October 10, 2025 • 21 mins
Join our resident College Football connoisseur Scott Bogman as he brings you his favorite bets and props for Week 7 of the 2025 college football season!
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Intro - 0:00:00
Hard Rock Bet - 0:00:09
Week 6 Recap - 0:01:50
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Prop Bets - 0:15:20
Outro - 0:20:31
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
What's going on everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Scott bog Bean here for betting pros to give you
my favorite picks and props for Week seven of the
college football season. And I want to remind you guys
before we dive in that we are brought to you
by our new presenting sponsor, the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.
Speaker 1 (00:14):
Roll with hard Rock Bet this season.
Speaker 2 (00:16):
Sign up with the hard Rock Bet app to day
place your first five dollars bet and if it wins,
you will score one hundred and fifty dollars and bonus
bets on top of your winnings. That's just one more
reason to check out the hard Rock Bet app and
see why it gets so many stars and such great ratings.
It's our last show of the week before Sunday, so
if you're looking for more insights on what you can
(00:36):
bet before then, you can check out the hard Rock
Bets stats hub right there in the app. Kansas City
has one twelve in a row's home favorites. Eight Chan
has scored a touchdown in seven straight home games. Here's
a weird one. CMC and Kream Hunt have hit paydirt
in seven consecutive October games. Plenty more where that came
from all one tap away at any time on hard
(00:58):
Rock Bet. On her Rock Bet, you can get profit
boosts for football parlays every day through Monday, back to
back College profit boost today and Saturday, plus a profit
boost for the Sunday games and another Monday night. There's
new promos every day, so no matter when you listen
to this, open the app check out what you've got
any single day of the week. Download the hard Rock
(01:21):
Bet app and make your first deposit.
Speaker 3 (01:23):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by a
Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be
twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it. In Indiana if you are something
you who know as a gambling problem and wants help,
call one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem
(01:45):
called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (01:49):
All right, let's dive into how we did last week.
Another sub five hundred week. Here, just barely six and
seven on my picks, five and six on the prop
spring us to twenty seven, thirty one on the picks
and thirty five and twenty nine on the props. We
didn't get Michigan minus seventeen and a half. This one
ended twenty four to ten. Michigan had a chance to
(02:10):
score at the end, they didn't need to and they
didn't punch it in Wisconsin.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
Team total under thirteen and a half. That we got
that side of it.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Virginia Louisville. I had the over sixty one and a half.
I really liked what Virginia had done. They ended up
winning thirty to twenty seven, so fifty seven right on
the doorstep. We just didn't get all the way home there.
Cincinnati on the money line, we got that. I was
an easy win over Iowa State. I was completely wrong
about my Longhorns against Florida. Florida came out with their
new freshmen and just crushed everything, and they did not
(02:40):
have this team total under of eighteen and a half.
Real quick Texas stomped Houston thirty five to eleven, so
we got that one. Two weeks in a row is
completely wrong on the Aggies. They won thirty one to
nine against Mississippi State. Whatever was wrong with their defense
against Notre Dame they fixed two weeks in a row,
so their defense has been very, very strong. So we're
(03:02):
not going to bet against A and M at home
probably again the rest of the season. So Ohio State
versus Minnesota under forty three and a half, Well, Ohio
State scored forty two, but we did get the under
Minnesota team total of nine and a half because they
were held only three points pitt Miya six and a half.
First Boston College ended up being my best pick of
the year. Actually, forty eight to seven was the final there.
(03:26):
Maryland had the win on the money line in this
game most of the game, but Washington came back and
won twenty four to twenty. But they did not cover
our six and a half points that we got with Maryland,
so we got that one, and then Notre Dame just
couldn't put points up against Boise State played one of
their worst games of the season here and only twenty
eight points against Boise State at home. Was kind of sad.
(03:46):
But didn't get that one on the props five and six.
Like I said, worst week I probably ever had in
my touchdown calls. Singleton didn't have any because Cape Tron
Allen had a couple for Penn State, and you know
they scored points against UCLA. Just Singleton and get in
the end zone. Cameron Dicky did score, jeremih Smith did score,
Leveon Moss didn't for A and M and that game
(04:07):
scored fewer points and I thought anyway, and Bryant Westco.
I mean, Clemson had so many points early that at Westco.
Just if you didn't get your work done early, you
weren't getting it done. And that's what happened to Westco
in that game. So we didn't quite get home on those.
But let's take a look at what we got Week seven.
Feeling pretty good here. Look we're gonna double down on
(04:27):
a team total under against Ohio State, right Illinois seventeen
and a half points. Lukealtmeyer has a bad track record
against top ten defenses. Ohio State is playing lights out
right now. We got that under nine and a half
from Minnesota last week. This is a road game. I
understand that Illinois at home, right, Luke Altmeyer is a
(04:48):
very veteran presence at quarterback for the Aliini. But Ohio
State's defense has stopped everybody, and I don't think that's
going to change here. I think they're also going to
be able to possess the ball a lot, a lot
of injured players in the secondary for Illinois. More on
that when we get to the props here. But I
just don't think Illinois is going to hang very well
in this game, specifically because of Luke Altmeer's passed against
(05:13):
top defenses. His track record is not good. So we're
gonna take the under team total of Illinois at seventeen
and a half. I'm going to take the under still
on the Oklahoma Texas game. Now, John Mattier is listed
as probable, right. I understand if you don't want to
take it because of John Mattier, But I think John
Mittier is going to start and play. But I think
(05:34):
he's going to be packaged, right, Like, I think he's
going to come in and play this game at about
fifty percent, right. I mean, the dude had surgery September
twenty eighth or twenty six or whatever.
Speaker 1 (05:46):
It was.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
I just don't think he's going to be one hundred
percent back yet. So I know they said he's playing,
I don't really believe it. And Matier at less than
one hundred percent against a strong Texas defense, it's still
not going to put up many points. And arch Manning
has nothing right now. I mean, the Texas offense has
no identity right now at all, so they are not
gonna contribute very high to this total either. So I'm
(06:08):
gonna stick with the under and I'm gonna wait. Like
Matier's gonna play here, they're saying he's gonna play. I
think it's a little bit overblown, but he's gonna play.
And this total is gonna keep climbing. It has climbed
from forty three and a half to forty five and
a half in a day, so I think it's just
going to continue to ascend.
Speaker 1 (06:25):
So wait, wait to take it.
Speaker 2 (06:26):
Maybe it gets up to forty seven or forty eight
and a half by the time we get there, so
just wait and see what it does. I don't do
too many alt lines. I am gonna do two today,
but first one Oregon minus six and a half fors
Indiana it's minus one thirty two. You can get this
at seven. I just prefer to kill the hook. It
has been moving slightly towards Indiana. It opened up a
(06:51):
nine and a half, so I do think that this
could possibly slide to six and a half. But I
think it's gonna stay at seven and a half because
that hook. That's about right. But I think Oregon is
an incredibly hard place to play. There's gonna be rain,
weird elements. We saw Ohio State go there last year
and lose, and they won the national championship, right, So
I just don't think Indiana is going to be as
(07:13):
in this game as we're giving them credit for. And
I like Indiana a lot. You guys have heard me
speak very positively about the Hoosiers here, but I just
think the Ducks are a different breed right now. You know,
going into Penn State and winning that game was huge.
We have in then Penn State losing a UCLA, We've
had the Oregon hangover. Right, Teams that play Oregon are
usually bad, not just the week they play them, but
(07:34):
the week after as well. So I'm just not I
don't think Indiana can pull this off on the road.
If it was at home. I might be seeing a
different tune here, but I think Oregon at home is
really tough right now. So I'm gonna go anything less
than a touchdown. We're taking the ducks here. I'm gonna
go Michigan on the money line at USC. And I
(07:54):
know this isn't a lot of people's favorite bet that
I picked. I know a lot of people on the
USC us he can score here. The problem is is
USC can't stop anything on defense, and I think that
they will get stopped a little bit on offense by Michigan.
Michigan did a great job against them last year. They
actually won this game. This was a home game for
Michigan last year, but I'll submit that that team at
(08:16):
home was worse than this team will be on the
road now. I think USC is a better team than
they were last year as well. So you know it's
not you know, it's apples and oranges. We're not comparing
the same thing here, of course, But you know they
got gash last year on the run, and I think
that's gonna happen again this year. I think Michigan's gonna
run right down their throat. I think they're going to
dominate time of possession, and that's how you beat a
(08:38):
team like USC. You don't let them have the ball.
You make them panic when they do have the ball,
thinking we got to score, we got to score, and
you put pressure on them. So I think Michigan can
do this with their defense in their run game. Bryce
Underwood is the is the key here if he does
not make major mistakes like he did against Oklahoma. And
by the way, Oklahoma's defense way way better than USC.
(08:59):
I think this team is going to be pretty good
on the road. They're gonna put up a fight here.
I think they come away with a win on the
money line. So I'm gonna take the Wolverines at USC. Look,
I'm just gonna roll Texas Tech until they don't hit.
So I'm rolling down steam on this. BP didn't like it,
so you know you don't have to ride with me
(09:20):
on this when I understand this. But this is just
me backing Texas Tech. They're fourteen and a half point
favorites at home against Kansas. I think Kansas is a
pretty good team, but they've had some injuries, specifically on offense.
I think what they're going to rely on in this
game against this Texas Tech defense that has been awesome.
I mean, look, they haven't been super challenged, right, they
haven't had a really tough game yet. I mean, going
(09:42):
to Utah and winning is very impressive. But Utah is
probably not as good as we think. So you know,
Texas Tech. There are still some questions, but this looks
like an upper echelon team. To me, this looks like
a Big twelve title winner and a playoff contender. So
I'm gonna roll with Texas Technically the fourteen and a half.
I think they beat the breaks off of Kansas. This
(10:05):
one's weird. I've got a couple weird ones this week.
I don't usually get too granular, but let's go first
quarter over on LSU South Carolina. I might like the
under for the entire game because neither one of these
offenses have really done anything yet. But both teams coming
off by weeks, so you get two weeks to script
up drives. We just saw what that did for Florida, right,
(10:25):
So I think that this could be a really good
game for South Carolina and LSU to both put some
points up early on those scripted drives. So if they
both pay off, that's fourteen points. But if we get
one score and a touchdown and one kick in a
field goal. We're there too, So nine and a half
in the first quarter. We're going to go over that
for LSU South Carolina TCU minus two and a half
(10:46):
at Kansas State, we're gonna take the over fifty five
and a half two. Dylan Edwards is out for this game,
and I know Kansas State has been a better offense
when he's been healthy the last two weeks, but he
was banged up last week and they put up points.
And I think TCU can score on any buddy right now.
I know they're on the road here, but I do
not believe in this Kansas State team. They keep losing
one score games very frequently this season. I think three
(11:10):
three to one score losses already for k State might
be four, so a lot of won one game losses
for the Wildcats, and TCU is just doing this with offense.
I think Josh Hoover has been at excellent. Kansas State
is just middling on defense. So we've seen the give
up for k State as well. I've lost some money
(11:31):
on them, So we're gonna go with TCU here. I
just think they're a much better team than Kansas State
this season. No Dylan Edwards for Kansas State hurts a
little bit as well. But I think we're gonna get
thirty five from TCU. They keep passing the ball well,
I think they're gonna put up a lot of points here.
So can we get twenty one from Kansas State? I
think we can. So let's go thirty five to twenty
(11:53):
one TCU. That gets us more than home Maryland plus
six and a half for Nebraska. Look, Nebraska because a
good team, but Maryland just held their own at home
against Washington, right, So Nebraska's coming in here, and I
think their run problems have been overblown. Matt Rule talked
about it this week, like, hey, look, you know, our
(12:14):
running backs are great, but they've given up a lot
of sacks. It's not really the only line giving up
the sacks either. It's Rayela holding the ball too long
and you cannot do that against this Maryland teams. Maryland
team already is nineteen sacks this season. They will get
after the quarterback, so it's more for the defensive side.
To me, Although I do really like Malik Washington, I
(12:34):
also like just you know, I like him to be
able to pull the ball down and run it a
little bit against this team as well.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
So rushing total.
Speaker 2 (12:41):
I won't mess with him my props because he could
get sacked, right, But I think that's going to be
the difference maker for Maryland is I think Malik Washington's
legs on offense because they haven't had a particularly good
run game yet at Maryland, and it's strength on strength
versus Nebraska on offense. For Maryland, their passing game against
a very good coverage unit number one in the nation
(13:02):
in Nebraska, so they're gonna have to run the ball.
I think Lake Washington hasn't been asked to run the
ball that much this year as a true freshman, but
he's going to be able to do it here.
Speaker 1 (13:10):
He is a dual threat.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
He ran a lot in high school and it's a
tool in the tool belt that he has not unleashed yet.
We're gonna go Wisconsin team total under seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:20):
Look.
Speaker 2 (13:20):
Mark Gronowski is a question mark in this game. I
think he's going to play, though they're splitting practice reps
between all three quarterbacks that they could start at Iowa.
But Farrence said he was very encouraged on Wednesday and
everything is trending in the right direction. So I'm gonna
read between the lions and we're going to say that
Gronowski plays. Gronowski doesn't have to play for Wisconsin. Not
(13:44):
to score Wisconsin has been bad. They've been playing musical
chairs at quarterback as well.
Speaker 1 (13:50):
So yeah, I think that I think that.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
Wisconsin is going to not score seventeen and a half
points against Iowa. Iowa Indiana to twenty, right, So I
just this offense has been real rough for Wisconsin. I
do not think they get to seventeen and a half
points in this game.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
This is a tall, tall ask, all right.
Speaker 2 (14:13):
Before we get to the props, let me go ahead
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(14:33):
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(15:19):
All right, let's go over the props from last week.
Like I said, five and six touchdowns. We got two
of three here. Danie O'Neil didn't play. Sowresby got over.
Vegan did not get to seventy one and a half yards,
not even close. Jayden Paul was way over, he had
so many carries, Jamari Taylor missed it by a yard
(15:41):
and a half on the rushing yards. And Ramelo Brinson
we did get. We're going to double down on him
this week as well. So looking at the props that
I want to roll this week, we are going to
go with touchdown calls from Jeneium Price running back from
Notre Dame against NC State. I just think Notre Dame
is scoring on everybody. I think NC State is gonna
(16:01):
have no problem. They have a really bad run defense.
We're gonna go with k Tron Allen, who scored all
those touchdowns last week, to get another one against Northwestern.
I think, and our boys Seth who is a Penn
State fan. I just I think Penn State is going
to be angry. I think they're gonna roll Northwestern. I
think he's right about this. I think everybody gets a piece.
One of the highest overs of the week. Tennessee versus Arkansas.
(16:24):
Let's go with Tennessee running back to Shawn Bishop to
score a touchdown in that game. I think that one
is going to be an easy one. It's almost seventy points.
Believe it was sixty eight and a half when I
looked the other day. I consider taking the over man.
Tennessee can't stop anybody, and they score a lot. Arkansas
can't stop anybody either. That one is gonna be a
fun shootout. Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood at usc usc just
(16:47):
giving up, you know, rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks all over
the place. Aden childs at two last week, so I
think that USC has been giving this up. Bryce Underwood
is going to have to pull it down and run.
I think he can get into the end zone as well.
As far as the props. Josh Hoover over one and
a half passing touchdowns at Kansas State. He has fifteen
touchdowns this season. Case State miden coverage real bad in
(17:10):
pass rush grade, so I don't think they're going to
put any pressure on Josh Hoover. It's part of the
reason why I'm taking TCU in this game. I think
he's gonna be able to sit back and pick them
apart and find the open man wherever. That guy should
be very high receiving grades for TCU as well. They
got a lot of good weapons there, so over one
and a half passing touchdowns should be pretty easy for
(17:30):
Hoover to get In that one. We're gonna go Virginia
Tech quarterback Kyron Drones over ten and a half rushing
attempts against Wake, averaging twelve per game, or Georgia Tech.
Excuse me, he's averaging twelve rush attempts per game. He's
hit this prop in three of four Power for matchups
or excuse me, I'm sorry, three or four quarterbacks against
Georgia Tech.
Speaker 1 (17:51):
Have hit this prop. That is what I was trying
to say.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
But ten and a half rush attemps for Kyeron Jones,
I think that could be pretty easy.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
He's been pretty much there. Higher offense.
Speaker 2 (18:01):
Ohio state wide receiver Jeremiah Smith over six and a
half receptions at Illinois. We talked about how Illinois has
a lot of dB issues so far this season and
didn't hit the first two weeks, but he's hit this
prop in three straight weeks.
Speaker 1 (18:14):
Julian sand and Jeremiah Smith really working together.
Speaker 2 (18:17):
Now. I told you we're going to double up on
SMU wide receiver Romelo Brinson over sixty five and a
half receiving yards over Stanford. Stanford is one hundred and
twenty second in coverage grade, and last week three San
Jose state wide receivers had over one hundred yards against
Stanford in four cleared sixty five and a half. So
I think we're Melo Brentson hits this one easy and
the last one. Iowa state wide receiver Brett Eskeltson over
(18:40):
forty and a half receiving yards at Colorado. He's hit
this in three of five weeks. Colorado one hundred and
thirty four of one hundred and thirty six graded teams
in coverage right now, So just not playing well on
the back end are the Buffaloes at all. Iowa State
doesn't pass the ball that much, but Eskelton has made
some big plays. He can get most of this in
(19:01):
one fell swoop. So just to double back to tell
you what all we are betting this week, I'm going
Illinois under seventeen and a half for Ohio State Oklahoma first,
Texas under forty five and a half wait for that
one because it is climbing Oregon.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
I'm all lining this to minus six and a half.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
The line is minus thirty two minus one thirty two
excuse me, and you get this at seven. But I
prefer to kill that hook. Michigan money line at USC
that's plus one ten. Texas Tech I'm laying fourteen and
the Hook versus Kansas I think they win that by
three touchdowns. LSU versus South Carolina over nine and a
half in the first quarter. Coming off BI weeks with
those scripted drives. TCU minus two and a half at
(19:39):
Kansas State and the over fifty five and a half.
We know TCU is going to score. Kansas State's offense
has looked improved the last two weeks. We're going to
bank on that. Maryland plus six and a half at
home versus Nebraska rail is holding the ball too long.
That Maryland pass rush is going to get to him
and make this one a tight one. Wisconsin team total
under seventeen and a half playing musical chairs at the
quarterback and IOSD is great. We don't care if Gronowski
(20:02):
plays or not. To get to the under for Wisconsin props.
We got touchdowns for Jeneeran Price, Ktron Allen, Deshaun Bishop,
and Bryce Underwood. Over one and a half, passing touchdowns
for Josh Hoover at k State, over ten and a
half rush attempts for Kyron Jones against Georgia Tech, over
six and a half, receptions at Illinois for Jeremiah Smith
(20:22):
and over sixty five and a half receiving yards for
Ramelo Brinson versus Stanford and over forty and a half
receiving yards for Brett Esklinson at Colorado.
Speaker 1 (20:30):
That is it for me. Good luck everybody, and I
will see you next week. Take it easy. Thanks for
listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
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What's going on everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Scott bog Bean here for betting pros to give you
my favorite picks and props for Week seven of the
college football season. And I want to remind you guys
before we dive in that we are brought to you
by our new presenting sponsor, the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.
Speaker 1 (00:14):
Roll with hard Rock Bet this season.
Speaker 2 (00:16):
Sign up with the hard Rock Bet app to day
place your first five dollars bet and if it wins,
you will score one hundred and fifty dollars and bonus
bets on top of your winnings. That's just one more
reason to check out the hard Rock Bet app and
see why it gets so many stars and such great ratings.
It's our last show of the week before Sunday, so
if you're looking for more insights on what you can
(00:36):
bet before then, you can check out the hard Rock
Bets stats hub right there in the app. Kansas City
has one twelve in a row's home favorites. Eight Chan
has scored a touchdown in seven straight home games. Here's
a weird one. CMC and Kream Hunt have hit paydirt
in seven consecutive October games. Plenty more where that came
from all one tap away at any time on hard
(00:58):
Rock Bet. On her Rock Bet, you can get profit
boosts for football parlays every day through Monday, back to
back College profit boost today and Saturday, plus a profit
boost for the Sunday games and another Monday night. There's
new promos every day, so no matter when you listen
to this, open the app check out what you've got
any single day of the week. Download the hard Rock
(01:21):
Bet app and make your first deposit.
Speaker 3 (01:23):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by a
Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be
twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it. In Indiana if you are something
you who know as a gambling problem and wants help,
call one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem
(01:45):
called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois. In New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (01:49):
All right, let's dive into how we did last week.
Another sub five hundred week. Here, just barely six and
seven on my picks, five and six on the prop
spring us to twenty seven, thirty one on the picks
and thirty five and twenty nine on the props. We
didn't get Michigan minus seventeen and a half. This one
ended twenty four to ten. Michigan had a chance to
(02:10):
score at the end, they didn't need to and they
didn't punch it in Wisconsin.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
Team total under thirteen and a half. That we got
that side of it.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Virginia Louisville. I had the over sixty one and a half.
I really liked what Virginia had done. They ended up
winning thirty to twenty seven, so fifty seven right on
the doorstep. We just didn't get all the way home there.
Cincinnati on the money line, we got that. I was
an easy win over Iowa State. I was completely wrong
about my Longhorns against Florida. Florida came out with their
new freshmen and just crushed everything, and they did not
(02:40):
have this team total under of eighteen and a half.
Real quick Texas stomped Houston thirty five to eleven, so
we got that one. Two weeks in a row is
completely wrong on the Aggies. They won thirty one to
nine against Mississippi State. Whatever was wrong with their defense
against Notre Dame they fixed two weeks in a row,
so their defense has been very, very strong. So we're
(03:02):
not going to bet against A and M at home
probably again the rest of the season. So Ohio State
versus Minnesota under forty three and a half, Well, Ohio
State scored forty two, but we did get the under
Minnesota team total of nine and a half because they
were held only three points pitt Miya six and a half.
First Boston College ended up being my best pick of
the year. Actually, forty eight to seven was the final there.
(03:26):
Maryland had the win on the money line in this
game most of the game, but Washington came back and
won twenty four to twenty. But they did not cover
our six and a half points that we got with Maryland,
so we got that one, and then Notre Dame just
couldn't put points up against Boise State played one of
their worst games of the season here and only twenty
eight points against Boise State at home. Was kind of sad.
(03:46):
But didn't get that one on the props five and six.
Like I said, worst week I probably ever had in
my touchdown calls. Singleton didn't have any because Cape Tron
Allen had a couple for Penn State, and you know
they scored points against UCLA. Just Singleton and get in
the end zone. Cameron Dicky did score, jeremih Smith did score,
Leveon Moss didn't for A and M and that game
(04:07):
scored fewer points and I thought anyway, and Bryant Westco.
I mean, Clemson had so many points early that at Westco.
Just if you didn't get your work done early, you
weren't getting it done. And that's what happened to Westco
in that game. So we didn't quite get home on those.
But let's take a look at what we got Week seven.
Feeling pretty good here. Look we're gonna double down on
(04:27):
a team total under against Ohio State, right Illinois seventeen
and a half points. Lukealtmeyer has a bad track record
against top ten defenses. Ohio State is playing lights out
right now. We got that under nine and a half
from Minnesota last week. This is a road game. I
understand that Illinois at home, right, Luke Altmeyer is a
(04:48):
very veteran presence at quarterback for the Aliini. But Ohio
State's defense has stopped everybody, and I don't think that's
going to change here. I think they're also going to
be able to possess the ball a lot, a lot
of injured players in the secondary for Illinois. More on
that when we get to the props here. But I
just don't think Illinois is going to hang very well
in this game, specifically because of Luke Altmeer's passed against
(05:13):
top defenses. His track record is not good. So we're
gonna take the under team total of Illinois at seventeen
and a half. I'm going to take the under still
on the Oklahoma Texas game. Now, John Mattier is listed
as probable, right. I understand if you don't want to
take it because of John Mattier, But I think John
Mittier is going to start and play. But I think
(05:34):
he's going to be packaged, right, Like, I think he's
going to come in and play this game at about
fifty percent, right. I mean, the dude had surgery September
twenty eighth or twenty six or whatever.
Speaker 1 (05:46):
It was.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
I just don't think he's going to be one hundred
percent back yet. So I know they said he's playing,
I don't really believe it. And Matier at less than
one hundred percent against a strong Texas defense, it's still
not going to put up many points. And arch Manning
has nothing right now. I mean, the Texas offense has
no identity right now at all, so they are not
gonna contribute very high to this total either. So I'm
(06:08):
gonna stick with the under and I'm gonna wait. Like
Matier's gonna play here, they're saying he's gonna play. I
think it's a little bit overblown, but he's gonna play.
And this total is gonna keep climbing. It has climbed
from forty three and a half to forty five and
a half in a day, so I think it's just
going to continue to ascend.
Speaker 1 (06:25):
So wait, wait to take it.
Speaker 2 (06:26):
Maybe it gets up to forty seven or forty eight
and a half by the time we get there, so
just wait and see what it does. I don't do
too many alt lines. I am gonna do two today,
but first one Oregon minus six and a half fors
Indiana it's minus one thirty two. You can get this
at seven. I just prefer to kill the hook. It
has been moving slightly towards Indiana. It opened up a
(06:51):
nine and a half, so I do think that this
could possibly slide to six and a half. But I
think it's gonna stay at seven and a half because
that hook. That's about right. But I think Oregon is
an incredibly hard place to play. There's gonna be rain,
weird elements. We saw Ohio State go there last year
and lose, and they won the national championship, right, So
I just don't think Indiana is going to be as
(07:13):
in this game as we're giving them credit for. And
I like Indiana a lot. You guys have heard me
speak very positively about the Hoosiers here, but I just
think the Ducks are a different breed right now. You know,
going into Penn State and winning that game was huge.
We have in then Penn State losing a UCLA, We've
had the Oregon hangover. Right, Teams that play Oregon are
usually bad, not just the week they play them, but
(07:34):
the week after as well. So I'm just not I
don't think Indiana can pull this off on the road.
If it was at home. I might be seeing a
different tune here, but I think Oregon at home is
really tough right now. So I'm gonna go anything less
than a touchdown. We're taking the ducks here. I'm gonna
go Michigan on the money line at USC. And I
(07:54):
know this isn't a lot of people's favorite bet that
I picked. I know a lot of people on the
USC us he can score here. The problem is is
USC can't stop anything on defense, and I think that
they will get stopped a little bit on offense by Michigan.
Michigan did a great job against them last year. They
actually won this game. This was a home game for
Michigan last year, but I'll submit that that team at
(08:16):
home was worse than this team will be on the
road now. I think USC is a better team than
they were last year as well. So you know it's
not you know, it's apples and oranges. We're not comparing
the same thing here, of course, But you know they
got gash last year on the run, and I think
that's gonna happen again this year. I think Michigan's gonna
run right down their throat. I think they're going to
dominate time of possession, and that's how you beat a
(08:38):
team like USC. You don't let them have the ball.
You make them panic when they do have the ball,
thinking we got to score, we got to score, and
you put pressure on them. So I think Michigan can
do this with their defense in their run game. Bryce
Underwood is the is the key here if he does
not make major mistakes like he did against Oklahoma. And
by the way, Oklahoma's defense way way better than USC.
(08:59):
I think this team is going to be pretty good
on the road. They're gonna put up a fight here.
I think they come away with a win on the
money line. So I'm gonna take the Wolverines at USC. Look,
I'm just gonna roll Texas Tech until they don't hit.
So I'm rolling down steam on this. BP didn't like it,
so you know you don't have to ride with me
(09:20):
on this when I understand this. But this is just
me backing Texas Tech. They're fourteen and a half point
favorites at home against Kansas. I think Kansas is a
pretty good team, but they've had some injuries, specifically on offense.
I think what they're going to rely on in this
game against this Texas Tech defense that has been awesome.
I mean, look, they haven't been super challenged, right, they
haven't had a really tough game yet. I mean, going
(09:42):
to Utah and winning is very impressive. But Utah is
probably not as good as we think. So you know,
Texas Tech. There are still some questions, but this looks
like an upper echelon team. To me, this looks like
a Big twelve title winner and a playoff contender. So
I'm gonna roll with Texas Technically the fourteen and a half.
I think they beat the breaks off of Kansas. This
(10:05):
one's weird. I've got a couple weird ones this week.
I don't usually get too granular, but let's go first
quarter over on LSU South Carolina. I might like the
under for the entire game because neither one of these
offenses have really done anything yet. But both teams coming
off by weeks, so you get two weeks to script
up drives. We just saw what that did for Florida, right,
(10:25):
So I think that this could be a really good
game for South Carolina and LSU to both put some
points up early on those scripted drives. So if they
both pay off, that's fourteen points. But if we get
one score and a touchdown and one kick in a
field goal. We're there too, So nine and a half
in the first quarter. We're going to go over that
for LSU South Carolina TCU minus two and a half
(10:46):
at Kansas State, we're gonna take the over fifty five
and a half two. Dylan Edwards is out for this game,
and I know Kansas State has been a better offense
when he's been healthy the last two weeks, but he
was banged up last week and they put up points.
And I think TCU can score on any buddy right now.
I know they're on the road here, but I do
not believe in this Kansas State team. They keep losing
one score games very frequently this season. I think three
(11:10):
three to one score losses already for k State might
be four, so a lot of won one game losses
for the Wildcats, and TCU is just doing this with offense.
I think Josh Hoover has been at excellent. Kansas State
is just middling on defense. So we've seen the give
up for k State as well. I've lost some money
(11:31):
on them, So we're gonna go with TCU here. I
just think they're a much better team than Kansas State
this season. No Dylan Edwards for Kansas State hurts a
little bit as well. But I think we're gonna get
thirty five from TCU. They keep passing the ball well,
I think they're gonna put up a lot of points here.
So can we get twenty one from Kansas State? I
think we can. So let's go thirty five to twenty
(11:53):
one TCU. That gets us more than home Maryland plus
six and a half for Nebraska. Look, Nebraska because a
good team, but Maryland just held their own at home
against Washington, right, So Nebraska's coming in here, and I
think their run problems have been overblown. Matt Rule talked
about it this week, like, hey, look, you know, our
(12:14):
running backs are great, but they've given up a lot
of sacks. It's not really the only line giving up
the sacks either. It's Rayela holding the ball too long
and you cannot do that against this Maryland teams. Maryland
team already is nineteen sacks this season. They will get
after the quarterback, so it's more for the defensive side.
To me, Although I do really like Malik Washington, I
(12:34):
also like just you know, I like him to be
able to pull the ball down and run it a
little bit against this team as well.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
So rushing total.
Speaker 2 (12:41):
I won't mess with him my props because he could
get sacked, right, But I think that's going to be
the difference maker for Maryland is I think Malik Washington's
legs on offense because they haven't had a particularly good
run game yet at Maryland, and it's strength on strength
versus Nebraska on offense. For Maryland, their passing game against
a very good coverage unit number one in the nation
(13:02):
in Nebraska, so they're gonna have to run the ball.
I think Lake Washington hasn't been asked to run the
ball that much this year as a true freshman, but
he's going to be able to do it here.
Speaker 1 (13:10):
He is a dual threat.
Speaker 2 (13:11):
He ran a lot in high school and it's a
tool in the tool belt that he has not unleashed yet.
We're gonna go Wisconsin team total under seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:20):
Look.
Speaker 2 (13:20):
Mark Gronowski is a question mark in this game. I
think he's going to play, though they're splitting practice reps
between all three quarterbacks that they could start at Iowa.
But Farrence said he was very encouraged on Wednesday and
everything is trending in the right direction. So I'm gonna
read between the lions and we're going to say that
Gronowski plays. Gronowski doesn't have to play for Wisconsin. Not
(13:44):
to score Wisconsin has been bad. They've been playing musical
chairs at quarterback as well.
Speaker 1 (13:50):
So yeah, I think that I think that.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
Wisconsin is going to not score seventeen and a half
points against Iowa. Iowa Indiana to twenty, right, So I
just this offense has been real rough for Wisconsin. I
do not think they get to seventeen and a half
points in this game.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
This is a tall, tall ask, all right.
Speaker 2 (14:13):
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(14:33):
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(15:19):
All right, let's go over the props from last week.
Like I said, five and six touchdowns. We got two
of three here. Danie O'Neil didn't play. Sowresby got over.
Vegan did not get to seventy one and a half yards,
not even close. Jayden Paul was way over, he had
so many carries, Jamari Taylor missed it by a yard
(15:41):
and a half on the rushing yards. And Ramelo Brinson
we did get. We're going to double down on him
this week as well. So looking at the props that
I want to roll this week, we are going to
go with touchdown calls from Jeneium Price running back from
Notre Dame against NC State. I just think Notre Dame
is scoring on everybody. I think NC State is gonna
(16:01):
have no problem. They have a really bad run defense.
We're gonna go with k Tron Allen, who scored all
those touchdowns last week, to get another one against Northwestern.
I think, and our boys Seth who is a Penn
State fan. I just I think Penn State is going
to be angry. I think they're gonna roll Northwestern. I
think he's right about this. I think everybody gets a piece.
One of the highest overs of the week. Tennessee versus Arkansas.
(16:24):
Let's go with Tennessee running back to Shawn Bishop to
score a touchdown in that game. I think that one
is going to be an easy one. It's almost seventy points.
Believe it was sixty eight and a half when I
looked the other day. I consider taking the over man.
Tennessee can't stop anybody, and they score a lot. Arkansas
can't stop anybody either. That one is gonna be a
fun shootout. Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood at usc usc just
(16:47):
giving up, you know, rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks all over
the place. Aden childs at two last week, so I
think that USC has been giving this up. Bryce Underwood
is going to have to pull it down and run.
I think he can get into the end zone as well.
As far as the props. Josh Hoover over one and
a half passing touchdowns at Kansas State. He has fifteen
touchdowns this season. Case State miden coverage real bad in
(17:10):
pass rush grade, so I don't think they're going to
put any pressure on Josh Hoover. It's part of the
reason why I'm taking TCU in this game. I think
he's gonna be able to sit back and pick them
apart and find the open man wherever. That guy should
be very high receiving grades for TCU as well. They
got a lot of good weapons there, so over one
and a half passing touchdowns should be pretty easy for
(17:30):
Hoover to get In that one. We're gonna go Virginia
Tech quarterback Kyron Drones over ten and a half rushing
attempts against Wake, averaging twelve per game, or Georgia Tech.
Excuse me, he's averaging twelve rush attempts per game. He's
hit this prop in three of four Power for matchups
or excuse me, I'm sorry, three or four quarterbacks against
Georgia Tech.
Speaker 1 (17:51):
Have hit this prop. That is what I was trying
to say.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
But ten and a half rush attemps for Kyeron Jones,
I think that could be pretty easy.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
He's been pretty much there. Higher offense.
Speaker 2 (18:01):
Ohio state wide receiver Jeremiah Smith over six and a
half receptions at Illinois. We talked about how Illinois has
a lot of dB issues so far this season and
didn't hit the first two weeks, but he's hit this
prop in three straight weeks.
Speaker 1 (18:14):
Julian sand and Jeremiah Smith really working together.
Speaker 2 (18:17):
Now. I told you we're going to double up on
SMU wide receiver Romelo Brinson over sixty five and a
half receiving yards over Stanford. Stanford is one hundred and
twenty second in coverage grade, and last week three San
Jose state wide receivers had over one hundred yards against
Stanford in four cleared sixty five and a half. So
I think we're Melo Brentson hits this one easy and
the last one. Iowa state wide receiver Brett Eskeltson over
(18:40):
forty and a half receiving yards at Colorado. He's hit
this in three of five weeks. Colorado one hundred and
thirty four of one hundred and thirty six graded teams
in coverage right now, So just not playing well on
the back end are the Buffaloes at all. Iowa State
doesn't pass the ball that much, but Eskelton has made
some big plays. He can get most of this in
(19:01):
one fell swoop. So just to double back to tell
you what all we are betting this week, I'm going
Illinois under seventeen and a half for Ohio State Oklahoma first,
Texas under forty five and a half wait for that
one because it is climbing Oregon.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
I'm all lining this to minus six and a half.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
The line is minus thirty two minus one thirty two
excuse me, and you get this at seven. But I
prefer to kill that hook. Michigan money line at USC
that's plus one ten. Texas Tech I'm laying fourteen and
the Hook versus Kansas I think they win that by
three touchdowns. LSU versus South Carolina over nine and a
half in the first quarter. Coming off BI weeks with
those scripted drives. TCU minus two and a half at
(19:39):
Kansas State and the over fifty five and a half.
We know TCU is going to score. Kansas State's offense
has looked improved the last two weeks. We're going to
bank on that. Maryland plus six and a half at
home versus Nebraska rail is holding the ball too long.
That Maryland pass rush is going to get to him
and make this one a tight one. Wisconsin team total
under seventeen and a half playing musical chairs at the
quarterback and IOSD is great. We don't care if Gronowski
(20:02):
plays or not. To get to the under for Wisconsin props.
We got touchdowns for Jeneeran Price, Ktron Allen, Deshaun Bishop,
and Bryce Underwood. Over one and a half, passing touchdowns
for Josh Hoover at k State, over ten and a
half rush attempts for Kyron Jones against Georgia Tech, over
six and a half, receptions at Illinois for Jeremiah Smith
(20:22):
and over sixty five and a half receiving yards for
Ramelo Brinson versus Stanford and over forty and a half
receiving yards for Brett Esklinson at Colorado.
Speaker 1 (20:30):
That is it for me. Good luck everybody, and I
will see you next week. Take it easy. Thanks for
listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
Speaker 2 (20:37):
If you love the show, the best freeway to support
us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts
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