November 14, 2025 • 19 mins
Join our resident College Football connoisseur Scott Bogman as he brings you his favorite bets and props for Week 12 of the 2025 college football season!
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Intro - 0:00:00
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Week 11 Recap - 0:00:36
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Prop Bets - 0:10:13
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Outro - 0:17:43
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
What's going on everybody? Scott bog gonna hear for Betting
Pros to give you my favorite picks and props for
Week twelve of the college football season. Before we dive
into the action, let me remind you, guys, if you
are looking to up your game in sports betting, you
can join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros
dot com slash chat. Not only can you connect with
expert handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL,
(00:24):
player props, live betting, and more, but now you can
also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote
and see how your picks stack up against the experts
and track your success all right. Week eleven not great
on the picks three and seven props pretty good. Seven
and three bring us to fifty two and fifty five
on the picks, fifty seven and fifty two on the props.
(00:46):
So two games over five hundred. Again reviewing what happened
with the picks, Duh Penn State team total under sixteen
and a half. Nope, twenty seven to twenty four was
a final on that game Mississippi SI plus five and
a half. First half Forst. Georgia. Nope, twenty forty seven
at first half. We did get Texas A and M
at Missouri over forty eight and a half. That was
(01:08):
thirty eight to seventeen. Was the final auburnteine total under
nineteen and a half at Vanderbilt and they scored thirty eight.
Hugh Freeze must have been the problem there. The hard
rock bet of the week, This one crushed me. Washington
minus eleven and a half. They lost straight out to
Wisconsin thirteen to ten. We had seen Washington play bad
on the road before I took it for they were
(01:29):
playing really good teams on the road. I guess they're
just bad on the road. Wisconsin has not been good
all year. I did say they were fighting, they had
not given up, and obviously that was true. But I
did not expect this in the slightest so I was
very shocked that this happened. Florida minus three and a
half at Kentucky. You want to talk about shocked thirty
eight to seven. Kentucky was the final in this game,
(01:52):
so they lost by thirty one points on the road,
and Florida is on absolute quit watch. That will come
up later Ohio State at Purdue under forty eight and
a half. We got that, didn't get the Purdue team
total under eight and a half. They scored a late
touchdown after only having a field goal for the whole game.
Ohio States defense clearly did not care it was the
(02:14):
end of the game. They just wanted to go home.
They won that game thirty four to ten, so didn't
get the under on the Purdue team total, so split
that one one in one. Virginia minus six and a
half versus wake Forest. They lost to wake Forest straight
out sixteen to nine, but it was because Chandler Morris,
the quarterback, got hurt and left early. I think if
Chaldla Morris playd they win that game. But wake Forest
(02:34):
defense is nasty, so big ups to them for the win.
And West Virginia minus six versus Colorado. They ended up
winning this game twenty nine to twenty two, but Colorado
was coming back fast and furious at the end, making
me sweat. So but we did get that that game.
The props were great seven and three. Like I said,
we got all but one of our touchdown calls. Did
(02:55):
not get West Virginia running back to ra Hubbard and
the end zone, but Bog got in there, a Hardy
got in there. Jeremiah Smith and Skyler Bell all scored.
West Virginia quarterback Scottie Foxx over half a passing touchdown
he had one, didn't get Malik Washington over one and
a half. He had a real bad day passing, but
really good day running, but he only had the one
(03:15):
passing touchdown, didn't get the two. I was wrong about
Auburn and their offense. Ashton Daniels did not throw a pick.
He looked great, and they really opened it up and
looked good. I mean, they've always had the horses this year,
but they just haven't had the quarterback. And obviously the
play calling switch was huge for them. LG running back
Harlan Berry over forty five and a half rushing receiving
(03:37):
yards he had sixty six. All good there at Alabama
and wide receiver TCU wide receiver Eric mccowser over eighty
and a half. He had one hundred and seven. So
good game against Iowa State for him. So, like I said,
seven and three on the props, three and seven on
the picks, let's go into the week twelve picks. Now
I have streamlined them because I wasn't so good last week.
(04:01):
I added a couple props, dreamlined a couple picks to
go where the trend has been going for me. But
the first game we're going to take is Penn State
minus seven and a half at Michigan State. Michigan State
has massive problems. Obviously they have off the field stuff
with these vacated wins and everything, but really just on
the field, I think Penn State found something against Indiana.
(04:22):
Right they started throwing the ball downfield vertically look great.
It opened up the run game for them, and they
were in that game against Indiana. They haven't been a
good team all year at Michigan State. Michigan State's having
issues a quarterback. They're playing musical chairs there. They're splitting
first team reps with their quarterbacks. They haven't played great
defense all year. I think this version of Penn State
(04:46):
can win out and still get to a ball. I
think they're going to make that their goal, and I
think they beat Michigan State going away. Now, there is
projected to be some wind in this game, but it
looks like it's going to be just under a threshold
of fifteen miles per hour with you know, some gust.
So let's wait till late Friday early Saturday to make
(05:07):
this bet. Right, Let's check the weather report and see
what it looks like. Because if it's crazy, win, I
don't trust anything in it. So let's just wait and
pump the brakes. But make sure that the weather is
clear in that game. You know how the weather is
this time of year. It changes every five minutes. Ol
Miss minus fourteen versus Florida. Florida's quit, They're done, and
(05:27):
Lane Kiffin has incentive to run this score up because
he's been connected to this Florida job. It's either a hey,
I want this job, this is why, or I don't
want your stupid job, and I'm going to do this
to you no matter who's coaching there. Right So, I
think that ole Miss was shambless in this offense and
this defense and just the way they do things. I
(05:48):
think they are going to beat down a Florida team
that looks like they are absolutely quitting on this season
right now. Texas versus Georgia over forty nine and a half.
I know this is in a popular bet, I get it,
but Georgia has been scoring, their offense has been good,
and their defense has not been great in every game
(06:09):
this year, specifically Tennessee. That game they were really bad.
And Texas offense is coming alive the last two weeks.
Arch Is thrown for over seven hundred yards in the
last two games that Texas has played. The offensive line
has given him time. Georgia doesn't pressure the quarterback very well,
one hundred and twenty eighth in pass rush grade, very
low in sacks total across the country. Their coverage grade
(06:33):
is below average. Their statistical pass coverage is just above average.
So give Texas two weeks to prepare for that, I
think they're going to be able to score. We've also
seen Texas defense not play well. They were horrible in
the first half against Mississippi State, horrible in the second
half against Vanderbilt. Last couple games, they have not put
a complete defensive game plan together. So it doesn't mean
(06:54):
they can't, right, But I think both these teams score.
I think Wingo is gonna have a pretty good game.
More on that a little bit later, but I think
that arch is gonna have a decent game as well.
I think Stockton is gonna have a good game. Georgia
seems to have Texas numbers, So I don't really want
to bet. I know a lot of people taking Texas
on the as far as the side, I'm not gonna
(07:15):
do that. Kirby Smart has beat Texas twice last year,
so we're gonna wait. We'll play the over in this game.
Another over A team total over for North Texas at UAB.
They have hit this in five of nine games this year.
UAB is one hundred and thirty first in scoring defense.
North Texas is second in scoring offense forty four point
(07:37):
two points per game. They're averaging more than this forty
two and a half. Now. UAB has played well at home.
They played great against Memphis and beat them. Even if
they beat North Texas, it's going to be a very
high scoring game. If that's the case, North Texas will
be scoring a lot of points in this game. Regardless
(07:57):
winner lose, something weird happens, they're gonna be points. This
is not Navy that they're playing UNC. Team total under
sixteen and a half at wake Forest. UNC is one
hundred and twenty third in scoring. Wake Forest is thirtieth
in scoring defense. There's nothing special, like they haven't woken
up and found anything. North Carolina. They beat a really
(08:19):
really hurt Syracuse team twenty seven to ten, and then
they beat Stanford. I think it was twenty to fifteen.
These are still bad offensive performances, like you beat a
limping in Syracuse team and a bad Stanford team. I
don't think they're gonna hang in this game with wake
Forest at all. I don't really trust wake Forest offense,
(08:39):
so I don't want to lay aside on this, but
I do trust that defense to hold UNC under sixteen
and a half. So we're gonna We're gonna bet on it.
BYU minus three and a half first TCU. I know
I'm opposite of the public here, and I think a
lot of people think that this BYU magic is dead
because they lost to Texas Tech. Right maybe TCU also
(09:00):
played pretty good rushing defense this year, and BYU runs
the ball lot that would be a problem, but in
their losses they have given up a lot of rushing
yards TCU, and I think that's gonna happen here. Again,
it's the line. The on line is very very physical
for BYU. I think that Uh. It's also a night
(09:20):
game in Provo, which gets real weird. UH nine start
locally for TCU is a pretty late game in Dallas.
So I just don't like this game for TCU at all.
I think BYU gets back on the horse and wins
this game. We do have one more, but that is
going to be the game we say for the hard
(09:41):
rock bet of the Week. I remind you guys, if
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Premium by using code Juice Juice and activating your trial
on the upgrade screen. All right, going to the props.
Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State easy one.
I mean, Avery Johnson keeps getting in the end zone.
Oklahoma States defense has been bad, should be a higher
(10:24):
scoring game. Their offense has been playing better recently, But
we're gonna go with Avery Johnson getting the end zone.
Jeff Simms Arizona State quarterback versus West Virginia. This is
going to be a trend. I've liked some running backs
or some quarterbacks. Excuse me. This week, West Virginia better
home team, and we saw a lot a lot of
running from Arizona State. Jordan Tyson's still down. I think
(10:45):
that this is a good one for Jeff Simms to
get in the end zone. We have to go to
two rushing touchdowns for Haines King because one is no
longer available because he scored in every game. They're at
Boston College. Boston College is another team that's probably on
quit watch. Here is gonna roll over this team as
long as this is in an overlook, I don't think
it is. I don't think Georgia Tech is that type
(11:05):
of a team, so I think they are rolling downhill
and Haynes King gets in the end zone twice. Washington
is playing at home, so they're much better. They're also
playing Purdue, who is really bad on defense. So I
think Jonah Coleman could get in the end zone. We've
hit on him a couple times picking him for a
touchdown this year, and I'm gonna go on a tight
end here. Lsu tight end Tredez Green versus Arkansas. Arkansas
(11:28):
defense is not good. LSU did have nuss Meyer play,
and this is just he's such a massive human. He
is such a red zone threat. I think he can
easily get in against Arkansas. All right, a couple more
here for you. We're gonna go TCU quarterback Josh Hoover
over half an interception at Baylor. Like I said, late
(11:49):
weird night game, he had two last week for Hoover
BYU was tied for seventh interceptions with twelve. They just
passed the ball a lot. By. He's been really good
getting after the quarterback and playing in coverage, so I
think they can get a pick here. Arizona State running
back Rayleag Brown over eighty and a half rushing yards
versus West Virginia. He's had fifteen plus carries in five
of eight games. There's still no Kyson Brown. ASU using
(12:13):
those RPOs with Jeff Simms and UCF smoked West Virginia
for two hundred and fifty five. Utah got him for
two hundred and forty two. There's just going to be
a lot of rushing yards to go round for anybody
that wants them. For Arizona State against West Virginia. Missouri
running back a Mode Hardy over one hundred and a
half rushing yards for Mississippi State. Mississippi State has allowed
(12:33):
a one hundred plus yard rusher in four of their
last five games. The only game they didn't was that
game against Texas. They played great run defense in that game,
but in the second half Texas had to pass to
come back. They were not running. So I think that
this is a pretty easy one to hit with Hardy.
He's been great all year. LC running back Harlan Berry
over fifty seven and a half yards rushing yards versus Arkansas.
(12:54):
We're going back to the well on this one. He's
getting just over eleven carries a game the last three
games and has cleared this total in two straight. ARKI
is one hundred and eighteenth and rushing Yart's allowed per
game rough for Arkansas. Duke wide receiver Cooper Barcade over
seventy and a half receiving yards versus UVA, forty two targets,
(13:16):
twenty nine catches, four hundred and fifteen yards, and two
touchdowns over his last four games. It's over ten targets
per game. Duke passes at a sixty point seven percent clip.
Chandler Morris is looking like he's going to play in
this game. I'd say that kind of. He just hasn't
cleared all the concussion protocol, but he was back working
on the side at practice. He feels good. I think
(13:37):
he's gonna pass him play, So this should turn in
to a nice shootout game for us, and I think
Barcatti can get there. And I'm gonna go with my
boy Ryan Wingo over fifty eight and a half receiving
yards at Georgia. He's back from the thumb injury the
two games before that one hundred and eighty four eighty
nine yards. I think he can easily get this. Usually
is fifty eighth in passing yards allowed, but eighty third
(13:57):
in coverage grades, so we can definitely get this one here.
All right, Before I get to the hard Rock Bet
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Speaker 1 (15:50):
All Right, our hard rock bet of the week is
going to be Utah minus seven and a half at Baylor.
Baylor is getting bet on a lot this week. I
was kind of surprised by that. So they're at home,
but I honestly think that's the only good thing that
they have in this game. Utah is an upper echelon
(16:11):
Big twelve team Baylor's. They have the talent to be
an upper echelon team. They haven't gotten there. Specifically on defense,
I think this game is going to be one on
the line of scrimmage on both sides for Utah, and Look,
stepping into this game, it's just not a good matchup
(16:32):
the things that Baylor does well passing and stopping the
run or stopping the pass, passing and stopping the pass.
Utah stops the pass and they run the ball very well.
So their powers match up with the weaknesses of Baylor.
It's just not a good matchup for Baylor at all.
(16:53):
I think that, you know, look, with a good offense,
you're in every game. So that's why this number isn't
better bigger excuse me, but I do think that the
offensive line for Utah, specifically against the defense, I think
they're gonna hold the ball. I think they're gonna run
the ball. He keep the ball away from Sawyer Robinson,
and when he has to come in he will panic.
(17:14):
He will throw some interceptions. So I just think that
Utah is gonna dominate this game. It's the offensive line.
They have two tackles that are grated top fifty right
now in PFF's big Board. I think that they are
going to run Downhill. I think they're gonna own line
of scrimmage, and I think they're gonna beat Baylor down
in their own house. So that is going to be
(17:35):
the hard rock better of the week. It's two weeks
in a row. I'm taking a road team, but I
really like Utah this week to beat town Baylor. So
to review everything that we've got for you, obviously, Utah
minus seven and a half at Baylor is a hard
rock bet of the week. We're going Penn State minus
seven and a half at Michigan State, Ole Miss minus
fourteen versus Florida, Texas Georgia over forty nine and a half.
(17:56):
North Texas team total over forty two and a half
at UAB UNC team total under sixteen and a half
at Wake Forest, and BYU minus three and a half
at home against TCU are props. We've got touchdowns for
Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State, Jeff Simms versus West Virginia.
We're going too for Haines King at Boston College, one
for Jonah Coleman versus Purdue, and Trey des Green versus Arkansas.
(18:20):
The other bets we have, we're going over half an
interception for Josh Hoover against BYU. Over eighty and a
half rushing yards for Real Leake Brown, over one hundred
and a half rushing yards for Amad Hardy, over fifty
seven and a half rushing yards for Harlem Barry, over
seventy and a half receiving yards for Cooper Barcade, and
over fifty eight and a half receiving yards for Ryan Wingo.
That is going to wrap it up for me. You
(18:42):
can follow me at Bogman Sports. Good luck and I
will see y'all next week. Take it easy, everybody.
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What's going on everybody? Scott bog gonna hear for Betting
Pros to give you my favorite picks and props for
Week twelve of the college football season. Before we dive
into the action, let me remind you, guys, if you
are looking to up your game in sports betting, you
can join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros
dot com slash chat. Not only can you connect with
expert handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL,
(00:24):
player props, live betting, and more, but now you can
also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote
and see how your picks stack up against the experts
and track your success all right. Week eleven not great
on the picks three and seven props pretty good. Seven
and three bring us to fifty two and fifty five
on the picks, fifty seven and fifty two on the props.
(00:46):
So two games over five hundred. Again reviewing what happened
with the picks, Duh Penn State team total under sixteen
and a half. Nope, twenty seven to twenty four was
a final on that game Mississippi SI plus five and
a half. First half Forst. Georgia. Nope, twenty forty seven
at first half. We did get Texas A and M
at Missouri over forty eight and a half. That was
(01:08):
thirty eight to seventeen. Was the final auburnteine total under
nineteen and a half at Vanderbilt and they scored thirty eight.
Hugh Freeze must have been the problem there. The hard
rock bet of the week, This one crushed me. Washington
minus eleven and a half. They lost straight out to
Wisconsin thirteen to ten. We had seen Washington play bad
on the road before I took it for they were
(01:29):
playing really good teams on the road. I guess they're
just bad on the road. Wisconsin has not been good
all year. I did say they were fighting, they had
not given up, and obviously that was true. But I
did not expect this in the slightest so I was
very shocked that this happened. Florida minus three and a
half at Kentucky. You want to talk about shocked thirty
eight to seven. Kentucky was the final in this game,
(01:52):
so they lost by thirty one points on the road,
and Florida is on absolute quit watch. That will come
up later Ohio State at Purdue under forty eight and
a half. We got that, didn't get the Purdue team
total under eight and a half. They scored a late
touchdown after only having a field goal for the whole game.
Ohio States defense clearly did not care it was the
(02:14):
end of the game. They just wanted to go home.
They won that game thirty four to ten, so didn't
get the under on the Purdue team total, so split
that one one in one. Virginia minus six and a
half versus wake Forest. They lost to wake Forest straight
out sixteen to nine, but it was because Chandler Morris,
the quarterback, got hurt and left early. I think if
Chaldla Morris playd they win that game. But wake Forest
(02:34):
defense is nasty, so big ups to them for the win.
And West Virginia minus six versus Colorado. They ended up
winning this game twenty nine to twenty two, but Colorado
was coming back fast and furious at the end, making
me sweat. So but we did get that that game.
The props were great seven and three. Like I said,
we got all but one of our touchdown calls. Did
(02:55):
not get West Virginia running back to ra Hubbard and
the end zone, but Bog got in there, a Hardy
got in there. Jeremiah Smith and Skyler Bell all scored.
West Virginia quarterback Scottie Foxx over half a passing touchdown
he had one, didn't get Malik Washington over one and
a half. He had a real bad day passing, but
really good day running, but he only had the one
(03:15):
passing touchdown, didn't get the two. I was wrong about
Auburn and their offense. Ashton Daniels did not throw a pick.
He looked great, and they really opened it up and
looked good. I mean, they've always had the horses this year,
but they just haven't had the quarterback. And obviously the
play calling switch was huge for them. LG running back
Harlan Berry over forty five and a half rushing receiving
(03:37):
yards he had sixty six. All good there at Alabama
and wide receiver TCU wide receiver Eric mccowser over eighty
and a half. He had one hundred and seven. So
good game against Iowa State for him. So, like I said,
seven and three on the props, three and seven on
the picks, let's go into the week twelve picks. Now
I have streamlined them because I wasn't so good last week.
(04:01):
I added a couple props, dreamlined a couple picks to
go where the trend has been going for me. But
the first game we're going to take is Penn State
minus seven and a half at Michigan State. Michigan State
has massive problems. Obviously they have off the field stuff
with these vacated wins and everything, but really just on
the field, I think Penn State found something against Indiana.
(04:22):
Right they started throwing the ball downfield vertically look great.
It opened up the run game for them, and they
were in that game against Indiana. They haven't been a
good team all year at Michigan State. Michigan State's having
issues a quarterback. They're playing musical chairs there. They're splitting
first team reps with their quarterbacks. They haven't played great
defense all year. I think this version of Penn State
(04:46):
can win out and still get to a ball. I
think they're going to make that their goal, and I
think they beat Michigan State going away. Now, there is
projected to be some wind in this game, but it
looks like it's going to be just under a threshold
of fifteen miles per hour with you know, some gust.
So let's wait till late Friday early Saturday to make
(05:07):
this bet. Right, Let's check the weather report and see
what it looks like. Because if it's crazy, win, I
don't trust anything in it. So let's just wait and
pump the brakes. But make sure that the weather is
clear in that game. You know how the weather is
this time of year. It changes every five minutes. Ol
Miss minus fourteen versus Florida. Florida's quit, They're done, and
(05:27):
Lane Kiffin has incentive to run this score up because
he's been connected to this Florida job. It's either a hey,
I want this job, this is why, or I don't
want your stupid job, and I'm going to do this
to you no matter who's coaching there. Right So, I
think that ole Miss was shambless in this offense and
this defense and just the way they do things. I
(05:48):
think they are going to beat down a Florida team
that looks like they are absolutely quitting on this season
right now. Texas versus Georgia over forty nine and a half.
I know this is in a popular bet, I get it,
but Georgia has been scoring, their offense has been good,
and their defense has not been great in every game
(06:09):
this year, specifically Tennessee. That game they were really bad.
And Texas offense is coming alive the last two weeks.
Arch Is thrown for over seven hundred yards in the
last two games that Texas has played. The offensive line
has given him time. Georgia doesn't pressure the quarterback very well,
one hundred and twenty eighth in pass rush grade, very
low in sacks total across the country. Their coverage grade
(06:33):
is below average. Their statistical pass coverage is just above average.
So give Texas two weeks to prepare for that, I
think they're going to be able to score. We've also
seen Texas defense not play well. They were horrible in
the first half against Mississippi State, horrible in the second
half against Vanderbilt. Last couple games, they have not put
a complete defensive game plan together. So it doesn't mean
(06:54):
they can't, right, But I think both these teams score.
I think Wingo is gonna have a pretty good game.
More on that a little bit later, but I think
that arch is gonna have a decent game as well.
I think Stockton is gonna have a good game. Georgia
seems to have Texas numbers, So I don't really want
to bet. I know a lot of people taking Texas
on the as far as the side, I'm not gonna
(07:15):
do that. Kirby Smart has beat Texas twice last year,
so we're gonna wait. We'll play the over in this game.
Another over A team total over for North Texas at UAB.
They have hit this in five of nine games this year.
UAB is one hundred and thirty first in scoring defense.
North Texas is second in scoring offense forty four point
(07:37):
two points per game. They're averaging more than this forty
two and a half. Now. UAB has played well at home.
They played great against Memphis and beat them. Even if
they beat North Texas, it's going to be a very
high scoring game. If that's the case, North Texas will
be scoring a lot of points in this game. Regardless
(07:57):
winner lose, something weird happens, they're gonna be points. This
is not Navy that they're playing UNC. Team total under
sixteen and a half at wake Forest. UNC is one
hundred and twenty third in scoring. Wake Forest is thirtieth
in scoring defense. There's nothing special, like they haven't woken
up and found anything. North Carolina. They beat a really
(08:19):
really hurt Syracuse team twenty seven to ten, and then
they beat Stanford. I think it was twenty to fifteen.
These are still bad offensive performances, like you beat a
limping in Syracuse team and a bad Stanford team. I
don't think they're gonna hang in this game with wake
Forest at all. I don't really trust wake Forest offense,
(08:39):
so I don't want to lay aside on this, but
I do trust that defense to hold UNC under sixteen
and a half. So we're gonna We're gonna bet on it.
BYU minus three and a half first TCU. I know
I'm opposite of the public here, and I think a
lot of people think that this BYU magic is dead
because they lost to Texas Tech. Right maybe TCU also
(09:00):
played pretty good rushing defense this year, and BYU runs
the ball lot that would be a problem, but in
their losses they have given up a lot of rushing
yards TCU, and I think that's gonna happen here. Again,
it's the line. The on line is very very physical
for BYU. I think that Uh. It's also a night
(09:20):
game in Provo, which gets real weird. UH nine start
locally for TCU is a pretty late game in Dallas.
So I just don't like this game for TCU at all.
I think BYU gets back on the horse and wins
this game. We do have one more, but that is
going to be the game we say for the hard
(09:41):
rock bet of the Week. I remind you guys, if
you want to track your bets they accountable level up.
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you can automatically track your bets across all major sports
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(10:04):
You can get a seven day free trial Betting Pros
Premium by using code Juice Juice and activating your trial
on the upgrade screen. All right, going to the props.
Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State easy one.
I mean, Avery Johnson keeps getting in the end zone.
Oklahoma States defense has been bad, should be a higher
(10:24):
scoring game. Their offense has been playing better recently, But
we're gonna go with Avery Johnson getting the end zone.
Jeff Simms Arizona State quarterback versus West Virginia. This is
going to be a trend. I've liked some running backs
or some quarterbacks. Excuse me. This week, West Virginia better
home team, and we saw a lot a lot of
running from Arizona State. Jordan Tyson's still down. I think
(10:45):
that this is a good one for Jeff Simms to
get in the end zone. We have to go to
two rushing touchdowns for Haines King because one is no
longer available because he scored in every game. They're at
Boston College. Boston College is another team that's probably on
quit watch. Here is gonna roll over this team as
long as this is in an overlook, I don't think
it is. I don't think Georgia Tech is that type
(11:05):
of a team, so I think they are rolling downhill
and Haynes King gets in the end zone twice. Washington
is playing at home, so they're much better. They're also
playing Purdue, who is really bad on defense. So I
think Jonah Coleman could get in the end zone. We've
hit on him a couple times picking him for a
touchdown this year, and I'm gonna go on a tight
end here. Lsu tight end Tredez Green versus Arkansas. Arkansas
(11:28):
defense is not good. LSU did have nuss Meyer play,
and this is just he's such a massive human. He
is such a red zone threat. I think he can
easily get in against Arkansas. All right, a couple more
here for you. We're gonna go TCU quarterback Josh Hoover
over half an interception at Baylor. Like I said, late
(11:49):
weird night game, he had two last week for Hoover
BYU was tied for seventh interceptions with twelve. They just
passed the ball a lot. By. He's been really good
getting after the quarterback and playing in coverage, so I
think they can get a pick here. Arizona State running
back Rayleag Brown over eighty and a half rushing yards
versus West Virginia. He's had fifteen plus carries in five
of eight games. There's still no Kyson Brown. ASU using
(12:13):
those RPOs with Jeff Simms and UCF smoked West Virginia
for two hundred and fifty five. Utah got him for
two hundred and forty two. There's just going to be
a lot of rushing yards to go round for anybody
that wants them. For Arizona State against West Virginia. Missouri
running back a Mode Hardy over one hundred and a
half rushing yards for Mississippi State. Mississippi State has allowed
(12:33):
a one hundred plus yard rusher in four of their
last five games. The only game they didn't was that
game against Texas. They played great run defense in that game,
but in the second half Texas had to pass to
come back. They were not running. So I think that
this is a pretty easy one to hit with Hardy.
He's been great all year. LC running back Harlan Berry
over fifty seven and a half yards rushing yards versus Arkansas.
(12:54):
We're going back to the well on this one. He's
getting just over eleven carries a game the last three
games and has cleared this total in two straight. ARKI
is one hundred and eighteenth and rushing Yart's allowed per
game rough for Arkansas. Duke wide receiver Cooper Barcade over
seventy and a half receiving yards versus UVA, forty two targets,
(13:16):
twenty nine catches, four hundred and fifteen yards, and two
touchdowns over his last four games. It's over ten targets
per game. Duke passes at a sixty point seven percent clip.
Chandler Morris is looking like he's going to play in
this game. I'd say that kind of. He just hasn't
cleared all the concussion protocol, but he was back working
on the side at practice. He feels good. I think
(13:37):
he's gonna pass him play, So this should turn in
to a nice shootout game for us, and I think
Barcatti can get there. And I'm gonna go with my
boy Ryan Wingo over fifty eight and a half receiving
yards at Georgia. He's back from the thumb injury the
two games before that one hundred and eighty four eighty
nine yards. I think he can easily get this. Usually
is fifty eighth in passing yards allowed, but eighty third
(13:57):
in coverage grades, so we can definitely get this one here.
All right, Before I get to the hard Rock Bet
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Speaker 1 (15:50):
All Right, our hard rock bet of the week is
going to be Utah minus seven and a half at Baylor.
Baylor is getting bet on a lot this week. I
was kind of surprised by that. So they're at home,
but I honestly think that's the only good thing that
they have in this game. Utah is an upper echelon
(16:11):
Big twelve team Baylor's. They have the talent to be
an upper echelon team. They haven't gotten there. Specifically on defense,
I think this game is going to be one on
the line of scrimmage on both sides for Utah, and Look,
stepping into this game, it's just not a good matchup
(16:32):
the things that Baylor does well passing and stopping the
run or stopping the pass, passing and stopping the pass.
Utah stops the pass and they run the ball very well.
So their powers match up with the weaknesses of Baylor.
It's just not a good matchup for Baylor at all.
(16:53):
I think that, you know, look, with a good offense,
you're in every game. So that's why this number isn't
better bigger excuse me, but I do think that the
offensive line for Utah, specifically against the defense, I think
they're gonna hold the ball. I think they're gonna run
the ball. He keep the ball away from Sawyer Robinson,
and when he has to come in he will panic.
(17:14):
He will throw some interceptions. So I just think that
Utah is gonna dominate this game. It's the offensive line.
They have two tackles that are grated top fifty right
now in PFF's big Board. I think that they are
going to run Downhill. I think they're gonna own line
of scrimmage, and I think they're gonna beat Baylor down
in their own house. So that is going to be
(17:35):
the hard rock better of the week. It's two weeks
in a row. I'm taking a road team, but I
really like Utah this week to beat town Baylor. So
to review everything that we've got for you, obviously, Utah
minus seven and a half at Baylor is a hard
rock bet of the week. We're going Penn State minus
seven and a half at Michigan State, Ole Miss minus
fourteen versus Florida, Texas Georgia over forty nine and a half.
(17:56):
North Texas team total over forty two and a half
at UAB UNC team total under sixteen and a half
at Wake Forest, and BYU minus three and a half
at home against TCU are props. We've got touchdowns for
Avery Johnson at Oklahoma State, Jeff Simms versus West Virginia.
We're going too for Haines King at Boston College, one
for Jonah Coleman versus Purdue, and Trey des Green versus Arkansas.
(18:20):
The other bets we have, we're going over half an
interception for Josh Hoover against BYU. Over eighty and a
half rushing yards for Real Leake Brown, over one hundred
and a half rushing yards for Amad Hardy, over fifty
seven and a half rushing yards for Harlem Barry, over
seventy and a half receiving yards for Cooper Barcade, and
over fifty eight and a half receiving yards for Ryan Wingo.
That is going to wrap it up for me. You
(18:42):
can follow me at Bogman Sports. Good luck and I
will see y'all next week. Take it easy, everybody.
Speaker 2 (18:47):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
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