October 22, 2025 • 5 mins
Earth Science NZ Weather Guy updates the horrific conditions.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Weather on the country with farmlands protecting your crops from
nasties this summer. Good afternoon, New Zealand, it's not really
a good afternoon. It's a bloody but it's a terrible
day out there. No other way to describe it. This
is blame it on the weather man by Bee, which
we're not going to blame it on the weather man.
But we're going to get it from the horse's mouth.
Chris Brandolino from newas So we're going to take a
(00:22):
trip up the country today. We're going to be chatting
to farmers in Canterbury, Marlborough, Wira, Rappa and Hawkes Bay.
But let's get onto the big issue of the day.
Freakish weather event, red wind warning and fore warned. Chris
Brandolino is forearmed. It's a shaker out there.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Yeah, there are just absolutely incredible wing guston. Just then,
our colleagues at Metzers have upgraded parts of the lower
South Island into a red warning. This is I'm just
looking at the latest information. This would be for coastal Southland.
So for those just listening over toward Invercargo, toward the
(01:07):
catlands just south about Klutha. Stuart Island. This is a
red warning. We've had a wing gust Invercargo. It's had
a wing gust of one hundred and thirty seven kilometers
per hour. Not too long ago Gore had a wing
gust of one hundred and twenty four kilometers per hour.
And we're seeing this is a stinged jet. So this
is closer to the center of our deep low which
(01:29):
is sub ninety sixty hecta pascals on the on the
map there, and that is creating an impressive pressure grading Jamie,
the pressure difference between Invercargo and Auckland, which is a
way to understand, you know how strong winds may get
fifty hecta pascals and that is one of the greatest
pressure differences seen. And I don't want to say ever,
(01:51):
but in certainly modern times that is absolutely impressive and
we're seeing wing gusts. There was a report in Cannaber, Marlborough,
twelve hundred meters up. It's a fence station of two
hundred and thirty two kilometer prour wind gusts middle of nowhere,
but you can see the reports in Hamner Springs, Hamner
Forest and across much of the Lower North island, the
(02:15):
Riema Tak Hill. I think a wind gust of one
hundred and forty k plus has been observed, so it's
all happening. And Dunedin you're going to see your wind
increase very soon as that stinged jet moves east with time,
so expect the worst of your wind probably still ahead
of you, not quite as bad as perhaps over toward Invercargo,
but I could see the need and getting wind gust
(02:36):
of near or in excess of one hundred kilometers per
hour through about the through about the four five six
o'clock hour. Then things will settle down.
Speaker 1 (02:43):
Yeah, some horrible pictures and stories coming out of Canterbury
at the moment. I saw a picture I think Michelle's
putting it on Facebook of some power lines in Cvid
and North Canterbury. There just all bent over, blown over,
basically a whole row of them by the one as
you mentioned Hamna, severe damage in there. You can't do
(03:05):
much about the weather, but what we do need to
know is when is it going to calm the farm?
Speaker 2 (03:13):
When is the winds the wind basically ending, yeah.
Speaker 1 (03:16):
Or calming away? Bit Sorry I could have used it.
Speaker 2 (03:18):
Yeah, that's all right, No, no, no, there's a lot
going on, Jamie. It's fine, no worries, man. I think
the worst of it is basically from now for the
next few hours, as we get toward dinnertime, things will
begin to settle down. That strong wind, maybe a bit clingy,
a bit persistently longer. For places closer to say from
Dunedin down to the Catlands and to Invercargo, the wind
(03:40):
may hold on longer. They remain quite elevated. But the
good news is that I think the wind as we
move through the evening hours, while it does remain elevated,
it is forecast to ease during the evening hours. But
nonetheless we are looking at some really strong winds probably
coming up. You know, even this weekend. I should add this,
Even though this week and we are going to see
(04:01):
a reduction of wind, it is still going to remain
a pretty breezy weekend. Still breezy conditions tomorrow for much
of the country. We're not talking damaging wind, but we're
talking win that's a nuisance less than you want. It's
going to be a risk for fire weather for eastern
parts of the South. Found kai Kota is over thirty
degrees with humidity below thirty percent, and so that will
(04:25):
certainly not be good for the fires. And that reason
there's dealing in Hawk's Bay going to have gusty wind,
not as strong as our friends in the Lower North
Island and South Island, but they have dry conditions, gusty wind,
warm temperatures, low humidity, so the fire weather concerned there.
We have to worry, Jamie about another weather system next week.
So next week there's going to be another load driving
(04:47):
southeast from the Tasman Sea that'll move farther north than
this low won't be as strong, but it will bring
with another round of very active weather. It looks like
Labor Day, so for the long weekend. That's not a
long weekend for farmers. We work every day, well I
say we, but it will be a day where there
(05:07):
could be another round of high wind and heavy rainfall
perhaps different parts of the country. And then behind that, Jamie,
this is worth noting. This is actually quite important. Just
a heads up. Next Monday night into Tuesday, a significant
cold snap is likely, particularly for the South Island. This
could have impacts in livestock, could have impacts for growing conditions,
(05:29):
So keep in mind early next week Monday night into Tuesday,
maybe even the early Wednesday. A significant cold snap, particularly
for the South Island, maybe lower North Island. Something to
keep in mind that could be a real impactful event
for people on farm.
Speaker 1 (05:44):
Hi, Chris Braindeline, I thanks short Night for kicking off
the show today. You were so good. We might get
you back tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
Thanks for the aton, I look forward to it. Thank you, Jamie.
Stay safe everyone,
Weather on the country with farmlands protecting your crops from
nasties this summer. Good afternoon, New Zealand, it's not really
a good afternoon. It's a bloody but it's a terrible
day out there. No other way to describe it. This
is blame it on the weather man by Bee, which
we're not going to blame it on the weather man.
But we're going to get it from the horse's mouth.
Chris Brandolino from newas So we're going to take a
(00:22):
trip up the country today. We're going to be chatting
to farmers in Canterbury, Marlborough, Wira, Rappa and Hawkes Bay.
But let's get onto the big issue of the day.
Freakish weather event, red wind warning and fore warned. Chris
Brandolino is forearmed. It's a shaker out there.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Yeah, there are just absolutely incredible wing guston. Just then,
our colleagues at Metzers have upgraded parts of the lower
South Island into a red warning. This is I'm just
looking at the latest information. This would be for coastal Southland.
So for those just listening over toward Invercargo, toward the
(01:07):
catlands just south about Klutha. Stuart Island. This is a
red warning. We've had a wing gust Invercargo. It's had
a wing gust of one hundred and thirty seven kilometers
per hour. Not too long ago Gore had a wing
gust of one hundred and twenty four kilometers per hour.
And we're seeing this is a stinged jet. So this
is closer to the center of our deep low which
(01:29):
is sub ninety sixty hecta pascals on the on the
map there, and that is creating an impressive pressure grading Jamie,
the pressure difference between Invercargo and Auckland, which is a
way to understand, you know how strong winds may get
fifty hecta pascals and that is one of the greatest
pressure differences seen. And I don't want to say ever,
(01:51):
but in certainly modern times that is absolutely impressive and
we're seeing wing gusts. There was a report in Cannaber, Marlborough,
twelve hundred meters up. It's a fence station of two
hundred and thirty two kilometer prour wind gusts middle of nowhere,
but you can see the reports in Hamner Springs, Hamner
Forest and across much of the Lower North island, the
(02:15):
Riema Tak Hill. I think a wind gust of one
hundred and forty k plus has been observed, so it's
all happening. And Dunedin you're going to see your wind
increase very soon as that stinged jet moves east with time,
so expect the worst of your wind probably still ahead
of you, not quite as bad as perhaps over toward Invercargo,
but I could see the need and getting wind gust
(02:36):
of near or in excess of one hundred kilometers per
hour through about the through about the four five six
o'clock hour. Then things will settle down.
Speaker 1 (02:43):
Yeah, some horrible pictures and stories coming out of Canterbury
at the moment. I saw a picture I think Michelle's
putting it on Facebook of some power lines in Cvid
and North Canterbury. There just all bent over, blown over,
basically a whole row of them by the one as
you mentioned Hamna, severe damage in there. You can't do
(03:05):
much about the weather, but what we do need to
know is when is it going to calm the farm?
Speaker 2 (03:13):
When is the winds the wind basically ending, yeah.
Speaker 1 (03:16):
Or calming away? Bit Sorry I could have used it.
Speaker 2 (03:18):
Yeah, that's all right, No, no, no, there's a lot
going on, Jamie. It's fine, no worries, man. I think
the worst of it is basically from now for the
next few hours, as we get toward dinnertime, things will
begin to settle down. That strong wind, maybe a bit clingy,
a bit persistently longer. For places closer to say from
Dunedin down to the Catlands and to Invercargo, the wind
(03:40):
may hold on longer. They remain quite elevated. But the
good news is that I think the wind as we
move through the evening hours, while it does remain elevated,
it is forecast to ease during the evening hours. But
nonetheless we are looking at some really strong winds probably
coming up. You know, even this weekend. I should add this,
Even though this week and we are going to see
(04:01):
a reduction of wind, it is still going to remain
a pretty breezy weekend. Still breezy conditions tomorrow for much
of the country. We're not talking damaging wind, but we're
talking win that's a nuisance less than you want. It's
going to be a risk for fire weather for eastern
parts of the South. Found kai Kota is over thirty
degrees with humidity below thirty percent, and so that will
(04:25):
certainly not be good for the fires. And that reason
there's dealing in Hawk's Bay going to have gusty wind,
not as strong as our friends in the Lower North
Island and South Island, but they have dry conditions, gusty wind,
warm temperatures, low humidity, so the fire weather concerned there.
We have to worry, Jamie about another weather system next week.
So next week there's going to be another load driving
(04:47):
southeast from the Tasman Sea that'll move farther north than
this low won't be as strong, but it will bring
with another round of very active weather. It looks like
Labor Day, so for the long weekend. That's not a
long weekend for farmers. We work every day, well I
say we, but it will be a day where there
(05:07):
could be another round of high wind and heavy rainfall
perhaps different parts of the country. And then behind that, Jamie,
this is worth noting. This is actually quite important. Just
a heads up. Next Monday night into Tuesday, a significant
cold snap is likely, particularly for the South Island. This
could have impacts in livestock, could have impacts for growing conditions,
(05:29):
So keep in mind early next week Monday night into Tuesday,
maybe even the early Wednesday. A significant cold snap, particularly
for the South Island, maybe lower North Island. Something to
keep in mind that could be a real impactful event
for people on farm.
Speaker 1 (05:44):
Hi, Chris Braindeline, I thanks short Night for kicking off
the show today. You were so good. We might get
you back tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
Thanks for the aton, I look forward to it. Thank you, Jamie.
Stay safe everyone,
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