November 16, 2025 • 17 mins
Join Joe Pisapia and Scott Bogman as they highlight their favorite bets to make for Monday Night Football in Week 11!
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads):
Intro - 0:00:00
Monday Night Football Breakdown: Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders | 8:15pm EST - 0:02:49
Kyren Williams Signed Helmet Giveaway - 0:04:36
Hard Rock Bet - 0:05:05
Tre Tucker Over 44.5 rec yards (-114) - 0:05:57
Ashton Jeanty Under 17.5 Rush attempts (-127) - 0:07:05
Javonte Williams Under 77.5 Rushing Yards (-114) - 0:08:02
Geno Smith Over 0.5 INTs (-135) - 0:09:23
George Pickens Over 67.5 rec yards (-114) - 0:10:27
Any Tyler Lockett Props? - 0:12:20
SG Joey P: Total (+346) - Dallas Cowboys -3.5 Spread | Javonte Williams Any Time Touchdown Scorer | Dak Prescott Under 254.5 Passing Yds. - 0:13:29
SGP Builder - 0:14:17
Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:14:24
Joe's TD Call: CeeDee Lamp (+115) - 0:15:04
Bogman's TD Call: Brock Bowers (+115) - 0:15:09
Outro - 0:16:26
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in everybody to betting bros. It's time to place
your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe Pisapia and
this is BP NFL Scott Bogman and I are here
to break down Monday night football. And as you can
see from the looks on our face, after Thursday Night
went into the books, I am the mask of comedy
and he is the mask of tragedy. One and four
on the prop bets. Very tough day. But my Patriots
(00:20):
one and the SG Joey P hit Travion Enerson at
three touchdowns. I am a happy boy. I also have
a bet for Mike Vrabel for Head Coach of the
Year that I think is going to bring in a
lot of money. So Boggs say it one more time
for the people. How much you hate Thursday night football?
Speaker 2 (00:38):
I'm listen. You know it was more fun when I
was hitting my bets. At least at least that was nice.
One in four yesterday, just a miserable performance. Two thursdays
in a row. I hate Thursday Night football. And let
me tell you, guys, what's even more annoying is the
fifteen minutes before we started recording this that I got
to hear Joe gush about the Patriots and Drake May
(00:59):
and his MVP two tickets and all that. I don't
have any no, no, no, I've got making football great
again and all that stuff. I am so sick of
the Patriots and Thursday Night Football, Joe, and this joy
is just hurting my soul right now.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
I hate it.
Speaker 1 (01:14):
It's sad because like this is just the beginning of
a new dynasty. You've got so much more time to
be angry. I have zero Drake May MVP tickets yet.
I just I haven't been able to get there logically
in my head. But I did watch that game with
my daughter, who plays quarterback, and she is a travel
team flag football player. She takes it very seriously. She
trains very hard, and it was a lot. It was
just fun to watch that game with her and point out.
(01:35):
I was like, do you see how he's placing the
ball in spots? You see, I was not trying to
throw everything one thousand miles an hour and all these
things like he is playing the position of quarterback, which
is a lost art for him. And if he was
playing for the Tennessee Titans, I would have sat her
down and said, watch this game with me, watch this guy,
and it's fun. It's fun to watch somebody play the
position of quarterback. We have been spoiled by raw athleticism
of all these guys with rocket arms and incredible speed
(01:57):
and athleticism. But the art of playing quarterback is kind
of lost. Like you know, the.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
Bradys pointing out Justin Fields to her to tell her
what not to do.
Speaker 1 (02:06):
Well, it's funny.
Speaker 3 (02:07):
See how he does this, don't do that?
Speaker 1 (02:08):
Well, you know, it'll be nice if Ady Mitchell could
catch a couple of balls for him too, or maybe
Mason Taylor in that big fourth down spot, Like you
can't hang everything on Justin Field. Justin Field's I think
did everything he possibly could. He had a couple of
bad moments, but that's everybody.
Speaker 2 (02:21):
My buddy c K text me and he was like,
so what it? Ad and I Mitchell leave his hands
in Indianapois. He didn't have him there either.
Speaker 1 (02:28):
He didn't, but he wasn't good.
Speaker 3 (02:31):
John left in Texas. John, he's awful.
Speaker 1 (02:34):
He's the only guy you could throw the ball now,
So there you go. That's good.
Speaker 2 (02:37):
Good story was better than the rest of those guys
that given snaps too, So I think Mitchell and Mechi
should be your one two there by the end of
the year.
Speaker 3 (02:44):
So we'll see by the end of the week.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
That's what I'm saying. But look, that's Thursday night. It's
in the past. I want to move to the future.
I want to move ahead. I want to look at
Monday night football, the game. We have the Dallas Cowboys
very emotional state last week, obviously with the loss of
their teammate uh Neeland, and now we're looking at them
going to Las Vegas here coming off that buy. So
let's get to the tail of the tape here Dallas.
Right now, the consensus line minus three and a half.
(03:08):
You're getting plus money on that, though, you're getting plus
three and a half on the Las Vegas Raiders, forty
nine and a half for the over, fifteen and a
half for the Unders. The best line you can find
minus one sixty nine for the Cowboys on the money
line plus one sixty seven. Look minus one sixty nine
if you got enough to lay out there for that juice.
It's not the greatest, but I do think Dallas finds
within this game. But for me, I will take the Yeah,
(03:30):
I will say take that with your favorite prop and
get out of dodge. But I'm comfortable with the minus
three and a half bogs. Is there anything here on
these lines that you like, because I know when there's
emotional games here, in emotional moments, we've seen teams come
out react and dominate. We've seen teams come out and
react poorly sometimes.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
So it's I'm trying not to have a reaction here
from my Thursday night performance to not take every over.
But I do like the overs here. Right These defenses
have both been bad. They both have extra resk coming
in here because remember the Raiders played on Thursday last
week and disappointed the whole world. So yeah, I like
the over. I don't really like a side here. I
(04:10):
do think that the additions for the Cowboys should make
them better on defense, and they get to Marvin Overshown
back this week as well, so yeah, Quin Williams get
Logan Wilson and you get Overshown. So I in I
just I think this should be a Dallas win. But
the over is my favorite play because we know Dallas
is gonna score, and while the defense should be better,
(04:32):
it is by no means fixed right now.
Speaker 1 (04:34):
No, it is not all right. I want to remind
everybody too, we got the giveaway that Kyraen Williams helmet
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(04:57):
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Next up here are the props and bogs. It's Monday,
so I think we shake the dust off here for
(06:02):
you a little bit. Let's start with Trey Tucker forty
four and a half receiving yards. Now you want to
go the over Now, I know Tyler Lockett was questionable,
but it feels like he's going to play. If Tyler
Lockett plays, is this over in danger? I think it
might be.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
I don't think it is. I think you know it's
better if Lockett doesn't play. But this, Trey Tucker is
a guy that can get this on one reception. Now listen,
I bet on him last Thursday and it did not work.
So I understand if you don't want to bet Trey Tucker.
I just think that Dallas's defense, what did they improve?
Speaker 3 (06:34):
Right? They improve the run defense.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
When you bring in Quinn Williams and you bring in
Logan Wilson get overshown back, you're improving the middle of
the defense, the run defense. So Trey Tucker is an
outside presence. They've been bad on the outside this year,
so I think that he could probably get this on
mainly on one big catch is where I think he
gets it, but he'll have I think four or five catches.
(06:56):
I don't think this is going to end up like
that Denver game on short rest extra rest here for
both these teams, I think Trey Tucker is going to
be fine. All right.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Next up here, Ashton genty. Now, this one I do
like because I do feel like the Raiders will be
playing from behind it. Eventually they might have to fade
away from run the football. Seventeen and a half rush
attempts for Ashton genty. So I've already bet this as
well with you, So let's talk about your reasons why.
Speaker 2 (07:19):
Yeah, this is one that I missed again on Thursday
with the Raiders, but Dallas ads Quinn Williams, Kenny Clark,
they get overshown back Logan Wilson's in there.
Speaker 3 (07:28):
Now.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
You improve this run defense. It's the thing that they've
been trying to do since they traded Michael Parsons. So
I think running into the teeth of that is going
to be really tough for anybody. I don't hate those
receiving yards for gent, but I can't get beat on
both of these two weeks in a row for Gent.
So I'll just take the under seventeen and a half
(07:49):
rush attempts. And as we've mentioned before, the losing team
usually doesn't hit this for their primary back. It's usually
the winning team that hits the over all.
Speaker 1 (07:58):
Right, So the winning team hitting the over I agree
with on that, Javonte Williams. Let's go to the other
running back in this game. The number of seventy seven
and a half rushing yards for him a minus one fourteen.
So what are your thoughts on this Javonte prop here?
Javonte has been very solid for this offense. But we
all know the Cowboys have scored less points on the
road this year than they have at home. At home,
they've been over thirty plus. On the road, they've been
(08:19):
under that margin. So where do you go with Javonte
in terms of this time?
Speaker 3 (08:23):
Ye, I'm gonna go under the yardage total.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
I don't want to go under the attempts for him
because again, I think the Cowboys are going to be winning,
and I think you know, when you're late, you run
a bunch. And he has a lot of his teams
snaps and carries because they just don't have a capable
backup right now. It's Jaydon Blue, it's Malik Davis. They
throw the ball at Hunter lebk right like they just
don't have another back to give the ball to. So
(08:47):
I don't want to take the under on attempts for him,
but the yardage I think could be pretty low for him.
The Raiders are the third best team in opponent yards
per attempt and they're tied for fourteenth in rushing yards
allowed per game, and it's just easier to pass on
the Raiders than run on them. So I think coming
off a bye week, when you're strategizing for this game
(09:08):
over the last ten days, after watching that Thursday night came,
you just know, let's just pass against these guys. You know,
you got to chip and keep Max Crosby off a deck.
But if you can do that, the passing game is
going to be very very effective for the Cowboys here.
Speaker 1 (09:22):
All right. One thing we've been able to count on
all season long with Gino Smith has been turning the
football over. He's done at a very high rate this year.
So the interception prop for him heavily juice minus one
thirty five. But it does seem like a lock heer box.
Speaker 4 (09:36):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (09:36):
I mean, he's got twelve interceptions already this year right now.
The danger here is that the Cowboys only have four
picks this year, so that is the danger. But we
talked about the additions to this defense, Overshown getting healthy.
I think when you plug up the middle of the field,
it's going to filter towards the pass. So I think
and playing from behind, like everything in the projections for
(09:59):
this game, tell us that Gino should be throwing the
ball a lot late and riskier throws because they're losing
late as well. So yeah, I think over half an interception.
It's something that you can throw in with a parlay
or something, all right.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
So we'll throw that one in there. Look, maybe that's it.
Maybe it's the Cowboys to win and Gino to throw
a pick that doesn't seem like a bad day at
the office to me on Monday night, I'm bad, all right.
I'll actually, you know, I'll go in the same game
parlay tools see if I could pull that up to
and figure that out. In the meantime, talk to me
about George Pickens sixty seven and a half receiving yards
and going over or under that.
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Mark gotta get this one quick because he's projected to
go over everywhere. I can't imagine that it sticks this low.
I think it's going to climb up over seventy. But
he's passed this in four straight, five of his last six.
Stokes should get Lamb when Lamb is on the outside right.
Eric Stokes is the better of the two corners for
the Raiders, but you know, ceedee, Lamb will slip into
(10:54):
the slot like at thirty two percent of his snaps
or whatever. But when he's on the outside, that means
that Pickens, who almost primarily plays on the outside, almost
always plays on the outside.
Speaker 3 (11:06):
Gets Kyle Blue Kelly.
Speaker 2 (11:07):
Kelly has giving up the seventh most receiving yards this
year as a corner, and he's sixty three of seventy
four in coverage grade. So you know, Pickens is a
big play machine. He's gonna get his chances. You're gonna
get a lot of this in one chunk, and I
think that he sails over this.
Speaker 3 (11:22):
I don't think this one is very close.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
So I can't put the money line in a Harley
on the book I'm looking at right now, But you
can't put genty for the under seventeen and a half
and Gino for the pick for a yes at minus
one sixty to trying to find ways to do that
and just get the game involved too, It's tricky. I
don't like when I get limited, you know, just shout
out to everybody, don't limit my fund. Why are you
(11:45):
limiting my.
Speaker 3 (11:46):
Take my freedom, give me my freedom back. Careful.
Speaker 1 (11:50):
We can't do that accent anymore.
Speaker 2 (11:52):
Oh yeah, you know I won't, all right, well, I
certainly can't.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
You can because you're from the South. I can't do it.
I've heard like, even though it's fun to do, you know,
I have to thick with you have to stick with that,
and I can stick with my dumb neighborhood guy. I
don't know nothing about nothing that I can.
Speaker 2 (12:09):
If you don't have a cousin, that sounds exactly like that,
you're not allowed to do it.
Speaker 3 (12:12):
I think that's the rule.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
All right, there you go, you know what, I do
have cousins in the South, thought in Georgia stuff. So
just saying, all right, anything else here regarding Tyler Lockett
too before we get out of here, Yeah, I think
he is that weird X factor where that that that
long term relationship with Geno and with Pee Carroll that
you saw come in Barfruit right away. I'm taking the
over already on Lockett stuff, and I'm just it seems
(12:33):
like I think it's trending towards playing right now against Morning.
Speaker 3 (12:37):
Play, that's the thing.
Speaker 1 (12:37):
But he's a veteran too. I think he'll get on
the field for this one.
Speaker 2 (12:41):
I think he will too, so, but yeah, if he
does play, dron Blant has not been great as the
slot corner this year. They've had problems in the slot
the Cowboys have, and the secondary is like, that's gonna
be the thing that they fix in the off season
because it looks like well in past rush obviously, but
it looks like they've got the run defense that they want.
Getting car can Quin Williams up the middle is a
(13:01):
nice combo. So still working on that secondary. So I
would take a lot of bets against that secondary this week,
and Tyler Lockat would definitely be in there.
Speaker 1 (13:11):
Yeah. I can't get any geno stuff together on the pick.
They won't let me parlay the pick. What you know
why because they know they know it's happening. They don't
want to give you that money. See Vegas knows.
Speaker 2 (13:21):
They see it's it's probably probably it's probably gonna be
a pick and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:25):
Well, you know, so that's fine, that's fine, all right,
these are things I can put together for the sg JOEP.
So let's talk about it. Dallas Cowboys minus three and
a half. I do think they win this game by
a touchdown. To be honest, I just think that the
Raiders are bad and I think Dallas Cowboys will be motivated.
I think they'll handle their business. So give me the
Cowboys minus three and a half. Give me Javonte Williams
(13:45):
anytime touchdown score also pretty heavily juice, but I'm gonna
put in the parlay instead. And then Dak Press got
under two fifty four and a half passing yards. He
doesn't go over this a lot on the road this
year at all, So just putting that out there. So
I think that the there's a script here where they
get up big and and they just kind of coast
to the second half a little bit here, and they
don't have to really push the football too much, So
Dak could even get into the two hundreds. But to
get the two fifty and a half that would or
(14:08):
two fifty four and a half, I should say that
really requires a little bit more action going on the
other side, and I'm just not confident that the Raiders
can give enough of that action. So that's where I'm
going there. So check out the SGP tool right now.
It's over at Betting Pros as well, so go check
it out. All the tools are there to help you.
Don't be a tool. Prop bet cheat sheets there, bettingpros
dot Com, slash props, all of these are here, so
go download the app as well and start betting smarter,
(14:32):
not harder. We want you to use the tools here.
The prop bet cheat sheet, by the way, has been
stunningly good and the recommended bets in the last couple
of weeks, we're well over fifty percent here. So if
you're having trouble right now, just go right to that box.
Maybe you should just go to the prop bet.
Speaker 2 (14:46):
Chieah, you're alas, trust me. I was using it a
lot last night, so we're on a lot of those
that are projection there you go, so all right, so
I think that almost exclusively, we might be on.
Speaker 3 (14:58):
All of them.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
All right, there you go. See. Look it's good for everyone.
Speaker 4 (15:02):
We use it.
Speaker 1 (15:02):
You should use it too, all right. My touchdown call
for this game, give me Seedee Lamb at plus one fifteen.
I think that's the best value. Bogs, where are you
going for your touchdown score?
Speaker 2 (15:11):
I'll go for Bowers plus one fifteen. I do think
this is going to be an over, by the way,
I'm gonna come back with five unders for Thursday Night
Football next week. But Monday Night Football both these teams
on extra rest ten days for the Raiders and two
weeks for the Cowboys. Hopefully should bear us some points here.
Both teams scoring, So I like Bowers to get in
(15:33):
the end zone, Lamb to get in the end zone,
Javante Ash and Genty.
Speaker 3 (15:37):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (15:37):
I hope this is a high scoring affair because I
see it as one.
Speaker 1 (15:41):
So one of our listeners messaged me last night and
said that they got a live bed of Henderson to
scored three touchdowns of plus six fifty. I got a
boost on it too, so he was just like a lot.
Speaker 2 (15:52):
I didn't even get my yardage, but he scored three times.
Speaker 1 (15:56):
So good, so good.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
I mean, look, he's so good.
Speaker 1 (16:00):
Look he's a three down back now that you know
the season parted for him.
Speaker 2 (16:04):
Look, he can be a three down back. I think
he's good with somebody next to him. I think he
can work better with Judkins, but he needs to be
the lead.
Speaker 3 (16:11):
At least.
Speaker 2 (16:12):
He's way better than specifically at this point. I think
him and Ramonde are perfect combo. If it's seventy to
Henderson in thirty eighty twenty, Stevenson.
Speaker 3 (16:20):
Eighty twenty, Joe, you're like eighty five Henderson, all right.
Speaker 1 (16:24):
Ninety ten, All right, that'll do it for Oz before
I run out of percentages. But the story of the
game goes on for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p
Enjoy Monday night football. We'll see you next week. Kids.
Speaker 4 (16:35):
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Speaker 3 (16:41):
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Speaker 4 (16:43):
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Welcome in everybody to betting bros. It's time to place
your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe Pisapia and
this is BP NFL Scott Bogman and I are here
to break down Monday night football. And as you can
see from the looks on our face, after Thursday Night
went into the books, I am the mask of comedy
and he is the mask of tragedy. One and four
on the prop bets. Very tough day. But my Patriots
(00:20):
one and the SG Joey P hit Travion Enerson at
three touchdowns. I am a happy boy. I also have
a bet for Mike Vrabel for Head Coach of the
Year that I think is going to bring in a
lot of money. So Boggs say it one more time
for the people. How much you hate Thursday night football?
Speaker 2 (00:38):
I'm listen. You know it was more fun when I
was hitting my bets. At least at least that was nice.
One in four yesterday, just a miserable performance. Two thursdays
in a row. I hate Thursday Night football. And let
me tell you, guys, what's even more annoying is the
fifteen minutes before we started recording this that I got
to hear Joe gush about the Patriots and Drake May
(00:59):
and his MVP two tickets and all that. I don't
have any no, no, no, I've got making football great
again and all that stuff. I am so sick of
the Patriots and Thursday Night Football, Joe, and this joy
is just hurting my soul right now.
Speaker 3 (01:14):
I hate it.
Speaker 1 (01:14):
It's sad because like this is just the beginning of
a new dynasty. You've got so much more time to
be angry. I have zero Drake May MVP tickets yet.
I just I haven't been able to get there logically
in my head. But I did watch that game with
my daughter, who plays quarterback, and she is a travel
team flag football player. She takes it very seriously. She
trains very hard, and it was a lot. It was
just fun to watch that game with her and point out.
(01:35):
I was like, do you see how he's placing the
ball in spots? You see, I was not trying to
throw everything one thousand miles an hour and all these
things like he is playing the position of quarterback, which
is a lost art for him. And if he was
playing for the Tennessee Titans, I would have sat her
down and said, watch this game with me, watch this guy,
and it's fun. It's fun to watch somebody play the
position of quarterback. We have been spoiled by raw athleticism
of all these guys with rocket arms and incredible speed
(01:57):
and athleticism. But the art of playing quarterback is kind
of lost. Like you know, the.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
Bradys pointing out Justin Fields to her to tell her
what not to do.
Speaker 1 (02:06):
Well, it's funny.
Speaker 3 (02:07):
See how he does this, don't do that?
Speaker 1 (02:08):
Well, you know, it'll be nice if Ady Mitchell could
catch a couple of balls for him too, or maybe
Mason Taylor in that big fourth down spot, Like you
can't hang everything on Justin Field. Justin Field's I think
did everything he possibly could. He had a couple of
bad moments, but that's everybody.
Speaker 2 (02:21):
My buddy c K text me and he was like,
so what it? Ad and I Mitchell leave his hands
in Indianapois. He didn't have him there either.
Speaker 1 (02:28):
He didn't, but he wasn't good.
Speaker 3 (02:31):
John left in Texas. John, he's awful.
Speaker 1 (02:34):
He's the only guy you could throw the ball now,
So there you go. That's good.
Speaker 2 (02:37):
Good story was better than the rest of those guys
that given snaps too, So I think Mitchell and Mechi
should be your one two there by the end of
the year.
Speaker 3 (02:44):
So we'll see by the end of the week.
Speaker 1 (02:46):
That's what I'm saying. But look, that's Thursday night. It's
in the past. I want to move to the future.
I want to move ahead. I want to look at
Monday night football, the game. We have the Dallas Cowboys
very emotional state last week, obviously with the loss of
their teammate uh Neeland, and now we're looking at them
going to Las Vegas here coming off that buy. So
let's get to the tail of the tape here Dallas.
Right now, the consensus line minus three and a half.
(03:08):
You're getting plus money on that, though, you're getting plus
three and a half on the Las Vegas Raiders, forty
nine and a half for the over, fifteen and a
half for the Unders. The best line you can find
minus one sixty nine for the Cowboys on the money
line plus one sixty seven. Look minus one sixty nine
if you got enough to lay out there for that juice.
It's not the greatest, but I do think Dallas finds
within this game. But for me, I will take the Yeah,
(03:30):
I will say take that with your favorite prop and
get out of dodge. But I'm comfortable with the minus
three and a half bogs. Is there anything here on
these lines that you like, because I know when there's
emotional games here, in emotional moments, we've seen teams come
out react and dominate. We've seen teams come out and
react poorly sometimes.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
So it's I'm trying not to have a reaction here
from my Thursday night performance to not take every over.
But I do like the overs here. Right These defenses
have both been bad. They both have extra resk coming
in here because remember the Raiders played on Thursday last
week and disappointed the whole world. So yeah, I like
the over. I don't really like a side here. I
(04:10):
do think that the additions for the Cowboys should make
them better on defense, and they get to Marvin Overshown
back this week as well, so yeah, Quin Williams get
Logan Wilson and you get Overshown. So I in I
just I think this should be a Dallas win. But
the over is my favorite play because we know Dallas
is gonna score, and while the defense should be better,
(04:32):
it is by no means fixed right now.
Speaker 1 (04:34):
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Next up here are the props and bogs. It's Monday,
so I think we shake the dust off here for
(06:02):
you a little bit. Let's start with Trey Tucker forty
four and a half receiving yards. Now you want to
go the over Now, I know Tyler Lockett was questionable,
but it feels like he's going to play. If Tyler
Lockett plays, is this over in danger? I think it
might be.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
I don't think it is. I think you know it's
better if Lockett doesn't play. But this, Trey Tucker is
a guy that can get this on one reception. Now listen,
I bet on him last Thursday and it did not work.
So I understand if you don't want to bet Trey Tucker.
I just think that Dallas's defense, what did they improve?
Speaker 3 (06:34):
Right? They improve the run defense.
Speaker 2 (06:36):
When you bring in Quinn Williams and you bring in
Logan Wilson get overshown back, you're improving the middle of
the defense, the run defense. So Trey Tucker is an
outside presence. They've been bad on the outside this year,
so I think that he could probably get this on
mainly on one big catch is where I think he
gets it, but he'll have I think four or five catches.
(06:56):
I don't think this is going to end up like
that Denver game on short rest extra rest here for
both these teams, I think Trey Tucker is going to
be fine. All right.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
Next up here, Ashton genty. Now, this one I do
like because I do feel like the Raiders will be
playing from behind it. Eventually they might have to fade
away from run the football. Seventeen and a half rush
attempts for Ashton genty. So I've already bet this as
well with you, So let's talk about your reasons why.
Speaker 2 (07:19):
Yeah, this is one that I missed again on Thursday
with the Raiders, but Dallas ads Quinn Williams, Kenny Clark,
they get overshown back Logan Wilson's in there.
Speaker 3 (07:28):
Now.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
You improve this run defense. It's the thing that they've
been trying to do since they traded Michael Parsons. So
I think running into the teeth of that is going
to be really tough for anybody. I don't hate those
receiving yards for gent, but I can't get beat on
both of these two weeks in a row for Gent.
So I'll just take the under seventeen and a half
(07:49):
rush attempts. And as we've mentioned before, the losing team
usually doesn't hit this for their primary back. It's usually
the winning team that hits the over all.
Speaker 1 (07:58):
Right, So the winning team hitting the over I agree
with on that, Javonte Williams. Let's go to the other
running back in this game. The number of seventy seven
and a half rushing yards for him a minus one fourteen.
So what are your thoughts on this Javonte prop here?
Javonte has been very solid for this offense. But we
all know the Cowboys have scored less points on the
road this year than they have at home. At home,
they've been over thirty plus. On the road, they've been
(08:19):
under that margin. So where do you go with Javonte
in terms of this time?
Speaker 3 (08:23):
Ye, I'm gonna go under the yardage total.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
I don't want to go under the attempts for him
because again, I think the Cowboys are going to be winning,
and I think you know, when you're late, you run
a bunch. And he has a lot of his teams
snaps and carries because they just don't have a capable
backup right now. It's Jaydon Blue, it's Malik Davis. They
throw the ball at Hunter lebk right like they just
don't have another back to give the ball to. So
(08:47):
I don't want to take the under on attempts for him,
but the yardage I think could be pretty low for him.
The Raiders are the third best team in opponent yards
per attempt and they're tied for fourteenth in rushing yards
allowed per game, and it's just easier to pass on
the Raiders than run on them. So I think coming
off a bye week, when you're strategizing for this game
(09:08):
over the last ten days, after watching that Thursday night came,
you just know, let's just pass against these guys. You know,
you got to chip and keep Max Crosby off a deck.
But if you can do that, the passing game is
going to be very very effective for the Cowboys here.
Speaker 1 (09:22):
All right. One thing we've been able to count on
all season long with Gino Smith has been turning the
football over. He's done at a very high rate this year.
So the interception prop for him heavily juice minus one
thirty five. But it does seem like a lock heer box.
Speaker 4 (09:36):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (09:36):
I mean, he's got twelve interceptions already this year right now.
The danger here is that the Cowboys only have four
picks this year, so that is the danger. But we
talked about the additions to this defense, Overshown getting healthy.
I think when you plug up the middle of the field,
it's going to filter towards the pass. So I think
and playing from behind, like everything in the projections for
(09:59):
this game, tell us that Gino should be throwing the
ball a lot late and riskier throws because they're losing
late as well. So yeah, I think over half an interception.
It's something that you can throw in with a parlay
or something, all right.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
So we'll throw that one in there. Look, maybe that's it.
Maybe it's the Cowboys to win and Gino to throw
a pick that doesn't seem like a bad day at
the office to me on Monday night, I'm bad, all right.
I'll actually, you know, I'll go in the same game
parlay tools see if I could pull that up to
and figure that out. In the meantime, talk to me
about George Pickens sixty seven and a half receiving yards
and going over or under that.
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Mark gotta get this one quick because he's projected to
go over everywhere. I can't imagine that it sticks this low.
I think it's going to climb up over seventy. But
he's passed this in four straight, five of his last six.
Stokes should get Lamb when Lamb is on the outside right.
Eric Stokes is the better of the two corners for
the Raiders, but you know, ceedee, Lamb will slip into
(10:54):
the slot like at thirty two percent of his snaps
or whatever. But when he's on the outside, that means
that Pickens, who almost primarily plays on the outside, almost
always plays on the outside.
Speaker 3 (11:06):
Gets Kyle Blue Kelly.
Speaker 2 (11:07):
Kelly has giving up the seventh most receiving yards this
year as a corner, and he's sixty three of seventy
four in coverage grade. So you know, Pickens is a
big play machine. He's gonna get his chances. You're gonna
get a lot of this in one chunk, and I
think that he sails over this.
Speaker 3 (11:22):
I don't think this one is very close.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
So I can't put the money line in a Harley
on the book I'm looking at right now, But you
can't put genty for the under seventeen and a half
and Gino for the pick for a yes at minus
one sixty to trying to find ways to do that
and just get the game involved too, It's tricky. I
don't like when I get limited, you know, just shout
out to everybody, don't limit my fund. Why are you
(11:45):
limiting my.
Speaker 3 (11:46):
Take my freedom, give me my freedom back. Careful.
Speaker 1 (11:50):
We can't do that accent anymore.
Speaker 2 (11:52):
Oh yeah, you know I won't, all right, well, I
certainly can't.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
You can because you're from the South. I can't do it.
I've heard like, even though it's fun to do, you know,
I have to thick with you have to stick with that,
and I can stick with my dumb neighborhood guy. I
don't know nothing about nothing that I can.
Speaker 2 (12:09):
If you don't have a cousin, that sounds exactly like that,
you're not allowed to do it.
Speaker 3 (12:12):
I think that's the rule.
Speaker 1 (12:13):
All right, there you go, you know what, I do
have cousins in the South, thought in Georgia stuff. So
just saying, all right, anything else here regarding Tyler Lockett
too before we get out of here, Yeah, I think
he is that weird X factor where that that that
long term relationship with Geno and with Pee Carroll that
you saw come in Barfruit right away. I'm taking the
over already on Lockett stuff, and I'm just it seems
(12:33):
like I think it's trending towards playing right now against Morning.
Speaker 3 (12:37):
Play, that's the thing.
Speaker 1 (12:37):
But he's a veteran too. I think he'll get on
the field for this one.
Speaker 2 (12:41):
I think he will too, so, but yeah, if he
does play, dron Blant has not been great as the
slot corner this year. They've had problems in the slot
the Cowboys have, and the secondary is like, that's gonna
be the thing that they fix in the off season
because it looks like well in past rush obviously, but
it looks like they've got the run defense that they want.
Getting car can Quin Williams up the middle is a
(13:01):
nice combo. So still working on that secondary. So I
would take a lot of bets against that secondary this week,
and Tyler Lockat would definitely be in there.
Speaker 1 (13:11):
Yeah. I can't get any geno stuff together on the pick.
They won't let me parlay the pick. What you know
why because they know they know it's happening. They don't
want to give you that money. See Vegas knows.
Speaker 2 (13:21):
They see it's it's probably probably it's probably gonna be
a pick and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:25):
Well, you know, so that's fine, that's fine, all right,
these are things I can put together for the sg JOEP.
So let's talk about it. Dallas Cowboys minus three and
a half. I do think they win this game by
a touchdown. To be honest, I just think that the
Raiders are bad and I think Dallas Cowboys will be motivated.
I think they'll handle their business. So give me the
Cowboys minus three and a half. Give me Javonte Williams
(13:45):
anytime touchdown score also pretty heavily juice, but I'm gonna
put in the parlay instead. And then Dak Press got
under two fifty four and a half passing yards. He
doesn't go over this a lot on the road this
year at all, So just putting that out there. So
I think that the there's a script here where they
get up big and and they just kind of coast
to the second half a little bit here, and they
don't have to really push the football too much, So
Dak could even get into the two hundreds. But to
get the two fifty and a half that would or
(14:08):
two fifty four and a half, I should say that
really requires a little bit more action going on the
other side, and I'm just not confident that the Raiders
can give enough of that action. So that's where I'm
going there. So check out the SGP tool right now.
It's over at Betting Pros as well, so go check
it out. All the tools are there to help you.
Don't be a tool. Prop bet cheat sheets there, bettingpros
dot Com, slash props, all of these are here, so
go download the app as well and start betting smarter,
(14:32):
not harder. We want you to use the tools here.
The prop bet cheat sheet, by the way, has been
stunningly good and the recommended bets in the last couple
of weeks, we're well over fifty percent here. So if
you're having trouble right now, just go right to that box.
Maybe you should just go to the prop bet.
Speaker 2 (14:46):
Chieah, you're alas, trust me. I was using it a
lot last night, so we're on a lot of those
that are projection there you go, so all right, so
I think that almost exclusively, we might be on.
Speaker 3 (14:58):
All of them.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
All right, there you go. See. Look it's good for everyone.
Speaker 4 (15:02):
We use it.
Speaker 1 (15:02):
You should use it too, all right. My touchdown call
for this game, give me Seedee Lamb at plus one fifteen.
I think that's the best value. Bogs, where are you
going for your touchdown score?
Speaker 2 (15:11):
I'll go for Bowers plus one fifteen. I do think
this is going to be an over, by the way,
I'm gonna come back with five unders for Thursday Night
Football next week. But Monday Night Football both these teams
on extra rest ten days for the Raiders and two
weeks for the Cowboys. Hopefully should bear us some points here.
Both teams scoring, So I like Bowers to get in
(15:33):
the end zone, Lamb to get in the end zone,
Javante Ash and Genty.
Speaker 3 (15:37):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (15:37):
I hope this is a high scoring affair because I
see it as one.
Speaker 1 (15:41):
So one of our listeners messaged me last night and
said that they got a live bed of Henderson to
scored three touchdowns of plus six fifty. I got a
boost on it too, so he was just like a lot.
Speaker 2 (15:52):
I didn't even get my yardage, but he scored three times.
Speaker 1 (15:56):
So good, so good.
Speaker 3 (15:57):
I mean, look, he's so good.
Speaker 1 (16:00):
Look he's a three down back now that you know
the season parted for him.
Speaker 2 (16:04):
Look, he can be a three down back. I think
he's good with somebody next to him. I think he
can work better with Judkins, but he needs to be
the lead.
Speaker 3 (16:11):
At least.
Speaker 2 (16:12):
He's way better than specifically at this point. I think
him and Ramonde are perfect combo. If it's seventy to
Henderson in thirty eighty twenty, Stevenson.
Speaker 3 (16:20):
Eighty twenty, Joe, you're like eighty five Henderson, all right.
Speaker 1 (16:24):
Ninety ten, All right, that'll do it for Oz before
I run out of percentages. But the story of the
game goes on for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p
Enjoy Monday night football. We'll see you next week. Kids.
Speaker 4 (16:35):
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
love the show, the best freeway to support us is
by leaving a positive review on.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Speaker 4 (16:43):
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