June 13, 2024 • 31 mins
Karl Tily from the TAB joins Manaia to pore over the weekend's odds, opportunities and omens. From 'Around The Grounds' (00:00) to 'Grab A Pen' (16:15) and 'Stats To Impress The Ladies' (19:28).
Plus, the latest ThreeWay Punt (28:05)
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Live from the Export Beer Garden studio. This is the
ACC Sports Book, Thanks to the Tab, the ACC Sports Book,
Thanks to the tab Powerful Stuff. Welcome in to the
ACC Sports Book. Carl from the tab. Good morning, Carl.
How are you Matte sure?
Speaker 2 (00:18):
That's a flash slash opener? We've got them and I.
Speaker 1 (00:21):
Yeah, I didn't know if it had been played before
or not. Is that that's the debut? You didn't play
it last week?
Speaker 2 (00:25):
The debut the first time I've heard it. I love it.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
Powerful Stuff leaps and bounds five percent better every week. Now,
I need to address the elephant that is not in
the room this morning, and that is our illustrious leader,
g Lane. We have a no fault standown policy here
at the ACC, and there is an investigation on going
into his performance last Friday, but he has been stood down.
(00:49):
He knows why, and I think anyone that listened to
this podcast last week will probably know why. Adam, our
producer had to literally wake him up to record the
podcast as a fall on a sleep yesterday last week.
How did you manage to drag him through that one
last week?
Speaker 2 (01:06):
I actually think he dragged me through it. I thought
we got through a very very fast last week. Left
a lot on the cutting room floor, as you could say, Yeah,
probably didn't give the punters everything we could have. It was, yeah,
not Laye's best efforts. But look, you've got to tip
you had to him.
Speaker 1 (01:22):
We did try, Yeah, and you know, obviously it was
a big call that we had to make here at
the ACC to drop him for this. But you know,
we looked to Andrew Webster dropping ad Infanua Blake and
we thought it's just a one week thing. He'll be
back next week. You know, we'll be back on the
right track. But it's important to have standards and it
doesn't matter whether you are an intern here, it doesn't
(01:44):
matter whether you are the leader. You know, we hold
ourselves to certain standards and so that's why he's been
stood down for this podcast. But let's rip straight on into it.
The biggest sporting action across the weekend is the Super
Rugby semi finals. They start tonight seven o'clock with the
Brumby's taking on the Blues. What I mean, we've been
(02:06):
saying for the longest time that the Auckland fans they
love to get on the Blues when they're short favorites.
What are the odds at the time recording this and
are the Blues faithful getting on board with that?
Speaker 2 (02:18):
Yeah, it's a copy paste job here from Blues fans.
They are a dollar twenty two here to hear, Brumbies
are four dollars eighty percent of the money with the Blues.
I guess as you'd expect, given there are in eighty
percent chance of winning biggest bet so far as a
five thousand dollars ago at the Blues at a dollar
twenty two, it sounds like auckland most popular power play.
(02:41):
I don't mind this. Blues to score fifteen or more
points in the first fifteen minutes at ten dollars. Oh wow,
Ricky Rickettelli is the most popular try scoring option. And
that's about all we've got at the moment. I'd say
things will start to ramp up from about now in
terms of betting.
Speaker 1 (03:00):
Yeah, I don't mind that. So fifteen points in the
first fifteen minutes? Is that what it was?
Speaker 2 (03:04):
Yes? Ten dollars, ten dollars.
Speaker 1 (03:06):
I don't mind that. They have been a fast starting team,
the Blues, and they've been involved in some pretty fiery
games over the last few sort of months or so.
That's quite good at ten dollars, it's worth at a
little flutter and then hookers just get pounded, don't they
on this CB this year?
Speaker 2 (03:24):
And I suppose with a bit of rain about probably,
as Lane would say, the human Center Pede comes into
play a lot more.
Speaker 1 (03:31):
Yeah, one hundred percent. I can't imagine you've seeing too
many people getting on the Brumbies at four dollars twenty,
particularly obviously in New Zealanders. But we are pretty interested
in if this is an upset. It means that the
Super Rugby Grand Final could potentially be in Canberra, which
would be an absolute nightmare for Super Rugby as anyone
(03:53):
is anyone placing trees in this bets on Canberra?
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Yeah, Like I said, eighty percent of the money with
the Blues. So with the brumbi's four hours. I think
top four semi finals, anything can happen, and you've got
to have a throw out the stumps why not? Yeah,
but I just say on camera, wow, that would it
would really throw a few people.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Well, we were saying on the Agenda podcast if that happens,
if the Chiefs win and Camera wins and it's a
final in camera and we're going to fly g Lane
over to test once and for all whether the curse
is real or not. And I'd suggest that if that happens,
we need to pass that on to the oddsmakers at
the TB because I think that should affect the line
(04:40):
if Lane's over there supporting the Chiefs. But he will
be supporting the Chiefs on Saturday night as they take
on the Hurricanes. Chiefs out at two dollars twenty five,
Hurricanes favorites. But I feel like this is, at least
in my mind, a little bit closer. Where are key
we throwing their money at this one?
Speaker 2 (04:58):
Fifty fifty mate? A lot of love for the Chiefs
through twenty five, We've better found a lot of bet
at the two twenty five. I'll tell you what I'm
looking out at the harbor here in Willington. It is
we've got some low cloud. Remember that final You couldn't
see a thing? Yes, yeah, that's what it looks like
(05:18):
at the moment. For to rain about the wind is
going to be a true levely here, I think.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Yeah, right, so even things up a little bit. I've
got to be honest, I feel like the winner of
Super Rugby comes out of this game. Hurricanes and Chiefs,
But I just couldn't tell you who it is. I
wouldn't be shocked with either way. I feel like the
Hurricanes have probably had more form this season, but the Chiefs. Yeah,
I just really, I really can't pick this one. I
(05:46):
know later on Lane's gonna he's sent in his league
for the three way. He wants to get on a
tri scorer in this game. But a part is getting
involved in the in the power plays as opposed to
the heads ahead for this game.
Speaker 2 (05:59):
Yeah, most popular one so far are Canes to win
both individual halves by one to seven at seven dollars. Now,
just let me explain this because we've had some some
people have some serious issues with this option. What does
that mean to you and I Canes to win both
individual halves, that.
Speaker 1 (06:18):
At the end of the first half they have more
points on the board than the Chiefs, and that at
the end of the second half they've scored more points
again in that forty minute period. That's what it means
to me.
Speaker 2 (06:28):
It's not that hard as it no for everyone listening,
it's not that hard.
Speaker 1 (06:32):
Well, what are people getting confused about? So they do
they think it's first half and then win yes, yeah, right.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
This throws a little bit extra because they're going to
win each individual half I wan to seven.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Yeah, which if they're going to win the game, I
feel like that's probably how they do it. Like you said,
the money's going fifty to fifty. In my mind, it
seems fifty to fifty. So this isn't going to be
a blowout in favor of either team. So I think
that's quite a good What what was that paying.
Speaker 2 (07:01):
The seven dollars?
Speaker 1 (07:04):
Oh? See that that is value. I guess that's why
it runs climbing on board it. Yeah, because when when
teams are so hard to split like this, you you
do have to go looking for a little bit of
extra value, don't you, And this is you can do it.
Speaker 2 (07:18):
Yep, yeap. Tight games like this is you know, value
all across the border. And I suppose it's picking the
ones that that you like most. And you know what,
the Canes have been the Chiefs twice this year. Yeah,
last one was very tight. Penalty at the end that
probably wasn't a penalty, So yeah.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
It's going to be very Yeah, absolutely, coin toss and
I think you're right. I think in that Blues game,
he runs on the head to head. But in the
Hurricanes Chiefs game, you're gonna have to get pretty creative
with your with your party. You could do worse than
that power play that we just mentioned. I had ridden
in the rundown yesterday morning TEA twenty World Cup. I
don't really want to talk about it today, but you know,
(07:59):
I feel like like we have to. It was, it
was what was disappointing stuff. We've reconvened the black Caps
supporters support group after that game. Has that basically sort
of rained on the T twenty World Cup parade from
a TB perspective.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
Yeah, I think the black Caps are out to one
hundred and fifty one dollars now, which probably should be
a thousand and fifty one. I think they're gone. Yeah. Look,
there's not a lot of action I can pass on
on the best back. We've had one customers throw two
and a half on them at four dollars.
Speaker 1 (08:39):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 2 (08:41):
The West and he's worth thirteen dollars to win. They're
now into sixes. Wow after the win. And Taniel Bartman
was one hundred and one dollars to be the top
wicket taker. He's now twenty one dollars with five wickets.
We had two forty dollars bets at that one hundred
(09:02):
and one for four thousand dollars return. So those two
punters will be looking their lips at the moment.
Speaker 1 (09:07):
What did they say? What did they know?
Speaker 2 (09:10):
Exactly?
Speaker 1 (09:11):
Yeah, So you're not seeing too many people taking Afghanistan
at a dollar and one against Papua and you get ea, it.
Speaker 2 (09:19):
No, not not traditionally one of the bigger cricket games
going around, is it.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
No, it's not. And that's sort of that's sort of
we were out at the moment with this tournament. It's
been an absolute fizzy. We're talking about it on the agenda.
It's just like so deflating. We can't remember a worse
performance for the for the black Caps, and I think
that that's sort of going to be the end of it.
Speaker 2 (09:38):
Yeah, they were cruising yesterday. I know, they were cruising.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
I know, I know, And even even we were saying
for like, yeah, they scored about thirty seven odd runs
in the last like two overs and we were like,
could have done without that. But even then one forty nine,
you're sitting there looking at that gun. Yeah, we'll get that.
It's just that's just.
Speaker 2 (09:59):
How about the last ome it were? Do you think
it could happen after that first? No?
Speaker 1 (10:04):
I didn't. I didn't. I mean I I was trying
to talk myself into it. I was like, oh, here
we go, but I knew it's there's.
Speaker 2 (10:11):
No when huddle around the TV cheering it on here.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Yeah, it's just this is the thing that I have
with my own punting, as well as when you start
reaching for things like, oh, well, if he sets the
record for the most sixers in the over, then we
could still be on here. The worst is when I'm
betting on basketball and I'm like, and it's quite tight
coming down and I still have like two leagues ahead.
I'm like, should if we get overtime, we could be
(10:38):
on here. I think once you grasp me at those straws,
then she's pretty much a foregone conclusion.
Speaker 2 (10:44):
And that's very similar punters, man.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
I yeah, well, but hang on, but if he hits
a three end, gets fouled, then gets the thing. Now
all he needs is five rebounds in the overtime period, and.
Speaker 2 (10:55):
I'm in exactly. There's always a chance, always a chance.
Speaker 1 (10:59):
That's what it felt like when was it Santina hitting
those sixes yesterday. That's what it felt like. He's saying,
there's a chance the US opened teed off this morning.
Ryan Fox. I think at the time of recording this,
he's finished his first round and he was three over,
but it had been a difficult round for almost everyone.
We on the Gender podcast had a look at the
(11:22):
outright winners, and I think we put it on Aburg.
Oh yeah, no, wouldn't put it on We put it
on Scotty. We put it on Scotty because Scotty had
six dollars. I think is as good value when when
Ryan Fox is in the field at these events, does
do t Airb take a bit of money on him?
Because I feel like me personally, I always sprinkle a
little on the Fox because when it comes in, I
(11:44):
want to be able to say that I knew it
was going to Is that the many punters follow me
in on that sort of thinking.
Speaker 2 (11:51):
A lot of punters follow on that sort of thinking.
And I think too, probably the Michael Campbell, yeah, nineteen
years ago, Pinehurst number two. That probably plays into a
little bit. But as you say, Foxy is by far
our worst result. I think we will be on the
hook for just over half a Melothy wins. We took
(12:12):
a two hundred od bit on him at one hundred
and fifty one's for a thirty thousand dollar return.
Speaker 1 (12:17):
Wow.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
But with that there's a little stat and I'll save
it for stats and impressed the ladies, but doesn't doesn't
sit well for Foxy fans given how far back he
is at the moment. I think he's what he is,
eight shots back from cana Is leading at minus five,
(12:39):
with Rory and Dishambo both hunting him down pretty nicely
with a couple of holes to go. Just don Scotty,
he is the best back. I think he opened at
four point fifty, came into three ninety and was four
dollars last night before teof But I just said this morning,
I think he gets six bucks from him the moment.
Speaker 1 (13:00):
Just said when we were recording this at about ten
in the morning, yeah, you could get six bucks. And
we were saying, because you know, one of the new
markets that the Ta Bears had in recent times has
been betting on the PGA tour with Scottie Scheffler out
of the market, so you can bet it, so you
basically two by to the cherry. Your player can either
win it outright or lose to Scottie Scheffler and you collect.
(13:22):
And so when when you've got that kind of streak
going on, then you see that guy out at sixes,
I just sort of felt like that was you know,
that's good eating. We were like, it's we were saying,
is it boring to bet on Scotti Scheffler. Well, it's
never boring to bet on someone paying six dollars to
win something. So that's where we've gone with that. What
are the punters said, obviously said Scheffler's still the biggest.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
Bats, still the best back the other guys. We're losing
big on Colin Morakawa, who's been playing pretty well. I
mean he's the only one that's been in the final
group of the first two Majors start of the year.
Chambeau seems to be a coming back around as a
fan favorite and cam Smith, which I find surprising given
(14:10):
I think last week his last round and live golf,
he's finished with three doubles in a triple or something
like that. So relatable, very relatable, very relatable. That's kind
of it from us. I do have one thing I
saw on social media last night, and it's a punter
in the States. This might be the best thing I've
(14:32):
ever seen. Has put forty nine thousand, seven hundred dollars
on Christian Bizeten hoots to not win the US Open
this weekend and he would get just to take under
three hundred dollars back if it happens.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
What that's a spike bet exactly.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
I was going to say because we couldn't find a
market for it, but I would love to fade Rory
McElroy on this one. He was I think he was
the favorite this morning when when we got up at
about five dollars. The guy can't even close out a divorce.
How's he supposed to close out the US Open? So
I was like, how do I bet against Rory mcleury?
But I think now that it's teed off, you can
only get on the outright winner. Is that right?
Speaker 2 (15:18):
Yeah? So there'd be some life beating, some holes, holes
betting life whole. Yeah, but the some of the markets
shut down and then they'll reopen once the round's finished
this afternoon. For you to go again, there would have
been a make cat miss cap market for Rory.
Speaker 1 (15:37):
I think it will make the cut. I just want
to bet against him winning it. I want I want
to put that spike bet on him.
Speaker 2 (15:43):
There is two yeah and bog you free, good start.
Speaker 1 (15:46):
I know that's what I mean. I feel like i'd
get a little bit of value for it, But I
just think, like I said, the guy can't even finish
a divorce. He's not going to finish the bloody us open. Yeah,
I'm looking forward to that. So when everyone's come into
the clubhouse, that's when the market's reopens, that right, correct, Yeah, yeah,
we'll have a look at that. All right, let's take
a quick break. This is your chance to go and
(16:08):
grab a pen when we come back. Carl said, his
ear to the ground, and he's going to tell us
what he's hearing around the TB officers. We're backing to
seek pause the podcast now and grab a pin for
the hottest tips from around the tab offers another flash thing.
Speaker 2 (16:27):
Car that's another day bu well yeah, yeah.
Speaker 1 (16:30):
Leaps and bounds, mate. What are you hearing around the
offices this week?
Speaker 2 (16:35):
Where are we just quick quick recamp on last week?
I'd like to be accountable these things. So I gave
five tips last week. Yes, we had two seconds, a third, fifth,
and a winner. So that's not bad, right, that's powerful.
That's powerful. Odd races, the trenth On Saturday Bonus back
(16:59):
second or third, second to fourth at Tarappa, Rosehill and
Eagle Farm. I have got one to three four tips
for the punters today. We're going to start with Tarappa
tomorrow Saturday, Race four number one Avalon Berlin three dollars
twenty to win, dollar forty to place, twenty two top
three finishes and twenty eight career starts. She has performed
(17:24):
well on heavy tracks in the past four starts, two
wins in a second and a very good record at
Tarapa with nine starts, four wins and four play things.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
Okay there, well, yeah, that explains the dollar forty to place. Then.
Speaker 2 (17:38):
Yeah, I thought, I'm trying to save myself here in case,
in case, we'll get another second at least this time,
I've put the odds out there. Yeah, yeah, yeah, shave
my ass. Next one trendth them race one number five
Cornelia four twenty and one forty. Yeah, if you hit
the odd surge button you can get five bucks to win.
(18:00):
We don't have a little note on that, but I
think it's a third start.
Speaker 1 (18:05):
It's on all the races that Trentham, Is that right?
Speaker 2 (18:07):
The odd suit correct? Yep?
Speaker 1 (18:10):
All right.
Speaker 2 (18:11):
And then the last two we're going to go bang
bang together. Eagle Farm Race one number one, Freedom Out
Freedom Rally and Race two number five for Rally paying
two dollars and two dollars and fifteen j Max on
board both of them. Okay, Freedom Rally five wins from
(18:33):
seven starts at Eagle Farm has drawn one gate, so
should probably don't need to do a lot of work
in this one. And then per Rally two wins and
two seconds in the last four runs. I really like
I've already put this on myself a little J mack
double multi multi those two together.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
Is J Mack Almost at the point where they should
swap the horse and jockey name around on the on
the phone, gud Jmak. The is J Mac. Here's its
actual name, but he's on this one.
Speaker 2 (19:04):
Yeah, they're my work.
Speaker 1 (19:06):
I like that. If you want to go back and
listen to those, you can. Otherwise we'll chuck those up
on the Instagram story later on today so you can
follow them through. And they're all on Saturday.
Speaker 2 (19:15):
Out there, car they are, yes, Saturday, yep, all.
Speaker 1 (19:18):
Right, go and check the Instagram story for those ones
if you missed them. Now it is time for one
of my favorite segments across the week of the a SEC.
It has stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
Every time. All right, we'll save the wise. We need
to talk about the ones yet, we'll come back to
the ones. CWS scored two tries and each of his
last two matches against the Storm. You can get three
dollars and five cents for him to score two tribes.
Speaker 1 (19:54):
Is due.
Speaker 2 (19:56):
Euros. Let's fucker football. England playing Serbia. Serbia, I think anyway.
England has led one nil at halftime and three of
their last four European Championship night matches. Oh you can
get England and under one and a half first half goal.
(20:17):
That three dollars forty.
Speaker 1 (20:19):
Oh a little nighttime action, nighttime?
Speaker 2 (20:22):
All right? Actually, r our Bunnies Broncos. Shelwyn Cobbo has
scored at least one try and eight of his last
nine games against opponents that were ranked in the bottom four.
Speaker 1 (20:34):
You know I love me some Throbo.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
Get Throbbo anytime to fifteen.
Speaker 1 (20:40):
You can get any time fifteen.
Speaker 2 (20:47):
To two dollars fifteen not to fifteen PM goal. This
is the one where I said might not foxy punters
might not like this. Twenty three of the last twenty
five US Open champions have been within five shots of
the leader after the first round.
Speaker 1 (21:06):
He's eight, so.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
Currently can Layer is minus five. So we're looking like
anyone that's par or better, that's that's where you win
is going to come from. Most likely, I.
Speaker 1 (21:17):
Don't want to get bugged down in details during stats
to impress the ladies, how the hell did you digvance?
Stand up?
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Look? I have to have to credit one of their
great golf statisticians on Twitter, Justin Ray. That one.
Speaker 1 (21:32):
Shout out Justin. He can get involved in stats to
press lads exactly.
Speaker 2 (21:35):
He's got plenty of stets on Priscill ladies. Last one.
This is probably more to impress Joe in the background, actually,
Stanley Cup.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:44):
Brandon Monteur has recorded an assist in each of the Panthers'
last three playoff games.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
As underdogs, sharing it around.
Speaker 2 (21:53):
Mon tour over zero point five assists three dollars twenty.
Speaker 1 (21:57):
Five over point five. Oh yeah, one or more, one
or more, we're on.
Speaker 2 (22:03):
I like that twenty five and that'll do me.
Speaker 1 (22:05):
Yeah, that's that's done me. Entirely. I love that segment
stats of Bristol Ladies. I reckon that a single lady
listens to it. Let's move on to our three way.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Do we want to talk Warriors first?
Speaker 1 (22:19):
Let's talk Warriors first. I can't believe we glossed over this.
I was just so excited. So as it stands, the
more or less can't split them. Is that right?
Speaker 2 (22:31):
That is correct? And I that's ninety piece. I think
the Warriors open at two ten, so now to a
dollar ninety. I think on the back of money support,
but also the team namings SJ coming back and huge. Look,
we all know the storm of one fifteen in a row,
(22:54):
but I don't think that matters. Seventy of the money
is sitting with the Warriors as per DWZ and AFB
are getting smashed in the anytime trys for markets. But
we've also got plenty on the Prince of Penrose, Sewan Johnson, yes,
and Wade Egan. I had a little look into this,
(23:17):
So you get DWZ dollars seventy eight and INFANEU of
Blake three twenty five, Sean Johnson, Forten and Egan six
dollars seventy five all any time, and if you're an
absolute sicko, you can molten them up and you get
odds of one hundred and ninety six ninety three.
Speaker 1 (23:40):
I think, wah, I can't remember the last time waiting
and cross the chalk. I feel like you're also inviting
the Hia gods into the party when you're when you're
throwing him into your multi So I don't know, but
what did you say?
Speaker 2 (23:56):
That was one and ninety six? Yeah?
Speaker 1 (24:00):
I like that. I am a fan of You're basically
you're basically saying, here is every single try scorer in
this match for the Warriors at that point. So I
don't think we're going to score like eight tries in
this game, Yeah, which I do quite like. Question out
of absolutely nowhere is Jersey Bingo on this weekend?
Speaker 2 (24:19):
Oh, I'm glad you asked me. I it absolutely is on.
I'll just see what's available.
Speaker 1 (24:27):
Because it's come in. Did it come in twice out
of the last like three weeks?
Speaker 2 (24:32):
It didn't come in last week. We needed the number
ten to score in the last game and it was
so close so many times. But it's come in a
couple of times prior to that. I think two or
three in a row prior to that. Yeah, last, so
you would have had to have gone on last night.
Speaker 1 (24:50):
Oh okay, I think of course.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
Paying four dollars for all jerseys one to thirty.
Speaker 1 (24:57):
Yeah, and that's across the whole weekend.
Speaker 2 (25:00):
It's across the whole weekend. We had eight of them
in the game last night. One, two, three, four, five, seven,
twelve and thirteen have all scored tries already.
Speaker 1 (25:10):
Ah. I'll tell you what the the Warriors could do
worse than just putting a number ten jersey on Aden
Vanova Blake like it doesn't matter. He's still a prop
and he's I mean, I don't think you're going to
find too many other props or three dollars twenty to
score a try this weekend.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
No, you're right.
Speaker 1 (25:27):
That does us all the massive favor there. But you
said most of the money is coming for the Warriors,
and that one is there.
Speaker 2 (25:35):
Right, Yeah. Yeah. Sevent five percent of the Warriors on
the hit to head best back power play is sj
first second or third try scorer and dell On anytime
at eighteenth. Another one that they like Charm's first try
scorer and Adam anytime at twenty threes and a couple
(25:55):
of nuggets. I guess. Yeah, the Warriors one to twelve
has more money sitting with it than the other three
margin selections combined. Wow, winning team and margin option. There
has been a bit of love for the game to
go to Golden Point at sixteen dollars.
Speaker 1 (26:18):
Yeah. I mean the last game was so tight. It
started us right at the end.
Speaker 2 (26:24):
Yeah, I don't want to go to gold to Point. No.
And then we had some keen punter put two thousand
dollars in the Warriors at two dollars.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
Yeah, I don't mind that. I think if we are
going to break the hoodoo, this is probably the game
to do it. And you're right, yeah, we haven't won
in what nine years, fifteen games, but this is a
completely different team. Most of these guys weren't playing a
couple of years ago for the Storm, so exactly this
could be the one. And as you said, TB can't
split them dollars ninety each way. It's going to be
(26:57):
a hell of a game.
Speaker 2 (26:59):
I think this is a mad King Warriors fan under wibbiya.
The average margin of loss against the Storm is only
six points two games, so you know it's better than
sixty points. It was a couple of years ago.
Speaker 1 (27:17):
Yeah, that's seventy point as out they're drubbing. It's burned
into my memory. Yeah, so I'm looking forward to that.
We're going to be commentating that one as well. I
think it's going to be a very close game. I
do think, I do think the Warriors can win. What's
the line? What are the Warriors? I mean, I presume
the storm of marginal favorites give.
Speaker 2 (27:38):
Me a one and a half ye stormer one and
a half point favorites.
Speaker 1 (27:45):
Yeah, yeah, I don't know. I'm not clear that. I
think I'm just going to check my obligatory five dollars
on Edin Fanua Black to score and just be happy
enough with that. But yeah, some great options on there
as well. I'm looking forward to watching that game on
Saturday night. All right, just before we knock this thing
on the head, let's get into our three way, get
(28:07):
in on the three way action with Mania Lane and
the tab so G Lane will be casting his leg
of the three way and absentia because of the no
fault standown policy at the ACC, Carl, and as such,
I will let you know his leg of the bet
and it is unsurprisingly on the Chiefs, and it is
(28:31):
Moni Nadowa to score anytime. I haven't got in front
of him exactly how much that is paying two dollars
thirty I'm actually in the same neighborhood of Turtlears thirty five.
I have got David Fafita, who has made me a
lot of money this season, to score at any time
at Turtlears thirty five. He is playing the Benji Marshall
(28:53):
coached West Tigers, who are in desiray at the moment.
Apparently their rookie standoff has been walking around the changing
room telling everyone he can't wait till he's out of
the club. Benji bugger off to Fiji for a week.
That club's in disarray. There's no way they stopped Dave
for feeder. I think Turtles thirty five is outrageous value.
Speaker 2 (29:11):
Yeah, I can't. I can't disagree with that, especially after
how Easy scored a try last week too. My leg.
I'm going to go back to racing, and I'm not
far off. I've got two dolls fifteen. I'm going to
take one of those runners I mentioned earlier. Eagle Farm
raised two number five, per Alli two doors fifteen.
Speaker 1 (29:33):
Yeah, Okay. So in multi all of them, we go Nadawa,
we go for Feeder, we go Paralli. What do we
end up with?
Speaker 2 (29:40):
Eleven dollars sixty two?
Speaker 1 (29:42):
Okay, that's I think that's about where we need to
be operating right around, right around there, although our track
record would suggest we probably need to be a bit shorter.
I understand your league came in last week, but Lanes didn't.
Speaker 2 (29:54):
I'm going to say, speaking of track record, we need
to to Yeah, yes, my league got up, Lane did not,
and the league we put together for you unfortunately must
as well. So I think I'm ahead by two now.
Speaker 1 (30:07):
By two on the field A man lane, Tide.
Speaker 2 (30:12):
Lane. I think Alane's got one on you.
Speaker 1 (30:15):
Yeah, I think he does, so I really need for Feed.
I feel pretty confident about mine this weekend. I think
for Feed is going to square square the Ledger. I
think he's a much better chance than Nadawa. But we
will hold ourselves accountable for that. On the next episode
of the a SEC Sports Book with the tear b Carlin,
enjoy your weekend. It's a super weekend of sport across
(30:37):
the weekend, starting tonight with the semi finals Super Rugby,
then we got the cricket tomorrow into the Canes Chiefs
into the Warriors. This is a mad weekend for sports fan,
so enjoy it, mate, and we'll see you next Friday.
We'll spend here at the ACC Sports Book, but our
friends at the TAB are good to go.
Live from the Export Beer Garden studio. This is the
ACC Sports Book, Thanks to the Tab, the ACC Sports Book,
Thanks to the tab Powerful Stuff. Welcome in to the
ACC Sports Book. Carl from the tab. Good morning, Carl.
How are you Matte sure?
Speaker 2 (00:18):
That's a flash slash opener? We've got them and I.
Speaker 1 (00:21):
Yeah, I didn't know if it had been played before
or not. Is that that's the debut? You didn't play
it last week?
Speaker 2 (00:25):
The debut the first time I've heard it. I love it.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
Powerful Stuff leaps and bounds five percent better every week. Now,
I need to address the elephant that is not in
the room this morning, and that is our illustrious leader,
g Lane. We have a no fault standown policy here
at the ACC, and there is an investigation on going
into his performance last Friday, but he has been stood down.
(00:49):
He knows why, and I think anyone that listened to
this podcast last week will probably know why. Adam, our
producer had to literally wake him up to record the
podcast as a fall on a sleep yesterday last week.
How did you manage to drag him through that one
last week?
Speaker 2 (01:06):
I actually think he dragged me through it. I thought
we got through a very very fast last week. Left
a lot on the cutting room floor, as you could say, Yeah,
probably didn't give the punters everything we could have. It was, yeah,
not Laye's best efforts. But look, you've got to tip
you had to him.
Speaker 1 (01:22):
We did try, Yeah, and you know, obviously it was
a big call that we had to make here at
the ACC to drop him for this. But you know,
we looked to Andrew Webster dropping ad Infanua Blake and
we thought it's just a one week thing. He'll be
back next week. You know, we'll be back on the
right track. But it's important to have standards and it
doesn't matter whether you are an intern here, it doesn't
(01:44):
matter whether you are the leader. You know, we hold
ourselves to certain standards and so that's why he's been
stood down for this podcast. But let's rip straight on into it.
The biggest sporting action across the weekend is the Super
Rugby semi finals. They start tonight seven o'clock with the
Brumby's taking on the Blues. What I mean, we've been
(02:06):
saying for the longest time that the Auckland fans they
love to get on the Blues when they're short favorites.
What are the odds at the time recording this and
are the Blues faithful getting on board with that?
Speaker 2 (02:18):
Yeah, it's a copy paste job here from Blues fans.
They are a dollar twenty two here to hear, Brumbies
are four dollars eighty percent of the money with the Blues.
I guess as you'd expect, given there are in eighty
percent chance of winning biggest bet so far as a
five thousand dollars ago at the Blues at a dollar
twenty two, it sounds like auckland most popular power play.
(02:41):
I don't mind this. Blues to score fifteen or more
points in the first fifteen minutes at ten dollars. Oh wow,
Ricky Rickettelli is the most popular try scoring option. And
that's about all we've got at the moment. I'd say
things will start to ramp up from about now in
terms of betting.
Speaker 1 (03:00):
Yeah, I don't mind that. So fifteen points in the
first fifteen minutes? Is that what it was?
Speaker 2 (03:04):
Yes? Ten dollars, ten dollars.
Speaker 1 (03:06):
I don't mind that. They have been a fast starting team,
the Blues, and they've been involved in some pretty fiery
games over the last few sort of months or so.
That's quite good at ten dollars, it's worth at a
little flutter and then hookers just get pounded, don't they
on this CB this year?
Speaker 2 (03:24):
And I suppose with a bit of rain about probably,
as Lane would say, the human Center Pede comes into
play a lot more.
Speaker 1 (03:31):
Yeah, one hundred percent. I can't imagine you've seeing too
many people getting on the Brumbies at four dollars twenty,
particularly obviously in New Zealanders. But we are pretty interested
in if this is an upset. It means that the
Super Rugby Grand Final could potentially be in Canberra, which
would be an absolute nightmare for Super Rugby as anyone
(03:53):
is anyone placing trees in this bets on Canberra?
Speaker 2 (03:57):
Yeah, Like I said, eighty percent of the money with
the Blues. So with the brumbi's four hours. I think
top four semi finals, anything can happen, and you've got
to have a throw out the stumps why not? Yeah,
but I just say on camera, wow, that would it
would really throw a few people.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Well, we were saying on the Agenda podcast if that happens,
if the Chiefs win and Camera wins and it's a
final in camera and we're going to fly g Lane
over to test once and for all whether the curse
is real or not. And I'd suggest that if that happens,
we need to pass that on to the oddsmakers at
the TB because I think that should affect the line
(04:40):
if Lane's over there supporting the Chiefs. But he will
be supporting the Chiefs on Saturday night as they take
on the Hurricanes. Chiefs out at two dollars twenty five,
Hurricanes favorites. But I feel like this is, at least
in my mind, a little bit closer. Where are key
we throwing their money at this one?
Speaker 2 (04:58):
Fifty fifty mate? A lot of love for the Chiefs
through twenty five, We've better found a lot of bet
at the two twenty five. I'll tell you what I'm
looking out at the harbor here in Willington. It is
we've got some low cloud. Remember that final You couldn't
see a thing? Yes, yeah, that's what it looks like
(05:18):
at the moment. For to rain about the wind is
going to be a true levely here, I think.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Yeah, right, so even things up a little bit. I've
got to be honest, I feel like the winner of
Super Rugby comes out of this game. Hurricanes and Chiefs,
But I just couldn't tell you who it is. I
wouldn't be shocked with either way. I feel like the
Hurricanes have probably had more form this season, but the Chiefs. Yeah,
I just really, I really can't pick this one. I
(05:46):
know later on Lane's gonna he's sent in his league
for the three way. He wants to get on a
tri scorer in this game. But a part is getting
involved in the in the power plays as opposed to
the heads ahead for this game.
Speaker 2 (05:59):
Yeah, most popular one so far are Canes to win
both individual halves by one to seven at seven dollars. Now,
just let me explain this because we've had some some
people have some serious issues with this option. What does
that mean to you and I Canes to win both
individual halves, that.
Speaker 1 (06:18):
At the end of the first half they have more
points on the board than the Chiefs, and that at
the end of the second half they've scored more points
again in that forty minute period. That's what it means
to me.
Speaker 2 (06:28):
It's not that hard as it no for everyone listening,
it's not that hard.
Speaker 1 (06:32):
Well, what are people getting confused about? So they do
they think it's first half and then win yes, yeah, right.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
This throws a little bit extra because they're going to
win each individual half I wan to seven.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Yeah, which if they're going to win the game, I
feel like that's probably how they do it. Like you said,
the money's going fifty to fifty. In my mind, it
seems fifty to fifty. So this isn't going to be
a blowout in favor of either team. So I think
that's quite a good What what was that paying.
Speaker 2 (07:01):
The seven dollars?
Speaker 1 (07:04):
Oh? See that that is value. I guess that's why
it runs climbing on board it. Yeah, because when when
teams are so hard to split like this, you you
do have to go looking for a little bit of
extra value, don't you, And this is you can do it.
Speaker 2 (07:18):
Yep, yeap. Tight games like this is you know, value
all across the border. And I suppose it's picking the
ones that that you like most. And you know what,
the Canes have been the Chiefs twice this year. Yeah,
last one was very tight. Penalty at the end that
probably wasn't a penalty, So yeah.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
It's going to be very Yeah, absolutely, coin toss and
I think you're right. I think in that Blues game,
he runs on the head to head. But in the
Hurricanes Chiefs game, you're gonna have to get pretty creative
with your with your party. You could do worse than
that power play that we just mentioned. I had ridden
in the rundown yesterday morning TEA twenty World Cup. I
don't really want to talk about it today, but you know,
(07:59):
I feel like like we have to. It was, it
was what was disappointing stuff. We've reconvened the black Caps
supporters support group after that game. Has that basically sort
of rained on the T twenty World Cup parade from
a TB perspective.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
Yeah, I think the black Caps are out to one
hundred and fifty one dollars now, which probably should be
a thousand and fifty one. I think they're gone. Yeah. Look,
there's not a lot of action I can pass on
on the best back. We've had one customers throw two
and a half on them at four dollars.
Speaker 1 (08:39):
I don't mind that.
Speaker 2 (08:41):
The West and he's worth thirteen dollars to win. They're
now into sixes. Wow after the win. And Taniel Bartman
was one hundred and one dollars to be the top
wicket taker. He's now twenty one dollars with five wickets.
We had two forty dollars bets at that one hundred
(09:02):
and one for four thousand dollars return. So those two
punters will be looking their lips at the moment.
Speaker 1 (09:07):
What did they say? What did they know?
Speaker 2 (09:10):
Exactly?
Speaker 1 (09:11):
Yeah, So you're not seeing too many people taking Afghanistan
at a dollar and one against Papua and you get ea, it.
Speaker 2 (09:19):
No, not not traditionally one of the bigger cricket games
going around, is it.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
No, it's not. And that's sort of that's sort of
we were out at the moment with this tournament. It's
been an absolute fizzy. We're talking about it on the agenda.
It's just like so deflating. We can't remember a worse
performance for the for the black Caps, and I think
that that's sort of going to be the end of it.
Speaker 2 (09:38):
Yeah, they were cruising yesterday. I know, they were cruising.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
I know, I know, And even even we were saying
for like, yeah, they scored about thirty seven odd runs
in the last like two overs and we were like,
could have done without that. But even then one forty nine,
you're sitting there looking at that gun. Yeah, we'll get that.
It's just that's just.
Speaker 2 (09:59):
How about the last ome it were? Do you think
it could happen after that first? No?
Speaker 1 (10:04):
I didn't. I didn't. I mean I I was trying
to talk myself into it. I was like, oh, here
we go, but I knew it's there's.
Speaker 2 (10:11):
No when huddle around the TV cheering it on here.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Yeah, it's just this is the thing that I have
with my own punting, as well as when you start
reaching for things like, oh, well, if he sets the
record for the most sixers in the over, then we
could still be on here. The worst is when I'm
betting on basketball and I'm like, and it's quite tight
coming down and I still have like two leagues ahead.
I'm like, should if we get overtime, we could be
(10:38):
on here. I think once you grasp me at those straws,
then she's pretty much a foregone conclusion.
Speaker 2 (10:44):
And that's very similar punters, man.
Speaker 1 (10:46):
I yeah, well, but hang on, but if he hits
a three end, gets fouled, then gets the thing. Now
all he needs is five rebounds in the overtime period, and.
Speaker 2 (10:55):
I'm in exactly. There's always a chance, always a chance.
Speaker 1 (10:59):
That's what it felt like when was it Santina hitting
those sixes yesterday. That's what it felt like. He's saying,
there's a chance the US opened teed off this morning.
Ryan Fox. I think at the time of recording this,
he's finished his first round and he was three over,
but it had been a difficult round for almost everyone.
We on the Gender podcast had a look at the
(11:22):
outright winners, and I think we put it on Aburg.
Oh yeah, no, wouldn't put it on We put it
on Scotty. We put it on Scotty because Scotty had
six dollars. I think is as good value when when
Ryan Fox is in the field at these events, does
do t Airb take a bit of money on him?
Because I feel like me personally, I always sprinkle a
little on the Fox because when it comes in, I
(11:44):
want to be able to say that I knew it
was going to Is that the many punters follow me
in on that sort of thinking.
Speaker 2 (11:51):
A lot of punters follow on that sort of thinking.
And I think too, probably the Michael Campbell, yeah, nineteen
years ago, Pinehurst number two. That probably plays into a
little bit. But as you say, Foxy is by far
our worst result. I think we will be on the
hook for just over half a Melothy wins. We took
(12:12):
a two hundred od bit on him at one hundred
and fifty one's for a thirty thousand dollar return.
Speaker 1 (12:17):
Wow.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
But with that there's a little stat and I'll save
it for stats and impressed the ladies, but doesn't doesn't
sit well for Foxy fans given how far back he
is at the moment. I think he's what he is,
eight shots back from cana Is leading at minus five,
(12:39):
with Rory and Dishambo both hunting him down pretty nicely
with a couple of holes to go. Just don Scotty,
he is the best back. I think he opened at
four point fifty, came into three ninety and was four
dollars last night before teof But I just said this morning,
I think he gets six bucks from him the moment.
Speaker 1 (13:00):
Just said when we were recording this at about ten
in the morning, yeah, you could get six bucks. And
we were saying, because you know, one of the new
markets that the Ta Bears had in recent times has
been betting on the PGA tour with Scottie Scheffler out
of the market, so you can bet it, so you
basically two by to the cherry. Your player can either
win it outright or lose to Scottie Scheffler and you collect.
(13:22):
And so when when you've got that kind of streak
going on, then you see that guy out at sixes,
I just sort of felt like that was you know,
that's good eating. We were like, it's we were saying,
is it boring to bet on Scotti Scheffler. Well, it's
never boring to bet on someone paying six dollars to
win something. So that's where we've gone with that. What
are the punters said, obviously said Scheffler's still the biggest.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
Bats, still the best back the other guys. We're losing
big on Colin Morakawa, who's been playing pretty well. I
mean he's the only one that's been in the final
group of the first two Majors start of the year.
Chambeau seems to be a coming back around as a
fan favorite and cam Smith, which I find surprising given
(14:10):
I think last week his last round and live golf,
he's finished with three doubles in a triple or something
like that. So relatable, very relatable, very relatable. That's kind
of it from us. I do have one thing I
saw on social media last night, and it's a punter
in the States. This might be the best thing I've
(14:32):
ever seen. Has put forty nine thousand, seven hundred dollars
on Christian Bizeten hoots to not win the US Open
this weekend and he would get just to take under
three hundred dollars back if it happens.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
What that's a spike bet exactly.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
I was going to say because we couldn't find a
market for it, but I would love to fade Rory
McElroy on this one. He was I think he was
the favorite this morning when when we got up at
about five dollars. The guy can't even close out a divorce.
How's he supposed to close out the US Open? So
I was like, how do I bet against Rory mcleury?
But I think now that it's teed off, you can
only get on the outright winner. Is that right?
Speaker 2 (15:18):
Yeah? So there'd be some life beating, some holes, holes
betting life whole. Yeah, but the some of the markets
shut down and then they'll reopen once the round's finished
this afternoon. For you to go again, there would have
been a make cat miss cap market for Rory.
Speaker 1 (15:37):
I think it will make the cut. I just want
to bet against him winning it. I want I want
to put that spike bet on him.
Speaker 2 (15:43):
There is two yeah and bog you free, good start.
Speaker 1 (15:46):
I know that's what I mean. I feel like i'd
get a little bit of value for it, But I
just think, like I said, the guy can't even finish
a divorce. He's not going to finish the bloody us open. Yeah,
I'm looking forward to that. So when everyone's come into
the clubhouse, that's when the market's reopens, that right, correct, Yeah, yeah,
we'll have a look at that. All right, let's take
a quick break. This is your chance to go and
(16:08):
grab a pen when we come back. Carl said, his
ear to the ground, and he's going to tell us
what he's hearing around the TB officers. We're backing to
seek pause the podcast now and grab a pin for
the hottest tips from around the tab offers another flash thing.
Speaker 2 (16:27):
Car that's another day bu well yeah, yeah.
Speaker 1 (16:30):
Leaps and bounds, mate. What are you hearing around the
offices this week?
Speaker 2 (16:35):
Where are we just quick quick recamp on last week?
I'd like to be accountable these things. So I gave
five tips last week. Yes, we had two seconds, a third, fifth,
and a winner. So that's not bad, right, that's powerful.
That's powerful. Odd races, the trenth On Saturday Bonus back
(16:59):
second or third, second to fourth at Tarappa, Rosehill and
Eagle Farm. I have got one to three four tips
for the punters today. We're going to start with Tarappa
tomorrow Saturday, Race four number one Avalon Berlin three dollars
twenty to win, dollar forty to place, twenty two top
three finishes and twenty eight career starts. She has performed
(17:24):
well on heavy tracks in the past four starts, two
wins in a second and a very good record at
Tarapa with nine starts, four wins and four play things.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
Okay there, well, yeah, that explains the dollar forty to place. Then.
Speaker 2 (17:38):
Yeah, I thought, I'm trying to save myself here in case,
in case, we'll get another second at least this time,
I've put the odds out there. Yeah, yeah, yeah, shave
my ass. Next one trendth them race one number five
Cornelia four twenty and one forty. Yeah, if you hit
the odd surge button you can get five bucks to win.
(18:00):
We don't have a little note on that, but I
think it's a third start.
Speaker 1 (18:05):
It's on all the races that Trentham, Is that right?
Speaker 2 (18:07):
The odd suit correct? Yep?
Speaker 1 (18:10):
All right.
Speaker 2 (18:11):
And then the last two we're going to go bang
bang together. Eagle Farm Race one number one, Freedom Out
Freedom Rally and Race two number five for Rally paying
two dollars and two dollars and fifteen j Max on
board both of them. Okay, Freedom Rally five wins from
(18:33):
seven starts at Eagle Farm has drawn one gate, so
should probably don't need to do a lot of work
in this one. And then per Rally two wins and
two seconds in the last four runs. I really like
I've already put this on myself a little J mack
double multi multi those two together.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
Is J Mack Almost at the point where they should
swap the horse and jockey name around on the on
the phone, gud Jmak. The is J Mac. Here's its
actual name, but he's on this one.
Speaker 2 (19:04):
Yeah, they're my work.
Speaker 1 (19:06):
I like that. If you want to go back and
listen to those, you can. Otherwise we'll chuck those up
on the Instagram story later on today so you can
follow them through. And they're all on Saturday.
Speaker 2 (19:15):
Out there, car they are, yes, Saturday, yep, all.
Speaker 1 (19:18):
Right, go and check the Instagram story for those ones
if you missed them. Now it is time for one
of my favorite segments across the week of the a SEC.
It has stats to impress the ladies.
Speaker 2 (19:32):
Every time. All right, we'll save the wise. We need
to talk about the ones yet, we'll come back to
the ones. CWS scored two tries and each of his
last two matches against the Storm. You can get three
dollars and five cents for him to score two tribes.
Speaker 1 (19:54):
Is due.
Speaker 2 (19:56):
Euros. Let's fucker football. England playing Serbia. Serbia, I think anyway.
England has led one nil at halftime and three of
their last four European Championship night matches. Oh you can
get England and under one and a half first half goal.
(20:17):
That three dollars forty.
Speaker 1 (20:19):
Oh a little nighttime action, nighttime?
Speaker 2 (20:22):
All right? Actually, r our Bunnies Broncos. Shelwyn Cobbo has
scored at least one try and eight of his last
nine games against opponents that were ranked in the bottom four.
Speaker 1 (20:34):
You know I love me some Throbo.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
Get Throbbo anytime to fifteen.
Speaker 1 (20:40):
You can get any time fifteen.
Speaker 2 (20:47):
To two dollars fifteen not to fifteen PM goal. This
is the one where I said might not foxy punters
might not like this. Twenty three of the last twenty
five US Open champions have been within five shots of
the leader after the first round.
Speaker 1 (21:06):
He's eight, so.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
Currently can Layer is minus five. So we're looking like
anyone that's par or better, that's that's where you win
is going to come from. Most likely, I.
Speaker 1 (21:17):
Don't want to get bugged down in details during stats
to impress the ladies, how the hell did you digvance?
Stand up?
Speaker 2 (21:24):
Look? I have to have to credit one of their
great golf statisticians on Twitter, Justin Ray. That one.
Speaker 1 (21:32):
Shout out Justin. He can get involved in stats to
press lads exactly.
Speaker 2 (21:35):
He's got plenty of stets on Priscill ladies. Last one.
This is probably more to impress Joe in the background, actually,
Stanley Cup.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (21:44):
Brandon Monteur has recorded an assist in each of the Panthers'
last three playoff games.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
As underdogs, sharing it around.
Speaker 2 (21:53):
Mon tour over zero point five assists three dollars twenty.
Speaker 1 (21:57):
Five over point five. Oh yeah, one or more, one
or more, we're on.
Speaker 2 (22:03):
I like that twenty five and that'll do me.
Speaker 1 (22:05):
Yeah, that's that's done me. Entirely. I love that segment
stats of Bristol Ladies. I reckon that a single lady
listens to it. Let's move on to our three way.
Speaker 2 (22:18):
Do we want to talk Warriors first?
Speaker 1 (22:19):
Let's talk Warriors first. I can't believe we glossed over this.
I was just so excited. So as it stands, the
more or less can't split them. Is that right?
Speaker 2 (22:31):
That is correct? And I that's ninety piece. I think
the Warriors open at two ten, so now to a
dollar ninety. I think on the back of money support,
but also the team namings SJ coming back and huge. Look,
we all know the storm of one fifteen in a row,
(22:54):
but I don't think that matters. Seventy of the money
is sitting with the Warriors as per DWZ and AFB
are getting smashed in the anytime trys for markets. But
we've also got plenty on the Prince of Penrose, Sewan Johnson, yes,
and Wade Egan. I had a little look into this,
(23:17):
So you get DWZ dollars seventy eight and INFANEU of
Blake three twenty five, Sean Johnson, Forten and Egan six
dollars seventy five all any time, and if you're an
absolute sicko, you can molten them up and you get
odds of one hundred and ninety six ninety three.
Speaker 1 (23:40):
I think, wah, I can't remember the last time waiting
and cross the chalk. I feel like you're also inviting
the Hia gods into the party when you're when you're
throwing him into your multi So I don't know, but
what did you say?
Speaker 2 (23:56):
That was one and ninety six? Yeah?
Speaker 1 (24:00):
I like that. I am a fan of You're basically
you're basically saying, here is every single try scorer in
this match for the Warriors at that point. So I
don't think we're going to score like eight tries in
this game, Yeah, which I do quite like. Question out
of absolutely nowhere is Jersey Bingo on this weekend?
Speaker 2 (24:19):
Oh, I'm glad you asked me. I it absolutely is on.
I'll just see what's available.
Speaker 1 (24:27):
Because it's come in. Did it come in twice out
of the last like three weeks?
Speaker 2 (24:32):
It didn't come in last week. We needed the number
ten to score in the last game and it was
so close so many times. But it's come in a
couple of times prior to that. I think two or
three in a row prior to that. Yeah, last, so
you would have had to have gone on last night.
Speaker 1 (24:50):
Oh okay, I think of course.
Speaker 2 (24:52):
Paying four dollars for all jerseys one to thirty.
Speaker 1 (24:57):
Yeah, and that's across the whole weekend.
Speaker 2 (25:00):
It's across the whole weekend. We had eight of them
in the game last night. One, two, three, four, five, seven,
twelve and thirteen have all scored tries already.
Speaker 1 (25:10):
Ah. I'll tell you what the the Warriors could do
worse than just putting a number ten jersey on Aden
Vanova Blake like it doesn't matter. He's still a prop
and he's I mean, I don't think you're going to
find too many other props or three dollars twenty to
score a try this weekend.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
No, you're right.
Speaker 1 (25:27):
That does us all the massive favor there. But you
said most of the money is coming for the Warriors,
and that one is there.
Speaker 2 (25:35):
Right, Yeah. Yeah. Sevent five percent of the Warriors on
the hit to head best back power play is sj
first second or third try scorer and dell On anytime
at eighteenth. Another one that they like Charm's first try
scorer and Adam anytime at twenty threes and a couple
(25:55):
of nuggets. I guess. Yeah, the Warriors one to twelve
has more money sitting with it than the other three
margin selections combined. Wow, winning team and margin option. There
has been a bit of love for the game to
go to Golden Point at sixteen dollars.
Speaker 1 (26:18):
Yeah. I mean the last game was so tight. It
started us right at the end.
Speaker 2 (26:24):
Yeah, I don't want to go to gold to Point. No.
And then we had some keen punter put two thousand
dollars in the Warriors at two dollars.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
Yeah, I don't mind that. I think if we are
going to break the hoodoo, this is probably the game
to do it. And you're right, yeah, we haven't won
in what nine years, fifteen games, but this is a
completely different team. Most of these guys weren't playing a
couple of years ago for the Storm, so exactly this
could be the one. And as you said, TB can't
split them dollars ninety each way. It's going to be
(26:57):
a hell of a game.
Speaker 2 (26:59):
I think this is a mad King Warriors fan under wibbiya.
The average margin of loss against the Storm is only
six points two games, so you know it's better than
sixty points. It was a couple of years ago.
Speaker 1 (27:17):
Yeah, that's seventy point as out they're drubbing. It's burned
into my memory. Yeah, so I'm looking forward to that.
We're going to be commentating that one as well. I
think it's going to be a very close game. I
do think, I do think the Warriors can win. What's
the line? What are the Warriors? I mean, I presume
the storm of marginal favorites give.
Speaker 2 (27:38):
Me a one and a half ye stormer one and
a half point favorites.
Speaker 1 (27:45):
Yeah, yeah, I don't know. I'm not clear that. I
think I'm just going to check my obligatory five dollars
on Edin Fanua Black to score and just be happy
enough with that. But yeah, some great options on there
as well. I'm looking forward to watching that game on
Saturday night. All right, just before we knock this thing
on the head, let's get into our three way, get
(28:07):
in on the three way action with Mania Lane and
the tab so G Lane will be casting his leg
of the three way and absentia because of the no
fault standown policy at the ACC, Carl, and as such,
I will let you know his leg of the bet
and it is unsurprisingly on the Chiefs, and it is
(28:31):
Moni Nadowa to score anytime. I haven't got in front
of him exactly how much that is paying two dollars
thirty I'm actually in the same neighborhood of Turtlears thirty five.
I have got David Fafita, who has made me a
lot of money this season, to score at any time
at Turtlears thirty five. He is playing the Benji Marshall
(28:53):
coached West Tigers, who are in desiray at the moment.
Apparently their rookie standoff has been walking around the changing
room telling everyone he can't wait till he's out of
the club. Benji bugger off to Fiji for a week.
That club's in disarray. There's no way they stopped Dave
for feeder. I think Turtles thirty five is outrageous value.
Speaker 2 (29:11):
Yeah, I can't. I can't disagree with that, especially after
how Easy scored a try last week too. My leg.
I'm going to go back to racing, and I'm not
far off. I've got two dolls fifteen. I'm going to
take one of those runners I mentioned earlier. Eagle Farm
raised two number five, per Alli two doors fifteen.
Speaker 1 (29:33):
Yeah, Okay. So in multi all of them, we go Nadawa,
we go for Feeder, we go Paralli. What do we
end up with?
Speaker 2 (29:40):
Eleven dollars sixty two?
Speaker 1 (29:42):
Okay, that's I think that's about where we need to
be operating right around, right around there, although our track
record would suggest we probably need to be a bit shorter.
I understand your league came in last week, but Lanes didn't.
Speaker 2 (29:54):
I'm going to say, speaking of track record, we need
to to Yeah, yes, my league got up, Lane did not,
and the league we put together for you unfortunately must
as well. So I think I'm ahead by two now.
Speaker 1 (30:07):
By two on the field A man lane, Tide.
Speaker 2 (30:12):
Lane. I think Alane's got one on you.
Speaker 1 (30:15):
Yeah, I think he does, so I really need for Feed.
I feel pretty confident about mine this weekend. I think
for Feed is going to square square the Ledger. I
think he's a much better chance than Nadawa. But we
will hold ourselves accountable for that. On the next episode
of the a SEC Sports Book with the tear b Carlin,
enjoy your weekend. It's a super weekend of sport across
(30:37):
the weekend, starting tonight with the semi finals Super Rugby,
then we got the cricket tomorrow into the Canes Chiefs
into the Warriors. This is a mad weekend for sports fan,
so enjoy it, mate, and we'll see you next Friday.
We'll spend here at the ACC Sports Book, but our
friends at the TAB are good to go.
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