November 11, 2022 • 45 mins
Ben Maller and his 5th Hour homie Danny G. have a special broadcast for you, as the popular BENNY VS. THE PENNY takes over the Friday podcast for yet another week! What's the head-to-head record for the season so far? Who'll get more football picks right in NFL Week 10... Ben, after hours of research, or an inanimate object? Every game is picked against the spread, with Maller-style analysis!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants
of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the Clearinghouse of hot
takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
(00:23):
Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and
we welcome you in to a special edition of The
Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danty G Radio. And
we promoted this on terrestrial radio during the week. It's
(00:47):
Benny versus the Petty and here it is yet again.
Strike up the band, Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up?
It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Love that sound,
(01:09):
Love that sound. And right over there, the penny has
yet to speak. So the representative of the Penny, the
honorable Danny G Radio, the voice and the face of
the Penny. Hello, Danny Yo, Good morning Benny. And you
(01:29):
know I might sound a little stuffed up. I've been
fighting off a cold the past couple of days. So
the Penny it's like being on the I R. Although
the Penny has had a horrible, sickly season completely, not
just this weekend, yes, a bedraggled, exhausted, stressed out Penny,
(01:50):
a very unusual season so far. Before we get to
the games at hand here in week ten, we must
look back to week nine, and I want to think
my fact checkers like David in winter Park, Florida with
Roscoe the Parrot, and Rob in Vegas, and several others
you know who you are, who emailed me every week
(02:11):
to make sure that I'm giving out the right record
and no bogus records, thinking that I'm somehow inflating the records.
But the great thing about this podcast, Danny, is everything
is available. All of the audio content is available in
the archives, So if you think I'm full of bullshit,
you can go back and listen to any of the
(02:31):
shows and crunch the numbers yourself. So back in week nine,
we'll start out with the Penny. Now, the Penny, on
a losing streak, needed to bounce back, and it did
not go well for the Penny. There were a total
of thirteen games on the card. A bunch of teams
had buys last week. The Penny went somehow three nine
(02:54):
and one against the sprint. Is that is terrible, absolutely sucks,
devoid of matter. Yeah, that is the second worst week
the penny has had. Nothing can quite top Week three,
where the penny went three and thirteen against the spread.
(03:17):
Uh that that only picking three winners out of sixteen
games back in week three. But here in Week nine,
last week, the penny went three nine and one. That's
a two fifty winning percentage. Now, how did I do.
Let's get to the point, please, my reign of terror
continuing over the penny thirteen games, I went eight three
and two, So a couple of games finished in a push,
(03:41):
but eight three and two a seven twenty seven winning percentage,
which is actually my highest one week winning percentage all
season if you go by that metric. And overall, now
the penny every game picking flipping the penny, Danny g
you do it. No, no, bull bull bull crap. Right,
(04:01):
you're flipping the penny badly, But that's good for you.
You know you're probably gonna want to sign me to
a long term contract. I know you're my good luck charm.
After I had all these other people do the penny
over the years, and I got whacked most of the time.
But you come in here, Danny, and all of a sudden,
I'm like, I'm gonna get my my my smoke phone.
(04:21):
I'm gonna give out my picks, my number or something.
You like boats. Listen up, Yeah, I'll get a boat
driveway after my gambling tip. You don't have a boat
in your driveway, I wanna get you. You're gonna have
a mistress and a boat at a new house south
of France. So uh so some anyway, the Penny overall
(04:43):
is sixty four seventy two and three on the year.
Every game against the spread, that's a four seventy one
winning percentage, which when you consider the Penny had two
weeks where they were sixteen games under five right there,
that's pretty much the difference. But uh four seventy one
winning percentage. I had to double check on this, and
Roscoe the Parrot, David, Rob, Mike, all you guys can
(05:07):
go back and check. But I am eighty fifty one
and five against the spread, and my computer like brain
tells me that that is twenty nine games above five,
six eleven winning percentage so far this NFL season. So
remember that the number that you're looking for here to
(05:28):
make money. You have to win more than fifty two
point four percent to make money and to make that work. Otherwise,
because of the way the juice is set up, you'll
burn out. It will not go well. So let's get
to it now. It is week ten, and we will
not be talking about the Ravens. The Ben Gals are
(05:49):
not playing, the Jets are not playing in the Patriots
are not playing. All those teams on the bye week.
Here in week number ten, and we start out with
the early, early, early game. And if you're the Seattle Seahawks,
it is extremely early, as this game will be played
(06:09):
in Germany, Seattle six and three versus Tampa Bay four
and five on the year, it's on the NFL network.
Rich Eisen who used to work at our place, and
Kurt Warner, Michael Urban, the playmaker, Steve Mariucci, all of
them getting their expenses paid. In Munich, Germany, where this
(06:30):
game will be played, the Buccaneers opened a one and
a half point favorite in the neutral site. They are
favored by three slight lean on the money to the
Bucks after they beat the Rams last week. Temperatures in
the fifties at the stadium there in Munich, Germany, where
they will be playing Tampa Bay, Oh six and one
(06:52):
this season against the spread with Todd Bowls and Tom
Brady and the Seattle Seahawks. What the heck are they
doing right there in Seattle? They have been wonderful with
Gino Smith nine and three going back to last year
with Gino Smith as the starting quarterback and six and
one against the spread their last seven games as an
(07:15):
underdog of seven or less. The pig is in. I
wanna take Seattle in this game. The Seahawks have a
better defense, they have a better quarterback. Gino Smith has
actually played better than Tom Brady. Never thought I'd say
that sentence. Welcome to Bizarro world, and you mix in
what what I'd like to think is the secret weapon here,
Kenneth Walker and the running game Kenneth Walker the second
(07:38):
or third wherever it is, and the running game here.
This is the right side of the game. The the
only thing that scares you a little bit. The only
red flag is the start time body clockwise. This game
will be kicking off at six thirty am body clock times.
Seattle are all those twelves is gonna get up and
have bacon and sausage and scrambled eggs and watched the game. Hudos.
(08:01):
The NFL doesn't care about that. I'm sure there's people
all over Germany clamoring for this game, unless they're not.
But that said, the Twelves have covered four straight games
for the first time since the last time they covered
five straight games, and they're about to get that done
here Seahawks twenty four. Back to the lost column for
(08:23):
the Buccaneers seventeen seventeen Seattle with the win and the
penny picks and the penny is going with Tom Brady
and the Bucks. Alright, so disagreement on that game. Out
of the gates, I saw it seemed like the penny
was dancing around there, Danny. I looked. I looked up,
and I thought the penny had gone rogue. Maybe a
(08:46):
jailbreak for the penny the haggard penny decided to take off.
Is that true? Because the penny rolled off the table. Okay,
bad job by the penny. Come on, by the way,
I went with what was on the floor though, So
all is fair, All is fair in love war and
benny versus the penny. Next up the shambolic Jacksonville Jacks,
(09:09):
who did beat the Raiders last week three and six
at Kansas City six and two. It's on CBS with
Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Jim Nance and Tony Romo
calling a Jacksonville game, but it is Kansas City. The
Chiefs opened at nine and ap point favorite. They were
favored by nine and a half. This, of course, the
home Kansas City of the Ben Mallard Chicken Fingers. The
(09:33):
landing in the Greater Kansas City areare in Liberty, Missouri,
just down the street from where the Chiefs play, not
that far away, a few miles away. Most of the
handle on this game in favor of the Chiefs, Sunny
temperatures in the forties at kick off at Arrowhead Stadium,
and some of the numbers on this when Kansas City
has been a terrible home team. They're owing four for
(09:54):
Gamblers at home this season. And if you go back
the last eleven home games started by Patrick Mahomes three
and eight against the spread, that tells you what has happened,
doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. Just like Trevor Lawrence
two and eight his last ten games starting on the road.
So something's gotta give in this game. I'm gonna take Jacksonville.
(10:16):
I like the Jags. This is a quarterback mismatch. We
understand that Mahome is much better than Trevor Lawrence. He
should take Lawrence behind the wood shed and the individual matchup.
That's it. Trevor Lawrence is better and Malik Willis the
Titans quarterback last week. Didn't even try to throw the
ball last week. But we're taking the Jags mainly because
(10:37):
we like the running game. Travis e t n the
running back out of Clempson. Clempson, this guy has been
a bell cow. Now. I was a little scared because
Doug Peterson said they're gonna roll back the amount of
carriers don't want to work the guy tour What are
you saving him for? I don't understand. What are you
saving him for? A rainy day in the summer? Makes
(10:57):
no sense. But Kansas City's run defense blows and I'm
counting on some long, methodical drives here for Jacksonville. You're
gonna have to convert some third downs. This game will
be much closer than it's supposed to be. The Chiefs
are just two and five against the spread since week two.
It's also a sandwich game for Kansas City. They played
(11:19):
in prime time against the Titans last week at home.
Next week they got flexed. Their game against the Chargers
in the Hood in Inglewood is a primetime game, so
this is a sandwich game between two primetime games and
a road trip out to l A. Chiefs will win
the game, but this is way too many points. Chiefs
(11:39):
twenty seven, Jags twenty the final and the penny is
going with the Jags, alright, so we agree on that one.
Next up Houston one six and one, Boy is that ugly?
And the New York Giants six and two. It's on
CBS with I An Eagle and Charles Davis. Charles Davis,
(12:03):
we've had him on this podcast. The Giants opened up
a six point favorite. They are favored by five. The
money is pretty even. Temperatures in the forties, cloudy at
MetLife Stadium in Jersey for kickoff. Houston has been very
good for gamblers on the road. They suck overall, but
they've played well enough within the margins, as unorganized as
(12:26):
they are, to keep the games closed there five and
two against the spread, their last seven on the road
nine and six, with Davis Mills starting their last fifteen
and if this line ends up the way it's looking
at Giants by five, this will be just the sixth
time in the Super Bowl era we're a team with
at least a seven winning percentage like the Giants, is
(12:48):
a home favorite of less than a touchdown against the
team as bad as the Texans are. But I'm gonna
take the Texas anyway. We like Houston this week for
a couple of reasons. The Giants little bit zok coming
off the bye week, and the Texans have a big
time running back who's not that well known, Damian Pierce.
We had the Texans their last game against Philadelphia. They
(13:09):
covered for us. Damian Pierce banged up, got a chest problem,
a shoulder problem. Everyone's dinged up at this point in
the NFL. But the kryptonite for the Giants is their
run defense. They have been slobber chops on that side
of the defense their thirty one and run defense this year.
Last four weeks, they're dead last in the NFL, allowing
(13:29):
six point three yards per carry. The problem, the fly
in the ointment here is that Houston also blows at
stopping the runs, So both teams should be able to
move the ball at will with their running backs to Kwan,
Barkley and Pierce. The quarterbacks are pretty much awah. Danny
Dimes stinks and so does Davis Mills. But I'm counting
(13:52):
on some long, time consuming drives. Eat the clock, eat
the clock, eat the clock, and keep the game low scoring.
Giants will win, but they won't cover that five point line.
Giants twenty three, Texans twenty another heartbreaking boss for Houston,
(14:14):
and the Penny agrees with you, going with the Texans
to cover all right. Next up for US, we jump
right into Norlands three and six at Pittsburgh two and six.
It is on Fox with Adam Amin and Mark slay Rith.
This game looking like a debacle when you look at
(14:35):
the records here, when you put these teams together, you
don't want to look at the records because if you
looked at the records, you wouldn't want to watch the game.
But the Saints opened a two point road favorite, and
that seems like a bad dream. But they are favored
by one and a half. Pretty much everyone and their
uncle betting on the Steelers, which scares me a little bit.
The stadium formerly known as Heinz Field, mostly cloudy temperatures
(14:57):
in the thirties, so you can tell we're getting close
to the Thanksgiving with these temperatures. And Dennis Allen has
been miserable with the Saints, just like he was with
the Raiders. Three and six against the spread New Orleans
this year, and Andy Dalton all those games over the
years against the Steelers and Pittsburgh loving the fact that
(15:18):
the cataclysmic Andy Dalton's walking in Steelers are eight and
two against the spread their last ten against an Andy
Dalton quarterback team. Mike Tomlin, check out some of these numbers,
fourteen and four, fourteen four and two, I should say
fourteen four and two as a home underdog, they're thirteen
and seven out right in those games, seven oh and
(15:39):
two against the spread the last five seasons as a
home underdog. This is a special gift. New Orleans is
oh and three on the road this year. They're one
in five on the season when the line is between
plus three or minus three. There is nothing that indicates
you should bet on the on the on the Saints,
(16:01):
and maybe all look like a donkey when this is
all done, but I'm gonna go with the public on this.
I'm taking the Steelers. Andy Dalton stinks. I can't believe
the Saints team We're able to shut out the Raiders
a few weeks ago. That blows my mind. Uh, the
Steelers are arrested coming off the by. They're getting some
guys back. It's gonna be a chilly afternoon for the Yensers.
That does not vote well for the red peace shooter,
(16:23):
not the red rifle. He's a peace shooter. And T J.
Watt is expected back, the defensive stalwart back from injured
reserve for the Black and Yellow. The Steelers are going
to get more of their running game with Jalen Warren,
which I think is actually an upgrade because they haven't
got much running game going at all. Steelers in a
low scoring defensive struggle twenty with Kenny Pickett and the
(16:48):
Saints with Andy Dalton ten your final. The Penny says
you're crazy to go with the public. Penny's going with
the Saints. Well, that is actually true. Usually it turns
out to be a nightmare when you go with the public.
It's insomnia inducing experience. But well, we'll think the public's
(17:10):
right for once and we'll see how that works out.
Speaking of insomnia, Detroit and Chicago, you talk about restlessness.
Doub Bears suddenly a hot team because of last week.
More than that minute. Detroit though two and six, Chicago
three and six. It's on Fox with Kevin Coogler and
Mark Sanchez. Sanchiz, the butt fumble guy, will have the
(17:33):
call there on Fox. The Bears opened a one and
a half point favorite both these teams. The Exxon Valdis
they're spilling oil all over the place, and the Bears
have a three point favorite. Now, as I said, open
one and a half the public betting on that very
flammable Bears team. It is going to be mostly cloudy
(17:57):
thirty six degrees at kickoff at Soldier Field, and I'm
gonna take the Lions here. Detroit has been a great
underdog there ten four and one against the spread. As
an underdog, They've covered six straight divisional games as a dog.
I don't get the overreaction of Justin Fields slicing up
the Dolphin defense because the Lions also sliced up the
(18:18):
Dolphins defense. It was a great day for Fields. He
showed some razmatazz, some highlight plays. Was great to watch.
That wonderful. If he could only get some some throwing
going and complete some some more passes, but the Lions
rushed defense has played much better recently. They were thirteen
in the NFL over the last month. The key to
(18:40):
this game, though, is the interior for the Detroit Lions.
Aidan Hutchinson, the top pick for Detroit total stud in
the middle. Lions getting some guys back, while the Bears
again without ro Kwan Smith and Robert Quinn. They were
both traded before the deadline, and the struggle is real.
I love the Lion getting three points here. A regression
(19:02):
to the mean for Justin Fields. If he's not able
to run wild like the Dickens, he's gonna have to
throw the ball and that boats well for the Lions
because they'll get pressure on Justin Field. With Aidan Hutchinson
and friends, Lions get their third win of the year.
Lions twenty six, Bears twenty three the final, and the
(19:28):
penny is going with the Justin Fields hype. Don't buy
the hype. Don't buy the hype. Alright, next up here
Cleveland three and five at Miami, Miami, Miami. It's on
CBS Miami. Six and three on CBS with Greg Gumble
and Adam Marcelta. Dolphins started the year with three wins.
(19:48):
They then had three losses, and now they won three
in a row. Dolphins opened up a five and a
half point favorite. They are a three and a half
point favorite right now, and many people think the Browns
are just going to be cannon fodder in this game.
Mostly sunny temperatures in the low eighties at kickoff at
hard Rock Stadium. As Cleveland has been very good against Miami.
(20:13):
They don't play that often, but Cleveland seven and one
against the spread their last day against the Dolphins, and
the Browns winning record with Jacobe Brissette as the starting
quarterback five and three against the spread with Brissette under center.
Cleveland also has been a great dog. They've been a
live dog. Are our eleven four eleven and four? The
(20:35):
record last fifteen has an underdog three and one this season.
As a dog, I'm taking Cleveland in this game. The
Browns defense has bounced back the last couple of weeks.
They also get defensive back Denzel Award back from concussion protocol.
The plan best laid plans of mice and men is
for him to bird dog Tyreek Hill, slow Tyreek down
a little bit, pressure to a tongue of by law
(20:58):
mess up the pocket there with Miles Garrett forced him
to check down to others, disrupt the passing game. Miles
Garrett like the Tasmanian Devil and on offense just a
study diet of time consuming runs. With Nick Chubb and
Kareem Hunt. We saw what Chicago's uh Chicago's office was
(21:19):
able to do running the ball against that Miami defense.
The Dolphins obviously making that a point of emphasis this week,
but can you fix it that quickly? Bradley Chubb coming
over from the Broncos, He'll be a second game here.
Dolphins win, but they don't cover the spread. Dolphins. Brown
is going to be the final on Sunday and the
(21:45):
penny is going with two and the Dolphins alright. Next
up Minnesota seven and one at Buffalo six and two.
It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston.
They have the call. The Buffalo Bills opened up a
nine and a half point favorite, but they that line
(22:06):
now down to three and a half because of a
key injury, rain and possible snow in this game. So
we could have a snow game in Buffalo. Temperatures in
the low thirties at high Mark Stadium there in Orchard Park,
New York, So Minnesota, owing four their last four games
against the spread as a dog. This is their second
(22:28):
game as an underdog this season, so a couple of
games last year, a couple of games uh this year.
Now and Buffalo lost last week. They were ten an
a half point favorite. They lost the game outright to
the Jets, very embarrassing. The reason this game is impossible
to handicap is because at the time we are doing this,
we do not know the status of Josh Allen. He's
(22:50):
got a bum elbow. His status is up in the air.
There are some people that are convinced he's not going
to play. Others say he will play. But either way,
go bold or go home. Do I think the Vikings
are gonna bulldoze the Bills in this game because Josh
Allen might not play. No, No, I did not. I
(23:11):
do not believe that. In fact, I'm going the other way.
I'm going with a Buffalo rome. I'm taking the Bills
here to corral the Viking ship. I do not expect
Josh Allen to play. I do like the idea of
a good Buffalo team with a backup quarterback rallying around
their backup quarterback for a couple of weeks, case Keenum
(23:32):
can get the job done. You don't want to play
him long term, right because teams eventually will be able
to neutralize him, and they can, they can cancel him out.
But for a couple of weeks, why not, you can
get it done. Let Josh allen and heal his elbow.
The main reason to like the Bills, though, is von
Miller and the defense in the face of Kirk Cousins
wishing he was on a dinghy out in the snow
(23:55):
on Lake Erie. There the pressure is what breaks pipes.
It also breaks kirk Ins and the chance of snow.
It's gonna be nasty. Even though Cousins lives in Minnesota,
he plays in a dome. I don't see this going
well for the Viking offense. I expect the Buffalo Bills
to rally back here, rallied back, and they will be
(24:17):
the ones that disarmed the Vikings Bills thirty Vikings twenty
three the final and the petting says, go pound some
snow going with the Vikings out there, you Penny how
there you will be blood stained by the time this
ends next up Denver the den Broncos at three and
(24:40):
five and Tennessee five and three. It's on CBS with
Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. They have the call and
a lot of blame going on in the Mile High City.
As the Broncos thought they would be great, it has
been blasphemy. On the field. The Titans opened up a
one an app point favorite. They are favored by two
(25:01):
and a half now at Nissan Stadium, the house that
Clay Travis built there in Nashville, sunny and forty five
degrees at kick off. The Titans five and all against
the spread versus teams with losing records of this season.
Tennessee also has covered six straight games. That is the
longest active streak in the NFL, the Titans longest streak
(25:24):
since oh eight, that's when they covered eight straight games.
And I'm gonna take the Titans. And now Ryan Taniel
may or may not play. He's got a bad ankle.
He did practice limited trending towards playing after missing the
last couple of games. But I don't think it matters.
And I'll tell you why Taniel is not a difference maker.
He's better than Malik will is but the bread and
butter of Tennessee when you put them under the microscope.
(25:47):
The bread and butter is all about the run game,
heavy run approach. Here, Derrick Henry to the left, Derrick
Henry to the right, Derrick Henry, up the gut and
do it again. The Titans will score enough just by
running the ball. The Broncos not so much. Russell Wilson
has been serving up lumpy mashed potatoes and sloppy Joe's
(26:09):
a lot of unforced errors. The Broncos of the dumbest
team in America, a lot of people that need to
be held responsible for how bad they have been. They've
been racking up the penalties here, so I expect Tennessee's
defense is pretty good. They were able to contain the
Chiefs last week from scoring too many points. I say
they have similar success here. Between the twenties. The Broncos
(26:31):
will be able to move the ball, but that's about it.
Titans twenty three Broncos seventeen. The final and the penny
actually agrees with you on this one. Going with the Titans,
all right, So we agree there. We move on now
the late games, and in Annapolis at three five and
(26:56):
one at Las Vegas two and six. It's all on
a city. As with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green, they
have to call. The Raiders opened a three and app
point favorite, but everyone seems to agree that the Colts
new coach is fraudulent and so that he should be outlawed.
The Raiders a six point favorite. A team that has
lost back to back to the Saints and Jags on
(27:18):
the road comes home and is a six point favorite.
Say it ain't so, I don't understand. I don't get it.
Indian Apples. I know they've been bad recently. They're owing
three of their past three games against the spread. Oh
and two was Sam Ellinger the quarterback. But the Raiders,
your Raiders. Danny g three and thirteen their last sixteen games,
(27:39):
is a favorite and Derek Carr is just terrible in
this situation. It's he's just not authorized to play when favorite.
And Josh McDaniels, going back to his days in Denver,
he's got a losing record when his team has been favored,
and he's one in three. The Raiders with McDaniels outright
(28:00):
against the spread, wind favored by at least six points.
I'm taking that Colts. I know that's for boating. I
know that's that's unauthorized, and I'm gonna get in trouble.
It's just honorable all that, but I'm taking the Colts here.
The circus visits Vegas, and what better town for the
circus than Vegas. With Jeff Saturday who skipped to the
front of line, he got one of those golden tickets
(28:20):
Danny g came up with to go to the front
of the line there, uh for the Colts. It's gonna
be fascinating to see how this plays out Saturday in
a Sunday rather in a motivational type situation where Jeff
Saturday is that raw raw type coach. He's the spokesman
for Jim er say, he'll stay out of the way.
(28:40):
That's how I see this going in my crystal ball.
The Raiders have lost the Trevor Lawrence who has not
been very good, Andy Dalton who stinks back to back weeks.
They have the big names but little game on defense,
and Sam Ellinger has been bad. I'm not gonna sugarcoat this,
but he's not gonna face that much pressure in this game.
Despite the names on the Raiders of not getting to
(29:00):
the other quarterback. They're not putting pressure on the other team.
And and Vegas has shown that they don't fight for
Josh mcdanne's. They don't scratch and claw. They take a
quarter off here, a half off there. Derek Carr continues
to be a dog with fleas. His numbers aren't that bad,
but he's fraudulent. He's a bootleg quarterback. And so I
(29:20):
am going to go with Jeff Saturday. I didn't think
i'd say that, uh, And I'm gonna take that mainly
of the Colts defense because they are not They are
not uh bad, They're They're not terrible. They're pretty good
actually on that side of the ball. They held the
Patriots to basically two yards last week, but the turnovers
killed them. So I'm gonna take the Colts and the
(29:42):
Raiders four the final for Jink's sake. I almost wish
the penny would agree with you, Ben, but the penny says,
if Jeff Saturday beats Josh McDaniels on Sunday, we are
living in an side down world going with Vegas. Now,
(30:03):
as a spokesman for the Raiders, Danny G can you
confirm or deny that if the Raiders lose to Jeff Saturday,
who a couple of days ago was putting makeup on
in Bristol, Connecticut. If the Raiders moves to Jeff Saturday,
his his coach to team that Josh McDaniel should be
on the first flight out of the airport in Vegas
back to Boston to work with Bill Belichick and the Patriots,
(30:27):
unless Mark Davis and him in those closed door meetings
were actually joking around having a bourbon talking about the
number one draft pick. Okay, so you're already eyeing the
the number one to the Raiser. I'm not as a fan,
I'm not, but who knows what they're doing behind closed doors.
The way they take quarters and has off, it almost
(30:49):
looks like they're trying to tank. Yeah, it's it's crazy.
The second half last week, well, the entire game against
New Orleans, but the second half last week is in
that first half, as you saw, they were tearing them apart,
the Jags apart through the air. So why in the
second half did they try to establish a ground game?
(31:10):
They went away from the past. Yeah, well, they tried
to run out the clock, right, they tried to run
out the clock and they ended up. They ran, they
ran the prevent offense. Well, at this time, the Raiders
would have the number three pick in the draft. Danny,
if Josh McDaniels doesn't get fired after this game, then
they are trying to get draft position. Or Mark Davis
(31:31):
just wants to save his money for p F Changs
and doesn't want to worry about having to pay Gruden
and pay this guy and whoever else they hire and
all that. Man Or he's just worried about his money overall,
which is why he goes to PF Chang's. Well, PF
change is it's a medium price to Chinese food for us. Yeah,
for us. If we were billionaires, or at least we
(31:54):
owned five billion dollar teams, there's no way we'd be
going to p F Changs. Come on, I'm my I'm
a man of the people, daddy. You know, I'm a
man of the people. I'm a simple like. Damn it.
I could afford extra lettuce wraps. I know I can
get extra egg rolls. I mean it, signed me up.
Come on, I get all that Beijing b for whatever
it is. They're the Yeah, alright. Next up for US
(32:18):
Arizona three and six at the l A I am
is at three and five. It's on Fox. Friend of
the Show, the Great Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have
the call. The Rams opened up a three point favorite
that went all the way down to one because of injury,
slight lean on the money of the Rams Sunny and
in the sixties at so Far Stadium in the Hood
(32:40):
in Inglewood, the Rams eleven and one outright and against
the spread against Arizona including the playoffs under Sean McVeigh
seven and one against Cliff Kingsbury. So this has been
a huge mismatch in favor of the Rams Arizona eight
and one outright and against the spread as a road
underdog since the start of last season, and the Rams
(33:03):
have been miserable at home and on the road, all
of their shortcomings. It's it's like it's like a vampire
seeing sunlight. What has happened in the Rams here. It's
been Brtal that said, I want to take the ramps now.
The reason that the lines that won is because Matthew
Stafford's in the concussion protocol. And again at the time
we are doing Benny versus the Penny, this might change,
(33:25):
but at the time we're doing this. It's up in
the air where their Stafford's gonna play, But there's also
no guaranteed Kyler Murray's gonna play. Has got a hip injury.
Both of them frazzled, which means we could see John
Woolford versus Colt McCoy that that could be the matchup
here in a battle of lounge jacks. Now the wheels
(33:45):
have completely fallen off of the Rams offense. They have
Cooper Cup and nobody else, a lot of wartz, a
lot of malls, a lot of imperfections there. Now the
defense is still legit. That's the main reason I've bet
on this game. Aaron Donald, J. Ramsey and the defense
are are doing their job. The offense under Sean McVeigh
and they're on hiatus this year. Alligator arms. Murray has
(34:09):
been pukedtastic in his career against the Rams. He's more
worried about video games than he is game tape. And
this is going to be an aesthetically unpleasing game, but
the Rams will pull it out. Rams sixteen and the
Cardinals thirteen the final. This is an easy agreement going
(34:32):
with the Rams, all right, So if so fact, though
we both have guaranteed the Rams. It's in the bag.
It's in the bag. What's wrong with your quarterback? By
the way, well, he's weighed down because of the Lombardi Trophy.
It's hard to play. No, I mean, what's wrong with them?
He's got he's got a concussion. He's in the concussion protocol.
(34:55):
So of course watching the Rams, I have a concussion
watching the Rams. So we both have that. M All right,
next up, down, Thank you. I'll be here all week
all weekend. Alright. Uh. Dallas is six and two. They're
playing green Bay three and six and Aaron Rodgers being
called out as a phony. This game on Fox. Kevin
Burkhart and Greg Olsen. It's the big game on Fox.
(35:17):
Why because you put the Dallas Cowboys on TV. If
you build it, they will come. And boyd to the
fans come when Dallas is on TV. These are two
iconic franchises. At the Frozen Pundra where I visited earlier
this year, is pretty cool being in Green Bay. Crazy
scene there, crazy scene in Green Bay with the way
that's set up. It's just a small little Wisconsin town.
(35:39):
This massive monstrosity lambeau Field right in the middle. Cowboys
opened a three point road favorite. They are favored by
five and the handle on this game. About seventy of
the money's on the Cowboys. Temperatures in the low thirties
at bow Field, so it's getting to the frozen tunder
time there in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers five one and
(36:02):
one against the spread in his career as a home underdog.
He's that's that includes the playoffs, so only six but
seven times, seven times in his career has been a
home underdog. Rogers has never been more than a three
point home dog. So this line is at five right now.
So this is uncharted territory for Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay.
(36:24):
Dallas has been wonderful as a favorite. Their thirteen and
three as a favorite since the start of last season,
five and oh against the spread as a road favorite,
Road Warriors. From Mike McCarthy, I've seen the numbers, I've
seen all the data. Everything says bet on Dallas. Don't
even ask any questions. Green Bay's a peewee football team
(36:47):
at this point right it's it's embarrassing dollars to doughnuts.
You've got to take the Cowboys in a landslide way.
But I say now, I am gonna take the Limburger
cheeseheads the green Bay Packers. The Packers were were wretched
uh last week with the mistakes against the Lions, and
they've been miserable if the one of the longest losing
(37:08):
streaks in the NFL. But there's actually value here getting
this many points and Aaron Rodgers at home. Green Bay
should be able to move the ball between the twenties
even with that pass rush from the Cowboys. The issues
have been in the red zone lately. The Packers injury
report is through the roof. They've got Sammy Watkins who's
(37:30):
dinged up. Alan Lazard's got a shoulder, Aaron Jones and
ankle offensive linemen are in the injury tent over there.
I've seen all that. Next man up, do your job.
I don't like Dak Prescott in a cold weather game
in Wisconsin. That seems like risky business. If it looks
too easy, it is, and it looks way too easy
(37:50):
for the powder puff Green Bay Packers to just lose
this game out right, So I say no, I think
they will hang around, hang around, and there's a slim
chance to actually win the game out right. But that
castaways in the left behind players, the misfits in Green
Bay who are playing. We'll keep this close with Aaron
Rodgers Cowboys. We'll win, but they won't cover the spread.
(38:13):
Cowboys Packers twenty four the final, and the penny says,
you enjoy your moldy cheese, Ben going with the Cowboys.
Nothing better than when you. I make the pizza, the
mallard pizza, the garlic onion pizza. I make, and every
once in a while, I'll get the dough and I'll
(38:34):
have the tomato sauce and I'll get the pie ready.
I'll get the sauce on the dough, and then I'll
go to grab the mozzarella cheese and you pull it out.
You open the mozzarella cheese up and you see that
those weird colors of mold growing on the cheese. Boy,
that's a bad feeling, man, that's a bad, bad, bad feeling,
all right. Next up Sunday Night football, the l A
(38:57):
Chargers at five and three San Francisco slash Standa Claire
at four and four on and be see with Mike
Tariko and Chris Collinsworth on the peacock. They've got the
call the line on this game. The forty Niners opened
a three and a point favorite. They are all the
way up to seven and the money slight lean to
(39:21):
the team from northern California at Levi's Stadium, clear Skies
fifty four degrees at kickoff Sunday evening in San Francisco.
The The Niners are five and oh against the spread
their last five games as a home favorite. There two
and oh this season, but historically Kyle Shannon and has
been a walking talking debacle as a home favorite. Eight
(39:44):
sixteen and two is a home favorite. Overall. The Chargers
have been a great road play their four and oh
against the spread on the road. They lived a charmed
life last week as it was fumball and then fumble
as Atlanta and and the Chargers exchanged fumbles in that
wild ending at the end of that game, which helped
(40:06):
the Chargers out. I'm gonna take the Chargers here. The
Chargers can come close to matching the Niners and talent.
People think I'm crazy to say that, but I believe
the point spread is haywire. Even with all the injuries
the Chargers have had, there's value with l A Justin Herbert.
I'll take him over Jimmy Garoppolo. Certainly they're right there.
Belly to belly, Austin Ekeler is a better player than
(40:29):
Christian McCaffrey. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.
So at worst that's a wash. And then you've got
Deebo Samuel who's got a bad hammy and Keenan Allen
who's also got a bad hammy, although it sounds like
Keenan Allen may not play yet again, he's the Kawuahi
Leonard or the Anthony Davis or the Chargers. So either way,
I understand there's a bunch of guys you've never heard of,
(40:50):
Joshua Palmer, DeAndre Carter who are playing white out in
this game and supposed to be key participants. But if
I'm coaching the Chargers, I ride and die with Austin Ekeler.
Run Eckler, throw to Heckler, Gerald Everett to tight end
can be effective in the passing game. Chargers with a
stunner in Sunday Night Football, they not only cover, they
(41:14):
win the game outright. Upset City, Upset City, thirty nine
Chargers over the Niners, and the penny says, you're full
of it going with the Niners alright, last game here,
last game Monday Night Football Washington four and five at
(41:40):
Philadelphia eight and oh it's on ESPN with Joe Buck
and Troy Aikman. They have the call, Will this be
a rags to riches story for Ron Rivera and the
team formerly known as the Redskins? Well probably not, but
the line on this game the Eagles are eleven point favorite.
And then they opened up at tenant app aren't they cloudy?
(42:00):
Temperatures in the thirties that kickoff at the Link in
South Philly, the house that Tony Bruno built. Philadelphia five
one and one against the spread their last seven at
home with Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni. But the Washington
football team has been very good, getting touchdown or more
there eight five and two against the spread the last fifteen.
(42:23):
In that situation, however, Monday Night Football has been a
pit of horrors. As you you go back and there
are eleven games under over the last what's that a
pit of horrors? Okay, well, well that would be that
would be a different, that would be something different. But
(42:45):
but yeah, since since oh seven, double digit favorites on
Monday Night Football are nine and twenty one against the spread.
I just love getting over a touchdown. I'm gonna take
the Commanders here in this game, a divisional game. The
Commanders blown out their first meeting. Remember Carson Wentz played
in that game. Now it's Taylor Heineke, he's in charge.
It's been a great bet Heineck for gamblers there against
(43:09):
the spread. Washington has been a competitive team pretty much
every game. The Commandos are seven two and one against
the spread with Heinech their last ten with him starting,
and Jalen Hurts. He has been great for the Eagles,
and Philadelphia is the more talented team here. But it's
very hard to blow out of team twice in the
same season. And I have a golden rule, and I
(43:30):
follow the golden rule. Anytime you get a touchdown or
more in a divisional game, you take the points. You
don't ask a lot of questions, you don't make a
lot of small talk, and you get the hell out
of there. You take the points and you'll be happy.
And it doesn't seem likely, right unless Washington uses some
kind of witchcraft will win the game out right, But
(43:51):
you can can right, you're gonna over over ten points.
You gotta take those points. Most of these NFL games
are are nipping talk. I'm gonna take the eagle to
win the game, but the commanders to take the money.
Eagles thirty three Washington the final, and the penny says
(44:13):
fly Eagles fly. All right, we'll see if the penny
ate it's lucky charms or or possibly you have flu
like symptoms the penny. So maybe maybe the luck's not
on the side of the penny. With those flu like symptoms,
you might want to wear a mask, penny, you might
want to wear a mask. All right, So there it is.
(44:34):
Good luck. May all your bets be winning ones. And
remember every week, every Friday, Holidays, you name it penny
versus the penny, man versus coin, a human being versus
an adamant object. We'll find out who can pick more
winners than very well to start the year. That means
nothing this week, and we hope, I hope it continues here.
(44:55):
It's been a great year so far. Not for the penny.
I hope that continues, but for me. And we'll get
out on that note. Have a great weekend. Don't forget
We've got two fresh original podcast original audio content. You
can't get it anywhere else only here on the fifth
hour on Saturday, and then again the mailbag on Sunday.
So a lot of a lot of talking throughout the
(45:17):
weekend and we'll get to all that. We'll talk to you,
then see you tomorrow. Asta pasta population
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants
of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the
rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the Clearinghouse of hot
takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
(00:23):
Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and
we welcome you in to a special edition of The
Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danty G Radio. And
we promoted this on terrestrial radio during the week. It's
(00:47):
Benny versus the Petty and here it is yet again.
Strike up the band, Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up?
It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Love that sound,
(01:09):
Love that sound. And right over there, the penny has
yet to speak. So the representative of the Penny, the
honorable Danny G Radio, the voice and the face of
the Penny. Hello, Danny Yo, Good morning Benny. And you
(01:29):
know I might sound a little stuffed up. I've been
fighting off a cold the past couple of days. So
the Penny it's like being on the I R. Although
the Penny has had a horrible, sickly season completely, not
just this weekend, yes, a bedraggled, exhausted, stressed out Penny,
(01:50):
a very unusual season so far. Before we get to
the games at hand here in week ten, we must
look back to week nine, and I want to think
my fact checkers like David in winter Park, Florida with
Roscoe the Parrot, and Rob in Vegas, and several others
you know who you are, who emailed me every week
(02:11):
to make sure that I'm giving out the right record
and no bogus records, thinking that I'm somehow inflating the records.
But the great thing about this podcast, Danny, is everything
is available. All of the audio content is available in
the archives, So if you think I'm full of bullshit,
you can go back and listen to any of the
(02:31):
shows and crunch the numbers yourself. So back in week nine,
we'll start out with the Penny. Now, the Penny, on
a losing streak, needed to bounce back, and it did
not go well for the Penny. There were a total
of thirteen games on the card. A bunch of teams
had buys last week. The Penny went somehow three nine
(02:54):
and one against the sprint. Is that is terrible, absolutely sucks,
devoid of matter. Yeah, that is the second worst week
the penny has had. Nothing can quite top Week three,
where the penny went three and thirteen against the spread.
(03:17):
Uh that that only picking three winners out of sixteen
games back in week three. But here in Week nine,
last week, the penny went three nine and one. That's
a two fifty winning percentage. Now, how did I do.
Let's get to the point, please, my reign of terror
continuing over the penny thirteen games, I went eight three
and two, So a couple of games finished in a push,
(03:41):
but eight three and two a seven twenty seven winning percentage,
which is actually my highest one week winning percentage all
season if you go by that metric. And overall, now
the penny every game picking flipping the penny, Danny g
you do it. No, no, bull bull bull crap. Right,
(04:01):
you're flipping the penny badly, But that's good for you.
You know you're probably gonna want to sign me to
a long term contract. I know you're my good luck charm.
After I had all these other people do the penny
over the years, and I got whacked most of the time.
But you come in here, Danny, and all of a sudden,
I'm like, I'm gonna get my my my smoke phone.
(04:21):
I'm gonna give out my picks, my number or something.
You like boats. Listen up, Yeah, I'll get a boat
driveway after my gambling tip. You don't have a boat
in your driveway, I wanna get you. You're gonna have
a mistress and a boat at a new house south
of France. So uh so some anyway, the Penny overall
(04:43):
is sixty four seventy two and three on the year.
Every game against the spread, that's a four seventy one
winning percentage, which when you consider the Penny had two
weeks where they were sixteen games under five right there,
that's pretty much the difference. But uh four seventy one
winning percentage. I had to double check on this, and
Roscoe the Parrot, David, Rob, Mike, all you guys can
(05:07):
go back and check. But I am eighty fifty one
and five against the spread, and my computer like brain
tells me that that is twenty nine games above five,
six eleven winning percentage so far this NFL season. So
remember that the number that you're looking for here to
(05:28):
make money. You have to win more than fifty two
point four percent to make money and to make that work. Otherwise,
because of the way the juice is set up, you'll
burn out. It will not go well. So let's get
to it now. It is week ten, and we will
not be talking about the Ravens. The Ben Gals are
(05:49):
not playing, the Jets are not playing in the Patriots
are not playing. All those teams on the bye week.
Here in week number ten, and we start out with
the early, early, early game. And if you're the Seattle Seahawks,
it is extremely early, as this game will be played
(06:09):
in Germany, Seattle six and three versus Tampa Bay four
and five on the year, it's on the NFL network.
Rich Eisen who used to work at our place, and
Kurt Warner, Michael Urban, the playmaker, Steve Mariucci, all of
them getting their expenses paid. In Munich, Germany, where this
(06:30):
game will be played, the Buccaneers opened a one and
a half point favorite in the neutral site. They are
favored by three slight lean on the money to the
Bucks after they beat the Rams last week. Temperatures in
the fifties at the stadium there in Munich, Germany, where
they will be playing Tampa Bay, Oh six and one
(06:52):
this season against the spread with Todd Bowls and Tom
Brady and the Seattle Seahawks. What the heck are they
doing right there in Seattle? They have been wonderful with
Gino Smith nine and three going back to last year
with Gino Smith as the starting quarterback and six and
one against the spread their last seven games as an
(07:15):
underdog of seven or less. The pig is in. I
wanna take Seattle in this game. The Seahawks have a
better defense, they have a better quarterback. Gino Smith has
actually played better than Tom Brady. Never thought I'd say
that sentence. Welcome to Bizarro world, and you mix in
what what I'd like to think is the secret weapon here,
Kenneth Walker and the running game Kenneth Walker the second
(07:38):
or third wherever it is, and the running game here.
This is the right side of the game. The the
only thing that scares you a little bit. The only
red flag is the start time body clockwise. This game
will be kicking off at six thirty am body clock times.
Seattle are all those twelves is gonna get up and
have bacon and sausage and scrambled eggs and watched the game. Hudos.
(08:01):
The NFL doesn't care about that. I'm sure there's people
all over Germany clamoring for this game, unless they're not.
But that said, the Twelves have covered four straight games
for the first time since the last time they covered
five straight games, and they're about to get that done
here Seahawks twenty four. Back to the lost column for
(08:23):
the Buccaneers seventeen seventeen Seattle with the win and the
penny picks and the penny is going with Tom Brady
and the Bucks. Alright, so disagreement on that game. Out
of the gates, I saw it seemed like the penny
was dancing around there, Danny. I looked. I looked up,
and I thought the penny had gone rogue. Maybe a
(08:46):
jailbreak for the penny the haggard penny decided to take off.
Is that true? Because the penny rolled off the table. Okay,
bad job by the penny. Come on, by the way,
I went with what was on the floor though, So
all is fair, All is fair in love war and
benny versus the penny. Next up the shambolic Jacksonville Jacks,
(09:09):
who did beat the Raiders last week three and six
at Kansas City six and two. It's on CBS with
Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Jim Nance and Tony Romo
calling a Jacksonville game, but it is Kansas City. The
Chiefs opened at nine and ap point favorite. They were
favored by nine and a half. This, of course, the
home Kansas City of the Ben Mallard Chicken Fingers. The
(09:33):
landing in the Greater Kansas City areare in Liberty, Missouri,
just down the street from where the Chiefs play, not
that far away, a few miles away. Most of the
handle on this game in favor of the Chiefs, Sunny
temperatures in the forties at kick off at Arrowhead Stadium,
and some of the numbers on this when Kansas City
has been a terrible home team. They're owing four for
(09:54):
Gamblers at home this season. And if you go back
the last eleven home games started by Patrick Mahomes three
and eight against the spread, that tells you what has happened,
doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. Just like Trevor Lawrence
two and eight his last ten games starting on the road.
So something's gotta give in this game. I'm gonna take Jacksonville.
(10:16):
I like the Jags. This is a quarterback mismatch. We
understand that Mahome is much better than Trevor Lawrence. He
should take Lawrence behind the wood shed and the individual matchup.
That's it. Trevor Lawrence is better and Malik Willis the
Titans quarterback last week. Didn't even try to throw the
ball last week. But we're taking the Jags mainly because
(10:37):
we like the running game. Travis e t n the
running back out of Clempson. Clempson, this guy has been
a bell cow. Now. I was a little scared because
Doug Peterson said they're gonna roll back the amount of
carriers don't want to work the guy tour What are
you saving him for? I don't understand. What are you
saving him for? A rainy day in the summer? Makes
(10:57):
no sense. But Kansas City's run defense blows and I'm
counting on some long, methodical drives here for Jacksonville. You're
gonna have to convert some third downs. This game will
be much closer than it's supposed to be. The Chiefs
are just two and five against the spread since week two.
It's also a sandwich game for Kansas City. They played
(11:19):
in prime time against the Titans last week at home.
Next week they got flexed. Their game against the Chargers
in the Hood in Inglewood is a primetime game, so
this is a sandwich game between two primetime games and
a road trip out to l A. Chiefs will win
the game, but this is way too many points. Chiefs
(11:39):
twenty seven, Jags twenty the final and the penny is
going with the Jags, alright, so we agree on that one.
Next up Houston one six and one, Boy is that ugly?
And the New York Giants six and two. It's on
CBS with I An Eagle and Charles Davis. Charles Davis,
(12:03):
we've had him on this podcast. The Giants opened up
a six point favorite. They are favored by five. The
money is pretty even. Temperatures in the forties, cloudy at
MetLife Stadium in Jersey for kickoff. Houston has been very
good for gamblers on the road. They suck overall, but
they've played well enough within the margins, as unorganized as
(12:26):
they are, to keep the games closed there five and
two against the spread, their last seven on the road
nine and six, with Davis Mills starting their last fifteen
and if this line ends up the way it's looking
at Giants by five, this will be just the sixth
time in the Super Bowl era we're a team with
at least a seven winning percentage like the Giants, is
(12:48):
a home favorite of less than a touchdown against the
team as bad as the Texans are. But I'm gonna
take the Texas anyway. We like Houston this week for
a couple of reasons. The Giants little bit zok coming
off the bye week, and the Texans have a big
time running back who's not that well known, Damian Pierce.
We had the Texans their last game against Philadelphia. They
(13:09):
covered for us. Damian Pierce banged up, got a chest problem,
a shoulder problem. Everyone's dinged up at this point in
the NFL. But the kryptonite for the Giants is their
run defense. They have been slobber chops on that side
of the defense their thirty one and run defense this year.
Last four weeks, they're dead last in the NFL, allowing
(13:29):
six point three yards per carry. The problem, the fly
in the ointment here is that Houston also blows at
stopping the runs, So both teams should be able to
move the ball at will with their running backs to Kwan,
Barkley and Pierce. The quarterbacks are pretty much awah. Danny
Dimes stinks and so does Davis Mills. But I'm counting
(13:52):
on some long, time consuming drives. Eat the clock, eat
the clock, eat the clock, and keep the game low scoring.
Giants will win, but they won't cover that five point line.
Giants twenty three, Texans twenty another heartbreaking boss for Houston,
(14:14):
and the Penny agrees with you, going with the Texans
to cover all right. Next up for US, we jump
right into Norlands three and six at Pittsburgh two and six.
It is on Fox with Adam Amin and Mark slay Rith.
This game looking like a debacle when you look at
(14:35):
the records here, when you put these teams together, you
don't want to look at the records because if you
looked at the records, you wouldn't want to watch the game.
But the Saints opened a two point road favorite, and
that seems like a bad dream. But they are favored
by one and a half. Pretty much everyone and their
uncle betting on the Steelers, which scares me a little bit.
The stadium formerly known as Heinz Field, mostly cloudy temperatures
(14:57):
in the thirties, so you can tell we're getting close
to the Thanksgiving with these temperatures. And Dennis Allen has
been miserable with the Saints, just like he was with
the Raiders. Three and six against the spread New Orleans
this year, and Andy Dalton all those games over the
years against the Steelers and Pittsburgh loving the fact that
(15:18):
the cataclysmic Andy Dalton's walking in Steelers are eight and
two against the spread their last ten against an Andy
Dalton quarterback team. Mike Tomlin, check out some of these numbers,
fourteen and four, fourteen four and two, I should say
fourteen four and two as a home underdog, they're thirteen
and seven out right in those games, seven oh and
(15:39):
two against the spread the last five seasons as a
home underdog. This is a special gift. New Orleans is
oh and three on the road this year. They're one
in five on the season when the line is between
plus three or minus three. There is nothing that indicates
you should bet on the on the on the Saints,
(16:01):
and maybe all look like a donkey when this is
all done, but I'm gonna go with the public on this.
I'm taking the Steelers. Andy Dalton stinks. I can't believe
the Saints team We're able to shut out the Raiders
a few weeks ago. That blows my mind. Uh, the
Steelers are arrested coming off the by. They're getting some
guys back. It's gonna be a chilly afternoon for the Yensers.
That does not vote well for the red peace shooter,
(16:23):
not the red rifle. He's a peace shooter. And T J.
Watt is expected back, the defensive stalwart back from injured
reserve for the Black and Yellow. The Steelers are going
to get more of their running game with Jalen Warren,
which I think is actually an upgrade because they haven't
got much running game going at all. Steelers in a
low scoring defensive struggle twenty with Kenny Pickett and the
(16:48):
Saints with Andy Dalton ten your final. The Penny says
you're crazy to go with the public. Penny's going with
the Saints. Well, that is actually true. Usually it turns
out to be a nightmare when you go with the public.
It's insomnia inducing experience. But well, we'll think the public's
(17:10):
right for once and we'll see how that works out.
Speaking of insomnia, Detroit and Chicago, you talk about restlessness.
Doub Bears suddenly a hot team because of last week.
More than that minute. Detroit though two and six, Chicago
three and six. It's on Fox with Kevin Coogler and
Mark Sanchez. Sanchiz, the butt fumble guy, will have the
(17:33):
call there on Fox. The Bears opened a one and
a half point favorite both these teams. The Exxon Valdis
they're spilling oil all over the place, and the Bears
have a three point favorite. Now, as I said, open
one and a half the public betting on that very
flammable Bears team. It is going to be mostly cloudy
(17:57):
thirty six degrees at kickoff at Soldier Field, and I'm
gonna take the Lions here. Detroit has been a great
underdog there ten four and one against the spread. As
an underdog, They've covered six straight divisional games as a dog.
I don't get the overreaction of Justin Fields slicing up
the Dolphin defense because the Lions also sliced up the
(18:18):
Dolphins defense. It was a great day for Fields. He
showed some razmatazz, some highlight plays. Was great to watch.
That wonderful. If he could only get some some throwing
going and complete some some more passes, but the Lions
rushed defense has played much better recently. They were thirteen
in the NFL over the last month. The key to
(18:40):
this game, though, is the interior for the Detroit Lions.
Aidan Hutchinson, the top pick for Detroit total stud in
the middle. Lions getting some guys back, while the Bears
again without ro Kwan Smith and Robert Quinn. They were
both traded before the deadline, and the struggle is real.
I love the Lion getting three points here. A regression
(19:02):
to the mean for Justin Fields. If he's not able
to run wild like the Dickens, he's gonna have to
throw the ball and that boats well for the Lions
because they'll get pressure on Justin Field. With Aidan Hutchinson
and friends, Lions get their third win of the year.
Lions twenty six, Bears twenty three the final, and the
(19:28):
penny is going with the Justin Fields hype. Don't buy
the hype. Don't buy the hype. Alright, next up here
Cleveland three and five at Miami, Miami, Miami. It's on
CBS Miami. Six and three on CBS with Greg Gumble
and Adam Marcelta. Dolphins started the year with three wins.
(19:48):
They then had three losses, and now they won three
in a row. Dolphins opened up a five and a
half point favorite. They are a three and a half
point favorite right now, and many people think the Browns
are just going to be cannon fodder in this game.
Mostly sunny temperatures in the low eighties at kickoff at
hard Rock Stadium. As Cleveland has been very good against Miami.
(20:13):
They don't play that often, but Cleveland seven and one
against the spread their last day against the Dolphins, and
the Browns winning record with Jacobe Brissette as the starting
quarterback five and three against the spread with Brissette under center.
Cleveland also has been a great dog. They've been a
live dog. Are our eleven four eleven and four? The
(20:35):
record last fifteen has an underdog three and one this season.
As a dog, I'm taking Cleveland in this game. The
Browns defense has bounced back the last couple of weeks.
They also get defensive back Denzel Award back from concussion protocol.
The plan best laid plans of mice and men is
for him to bird dog Tyreek Hill, slow Tyreek down
a little bit, pressure to a tongue of by law
(20:58):
mess up the pocket there with Miles Garrett forced him
to check down to others, disrupt the passing game. Miles
Garrett like the Tasmanian Devil and on offense just a
study diet of time consuming runs. With Nick Chubb and
Kareem Hunt. We saw what Chicago's uh Chicago's office was
(21:19):
able to do running the ball against that Miami defense.
The Dolphins obviously making that a point of emphasis this week,
but can you fix it that quickly? Bradley Chubb coming
over from the Broncos, He'll be a second game here.
Dolphins win, but they don't cover the spread. Dolphins. Brown
is going to be the final on Sunday and the
(21:45):
penny is going with two and the Dolphins alright. Next
up Minnesota seven and one at Buffalo six and two.
It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston.
They have the call. The Buffalo Bills opened up a
nine and a half point favorite, but they that line
(22:06):
now down to three and a half because of a
key injury, rain and possible snow in this game. So
we could have a snow game in Buffalo. Temperatures in
the low thirties at high Mark Stadium there in Orchard Park,
New York, So Minnesota, owing four their last four games
against the spread as a dog. This is their second
(22:28):
game as an underdog this season, so a couple of
games last year, a couple of games uh this year.
Now and Buffalo lost last week. They were ten an
a half point favorite. They lost the game outright to
the Jets, very embarrassing. The reason this game is impossible
to handicap is because at the time we are doing this,
we do not know the status of Josh Allen. He's
(22:50):
got a bum elbow. His status is up in the air.
There are some people that are convinced he's not going
to play. Others say he will play. But either way,
go bold or go home. Do I think the Vikings
are gonna bulldoze the Bills in this game because Josh
Allen might not play. No, No, I did not. I
(23:11):
do not believe that. In fact, I'm going the other way.
I'm going with a Buffalo rome. I'm taking the Bills
here to corral the Viking ship. I do not expect
Josh Allen to play. I do like the idea of
a good Buffalo team with a backup quarterback rallying around
their backup quarterback for a couple of weeks, case Keenum
(23:32):
can get the job done. You don't want to play
him long term, right because teams eventually will be able
to neutralize him, and they can, they can cancel him out.
But for a couple of weeks, why not, you can
get it done. Let Josh allen and heal his elbow.
The main reason to like the Bills, though, is von
Miller and the defense in the face of Kirk Cousins
wishing he was on a dinghy out in the snow
(23:55):
on Lake Erie. There the pressure is what breaks pipes.
It also breaks kirk Ins and the chance of snow.
It's gonna be nasty. Even though Cousins lives in Minnesota,
he plays in a dome. I don't see this going
well for the Viking offense. I expect the Buffalo Bills
to rally back here, rallied back, and they will be
(24:17):
the ones that disarmed the Vikings Bills thirty Vikings twenty
three the final and the petting says, go pound some
snow going with the Vikings out there, you Penny how
there you will be blood stained by the time this
ends next up Denver the den Broncos at three and
(24:40):
five and Tennessee five and three. It's on CBS with
Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. They have the call and
a lot of blame going on in the Mile High City.
As the Broncos thought they would be great, it has
been blasphemy. On the field. The Titans opened up a
one an app point favorite. They are favored by two
(25:01):
and a half now at Nissan Stadium, the house that
Clay Travis built there in Nashville, sunny and forty five
degrees at kick off. The Titans five and all against
the spread versus teams with losing records of this season.
Tennessee also has covered six straight games. That is the
longest active streak in the NFL, the Titans longest streak
(25:24):
since oh eight, that's when they covered eight straight games.
And I'm gonna take the Titans. And now Ryan Taniel
may or may not play. He's got a bad ankle.
He did practice limited trending towards playing after missing the
last couple of games. But I don't think it matters.
And I'll tell you why Taniel is not a difference maker.
He's better than Malik will is but the bread and
butter of Tennessee when you put them under the microscope.
(25:47):
The bread and butter is all about the run game,
heavy run approach. Here, Derrick Henry to the left, Derrick
Henry to the right, Derrick Henry, up the gut and
do it again. The Titans will score enough just by
running the ball. The Broncos not so much. Russell Wilson
has been serving up lumpy mashed potatoes and sloppy Joe's
(26:09):
a lot of unforced errors. The Broncos of the dumbest
team in America, a lot of people that need to
be held responsible for how bad they have been. They've
been racking up the penalties here, so I expect Tennessee's
defense is pretty good. They were able to contain the
Chiefs last week from scoring too many points. I say
they have similar success here. Between the twenties. The Broncos
(26:31):
will be able to move the ball, but that's about it.
Titans twenty three Broncos seventeen. The final and the penny
actually agrees with you on this one. Going with the Titans,
all right, So we agree there. We move on now
the late games, and in Annapolis at three five and
(26:56):
one at Las Vegas two and six. It's all on
a city. As with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green, they
have to call. The Raiders opened a three and app
point favorite, but everyone seems to agree that the Colts
new coach is fraudulent and so that he should be outlawed.
The Raiders a six point favorite. A team that has
lost back to back to the Saints and Jags on
(27:18):
the road comes home and is a six point favorite.
Say it ain't so, I don't understand. I don't get it.
Indian Apples. I know they've been bad recently. They're owing
three of their past three games against the spread. Oh
and two was Sam Ellinger the quarterback. But the Raiders,
your Raiders. Danny g three and thirteen their last sixteen games,
(27:39):
is a favorite and Derek Carr is just terrible in
this situation. It's he's just not authorized to play when favorite.
And Josh McDaniels, going back to his days in Denver,
he's got a losing record when his team has been favored,
and he's one in three. The Raiders with McDaniels outright
(28:00):
against the spread, wind favored by at least six points.
I'm taking that Colts. I know that's for boating. I
know that's that's unauthorized, and I'm gonna get in trouble.
It's just honorable all that, but I'm taking the Colts here.
The circus visits Vegas, and what better town for the
circus than Vegas. With Jeff Saturday who skipped to the
front of line, he got one of those golden tickets
(28:20):
Danny g came up with to go to the front
of the line there, uh for the Colts. It's gonna
be fascinating to see how this plays out Saturday in
a Sunday rather in a motivational type situation where Jeff
Saturday is that raw raw type coach. He's the spokesman
for Jim er say, he'll stay out of the way.
(28:40):
That's how I see this going in my crystal ball.
The Raiders have lost the Trevor Lawrence who has not
been very good, Andy Dalton who stinks back to back weeks.
They have the big names but little game on defense,
and Sam Ellinger has been bad. I'm not gonna sugarcoat this,
but he's not gonna face that much pressure in this game.
Despite the names on the Raiders of not getting to
(29:00):
the other quarterback. They're not putting pressure on the other team.
And and Vegas has shown that they don't fight for
Josh mcdanne's. They don't scratch and claw. They take a
quarter off here, a half off there. Derek Carr continues
to be a dog with fleas. His numbers aren't that bad,
but he's fraudulent. He's a bootleg quarterback. And so I
(29:20):
am going to go with Jeff Saturday. I didn't think
i'd say that, uh, And I'm gonna take that mainly
of the Colts defense because they are not They are
not uh bad, They're They're not terrible. They're pretty good
actually on that side of the ball. They held the
Patriots to basically two yards last week, but the turnovers
killed them. So I'm gonna take the Colts and the
(29:42):
Raiders four the final for Jink's sake. I almost wish
the penny would agree with you, Ben, but the penny says,
if Jeff Saturday beats Josh McDaniels on Sunday, we are
living in an side down world going with Vegas. Now,
(30:03):
as a spokesman for the Raiders, Danny G can you
confirm or deny that if the Raiders lose to Jeff Saturday,
who a couple of days ago was putting makeup on
in Bristol, Connecticut. If the Raiders moves to Jeff Saturday,
his his coach to team that Josh McDaniel should be
on the first flight out of the airport in Vegas
back to Boston to work with Bill Belichick and the Patriots,
(30:27):
unless Mark Davis and him in those closed door meetings
were actually joking around having a bourbon talking about the
number one draft pick. Okay, so you're already eyeing the
the number one to the Raiser. I'm not as a fan,
I'm not, but who knows what they're doing behind closed doors.
The way they take quarters and has off, it almost
(30:49):
looks like they're trying to tank. Yeah, it's it's crazy.
The second half last week, well, the entire game against
New Orleans, but the second half last week is in
that first half, as you saw, they were tearing them apart,
the Jags apart through the air. So why in the
second half did they try to establish a ground game?
(31:10):
They went away from the past. Yeah, well, they tried
to run out the clock, right, they tried to run
out the clock and they ended up. They ran, they
ran the prevent offense. Well, at this time, the Raiders
would have the number three pick in the draft. Danny,
if Josh McDaniels doesn't get fired after this game, then
they are trying to get draft position. Or Mark Davis
(31:31):
just wants to save his money for p F Changs
and doesn't want to worry about having to pay Gruden
and pay this guy and whoever else they hire and
all that. Man Or he's just worried about his money overall,
which is why he goes to PF Chang's. Well, PF
change is it's a medium price to Chinese food for us. Yeah,
for us. If we were billionaires, or at least we
(31:54):
owned five billion dollar teams, there's no way we'd be
going to p F Changs. Come on, I'm my I'm
a man of the people, daddy. You know, I'm a
man of the people. I'm a simple like. Damn it.
I could afford extra lettuce wraps. I know I can
get extra egg rolls. I mean it, signed me up.
Come on, I get all that Beijing b for whatever
it is. They're the Yeah, alright. Next up for US
(32:18):
Arizona three and six at the l A I am
is at three and five. It's on Fox. Friend of
the Show, the Great Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have
the call. The Rams opened up a three point favorite
that went all the way down to one because of injury,
slight lean on the money of the Rams Sunny and
in the sixties at so Far Stadium in the Hood
(32:40):
in Inglewood, the Rams eleven and one outright and against
the spread against Arizona including the playoffs under Sean McVeigh
seven and one against Cliff Kingsbury. So this has been
a huge mismatch in favor of the Rams Arizona eight
and one outright and against the spread as a road
underdog since the start of last season, and the Rams
(33:03):
have been miserable at home and on the road, all
of their shortcomings. It's it's like it's like a vampire
seeing sunlight. What has happened in the Rams here. It's
been Brtal that said, I want to take the ramps now.
The reason that the lines that won is because Matthew
Stafford's in the concussion protocol. And again at the time
we are doing Benny versus the Penny, this might change,
(33:25):
but at the time we're doing this. It's up in
the air where their Stafford's gonna play, But there's also
no guaranteed Kyler Murray's gonna play. Has got a hip injury.
Both of them frazzled, which means we could see John
Woolford versus Colt McCoy that that could be the matchup
here in a battle of lounge jacks. Now the wheels
(33:45):
have completely fallen off of the Rams offense. They have
Cooper Cup and nobody else, a lot of wartz, a
lot of malls, a lot of imperfections there. Now the
defense is still legit. That's the main reason I've bet
on this game. Aaron Donald, J. Ramsey and the defense
are are doing their job. The offense under Sean McVeigh
and they're on hiatus this year. Alligator arms. Murray has
(34:09):
been pukedtastic in his career against the Rams. He's more
worried about video games than he is game tape. And
this is going to be an aesthetically unpleasing game, but
the Rams will pull it out. Rams sixteen and the
Cardinals thirteen the final. This is an easy agreement going
(34:32):
with the Rams, all right, So if so fact, though
we both have guaranteed the Rams. It's in the bag.
It's in the bag. What's wrong with your quarterback? By
the way, well, he's weighed down because of the Lombardi Trophy.
It's hard to play. No, I mean, what's wrong with them?
He's got he's got a concussion. He's in the concussion protocol.
(34:55):
So of course watching the Rams, I have a concussion
watching the Rams. So we both have that. M All right,
next up, down, Thank you. I'll be here all week
all weekend. Alright. Uh. Dallas is six and two. They're
playing green Bay three and six and Aaron Rodgers being
called out as a phony. This game on Fox. Kevin
Burkhart and Greg Olsen. It's the big game on Fox.
(35:17):
Why because you put the Dallas Cowboys on TV. If
you build it, they will come. And boyd to the
fans come when Dallas is on TV. These are two
iconic franchises. At the Frozen Pundra where I visited earlier
this year, is pretty cool being in Green Bay. Crazy
scene there, crazy scene in Green Bay with the way
that's set up. It's just a small little Wisconsin town.
(35:39):
This massive monstrosity lambeau Field right in the middle. Cowboys
opened a three point road favorite. They are favored by
five and the handle on this game. About seventy of
the money's on the Cowboys. Temperatures in the low thirties
at bow Field, so it's getting to the frozen tunder
time there in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers five one and
(36:02):
one against the spread in his career as a home underdog.
He's that's that includes the playoffs, so only six but
seven times, seven times in his career has been a
home underdog. Rogers has never been more than a three
point home dog. So this line is at five right now.
So this is uncharted territory for Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay.
(36:24):
Dallas has been wonderful as a favorite. Their thirteen and
three as a favorite since the start of last season,
five and oh against the spread as a road favorite,
Road Warriors. From Mike McCarthy, I've seen the numbers, I've
seen all the data. Everything says bet on Dallas. Don't
even ask any questions. Green Bay's a peewee football team
(36:47):
at this point right it's it's embarrassing dollars to doughnuts.
You've got to take the Cowboys in a landslide way.
But I say now, I am gonna take the Limburger
cheeseheads the green Bay Packers. The Packers were were wretched
uh last week with the mistakes against the Lions, and
they've been miserable if the one of the longest losing
(37:08):
streaks in the NFL. But there's actually value here getting
this many points and Aaron Rodgers at home. Green Bay
should be able to move the ball between the twenties
even with that pass rush from the Cowboys. The issues
have been in the red zone lately. The Packers injury
report is through the roof. They've got Sammy Watkins who's
(37:30):
dinged up. Alan Lazard's got a shoulder, Aaron Jones and
ankle offensive linemen are in the injury tent over there.
I've seen all that. Next man up, do your job.
I don't like Dak Prescott in a cold weather game
in Wisconsin. That seems like risky business. If it looks
too easy, it is, and it looks way too easy
(37:50):
for the powder puff Green Bay Packers to just lose
this game out right, So I say no, I think
they will hang around, hang around, and there's a slim
chance to actually win the game out right. But that
castaways in the left behind players, the misfits in Green
Bay who are playing. We'll keep this close with Aaron
Rodgers Cowboys. We'll win, but they won't cover the spread.
(38:13):
Cowboys Packers twenty four the final, and the penny says,
you enjoy your moldy cheese, Ben going with the Cowboys.
Nothing better than when you. I make the pizza, the
mallard pizza, the garlic onion pizza. I make, and every
once in a while, I'll get the dough and I'll
(38:34):
have the tomato sauce and I'll get the pie ready.
I'll get the sauce on the dough, and then I'll
go to grab the mozzarella cheese and you pull it out.
You open the mozzarella cheese up and you see that
those weird colors of mold growing on the cheese. Boy,
that's a bad feeling, man, that's a bad, bad, bad feeling,
all right. Next up Sunday Night football, the l A
(38:57):
Chargers at five and three San Francisco slash Standa Claire
at four and four on and be see with Mike
Tariko and Chris Collinsworth on the peacock. They've got the
call the line on this game. The forty Niners opened
a three and a point favorite. They are all the
way up to seven and the money slight lean to
(39:21):
the team from northern California at Levi's Stadium, clear Skies
fifty four degrees at kickoff Sunday evening in San Francisco.
The The Niners are five and oh against the spread
their last five games as a home favorite. There two
and oh this season, but historically Kyle Shannon and has
been a walking talking debacle as a home favorite. Eight
(39:44):
sixteen and two is a home favorite. Overall. The Chargers
have been a great road play their four and oh
against the spread on the road. They lived a charmed
life last week as it was fumball and then fumble
as Atlanta and and the Chargers exchanged fumbles in that
wild ending at the end of that game, which helped
(40:06):
the Chargers out. I'm gonna take the Chargers here. The
Chargers can come close to matching the Niners and talent.
People think I'm crazy to say that, but I believe
the point spread is haywire. Even with all the injuries
the Chargers have had, there's value with l A Justin Herbert.
I'll take him over Jimmy Garoppolo. Certainly they're right there.
Belly to belly, Austin Ekeler is a better player than
(40:29):
Christian McCaffrey. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.
So at worst that's a wash. And then you've got
Deebo Samuel who's got a bad hammy and Keenan Allen
who's also got a bad hammy, although it sounds like
Keenan Allen may not play yet again, he's the Kawuahi
Leonard or the Anthony Davis or the Chargers. So either way,
I understand there's a bunch of guys you've never heard of,
(40:50):
Joshua Palmer, DeAndre Carter who are playing white out in
this game and supposed to be key participants. But if
I'm coaching the Chargers, I ride and die with Austin Ekeler.
Run Eckler, throw to Heckler, Gerald Everett to tight end
can be effective in the passing game. Chargers with a
stunner in Sunday Night Football, they not only cover, they
(41:14):
win the game outright. Upset City, Upset City, thirty nine
Chargers over the Niners, and the penny says, you're full
of it going with the Niners alright, last game here,
last game Monday Night Football Washington four and five at
(41:40):
Philadelphia eight and oh it's on ESPN with Joe Buck
and Troy Aikman. They have the call, Will this be
a rags to riches story for Ron Rivera and the
team formerly known as the Redskins? Well probably not, but
the line on this game the Eagles are eleven point favorite.
And then they opened up at tenant app aren't they cloudy?
(42:00):
Temperatures in the thirties that kickoff at the Link in
South Philly, the house that Tony Bruno built. Philadelphia five
one and one against the spread their last seven at
home with Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni. But the Washington
football team has been very good, getting touchdown or more
there eight five and two against the spread the last fifteen.
(42:23):
In that situation, however, Monday Night Football has been a
pit of horrors. As you you go back and there
are eleven games under over the last what's that a
pit of horrors? Okay, well, well that would be that
would be a different, that would be something different. But
(42:45):
but yeah, since since oh seven, double digit favorites on
Monday Night Football are nine and twenty one against the spread.
I just love getting over a touchdown. I'm gonna take
the Commanders here in this game, a divisional game. The
Commanders blown out their first meeting. Remember Carson Wentz played
in that game. Now it's Taylor Heineke, he's in charge.
It's been a great bet Heineck for gamblers there against
(43:09):
the spread. Washington has been a competitive team pretty much
every game. The Commandos are seven two and one against
the spread with Heinech their last ten with him starting,
and Jalen Hurts. He has been great for the Eagles,
and Philadelphia is the more talented team here. But it's
very hard to blow out of team twice in the
same season. And I have a golden rule, and I
(43:30):
follow the golden rule. Anytime you get a touchdown or
more in a divisional game, you take the points. You
don't ask a lot of questions, you don't make a
lot of small talk, and you get the hell out
of there. You take the points and you'll be happy.
And it doesn't seem likely, right unless Washington uses some
kind of witchcraft will win the game out right, But
(43:51):
you can can right, you're gonna over over ten points.
You gotta take those points. Most of these NFL games
are are nipping talk. I'm gonna take the eagle to
win the game, but the commanders to take the money.
Eagles thirty three Washington the final, and the penny says
(44:13):
fly Eagles fly. All right, we'll see if the penny
ate it's lucky charms or or possibly you have flu
like symptoms the penny. So maybe maybe the luck's not
on the side of the penny. With those flu like symptoms,
you might want to wear a mask, penny, you might
want to wear a mask. All right, So there it is.
(44:34):
Good luck. May all your bets be winning ones. And
remember every week, every Friday, Holidays, you name it penny
versus the penny, man versus coin, a human being versus
an adamant object. We'll find out who can pick more
winners than very well to start the year. That means
nothing this week, and we hope, I hope it continues here.
(44:55):
It's been a great year so far. Not for the penny.
I hope that continues, but for me. And we'll get
out on that note. Have a great weekend. Don't forget
We've got two fresh original podcast original audio content. You
can't get it anywhere else only here on the fifth
hour on Saturday, and then again the mailbag on Sunday.
So a lot of a lot of talking throughout the
(45:17):
weekend and we'll get to all that. We'll talk to you,
then see you tomorrow. Asta pasta population
Host
Ben Maller
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