Best Bets For NFL Week 11 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 867) - BettingPros Podcast

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
your bets. It is me Joey P joe pis Apia
and this is bp NFL. It's week eleven. It's best
bets time, and the Undertaker is here with me, Andrew Erickson,
and I'm gonna give you some of my picks this
week too, and we are going to try to hit
as many as we can. That's the whole purpose. That's
why we're here. And if you're here, subscribe to the channel.

(00:22):
You're watching, you're hanging out with us, You're listening to us.
Wherever you get your podcasts, subscribe to the YouTube channel.
We love having you here. You can drop your comments
below at anytime too. We love to hear from everybody.
What picks you're on this week. What's your best bet
of the week, Drop it in the comments. I love
to hear from you and Andrew Erickson. We got Thursday
night football with our Patriots playing the Jets, but we've
also got a big game coming up here between the

(00:44):
Buccaneers and the Buffalo Bills. And I know we talked
about this game on the Early Line Show and that
number was six and we said let's lock in that
six and that number has moved, but I have not
moved off of it, and I don't think you have either.
So let's talk about bucks Bills and your approach here
to Baker Mayfield after a loss on the road as

(01:04):
an underdog.

Speaker 2 (01:05):
It's the ultimate betting trifecta. I don't know how often
we're going to get this exact outcome for betting on
Baker Mayfield, but this is the perfect setup. I'll just
lay out some of the numbers. Series of the Buccaneers
cover the spread each of their last seven games following
a loss, thirteen to four against the spread after a
loss since twenty twenty three, eleven of the last twelve
games I've covered after a loss. So they lost last week,

(01:27):
that's great for us bet on the Buccaneers underdogs on
the road. They've won three of the last four games
as road underdogs. So not only are they a lock
to cover the five and a half or six point spread,
whatever number you get it, they're a live bet to
win this game potentially too. So again, I don't hate
little sprinkle on the underdog here on the money line,
but I don't either walking in the Buccaneers with the

(01:50):
points seventeen six against the spread on the road since
twenty twenty three. It's the second best mark in the NFL.
Baker Mayfield, this is just his spot when they're being
counted out, when they're underdogs, and I think he's gonna
kind of thrive in this type of game environment, Bill's Mafia,
loud stadium. I love the spot for making Mayfield the Buccaneers.
So yeah, nothing has changed since our early look ahead

(02:11):
lines bet on the box.

Speaker 1 (02:13):
The only thing that's changed the line and move from
six to five and a half. So if you watch
the early line show, he subscribed to the show, you
got it at six. Yeah, this is my first bet
here of the week. And I am in lockstep with Andrew.
And the great thing about myself and Andrew and we're
together is Andrew's gonna give all of you the stats, and
he's gonna give you all the data, and I'm gonna
give you all the fields and all the football acumen
here of things. And the truth is, injuries of Buffalo

(02:35):
Bill's defense have left them thin. Let's be honest. It
showed up all season long, all season longest show up
showed up against the Patriots. We know that, but it's
also showed up against the Dolphins more than once. Now,
it showed up here, and I think that Josh Allen
is in a very difficult spot because he doesn't have
that go to weapon. James Cook is that guy right
that you know, when you get him involved and you

(02:56):
get him the football, they win games. But when the
struggle or you fall back in the game script, and
you could easily do that in the game with Tampa
and they get away from that wrong game, bad things happen.
So you end up pivoting to the Josh Allen who
tries too hard, the Josh Allen who goes out there
and makes mistakes because he's trying to make every play
a highlight reel. And that's dangerous too because that leads

(03:16):
to turnovers. So I agree with you. I think the
money line is absolutely in play, but I think the
safer bet, the smarter bet, the best bet. It's just
take them five and a half. Because Baker Mayfield's already
talking trash and the press conferences of if you've seen
them already talking about how it's too high to look
at Josh Allen and talk to him face to face,
and he says he's gonna have to wear gloves because
it's cold and things like that. And Josh Allen has little,

(03:38):
tiny hands like Baker Mayfield is already throwing the shade.
It's clear that these guys are friends and having fun
with each other. But that's what you love about Baker.
He doesn't care. He gives zero f's right. He is
going to go in there. They lost last week, You
shake it off. That's what good leaders do, and I
think he will lead them to at least a cover
here in this game in Buffalo, and possibly an outright

(03:58):
win as well. All right, let's get to the second
bet of the week here. For me, this is a
little bit of a leap of faith here. But I
know the Carolina Panthers beat the crap out of the
Atlanta Falcons already once this season. I don't think that
happens twice. I think Atlanta is fighting for their season.
They are three and a half year at home favorites,
and I do think that they cover. Carolina offensively is

(04:19):
still struggle. Buss Rico Daldill had a couple of good
games there, but once again they become a team that
doesn't seem to want to throw the football tenor Roa
McMillan is in a tough spot. You know, he's only
got two touchdowns this year, and they came against the
Cowboys in the same game. That's it. So he hasn't
made an impact in the red zone, hasn't made an
impact outside a one game against the Cowboys, and everybody
scores against the Cowboys. So for my second pick, I'm
taking the Atlanta Falcons to bounce back and hopefully learn

(04:41):
from some mistakes of just keep feeding the Dejon Robinson
the football and good things will eventually happen. This one
is at home. I think they took it personally last time.
This is also the Atlanta Falcons fighting for relevance. You
have a losing record, You cannot lose this game in
division to the Panthers. This is pretty much your season now.
The Panthers, you know, at five hundred also not a
great spot. But I think the pressures on the Falcons

(05:01):
and I think the Falcons will respond. So I'm gonna
go with the Falcons here with the minus three and
a half, I know, I get it, it's a little
bit of a leap of faith, but I'm gonna take it.
Ericson who are taking a leap of faith on with
your second pick for this week.

Speaker 2 (05:12):
I don't think mine is a leap of faith at all.
I'm just gonna bet against the Washington Commanders, who I
think are more cooked than the Thanksgiving turkeys we're gonna
be eating in a couple of weeks. Commanders, what do
they have left on defense? This defense is I mean
the Bengals, we talked about them being the worst defense,
the Cowboys being the worst defense, and the Commanders are like, hoh,

(05:33):
my beer, we might be the worst defense in the
NFL because they got nobody left. Their secondary has been
hit by so many injuries. Deron Payne is not even
gonna play this game because he got suspended because he
punched them on Ross Saint Brown last week. They're just
crumbling without Jayden Daniels as the starting quarterback. So yes,
this game is in a neutral sight. But what I
like about what I've seen from the Miami Dolphins is

(05:54):
they haven't totally quit on the season. Their offense is
able to play at a high level when they have
match they can take advantage of, like here against the Commanders.
This is nothing new with Mike McDaniel as head coach
of this team. They beat up on bad teams. They've
done this throughout the entire tenure of Mike McDaniel being
the head coach. And it's usually in good weather. Before
the calendar turns to November and it's really cold and

(06:16):
they have to play on the road in like places
like Buffalo or Pittsburgh, that's when they usually struggle. That's
not the case. They're going to Madrid. It's gonna be
a great time in Spain. It's actually the first time
that Dan quinn has actually been a head coach for
an international game. So I think that's another edge for
the Miami Dolphins. And I like the Dolphins as favorites
fourteen nine against a spread as a favorite since twenty
twenty three, that's sixty one percent. And although this isn't

(06:38):
technically a road game, I still kind of look at
it as a road game. Five and one against a
spread as a road favorite, which is eighty three percent,
which is one of the highest marks in the NFL.
So the books are usually on it when it comes
to Miami being favored, and I don't think that two
and a half points is nearly enough for how bad
this commander's team has been one and three against the
spread with Mariota as the starting quarterbacks. So I think

(06:59):
Miami and their defense that's looked better over the last
three weeks. They've allowed just seventeen points game. So I
don't think it's just like the same season long Miami
Dolphins deep. I mean, they smell blood in the water, right,
and they can take advantage of an underman Washington commander's unit.
So you want to start your Sunday out with a
win better than the Dolphins.

Speaker 1 (07:16):
Well, it's amazing when you fire somebody, right, all of
a sudden, that starts to ripple effect a little bit
through the rest of the organization where people start worrying
about their jobs next year and who comes in. So
you got to put some good tape together because you
might not be in Miami, so you want to make
sure somebody wants you in twenty twenty six or maybe
the incoming coaches. Now, you know, I like the way

(07:36):
this player played down the stretch. Again, nothing like a
good firing to get everybody going. And yeah, everything that's
gone wrong for the commanders has speak of things going
wrong in firings. I present to you, ladies and gentlemen,
the New York Football Giants. There's nothing I love more
for my third pick than the dead coach bounce. You
know it. Every single year, Andrew, I go for it.
And sometimes every now and then the spot is just

(07:59):
so bad ye can't do it. A lot of the
Tennessee Titans like it, just can't go there. But this one,
I think you can. Jameis Winston is going to give
you energy. He's gonna give you vibes, he's gonna give
you positivity. He's gonna give you a deep football that
can actually be caught sometimes by the other team, but
mostly by Wandell Robinson. I hope that's what I'm looking

(08:20):
for in this game. This game is at home. They're
in a situation where I feel like the Green Bay
Packer offense right now is broken. And I talked about
this a little bit on Monday's program with You, Andrew,
and at that time that line was eight and a
half and I said, I like it. I want to
lock it in eight and a half. Well, guess what,
it seems like the Sharps were on it along with me.
And now that line has moved to seven and a half.

(08:41):
Guess what I'm still on the Giants here plus seven
and a half, I still like it. I still think
that Winston, whether it be just showing up there and
getting off to a good start or just potentially in
garbage time being Jamis Winston slinging the football around, that
they can catch up to whatever the Packers are putting together,
because guess what, the Packers aren't putting a lot together.
The decision making about Lafleur's not been good. The wide

(09:04):
receiver corp continues to be lackluster, and Jordan Love looks
like a guy since Tucker Craft got hurt that he
looks like he lost his puppy. And I think that
is a bad situation here for a team going on
the road coming off a loss already. So give me
the Giants to cover. You've got feelings about this game too,
I want to talk about him. Talk about your take
for Giants Green Bay here in this contest.

Speaker 2 (09:24):
I do agree with you that I think that if
I am picking a side, the Giants has definitely the
side I want to be on, because no bet is
dead when you have Jameis Winston as the quarterback that
you bet on, right, it can be they can be
down by twelve points in the fourth quarter doesn't matter.

Speaker 1 (09:35):
You still.

Speaker 2 (09:37):
Still live to potentially cover. So that's the side. So
I'm co signing on the side there. But my actual
best bet is actually just betting the game total over.
Talked about this on some of the Fantasy Pro shows
that Jameis Winston is the tide that lifts all boats.
That's on the Giant side offensively, that's on the Packers
side offensively, because he just creates game environments where you
just see shooting bonanzas, shoot out bonanzas, and if you

(10:00):
look at the six full starts last year, those games
were four and two towards the over. That's what we got.
More often. It wasn't really Jamie Swinson covering all these games,
Oh he's in against the spread wizard. It was, Oh,
he's just gonna create a ton of points, because I
the only reason I'm hesitate with just taking them with
the points is, I mean, he throws two picks sixes,
like that's not going to help them cover the seven
and a half points, like that's gonna hurt them significantly,

(10:22):
But that helps create total points to go over a
pretty low number at forty three and a half. I
think we're getting some value on the Packers offense. Yes,
they have not looked great the last couple of weeks.
They've also faced the Eagles defense on a primetime spot,
which is one of the best defenses in the NFL.
It just made a trade for Jalen Philips. So off
a bye week, it was a tough spot. Like I
don't know, I know that we talked about liking the
Eagles a lot. Playing at home against the Green Bay Packers.

(10:45):
We were taking the Eagles on the money line, like
we didn't like the Packers last week. But the New
York Giants defense is so bad they can't stop anybody.
It looked like they were gonna take care of business
beat the Bears. Kala Williams didn't have anything left. And
then you look up and then Kilwillims scores like three touchdowns.

Speaker 1 (11:00):
And they personnel. That's the weirdest part is it's not
like they don't have some personnel that you would say, though,
that's some good talent. The yeah, I mean, Abdul Carter
was the consensus guy, right, like that was the big
impact defensive player. You look back at the Burns acquisition,
all the things that the Giants have done over the
last two years to fortify that defense something you don't have, dudes.
So it's a matter of coaching, it's a matter of scheme,

(11:21):
it's a matter of preparation.

Speaker 2 (11:23):
Yeah. So I like Mike Kafka coming in as the
former OC to be the injur head coach to help
the offense. I think that he is a sharp offensive mind.
But I don't think that this defense is going to
get fixed, and I think that the Green Meat Packers
can use this as a Hey, we need to bounce
back here offensively, and we can do that against a
really bad Giants defense. For the Giants last five games
have gone over the point total because in addition just

(11:44):
playing poorly, they've also had a lot of injuries are
the defense side of the ball, especially in their secondary.
So we know that both defenses, I think are weaker
in their secondary. Again, you have guys upfront that can
rush the passer. But if those quarterbacks have time and
are willing to push the ball down and field, which
we've seen both of these quarterbacks do. The Packers have
had one of the highest expulsive play rates this season. Obviously,
losing Tour Kraft hurts, but Romeo Dobbs is practicing in

(12:06):
full I should get Matthew goldenback, so he's another element
that you can throw in for a home run play.
I think forty three and a half points that's just
way too low for a game that Javis Switzton is
starting in here, not wrong, So I like you over.
I think priority number one for the Giants this offseason.
Get a corner, Get somebody who can shut somebody down,
you know. I think that's when they go in the draft.
We'll see, maybe they go offensive line. We'll see what

(12:27):
the new head coach wants.

Speaker 1 (12:28):
All right. Before we get to the rest of our picks,
we've got also upset special, We've got Joey P's Parlay
of the Week. We had a lot of stuff going
on here. I want to look at the leader board
from last week because I was on my bye week
last week, but I am back. And Andrew Erkson was
three and two last week, which brings him to twenty
one or nineteen on the season, ahead of five hundred.
That's where we want to be. And of course, if
you want more help from Andrew, Matt Perrault, all of

(12:49):
our cast of characters here on our discord, you can
go there and join for free at betting pros dot
com slash chat, so you can get in there, talk
to other handicappers, talk to other people there who can
give you some insights and picks. And it doesn't matter
what the sport is too. We've got everything going on
the Betting pro So again bettingpros dot com slash chat.
That is our discourse. So join today for free. All right.
Next up for me Ah the Cleveland Browns. The Cleveland

(13:12):
Browns team total. We're taking the under fifteen and a
half against Baltimore. I think Baltimore is starting to feel itself,
and Baltimore also has gotten two things right. They've gotten
healthy on defense and they've gotten better on defense too.
We talked about some improvements and some other teams have made.
Baltimore I think is starting to tighten the screws a
little bit and remember who they are. It's amazing when
you lose your franchise quarterback for a few games, how

(13:32):
everything falls apart. But there were some issues before Lamar
got hurt already. You saw them in that Detroit Lions
game right earlier in the season. I think the Ravens
see the Steelers ahead of them, and they're not intimidated.
I think they see the returning potential of Joe Burrow
in a couple of weeks and they need a stack
some w's before we get to that game on Thanksgiving.

(13:54):
So to me, this is a crucial game here for
the Baltimore Ravens. This is a must again every game
for the must win to get back in this thing.
And they are on the precipice of getting hot. And
maybe this is what the Ravens needed. The Ravens are
so used to being at the top of the mountain. Maybe,
just maybe, Andrew, they've needed something to knock them down
a little bit and start to chase and remember what

(14:15):
that's like. And I think that's healthy for this team.
And I think for the first time, maybe being the
team that backdoors their way into the playoffs or even
to the division and has to go on the road
and a little togetherness win a football game is actually
a good thing for the Ravens. But the bad news
is here for the Cleveland Browns. Is not only the
defense coming together, but Dylan Gabriel is not the answer.
He's just not gonna be the answer here. They're gonna

(14:37):
struggle offensively to move the football. I like that fifteen
and a half. I know sometimes these games in division
get a little, you know, a little tight here, But again,
are they gonna put two touchdowns on the board. I
have a hard time believe in that. So I'm gonna
say under here for the team total for the Cleveland Browns. Erickson,
where are you going for your fourth selection here? You know,
I'm waiting for the undertaker to take some unders here,
That's what I'm really waiting for.

Speaker 2 (14:58):
Well, I did take someone last week and I got
absolutely annihilated with the underside.

Speaker 1 (15:03):
You can't get off brand though, Aaron Jill.

Speaker 2 (15:06):
Why That's why I have one under play this week,
and it's my favorite one. It's Chiefs and Broncos going
under forty four and a half points. Now, we all
know how good Andy Reid is off the bye week
twenty two and four straight up after regular season bye
week nine to three with the Chiefs six them on
with Patrick Mahomes. But when you look at his record
against the spread, it's closer than fifty percent. So although

(15:28):
this helps in the okay, the Chiefs are probably gonna
win this game being favored by three and a half points,
like It's still a tricky line there where they win
by field goal you don't cover and the Broncos end
up covering the bets. So I wanted to avoid the sides,
even though I do think the Chiefs win a close
game because both of these teams have played heavily towards
the under the season, Denver seventy three towards the under
k C six and three towards the under. Bo Nicks

(15:51):
is he has the fifth worst drop back success rate
this season. I can't think of a more overrated team
than I've seen with the Denver Broncos this year. At
eight and two. Their offense is still not clicking at
a high level in my opinion, and you can see
it out in the stats like he's bottom five success rate,
like with guys like Cam war justin fields players that
were not associating with winning teams in any way, shape

(16:12):
or form. The defense has done a lot of things,
and obviously bo Nicks has showed up in the fourth quarter.
So I still think though that this game is going
to probably be a little bit tighter and lower scoring.
You look at the last four matchups between the Chiefs
and Broncos for straight unders, every single time and a
better trend when you're looking at the betting, is Andy
Reid off a bye week is actually playing towards the

(16:33):
under three and nine towards the under since twenty eighteen
after a bye week, So we're always talking about, oh
Andy Reid, so good off the bye week. But yeah,
also the defense comes out and pitches shutouts. Spagnola, I
think it's going to make life really tough for bo Nicks,
who's already kind of been struggling this year as offensively
hasn't really taken that next step that I think maybe
some of us thought that he would. So I think
this game playing in Denver, and Denver has a really

(16:55):
good defense too, so I think they can give Mahomes
some problems. I don't think that we see this as
a shootout, if anything. I think it's maybe twenties in
and in the teens. So I like the under here
at forty four and a half.

Speaker 1 (17:05):
All right, let's get to our fifth and final pick
before we get to some fun here. Titans team total
under fifteen and a half is where I'm going here
with the Houston Texans coming into town. Look, we all
know the limitations of the Titans here at this stage. Now, granted,
there are some limitations without CJ. Stroud, most likely this
week too. As of recording this, we are still waiting

(17:27):
on it. But I think we all know Stroud's not
playing this week. But they put up points last week,
and the one thing about that defense is they've been
limiting points all year long and to much better offenses
than the Tennessee Titans. So defense travels. It's gonna be
a good situation for them. They've given up about I
think the average is around fifteen points per game, and
that's against the rest of the NFL. The Titans are

(17:49):
below average offense, so I do believe they're going to
have a struggle bust time here trying to move the
football against the Houston Texans. I think this is a
very easy way to just go ahead and target this
game and just look for the team total. Again, I've
done it with the Cleveland Browns, but I gotta be honest,
I like this one even more the way Houston's defense
has played. I think this is I want to say
in the lock of the week, because it's not my

(18:10):
lock of the week. We're going to do those in
just a second. But Andrew Erickson, You've got some feelings
about the Dallas Cowboys in the Las Vegas Raiders. The
Cowboys also coming off of buye, so what's your take
on that game.

Speaker 2 (18:19):
Dallas is seven to three against the spread since twenty
twenty three, playing with rest advantage, so I feel really
good about Dallas Cowboys defense in this spot. I think
that they're going to play significantly better. I talked about
it on the Early look Ahead show that I think
that after the passing of marshaw neland you're going to
see this Dallas Cowboys defense play at the highest level

(18:40):
to play it at all season. And it's not just
because they're playing inspired football after loss of a teammate,
but they're getting Quinn Williams. They just traded for one
of the best defensive tackles in the NFL that can
help slow down Ashton Genty in this Raiders run game,
which really hasn't taken off in any way, shape or form.
The Raiders are also down multiple offensive linemen after the
lost them against the Denver Broncos. Gino Smith barely finished

(19:01):
that game if he picked up by his offensive line
because it took so many hits and despite Dallas' defense
being pretty bad basically the majority of the season. The
one thing they've been able to do is generate pass
rush tenth in pressure rate this season. So I think
they're going to get after Gino Smith. They have revamped
defensive players. They're getting two guys back from injured reserve
Chevon Ravel, a rookie cornback that they drafted. He's going

(19:22):
to make his debut linebacker to Merrion Overshawn. He's going
to play in this game. So I think this look,
I think it's totally too high unless Dallas is gonna
put a forty. Like, I think this game is going
to go under fifteen half points. I think the Dallas
defense is going to make Gino Smith look like a
shell and Raiders. They've lost seventeen to last eighteen games
with underdogs, seven straight as home underdogs. There's no home

(19:43):
field advantage in Las Vegas. I love the Dallas Cowboys here,
and I would be laying six and a half points
with that.

Speaker 1 (19:49):
Well, the Cowboys are averaging well over thirty points a
game at home, but under thirty points on the road,
So to that point as well, you know, I mean,
I'm so confident that they'll put up somewhere on twenty
seven to twenty eight against the last Vegas Raiders. That look,
I just we differ a little on this. I just
don't think you can fix things like that. Maybe they'll
play inspired, maybe with the Chris and turnovers, but I
still think they're just gonna, you know, give up points

(20:10):
even to Gino Smith and the Raiders. But we shall see.
That's one's gonna play itself out. Ladies and gentlemen, it
is time for our hard Rock Bet picks of the week.
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(20:31):
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are the things that we're betting on hard Rock Bet
this week. My favorite bet of the week, I've already
said it. I laid it out on the show. Give
Me Baker Mayfield, as Andrew said, the trifecta after a

(20:51):
loss on the road as an underdog. Yes, please against
the Buffalo Bills too. The Buffalo Bills have been bad.
I mean, let's just play what it is like. They
have been incing, assistant, defensively, having all kinds of issues.
I think Baker can keep this one close. So give
me the bucks there right now. Plus six. That's what
I'm seeing here, the best line I can find a
betting pros. But I think that's gonna go a weigh
five and a half. You might not see any sixes

(21:12):
pretty soon, so lock that in as soon as you can.
On hard rock bet Andrew Erickson, what is your best
bet of the week.

Speaker 2 (21:19):
Dallas Cowboys minus three and a half. I think that
they take care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Banged up on the offensive line, Dallas is getting some
pieces back on the defensive side. Quinn Williams making his
Dallas Cowboys debut after being traded from the New York Jets.
Dallas seven and three against the spread since twenty twenty three,
playing with rest advantage, and the Raiders have lost seven

(21:40):
straight as home underdogs, So I like Big D in
this spot.

Speaker 1 (21:44):
All right, So there you have it everybody, and you
get tuned into the Parlay Show to see when we
put those two things together what you might be able
to get. So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube
channel here over on Betting Pros and again place your
first bet over at hard Rock at five bucks. In
there you win, you get one hundred and fiftyen bonus beat.
And again this is that time too. We've got college
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(22:06):
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(22:48):
here is the Upset special of the week. And I
think you know, no one should be surprised as a
theme developing in the show. I don't think this is
a hot take. I think Tampa's just a better all
around football team than the Buffalo Bills. I do. I
just think that are right now. I think they've got
more weapons offensively, write more explosiveness with the wide receivers,
with Eggbuka and Tesz Johnson. I think they'll figure it
out at running back still. And on top of that,

(23:10):
I think that defense got a little embarrassed at home,
and the defense against the run has been very good.
Vida Van and company are very good against the run.
So Travon Henderson put a hurting on him, right, Travon
Henderson kind of embarrassed him and put some tape on
him and The one thing I've learned about these guys
who are really good at what they do, they don't
like when that happens. They're gonna come back with a vengeance.
And the problem is if you can slow down James Cook,
I don't know what happens here again. You get try

(23:32):
hard Josh Allen, and that sometimes leads to bad things.
So give me the upset on the money line. It's
my favorite upset pick of the week. I almost went
with the Giants, but I didn't. Instead, plus two thirty
five money line against Buffalo Bills. Give me the Bucks
this week, Andrew, you think it's gonna work a wide.

Speaker 2 (23:46):
I think it's live to the fourth quarter.

Speaker 1 (23:48):
I think it's live too. And if Buffalo gets up
early on him, I think it's gonna be even better
number than two thirty five. So watch that in game
live again.

Speaker 2 (23:55):
I get this why this is the upset special the
week because we've been all about the Bucks. But I
am surprised that we didn't go Seahawks here because I
know that they're another really intriguing underdog this week.

Speaker 1 (24:04):
They are they are, believe me, they were in the mix. Look,
I've been saying it all year I've been saying it
since August. Right, the win total for the Seahawks I
think was eight and a half. I was like, what
are they doing. They're not giving the Seahawks enough respect,
and they're giving Sam Donald too much disrespect. I know
it kind of fell part of the end last year.

Speaker 2 (24:21):
I was very much on the disrespect side of Sam Donald.

Speaker 1 (24:24):
And that's fair.

Speaker 2 (24:25):
My Seahawks offseason takes are absolutely terrible.

Speaker 1 (24:28):
It fell off at the end last year. But let's
not forget the first fourteen weeks of the season. They
were so good for Sam Donald. But they were I mean,
the Vikings looked like world beaters for a long time there.
All right, let's talk about this Harlay of the week.
Here for me, I'm going to take some of these
favorite things that I've got. One of my favorite things
this week was the Tennessee Titans total points under fifteen

(24:49):
and a half at minus one thirteen the Tampa Bay
Buccaneers again, you get plus five and a half in
some markets, six anothers. Give me the Bucks with the points,
give me the under team total for the Titans, and
of course dead coach Bounce, no Brian Dable, good feelings,
Jamis Winston Kafka with something to Peru. Give me the
Giants plus seven here, you put them together, you get
plus six oh five. That's a huge number. Andrew Erickson

(25:11):
and I don't think it's absurd. You want to pick
this one apart and he holes in this one this.

Speaker 2 (25:15):
Week, Davis Mills, Man, if he turns the ball over,
that could set up for short fields for.

Speaker 1 (25:21):
The tight Like I feel like it could.

Speaker 2 (25:23):
Honestly, that's like as weird as it sounds, just because.

Speaker 1 (25:26):
That's the one that scares you the most.

Speaker 2 (25:27):
It's a division game on the road, and it's a
backup quarterback starting right like, that's like, those are like things.
I look as like that's red flag potentially, but you
are more like than the Texans defense.

Speaker 1 (25:38):
Yeah, that's what I'm doing. I'm bet on the Texans
defense to figure it out.

Speaker 2 (25:41):
Your angle, I think is the right approach.

Speaker 1 (25:43):
I think the Titans settle for a lot of threes,
even if they do turn the ball over hid in
their own territory. So those are our favorite bets. Those
are the upsets. That's the best bets for week eleven.
What's your favorite bet for week eleven? Drop your comments below,
Subscribe to the channel and of course like this video.
That'll do it for us, But the story of the
game goes on for Andrew ericson I'm Joey p. We'll
see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the

(26:04):
Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best
freeway to support us is by leaving a positive review
on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on x and
TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.
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Best Bets For NFL Week 11 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 867)

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.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}Best Bets For NFL Week 11 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 867)