The Country 09/05/25: Chris Brandolino talks to Jamie Mackay

NIWA's principal scientist on lots of rain and a mild May.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
No, you can't beat the country twang. Is this slut combs? Yep, yep,
she's given me the thumbs up. It is when it
rains at pause. That's a good song to lead into.
A weather man from Newa Chris Branderlin. Are you a
big country music fan? Because I think our new country
music station what started today on iHeartRadio was on on
FM frequency in Auckland.

Speaker 2 (00:22):
Am I a bad person if I say no, Jamie Well, I.

Speaker 1 (00:25):
Would have thought everyone in America loved country music? Or
is it only the billy bobs in the middle.

Speaker 2 (00:31):
But look, I don't want to say anything effective because
you know, to reach their own. But let's just say
it's not my jam.

Speaker 1 (00:38):
Okay, weather, weather forecasting is your jam. It just keeps
raining in some places.

Speaker 2 (00:45):
Including today. Look for those listening in the upper North Island,
watch out for some really heavy rain. I think this
afternoon early evening for North lond Auckland Wacatto, we're getting
some much needed rain. By the way, in Tetanaki, so
that's good news. He've been down into the vanah Wa two.
But this is you know, this rain extends at the

(01:07):
top of the South Island as well into eventually I
think water wrap but making the drop of rain, but
more likely the heavier stuff on the other side of
the ranges, the other side of the tataruvers. And then
there's some rain and cooler temperatures down into your neck
of the woods. All that clears some of that rain.
By the way, Upper North Island could be heavy, maybe
a localized flash funding. But once that gets out of here,

(01:29):
we are setting the stage for a pretty good I
guess next few days it will be cooler. So Mother's
Day is of course Sunday, and that looks to be
a pretty good day pretty much country wide. And then
as we look into the new week, we'll start to
see some rain move on to the west coast of
the South Island, Fjordland and Lower Southland usual suspects. Maybe

(01:51):
this time next week, Jamie, we could see another system
lurking from the north. We'll see if that does impact
the Upper North Island. But if it doesn't, we would
see more dry weather. So I do think once we
get through today, is what I'm trying to say, we
should see successive days of dry weather. Cool awful little
bit for the weekend, but not too bad.

Speaker 1 (02:10):
Hey, yeah, what's the outlook like for the rest of May,
because a mild May sits farmers up nicely for the winter.

Speaker 2 (02:19):
Yeah, mild May. So I think whether why are the
outlook for May is we're expecting temperatures basically to be
average or above average for much of the country. That
will be the theme. I do think we could be
looking at potentially a cool spell or say a cold
snap as we work our way into maybe the third
week of May, so twentieth, twenty first, twenty second, somewhere

(02:43):
in there. So that could be a period where we
find some frost. But I think what will happen after that.
It looks like as we approach the last couple of
days of May thirtieth and thirty first, we'll see temperatures
warm up. And that's probably a theme, Jamie, where yeah,
we do see these periods of cool temperatures, even chili temperatures,
but they don't last very long, and I think that
will kind of repeat itself throughout the upcoming winter season.

(03:07):
And that's a consequence. It doesn't look very cold for winter. Now,
we haven't issued our winter outlooked, but since you were
a friend of the family, Jamie, as well as the
country we think that we're leading towards certainly a warmer
than average period through July. A lot of north and
northeast wins more than the usual, and that will increase
the odds for big rain events. I do hear the
country music even up, so that means I need to go.
Good Chris, you have enjoy your weakens you two, buddy