November 14, 2025 • 28 mins
Join Joe Pisapia, Andrew Erickson and Chris Welsh for their best NFL prop bets in Week 11!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Josh Allen Over 210.5 Passing Yards - 0:01:13
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing TDs - 0:03:05
Kyren Williams Over 13.5 Rush Attempts - 0:05:29
Bo Nix Under 34.5 Pass Attempts - 0:06:45
Hard Rock Bet - 0:08:37
DeVonta Smith Over 55.5 Receiving Yards - 0:09:56
Rashid Shaheed Over 31.5 Receiving Yards - 0:11:26
BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:15:14
Cam Ward Under 187.5 Passing Yards - 0:15:21
Jameis Winston Over 34.5 Pass Attempts - 0:17:19
Ricky Pearsall Over 43.5 Receiving Yards - 0:19:24
Brian Robinson Over 4.5 Carries - 0:21:43
TD Calls - 0:23:23
Outro - 0:27:41
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets. It is V Joey p Joep's APA, and
this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to
the prop market for a week eleven. And who better
to do that with than Andrew ericson the Undertaker and
the Welsh. He's no outcast around these parts. The boys
went a collective. Uh, let's see last week seven and three.
Pricky damn good. I would say that the touchdown call
(00:23):
contest getting real close. Welsh is at nine. Erics and
I are tied to eleven. Who will pull ahead this week? Well,
I'll stay with us and find out and make sure
you subscribe to the channel bring the belt to lit
goes Ding. Stay with us here on Betting Pros. We've
got live streams, we've got podcasts, we got everything. Subscribe forever.
You get your pods as well, and download the Betting
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(00:43):
the shows hang out with us. They're like, yeah, yeah, yeah,
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books for free. You don't even have to go premium
at first, but I'm telling you, when you do, it
opens up even more of a toolbox for you to
use to be successful. This is the time and the
NFL where we're gonna have that crunch time November December.
We're gonna move into the playoffs. We got college football raging,
(01:06):
We've got NBA, We've got everything happening right now. We
want you to be a part of it. So gentlemen,
let's start with two big quarterbacks here. Welsh, I know
you were on a step ladder last week that got
you to change a light bulb at least pretty good.
I like that. I had my bye week last week,
so I'm sorry I missed that. But I want you
to start here with Josh Allen in a game that
Andrew and I have talked about all week. From Monday
(01:28):
till today, we've been talking about that Bucks Bills game.
So what is your take? How are you approaching it?
From the prop market?
Speaker 2 (01:33):
By the way, we bought a couple of light bulbs
with that bet.
Speaker 1 (01:36):
Oh We're gonna get him Vasco packs, get them twenty
light bulbs up set for the next Millennia led.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
We did so well, you're getting LEDs, not just fluorescent
normal ones. We did very well, all right, So we're
gonna go into the passing yard market for this one,
and we are going to tag Josh Allen. We're going
Josh Allen passing yards to ten point five look around
two because this numbers fled and in a lot of
different spots. But Allen has gone over this number in
(02:03):
two straight games. Bucks in this great matchup. They've given
this up in three of the last four games to
quarterbacks the two that didn't or I think three of
the last five weeks the two that didn't hit. We're
against the Panthers and the Dolphins. By the way, Bucks
are averaging defensively, giving up over two hundred and thirty
passing yards two quarterbacks per game. It's about the ninth
(02:24):
worst in the NFL. And this is a five five
five time, five time five star bet from the Betting
Pros app if you check out the Betting Pros prop analyzer,
and they've got this going over to forty five for him.
So I think it's a really no low number. This
is a pretty good implied total on the odds. As
(02:44):
you guys have been probably talking about around forty seven
and a half. I think this is going to be
a game that's going to be one in the air,
and it's just a nice low passing yard line for
one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. So I
really like this one to ten point five we're going
over all.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
Right, so an over forwell, just start things out. We
got to balance that out at some point with the undertaker,
but I don't think it's gonna be on this. Next
guy that he wants to talk about. Your first year
player is Lamar Jackson, and you've got the passing touchdown total.
Let's talk about that, Andrew in a game here where
Baltimore's trying to scratch and claw their way back to
the top of the standings. In that AFC North.
Speaker 3 (03:19):
Lamar Jackson going over one and a half passing touchdowns.
So he didn't hit this last week, but before last week,
he had hit over one and a half passing touchdowns
in fourteen of his last sixteen games played. Again, there
was another game this year where didn't hit it, but
he's because he got injured against Kansas City Chiefs. But
this is a number that Lamar Jackson hits almost every
single week. He has the longest streak in the NFL
(03:40):
currently of quarterbacks with at least one passing touchdown, So
he's gonna get at least one. And I know the
Cleveland Browns defense is a little bit tougher they are
playing on the road, but three matchups so far last
two years against Cleveland, Lamar Jackson has at least two
passing touchdowns in all three of those games. The strength
of the Browns defense is their run defense, So I
think if they get into inside the red zone, it's
gonna be more pass attempts for Lamar Jackson, not necessarily
(04:03):
Derek Henry rushing the score. So Lamar Jackson over one
a half passing touchdowns. Usually this number is really juiced.
It's usually like minus one eighty. It's minus one ten
this time because he hasn't done it last week. So
I think you're buying the dip here on a prop
that hits at a pretty high clip.
Speaker 2 (04:17):
I want to jump in on this real quick, because
Erickson got to the sheet before any of us, and
I did the scan and then I went to do
my work, going da da da. I landed on this
one like three different times and I kept staring at it,
and then I started to do like the process of it,
not realizing even though I saw you did it. I
think you incepted my brain and I almost put this
on the sheet, and I really like would not have
(04:40):
realized that until we literally got into the show and
you just said it again, because I was like, I
think I'm gonna do this one. Yeah. I think he's
also thrown two or more touchdowns against the Browns in
three straight games as well, Like, I really really like
this one. I'm gonna tell you on it.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
And he's not gonna be running as much too, coming
off that injury too. I think you want to maintain
him in that you know, safety zone a little bit
in the bubble wrap. So is this the dream within
the dream? Welsh?
Speaker 2 (05:01):
Like?
Speaker 1 (05:01):
Where are we?
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Like you have to watch the spindle the spindle if
it's still going, It's.
Speaker 1 (05:07):
Still going after all these years. I like that I
got it the first time. I don't know why everyone
else is so confused. He's got to make sure you
stay awake the whole time. That's like, if you doze off,
you can totally get.
Speaker 2 (05:16):
Lost in It was an inception that was a problem.
It was Tenant. They even acknowledged, like they're like, see Tenant,
we don't even really know what this means, Like they
just were having fun with it, like no one Tenant
is the one you don't understand, and now.
Speaker 1 (05:27):
I want to see it more. All right, let's talk
about a huge game here for the NFC West Division.
Here we got the Seattle Seahawks Welsh, we've got the
Los Angeles Rams, and you've got Kyron Williams on your
board this week.
Speaker 2 (05:38):
It's like that one guy on YouTube, He's like, I
understand it now. This is the best I understand it now.
It is Kyron Williams. Twelve point five over rush attempts. Man,
this number is low, between twelve and twelve point five
and thirteen point five. I like both of them. Five
of nine games this year he's actually gone over this,
which actually doesn't seem like a super impressive number. But
(06:00):
since the bye he has gone back to back weeks
of having fourteen or more carries, which should continue. Seattle's
a tough matchup, but they are eighteenth in yards allowed
after contact. These tough divisional games with tough secondary help
as well, could slow the pace a little bit. I know,
Korm has gotten a little bit more involved, but you
get inside the five, it's going to start to become
(06:21):
Kyen Williams time tough divisional matchups. They've had two divisional
matchups so far this year against the forty nine ers.
He has had fourteen carries in both of those. So
at thirteen carries for Kyen Williams in a very important
matchup where the passing game could even slightly get taken out.
I love this one. So twelve point five over Russ attempts.
I think this is my first rush attempt bet of
(06:42):
the year and this is my favorite one.
Speaker 1 (06:44):
All right, let's talk about the Denver Broncos and bow
Knicks a little erratic this year. You know the stats
in terms of Fantasy or there, but in terms of
performance for the Denver Broncos, it's been an up and
down season for bow Knicks. So what kind of game
will it be for him on Monday night? Here? And Eric,
excuse not Monday night? What would kind of game will
this be for him this week against the Kansas City
(07:05):
Chiefs here? As the Chiefs are coming off that buy.
So let's talk about your bon Nicks thoughts for Week eleven.
Speaker 3 (07:10):
Big spot for the Broncos hosting the Kansas City Chiefs
as they try to win the AFC West. But for me,
I'm taking the under on Bonnicks in the pass attempts
at thirty four and a half. Last week, we bet
the under on Michael Pennis thirty four and a half
pass attempts meanwhiles we're talking about it in slack, and
despite the game going into overtime, we still cash the under.
And that was a bet that came to me as
(07:32):
a five star bet in the prop bet cheat sheet.
I've been very profitable. The betting pros feed has fed
me that, Yeah, when you bet on pass attempts, this
is one of the most profitable markets that you've been
able to hit on. So going right back to it
here with another five star bet courtesy of the prop
bet cheat sheet, Bonnicks. You look at the Kansas City Chiefs.
No quarterback this season has gone over thirty four and
(07:52):
a half pass attempt against the Chiefs, none of them.
Every quarterback that face has gone under this number. And
when you think about what Bonix does when he is
an un versus when he's a favorite, he runs the
ball a little bit more. He's more lucky to scramble
against a tough defense with Kansas City coming off the
bye week. I just don't think that Sean Payton is
going to all right, this is the spot. We're just
gonna totally unleash bon Nicks against the Kansas City Chiefs
(08:14):
at home. That doesn't make sense to me. It's hey,
we got to play strong defense, keep it tight, win
by a field goal, and I think that means we're
not going to see a shootout. I like the under
in this game. That was one of my best bets
on the Week eleven show that we did together Joe
earlier this week, So I'm taking the under on Bonnicks.
Trusting the prop bet cheat sheet.
Speaker 1 (08:32):
All right again, prop bet chiachep, bettingpros dot Com, slash props,
or just download the app. That's where you find the
prop bet cheat sheet. You should also, while you're at it,
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in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Next up here on
(09:58):
our list of props Week eleven in the NFL. A
guy who had a pretty good week last week, Ken
Devanta Smith roll it over again in week eleven.
Speaker 2 (10:08):
Let's do it again. We're running it back. Davante Smith
receiving yards fifty five point five. Actually decent matchup for
AJ Brown and all of his crazy controversy going on.
But one big thing I do agree, by the way,
with what AJ Brown was saying, was like that you
just need to be become more innovative or adjustable in
your offense. You can't become one dimensional. And that is
(10:29):
I think something that is going to have to happen
in this one and it's going to have to have
to happen in the air. DeVante Smith has hit this
in four of his last five games. He's hit this
prop number got the great matchup grade according to PFF
the corners for Detroit, by the way, ranking sixtieth eighty
third and then unranked out of one twelve. So you
(10:50):
really like that corner matchup. Pros projections have this number
at sixty six. There's a slight lean on the PFF projections,
but Fantasy pros projections really like this. And we've seen
Smith be a really big deep option. And if they're
going to be kind of playing point for point, obviously
you know they're going to run the ball as they
always do. But Davante Smith is going to get the
(11:10):
action where aj Brown gets a lot of attention. So
the corner matchups work really well in this Dante Smith
has been hitting this fifty five point five is a
very reasonable number. He's been kind of a mainstay usually
for ericson in the betting market. But I'm going to
jump in this week and take him from a third
prop of the week.
Speaker 1 (11:25):
All right, let's go with another receiver, a guy who
actually just showed up in Seattle, last week and now
he's in a big game here Rashid Shaheed, So Andrew,
what carn of impact could Shahied make in this week
eleven contest? Huge game here for both teams in terms
of the standings when it comes to the NFC West, I.
Speaker 3 (11:41):
Think that Rashij jah he is an X factor in
this game for the SAX. I think that he's that
extra explosive element that if the Rams are going to
try to put all their attention on Jack Smith and Jigba,
then I think Shaheed is going to get some favorable
looks here. So I like the over here at thirty
one and a half receiving yards. Last week, Shahied and
his debut just three touches for twenty six total yards,
but Sam Donald attempted to twelve passes. Right, it was
(12:04):
a total blowout game.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Script.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
We haven't only seen Seattle pushed in the last couple weeks.
They've just been basically just killing all the teams that
they have faced. So against the Rams on the road
tight spread, I'm expecting a more back and forth contest,
and I think that means that the coaching are going
to have to use Si. They traded for him for
a reason. And I know that we're really talking up
the Cooper Cup revenge game narrative. I think that she
he is actually going to have a big impact here
(12:27):
because she He's already played the Rams. He played the
Rams two weeks ago in his last game with the Saints.
He had a thirty six percent target share in that game,
five capts on nine targets for sixty eight yards. He
is a big play machine. And what has Sam Donald
been doing all year long? Just dropping absolute bombs to
guys like Jack Fith and Jigbo. So thirty one and
(12:47):
a half receiving yards. Again, he can get this on one
single play, and when he was with Kubiak with the Saints,
he was consistently going over seventy plus receiving yards. So
again credit to Welsh. Hitting the ladder last week with
Dalton Schultz it kind of felt gross because Dald Schultz
not the super explosive guy. So I'm doubling down here
(13:07):
with Shaheed and doing a ladder bet up to seventy
receiving yards because that's what this guy does. All he
does is rip off Matt explosive plays. He almost hit
this two weeks ago against the Rams. He had sixty
eight receiving yards and that was with a rookie quarterback
making his first start on the road. Give me Sam
Darnell as an upgrade with the explosive element against a
kind of leak ear Sam's or Rams secondary. So I
(13:29):
like shaheat a lot here. You look at some of
the receivers that have given up seventy receiving yards to
the Rams. Juwan Jennings, Travis Hunter, Kendrick Bourne, ad Deny Mitchell,
the guy who couldn't catch a cold against the Patriots.
He went over seventy yards against the Rams defense. So
if those guys can do it, I'm pretty sure she
Head can as well.
Speaker 2 (13:47):
You had me at Ladder. He had me at Ladder.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
Yeah, you know what you sold me as well. I'll
tell you what too. Another one that I like in
this game too, just because we've talked about a few
things from it, is the DeVante Adams under sixty and
a half receiving yards. He's a little banged up, he's
not a hunder. Seattle defense is very good. But also
he's only going over that mark twice since Week three
and only three times all year. Adams has been productive,
scoring touchdowns, making you know, places when he needs to.
(14:11):
But in terms of like that big yardage total hasn't
really been Davante's game this year, and I think in
this game that's gonna be, you know, play a little
bit tighter with these defenses. I think that's one to
look at.
Speaker 2 (14:20):
Also a secondary one. The other touchdown passing prop. I
was staring at hard with Lamar Jackson with Sam Donald,
and it's a it's a little bit of a lower number.
It's like minus one oh five one oh seven or
something like that for one point five over. Like you said,
Donald's just dropping bombs. So I know the secondary for
the for the rams. You know, the defense in general
is a strength by Sam Donald is just in dued level.
(14:41):
So I don't hate that. It's not on my card
or anything, but I don't don't hate that one at all.
And I'm gonna tail my boy. My boy didn't tail
the full ladder of Schultz last week, but you did
bet the prop and it hit. I'm gonna at least
do a step ladder with the sheet. I don't think
I'm gonna go to seventy, but I might go to
fifty with you if.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
You go the under on Adams at sixty one and
a half. Actually I'm finding it now and the over
on thirty one and a half for shaheed. Uh, you're
getting to plus two thirty one by the way, well
SGP action for you, so get you get your double
up there. So there you have it. All right. We
already talking about propat chi chee again, same game, parley tool.
I just plug those things in to take a look
for it. So again, use the tools out there help
(15:20):
you get ahead. All right, Well, let's talk about something
it might be a little bit more on the depressing
side of Tennessee. Titans. Not a lot going right for them,
So how can we make some money off what's going
wrong for them?
Speaker 2 (15:31):
Is it the over? It is not? Is it the over?
As Erickson says, when I talk unders, listen because I
don't bet a lot of under. I am very picky
about my unders. We are picking an under on the
Titans this week and we are going cam Ward under
one point eighty seven point five passing yards one eight seven.
(15:52):
The call Houston rank second out of thirty two in
overall defensive grade. Here are some of the grades according
to PFF. They are the number one in coverage on
running backs number one pass rush. They are a top
twelve against tight ends and wide receivers in general. The
Texans have held quarterbacks to under two hundred passing yards
(16:14):
four of the last five weeks, and the under to
this prop has hit in three of the last four
outings versus quarterbacks now cam Ward. Cam Ward has gone
over this total only five times this year, but he
has done it in four of the last five weeks.
But he has never had more than one hundred and
eighty seven passing yards without completing twenty one or more passes.
(16:38):
The Texans averaging only seventeen completions a game to quarterbacks.
PFF projections have this at one eighty five. Everything is
relatively close. I don't think cam Ward is going to
be able to pass the ball at success. There ain't
no wide receivers. They're going to be in his face
all day. What he marks is their only hope. Under
passing yards one eight seven point five on cam Ward.
(17:00):
That is my under call of the week.
Speaker 1 (17:03):
I already him on the team total under. If you've
been watching our Best Bet show or any of the
shows here all week, I've been in on that. I
think he the number is fifteen and a half. You're
finding it right now over on BP. For the Tennessee Titans,
I just don't think things are gonna go well for
them against the Houston Texans defense. And Welsh also seems
to agree. One thing that could go well even if
it doesn't go well, quote unquote in the air quotes
(17:24):
is Jameis Winston. Because he's a guy that could, you know,
throw for three hundred yards, throw for four touchdowns, and
throw for five picks in the same game. That's the
beauty of the Jameis Winston experience. And I hope we
all get to sit down and enjoy that this Sunday,
So Andrew Ericson, I implore you, what's the best way to
enjoy that experience? From the betting point of view?
Speaker 3 (17:44):
We kind of buried the lead there, Joe when you
said throw, throw, throw, Yeah, it's gonna be James Winson
throwing the ball over thirty four and a halfs Oh,
this Jameis Winston because he's not coming off the bench
to hand the ball off to Tyln Tracy. That's not
happening though. You're never gonna see Winston. Oh yeah, run,
p check check. We're going four verts, let's go, We're
going to be throwing the football. So I love Winston
(18:06):
because we know that he is going to be aggressive.
Pick six's result in more plays for the Giants to
have the ball again. But when it comes to the matchup,
I think that the Packers defense is a little bit
overrated when they play on the road versus when they
played home. Their last three road games have given up
a ton of passing yards. They're also going to be
missing quarnerback Nate Hobbs. It looks like he's been on
the injury report this week. So their last three road
(18:26):
games over two hundred and nineteen passing yards, thirty six
plus pass attempts in all three of those games, including
two plus passing touchdowns. Every road game the Packers have
played this year as it featured the quarterback attempting at
least thirty six passing attempts, and for the last two weeks,
every quarterback that it faced the Packers had at least
hit thirty six pass attempts, and last year, in five
of his six full starts with the Cleveland Browns, Winston
(18:49):
hit at least thirty six and a half passing attempts.
Speaker 1 (18:53):
That's some good stats right there. I can't wait for it.
I gotta say, you know, it's like the running theme
of the year. The Giants were always the most boring
team for me in the NFL, and I lived in
a New York area basically my whole life, and even
when they were good, they were boring. But this year,
with Scataboo and Dart, they've been fun. And unfortunately that's
come to an end. So's the only cure. Winston's the
only cure for all that. That's what I need. I
(19:14):
got a fever and the only cure is more Winston.
That's what I want. Sorry, let's go to the last
here of the favorite prop bets and we'll get to
the touchdown calls. So Welsh it's taken. I don't know,
seven eight weeks. I cave it. I cave it to track.
Since the last time I saw Ricky Piersoll, he's been
on the back of a milk carton for the last
few weeks here, for the last few months. So he's returning.
(19:36):
So do we want to fade him into the under
oblivion because it's first game back, or do we want
to charge in guns of blazing to week eleven with.
Speaker 2 (19:43):
Ricky p Yeah, the NFL has had like their own
version if you've seen the movie Weapons, where it's just
all of these children, but it's football players, Bucky Irving,
Ricky Piersall, they've all just been in a basement disappeared
spoiler alert, and Ricky Pierre saw I was a little
different on this was a little bit different on this one.
I even think in the rank show because I don't
(20:04):
love a lot of these guys coming off of injury.
But here was my big thing with Pearsall was if
it was gonna be like a game time decision or
it's gonna come up into like Sunday, I am not
super interested in playing him. They lock this down on Thursday,
said he's back, he's healthy, he's good to go. This
gives me a greater sense of confidence that he's going
to be able to return back into the role that
(20:25):
we've seen out of Ricky Piersaul, plus Brock Purty as well.
So then not screwing around with us. He's getting back
into practices, So thumbs up there. So we are going
to go with probably the lowest Ricky Piersol number we've
seen in a while. Ricky Piersol receiving yards forty three
point five, So the Cardinals in general twenty nine of
thirty two and overall defensive grade. So we like that,
(20:45):
even though you know Cardinals can have their moments. Ricky's
last game against the Cardinals this year torched him eight
catches over one hundred yards. This was also with Party back.
I think he's hit this receiving aird total in every
game he was active so far this year where he's
actually playing, projections are slight lean in favor, and there's
obviously like a risk with the injury and the snap counts.
(21:08):
But on the year with purty Ricky Piersol has represented
a forty three percent air yard share and an over
fifteen a dot. Ricky could get this on two catches,
so very important divisional matchup as well. With all the
guys back low forty three point five, we're going over
(21:28):
on the receiving yard. It's a little bit risky. I
sometimes put my ugly nasty bets at number five. I
could see why people might want to move away from this,
but dude's a stud. Party's back gonna get him on
the big plays. Don't even hate longest reception on Ricky Piersol,
and that's what we're rolling with for my fifth.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
All right, sticking with that game too. We get the
return of Rock Party, you get the return of Ricky Piersol.
And maybe flying under the radar is the recent uptick
in usage for Brian Robinson Junior last two games, the
first one maybe feels like a one off. Two in
a row seems like a bit of a trend. So
ericson with his volume upticking, how can we wager on
(22:04):
it this week?
Speaker 3 (22:05):
At the over on his carries over four and a
half carries for Brian Robinson Junior. I'm surprised that the
numbers this low actually, and this is another five star
bet on the prop bet cheat sheet, because I was
kind of flabbergasted thinking, have we watched Brian Robinson the
last couple of weeks like he's been very efficient. He's
actually gone over forty rushing yards and back to back
games despite not seeing double digit carries. So the coaching
(22:27):
staff is starting to take note that, hey, Brian Robinson
is filling in as a nice compliment to Christian McCaffrey,
so we don't have to give McCaffrey thirty touches per game,
so we can at least survive the rest of the season,
and I think that's going to continue here. It's a
plus matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and Welsh I don't
know which show was, but we were talking about the
forty nine Ers run game and you expect, Hey, we're
going to see a lot of this forty Nineers run
(22:47):
game between CMC and Brian Robinson. That was in my
mind when I saw this prop. And it matches up
with what Brian Robinson has been doing recently. Again, gone
over in two of his last three games here, three
of his last four, So I really love this year.
Arizona's faced thirty rushing attempts on average per game over
their last three games. They've had a lot of injuries
on the defense side of the football. This game should
be higher scoring just because both defenses for the Cardinals
(23:09):
and forty nine Ers are so banged up, and I
expect Brian Robinson to get a decent amount of work here.
Speaker 1 (23:13):
So over four and a half carries all right, So
a lot of stuff betted this week against you, or
should I say, in the forty nine Ers game. A
lot of investments being made there. We're all gonna make
some investments in some touchdown calls right now as well.
So if you want to check out the Touchdown Score Report,
it lives at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. It'll give
you the edge you're looking for for anytime TV stats
prop bets, odds projections to help you identify the very
(23:36):
best at any time touchdown bets. I'm going with Ceedee
Lamb at plus one fifteen. Emotional night for the Cowboys
coming up here for sure, coming off that buy and
coming off a team tragedy there plus one fifteen, So
Ceedee Lamb. I look for him to get in the
end zone, a big spot there, and then give me
THEO Johnson because I'm enjoying the ride of Jameis Winston.
I think the best way to do it is to
(23:58):
make some investments of the Giant. So we have already
one Winston bet. I'm gonna give you a THEO Johnson
bet to catch touchdown plus two twenty. I think it's
a really good number. Darius Layton out, I was thinking
about Wandale, but you know what, I think THEO in
that red zone area is the guy that I prefer
to give me Theo Johnson plus two twenty Welsh Where
are you going for your TV calls in week eleven?
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Joe, you a cat or a dog person?
Speaker 1 (24:18):
I'm a dog person.
Speaker 2 (24:20):
Well, guess what, I got dogs and we're chasing out
the cats. We got dogs that are chasing out cats
this week. Because first up, we got a Rendez Gadsden
who's taking out those jaggu wars. We're getting the cats out.
We got any time touchdown plus one seventy. Jags have
given up four receiving touchdowns to tight ends in the
last three weeks, So we pick on him and the
(24:42):
second kittie cat that we're kicking out. Get out of here, Panthers,
because the birds are coming in. Bijon Robinson, he's a
dog who's not scoring touchdowns. It's gonna fix this week.
But guess what we're gonna do a Joe Piece of
Pa special. We're gonna play the first half scoring a
touchdown because we're getting plus one seventy on Vjon. Everyone's
freaking out. Good b Joe Bevinson's not scoring by low
(25:02):
Bjon Robinson touchdown in the first half. No, Tyler Algier,
they've given up the Panthers those Kiddy Cats three rushing
touchdowns over the last three weeks. Bijon Robinson first half
touchdown plus one seventy, Gadsten plus one seventy. My dog's
over those.
Speaker 1 (25:17):
Cats, all right. So any animals for you this week
in the touchdown calls? Andrew Rickson, Yes.
Speaker 3 (25:23):
Actually we're keeping the theme of these animals. Jalen Wattle
for the Miami Dolphins, which ah is an animal, it's
a mammal. Mammal technically it lives in water, but it's
not a fish. So we'll going with water.
Speaker 2 (25:33):
Still an animal at.
Speaker 3 (25:34):
Even money to score touchdown against the worst secondary in
the NFL, maybe Washington Commanders. They've they've allowed top three
in terms of receiving touchdowns per game too. Wide receivers.
Wattle's been the number one since Tyreek Hill went down,
been very very productive over eighty two receiving yards and
five of his six games. If he's gonna get pepper
with volume, and he's going to find the end zone
for the second straight week. So I like Wattle to
(25:55):
score a touchdown in Spain, Yo soy fiesta. And then
my other one is Chase Brown Cincinnati Bengals. A cat
here facing against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chase Brown has seven
plus rushing and receiving yards in three straight games. He
went over one hundred rushing yards the last time you
faced the Steelers, and there's no samajp Ryan. So we're
looking at Chase Brown with a ninety percent plus snapshare.
(26:15):
I think he finds the end zone. He has eighteen
or excuse me, nineteen red zone attempts and targets this season,
only has three touchdowns, so I think he's due for
some positive touchdown regression as the workhorse and the work
cat for that Bengals backfield.
Speaker 1 (26:29):
All right, gentlemen, I'm gonna throw out a bonus bet here, dude,
just because I bet it this morning, and I've bet
it pretty heavy. Maybe I'm just riding the wave and
feeling the fields from another win from the New England
Patriots going to nine and two. But Mike Rabel was
at plus one twenty five for Coach of the Year.
This is probably the last time you're going to see that.
Mike Rabel has the best eleven games start nine and
two by head coach after inheriting a thirteen lost team. Ever,
(26:52):
so there's also a narrative growing here, I feel like
of the Patriots as these darling comeback kids, which is
hilarious because they were a dynasty for twenty year and
most people hated them. But there's something about this team.
There's something about what's happening on social media. There's something
about how the traction of Mike Vrabel trending on X
this morning when I woke up, and I just feel
as though that's where the narrative is. So no matter
(27:13):
how good the Colts are and how much they've ride
the ship, and they have, Shane Styke has done a
great job. We all know what a great job McDonald's
done in Seattle this year. I just think the Mike
Vrabel narrative and the love that everybody is showing that
team that just so darn likable. Right now. I don't
think it's gonna be beaten. I think you got to
bet it now. I think it's gonna be a minus
(27:34):
money the rest of the year. So just a little
public service announcement for the futures market for me, Joey P.
So thank your bonus and thank me later. All right,
great stuff, gentlemen. As always, make sure you download the
bank pros app, subscribe to the channel. Drop your comments below.
Who's getting the touchdown area this year, who's crossing the
goal line this week? Let me know drop them in
the YouTube comments. We love to hear from all of
(27:55):
you and that'll do it for us. But the story
of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson and the
Welsh I'm Joey. We'll see you next time. Kids.
Speaker 4 (28:02):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
your bets. It is V Joey p Joep's APA, and
this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to
the prop market for a week eleven. And who better
to do that with than Andrew ericson the Undertaker and
the Welsh. He's no outcast around these parts. The boys
went a collective. Uh, let's see last week seven and three.
Pricky damn good. I would say that the touchdown call
(00:23):
contest getting real close. Welsh is at nine. Erics and
I are tied to eleven. Who will pull ahead this week? Well,
I'll stay with us and find out and make sure
you subscribe to the channel bring the belt to lit
goes Ding. Stay with us here on Betting Pros. We've
got live streams, we've got podcasts, we got everything. Subscribe forever.
You get your pods as well, and download the Betting
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(00:43):
the shows hang out with us. They're like, yeah, yeah, yeah,
we just like the shows. I'm telling you check out
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at first, but I'm telling you, when you do, it
opens up even more of a toolbox for you to
use to be successful. This is the time and the
NFL where we're gonna have that crunch time November December.
We're gonna move into the playoffs. We got college football raging,
(01:06):
We've got NBA, We've got everything happening right now. We
want you to be a part of it. So gentlemen,
let's start with two big quarterbacks here. Welsh, I know
you were on a step ladder last week that got
you to change a light bulb at least pretty good.
I like that. I had my bye week last week,
so I'm sorry I missed that. But I want you
to start here with Josh Allen in a game that
Andrew and I have talked about all week. From Monday
(01:28):
till today, we've been talking about that Bucks Bills game.
So what is your take? How are you approaching it?
From the prop market?
Speaker 2 (01:33):
By the way, we bought a couple of light bulbs
with that bet.
Speaker 1 (01:36):
Oh We're gonna get him Vasco packs, get them twenty
light bulbs up set for the next Millennia led.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
We did so well, you're getting LEDs, not just fluorescent
normal ones. We did very well, all right, So we're
gonna go into the passing yard market for this one,
and we are going to tag Josh Allen. We're going
Josh Allen passing yards to ten point five look around
two because this numbers fled and in a lot of
different spots. But Allen has gone over this number in
(02:03):
two straight games. Bucks in this great matchup. They've given
this up in three of the last four games to
quarterbacks the two that didn't or I think three of
the last five weeks the two that didn't hit. We're
against the Panthers and the Dolphins. By the way, Bucks
are averaging defensively, giving up over two hundred and thirty
passing yards two quarterbacks per game. It's about the ninth
(02:24):
worst in the NFL. And this is a five five
five time, five time five star bet from the Betting
Pros app if you check out the Betting Pros prop analyzer,
and they've got this going over to forty five for him.
So I think it's a really no low number. This
is a pretty good implied total on the odds. As
(02:44):
you guys have been probably talking about around forty seven
and a half. I think this is going to be
a game that's going to be one in the air,
and it's just a nice low passing yard line for
one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. So I
really like this one to ten point five we're going
over all.
Speaker 1 (02:58):
Right, so an over forwell, just start things out. We
got to balance that out at some point with the undertaker,
but I don't think it's gonna be on this. Next
guy that he wants to talk about. Your first year
player is Lamar Jackson, and you've got the passing touchdown total.
Let's talk about that, Andrew in a game here where
Baltimore's trying to scratch and claw their way back to
the top of the standings. In that AFC North.
Speaker 3 (03:19):
Lamar Jackson going over one and a half passing touchdowns.
So he didn't hit this last week, but before last week,
he had hit over one and a half passing touchdowns
in fourteen of his last sixteen games played. Again, there
was another game this year where didn't hit it, but
he's because he got injured against Kansas City Chiefs. But
this is a number that Lamar Jackson hits almost every
single week. He has the longest streak in the NFL
(03:40):
currently of quarterbacks with at least one passing touchdown, So
he's gonna get at least one. And I know the
Cleveland Browns defense is a little bit tougher they are
playing on the road, but three matchups so far last
two years against Cleveland, Lamar Jackson has at least two
passing touchdowns in all three of those games. The strength
of the Browns defense is their run defense, So I
think if they get into inside the red zone, it's
gonna be more pass attempts for Lamar Jackson, not necessarily
(04:03):
Derek Henry rushing the score. So Lamar Jackson over one
a half passing touchdowns. Usually this number is really juiced.
It's usually like minus one eighty. It's minus one ten
this time because he hasn't done it last week. So
I think you're buying the dip here on a prop
that hits at a pretty high clip.
Speaker 2 (04:17):
I want to jump in on this real quick, because
Erickson got to the sheet before any of us, and
I did the scan and then I went to do
my work, going da da da. I landed on this
one like three different times and I kept staring at it,
and then I started to do like the process of it,
not realizing even though I saw you did it. I
think you incepted my brain and I almost put this
on the sheet, and I really like would not have
(04:40):
realized that until we literally got into the show and
you just said it again, because I was like, I
think I'm gonna do this one. Yeah. I think he's
also thrown two or more touchdowns against the Browns in
three straight games as well, Like, I really really like
this one. I'm gonna tell you on it.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
And he's not gonna be running as much too, coming
off that injury too. I think you want to maintain
him in that you know, safety zone a little bit
in the bubble wrap. So is this the dream within
the dream? Welsh?
Speaker 2 (05:01):
Like?
Speaker 1 (05:01):
Where are we?
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Like you have to watch the spindle the spindle if
it's still going, It's.
Speaker 1 (05:07):
Still going after all these years. I like that I
got it the first time. I don't know why everyone
else is so confused. He's got to make sure you
stay awake the whole time. That's like, if you doze off,
you can totally get.
Speaker 2 (05:16):
Lost in It was an inception that was a problem.
It was Tenant. They even acknowledged, like they're like, see Tenant,
we don't even really know what this means, Like they
just were having fun with it, like no one Tenant
is the one you don't understand, and now.
Speaker 1 (05:27):
I want to see it more. All right, let's talk
about a huge game here for the NFC West Division.
Here we got the Seattle Seahawks Welsh, we've got the
Los Angeles Rams, and you've got Kyron Williams on your
board this week.
Speaker 2 (05:38):
It's like that one guy on YouTube, He's like, I
understand it now. This is the best I understand it now.
It is Kyron Williams. Twelve point five over rush attempts. Man,
this number is low, between twelve and twelve point five
and thirteen point five. I like both of them. Five
of nine games this year he's actually gone over this,
which actually doesn't seem like a super impressive number. But
(06:00):
since the bye he has gone back to back weeks
of having fourteen or more carries, which should continue. Seattle's
a tough matchup, but they are eighteenth in yards allowed
after contact. These tough divisional games with tough secondary help
as well, could slow the pace a little bit. I know,
Korm has gotten a little bit more involved, but you
get inside the five, it's going to start to become
(06:21):
Kyen Williams time tough divisional matchups. They've had two divisional
matchups so far this year against the forty nine ers.
He has had fourteen carries in both of those. So
at thirteen carries for Kyen Williams in a very important
matchup where the passing game could even slightly get taken out.
I love this one. So twelve point five over Russ attempts.
I think this is my first rush attempt bet of
(06:42):
the year and this is my favorite one.
Speaker 1 (06:44):
All right, let's talk about the Denver Broncos and bow
Knicks a little erratic this year. You know the stats
in terms of Fantasy or there, but in terms of
performance for the Denver Broncos, it's been an up and
down season for bow Knicks. So what kind of game
will it be for him on Monday night? Here? And Eric,
excuse not Monday night? What would kind of game will
this be for him this week against the Kansas City
(07:05):
Chiefs here? As the Chiefs are coming off that buy.
So let's talk about your bon Nicks thoughts for Week eleven.
Speaker 3 (07:10):
Big spot for the Broncos hosting the Kansas City Chiefs
as they try to win the AFC West. But for me,
I'm taking the under on Bonnicks in the pass attempts
at thirty four and a half. Last week, we bet
the under on Michael Pennis thirty four and a half
pass attempts meanwhiles we're talking about it in slack, and
despite the game going into overtime, we still cash the under.
And that was a bet that came to me as
(07:32):
a five star bet in the prop bet cheat sheet.
I've been very profitable. The betting pros feed has fed
me that, Yeah, when you bet on pass attempts, this
is one of the most profitable markets that you've been
able to hit on. So going right back to it
here with another five star bet courtesy of the prop
bet cheat sheet, Bonnicks. You look at the Kansas City Chiefs.
No quarterback this season has gone over thirty four and
(07:52):
a half pass attempt against the Chiefs, none of them.
Every quarterback that face has gone under this number. And
when you think about what Bonix does when he is
an un versus when he's a favorite, he runs the
ball a little bit more. He's more lucky to scramble
against a tough defense with Kansas City coming off the
bye week. I just don't think that Sean Payton is
going to all right, this is the spot. We're just
gonna totally unleash bon Nicks against the Kansas City Chiefs
(08:14):
at home. That doesn't make sense to me. It's hey,
we got to play strong defense, keep it tight, win
by a field goal, and I think that means we're
not going to see a shootout. I like the under
in this game. That was one of my best bets
on the Week eleven show that we did together Joe
earlier this week, So I'm taking the under on Bonnicks.
Trusting the prop bet cheat sheet.
Speaker 1 (08:32):
All right again, prop bet chiachep, bettingpros dot Com, slash props,
or just download the app. That's where you find the
prop bet cheat sheet. You should also, while you're at it,
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in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Next up here on
(09:58):
our list of props Week eleven in the NFL. A
guy who had a pretty good week last week, Ken
Devanta Smith roll it over again in week eleven.
Speaker 2 (10:08):
Let's do it again. We're running it back. Davante Smith
receiving yards fifty five point five. Actually decent matchup for
AJ Brown and all of his crazy controversy going on.
But one big thing I do agree, by the way,
with what AJ Brown was saying, was like that you
just need to be become more innovative or adjustable in
your offense. You can't become one dimensional. And that is
(10:29):
I think something that is going to have to happen
in this one and it's going to have to have
to happen in the air. DeVante Smith has hit this
in four of his last five games. He's hit this
prop number got the great matchup grade according to PFF
the corners for Detroit, by the way, ranking sixtieth eighty
third and then unranked out of one twelve. So you
(10:50):
really like that corner matchup. Pros projections have this number
at sixty six. There's a slight lean on the PFF projections,
but Fantasy pros projections really like this. And we've seen
Smith be a really big deep option. And if they're
going to be kind of playing point for point, obviously
you know they're going to run the ball as they
always do. But Davante Smith is going to get the
(11:10):
action where aj Brown gets a lot of attention. So
the corner matchups work really well in this Dante Smith
has been hitting this fifty five point five is a
very reasonable number. He's been kind of a mainstay usually
for ericson in the betting market. But I'm going to
jump in this week and take him from a third
prop of the week.
Speaker 1 (11:25):
All right, let's go with another receiver, a guy who
actually just showed up in Seattle, last week and now
he's in a big game here Rashid Shaheed, So Andrew,
what carn of impact could Shahied make in this week
eleven contest? Huge game here for both teams in terms
of the standings when it comes to the NFC West, I.
Speaker 3 (11:41):
Think that Rashij jah he is an X factor in
this game for the SAX. I think that he's that
extra explosive element that if the Rams are going to
try to put all their attention on Jack Smith and Jigba,
then I think Shaheed is going to get some favorable
looks here. So I like the over here at thirty
one and a half receiving yards. Last week, Shahied and
his debut just three touches for twenty six total yards,
but Sam Donald attempted to twelve passes. Right, it was
(12:04):
a total blowout game.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Script.
Speaker 3 (12:06):
We haven't only seen Seattle pushed in the last couple weeks.
They've just been basically just killing all the teams that
they have faced. So against the Rams on the road
tight spread, I'm expecting a more back and forth contest,
and I think that means that the coaching are going
to have to use Si. They traded for him for
a reason. And I know that we're really talking up
the Cooper Cup revenge game narrative. I think that she
he is actually going to have a big impact here
(12:27):
because she He's already played the Rams. He played the
Rams two weeks ago in his last game with the Saints.
He had a thirty six percent target share in that game,
five capts on nine targets for sixty eight yards. He
is a big play machine. And what has Sam Donald
been doing all year long? Just dropping absolute bombs to
guys like Jack Fith and Jigbo. So thirty one and
(12:47):
a half receiving yards. Again, he can get this on one
single play, and when he was with Kubiak with the Saints,
he was consistently going over seventy plus receiving yards. So
again credit to Welsh. Hitting the ladder last week with
Dalton Schultz it kind of felt gross because Dald Schultz
not the super explosive guy. So I'm doubling down here
(13:07):
with Shaheed and doing a ladder bet up to seventy
receiving yards because that's what this guy does. All he
does is rip off Matt explosive plays. He almost hit
this two weeks ago against the Rams. He had sixty
eight receiving yards and that was with a rookie quarterback
making his first start on the road. Give me Sam
Darnell as an upgrade with the explosive element against a
kind of leak ear Sam's or Rams secondary. So I
(13:29):
like shaheat a lot here. You look at some of
the receivers that have given up seventy receiving yards to
the Rams. Juwan Jennings, Travis Hunter, Kendrick Bourne, ad Deny Mitchell,
the guy who couldn't catch a cold against the Patriots.
He went over seventy yards against the Rams defense. So
if those guys can do it, I'm pretty sure she
Head can as well.
Speaker 2 (13:47):
You had me at Ladder. He had me at Ladder.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
Yeah, you know what you sold me as well. I'll
tell you what too. Another one that I like in
this game too, just because we've talked about a few
things from it, is the DeVante Adams under sixty and
a half receiving yards. He's a little banged up, he's
not a hunder. Seattle defense is very good. But also
he's only going over that mark twice since Week three
and only three times all year. Adams has been productive,
scoring touchdowns, making you know, places when he needs to.
(14:11):
But in terms of like that big yardage total hasn't
really been Davante's game this year, and I think in
this game that's gonna be, you know, play a little
bit tighter with these defenses. I think that's one to
look at.
Speaker 2 (14:20):
Also a secondary one. The other touchdown passing prop. I
was staring at hard with Lamar Jackson with Sam Donald,
and it's a it's a little bit of a lower number.
It's like minus one oh five one oh seven or
something like that for one point five over. Like you said,
Donald's just dropping bombs. So I know the secondary for
the for the rams. You know, the defense in general
is a strength by Sam Donald is just in dued level.
(14:41):
So I don't hate that. It's not on my card
or anything, but I don't don't hate that one at all.
And I'm gonna tail my boy. My boy didn't tail
the full ladder of Schultz last week, but you did
bet the prop and it hit. I'm gonna at least
do a step ladder with the sheet. I don't think
I'm gonna go to seventy, but I might go to
fifty with you if.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
You go the under on Adams at sixty one and
a half. Actually I'm finding it now and the over
on thirty one and a half for shaheed. Uh, you're
getting to plus two thirty one by the way, well
SGP action for you, so get you get your double
up there. So there you have it. All right. We
already talking about propat chi chee again, same game, parley tool.
I just plug those things in to take a look
for it. So again, use the tools out there help
(15:20):
you get ahead. All right, Well, let's talk about something
it might be a little bit more on the depressing
side of Tennessee. Titans. Not a lot going right for them,
So how can we make some money off what's going
wrong for them?
Speaker 2 (15:31):
Is it the over? It is not? Is it the over?
As Erickson says, when I talk unders, listen because I
don't bet a lot of under. I am very picky
about my unders. We are picking an under on the
Titans this week and we are going cam Ward under
one point eighty seven point five passing yards one eight seven.
(15:52):
The call Houston rank second out of thirty two in
overall defensive grade. Here are some of the grades according
to PFF. They are the number one in coverage on
running backs number one pass rush. They are a top
twelve against tight ends and wide receivers in general. The
Texans have held quarterbacks to under two hundred passing yards
(16:14):
four of the last five weeks, and the under to
this prop has hit in three of the last four
outings versus quarterbacks now cam Ward. Cam Ward has gone
over this total only five times this year, but he
has done it in four of the last five weeks.
But he has never had more than one hundred and
eighty seven passing yards without completing twenty one or more passes.
(16:38):
The Texans averaging only seventeen completions a game to quarterbacks.
PFF projections have this at one eighty five. Everything is
relatively close. I don't think cam Ward is going to
be able to pass the ball at success. There ain't
no wide receivers. They're going to be in his face
all day. What he marks is their only hope. Under
passing yards one eight seven point five on cam Ward.
(17:00):
That is my under call of the week.
Speaker 1 (17:03):
I already him on the team total under. If you've
been watching our Best Bet show or any of the
shows here all week, I've been in on that. I
think he the number is fifteen and a half. You're
finding it right now over on BP. For the Tennessee Titans,
I just don't think things are gonna go well for
them against the Houston Texans defense. And Welsh also seems
to agree. One thing that could go well even if
it doesn't go well, quote unquote in the air quotes
(17:24):
is Jameis Winston. Because he's a guy that could, you know,
throw for three hundred yards, throw for four touchdowns, and
throw for five picks in the same game. That's the
beauty of the Jameis Winston experience. And I hope we
all get to sit down and enjoy that this Sunday,
So Andrew Ericson, I implore you, what's the best way to
enjoy that experience? From the betting point of view?
Speaker 3 (17:44):
We kind of buried the lead there, Joe when you
said throw, throw, throw, Yeah, it's gonna be James Winson
throwing the ball over thirty four and a halfs Oh,
this Jameis Winston because he's not coming off the bench
to hand the ball off to Tyln Tracy. That's not
happening though. You're never gonna see Winston. Oh yeah, run,
p check check. We're going four verts, let's go, We're
going to be throwing the football. So I love Winston
(18:06):
because we know that he is going to be aggressive.
Pick six's result in more plays for the Giants to
have the ball again. But when it comes to the matchup,
I think that the Packers defense is a little bit
overrated when they play on the road versus when they
played home. Their last three road games have given up
a ton of passing yards. They're also going to be
missing quarnerback Nate Hobbs. It looks like he's been on
the injury report this week. So their last three road
(18:26):
games over two hundred and nineteen passing yards, thirty six
plus pass attempts in all three of those games, including
two plus passing touchdowns. Every road game the Packers have
played this year as it featured the quarterback attempting at
least thirty six passing attempts, and for the last two weeks,
every quarterback that it faced the Packers had at least
hit thirty six pass attempts, and last year, in five
of his six full starts with the Cleveland Browns, Winston
(18:49):
hit at least thirty six and a half passing attempts.
Speaker 1 (18:53):
That's some good stats right there. I can't wait for it.
I gotta say, you know, it's like the running theme
of the year. The Giants were always the most boring
team for me in the NFL, and I lived in
a New York area basically my whole life, and even
when they were good, they were boring. But this year,
with Scataboo and Dart, they've been fun. And unfortunately that's
come to an end. So's the only cure. Winston's the
only cure for all that. That's what I need. I
(19:14):
got a fever and the only cure is more Winston.
That's what I want. Sorry, let's go to the last
here of the favorite prop bets and we'll get to
the touchdown calls. So Welsh it's taken. I don't know,
seven eight weeks. I cave it. I cave it to track.
Since the last time I saw Ricky Piersoll, he's been
on the back of a milk carton for the last
few weeks here, for the last few months. So he's returning.
(19:36):
So do we want to fade him into the under
oblivion because it's first game back, or do we want
to charge in guns of blazing to week eleven with.
Speaker 2 (19:43):
Ricky p Yeah, the NFL has had like their own
version if you've seen the movie Weapons, where it's just
all of these children, but it's football players, Bucky Irving,
Ricky Piersall, they've all just been in a basement disappeared
spoiler alert, and Ricky Pierre saw I was a little
different on this was a little bit different on this one.
I even think in the rank show because I don't
(20:04):
love a lot of these guys coming off of injury.
But here was my big thing with Pearsall was if
it was gonna be like a game time decision or
it's gonna come up into like Sunday, I am not
super interested in playing him. They lock this down on Thursday,
said he's back, he's healthy, he's good to go. This
gives me a greater sense of confidence that he's going
to be able to return back into the role that
(20:25):
we've seen out of Ricky Piersaul, plus Brock Purty as well.
So then not screwing around with us. He's getting back
into practices, So thumbs up there. So we are going
to go with probably the lowest Ricky Piersol number we've
seen in a while. Ricky Piersol receiving yards forty three
point five, So the Cardinals in general twenty nine of
thirty two and overall defensive grade. So we like that,
(20:45):
even though you know Cardinals can have their moments. Ricky's
last game against the Cardinals this year torched him eight
catches over one hundred yards. This was also with Party back.
I think he's hit this receiving aird total in every
game he was active so far this year where he's
actually playing, projections are slight lean in favor, and there's
obviously like a risk with the injury and the snap counts.
(21:08):
But on the year with purty Ricky Piersol has represented
a forty three percent air yard share and an over
fifteen a dot. Ricky could get this on two catches,
so very important divisional matchup as well. With all the
guys back low forty three point five, we're going over
(21:28):
on the receiving yard. It's a little bit risky. I
sometimes put my ugly nasty bets at number five. I
could see why people might want to move away from this,
but dude's a stud. Party's back gonna get him on
the big plays. Don't even hate longest reception on Ricky Piersol,
and that's what we're rolling with for my fifth.
Speaker 1 (21:43):
All right, sticking with that game too. We get the
return of Rock Party, you get the return of Ricky Piersol.
And maybe flying under the radar is the recent uptick
in usage for Brian Robinson Junior last two games, the
first one maybe feels like a one off. Two in
a row seems like a bit of a trend. So
ericson with his volume upticking, how can we wager on
(22:04):
it this week?
Speaker 3 (22:05):
At the over on his carries over four and a
half carries for Brian Robinson Junior. I'm surprised that the
numbers this low actually, and this is another five star
bet on the prop bet cheat sheet, because I was
kind of flabbergasted thinking, have we watched Brian Robinson the
last couple of weeks like he's been very efficient. He's
actually gone over forty rushing yards and back to back
games despite not seeing double digit carries. So the coaching
(22:27):
staff is starting to take note that, hey, Brian Robinson
is filling in as a nice compliment to Christian McCaffrey,
so we don't have to give McCaffrey thirty touches per game,
so we can at least survive the rest of the season,
and I think that's going to continue here. It's a
plus matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and Welsh I don't
know which show was, but we were talking about the
forty nine Ers run game and you expect, Hey, we're
going to see a lot of this forty Nineers run
(22:47):
game between CMC and Brian Robinson. That was in my
mind when I saw this prop. And it matches up
with what Brian Robinson has been doing recently. Again, gone
over in two of his last three games here, three
of his last four, So I really love this year.
Arizona's faced thirty rushing attempts on average per game over
their last three games. They've had a lot of injuries
on the defense side of the football. This game should
be higher scoring just because both defenses for the Cardinals
(23:09):
and forty nine Ers are so banged up, and I
expect Brian Robinson to get a decent amount of work here.
Speaker 1 (23:13):
So over four and a half carries all right, So
a lot of stuff betted this week against you, or
should I say, in the forty nine Ers game. A
lot of investments being made there. We're all gonna make
some investments in some touchdown calls right now as well.
So if you want to check out the Touchdown Score Report,
it lives at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. It'll give
you the edge you're looking for for anytime TV stats
prop bets, odds projections to help you identify the very
(23:36):
best at any time touchdown bets. I'm going with Ceedee
Lamb at plus one fifteen. Emotional night for the Cowboys
coming up here for sure, coming off that buy and
coming off a team tragedy there plus one fifteen, So
Ceedee Lamb. I look for him to get in the
end zone, a big spot there, and then give me
THEO Johnson because I'm enjoying the ride of Jameis Winston.
I think the best way to do it is to
(23:58):
make some investments of the Giant. So we have already
one Winston bet. I'm gonna give you a THEO Johnson
bet to catch touchdown plus two twenty. I think it's
a really good number. Darius Layton out, I was thinking
about Wandale, but you know what, I think THEO in
that red zone area is the guy that I prefer
to give me Theo Johnson plus two twenty Welsh Where
are you going for your TV calls in week eleven?
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Joe, you a cat or a dog person?
Speaker 1 (24:18):
I'm a dog person.
Speaker 2 (24:20):
Well, guess what, I got dogs and we're chasing out
the cats. We got dogs that are chasing out cats
this week. Because first up, we got a Rendez Gadsden
who's taking out those jaggu wars. We're getting the cats out.
We got any time touchdown plus one seventy. Jags have
given up four receiving touchdowns to tight ends in the
last three weeks, So we pick on him and the
(24:42):
second kittie cat that we're kicking out. Get out of here, Panthers,
because the birds are coming in. Bijon Robinson, he's a
dog who's not scoring touchdowns. It's gonna fix this week.
But guess what we're gonna do a Joe Piece of
Pa special. We're gonna play the first half scoring a
touchdown because we're getting plus one seventy on Vjon. Everyone's
freaking out. Good b Joe Bevinson's not scoring by low
(25:02):
Bjon Robinson touchdown in the first half. No, Tyler Algier,
they've given up the Panthers those Kiddy Cats three rushing
touchdowns over the last three weeks. Bijon Robinson first half
touchdown plus one seventy, Gadsten plus one seventy. My dog's
over those.
Speaker 1 (25:17):
Cats, all right. So any animals for you this week
in the touchdown calls? Andrew Rickson, Yes.
Speaker 3 (25:23):
Actually we're keeping the theme of these animals. Jalen Wattle
for the Miami Dolphins, which ah is an animal, it's
a mammal. Mammal technically it lives in water, but it's
not a fish. So we'll going with water.
Speaker 2 (25:33):
Still an animal at.
Speaker 3 (25:34):
Even money to score touchdown against the worst secondary in
the NFL, maybe Washington Commanders. They've they've allowed top three
in terms of receiving touchdowns per game too. Wide receivers.
Wattle's been the number one since Tyreek Hill went down,
been very very productive over eighty two receiving yards and
five of his six games. If he's gonna get pepper
with volume, and he's going to find the end zone
for the second straight week. So I like Wattle to
(25:55):
score a touchdown in Spain, Yo soy fiesta. And then
my other one is Chase Brown Cincinnati Bengals. A cat
here facing against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chase Brown has seven
plus rushing and receiving yards in three straight games. He
went over one hundred rushing yards the last time you
faced the Steelers, and there's no samajp Ryan. So we're
looking at Chase Brown with a ninety percent plus snapshare.
(26:15):
I think he finds the end zone. He has eighteen
or excuse me, nineteen red zone attempts and targets this season,
only has three touchdowns, so I think he's due for
some positive touchdown regression as the workhorse and the work
cat for that Bengals backfield.
Speaker 1 (26:29):
All right, gentlemen, I'm gonna throw out a bonus bet here, dude,
just because I bet it this morning, and I've bet
it pretty heavy. Maybe I'm just riding the wave and
feeling the fields from another win from the New England
Patriots going to nine and two. But Mike Rabel was
at plus one twenty five for Coach of the Year.
This is probably the last time you're going to see that.
Mike Rabel has the best eleven games start nine and
two by head coach after inheriting a thirteen lost team. Ever,
(26:52):
so there's also a narrative growing here, I feel like
of the Patriots as these darling comeback kids, which is
hilarious because they were a dynasty for twenty year and
most people hated them. But there's something about this team.
There's something about what's happening on social media. There's something
about how the traction of Mike Vrabel trending on X
this morning when I woke up, and I just feel
as though that's where the narrative is. So no matter
(27:13):
how good the Colts are and how much they've ride
the ship, and they have, Shane Styke has done a
great job. We all know what a great job McDonald's
done in Seattle this year. I just think the Mike
Vrabel narrative and the love that everybody is showing that
team that just so darn likable. Right now. I don't
think it's gonna be beaten. I think you got to
bet it now. I think it's gonna be a minus
(27:34):
money the rest of the year. So just a little
public service announcement for the futures market for me, Joey P.
So thank your bonus and thank me later. All right,
great stuff, gentlemen. As always, make sure you download the
bank pros app, subscribe to the channel. Drop your comments below.
Who's getting the touchdown area this year, who's crossing the
goal line this week? Let me know drop them in
the YouTube comments. We love to hear from all of
(27:55):
you and that'll do it for us. But the story
of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson and the
Welsh I'm Joey. We'll see you next time. Kids.
Speaker 4 (28:02):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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