September 5, 2025 • 20 mins
Join our resident College Football connoisseur Scott Bogman as he brings you his favorite bets and props for Week 2 of the 2025 college football season!
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Intro - 0:00:00
Week 1 Recap - 0:00:08
Hard Rock Bet - 0:01:27
Week 2 Best Game Bets - 0:02:31
BettingPros Discord - 0:13:26
Prop Bets - 0:13:57
BettingPros App - 0:18:29
Outro - 0:19:02
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
What's going on everybody. Scott Bagman here for betting pros
to give you my favorite picks and props for Week
two of the college football season. Looking back at last week,
here we went five and four. We got the Baylor
and over in that game Arizona minus the points, gonna
see minus points to lay minus points. Got all five
of those, then we missed four. Indiana talked about that one.
(00:24):
Process was good on that one. Results were not old
dominion with those two big runs to beat us there.
Kentucky the safety got us there. Look, I rode Bama
completely wrong on that one. Just a straight miss whift
on that one. Ucla Utah under. I mean, I just
did not think Utah would be that good on offense
(00:44):
immediately they were so good. And I missed that one
by two points. So five and four in the week,
the props were six and three. We got all three
touchdowns and I'm just gonna I'm gonna give you the
touchdowns here. We're just gonna put those together, and they
seem pretty easy right now early in the season when
some of these high ranked teams are playing some bad teams.
Then we got Aguilar Joey Aguilar, Nick harber Casey Kncepcion.
(01:07):
We missed the Beck interception Fefeita yards and Josh Cameron
by two yards. That was frustrating. But six and six
last or six and six on the season now on
the straights, nine and six on the prop so decent start.
We'll take that. You win money right now, but also
something we'll take. We're extremely excited to announce our new
(01:29):
presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet is the
only legal sportsbook in the state of Florida. It's also
available in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
and Colorado, with more sites launching all more states launching
excuse me all the time. You can also play on
hard Rock Bets online casino if you are in New
(01:49):
Jersey and as we gear up for the NFL season,
sign up for hard Rock Bet and make a five
dollar bet and you'll get one hundred and fifty dollars
in bonus bets if you win. Just head on over
to hard rock Bet, sign up and make your first
deposit today.
Speaker 2 (02:05):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida, offered by the
Seminal Hard Rock Digital LLC.
Speaker 3 (02:10):
In other states.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
Must be twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it. In Indiana, if you are somebody
you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call
one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 1 (02:30):
All right, let's get to the bets of the week
here SMU minus two and a half versus Baylor. We
are fading the public on this one. The public is
big on Baylor. What I saw in that game Auburn
versus Baylor was a defense for Baylor that was not
ready to stop running quarterback. Now, Dave Randa did speak
on the difference in running style from Jackson Arnold to
(02:52):
Kevin Jennings this week, the Baylor head coach. So obviously
there is a difference, right, Jackson Arnold sees a certain
coverage she pulls it down in rips it. Kevin Jennings
kind of buys himself time by looking for his receivers downfield.
But Kevin Jennings is more than capable of running. And
I think if you saw how ripped up this Baylor
defense was. They have two defensive linemen that are injured
(03:15):
this week as well. I just don't think that they
have that they can match Kevin Jennings. And I think
that SMU is going to design some of those runs.
You know, Kevin Jennings is a great athlete and he
can make it happen. So I think that's the difference
to me. Baylor's offense is very good. Sawyer Robertson has
hit or miss on some throws, but overall he puts
points up on the board. So I do like both
(03:37):
offenses here, but I just think it's a slight lean
towards SMU in this game. It's only two and a
half points, that's all we got to lay. They're at home.
I think we do that one. So I'm on the
SMU Mustangs this week. Number two Illinois. We're gonna lay
some points here on the road at Duke. I believe
we are fading the public in this one as well.
(03:59):
Maybe a little more even that I'm thinking. But look,
Duke is a good team. I'm not trying to bash
them or anything. Illinois has to travel there right, tough
environment to play. I think to me, the biggest thing
here is Darien Mensa and the wide receivers. For Duke
being able to beat Illinois, I just don't think that's
going to happen. The defensive backs. Illinois returns all the
(04:22):
defensive backs from last season, and they ranked first in
roster strength amongst starters in the defensive backfield. So to me,
I just I can't really I don't see Duke coming
away with this game. During Mensaw is a good quarterback.
He should improve this team a lot from last year.
But I just don't think he's going to have it
(04:43):
against a very very good squad in Illinois. So the
difference to me is going to be that Illinois secondary,
and I'm going to lean on them. I'll ole miss
minus ten and a half at Kentucky. Listen, this is
a little bit of an anger bet, right because Kentucky
hosed me last week. I think, once again I thought
the process was right. I don't know they should have
put up more points. It's at Kelsada look terrible. And
(05:03):
that's really the thing here is. And look, Kentucky does
this all the time. They play bad against an inferior
opponent and then they play good the next week or
whatever it is. You know, they just their motivation seems
to be hit or miss under Mike Stoops. So this
one might be a game that they get up for here,
but the spread is ten and a half. The thing
(05:25):
that I like about this spread, even though Ole misses
on the road here is that they just keep putting
points up on the board when they're up. You know,
this is Austin simmons first road start at all miss,
but they put up over sixty points last week, and
once they smell blood in the water, they attack. So
I just really, really really did not like what I
(05:47):
saw out of Calsada and this Kentucky offense last week.
They got twenty six percent of their yards on the
seventy nine yard dial touchdown run. It just looked bad.
And that was against a Mac defense. Now, look the
best defense the Mac for Toledo, right, but they should
not have opened so well against Kentucky, and Kentucky looked embarrassing.
On offense and if they put up that performance again
(06:09):
against an SEC defense, they're gonna get smoked. So give
me all miss, I will lay the ten and a
half here. We're gonna go under on USF and Florida.
And this is my favorite bet of the week. The
number right now, I believe is fifty six and a half.
I did see it trend. I believe it was playing
more to the over earlier in this week. Now it's
on the under. But so this line might be sinking,
(06:29):
so I just say make sure you get it before
fifty four and a half something like that. But the
reason I like this is because USF came out firing
and all the money is on USF. It seems this
week as well. I just don't want to touch the
side for two reasons. Number One, USF plays the SEC hard.
They have had a couple of games against Alabama here
(06:50):
recently where they put Alabama on notice that they were
shaky and they pushed Alabama to the brink. Didn't come
away with a win in either of those games, but
they did cover in both of them. So USF definitely
has motivation stuff they get up to play the SEC. Florida,
to me, just again, the strength is on the field
(07:11):
and the roster strength for Florida is enormous. The reason
I like the under because you see, like they played
Long Island last week, it score fifty five points by themselves,
right number one. I don't think that happens against the USF.
USF is a good G six school, very very good,
and they have LSU on the road next week. So
to me, what you want to see early in the
(07:32):
season is you get your points. You get up by
double digits, you know, maybe even you get up by
three scores, you get up by seventeen points. Let's just
say that if Florida gets up by seventeen points and
we're in the second half, I think they're gonna go
very vanilla. You don't want to put a bunch on
tape so that your opponent next week can see that
and practice for it and prepare for it. So I
(07:54):
think if Florida gets up on USF, which I think
they will, I think they run a lot. I think
they played vanilla. They burned the clock, and it's kind
of a boring game. So I'm going to go the
under on the Florida game at fifty six and a
half against South Florida. We're going to take some points
here on these next two. Fresno plus three and a
half at Oregon State. I'm going to go with the
(08:15):
under forty six and a half on this as well.
Both of these teams are run first and Fresno State
ran This is matt ends right coming over from He
was the usc OC last year, but before that he
was the head coach of South Dakota and won FCS
I think believe two FCS national championships at least one.
(08:35):
He coached there for five years as the head coach.
They made the playoffs every single year. This is a
good coach that is coming into Fresno to take over
this program, and he trimmed the fat in the summer,
very physical camp. A lot of the players talked about
how physical it was, and they looked dominant last week.
Obviously tough opponent in Kansas last week, but they looked
(08:56):
very good last week and this week playing Oregon State
is just Oregon State's a rough team right now. They
are at home here, so this is kind of gonna
be a back and forth, lower scoring game. Both these
teams are run first. Oregon State has a decent defense,
I think they'll be able to stimy Fresnoe State on
a couple drives. But I just think Fresno is gonna
(09:18):
outphysical them, and that's not something that typically happens to
Oregon State, but maybe going downhill for a couple of
seasons now, So Oregon, we're gonna take Fresno plus three
and a half and we're gonna go under this forty
six and a half because I just think there's a
lot of running and they play it close. I'm gonna
take points again. We're gonna go Yukon plus six and
a half at Syracuse. I just Yukon. Jim Moore's got
(09:40):
these guys playing well on offense. I think they're gonna
be able to keep pace with Syracuse on offense. I
have no idea whether this is going to be like
a twenty to twenty four game or if this is
gonna be like a thirty five to thirty game something
like that. I don't know if it's gonna open up
and all of that. But Syracuse look fine against Tennessee.
(10:01):
I wouldn't say they look good, but they scored some points.
But I think Yukon is gonna be able to keep
up here, So we're gonna take some points for Yukon
plus six and a half. I just I like the
way this offense is rounding in the shape. It's early
in the season and I think they're a little underestimated.
So Syracuse needs to win coming off that loss to Tennessee.
(10:22):
But they can win and Yukon can look impressive. At
the same time, all we got to do is not
lose by a touchdown. So let's go with Yukon plus
the six and a half. I'm gonna go with the
under on WKU at Toledo. It's fifty nine and a half,
so almost sixty points here, and I believe it was
over sixty just a couple of days ago. But this
is because of what I saw Toledo do to Kentucky.
(10:44):
You know, Kentucky is not a good offense. They looked bad,
but Toledo looked very, very good. They looked strong enough
to stop this offense. That brought in a lot of changes.
And Calzata was good last year at Incarnate Word. He
had thirty five touchdowns and nine picks. In this game,
he threw a pick, only had eighty five yards passing.
(11:05):
Toledo shut these guys down and this is a passing
attack from WKU. I just think in this one that
this Toledo defense is going to match up fairly well.
And I think Toledo controls the pace of this game
is really what it ends up with. You know, WKU
hasn't been challenged. They look good so far. Maverick McIver
(11:28):
has looked great, but you know, they just have not
been challenged at all. They played Sam Houston State and
then an FCS school, So I am just not very
excited yet. From what I see from WKU high flying offense,
they can get it done, but against Toledo is just
I think too big of a step too early in
the season for WKU. I think Toledo controls the pace
(11:50):
of this game. I think we see a lot of
running in a lot of defense. So let's go with
the under on that one. And last one I will
pick for you this one. I was talking to a listener.
We were talking about some of these gigantic spreads, right,
the massive spreads like Texas. He was talking about Texas
and Clemson in particular, and the fact that these two
(12:13):
teams were embarrassed on national television and wanting to make
a statement my guy Dan I was talking to and
I went, Okay, I understand your thought process there, but
what I want to do, especially in these games. You know,
Texas is playing in San Jose State and Clemson is
playing Troy right way outmatch these teams, and I said, well,
(12:37):
I think what I would rather do is take a
total on that team, Like you want to see them
put points on the board. They want to establish their
offense and look good because they were embarrassed last week.
So just get a little confidence back, prove that you
can do it. The spread for Clemson, I believe is
thirty one and a half against Troy, but their team
total is forty one and a half. Let's just take
(12:59):
that get back door. So if we get to forty
two points, we can't lose this one. You can get
up to fifty points. And if you put an all
freshmen in the fourth quarter because you're stomping this team
in the ground, they let up a couple of touchdowns,
you get back door on that can't get back door
on a team total. So we will go forty one
and a half points four Clemson in this game against Troy,
I think they can make it happen and you erase
(13:21):
a little bit of the harshness of that loss from
last week. Before we go to the props here, are
you looking to up your game in sports betting? Join
our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot com
slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert handicappers
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you can also participate in our weekly community picks. You
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it today at bettingpros dot com slash chat. All right,
let's go to the props here. I've got five touchdown
calls for you. Now, that's a lot of touchdown calls. Right.
They're all running backs, They're all number one running backs,
(14:07):
and they all are in mismatches in my opinion this week.
So but if you put them all I got, I
believe it was four point three on this So four
point three return Oregon running back No Whittington against Okay State.
I just think Mike Gundy is having a rough time
at Oklahoma State right now. I think Oregon's gonna dominate
(14:29):
this game. I think he's gonna score a touchdown. Nate Fraser, Georgia.
They're playing OSSIPA. I think he easily scores a touchdown.
Only two bets were available for that game as far
as player props, and that was one of them. LSU
running back Kitan Durham over half of rushing. These are
all rushing, moor receiving. You can get either side. They're
playing Louisiana Tech. I think he easily scores.
Speaker 3 (14:51):
LJ.
Speaker 1 (14:51):
Martin for BYU. They're playing Stanford. We saw how miserable
Stanford was against Hawaii a couple of weeks ago. Defense
is is not good. And then Minnesota playing FCS school
in Northwestern State. Darius Taylor had thirty carries last week.
I think he can easily score in that game. So
it is five touchdowns. It's a lot of touchdowns to get,
but I think these are all pretty much locks here
(15:12):
so early in the season. These are easier than later
in the season, so I'll probably have more now than
I will later. Let's go, I got one quarterback for you,
and this is an under which I typically don't do,
but we were talking about this before Darian Mensa under
two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards
versus Illinois. We talked about those defensive backs for Illinois
and this only. He only hit this four times last
(15:34):
year into Tulane against G six defenses, So I don't
think he's going to come in here against a big
ten defense that's good even on the road and throw
for this many yards. So maybe if Illinois winning big,
that's fine because we got Illinois minus the three and
Mensa will be throwing to come back. But I just
(15:55):
don't think it's going to happen for him. And I
do think it plays a little close in that I've
got ILLOI more like by a touchdown. So Darian Mensa
under two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards.
Let's go with CJ. Baxter over fifty four and a
half rush yards for San Jose State. Central Michigan ran
for two hundred and thirty six yards on San Jose
State in Week one. We talked about how Texas got
(16:18):
embarrassed by Ohio State, specifically on offense. I think they're
going to run the ball a lot. I think CJ.
Baxter can get this maybe in ten carries, so he
and Trey Wisner split. I like the over on both
of theirs. Baxter's was lower, so I went with his.
Let's go to a former Longhorn Eracuse wide receiver John
Day Cook the second over fifty eight and a half
(16:39):
receiving yards versus Yukon. Yukon is one hundred and twenty
fifth in defensive back roster strength, so they're really bad
in the secondary. Like I said, I think this game
maybe goes a little point for point because I like
this Yukon offense. I think they'll keep them in it.
But John Tay Cook is going to get his He
had eleven targets against Tennessee, got six for fifty eight
in a score. I think he can easily rep peat
(17:00):
these numbers against Yukon and even be a little better.
Indiana wide receiver Elijah Sarat over fifty six and a
half receiving yards versus Kansas State. He hit this seven
times last year in Kansas State. Looked good against wake Forest.
Wake Forest is not that good. Indiana is very very good.
So if they can pay me back for that loss
last week and Sarat can get over fifty six and
(17:20):
a half receiving yards this week. I will be very,
very happy Texas A and M wide receiver Casey Concepcion
over fifty four and a half receiving yards versus Utah State.
He had three catches for seventy two yards in the
first game, and I think he is the clear number
one at Texas A and M right now, so we're
going to go with him. And then one of my
favorite ones, Houston tight end Tanner cozy All over five
(17:42):
and a half receptions at Rice. Rice was great defensively
against Louisiana, but Louisiana was one hundred and twenty eighth
in offensive skill position roster strength and one hundred and
twentieth at quarterback. Not a very good offense this year,
a lot leaving Louisiana in the offse and so Rice
did look good and they are an improved team. I
(18:03):
do think they will be better this year, but Houston
is a better team than them, and Cozy All is
the best tight end in the country. According to roster strength,
Houston is eighth in skill position roster strength unlike one
hundred and twenty eighth like Louisiana was last week, and
they are first at tight end and Cozy all is
a Feldman freak six' seven enormous. Dude just a lot
(18:27):
of fun to watch as. Well BEFORE i, go let
me tell you guys about The Betting pros app you
can track your. Bets just download The Betting pros app right.
Now with Sportsbook. Sinc you can automatically track your bets
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activating your try file on the upsgrade. Screen all, right
that is gonna be it for us. Today let me
just go through them real quick one more. Time are
straight BETS smu minus two and a, Half illinois minus,
(19:12):
Three Ole miss minus ten and a. Half we're taking
the under fifty six and a half on the US
F florida Game fresno plus three and a half At
Oregon state plus the under forty six and a half
ucon plus six and a half At, SYRACUSE wku At
toledo under fifty nine and a. Half clemson team total
over forty one and a. Half our touchdowns Are Noah
(19:32):
whittington For, Oregon Nate fraser For, Georgia Cayden durham FOR, LSU.
Lj martin FOR, Byu Darius taylor For. Minnesota our yards props,
Here Darian mensa under two hundred fifty eight and a
half passing YARD. Cj Bax are over fifty four and
a half rush, Yards Jonte cook over fifty eight and
a half receiving yards For, Sukon Elijah surratt over fifty
(19:54):
six and a half receiving, Yards Casey concepcion over fifty
four and a half receiving, yards And houston and tight
End Tanner cozy all over five and a half receptions AT.
Rice that is it for. Me good luck, everybody AND
i will see you next. Week take it.
Speaker 3 (20:09):
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What's going on everybody. Scott Bagman here for betting pros
to give you my favorite picks and props for Week
two of the college football season. Looking back at last week,
here we went five and four. We got the Baylor
and over in that game Arizona minus the points, gonna
see minus points to lay minus points. Got all five
of those, then we missed four. Indiana talked about that one.
(00:24):
Process was good on that one. Results were not old
dominion with those two big runs to beat us there.
Kentucky the safety got us there. Look, I rode Bama
completely wrong on that one. Just a straight miss whift
on that one. Ucla Utah under. I mean, I just
did not think Utah would be that good on offense
(00:44):
immediately they were so good. And I missed that one
by two points. So five and four in the week,
the props were six and three. We got all three
touchdowns and I'm just gonna I'm gonna give you the
touchdowns here. We're just gonna put those together, and they
seem pretty easy right now early in the season when
some of these high ranked teams are playing some bad teams.
Then we got Aguilar Joey Aguilar, Nick harber Casey Kncepcion.
(01:07):
We missed the Beck interception Fefeita yards and Josh Cameron
by two yards. That was frustrating. But six and six
last or six and six on the season now on
the straights, nine and six on the prop so decent start.
We'll take that. You win money right now, but also
something we'll take. We're extremely excited to announce our new
(01:29):
presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet is the
only legal sportsbook in the state of Florida. It's also
available in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
and Colorado, with more sites launching all more states launching
excuse me all the time. You can also play on
hard Rock Bets online casino if you are in New
(01:49):
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sign up for hard Rock Bet and make a five
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to hard rock Bet, sign up and make your first
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Speaker 2 (02:05):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida, offered by the
Seminal Hard Rock Digital LLC.
Speaker 3 (02:10):
In other states.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
Must be twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it. In Indiana, if you are somebody
you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call
one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called
one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 1 (02:30):
All right, let's get to the bets of the week
here SMU minus two and a half versus Baylor. We
are fading the public on this one. The public is
big on Baylor. What I saw in that game Auburn
versus Baylor was a defense for Baylor that was not
ready to stop running quarterback. Now, Dave Randa did speak
on the difference in running style from Jackson Arnold to
(02:52):
Kevin Jennings this week, the Baylor head coach. So obviously
there is a difference, right, Jackson Arnold sees a certain
coverage she pulls it down in rips it. Kevin Jennings
kind of buys himself time by looking for his receivers downfield.
But Kevin Jennings is more than capable of running. And
I think if you saw how ripped up this Baylor
defense was. They have two defensive linemen that are injured
(03:15):
this week as well. I just don't think that they
have that they can match Kevin Jennings. And I think
that SMU is going to design some of those runs.
You know, Kevin Jennings is a great athlete and he
can make it happen. So I think that's the difference
to me. Baylor's offense is very good. Sawyer Robertson has
hit or miss on some throws, but overall he puts
points up on the board. So I do like both
(03:37):
offenses here, but I just think it's a slight lean
towards SMU in this game. It's only two and a
half points, that's all we got to lay. They're at home.
I think we do that one. So I'm on the
SMU Mustangs this week. Number two Illinois. We're gonna lay
some points here on the road at Duke. I believe
we are fading the public in this one as well.
(03:59):
Maybe a little more even that I'm thinking. But look,
Duke is a good team. I'm not trying to bash
them or anything. Illinois has to travel there right, tough
environment to play. I think to me, the biggest thing
here is Darien Mensa and the wide receivers. For Duke
being able to beat Illinois, I just don't think that's
going to happen. The defensive backs. Illinois returns all the
(04:22):
defensive backs from last season, and they ranked first in
roster strength amongst starters in the defensive backfield. So to me,
I just I can't really I don't see Duke coming
away with this game. During Mensaw is a good quarterback.
He should improve this team a lot from last year.
But I just don't think he's going to have it
(04:43):
against a very very good squad in Illinois. So the
difference to me is going to be that Illinois secondary,
and I'm going to lean on them. I'll ole miss
minus ten and a half at Kentucky. Listen, this is
a little bit of an anger bet, right because Kentucky
hosed me last week. I think, once again I thought
the process was right. I don't know they should have
put up more points. It's at Kelsada look terrible. And
(05:03):
that's really the thing here is. And look, Kentucky does
this all the time. They play bad against an inferior
opponent and then they play good the next week or
whatever it is. You know, they just their motivation seems
to be hit or miss under Mike Stoops. So this
one might be a game that they get up for here,
but the spread is ten and a half. The thing
(05:25):
that I like about this spread, even though Ole misses
on the road here is that they just keep putting
points up on the board when they're up. You know,
this is Austin simmons first road start at all miss,
but they put up over sixty points last week, and
once they smell blood in the water, they attack. So
I just really, really really did not like what I
(05:47):
saw out of Calsada and this Kentucky offense last week.
They got twenty six percent of their yards on the
seventy nine yard dial touchdown run. It just looked bad.
And that was against a Mac defense. Now, look the
best defense the Mac for Toledo, right, but they should
not have opened so well against Kentucky, and Kentucky looked embarrassing.
On offense and if they put up that performance again
(06:09):
against an SEC defense, they're gonna get smoked. So give
me all miss, I will lay the ten and a
half here. We're gonna go under on USF and Florida.
And this is my favorite bet of the week. The
number right now, I believe is fifty six and a half.
I did see it trend. I believe it was playing
more to the over earlier in this week. Now it's
on the under. But so this line might be sinking,
(06:29):
so I just say make sure you get it before
fifty four and a half something like that. But the
reason I like this is because USF came out firing
and all the money is on USF. It seems this
week as well. I just don't want to touch the
side for two reasons. Number One, USF plays the SEC hard.
They have had a couple of games against Alabama here
(06:50):
recently where they put Alabama on notice that they were
shaky and they pushed Alabama to the brink. Didn't come
away with a win in either of those games, but
they did cover in both of them. So USF definitely
has motivation stuff they get up to play the SEC. Florida,
to me, just again, the strength is on the field
(07:11):
and the roster strength for Florida is enormous. The reason
I like the under because you see, like they played
Long Island last week, it score fifty five points by themselves,
right number one. I don't think that happens against the USF.
USF is a good G six school, very very good,
and they have LSU on the road next week. So
to me, what you want to see early in the
(07:32):
season is you get your points. You get up by
double digits, you know, maybe even you get up by
three scores, you get up by seventeen points. Let's just
say that if Florida gets up by seventeen points and
we're in the second half, I think they're gonna go
very vanilla. You don't want to put a bunch on
tape so that your opponent next week can see that
and practice for it and prepare for it. So I
(07:54):
think if Florida gets up on USF, which I think
they will, I think they run a lot. I think
they played vanilla. They burned the clock, and it's kind
of a boring game. So I'm going to go the
under on the Florida game at fifty six and a
half against South Florida. We're going to take some points
here on these next two. Fresno plus three and a
half at Oregon State. I'm going to go with the
(08:15):
under forty six and a half on this as well.
Both of these teams are run first and Fresno State
ran This is matt ends right coming over from He
was the usc OC last year, but before that he
was the head coach of South Dakota and won FCS
I think believe two FCS national championships at least one.
(08:35):
He coached there for five years as the head coach.
They made the playoffs every single year. This is a
good coach that is coming into Fresno to take over
this program, and he trimmed the fat in the summer,
very physical camp. A lot of the players talked about
how physical it was, and they looked dominant last week.
Obviously tough opponent in Kansas last week, but they looked
(08:56):
very good last week and this week playing Oregon State
is just Oregon State's a rough team right now. They
are at home here, so this is kind of gonna
be a back and forth, lower scoring game. Both these
teams are run first. Oregon State has a decent defense,
I think they'll be able to stimy Fresnoe State on
a couple drives. But I just think Fresno is gonna
(09:18):
outphysical them, and that's not something that typically happens to
Oregon State, but maybe going downhill for a couple of
seasons now, So Oregon, we're gonna take Fresno plus three
and a half and we're gonna go under this forty
six and a half because I just think there's a
lot of running and they play it close. I'm gonna
take points again. We're gonna go Yukon plus six and
a half at Syracuse. I just Yukon. Jim Moore's got
(09:40):
these guys playing well on offense. I think they're gonna
be able to keep pace with Syracuse on offense. I
have no idea whether this is going to be like
a twenty to twenty four game or if this is
gonna be like a thirty five to thirty game something
like that. I don't know if it's gonna open up
and all of that. But Syracuse look fine against Tennessee.
(10:01):
I wouldn't say they look good, but they scored some points.
But I think Yukon is gonna be able to keep
up here, So we're gonna take some points for Yukon
plus six and a half. I just I like the
way this offense is rounding in the shape. It's early
in the season and I think they're a little underestimated.
So Syracuse needs to win coming off that loss to Tennessee.
(10:22):
But they can win and Yukon can look impressive. At
the same time, all we got to do is not
lose by a touchdown. So let's go with Yukon plus
the six and a half. I'm gonna go with the
under on WKU at Toledo. It's fifty nine and a half,
so almost sixty points here, and I believe it was
over sixty just a couple of days ago. But this
is because of what I saw Toledo do to Kentucky.
(10:44):
You know, Kentucky is not a good offense. They looked bad,
but Toledo looked very, very good. They looked strong enough
to stop this offense. That brought in a lot of changes.
And Calzata was good last year at Incarnate Word. He
had thirty five touchdowns and nine picks. In this game,
he threw a pick, only had eighty five yards passing.
(11:05):
Toledo shut these guys down and this is a passing
attack from WKU. I just think in this one that
this Toledo defense is going to match up fairly well.
And I think Toledo controls the pace of this game
is really what it ends up with. You know, WKU
hasn't been challenged. They look good so far. Maverick McIver
(11:28):
has looked great, but you know, they just have not
been challenged at all. They played Sam Houston State and
then an FCS school, So I am just not very
excited yet. From what I see from WKU high flying offense,
they can get it done, but against Toledo is just
I think too big of a step too early in
the season for WKU. I think Toledo controls the pace
(11:50):
of this game. I think we see a lot of
running in a lot of defense. So let's go with
the under on that one. And last one I will
pick for you this one. I was talking to a listener.
We were talking about some of these gigantic spreads, right,
the massive spreads like Texas. He was talking about Texas
and Clemson in particular, and the fact that these two
(12:13):
teams were embarrassed on national television and wanting to make
a statement my guy Dan I was talking to and
I went, Okay, I understand your thought process there, but
what I want to do, especially in these games. You know,
Texas is playing in San Jose State and Clemson is
playing Troy right way outmatch these teams, and I said, well,
(12:37):
I think what I would rather do is take a
total on that team, Like you want to see them
put points on the board. They want to establish their
offense and look good because they were embarrassed last week.
So just get a little confidence back, prove that you
can do it. The spread for Clemson, I believe is
thirty one and a half against Troy, but their team
total is forty one and a half. Let's just take
(12:59):
that get back door. So if we get to forty
two points, we can't lose this one. You can get
up to fifty points. And if you put an all
freshmen in the fourth quarter because you're stomping this team
in the ground, they let up a couple of touchdowns,
you get back door on that can't get back door
on a team total. So we will go forty one
and a half points four Clemson in this game against Troy,
I think they can make it happen and you erase
(13:21):
a little bit of the harshness of that loss from
last week. Before we go to the props here, are
you looking to up your game in sports betting? Join
our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot com
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(13:44):
you can also participate in our weekly community picks. You
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it today at bettingpros dot com slash chat. All right,
let's go to the props here. I've got five touchdown
calls for you. Now, that's a lot of touchdown calls. Right.
They're all running backs, They're all number one running backs,
(14:07):
and they all are in mismatches in my opinion this week.
So but if you put them all I got, I
believe it was four point three on this So four
point three return Oregon running back No Whittington against Okay State.
I just think Mike Gundy is having a rough time
at Oklahoma State right now. I think Oregon's gonna dominate
(14:29):
this game. I think he's gonna score a touchdown. Nate Fraser, Georgia.
They're playing OSSIPA. I think he easily scores a touchdown.
Only two bets were available for that game as far
as player props, and that was one of them. LSU
running back Kitan Durham over half of rushing. These are
all rushing, moor receiving. You can get either side. They're
playing Louisiana Tech. I think he easily scores.
Speaker 3 (14:51):
LJ.
Speaker 1 (14:51):
Martin for BYU. They're playing Stanford. We saw how miserable
Stanford was against Hawaii a couple of weeks ago. Defense
is is not good. And then Minnesota playing FCS school
in Northwestern State. Darius Taylor had thirty carries last week.
I think he can easily score in that game. So
it is five touchdowns. It's a lot of touchdowns to get,
but I think these are all pretty much locks here
(15:12):
so early in the season. These are easier than later
in the season, so I'll probably have more now than
I will later. Let's go, I got one quarterback for you,
and this is an under which I typically don't do,
but we were talking about this before Darian Mensa under
two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards
versus Illinois. We talked about those defensive backs for Illinois
and this only. He only hit this four times last
(15:34):
year into Tulane against G six defenses, So I don't
think he's going to come in here against a big
ten defense that's good even on the road and throw
for this many yards. So maybe if Illinois winning big,
that's fine because we got Illinois minus the three and
Mensa will be throwing to come back. But I just
(15:55):
don't think it's going to happen for him. And I
do think it plays a little close in that I've
got ILLOI more like by a touchdown. So Darian Mensa
under two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards.
Let's go with CJ. Baxter over fifty four and a
half rush yards for San Jose State. Central Michigan ran
for two hundred and thirty six yards on San Jose
State in Week one. We talked about how Texas got
(16:18):
embarrassed by Ohio State, specifically on offense. I think they're
going to run the ball a lot. I think CJ.
Baxter can get this maybe in ten carries, so he
and Trey Wisner split. I like the over on both
of theirs. Baxter's was lower, so I went with his.
Let's go to a former Longhorn Eracuse wide receiver John
Day Cook the second over fifty eight and a half
(16:39):
receiving yards versus Yukon. Yukon is one hundred and twenty
fifth in defensive back roster strength, so they're really bad
in the secondary. Like I said, I think this game
maybe goes a little point for point because I like
this Yukon offense. I think they'll keep them in it.
But John Tay Cook is going to get his He
had eleven targets against Tennessee, got six for fifty eight
in a score. I think he can easily rep peat
(17:00):
these numbers against Yukon and even be a little better.
Indiana wide receiver Elijah Sarat over fifty six and a
half receiving yards versus Kansas State. He hit this seven
times last year in Kansas State. Looked good against wake Forest.
Wake Forest is not that good. Indiana is very very good.
So if they can pay me back for that loss
last week and Sarat can get over fifty six and
(17:20):
a half receiving yards this week. I will be very,
very happy Texas A and M wide receiver Casey Concepcion
over fifty four and a half receiving yards versus Utah State.
He had three catches for seventy two yards in the
first game, and I think he is the clear number
one at Texas A and M right now, so we're
going to go with him. And then one of my
favorite ones, Houston tight end Tanner cozy All over five
(17:42):
and a half receptions at Rice. Rice was great defensively
against Louisiana, but Louisiana was one hundred and twenty eighth
in offensive skill position roster strength and one hundred and
twentieth at quarterback. Not a very good offense this year,
a lot leaving Louisiana in the offse and so Rice
did look good and they are an improved team. I
(18:03):
do think they will be better this year, but Houston
is a better team than them, and Cozy All is
the best tight end in the country. According to roster strength,
Houston is eighth in skill position roster strength unlike one
hundred and twenty eighth like Louisiana was last week, and
they are first at tight end and Cozy all is
a Feldman freak six' seven enormous. Dude just a lot
(18:27):
of fun to watch as. Well BEFORE i, go let
me tell you guys about The Betting pros app you
can track your. Bets just download The Betting pros app right.
Now with Sportsbook. Sinc you can automatically track your bets
across all major sports books in one. Spot easily monitor
your bet performance by sport and bet, type including game, picks,
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(18:50):
trends and profitable. Opportunities get a seven day free trial
Of Betting Pros premium by using Code Juice juice and
activating your try file on the upsgrade. Screen all, right
that is gonna be it for us. Today let me
just go through them real quick one more. Time are
straight BETS smu minus two and a, Half illinois minus,
(19:12):
Three Ole miss minus ten and a. Half we're taking
the under fifty six and a half on the US
F florida Game fresno plus three and a half At
Oregon state plus the under forty six and a half
ucon plus six and a half At, SYRACUSE wku At
toledo under fifty nine and a. Half clemson team total
over forty one and a. Half our touchdowns Are Noah
(19:32):
whittington For, Oregon Nate fraser For, Georgia Cayden durham FOR, LSU.
Lj martin FOR, Byu Darius taylor For. Minnesota our yards props,
Here Darian mensa under two hundred fifty eight and a
half passing YARD. Cj Bax are over fifty four and
a half rush, Yards Jonte cook over fifty eight and
a half receiving yards For, Sukon Elijah surratt over fifty
(19:54):
six and a half receiving, Yards Casey concepcion over fifty
four and a half receiving, yards And houston and tight
End Tanner cozy all over five and a half receptions AT.
Rice that is it for. Me good luck, everybody AND
i will see you next. Week take it.
Speaker 3 (20:09):
Easy thanks for listening to The Betting pros. Podcast if
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is by leaving a positive review On Apple podcasts Or.
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