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August 29, 2025 17 mins

Join our resident College Football connoisseur Scott Bogman as he brings you his favorite bets and props for Week 1 of the 2025 college football season!

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Week 0 Recap - 0:00:10

BettingPros Discord - 0:00:19

Week 1 Best Game Bets - 0:00:49

BettingPros Pick Tracker - 0:14:12

Prop Bets - 0:14:42

Outro - 0:17:14

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Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
What's going on everybody?

Speaker 2 (00:01):
Scott Bogman here for Betting Pros to give you my
favorite picks and props for Week one of the college
football season. Week zero is over. We went one and
two on the straights, three and three on the props. There,
but much more action obviously in Week one. To get
to before we get to it, or remind you, guys,
if you are looking to up your game in sports betting,

(00:22):
join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot
com slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert
handicappers who provide free picks for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL
player props, live betting, and more, but now you can
also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote,
see how your pick stack up against the experts, and
track your success. Do it today check it out over

(00:45):
at Bettingpros dot com slash chat.

Speaker 1 (00:49):
All right, Week one bets.

Speaker 2 (00:50):
You've heard some of these, most of them probably on
the other shows this week, but let's start with Auburn
minus two at Baylor.

Speaker 1 (00:58):
This is one you haven't heard.

Speaker 2 (00:59):
I also like the in this game at fifty eight,
and when we break this game down, I know a
lot of people are on the Baylor side. Baylor is
at home, and I get that. For me, the reason
that I like Auburn in this game is because I
think Auburn is a team that was about a quarterback
away last year. Right, You've heard that expression in the

(01:20):
NFL a lot. Just this team was incredibly efficient last year,
you know, outside of some problems. Now, the problems were
pretty big, right. The problems were that they could not
score the ball in the red zone. There one hundred
and fifth in red zone scoring and they were well

(01:41):
worse than that. I believe one hundred and nineteenth in
turnover March, and they were minus nine for the season.
They didn't score when they had the opportunity, and they
turned the ball over at awful times. That's from quarterback play,
from some bad, bad quarterback play. You know the other things,
bad luck, bad bounces, breaks, whatever. But I think with

(02:01):
a team like Auburn, Auburn still is, you know, recruited well,
they have a lot of superstars on the squad, still
a high level SEC team. Now that they have Jackson Arnold,
they're transferring over from Baylor, getting the offensive line that
he never had at Oklahoma. I think that Baylor is
going to Excuse me, Auburn is going to look very
good in this game at Baylor. Baylor's offense is no

(02:22):
Joe right. They're a little more lopslight sided. I think
they're better on offense, they're not quite as good on defense.

Speaker 1 (02:30):
You know, maybe their improvements made this year. It's Week one.

Speaker 2 (02:33):
This is a tight game. Tight games have tight margins,
tight lines. One play could bounce one way or the other.
If you don't like the line on it, you don't
like the side. I also like the over because both
these offenses are pretty strong. Right now, it's fifty eight
and a half is the total. The line is Auburn
minus two. I've seen it going to two and a half.
I would not take it if it got to three.
I think this game is tight, but two and a half,

(02:54):
I think Auburn can win by a field goal or
more so, I like the Tigers in that one. Let's
go to use at UCLA. We're gonna go under fifty
one and a half in this game. And I know
a lot of people are betting the over in this game,
and I understand, right. Utah last year is a team,
another team that was probably very much a quarterback away
and they get Devin Dampier that you transfer from Tulane,

(03:16):
very good quarterback, and improve that offense a lot, and
the defense is already very very strong. Ucla also had
issues at quarterback last year. They get Nico Imala Yava
from Tennessee. I really like this edition. Obviously there was
some drama he got into camp late, blah blah. So
it's not the under that I like, because you know,

(03:36):
I'm not being a contrarion here. What I think is
lost in the sauce a little bit is pace of play.
Utah last year was one hundred and twenty eighth and
UCLA was one hundred and twenty ninth. I might have
that reverse, but they were both bottom of the barrel,
scraping the bottom of the barrel, which means the clock
burns more between plays and there's just fewer plays in

(03:59):
a game you have a low pace. So, yes, we
got quarterback editions in this game should be a very
fun one, but we also have a very strong defense
in Utah. I think UCLA's defense might still be ahead
of their where their offense is Week one. I do
think their offense is going to improve, but I just
I think for Week one, we have a lot of penalties,

(04:21):
a lot of mistakes. It's at team's back as well.
I think there's probably gonna be a decent amount of unders.
And that's what I really like. Let's go to the
next game here. This one might be my favorite game
of the week. Arizona mina seventeen and a half versus Hawaii,
and it's because of what we saw from Hawaii last week. Yes,
they did win the game. It was a fun game
to watch. It had great storylines. We saw Alado, the quarterback,

(04:43):
gutting it out with this clearly gimping and ankle injury,
and then the kicker from Japan who learned how to
kick on YouTube nailing a game winner. I mean, what
an awesome appearance from Hawaii in week zero. But now
they got to travel all the way to Tucson, right,
Just a big trip going to Hawaii from anywhere, right,

(05:04):
which is why Hawaii always has a pretty good home
and field advantage.

Speaker 1 (05:08):
But their roster is not good.

Speaker 2 (05:10):
They held the ball for less than twenty four minutes
in that game. I don't think Arizona's very good for
the Power four, right, but I do think that they
are way way way better than Hawaii. Also, this game
is gonna be ninety four degrees a kickoff. According to
the forecast, it's gonna be hot. It's Arizona in August,

(05:31):
so it's gonna be very, very hot if that defense
is on the field that long again, or maybe even worse,
because while again Arizona's not good, they're way better than Stanford.

Speaker 1 (05:41):
Right.

Speaker 2 (05:43):
I just think Hawaii on the road, in the heat,
all the travel, letdown, spot, banged up quarterback, low time
of possession. I have zero faith that Hawaii pulls out
this game or makes it close. I think Arizona rolls
in this one, even though they're missing their best player
from last year. McMillan, being, you know, one of the
top draft picks in the NFL, I'm gonna lay a

(06:04):
lot of points here. These are my two biggest points
spreads that I'm laying Arizona. It's a seventeen and a
half AND's gonna we're gonna go Indiana minus twenty three
and a half versus Old Dominion, And look, I'm not
gonna I didn't forget that Old Dominion snuck up on
South Carolina in the opener of last year. I didn't
forget that, like I understand that that is a point.

(06:26):
Ricky Ronnie had those guys ready to go. Coach Sig,
I mean, seven of the eleven wins that they had
last year were more than twenty four points. This spread
right now is twenty three and a half. It might
balloon up on Friday twenty four and a half. We'll see.

Speaker 1 (06:43):
I I don't really care.

Speaker 2 (06:46):
I just think I think Indiana is a much much,
much better team than Old Dominion. I think they're very
disciplined as well. Coach Sig always uh you know, has
preached that his team ranked first and all those official
and c metrics and PFF grades and all that stuff
from last year. They and you know, obviously you lose

(07:08):
Kurtish Wark, but they brought him in Dozing from Cal
great quarterback option, one of the top you know, draft
picks on a lot of mock boards and all that stuff.
He's after like that top group right now, and he
has a room to improve. They have a lot of
returning production. They're in the thirties and returning production on
both sides of the ball, and brought in good transfers
on both sides of the ball as well. I just
think they're a much much stronger team going into Week one,

(07:29):
and you know, look, week one, we just don't know
a lot. I have more bets on here than I
thought I was going to have, but it's Week one.
Things are new. Were learning a lot of things about
these teams. So that's why I like some of these
lopsided games. I think maybe we're not giving some of
these favorites enough points. Let's lay Kentucky minus nine and
a half for Toledo. I don't like this as much

(07:50):
as I liked it earlier when it was seven and
a half. Eight and a half, but nine and a
half I think is still pretty good. Like Toledo's a
good team, They're a good MAC team. They're the first
roster strength in the MAC. But Kentucky maybe a bottom
feeder in the SEC, but that does not make them
a bottom feeder nationally by any stretch of the imagination.

(08:11):
And they're eight to no against the MAC under Mark Stoops.
So I just don't see this. I don't see this
game being as close as some people are making it.
And our boy Seth Wilcock, he loves Toledo. I think
he has a ticket for them to win. The MAC
and you know, we don't typically disagree that much, but

(08:33):
he's on He's on the Toledo side. Toledo's a good
team in Kentucky had some embarrassing games last year. They
had one of the worst performances I've ever seen my
life in a college team last year when they played
South Carolina.

Speaker 1 (08:44):
I don't know if they were all hungover or what.

Speaker 2 (08:46):
That game was early in the morning, and they got
absolutely massacred by South Carolina. And then they show up
against Georgia, which is just so strange.

Speaker 1 (08:55):
You know, this team was.

Speaker 2 (08:56):
Very bipolar last year. Zak Calzata is coming in from
Incarnate Word. Yes he burned out a couple times before,
but he went Incarnate Word got some confidence. I think
they're gonna roll in this game. They need this game
too if they want to make a bowl game. There's
not many wins on their SEC schedule. They got to
get to six. I counted it up yesterday. I think
there's four there for sure. They're gonna have to win

(09:20):
two wildcards, and I counted this as a for sure.
I don't know if it's for sure, but I do
think they should win this game going away. If they
played the best of their ability, and it's Week one.
Maybe they don't so, but I'm laying the points that
I'm taking the Wildcats Alabama minus thirteen and a half
at FSU. That's kind of browbeat into this one. Like FSU,
their roster strength is good, but they just do not

(09:43):
match up well here right bringing in a new OC
bringing Tommy Castillanos. Like Castellanos, I'm used to knick Castalanos Castianos,
but I just they're gonna run the ball a lot
and Alabama has traditionally been a team that you can
cannot run the ball on. And I don't think they're
gonna have a lot of success. They are at home,

(10:04):
should be it should be an interesting game, but what
is Florida's they gonna be? Right, I don't think they're
gonna be that much better. They're not gonna be They're
not gonna be good enough to beat this team to
lose by less than fourteen points to Alabama. I think
Tommy Castillanos Castellanos is going to have some issues especially

(10:28):
after you know, Terrell made the point on the Wednesday show.
He opened his mouth, he gave them bolton board material
at the ACC Media Day, not a smart decision to
make young man. So I would love to see him
pull it off and you know, in an upset and
we would be It'd be the opposite way app in
Florida State last year, right, they lose to Georgia Tech
and Ireland. This year, if they beat Alabama, would be

(10:49):
the absolute opposite. I don't see it happening. I think
Alabama's passing game, in their offensive efficiency is going to
be better.

Speaker 1 (11:00):
Right, it was a little static with Milroe. He was very, very.

Speaker 2 (11:03):
Athletic, unbelievably good and possesses all the tools to be
a great quarterback. I think he just needed reps. I
don't know that he had enough to be starting for
Alabama last year, which is kind of crazy when in
the NFL Draft to the Seattle Seahawks. So yeah, I
just think Ty Sampson's going to come in here and
make this team better passing team. You know, obviously they

(11:26):
ran a lot last year. It's just going to look different.
But got to get Ryan Williams ball a bunch. I
think they're going to be able to do that. And
I think Alabama roles no no pun intended. Let's go
to Tennessee minus thirteen and a half for Syracuse.

Speaker 3 (11:38):
This is.

Speaker 2 (11:40):
Absolutely about the fact that Syracuse lost way, way, way
too much to I feel like, be very competitive in
this game. Yes, Tennessee did lose Nico Yamalaiava, you know,
late in the process.

Speaker 1 (11:56):
He was their quarterback.

Speaker 2 (11:57):
But they brought in a guy and Joey Aguilar that
started a ton of games and has a pretty good
track record coming over from app State, and now he
has SEC level weapons, so I think he's gonna be
pretty strong. Syracuse is one of those teams that can
bowl up in the ACC and look good every once
in a while, but then they go right back down
to obscurity, and I think we might be seeing that,

(12:18):
Like Steve Angeli had a good drive for Notre Dame
when Ray Leonard got hurt at the end of that half.
You know, I'm not saying it's an impossibility for Syracuse
to be good enough to win a Bowl or you know,
maybe a little bit better than that, but I don't
think it's gonna happen week one, not against Tennessee on

(12:42):
the road. I just think that this team is going
to need a little bit of time to build because
you lose, you know, you lose your quarterback, you lose
you're starting running back, you lose your number one wide receiver,
you lose your tight end in Gadsden, right, like, the
biggest pieces of what made this team a success last
year are gone. So I just don't have a lot
of faith in Syracuse. And I don't you know, I

(13:03):
think Tennessee is pretty middling for an SEC team, but
I think they're way way better than Syracuse. So I'll
lay the points and I'll take the volunteers last one
the two lane minus four and a half versus Northwestern,
And I know this one has bet the opposite a
lot of people taking Northwestern. They brought in Preston Stone,
so it should be much better. At quarterback. Roster's strength

(13:25):
is pretty even. Obviously Northwestern is a power forward team,
but they have they're about twenty spots below tu lane.
But you know, Tulane losing Tempire brought in Chake retz Laugh,
who got another guy late in the process, right, And
that's I think that's why we're getting this Northwestern kick
is because rets Laugh showed up way late in the process.

(13:46):
Should be the quarterback here for Tulane. He has a
lot of experience at BYU. He obviously broke a school
rule and that is why he is no longer at BYU.
So but Tulane gives him a good opportunity. And Northwestern,
I don't know, they're just they're a perennial bottom feeder
in the power for you know, very high education school

(14:09):
football is lacking a little bit. There.

Speaker 1 (14:12):
I got some props for you too.

Speaker 2 (14:13):
But before we go there, if you would like to
track all of your wagers in one place, check out
the Betting Pros Picktracker. It syncs up your sportsbook to
tell you which picks hit and which miss. Plus, it
gives you a live look at what public at what
the public is doing, so you can use real time
tracking to determine which plays to make and which to fade.

(14:34):
Track your picks today with the Betting Pros Picktracker at
Bettingpros dot com, slash tracking on the Betting Pros app.
All right, I got three at each position for you,
so nine total here. My running back ones are all touchdowns,
but my first propovers We're gonna go right back to
Joey Aguilard. This is a low total that they have

(14:54):
on him, two hundred and thirteen and a half passing
yard Toledos secondary is good. It is pretty good, but
that is a low number for a Tennessee team, specifically
if the defense just stomps a MAC team into oblivion here.
I mean this is a very good defense. They are
replacing some pieces on the line. Obviously, Pierce Norman lot
gone in the NFL draft, but I think he can

(15:17):
fly over this. I told you I hate Hawaii. Two
hundred and sixty two and a half passing yards for Fefida.
I mean, the guy started a million games at Arizona,
so I just have no faith in Hawaii whatsoever. I
think FAFIDA can sail over that pretty quick. And Carson
Beck over half an interception versus Notre Dame. We got
our one last week as well. Let's go back to

(15:37):
the interception. Well, and just I mean Notre Dame's defense
is so strong, I think Carson Beck could easily throw
a pick. Running back touchdowns, here we go, Nick Singleton
over half a rushing touchdown, Jonah Coleman, Justice Hayes. These
are three lead backs that are all definitely going to
get a touchdown against some weak opponents. I just I

(15:57):
think these are the most likely running backs to score.
I tripled it up in a parlay, so that's how
I would do it. Wide receivers, let's go Josh Cameron,
the Baylor wide out over fifty five and a half
receiving yards versus Auburn.

Speaker 1 (16:10):
This is your number one wide receiver.

Speaker 2 (16:11):
I think Auburn is going to win this game, so
I think Baylor's gonna have to play catch up at
some point and pass the ball a decent amount at
Josh Cameron should be their number one Texas A and
M wide receiver. Yes, I'm a long Horns fan, but
I'll bet on an Aggie Casey conceptionon comes over from
NC State this year over fifty one and a half
receiving yards versus UTSA, so lower level opponent. I think

(16:33):
Conception can easily go over that. And Nick Harbor, who
now becomes a number one in South Carolina Leonora's sellers.
They're playing vo Text's. You know, that's a good matchup.
That's gonna be a fun game to watch. We're gonna
go over twenty four and a half on the longest
reception for him, and he hit this in three of
the last four games he played. And if you know
anything about Nick Harbor. He's a Feldman freak six' five

(16:54):
gigantic you, KNOW dk metcalf clone with more. Speed he
is going to be a lot of fun to watch
with sellers this, year AND i, think you, know in
the opening, WEEK i think they're going to rely on
him a decent. Amount he should be the number one
one receiver, Here so let's go with him to catch
a big one over twenty four and a half and

(17:15):
that is going to be it for. ME i appreciate
you guys, listening love. It if you, know follow me
or fade, ME i understand. It we will be back
next week to give you our results and some more
picks and props for week. Two so good luck And
i'll see you guys In take it, easy.

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