October 17, 2025 • 26 mins
Stop licking your wounds, and get some tickets to the window! Join Joe Pisapia, Andrew Erickson and Chris Welsh for their best NFL prop bets for Week 7.
Can Los Angeles Kyren Williams go over 16.5 rushing attempts across the pond against the Jacksonville Jaguars? Does Las Vegas Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty top 58.5 rushing attempts against the back-and-forth Kansas City Chiefs? Plus, will Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown continue to fall short of 63.5 receiving yards when he faces the Minnesota Vikings?
The Pros get to stepping towards another profitable weekend of professional football betting!
Timestamps (may be off due to ads):
Intro - 0:00:00
J.K. Dobbins Over 57.5 Rushing Yards - 0:01:50
Kyren Williams Over 16.5 Rush Attempts - 0:03:27
Courtland Sutton Over 56.5 Receiving Yards - 0:04:47
Matthew Stafford Under 34.5 Pass Attempts - 0:06:12
Hard Rock Bet - 0:07:04
Ashton Jeanty Over 58.5 Rushing Yards - 0:08:43
Isiah Pacheco Over 40.5 Rushing Yards - 0:10:50
BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:12:02
Baker Mayfield Over 242.5 Passing Yards - 0:12:22
A.J. Brown Under 63.5 Receiving Yards - 0:14:46
Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing TDs - 0:16:25
Caleb Williams Under 31.5 Pass Attempts - 0:18:09
BettingPros Touchdown Scorer Report - 0:19:36
Javonte Williams (+150) First-Half TD & Cam Skattebo (+105) Anytime TDs - 0:19:59
Mike Evans (+100) & Harold Fannin Jr. (+340) Anytime TDs - 0:21:27
Davante Adams (-115) & Keenan Allen (+200) Anytime TDs - 0:23:29
Outro - 0:25:36
Helpful Links:
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets and beat Joey p joe Pi Zafia and
this is VP ANDFL. It's time to look ahead to
the props for week seven in the NFL and to
help get the bets in on time at the window,
the Undertaker Andrew ericson the Welsh and of course we
appreciate everyone joining us here on our YouTube channel. Subscribe
to the YouTube channel, hang out with us, talk betting
(00:22):
and of course week seven's got its host of injuries,
so a lot of opportunities here for some players that
are going to get some opportunities that maybe we didn't
think of going into last week. So whether it's the
Tess Johnson's of the world to the Jordan Winnington's of
the world, but there's gonna be a lot of guys
who are going to make an impact potentially in week seven.
We'll see if the guys want to bet on any
of those or maybe some of the returning guys like
(00:44):
Cidee Lamb and Mike Evans Fingers crossed. But before we
get after all that, don't forget download the Betting Pros
app as well. Start betting smarter, not harder. Use the tools,
don't be a tool. And let's take a look at
the leader board from last week two and three for
the Welsh, last week one and four for ericson everyone's
licking their wounds. But fear not, everybody, I'm still leading
the charge in touchdown calls. Seven, baby, let's go. And
(01:05):
I've got some special touchdown calls for you later in
the program, so don't miss those. All right, Welsh, let's
turn things around from week six into week seven into
the positive. We've got the Giants traveling to Denver. Denver
likes to run the football. The Giants have trouble with
the run. So what does that mean for JK. Dobbins.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Yeah, by the way, both my touchdown calls last week,
so that got buried.
Speaker 3 (01:26):
That was a nice little added edition.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
You know what, I just assumed you were at five.
I was like, I forgot you had been at three.
I thought you were keeping pace.
Speaker 2 (01:34):
You just jumped right, heels, that's right, heels, tending it
back in the touchdowns.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
For the record. You know, I listened and I bet
the Tucker craft over on the yardage and I didn't
get it. So I was very upset about Tucker Craft,
but he did get in the end zone, so that
did save the day for you guys.
Speaker 3 (01:47):
So yeah, we were all bummed about that. All right.
So back to my first bet here.
Speaker 2 (01:52):
We're going to go in with some rushing yard props
this week, and we got JK. Dobbins JK Dobbins rushing
yards fifty seven point five and that wonderful, beautiful bet
you can go and find over at hard Rock. Hard
Rock had the best line that was floating out there,
really like this one. He has hit this in five
of six games this season, averaging two point six yards
(02:15):
before contact over two yards after contact. He is averaging
seventy three yards per game and has had an average
of over sixteen carries per game over his last three games.
Speaker 3 (02:27):
So we've got over this marker.
Speaker 2 (02:29):
We've got over on the carries the Giants in general,
they're averaging ninety eight yards given up, which might not
seem like a ton, but that's on eighteen.
Speaker 3 (02:38):
Rush attempts they have been given.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
I'm saying average a lot, but I'm giving you the averages,
and they're averaging over five and a half yards given
up on the ground per game to running back, so
everything is lining up. This is a team that is
going to stack into a little bit more on the
rushing side. Like I'm not worried about this being an
eighteen rush attempt game for this team with over sixteen
rush attempts per on the averages on the ground.
Speaker 3 (03:02):
I love JK.
Speaker 2 (03:03):
Dobbins in this spot.
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Projections like this as well. If you want to.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
Look at Fantasy Pro's aggregate projections we have on the
fantasy side, this is over seventy yards, So the projections
are with me. I think everything is lining up.
Speaker 3 (03:16):
JK.
Speaker 2 (03:16):
Dobbins has been getting the heavy workload and this was
the very very first one that I locked into this week.
So JK Dobbins fifty seven point five over rushing yards,
best line over at hard Rock.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
All right, for Andrew Erickson, we're gonna go across the
pond here for the international game with the Rams and
the Jags. We're gonna talk about Kyen Williams. Now Kien
Williams has gone under sixteen and a half rushing attempts
for three straight weeks. Why is this week different, Andrew?
Is it just simply because no pukuin akua?
Speaker 4 (03:42):
I think that's part of this type of bet talked
about it last week. The only bet I hit last
week was Tony Pollard, and it wasn't because of his
recent track rider is because of injuries and a guy
being back into the offense that kind of changes the
outlook of that player. So a lot of my props
this week are actually based about Pukuina Koua and how
big of impact he has on the Rams offense. They
have to do things a little bit differently, and we
(04:03):
do have a sample size of last season when Pooka
missed a big chunk of games to start the year.
So last year, in four of the five games without
pook Nakua, Kyle Williams rush for at least eighteen attempts
in four of those five games. So you factor in
no Pooka Nakua, and also that Blake Korum, the second
running back for the Rams, has also been banged up.
He's been limited in practice throughout the week if he's
(04:24):
not seeing big workload. He's also kind of been in
the doghouse after he had one of these other fumbles.
I think it's just going to go back to Sean McVay.
Loves Kyen Williams and he's going to feed him the
rock when he has the opportunity to do so. So
I think it's going to be a big Kyra Williams workload.
It's going to take the over on sixty and a
half rushing attempts.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
All right, So we have an over on the rushing
attempts for Kyra and Williams, breaking that three week downturn. Clearly,
Welsh is really hyper focused this week, by the way,
on that Denver Giants game because he's got another prop there,
and this one also makes sense to me too. Let's
talk about Courtland Sutton.
Speaker 2 (04:56):
Yeah, just two of my favorite just locked in on
the Denver side going up against the Giants, and we
are going to go with Courtland Sutton receiving yards fifty
six point five. So obviously I need their offense to
get going because I'm going on the rushing and the
receiving side. But Courtland Sutton has hit this in four
six games this year, and three of his last four.
He's coming off of an atrocious was a three target,
(05:17):
one catch game, but this is after a three week
stretch where he received twenty four targets. This is a
good matchup grade on PFF as far as wide receiver
cornerbacks go. The Giants have given this receiving yard prop
up to a wide receiver in every single game this year,
So if there is someone that is going to do that,
it is going to be the Broncos getting back right
(05:39):
with Courtland Sutton. And as you can kind of tell, like,
I think the Broncos are going to be able to
kind of at will do what they need to do.
They're gonna be able to run, They're gonna be able
to pass. I know they do float the ball out
in a lot of different spots, but I think this
is going to recenter back into Courtland Sutton. The Pros
projections are at sixty two, so I've got a little
bit of a cushion on this as well. So this
(05:59):
is a Fantasy Pros thumbs up as far as the
receiving yard reception projections go. So I'm locked in Courtland Sutton.
Give me the receiving yards over again?
Speaker 3 (06:09):
Is it the over? Yes?
Speaker 1 (06:11):
Yes, yes, yes, all right, So you are focusing on
the Giants Denver game, and Ericson continues to be locked
in to London. Here Matthew Stafford is the player or
so where are we going for his passing yards?
Speaker 4 (06:21):
Yeah, I want to win my money before the one
o'clock games even start on Sunday, So that's why I'm
hyper focusing on this London game. So mine's a correlated
play here with Matthew Stafford going under thirty four and
a half passing attempts, I want. I'm going bigger going
home with these props speak. So it's either going to
be a five and oh week or an oh and
five kind of week. So Stafford is going to pass
(06:42):
West without pookin Nakula again, going back to the sample
size and just listed up. If Karen Williams is getting
eighteen carries or nineteen carries in this game, then Stafford's
not gonna be thrown nearly as much without Nikoua. Last year,
Stafford was under this number in four of his five games.
So yeah, there you go, Simples.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
There you go. Keeping it simple. That's what into Ericson
is doing, all right. We also like to keep it
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(07:23):
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Let's talk about Ashton genty here. I missed this by
a half a yard last week. Still salty about it.
(08:49):
It was seventy five and a half. He had seventy
five yards. I am not happy, but looks like Welsh
is at least ready to love again. The number of
this week is fifty eight and a half. That seems easy,
but again it is against the Chiefs defense that's pretty good,
and on top of which a game script that might
not be in their favor, although weird things do happen
sometimes between the Raiders and the Chiefs.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Yeah, I mean I actually had this bet last week.
Speaker 3 (09:12):
I hit it.
Speaker 2 (09:12):
If you listen when I dropped the show, that line
was a move in. So we did end up cashing it.
And now I'm going back to the well, which I'm
not sure if I've ever done, so that might.
Speaker 3 (09:21):
Be bad or good.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
As we've done this show, it's either gonna go one
way or he's gonna have like thirty yards he's gonna
have ninety yards, because I don't think I've ever gone
back to back on the same prop, but with Ashton
genty like. Yeah, first, the number is really low, but
it's against the Chiefs digging. In four of six games
this year, the Chiefs have given up this rushing yard prop.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
Two running backs. Any running back.
Speaker 2 (09:42):
That received sixteen or more carries against the Chiefs have
hit this prop. That's really key because we had more
confirmation this week about Carol talking. Hey, the twenty touch
range is exactly where we want to hit no Less
every single week on Ashton genty, So really hone in
on that. The Chiefs are giving up four point seven
yards per attempt to running back so far this year,
(10:04):
genty third most rush attempts of any running back over
the last three weeks. He's averaging ninety three yards per
game in that span. And an interesting fact, at least
I thought in that time span, he has just a
one point three percent explosive run rate. So he is
grinding down, dudes. He's not making this out on huge,
big plays. He is grinding out three, five, seven. That's
(10:28):
just how he's playing it out. He's gonna get a
big bulk. And as I said, any running back that
has had sixteen or more carries has hit this. The
lines are a little bit disier because of the matchup
is projections, but the projections do support this at a
low number, which shout out to hard Rock had the
best line on Ashton genty. So fifty eight point five
is what I've got locked in and that is bet
number three.
Speaker 1 (10:49):
All right, Andrew Rickson for bet number three this week
in Week seven. You are also staying in this game
with a running back, but it's Isaiah Pacheco, So let's
talk about his forty and a half rushing yards and
going over or or undertaker.
Speaker 4 (11:01):
Check yourself before you wreck yourself, guys taking the over
on Isaiah Pachecko, whoa monster game for him coming this week.
So I like how we've seen more usage for Pachecko.
Last week he had a seventy seven percent snapshare that
was a season high, season high in carries at twelve,
and I like the matchup specifically against the Raiders. The
Raiders have the highest rate of stuffed boxes this season,
(11:24):
so they're really putting all their guys to stop the
run in the box. You look at Pachecko, He's actually
averaged seven point five yards per carrie, which is the
third highest against stack boxes this season, fourth and rushing
success rate. So I think that it's a really low
number for Pacheco. And even though he hasn't hit this
number in four consecutive weeks, he's gone over his rushing
yards prop in four consecutive weeks, so he's starting to
(11:45):
heat up. He's performing above expectation, and I think the
Chiefs noticed that this office is cooking at home. Against
the Raiders. I think Pacheco can have at least a
decent role here get over forty and a half yards,
which I just I think is a really low.
Speaker 1 (11:57):
Bar to pass going out on a list here and
Isaiah Pacheco. Also, if you're looking for more healthier props
bettingpros dot Com slash Props, that's where the prop bet
cheat sheet lives, or you can just download the app
wherever you get your apps, so don't forget about that
can show all the values based on the projections and
the best houses to bet them. That's how you make
value happen for you, So use the prop bet cheat sheet,
(12:17):
one of the many incredible tools on the Betting Pros
app downloaded today. And well let's bring us to number
four for the Welsh. My guy MVP Baker Mayfield. If
you listen to the shows last week, you got it
plus nine fifty. I can't help you now. That was
the time to get in, so hopefully the trend continues.
This would be a huge game here for him too,
beating the Lions on the road. Hopefully we're getting Mike
(12:40):
Evans back for this game. But Welsh, this is another
one where if they win this game on the road
against this NFC opponent, they have to me at least
a possible clear path to having the one seed and
the buy and that is huge. And you play two
home games to potentially get to the super Bowl. So
Baker Mayfield I think could be in the driver's seat.
And I think that's not lost on the bucks this week.
Speaker 2 (12:59):
Yeah, this is in the betting markets. This is the
second highest implied total of the week at fifty two
point five. We were joking about this. There's like seven
players that are all minus money to score touchdowns in
this game. So like, the expectation is not just like
it's fifty two point five all.
Speaker 1 (13:16):
Those other guys. It's going to be the backup tight ends.
It's gonna be Tess Johnson three to one. It's gonna
be all that stuff.
Speaker 3 (13:23):
Yeah, no, one hundred percent.
Speaker 2 (13:24):
But what I do like is I like Baker Mayfield
in this spot for his passing yards. It's two forty
four point five, and we are going with the over.
Mayfield has hit this number in three straight games. The
return of Mike Evans is obviously huge. I mean, losing
at BUKA is not a great spot here, but also
with the run game, you know, with the situation they've
got going on there, I think it keeps the ball
(13:45):
in the air a little bit more. That's where Rashad
White kind of thrives. The Lions have given this passing
yard prop up in three of the last four games,
and the projections. Again, this is whether I love Fantasy
pros project because it's an aggregate system of a couple
different and then I also like to compare it against
a place like PFF.
Speaker 3 (14:05):
Both of these are supportive of it.
Speaker 2 (14:07):
There's not a huge major cushion, but I really really
like the high implied total. I like Mike Evans getting
back in here, Kate Otten. I think they're going to
slang the ball. Ted Johnson, by the way, you can.
Speaker 3 (14:17):
Have two catches for eighty yards.
Speaker 2 (14:18):
You've got some explosive young receivers that are in there
that I think this team is going to still feel
very comfortable passing the ball, and with some of the
team banged up, if they are behind, it's even more
reason because the Lions are going to put up points
on this Bucks defense.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
It's not great.
Speaker 2 (14:33):
They're going to be playing from behind and they're going
to be slaying the ball. So I think there's a
lot of pieces in here that work well for this.
So give me Baker Mayfield overpassing yards two forty four
point five.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
All right, So Baker Mayfield getting the job done even
without make Abuka this week? Can the Eagles get it
done this week against the Minnesota Vikings. Andrew Ericksson Eagles
two in a row. They've dropped here, one to a
division opponent. Two that's not great. Now they're going to
go on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings.
And AJ Brown continues to chir a. J Brown still
hasn't quite received the love. Does it get it this
(15:03):
week from Jalen Hurts?
Speaker 4 (15:05):
No, he does not. He gets It's like that meme
where you pull up with the thing. It's like a
bunch of nothing, you could eat nothing. That's exactly what's
gonna happen to A J. Brown. So under on the
sixty three and a half receiving yards for Brown. It's
a really brutal matchup for I think the entire Eagles
passing game against Brian Flores blitz heavy defense, zone heavy
defense against zone defenses. This year, Jalen Hurts has the
(15:26):
second lowest success rate in the NFL trailing only Dylan Gabriel,
so not a great spot for Jalen Hurts. As a passer,
AJ Brown has struggled against zone coverage this year. He's
average career lows and catch rate, yards per target, and
yards per route run when facing zone coverage this season.
He's been under this number in four of six games played,
and when he plays alongside a healthy DeVonta Smith and
(15:47):
Dallas Goddard, He's actually gone under this number in six
of his last nine games dating back to last season.
So all indications are, hey, vibes aren't great, matchups terrible.
The Vikings are actually having the fewest Fantasy points game
to perimeter wide receiver, so he's not even getting a
benefit of lining up in the slot where he can
get some layup targets. So even if the volume is
(16:07):
there for him, it's been there for him for most
of these weeks, and he's been under this numbers. So
I'm confidatting me under on aj Brown, and I think
this game is just going to be underwhelming in general,
between Hurts and this Brian Flores defense. Carson Wentz in
a revenge game, just no thanks to points in Vikings Eagles.
Speaker 1 (16:24):
All right, one more pick for each of the guys
and we'll get to the touchdown calls here for the week.
Let's start with Jayden Daniels in a game you're talking
about high implied totals. Well, this certainly has one against
some uncertainty about the health of the wide receiver core.
So what does that mean potentially for Jaden Daniels this week?
Speaker 2 (16:39):
Well, I think this is number one. I think this
is number one in implied total for this week. I
am going with touchdowns, but it doesn't play our normal
touchdowns because this is passing touchdowns for Jayden Daniels one
point five over, so two touchdowns passing minus one fifteen.
I think it was hard Rock again had one of
the best lines this kind. This one's kind of floating
(16:59):
a little bit. Cowboys have given up two passing touchdowns
two quarterbacks in five of six games this year, and
in five straight games, so it was literally week one.
They did in every other moment. Doesn't matter who the
quarterback is, we are slaying it. Daniels has done this
so far in two of four games this year. An
(17:20):
interesting thing in the projection world is passing touchdowns is
like a weird one to go and look at Jadan
Daniels is at the tippy top of most at like
one point nine to one point eight, so they're already
leaning in that direction. Obviously, the banged up wide receivers
makes this a little bit of a question if you
you know, in some world, if you're not to have
like Deebo and Terry McLaurin, you feel a little bit
more uncomfortable about it. But you know he's gonna slang
(17:42):
it to Ertz. I think there's still a lot of
options for Jayden Daniels that I don't think they need
to keep it on the ground. That is an obvious worry,
but we've seen Jayden Daniels absolutely light this up. I
think Debo's gonna play, and if McLaurin plays, this makes
it even better. And I think this line will move
and the Cowboys secondary absolutely stinks. So Jadan Daniels two
passing touchdowns. That's my final on the prop bet card.
Speaker 1 (18:04):
Yeah, I can see both teams getting into the thirties
in this one. I think that over is pretty safe.
Let's talk about Caleb Williams coming off a victory against
the Washington Commanders last week, So what does that mean
for this week's contest for Caleb and the Bears Andrew.
Speaker 4 (18:17):
It means less passing volume for Caleb Williams. He's going
to under thirty one and a half passing attempts. This
is courtesy of the prop bet cheat sheet on betting
pros a five star bet. Sometimes I just let the
prop bet cheat sheet take the wheel and fill out
my drops for me. So there you go. If you
look at the last four games that Caleb Williams has
been a home favorite, zero to four towards his passing
(18:38):
attempts prop So I like those types of odds. It's
something that you can always filter when you're using the
prop bet cheat sheet. I like using it because favorites
and underdogs. It has a little bit of okay, well,
what's the game script going to be?
Speaker 1 (18:49):
Like?
Speaker 4 (18:49):
Basically, if the Bears are winning in a game like,
they're more likely to run the football, and we saw
that against the Commanders. What did they do? They came
out against DeAndre Swift. He looked like DeAndre Swift for
five years ago when he was running up and all
and down the field. So I know he's dealing with
maybe an injury here, So that's something to keep in mind.
But Caleb Williams, I think they're trying to balance the
offense a little bit more. We know killib Williams is
also a threat to use his legs taking pass attempts
(19:11):
out of the offense. He's been under this number and
three of his five games played this season. New Orleans
is actually thirty second in quarterback scrambles this year, So
I think wims is actually gonna find rushing lanes where
he's more oft to actually use his legs instead of
dropping back to throw. Four and six quarterbacks that New
Orleans his face have actually attempted fewer than twenty seven
pass attempts. So I like the matchup. Betting Bros. Prova
(19:32):
at cheat Sheet loves the matchup, So give me the
under Cal Williams pass attempts.
Speaker 1 (19:36):
All right, Let's get to the touchdown calls, and remember
the touchdown score report is there to help support your
touchdown calls. Go to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. If
you're looking for the edge and touchdown bets this week,
that's the place to go. It compares any time touchdown
stats to prop bet odds and projections to help you
find the very best at any time touchdown odds, So
make sure you go to betting pros dot com slash
touchdown and use the touchdown score report. I'll kick things
(19:59):
off here today. You know what, I've got a bonus
one for you. I'm not gonna count it, but I'm
gonna tell everybody just the bonus one at the end
of my two touchdown calls here because I found too
that I looked a little bit more reasonable. But Javonte
Williams anytime touchdown in the first half once again minus odds.
I'm playing the total here. I'm playing what I've seen
out of the Commanders, what they did or should I say,
(20:21):
did not do against DeAndre Swift last week. I think
Javonte Williams is gonna run a muck. Yes, you also
have a returning Ceedee Lamb that opens up things quite
a bit as well. So we will once again get
in the plus plus one fifty with Javonte finding paid
her in the first half of this game, and then
Cam Scataboo. He is the unstoppable for us. He is
(20:42):
the immovable object. Yes, I think it's gonna be a
tough day at the office for the Giants, but that's
what Cam Scataboo lives. For Give him the football. He
is gonna find a way even against Denver in mile High,
to get in the touchdown zone there. So give me
plus one oh five on Cam Scataboo to cross the
goal line this week. And just for us as a geez, again,
this is not official. This is unofficial. Jonathan Taylor, You're
(21:04):
getting three to one if he scores two touchdowns. I
think that line is just wrong. I've been saying it
all week. I think the Colts are gonna win that
football game against the Chargers were beat up who barely
got past Miami. So I would also say take a
look at that getting three to one on Jonathan Taylor
scoring two touchdowns. He has been that offense. He has
carried that team. He's been great, Warren's been great. Jones
is not screwed up, which is good enough. So Welsh,
(21:27):
where are you going for your touchdown calls this week?
All right?
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Try to pick up my first two and two touchdown week.
This is kind of a correlative one. I've got Baker
Mayfield ever passing yards, second highest implied total. Mike Evans
even money, yes, sir, plus one hundred, So even money
on Mike Evans. That one is probably gonna look different
when you guys get into your books. But even money
love mikeh I mean, you think that the Bucks are
(21:52):
going to get into the red zone and that the
ball cannot go to Mike Evans an entire drive. But
you think they're inside the tent and every single pass
isn't going to Mike Evan Evans, You're crazy. So Mike
Evans even money on the touchdown one of my more
favorite deeper ones. This probably, I think the biggest odds
I've played. I think Erickson played like a four to
one last week. I'm going to play a three and
a half to one. But I think it's a little criminal.
(22:14):
The weather's not good, the quarterback's not good, but Harold
Fannin is good. It doesn't look like in Djokho's gonna play.
Gabriel has already targeted him. He loves tight ends and
here is one of the big pushes outside of like
you know, weather situation everything. Quinjhon Jutkins numbers are crazy
this week. I would love to bet Quinchhn Jutkins, but
(22:34):
they like open almost opened up a hundred. It's insane
for rushing his rush attempts are over twenty and it's
like minus one forty for the rush attemps. So here's
where I'm getting at Judkins. Because they're going to run
all over the Dolphins are gonna be able to set
up great play action. You get in the red zone,
perfect opportunity for a short pass to Fan and who
Gabriel loves. That's three and a half to one without
in Djoku. So Harold fannin anytime touchdown plus three forty
(22:58):
is what I got at, locked in at.
Speaker 1 (22:59):
Yeah, I think Judkins stuff. You gotta get Judkins over
with the touchdown scorer.
Speaker 2 (23:05):
I can't think that's the I even remember last week
where my unofficial was do Rico doubles something and all
the somethings paid all something.
Speaker 1 (23:12):
Correct, it's the jud kids something this week.
Speaker 3 (23:14):
I would love to.
Speaker 2 (23:14):
Douce Jutkins something, but they're all just so high.
Speaker 3 (23:18):
It's so crazy high.
Speaker 2 (23:19):
So you're gonna have to do those silly like you know,
like you're saying, like pair the yards with a touchdown
if you like to do that. That's the only way
I think to get involved with Jutkins this week.
Speaker 1 (23:28):
All right, ericson what do you have for the people
this week on the touchdown calls, lock of all.
Speaker 4 (23:32):
Locks, DeVonta Adams. He's gonna score touchdown minus one fifteen.
There's no Poganakua. Davanta Adams leads the NFL in red
zone targets. He has caught two of them zero for touchdowns,
like all of his touches to come outside of the
red zone this year. So against the Jaguars, who have
been brutal against perimeter wide receivers. Look his numbers again.
Talking about Judkins and juice up numbers, Davanta adams numbers
(23:53):
are wicked juiced up as well. I think the best
bet for him is just he's gonna score.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
Say, the New England came out a little bit there,
that's fair.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
If I started, if I started sitting Hella.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
Then there's the California that.
Speaker 1 (24:04):
Once while the show up there.
Speaker 4 (24:08):
Yeah, Adams wicked touchdowns this week for the Rams. My
next one is Keenan Allen. He's going to score touchdown
plus two hundred. He leads the Chargers in red zone
targets this season. The Colts secondary has been decimated by injuries.
They had the leagu's second highest pats in touchdown rate,
So I like Keenan Allen. That's kind of where his
biggest role is in this offense. Even though Quin Johnson
(24:28):
looks like he's going to be returning, lat McConkie obviously
second year receiver, very involved. Justin Herbert still looks to
Keenan Allen very frequently. And I also want to give
a bonus here too, because Joe's giving up bonuses. I
want to give a bonus out of the two because
I think this for this particular player. I think it's
a redemption arc for as a night Mitchell plus five hundred.
Anytime touchdown you look at Josh downs, he's going to
(24:50):
be out of this game.
Speaker 1 (24:51):
That's true.
Speaker 4 (24:51):
Cushion Ashton Doolan also dealing with an injury, so he
has a chance that he misses this game. Remember, the
Colts are going to Los Angeles again. They're going back
to Sofi Stadium again. This is the same stadium where
aDNA Mitchell made the bonehead mistake of not scoring an
end zone touchdown. If they're going to win this game,
I think they're gonna have to need Mitchell to step
up because they're down so many of their wide receivers.
(25:13):
So if he gets a chance to get to the
red zone, get into that end zone, He's gonna squeeze
the football all the way through. So ad I Mitchell, Yeah,
sneaky play this week.
Speaker 1 (25:22):
I do like a good redemption story. That's what damn sure.
Let me look at Joe Flacco last night. The hell
redemption story feels good.
Speaker 3 (25:28):
The Ady Mitchell is the sick o bet of the week.
By the way, I didn't give fifths.
Speaker 1 (25:33):
The sick o bet of the week for you there,
all right, make sure you follow us over on Betting
Pros so you're tracking all of our best and track
of your bets as well, and of course subscribe to
the channel here on Betting Pros. That'll do it for us.
But the story of the game goes on for the
Welsh and the Undertaker. I'm Joey p. We'll see you
next time.
Speaker 4 (25:48):
Kids.
Speaker 1 (25:49):
Enjoy Week seven. Props.
Speaker 5 (25:51):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or spot
follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube
channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets and beat Joey p joe Pi Zafia and
this is VP ANDFL. It's time to look ahead to
the props for week seven in the NFL and to
help get the bets in on time at the window,
the Undertaker Andrew ericson the Welsh and of course we
appreciate everyone joining us here on our YouTube channel. Subscribe
to the YouTube channel, hang out with us, talk betting
(00:22):
and of course week seven's got its host of injuries,
so a lot of opportunities here for some players that
are going to get some opportunities that maybe we didn't
think of going into last week. So whether it's the
Tess Johnson's of the world to the Jordan Winnington's of
the world, but there's gonna be a lot of guys
who are going to make an impact potentially in week seven.
We'll see if the guys want to bet on any
of those or maybe some of the returning guys like
(00:44):
Cidee Lamb and Mike Evans Fingers crossed. But before we
get after all that, don't forget download the Betting Pros
app as well. Start betting smarter, not harder. Use the tools,
don't be a tool. And let's take a look at
the leader board from last week two and three for
the Welsh, last week one and four for ericson everyone's
licking their wounds. But fear not, everybody, I'm still leading
the charge in touchdown calls. Seven, baby, let's go. And
(01:05):
I've got some special touchdown calls for you later in
the program, so don't miss those. All right, Welsh, let's
turn things around from week six into week seven into
the positive. We've got the Giants traveling to Denver. Denver
likes to run the football. The Giants have trouble with
the run. So what does that mean for JK. Dobbins.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
Yeah, by the way, both my touchdown calls last week,
so that got buried.
Speaker 3 (01:26):
That was a nice little added edition.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
You know what, I just assumed you were at five.
I was like, I forgot you had been at three.
I thought you were keeping pace.
Speaker 2 (01:34):
You just jumped right, heels, that's right, heels, tending it
back in the touchdowns.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
For the record. You know, I listened and I bet
the Tucker craft over on the yardage and I didn't
get it. So I was very upset about Tucker Craft,
but he did get in the end zone, so that
did save the day for you guys.
Speaker 3 (01:47):
So yeah, we were all bummed about that. All right.
So back to my first bet here.
Speaker 2 (01:52):
We're going to go in with some rushing yard props
this week, and we got JK. Dobbins JK Dobbins rushing
yards fifty seven point five and that wonderful, beautiful bet
you can go and find over at hard Rock. Hard
Rock had the best line that was floating out there,
really like this one. He has hit this in five
of six games this season, averaging two point six yards
(02:15):
before contact over two yards after contact. He is averaging
seventy three yards per game and has had an average
of over sixteen carries per game over his last three games.
Speaker 3 (02:27):
So we've got over this marker.
Speaker 2 (02:29):
We've got over on the carries the Giants in general,
they're averaging ninety eight yards given up, which might not
seem like a ton, but that's on eighteen.
Speaker 3 (02:38):
Rush attempts they have been given.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
I'm saying average a lot, but I'm giving you the averages,
and they're averaging over five and a half yards given
up on the ground per game to running back, so
everything is lining up. This is a team that is
going to stack into a little bit more on the
rushing side. Like I'm not worried about this being an
eighteen rush attempt game for this team with over sixteen
rush attempts per on the averages on the ground.
Speaker 3 (03:02):
I love JK.
Speaker 2 (03:03):
Dobbins in this spot.
Speaker 3 (03:04):
Projections like this as well. If you want to.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
Look at Fantasy Pro's aggregate projections we have on the
fantasy side, this is over seventy yards, So the projections
are with me. I think everything is lining up.
Speaker 3 (03:16):
JK.
Speaker 2 (03:16):
Dobbins has been getting the heavy workload and this was
the very very first one that I locked into this week.
So JK Dobbins fifty seven point five over rushing yards,
best line over at hard Rock.
Speaker 1 (03:26):
All right, for Andrew Erickson, we're gonna go across the
pond here for the international game with the Rams and
the Jags. We're gonna talk about Kyen Williams. Now Kien
Williams has gone under sixteen and a half rushing attempts
for three straight weeks. Why is this week different, Andrew?
Is it just simply because no pukuin akua?
Speaker 4 (03:42):
I think that's part of this type of bet talked
about it last week. The only bet I hit last
week was Tony Pollard, and it wasn't because of his
recent track rider is because of injuries and a guy
being back into the offense that kind of changes the
outlook of that player. So a lot of my props
this week are actually based about Pukuina Koua and how
big of impact he has on the Rams offense. They
have to do things a little bit differently, and we
(04:03):
do have a sample size of last season when Pooka
missed a big chunk of games to start the year.
So last year, in four of the five games without
pook Nakua, Kyle Williams rush for at least eighteen attempts
in four of those five games. So you factor in
no Pooka Nakua, and also that Blake Korum, the second
running back for the Rams, has also been banged up.
He's been limited in practice throughout the week if he's
(04:24):
not seeing big workload. He's also kind of been in
the doghouse after he had one of these other fumbles.
I think it's just going to go back to Sean McVay.
Loves Kyen Williams and he's going to feed him the
rock when he has the opportunity to do so. So
I think it's going to be a big Kyra Williams workload.
It's going to take the over on sixty and a
half rushing attempts.
Speaker 1 (04:40):
All right, So we have an over on the rushing
attempts for Kyra and Williams, breaking that three week downturn. Clearly,
Welsh is really hyper focused this week, by the way,
on that Denver Giants game because he's got another prop there,
and this one also makes sense to me too. Let's
talk about Courtland Sutton.
Speaker 2 (04:56):
Yeah, just two of my favorite just locked in on
the Denver side going up against the Giants, and we
are going to go with Courtland Sutton receiving yards fifty
six point five. So obviously I need their offense to
get going because I'm going on the rushing and the
receiving side. But Courtland Sutton has hit this in four
six games this year, and three of his last four.
He's coming off of an atrocious was a three target,
(05:17):
one catch game, but this is after a three week
stretch where he received twenty four targets. This is a
good matchup grade on PFF as far as wide receiver
cornerbacks go. The Giants have given this receiving yard prop
up to a wide receiver in every single game this year,
So if there is someone that is going to do that,
it is going to be the Broncos getting back right
(05:39):
with Courtland Sutton. And as you can kind of tell, like,
I think the Broncos are going to be able to
kind of at will do what they need to do.
They're gonna be able to run, They're gonna be able
to pass. I know they do float the ball out
in a lot of different spots, but I think this
is going to recenter back into Courtland Sutton. The Pros
projections are at sixty two, so I've got a little
bit of a cushion on this as well. So this
(05:59):
is a Fantasy Pros thumbs up as far as the
receiving yard reception projections go. So I'm locked in Courtland Sutton.
Give me the receiving yards over again?
Speaker 3 (06:09):
Is it the over? Yes?
Speaker 1 (06:11):
Yes, yes, yes, all right, So you are focusing on
the Giants Denver game, and Ericson continues to be locked
in to London. Here Matthew Stafford is the player or
so where are we going for his passing yards?
Speaker 4 (06:21):
Yeah, I want to win my money before the one
o'clock games even start on Sunday, So that's why I'm
hyper focusing on this London game. So mine's a correlated
play here with Matthew Stafford going under thirty four and
a half passing attempts, I want. I'm going bigger going
home with these props speak. So it's either going to
be a five and oh week or an oh and
five kind of week. So Stafford is going to pass
(06:42):
West without pookin Nakula again, going back to the sample
size and just listed up. If Karen Williams is getting
eighteen carries or nineteen carries in this game, then Stafford's
not gonna be thrown nearly as much without Nikoua. Last year,
Stafford was under this number in four of his five games.
So yeah, there you go, Simples.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
There you go. Keeping it simple. That's what into Ericson
is doing, all right. We also like to keep it
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Let's talk about Ashton genty here. I missed this by
a half a yard last week. Still salty about it.
(08:49):
It was seventy five and a half. He had seventy
five yards. I am not happy, but looks like Welsh
is at least ready to love again. The number of
this week is fifty eight and a half. That seems easy,
but again it is against the Chiefs defense that's pretty good,
and on top of which a game script that might
not be in their favor, although weird things do happen
sometimes between the Raiders and the Chiefs.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Yeah, I mean I actually had this bet last week.
Speaker 3 (09:12):
I hit it.
Speaker 2 (09:12):
If you listen when I dropped the show, that line
was a move in. So we did end up cashing it.
And now I'm going back to the well, which I'm
not sure if I've ever done, so that might.
Speaker 3 (09:21):
Be bad or good.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
As we've done this show, it's either gonna go one
way or he's gonna have like thirty yards he's gonna
have ninety yards, because I don't think I've ever gone
back to back on the same prop, but with Ashton
genty like. Yeah, first, the number is really low, but
it's against the Chiefs digging. In four of six games
this year, the Chiefs have given up this rushing yard prop.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
Two running backs. Any running back.
Speaker 2 (09:42):
That received sixteen or more carries against the Chiefs have
hit this prop. That's really key because we had more
confirmation this week about Carol talking. Hey, the twenty touch
range is exactly where we want to hit no Less
every single week on Ashton genty, So really hone in
on that. The Chiefs are giving up four point seven
yards per attempt to running back so far this year,
(10:04):
genty third most rush attempts of any running back over
the last three weeks. He's averaging ninety three yards per
game in that span. And an interesting fact, at least
I thought in that time span, he has just a
one point three percent explosive run rate. So he is
grinding down, dudes. He's not making this out on huge,
big plays. He is grinding out three, five, seven. That's
(10:28):
just how he's playing it out. He's gonna get a
big bulk. And as I said, any running back that
has had sixteen or more carries has hit this. The
lines are a little bit disier because of the matchup
is projections, but the projections do support this at a
low number, which shout out to hard Rock had the
best line on Ashton genty. So fifty eight point five
is what I've got locked in and that is bet
number three.
Speaker 1 (10:49):
All right, Andrew Rickson for bet number three this week
in Week seven. You are also staying in this game
with a running back, but it's Isaiah Pacheco, So let's
talk about his forty and a half rushing yards and
going over or or undertaker.
Speaker 4 (11:01):
Check yourself before you wreck yourself, guys taking the over
on Isaiah Pachecko, whoa monster game for him coming this week.
So I like how we've seen more usage for Pachecko.
Last week he had a seventy seven percent snapshare that
was a season high, season high in carries at twelve,
and I like the matchup specifically against the Raiders. The
Raiders have the highest rate of stuffed boxes this season,
(11:24):
so they're really putting all their guys to stop the
run in the box. You look at Pachecko, He's actually
averaged seven point five yards per carrie, which is the
third highest against stack boxes this season, fourth and rushing
success rate. So I think that it's a really low
number for Pacheco. And even though he hasn't hit this
number in four consecutive weeks, he's gone over his rushing
yards prop in four consecutive weeks, so he's starting to
(11:45):
heat up. He's performing above expectation, and I think the
Chiefs noticed that this office is cooking at home. Against
the Raiders. I think Pacheco can have at least a
decent role here get over forty and a half yards,
which I just I think is a really low.
Speaker 1 (11:57):
Bar to pass going out on a list here and
Isaiah Pacheco. Also, if you're looking for more healthier props
bettingpros dot Com slash Props, that's where the prop bet
cheat sheet lives, or you can just download the app
wherever you get your apps, so don't forget about that
can show all the values based on the projections and
the best houses to bet them. That's how you make
value happen for you, So use the prop bet cheat sheet,
(12:17):
one of the many incredible tools on the Betting Pros
app downloaded today. And well let's bring us to number
four for the Welsh. My guy MVP Baker Mayfield. If
you listen to the shows last week, you got it
plus nine fifty. I can't help you now. That was
the time to get in, so hopefully the trend continues.
This would be a huge game here for him too,
beating the Lions on the road. Hopefully we're getting Mike
(12:40):
Evans back for this game. But Welsh, this is another
one where if they win this game on the road
against this NFC opponent, they have to me at least
a possible clear path to having the one seed and
the buy and that is huge. And you play two
home games to potentially get to the super Bowl. So
Baker Mayfield I think could be in the driver's seat.
And I think that's not lost on the bucks this week.
Speaker 2 (12:59):
Yeah, this is in the betting markets. This is the
second highest implied total of the week at fifty two
point five. We were joking about this. There's like seven
players that are all minus money to score touchdowns in
this game. So like, the expectation is not just like
it's fifty two point five all.
Speaker 1 (13:16):
Those other guys. It's going to be the backup tight ends.
It's gonna be Tess Johnson three to one. It's gonna
be all that stuff.
Speaker 3 (13:23):
Yeah, no, one hundred percent.
Speaker 2 (13:24):
But what I do like is I like Baker Mayfield
in this spot for his passing yards. It's two forty
four point five, and we are going with the over.
Mayfield has hit this number in three straight games. The
return of Mike Evans is obviously huge. I mean, losing
at BUKA is not a great spot here, but also
with the run game, you know, with the situation they've
got going on there, I think it keeps the ball
(13:45):
in the air a little bit more. That's where Rashad
White kind of thrives. The Lions have given this passing
yard prop up in three of the last four games,
and the projections. Again, this is whether I love Fantasy
pros project because it's an aggregate system of a couple
different and then I also like to compare it against
a place like PFF.
Speaker 3 (14:05):
Both of these are supportive of it.
Speaker 2 (14:07):
There's not a huge major cushion, but I really really
like the high implied total. I like Mike Evans getting
back in here, Kate Otten. I think they're going to
slang the ball. Ted Johnson, by the way, you can.
Speaker 3 (14:17):
Have two catches for eighty yards.
Speaker 2 (14:18):
You've got some explosive young receivers that are in there
that I think this team is going to still feel
very comfortable passing the ball, and with some of the
team banged up, if they are behind, it's even more
reason because the Lions are going to put up points
on this Bucks defense.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
It's not great.
Speaker 2 (14:33):
They're going to be playing from behind and they're going
to be slaying the ball. So I think there's a
lot of pieces in here that work well for this.
So give me Baker Mayfield overpassing yards two forty four
point five.
Speaker 1 (14:41):
All right, So Baker Mayfield getting the job done even
without make Abuka this week? Can the Eagles get it
done this week against the Minnesota Vikings. Andrew Ericksson Eagles
two in a row. They've dropped here, one to a
division opponent. Two that's not great. Now they're going to
go on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings.
And AJ Brown continues to chir a. J Brown still
hasn't quite received the love. Does it get it this
(15:03):
week from Jalen Hurts?
Speaker 4 (15:05):
No, he does not. He gets It's like that meme
where you pull up with the thing. It's like a
bunch of nothing, you could eat nothing. That's exactly what's
gonna happen to A J. Brown. So under on the
sixty three and a half receiving yards for Brown. It's
a really brutal matchup for I think the entire Eagles
passing game against Brian Flores blitz heavy defense, zone heavy
defense against zone defenses. This year, Jalen Hurts has the
(15:26):
second lowest success rate in the NFL trailing only Dylan Gabriel,
so not a great spot for Jalen Hurts. As a passer,
AJ Brown has struggled against zone coverage this year. He's
average career lows and catch rate, yards per target, and
yards per route run when facing zone coverage this season.
He's been under this number in four of six games played,
and when he plays alongside a healthy DeVonta Smith and
(15:47):
Dallas Goddard, He's actually gone under this number in six
of his last nine games dating back to last season.
So all indications are, hey, vibes aren't great, matchups terrible.
The Vikings are actually having the fewest Fantasy points game
to perimeter wide receiver, so he's not even getting a
benefit of lining up in the slot where he can
get some layup targets. So even if the volume is
(16:07):
there for him, it's been there for him for most
of these weeks, and he's been under this numbers. So
I'm confidatting me under on aj Brown, and I think
this game is just going to be underwhelming in general,
between Hurts and this Brian Flores defense. Carson Wentz in
a revenge game, just no thanks to points in Vikings Eagles.
Speaker 1 (16:24):
All right, one more pick for each of the guys
and we'll get to the touchdown calls here for the week.
Let's start with Jayden Daniels in a game you're talking
about high implied totals. Well, this certainly has one against
some uncertainty about the health of the wide receiver core.
So what does that mean potentially for Jaden Daniels this week?
Speaker 2 (16:39):
Well, I think this is number one. I think this
is number one in implied total for this week. I
am going with touchdowns, but it doesn't play our normal
touchdowns because this is passing touchdowns for Jayden Daniels one
point five over, so two touchdowns passing minus one fifteen.
I think it was hard Rock again had one of
the best lines this kind. This one's kind of floating
(16:59):
a little bit. Cowboys have given up two passing touchdowns
two quarterbacks in five of six games this year, and
in five straight games, so it was literally week one.
They did in every other moment. Doesn't matter who the
quarterback is, we are slaying it. Daniels has done this
so far in two of four games this year. An
(17:20):
interesting thing in the projection world is passing touchdowns is
like a weird one to go and look at Jadan
Daniels is at the tippy top of most at like
one point nine to one point eight, so they're already
leaning in that direction. Obviously, the banged up wide receivers
makes this a little bit of a question if you
you know, in some world, if you're not to have
like Deebo and Terry McLaurin, you feel a little bit
more uncomfortable about it. But you know he's gonna slang
(17:42):
it to Ertz. I think there's still a lot of
options for Jayden Daniels that I don't think they need
to keep it on the ground. That is an obvious worry,
but we've seen Jayden Daniels absolutely light this up. I
think Debo's gonna play, and if McLaurin plays, this makes
it even better. And I think this line will move
and the Cowboys secondary absolutely stinks. So Jadan Daniels two
passing touchdowns. That's my final on the prop bet card.
Speaker 1 (18:04):
Yeah, I can see both teams getting into the thirties
in this one. I think that over is pretty safe.
Let's talk about Caleb Williams coming off a victory against
the Washington Commanders last week, So what does that mean
for this week's contest for Caleb and the Bears Andrew.
Speaker 4 (18:17):
It means less passing volume for Caleb Williams. He's going
to under thirty one and a half passing attempts. This
is courtesy of the prop bet cheat sheet on betting
pros a five star bet. Sometimes I just let the
prop bet cheat sheet take the wheel and fill out
my drops for me. So there you go. If you
look at the last four games that Caleb Williams has
been a home favorite, zero to four towards his passing
(18:38):
attempts prop So I like those types of odds. It's
something that you can always filter when you're using the
prop bet cheat sheet. I like using it because favorites
and underdogs. It has a little bit of okay, well,
what's the game script going to be?
Speaker 1 (18:49):
Like?
Speaker 4 (18:49):
Basically, if the Bears are winning in a game like,
they're more likely to run the football, and we saw
that against the Commanders. What did they do? They came
out against DeAndre Swift. He looked like DeAndre Swift for
five years ago when he was running up and all
and down the field. So I know he's dealing with
maybe an injury here, So that's something to keep in mind.
But Caleb Williams, I think they're trying to balance the
offense a little bit more. We know killib Williams is
also a threat to use his legs taking pass attempts
(19:11):
out of the offense. He's been under this number and
three of his five games played this season. New Orleans
is actually thirty second in quarterback scrambles this year, So
I think wims is actually gonna find rushing lanes where
he's more oft to actually use his legs instead of
dropping back to throw. Four and six quarterbacks that New
Orleans his face have actually attempted fewer than twenty seven
pass attempts. So I like the matchup. Betting Bros. Prova
(19:32):
at cheat Sheet loves the matchup, So give me the
under Cal Williams pass attempts.
Speaker 1 (19:36):
All right, Let's get to the touchdown calls, and remember
the touchdown score report is there to help support your
touchdown calls. Go to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. If
you're looking for the edge and touchdown bets this week,
that's the place to go. It compares any time touchdown
stats to prop bet odds and projections to help you
find the very best at any time touchdown odds, So
make sure you go to betting pros dot com slash
touchdown and use the touchdown score report. I'll kick things
(19:59):
off here today. You know what, I've got a bonus
one for you. I'm not gonna count it, but I'm
gonna tell everybody just the bonus one at the end
of my two touchdown calls here because I found too
that I looked a little bit more reasonable. But Javonte
Williams anytime touchdown in the first half once again minus odds.
I'm playing the total here. I'm playing what I've seen
out of the Commanders, what they did or should I say,
(20:21):
did not do against DeAndre Swift last week. I think
Javonte Williams is gonna run a muck. Yes, you also
have a returning Ceedee Lamb that opens up things quite
a bit as well. So we will once again get
in the plus plus one fifty with Javonte finding paid
her in the first half of this game, and then
Cam Scataboo. He is the unstoppable for us. He is
(20:42):
the immovable object. Yes, I think it's gonna be a
tough day at the office for the Giants, but that's
what Cam Scataboo lives. For Give him the football. He
is gonna find a way even against Denver in mile High,
to get in the touchdown zone there. So give me
plus one oh five on Cam Scataboo to cross the
goal line this week. And just for us as a geez, again,
this is not official. This is unofficial. Jonathan Taylor, You're
(21:04):
getting three to one if he scores two touchdowns. I
think that line is just wrong. I've been saying it
all week. I think the Colts are gonna win that
football game against the Chargers were beat up who barely
got past Miami. So I would also say take a
look at that getting three to one on Jonathan Taylor
scoring two touchdowns. He has been that offense. He has
carried that team. He's been great, Warren's been great. Jones
is not screwed up, which is good enough. So Welsh,
(21:27):
where are you going for your touchdown calls this week?
All right?
Speaker 2 (21:30):
Try to pick up my first two and two touchdown week.
This is kind of a correlative one. I've got Baker
Mayfield ever passing yards, second highest implied total. Mike Evans
even money, yes, sir, plus one hundred, So even money
on Mike Evans. That one is probably gonna look different
when you guys get into your books. But even money
love mikeh I mean, you think that the Bucks are
(21:52):
going to get into the red zone and that the
ball cannot go to Mike Evans an entire drive. But
you think they're inside the tent and every single pass
isn't going to Mike Evan Evans, You're crazy. So Mike
Evans even money on the touchdown one of my more
favorite deeper ones. This probably, I think the biggest odds
I've played. I think Erickson played like a four to
one last week. I'm going to play a three and
a half to one. But I think it's a little criminal.
(22:14):
The weather's not good, the quarterback's not good, but Harold
Fannin is good. It doesn't look like in Djokho's gonna play.
Gabriel has already targeted him. He loves tight ends and
here is one of the big pushes outside of like
you know, weather situation everything. Quinjhon Jutkins numbers are crazy
this week. I would love to bet Quinchhn Jutkins, but
(22:34):
they like open almost opened up a hundred. It's insane
for rushing his rush attempts are over twenty and it's
like minus one forty for the rush attemps. So here's
where I'm getting at Judkins. Because they're going to run
all over the Dolphins are gonna be able to set
up great play action. You get in the red zone,
perfect opportunity for a short pass to Fan and who
Gabriel loves. That's three and a half to one without
in Djoku. So Harold fannin anytime touchdown plus three forty
(22:58):
is what I got at, locked in at.
Speaker 1 (22:59):
Yeah, I think Judkins stuff. You gotta get Judkins over
with the touchdown scorer.
Speaker 2 (23:05):
I can't think that's the I even remember last week
where my unofficial was do Rico doubles something and all
the somethings paid all something.
Speaker 1 (23:12):
Correct, it's the jud kids something this week.
Speaker 3 (23:14):
I would love to.
Speaker 2 (23:14):
Douce Jutkins something, but they're all just so high.
Speaker 3 (23:18):
It's so crazy high.
Speaker 2 (23:19):
So you're gonna have to do those silly like you know,
like you're saying, like pair the yards with a touchdown
if you like to do that. That's the only way
I think to get involved with Jutkins this week.
Speaker 1 (23:28):
All right, ericson what do you have for the people
this week on the touchdown calls, lock of all.
Speaker 4 (23:32):
Locks, DeVonta Adams. He's gonna score touchdown minus one fifteen.
There's no Poganakua. Davanta Adams leads the NFL in red
zone targets. He has caught two of them zero for touchdowns,
like all of his touches to come outside of the
red zone this year. So against the Jaguars, who have
been brutal against perimeter wide receivers. Look his numbers again.
Talking about Judkins and juice up numbers, Davanta adams numbers
(23:53):
are wicked juiced up as well. I think the best
bet for him is just he's gonna score.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
Say, the New England came out a little bit there,
that's fair.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
If I started, if I started sitting Hella.
Speaker 3 (24:03):
Then there's the California that.
Speaker 1 (24:04):
Once while the show up there.
Speaker 4 (24:08):
Yeah, Adams wicked touchdowns this week for the Rams. My
next one is Keenan Allen. He's going to score touchdown
plus two hundred. He leads the Chargers in red zone
targets this season. The Colts secondary has been decimated by injuries.
They had the leagu's second highest pats in touchdown rate,
So I like Keenan Allen. That's kind of where his
biggest role is in this offense. Even though Quin Johnson
(24:28):
looks like he's going to be returning, lat McConkie obviously
second year receiver, very involved. Justin Herbert still looks to
Keenan Allen very frequently. And I also want to give
a bonus here too, because Joe's giving up bonuses. I
want to give a bonus out of the two because
I think this for this particular player. I think it's
a redemption arc for as a night Mitchell plus five hundred.
Anytime touchdown you look at Josh downs, he's going to
(24:50):
be out of this game.
Speaker 1 (24:51):
That's true.
Speaker 4 (24:51):
Cushion Ashton Doolan also dealing with an injury, so he
has a chance that he misses this game. Remember, the
Colts are going to Los Angeles again. They're going back
to Sofi Stadium again. This is the same stadium where
aDNA Mitchell made the bonehead mistake of not scoring an
end zone touchdown. If they're going to win this game,
I think they're gonna have to need Mitchell to step
up because they're down so many of their wide receivers.
(25:13):
So if he gets a chance to get to the
red zone, get into that end zone, He's gonna squeeze
the football all the way through. So ad I Mitchell, Yeah,
sneaky play this week.
Speaker 1 (25:22):
I do like a good redemption story. That's what damn sure.
Let me look at Joe Flacco last night. The hell
redemption story feels good.
Speaker 3 (25:28):
The Ady Mitchell is the sick o bet of the week.
By the way, I didn't give fifths.
Speaker 1 (25:33):
The sick o bet of the week for you there,
all right, make sure you follow us over on Betting
Pros so you're tracking all of our best and track
of your bets as well, and of course subscribe to
the channel here on Betting Pros. That'll do it for us.
But the story of the game goes on for the
Welsh and the Undertaker. I'm Joey p. We'll see you
next time.
Speaker 4 (25:48):
Kids.
Speaker 1 (25:49):
Enjoy Week seven. Props.
Speaker 5 (25:51):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or spot
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