October 17, 2025 • 30 mins
Clean up another slate with the crew by joining Joe Pisapia, Andrew Erickson and Terrell Furman Jr. for their best bets for NFL Week 7!
Why do the trends say to lay the points with the Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.0) in London against the Los Angeles Rams? Are the New York Giants (+7.0) live to cover against the Denver Broncos? Plus, can the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions clear the 52.5 point total (-110) on Monday night?
The Pros start kicking it ahead of another pro football-filled weekend!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 00:00:00
Los Angeles Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 00:01:32
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings - 00:05:42
New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos - 00:07:16
Hard Rock Bet - 00:10:18
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys - 00:11:53
Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns - 00:13:50
Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals - 00:17:49
BettingPros Discord - 00:20:58
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions - 00:21:18
Upset Special of the Week - 00:26:21
Parlay of the Week - 00:27:21
Outro - 00:29:40
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome in, everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets. And this be Joey P Joe P's Apia
and this is bp NFL. It's time for week seven.
That means the best bet crew is here and they
are the best. It's Terrell Furman Junior, the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson.
Both of these handsome young gentlemen are above five hundred
for the season. Terrell six picks over five hundred. I
(00:24):
might add very hot twenty twenty five, and it's only
getting hotter. So make sure you subscribe to the channel.
We love when you follow us over here on Betting
Pros YouTube. We're trying to get to one hundred thousand subs.
We could do it with your help. Terrell needs a
sub in the worst way, to a different kind of
sub because he is starving. So we're gonna get through
these bets as fast as possible because he is angry today.
Are you gonna be all right? You had a little
(00:45):
snack before the show. Are you gonna make it? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (00:47):
Yeah, I think I'll be able to make it, but
I don't know. I've looked at the some of the
picks here on board and it's making me a little
bit more angrier.
Speaker 1 (00:55):
Oh okay, all right, Andrew Rickson, what's your go to snack?
You're a very healthy guy, like your protein bar? Guy,
what are you doing these days?
Speaker 3 (01:03):
Ap proachin bar is usually pretty easy to go to.
I like snacking on seeds or nuts or things like that.
Also a big fan of beef jerky. I don't know
you remember a couple of.
Speaker 1 (01:13):
Years ago when we did have the sponsorship. Dude, I
ate so much jerky. I thought my cholesterol and your
cholesterol and Soniyu budels are probably not great.
Speaker 3 (01:23):
They were off the charts, but it was a cool
three weeks where I would be every day.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
It was the cool three weeks of Ericson having the
meat sweats on every show. That's what it was. All right,
So we are here, Uh no sweating, We're We're just
gonna go ahead, make these picks here and Terrell, let's
kick things off here with the London game. Here. We've
got the Jags and the Rams and you got got
some feelings about that.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
Uh so that's not who's playing Joe, With all due
respect that it's not who playing It is the London Jags.
When you refer to them in this spot. They will
be the.
Speaker 1 (01:53):
St the Jacksonville Jacks. Okay, the London Jags.
Speaker 2 (01:56):
Okay, oh no, no, you just said the Jags, and
you need to say the full name. It's like him
name slack Back. You gotta say the full name. It
is the London Jags here because this is the Jags
in London. This is Trevor Lawrence in London. Four and
too straight up in London. Two and oh as a
dog four and two ats two and o acs like
he's been very good in this spot, especially as a dog.
(02:18):
You've got this Los Angeles Rams team who is coming
off of another straight road game. They went played at Baltimore.
They stayed at Baltimore, and we're practicing on Camden Yards
in Camden Yards baseball field, that's where they practiced that
they were even if you saw the picture of Matthew
Stafford throwing the football on the mound with his cleats on,
where the sign clearly says please do not have your
(02:39):
cleats on the mound. This Rams team doesn't care about
anything right now. Hookahs down, They're going over to London.
They don't do this as often. Do you understand that
when Shrevor Lawrence and company go to London, they know
people by name by name, like they actually know I
once a year go back to my college for homecoming
(02:59):
every year because it's a great homecoming, greatest homecoming on nerve,
as people would like to say. And I remember people
for that one time I see them every year.
Speaker 4 (03:08):
The people in.
Speaker 2 (03:09):
London remember the Jags every year because they're like, oh,
the Jags are in sound finally, this is a home
game they and they're a dog in this spot.
Speaker 4 (03:17):
I love the.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
Bounce back spot for this Jags team. I think that
they're gonna be very competitive in the game. I think
they're gonna be able to move the football on this
Rams defense. And I'm gonna be interested to see what
the Rams offense looks like minus Pooking the cool because
he was a huge part of the offense. Give me
the Jags plus three. This is the Jacks in London
and London Jags no.
Speaker 1 (03:34):
Way, all right, Ericson, You're on the other end of this,
and they've got not only Pooking a coup out, but
kind of a strange travel pattern. They're the latest team
to arrive. I don't know if you've heard this in London.
They've been practicing at Camden Yards this week. Matthew Stafford
working off the mound a little bit, maybe getting some
extra throws in there, because we all know he used
to play baseball with Clayton Kershaw. I remember everybody won't
(03:55):
hear that every single time those guys are out there.
But anyway, you're on the opposite end. So Turrell makes
a pretty strong case for the Jags. What's the case
for the Rams here?
Speaker 3 (04:04):
Well, the Rams are road warriors, So pump up the
Jacksonville Jaguars home field advantage in London all day long,
because I want to pump up the Rams playing on
the road, even though technically it's a neutral field setting.
Los Angeles under Matthew Stafford seih McVay best record since
twenty twenty three as road favorites eight and one against
the spread. Last week it was a struggle. They still
(04:26):
got it done. They still cover the more the touchdowns
spread on the road against Baltimore Ravens. They cover the
spread and tend or last eleven games as road favorites.
And when you look at the international games in the aggregate,
who usually wins and who usually covers the favorites. The
favorites tend to dominate both against the spread and straight up,
so even if there is no Poka Naku again, I
(04:46):
don't expect him to play in this game. I think
this is a smash spot for Demante Adams. I think
this is the reason why they went out and got
him as another receiver. You know, Puka gets banged up
just the way that he plays so aggressively throwing his
body around. So I think Adams against Jacksonville. They've loved
the most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers
this season, so they've been good in the slot. DeVante
(05:06):
has been cooking out on the outside. I think this
is a matchup that he can win. So I'm going
to be backing the team with the better quarterback, who
is Matthew Stafford, the guy that makes more big time throws.
Trevor Lawrence is sixth then turnover worthy plays this season,
so I think he's more likely to turn the ball
over and the Jaguars thirty first in penalties, So when
push comes to shove in a field goal game, I'm
going to go with a better head coach, quarterback combination
(05:28):
and a team that can bring the heat with pressure.
Trevor Lawrence was pressured on fifty percent of his dropbacks
last week. Jared Vers coming to town. Let's go light
it up, give me the rams, all right.
Speaker 1 (05:38):
So the guys on opposite ends, we'll see next week
who was right. Let's go to the Minnesota Vikings and
the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles are a little struggle bus lately here.
Could they get back on track here in Minnesota? Throw? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (05:52):
This is typically what they do. They go and they
lose a game, and then they lose the other game,
as I have said, and they did to the New
York Giants. And then now here we are where they
come back and they get back right and things begin
to flow again. They go and they have their little
cryptic meetings and Jalen Hurts has this cryptic talking and
all of that, and then they go and they put
something out there on the field. And ultimately with this
(06:13):
Vikings team, I'm either betting or in JJ, or on
betting on Carson Wentz. And if Fitz Carson Wentz, I
feel so much better about this, by the way, But
if it's JJ, he's still coming off with the injury
where we really don't know what he looks like with
the ankle, they still are even questioning if he's even
going to play this week. So it tells me he's
not one hundred percent going into this game. So we
have the question mark set the quarterback with if Carson
(06:35):
Wentz is going to actually be able to get this
done in this spot or if JJ is actually healthy.
And then you have this Eagles team and this offense
that I think is really really looking for a get
right spot. It wasn't going to happen against New York Giants.
They have an opportunity here. I think that there's a
chance where they can run on this Minnesota Vikings defense
with Saekuan move football a little bit, and then we'll
see Jalen Hurst just has to be decent. Like I'm
(06:56):
not expecting him to go out here and throw around
the world. But if he goes out out there and
he's decent, he can get the big play to Devon
says Smith on the outside and then be able to
get a lot of PPR and receptions over there to
aj Brown. I think they'll be perfectly fine. So Eagles
are down, but I don't think they're down enough where
theyre going to lose to the Vikings here. I like
the Eagles to be able to.
Speaker 1 (07:14):
Win, all right. The last thing to beat the Eagles
was the New York Football Giants, so they played really
well at home. But of course Jackson dartn not traveling
on the road Denver Bronco is probably the best defense
right now in the NFL. I think people have a
tough time arguing against that. So the Giants are seven
point underdogs on the road against the Broncos. That feels
right to me. I know I'm betting pros though you
(07:36):
can still find six and a half. That's why you're
using the VP app everybody. So let's talk about this
number here in the Broncos. I guess the question is, ericson,
do you believe enough here? Nippo Knicks can shake the
dust off because obviously last week against the Jets was
not exactly an exciting offensive output with the thirteen points
they put on the board.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
No, it was not. The Broncos really struggled to run
the football effectively against the New York Jets. I don't
think they'll have that kind of issue against the New
York Giants, who will have one of the worst run
defenses in the NFL, especially playing at home and not
a neutral field. So I'm expecting the run game to
kind of get things going. That sets up to play
action and that makes life much easier for Sean Payne
and Boon Nicks to run their offense that they want
(08:15):
to do. So I'm expecting a bounce back effort from
the Broncos offensively bone Nicks. Historically, he's been a strong
bet as a home favorite, and the trends are you
want to bet against rookie quarterbacks on the road. There
is the reason why Jackson Dart is two and oh
straight up against the spread at home and own one
on the road. It's because it's much tougher for these
quarterbacks to play up to a higher level when they're
(08:36):
playing in tough circumstances. Playing in New Orleans is a
tough place to play.
Speaker 1 (08:41):
It's loud.
Speaker 3 (08:41):
Playing at Denver on the road, it's a really tough
place to play, just as cam Ward. It's not a
fun place to play.
Speaker 1 (08:47):
So I like.
Speaker 3 (08:49):
Backing the Broncos here, even with the touchdown point spread.
They've covered in five of the last seven games against
teams that have a losing record, and if you look
at the New York Giants since twenty twenty three after
a win massive letdown spot three five and one against
the spread. We saw it just a couple of weeks
ago when they beat the Chargers. Jackson Dart is here,
he has arrived. They lose against the Saints because Jackson
(09:10):
Dar's turned the ball over. Camp Scautab has turned the
ball over. So although they seem inevitable between Jackson Dark
Camp Scattabo, that may not be the case in Denver
in a much tougher matchup against the defense that's gonna
have most of its main pieces, not like the Eagles,
who didn't have Quenyon Mitchell, didn't have Dalen Carter. I
think they help the Giants a lot their win.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
Oh my gosh, Well, I mean it's not untracked.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
I'm spitting facts.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
Well, first of all, First of all, first of all,
Quinnon Mitchell left the game Earth, Yes he did. We
didn't have elite neighbors. Nobody wants to say that part.
We were going out there. Lil Jordan Humphrey was on
the couch on the couch prior to and went out
there and cooked them. So, I mean, you know I'm
gonna say is there was some backing of the Browns
(09:55):
last week coming from London and that didn't go well.
So you're hitting your pitsburs Steelers minus five and a half. Erickson,
I'm just gonna say, Broncos coming back from London, it's
not a great spot.
Speaker 1 (10:08):
That's fair assessment. You know, we'll see again. I think
the defense can can carry this team, but we shall see.
You hangover in London sometimes is a real deal. Here.
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All right, let's get to number three here on our list,
(11:56):
the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboy It looks like
we're getting mclormb back for this game. Still a little
uncertain about the Deebo health. So what does that mean
for the Commander's team total here, which is twenty seven
and a half?
Speaker 2 (12:08):
Take the over going against Cowboys defense. It's horrible, simple enough,
don't have to talk about it anymore. In fact, if
this wasn't content, I'd probably stop talking about it now
and say let's go on to the next thing, because
it's that easy. But you're looking at Dallas Cowboys defense,
and they allowed their opponent to go over the team
total in four of their five games this season, including
the Carolina Panthers at thirty points last week. Come on now, like,
(12:31):
what are we talking about? Is there even anything to
really talk about? Cowboys can't stop the run. They're allowing
anybody and everybody to run through wherever. I think that
we could go send Joe's football team out there.
Speaker 4 (12:44):
And they could probably run the football.
Speaker 1 (12:46):
Away and your practice last so, like you know, I'm
just saying.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
And I am positive that they would be ready to go,
and you're telling me that I only have to get
four touchdowns on this Cowboys defense, the defense that I
think is very capable of giving up thirty tore We
have Jalen Daniels who is looking to have a good
game after one could say he was the reason they
lost that game to the Bears, like we could very
much say it. First of all, I like to say
(13:11):
the NFC should be very very very scared going forward
after what was happened last week. But with that all
that being said, Dallas Cowboys deference is still no more
and I think they are really really missing Michael Parsons.
There's nothing. They have no move, they have no play,
they have nothing to get back here and Terry McLaurin
(13:31):
is possibly back for the game. I love the points
here love the points. Yeah, Dak may be able to
keep them in the game, and if they win this game,
it's only going to be because Dak was able to
throw and put up forty points on the board by himself.
But I liked the at least the Commanders regardless of
what happens when loucadraw to put up twenty eight points,
give me the Commanders over twenty seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
All right, let's go to Andrew Erickson for pick number
three in week seven, and we're gonna stick with you
because we're thinking the same game for pick number four.
So lead us through the rabbit hole for the Rounds
Dolphins game. I can't wait to hear this.
Speaker 3 (14:02):
Oh, this is my favorite game on the Sunday Slate.
Speaker 1 (14:05):
We bet you're the only human being who will say
those words.
Speaker 5 (14:08):
I don't care.
Speaker 3 (14:09):
It's gonna be a lot of fun for me because
we're gonna make money. So the first bet is the
under at forty and a half. I can't believe that
we have a Cleveland Browns home game that has a
total that doesn't start with a three, Like that's number
one here. This should be thirty eight and a half,
thirty nine, A half should be nowhere near forty and
a half points. These games are going to go under.
The Browns defense basically turns into the eighty five Bears defense.
Speaker 1 (14:30):
Will they play at home?
Speaker 3 (14:30):
They played two home games this season against Joe Burrow again,
a Bengals offense that actually had their starting quarterback and
Jordan Love. They covered both games and they gave up
second in terms of the fewest yards allowed at home
this season, third and fewest points allowed. And again against
two good offenses between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Green
Bay Packers. The Browns are six and five over their
(14:51):
last eleven games as home underdogs. Straight up, they play
really well at home. They're a completely different defense, significantly
better both against the run and the pass. So I
really like the Browns defense to show a big here
and stifle a Miami Dolphins offense that has already gone
through a lot of ups and downs this season. You
have two of calling out his teammates about not showing
up to these player only meetings. How's that going to
(15:12):
reflect on the field, Like, are we expecting, oh, hunky Dot, worry,
everything's back, the offense is cooking. I don't think that's
going to be the scenario here. So considering the Dolphins,
they're on a streak of five straight overs. I think
this is kind of where regression comes to the mean
and the streak ends. Because nine of the dolphins last
thirteen road games have actually gone under the total polans line,
(15:32):
So Dolphins don't score nearly as much as they're playing
on the road. And Brown's home games are homes to
the under fourteen to five at home towards the under.
Since the start of twenty twenty three, eight of the
last eleven Browns home games have gone under the total
points line. So I'm taking the under here, and then
when it comes to the sides, I think you guys
know where I'm leaning here.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
I like the Browns a lot in this. I think
you've shown your hand, but I'm just, you know, just
a little bit.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
I do like the Cleveland Browns here laying two and
a half. We've been betting against the Browns last two weeks.
I bet ag it's still and Gabriel been two to oh.
But now I'm changing my course a course of action
here because they're playing at home for the first time,
and we look at rookie quarterbacks making their first starts
at home. This is according to Viison, this is one
of the most profitable spots to bet on. We've seen
(16:19):
it with Jackson Dart. He's been really fantastic as a
home quarterback this season, going two to oh straight up.
When you look at since the start of the twenty
twenty season, rookie starting quarterbacks at home forty one and
eleven straight up thirty eight thirteen and one against spread.
That's seventy five percent hit rate for rookie quarterbacks starting
at home. So Cleveland Browns, I don't remember the last
(16:41):
time they actually were favorites at home. This is a
very rare occurrence for this team. But in a game
where Miles Garrett feels like he can actually win for ones,
I think that this is going to be a Browns
all the way type of matchup. So give me the
Browns in a lower scoring game. I think they win
handedly though, And it me if the Browns do the
majority of scoring in this game and they're the reason
(17:03):
why the total may goes over not because of the
Dolphins offense.
Speaker 1 (17:07):
Well, so if the Dolphins lose to the Browns, do
we see Mike McDaniel with his walking papers Monday? I'm
asking for a friend.
Speaker 3 (17:16):
I think it's I think it's very possible.
Speaker 2 (17:18):
That's kind of that's that's kind of like rock moll
because everybody keeps forgetting how we got here in the
first place.
Speaker 6 (17:25):
It's because he wonted Brian Flores to tank. Mike McDaniel's
doing his job right now. He's literally doing his job.
He's not he's lasting the whole season.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
I guess week twelve it is. You're right, Torell, We'll
get the week twelve.
Speaker 2 (17:39):
When they win a game, he's gonna get fired.
Speaker 4 (17:42):
Next time they win a game, immediately fire.
Speaker 1 (17:45):
When did they play the Jets again? Let's talk about
the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals. This one's in Arizona.
But it doesn't look like we're gonna have Kyler Murray
for this week. So Jacoby Brissette is back under center again. Uh,
but what is that mean for this game? Here? Terrell
feels like you're excited about this one. Let's tell the kids.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Why Why would I not be excited to take a
quarterback that has covered this line in fifteen of his
last nineteen starts.
Speaker 1 (18:11):
Wow? Really, wow, that is a stunning statistic.
Speaker 3 (18:16):
Kobe doesn't get has covered a touchdown in fifteen of
his last night sets.
Speaker 1 (18:23):
Hey man, I'm rolling them over Gino in a super
flex league this week. I got QB issues, So I'm there.
I mean, there's a good Packers defense in theory.
Speaker 4 (18:32):
I mean, it doesn't matter what.
Speaker 1 (18:34):
Their secondary is not that good, but the secondary is
not good. No pass Russ good the secondary.
Speaker 2 (18:38):
So first of all, let's talk about the Packers overall,
because question mark, are the Packers even good overall?
Speaker 4 (18:42):
Like, are they even good?
Speaker 1 (18:43):
They're good?
Speaker 4 (18:44):
No, no, no, no no no no no no no
no not.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
So let's just good with the lower to get the
past few games. Unlet's see if they're good because they
hung in there and I mean really really hung in
there with the Cincinnati Bengals last week.
Speaker 1 (18:57):
They probably should have been multiple scores.
Speaker 4 (19:00):
What did you watch the game? Did you think that
they did you think that you watched now?
Speaker 1 (19:05):
Did you think when you watched the game? Did you
think that they.
Speaker 4 (19:07):
Were really really far beyond a better?
Speaker 1 (19:10):
They did not think that they were going to lose
that game. But I also didn't think they were mine.
Speaker 2 (19:14):
They didn't play good, they didn't look good. They just
were playing a horrible team. Let's go back to the
Dallas Cowboys, where somehow you forty forty tied with the
Dallas Cowboys. You're telling me that this defense that you
are so predicated, so happy about with and still gave
up forty points, forty points is forty points. They don't
regardless of who you give it to. Forty points up
to the Dallas Cowboys defense. And then they lost to
(19:35):
the Browns, the Browns that you were just talking about.
Speaker 4 (19:38):
And they're on the road here in the spot.
Speaker 2 (19:40):
And they're on the road here in this spot playing
an Arizona Cardinals defense that is actually pretty solid.
Speaker 4 (19:46):
Are they going to give out their share of plays?
Speaker 3 (19:47):
Yes?
Speaker 4 (19:47):
Sure. Is Jacoby Brissett going to make his share mistakes?
Yes sure?
Speaker 2 (19:51):
But guess what. The Cardinals have played a one score
game in the last six games. They could send you
to lose one score game. They're either losing them or
they winning them. But they're playing one score game. So
I'm not afraid of taking this Cardinals team. It just
seems like this Packers team is just a little bit overvalued.
There's something they need to figure out. Jordan Love has
been horrible, and I mean horrible at playing under pressure
(20:15):
this season, and that's what this Cardinals defense can be
able to do. They find different ways to be able
to generate pressure and throw the quarterback off. So if
you're telling me that you get a Jordan Love, that's
gonna more than likely throw interceptions when you get pressure
on them, and you're gonna give the ball back to
this Cardinals offense, which I think is gonna happen, and
maybe even a defensive touchdown in this game, because it
feels like this is gonna be the spot where they route.
(20:37):
The defense rallies up and says, hey, we're gonna do
everything we can make this easier on the offense than
Jacoby Brissett. Yet again, and then yet again, I do
I have to say, at fifteen of his last nineteen games,
Jacoby Brissett has captain within a touchdown. Yes, I am
taking the Cardinals plus six and a half. Here sprinkle
on the money line.
Speaker 1 (20:55):
Oh look at you, Look at you get real sassy
on that one. All right. If you want more picks
and inside to make sure you go to our Discord
bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun, and
again our expert handicappers are there to help you with
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It's all here, and it's all on our discord. So
go ahead and check us out over again on our
(21:15):
discord bettingpros dot Com slash chat. All right, last one
for the week, we'll do upset special and then we'll
give you the parlay of the week as well. So
let's talk about Monday Night football, gentlemen. We've got Baker
Mayfield as an underdog. We're hoping to get Mike Evins.
We're probably not having a mecha egg Buka, so that
makes us on a little tricky going into the Lions.
(21:35):
Then the line's coming off a tough loss to the
Chiefs here at home, I assume we're looking at overs.
I don't want to make any assumptions here, So Andrew,
why don't you lead us here first down the path
Monday night Football with your favorite bet.
Speaker 4 (21:47):
Where's this game being paid for?
Speaker 1 (21:49):
It is in Detroit, my friend. So do you like
the over more or do you like the Baker Mayfield
upset special always? Because that's what he does. Already like
him both together. That's the real question.
Speaker 3 (22:00):
That's so That's the thing, right when you first open
up the slight, you thinking, all right, Baker Mayfield five
and a half point under dog, cage slam me, slam
the Bucks right like like that's like the easier player
to make, like the one thing that's pushing me against this.
It's because the Lions against the spread are something that
you have to take very very much into consideration against
every other type of trend because they're the best team
against the spread since Dan Campbell's basically been there, and
(22:24):
their lights out after they lose a game. Eleven straight
covers after a loss for the Detroit Lions, and that's
even amplified more when they're playing at home. So I
expect both bounce back performances are not really a bounce
back for the Buccaneers, but a high level performance from
Baker Mayfield in the Bucks and from the Lions, which
is why I just want to bet the game total over.
I don't want to sweat the sides here because I
(22:44):
think that both sides are going to perform at a
high level, specifically on the offensive sides of the football,
because I mean, who's left in these defensive secondaries. I mean,
Brian Branch like he's the one guy that's left and
he gets suspended.
Speaker 1 (22:57):
After the game.
Speaker 3 (22:58):
You're reus just stoopid, it's stupid, stupid, And because the
Lions significantly here, So I just like the game total
overt fifty two and a half. I really want to
find a bet where I can bet this game has
more points than the Commanders and Cowboys, because I bet
you can get that at plus money because right now
it has a smaller total than that game does. So
that's a fun bet that I'm looking for to maybe
(23:19):
trying to wager on a little bit, But for me,
it's just betting on the over.
Speaker 1 (23:22):
Again.
Speaker 3 (23:23):
You look at the Lions last thirty one home games.
The average total in those games has been fifty six points.
Of those games have gone for at least fifty one
or more. Seven the Lions last nine games, his favorites
have gone over the total twelve less eighteen home games
have gone over the total. Each of the Buccaneers last
four games has also gone and he guesses over the total.
(23:45):
So give me the over.
Speaker 1 (23:46):
There you go, all right? So, Torell, how do you
want to approach Monday night football in this one? With
so many juicy trends? That we talked about all the
time with Baker Mayfield with the Lions. So where are
you going on this one?
Speaker 2 (23:57):
Yeah, I kind of had the same angle as Eric's
in here. Baker Mayfield one in five in the last
six primetime games that he had, so that was really
really nerve wracking to me. But I ended up still
taking Bucks team total over That's how I played it.
I didn't even worry about the Lions side of the ball.
And I'll say why I didn't worry about the Lions
side the ball. Add everything Ericson said to the over
(24:19):
Briant branch. You had Terry and Arnold out or DJ Reid,
all these pieces in the secondary out. I think Baker's
gonna carve them up because the offensive line is gonna
give him time, and Baker has time, he's gonna make
the right read. He's got the places might see Mike
Evans all of that. But on the Lions side of the ball,
I'm really concerned about the run game when they run
the football. The Lions, this team is really really good,
(24:41):
and you do not run on the Tampa Bay Bucks
like they are one of the best run defenses, not
just this year but over the past three seasons, Videveya
and those guys do not give up a lot on
the ground, and that makes a lot of teams one
dimensional and a lot of teams can't get past that. Now,
Jered Goff might be able to be able to throw
the football and able still put up points. But just
(25:02):
because of that, and because of the impact that I
think the Tampa Bay Bucks are going to have on
the run game in this game, I didn't want the
Lion's side of this. So I'm just going to trust
MVP Baker and Baker just go out there and put
up points against this soft secondary right now. Without Brian
Branch as well, I just can't see the Detroit Lions
getting to stop here on Baker on Monday Night Football.
So I like team total over twenty one half.
Speaker 1 (25:24):
It should be a very entertaining game. But I think
the fact that they are so good up front Tampa
is why I give them a shot for this win
and certainly the cover as well. At the very least,
I still think Baker Mayfield is just feeling it right now.
I think the Bucks are feeling it. I think they
feel invincible. I think they are the best team in
the NFC. I've already bet them to win the NFC,
And I talked last week on the show when we're
talking about Upset Special, like about losing the battle and
(25:45):
winning the war last week, right, I said, Look, maybe
I'm going to be wrong here about the forty nine
ers winning this football game. But if I'm right, then
my Baker Mayfield MVP bet is going to shrink a lot.
My Baker Mayfield MVP bet was plus nine to fifty
and now it's plus three fifty. So I lost a battle.
I kind of feel like I'm winning the war right
now on that one. So we'll see. This would be
another huge feather in his cap too. If he goes
to Detroit and wins, it's gonna be minus money.
Speaker 5 (26:09):
Folks.
Speaker 1 (26:09):
I got news for you, especially after that Josh Allen
Monday Night football performance. He will be at the top
of the board. He will be plus one hundred or
minus one hundred somewhere around there a potonio right now,
So get ready. It's gonna be a good time. But
that was last week. It's a new week. Upset Special
time two and four in the air, So let's see
if we can get up there a little closer to
five hundred. There's a line out there that I just
think is straight up wrong. I think the Indianapolis Colts
(26:31):
right now are playing better football than the Chargers. I'm
just gonna come out there and say it. Look, the
Chargers beat Miami, and I am not super impressed by
beating Miami. Like it doesn't ring the bell for me.
They've got offensive line injuries all over the place. They've
got running back issues all over the place. I know
if I now look good, but again, that was the
Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts right now. Look, the best player
(26:52):
on this field is a good chance his name is
Jonathan Taylor. And the way the offensive line is played
for the Colts too, they are just ripping holes. It's
basically two to one for Jonathan Taylor scored multiple touchdowns
in a game. Things have gotten really crazy. The defense
has played better for the Colts to lou An Romo's
did a really good job with that group. I think
Indianapolis straight up finds a way to win. And we
always talk about how the Chargers don't have a home
(27:13):
field advantage, So why not take advantage of that lack
of advantage? Here? Give me the Colts plus one eighteen
straight up on the money line for the upset special
of the week. And let's talk about parlays. I got
to hit one eventually. Even broken clock is right twice
a day. I wish I was right twice this season
on these, but I just can't get a w But
let's right again. Then we might as well at this point.
(27:37):
But we're having fun. This is this show's about having
a little good time here the parlays, Like, look like
I got the Bijon Robinson parlay last week, right, we
Bejon Robinson over total yardage and the touchdown that came
in about ten seconds on Monday night. So you know,
some of these are good. But you know, for the
sake of bits and segments here in the show, you know,
I try to put together three leg parlays and three
(28:00):
leag parlays are the fruits of the devil. That's what
they are. But we're gonna see if we can pay
the devil this week. So plus six thirty eight that's
the number here. Give me the over for the team
total for the Dallas Cowboys, Ceedee Lamb hopefully returning here
twenty seven and a half. I don't see how these
teams are both on in the thirties by the time
we shut this one down. Give me the Patriots minus
seven to handle their business now normally. Normally, dead Coach
(28:22):
Bounce is something I'm very much into. However, dead Coach
Bounce is running into Mike rabel revenge game, and I
just think the will of that is going to be
far too strong here. Mike Rabel's going in to Tennessee
to put an as kickin on this team and the
team that fired him here, and I think this seven
is very safe. I think this one could even get ugly.
Drake Megas playing out of his mind and they couldn't
(28:44):
even figure out who they wanted to take over for Tennessee.
It took up a good Usually you have somebody fired
to you anounced right away he's taken over. There was
a big little gap there, and I'm going, what are
we doing here, Tennessee? What the hell's happening? And then
give me the Carolina Panthers, even though it's on the
road to beat the Jets, to get Garrett Wilson for
this game, the Jets are just imploding. It's getting worse
and worse. No, I don't think they can beat the
(29:06):
Carolina Panthers, and I think Rico Dowbtle has given the
Panthers this new dynamic that Chuba Hubber just wasn't quite
giving them. So whether Tuba plays or not, I think
Rico is the special sauce here for the Carolina Panthers
who are starting to believe a little bit in the process,
and that's dangerous. And the only thing that the Jets
believe is they are going to have the number one
pick in the NFL Draft. That's where we are. So again,
(29:27):
Dallas team total over twenty seven and a half. Give
me the Jets to lose to the Panthers minus one
and a half and the Ingle Patriots minus seven to
cover against the terrible, awful, no good Tennessee Titans. That
gets you to plus six thirty eight. But what's your
favorite bets of the week? Drop them below let us know,
and of course subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel.
That'll do for us. But the story of the game
goes on for Terrell and Andrew Ericson. I'm Joey p.
(29:50):
We'll see you next time.
Speaker 3 (29:51):
Kids.
Speaker 5 (29:53):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome in, everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets. And this be Joey P Joe P's Apia
and this is bp NFL. It's time for week seven.
That means the best bet crew is here and they
are the best. It's Terrell Furman Junior, the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson.
Both of these handsome young gentlemen are above five hundred
for the season. Terrell six picks over five hundred. I
(00:24):
might add very hot twenty twenty five, and it's only
getting hotter. So make sure you subscribe to the channel.
We love when you follow us over here on Betting
Pros YouTube. We're trying to get to one hundred thousand subs.
We could do it with your help. Terrell needs a
sub in the worst way, to a different kind of
sub because he is starving. So we're gonna get through
these bets as fast as possible because he is angry today.
Are you gonna be all right? You had a little
(00:45):
snack before the show. Are you gonna make it? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (00:47):
Yeah, I think I'll be able to make it, but
I don't know. I've looked at the some of the
picks here on board and it's making me a little
bit more angrier.
Speaker 1 (00:55):
Oh okay, all right, Andrew Rickson, what's your go to snack?
You're a very healthy guy, like your protein bar? Guy,
what are you doing these days?
Speaker 3 (01:03):
Ap proachin bar is usually pretty easy to go to.
I like snacking on seeds or nuts or things like that.
Also a big fan of beef jerky. I don't know
you remember a couple of.
Speaker 1 (01:13):
Years ago when we did have the sponsorship. Dude, I
ate so much jerky. I thought my cholesterol and your
cholesterol and Soniyu budels are probably not great.
Speaker 3 (01:23):
They were off the charts, but it was a cool
three weeks where I would be every day.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
It was the cool three weeks of Ericson having the
meat sweats on every show. That's what it was. All right,
So we are here, Uh no sweating, We're We're just
gonna go ahead, make these picks here and Terrell, let's
kick things off here with the London game. Here. We've
got the Jags and the Rams and you got got
some feelings about that.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
Uh so that's not who's playing Joe, With all due
respect that it's not who playing It is the London Jags.
When you refer to them in this spot. They will
be the.
Speaker 1 (01:53):
St the Jacksonville Jacks. Okay, the London Jags.
Speaker 2 (01:56):
Okay, oh no, no, you just said the Jags, and
you need to say the full name. It's like him
name slack Back. You gotta say the full name. It
is the London Jags here because this is the Jags
in London. This is Trevor Lawrence in London. Four and
too straight up in London. Two and oh as a
dog four and two ats two and o acs like
he's been very good in this spot, especially as a dog.
(02:18):
You've got this Los Angeles Rams team who is coming
off of another straight road game. They went played at Baltimore.
They stayed at Baltimore, and we're practicing on Camden Yards
in Camden Yards baseball field, that's where they practiced that
they were even if you saw the picture of Matthew
Stafford throwing the football on the mound with his cleats on,
where the sign clearly says please do not have your
(02:39):
cleats on the mound. This Rams team doesn't care about
anything right now. Hookahs down, They're going over to London.
They don't do this as often. Do you understand that
when Shrevor Lawrence and company go to London, they know
people by name by name, like they actually know I
once a year go back to my college for homecoming
(02:59):
every year because it's a great homecoming, greatest homecoming on nerve,
as people would like to say. And I remember people
for that one time I see them every year.
Speaker 4 (03:08):
The people in.
Speaker 2 (03:09):
London remember the Jags every year because they're like, oh,
the Jags are in sound finally, this is a home
game they and they're a dog in this spot.
Speaker 4 (03:17):
I love the.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
Bounce back spot for this Jags team. I think that
they're gonna be very competitive in the game. I think
they're gonna be able to move the football on this
Rams defense. And I'm gonna be interested to see what
the Rams offense looks like minus Pooking the cool because
he was a huge part of the offense. Give me
the Jags plus three. This is the Jacks in London
and London Jags no.
Speaker 1 (03:34):
Way, all right, Ericson, You're on the other end of this,
and they've got not only Pooking a coup out, but
kind of a strange travel pattern. They're the latest team
to arrive. I don't know if you've heard this in London.
They've been practicing at Camden Yards this week. Matthew Stafford
working off the mound a little bit, maybe getting some
extra throws in there, because we all know he used
to play baseball with Clayton Kershaw. I remember everybody won't
(03:55):
hear that every single time those guys are out there.
But anyway, you're on the opposite end. So Turrell makes
a pretty strong case for the Jags. What's the case
for the Rams here?
Speaker 3 (04:04):
Well, the Rams are road warriors, So pump up the
Jacksonville Jaguars home field advantage in London all day long,
because I want to pump up the Rams playing on
the road, even though technically it's a neutral field setting.
Los Angeles under Matthew Stafford seih McVay best record since
twenty twenty three as road favorites eight and one against
the spread. Last week it was a struggle. They still
(04:26):
got it done. They still cover the more the touchdowns
spread on the road against Baltimore Ravens. They cover the
spread and tend or last eleven games as road favorites.
And when you look at the international games in the aggregate,
who usually wins and who usually covers the favorites. The
favorites tend to dominate both against the spread and straight up,
so even if there is no Poka Naku again, I
(04:46):
don't expect him to play in this game. I think
this is a smash spot for Demante Adams. I think
this is the reason why they went out and got
him as another receiver. You know, Puka gets banged up
just the way that he plays so aggressively throwing his
body around. So I think Adams against Jacksonville. They've loved
the most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers
this season, so they've been good in the slot. DeVante
(05:06):
has been cooking out on the outside. I think this
is a matchup that he can win. So I'm going
to be backing the team with the better quarterback, who
is Matthew Stafford, the guy that makes more big time throws.
Trevor Lawrence is sixth then turnover worthy plays this season,
so I think he's more likely to turn the ball
over and the Jaguars thirty first in penalties, So when
push comes to shove in a field goal game, I'm
going to go with a better head coach, quarterback combination
(05:28):
and a team that can bring the heat with pressure.
Trevor Lawrence was pressured on fifty percent of his dropbacks
last week. Jared Vers coming to town. Let's go light
it up, give me the rams, all right.
Speaker 1 (05:38):
So the guys on opposite ends, we'll see next week
who was right. Let's go to the Minnesota Vikings and
the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles are a little struggle bus lately here.
Could they get back on track here in Minnesota? Throw? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (05:52):
This is typically what they do. They go and they
lose a game, and then they lose the other game,
as I have said, and they did to the New
York Giants. And then now here we are where they
come back and they get back right and things begin
to flow again. They go and they have their little
cryptic meetings and Jalen Hurts has this cryptic talking and
all of that, and then they go and they put
something out there on the field. And ultimately with this
(06:13):
Vikings team, I'm either betting or in JJ, or on
betting on Carson Wentz. And if Fitz Carson Wentz, I
feel so much better about this, by the way, But
if it's JJ, he's still coming off with the injury
where we really don't know what he looks like with
the ankle, they still are even questioning if he's even
going to play this week. So it tells me he's
not one hundred percent going into this game. So we
have the question mark set the quarterback with if Carson
(06:35):
Wentz is going to actually be able to get this
done in this spot or if JJ is actually healthy.
And then you have this Eagles team and this offense
that I think is really really looking for a get
right spot. It wasn't going to happen against New York Giants.
They have an opportunity here. I think that there's a
chance where they can run on this Minnesota Vikings defense
with Saekuan move football a little bit, and then we'll
see Jalen Hurst just has to be decent. Like I'm
(06:56):
not expecting him to go out here and throw around
the world. But if he goes out out there and
he's decent, he can get the big play to Devon
says Smith on the outside and then be able to
get a lot of PPR and receptions over there to
aj Brown. I think they'll be perfectly fine. So Eagles
are down, but I don't think they're down enough where
theyre going to lose to the Vikings here. I like
the Eagles to be able to.
Speaker 1 (07:14):
Win, all right. The last thing to beat the Eagles
was the New York Football Giants, so they played really
well at home. But of course Jackson dartn not traveling
on the road Denver Bronco is probably the best defense
right now in the NFL. I think people have a
tough time arguing against that. So the Giants are seven
point underdogs on the road against the Broncos. That feels
right to me. I know I'm betting pros though you
(07:36):
can still find six and a half. That's why you're
using the VP app everybody. So let's talk about this
number here in the Broncos. I guess the question is, ericson,
do you believe enough here? Nippo Knicks can shake the
dust off because obviously last week against the Jets was
not exactly an exciting offensive output with the thirteen points
they put on the board.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
No, it was not. The Broncos really struggled to run
the football effectively against the New York Jets. I don't
think they'll have that kind of issue against the New
York Giants, who will have one of the worst run
defenses in the NFL, especially playing at home and not
a neutral field. So I'm expecting the run game to
kind of get things going. That sets up to play
action and that makes life much easier for Sean Payne
and Boon Nicks to run their offense that they want
(08:15):
to do. So I'm expecting a bounce back effort from
the Broncos offensively bone Nicks. Historically, he's been a strong
bet as a home favorite, and the trends are you
want to bet against rookie quarterbacks on the road. There
is the reason why Jackson Dart is two and oh
straight up against the spread at home and own one
on the road. It's because it's much tougher for these
quarterbacks to play up to a higher level when they're
(08:36):
playing in tough circumstances. Playing in New Orleans is a
tough place to play.
Speaker 1 (08:41):
It's loud.
Speaker 3 (08:41):
Playing at Denver on the road, it's a really tough
place to play, just as cam Ward. It's not a
fun place to play.
Speaker 1 (08:47):
So I like.
Speaker 3 (08:49):
Backing the Broncos here, even with the touchdown point spread.
They've covered in five of the last seven games against
teams that have a losing record, and if you look
at the New York Giants since twenty twenty three after
a win massive letdown spot three five and one against
the spread. We saw it just a couple of weeks
ago when they beat the Chargers. Jackson Dart is here,
he has arrived. They lose against the Saints because Jackson
(09:10):
Dar's turned the ball over. Camp Scautab has turned the
ball over. So although they seem inevitable between Jackson Dark
Camp Scattabo, that may not be the case in Denver
in a much tougher matchup against the defense that's gonna
have most of its main pieces, not like the Eagles,
who didn't have Quenyon Mitchell, didn't have Dalen Carter. I
think they help the Giants a lot their win.
Speaker 2 (09:28):
Oh my gosh, Well, I mean it's not untracked.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
I'm spitting facts.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
Well, first of all, First of all, first of all,
Quinnon Mitchell left the game Earth, Yes he did. We
didn't have elite neighbors. Nobody wants to say that part.
We were going out there. Lil Jordan Humphrey was on
the couch on the couch prior to and went out
there and cooked them. So, I mean, you know I'm
gonna say is there was some backing of the Browns
(09:55):
last week coming from London and that didn't go well.
So you're hitting your pitsburs Steelers minus five and a half. Erickson,
I'm just gonna say, Broncos coming back from London, it's
not a great spot.
Speaker 1 (10:08):
That's fair assessment. You know, we'll see again. I think
the defense can can carry this team, but we shall see.
You hangover in London sometimes is a real deal. Here.
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All right, let's get to number three here on our list,
(11:56):
the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboy It looks like
we're getting mclormb back for this game. Still a little
uncertain about the Deebo health. So what does that mean
for the Commander's team total here, which is twenty seven
and a half?
Speaker 2 (12:08):
Take the over going against Cowboys defense. It's horrible, simple enough,
don't have to talk about it anymore. In fact, if
this wasn't content, I'd probably stop talking about it now
and say let's go on to the next thing, because
it's that easy. But you're looking at Dallas Cowboys defense,
and they allowed their opponent to go over the team
total in four of their five games this season, including
the Carolina Panthers at thirty points last week. Come on now, like,
(12:31):
what are we talking about? Is there even anything to
really talk about? Cowboys can't stop the run. They're allowing
anybody and everybody to run through wherever. I think that
we could go send Joe's football team out there.
Speaker 4 (12:44):
And they could probably run the football.
Speaker 1 (12:46):
Away and your practice last so, like you know, I'm
just saying.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
And I am positive that they would be ready to go,
and you're telling me that I only have to get
four touchdowns on this Cowboys defense, the defense that I
think is very capable of giving up thirty tore We
have Jalen Daniels who is looking to have a good
game after one could say he was the reason they
lost that game to the Bears, like we could very
much say it. First of all, I like to say
(13:11):
the NFC should be very very very scared going forward
after what was happened last week. But with that all
that being said, Dallas Cowboys deference is still no more
and I think they are really really missing Michael Parsons.
There's nothing. They have no move, they have no play,
they have nothing to get back here and Terry McLaurin
(13:31):
is possibly back for the game. I love the points
here love the points. Yeah, Dak may be able to
keep them in the game, and if they win this game,
it's only going to be because Dak was able to
throw and put up forty points on the board by himself.
But I liked the at least the Commanders regardless of
what happens when loucadraw to put up twenty eight points,
give me the Commanders over twenty seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
All right, let's go to Andrew Erickson for pick number
three in week seven, and we're gonna stick with you
because we're thinking the same game for pick number four.
So lead us through the rabbit hole for the Rounds
Dolphins game. I can't wait to hear this.
Speaker 3 (14:02):
Oh, this is my favorite game on the Sunday Slate.
Speaker 1 (14:05):
We bet you're the only human being who will say
those words.
Speaker 5 (14:08):
I don't care.
Speaker 3 (14:09):
It's gonna be a lot of fun for me because
we're gonna make money. So the first bet is the
under at forty and a half. I can't believe that
we have a Cleveland Browns home game that has a
total that doesn't start with a three, Like that's number
one here. This should be thirty eight and a half,
thirty nine, A half should be nowhere near forty and
a half points. These games are going to go under.
The Browns defense basically turns into the eighty five Bears defense.
Speaker 1 (14:30):
Will they play at home?
Speaker 3 (14:30):
They played two home games this season against Joe Burrow again,
a Bengals offense that actually had their starting quarterback and
Jordan Love. They covered both games and they gave up
second in terms of the fewest yards allowed at home
this season, third and fewest points allowed. And again against
two good offenses between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Green
Bay Packers. The Browns are six and five over their
(14:51):
last eleven games as home underdogs. Straight up, they play
really well at home. They're a completely different defense, significantly
better both against the run and the pass. So I
really like the Browns defense to show a big here
and stifle a Miami Dolphins offense that has already gone
through a lot of ups and downs this season. You
have two of calling out his teammates about not showing
up to these player only meetings. How's that going to
(15:12):
reflect on the field, Like, are we expecting, oh, hunky Dot, worry,
everything's back, the offense is cooking. I don't think that's
going to be the scenario here. So considering the Dolphins,
they're on a streak of five straight overs. I think
this is kind of where regression comes to the mean
and the streak ends. Because nine of the dolphins last
thirteen road games have actually gone under the total polans line,
(15:32):
So Dolphins don't score nearly as much as they're playing
on the road. And Brown's home games are homes to
the under fourteen to five at home towards the under.
Since the start of twenty twenty three, eight of the
last eleven Browns home games have gone under the total
points line. So I'm taking the under here, and then
when it comes to the sides, I think you guys
know where I'm leaning here.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
I like the Browns a lot in this. I think
you've shown your hand, but I'm just, you know, just
a little bit.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
I do like the Cleveland Browns here laying two and
a half. We've been betting against the Browns last two weeks.
I bet ag it's still and Gabriel been two to oh.
But now I'm changing my course a course of action
here because they're playing at home for the first time,
and we look at rookie quarterbacks making their first starts
at home. This is according to Viison, this is one
of the most profitable spots to bet on. We've seen
(16:19):
it with Jackson Dart. He's been really fantastic as a
home quarterback this season, going two to oh straight up.
When you look at since the start of the twenty
twenty season, rookie starting quarterbacks at home forty one and
eleven straight up thirty eight thirteen and one against spread.
That's seventy five percent hit rate for rookie quarterbacks starting
at home. So Cleveland Browns, I don't remember the last
(16:41):
time they actually were favorites at home. This is a
very rare occurrence for this team. But in a game
where Miles Garrett feels like he can actually win for ones,
I think that this is going to be a Browns
all the way type of matchup. So give me the
Browns in a lower scoring game. I think they win
handedly though, And it me if the Browns do the
majority of scoring in this game and they're the reason
(17:03):
why the total may goes over not because of the
Dolphins offense.
Speaker 1 (17:07):
Well, so if the Dolphins lose to the Browns, do
we see Mike McDaniel with his walking papers Monday? I'm
asking for a friend.
Speaker 3 (17:16):
I think it's I think it's very possible.
Speaker 2 (17:18):
That's kind of that's that's kind of like rock moll
because everybody keeps forgetting how we got here in the
first place.
Speaker 6 (17:25):
It's because he wonted Brian Flores to tank. Mike McDaniel's
doing his job right now. He's literally doing his job.
He's not he's lasting the whole season.
Speaker 1 (17:36):
I guess week twelve it is. You're right, Torell, We'll
get the week twelve.
Speaker 2 (17:39):
When they win a game, he's gonna get fired.
Speaker 4 (17:42):
Next time they win a game, immediately fire.
Speaker 1 (17:45):
When did they play the Jets again? Let's talk about
the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals. This one's in Arizona.
But it doesn't look like we're gonna have Kyler Murray
for this week. So Jacoby Brissette is back under center again. Uh,
but what is that mean for this game? Here? Terrell
feels like you're excited about this one. Let's tell the kids.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Why Why would I not be excited to take a
quarterback that has covered this line in fifteen of his
last nineteen starts.
Speaker 1 (18:11):
Wow? Really, wow, that is a stunning statistic.
Speaker 3 (18:16):
Kobe doesn't get has covered a touchdown in fifteen of
his last night sets.
Speaker 1 (18:23):
Hey man, I'm rolling them over Gino in a super
flex league this week. I got QB issues, So I'm there.
I mean, there's a good Packers defense in theory.
Speaker 4 (18:32):
I mean, it doesn't matter what.
Speaker 1 (18:34):
Their secondary is not that good, but the secondary is
not good. No pass Russ good the secondary.
Speaker 2 (18:38):
So first of all, let's talk about the Packers overall,
because question mark, are the Packers even good overall?
Speaker 4 (18:42):
Like, are they even good?
Speaker 1 (18:43):
They're good?
Speaker 4 (18:44):
No, no, no, no no no no no no no
no not.
Speaker 2 (18:46):
So let's just good with the lower to get the
past few games. Unlet's see if they're good because they
hung in there and I mean really really hung in
there with the Cincinnati Bengals last week.
Speaker 1 (18:57):
They probably should have been multiple scores.
Speaker 4 (19:00):
What did you watch the game? Did you think that
they did you think that you watched now?
Speaker 1 (19:05):
Did you think when you watched the game? Did you
think that they.
Speaker 4 (19:07):
Were really really far beyond a better?
Speaker 1 (19:10):
They did not think that they were going to lose
that game. But I also didn't think they were mine.
Speaker 2 (19:14):
They didn't play good, they didn't look good. They just
were playing a horrible team. Let's go back to the
Dallas Cowboys, where somehow you forty forty tied with the
Dallas Cowboys. You're telling me that this defense that you
are so predicated, so happy about with and still gave
up forty points, forty points is forty points. They don't
regardless of who you give it to. Forty points up
to the Dallas Cowboys defense. And then they lost to
(19:35):
the Browns, the Browns that you were just talking about.
Speaker 4 (19:38):
And they're on the road here in the spot.
Speaker 2 (19:40):
And they're on the road here in this spot playing
an Arizona Cardinals defense that is actually pretty solid.
Speaker 4 (19:46):
Are they going to give out their share of plays?
Speaker 3 (19:47):
Yes?
Speaker 4 (19:47):
Sure. Is Jacoby Brissett going to make his share mistakes?
Yes sure?
Speaker 2 (19:51):
But guess what. The Cardinals have played a one score
game in the last six games. They could send you
to lose one score game. They're either losing them or
they winning them. But they're playing one score game. So
I'm not afraid of taking this Cardinals team. It just
seems like this Packers team is just a little bit overvalued.
There's something they need to figure out. Jordan Love has
been horrible, and I mean horrible at playing under pressure
(20:15):
this season, and that's what this Cardinals defense can be
able to do. They find different ways to be able
to generate pressure and throw the quarterback off. So if
you're telling me that you get a Jordan Love, that's
gonna more than likely throw interceptions when you get pressure
on them, and you're gonna give the ball back to
this Cardinals offense, which I think is gonna happen, and
maybe even a defensive touchdown in this game, because it
feels like this is gonna be the spot where they route.
(20:37):
The defense rallies up and says, hey, we're gonna do
everything we can make this easier on the offense than
Jacoby Brissett. Yet again, and then yet again, I do
I have to say, at fifteen of his last nineteen games,
Jacoby Brissett has captain within a touchdown. Yes, I am
taking the Cardinals plus six and a half. Here sprinkle
on the money line.
Speaker 1 (20:55):
Oh look at you, Look at you get real sassy
on that one. All right. If you want more picks
and inside to make sure you go to our Discord
bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun, and
again our expert handicappers are there to help you with
MLB NFL. You've also got the basketball is back, Hockey's back.
It's all here, and it's all on our discord. So
go ahead and check us out over again on our
(21:15):
discord bettingpros dot Com slash chat. All right, last one
for the week, we'll do upset special and then we'll
give you the parlay of the week as well. So
let's talk about Monday Night football, gentlemen. We've got Baker
Mayfield as an underdog. We're hoping to get Mike Evins.
We're probably not having a mecha egg Buka, so that
makes us on a little tricky going into the Lions.
(21:35):
Then the line's coming off a tough loss to the
Chiefs here at home, I assume we're looking at overs.
I don't want to make any assumptions here, So Andrew,
why don't you lead us here first down the path
Monday night Football with your favorite bet.
Speaker 4 (21:47):
Where's this game being paid for?
Speaker 1 (21:49):
It is in Detroit, my friend. So do you like
the over more or do you like the Baker Mayfield
upset special always? Because that's what he does. Already like
him both together. That's the real question.
Speaker 3 (22:00):
That's so That's the thing, right when you first open
up the slight, you thinking, all right, Baker Mayfield five
and a half point under dog, cage slam me, slam
the Bucks right like like that's like the easier player
to make, like the one thing that's pushing me against this.
It's because the Lions against the spread are something that
you have to take very very much into consideration against
every other type of trend because they're the best team
against the spread since Dan Campbell's basically been there, and
(22:24):
their lights out after they lose a game. Eleven straight
covers after a loss for the Detroit Lions, and that's
even amplified more when they're playing at home. So I
expect both bounce back performances are not really a bounce
back for the Buccaneers, but a high level performance from
Baker Mayfield in the Bucks and from the Lions, which
is why I just want to bet the game total over.
I don't want to sweat the sides here because I
(22:44):
think that both sides are going to perform at a
high level, specifically on the offensive sides of the football,
because I mean, who's left in these defensive secondaries. I mean,
Brian Branch like he's the one guy that's left and
he gets suspended.
Speaker 1 (22:57):
After the game.
Speaker 3 (22:58):
You're reus just stoopid, it's stupid, stupid, And because the
Lions significantly here, So I just like the game total
overt fifty two and a half. I really want to
find a bet where I can bet this game has
more points than the Commanders and Cowboys, because I bet
you can get that at plus money because right now
it has a smaller total than that game does. So
that's a fun bet that I'm looking for to maybe
(23:19):
trying to wager on a little bit, But for me,
it's just betting on the over.
Speaker 1 (23:22):
Again.
Speaker 3 (23:23):
You look at the Lions last thirty one home games.
The average total in those games has been fifty six points.
Of those games have gone for at least fifty one
or more. Seven the Lions last nine games, his favorites
have gone over the total twelve less eighteen home games
have gone over the total. Each of the Buccaneers last
four games has also gone and he guesses over the total.
(23:45):
So give me the over.
Speaker 1 (23:46):
There you go, all right? So, Torell, how do you
want to approach Monday night football in this one? With
so many juicy trends? That we talked about all the
time with Baker Mayfield with the Lions. So where are
you going on this one?
Speaker 2 (23:57):
Yeah, I kind of had the same angle as Eric's
in here. Baker Mayfield one in five in the last
six primetime games that he had, so that was really
really nerve wracking to me. But I ended up still
taking Bucks team total over That's how I played it.
I didn't even worry about the Lions side of the ball.
And I'll say why I didn't worry about the Lions
side the ball. Add everything Ericson said to the over
(24:19):
Briant branch. You had Terry and Arnold out or DJ Reid,
all these pieces in the secondary out. I think Baker's
gonna carve them up because the offensive line is gonna
give him time, and Baker has time, he's gonna make
the right read. He's got the places might see Mike
Evans all of that. But on the Lions side of the ball,
I'm really concerned about the run game when they run
the football. The Lions, this team is really really good,
(24:41):
and you do not run on the Tampa Bay Bucks
like they are one of the best run defenses, not
just this year but over the past three seasons, Videveya
and those guys do not give up a lot on
the ground, and that makes a lot of teams one
dimensional and a lot of teams can't get past that. Now,
Jered Goff might be able to be able to throw
the football and able still put up points. But just
(25:02):
because of that, and because of the impact that I
think the Tampa Bay Bucks are going to have on
the run game in this game, I didn't want the
Lion's side of this. So I'm just going to trust
MVP Baker and Baker just go out there and put
up points against this soft secondary right now. Without Brian
Branch as well, I just can't see the Detroit Lions
getting to stop here on Baker on Monday Night Football.
So I like team total over twenty one half.
Speaker 1 (25:24):
It should be a very entertaining game. But I think
the fact that they are so good up front Tampa
is why I give them a shot for this win
and certainly the cover as well. At the very least,
I still think Baker Mayfield is just feeling it right now.
I think the Bucks are feeling it. I think they
feel invincible. I think they are the best team in
the NFC. I've already bet them to win the NFC,
And I talked last week on the show when we're
talking about Upset Special, like about losing the battle and
(25:45):
winning the war last week, right, I said, Look, maybe
I'm going to be wrong here about the forty nine
ers winning this football game. But if I'm right, then
my Baker Mayfield MVP bet is going to shrink a lot.
My Baker Mayfield MVP bet was plus nine to fifty
and now it's plus three fifty. So I lost a battle.
I kind of feel like I'm winning the war right
now on that one. So we'll see. This would be
another huge feather in his cap too. If he goes
to Detroit and wins, it's gonna be minus money.
Speaker 5 (26:09):
Folks.
Speaker 1 (26:09):
I got news for you, especially after that Josh Allen
Monday Night football performance. He will be at the top
of the board. He will be plus one hundred or
minus one hundred somewhere around there a potonio right now,
So get ready. It's gonna be a good time. But
that was last week. It's a new week. Upset Special
time two and four in the air, So let's see
if we can get up there a little closer to
five hundred. There's a line out there that I just
think is straight up wrong. I think the Indianapolis Colts
(26:31):
right now are playing better football than the Chargers. I'm
just gonna come out there and say it. Look, the
Chargers beat Miami, and I am not super impressed by
beating Miami. Like it doesn't ring the bell for me.
They've got offensive line injuries all over the place. They've
got running back issues all over the place. I know
if I now look good, but again, that was the
Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts right now. Look, the best player
(26:52):
on this field is a good chance his name is
Jonathan Taylor. And the way the offensive line is played
for the Colts too, they are just ripping holes. It's
basically two to one for Jonathan Taylor scored multiple touchdowns
in a game. Things have gotten really crazy. The defense
has played better for the Colts to lou An Romo's
did a really good job with that group. I think
Indianapolis straight up finds a way to win. And we
always talk about how the Chargers don't have a home
(27:13):
field advantage, So why not take advantage of that lack
of advantage? Here? Give me the Colts plus one eighteen
straight up on the money line for the upset special
of the week. And let's talk about parlays. I got
to hit one eventually. Even broken clock is right twice
a day. I wish I was right twice this season
on these, but I just can't get a w But
let's right again. Then we might as well at this point.
(27:37):
But we're having fun. This is this show's about having
a little good time here the parlays, Like, look like
I got the Bijon Robinson parlay last week, right, we
Bejon Robinson over total yardage and the touchdown that came
in about ten seconds on Monday night. So you know,
some of these are good. But you know, for the
sake of bits and segments here in the show, you know,
I try to put together three leg parlays and three
(28:00):
leag parlays are the fruits of the devil. That's what
they are. But we're gonna see if we can pay
the devil this week. So plus six thirty eight that's
the number here. Give me the over for the team
total for the Dallas Cowboys, Ceedee Lamb hopefully returning here
twenty seven and a half. I don't see how these
teams are both on in the thirties by the time
we shut this one down. Give me the Patriots minus
seven to handle their business now normally. Normally, dead Coach
(28:22):
Bounce is something I'm very much into. However, dead Coach
Bounce is running into Mike rabel revenge game, and I
just think the will of that is going to be
far too strong here. Mike Rabel's going in to Tennessee
to put an as kickin on this team and the
team that fired him here, and I think this seven
is very safe. I think this one could even get ugly.
Drake Megas playing out of his mind and they couldn't
(28:44):
even figure out who they wanted to take over for Tennessee.
It took up a good Usually you have somebody fired
to you anounced right away he's taken over. There was
a big little gap there, and I'm going, what are
we doing here, Tennessee? What the hell's happening? And then
give me the Carolina Panthers, even though it's on the
road to beat the Jets, to get Garrett Wilson for
this game, the Jets are just imploding. It's getting worse
and worse. No, I don't think they can beat the
(29:06):
Carolina Panthers, and I think Rico Dowbtle has given the
Panthers this new dynamic that Chuba Hubber just wasn't quite
giving them. So whether Tuba plays or not, I think
Rico is the special sauce here for the Carolina Panthers
who are starting to believe a little bit in the process,
and that's dangerous. And the only thing that the Jets
believe is they are going to have the number one
pick in the NFL Draft. That's where we are. So again,
(29:27):
Dallas team total over twenty seven and a half. Give
me the Jets to lose to the Panthers minus one
and a half and the Ingle Patriots minus seven to
cover against the terrible, awful, no good Tennessee Titans. That
gets you to plus six thirty eight. But what's your
favorite bets of the week? Drop them below let us know,
and of course subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel.
That'll do for us. But the story of the game
goes on for Terrell and Andrew Ericson. I'm Joey p.
(29:50):
We'll see you next time.
Speaker 3 (29:51):
Kids.
Speaker 5 (29:53):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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