October 17, 2025 • 21 mins
Join our resident College Football connoisseur Scott Bogman as he brings you his favorite bets and props for Week 8 of the 2025 college football season!
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Intro - 0:00:00
Hard Rock Bet - 0:00:07
Week 7 Recap - 0:01:57
Week 8 Best Game Bets - 0:04:29
BettingPros Discord and App - 0:15:04
Prop Bets - 0:16:07
Outro - 0:19:47
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
What's going on everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Scott Bogman here for Betting Tros to give you my
favorite picks and props for Week eight of the college
football season. And I want to remind you guys that
today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,
the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.
Speaker 1 (00:13):
Roll with hard rock Bet this season.
Speaker 2 (00:15):
Can sign up with hard rock Bet today, place your
first five dollars, and if it wins, you'll score one
hundred and fifty dollars and bonus bets on top of
your winnings.
Speaker 1 (00:23):
That's just one more reason to.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
Check out hard Rock Bet app today and see why
it gets so many stars and such great ratings. It's
our last show of the week before Sunday, so if
you're looking for more insights on what you can bet
before then, you can check hard Rock Bets stats hub
right there in the app. Kansas City has won thirteen
in a row as home favorites. The Jets lost eleven
straight against the NFC South Miami has dropped eleven consecutive
(00:47):
games as underdogs against the AFC Tennessee. As a new
head coach, maybe they can break the ten games streak
of failing to cover at home against New England, plenty
more where that came from one tap away at any
single time on hard Rock Bet. On harro Bet, you
can get profit boosts for football parlays every day through Monday,
(01:09):
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Monday night. There's new promos every day, so no matter
when you're listening to this, open the app, check out
what you've got any single day of the week and
download the hard Rock Bet app and make your first
(01:30):
deposit today.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by the
Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. Must be
twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it in Indiana if you are somebody
you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call
one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called
(01:53):
one hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (01:57):
All right, let's review last week seven three on the picks,
not bad, putting us to thirty four and thirty four.
Climb back in to over five hundred props four and five.
This week another down week, thirty nine and thirty four.
Still five games up on the props for the picks.
Illinois under seventeen and a half they scored sixteen. That
(02:18):
one was sweaty, but we got it. Oklahoma versus Texas
under forty five and a half, That one was easy,
no sweat there. Lost Oregon minus six and a half,
even on the alt line. I wanted to get it
under a touchdown. They lost by ten, So didn't get
Oregon Michigan. I am done with the money line here.
Speaker 1 (02:35):
I took them.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
They lost thirty to seventeen to USC Texas Tech minus
fourteen and a half vers Kansas Cash. That one that
was no issue. I mean, Barry Morton did get banged up,
but they won forty two to seventeen. LSU versus South
Carolina over nine and a half in the first quarter
because they're both coming off a bye and we got that,
not because we deserved it, but that was one where
results are overprocessed because well really not. But LSU was
(02:58):
going in, they're down on three zip. They were going
in to score a touchdown. They fumbled. South Carolina picked
it up. They got it at like the ten, there's
a minute and a half left in the quarter.
Speaker 1 (03:09):
And they ran a giant touchdown.
Speaker 2 (03:11):
So did end up getting that one TCU minus two
and a half at Kansas State we did not get,
but we did get the over fifty five and a
half in that game as it was forty one to
twenty eight Maryland plus six and a half versus Nebraska
cash because Nebraska did win this game, but thirty four
to thirty one only by three points and Wisconsin team
total under seventeen and a half versus Iowa. We got
that because they didn't score a single point. Hit the
(03:34):
parlay on the Parlaysia two. So decent week for the picks.
The Props got two touchdown calls, missed two touchdown calls.
Jaron Price didn't score one against NC State, Bryce Underwood
didn't get in against USC, Caitron Allen versus Northwestern, and
DeShawn Bishop versus Arkansas. Both did score on our other
props here. Josh Hoover over one and a half. We
(03:54):
got that he had three passing touchdowns at Kansas State
kyon drones over ten and a half. Rush attempts, he
had sixteen smu wid Receiver Romelo Brinceton. I don't know
if he got banged up in this game. He is
on the injury report this week, but he only managed
forty eight and the line was sixty five and a half.
And Brett Eskeltson just didn't get there, only thirteen yards
(04:15):
for him forty and a half.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
They use a way bigger array.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Wide receivers than they typically have at Iowa State last week.
So we were sitting, like I said, thirty four and
thirty four on picks for the year, thirty nine and
thirty four on props. So let's dive into the picks
for this week. South Carolina under eight and a half
versus Oklahoma is going to be my first pick here.
I like the under in this game as well. It's
(04:40):
two defenses that are playing much much better than their offenses. Oklahoma,
like by all statistical and graded measurements, are basically the
number one defense in the land at Ohio State in
points per game, of course, but a lot of other measurements.
It is Oklahoma. Call Ohio State one and Oklahoma two.
It doesn't matter. Their defense is great, Leonora Sellers is not.
I've been playing well. They are down running backs in
(05:03):
the run game has been miserable, and they are down
to starting offensive linemen as well. South Carolina is I
just don't see how they get to this score. I
think Oklahoma is going to have the ball for most
of the game. I think we see a better game
from Matier. Physically was okay against Texas. He just made
some poor decisions. I think they you know, I think
he gets that corrected. I do think Oklahoma kind of
(05:24):
wins that one. Going away. They're five and a half
point favorites. I like that side as well. I would
lean that way. But my favorite playing this game is
South Carolina under eighteen and a half, Washington team total
over twenty two and a half, first Michigan and look,
I'm going to take this time right now just to
remind everybody check weather reports, right because what I do
is I put a bunch that I like, I double
(05:46):
check and see which way, you know, I check all
the information before I put these out, but lots I
took a lot off because of weather. And this is
one that I considered because there is supposed to be
some rain, but they the wind is not supposed to
be horrible in this Washington and Michigan game. And that's
really what gets you is the wind. Like the rain
doesn't help if it's heavy heavy, same thing with snow.
(06:07):
If it's heavy heavy, that starts to affect you negatively
towards points. But the wind is what really gets points
because it starts pushing kicks and passes and things like that.
So a little bit of rain doesn't really bother me.
But again, before you play bets this weekend, double triple
check weather. There's a lot of rain, there's a lot
of wind all across the country, so just make sure
(06:31):
you're checking as these seasons start to shift. Here Washington
team totals over twenty two and a half versus Michigan.
Speaker 1 (06:37):
I like that. I like what Demon Williams has been doing.
Joanna Coleman, a.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
Great running back and maybe the number one wide receiver
in the draft next year. In Denzel Boston made a
crazy catch last week. We saw Michigan have issues against
John Mattier and that run game when the quarterback starts scrambling.
I think we're going to see a lot of that
obviously here from Demon Williams. He's gotten a lot of
comparisons to Kyler Murray recently, so I just I think
(07:03):
Washington's going to be able to put up some points.
I think this one might go a little bit back
and forth, so we will see over twenty two and
a half on Washington team total.
Speaker 1 (07:12):
LSU and Vandy under forty nine and a half. Look.
Speaker 2 (07:15):
I really like Vandy in this game. LSU's offense has
been rough. It feels like neus Meyer has either just
regressed a ton or maybe playing with a hidden injury
or something. He just does not look right quite yet.
For LSU, the run game has been abysmal. Vandy's offense
has been okay, but they're going up against the LSU
(07:36):
defense that is really good number one roster strength on
their defense, they have not performed quite up to Oklahoma
in Ohio State, but they're still very very good, much
better than what their offense has done this year. And
I think that Vandy look. Vandy rushes the passer well,
they got tys Simpson four times a couple of weeks
ago when they played Alabama. I think they could get
(07:58):
to nuss Meyer here as well. There very good at
putting pressure on the quarterback, and LSU passes his ball
to sixty percent clips, so right into the strength of
that defense. LSU is going to have to play because
they've had a lack of a run game. I just
don't like it for the score, and we might have
some win pushing up against that threshold that we were
talking about there, which is not good for total. So
(08:19):
under forty nine and a half for LSU at Vandy
Texas Tech. I'm just going to pick until they let
me down, right minus seven and a half. At Arizona State,
Sam Levitt is going to play. I know Baron Morton
is questionable. Romelo height is questionable. If you're reading between
the lines on what Joey Maguire said, Morton is definitely
going to play. I don't even care if he does, though.
Will Hammond is a great backup. He has experienced. He
(08:43):
came in last week, didn't get it done with his
arm because he didn't get any first team reps, but
he got two rushing touchdowns and ran for like eighty yards.
The dude is a dog. So Texas Tech is just
deep everywhere. They are beating all the Big twelve competent
into the ground. I expect that to stay the same.
And this has gone from eleven and a half because
(09:04):
we weren't sure about Sam Levitt to seven and a half.
So if it falls even more, I'll take it again.
I really like Texas Tech in this game. I just
think they're the best team in the Big twelve by
a lot right now. I thought maybe Utah in Arizona
State could challenge them after watching Utah on Arizona State.
I mean, Texas Tech went to Utah and beat the
brakes off of them. I think Arizona State is probably
(09:26):
somewhat similar to Utah in Texas Tech. I mean, they
built this through the portal and nil and it is
absolutely working for them so far. This year Tennessee at Alabama,
we're gonna do two bets here. We're gonna go over
fifty eight and a half and we're gonna go Alabama
team total over thirty five and a half. I just
you know, Ty Simpson is hot, white, white hot. I
(09:48):
think he can score. We saw the Georgia Tennessee game,
which is kind of how I feel like this game
is gonna go. Alabama hasn't run the ball very well,
but it doesn't matter for this game because the secondary
for t Tennessee has been abysmal this year really has
not been good. Now they've had a lot of injuries.
Jamal McCoy, who kept Ryan Williams down last year, is
not going to play in this game. He hasn't yet
(10:09):
played this season. So I just think that Alabama is
going to be able to score. And look Tennessee Joey Aguilar,
I think he's gonna put points up on anybody, right,
So I think obviously Alabama does a heavy lifting maybe
forty two points something like that, and we just need
a little bit of help from Tennessee here and it
might go. It might look like that Georgia game. If
(10:31):
Tennessee is in this game, I think it's because they're scoring.
So I just really really do like the under or
the over in this game for Alabama. Now, an under
we are going to take, and another one a lot
like Texas Tech. I'm just gonna take this to the
wheels fall off. Probably Wisconsin under seven and a half
team total against Ohio State. I think Ohio State is
(10:54):
gonna blank them just like Iowa did. This offense has
not been hard to stop. Luke Fickle is going to
get fired soon. It feels like this all the win
has come out of the sales for Wisconsin. They are
at home, so that does make a difference.
Speaker 1 (11:09):
I get it.
Speaker 2 (11:10):
I just their offense is pathetic this year, and they're
going up against what we just talked about was number
one and number two defense in the country better than Iowa,
and Iowa just held them to no points. So I
don't think Wisco scores and I'm gonna take the under
seven and a half. Brighter days are ahead for Wisconsin.
Still a very good school, very good program, with a
(11:31):
great history. It's rough right now, so let's make some
money on them while they're down. That's all I'm saying.
Missouri MIGHTUS one and a half out of Auburn. Don't
understand this line. Don't understand why all the cash is
on Auburn. You know, I get that Auburn was completely
hosed last week and against Oklahoma. I don't think officials
(11:51):
are gonna do makeup calls for Auburn. I know that
they're at home, Missouri is coming off a rough loss,
but they hung in there with Alabama the entire game.
They didn't lose that game to the very very end.
This is our first road trip. I think this is
going to be a business.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Trip for them.
Speaker 2 (12:06):
And look, I know Auburn is desperate, but the acts
is coming for a freeze here at some point, and
I think it might be after this game. If they
dropped this back to back home games, I don't think
you're gonna get the same type of turnout that you
did at Auburn last week against Alabama.
Speaker 1 (12:22):
For Missouri, maybe I'm wrong.
Speaker 2 (12:24):
I know there's still gonna be it's gonna sell out,
it's gonna be great atmosphere. It's Jordan hair Like. I'm
not doubting that or the fans at all. Great group there,
But it's hard to get up for a game like
this after you were just up for Alabama and didn't
or Georgia and didn't come away with the win there.
So for me, I'm gonna take Missouri. I think they've
(12:45):
been on a great streak. I think they're going to
run the ball well. Fulk is questionable for Auburn in
this game as well, so tough loss for them there.
Memphis minus twenty and twenty one and a half against
UA B, I'm just ignoring the dead cat bounce here.
UAB is not gonna be able to stop Memph at all.
They're running down to everybody's throat right now. I think
that's going to continue to be what happens here and
(13:06):
another game with a decent amount of wind in it.
So when we get to the second half and UAB
has to pass, those balls might start getting pushed. Big
mistakes will happen. Memphis is gonna run up the score.
So Memphis my twenty one and a half, another one
I will just take until they fail me. We're gonna
go Florida or Mississippi State at Florida under fifty and
(13:28):
a half in this game, I think Florida has just
shown us something different on defense ever since that Texas game. Yes,
they lost to A and M, but Mississippi State is
not as strong a team as A and M as
we witnessed in that A and M versus Mississippi State game,
so bothwell out for this game. For Mississippi State as well.
I just really like the way that Florida has been
(13:49):
playing recently, specifically on defense, and I think they are
going to be able to shut down Mississippi State. And
if you shut down Misissippi State's offense, I I just
think I think Florida runs away with this game. I
think they're gonna play it slow. I think Jayden Ball
gets a ton of carries. So we will see with
the Gators in the last game. And I'm going to pick.
Speaker 1 (14:11):
Before we get the props.
Speaker 2 (14:12):
Washington State versus Virginia over fifty five and a half
thirty is Virginia's low output this year. And I don't
think it was Washington State's defense playing great against Ole Miss.
They had a good game. Not trying to take anything
away from them, but we've seen ole Miss overlook opponents
they lost to Kentucky last year have weird bad weeks
(14:33):
out of nowhere. I'm assuming that's what happened to them
last week. Now, maybe Washington State's defense is taking a
step up and they're gonna start playing great. I don't
think it's gonna be a great I don't think you're
in a good spot to repeat this performance against Virginia.
Speaker 1 (14:50):
Who ran all over Florida State at home.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
I think they're gonna be able to do the same
to Washington State, so over fifty five and a half
and I do believe Virginia gets the majority, if not all,
of that total.
Speaker 1 (15:03):
So we will.
Speaker 2 (15:03):
See before we get to the props. Remind you, guys
about the Betting Pros Discord. If you're looking to up
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All right, let's get to the props. We got three
(16:11):
touchdown calls. I have three quarterbacks, three quarterback calls, one
running back, and three wide receiver calls. So with the
touchdowns Haines King at Duke, he has won in every
game this season, I don't know why I wouldn't have
one against Duke, Cameron Dickie at Arizona State, and Jamari
Taylor for Washington First Washington State. I think all of
these three guys can get a touchdown. I'm been bad
(16:34):
on the touchdown calls recently, so I think these are
low hanging fruit. I think I just put them all
together and see if we can get the job done here.
For the quarterbacks here Uva, I was just talking about
Virginia quarterback Chandler Morse over one and a half passing
touchdowns for Washington State. I think he's gonna have way
more than that. He has run them in at the
(16:55):
goal line. But I do think they're gonna have score
plenty this week. I think jam Taylor gets one that
could be a pass from Chandler Morris, but I think
Chandler Morris can easily have two. Same thing with Mason
Henchel for Pitt at Syracuse over one and a half
passing touchdowns. He was obviously a huge factor in the
Florida State win. Pitt's offense has been humming ever since
(17:17):
he took over. I think he can throw one and
a half again. Maybe I'm disrespecting a little bit, but
I think he can do this up against Syracuse. We're
gonna take an under, which I typically don't do, but
you guys know I love this team. Total under for
South Carolina. We're gonna fade the quarterback as well. Against Oklahoma.
The total passing yards for him one ninety four and
(17:39):
a half. He's only passed that one time this season.
He has been banked up. They might be playing from behind,
which would make him pass more, but I don't think
he gets to two hundred against Oklahoma. Oklahoma has been
too strong. We're gonna go with the running back of
made Hardy from Missouri at Auburn over eighty six and
a half rushing yards. I mean, the only time he
(18:00):
hasn't got this was against Alabama last week, and that's
because they were playing comeback right. Alabama's run defense has
been strong as well. Auburn has been decent against the run.
I just don't think that many teams can stop Amart Hardy,
and I don't think Auburn's going to do it this week. Obviously,
I'm on the Missouri side, so we're gonna go over
eighty six and a half rushing yards for him at Auburn.
One of my favorite players to watch in college football
(18:21):
this year. He's been a lot of fun. I do
think that Ole Miss in Georgia might go a little
more back and forth than we think. But Zachariah Branch
his total is too low. It's thirty eight and a
half for soul Miss. This is a dude that can
take one and go a long way. So I just
think that if he gets two or three catches, maybe
one of them is a big one and he gets there.
(18:42):
So we're taking a low total here for a shifty guy,
but I like it against Ole Miss. We're gonna go
with Texas A and M wide receiver Casey Concepcion over
sixty two and a half receiving yards at Arkansas. Again,
this is a check the weather game before we get there.
And another one Washington wide receiver Denzel Boston over four
and a half receptions at Michigan. I like the team
(19:03):
total over for Washington. I don't think the weather is
going to get as crazy as it is in other spots.
But again, double triple check these Casey conceptsi On at Arkansas.
Arkansas has just been given up so many yards on defense.
A lot of their games have been, you know, going
shootout point for point, things like that. Le'Veon Moss is
(19:24):
down for a and m as well. So I think
you just you know, you reshift, you refocus, you get
the ball to your best players. Casey Conceptsion is one
of them. Washington wide receiver Denzel Boston. I mean, I
do think they will be down. I think Michigan wins
this game. Never gonna bet them again, but I will
take the team total over for Washington. So I do
think that, you know, we can get some things done
(19:46):
offensively for the Huskies. So to review everything before we
take off, here the picks South Carolina under eighteen and
a half team total versus Oklahoma Washington over twenty two
and a half. First, Michigan LSU Vandy under forty nine
and a half might have wind Texas Tech laying seven
and a half at Arizona State. We're going Tennessee at
(20:07):
Alabama over fifty eight and a half for the game
total and over thirty five and a half for Alabama's
team total. Wisconsin under seven and a half for Ohio State,
Missouri minus one and a half at Auburn Memphis minus
twenty one and a half at uab Mississippi State at
Florida under fifty and a half, and Washington State versus
Virginia over fifty five and a half on the props.
(20:31):
Three touchdown calls for Haines King, Cameron Dickey, and Jamari Taylor.
We have a couple quarterback calls here. Chandler Morris over
one and a half passing touchdowns, Mason Heitchel over one
and a half passing touchdowns, Laura Sellers under one hundred
and ninety four and.
Speaker 1 (20:44):
A half passing yards.
Speaker 2 (20:45):
We're going over on amaud Hardy eighty six and a half,
rushing yards over on zacharyat Branch thirty eight and a half,
receiving yards sixty two and a half receiving yards for
Casey Concepcione and Denzel Boston over four and a half receptions.
That is everything for me. Good luck in your bets,
remember to check the weather like I said before, and
I will see you guys next week. Taking to EA
(21:06):
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What's going on everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Scott Bogman here for Betting Tros to give you my
favorite picks and props for Week eight of the college
football season. And I want to remind you guys that
today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,
the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app.
Speaker 1 (00:13):
Roll with hard rock Bet this season.
Speaker 2 (00:15):
Can sign up with hard rock Bet today, place your
first five dollars, and if it wins, you'll score one
hundred and fifty dollars and bonus bets on top of
your winnings.
Speaker 1 (00:23):
That's just one more reason to.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
Check out hard Rock Bet app today and see why
it gets so many stars and such great ratings. It's
our last show of the week before Sunday, so if
you're looking for more insights on what you can bet
before then, you can check hard Rock Bets stats hub
right there in the app. Kansas City has won thirteen
in a row as home favorites. The Jets lost eleven
straight against the NFC South Miami has dropped eleven consecutive
(00:47):
games as underdogs against the AFC Tennessee. As a new
head coach, maybe they can break the ten games streak
of failing to cover at home against New England, plenty
more where that came from one tap away at any
single time on hard Rock Bet. On harro Bet, you
can get profit boosts for football parlays every day through Monday,
(01:09):
back to back to back college profit boost today and Saturday,
plus a profit boost for Sunday games and another on
Monday night. There's new promos every day, so no matter
when you're listening to this, open the app, check out
what you've got any single day of the week and
download the hard Rock Bet app and make your first
(01:30):
deposit today.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
Payable and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by
the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by the
Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. Must be
twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,
New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight
eight eight admit it in Indiana if you are somebody
you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call
one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called
(01:53):
one hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (01:57):
All right, let's review last week seven three on the picks,
not bad, putting us to thirty four and thirty four.
Climb back in to over five hundred props four and five.
This week another down week, thirty nine and thirty four.
Still five games up on the props for the picks.
Illinois under seventeen and a half they scored sixteen. That
(02:18):
one was sweaty, but we got it. Oklahoma versus Texas
under forty five and a half, That one was easy,
no sweat there. Lost Oregon minus six and a half,
even on the alt line. I wanted to get it
under a touchdown. They lost by ten, So didn't get
Oregon Michigan. I am done with the money line here.
Speaker 1 (02:35):
I took them.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
They lost thirty to seventeen to USC Texas Tech minus
fourteen and a half vers Kansas Cash. That one that
was no issue. I mean, Barry Morton did get banged up,
but they won forty two to seventeen. LSU versus South
Carolina over nine and a half in the first quarter
because they're both coming off a bye and we got that,
not because we deserved it, but that was one where
results are overprocessed because well really not. But LSU was
(02:58):
going in, they're down on three zip. They were going
in to score a touchdown. They fumbled. South Carolina picked
it up. They got it at like the ten, there's
a minute and a half left in the quarter.
Speaker 1 (03:09):
And they ran a giant touchdown.
Speaker 2 (03:11):
So did end up getting that one TCU minus two
and a half at Kansas State we did not get,
but we did get the over fifty five and a
half in that game as it was forty one to
twenty eight Maryland plus six and a half versus Nebraska
cash because Nebraska did win this game, but thirty four
to thirty one only by three points and Wisconsin team
total under seventeen and a half versus Iowa. We got
that because they didn't score a single point. Hit the
(03:34):
parlay on the Parlaysia two. So decent week for the picks.
The Props got two touchdown calls, missed two touchdown calls.
Jaron Price didn't score one against NC State, Bryce Underwood
didn't get in against USC, Caitron Allen versus Northwestern, and
DeShawn Bishop versus Arkansas. Both did score on our other
props here. Josh Hoover over one and a half. We
(03:54):
got that he had three passing touchdowns at Kansas State
kyon drones over ten and a half. Rush attempts, he
had sixteen smu wid Receiver Romelo Brinceton. I don't know
if he got banged up in this game. He is
on the injury report this week, but he only managed
forty eight and the line was sixty five and a half.
And Brett Eskeltson just didn't get there, only thirteen yards
(04:15):
for him forty and a half.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
They use a way bigger array.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Wide receivers than they typically have at Iowa State last week.
So we were sitting, like I said, thirty four and
thirty four on picks for the year, thirty nine and
thirty four on props. So let's dive into the picks
for this week. South Carolina under eight and a half
versus Oklahoma is going to be my first pick here.
I like the under in this game as well. It's
(04:40):
two defenses that are playing much much better than their offenses. Oklahoma,
like by all statistical and graded measurements, are basically the
number one defense in the land at Ohio State in
points per game, of course, but a lot of other measurements.
It is Oklahoma. Call Ohio State one and Oklahoma two.
It doesn't matter. Their defense is great, Leonora Sellers is not.
I've been playing well. They are down running backs in
(05:03):
the run game has been miserable, and they are down
to starting offensive linemen as well. South Carolina is I
just don't see how they get to this score. I
think Oklahoma is going to have the ball for most
of the game. I think we see a better game
from Matier. Physically was okay against Texas. He just made
some poor decisions. I think they you know, I think
he gets that corrected. I do think Oklahoma kind of
(05:24):
wins that one. Going away. They're five and a half
point favorites. I like that side as well. I would
lean that way. But my favorite playing this game is
South Carolina under eighteen and a half, Washington team total
over twenty two and a half, first Michigan and look,
I'm going to take this time right now just to
remind everybody check weather reports, right because what I do
is I put a bunch that I like, I double
(05:46):
check and see which way, you know, I check all
the information before I put these out, but lots I
took a lot off because of weather. And this is
one that I considered because there is supposed to be
some rain, but they the wind is not supposed to
be horrible in this Washington and Michigan game. And that's
really what gets you is the wind. Like the rain
doesn't help if it's heavy heavy, same thing with snow.
(06:07):
If it's heavy heavy, that starts to affect you negatively
towards points. But the wind is what really gets points
because it starts pushing kicks and passes and things like that.
So a little bit of rain doesn't really bother me.
But again, before you play bets this weekend, double triple
check weather. There's a lot of rain, there's a lot
of wind all across the country, so just make sure
(06:31):
you're checking as these seasons start to shift. Here Washington
team totals over twenty two and a half versus Michigan.
Speaker 1 (06:37):
I like that. I like what Demon Williams has been doing.
Joanna Coleman, a.
Speaker 2 (06:40):
Great running back and maybe the number one wide receiver
in the draft next year. In Denzel Boston made a
crazy catch last week. We saw Michigan have issues against
John Mattier and that run game when the quarterback starts scrambling.
I think we're going to see a lot of that
obviously here from Demon Williams. He's gotten a lot of
comparisons to Kyler Murray recently, so I just I think
(07:03):
Washington's going to be able to put up some points.
I think this one might go a little bit back
and forth, so we will see over twenty two and
a half on Washington team total.
Speaker 1 (07:12):
LSU and Vandy under forty nine and a half. Look.
Speaker 2 (07:15):
I really like Vandy in this game. LSU's offense has
been rough. It feels like neus Meyer has either just
regressed a ton or maybe playing with a hidden injury
or something. He just does not look right quite yet.
For LSU, the run game has been abysmal. Vandy's offense
has been okay, but they're going up against the LSU
(07:36):
defense that is really good number one roster strength on
their defense, they have not performed quite up to Oklahoma
in Ohio State, but they're still very very good, much
better than what their offense has done this year. And
I think that Vandy look. Vandy rushes the passer well,
they got tys Simpson four times a couple of weeks
ago when they played Alabama. I think they could get
(07:58):
to nuss Meyer here as well. There very good at
putting pressure on the quarterback, and LSU passes his ball
to sixty percent clips, so right into the strength of
that defense. LSU is going to have to play because
they've had a lack of a run game. I just
don't like it for the score, and we might have
some win pushing up against that threshold that we were
talking about there, which is not good for total. So
(08:19):
under forty nine and a half for LSU at Vandy
Texas Tech. I'm just going to pick until they let
me down, right minus seven and a half. At Arizona State,
Sam Levitt is going to play. I know Baron Morton
is questionable. Romelo height is questionable. If you're reading between
the lines on what Joey Maguire said, Morton is definitely
going to play. I don't even care if he does, though.
Will Hammond is a great backup. He has experienced. He
(08:43):
came in last week, didn't get it done with his
arm because he didn't get any first team reps, but
he got two rushing touchdowns and ran for like eighty yards.
The dude is a dog. So Texas Tech is just
deep everywhere. They are beating all the Big twelve competent
into the ground. I expect that to stay the same.
And this has gone from eleven and a half because
(09:04):
we weren't sure about Sam Levitt to seven and a half.
So if it falls even more, I'll take it again.
I really like Texas Tech in this game. I just
think they're the best team in the Big twelve by
a lot right now. I thought maybe Utah in Arizona
State could challenge them after watching Utah on Arizona State.
I mean, Texas Tech went to Utah and beat the
brakes off of them. I think Arizona State is probably
(09:26):
somewhat similar to Utah in Texas Tech. I mean, they
built this through the portal and nil and it is
absolutely working for them so far. This year Tennessee at Alabama,
we're gonna do two bets here. We're gonna go over
fifty eight and a half and we're gonna go Alabama
team total over thirty five and a half. I just
you know, Ty Simpson is hot, white, white hot. I
(09:48):
think he can score. We saw the Georgia Tennessee game,
which is kind of how I feel like this game
is gonna go. Alabama hasn't run the ball very well,
but it doesn't matter for this game because the secondary
for t Tennessee has been abysmal this year really has
not been good. Now they've had a lot of injuries.
Jamal McCoy, who kept Ryan Williams down last year, is
not going to play in this game. He hasn't yet
(10:09):
played this season. So I just think that Alabama is
going to be able to score. And look Tennessee Joey Aguilar,
I think he's gonna put points up on anybody, right,
So I think obviously Alabama does a heavy lifting maybe
forty two points something like that, and we just need
a little bit of help from Tennessee here and it
might go. It might look like that Georgia game. If
(10:31):
Tennessee is in this game, I think it's because they're scoring.
So I just really really do like the under or
the over in this game for Alabama. Now, an under
we are going to take, and another one a lot
like Texas Tech. I'm just gonna take this to the
wheels fall off. Probably Wisconsin under seven and a half
team total against Ohio State. I think Ohio State is
(10:54):
gonna blank them just like Iowa did. This offense has
not been hard to stop. Luke Fickle is going to
get fired soon. It feels like this all the win
has come out of the sales for Wisconsin. They are
at home, so that does make a difference.
Speaker 1 (11:09):
I get it.
Speaker 2 (11:10):
I just their offense is pathetic this year, and they're
going up against what we just talked about was number
one and number two defense in the country better than Iowa,
and Iowa just held them to no points. So I
don't think Wisco scores and I'm gonna take the under
seven and a half. Brighter days are ahead for Wisconsin.
Still a very good school, very good program, with a
(11:31):
great history. It's rough right now, so let's make some
money on them while they're down. That's all I'm saying.
Missouri MIGHTUS one and a half out of Auburn. Don't
understand this line. Don't understand why all the cash is
on Auburn. You know, I get that Auburn was completely
hosed last week and against Oklahoma. I don't think officials
(11:51):
are gonna do makeup calls for Auburn. I know that
they're at home, Missouri is coming off a rough loss,
but they hung in there with Alabama the entire game.
They didn't lose that game to the very very end.
This is our first road trip. I think this is
going to be a business.
Speaker 1 (12:05):
Trip for them.
Speaker 2 (12:06):
And look, I know Auburn is desperate, but the acts
is coming for a freeze here at some point, and
I think it might be after this game. If they
dropped this back to back home games, I don't think
you're gonna get the same type of turnout that you
did at Auburn last week against Alabama.
Speaker 1 (12:22):
For Missouri, maybe I'm wrong.
Speaker 2 (12:24):
I know there's still gonna be it's gonna sell out,
it's gonna be great atmosphere. It's Jordan hair Like. I'm
not doubting that or the fans at all. Great group there,
But it's hard to get up for a game like
this after you were just up for Alabama and didn't
or Georgia and didn't come away with the win there.
So for me, I'm gonna take Missouri. I think they've
(12:45):
been on a great streak. I think they're going to
run the ball well. Fulk is questionable for Auburn in
this game as well, so tough loss for them there.
Memphis minus twenty and twenty one and a half against
UA B, I'm just ignoring the dead cat bounce here.
UAB is not gonna be able to stop Memph at all.
They're running down to everybody's throat right now. I think
that's going to continue to be what happens here and
(13:06):
another game with a decent amount of wind in it.
So when we get to the second half and UAB
has to pass, those balls might start getting pushed. Big
mistakes will happen. Memphis is gonna run up the score.
So Memphis my twenty one and a half, another one
I will just take until they fail me. We're gonna
go Florida or Mississippi State at Florida under fifty and
(13:28):
a half in this game, I think Florida has just
shown us something different on defense ever since that Texas game. Yes,
they lost to A and M, but Mississippi State is
not as strong a team as A and M as
we witnessed in that A and M versus Mississippi State game,
so bothwell out for this game. For Mississippi State as well.
I just really like the way that Florida has been
(13:49):
playing recently, specifically on defense, and I think they are
going to be able to shut down Mississippi State. And
if you shut down Misissippi State's offense, I I just
think I think Florida runs away with this game. I
think they're gonna play it slow. I think Jayden Ball
gets a ton of carries. So we will see with
the Gators in the last game. And I'm going to pick.
Speaker 1 (14:11):
Before we get the props.
Speaker 2 (14:12):
Washington State versus Virginia over fifty five and a half
thirty is Virginia's low output this year. And I don't
think it was Washington State's defense playing great against Ole Miss.
They had a good game. Not trying to take anything
away from them, but we've seen ole Miss overlook opponents
they lost to Kentucky last year have weird bad weeks
(14:33):
out of nowhere. I'm assuming that's what happened to them
last week. Now, maybe Washington State's defense is taking a
step up and they're gonna start playing great. I don't
think it's gonna be a great I don't think you're
in a good spot to repeat this performance against Virginia.
Speaker 1 (14:50):
Who ran all over Florida State at home.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
I think they're gonna be able to do the same
to Washington State, so over fifty five and a half
and I do believe Virginia gets the majority, if not all,
of that total.
Speaker 1 (15:03):
So we will.
Speaker 2 (15:03):
See before we get to the props. Remind you, guys
about the Betting Pros Discord. If you're looking to up
your game in sports betting, join our exclusive sports betting
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All right, let's get to the props. We got three
(16:11):
touchdown calls. I have three quarterbacks, three quarterback calls, one
running back, and three wide receiver calls. So with the
touchdowns Haines King at Duke, he has won in every
game this season, I don't know why I wouldn't have
one against Duke, Cameron Dickie at Arizona State, and Jamari
Taylor for Washington First Washington State. I think all of
these three guys can get a touchdown. I'm been bad
(16:34):
on the touchdown calls recently, so I think these are
low hanging fruit. I think I just put them all
together and see if we can get the job done here.
For the quarterbacks here Uva, I was just talking about
Virginia quarterback Chandler Morse over one and a half passing
touchdowns for Washington State. I think he's gonna have way
more than that. He has run them in at the
(16:55):
goal line. But I do think they're gonna have score
plenty this week. I think jam Taylor gets one that
could be a pass from Chandler Morris, but I think
Chandler Morris can easily have two. Same thing with Mason
Henchel for Pitt at Syracuse over one and a half
passing touchdowns. He was obviously a huge factor in the
Florida State win. Pitt's offense has been humming ever since
(17:17):
he took over. I think he can throw one and
a half again. Maybe I'm disrespecting a little bit, but
I think he can do this up against Syracuse. We're
gonna take an under, which I typically don't do, but
you guys know I love this team. Total under for
South Carolina. We're gonna fade the quarterback as well. Against Oklahoma.
The total passing yards for him one ninety four and
(17:39):
a half. He's only passed that one time this season.
He has been banked up. They might be playing from behind,
which would make him pass more, but I don't think
he gets to two hundred against Oklahoma. Oklahoma has been
too strong. We're gonna go with the running back of
made Hardy from Missouri at Auburn over eighty six and
a half rushing yards. I mean, the only time he
(18:00):
hasn't got this was against Alabama last week, and that's
because they were playing comeback right. Alabama's run defense has
been strong as well. Auburn has been decent against the run.
I just don't think that many teams can stop Amart Hardy,
and I don't think Auburn's going to do it this week. Obviously,
I'm on the Missouri side, so we're gonna go over
eighty six and a half rushing yards for him at Auburn.
One of my favorite players to watch in college football
(18:21):
this year. He's been a lot of fun. I do
think that Ole Miss in Georgia might go a little
more back and forth than we think. But Zachariah Branch
his total is too low. It's thirty eight and a
half for soul Miss. This is a dude that can
take one and go a long way. So I just
think that if he gets two or three catches, maybe
one of them is a big one and he gets there.
(18:42):
So we're taking a low total here for a shifty guy,
but I like it against Ole Miss. We're gonna go
with Texas A and M wide receiver Casey Concepcion over
sixty two and a half receiving yards at Arkansas. Again,
this is a check the weather game before we get there.
And another one Washington wide receiver Denzel Boston over four
and a half receptions at Michigan. I like the team
(19:03):
total over for Washington. I don't think the weather is
going to get as crazy as it is in other spots.
But again, double triple check these Casey conceptsi On at Arkansas.
Arkansas has just been given up so many yards on defense.
A lot of their games have been, you know, going
shootout point for point, things like that. Le'Veon Moss is
(19:24):
down for a and m as well. So I think
you just you know, you reshift, you refocus, you get
the ball to your best players. Casey Conceptsion is one
of them. Washington wide receiver Denzel Boston. I mean, I
do think they will be down. I think Michigan wins
this game. Never gonna bet them again, but I will
take the team total over for Washington. So I do
think that, you know, we can get some things done
(19:46):
offensively for the Huskies. So to review everything before we
take off, here the picks South Carolina under eighteen and
a half team total versus Oklahoma Washington over twenty two
and a half. First, Michigan LSU Vandy under forty nine
and a half might have wind Texas Tech laying seven
and a half at Arizona State. We're going Tennessee at
(20:07):
Alabama over fifty eight and a half for the game
total and over thirty five and a half for Alabama's
team total. Wisconsin under seven and a half for Ohio State,
Missouri minus one and a half at Auburn Memphis minus
twenty one and a half at uab Mississippi State at
Florida under fifty and a half, and Washington State versus
Virginia over fifty five and a half on the props.
(20:31):
Three touchdown calls for Haines King, Cameron Dickey, and Jamari Taylor.
We have a couple quarterback calls here. Chandler Morris over
one and a half passing touchdowns, Mason Heitchel over one
and a half passing touchdowns, Laura Sellers under one hundred
and ninety four and.
Speaker 1 (20:44):
A half passing yards.
Speaker 2 (20:45):
We're going over on amaud Hardy eighty six and a half,
rushing yards over on zacharyat Branch thirty eight and a half,
receiving yards sixty two and a half receiving yards for
Casey Concepcione and Denzel Boston over four and a half receptions.
That is everything for me. Good luck in your bets,
remember to check the weather like I said before, and
I will see you guys next week. Taking to EA
(21:06):
sye everybody, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.
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