The Country 10/11/25: Phil Duncan talks to Jamie Mackay

Monday’s weather expert talks about rain for the fire at Tongariro National Park and the continuing dry for the east coasts of both islands.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Weather on the country with farmlands helping to prevent parasite
outbreaks this summer. He's our weather man on a Monday,
let's see what he can do weatherwise to put out
the fire at the Tongarera National Park. Phil Duncan, what
do you got for us?

Speaker 2 (00:15):
Yeah, good day, Jamie. We've got some wet weather this week,
which is good. It's a little bit patchy, a little
bit hit and miss, but there's probably fifty to seventy
millimeters forecast for the central North Island, for the volcanic Plateau.
That's quite a bit of rain and so hopefully that
does fall exactly where the fire is, not you know,
ten kilometers in the other direction, but there is a
chance of that rain coming through. Pretty much each day

(00:38):
this week there's a chance of rain or showers in
that part of the country, and not a lot of
wind either. Today's probably looking like one of the windier days.
Bit of a north westerly which is a little bit
breathed through Cook Straight Wellington those areas, and so as
you go further up the North Island, those winds fade out.
But of course central Plateau has been at a higher
elevation it might be a bit windy there today, so

(01:00):
it's not a terrible forecast from a weather point of view.
In fact, I'd say, if anything, it's probably quite a
good one considering the time of year we're in.

Speaker 1 (01:07):
Our old mate Steve wan Harris, i think he's going
to be on the show this week making a cameo appearance,
told me how wonderful that walk is.

Speaker 2 (01:15):
I've never done it, but I'd love to do it.
Everyone I know that's done it has said it's just
the most amazing, beautiful walk have you ever done? I think.
You know. The sad thing about this is that sort
of part of the country such a high elevation above
sea level. You know, a lot of that stuff that's
burning is going to take a very long time to
regrow and get back to where it was. It might
be decades potentially.

Speaker 1 (01:35):
Okay, Well, let's hope they can get the fire out.
Phil some of that fifty or sixty mills you were
talking about for the Central Plateau or central North Island.
I'm sure that the farmers in the Hawk's Bay region
could do with some of its spilling a bit further east.

Speaker 2 (01:51):
Yeah, I think if you're higher up in the hills,
in Hawk's Bay and wide it Upper and Gisbon region,
you might get a bit of spell over coming from
the west. It won't be a lost but the closer
you are to the eastern coastline, the dryer it's going
to be. And that's pretty much from the Gisbane area
all the way down to sort of about Otago, so Canterbury, Marlborough, Wellington,

(02:11):
Wide at Upper and Hawk's Bay of the areas that
are probably going to have the lowest rainfall in the
weekly head with potentially you know, only a couple of
millimeters falling in some areas up to about ten so
hopefully some areas get a little bit more than that.
But really most of the wet weather is coming out
of the west, moving to the east as we get
in November with spring steel with that predominant westerly til Duncan.

Speaker 1 (02:33):
Thanks for your time. Catch you again time, same place
next Monday.

Speaker 2 (02:37):
Cheers, Jamie, Thank you very much,