With Thanksgiving already a distant memory, kickoff approaches for the Sunday slate of NFL Week 13, and betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter are here to deliver their final five against the spread contest bets. After all their picks and predictions this week, they deliver their very best bets. Our hosting duo looks at Monday Night Football, with Jaxson Dart and the New York Giants facing Drake Maye and the New England Patriots.
They also argue about Shadeur Sanders and the Cleveland Browns facing Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers and a matchup between a resurgent Houston Texans squad traveling to the Indianapolis Colts. And who could resist betting Matt Stafford as the LA Rams square off against Bryce Young and the struggling Carolina Panthers, or Tyrod Taylor and the New York Jets hosting Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons? We'll hear a quick word about the big game taking place in The Steel City with Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers facing Josh Allen and the struggling Buffalo Bills, plus Bo Nix leading the Denver Broncos to Washington DC to take on the Commanders. All their final and official betting picks, all in one fast-paced episode! #Volume
0:03:00 - START
0:05:15 - TEXANS VS. COLTS
0:08:04 - NINERS VS. BROWNS
0:10:35 - FALCONS VS. JETS
0:12:42 - JAGUARS VS. TITANS
0:14:42 - RAMS VS. PANTHERS
0:15:56 - VIKINGS VS. SEAHAWKS
0:17:28 - BILLS VS. STEELERS
0:21:00 - GIANTS VS. PATRIOTS
0:30:17 - BIGGEST BETS, NFL PARLAYS
0:34:50 - OFFICIAL NFL WEEK 13 PICKS
-- All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bat. We
are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the
show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise
guys pay attention. I am Chad moment. I am joined
on this fine Sunday morning post Thanksgiving as always by
my bff, my companion, my Campadre, my co host, professional
(00:25):
Better Assignment Hunter heados.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Homoymen, Chad, how are we doing?
Speaker 1 (00:31):
Brother? You've met my dad. We took a classic picture
where it looks like we're just Russian nesting dolls from
my dad to you to me. And then on Friday
or Thursday, I'm sitting with my dad on the couch,
he's visiting from Chicago, and I get a text from
your dad wishing me a happy Thanksgiving, including a place
(00:55):
map that you made when you were three years old
that has a little pumpkin on it that is clearly
laminated and indestructible that I know you're eating off of
every Thanksgiving. Your parents are the freaking best.
Speaker 3 (01:11):
Yeah, it's was that thirty two years old now doesn't
look a day older, like I mean, just classic, looks
exactly like the day I made it. And yeah, my
mom makes me eat off at every Thanksgiving and so
can't break the ritual.
Speaker 1 (01:25):
The pumpkin is bright, bright orange. It's as if as
if it was drawn yesterday. Happy Thanksgiving everybody, We missed
you all on Thursday. This will be the semi stripped
down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square that
we normally do on Sundays as we narrow down our
five final picks. We are also going to have our
(01:47):
money line parlays and the biggest bets just because we
didn't get to do those on Thursday. We're skipping sharp
calls this week just because it's so late in the game.
We want to get through the show and get it
out for people so they can activate on today's ideas.
Are you ready signon?
Speaker 2 (02:06):
Let's get it all right.
Speaker 1 (02:08):
We've been talking about Houston and Indy. The big news
this week was that Daniel Jones may be playing on
a fractured fibula and C. J. Stroud is back. So
this number has moved aggressively from four and a half
to four to three and a half to three in
favor of It's in the direction of the Texans. The
Texans are now three point underdogs. They are streaking, They
(02:31):
are coming off big wins. They are putting themselves back
in position to win this division and be in the
playoff hunt if they can win today against Indianapolis. What
are we thinking? I got thoughts, I know you got thoughts.
Speaker 2 (02:45):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (02:45):
I love the Colts coming to this week. I those
this would be a great match for them. A lot
of their strengths are a lot of Houston's weaknesses. But
you're telling me, I got a back, a quarterback playing
on potentially our broken leg, and the coach said there's
stuff they can do offensively, scheme it up so that
he's not running with the ball or taking hits, And
it's like, isn't that what makes Daniel Jones a serviceable quarterback?
The guy can take big hits in the stand of
(03:07):
the pocket and make big time throws it when he can't,
he uses his legs. That's a big weapon of his game.
So I hate this. FEE feel so bad for this
Colts team.
Speaker 2 (03:16):
They went all out.
Speaker 3 (03:18):
You know, they try to address the defense, and you know,
I thought that's gonna be the strength of this game, right,
You'd have two really good corners against a Houston team
that wants to push the ball.
Speaker 2 (03:26):
Downfield. That's CJ strength.
Speaker 3 (03:28):
So brutal loss for this Colts team just having that
injury to Daniel Jones.
Speaker 2 (03:32):
And you know Tyler Warren popped up.
Speaker 3 (03:35):
On the injury list as well, so you know their
stud tight end now is banged up as well and
potentially missed this game. So for us in the contest
is four and a half. I feel like we have
to play that, even though people can't play that line now.
Speaker 2 (03:46):
You know, if you're asking me, am I going to
play Houston plus three and much.
Speaker 3 (03:50):
Rather have that ticket than the Colts and minus three,
But we're obviously in the unique position where we get
a better number in our contest. So four and a half,
if you get that in your Pickbull, your contests, I
feel like you have to play that on Houston. If not,
you just want to avoid it because Houston now is
so publicly dog Everyone knows what we know, right, they
all know this injury to Daniel Jones. I totally get it,
(04:10):
Like the Stummers moved a ton. This usually is exact spot. Divisionally,
the Colts do bounce back and win, but I just
I can't trust backing. I banged up Dano Jones against
the best defense in all football.
Speaker 1 (04:21):
Tyler Warren has an illness. He's listed as questionable. I
did take a piece of the Texans at plus three
just because why not. I love their defense. I like
them at home. I'm worried about the Daniel Jones capabilities
with the full spectrum that has made him so good.
This also gives a little bit of insight into he's
(04:44):
been struggling since that bye week. He hasn't been as good.
We saw him just completely crater against the Chiefs. I
wonder if this leg has something to do with it.
San Francisco at Cleveland Cleveland plus five and a half.
This was Chad's choice. It moved as low as four
and a half before bouncing back up. Dude, I'm not
(05:04):
gonna lie to you. I got Cleveland at six and
a half. I liked him at six. I made him
chat choice at five and a half. I have bet
into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.
Miles Garrett I think has fourteen sacks in like the
last five games. Something crazy like that. I'm not even exaggerating.
(05:26):
Most sacks in five game period since nineteen eighty two,
when sacks started become an official stat still loving the
Browns here, love them.
Speaker 3 (05:34):
Yeah, and you saw the big movement honestly based off
what we predicted of it was gonna be the weather
for today. We have gotten some word that there was
a big snowstorm coming yesterday.
Speaker 2 (05:44):
I'm sure people saw that watching all the college football.
Speaker 3 (05:46):
And the hope was there's any lake effects, snow and
wind for a lot of these games today and Cleveland
was one of them. Now they're kind of saying it's
not gonna be as bad chat So I feel like
that's why the numbers come back up. But I still
think this favors is Cleveland team and their defense and
everything they are. And it is unfortunate, right that it
didn't lean into the weather, because I could have seen
(06:07):
this getting to three to three and a half if
it was really bad, just because the Browns they're in
the Unix spot. They don't want to pass the ball.
They really don't. As much as you could say, well,
Sanders look better against the Raiders, that's in an indoor
controlled environment. This is going to be something totally different
than something he's never experienced either, Right, This is a
guy coming from Colorado, which you can say, well, he
played out in the cold. We all know there's different
(06:29):
types of cold and snow and that lake effect, that wind,
that feeling of being in Cleveland, it's gonna be much
different than playing in the cold in Colorado. So you
know this matchup to be favored the Browns in many ways. Defensively,
we like the matchup for them offensively against a Fortnitars
team that you know we've talked about. They've they've been
missing pieces of solads cupt to together. But the one
(06:50):
thing you can say is you can run against this team.
So Cleveland had opportunity here to kind of steal this game,
and like we both talked about, we're.
Speaker 2 (06:58):
A little bit blind to it.
Speaker 3 (06:59):
We love this team, this matchup and all the trends
about faving this foreign airs team after wins and covers.
It's just a spot we love and I am shocked
the public loves it too, I think because of the weather,
Like this isn't that big of a disrepacy, right, It's
not like all the money is on this feign Iris team.
It's pretty evenly split in most books you look at.
So still love the Browns. Like you said, it's we
(07:21):
wish you had gotten back to six. We always love
getting the six, but five and a half, I'm not
gonna let that scare enough.
Speaker 2 (07:24):
I'd still take the Browns of that.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Number Atlanta at the New York Jets. Surprisingly, this was
our brass balls. When it was two and a half,
we said it was two and a half. It was
on Tuesday. All week we said, this is getting to three,
this is getting a three, this is getting a three.
It finally popped a three yesterday on Saturday. I've betted
(07:47):
at two and a half. I've betted at three. I've
bet the Jets money line maybe on two. Over ambitious
in my beliefs because I'm not backing Kirk Cousins on
the road after a so so performance without Drake London again,
(08:09):
and the Jets defense is effective at stopping the run
and that's gonna be the Falcon strength here. So give
me the Jets plus three raw Ra j Ets, Jets, Jets, Jets.
I can't believe that our confidence levels are so high
on the Browns, and are you with me on the Jets.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
I'm with you.
Speaker 3 (08:33):
I'm definitely not ask confidence. There's other dogs I like
more this week. Honestly, now that we're here on Sunday,
I still like the Jets, still bet them, but it's
gonna be a tough choice to make jack because they're
two and a half. They're three and a half for
our contest, I would have happily put them in, but
at two and a half, I don't know how much
I love it because I really, honestly always say with
this Jets team, I need every point, and yes it's
(08:55):
really been true. Like last week, I think they were
thirteen and a half or fourteen. That's spread litering laded
on three. So they're that type of team. They play
up to that number. You do need the best number
you can possibly get this Jets team, and a two
and a half for our contest, I'm still I bet
it at two and a half. So it's like I
do believe in it, but I don't know if it's
one of my five favorite bets of this week, I'll
be honest with.
Speaker 1 (09:15):
You, all right. Well, then let's transition to I'm going
to throw a curveball at Matt Mitchell here so hopefully
he can throw the graphic up Jeff right exactly from
his current location inside of a hotel lobby, trying to
beat a snowstorm. Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Tennessee Titans. The
(09:36):
Titans are six point dogs. I throw it up because
you brought it up right before we came on the air.
We know that the Titans are the side here. The
number has come down from six to six and a half,
or from six and a half to six. Everyone is
talking about cam Ward is progressing, He's starting to play
a little bit better. I don't know that I'm seeing that.
(09:57):
What I'm seeing is that cam Ward is back door
covering the past three weeks because other teams are giving
up the points because they're up by so many scores.
They're not worried about losing the game. But you at
least intimated you don't mind the Titans here.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
No, again, this is following really respected money and talking
to guys. This would have been definitely been on sharp calls.
It is a very sharp side, this Titans team, especially
if you can get the six and a half. Now
I'm looking now, I'm assuming most people won't be able
to The best time seeing is six and yeah, like
hard rock, they're down in six now. So it just
(10:36):
seems like the professionals have hit it. It's the best
you might be able to get is six. This really
is a little bit what you talked about. Right, they've
been back dooring teams, but we talk of the time
when teams backdoor consistently. It's yeah, it's a lot of luck,
but also just shows how the market continues to undervalue them.
Speaker 2 (10:53):
Right.
Speaker 3 (10:53):
They keep hitting that certain number, and it's not like
they're covering by a ton, right, Like you just had
their back dooring by either half a point or a point.
So the books have been really sharp on it. The
professional has been all over and like we said, we
keep missing it. This is we talked earing the week.
This is Tennessee or nothing at all for either of us.
I still like Tennessee, still like the number. If it's
six and a half, chat, I feel like we have
(11:14):
to put in the contest just over certain other games
where we're playing a good number against the Jaguars team
that you know we keep talking about Trevor Lawrence. I
mean they stole one last week for sure, Right, he
had four turners and they were able us not only
win that game but cover as well. So we're getting
a big key number here in a divisional matchup. I mean,
(11:35):
maybe I can help us avoid because there's other dogs
I like more, and we just we know it's just
kind of eventually going to catch up with Tennessee. They
just can't keep covering. He's insane back doors. But in
this matchup here, with the run defense they have with
Jeffrey Simmons back and they're making Trevor Lawrence one dimensional,
I feel like this is the exact type of team
we like to back against the Jaguars. So yeah, it's
(11:57):
it's a hard one to get away from where I
didn't love it early in the week, simply a bet
it because it was a good number. And the more
pros I talked to them, why they tell me they
love it and they love this matchup. It kind of
makes more sense why Tennessee is the sharp side here.
Speaker 1 (12:09):
The one thing that worries me is Tennessee has been
getting backdoors when they've been much bigger favorites. We're talking
about double digit favorites this week. You know it's it's
under a touchdown. I think it shows how little respect
the professional community has for the Jags, which we've been
talking about all year. Trevor Lawrence is just not an
effective quarterback. They're winning in spite of him, not because
(12:33):
of him.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
Wow, I feel better. The public is the opposite.
Speaker 3 (12:36):
They are all in on this Jacks team, like between
the money line, parlays the teasers due.
Speaker 2 (12:42):
For biggest bets.
Speaker 1 (12:43):
By the way, then we're all in on Tennessee and
we're all in on Tennessee money line.
Speaker 2 (12:48):
Yeah, might have to be minues.
Speaker 1 (12:51):
I want to bring up Minnesota is now a twelve
point underdog at Seattle. It's been announced they're starting Max Brosmer.
Max Brosmer, the undrafted free agent. It's not a must
half for me. You didn't like it on Tuesday. I
just want to reiterate it's a huge number against a
Brian Flores defense that does exactly what Sam Donald hates
(13:13):
to face constant pressure. So whatever Max Brosmer does, I
don't know that the Seahawks are ever going to be
so far ahead that the back door isn't in play here.
Speaker 3 (13:28):
Yeah, a funny line where some really sharp books have
already moved Seattle to thirteen, so that means there is
professional money coming in on the Seahawks team. But you
Nata Chad like I really had a blind spot to this.
I was just gonna avoid it. Probably take Seattle a
couple of teasers or some just bet their number down
a five and a half. And you're right, Like Minnesota,
they should know Donald's weaknesses. This should be the exact
(13:50):
game they can capitalize on. Just I have a hard
time Bendo quarterback I know zero about and even going
to watch one of his tape.
Speaker 2 (13:57):
I remember I was watching for ten minutes. Agoo, what
am I even doing?
Speaker 3 (13:59):
I can't take anything away from this kid's tape in college.
So it's it's a crazy spot right now for this
Minnesota team. Like you said, if you're making this bet,
as much as respect the Efforcasey, this is a Brian
Flores bet. You you're betting on this defensive show up
here and steal this game and keep it close so
I get rid of the covering from I. Just I'm
not bet this one. I don't really have any confidence.
(14:19):
That's like you said, all right.
Speaker 1 (14:21):
Buffalo at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has come down from three and
a half to three. Aaron Rodgers is playing with the
fractured wrist. Buffalo is missing both of its starting tackles.
The Steelers are missing they're starting left tackle, so and
they're also missing one of their key defensive tackles across
their front four. It feels like this number is being
(14:45):
dictated by injuries and who's on the field and who's
not on the field. I think the best of the
number at three has passed. You could have gotten it
at three and a half all week on the Steelers
at the three. It's for me, it ends up not
having any value.
Speaker 2 (15:01):
Okay, I'm shocked by that. This is another pro side.
Speaker 3 (15:04):
Tons of pros I talk who love the Steers team
even at three, and I think the reason is very telling.
Like if you're just Joe Public walking off the street,
you might you are seeing minus three on Josh Allen
against either Mason Rudolf or Aaron Rodgers. This is gonna
be one of the more public sides bet right, this
Bills team for sure. And you know, even yesterday I
(15:25):
was in the books, you know that. I say Michigan
was a huge game. Talking to different bookmakers running around
and it's like they're all telling me how it's just
all Buffalo money, and I go, watch you give me
a three and a half, then don't you need And
they just give me a look of like we know
what we're doing here.
Speaker 2 (15:41):
So I think the books really trust Pittsburgh here.
Speaker 3 (15:43):
They like this number, and I know it's hard to believe,
just like it was hard to believe betting against the
Chiefs on Thanksgiving on that Cowboys team.
Speaker 2 (15:51):
But like I feel like we've seen the page turn
this year, Chad.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
Like these teams of last year that we keep giving
this respect and credit to, they're just not hitting like
they were last year, right, like we kept we keep
thinking the Chiefs are going to turn it around.
Speaker 2 (16:05):
Right, the Chiefs kne lose this one. That's week.
Speaker 3 (16:07):
Every week we say that the Chiefs can lose this one, right,
they need to win this one to make the playoffs,
and they keep losing. And it feels the same for
this Bills team. Like this Bills team are going to
be very desperate. I know that, Like they need this
game obviously, but Pittsburgh is just as desperate. They were
watching that Ravens game as well. They know this is
all on their own hands as well. This is that
game they tend to win with Tomlin. And you know,
(16:30):
the only hesitation I have here is what I'm mixed.
I'm sure your experience as well. We're missing the best
of the number and we're going against Josh Allen at
not a great number.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
So you know, I'm happy it's moved so much. I
talked to earlier week.
Speaker 3 (16:44):
I thought Pittsburgh at three and a half for four
was a great number. Our contest is three and a half.
I'm really tempted to make us put it in just
because it is such.
Speaker 2 (16:51):
A good number.
Speaker 3 (16:52):
But really really telling here, if you look at the splits,
it's like percent of the tickets are on the Bills,
seventy eighty percent of the money is on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
So this is the definition of pros verse shows.
Speaker 2 (17:06):
And I get why.
Speaker 3 (17:08):
People want to be on the bills here, but it
feels like if either team can lose either tackles, Yes,
it's a negative that the Pittsburgh has lost a guy
on their offensive line.
Speaker 2 (17:18):
You know TJ.
Speaker 3 (17:20):
Watt isn't lining up against that that that line, Like,
that's the issue of the Bills is they lost two
tackles and now TJ can pick either side whatever guy
he thinks he has the best advantage of. And sure
you can scheme against that, and you have Josh Allen
who's a freak athlete and get out of it. But
of all the guys got matchup and give them problems.
This is the perfect matchup for us with Pittsburgh defense
(17:42):
against the guy like him. So I think there's a
lot of ways Pittsburgh con neuter Josh Allen's athletic ability.
And yeah, I'm gonna trust the proceram back to that
number of three with the Steelers team.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
All right, last game, we've been talking about that. We
intimated on Tuesday and hinted that we would like it's
going to be our rock in a hard place, hard
rock better the week the New York Football Giants. They
are seven point underdogs at hard Rock. At the New
England Patriots on Monday night, they are seven and a
(18:13):
half in a lot of places. I believe Simon and
I have both bet into the seven and a half.
I'm speaking for you, but we did like it a
lot on Tuesday. I did bet at at seven and
a half Jackson Darta's back. I think the bigger issue
for us is that the entire left side of the
Patriots offensive line is injured, including Will Campbell, and the
(18:35):
Giants defensive line is able between Thibodeau, Burns Carter to
get some kind of pass rush and scheme something up.
New defensive coordinator for the Giants. This week. I think
they'll be more aggressive. Rock in a hard place, hard
rock better the week New York Giants plus seven and
a half Monday Night at New England.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
Oh what a lot.
Speaker 3 (19:03):
Yeah, another game. We're gonna talk sharp calls. This is
a huge one. Tons of calls about it, tons of
love for this Giants team, which we knew, right the
pros have went over the Giants. Feels like all season,
even though they're not winning right two and ten, they've
been a covering machine. And I like again, I always
love different aspects of games and thinking.
Speaker 2 (19:21):
About storylines people aren't thinking about.
Speaker 3 (19:22):
And the biggest one for me here is this This
week feels like it's gonna decide the coach of the year.
And I know it sounds stupid, but like Ben Johnson,
to me, just took a huge step I had of
Rabel at this point and crazy Rabel has done right.
This is a team that I think they have the
third worst record in all football last season, they've had
a really easy schedule and we all know that where
(19:44):
the Bears, their schedule is only gonna get harder.
Speaker 2 (19:46):
Right.
Speaker 3 (19:46):
That Eagles one was huge because they know they have
such a hard divisional schedule coming up. This is that
type of game where like we've talked about, like we
put a little on the Giants money line because this
is the act type of game that could get stolen
from this Patriots team.
Speaker 2 (19:57):
Right.
Speaker 3 (19:57):
They are very banged up on offensive line, and we've
seen this. This Giants team just does not quit. They
play hard in every game. So, yeah, it's seven and
hard rock. Chad just said it. You can shop around people,
there's only seven and a halfs out there. I could
see this getting down the six and a half and
you know, give out a shout out to my guy
(20:18):
doctor Nick from Action. He gave me an amazing stat about
this Giants team. And basically in his luck rankings, Chad
in is.
Speaker 2 (20:26):
Week thirteen, So he's been doing it.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
I think that for three years he's never lost on
a side, which is kind of shocking.
Speaker 2 (20:32):
It just usually works out where the luck.
Speaker 3 (20:34):
Catches up the teams in this this week, this is
his biggest one, his favorite one this week is this
discrepancy of this Giants team versus doing the team, where
we've talked about this doing the team has been incredibly
lucky that a lot of things are brooking their way.
And the flip side this Giants team, think of all
the games they blown the end of the games right,
they've had so much bad luck if things not break
their way. I mean even that Lions game, like they
(20:54):
felt like they should have won out a thousand different ways.
So you know the fact that darts back, I feel
more confident because we don't have to worry about the
ups and downs of Winston where we know this rookie
he might have one or two termers with us, that's
always a negative with them, But the fact that we
can use his legs, which they want to do offensively.
You've seen that how they draw a place for him
offensively using his legs. I think that's going to be
(21:16):
a huge advantage against I know we're on a team
that you know. Honestly, their only real weakness in my
opinion is the linebackers. I just think they have really
really slow linebackers. And you've seen that timetime again with
teams rush outside or different usage of their tight ends
or the quarterback running, their tight ends usually beat the linebackers.
So again, the Patrios teams just so well coached. The
(21:36):
only real weakness I can take away from them, is
there the linebackers, and I think the Johnson would attack that.
So yeah, this key number, like we always talk about,
you can get seven hard rock shop around, go get
that hook, get that seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:49):
Let's take a quick break from our friends at hard Rock.
On the other side, we'll do our final five some
money line parlays for the dogs and the faves. Today's
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(23:19):
and all other states, must be twenty one and over
in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions imply concerned about
gambling in Florida called one eight three three play wise
in Indiana, if you or some of you know has
a gambling problem that wants help, call one eight hundred
(23:40):
and nine with it gambling problem called one eight hundred
gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
All right, we'll do this part quickly simon biggest bats
right now.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
It's tough to say, Like I took a large position
on the two and a half on Tampa hoping it
was going to be baker. It is baker now and
now they're minus three and a half. I wish you
could have a ton of confidence on this one. I
can't believet numbers not five or six. So I'm a
little scared off it because it hasn't moved enough. In
my opinion, that is one of my bigger bets. I
still like it in Maaster and a half, but it
(24:13):
is very, very public at this point. Pittsburgh plus three,
Giants seven and a half, Commanders plus six and a half.
Like I've really I've lit it up on all these
late primetime games today. Again, it's a weird thing where
like I know it shouldn't scare me, but the fact
that four dogs I've covered this week, it's making me
a little weary because I just mean chat talk before
(24:35):
the show. I love all the dogs. I love Cleveland,
I really do. I really love this Jets team that
we're talking. I really love this Tennessee team. So I'm
just trying to be careful and not go too big,
and you know, I'm sure like most people, it's just
been a long week of football. Like I woke up
today and I was like, oh my god, it's still Sunday,
Like we haven't it's still week thirteen. So I'm trying
(24:57):
to be a little patient here because I just so
these lines feel very off and it's all heavily skewed
to the dogs for me this week. So yeah, my
my biggest bets for sure gonna be O those dogs
I mentioned.
Speaker 1 (25:08):
Well, speaking of dogs, I made a list of the
money line underdog parlay and I was finding more games
where I feel I can see victory for the dogs
than I can for the favorites. On my list, I
have Pittsburgh, I have Cleveland, I have the Jets, I
(25:28):
have Houston, and then I put Tennessee just because I
have such a bias against the Jags. Now, anyone you
think I should exclude anyone we should add?
Speaker 3 (25:40):
No, And like I've already I bet that I got lucky.
I made the bet we gave out on Cincy. I
had them thrown in with a couple of their teams,
just you know, long shot odds a couple of nineteen
one bets. I have a couple of Cincy, a couple
of Cleveland money lines together.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
Yeah, it's just I.
Speaker 3 (26:00):
Think we're both on the same page. We think it's
gonna be a little bit of a wonky week. We
just see there being some upsets this week. And obviously,
if we had known there's gonna be three three dogs
win an out right on Thanksgiving, would have been a
happy man.
Speaker 2 (26:12):
And I had one contest.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
I was left and everyone knows it's a really big
survivor pool. You have to make a Thanksgiving pick, and
just like every other idiot in the world, we have
been saving the Ravens for that game.
Speaker 2 (26:23):
And it looks like.
Speaker 3 (26:25):
The smartest guys where the people don't pay attention just
pick every week and the people that just had to
roll with the you know, the dogs on the Thanksgiving
game since the Cowboys, and yeah, I got knocked out
on the Ravens, so I people can tell. I'm just
I just think this is a dog's week. I'm really
heavy to the dogs this week. So I love this
round robin.
Speaker 1 (26:43):
For the favorites. I put in favorites. Probably I put
in Seattle the charge five and a half, Seattle at
five and a half. I put the Chargers against the Raiders.
Speaker 2 (26:55):
I did Miami's money line.
Speaker 1 (26:58):
Oh, Miami, for sure.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
You gotta do Tampa's money line. Like I said, Tampa's
super Republic. But I'm really bit heavy into it. I
can't say that enough.
Speaker 1 (27:07):
On three to two and a half, Seattle, LA Chargers,
Miami Tampa. Do you want to add anybody else there?
Speaker 2 (27:16):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (27:16):
Like again, if we're taking all these big favorites, are
we gonna throw the Rams five and a half in
there as well?
Speaker 1 (27:21):
Like I mean I would do five and a half.
Speaker 3 (27:23):
Yeah, I wouldn't take the spread. I'm I'm on the
Carolina there, But I just I could see Carolina find
a way to backdoor that Rams.
Speaker 2 (27:32):
Team and Chad.
Speaker 3 (27:33):
Chad saved me a lot of money because I knew
Carolina injuries. I didn't realize how many banged up guys
they had on their defensive side. So that's the only
reason I we haven't really talked about that game and
we're putting in our contest. It's just Carolina has so
many injuries to overcome. We do love the spot for them,
but you know, you're going against the MVP and a
high powered offense. You're gonna need allow your second secondary pieces.
And it's just I don't I don't love that for Carolina.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
All right, Final five, New York Giants plus seven and
a half, go get it, Pittsburgh Steelers, there's no three
and a half's available. We're still on it at three,
but it will be three and a half in our contest. Yep,
Cleveland Browns plus five and a half across the board,
(28:17):
still love it. Houston, we're getting a little lucky. I
bet Houston at plus three, it's four and a half
in the contest. We're going to play it. You got
to take advantage of those lines. I think it's coming
down Simon to the Jets and the Titans. I love
the Jets, love it. I will own it. I will
(28:39):
be uncomfortable. I will sit in my misery. It will
be no problem for me all day. I will be
the only one watching the corner TV game of the
Jets and the Falcons.
Speaker 3 (28:52):
So you want to put the Jets in over Tennessee, Yes,
all right, let's have a look. Make sure we get
the right number. So the Jets are two and a half,
Tennessee is six and a half. Man, I know Son
can do it. If you're gonna chat's gonna be the
one and be like this is I'm taking my staying here.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
This is the game this week.
Speaker 3 (29:17):
Because right now we have Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh Giants in.
Speaker 2 (29:23):
And we'll put the Jets is the fifth one.
Speaker 1 (29:25):
Let's do the Jets. Okay, all right, it's gonna be exciting.
Oh my god, it's gonna be a miserable Sunday evening.
All right. This has been Sharper Square, part of the
Volume podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square
YouTube tonight seven point thirty ish after the latest of
(29:45):
the late afternoon games. To recap all the misery and
glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube a
Sharper Square like this video. Subscribe to the channel, download
us some Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods,
rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want.
Feedback is a gift untill next time. I Love you.
Want plenty at a time for a slag to table
Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bat. We
are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the
show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise
guys pay attention. I am Chad moment. I am joined
on this fine Sunday morning post Thanksgiving as always by
my bff, my companion, my Campadre, my co host, professional
(00:25):
Better Assignment Hunter heados.
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Homoymen, Chad, how are we doing?
Speaker 1 (00:31):
Brother? You've met my dad. We took a classic picture
where it looks like we're just Russian nesting dolls from
my dad to you to me. And then on Friday
or Thursday, I'm sitting with my dad on the couch,
he's visiting from Chicago, and I get a text from
your dad wishing me a happy Thanksgiving, including a place
(00:55):
map that you made when you were three years old
that has a little pumpkin on it that is clearly
laminated and indestructible that I know you're eating off of
every Thanksgiving. Your parents are the freaking best.
Speaker 3 (01:11):
Yeah, it's was that thirty two years old now doesn't
look a day older, like I mean, just classic, looks
exactly like the day I made it. And yeah, my
mom makes me eat off at every Thanksgiving and so
can't break the ritual.
Speaker 1 (01:25):
The pumpkin is bright, bright orange. It's as if as
if it was drawn yesterday. Happy Thanksgiving everybody, We missed
you all on Thursday. This will be the semi stripped
down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square that
we normally do on Sundays as we narrow down our
five final picks. We are also going to have our
(01:47):
money line parlays and the biggest bets just because we
didn't get to do those on Thursday. We're skipping sharp
calls this week just because it's so late in the game.
We want to get through the show and get it
out for people so they can activate on today's ideas.
Are you ready signon?
Speaker 2 (02:06):
Let's get it all right.
Speaker 1 (02:08):
We've been talking about Houston and Indy. The big news
this week was that Daniel Jones may be playing on
a fractured fibula and C. J. Stroud is back. So
this number has moved aggressively from four and a half
to four to three and a half to three in
favor of It's in the direction of the Texans. The
Texans are now three point underdogs. They are streaking, They
(02:31):
are coming off big wins. They are putting themselves back
in position to win this division and be in the
playoff hunt if they can win today against Indianapolis. What
are we thinking? I got thoughts, I know you got thoughts.
Speaker 2 (02:45):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (02:45):
I love the Colts coming to this week. I those
this would be a great match for them. A lot
of their strengths are a lot of Houston's weaknesses. But
you're telling me, I got a back, a quarterback playing
on potentially our broken leg, and the coach said there's
stuff they can do offensively, scheme it up so that
he's not running with the ball or taking hits, And
it's like, isn't that what makes Daniel Jones a serviceable quarterback?
The guy can take big hits in the stand of
(03:07):
the pocket and make big time throws it when he can't,
he uses his legs. That's a big weapon of his game.
So I hate this. FEE feel so bad for this
Colts team.
Speaker 2 (03:16):
They went all out.
Speaker 3 (03:18):
You know, they try to address the defense, and you know,
I thought that's gonna be the strength of this game, right,
You'd have two really good corners against a Houston team
that wants to push the ball.
Speaker 2 (03:26):
Downfield. That's CJ strength.
Speaker 3 (03:28):
So brutal loss for this Colts team just having that
injury to Daniel Jones.
Speaker 2 (03:32):
And you know Tyler Warren popped up.
Speaker 3 (03:35):
On the injury list as well, so you know their
stud tight end now is banged up as well and
potentially missed this game. So for us in the contest
is four and a half. I feel like we have
to play that, even though people can't play that line now.
Speaker 2 (03:46):
You know, if you're asking me, am I going to
play Houston plus three and much.
Speaker 3 (03:50):
Rather have that ticket than the Colts and minus three,
But we're obviously in the unique position where we get
a better number in our contest. So four and a half,
if you get that in your Pickbull, your contests, I
feel like you have to play that on Houston. If not,
you just want to avoid it because Houston now is
so publicly dog Everyone knows what we know, right, they
all know this injury to Daniel Jones. I totally get it,
(04:10):
Like the Stummers moved a ton. This usually is exact spot. Divisionally,
the Colts do bounce back and win, but I just
I can't trust backing. I banged up Dano Jones against
the best defense in all football.
Speaker 1 (04:21):
Tyler Warren has an illness. He's listed as questionable. I
did take a piece of the Texans at plus three
just because why not. I love their defense. I like
them at home. I'm worried about the Daniel Jones capabilities
with the full spectrum that has made him so good.
This also gives a little bit of insight into he's
(04:44):
been struggling since that bye week. He hasn't been as good.
We saw him just completely crater against the Chiefs. I
wonder if this leg has something to do with it.
San Francisco at Cleveland Cleveland plus five and a half.
This was Chad's choice. It moved as low as four
and a half before bouncing back up. Dude, I'm not
(05:04):
gonna lie to you. I got Cleveland at six and
a half. I liked him at six. I made him
chat choice at five and a half. I have bet
into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line.
Miles Garrett I think has fourteen sacks in like the
last five games. Something crazy like that. I'm not even exaggerating.
(05:26):
Most sacks in five game period since nineteen eighty two,
when sacks started become an official stat still loving the
Browns here, love them.
Speaker 3 (05:34):
Yeah, and you saw the big movement honestly based off
what we predicted of it was gonna be the weather
for today. We have gotten some word that there was
a big snowstorm coming yesterday.
Speaker 2 (05:44):
I'm sure people saw that watching all the college football.
Speaker 3 (05:46):
And the hope was there's any lake effects, snow and
wind for a lot of these games today and Cleveland
was one of them. Now they're kind of saying it's
not gonna be as bad chat So I feel like
that's why the numbers come back up. But I still
think this favors is Cleveland team and their defense and
everything they are. And it is unfortunate, right that it
didn't lean into the weather, because I could have seen
(06:07):
this getting to three to three and a half if
it was really bad, just because the Browns they're in
the Unix spot. They don't want to pass the ball.
They really don't. As much as you could say, well,
Sanders look better against the Raiders, that's in an indoor
controlled environment. This is going to be something totally different
than something he's never experienced either, Right, This is a
guy coming from Colorado, which you can say, well, he
played out in the cold. We all know there's different
(06:29):
types of cold and snow and that lake effect, that wind,
that feeling of being in Cleveland, it's gonna be much
different than playing in the cold in Colorado. So you
know this matchup to be favored the Browns in many ways. Defensively,
we like the matchup for them offensively against a Fortnitars
team that you know we've talked about. They've they've been
missing pieces of solads cupt to together. But the one
(06:50):
thing you can say is you can run against this team.
So Cleveland had opportunity here to kind of steal this game,
and like we both talked about, we're.
Speaker 2 (06:58):
A little bit blind to it.
Speaker 3 (06:59):
We love this team, this matchup and all the trends
about faving this foreign airs team after wins and covers.
It's just a spot we love and I am shocked
the public loves it too, I think because of the weather,
Like this isn't that big of a disrepacy, right, It's
not like all the money is on this feign Iris team.
It's pretty evenly split in most books you look at.
So still love the Browns. Like you said, it's we
(07:21):
wish you had gotten back to six. We always love
getting the six, but five and a half, I'm not
gonna let that scare enough.
Speaker 2 (07:24):
I'd still take the Browns of that.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Number Atlanta at the New York Jets. Surprisingly, this was
our brass balls. When it was two and a half,
we said it was two and a half. It was
on Tuesday. All week we said, this is getting to three,
this is getting a three, this is getting a three.
It finally popped a three yesterday on Saturday. I've betted
(07:47):
at two and a half. I've betted at three. I've
bet the Jets money line maybe on two. Over ambitious
in my beliefs because I'm not backing Kirk Cousins on
the road after a so so performance without Drake London again,
(08:09):
and the Jets defense is effective at stopping the run
and that's gonna be the Falcon strength here. So give
me the Jets plus three raw Ra j Ets, Jets, Jets, Jets.
I can't believe that our confidence levels are so high
on the Browns, and are you with me on the Jets.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
I'm with you.
Speaker 3 (08:33):
I'm definitely not ask confidence. There's other dogs I like
more this week. Honestly, now that we're here on Sunday,
I still like the Jets, still bet them, but it's
gonna be a tough choice to make jack because they're
two and a half. They're three and a half for
our contest, I would have happily put them in, but
at two and a half, I don't know how much
I love it because I really, honestly always say with
this Jets team, I need every point, and yes it's
(08:55):
really been true. Like last week, I think they were
thirteen and a half or fourteen. That's spread litering laded
on three. So they're that type of team. They play
up to that number. You do need the best number
you can possibly get this Jets team, and a two
and a half for our contest, I'm still I bet
it at two and a half. So it's like I
do believe in it, but I don't know if it's
one of my five favorite bets of this week, I'll
be honest with.
Speaker 1 (09:15):
You, all right. Well, then let's transition to I'm going
to throw a curveball at Matt Mitchell here so hopefully
he can throw the graphic up Jeff right exactly from
his current location inside of a hotel lobby, trying to
beat a snowstorm. Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Tennessee Titans. The
(09:36):
Titans are six point dogs. I throw it up because
you brought it up right before we came on the air.
We know that the Titans are the side here. The
number has come down from six to six and a half,
or from six and a half to six. Everyone is
talking about cam Ward is progressing, He's starting to play
a little bit better. I don't know that I'm seeing that.
(09:57):
What I'm seeing is that cam Ward is back door
covering the past three weeks because other teams are giving
up the points because they're up by so many scores.
They're not worried about losing the game. But you at
least intimated you don't mind the Titans here.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
No, again, this is following really respected money and talking
to guys. This would have been definitely been on sharp calls.
It is a very sharp side, this Titans team, especially
if you can get the six and a half. Now
I'm looking now, I'm assuming most people won't be able
to The best time seeing is six and yeah, like
hard rock, they're down in six now. So it just
(10:36):
seems like the professionals have hit it. It's the best
you might be able to get is six. This really
is a little bit what you talked about. Right, they've
been back dooring teams, but we talk of the time
when teams backdoor consistently. It's yeah, it's a lot of luck,
but also just shows how the market continues to undervalue them.
Speaker 2 (10:53):
Right.
Speaker 3 (10:53):
They keep hitting that certain number, and it's not like
they're covering by a ton, right, Like you just had
their back dooring by either half a point or a point.
So the books have been really sharp on it. The
professional has been all over and like we said, we
keep missing it. This is we talked earing the week.
This is Tennessee or nothing at all for either of us.
I still like Tennessee, still like the number. If it's
six and a half, chat, I feel like we have
(11:14):
to put in the contest just over certain other games
where we're playing a good number against the Jaguars team
that you know we keep talking about Trevor Lawrence. I
mean they stole one last week for sure, Right, he
had four turners and they were able us not only
win that game but cover as well. So we're getting
a big key number here in a divisional matchup. I mean,
(11:35):
maybe I can help us avoid because there's other dogs
I like more, and we just we know it's just
kind of eventually going to catch up with Tennessee. They
just can't keep covering. He's insane back doors. But in
this matchup here, with the run defense they have with
Jeffrey Simmons back and they're making Trevor Lawrence one dimensional,
I feel like this is the exact type of team
we like to back against the Jaguars. So yeah, it's
(11:57):
it's a hard one to get away from where I
didn't love it early in the week, simply a bet
it because it was a good number. And the more
pros I talked to them, why they tell me they
love it and they love this matchup. It kind of
makes more sense why Tennessee is the sharp side here.
Speaker 1 (12:09):
The one thing that worries me is Tennessee has been
getting backdoors when they've been much bigger favorites. We're talking
about double digit favorites this week. You know it's it's
under a touchdown. I think it shows how little respect
the professional community has for the Jags, which we've been
talking about all year. Trevor Lawrence is just not an
effective quarterback. They're winning in spite of him, not because
(12:33):
of him.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
Wow, I feel better. The public is the opposite.
Speaker 3 (12:36):
They are all in on this Jacks team, like between
the money line, parlays the teasers due.
Speaker 2 (12:42):
For biggest bets.
Speaker 1 (12:43):
By the way, then we're all in on Tennessee and
we're all in on Tennessee money line.
Speaker 2 (12:48):
Yeah, might have to be minues.
Speaker 1 (12:51):
I want to bring up Minnesota is now a twelve
point underdog at Seattle. It's been announced they're starting Max Brosmer.
Max Brosmer, the undrafted free agent. It's not a must
half for me. You didn't like it on Tuesday. I
just want to reiterate it's a huge number against a
Brian Flores defense that does exactly what Sam Donald hates
(13:13):
to face constant pressure. So whatever Max Brosmer does, I
don't know that the Seahawks are ever going to be
so far ahead that the back door isn't in play here.
Speaker 3 (13:28):
Yeah, a funny line where some really sharp books have
already moved Seattle to thirteen, so that means there is
professional money coming in on the Seahawks team. But you
Nata Chad like I really had a blind spot to this.
I was just gonna avoid it. Probably take Seattle a
couple of teasers or some just bet their number down
a five and a half. And you're right, Like Minnesota,
they should know Donald's weaknesses. This should be the exact
(13:50):
game they can capitalize on. Just I have a hard
time Bendo quarterback I know zero about and even going
to watch one of his tape.
Speaker 2 (13:57):
I remember I was watching for ten minutes. Agoo, what
am I even doing?
Speaker 3 (13:59):
I can't take anything away from this kid's tape in college.
So it's it's a crazy spot right now for this
Minnesota team. Like you said, if you're making this bet,
as much as respect the Efforcasey, this is a Brian
Flores bet. You you're betting on this defensive show up
here and steal this game and keep it close so
I get rid of the covering from I. Just I'm
not bet this one. I don't really have any confidence.
(14:19):
That's like you said, all right.
Speaker 1 (14:21):
Buffalo at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has come down from three and
a half to three. Aaron Rodgers is playing with the
fractured wrist. Buffalo is missing both of its starting tackles.
The Steelers are missing they're starting left tackle, so and
they're also missing one of their key defensive tackles across
their front four. It feels like this number is being
(14:45):
dictated by injuries and who's on the field and who's
not on the field. I think the best of the
number at three has passed. You could have gotten it
at three and a half all week on the Steelers
at the three. It's for me, it ends up not
having any value.
Speaker 2 (15:01):
Okay, I'm shocked by that. This is another pro side.
Speaker 3 (15:04):
Tons of pros I talk who love the Steers team
even at three, and I think the reason is very telling.
Like if you're just Joe Public walking off the street,
you might you are seeing minus three on Josh Allen
against either Mason Rudolf or Aaron Rodgers. This is gonna
be one of the more public sides bet right, this
Bills team for sure. And you know, even yesterday I
(15:25):
was in the books, you know that. I say Michigan
was a huge game. Talking to different bookmakers running around
and it's like they're all telling me how it's just
all Buffalo money, and I go, watch you give me
a three and a half, then don't you need And
they just give me a look of like we know
what we're doing here.
Speaker 2 (15:41):
So I think the books really trust Pittsburgh here.
Speaker 3 (15:43):
They like this number, and I know it's hard to believe,
just like it was hard to believe betting against the
Chiefs on Thanksgiving on that Cowboys team.
Speaker 2 (15:51):
But like I feel like we've seen the page turn
this year, Chad.
Speaker 3 (15:54):
Like these teams of last year that we keep giving
this respect and credit to, they're just not hitting like
they were last year, right, like we kept we keep
thinking the Chiefs are going to turn it around.
Speaker 2 (16:05):
Right, the Chiefs kne lose this one. That's week.
Speaker 3 (16:07):
Every week we say that the Chiefs can lose this one, right,
they need to win this one to make the playoffs,
and they keep losing. And it feels the same for
this Bills team. Like this Bills team are going to
be very desperate. I know that, Like they need this
game obviously, but Pittsburgh is just as desperate. They were
watching that Ravens game as well. They know this is
all on their own hands as well. This is that
game they tend to win with Tomlin. And you know,
(16:30):
the only hesitation I have here is what I'm mixed.
I'm sure your experience as well. We're missing the best
of the number and we're going against Josh Allen at
not a great number.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
So you know, I'm happy it's moved so much. I
talked to earlier week.
Speaker 3 (16:44):
I thought Pittsburgh at three and a half for four
was a great number. Our contest is three and a half.
I'm really tempted to make us put it in just
because it is such.
Speaker 2 (16:51):
A good number.
Speaker 3 (16:52):
But really really telling here, if you look at the splits,
it's like percent of the tickets are on the Bills,
seventy eighty percent of the money is on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
So this is the definition of pros verse shows.
Speaker 2 (17:06):
And I get why.
Speaker 3 (17:08):
People want to be on the bills here, but it
feels like if either team can lose either tackles, Yes,
it's a negative that the Pittsburgh has lost a guy
on their offensive line.
Speaker 2 (17:18):
You know TJ.
Speaker 3 (17:20):
Watt isn't lining up against that that that line, Like,
that's the issue of the Bills is they lost two
tackles and now TJ can pick either side whatever guy
he thinks he has the best advantage of. And sure
you can scheme against that, and you have Josh Allen
who's a freak athlete and get out of it. But
of all the guys got matchup and give them problems.
This is the perfect matchup for us with Pittsburgh defense
(17:42):
against the guy like him. So I think there's a
lot of ways Pittsburgh con neuter Josh Allen's athletic ability.
And yeah, I'm gonna trust the proceram back to that
number of three with the Steelers team.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
All right, last game, we've been talking about that. We
intimated on Tuesday and hinted that we would like it's
going to be our rock in a hard place, hard
rock better the week the New York Football Giants. They
are seven point underdogs at hard Rock. At the New
England Patriots on Monday night, they are seven and a
(18:13):
half in a lot of places. I believe Simon and
I have both bet into the seven and a half.
I'm speaking for you, but we did like it a
lot on Tuesday. I did bet at at seven and
a half Jackson Darta's back. I think the bigger issue
for us is that the entire left side of the
Patriots offensive line is injured, including Will Campbell, and the
(18:35):
Giants defensive line is able between Thibodeau, Burns Carter to
get some kind of pass rush and scheme something up.
New defensive coordinator for the Giants. This week. I think
they'll be more aggressive. Rock in a hard place, hard
rock better the week New York Giants plus seven and
a half Monday Night at New England.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
Oh what a lot.
Speaker 3 (19:03):
Yeah, another game. We're gonna talk sharp calls. This is
a huge one. Tons of calls about it, tons of
love for this Giants team, which we knew, right the
pros have went over the Giants. Feels like all season,
even though they're not winning right two and ten, they've
been a covering machine. And I like again, I always
love different aspects of games and thinking.
Speaker 2 (19:21):
About storylines people aren't thinking about.
Speaker 3 (19:22):
And the biggest one for me here is this This
week feels like it's gonna decide the coach of the year.
And I know it sounds stupid, but like Ben Johnson,
to me, just took a huge step I had of
Rabel at this point and crazy Rabel has done right.
This is a team that I think they have the
third worst record in all football last season, they've had
a really easy schedule and we all know that where
(19:44):
the Bears, their schedule is only gonna get harder.
Speaker 2 (19:46):
Right.
Speaker 3 (19:46):
That Eagles one was huge because they know they have
such a hard divisional schedule coming up. This is that
type of game where like we've talked about, like we
put a little on the Giants money line because this
is the act type of game that could get stolen
from this Patriots team.
Speaker 2 (19:57):
Right.
Speaker 3 (19:57):
They are very banged up on offensive line, and we've
seen this. This Giants team just does not quit. They
play hard in every game. So, yeah, it's seven and
hard rock. Chad just said it. You can shop around people,
there's only seven and a halfs out there. I could
see this getting down the six and a half and
you know, give out a shout out to my guy
(20:18):
doctor Nick from Action. He gave me an amazing stat about
this Giants team. And basically in his luck rankings, Chad
in is.
Speaker 2 (20:26):
Week thirteen, So he's been doing it.
Speaker 3 (20:28):
I think that for three years he's never lost on
a side, which is kind of shocking.
Speaker 2 (20:32):
It just usually works out where the luck.
Speaker 3 (20:34):
Catches up the teams in this this week, this is
his biggest one, his favorite one this week is this
discrepancy of this Giants team versus doing the team, where
we've talked about this doing the team has been incredibly
lucky that a lot of things are brooking their way.
And the flip side this Giants team, think of all
the games they blown the end of the games right,
they've had so much bad luck if things not break
their way. I mean even that Lions game, like they
(20:54):
felt like they should have won out a thousand different ways.
So you know the fact that darts back, I feel
more confident because we don't have to worry about the
ups and downs of Winston where we know this rookie
he might have one or two termers with us, that's
always a negative with them, But the fact that we
can use his legs, which they want to do offensively.
You've seen that how they draw a place for him
offensively using his legs. I think that's going to be
(21:16):
a huge advantage against I know we're on a team
that you know. Honestly, their only real weakness in my
opinion is the linebackers. I just think they have really
really slow linebackers. And you've seen that timetime again with
teams rush outside or different usage of their tight ends
or the quarterback running, their tight ends usually beat the linebackers.
So again, the Patrios teams just so well coached. The
(21:36):
only real weakness I can take away from them, is
there the linebackers, and I think the Johnson would attack that.
So yeah, this key number, like we always talk about,
you can get seven hard rock shop around, go get
that hook, get that seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:49):
Let's take a quick break from our friends at hard Rock.
On the other side, we'll do our final five some
money line parlays for the dogs and the faves. Today's
show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, hard
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and all other states, must be twenty one and over
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All right, we'll do this part quickly simon biggest bats
right now.
Speaker 3 (23:51):
It's tough to say, Like I took a large position
on the two and a half on Tampa hoping it
was going to be baker. It is baker now and
now they're minus three and a half. I wish you
could have a ton of confidence on this one. I
can't believet numbers not five or six. So I'm a
little scared off it because it hasn't moved enough. In
my opinion, that is one of my bigger bets. I
still like it in Maaster and a half, but it
(24:13):
is very, very public at this point. Pittsburgh plus three,
Giants seven and a half, Commanders plus six and a half.
Like I've really I've lit it up on all these
late primetime games today. Again, it's a weird thing where
like I know it shouldn't scare me, but the fact
that four dogs I've covered this week, it's making me
a little weary because I just mean chat talk before
(24:35):
the show. I love all the dogs. I love Cleveland,
I really do. I really love this Jets team that
we're talking. I really love this Tennessee team. So I'm
just trying to be careful and not go too big,
and you know, I'm sure like most people, it's just
been a long week of football. Like I woke up
today and I was like, oh my god, it's still Sunday,
Like we haven't it's still week thirteen. So I'm trying
(24:57):
to be a little patient here because I just so
these lines feel very off and it's all heavily skewed
to the dogs for me this week. So yeah, my
my biggest bets for sure gonna be O those dogs
I mentioned.
Speaker 1 (25:08):
Well, speaking of dogs, I made a list of the
money line underdog parlay and I was finding more games
where I feel I can see victory for the dogs
than I can for the favorites. On my list, I
have Pittsburgh, I have Cleveland, I have the Jets, I
(25:28):
have Houston, and then I put Tennessee just because I
have such a bias against the Jags. Now, anyone you
think I should exclude anyone we should add?
Speaker 3 (25:40):
No, And like I've already I bet that I got lucky.
I made the bet we gave out on Cincy. I
had them thrown in with a couple of their teams,
just you know, long shot odds a couple of nineteen
one bets. I have a couple of Cincy, a couple
of Cleveland money lines together.
Speaker 2 (25:58):
Yeah, it's just I.
Speaker 3 (26:00):
Think we're both on the same page. We think it's
gonna be a little bit of a wonky week. We
just see there being some upsets this week. And obviously,
if we had known there's gonna be three three dogs
win an out right on Thanksgiving, would have been a
happy man.
Speaker 2 (26:12):
And I had one contest.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
I was left and everyone knows it's a really big
survivor pool. You have to make a Thanksgiving pick, and
just like every other idiot in the world, we have
been saving the Ravens for that game.
Speaker 2 (26:23):
And it looks like.
Speaker 3 (26:25):
The smartest guys where the people don't pay attention just
pick every week and the people that just had to
roll with the you know, the dogs on the Thanksgiving
game since the Cowboys, and yeah, I got knocked out
on the Ravens, so I people can tell. I'm just
I just think this is a dog's week. I'm really
heavy to the dogs this week. So I love this
round robin.
Speaker 1 (26:43):
For the favorites. I put in favorites. Probably I put
in Seattle the charge five and a half, Seattle at
five and a half. I put the Chargers against the Raiders.
Speaker 2 (26:55):
I did Miami's money line.
Speaker 1 (26:58):
Oh, Miami, for sure.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
You gotta do Tampa's money line. Like I said, Tampa's
super Republic. But I'm really bit heavy into it. I
can't say that enough.
Speaker 1 (27:07):
On three to two and a half, Seattle, LA Chargers,
Miami Tampa. Do you want to add anybody else there?
Speaker 2 (27:16):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (27:16):
Like again, if we're taking all these big favorites, are
we gonna throw the Rams five and a half in
there as well?
Speaker 1 (27:21):
Like I mean I would do five and a half.
Speaker 3 (27:23):
Yeah, I wouldn't take the spread. I'm I'm on the
Carolina there, But I just I could see Carolina find
a way to backdoor that Rams.
Speaker 2 (27:32):
Team and Chad.
Speaker 3 (27:33):
Chad saved me a lot of money because I knew
Carolina injuries. I didn't realize how many banged up guys
they had on their defensive side. So that's the only
reason I we haven't really talked about that game and
we're putting in our contest. It's just Carolina has so
many injuries to overcome. We do love the spot for them,
but you know, you're going against the MVP and a
high powered offense. You're gonna need allow your second secondary pieces.
And it's just I don't I don't love that for Carolina.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
All right, Final five, New York Giants plus seven and
a half, go get it, Pittsburgh Steelers, there's no three
and a half's available. We're still on it at three,
but it will be three and a half in our contest. Yep,
Cleveland Browns plus five and a half across the board,
(28:17):
still love it. Houston, we're getting a little lucky. I
bet Houston at plus three, it's four and a half
in the contest. We're going to play it. You got
to take advantage of those lines. I think it's coming
down Simon to the Jets and the Titans. I love
the Jets, love it. I will own it. I will
(28:39):
be uncomfortable. I will sit in my misery. It will
be no problem for me all day. I will be
the only one watching the corner TV game of the
Jets and the Falcons.
Speaker 3 (28:52):
So you want to put the Jets in over Tennessee, Yes,
all right, let's have a look. Make sure we get
the right number. So the Jets are two and a half,
Tennessee is six and a half. Man, I know Son
can do it. If you're gonna chat's gonna be the
one and be like this is I'm taking my staying here.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
This is the game this week.
Speaker 3 (29:17):
Because right now we have Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh Giants in.
Speaker 2 (29:23):
And we'll put the Jets is the fifth one.
Speaker 1 (29:25):
Let's do the Jets. Okay, all right, it's gonna be exciting.
Oh my god, it's gonna be a miserable Sunday evening.
All right. This has been Sharper Square, part of the
Volume podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square
YouTube tonight seven point thirty ish after the latest of
(29:45):
the late afternoon games. To recap all the misery and
glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube a
Sharper Square like this video. Subscribe to the channel, download
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Feedback is a gift untill next time. I Love you.
Want plenty at a time for a slag to table
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Colin Cowherd
Jason McIntyre
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