July 24, 2025 • 5 mins
Earth Sciences NZ (Niwa) Weather Guy. An early peek at what spring might hold.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
But let's kick it off with the s guy, Chris Brendolino.
Sorry about the data are you? Are you an Earth,
earth Wind and Fire sort of guy?
Speaker 2 (00:09):
Chris, Absolutely. I mean who doesn't like Earth when didn't Fire? Yeah,
they played a free concert. I saw one time, great show.
This is back in the nineties, so I'm dating myself
a little bit, but yeah, it was a free show
and they did it just an absolutely awesome job. Also
concerning for the fact that it was a free show.
Speaker 1 (00:30):
Yeah, actually, wait, when you look at like pop music
or popular music today, we don't have the band, so
we certainly don't have big bands. Earth Wind and Fire
were a huge ensemble, really, but that's more about solo
artists these days.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
Yeah, it seems to be that way. Yeah. It's funny
because you know, if it weren't for my children, I
would certainly be not very not that I'm well connected,
I'd be less connected than I am with contemporary music
of today, you know. And you're right, it is a
lot of solo act one hundred percent. But look, man,
there still are some really quality bands. So to speak. Personally,
(01:08):
I think the Killers, that's an awesome band. I saw
them play. Gosh, about two years ago here in Auckland,
and they put on one heck of a show. So yeah,
they're still out there. But yeah, I see your point
point taking there.
Speaker 1 (01:20):
Yeah, actually, do you realize Don Henley talking about great
bands celebrated at seventy eighth birthday this week? Look, I
better get on to it. Is it too early?
Speaker 2 (01:28):
Osborne passed away?
Speaker 1 (01:29):
To gosh as He's gone, Hulk Hogan's gone. It's been
a moving week, some of them moving off this mortal coil?
Speaker 2 (01:37):
Look?
Speaker 1 (01:37):
Is it too early to go for for you? Guys
at NIWA the artists now known as Earth Sciences New
Zealand too? Is it too early for you? Did you
like what I did around artists?
Speaker 2 (01:48):
That was it?
Speaker 1 (01:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (01:49):
Well I played and definitely noticed.
Speaker 1 (01:51):
Okay is it too early for you to make a
call for spring?
Speaker 2 (01:55):
Yeah? Short answer is yes. This time next week we'll
be able to give you a more useful answer, i e.
A spring outlook. But look, just tipping my hand a bit,
I think the overall pattern or theme is unlikely to
change significantly than what we have been I guess sharing
by way of our seasonal climate outlook, and that is
(02:18):
this kind of propensity or this favoring of northerly to
northeasterly type winds i e. Less westerlies. That doesn't mean
westerly won't occur, it just means well, less than usual.
So if you kind of run with that theme, we
will see these increased or elevated occurrences where our weather
(02:39):
comes from the north or northwest, and that does not
only keep temperatures elevated. I know it's been a chili
week because of high pressure, but certainly we haven't seen
a lot of that this winter part of me and
we are going to see those episodes of warmer temperatures,
but Jamie, with those north and northwest winds comes high
moisture content risk for rainfall and heavy rainfall, and we're
going to see them unfortunately. Segueing to early next week,
(03:02):
So early next week, there have been signed over the
past probably a couple of weeks where we're going to
see our airflow come from the I guess the subtropics
and tropics from the Coral Sea, and that will be
the fuel for some really heavy rain. It looks like, unfortunately,
it will be much of the country that gets wet,
but it's the top of the South Island that we're
kind of concerned about because they, as we know, have
(03:24):
been inundated with a multitude of heavy rain events. They
had a nice break, but it looks like another round
where one to two hundred millimeters of rain maker over
about twenty four hours or so, starting I would say,
very early Tuesday morning, before sunrise and continuing into the night.
So that's something we have to watch, and the rest
of the North Island for that matter, we'll see some
(03:46):
heavy rain. Cormand o Bay of Plenty, those are areas
Northland will have to watch for heavy rain and potential flooding.
But several days away details will be confirmed.
Speaker 1 (03:55):
Yeah, unlock that, Fulcus Chris.
Speaker 2 (03:59):
Yeah, nor do I mean this is but this is
what we're This is likely a theme will be running
with I think through spring. That's about the Sprain outlook
and look. I certainly want to preempt that, but I
would be pretty surprised if we landed on a view
that did not kind of include that same sort of
expectation of La Nina type weather. I mean, it looks like,
(04:23):
even though we may not formally enter in La Nina
this spring and summer, we're going to find at the
very least at the very least La Nina like patterns,
and that means these northeasterly flows. I hear the music,
so I'll wrap it up with a propensity for rain
events for the northern and eastern part of the North Island.
We got to watch for dryness. I think the western
(04:44):
and lower South Island. I think if we're talking and
it's like late November, early December, I think dryness is
a real concern potentially in that part of the country.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
Chris Brandalino from Earth Science, Z and Z getting the
heath ho from Earth, Wind and Fire Chris and Joy weeked,
can't you back, Nick Snye?
Speaker 2 (05:01):
That was good A buddy,
But let's kick it off with the s guy, Chris Brendolino.
Sorry about the data are you? Are you an Earth,
earth Wind and Fire sort of guy?
Speaker 2 (00:09):
Chris, Absolutely. I mean who doesn't like Earth when didn't Fire? Yeah,
they played a free concert. I saw one time, great show.
This is back in the nineties, so I'm dating myself
a little bit, but yeah, it was a free show
and they did it just an absolutely awesome job. Also
concerning for the fact that it was a free show.
Speaker 1 (00:30):
Yeah, actually, wait, when you look at like pop music
or popular music today, we don't have the band, so
we certainly don't have big bands. Earth Wind and Fire
were a huge ensemble, really, but that's more about solo
artists these days.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
Yeah, it seems to be that way. Yeah. It's funny
because you know, if it weren't for my children, I
would certainly be not very not that I'm well connected,
I'd be less connected than I am with contemporary music
of today, you know. And you're right, it is a
lot of solo act one hundred percent. But look, man,
there still are some really quality bands. So to speak. Personally,
(01:08):
I think the Killers, that's an awesome band. I saw
them play. Gosh, about two years ago here in Auckland,
and they put on one heck of a show. So yeah,
they're still out there. But yeah, I see your point
point taking there.
Speaker 1 (01:20):
Yeah, actually, do you realize Don Henley talking about great
bands celebrated at seventy eighth birthday this week? Look, I
better get on to it. Is it too early?
Speaker 2 (01:28):
Osborne passed away?
Speaker 1 (01:29):
To gosh as He's gone, Hulk Hogan's gone. It's been
a moving week, some of them moving off this mortal coil?
Speaker 2 (01:37):
Look?
Speaker 1 (01:37):
Is it too early to go for for you? Guys
at NIWA the artists now known as Earth Sciences New
Zealand too? Is it too early for you? Did you
like what I did around artists?
Speaker 2 (01:48):
That was it?
Speaker 1 (01:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 2 (01:49):
Well I played and definitely noticed.
Speaker 1 (01:51):
Okay is it too early for you to make a
call for spring?
Speaker 2 (01:55):
Yeah? Short answer is yes. This time next week we'll
be able to give you a more useful answer, i e.
A spring outlook. But look, just tipping my hand a bit,
I think the overall pattern or theme is unlikely to
change significantly than what we have been I guess sharing
by way of our seasonal climate outlook, and that is
(02:18):
this kind of propensity or this favoring of northerly to
northeasterly type winds i e. Less westerlies. That doesn't mean
westerly won't occur, it just means well, less than usual.
So if you kind of run with that theme, we
will see these increased or elevated occurrences where our weather
(02:39):
comes from the north or northwest, and that does not
only keep temperatures elevated. I know it's been a chili
week because of high pressure, but certainly we haven't seen
a lot of that this winter part of me and
we are going to see those episodes of warmer temperatures,
but Jamie, with those north and northwest winds comes high
moisture content risk for rainfall and heavy rainfall, and we're
going to see them unfortunately. Segueing to early next week,
(03:02):
So early next week, there have been signed over the
past probably a couple of weeks where we're going to
see our airflow come from the I guess the subtropics
and tropics from the Coral Sea, and that will be
the fuel for some really heavy rain. It looks like, unfortunately,
it will be much of the country that gets wet,
but it's the top of the South Island that we're
kind of concerned about because they, as we know, have
(03:24):
been inundated with a multitude of heavy rain events. They
had a nice break, but it looks like another round
where one to two hundred millimeters of rain maker over
about twenty four hours or so, starting I would say,
very early Tuesday morning, before sunrise and continuing into the night.
So that's something we have to watch, and the rest
of the North Island for that matter, we'll see some
(03:46):
heavy rain. Cormand o Bay of Plenty, those are areas
Northland will have to watch for heavy rain and potential flooding.
But several days away details will be confirmed.
Speaker 1 (03:55):
Yeah, unlock that, Fulcus Chris.
Speaker 2 (03:59):
Yeah, nor do I mean this is but this is
what we're This is likely a theme will be running
with I think through spring. That's about the Sprain outlook
and look. I certainly want to preempt that, but I
would be pretty surprised if we landed on a view
that did not kind of include that same sort of
expectation of La Nina type weather. I mean, it looks like,
(04:23):
even though we may not formally enter in La Nina
this spring and summer, we're going to find at the
very least at the very least La Nina like patterns,
and that means these northeasterly flows. I hear the music,
so I'll wrap it up with a propensity for rain
events for the northern and eastern part of the North Island.
We got to watch for dryness. I think the western
(04:44):
and lower South Island. I think if we're talking and
it's like late November, early December, I think dryness is
a real concern potentially in that part of the country.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
Chris Brandalino from Earth Science, Z and Z getting the
heath ho from Earth, Wind and Fire Chris and Joy weeked,
can't you back, Nick Snye?
Speaker 2 (05:01):
That was good A buddy,
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