November 24, 2025 • 30 mins
Ready to dominate your Week 13 NFL bets? Joe Pisapia and Andrew Erickson are here to give you the latest insights! From the best over/under plays to which spreads have value, we’ve got you covered. Get set to boost your bankroll this week!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Packers @ Lions - 0:01:55
Chiefs @ Cowboys - 0:04:25
Bengals @ Ravens - 0:06:11
Bears @ Eagles - 0:08:25
Hard Rock Bet - 0:10:11
Falcons @ Jets - 0:11:39
Rams @ Panthers - 0:12:44
Saints @ Dolphins - 0:13:56
49ers @ Browns - 0:15:15
BettingPros App - 0:17:17
Texans @ Colts - 0:17:57
Jaguars @ Titans - 0:18:59
Cardinals @ Buccaneers - 0:20:20
Vikings @ Seahawks - 0:22:25
Bills @ Steelers - 0:23:37
Raiders @ Chargers - 0:25:26
Broncos @ Commanders - 0:27:00
Giants @ Patriots - 0:28:31
Outro - 0:30:02
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's down to place
your bets.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
It is me, Joey p Joe Pi Zapia and this
is BP NFL.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
It's Thanksgiving week, everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
I want to thank everybody who has been with us
all season long, or even if you just found us recently.
We appreciate all of our subscribers here on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. If you haven't already subscribed to the channel,
we love having you here and hopefully you are grateful
for the Upset Special last week, Chi Ching Dallas Cowboys
epic comeback felt good, Andrew Rickson felt real good. And
(00:29):
the people's pick came through with the Browns, something that
we were on last week on this show talking about
Schador getting that first start. Things didn't work out for
the Raiders, things did not work out for Chip Kelly.
Speaker 1 (00:40):
He gone.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
So I want you guys to drop your Upset Special
picks or any pick. What's your favorite pick this week?
We're gonna pick one of them this week to you
in our parlays as well.
Speaker 1 (00:49):
Andrew Erickson, it was a good week for me.
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I had a couple of those big things lost one
or two, Okay, we move on, but upset special baby.
I told you something's wrong with those Philadelphia Eagles, and
I can't.
Speaker 1 (01:00):
Put my finger on it quite yet.
Speaker 2 (01:02):
But look at Thanksgiving and I think this might be
the best Thanksgiving Day of football we have ever had
with some of the slate that we have.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Yeah, well the lines are good, which is always a
plus because that always hasn't been the case before Dan
Campbell kind of took the Reins over the Lions. Used
to be the team that was double digit home underdogs
and almost gott destroyed. It was the game that you
were planning to eat during. But now the Lions packers.
That's kind of like primetime television. Then you have the
Chiefs getting off the schneide, avoiding that zero to three
(01:30):
start against Dallas Cowboys coming off, like you said, that
big massive win. And then you have an AFC North
showdown Bengals with Joe Brow potentially returning against the Ravens
and what's left of Lamar Jackson because he has not
looked great the last couple of weeks. So how does
that match up kind of shape up? With the Ravens
now looking like, hey, we're going to win this division
after starting one to five.
Speaker 1 (01:51):
Yeah, I agree, Lamari looks a little iffy there too.
Speaker 2 (01:54):
So let's start here with that early game on Thanksgiving,
Detroit at home seven and four going against green Bay
seven three and one, green Bay three and a half
point underdogs. You're getting minus three for even money for
the Detroit Lions, forty nine and a half for the under,
forty eight and a half for the over, plus one
forty four on the money line for the green Bay Packers. Now,
Jordan Love not one hundred percent in this game, I'll
take the even money in the three with Detroit. I
(02:16):
think you know Jamiir Gibbs playing out of his mind.
I know it's a short week for everybody here. But
at the same time, Detroit at home, I know you're
probably gonna tell me the over. My only concern there
is that Love's health and his ability to really let
loose here might be in danger. So I just, if anything,
same place I was last week, give me the Lions
team total over, and I'm most comfortable with that.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
But what are your thoughts on this first game on
the holiday.
Speaker 3 (02:41):
Well, the team total was the smart bet to make
last week. Along with the game total going over. I
laid the points to the Lions and that's the reason
why our three, like Parlai, did not hit. So that's
on me, guys.
Speaker 1 (02:50):
But it's okay.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
And to accountabil of buddies andrew accountability buddies, to be.
Speaker 3 (02:55):
Selfish with my own bank roll. I did bet the
Lions on the money line when they were losing in
that fine drive because a graphic popped up on the
screen that the Giants always flow these fourth quarter leads,
and I'm like, oh, yeah, like.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
And there goes their defensive coordinator, he gone, he gone,
finally too.
Speaker 1 (03:12):
Good job, And I.
Speaker 3 (03:14):
Was able to salvage the the Detroit game a little
bit there with some of some action on that live
money line bet. But I agree I like Detroit here
in this spot. If you look at the Packers, they
have not been good on the road this season, specifically
their defense. It's played significantly worse on the road. They're
actually fourmed more towards the over on the road this season,
and they're one and six against the spread in their
last seven road games. So Detroit hasn't covered in two
(03:36):
straight games. This Dan Campbell is the king of covers,
So in a closer spread where it's not near double
digit points again. Last week's was going up and up
and up every single time you looked at it. So
in a close game, the Packers again have been nearly
as good on the road. I would say two with
the total Again, it's a the lines are coming off
an overtime game. And we see this a lot from
teams when they're coming off overtime. They don't necessarily come
(03:58):
out as firing as they do the following week. On
a short week, maybe we don't see them put up
forty points or thirty five points. So I like, I think,
I just want to take the lines here.
Speaker 1 (04:08):
Well, I mean, how much of an overtime game was
it really? I mean, first play out of the.
Speaker 3 (04:12):
Game still went into overtime for a couple seconds.
Speaker 2 (04:19):
That's the only caveat that I'll throw on that one.
But I like, where your heads dead again? Team total
lines is where I want to live on that game.
Kansas City Chiefs Dallas Cowboys. Now this one, all of
a sudden, it's really interesting, right, Cowboys getting back in
the mix here, five and one. This one's in Dallas,
Kansas City, huge victory, six and five. Look, I think
Kansasy's a better football team so Tos Vegas their three
point favorites, you're getting plus three and a half for
(04:40):
Dallas over fifty one and a half under fifty two
and a half, minus one seventy two for the Chiefs
plus one sixty five. So in terms of early value
for me, the value is I think on the Dallas
side of them keeping pace offensively here because it's one
thing we know about the Chiefs the last couple of years,
they play a lot of close games.
Speaker 1 (04:57):
Now, last year they won a lot of close games.
Speaker 2 (05:00):
This year not so much. Last week they finally won one.
I think it's gonna be another close game. So I'll
take the points with Dallas in the three and a half.
Where are you at?
Speaker 3 (05:08):
I think that's the side lean as well. You get
the field goal plus here with the hook. I mean
that's how the game setled last week. It was a
three point win for the Kansas City Chiefs. So I
don't evenally know if a lot of people made money
on that game because it was three or three and
a half in a lot of different spots, so it
may have been able to push in most cases. So
you had to sweat through all the game action, through
overtime just to get your money back, which kind of sucks.
(05:29):
So if you get Dallas plus three and a half
at home, Dallas has been really good at home, especially
as an underdog four and against the spread as a
home underdog, obviously winning outright last week inst Philadelphia Eagles.
So they're flying high, feeling good. The vibes are good,
whereas this Chiefs offense is still kind of like are
they all going to get it together here now? Against Dallas?
You're expecting an offensive juggernaut performance, But look, Casey's eight
and three towards the under this season, like they're playing
(05:52):
very much towards unders, and Dallas's defense again give up
a lot of points to the first half against Philly
shut him down in the second half, so they're runde.
This hasn't proved it significantly. And if we're going to
get Cream Hunt with like thirty carries again, this game's
not going over fifty one and a half, I can
tell you that much.
Speaker 2 (06:08):
Yeah, I'm just playing it tight, and I'll play it
on the Dallas side here. Cincinnati Baltimore or we're hoping
we get Joe Burrow back, we shall see. Plus eight
is where you getting on Cincinnati minus seven. As you said,
Lamar looking a little lackluster since its return from injury.
Fifty one and a half is the over, fifty three
and a half for the under. So this one kind
of all over the map right now. I'm betting pros
on the consensus plus three fifty for the upset for
(06:30):
the Bengals, which you know, if t Higgins was also healthy,
which is not going to be, He's probably gonna miss
this week with a concussion. On the short week, you
get a Jamar Chase back. I just don't know if
we could just throw Burrow back into this mix and
all of a sudden get it to be a cover.
I kind of shy away from this one. Too many variables,
too many outcomes in division game. But if I had
a lean right now, it would actually be Cincinnati on
(06:51):
the plus eight side of this being a little bit closer.
Speaker 1 (06:53):
But what's your take? Any early action here for this
on you?
Speaker 3 (06:57):
So you said the total fifty three and a half points, fifty.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
Three and a half is the under. That's the highest
number you're getting, Yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3 (07:03):
So I would I would go under on that easily,
especially if Joe Burrow plays. We've seen this before. Joe
Burrow when he comes back weeks one to two. For
the start of seasons, the Bengals offense doesn't look that great.
So the Ravens defense has looked significantly better since they've
gotten guys healthier. They shut down posing offenses last couple weeks.
No t Higgins, so that's limiting one of the offensive
playmakers for the Cincinnati Bengals. It's on the road where
(07:26):
the Bengals offensive line is not great, so you're concerned
about that in the protection for the quarterback, whoever it
may be. So even though Joe Burrow may provide a
morale boost for the team, he's not gonna make the
defense better. And Lamar Jackson they just the Ravens offense
hasn't been high flying, so I expect this game to
be close to an under. Again, it's an ANFC Worth matchup,
and usually these games go over. I think it's actually
(07:46):
been six straight that the Bengals and Ravens have gone over.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
I was going to say, these two teams look up
and it's always an over. We were well into the
sixties with these guys, right.
Speaker 3 (07:54):
But it's usually late in the season with both teams
are humming towards the playoffs, and yeah, couldn't be anywhere
farther from this particular match Yeah, where you look up it, Shoup,
Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson. Yes, fifty three and a half points,
that makes sense, But when you look at what these
teams have actually done in this particular matchup, this seems
like a spot where NOE regression is going to hit
in a hard way. We're going to get seventeen to
(08:14):
ten on Sunday night football, which no one necessarily loves.
But hey, you bet the under youre gonn feel right
about it?
Speaker 1 (08:20):
Yeah, I'm just gonna stay away from this one. Typically,
I think I just, you know, enjoy my dessert and
just enjoy the football.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
Next one here, Black Friday game, and then we'll move
on to the Sunday slate Black Friday. Piladelphia Eagles at
home eight and three taking on the Chicago Bears, also
eight and three plus seven and a half. Right now
for the Bears minus six and a half of the
Eagles overs forty four, the under forty five and a
half plus two ninety four the upset special on the
Chicago Bears. Tempting, I'll just take the plus seven and
a half here with the Chicago Bears. Look, it's been
(08:47):
three weeks and Saquon Barkley had a run over fifteen.
Speaker 1 (08:50):
Yards three weeks. Something's just off here with the Eagles.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
I keep telling everybody. Nobody wants to hear me. Now,
I was right about Aja Brown too, as that guy
would pop back up. I know Welsh was in on
him too this week, but I gotta tell you, I
just feel like, once again, you know, we watched these
Eagles all year. They let these teams kind of hang around,
and they have won with a lot of good bounces
that have gone their way, and yesterday bounces did not
go their way, and they did not make enough places
(09:14):
in the second half of that game. And somehow the
Bears always find a way. It seems like a certain point,
I got to throw my hands up and go, I
just accept it, and the Bears are going to just
find ways to be in game.
Speaker 1 (09:23):
So I'll take the points with the Bears. What are
you taking?
Speaker 3 (09:26):
Yeah, it seems like way too many points, way too
many Chicago.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
This might be my favorite early line, Bed, I'll be
honest with you.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
Seven and a half points.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
That's what again? Right now?
Speaker 3 (09:34):
Eagles? I mean when you're fair by touchdown it I
assume that this is like a juggernaut team.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Well, they're the defending champs, so I think that's you know,
that's just the look of it right now, I'm telling
you that's the thought process. They're at home short week.
I get it. I get it. I don't agree with it,
but I understand it. It's like many of your family members.
You get them.
Speaker 2 (09:56):
You certainly don't agree with them when they come over
for the holidays, but you accept them.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
You accept them. They're your family, and you move on.
Speaker 3 (10:03):
Yeah. I like the Marys here.
Speaker 2 (10:06):
Let's go good, continue on here for the Sunday slate.
Speaker 1 (10:10):
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Speaker 2 (10:13):
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(11:39):
Atlanta Falcons, New York Jets. I can't think of a
worse way to spend a one o'clock period this coming weekend.
So again, let's take a look at it. The Jets
plus two and a half even money, Atlanta Falcons minus
two and a half on the road, thirty nine and
a half for the over and under, minus one thirty
five on the money line for the Falcons, plus one
thirty for the New York Jets on the money line. Look,
(12:02):
I don't love the Falcons, but I'll just take Falcons
money line minus one thirty five with the juice and
pair it with something else.
Speaker 1 (12:08):
Simple your thoughts.
Speaker 3 (12:10):
I'm not doing that. Not bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
I mean I've seen like the Jets. Have you watched
the jot Yeah? Yes, they look significantly better because they
can throw the ball downfield now with Tyrod Taylor. Look,
I mean the Ravens. They went on the road against
the Ravens and played a competitive game. I don't think
that should go unnoticed. So I'll take the Jets at
home against Kirk Cousins who can't move in the pocket. Okay,
(12:31):
So I mean I think the values on Jets money
line plus one thirty at at Deadlife Stadium. I mean,
you want to play Kirk Cousins on the road outdoors?
Speaker 1 (12:40):
No? Thanks, No, I don't. I just don't care for
this game.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
Los Angeles Rams, they look like the best team in
the NFL after last night Boy eight and two Carolina
six and five. We'll see what they do tonight on
Monday Night Football. Eight and a half point favorites on
the road against Carolina plus nine forty five for the over,
forty five and a half for the under, plus four
hundred on the upset special four Carolina. Look, I mean,
the Rams have been crushing life right now. The defense
looked great last night against Baker Mayfield.
Speaker 1 (13:07):
It's a it's a fair amount of points.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
I'm comfortable with it, but it's not where I'm going necessarily,
so I'm gonna also pass on this game.
Speaker 3 (13:14):
I got to see what Carolina does tonight. I almost
feel better about them if they get destroyed because then
they'll be a closer eye special because those will probably
move to double will So I think that I don't
think you're trying to If you like the Rams here,
you probably want to bet the Rams now, Like That's
what I would say. But I'm always a sucker for
because the Carolina Panthers are It's one week they do this,
the next week they do this. So again, if they
(13:35):
get blown out at San Francisco tonight, I think that
you'll get again double give me the double digit dogs
at home. That was the one bet I had this
week that worked, Joe. It was the Tennessee Titans who
covered against the Ducks, so that was that was just
the process. Double digit dogs at home, don't care what
the team is, don't care they're playing, and that works.
So Carolina let's get them at a plus ten.
Speaker 2 (13:54):
Come on, Jim Ury DK express. All right, Miami's at
home four and seven against the New Orleans Saints. They
have two wins this year. Six points. That's what the
Orleans Saints are getting on the plus side, minus five
and a half for the Dolphins at home, forty two
for the over, forty three and a half for the under,
plus two to twenty on the money line for the Saints.
Speaker 1 (14:11):
Andrew, talk to me about Miami New Orleans.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
I knew Miami was going to be favored in this spot.
I didn't think it was gonna be by this many points.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
I didn't think so either, and it makes me uncomfortable.
That's why I pass that to you first.
Speaker 2 (14:22):
I'm on, Yeah, I look, and they've played better, right,
they've played better on both sides of the football. But
believing them is tough. I believe in you know, the Saints.
Less is that rookie quarterback on the road. So my
lean right now is Miami with the five and a half.
But I don't feel great about it. I'll be honest.
Speaker 3 (14:40):
Yeah, I mean I was on the Saints last week
and that was obviously wrong. So again now I feel
like I need to bet against them. But when you
go when you're hot and cold on certain teams, you
just end up getting burned the entire time because one
week could do this, the next week to do that,
and then you just end up being wrong all the time.
That being said, the optics are road quarterback or rookie
quarterback going on the road. Miami tends to perform well
(15:01):
in this type of spot where they're at home as
a favorite off of bye week. I mean, I don't
think you should be fearing the Saints' defense offensively, so
I think it's I think I gotta take the dolphinsive,
though I don't love the price here.
Speaker 1 (15:15):
Cleveland Browns at home. Schador Sanders got his debut win
there as the starter. They are six and a half
point underdogs at home to the San Francisco forty nine
ers who played this evening.
Speaker 2 (15:25):
Forty and a half of the over, forty two and
a half of the under plus two to seventy five
on the money line for the Browns.
Speaker 1 (15:30):
I'm intrigued by this.
Speaker 2 (15:31):
It's out of conference where Stan Franz going on the road,
and if you're call a couple years ago, remember the
Cleveland Browns stuck it to brock Purty. Remember everyone got
hurt in that game, and Party has got a last
man standing, and he wasn't standing for very long because
Miles Garrett was basically throwing him to the ground every
five seconds. I gotta tell you, Andrew, I'm a little
intrigued here because you know they're coming off of victory.
Speaker 1 (15:51):
I think the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 2 (15:53):
Fan base holiday weekend is going to be very excited
to see the Browns, and you know they're gonna show
up always. It's a great fan base there despite all
the losing. I kind of like the six and a
half with Cleveland. That's how I feel good. Defense they
get after the quarterback. If they get after the quarterback
here and this one, they're gonna keep it close. That's
my thoughts. Maybe even money lines in play here plus
two seventy five could be my opposite special.
Speaker 1 (16:15):
I'm not sure yet. What do you think?
Speaker 3 (16:17):
I like the Browns here? You have a Rickie quarterback
starting at home, which I like when in terms of
covering against the spread, and the Browns defense plays even
better when they're at home. So I think the forty
nine Ers offensive line is like average at best. I mean,
Trent Williams is significantly older, so and he hasn't been
nearly as good as he's been in years past. And
we know things can unravel with the forty nine ers offense,
(16:38):
where if one thing starts to go south, there's a
matchup that Jim Schwartz fines to beat Kyle Shanahan's offense
like we've seen in the past. Fortnight is playing on
a short week. Yeah, I like the Browns here Sugar
playing with confidence making his second start most likely with
Dan Gabriel either dealing with the concussion or just not
going to be starting. I mean, they're not going to
go back to Gabriel, right, even if he's healthy, Like,
it's got to be Shooter.
Speaker 1 (16:57):
I don't think you can. And I mean that would
be crazy. Should or played Okay, that was the Raiders,
So I want to, like, you know.
Speaker 3 (17:03):
Go defense has nobody left?
Speaker 1 (17:06):
So no, they don't, No, they don't give them a look.
Speaker 2 (17:09):
If you're the Browns, none of these guys might be
the answer, So you might as well get some evaluation.
So the only way to get evaluation is for them
to play.
Speaker 1 (17:16):
Uh. And of course the other thing you should evaluate
is your life. Decisions.
Speaker 2 (17:19):
If you haven't already downloaded the Betting Pros app what
you've been waiting for all season.
Speaker 1 (17:23):
It's on iOS, is on Android.
Speaker 2 (17:24):
You can monitor all your bet performances by bet type,
like for me, this week, I got a sixty two
percent ROLI.
Speaker 1 (17:30):
That's what I want to see.
Speaker 2 (17:32):
It's not always that high, but it was a good week,
so I'm in a good mood again. Props are out there,
the parlay tools are out there. All the tools are
out there to help you. And you get a seven
day free trial when you use the promo code Juice
when you sign up today a Betting Pros Premium again,
seven free day trial. Great time of year for that
with all this football going on, College football going on, NHL, NBA,
(17:52):
college basketball, it's all happening. Download the Betting Pros app
today wherever you get your apps. Next up, Houston Texans
six and five Indianapples Colts, coming off a tough loss
there eight and three minus three and a half year
for the Colts, plus four for the Houston Texans, forty
five for the over, forty six and a half for
the under, and plus one eighty for the Texans.
Speaker 1 (18:12):
Now Texans defense has been great, So how does that
enter your theory for this game?
Speaker 3 (18:17):
Take the under. Forty six and a half points seems
like a significantly large number for any game that's featuring
the Texans elite defense. So we saw the Colts often
struggle a little bit. Again, it was on the road
against Kansady Chiefs, but still a game that had a
fifteen and a half point That was another one of
the things I got right was the under in that game,
which I don't think was real even close to being
a fifty point scoring bonanza like the books in totals
(18:39):
had suggested. So I like the under in this game.
AFC South Divisional matchup. Again, it's in the dome, but
Houston always plays in domes and they don't really score points.
So I'll take the under here. With Daniel Jones kind
of look, he hasn't been as good as he wants
to start the year, like he's showing some kinks in
the armor, and I think that the under is probably
the best play here, all right.
Speaker 2 (18:59):
Next up the Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans. Tennessee still
only has one win on the year. They are seven
and a half point underdogs, at home the Jags seven
point favorites over forty one and a half under forty
three and a half plus three ten on the money
line for the Titans. I told you I made a
statement said I shouldn't bet the DG Wars anymore, and
then I did again. Well, I bet their game, and
I think I missed it by the half, right, I
(19:21):
think I just missed it, did I not?
Speaker 1 (19:23):
I gotta go back and look again.
Speaker 3 (19:24):
Those games are does Jaguars play the most insane amount
of football that I just how you can bet on
them either way. It's also against them, it's it's tough
to figure out what this team is going to do
on a weekly week basis.
Speaker 1 (19:38):
Well, do you want to take a crack at it?
Speaker 3 (19:39):
Because I'm retiring, I'm taking the Titans at home again.
Three straight games they've covered at home, and it's usually
because it's by these massive spread, So divisional matchup, I'll
take the home dog, especially at plus seven and a
half points. Kem Wwarre's playing a little bit better basically
since they at Callahan, they have been a little bit
more comparable on offense. So I know that the Titans
are really with a couple offensive line injuries, So that's
(20:01):
going to kind of keep in mind. But I think
that I'm leaning towards the Titans here and just kind
of betting against. Hey, if the Jaguars are gonna invite chaos,
I'll take the chaos side with a touchdown attached to it.
Speaker 2 (20:13):
Yeah, So yeah, I think we all feel pretty good
about that one. All right, let's go to the next
one here, Tampa Bay, probably without Baker Mayfield. I think
it's safe to say against the Arizona Cardinals, this is
like the worst possible time here for an injury to
Baker Mayfield. They're you know, taking a couple l's here
recently in the last few weeks, a lot of injuries.
(20:33):
They just got Godwin back and I lose Baker. So
they're at home against the Cardinals. They're still six and
a half point favorites right now as of looking at this.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
I'll see if I can get an.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Updated line here too, because I know the sporting things
are moving. We put the show together always the night before.
But real quick, before I get an updated line, what's
your hot take on this game here? Do you think
that already you know things are gonna get really compress
in this market for this game with that Baker Mayfield injury.
Speaker 3 (20:59):
I think so. I think that there's probably going to
be a lot of steam that comes in on the
Arizona Cardinals just because, Hey, they're playing against a backup
quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. The Buccaneers look terrible on Sunday Night Football,
but doesn't this This screams a closer eye special right
when teams are catching a touchdown or more after getting
blown out. So if the market is going to be like, oh,
(21:19):
we want Jacoby Brissett as like an eight and a
half point favorite on the road, that's something that I'm
going to look in the complete opposite direction. I get
that Jacoby Presett has been fun for fantasy because he's
throwing the ball fifty times per game. That doesn't mean
they're going to win this game, especially on the road.
So if Tampa Bay gets some of their defensive backs
back and healthy, I know Jamal diann't play against the
Los Angeles Rams. I think God Bowles dowing up the
(21:40):
blitz against Jacoby I think that can create a lot
of turnover situation. So even if it is a backup
quarterback and you get Bridgewater with the full week of
reps with the starters, so I actually would probably lean
towards the Bucks here if we get at a pretty
high number.
Speaker 1 (21:51):
Right now, we're getting out.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
Minus two and a half on Tampa is the new
update after last night's game, So again we put this
together where those games are over looking at it again,
just refreshing everything this morning. Here forty five and a
half of the under, forty forty four for the under,
plus one fifteen on the money line for the Arizona Cardinals. Honestly,
I might just live on the money line there or
with the Arizona Cardinals in this one. See and they
(22:14):
can pull a rabit out of their hat because like
Jacoby Verssett has been prolific throwing the football the last
couple of weeks. You could throw all the Buccaneers. I
think we saw that last night. We saw it in Spade.
So we'll see how that reacts there. Minnesota Seattle, Seattle
eight and a half point favorites at home. Minnesota just
looked dreadful. Macarthury look terrible on the road as as predicted.
(22:35):
I just did not think that was gonna be a
good spot for him. Plus nine is what you get.
Forty two and a half for the over, forty three
and a half for the under, and then plus four
to twenty for the Minnesota Vikings on the money line
for the upset.
Speaker 1 (22:44):
Do you feel comfortable with the eight and a half?
That's the question here, Andrew.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Not really. I don't like Seattle as much when they're
playing at home versus when they're on the road. That's
usually when you get a better value on them. So
that being said, nobody can stop JSN and nobody can't
get out of his own way right now, especially on
the road. So I know they got some tougher, easier
matchups rest of the season, but I think it's going
to be more growing pains for McCarthy here against a
(23:10):
really tough Seattle defense. It's not an easy place to play.
Lambo's tough to play in. We saw that kind of
play out, it was bad. This kind of seems like
a similar type of game strip, so I am concerned
that we do get something similar to what we saw
with the Packers and the Vikings game, where it's not
a it doesn't go towards the over, So maybe it's
actually the under here at forty three and a half.
Vikings can't do anything offensively and in the Seattle Seahawks
(23:32):
don't put up thirty five points, so maybe that's the
under for me.
Speaker 2 (23:36):
Yeah, all right, Next up here we have Buffalo and Pittsburgh,
So the Steelers will see if we get Aaron Rodgers
back this week or not. They are plus four and
a half at home against Buffalo, minus three and a
half Buffalo takeing another tough loss here. Like just for
the Bills, it's been a rough, rough season for them.
Forty seven and a half for the over, forty eight
and a half of the under, plus one eighty five
for the Steelers.
Speaker 1 (23:56):
Look, this is a again, it's hyperballic every week here
with Bills.
Speaker 2 (24:00):
I keep saying it's kind of a must win game
here for the Buffalo Bills and for the Pittsburgh Steelers
as well. I would lean towards the Buffalo Bills here
just because I think they've got a better roster top
to bottom. Like I just think they're a better team
than the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 1 (24:12):
But I don't know.
Speaker 2 (24:15):
My confidence is definitely shaken in the Buffalo Bills, and
I was pretty confident that they would find their way
back last Thursday. Again after building some momentum in the
game before, but that momentum seems to.
Speaker 1 (24:24):
Just not carry over week to week.
Speaker 2 (24:25):
So Jekyl and Hyde, Buffalo Bills, which one shows up
for you this week?
Speaker 3 (24:31):
This one is very scary to look at because it's
Tomlin at home as an underdog. Bills can't stop the run,
and the Pittsburgh Steelers have a good stable running backs
where they can attack this Buffalo defense. I think it's
the over for me, That's what I want to bet.
I know the Stilers Devens has been better. You look
at Buffalo. They might be without Spencer Brown, one of
(24:51):
their offensive tackles, so that's an issue. But I know
when push comes to shove, Josh Allen can usually make
enough plays to score points for his team. Again, not
work against the Houston Texans, but that defense is the
number one defense arguably in the NFL, if not top three.
Now the Pittsburgh series, they've been better, but they also
just give up thirty points to kle Williams. So clearly
this defense can be had at certain points. And if
Josh Allen puts on the Superman cap, it doesn't matter
(25:13):
who what defense he's facing, like, He's going to go
off for twenty five to thirty points, So I think
maybe for me it's the over at forty seven and
a half. But again Early looked at this line. I
don't know if this is gonna be one. I'm going
to be looking to bet this week, all right.
Speaker 2 (25:27):
The Las Vegas Raiders fire Chip Kelly, their offensive coordinator finally,
so we'll see what kind offensive changes they make. Plus
ten right now is the number for them as they
head to the Los Angeles Chargers for this game in
the four o'clock our minus not in a half here
on the Chargers side over forty one under forty one
and a half plus five hundred. I gotta tell you
that the only thing that I can even stomach here
(25:48):
is the over and the forty one Raiders defense is
not very good. Chargers have given up fair amount of
points this year in some spots. I know they're coming
off a buye. Maybe they can fix some things. Maybe
they can't, maybe get Omarin Hampton.
Speaker 1 (26:00):
Maybe we don't.
Speaker 2 (26:01):
Early Lake, my early take here is the over on
the forty one. I just think it's a little too low.
But what do you think?
Speaker 3 (26:06):
What is the What was the final score of the
Raiders in browns game. Was it twenty four to three?
Was that the final score?
Speaker 1 (26:11):
No? I think they got up there a little higher.
Speaker 2 (26:13):
I will bring that back up here a second, the
final for that you talk about it, I'll find the
final score there.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
Well, No, I want to know the final score because
because the Raiders, I think they got to ten lints.
The Raiders will catching ten points here.
Speaker 1 (26:25):
Twenty four to ten.
Speaker 3 (26:26):
That was the final for the right so it doesn't
qualify for a closer eye special lens, so we get
toy that in this situation. So I think I agree
with you. I think that the under is the player.
I don't know how the Raiders' office is going to
get better again. You just this game is okay. Bet
against the two worst offensive lines. Like that's how you
handed cat this game. Both offensive lines are terrible. Both
quarterbacks can be under pressure constantly, so there's not gonna
(26:49):
be a lot of points, even though it's in a dome.
So when this game first played, this is a rematch
of Believe from either week two or Week three. The
Chargers won that game, but it was also very low scoring,
so I would lean towards the under here as well.
Speaker 2 (27:01):
Denver Bronco's fresh off of by nine and two take
it on the Washington Commanders also off a bye plus
six and a half at home right now for the Commanders,
minus six and a half on the Denver side, forty
three and a half for the over and the under,
and then plus two ninety on the money line for
the Commanders. This feels like a w for the Denver
broncos I don't see a whole lot of value though.
Bon Nix can be a little up and down as well,
(27:22):
especially in games where you're like, well, they should really
roll this team and then sometimes they don't. And I
have no faith in the commanders here to pull anything off.
So this is more of a stay away from me.
I think the lines are good. I don't see any
early value, but do you?
Speaker 3 (27:34):
I think it's Denver for me here, even though it
is a pretty substantial amount of points you have to lay.
I'm with you. I don't want anything to do with
this Commander's team. I don't want I mean, what would
I have to make the line for you to want
to bet on the Commander's show?
Speaker 1 (27:47):
Right Like?
Speaker 3 (27:48):
That's kind of why I'm looking at it, where you
have to be double digit That's that's what I mean,
so if that's the case, then give you Denver minus
six and a half. Right. If I'm not going to
take the dog at anywhere near this number, then it
must be well. But I got to take the favorite,
which is the never Broncos coming off of bye week.
I don't know if this line is trying to capture
any hope that Jye Daniels returns. He's not coming back
for this game. They said that he was going to
(28:08):
be out still five to six weeks, so that puts
him on track either for the following week for the
Commanders or the week after that, so I don't think
he's going to come back. So again, both teams are
coming off five weeks. I should have mentioned, but I
just like the Broncos here. They the Broncos look nine
to two. They're pushing to be that AFC number one seed.
They got to get it done against bad teams, and
I think that this is a case where they will
(28:29):
do that. So give me the Broncos, all right.
Speaker 2 (28:31):
Then Sunday Night football is in the books there. Monday Night,
We've got our New England Patriots at home ten and
two taking on the two to ten New York Football Giants.
They just fired their defensive coordinator. Right now, New England
minus seven and a half at home favors plus seven
and a half on the Giant side, forty seven for
the over, forty eight and a half for the under,
plus three fifty other money line for the Giants. Now,
(28:52):
we don't know who's going to play quarterback quite yet.
I assume Jackson Dart, but I don't want to make
assumptions at this time of year. And you have two
significant injuries on the offensive line, which I'm sure is
going to affect the New Engle Patriots.
Speaker 1 (29:04):
But Patriots just keep rowing along.
Speaker 2 (29:07):
Trayvon Henderson is clearly the guy now in the backfield.
I'm my lean here is for the Patriots, even though
seven and a half is a bit.
Speaker 1 (29:14):
Of a big number. But what is your take on
this Monday night football game?
Speaker 3 (29:18):
So this is one I think that you want to
live bet because the two trends that I feel really
confident about is the Giants usually score on their opening drive.
They've done that singingly almost every single week, whether it start,
whether it's Winston. They've been starting out games very very effectively.
It's why they blow all these fourth quarter leads. They
can't finish games with the start games very very well,
whereas the other side, the Patriots have been very bad
(29:40):
on opening drives defending it. So I think the best
way to approach this game is you don't bet it
before the game starts. You wait for the Giants to score,
go up three nothing or seven nothing, and then you
live bet the Patriots knowing that hey, they're going to
end up winning and probably this game by at least
three or four points, maybe by a touchdown, maybe it
doesn't matter, but I think that from a value perspective,
I think live betting this game is the best way
to prot So that's that's what I'm gonna do.
Speaker 2 (30:01):
So all right, now, look, stay tuned because we're going
to have on the channel this week Bog and I
are going to do our Thanksgiving special, Black Friday Special.
It's all gonna be here for you guys, and of
course we're gonna have content for you all week long
through the holidays.
Speaker 1 (30:14):
For your enjoyment.
Speaker 2 (30:15):
So enjoy the time with family and friends and all
the football that comes with it, and download the Betting
pros app today.
Speaker 1 (30:21):
That'll do it for us.
Speaker 2 (30:22):
But the story of the game goes on for Andrew
ericson I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.
Speaker 1 (30:26):
Kids.
Speaker 4 (30:27):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at betting Pros NFL.
Speaker 1 (30:41):
Also subscribe to our
Speaker 4 (30:42):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.
Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's down to place
your bets.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
It is me, Joey p Joe Pi Zapia and this
is BP NFL.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
It's Thanksgiving week, everybody.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
I want to thank everybody who has been with us
all season long, or even if you just found us recently.
We appreciate all of our subscribers here on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. If you haven't already subscribed to the channel,
we love having you here and hopefully you are grateful
for the Upset Special last week, Chi Ching Dallas Cowboys
epic comeback felt good, Andrew Rickson felt real good. And
(00:29):
the people's pick came through with the Browns, something that
we were on last week on this show talking about
Schador getting that first start. Things didn't work out for
the Raiders, things did not work out for Chip Kelly.
Speaker 1 (00:40):
He gone.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
So I want you guys to drop your Upset Special
picks or any pick. What's your favorite pick this week?
We're gonna pick one of them this week to you
in our parlays as well.
Speaker 1 (00:49):
Andrew Erickson, it was a good week for me.
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I had a couple of those big things lost one
or two, Okay, we move on, but upset special baby.
I told you something's wrong with those Philadelphia Eagles, and
I can't.
Speaker 1 (01:00):
Put my finger on it quite yet.
Speaker 2 (01:02):
But look at Thanksgiving and I think this might be
the best Thanksgiving Day of football we have ever had
with some of the slate that we have.
Speaker 3 (01:10):
Yeah, well the lines are good, which is always a
plus because that always hasn't been the case before Dan
Campbell kind of took the Reins over the Lions. Used
to be the team that was double digit home underdogs
and almost gott destroyed. It was the game that you
were planning to eat during. But now the Lions packers.
That's kind of like primetime television. Then you have the
Chiefs getting off the schneide, avoiding that zero to three
(01:30):
start against Dallas Cowboys coming off, like you said, that
big massive win. And then you have an AFC North
showdown Bengals with Joe Brow potentially returning against the Ravens
and what's left of Lamar Jackson because he has not
looked great the last couple of weeks. So how does
that match up kind of shape up? With the Ravens
now looking like, hey, we're going to win this division
after starting one to five.
Speaker 1 (01:51):
Yeah, I agree, Lamari looks a little iffy there too.
Speaker 2 (01:54):
So let's start here with that early game on Thanksgiving,
Detroit at home seven and four going against green Bay
seven three and one, green Bay three and a half
point underdogs. You're getting minus three for even money for
the Detroit Lions, forty nine and a half for the under,
forty eight and a half for the over, plus one
forty four on the money line for the green Bay Packers. Now,
Jordan Love not one hundred percent in this game, I'll
take the even money in the three with Detroit. I
(02:16):
think you know Jamiir Gibbs playing out of his mind.
I know it's a short week for everybody here. But
at the same time, Detroit at home, I know you're
probably gonna tell me the over. My only concern there
is that Love's health and his ability to really let
loose here might be in danger. So I just, if anything,
same place I was last week, give me the Lions
team total over, and I'm most comfortable with that.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
But what are your thoughts on this first game on
the holiday.
Speaker 3 (02:41):
Well, the team total was the smart bet to make
last week. Along with the game total going over. I
laid the points to the Lions and that's the reason
why our three, like Parlai, did not hit. So that's
on me, guys.
Speaker 1 (02:50):
But it's okay.
Speaker 2 (02:51):
And to accountabil of buddies andrew accountability buddies, to be.
Speaker 3 (02:55):
Selfish with my own bank roll. I did bet the
Lions on the money line when they were losing in
that fine drive because a graphic popped up on the
screen that the Giants always flow these fourth quarter leads,
and I'm like, oh, yeah, like.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
And there goes their defensive coordinator, he gone, he gone,
finally too.
Speaker 1 (03:12):
Good job, And I.
Speaker 3 (03:14):
Was able to salvage the the Detroit game a little
bit there with some of some action on that live
money line bet. But I agree I like Detroit here
in this spot. If you look at the Packers, they
have not been good on the road this season, specifically
their defense. It's played significantly worse on the road. They're
actually fourmed more towards the over on the road this season,
and they're one and six against the spread in their
last seven road games. So Detroit hasn't covered in two
(03:36):
straight games. This Dan Campbell is the king of covers,
So in a closer spread where it's not near double
digit points again. Last week's was going up and up
and up every single time you looked at it. So
in a close game, the Packers again have been nearly
as good on the road. I would say two with
the total Again, it's a the lines are coming off
an overtime game. And we see this a lot from
teams when they're coming off overtime. They don't necessarily come
(03:58):
out as firing as they do the following week. On
a short week, maybe we don't see them put up
forty points or thirty five points. So I like, I think,
I just want to take the lines here.
Speaker 1 (04:08):
Well, I mean, how much of an overtime game was
it really? I mean, first play out of the.
Speaker 3 (04:12):
Game still went into overtime for a couple seconds.
Speaker 2 (04:19):
That's the only caveat that I'll throw on that one.
But I like, where your heads dead again? Team total
lines is where I want to live on that game.
Kansas City Chiefs Dallas Cowboys. Now this one, all of
a sudden, it's really interesting, right, Cowboys getting back in
the mix here, five and one. This one's in Dallas,
Kansas City, huge victory, six and five. Look, I think
Kansasy's a better football team so Tos Vegas their three
point favorites, you're getting plus three and a half for
(04:40):
Dallas over fifty one and a half under fifty two
and a half, minus one seventy two for the Chiefs
plus one sixty five. So in terms of early value
for me, the value is I think on the Dallas
side of them keeping pace offensively here because it's one
thing we know about the Chiefs the last couple of years,
they play a lot of close games.
Speaker 1 (04:57):
Now, last year they won a lot of close games.
Speaker 2 (05:00):
This year not so much. Last week they finally won one.
I think it's gonna be another close game. So I'll
take the points with Dallas in the three and a half.
Where are you at?
Speaker 3 (05:08):
I think that's the side lean as well. You get
the field goal plus here with the hook. I mean
that's how the game setled last week. It was a
three point win for the Kansas City Chiefs. So I
don't evenally know if a lot of people made money
on that game because it was three or three and
a half in a lot of different spots, so it
may have been able to push in most cases. So
you had to sweat through all the game action, through
overtime just to get your money back, which kind of sucks.
(05:29):
So if you get Dallas plus three and a half
at home, Dallas has been really good at home, especially
as an underdog four and against the spread as a
home underdog, obviously winning outright last week inst Philadelphia Eagles.
So they're flying high, feeling good. The vibes are good,
whereas this Chiefs offense is still kind of like are
they all going to get it together here now? Against Dallas?
You're expecting an offensive juggernaut performance, But look, Casey's eight
and three towards the under this season, like they're playing
(05:52):
very much towards unders, and Dallas's defense again give up
a lot of points to the first half against Philly
shut him down in the second half, so they're runde.
This hasn't proved it significantly. And if we're going to
get Cream Hunt with like thirty carries again, this game's
not going over fifty one and a half, I can
tell you that much.
Speaker 2 (06:08):
Yeah, I'm just playing it tight, and I'll play it
on the Dallas side here. Cincinnati Baltimore or we're hoping
we get Joe Burrow back, we shall see. Plus eight
is where you getting on Cincinnati minus seven. As you said,
Lamar looking a little lackluster since its return from injury.
Fifty one and a half is the over, fifty three
and a half for the under. So this one kind
of all over the map right now. I'm betting pros
on the consensus plus three fifty for the upset for
(06:30):
the Bengals, which you know, if t Higgins was also healthy,
which is not going to be, He's probably gonna miss
this week with a concussion. On the short week, you
get a Jamar Chase back. I just don't know if
we could just throw Burrow back into this mix and
all of a sudden get it to be a cover.
I kind of shy away from this one. Too many variables,
too many outcomes in division game. But if I had
a lean right now, it would actually be Cincinnati on
(06:51):
the plus eight side of this being a little bit closer.
Speaker 1 (06:53):
But what's your take? Any early action here for this
on you?
Speaker 3 (06:57):
So you said the total fifty three and a half points, fifty.
Speaker 1 (07:00):
Three and a half is the under. That's the highest
number you're getting, Yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3 (07:03):
So I would I would go under on that easily,
especially if Joe Burrow plays. We've seen this before. Joe
Burrow when he comes back weeks one to two. For
the start of seasons, the Bengals offense doesn't look that great.
So the Ravens defense has looked significantly better since they've
gotten guys healthier. They shut down posing offenses last couple weeks.
No t Higgins, so that's limiting one of the offensive
playmakers for the Cincinnati Bengals. It's on the road where
(07:26):
the Bengals offensive line is not great, so you're concerned
about that in the protection for the quarterback, whoever it
may be. So even though Joe Burrow may provide a
morale boost for the team, he's not gonna make the
defense better. And Lamar Jackson they just the Ravens offense
hasn't been high flying, so I expect this game to
be close to an under. Again, it's an ANFC Worth matchup,
and usually these games go over. I think it's actually
(07:46):
been six straight that the Bengals and Ravens have gone over.
Speaker 1 (07:49):
I was going to say, these two teams look up
and it's always an over. We were well into the
sixties with these guys, right.
Speaker 3 (07:54):
But it's usually late in the season with both teams
are humming towards the playoffs, and yeah, couldn't be anywhere
farther from this particular match Yeah, where you look up it, Shoup,
Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson. Yes, fifty three and a half points,
that makes sense, But when you look at what these
teams have actually done in this particular matchup, this seems
like a spot where NOE regression is going to hit
in a hard way. We're going to get seventeen to
(08:14):
ten on Sunday night football, which no one necessarily loves.
But hey, you bet the under youre gonn feel right
about it?
Speaker 1 (08:20):
Yeah, I'm just gonna stay away from this one. Typically,
I think I just, you know, enjoy my dessert and
just enjoy the football.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
Next one here, Black Friday game, and then we'll move
on to the Sunday slate Black Friday. Piladelphia Eagles at
home eight and three taking on the Chicago Bears, also
eight and three plus seven and a half. Right now
for the Bears minus six and a half of the
Eagles overs forty four, the under forty five and a
half plus two ninety four the upset special on the
Chicago Bears. Tempting, I'll just take the plus seven and
a half here with the Chicago Bears. Look, it's been
(08:47):
three weeks and Saquon Barkley had a run over fifteen.
Speaker 1 (08:50):
Yards three weeks. Something's just off here with the Eagles.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
I keep telling everybody. Nobody wants to hear me. Now,
I was right about Aja Brown too, as that guy
would pop back up. I know Welsh was in on
him too this week, but I gotta tell you, I
just feel like, once again, you know, we watched these
Eagles all year. They let these teams kind of hang around,
and they have won with a lot of good bounces
that have gone their way, and yesterday bounces did not
go their way, and they did not make enough places
(09:14):
in the second half of that game. And somehow the
Bears always find a way. It seems like a certain point,
I got to throw my hands up and go, I
just accept it, and the Bears are going to just
find ways to be in game.
Speaker 1 (09:23):
So I'll take the points with the Bears. What are
you taking?
Speaker 3 (09:26):
Yeah, it seems like way too many points, way too
many Chicago.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
This might be my favorite early line, Bed, I'll be
honest with you.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
Seven and a half points.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
That's what again? Right now?
Speaker 3 (09:34):
Eagles? I mean when you're fair by touchdown it I
assume that this is like a juggernaut team.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Well, they're the defending champs, so I think that's you know,
that's just the look of it right now, I'm telling
you that's the thought process. They're at home short week.
I get it. I get it. I don't agree with it,
but I understand it. It's like many of your family members.
You get them.
Speaker 2 (09:56):
You certainly don't agree with them when they come over
for the holidays, but you accept them.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
You accept them. They're your family, and you move on.
Speaker 3 (10:03):
Yeah. I like the Marys here.
Speaker 2 (10:06):
Let's go good, continue on here for the Sunday slate.
Speaker 1 (10:10):
Before we do, don't forget. Today's show is brought to
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Speaker 1 (11:18):
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(11:39):
Atlanta Falcons, New York Jets. I can't think of a
worse way to spend a one o'clock period this coming weekend.
So again, let's take a look at it. The Jets
plus two and a half even money, Atlanta Falcons minus
two and a half on the road, thirty nine and
a half for the over and under, minus one thirty
five on the money line for the Falcons, plus one
thirty for the New York Jets on the money line. Look,
(12:02):
I don't love the Falcons, but I'll just take Falcons
money line minus one thirty five with the juice and
pair it with something else.
Speaker 1 (12:08):
Simple your thoughts.
Speaker 3 (12:10):
I'm not doing that. Not bet on the Atlanta Falcons.
I mean I've seen like the Jets. Have you watched
the jot Yeah? Yes, they look significantly better because they
can throw the ball downfield now with Tyrod Taylor. Look,
I mean the Ravens. They went on the road against
the Ravens and played a competitive game. I don't think
that should go unnoticed. So I'll take the Jets at
home against Kirk Cousins who can't move in the pocket. Okay,
(12:31):
So I mean I think the values on Jets money
line plus one thirty at at Deadlife Stadium. I mean,
you want to play Kirk Cousins on the road outdoors?
Speaker 1 (12:40):
No? Thanks, No, I don't. I just don't care for
this game.
Speaker 2 (12:44):
Los Angeles Rams, they look like the best team in
the NFL after last night Boy eight and two Carolina
six and five. We'll see what they do tonight on
Monday Night Football. Eight and a half point favorites on
the road against Carolina plus nine forty five for the over,
forty five and a half for the under, plus four
hundred on the upset special four Carolina. Look, I mean,
the Rams have been crushing life right now. The defense
looked great last night against Baker Mayfield.
Speaker 1 (13:07):
It's a it's a fair amount of points.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
I'm comfortable with it, but it's not where I'm going necessarily,
so I'm gonna also pass on this game.
Speaker 3 (13:14):
I got to see what Carolina does tonight. I almost
feel better about them if they get destroyed because then
they'll be a closer eye special because those will probably
move to double will So I think that I don't
think you're trying to If you like the Rams here,
you probably want to bet the Rams now, Like That's
what I would say. But I'm always a sucker for
because the Carolina Panthers are It's one week they do this,
the next week they do this. So again, if they
(13:35):
get blown out at San Francisco tonight, I think that
you'll get again double give me the double digit dogs
at home. That was the one bet I had this
week that worked, Joe. It was the Tennessee Titans who
covered against the Ducks, so that was that was just
the process. Double digit dogs at home, don't care what
the team is, don't care they're playing, and that works.
So Carolina let's get them at a plus ten.
Speaker 2 (13:54):
Come on, Jim Ury DK express. All right, Miami's at
home four and seven against the New Orleans Saints. They
have two wins this year. Six points. That's what the
Orleans Saints are getting on the plus side, minus five
and a half for the Dolphins at home, forty two
for the over, forty three and a half for the under,
plus two to twenty on the money line for the Saints.
Speaker 1 (14:11):
Andrew, talk to me about Miami New Orleans.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
I knew Miami was going to be favored in this spot.
I didn't think it was gonna be by this many points.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
I didn't think so either, and it makes me uncomfortable.
That's why I pass that to you first.
Speaker 2 (14:22):
I'm on, Yeah, I look, and they've played better, right,
they've played better on both sides of the football. But
believing them is tough. I believe in you know, the Saints.
Less is that rookie quarterback on the road. So my
lean right now is Miami with the five and a half.
But I don't feel great about it. I'll be honest.
Speaker 3 (14:40):
Yeah, I mean I was on the Saints last week
and that was obviously wrong. So again now I feel
like I need to bet against them. But when you
go when you're hot and cold on certain teams, you
just end up getting burned the entire time because one
week could do this, the next week to do that,
and then you just end up being wrong all the time.
That being said, the optics are road quarterback or rookie
quarterback going on the road. Miami tends to perform well
(15:01):
in this type of spot where they're at home as
a favorite off of bye week. I mean, I don't
think you should be fearing the Saints' defense offensively, so
I think it's I think I gotta take the dolphinsive,
though I don't love the price here.
Speaker 1 (15:15):
Cleveland Browns at home. Schador Sanders got his debut win
there as the starter. They are six and a half
point underdogs at home to the San Francisco forty nine
ers who played this evening.
Speaker 2 (15:25):
Forty and a half of the over, forty two and
a half of the under plus two to seventy five
on the money line for the Browns.
Speaker 1 (15:30):
I'm intrigued by this.
Speaker 2 (15:31):
It's out of conference where Stan Franz going on the road,
and if you're call a couple years ago, remember the
Cleveland Browns stuck it to brock Purty. Remember everyone got
hurt in that game, and Party has got a last
man standing, and he wasn't standing for very long because
Miles Garrett was basically throwing him to the ground every
five seconds. I gotta tell you, Andrew, I'm a little
intrigued here because you know they're coming off of victory.
Speaker 1 (15:51):
I think the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 2 (15:53):
Fan base holiday weekend is going to be very excited
to see the Browns, and you know they're gonna show
up always. It's a great fan base there despite all
the losing. I kind of like the six and a
half with Cleveland. That's how I feel good. Defense they
get after the quarterback. If they get after the quarterback
here and this one, they're gonna keep it close. That's
my thoughts. Maybe even money lines in play here plus
two seventy five could be my opposite special.
Speaker 1 (16:15):
I'm not sure yet. What do you think?
Speaker 3 (16:17):
I like the Browns here? You have a Rickie quarterback
starting at home, which I like when in terms of
covering against the spread, and the Browns defense plays even
better when they're at home. So I think the forty
nine Ers offensive line is like average at best. I mean,
Trent Williams is significantly older, so and he hasn't been
nearly as good as he's been in years past. And
we know things can unravel with the forty nine ers offense,
(16:38):
where if one thing starts to go south, there's a
matchup that Jim Schwartz fines to beat Kyle Shanahan's offense
like we've seen in the past. Fortnight is playing on
a short week. Yeah, I like the Browns here Sugar
playing with confidence making his second start most likely with
Dan Gabriel either dealing with the concussion or just not
going to be starting. I mean, they're not going to
go back to Gabriel, right, even if he's healthy, Like,
it's got to be Shooter.
Speaker 1 (16:57):
I don't think you can. And I mean that would
be crazy. Should or played Okay, that was the Raiders,
So I want to, like, you know.
Speaker 3 (17:03):
Go defense has nobody left?
Speaker 1 (17:06):
So no, they don't, No, they don't give them a look.
Speaker 2 (17:09):
If you're the Browns, none of these guys might be
the answer, So you might as well get some evaluation.
So the only way to get evaluation is for them
to play.
Speaker 1 (17:16):
Uh. And of course the other thing you should evaluate
is your life. Decisions.
Speaker 2 (17:19):
If you haven't already downloaded the Betting Pros app what
you've been waiting for all season.
Speaker 1 (17:23):
It's on iOS, is on Android.
Speaker 2 (17:24):
You can monitor all your bet performances by bet type,
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Speaker 1 (17:30):
That's what I want to see.
Speaker 2 (17:32):
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so I'm in a good mood again. Props are out there,
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(17:52):
college basketball, it's all happening. Download the Betting Pros app
today wherever you get your apps. Next up, Houston Texans
six and five Indianapples Colts, coming off a tough loss
there eight and three minus three and a half year
for the Colts, plus four for the Houston Texans, forty
five for the over, forty six and a half for
the under, and plus one eighty for the Texans.
Speaker 1 (18:12):
Now Texans defense has been great, So how does that
enter your theory for this game?
Speaker 3 (18:17):
Take the under. Forty six and a half points seems
like a significantly large number for any game that's featuring
the Texans elite defense. So we saw the Colts often
struggle a little bit. Again, it was on the road
against Kansady Chiefs, but still a game that had a
fifteen and a half point That was another one of
the things I got right was the under in that game,
which I don't think was real even close to being
a fifty point scoring bonanza like the books in totals
(18:39):
had suggested. So I like the under in this game.
AFC South Divisional matchup. Again, it's in the dome, but
Houston always plays in domes and they don't really score points.
So I'll take the under here. With Daniel Jones kind
of look, he hasn't been as good as he wants
to start the year, like he's showing some kinks in
the armor, and I think that the under is probably
the best play here, all right.
Speaker 2 (18:59):
Next up the Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans. Tennessee still
only has one win on the year. They are seven
and a half point underdogs, at home the Jags seven
point favorites over forty one and a half under forty
three and a half plus three ten on the money
line for the Titans. I told you I made a
statement said I shouldn't bet the DG Wars anymore, and
then I did again. Well, I bet their game, and
I think I missed it by the half, right, I
(19:21):
think I just missed it, did I not?
Speaker 1 (19:23):
I gotta go back and look again.
Speaker 3 (19:24):
Those games are does Jaguars play the most insane amount
of football that I just how you can bet on
them either way. It's also against them, it's it's tough
to figure out what this team is going to do
on a weekly week basis.
Speaker 1 (19:38):
Well, do you want to take a crack at it?
Speaker 3 (19:39):
Because I'm retiring, I'm taking the Titans at home again.
Three straight games they've covered at home, and it's usually
because it's by these massive spread, So divisional matchup, I'll
take the home dog, especially at plus seven and a
half points. Kem Wwarre's playing a little bit better basically
since they at Callahan, they have been a little bit
more comparable on offense. So I know that the Titans
are really with a couple offensive line injuries, So that's
(20:01):
going to kind of keep in mind. But I think
that I'm leaning towards the Titans here and just kind
of betting against. Hey, if the Jaguars are gonna invite chaos,
I'll take the chaos side with a touchdown attached to it.
Speaker 2 (20:13):
Yeah, So yeah, I think we all feel pretty good
about that one. All right, let's go to the next
one here, Tampa Bay, probably without Baker Mayfield. I think
it's safe to say against the Arizona Cardinals, this is
like the worst possible time here for an injury to
Baker Mayfield. They're you know, taking a couple l's here
recently in the last few weeks, a lot of injuries.
(20:33):
They just got Godwin back and I lose Baker. So
they're at home against the Cardinals. They're still six and
a half point favorites right now as of looking at this.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
I'll see if I can get an.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Updated line here too, because I know the sporting things
are moving. We put the show together always the night before.
But real quick, before I get an updated line, what's
your hot take on this game here? Do you think
that already you know things are gonna get really compress
in this market for this game with that Baker Mayfield injury.
Speaker 3 (20:59):
I think so. I think that there's probably going to
be a lot of steam that comes in on the
Arizona Cardinals just because, Hey, they're playing against a backup
quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. The Buccaneers look terrible on Sunday Night Football,
but doesn't this This screams a closer eye special right
when teams are catching a touchdown or more after getting
blown out. So if the market is going to be like, oh,
(21:19):
we want Jacoby Brissett as like an eight and a
half point favorite on the road, that's something that I'm
going to look in the complete opposite direction. I get
that Jacoby Presett has been fun for fantasy because he's
throwing the ball fifty times per game. That doesn't mean
they're going to win this game, especially on the road.
So if Tampa Bay gets some of their defensive backs
back and healthy, I know Jamal diann't play against the
Los Angeles Rams. I think God Bowles dowing up the
(21:40):
blitz against Jacoby I think that can create a lot
of turnover situation. So even if it is a backup
quarterback and you get Bridgewater with the full week of
reps with the starters, so I actually would probably lean
towards the Bucks here if we get at a pretty
high number.
Speaker 1 (21:51):
Right now, we're getting out.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
Minus two and a half on Tampa is the new
update after last night's game, So again we put this
together where those games are over looking at it again,
just refreshing everything this morning. Here forty five and a
half of the under, forty forty four for the under,
plus one fifteen on the money line for the Arizona Cardinals. Honestly,
I might just live on the money line there or
with the Arizona Cardinals in this one. See and they
(22:14):
can pull a rabit out of their hat because like
Jacoby Verssett has been prolific throwing the football the last
couple of weeks. You could throw all the Buccaneers. I
think we saw that last night. We saw it in Spade.
So we'll see how that reacts there. Minnesota Seattle, Seattle
eight and a half point favorites at home. Minnesota just
looked dreadful. Macarthury look terrible on the road as as predicted.
(22:35):
I just did not think that was gonna be a
good spot for him. Plus nine is what you get.
Forty two and a half for the over, forty three
and a half for the under, and then plus four
to twenty for the Minnesota Vikings on the money line
for the upset.
Speaker 1 (22:44):
Do you feel comfortable with the eight and a half?
That's the question here, Andrew.
Speaker 3 (22:48):
Not really. I don't like Seattle as much when they're
playing at home versus when they're on the road. That's
usually when you get a better value on them. So
that being said, nobody can stop JSN and nobody can't
get out of his own way right now, especially on
the road. So I know they got some tougher, easier
matchups rest of the season, but I think it's going
to be more growing pains for McCarthy here against a
(23:10):
really tough Seattle defense. It's not an easy place to play.
Lambo's tough to play in. We saw that kind of
play out, it was bad. This kind of seems like
a similar type of game strip, so I am concerned
that we do get something similar to what we saw
with the Packers and the Vikings game, where it's not
a it doesn't go towards the over, So maybe it's
actually the under here at forty three and a half.
Vikings can't do anything offensively and in the Seattle Seahawks
(23:32):
don't put up thirty five points, so maybe that's the
under for me.
Speaker 2 (23:36):
Yeah, all right, Next up here we have Buffalo and Pittsburgh,
So the Steelers will see if we get Aaron Rodgers
back this week or not. They are plus four and
a half at home against Buffalo, minus three and a
half Buffalo takeing another tough loss here. Like just for
the Bills, it's been a rough, rough season for them.
Forty seven and a half for the over, forty eight
and a half of the under, plus one eighty five
for the Steelers.
Speaker 1 (23:56):
Look, this is a again, it's hyperballic every week here
with Bills.
Speaker 2 (24:00):
I keep saying it's kind of a must win game
here for the Buffalo Bills and for the Pittsburgh Steelers
as well. I would lean towards the Buffalo Bills here
just because I think they've got a better roster top
to bottom. Like I just think they're a better team
than the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 1 (24:12):
But I don't know.
Speaker 2 (24:15):
My confidence is definitely shaken in the Buffalo Bills, and
I was pretty confident that they would find their way
back last Thursday. Again after building some momentum in the
game before, but that momentum seems to.
Speaker 1 (24:24):
Just not carry over week to week.
Speaker 2 (24:25):
So Jekyl and Hyde, Buffalo Bills, which one shows up
for you this week?
Speaker 3 (24:31):
This one is very scary to look at because it's
Tomlin at home as an underdog. Bills can't stop the run,
and the Pittsburgh Steelers have a good stable running backs
where they can attack this Buffalo defense. I think it's
the over for me, That's what I want to bet.
I know the Stilers Devens has been better. You look
at Buffalo. They might be without Spencer Brown, one of
(24:51):
their offensive tackles, so that's an issue. But I know
when push comes to shove, Josh Allen can usually make
enough plays to score points for his team. Again, not
work against the Houston Texans, but that defense is the
number one defense arguably in the NFL, if not top three.
Now the Pittsburgh series, they've been better, but they also
just give up thirty points to kle Williams. So clearly
this defense can be had at certain points. And if
Josh Allen puts on the Superman cap, it doesn't matter
(25:13):
who what defense he's facing, like, He's going to go
off for twenty five to thirty points, So I think
maybe for me it's the over at forty seven and
a half. But again Early looked at this line. I
don't know if this is gonna be one. I'm going
to be looking to bet this week, all right.
Speaker 2 (25:27):
The Las Vegas Raiders fire Chip Kelly, their offensive coordinator finally,
so we'll see what kind offensive changes they make. Plus
ten right now is the number for them as they
head to the Los Angeles Chargers for this game in
the four o'clock our minus not in a half here
on the Chargers side over forty one under forty one
and a half plus five hundred. I gotta tell you
that the only thing that I can even stomach here
(25:48):
is the over and the forty one Raiders defense is
not very good. Chargers have given up fair amount of
points this year in some spots. I know they're coming
off a buye. Maybe they can fix some things. Maybe
they can't, maybe get Omarin Hampton.
Speaker 1 (26:00):
Maybe we don't.
Speaker 2 (26:01):
Early Lake, my early take here is the over on
the forty one. I just think it's a little too low.
But what do you think?
Speaker 3 (26:06):
What is the What was the final score of the
Raiders in browns game. Was it twenty four to three?
Was that the final score?
Speaker 1 (26:11):
No? I think they got up there a little higher.
Speaker 2 (26:13):
I will bring that back up here a second, the
final for that you talk about it, I'll find the
final score there.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
Well, No, I want to know the final score because
because the Raiders, I think they got to ten lints.
The Raiders will catching ten points here.
Speaker 1 (26:25):
Twenty four to ten.
Speaker 3 (26:26):
That was the final for the right so it doesn't
qualify for a closer eye special lens, so we get
toy that in this situation. So I think I agree
with you. I think that the under is the player.
I don't know how the Raiders' office is going to
get better again. You just this game is okay. Bet
against the two worst offensive lines. Like that's how you
handed cat this game. Both offensive lines are terrible. Both
quarterbacks can be under pressure constantly, so there's not gonna
(26:49):
be a lot of points, even though it's in a dome.
So when this game first played, this is a rematch
of Believe from either week two or Week three. The
Chargers won that game, but it was also very low scoring,
so I would lean towards the under here as well.
Speaker 2 (27:01):
Denver Bronco's fresh off of by nine and two take
it on the Washington Commanders also off a bye plus
six and a half at home right now for the Commanders,
minus six and a half on the Denver side, forty
three and a half for the over and the under,
and then plus two ninety on the money line for
the Commanders. This feels like a w for the Denver
broncos I don't see a whole lot of value though.
Bon Nix can be a little up and down as well,
(27:22):
especially in games where you're like, well, they should really
roll this team and then sometimes they don't. And I
have no faith in the commanders here to pull anything off.
So this is more of a stay away from me.
I think the lines are good. I don't see any
early value, but do you?
Speaker 3 (27:34):
I think it's Denver for me here, even though it
is a pretty substantial amount of points you have to lay.
I'm with you. I don't want anything to do with
this Commander's team. I don't want I mean, what would
I have to make the line for you to want
to bet on the Commander's show?
Speaker 1 (27:47):
Right Like?
Speaker 3 (27:48):
That's kind of why I'm looking at it, where you
have to be double digit That's that's what I mean,
so if that's the case, then give you Denver minus
six and a half. Right. If I'm not going to
take the dog at anywhere near this number, then it
must be well. But I got to take the favorite,
which is the never Broncos coming off of bye week.
I don't know if this line is trying to capture
any hope that Jye Daniels returns. He's not coming back
for this game. They said that he was going to
(28:08):
be out still five to six weeks, so that puts
him on track either for the following week for the
Commanders or the week after that, so I don't think
he's going to come back. So again, both teams are
coming off five weeks. I should have mentioned, but I
just like the Broncos here. They the Broncos look nine
to two. They're pushing to be that AFC number one seed.
They got to get it done against bad teams, and
I think that this is a case where they will
(28:29):
do that. So give me the Broncos, all right.
Speaker 2 (28:31):
Then Sunday Night football is in the books there. Monday Night,
We've got our New England Patriots at home ten and
two taking on the two to ten New York Football Giants.
They just fired their defensive coordinator. Right now, New England
minus seven and a half at home favors plus seven
and a half on the Giant side, forty seven for
the over, forty eight and a half for the under,
plus three fifty other money line for the Giants. Now,
(28:52):
we don't know who's going to play quarterback quite yet.
I assume Jackson Dart, but I don't want to make
assumptions at this time of year. And you have two
significant injuries on the offensive line, which I'm sure is
going to affect the New Engle Patriots.
Speaker 1 (29:04):
But Patriots just keep rowing along.
Speaker 2 (29:07):
Trayvon Henderson is clearly the guy now in the backfield.
I'm my lean here is for the Patriots, even though
seven and a half is a bit.
Speaker 1 (29:14):
Of a big number. But what is your take on
this Monday night football game?
Speaker 3 (29:18):
So this is one I think that you want to
live bet because the two trends that I feel really
confident about is the Giants usually score on their opening drive.
They've done that singingly almost every single week, whether it start,
whether it's Winston. They've been starting out games very very effectively.
It's why they blow all these fourth quarter leads. They
can't finish games with the start games very very well,
whereas the other side, the Patriots have been very bad
(29:40):
on opening drives defending it. So I think the best
way to approach this game is you don't bet it
before the game starts. You wait for the Giants to score,
go up three nothing or seven nothing, and then you
live bet the Patriots knowing that hey, they're going to
end up winning and probably this game by at least
three or four points, maybe by a touchdown, maybe it
doesn't matter, but I think that from a value perspective,
I think live betting this game is the best way
to prot So that's that's what I'm gonna do.
Speaker 2 (30:01):
So all right, now, look, stay tuned because we're going
to have on the channel this week Bog and I
are going to do our Thanksgiving special, Black Friday Special.
It's all gonna be here for you guys, and of
course we're gonna have content for you all week long
through the holidays.
Speaker 1 (30:14):
For your enjoyment.
Speaker 2 (30:15):
So enjoy the time with family and friends and all
the football that comes with it, and download the Betting
pros app today.
Speaker 1 (30:21):
That'll do it for us.
Speaker 2 (30:22):
But the story of the game goes on for Andrew
ericson I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.
Speaker 1 (30:26):
Kids.
Speaker 4 (30:27):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and
Instagram at betting Pros NFL.
Speaker 1 (30:41):
Also subscribe to our
Speaker 4 (30:42):
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.
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