
you can see right there, we have a I have
my tellustrator out, Danny. I've got my tellustrator and I'm
drawing circles around the records right there you see overall,
(03:49):
I am seventy two and three three. Let me let
me highlight that again. So that is by my, my, my,
after that's twenty four games above five hundred. That's pretty good.
That won't last unless it does. And the Penny, who
was five hundred a couple of weeks back, has had
(04:11):
a tough stretcher in the last couple of weeks. And
so the Penny now is five games under five sixty
three and two, so that I've opened up a bit
of separation with the penny. The penny has a four
seventy nine winning percentage, so we'll see how it goes
this week. In week number nine of the NFL, I
(04:32):
am the Nathaniel Hackett and Josh McDaniels of penny flipping. Yes.
I'm happy though, because this is great and making me
look better anyway. The teams that aren't playing here in
Week nine, you will not hear us breakdown the Cowboys
or the Giants both six and two. They're not playing.
The Forts have the weekend off at four and four.
The Steelers are not playing and played much at all
(04:54):
this year, even when they played two and six Brons.
The Broncos are three and five. They're they're not playing
and the Cleveland Browns, who had that win over the Bengals,
they are also not on the schedule. So the first
game for US on Venni versus the Penny for Week
nine every game Sunday and Monday will start out with
Indianapolis three, four and one at New England four and four.
(05:20):
It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Archiletta on
the call, and the Patriots opened a five and apt
point favor in this game. They're favored by five. The
money a lean towards the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. And
we're not getting that really nasty cold weather yet. It's
still November. It's early November. That will come later. Temperature
(05:42):
is actually California, like in Foxboro in the seventies at kickoff,
although mostly cloudy and some of the numbers on this game.
Mac Jones back starting again for the Patriots, who are
three six and one against the spread their last ten
with Mac Jones. Bill Belichick's done very well against the
Colts over the years five and to the last seven,
(06:04):
but I'm taking the Colts in this game. I'll tell
you why we need better ball security from Manny this weekend.
I think we'll get it. The Patriots are not a juggernaut.
Mac Jones has plenty awards, and in fact, he's rat
ranked thirty eight out of thirty nine qualified quarterbacks according
to the numbers from Pro Football Focus their branding system.
(06:25):
Fourth highest turnover worthy play rate in the NFL this
season for mac Jones. And I'm looking at you, Steve
Stefan Gilmour there, I'm looking at you licking your chops.
The Colts defense up front not exactly Hamburger Helper here.
As long as you play again, clean game, clean game, uh,
you'll have a shot to cover in the fourth quarter.
(06:46):
Indianapolis six and two against the spread as a road
dog since the start of last season. Over the past
ten seasons, people think that when Belichick goes against the
first or second time starter that he dominant. It's it
hasn't been the case gambling wise. Belichick his last seven
games against quarterbacks making their first or second career start
(07:07):
just two and five, the Patriots record with Belichick coaching,
So I expect the coast to hang around with Jonathan
Taylor in that running game. Sam Ellinger was not terrible.
He wasn't great either in his debut against Washington, and
he actually did screw up late in that game. But
I'm gonna take the points. I think there's too many
points here. Indianapolis is not dreadful. They're They're very similar
(07:31):
to the Patriots, even with the quarterback conundrum. Patriots will
win but won't cover the spread. Patriots twenty the Colt seventeen.
The final believes in Belichick still going with the Patriots. Alright,
Patriots the picking. If you're wondering how we do this,
the home team is heads the road team his tales
(07:52):
because you travel with your your dairy air via plane,
strands and automobiles, and so that's the way that we
do it, all right. Next up, Buffalo. Here we go
Buffalo six and one at the New York Jets five
and three. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis,
friend of the podcast, former Fox Guy. The Bills opened
(08:14):
up a ten and a half point favorite. It is
all the way up to twelve and a half and
the money on this game relatively even so, no real
advantage either way. Temperatures in the low seventies of MetLife
Stadium in Jersey. Check this out. The New York Jets,
the largest home underdog by any any team with a
(08:34):
winning record since twenty oh seven. The Jets are five
and three and they're twelve and a half point underdogs.
And I want to take the Jets in this game,
and I'm gonna ride not with the offense, clearly, I'm
gonna ride with the defense. Gang Green's defense is not
mince meat here. They're gonna keep this game close and
(08:55):
within striking distance New York's other team. The Jets have
the ninth rank rush defense, fifth in defensive defensive passer rating.
We saw Josh Allen have a couple of hiccups against
Green Bay last week. That's the reason the Bills did
not cover the spread. It's also a sandwich game for Buffalo.
They had a Sunday night game with the Packers last week.
(09:19):
They won that game, they didn't cover, and they play
the six and one Vikings next week game. That's getting
a little bit of detection, a little bit of traction
here in in order to generate offense, the Jets are
gonna have to get the takeaways special teams. Zach Wilson stinks,
(09:39):
He's no good. They don't have the big play running
back right now because he's hurt. So there's a rule.
I have a rule of thumb, a truism. In the
years I've been handicapping these NFL games. Anytime you get
seven points or more in a divisional game, you don't
ask questions. You take the points, you smile, and you
move on. You're getting almost double that. So there's a
(10:02):
lot of value with the Jets here, and I'm gonna
take the Jets. Bills will win, but they will not cover.
Jets will hang around. Bills twenty eight Jets twenty is
your final, and the penny lands on heads again. Going
with the Jets. Alright, So agreement on that. Next up,
(10:25):
Miami five and three at Chicago three and five. It's
on CBS with Kevin Harland and Trent Green. They have
the call. The Dolphins opened a three and a point
favor They're favored by five in this game. Lean in
the money to the Dolphins. At Soldier Field, temperatures in
the sixties. It's gonna be windy, and that's what you
(10:46):
expect in the midwestern Chicago, and not always that way.
The the Windy City actually named after the politicians, but
it is windy. There a lot also the numbers on
this game. The Bears, with Justin Fields as a home underdog,
are one in five against the spread, their five and
eleven as an underdog in his career and Miami, they
(11:06):
haven't been a great road favorite either. They were trailing
quite a bit against the Lions last week came back
and one. But I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game.
The Bears have the twenty seven ranked offense, their defense
just gave away their top player, ro Kwan Smith, so
he's gone to the Ravens, and while the Dolphins we're
(11:29):
going the other way. Right, These are ships passing in
the night, the Dolphins adding players Bradley Chubb and others,
the Bears subtracting players, and Justin Fields bringing a musket
and going against a nuclear warhead in Tyreek Hill in
that Dolphin offense. If the weather was bad, if it
was raining and cold and nasty and all that, I
would go the other way because it would slow down
(11:51):
the Dolphins. There's none of that in the forecast. Unless
I'm missing it, this game will be lopsided. The Bears
can't keep up. It'll be close for a half, but
in the end, barring some kind of dramatic injury to
toa Tuga by Loa or one of the other key
members of the Dolphins. This is a blowout City Dolphins
thirty eight Bears twenty the final penny copying off your
(12:19):
paper going with the Dolphins, all right? Next up for
us penny versus the Penny. We move on to just
outside Washington, d C. Over and land Over in Maryland
suburban d C. And mansorta skull off to the six
and one start Washington four and four back to come
(12:40):
back win last week against Indianapolis. This game on Fox.
Kevin Burkhardt is supposed to call the game with Greg Olsen,
but there's this little world serious thing which may still
be going on. We certainly either hope it ends in
favor of Philadelphia or it does go to a game seven.
But either way they will play the game. Obviously, who
knows what we'll be doing the play by play. The
(13:02):
Vikings opened a two and a half point favorite. They
are favored by three and a half in this game
fifty nine of the handle in favor of Washington. Overcast
and another game in that Northeastern corridor temperatures in the
seventies that kickoff at FedEx Field. Some of the numbers
and trends in this game. Washington eight and two against
(13:26):
the spread with Taylor Heineke starting last ten, starts Minnesota
five and two against the spread. The last seven is
a favorite of seven points or less. But we're taking
the Commanders in this game. And I'm looking at this
like another one of those trap games for the Vikings.
They are rolling along. They've got a three and a
half game lead in the NFC North over the Packers
(13:47):
and Bears. They've got big bad Buffalo on deck. That
is a game that can can prove the Vikings aren't
fraudulent if they can beat the Bills next week. But
first you to get through the Commanders. Nobody gets up
for Washington. They don't have headline players, they don't have
star players. They're just kind of a blog team, generic
(14:08):
brand team. Uh. These these clubs are not that far apart,
despite the record disparity, and Taylor Heineke has been a
spark plug. He's been a good fuse for that morbid franchise.
He went eighty nine yards to win the game against
Indie last week, Washington winning and has covered three in
(14:29):
a row. We expect more of that here they will
spoil Kirk Cousins return to his old stomping grounds and
landover Maryland, Washington, Minnesota twenty one the final, and the
penny disagrees going the other way, taking the Vikings. We
(14:50):
disagree there. We move on to the Motor City. Green
Bay three and five at Detroit one and six. It's
on Fox. You better w watches the Fox box that
Rocks will be calling this game. Packers a three and
a half point favorite. They opened a three and a half.
The line has stayed the same. This game being played
(15:11):
in a dome at Ford Field, so need no need
to give you the weather, although the weather will be
mild in the Motor City. Some of the numbers on
this one. Green Bay, they have been a dreadful favorite
of late. They are two and eight against the spread
their last ten as a favorite. It's like somebody slipped
(15:31):
them a mickey here. When they've been a favorite, they've
been terrible. Detroit six and one against the spread their
last seven as a home dog. Lions are eight and
two head to head with green Bay against the number
since seventeen. I'm taking Detroit in this game. You've got
the Lions on a five game s kid the Packers
on a four games skid, but our money is gonna
(15:53):
be with the Hollolu Blue here. They actually have the
better offense, which hasn't been said for twenty years when
these teams have played. Detroit's gaining six point two yards
per played, third in the NFL. They've gotten some guys
back from injury. They did trade their tight end Hockinson
to the Vikings. The Packers are stuck in mud here.
They're stuck in neutral. Lack of playmakers, bad morale. Green
(16:16):
Bay didn't do anything here at the trade deadline to
improve the situation. Both teams should be able to move
the ball on the ground. Neither one is that mind boggling.
It's not the kind of game that gives you goose bumps.
The wrong team is favored here. Lions get off the
schnide Detroit Packers three and Aaron Rodgers is running to
(16:39):
the Ayahuasca. When this one ends, and the penny disagrees
with you again going with the Packers's a disagreement. That's good.
Either titen the record or the record will get much
worse through thick and thin for the penny. Next up,
(17:00):
the l A Chargers, show me your lightning Bolt four
and three at Atlanta four and four. It's on Fox
with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. They have the call.
The Chargers opened up a three point favorite. This has
stayed flat scary both these teams. Chargers are three point favorite,
a lot of the money in favor of the Falcons.
(17:22):
This game being played in the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Georgia.
The Chargers over the last couple of years have been
a debacle. It's been a devil of a time for them.
In November. There one in nine against the spread their
last ten games in November, and they've now got a
losing record with Justin Herbert their last fifteen games against
(17:46):
the spread six and nine. Atlanta has been a great
bet with Arthur Smith when the line is either plus
three to minus three. Falcons are seven and two against
the spread, Atlanta three and oh at home as a dog,
He's a live dog here at home this season, so
they've done a very good job in their own house.
I'm taking the Falcons here, a healthy Charger team which
(18:09):
smash Atlanta two bits. But that's not the case. Keenan
Allen dinged up doesn't look like he's gonna play. Mike Williams,
Joey Bosa, J C. Jackson, and a host of other
big names are Gonzo. The Falcons meet in Potato. They say,
matchups make fights, and this is our styles make fights,
and this is quite the matchup favor for Atlanta. Falcons
can run the ball. It's what they do pretty well.
(18:32):
That happens to be the kryptonite for the bolt. The
Chargers are thirty second against the run. That's dead last,
allowing five points seven yards per rush. Atlanta has a
jackhammer attack. They've rotated running backs in. They're tied for
twelve in the NFL, so there will be no joy
(18:53):
in Mudville. Back in Charger Land, the Falcons, after that
stinker against Cincinnati and then another one where they barely
won against the Carolina Panthers last week, they will have
another close game, but they will win it as a
home dog. Falcons twenty and the Chargers seventeen is your final.
(19:20):
And the penny also likes the dirty birds at home.
All right, Next up, as we work against the clock.
Of course, there is really no pod there's no podcast clock.
We don't have to worry, all right, Danny. Literally we
don't pay attention to the network clock either. Exactly. We're
rebels like that, Danny. We do what we want to do.
We talk when we want to talk. Bring down the
(19:42):
house is what we do. I Caroline at two and
six at Cincinnati at four and three on Fox with
Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez on the call. Neither one
of these teams in good shape here. The Bengals opened
a nine and a half point favorite, but that has
on down two seven the handle in this game and
(20:04):
about eighty eight on Cincinnati Sunny temperatures in the sixties
at the corporately named Paid Corps Stadium in the Natty
as that game, this will this will not be a
game where teams are bouncing off the wall. Some of
the numbers here. Carolina has has been dreadful as an
underdog five and ten against the spread, but they have
(20:27):
covered back to back games, and they were actually three
and seventeen against the spread their last twenty prior to that,
but now back to back covers Cincinnati. Some of the
numbers here, Joe Burrows starting their twelve and three against
spread lost last week. I'm taking the Panthers. I'm taking
the Panthers made a coaching change, they made a quarterback change.
They've actually been competitive since they did that. For the
(20:49):
most part, I just don't trust since he right now,
they were so blah and I don't trust them as
a touchdown favorite. They allowed four forty yards to do
Kobe Brissette and the Browns weak ass offense last week.
They're playing a bunch of inexperienced players in the secondary.
They'll be yards to be had for p J. Walker
(21:14):
as the Bengals are susceptible to giving up the big play.
We saw that last week d J. Moore, who cost
Carolina the game by taking off his helmet last week
in Atlanta. But the Panthers put up thirty four points
in that game, and they should be able to move
the ball. And this one. The Panthers four and one
against the spread with p J. Walkers starting and Joe
(21:36):
Burrow as a seven point favorite, just one and four
against the spread in his career as a seven point favorite.
And you don't have Jamaar Chase in this game. Carolina
can slow this game down. Slow this game down. Also,
fourth fourth, Joe Burrow the third down in long situations.
(21:58):
He doesn't have his top receiver Jamaar Chase Bengals will
win the game, but not the number. The Bengal Panthers
twenty three the final, and the penny says Burrow will
bounce back with major points, taking the Bengals. Not so fast,
(22:19):
my friend, Not so fast, all right. Next up Las Vegas,
Al Raiders at two and five, as they were trampled
there was a rampage in New Orleans last week Raiders
two and five, Jacksonville two and six on CBS with
Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on the call. The Raiders
(22:39):
opened a one point favorite and they are still favorite
on the road, favorite by one and a half slight
lean on the money, the handle goes to Jacksonville as
this is one of those punched the clock situations for
both these teams, seemingly going nowhere at t I A
A Bank Stadium temperatures in the eighties and Sonny for
(23:00):
the most part. In Jacksonville, the Raiders are oh and
seven their last seven games as a road favorite, and
the numbers are just cringeworthy for Derek Carr, as he
has been a debacle when favorite on the road. But
it isn't much better for Jacksonville They're one in nine
(23:20):
against the spread their last ten as a home favorite
against teams traveling from long distances like the West Coast
or even the far Rocky Mountain time zones. So they've
been bad. Teams traveling miles or more have been dominant
against Jacksonville. But I'm gonna take the jackson this game.
Neither one of these teams is any good. As we said,
(23:43):
the Raiders did hang out on the East Coast, they
were practicing in Florida, didn't go back to Vegas after
they played in New Orleans, licking their wounds. Same old
lay mass excuses from Josh McDaniels and also Derek Carr,
which have not he say the same thing every time
you lose. It's people stop listening to you after a while.
(24:05):
But the defense, the Raiders defense, they allowed Davis Mills
and the Texans to do pretty well for three quarters.
Houston was leading that game a couple of weeks ago,
and Andy Dalton going to the fourth quarter, and Andy
Dalton and the Saints were fine last week. They've had
some success. I don't expect Trevor Trevor Lawrence to struggle
all that much against the Raiders. She's got to stop
(24:26):
the brain fog which has happened sporadically some unforced errors.
But so does Derek Carr. He's a mess on the road,
as we said. In fact, it's even worse than the numbers.
We gave Cars four twelve and one against the spread
as a road favorite, and of course the O n
seven last seven times since Derek Carr and the Raiders
(24:48):
are one ten and one as a road favorite. So
I'm looking at the Jacks here. You have some success
on the ground with Travis at the end to matriculate
the ball around and catch passes out of the backfield.
Jacksonville and Las Vegas twenty four. Sorry, Danny, it's it's
not personal, it's just business. Danny. Oh, I know. And
(25:16):
I was actually hoping the penny might go the other
way because it's been a jinx lately, landed on tails.
So taking the Raiders, you're right about the middle of
their defense without Nate Hobbs been since he's been with
the cast. Oh my goodness. Offenses can just go to
the middle and do whatever they want against that Raiders defense. Yeah,
(25:38):
and and what you have Davante Adams, Why is it
so hard to get Adams the ball. He never had
this issue in Green Bay. They always ball. I don't
understand why it's so hard for car who supposedly besties
with Davante Adams. They went to the college together, and
it's embarrassed. That's also that's also in an indictment on
(26:01):
Josh McDaniels, who's supposed to be God's gift offensive football.
I mean, come on, I mean, supposedly Davante had a
bad flu last week and shouldn't have played, and they
say he still has some symptoms. But I mean, that's
still no excuse. If you're out there, you've got to perform.
So hopefully those two can bounce back, because they look
(26:22):
decent at times and then they've looked awful at times.
So hopefully they can get on a little run here
and go back to five. They do have a path
to five and five if they can get their ship together. Yeah,
but they're they're capable of losing to anybody. It's like
they have been right in there with some big squads
like the Chiefs, so they're actually capable of winning big
(26:44):
games too. Bad teams lose close games. Bad teams. I'm
moving on. We will explore all avenues on Benny Versus
the Penny. We get to the late television window now
and we'll start out in the Valley of the Sun.
And more on that coming up on the Saturday podcast.
A never before told story that I will reveal on
(27:06):
our Saturday practice. Is that a teaser? Is that a
teas day? I'm gonna have Marcel tweet that out right now. Yeah,
welcome aboard, all right. Seattle five and three at Arizona
three and five on Fox with Adam Amine and Darryl
moose Johnston. The Cardinals opened a two and a half
point favorite. They are favorite by two in the Grand
(27:27):
Canyon State and the slight lean on the money to
the Seahawks. Some of the numbers here as the weather
being the seventies. It's a dome at State Farm Stadium
in Glendale, Arizona. Seattle eleven and four their last fifteen
against the spread in road conference games, Arizona has been
a dreadful home favorite. Gino Smith has been great for
(27:49):
Seattle seven and three against the spread the last ten.
With Gino starting, I'm taking the Seahawks here. I never
thought I would ever say that Geno Smith is clearly
the better quarterback again, someone who's got a two d
million dollar contract or whatever the little little fellows making.
But that's the case there. Gino Smith has been better
and it's not even close. As he mixes it up
(28:10):
with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett and Kenneth Walker the
third Seattle actually looks like a good team. They're not
a great team, but they're good. They're better than it
should have been by a mile, and they're a small
dog here. Kyler Murray has been good for one to
two mistakes a game, and that is gonna derail Arizona's
(28:30):
derailed them most of the year. Even with their big
stud receiver coming back, DeAndre Hopkins. The bad times, bad
times for the most part, continue here. You've got bad
blood between Murray and Kingsbury, not happy the coach with
alligator arms Murray and Cliff Kingsbury. As a home favorite
five and eleven against the spread. As a home favorite,
(28:53):
you toss in some dinged up offensive lineman and Seattle's
defense overachieving as well, not just Gino Smith. It does
not bode well for the desert version of the Birds.
So I'm gonna take Seattle thirty and Arizona the final
(29:16):
and the penny going with the Cardinals, all right, Penny
going the other way on that game. And we we
do want to thank the loyal minions who have listened
every week religiously to this podcast, including David in Winter Park,
Florida and Roscoe the Parrot is Pet Imaginary Parrot, also
Rob in Vegas and several others who have emailed me
(29:40):
every week to critique my work, Danny. They tell me
what they like and what they don't like as I
give these picks and they tell me I'm wrong, although
I haven't been all that wrong in a in a
couple of weeks, Danny. So things have been going well here.
We'll see knock on, you know, I know, all right?
(30:02):
A lot of a lot of football at the l A.
I am is it? Three and four at Tompa Bay
three and five on the CBS with Jim Nance and
Tony Romo. They have the call on this game. The
Bucks opened to two point favorite. They're favorite by three
the money in favor of Tampa Bay. Temperatures in the
low eighties at Raymond James Stadium. The Rams just two
(30:25):
and five against the spread this season, but the Buccaneers
one in six with Tom Brady under center against the spread.
Holy Connoli does that stink? And Tampa Bay has not
done well against Matthew Stafford, of all people, Stafford gambling
wise five and two in his last seven matchups with
(30:45):
the old Buckaroos. There the Creamsicles. But I'm gonna take
Tampa Bay in this game. And the main reason why
is Cooper Cup is dinged up. He's expected to play,
but how effective is he gonna be in this dust
up in Florida? The Rams simply don't have anyone else
who can consistently make plays on offense. They they look
(31:06):
dizzy without Cooper Cup being the man. Even with Cooper Cup,
they still have looked a little bit off. These teams
are doppel gangers of each other. Neither one has lived
up to expectations. Tampa Bay is oh and six against
the spread their last six, the longest single season against
the spread losing streak of Tom Brady's career is going
(31:28):
on right now. But yet I'm gonna take Tampa Bay.
We're gonna go with the Buccaneers because I have more
faith that Brady will play a cleaning game as opposed
to Matthew Stafford. And unless Allen Robinson or one of
these other guys actually starts earning their money as playmakers,
which they haven't done. I just don't. Even with the
(31:50):
Bucks defensive issues, I don't. The Rams have not been
able to score many points. They move the ball between
the twenties, they normally fumble it away or throw an interception,
screw it up somehow or another Buccaneers Ram seventeen the
final Penny would also like to go out scamming at
(32:11):
weddings with Tom Brady for bride's maids. Going with the Bucks.
I hope I'm wrong on that game. That's one I
would like to get wrong. I see the Rams win it,
but I handicapped the game. That's the way I see it.
And even though I like the Rams, what the hell?
All Right? Next up? Prime time games? Now Sunday Night
football just too late games. As we said, Tampa and
(32:31):
the Rams and Seattle in Arizona. So that guy that
does the Red Zone channel is gonna have a lot
of full time all right, Sunday Night Football Tennessee five
and two at Canansa City, also five and two on
and Be You See with Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth
Day of the call. The Chiefs opened up an eleven
(32:54):
point favorite, and they are favored by twelve and a
half at Arrowhead Stadium, Temperatures in the fifties at kickoff
in Kansas City. Some of the numbers on this one.
Tennessee has done very well against Andy Reid coach teams.
They're eight and two against the spread their last ten
matchups with coach read Kansas City also six and nine
(33:17):
against the spread, their last fifteen at home with Patrick
Mahomes starting, and double digit favorites are eight, three and
one in primetime game since the start of last seasons.
That boats well for Kansas City. But I'm gonna take
the Titans in this game. And even with the questionable
status of Ryan Tannehill, he's damaged at the time we
(33:38):
are rolling on this podcast, it appears that he is
up in the air. He may play, he may not play.
Has been crossed off the list. Malik Willis, who's clearly
an acquired taste, look like he should be on a
practice squad somewhere or delivering door dash. But he did
start last week. Tennessee won the game anyway, because if
(33:59):
Derek Henry they played hide the quarterback. The recipe for
this week calls for more of the same, long, methodical,
time consuming drives. You basically want to play keep away,
play it safe, underneath passes, work together, convert marginal or
not marginal manageable third downs, and the Titans are going
(34:20):
to have to make a couple of plays on defense,
get a couple of turnovers. Tennessee is the third team,
just the third team in the Super Bowl era because
all the way back to nineteen sixty six to be
a double digit underdog despite having at least five game
winning streak, very rarely once in a blue moon does
(34:41):
this happen. And while any Reid and Patrick Mahomes are
great and can probably pick their final score in this game,
they normally take their foot off the gas pedal as
the game goes on, which will allow a backdoor cover.
And I just love Mike Rabel as a double digit dog.
They lost in this spot earlier this year, but in
his were Mike Rabels coach teams fourteen and four against
(35:03):
the spread, thirteen and five outright as an underdog of
at least four points including the playoffs, and this is
much more than that. So the Chiefs will win it,
but within the margin of error for Tennessee Chiefs thirty
one and the Titans twenty the final and the penny
(35:27):
says that prime time record is going to improve to
nine three and one, going with the Chiefs. All right,
disagreement there. We'll get to the last game on the car.
We circle to Monday night football. There's the Ravens will
try to make themselves at home in the Bayou. Baltimore
five and three, New Orleans three and five. It's on
(35:47):
ABC with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. As another week
a blank canvas, a new week upon us here and
the Saints defense that had not been worth a nickel
went out and pitched a shutout last week. So does
that mean they're back or was that just an aberration? Baltimore,
they also have had their issues, but they won their
(36:09):
last game as well. So I'm gonna take the Ravens
in this game. Baltimore eight one and one against the
spread their last ten on the road with more than
six days arrest, the Ravens are five and twelve though
against the spread as a favorite since the start of
last season, they haven't won as a favorite gambling wise
(36:30):
the last three times, but I think they will here.
I'm gonna take Baltimore. Love me some Lamar Jackson against
that Saints defense. The ground game mixed with the selective
passing by Lamar Jackson and that Saints defense. I believe
that they actually sucked it. Last week was an anomaly
and it will come crashing back down to earth in
(36:51):
the desert here the Saints defense. Lightning will not strike
twice in the same spot. Baltimore energized. They locker room
got some mojo. They picked up ro Kwan Smith from
the Bears. That's a sign management. That's a vote of
confidence for the team that management thinks the squad is
going to make some some movement in the postseason. Andy
(37:13):
Dalton the main reason I'm picking against the Saints, not
only their defense, but Andy Dalton prime time Dalton, Prime
time Dalton twenty four prime time starts over his career
six and eighteen. Six and eighteen is his record as
a prime time quarterback. You remember that Thursday night game
Saints and Cardinals when he took a ride on the
(37:33):
vomit comment up and down the field and gave the
game away. And I want to jog your memory there
just before halftime and continued it in the second half.
I cannot stomach betting on Andy Dalton. So even though
the Ravens are favored and I usually side with underdogs,
I'm taking Baltimore in this game. Ravens seven and the
(37:55):
New Orleans Saints twenty is the final and the Penny
says that Saints defense is gonna show up again, going
with the Saints alright, so we go the other way
on that game. And that is every game on the card.
(38:15):
A light schedule. We only have a couple more weeks
of the buys because Thanksgiving everyone plays Thanksgiving week. We
have the the multiple games on Thanksgiving and throughout the weekend,
so and then later on Christmas Holidays will be some
some big matchups there on a Saturday during Christmas. So
(38:37):
that will do it for Benny versus the Penny. Remember though,
a never before told story on the Saturday podcast with
my man Danny g here and check that out also
the mailbag on Sunday No days all. Remember good luck
money management, money management, don't go crazy, Do not go
wild and crazy with your bets. They all your bets
(38:59):
be winning ones though, and hopefully you do not turn
into a pumpkin. We'll catch you next time on Benny
Versus the Penny, and we'll catch you tomorrow on the
fifth Hour podcast Later Skater to be Funny, go what
do you think about the Wizards
Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes
a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants
of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot
takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
(00:23):
Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere back
in the podcast dojo for a spectacular edition of The
Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g It's not
your normal podcast. No, it's got a little extra erasmatazz
(00:46):
because it is time now for Betty versus the Petty.
We welcome players. You're welcome, are you? It's time now
Penny versus the Penny. You know what, you could tell
(01:09):
that Halloween passed because we're both wearing long sleeves right now. Yes,
it's California cold. From California cold. Will she anywhere else
in the country that has actual cold weather, people will
be wearing shorts and and sandals. But in California we
pull out the long sleeve shirts, were ready to bundle.
(01:33):
We're such what's this? My chick got on Amazon the
other day and ordered some huge stand up heater or
it's my beautiful white so I'm gonna put it right
by the bed and I'm like, I'm gonna open the
sliding glass door. That's what I'm gonna do. Yeah. Well,
my my wife, of course, she has the heating blankets
stored for the cold season in California. So you gotta
(01:54):
pull out the heating blankets, which we've acquired over the years.
You know, one a year before you know it, You've
got one for every bed. You've gotta have some for
the sofa. So anywhere you are, you have to have
a heating blanket, and that's the the way to go.
But we're gonna get into it. It's Betty versus the
Penny of course, the voice of the Great Danny g
Radio right there, who is representing the penny. And there
(02:18):
might be some lawsuits over how this is going right now.
But before we look ahead to week nine, we must
look back to week eight. In the NFL Every Game Handicap.
To win money as a sports better you have to
win more than fifty two point four of your bets uh,
and likely a fair amount more than that because of
(02:38):
the juice the way that it works, spending on the NFL,
betting on sports in general. And so if you're new
to this podcast, if you've heard us on the radio,
and I've granted about this and given out picks Benny
versus the Penny, sports handicapping for the regular guy, a
bunch of the numbers, man versus an animate object who
will pick more winners. Over the years, I've lost some,
(03:02):
I've won some to the Penny. It's been crazy over
the years. And so this last week, eight fifteen games
on the card, I went ten and five against the spread,
and that is my fourth ten win weeks. So I've
had a pretty good run here to begin the year.
Ready to give it all back here as we get
to the second half of the season. But ten and five,
(03:24):
six sixty seven winning percentage. The Penny had another losing
week to Penny six and nine against the spread. That's
a four winning percentage. And if you look at the
overall season totals, if you look at your radio, and
you can see right there, we have a I have
my tellustrator out, Danny. I've got my tellustrator and I'm
drawing circles around the records right there you see overall,
(03:49):
I am seventy two and three three. Let me let
me highlight that again. So that is by my, my, my,
after that's twenty four games above five hundred. That's pretty good.
That won't last unless it does. And the Penny, who
was five hundred a couple of weeks back, has had
(04:11):
a tough stretcher in the last couple of weeks. And
so the Penny now is five games under five sixty
three and two, so that I've opened up a bit
of separation with the penny. The penny has a four
seventy nine winning percentage, so we'll see how it goes
this week. In week number nine of the NFL, I
(04:32):
am the Nathaniel Hackett and Josh McDaniels of penny flipping. Yes.
I'm happy though, because this is great and making me
look better anyway. The teams that aren't playing here in
Week nine, you will not hear us breakdown the Cowboys
or the Giants both six and two. They're not playing.
The Forts have the weekend off at four and four.
The Steelers are not playing and played much at all
(04:54):
this year, even when they played two and six Brons.
The Broncos are three and five. They're they're not playing
and the Cleveland Browns, who had that win over the Bengals,
they are also not on the schedule. So the first
game for US on Venni versus the Penny for Week
nine every game Sunday and Monday will start out with
Indianapolis three, four and one at New England four and four.
(05:20):
It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Archiletta on
the call, and the Patriots opened a five and apt
point favor in this game. They're favored by five. The
money a lean towards the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. And
we're not getting that really nasty cold weather yet. It's
still November. It's early November. That will come later. Temperature
(05:42):
is actually California, like in Foxboro in the seventies at kickoff,
although mostly cloudy and some of the numbers on this game.
Mac Jones back starting again for the Patriots, who are
three six and one against the spread their last ten
with Mac Jones. Bill Belichick's done very well against the
Colts over the years five and to the last seven,
(06:04):
but I'm taking the Colts in this game. I'll tell
you why we need better ball security from Manny this weekend.
I think we'll get it. The Patriots are not a juggernaut.
Mac Jones has plenty awards, and in fact, he's rat
ranked thirty eight out of thirty nine qualified quarterbacks according
to the numbers from Pro Football Focus their branding system.
(06:25):
Fourth highest turnover worthy play rate in the NFL this
season for mac Jones. And I'm looking at you, Steve
Stefan Gilmour there, I'm looking at you licking your chops.
The Colts defense up front not exactly Hamburger Helper here.
As long as you play again, clean game, clean game, uh,
you'll have a shot to cover in the fourth quarter.
(06:46):
Indianapolis six and two against the spread as a road
dog since the start of last season. Over the past
ten seasons, people think that when Belichick goes against the
first or second time starter that he dominant. It's it
hasn't been the case gambling wise. Belichick his last seven
games against quarterbacks making their first or second career start
(07:07):
just two and five, the Patriots record with Belichick coaching,
So I expect the coast to hang around with Jonathan
Taylor in that running game. Sam Ellinger was not terrible.
He wasn't great either in his debut against Washington, and
he actually did screw up late in that game. But
I'm gonna take the points. I think there's too many
points here. Indianapolis is not dreadful. They're They're very similar
(07:31):
to the Patriots, even with the quarterback conundrum. Patriots will
win but won't cover the spread. Patriots twenty the Colt seventeen.
The final believes in Belichick still going with the Patriots. Alright,
Patriots the picking. If you're wondering how we do this,
the home team is heads the road team his tales
(07:52):
because you travel with your your dairy air via plane,
strands and automobiles, and so that's the way that we
do it, all right. Next up, Buffalo. Here we go
Buffalo six and one at the New York Jets five
and three. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis,
friend of the podcast, former Fox Guy. The Bills opened
(08:14):
up a ten and a half point favorite. It is
all the way up to twelve and a half and
the money on this game relatively even so, no real
advantage either way. Temperatures in the low seventies of MetLife
Stadium in Jersey. Check this out. The New York Jets,
the largest home underdog by any any team with a
(08:34):
winning record since twenty oh seven. The Jets are five
and three and they're twelve and a half point underdogs.
And I want to take the Jets in this game,
and I'm gonna ride not with the offense, clearly, I'm
gonna ride with the defense. Gang Green's defense is not
mince meat here. They're gonna keep this game close and
(08:55):
within striking distance New York's other team. The Jets have
the ninth rank rush defense, fifth in defensive defensive passer rating.
We saw Josh Allen have a couple of hiccups against
Green Bay last week. That's the reason the Bills did
not cover the spread. It's also a sandwich game for Buffalo.
They had a Sunday night game with the Packers last week.
(09:19):
They won that game, they didn't cover, and they play
the six and one Vikings next week game. That's getting
a little bit of detection, a little bit of traction
here in in order to generate offense, the Jets are
gonna have to get the takeaways special teams. Zach Wilson stinks,
(09:39):
He's no good. They don't have the big play running
back right now because he's hurt. So there's a rule.
I have a rule of thumb, a truism. In the
years I've been handicapping these NFL games. Anytime you get
seven points or more in a divisional game, you don't
ask questions. You take the points, you smile, and you
move on. You're getting almost double that. So there's a
(10:02):
lot of value with the Jets here, and I'm gonna
take the Jets. Bills will win, but they will not cover.
Jets will hang around. Bills twenty eight Jets twenty is
your final, and the penny lands on heads again. Going
with the Jets. Alright, So agreement on that. Next up,
(10:25):
Miami five and three at Chicago three and five. It's
on CBS with Kevin Harland and Trent Green. They have
the call. The Dolphins opened a three and a point
favor They're favored by five in this game. Lean in
the money to the Dolphins. At Soldier Field, temperatures in
the sixties. It's gonna be windy, and that's what you
(10:46):
expect in the midwestern Chicago, and not always that way.
The the Windy City actually named after the politicians, but
it is windy. There a lot also the numbers on
this game. The Bears, with Justin Fields as a home underdog,
are one in five against the spread, their five and
eleven as an underdog in his career and Miami, they
(11:06):
haven't been a great road favorite either. They were trailing
quite a bit against the Lions last week came back
and one. But I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game.
The Bears have the twenty seven ranked offense, their defense
just gave away their top player, ro Kwan Smith, so
he's gone to the Ravens, and while the Dolphins we're
(11:29):
going the other way. Right, These are ships passing in
the night, the Dolphins adding players Bradley Chubb and others,
the Bears subtracting players, and Justin Fields bringing a musket
and going against a nuclear warhead in Tyreek Hill in
that Dolphin offense. If the weather was bad, if it
was raining and cold and nasty and all that, I
would go the other way because it would slow down
(11:51):
the Dolphins. There's none of that in the forecast. Unless
I'm missing it, this game will be lopsided. The Bears
can't keep up. It'll be close for a half, but
in the end, barring some kind of dramatic injury to
toa Tuga by Loa or one of the other key
members of the Dolphins. This is a blowout City Dolphins
thirty eight Bears twenty the final penny copying off your
(12:19):
paper going with the Dolphins, all right? Next up for
us penny versus the Penny. We move on to just
outside Washington, d C. Over and land Over in Maryland
suburban d C. And mansorta skull off to the six
and one start Washington four and four back to come
(12:40):
back win last week against Indianapolis. This game on Fox.
Kevin Burkhardt is supposed to call the game with Greg Olsen,
but there's this little world serious thing which may still
be going on. We certainly either hope it ends in
favor of Philadelphia or it does go to a game seven.
But either way they will play the game. Obviously, who
knows what we'll be doing the play by play. The
(13:02):
Vikings opened a two and a half point favorite. They
are favored by three and a half in this game
fifty nine of the handle in favor of Washington. Overcast
and another game in that Northeastern corridor temperatures in the
seventies that kickoff at FedEx Field. Some of the numbers
and trends in this game. Washington eight and two against
(13:26):
the spread with Taylor Heineke starting last ten, starts Minnesota
five and two against the spread. The last seven is
a favorite of seven points or less. But we're taking
the Commanders in this game. And I'm looking at this
like another one of those trap games for the Vikings.
They are rolling along. They've got a three and a
half game lead in the NFC North over the Packers
(13:47):
and Bears. They've got big bad Buffalo on deck. That
is a game that can can prove the Vikings aren't
fraudulent if they can beat the Bills next week. But
first you to get through the Commanders. Nobody gets up
for Washington. They don't have headline players, they don't have
star players. They're just kind of a blog team, generic
(14:08):
brand team. Uh. These these clubs are not that far apart,
despite the record disparity, and Taylor Heineke has been a
spark plug. He's been a good fuse for that morbid franchise.
He went eighty nine yards to win the game against
Indie last week, Washington winning and has covered three in
(14:29):
a row. We expect more of that here they will
spoil Kirk Cousins return to his old stomping grounds and
landover Maryland, Washington, Minnesota twenty one the final, and the
penny disagrees going the other way, taking the Vikings. We
(14:50):
disagree there. We move on to the Motor City. Green
Bay three and five at Detroit one and six. It's
on Fox. You better w watches the Fox box that
Rocks will be calling this game. Packers a three and
a half point favorite. They opened a three and a half.
The line has stayed the same. This game being played
(15:11):
in a dome at Ford Field, so need no need
to give you the weather, although the weather will be
mild in the Motor City. Some of the numbers on
this one. Green Bay, they have been a dreadful favorite
of late. They are two and eight against the spread
their last ten as a favorite. It's like somebody slipped
(15:31):
them a mickey here. When they've been a favorite, they've
been terrible. Detroit six and one against the spread their
last seven as a home dog. Lions are eight and
two head to head with green Bay against the number
since seventeen. I'm taking Detroit in this game. You've got
the Lions on a five game s kid the Packers
on a four games skid, but our money is gonna
(15:53):
be with the Hollolu Blue here. They actually have the
better offense, which hasn't been said for twenty years when
these teams have played. Detroit's gaining six point two yards
per played, third in the NFL. They've gotten some guys
back from injury. They did trade their tight end Hockinson
to the Vikings. The Packers are stuck in mud here.
They're stuck in neutral. Lack of playmakers, bad morale. Green
(16:16):
Bay didn't do anything here at the trade deadline to
improve the situation. Both teams should be able to move
the ball on the ground. Neither one is that mind boggling.
It's not the kind of game that gives you goose bumps.
The wrong team is favored here. Lions get off the
schnide Detroit Packers three and Aaron Rodgers is running to
(16:39):
the Ayahuasca. When this one ends, and the penny disagrees
with you again going with the Packers's a disagreement. That's good.
Either titen the record or the record will get much
worse through thick and thin for the penny. Next up,
(17:00):
the l A Chargers, show me your lightning Bolt four
and three at Atlanta four and four. It's on Fox
with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. They have the call.
The Chargers opened up a three point favorite. This has
stayed flat scary both these teams. Chargers are three point favorite,
a lot of the money in favor of the Falcons.
(17:22):
This game being played in the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Georgia.
The Chargers over the last couple of years have been
a debacle. It's been a devil of a time for them.
In November. There one in nine against the spread their
last ten games in November, and they've now got a
losing record with Justin Herbert their last fifteen games against
(17:46):
the spread six and nine. Atlanta has been a great
bet with Arthur Smith when the line is either plus
three to minus three. Falcons are seven and two against
the spread, Atlanta three and oh at home as a dog,
He's a live dog here at home this season, so
they've done a very good job in their own house.
I'm taking the Falcons here, a healthy Charger team which
(18:09):
smash Atlanta two bits. But that's not the case. Keenan
Allen dinged up doesn't look like he's gonna play. Mike Williams,
Joey Bosa, J C. Jackson, and a host of other
big names are Gonzo. The Falcons meet in Potato. They say,
matchups make fights, and this is our styles make fights,
and this is quite the matchup favor for Atlanta. Falcons
can run the ball. It's what they do pretty well.
(18:32):
That happens to be the kryptonite for the bolt. The
Chargers are thirty second against the run. That's dead last,
allowing five points seven yards per rush. Atlanta has a
jackhammer attack. They've rotated running backs in. They're tied for
twelve in the NFL, so there will be no joy
(18:53):
in Mudville. Back in Charger Land, the Falcons, after that
stinker against Cincinnati and then another one where they barely
won against the Carolina Panthers last week, they will have
another close game, but they will win it as a
home dog. Falcons twenty and the Chargers seventeen is your final.
(19:20):
And the penny also likes the dirty birds at home.
All right, Next up, as we work against the clock.
Of course, there is really no pod there's no podcast clock.
We don't have to worry, all right, Danny. Literally we
don't pay attention to the network clock either. Exactly. We're
rebels like that, Danny. We do what we want to do.
We talk when we want to talk. Bring down the
(19:42):
house is what we do. I Caroline at two and
six at Cincinnati at four and three on Fox with
Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez on the call. Neither one
of these teams in good shape here. The Bengals opened
a nine and a half point favorite, but that has
on down two seven the handle in this game and
(20:04):
about eighty eight on Cincinnati Sunny temperatures in the sixties
at the corporately named Paid Corps Stadium in the Natty
as that game, this will this will not be a
game where teams are bouncing off the wall. Some of
the numbers here. Carolina has has been dreadful as an
underdog five and ten against the spread, but they have
(20:27):
covered back to back games, and they were actually three
and seventeen against the spread their last twenty prior to that,
but now back to back covers Cincinnati. Some of the
numbers here, Joe Burrows starting their twelve and three against
spread lost last week. I'm taking the Panthers. I'm taking
the Panthers made a coaching change, they made a quarterback change.
They've actually been competitive since they did that. For the
(20:49):
most part, I just don't trust since he right now,
they were so blah and I don't trust them as
a touchdown favorite. They allowed four forty yards to do
Kobe Brissette and the Browns weak ass offense last week.
They're playing a bunch of inexperienced players in the secondary.
They'll be yards to be had for p J. Walker
(21:14):
as the Bengals are susceptible to giving up the big play.
We saw that last week d J. Moore, who cost
Carolina the game by taking off his helmet last week
in Atlanta. But the Panthers put up thirty four points
in that game, and they should be able to move
the ball. And this one. The Panthers four and one
against the spread with p J. Walkers starting and Joe
(21:36):
Burrow as a seven point favorite, just one and four
against the spread in his career as a seven point favorite.
And you don't have Jamaar Chase in this game. Carolina
can slow this game down. Slow this game down. Also,
fourth fourth, Joe Burrow the third down in long situations.
(21:58):
He doesn't have his top receiver Jamaar Chase Bengals will
win the game, but not the number. The Bengal Panthers
twenty three the final, and the penny says Burrow will
bounce back with major points, taking the Bengals. Not so fast,
(22:19):
my friend, Not so fast, all right. Next up Las Vegas,
Al Raiders at two and five, as they were trampled
there was a rampage in New Orleans last week Raiders
two and five, Jacksonville two and six on CBS with
Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on the call. The Raiders
(22:39):
opened a one point favorite and they are still favorite
on the road, favorite by one and a half slight
lean on the money, the handle goes to Jacksonville as
this is one of those punched the clock situations for
both these teams, seemingly going nowhere at t I A
A Bank Stadium temperatures in the eighties and Sonny for
(23:00):
the most part. In Jacksonville, the Raiders are oh and
seven their last seven games as a road favorite, and
the numbers are just cringeworthy for Derek Carr, as he
has been a debacle when favorite on the road. But
it isn't much better for Jacksonville They're one in nine
(23:20):
against the spread their last ten as a home favorite
against teams traveling from long distances like the West Coast
or even the far Rocky Mountain time zones. So they've
been bad. Teams traveling miles or more have been dominant
against Jacksonville. But I'm gonna take the jackson this game.
Neither one of these teams is any good. As we said,
(23:43):
the Raiders did hang out on the East Coast, they
were practicing in Florida, didn't go back to Vegas after
they played in New Orleans, licking their wounds. Same old
lay mass excuses from Josh McDaniels and also Derek Carr,
which have not he say the same thing every time
you lose. It's people stop listening to you after a while.
(24:05):
But the defense, the Raiders defense, they allowed Davis Mills
and the Texans to do pretty well for three quarters.
Houston was leading that game a couple of weeks ago,
and Andy Dalton going to the fourth quarter, and Andy
Dalton and the Saints were fine last week. They've had
some success. I don't expect Trevor Trevor Lawrence to struggle
all that much against the Raiders. She's got to stop
(24:26):
the brain fog which has happened sporadically some unforced errors.
But so does Derek Carr. He's a mess on the road,
as we said. In fact, it's even worse than the numbers.
We gave Cars four twelve and one against the spread
as a road favorite, and of course the O n
seven last seven times since Derek Carr and the Raiders
(24:48):
are one ten and one as a road favorite. So
I'm looking at the Jacks here. You have some success
on the ground with Travis at the end to matriculate
the ball around and catch passes out of the backfield.
Jacksonville and Las Vegas twenty four. Sorry, Danny, it's it's
not personal, it's just business. Danny. Oh, I know. And
(25:16):
I was actually hoping the penny might go the other
way because it's been a jinx lately, landed on tails.
So taking the Raiders, you're right about the middle of
their defense without Nate Hobbs been since he's been with
the cast. Oh my goodness. Offenses can just go to
the middle and do whatever they want against that Raiders defense. Yeah,
(25:38):
and and what you have Davante Adams, Why is it
so hard to get Adams the ball. He never had
this issue in Green Bay. They always ball. I don't
understand why it's so hard for car who supposedly besties
with Davante Adams. They went to the college together, and
it's embarrassed. That's also that's also in an indictment on
(26:01):
Josh McDaniels, who's supposed to be God's gift offensive football.
I mean, come on, I mean, supposedly Davante had a
bad flu last week and shouldn't have played, and they
say he still has some symptoms. But I mean, that's
still no excuse. If you're out there, you've got to perform.
So hopefully those two can bounce back, because they look
(26:22):
decent at times and then they've looked awful at times.
So hopefully they can get on a little run here
and go back to five. They do have a path
to five and five if they can get their ship together. Yeah,
but they're they're capable of losing to anybody. It's like
they have been right in there with some big squads
like the Chiefs, so they're actually capable of winning big
(26:44):
games too. Bad teams lose close games. Bad teams. I'm
moving on. We will explore all avenues on Benny Versus
the Penny. We get to the late television window now
and we'll start out in the Valley of the Sun.
And more on that coming up on the Saturday podcast.
A never before told story that I will reveal on
(27:06):
our Saturday practice. Is that a teaser? Is that a
teas day? I'm gonna have Marcel tweet that out right now. Yeah,
welcome aboard, all right. Seattle five and three at Arizona
three and five on Fox with Adam Amine and Darryl
moose Johnston. The Cardinals opened a two and a half
point favorite. They are favorite by two in the Grand
(27:27):
Canyon State and the slight lean on the money to
the Seahawks. Some of the numbers here as the weather
being the seventies. It's a dome at State Farm Stadium
in Glendale, Arizona. Seattle eleven and four their last fifteen
against the spread in road conference games, Arizona has been
a dreadful home favorite. Gino Smith has been great for
(27:49):
Seattle seven and three against the spread the last ten.
With Gino starting, I'm taking the Seahawks here. I never
thought I would ever say that Geno Smith is clearly
the better quarterback again, someone who's got a two d
million dollar contract or whatever the little little fellows making.
But that's the case there. Gino Smith has been better
and it's not even close. As he mixes it up
(28:10):
with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett and Kenneth Walker the
third Seattle actually looks like a good team. They're not
a great team, but they're good. They're better than it
should have been by a mile, and they're a small
dog here. Kyler Murray has been good for one to
two mistakes a game, and that is gonna derail Arizona's
(28:30):
derailed them most of the year. Even with their big
stud receiver coming back, DeAndre Hopkins. The bad times, bad
times for the most part, continue here. You've got bad
blood between Murray and Kingsbury, not happy the coach with
alligator arms Murray and Cliff Kingsbury. As a home favorite
five and eleven against the spread. As a home favorite,
(28:53):
you toss in some dinged up offensive lineman and Seattle's
defense overachieving as well, not just Gino Smith. It does
not bode well for the desert version of the Birds.
So I'm gonna take Seattle thirty and Arizona the final
(29:16):
and the penny going with the Cardinals, all right, Penny
going the other way on that game. And we we
do want to thank the loyal minions who have listened
every week religiously to this podcast, including David in Winter Park,
Florida and Roscoe the Parrot is Pet Imaginary Parrot, also
Rob in Vegas and several others who have emailed me
(29:40):
every week to critique my work, Danny. They tell me
what they like and what they don't like as I
give these picks and they tell me I'm wrong, although
I haven't been all that wrong in a in a
couple of weeks, Danny. So things have been going well here.
We'll see knock on, you know, I know, all right?
(30:02):
A lot of a lot of football at the l A.
I am is it? Three and four at Tompa Bay
three and five on the CBS with Jim Nance and
Tony Romo. They have the call on this game. The
Bucks opened to two point favorite. They're favorite by three
the money in favor of Tampa Bay. Temperatures in the
low eighties at Raymond James Stadium. The Rams just two
(30:25):
and five against the spread this season, but the Buccaneers
one in six with Tom Brady under center against the spread.
Holy Connoli does that stink? And Tampa Bay has not
done well against Matthew Stafford, of all people, Stafford gambling
wise five and two in his last seven matchups with
(30:45):
the old Buckaroos. There the Creamsicles. But I'm gonna take
Tampa Bay in this game. And the main reason why
is Cooper Cup is dinged up. He's expected to play,
but how effective is he gonna be in this dust
up in Florida? The Rams simply don't have anyone else
who can consistently make plays on offense. They they look
(31:06):
dizzy without Cooper Cup being the man. Even with Cooper Cup,
they still have looked a little bit off. These teams
are doppel gangers of each other. Neither one has lived
up to expectations. Tampa Bay is oh and six against
the spread their last six, the longest single season against
the spread losing streak of Tom Brady's career is going
(31:28):
on right now. But yet I'm gonna take Tampa Bay.
We're gonna go with the Buccaneers because I have more
faith that Brady will play a cleaning game as opposed
to Matthew Stafford. And unless Allen Robinson or one of
these other guys actually starts earning their money as playmakers,
which they haven't done. I just don't. Even with the
(31:50):
Bucks defensive issues, I don't. The Rams have not been
able to score many points. They move the ball between
the twenties, they normally fumble it away or throw an interception,
screw it up somehow or another Buccaneers Ram seventeen the
final Penny would also like to go out scamming at
(32:11):
weddings with Tom Brady for bride's maids. Going with the Bucks.
I hope I'm wrong on that game. That's one I
would like to get wrong. I see the Rams win it,
but I handicapped the game. That's the way I see it.
And even though I like the Rams, what the hell?
All Right? Next up? Prime time games? Now Sunday Night
football just too late games. As we said, Tampa and
(32:31):
the Rams and Seattle in Arizona. So that guy that
does the Red Zone channel is gonna have a lot
of full time all right, Sunday Night Football Tennessee five
and two at Canansa City, also five and two on
and Be You See with Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth
Day of the call. The Chiefs opened up an eleven
(32:54):
point favorite, and they are favored by twelve and a
half at Arrowhead Stadium, Temperatures in the fifties at kickoff
in Kansas City. Some of the numbers on this one.
Tennessee has done very well against Andy Reid coach teams.
They're eight and two against the spread their last ten
matchups with coach read Kansas City also six and nine
(33:17):
against the spread, their last fifteen at home with Patrick
Mahomes starting, and double digit favorites are eight, three and
one in primetime game since the start of last seasons.
That boats well for Kansas City. But I'm gonna take
the Titans in this game. And even with the questionable
status of Ryan Tannehill, he's damaged at the time we
(33:38):
are rolling on this podcast, it appears that he is
up in the air. He may play, he may not play.
Has been crossed off the list. Malik Willis, who's clearly
an acquired taste, look like he should be on a
practice squad somewhere or delivering door dash. But he did
start last week. Tennessee won the game anyway, because if
(33:59):
Derek Henry they played hide the quarterback. The recipe for
this week calls for more of the same, long, methodical,
time consuming drives. You basically want to play keep away,
play it safe, underneath passes, work together, convert marginal or
not marginal manageable third downs, and the Titans are going
(34:20):
to have to make a couple of plays on defense,
get a couple of turnovers. Tennessee is the third team,
just the third team in the Super Bowl era because
all the way back to nineteen sixty six to be
a double digit underdog despite having at least five game
winning streak, very rarely once in a blue moon does
(34:41):
this happen. And while any Reid and Patrick Mahomes are
great and can probably pick their final score in this game,
they normally take their foot off the gas pedal as
the game goes on, which will allow a backdoor cover.
And I just love Mike Rabel as a double digit dog.
They lost in this spot earlier this year, but in
his were Mike Rabels coach teams fourteen and four against
(35:03):
the spread, thirteen and five outright as an underdog of
at least four points including the playoffs, and this is
much more than that. So the Chiefs will win it,
but within the margin of error for Tennessee Chiefs thirty
one and the Titans twenty the final and the penny
(35:27):
says that prime time record is going to improve to
nine three and one, going with the Chiefs. All right,
disagreement there. We'll get to the last game on the car.
We circle to Monday night football. There's the Ravens will
try to make themselves at home in the Bayou. Baltimore
five and three, New Orleans three and five. It's on
(35:47):
ABC with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. As another week
a blank canvas, a new week upon us here and
the Saints defense that had not been worth a nickel
went out and pitched a shutout last week. So does
that mean they're back or was that just an aberration? Baltimore,
they also have had their issues, but they won their
(36:09):
last game as well. So I'm gonna take the Ravens
in this game. Baltimore eight one and one against the
spread their last ten on the road with more than
six days arrest, the Ravens are five and twelve though
against the spread as a favorite since the start of
last season, they haven't won as a favorite gambling wise
(36:30):
the last three times, but I think they will here.
I'm gonna take Baltimore. Love me some Lamar Jackson against
that Saints defense. The ground game mixed with the selective
passing by Lamar Jackson and that Saints defense. I believe
that they actually sucked it. Last week was an anomaly
and it will come crashing back down to earth in
(36:51):
the desert here the Saints defense. Lightning will not strike
twice in the same spot. Baltimore energized. They locker room
got some mojo. They picked up ro Kwan Smith from
the Bears. That's a sign management. That's a vote of
confidence for the team that management thinks the squad is
going to make some some movement in the postseason. Andy
(37:13):
Dalton the main reason I'm picking against the Saints, not
only their defense, but Andy Dalton prime time Dalton, Prime
time Dalton twenty four prime time starts over his career
six and eighteen. Six and eighteen is his record as
a prime time quarterback. You remember that Thursday night game
Saints and Cardinals when he took a ride on the
(37:33):
vomit comment up and down the field and gave the
game away. And I want to jog your memory there
just before halftime and continued it in the second half.
I cannot stomach betting on Andy Dalton. So even though
the Ravens are favored and I usually side with underdogs,
I'm taking Baltimore in this game. Ravens seven and the
(37:55):
New Orleans Saints twenty is the final and the Penny
says that Saints defense is gonna show up again, going
with the Saints alright, so we go the other way
on that game. And that is every game on the card.
(38:15):
A light schedule. We only have a couple more weeks
of the buys because Thanksgiving everyone plays Thanksgiving week. We
have the the multiple games on Thanksgiving and throughout the weekend,
so and then later on Christmas Holidays will be some
some big matchups there on a Saturday during Christmas. So
(38:37):
that will do it for Benny versus the Penny. Remember though,
a never before told story on the Saturday podcast with
my man Danny g here and check that out also
the mailbag on Sunday No days all. Remember good luck
money management, money management, don't go crazy, Do not go
wild and crazy with your bets. They all your bets
(38:59):
be winning ones though, and hopefully you do not turn
into a pumpkin. We'll catch you next time on Benny
Versus the Penny, and we'll catch you tomorrow on the
fifth Hour podcast Later Skater to be Funny, go what
do you think about the Wizards
Host
Ben Maller
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