March 5, 2020 • 50 mins
Gregg Sussman and Frank Stampfl unveil their 1B Rankings, featuring a different player at the top for each of them! Plus, they'll provide sleepers that are worth targeting and the third baseman their absolutely out on. Yes Jesus Aguilar! Boo Eric Hosmer!
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast. If you want to
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if you want to catch this show on video, for
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Enjoy the show, and thanks so much for listening. Yeah,
(00:32):
as welcome a with that, we welcome to your Inside
Up Studio thirty four. This is the BFFs. Here is
(00:55):
Frank stamfle I'm Greg sauceman. Frank, Greg, I was taking
ahead of you, I noticed, right alright, like an exaggerated
one after yesterday's bottle. What's going on? Man? Happy Thursday?
Here to talk about the first base position for fantasy baseball,
not nearly the position that it once was. Greg. But
before we do all of that, I do sleep last night,
but I sleep very very well, very well. Greg's getting
(01:18):
a good night of sleep outside of obviously the Judy debacle. Um,
but last night it's love great. I really like making up,
feeling refreshed. It's awesome. Nice. No trouble in paradise, huh,
No trouble in paradise, sleeping well. Things are good. Feeling good,
feeling strong might not be too good if you're Garrett cold. Greg,
(01:38):
that guy stinks. I feel like we shouldn't draft him.
Now that's it, we're out. How do you give up
six runs to the Detroit Tigers four home runs players?
Travis Demerit. Who's that guy? Who? I don't know who?
This guy? Guy looks a little slim down to see you, Greg,
we're talking first base today? Uh huh? Where is he
(02:00):
ranks for you? Little little corner infield? Where's he ranks?
I don't know that I have him ranked for me. Cabrera,
I don't have him rank on rank, so he's never
thirty four. Oh, I have a thirty four. So they
moved ahead of a Dan Vogel Box, I can move
on ahead of Michael Javis, who qualifies the first base
in young Yeah. I think we'll probably leave Miguel Cabrera
(02:20):
where he is. Yeah, seems that seems fair on the
program that I more first baseman talk about the problem
is I said this to you while making the rankings
for first base in second base. There aren't many good
players that play these two positions, and it's very hard
to feel. Well, a first based spot and then a
corner in field spot. I mean third base is deepen off,
I guess, but absolutely at first base this is bad. Oh,
(02:42):
I just gotta text that, um there are calls fever,
which means he probably a coronavirus, which is why, well,
I don't know, is it in Florida, it's everywhere. That's bad. Queen.
We have five first baseman that we like, a lot
of first basion we don't like. Hopefully that they find
the first basemen we like. We also could learn a
lot more. Thank you, Greg. I'mstokia with your PFF Sports
(03:13):
graded News update. College basketball Mountain West quarter Finals. We
have number five San Diego State in action right now.
They trail air Force by three twenty four your Fanuel
sports books live betting lines. San Diego State eight and
a half point favorite, still on forty eight a half
your revive total. Let's go to the Big South quarterfinals
(03:34):
and see that's u n C. Asheville against Gardner Webb.
They hold a one point lead in the first half.
Gardner Webb a four and a half point five favorite,
one forty eight and a half euro live total. One
final from earlier today. It was Winthrop, one of six
seventy winners over South Carolina up State that was in
the other Big South quarter final match up. All right,
(03:57):
let's move over to Major League Baseball and spring training.
One note, Garrett Cole started for the New York Yankees
against Detroit Tigers. Lasted just two innings, giving up six
earned runs, including two home runs. Too. Mcguil cobra. All
thirty MLB teams are in action on the spring training slate.
Some off the field news the Red Sox they have
(04:19):
signed right hander Colin mghu to a one year deal.
The designated right hander Hector VLAs guest for assignment. Mgu
thirty two spent the previous six seasons with the Houston Astros.
Was four and five with a four point seven zero
e r A in seventy four innings last year. As
for the Red Sox, Ace Chris Sale and m r
(04:39):
I has revealed Sale has a flex flex or strain
sorry flex or strain. It is pitching arm will be
shut down for another week. Interim manager Ron rennicky Up
added Sales status on Thursday morning. Talent reporters at the
m r I revealed no notable damage to the left
handers elbow. Other Baseball news a and Judge hopes to
(05:01):
be ready to go for opening Day, but he has
quote frustrated that the doctors haven't determined to cause a
soreness in his pectoral area near his right shoulder. Judge
told reporters that he will undergo more tests. Stay tuned
on that one. And in the NBA, Steph Curry returns
to action. Is played in just four games this season
(05:21):
for the Golden State Warriors. He's recovery from a broken
left hand. He will be on a minute restriction, expected
to play between twenty four and twenty eight minutes when
the Warriors take on the Raptors tonight. That is your
BFF Sports good News update. Now back to Frank Guys.
All right, we're gonna get into the first based position
here on the show from a fantasy baseball perspective. But
(05:44):
like we do every day here on the Fantasy BFS,
we give you a little snippet of tonight's NBA DFS preview.
And Greg Sausman was with Davis Maddock earlier today from
Daily Rohada dot Com as they did the NBA tip drill,
telling you why you should have Andrew Wiggins in your
lineup tonight, moving on to the small forward position Alec
(06:11):
Marks's former team, Andrew Wiggins is on there now and
doing well enough you consider to put in your line out.
I thin everyone will be looking at Steph Curry and
his return tonight, which makes Andrew Wiggins potentially undervalued. Yeah,
I think it definitely makes him undervalued. So just actually,
right before you and I got on air, Steve Kurt
Talk the media said that Steph Curry is gonna play
(06:32):
at most in six minute verse for sure, less than
thirty minutes and probably closer to twenty five minutes in
his return. So that leaves, you know, a big portion
of this game for Andrew Wiggins to just continue doing
what he's been doing, which is playing with a bunch
of you know, to to put it kindly, a bunch
of U G League players right like, these guys on
(06:52):
the Warriors roster right now, these guys are are mostly scrubs.
You know, it would be very surprising to me if
Juan Toscano Anderson is the Warriors roster next year. So
it's given. It just gives Wiggins a lot of usage,
and it's gonna play you know a ton of minutes
without step tonight. And that was Davis Maddick from Jailey
Rhodo dot Com earlier today on the NBA tip Trill.
(07:15):
You can catch that every single day here on the
sports cod YouTube channel over at NBA Fantasy as well
on Twitter and Greg. Since Andrew Wiggins has joined the
Golden State Wheres, we've seen a lot more defensive statistics
out of him. He's getting a bunch of steals, a
bunch of blocks, which obviously if you play on fandel
you get three Fantasy points per defensive numbers. So Andrew
Wiggins a name to look at tonight in NBA dfest
(07:36):
a little and harold it out there in Golden State
with Steph Curry back tonight. And that's what davi Us
and I obviously chatted about a little bit earlier on
lets we want a first Basement, Frank, where again we
were just trying to name some names of players that
we wanted to draft to play at first base, uh
in our auction which is one week from today, and
we lead it on Nobody Frank. Yeah, Greg, we got
a little trouble in paradise here in terms of because
(07:57):
I want figuring out Franky gregs fun players. Yeah, yeah,
all that fun zero fun, sir, that's you. Yeah, okay,
we'll see you just said, why don't we drive? Luke
Void is their starting first basement. The guy might not
have a job halfway through the season. You haven't been
able to stay healthy either. By the way, you're a
(08:18):
downgrade Clayton Kershaw. Ye got a downgrade Luke Void injuries.
He's not like an injury prone guy. Luke Void. Yeah,
he's coming off a major course surgery. He's all right,
but how long will it last season? I hope you're right. Well,
they don't worry. Then I named a whole bunch of
other options at first base, right then like any of them? Well,
(08:40):
you know what Frank says, and he says every day,
jes Jose b is always the answer at first base,
and I like Jose right. I didn't know she's expensive, man,
But what worth it all? Where do you want to
start Greg at the first base? Because do you want
to just dive into Jose bray was at the first
player you want to talk about? You manna tell you
why he's the best first baseman of all time? Yeah,
(09:02):
that's actually the ideal. Yeah, alright, well, I don't know
that he's the best. This would be one of them
all time, you know how like we really struggled to
get to our top twenty lists here. He's not gonna
be one of those days. There's just not enough first page.
All right, do you want to start with Jose? Alright?
Take it look after a time through a banged of eighteen. Yes,
(09:23):
I'll give you your time to talk about Luke Voyd
Greg later on the show. Uh, he bounced back major
last year, and I was all over Break last year.
I didn't understand why people were downgrading him. Obviously dealt
with a very unfortunate situation back in eighteen, if you
remember correctly, Greg, that involved testicular torsion. I'll just leave
it at that. When it comes to Jose, a Break
bounced back last year. Did you know he led the
(09:44):
American League in RBIs did with a hundred and twenty three.
I don't know if you noticed this, Greig, but the
line up for the White Sox got even, so he
had a hundred and twenty three RBI last year. I'm
not going to project him for that, but I think
he's going to be well over a hundred. They add
Edwin and Cornacion. Luis Robert is tearing up the spring
right now, Eloy Hemenez. A lot of people expect him
(10:04):
to take the next step. And at the top of
the line up we haven't even mentioned yet Yoan Moncata,
Tim Anderson. Obviously, if you're playing an O B P
or in a head to head points league, Jose Brew
gets to devalued a little bit there, Greg, right around
a six percent walk great, He's not gonna walk very much,
but consistently hits for a two eight plus batting average,
thirty plus home runs. He's just solid man. And I
(10:25):
understand the auction price fifteen team leagues over at the NFBC.
His A A V right now is around I understand
that's a big price to pay, but I think for
the consistency and the safe floor out of jose Briew,
I don't mind paying that price. I've already have a
few shares of jose Brew taking him in the fifth round. Greig,
I like it. Where you in a better line of
(10:47):
than even last year, isn't a good spot. The only
thing is I feel that people are coming on in
an auction. He's twenty one dollars, which is not nothing
rank it's expressive. Yeah, So to put that in perspective,
some other names right around that range pulled ultimate over
the past week, twenty Anthony Rizzo twenty dollars. People are
finally starting to realize. Yeah, yeah, like the I think
(11:07):
it's actually going a little bit too far the other
way now in Rizzo, because I've said for years, Greg,
I didn't understand why Rizzo was going to three rounds
ahead of Jose A. Brew sometimes five ten dollars more
than Jose Brew in an auction. Now it feels like
it might be going a little bit too far the
other way with Anthony Rizzo. And you know, if you
can get him in the fifth, sixth round, obviously plays
much better in ob P formance the day you get him.
(11:29):
I don't mind. Actually, I don't mind Anthony Rizzo at
this point. Like, if we can get Rizzo at twenty bucks, Greg,
I'm fine with it. Oh my god, Now he doesn't
want Anthony. I will say this, Anthony Rizzo is not
a fun player, so I will agree with you on
that he's rocks. No, he's rock solid. We did that
in the GD already. Jose Brew is my fourth rank,
(11:51):
first basement, my fifth rank. All right, I have what
do you don't test me, I'll put him ahead of
Peter Alonzo tested dr I have that old set up
Matt Olson's fun other frightenings about mat Olson. We got
back next. Want to light the lamp on Draft Kings
(12:11):
and FanDuel this NHL DFS season. Then joined Daily roado
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the Promo Code action for a ten percent discount. That's
(12:34):
Promo Code Action for a ten percent discount. M M
break and eyes doing a ton of rasears. This is great,
(12:54):
and this is so it's all gonna Davis Madtic today,
before the tip trail, I was asking you about fantasy
baseball and if you das or not. He's like, I've
been watching you and Frankly, you guys really love fantasy baseball,
as I think frank does. I'm just kidding, like I
do just kidding but not really. It was like, I
know you love fantasy baseball. I really love fantasy baseball
(13:15):
as I love fantasy basketball lot too. Um both every
day it just never end. And you know me, I
mean like you're crazy with it. You don't name all
these guys I've never heard of, like Rico Dubon. We
didn't even get to him yesterday. And I actually know
who that guy is. I don't remember struck out on
a nasty slider from Kershaw as he sucks. But like
(13:35):
these conversations will have a dream of the break like
I love it, I really do. Is that the stuff
we should be broadcasting, Greg? If maybe it's basically just
me introducing a player that I want in our auction
and Greg being like I don't know about that player,
and then him going to another player, and then me
me being like I don't know about that player, Greg,
that's basically it. Oh, we agree on a certain players.
(13:57):
That's not true. Like there's been a lot of guys
we have talked about this sprang Winter, we're rolled it on.
I will reveal it right now. I won't say who,
but we have our catcher position filled out. Both of
them shortstop. He doesn't even remember. I remember the bad
catching shortstop in third base. Our outfielder one you probably
don't remember that one is the one? Is it? The one?
(14:18):
Is the expensive one? Or not? Banging on a trash
can are fourth and fifth outfielders. And we have over
pictures filled out already. Great, come on, we're doing great.
I love our pitching staffs on sunny grains on it.
That's the thing. The thing is our pitching staff is
like a hundred and fifty dollars of our budget. What
are we doing, saff We're going the other way. Everyone
(14:38):
tells you sixty your budget. We're going agree with that.
I want all pitching. Well, Greg, you do start more
hitters than you do pictures, so let's still fall in
five categories. Only five categories. Is not thirteen hitters compared
to nine pictures. It's only five categories right right within
(15:00):
all the pitching categories. Is there training in this league? Yeah?
I believe there is. Well, we'll get all pitching. People
always need pitching, true, always need it all right, Greg,
first place, it's back to the the first place. I mentioned
Matt Olsen before the break. That is a different difference
that you and I have. I have matt Olsen as
my number four first basement. You have matt Olsen as
your number five first basement without actually looking down at
(15:22):
your sheet, Um, I have been six? Actually you have?
Who do you have? I have Anthony Rizzo. I don't
know how I became the Anthony Rizzo guy. Now I
actually dropped Anthony Rizzo. Um, after the graph, after years
of me bashing him, you finally bought in. I feel
much better at this. I have Olson at four, a
rad at five, Rizzo at six. You have the same
(15:43):
players as a little bit of a different order. Um,
and I know what this says. You ignore that. Um,
why do you have? Why do you like mat Olson? Way?
You just like Matt Olson? No, I like Matt Olson
a lot. And maybe this is like a slippery slope
fallacy of mine so far in the draft season, Greg,
But whenever I mind early to mid round players that
(16:03):
do not contribute in batting average and only give you
power and nothing else, I am pivoting away from those
players more often than not, because I've convinced myself that, well,
if you're gonna take Matt Olsen in round five, or
if you're gonna spend twenty in an auction on Matt Olsen.
Why don't you just wait and get Reese Hoskins five
(16:23):
rounds later and he's you know, look, the batting average
might be lower than madd Olson to forty hitter, but
what are you expecting how hoskinst home runs, good County stats,
obviously gets on base, good ballparks to hidden So maybe
this is a fallacy of mine, and only time will tell.
But I've basically been pivoting away from any hitters in
the early rounds that only give you power and nothing else.
(16:46):
I mean, look at the bus that I've called out
so far, Aaron Judge, I'm not on Peter Alonso. I'll
tell you why I'm not on him, for basically the
same reasons I'm telling you probably not gonna draft Matt Olson.
I just want to get batting average at least or
stolen bases in those early rounds. And I think that
Anthony Rizle is probably gonna hit two AD plus. I
think that Jose Bray is probably gonna hit two ad
plus ad. Olson is great. He might hit fifty home
(17:07):
runs this season, but he's probably not gonna hit more
than two fifty. If we're just being honest. So guy
has struggled against left handed pitching. He has struggled to
hit in oco as well. What I will say about
about Matt Olson greg is that his stack cast page
is just ridiculous. It's like Cody Balinger. It's like Cody
Balinger light. It's there's red everywhere, which is a good thing.
He was percentile or better in barrel percentage, average, eggs velocity,
(17:31):
expected slugging percentage last year and hard contact right and
that was coming back from a hammate bone injury, which
just crazy, like you don't normally see stuff like that.
Matt Olsen has ridiculous power, awesome batting stance as well,
where he just like holds the bat out here like crazy,
good mine up to hit him. Obviously not a great ballpark, Craig.
I think he hits between two fifty and two sixty
conservatively project forty home runs. It wouldn't surprise me if
(17:54):
he approaches fifty. He has that type of power. So
this doesn't contribute batting average, which is why have him six.
And I understand that, but I have to ask for
anyone who wants Peter Alonzo out there, just take Matt
Olson three rounds later. That was literally the question I
was about to ask you. It's not three rounds so
much anymore though. So that Olson is fifty two in
(18:15):
the NFBC O the past two weeks, um Peter Alons
is thirty one. So it's around and a half or
two questions will just take Matt Olsen two rounds later.
The stack has numbers, the power. The power numbers are
actually better for Matt Olson in than they are for
and if he can get the average out, you're talking
(18:36):
about Reese Hoskins five rounds later in a lonest thing,
the same kind of thing. Yes, So the thing is Greg,
am I doing that too much? Am I taking that
too far? Because what happens? All right? You say, all right,
well I wanted Peter Alonso, but you're right, Frank, I
can wait. I can get medalson Oh crap, someone took
medalson out from under me. Next thing, you know, I
missed out and Reese Hoskins. If you just keep thinking like, oh,
(18:58):
I can wait and get someone that's similar, haven't, eventually
you might not get that player. I haven't answered that
one to what happened to be missed out on him? Greg? Way,
So when the first basin you missed out on that
you probably won't miss then then it's your fault. That's
probably Christian Walker. But I do like I Met, I
like Madelson, but probably more so and and uh points
(19:18):
leeg just because you don't have to worry about the batting.
So I'm gonna go back to the same question that
we keep going when we keep trying to tackle and
you you name some of the players that we kind
of have in our heads of this auction, and they're
all really very solid guys. I like where heads are at.
Where are you finding speed? Like the guys that we
have have oh speed. So last year in the NFBC
(19:39):
main event, I wound up drafting de Gordon for speed
and that didn't work out. He had a terrible season.
And you've heard people kind of caution you about this
in the past, and I basically had to live through
it myself to learn my lesson. I don't like taking
the players that you expect outside of a trade turner.
I don't mind taking trade turner that you expect to
give you thirty five plus stolen basis. I like taking
(20:00):
the guys that just chip away. Greg felve to fifteen
here twelve to fifteen. There, maybe get a guy who
gives you a twenty to twenty five, someone like an
Oscar Mercado or a Victor Roblos who can give you thirty.
Like one of those guys down what Oscar Mercado Victor Robis?
I mean, I have mental notes in my mind down
because you really follow the notes in the draft. All right,
I will, I will write down the names. But a
(20:21):
lot of my draft so far, Greg, have been just
chipping away, a lot of Haavier Bios shares Manny Machado
eight to ten stolen bases, maybe like a Tim Anderson
close to twenty stolen basis, someone like that. I'm just
chipping away. I don't want the Malix Smith's I don't want.
I don't mind a Jonathan VR, but he's not really
a target of mine. I we went over our second
basis in shortstop ranks, Greg, I would rather have Asilbi's
(20:44):
chipping away fifteen and twenty stolen basis, Kessen Heira twelve
to fifteen stolen bases. Just get a bunch of these guys,
and then at the end of your draft you look
up and you realize, oh, well, I got six or
seven of these guys, I'm projected for a hundred stolen
basis and that's perfectly fine. You can compete with that,
all right. I just wanna remember, like we need that
category at some point. No, you're right, because all the
(21:04):
players so far that I'm looking at the list right now,
we don't have much speed on This is usually, like
you know your side of things. It's a fair question,
and you're not gonna get it at the first base
position unless you draft like Danny Santana or Julie Gurrel,
who will give you like maybe five to eight. So well,
you mentioned stolen basis at first base. I think it's
(21:24):
a good time to talk about Paul Goldsman because for
years Paul Goldschmidt was a crazy thirty stolen base threat
at the first base spot. You're like, oh my god,
this is a guy that literally go thirty thirty at
first base. That was crazy. Now you expect that a
really big year in his first year in St. Louis.
You don't really get it. Although the second half way
better than this first half. I have Paul Goldmate rank
is my eighth ranth first baseman. Are you backing on
(21:47):
Goldie or you like, I think he's on the wrong
side of his career here on out. Yeah, so Paul
Goldschmith falls into the Chris Bryant and Josel two Bay category.
For me, Greg, I'm not gonna have any shares of
Paul Goldschmith this season. I have him down at my
as my tenth first baseman as anah, it's not no,
it's nothing egregious by any means. But it was a
solid season with St. Louis. We saw the batting average
(22:10):
dip all the way down to two sixty Was he
expecting average? What I don't like It was only two
sixty two, So it's not really like you know, he
was on lucky last year. We could expect some positive
regression in the batting average department. What I really don't like, Greg,
is it's two years in a row now that we've
seen the plate discipline start to slit or Paul gold Schmidt. Uh.
The K percentage up over two years in a row
(22:33):
is eleven percent walk rate, which is still really good.
I understand that if you play an O B P
or in a point's league, I think Paul Goldschman is
still a fine, viable first baseman. There's nothing wrong with him.
But his eleven percent walk rate is the lowest it's
been since His thirty one percent chase rate last year
was the highest of his career. Eleven percent swinging strike
rate the highest since his rookie season. So to see
(22:53):
the plate discipline starting to slip a little bit, Greg,
I don't think that the Cardinals have a great lineup.
And I look into his op yes by month, Greg,
I do league average ops. It's like seven fifty eight
is ops by month last year seven fifty three, eight
three one thousand eight five, seven oh five and nine three.
There were four months last year out of a six
(23:15):
month season where Paul Goldschmidt was worse than a league
average player. I'm not in in a road league. Though
he did have over thirty runs for the thirty consecutive year,
four out of five years. He did have closal hundred
run scored close to the hundred RBI. When it was
all said and done, Yeah, he's he's not gonna steal anymore.
He's just no, no, no, I mean the soul and
basis just continue to decline. Thy een to seven to three,
(23:37):
maybe he gives you three to five, but I mean
it's anymore. Can we see the county stats starts to
come back even a little bit more In that line
of Greg, I don't think that the Cardinals have a
very good line up. They lost Marcelo Zuna, remember, so
I think it was really it was really interesting. Is
the two years nineteen, they're the same. The only difference
is the average went down, and that points the play
(23:58):
discipline that you pointed out a few moments ago. I
think what you're seeing is what you get from Paul
gold Trade at most. I don't think you see anything increase.
I think it's only what if the average continues a
little bit more, if it goes down to fifth and
will say his babvit was around three hundreds. Traditionally it's
been around three forty. Like he's a career three forty
eight Gavitt, So it was he was unlucky last year
in that regard. But I don't think you're gonna see
(24:20):
the two three hundred player anymore. You're gonna be closer
to three sixty. And again, this type of the numbers
are fine. From the first page. He's fine. He's a
fine option at first, that's what he is. But he
just don't expect upside exactly. We just talked about Matt
Olson and missing out on him and missing out Peter
Alonzo all was fine in that regard with Reese Hoskins
and those types of players. He's not a superstar anymore.
(24:41):
And that's the deal. I want to be the next
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dunk to learn more. Really said, Hey, you don't get
(25:24):
Peter Alonzo. You can go this way. And Peter Alonzo
is not an active target of hours get all those
over runs. Last year. He was an amazing last year
in his rookie season for the Mats, and maybe he
is just as goodness second year. But we didn't expect
some regression here, Um, Frank, why don't take a few
minutes to spend on Peter Alonzo. Yeah. Look, it's very
similar to the what we said about Matt Olson. Now
(25:45):
you can just get him a little bit later on.
And look, if you expect Pete Alonso to come close
to hitting fifty home runs again this upcoming season, then
you should be drafting him. But I think anyone who
realistically does projections probably has him in the forty the
low forties range this upcoming season, which is still really good.
But what I had to say about what he did
last year, Greg is that his nine point six mile
(26:06):
per hour average exit velocity was in the seventy eight
percentile in baseball That ranked fifty third among qualified hitters
last year. So he doesn't hit the ball nearly as
hard as some of the other big name sluggers in
the league. Guys like Aaron Judge mcguilson, No Nelson Cruz,
frand Milrays. All those guys hit the ball way harder
than Pete Alonso consistently. Uh And his slugging percentage in
(26:28):
the second half last year, Greg dropped from six thirty
four to five two. Obviously, it was his rookie season, right, like,
we couldn't expect him to keep up at six thirty
four slugging percentage for the entirety of the season. I
get that, but I just think that you could get
similar production out of players later on in the draft
and it wouldn't even surprise me if Madelson outproduces Pete
(26:48):
Alonso this year, Greg, and you're getting him two rounds later.
So just realize, if you take Pete Alonso in that
second third round range, you were passing up on some
serious talent guys like Llwing, Marte Javier Bias, who we've
just seen do it for longer. Um position scarcity, second
base category scarcity, you know, Soulen Basis batting average early
(27:10):
on in your draft as well. You're passing up on
all that to get a great three category player, own runs,
runs in RBIs. But realize he's gonna give you nothing
in batting average and nothing in stolen bases, and it's
really hard to make up those categories in the mid
rounds Craig, Yeah, it's it's hard. As you said, it's
been an early round pick and not get the categories
that you need and make up for what Peter Pete
(27:30):
Alonso gives you. I think at the home run home runs,
are you gonna find ultimately with all the players we
have named throughout today's show, you're going to find it.
Peter Allows as amazing as he is, Frankie as his
deficiencies being of home runs, your boy, there's venture. You
could say nothing, a lot of things about him, but
(27:50):
he nowled Josh Bell. Last year. He absolutely destroyed this
one with Josh Bell. He's my number nine ranks, third
first baseman because the only other good player in his
lineup is not Kevin Newman, It's Brian Reynolds Safari Planet.
Josh Bell had an awesome year last year. I know
he struggled, uh towards the second half. He's not active
(28:14):
target yours this year despite the breakout last year. Yeah,
I think I think he is a fallback option that
you can actually get later than Paul gold Schmidt. Right,
So we called Paul gold Schmidt a fallback option and
he goes in the fifth, sixth round, and you know,
Josh Bell, you can get a round or two even
later than Paul gold Schmidt. You know, I think he
is kind of the cliff right where the tear ends
for with Josh Bell and then the next tear starts
(28:36):
with Reese Hoskins, and he's fine, but obviously gonna hurt
your batting average a lot more than someone like Josh Bell,
who I think can hit, you know, around two seventy
two seventy five. Last year, Greg was the tale of
three seasons. Obviously, he got off to that phenomenal start
from March through May he hit three forty three with
eighteen home runs and ops over eleven hundred. June and July,
(28:57):
Greg two months been hit two thirds team with nine
home runs and a seven s S O p S.
So really struggled there in the middle part of the season,
and then August and September kind of turned it back
on to batting average not great, but fine. Ten home
runs with an OPS of eight, which that is pretty good.
He claims that throughout the course of the season he
(29:18):
went from sinking up fastballs Greg to sinking up breaking balls.
And here's a quote from Josh Bell, I feel like,
if you're not sinking up to the fastballs, you can't
hit either. Well, once I started focusing more and more
on all speed pitches, it just went down hill for
me for a stretch of time. So it seems like
he was focusing so much on trying to hit breaking
pitches that he was then late on fastballs and vice versa,
(29:41):
and he was just getting completely messed up. So obviously
Pictures made an adjustment to him. Will Josh Bell be
able to make the adjustment back? That's why I do
have some pause. He did some really nice things last year.
He hit the ball extremely hard, average eggs of LOSSI
percentile in baseball last year. And he's someone who he
said for years Greg that if he would lift the ball,
(30:04):
he would hit more home runs, like we said about
Christian Yellish and a lot of players. He's obviously very
strong human being. He's a big boy um and he
started lifting the ball last year. So he has to
maintain just a lot of the strides that he made
last year, and I'm just a little skeptical that he'll
be able to maintain all of them. I still think
he can be solid to seventy thirty home runs, eight runs,
(30:29):
nine d R B I s. It's not a great
line up. The Pittsburgh Pirates do not have a great lineup.
It's not a great um ballparks hit and either he's
actually much better in O BP and head to head points.
He's Greg he has a great eye at the plate,
great walk great. Maybe I'm wrong about Josh Bell. Maybe
he just picks up exactly where he left off last
year and you know, continues to get even better. But
he made so many strides last year, I'm just a
(30:50):
little skeptical that he'll be able to pick up all
of those once again. I think he'll be solid, but
again just not an active target of mine. Yeah, and
that's fair. I think he's part of this first based
crew that I feel comfortable drafting. I think he said
he's gonna be solid. Maybe he doesn't give you what
he gave you for a lot of the year last year.
Even if he does kind of bounce back in the
(31:12):
performance that we saw, I'm fine with him. And it's
only like I said, that's the word right for him
and Goldsmith? Fine, Yeah, you're fine, Yeah, I am. I am.
Are you finally a boomoo Mancini? Well, he's another one too. Man.
Is he going to be able to keep up the
career year that he had last year? Obviously, great ballparks
hidden in came to yards and great division to hidden
(31:34):
You're Austin has will be there at some point. Frank
Austin Hayes is gonna be their opening day gress. That's right, gratulations.
I love Austin Hays too. Reserve rounds fifth olfielder, young
guy on the fifth halfialder all right, he's a backup
to our other fifth outfielder, which remains to be named
right now, we will not reveal that information. Who is it?
I'll text check e chat. But tree Mancini last year,
(31:57):
much like Josh Bell, someone who started to lift the
ball us here Greg for a long time. He hits
the ball hard, but always hit the ball in the ground,
started hitting more line drives. Last year. The fly ball
rate went up to thirty one percent, which is still
not great, but it's great compared to where he was
at uh in in past years. So he's a lot
like Josh Bell. I have him ranked in the tier
below him. I have Trey Mancini at fourteen, so I
(32:19):
have him just behind Reese Hoskins, Miguel Sino, and Julie Guriel.
I just think a lot went right for tray Mancini
last year. I think the home runs take a little
bit of a step back. I don't think he comes
close to thirty five again. I think he's probably. Yeah.
I think he's you know, late twenties and home runs, solid,
batting average like at two seventy to eighty hitter and
(32:42):
however you want to project the counting stats for him,
it's the Baltimore Orioles. It's not a great lineup. Look
around him. Austin Hayes, Bernado nun Yez, Anthony Santander crushed Davis,
the wrong crush Davis by the way, maybe you get
eight runs a d r b S. I just worry
about the line up around him. Greg, He's fine. He's
also like Josh Bell and Paul Voltchman, just a tier lower.
(33:05):
I think I'm a little bit really a target of mine.
I think I'm a little bit higher on train than
than you are. Actually it's just context, you know, I
understand the team context. But I think if you look
what he's literally done in the last three years. Yes,
the home runs arout thirty five, that's too high. He's
probably closer in between twenty five and thirty. But he
gave you those home runs every n I think the
I think the average is closer to what you saw
(33:25):
two in the last three years, around that to ninety number.
I think that what you saw Adam train Mancini outside
of all of the all of those home runs, I
think it's pretty legitimate. Man. What I will say about
Trey Mancini is if you are somebody who buys into
what he did last year, then he is an absolute
bargain for you, and you should be in on him
and on him, you know, either a late first baseman
(33:47):
or a corner infielder, or utility about whatever it might be.
If you buy what he did last year and you
think he hits around to nine once again, and you know,
approaches thirty home runs, and if he does all that,
you know maybe the counting stats are actually all right
in that ballpark, then he is a value for you.
The thing is, I don't think that he gets to
those numbers specifically, Greg No, man. I think it's closer
(34:07):
than than you might realize or you might believe. I
shouldn't say realize. You might believe Andre Mazzine a little
bit higher on him, which is why I have him
at number ten. For me. We're talking about Max Monsey
a lot on the show I Want to Move Faster, Dad.
We talking about the girls. You know, I didn't even
rank it as the first basement. We talked about him
a lot. You will have first based eligibility early in
the season, so we talked about him a lot. When
we move over with some guys, he's the best. Think
(34:28):
he's just tough to um. Even though Carlo Santana he
was awesome last year. He's another one like Trey Mancini,
right coming off the career year, and carl Santana is
a little bit older as well, so you know he
has the breakout year. How old is he Greg if
you have that information, he's like thirty two thirty three
years old. So it's just a weird time to be
(34:48):
coming off a career year for Carlos Santana last year,
which included him hitting two eight one, thirty four home runs,
a hundred and ten runs scores, and eight and ninety
three RB. I s he is he will be thirty
four years old. Thirty four years old, much better in
points leagues. Look if you can get this guy in
a points league at a discount, because people see the
(35:09):
name and they're reacting exactly how I'm reacting right now, like, oh,
I don't want Carlos Santana. He is so great and
points league put this in perspective, he was the seventh
ranked first baseman in ROTO still really good. Last year
number four, he was the fourth best first baseman in
head to head points leagues, and he basically does that consistently. Greg.
He walks a ton, he has great play discipline. He's
(35:30):
awesome for O B P leagues as well. His second
half came back to a little bit. In the second half, Greg,
we saw the batting average drop a little bit. Two
sixty two eight fifty five ops. Still really good um
to sixty eight expected batting average last year behind the
entire career to fifty career hitter expected. That's awesome. I
(35:54):
will say, like, where are he's going. It's fine, it's
awesome in a points league, But Greg, do you them
as your starting first basement in a ROTO league? Ideally not.
But it really excels nowhere, at least when you talk
about Peter Anso and those guys, like they're gonna excel
in path uns. Ye, it wouldn't surprise you if Carl
Santana hits two fifty six home runs, eighty five runs
(36:16):
and eighty five r b i's and nothing else, Like, yes,
he doesn't do anything else. It would because if he
does that, the average is be lowers should be close.
It's true, right, he's great and points leaves. I'm not drafting.
I love you, Carlos Santana. I always will man other
first basement, I have we look like Julie Guriel before.
(36:37):
I like Julie Guriel. I think he's I think he's
a good player. How much do you buy into the
power of Greg just Ball? Where would you set the
over under for home runs? Last year he had thirty one,
which was by far career high runs. Have a projection
written down here with twenty two you can be under,
(36:57):
but also with to nine batting average and eighty five
ribies look at for average? Are we not very good?
Do you find power? He is a fallback option at
first base who gives you batting average, which you cannot
say about a lot of players in this range. Great
speak of guys will not give you batting average. Look
about the power guys, Eddie Luke, Voyd, Christian Walka on
the ground. I want to light the lamp on draft
(37:20):
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(37:43):
That's promo code action for a ten percent discount. Alright, fine,
a few minutes your program. First Base Preview. He's frank
I'm Greg. Thanks for joining us year today. Craggy Reese Hoskins.
I realized talk a lot about him this spring, because well,
(38:06):
I like Reese Hoskins a lot. So Franklin, why are
you now backing off oh Man a little bit? I
don't want to worry too much about spring training, but
based on how he end of the year, Greg second
half hit one eight, which was the lowest qualified batting
average for any hitter last year. In the second half
of the season, it was not good bad. A lot
(38:27):
of strikeouts and Reese Hoskins trying to hit the ball
in the air too much. Seems like he's kind of
selling out for home runs. And so far here in
the spring he has a swing adjustment. Greg he has
a new swing, and he is three for seventeen with
nine strikeouts. So I don't want to put too much
stock into spring training, but based on the second half
that he had last year, I would have liked to
see something out of Reese Hoskins here throughout spring. But Greg,
(38:51):
if he can come anywhere close to the first half
that he had last year, if he can repeat that
for a full season, then he's absolutely a seal right now,
because everyone's looking at the second half and I get it.
But in the first half of the season, Greg, he
hit to sixty three with a four oh one on
base percentage and a five thirty slug with twenty home
runs and fifty nine r b i s in the
(39:12):
first half of the season, obviously mentioned. The second half,
his fly ball rate balloon to fifty two percent. Greg,
I mean, he was basically it wasn't even three true outcomes.
It was walk, strike out, or flyout. It wasn't even
home runs because he was just you know, the launch
angle was too high. He was trying too hard to
hit home runs. So he just has to go back
to doing what he does best, try to hit more
(39:33):
line drives again, lower that launch angle. A little bit
because he's trying too hard to lift the ball. His
launch angle last year was number one in all of baseball,
so again just trying too hard to lift there. And
if he does that, I think he hit two to
fifty thirty five home runs. Really good counting stats because
obviously gets on base a lot. Greg a fifteen percent
walk right over the past three seasons. That is sixth
(39:55):
best in baseball. He's better in ov P leagues, better
in points leagues because of the on base per centage
UH and the walks obviously, but I think you know,
comparable numbers once again to him Matt Olsen, not the
same type of upside, but runs eighty five plus runs
close to a hundred ribbies, really good lineup, really good ballpark.
All that is true, he plays every day. The vatting
(40:17):
average has to bounce back a little bit here, man.
I think it has to. He's not hitter, right. I mean,
if he continues to strike out as much as he
does and only hit five balls, Greg, then is and
it might, right, it might stay at around to twenty.
That's the risk of riees Hoskins. You're absolutely right, going
down a little bit further a lot further. In this case,
(40:39):
we get to Edwin and Carnassium, who is in the
same guy for the last decade. Right, He's a guy
that average is not going to be great, but he's
gonna hit a ton of power. Last year for the
Yankees and for the Marriage bed at four thirty four bombs,
eight sixbies, eighty one runs scored, played in just a
hundred and nine games and still giving thirty four on runs.
(41:01):
He's hit thirty home runs at least every years twelve
rank pretty good. I get it, he's like forty. He's
thirty seven years old. But much like Nelson Cruise are
we spoken about there's really no sign up slowing down
here in the juice ball. Yeah, helping at thirty four
and just a hundred and nine games. This is a
guy that has legitimate forty home run power that's going
way later. So I have to ask why are we
(41:23):
wasting and not wasting? But why are we having a
draft pick on Matt Olson when way later and when
at Carnacion he gets similar numbers. It's a fair question,
and there's obviously more downside to Encarnacion at his age
of thirty seven years old. There's obviously injury risk as well.
He hasn't played much here in spring training and only
played a hundred and nine games last year. So the
obvious answer, Greg is there's more downside than someone like
(41:46):
Matt Olson, who is much younger and you know obviously
could be due for a career year this upcoming season.
But I'm with you, I think another fallback option at
first base. If you want power and someone who is
obviously going hurt your batting average, then why not just
wait on someone like Incarnacion, who I think is gonna
hit around thirty five home runs, He's gonna drive in
(42:06):
probably close to a hundred. Because that White Sox lineup again,
Jose A brave Mankada, Tim Anderson, Eloy Jimenez, Incarnacion is
going to be in the middle of all of that.
It's just a matter of how healthy can he be.
And for anyone who thinks that, you know, it was
just all aided by Yankee Stadium last year. He was
actually better with the Mariners than he was with the Yankees.
He hit twenty one home runs in sixty five games
(42:29):
with the Seattle Mariners last year, uh and actually had
a higher home run to fly ball ratio with them.
A higher isolated power with the Mariners last year, and
he still walks a ton as well. So even if
you're playing O B P or in a points league,
I don't mind Incarnacion. You just have to bake in
that he's probably gonna miss at least thirty games, Greig.
And that's the downside to Incarnacio. Okay, but where you're
(42:50):
getting him, he was fine. He's going later than anyone
we've talked about yet. And there's so much And where
do you have him? Because I have him at I
haven't met sixteen fourteen. But there's just a few players
that you don't include in the ranks, right like well Mayhew, Okay,
we probably haven't been a similar spot. Yeah, we probably
probably Ultimately you have him behind Mancinia Julie gae Um.
(43:14):
I mentioned a couple of times on the show Christian
Walker and Luke Voit, which one of those two players
you'd rather have? So I actually have these guys back
to back and they start off the next here for me,
really guys that I'd rather have as corner infielders than
starting first baseman. And I do have Christian Walker one
spot higher. Christan Walker is someone who last year Greg
look at the stat cast numbers, I mean, everything just
pops off the page for Christian Walker last year. Uh,
(43:35):
and he is somebody that for years we didn't know
if he was just like a Quad A players. He's
someone that just dominates Triple A. But he had twenty
nine home runs in a hundred and fifty two games,
ninety one mile per hour average eggs of velocity eighty
five percentile, thirteen point one percent, barrel rate ninety percentile
last year in his career in the minors, hit ter
(43:58):
eight thirty nine o p s. I mean, I think
that there's a lot to like about Christian Walker, and
I think, frankly, greg he's just a little bit safer
in terms of injuries than someone like Luke Voit. Luke
Void might have higher upside because obviously Yankee Stadium and
hitting in that lineup, but remember Luke Voit is coming
off of core surgery. Christian Walker did stay healthy four
and fifty two games last year, and it's a solid
(44:19):
lineup out there in Arizona, and he projects a hit
right in the middle of it as well. So I
think someone who can hit to fifty home runs, I
think that's fair from Christian Walker. I think everything you're saying,
and it also described Luke Voit like every like literally
that entire stat lit we just saw for Christian Walker.
It could happen, and the upside is higher for Luke Void. Agree.
I'm not going to dispute that his swing is built
(44:39):
for Yankee Stadius. He can go the opposite way. He
hits a ton of line drives. I just think that
there's more downside there because of the injury risk, all right,
that I'd rather just take the upside, especially at this
corner infield spot, especially at this price. Give me the
higher upside with Lukevoi than Christian Walker. He's a good person. Nah,
I trust Christian Walker more. You shouldn't. All right, let's
(45:01):
move on. There's nobody else I really like to be
with you. There's no other first patients that I like
at all Right, tell us about Danny Santana none is
eligibility everywhere starting center fielder for the Texas Rangers, and asked,
I know that's it should be utility guy Sanna's every
day center fielders. We want to talk about Eric Cosmer.
(45:22):
Greig was actually up because he stinks and don't draft him.
All right? Moving on, I got him as my corner
infielder in the Great Fantasy Base Team League. Why he's fine, Greg,
What does he do that is the key word here?
What does he do well? Fine? R B I last year,
everybody's like these days, right, do they? He's hitting in
the middle of the lineup that a lot of people
(45:43):
like stinks. He's just fine. It's twenty two homers of
the juice ball. He's been playing every day because it's
too many groundballs. He's the next one man. I will
say this about Hosmer. If he's six percent groundholen the
six percent. We've seen other guys that have that were
stubborn about this in the past. Change He's like, if
he lowers it, if he lowers it the fiftent. If
(46:05):
he just lowers it the fifty percent, and he's a
twenty five home run hitter with likely to seventy batting average,
you know the last you're the last time his granda
probably never never, fifty six percent was down from the
year prior. Hit a lot of groundball Team League. No,
(46:29):
he is fine as a corner He's not. I just
agree he's bad. We're not drafting him. Cut him off.
You don't have to thought, Sep, do you realize how
the auction between Greg Sausman and myself has clearly become
a dictatorship? I disagree. Why did you all of a
sudden cross him off the list? We don't we only
need fun players. Greg's idea. You know what was a
fun player last year? Ramo Loriano? Greg? What happened there?
(46:51):
You didn't want Romo Loriana Ramono Lorianna didn't say who's
the same one? Who I'm gonna say? You know he's
this year's Mauriceo Dubon Watch Dubons gonna have a great year.
Who's very I don't even know what team he plays for?
They don't. I still don't remember San Francisco Giants, Gregg,
I don't think you want many giants, Greg, Who would
you rather take? Last question regarding Eric Cosmer Osmer or
(47:14):
Daniel Murphy? I don't have Daniel Murphys in Colorado. Hey
doesn't play against left handed pitching. I'd rather than Daniel
Murphy in Colorado. You would who'd rather have Eric Hosmer
or Will Myers? Greg would rather have Daniel Murphy than
Eric Cosmos. Yes, and he says no to every other
boring player that I bring up here on you know,
I have Daniel Murphy at like thirteen home runs. I
(47:36):
do have Eric Cosmy. You said Eric Cosmer was bad
and the Juice Ball year because he had twenty two runs.
Murphy in Colorado twelve home runs. So you know, I
answered that with Eric Cosmers my eighteenth rank first baseman,
and Daniel Murphy it's twenty two. So I would rather
Erica have Erick Cosmer reg higher than I do. Well,
let's be fair, I don't have cree guys in you.
(47:58):
So in the Great Fantasy Basic Mo Invitational, I was
debating between Eric Hosmer and Dania Murphy. What what about
the other guys like has Aguilar Justin No, I like
Justin Smoke, I'm not I'm not doing the haz Justin
Smoke in Milwaukee said he gonna play every day or
they might he might play every day. It seems like
(48:18):
he's gonna play every day with the Milwaukee Brewers that
they're going to kind of split time in the outfield
with Ryan Braun and Visa Garcia your boy, which doesn't
bode well for Evil Garcia obviously, but you know, look
that's what they're saying now, there's still a chance, you know,
maybe against left handed pitching. They use Ryan Brown at
first base and they use Garcia in the outfield. But
(48:39):
I think Justin Smoke obviously going over to Miller Park,
a ballpark that is so conducive to power for left
handed batters. And yes, Justin Smoke is a switch hitter,
but most of his power comes from the left hand side. Um, look,
we're just talking about Christian Walker hitting two fifty with
thirty home runs. Justin Smoke might be able to do
that and you get them like a hundred picks later.
So as a fallback corner infielder, Greg, if you want
(49:00):
to put him on the list for auction, I have
no problems with Justin Smoke, no issue with Justin I'd
rather have c J. Crown over both. But I like C. C.
Moore as well. I just changed rings because I had
Smoke once spy higher. Now I have c J. Crown
at twenty three and Justin Smoke at twenty four, and
let move Justin Smoke up. C J. Cron By the way,
(49:22):
before we on the show, fifty five one runs over
the last two seasons, hit twenty five last year and
only twenty five games and was six in baseball in
barrel percentage. He's gonna play every day with the Detroit Tigers.
As long as he's with the Detroit Tigers, We'll see
what happens with c. J. Crow. Tomorrow, we wrap up
the week with our Catcher Report. Good Times, I will
do utility players to Elsie Cruz, Miguel Andohart Just Davis
(49:44):
with k Let's go growls up next with it all
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Enjoy the show, and thanks so much for listening. Yeah,
(00:32):
as welcome a with that, we welcome to your Inside
Up Studio thirty four. This is the BFFs. Here is
(00:55):
Frank stamfle I'm Greg sauceman. Frank, Greg, I was taking
ahead of you, I noticed, right alright, like an exaggerated
one after yesterday's bottle. What's going on? Man? Happy Thursday?
Here to talk about the first base position for fantasy baseball,
not nearly the position that it once was. Greg. But
before we do all of that, I do sleep last night,
but I sleep very very well, very well. Greg's getting
(01:18):
a good night of sleep outside of obviously the Judy debacle. Um,
but last night it's love great. I really like making up,
feeling refreshed. It's awesome. Nice. No trouble in paradise, huh,
No trouble in paradise, sleeping well. Things are good. Feeling good,
feeling strong might not be too good if you're Garrett cold. Greg,
(01:38):
that guy stinks. I feel like we shouldn't draft him.
Now that's it, we're out. How do you give up
six runs to the Detroit Tigers four home runs players?
Travis Demerit. Who's that guy? Who? I don't know who?
This guy? Guy looks a little slim down to see you, Greg,
we're talking first base today? Uh huh? Where is he
(02:00):
ranks for you? Little little corner infield? Where's he ranks?
I don't know that I have him ranked for me. Cabrera,
I don't have him rank on rank, so he's never
thirty four. Oh, I have a thirty four. So they
moved ahead of a Dan Vogel Box, I can move
on ahead of Michael Javis, who qualifies the first base
in young Yeah. I think we'll probably leave Miguel Cabrera
(02:20):
where he is. Yeah, seems that seems fair on the
program that I more first baseman talk about the problem
is I said this to you while making the rankings
for first base in second base. There aren't many good
players that play these two positions, and it's very hard
to feel. Well, a first based spot and then a
corner in field spot. I mean third base is deepen off,
I guess, but absolutely at first base this is bad. Oh,
(02:42):
I just gotta text that, um there are calls fever,
which means he probably a coronavirus, which is why, well,
I don't know, is it in Florida, it's everywhere. That's bad. Queen.
We have five first baseman that we like, a lot
of first basion we don't like. Hopefully that they find
the first basemen we like. We also could learn a
lot more. Thank you, Greg. I'mstokia with your PFF Sports
(03:13):
graded News update. College basketball Mountain West quarter Finals. We
have number five San Diego State in action right now.
They trail air Force by three twenty four your Fanuel
sports books live betting lines. San Diego State eight and
a half point favorite, still on forty eight a half
your revive total. Let's go to the Big South quarterfinals
(03:34):
and see that's u n C. Asheville against Gardner Webb.
They hold a one point lead in the first half.
Gardner Webb a four and a half point five favorite,
one forty eight and a half euro live total. One
final from earlier today. It was Winthrop, one of six
seventy winners over South Carolina up State that was in
the other Big South quarter final match up. All right,
(03:57):
let's move over to Major League Baseball and spring training.
One note, Garrett Cole started for the New York Yankees
against Detroit Tigers. Lasted just two innings, giving up six
earned runs, including two home runs. Too. Mcguil cobra. All
thirty MLB teams are in action on the spring training slate.
Some off the field news the Red Sox they have
(04:19):
signed right hander Colin mghu to a one year deal.
The designated right hander Hector VLAs guest for assignment. Mgu
thirty two spent the previous six seasons with the Houston Astros.
Was four and five with a four point seven zero
e r A in seventy four innings last year. As
for the Red Sox, Ace Chris Sale and m r
(04:39):
I has revealed Sale has a flex flex or strain
sorry flex or strain. It is pitching arm will be
shut down for another week. Interim manager Ron rennicky Up
added Sales status on Thursday morning. Talent reporters at the
m r I revealed no notable damage to the left
handers elbow. Other Baseball news a and Judge hopes to
(05:01):
be ready to go for opening Day, but he has
quote frustrated that the doctors haven't determined to cause a
soreness in his pectoral area near his right shoulder. Judge
told reporters that he will undergo more tests. Stay tuned
on that one. And in the NBA, Steph Curry returns
to action. Is played in just four games this season
(05:21):
for the Golden State Warriors. He's recovery from a broken
left hand. He will be on a minute restriction, expected
to play between twenty four and twenty eight minutes when
the Warriors take on the Raptors tonight. That is your
BFF Sports good News update. Now back to Frank Guys.
All right, we're gonna get into the first based position
here on the show from a fantasy baseball perspective. But
(05:44):
like we do every day here on the Fantasy BFS,
we give you a little snippet of tonight's NBA DFS preview.
And Greg Sausman was with Davis Maddock earlier today from
Daily Rohada dot Com as they did the NBA tip drill,
telling you why you should have Andrew Wiggins in your
lineup tonight, moving on to the small forward position Alec
(06:11):
Marks's former team, Andrew Wiggins is on there now and
doing well enough you consider to put in your line out.
I thin everyone will be looking at Steph Curry and
his return tonight, which makes Andrew Wiggins potentially undervalued. Yeah,
I think it definitely makes him undervalued. So just actually,
right before you and I got on air, Steve Kurt
Talk the media said that Steph Curry is gonna play
(06:32):
at most in six minute verse for sure, less than
thirty minutes and probably closer to twenty five minutes in
his return. So that leaves, you know, a big portion
of this game for Andrew Wiggins to just continue doing
what he's been doing, which is playing with a bunch
of you know, to to put it kindly, a bunch
of U G League players right like, these guys on
(06:52):
the Warriors roster right now, these guys are are mostly scrubs.
You know, it would be very surprising to me if
Juan Toscano Anderson is the Warriors roster next year. So
it's given. It just gives Wiggins a lot of usage,
and it's gonna play you know a ton of minutes
without step tonight. And that was Davis Maddick from Jailey
Rhodo dot Com earlier today on the NBA tip Trill.
(07:15):
You can catch that every single day here on the
sports cod YouTube channel over at NBA Fantasy as well
on Twitter and Greg. Since Andrew Wiggins has joined the
Golden State Wheres, we've seen a lot more defensive statistics
out of him. He's getting a bunch of steals, a
bunch of blocks, which obviously if you play on fandel
you get three Fantasy points per defensive numbers. So Andrew
Wiggins a name to look at tonight in NBA dfest
(07:36):
a little and harold it out there in Golden State
with Steph Curry back tonight. And that's what davi Us
and I obviously chatted about a little bit earlier on
lets we want a first Basement, Frank, where again we
were just trying to name some names of players that
we wanted to draft to play at first base, uh
in our auction which is one week from today, and
we lead it on Nobody Frank. Yeah, Greg, we got
a little trouble in paradise here in terms of because
(07:57):
I want figuring out Franky gregs fun players. Yeah, yeah,
all that fun zero fun, sir, that's you. Yeah, okay,
we'll see you just said, why don't we drive? Luke
Void is their starting first basement. The guy might not
have a job halfway through the season. You haven't been
able to stay healthy either. By the way, you're a
(08:18):
downgrade Clayton Kershaw. Ye got a downgrade Luke Void injuries.
He's not like an injury prone guy. Luke Void. Yeah,
he's coming off a major course surgery. He's all right,
but how long will it last season? I hope you're right. Well,
they don't worry. Then I named a whole bunch of
other options at first base, right then like any of them? Well,
(08:40):
you know what Frank says, and he says every day,
jes Jose b is always the answer at first base,
and I like Jose right. I didn't know she's expensive, man,
But what worth it all? Where do you want to
start Greg at the first base? Because do you want
to just dive into Jose bray was at the first
player you want to talk about? You manna tell you
why he's the best first baseman of all time? Yeah,
(09:02):
that's actually the ideal. Yeah, alright, well, I don't know
that he's the best. This would be one of them
all time, you know how like we really struggled to
get to our top twenty lists here. He's not gonna
be one of those days. There's just not enough first page.
All right, do you want to start with Jose? Alright?
Take it look after a time through a banged of eighteen. Yes,
(09:23):
I'll give you your time to talk about Luke Voyd
Greg later on the show. Uh, he bounced back major
last year, and I was all over Break last year.
I didn't understand why people were downgrading him. Obviously dealt
with a very unfortunate situation back in eighteen, if you
remember correctly, Greg, that involved testicular torsion. I'll just leave
it at that. When it comes to Jose, a Break
bounced back last year. Did you know he led the
(09:44):
American League in RBIs did with a hundred and twenty three.
I don't know if you noticed this, Greig, but the
line up for the White Sox got even, so he
had a hundred and twenty three RBI last year. I'm
not going to project him for that, but I think
he's going to be well over a hundred. They add
Edwin and Cornacion. Luis Robert is tearing up the spring
right now, Eloy Hemenez. A lot of people expect him
(10:04):
to take the next step. And at the top of
the line up we haven't even mentioned yet Yoan Moncata,
Tim Anderson. Obviously, if you're playing an O B P
or in a head to head points league, Jose Brew
gets to devalued a little bit there, Greg, right around
a six percent walk great, He's not gonna walk very much,
but consistently hits for a two eight plus batting average,
thirty plus home runs. He's just solid man. And I
(10:25):
understand the auction price fifteen team leagues over at the NFBC.
His A A V right now is around I understand
that's a big price to pay, but I think for
the consistency and the safe floor out of jose Briew,
I don't mind paying that price. I've already have a
few shares of jose Brew taking him in the fifth round. Greig,
I like it. Where you in a better line of
(10:47):
than even last year, isn't a good spot. The only
thing is I feel that people are coming on in
an auction. He's twenty one dollars, which is not nothing
rank it's expressive. Yeah, So to put that in perspective,
some other names right around that range pulled ultimate over
the past week, twenty Anthony Rizzo twenty dollars. People are
finally starting to realize. Yeah, yeah, like the I think
(11:07):
it's actually going a little bit too far the other
way now in Rizzo, because I've said for years, Greg,
I didn't understand why Rizzo was going to three rounds
ahead of Jose A. Brew sometimes five ten dollars more
than Jose Brew in an auction. Now it feels like
it might be going a little bit too far the
other way with Anthony Rizzo. And you know, if you
can get him in the fifth, sixth round, obviously plays
much better in ob P formance the day you get him.
(11:29):
I don't mind. Actually, I don't mind Anthony Rizzo at
this point. Like, if we can get Rizzo at twenty bucks, Greg,
I'm fine with it. Oh my god, Now he doesn't
want Anthony. I will say this, Anthony Rizzo is not
a fun player, so I will agree with you on
that he's rocks. No, he's rock solid. We did that
in the GD already. Jose Brew is my fourth rank,
(11:51):
first basement, my fifth rank. All right, I have what
do you don't test me, I'll put him ahead of
Peter Alonzo tested dr I have that old set up
Matt Olson's fun other frightenings about mat Olson. We got
back next. Want to light the lamp on Draft Kings
(12:11):
and FanDuel this NHL DFS season. Then joined Daily roado
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the Promo Code action for a ten percent discount. That's
(12:34):
Promo Code Action for a ten percent discount. M M
break and eyes doing a ton of rasears. This is great,
(12:54):
and this is so it's all gonna Davis Madtic today,
before the tip trail, I was asking you about fantasy
baseball and if you das or not. He's like, I've
been watching you and Frankly, you guys really love fantasy baseball,
as I think frank does. I'm just kidding, like I
do just kidding but not really. It was like, I
know you love fantasy baseball. I really love fantasy baseball
(13:15):
as I love fantasy basketball lot too. Um both every
day it just never end. And you know me, I
mean like you're crazy with it. You don't name all
these guys I've never heard of, like Rico Dubon. We
didn't even get to him yesterday. And I actually know
who that guy is. I don't remember struck out on
a nasty slider from Kershaw as he sucks. But like
(13:35):
these conversations will have a dream of the break like
I love it, I really do. Is that the stuff
we should be broadcasting, Greg? If maybe it's basically just
me introducing a player that I want in our auction
and Greg being like I don't know about that player,
and then him going to another player, and then me
me being like I don't know about that player, Greg,
that's basically it. Oh, we agree on a certain players.
(13:57):
That's not true. Like there's been a lot of guys
we have talked about this sprang Winter, we're rolled it on.
I will reveal it right now. I won't say who,
but we have our catcher position filled out. Both of
them shortstop. He doesn't even remember. I remember the bad
catching shortstop in third base. Our outfielder one you probably
don't remember that one is the one? Is it? The one?
(14:18):
Is the expensive one? Or not? Banging on a trash
can are fourth and fifth outfielders. And we have over
pictures filled out already. Great, come on, we're doing great.
I love our pitching staffs on sunny grains on it.
That's the thing. The thing is our pitching staff is
like a hundred and fifty dollars of our budget. What
are we doing, saff We're going the other way. Everyone
(14:38):
tells you sixty your budget. We're going agree with that.
I want all pitching. Well, Greg, you do start more
hitters than you do pictures, so let's still fall in
five categories. Only five categories. Is not thirteen hitters compared
to nine pictures. It's only five categories right right within
(15:00):
all the pitching categories. Is there training in this league? Yeah?
I believe there is. Well, we'll get all pitching. People
always need pitching, true, always need it all right, Greg,
first place, it's back to the the first place. I mentioned
Matt Olsen before the break. That is a different difference
that you and I have. I have matt Olsen as
my number four first basement. You have matt Olsen as
your number five first basement without actually looking down at
(15:22):
your sheet, Um, I have been six? Actually you have?
Who do you have? I have Anthony Rizzo. I don't
know how I became the Anthony Rizzo guy. Now I
actually dropped Anthony Rizzo. Um, after the graph, after years
of me bashing him, you finally bought in. I feel
much better at this. I have Olson at four, a
rad at five, Rizzo at six. You have the same
(15:43):
players as a little bit of a different order. Um,
and I know what this says. You ignore that. Um,
why do you have? Why do you like mat Olson? Way?
You just like Matt Olson? No, I like Matt Olson
a lot. And maybe this is like a slippery slope
fallacy of mine so far in the draft season, Greg,
But whenever I mind early to mid round players that
(16:03):
do not contribute in batting average and only give you
power and nothing else, I am pivoting away from those
players more often than not, because I've convinced myself that, well,
if you're gonna take Matt Olsen in round five, or
if you're gonna spend twenty in an auction on Matt Olsen.
Why don't you just wait and get Reese Hoskins five
(16:23):
rounds later and he's you know, look, the batting average
might be lower than madd Olson to forty hitter, but
what are you expecting how hoskinst home runs, good County stats,
obviously gets on base, good ballparks to hidden So maybe
this is a fallacy of mine, and only time will tell.
But I've basically been pivoting away from any hitters in
the early rounds that only give you power and nothing else.
(16:46):
I mean, look at the bus that I've called out
so far, Aaron Judge, I'm not on Peter Alonso. I'll
tell you why I'm not on him, for basically the
same reasons I'm telling you probably not gonna draft Matt Olson.
I just want to get batting average at least or
stolen bases in those early rounds. And I think that
Anthony Rizle is probably gonna hit two AD plus. I
think that Jose Bray is probably gonna hit two ad
plus ad. Olson is great. He might hit fifty home
(17:07):
runs this season, but he's probably not gonna hit more
than two fifty. If we're just being honest. So guy
has struggled against left handed pitching. He has struggled to
hit in oco as well. What I will say about
about Matt Olson greg is that his stack cast page
is just ridiculous. It's like Cody Balinger. It's like Cody
Balinger light. It's there's red everywhere, which is a good thing.
He was percentile or better in barrel percentage, average, eggs velocity,
(17:31):
expected slugging percentage last year and hard contact right and
that was coming back from a hammate bone injury, which
just crazy, like you don't normally see stuff like that.
Matt Olsen has ridiculous power, awesome batting stance as well,
where he just like holds the bat out here like crazy,
good mine up to hit him. Obviously not a great ballpark, Craig.
I think he hits between two fifty and two sixty
conservatively project forty home runs. It wouldn't surprise me if
(17:54):
he approaches fifty. He has that type of power. So
this doesn't contribute batting average, which is why have him six.
And I understand that, but I have to ask for
anyone who wants Peter Alonzo out there, just take Matt
Olson three rounds later. That was literally the question I
was about to ask you. It's not three rounds so
much anymore though. So that Olson is fifty two in
(18:15):
the NFBC O the past two weeks, um Peter Alons
is thirty one. So it's around and a half or
two questions will just take Matt Olsen two rounds later.
The stack has numbers, the power. The power numbers are
actually better for Matt Olson in than they are for
and if he can get the average out, you're talking
(18:36):
about Reese Hoskins five rounds later in a lonest thing,
the same kind of thing. Yes, So the thing is Greg,
am I doing that too much? Am I taking that
too far? Because what happens? All right? You say, all right,
well I wanted Peter Alonso, but you're right, Frank, I
can wait. I can get medalson Oh crap, someone took
medalson out from under me. Next thing, you know, I
missed out and Reese Hoskins. If you just keep thinking like, oh,
(18:58):
I can wait and get someone that's similar, haven't, eventually
you might not get that player. I haven't answered that
one to what happened to be missed out on him? Greg? Way,
So when the first basin you missed out on that
you probably won't miss then then it's your fault. That's
probably Christian Walker. But I do like I Met, I
like Madelson, but probably more so and and uh points
(19:18):
leeg just because you don't have to worry about the batting.
So I'm gonna go back to the same question that
we keep going when we keep trying to tackle and
you you name some of the players that we kind
of have in our heads of this auction, and they're
all really very solid guys. I like where heads are at.
Where are you finding speed? Like the guys that we
have have oh speed. So last year in the NFBC
(19:39):
main event, I wound up drafting de Gordon for speed
and that didn't work out. He had a terrible season.
And you've heard people kind of caution you about this
in the past, and I basically had to live through
it myself to learn my lesson. I don't like taking
the players that you expect outside of a trade turner.
I don't mind taking trade turner that you expect to
give you thirty five plus stolen basis. I like taking
(20:00):
the guys that just chip away. Greg felve to fifteen
here twelve to fifteen. There, maybe get a guy who
gives you a twenty to twenty five, someone like an
Oscar Mercado or a Victor Roblos who can give you thirty.
Like one of those guys down what Oscar Mercado Victor Robis?
I mean, I have mental notes in my mind down
because you really follow the notes in the draft. All right,
I will, I will write down the names. But a
(20:21):
lot of my draft so far, Greg, have been just
chipping away, a lot of Haavier Bios shares Manny Machado
eight to ten stolen bases, maybe like a Tim Anderson
close to twenty stolen basis, someone like that. I'm just
chipping away. I don't want the Malix Smith's I don't want.
I don't mind a Jonathan VR, but he's not really
a target of mine. I we went over our second
basis in shortstop ranks, Greg, I would rather have Asilbi's
(20:44):
chipping away fifteen and twenty stolen basis, Kessen Heira twelve
to fifteen stolen bases. Just get a bunch of these guys,
and then at the end of your draft you look
up and you realize, oh, well, I got six or
seven of these guys, I'm projected for a hundred stolen
basis and that's perfectly fine. You can compete with that,
all right. I just wanna remember, like we need that
category at some point. No, you're right, because all the
(21:04):
players so far that I'm looking at the list right now,
we don't have much speed on This is usually, like
you know your side of things. It's a fair question,
and you're not gonna get it at the first base
position unless you draft like Danny Santana or Julie Gurrel,
who will give you like maybe five to eight. So well,
you mentioned stolen basis at first base. I think it's
(21:24):
a good time to talk about Paul Goldsman because for
years Paul Goldschmidt was a crazy thirty stolen base threat
at the first base spot. You're like, oh my god,
this is a guy that literally go thirty thirty at
first base. That was crazy. Now you expect that a
really big year in his first year in St. Louis.
You don't really get it. Although the second half way
better than this first half. I have Paul Goldmate rank
is my eighth ranth first baseman. Are you backing on
(21:47):
Goldie or you like, I think he's on the wrong
side of his career here on out. Yeah, so Paul
Goldschmith falls into the Chris Bryant and Josel two Bay category.
For me, Greg, I'm not gonna have any shares of
Paul Goldschmith this season. I have him down at my
as my tenth first baseman as anah, it's not no,
it's nothing egregious by any means. But it was a
solid season with St. Louis. We saw the batting average
(22:10):
dip all the way down to two sixty Was he
expecting average? What I don't like It was only two
sixty two, So it's not really like you know, he
was on lucky last year. We could expect some positive
regression in the batting average department. What I really don't like, Greg,
is it's two years in a row now that we've
seen the plate discipline start to slit or Paul gold Schmidt. Uh.
The K percentage up over two years in a row
(22:33):
is eleven percent walk rate, which is still really good.
I understand that if you play an O B P
or in a point's league, I think Paul Goldschman is
still a fine, viable first baseman. There's nothing wrong with him.
But his eleven percent walk rate is the lowest it's
been since His thirty one percent chase rate last year
was the highest of his career. Eleven percent swinging strike
rate the highest since his rookie season. So to see
(22:53):
the plate discipline starting to slip a little bit, Greg,
I don't think that the Cardinals have a great lineup.
And I look into his op yes by month, Greg,
I do league average ops. It's like seven fifty eight
is ops by month last year seven fifty three, eight
three one thousand eight five, seven oh five and nine three.
There were four months last year out of a six
(23:15):
month season where Paul Goldschmidt was worse than a league
average player. I'm not in in a road league. Though
he did have over thirty runs for the thirty consecutive year,
four out of five years. He did have closal hundred
run scored close to the hundred RBI. When it was
all said and done, Yeah, he's he's not gonna steal anymore.
He's just no, no, no, I mean the soul and
basis just continue to decline. Thy een to seven to three,
(23:37):
maybe he gives you three to five, but I mean
it's anymore. Can we see the county stats starts to
come back even a little bit more In that line
of Greg, I don't think that the Cardinals have a
very good line up. They lost Marcelo Zuna, remember, so
I think it was really it was really interesting. Is
the two years nineteen, they're the same. The only difference
is the average went down, and that points the play
(23:58):
discipline that you pointed out a few moments ago. I
think what you're seeing is what you get from Paul
gold Trade at most. I don't think you see anything increase.
I think it's only what if the average continues a
little bit more, if it goes down to fifth and
will say his babvit was around three hundreds. Traditionally it's
been around three forty. Like he's a career three forty
eight Gavitt, So it was he was unlucky last year
in that regard. But I don't think you're gonna see
(24:20):
the two three hundred player anymore. You're gonna be closer
to three sixty. And again, this type of the numbers
are fine. From the first page. He's fine. He's a
fine option at first, that's what he is. But he
just don't expect upside exactly. We just talked about Matt
Olson and missing out on him and missing out Peter
Alonzo all was fine in that regard with Reese Hoskins
and those types of players. He's not a superstar anymore.
(24:41):
And that's the deal. I want to be the next
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(25:02):
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dunk to learn more. Really said, Hey, you don't get
(25:24):
Peter Alonzo. You can go this way. And Peter Alonzo
is not an active target of hours get all those
over runs. Last year. He was an amazing last year
in his rookie season for the Mats, and maybe he
is just as goodness second year. But we didn't expect
some regression here, Um, Frank, why don't take a few
minutes to spend on Peter Alonzo. Yeah. Look, it's very
similar to the what we said about Matt Olson. Now
(25:45):
you can just get him a little bit later on.
And look, if you expect Pete Alonso to come close
to hitting fifty home runs again this upcoming season, then
you should be drafting him. But I think anyone who
realistically does projections probably has him in the forty the
low forties range this upcoming season, which is still really good.
But what I had to say about what he did
last year, Greg is that his nine point six mile
(26:06):
per hour average exit velocity was in the seventy eight
percentile in baseball That ranked fifty third among qualified hitters
last year. So he doesn't hit the ball nearly as
hard as some of the other big name sluggers in
the league. Guys like Aaron Judge mcguilson, No Nelson Cruz,
frand Milrays. All those guys hit the ball way harder
than Pete Alonso consistently. Uh And his slugging percentage in
(26:28):
the second half last year, Greg dropped from six thirty
four to five two. Obviously, it was his rookie season, right, like,
we couldn't expect him to keep up at six thirty
four slugging percentage for the entirety of the season. I
get that, but I just think that you could get
similar production out of players later on in the draft
and it wouldn't even surprise me if Madelson outproduces Pete
(26:48):
Alonso this year, Greg, and you're getting him two rounds later.
So just realize, if you take Pete Alonso in that
second third round range, you were passing up on some
serious talent guys like Llwing, Marte Javier Bias, who we've
just seen do it for longer. Um position scarcity, second
base category scarcity, you know, Soulen Basis batting average early
(27:10):
on in your draft as well. You're passing up on
all that to get a great three category player, own runs,
runs in RBIs. But realize he's gonna give you nothing
in batting average and nothing in stolen bases, and it's
really hard to make up those categories in the mid
rounds Craig, Yeah, it's it's hard. As you said, it's
been an early round pick and not get the categories
that you need and make up for what Peter Pete
(27:30):
Alonso gives you. I think at the home run home runs,
are you gonna find ultimately with all the players we
have named throughout today's show, you're going to find it.
Peter Allows as amazing as he is, Frankie as his
deficiencies being of home runs, your boy, there's venture. You
could say nothing, a lot of things about him, but
(27:50):
he nowled Josh Bell. Last year. He absolutely destroyed this
one with Josh Bell. He's my number nine ranks, third
first baseman because the only other good player in his
lineup is not Kevin Newman, It's Brian Reynolds Safari Planet.
Josh Bell had an awesome year last year. I know
he struggled, uh towards the second half. He's not active
(28:14):
target yours this year despite the breakout last year. Yeah,
I think I think he is a fallback option that
you can actually get later than Paul gold Schmidt. Right,
So we called Paul gold Schmidt a fallback option and
he goes in the fifth, sixth round, and you know,
Josh Bell, you can get a round or two even
later than Paul gold Schmidt. You know, I think he
is kind of the cliff right where the tear ends
for with Josh Bell and then the next tear starts
(28:36):
with Reese Hoskins, and he's fine, but obviously gonna hurt
your batting average a lot more than someone like Josh Bell,
who I think can hit, you know, around two seventy
two seventy five. Last year, Greg was the tale of
three seasons. Obviously, he got off to that phenomenal start
from March through May he hit three forty three with
eighteen home runs and ops over eleven hundred. June and July,
(28:57):
Greg two months been hit two thirds team with nine
home runs and a seven s S O p S.
So really struggled there in the middle part of the season,
and then August and September kind of turned it back
on to batting average not great, but fine. Ten home
runs with an OPS of eight, which that is pretty good.
He claims that throughout the course of the season he
(29:18):
went from sinking up fastballs Greg to sinking up breaking balls.
And here's a quote from Josh Bell, I feel like,
if you're not sinking up to the fastballs, you can't
hit either. Well, once I started focusing more and more
on all speed pitches, it just went down hill for
me for a stretch of time. So it seems like
he was focusing so much on trying to hit breaking
pitches that he was then late on fastballs and vice versa,
(29:41):
and he was just getting completely messed up. So obviously
Pictures made an adjustment to him. Will Josh Bell be
able to make the adjustment back? That's why I do
have some pause. He did some really nice things last year.
He hit the ball extremely hard, average eggs of LOSSI
percentile in baseball last year. And he's someone who he
said for years Greg that if he would lift the ball,
(30:04):
he would hit more home runs, like we said about
Christian Yellish and a lot of players. He's obviously very
strong human being. He's a big boy um and he
started lifting the ball last year. So he has to
maintain just a lot of the strides that he made
last year, and I'm just a little skeptical that he'll
be able to maintain all of them. I still think
he can be solid to seventy thirty home runs, eight runs,
(30:29):
nine d R B I s. It's not a great
line up. The Pittsburgh Pirates do not have a great lineup.
It's not a great um ballparks hit and either he's
actually much better in O BP and head to head points.
He's Greg he has a great eye at the plate,
great walk great. Maybe I'm wrong about Josh Bell. Maybe
he just picks up exactly where he left off last
year and you know, continues to get even better. But
he made so many strides last year, I'm just a
(30:50):
little skeptical that he'll be able to pick up all
of those once again. I think he'll be solid, but
again just not an active target of mine. Yeah, and
that's fair. I think he's part of this first based
crew that I feel comfortable drafting. I think he said
he's gonna be solid. Maybe he doesn't give you what
he gave you for a lot of the year last year.
Even if he does kind of bounce back in the
(31:12):
performance that we saw, I'm fine with him. And it's
only like I said, that's the word right for him
and Goldsmith? Fine, Yeah, you're fine, Yeah, I am. I am.
Are you finally a boomoo Mancini? Well, he's another one too. Man.
Is he going to be able to keep up the
career year that he had last year? Obviously, great ballparks
hidden in came to yards and great division to hidden
(31:34):
You're Austin has will be there at some point. Frank
Austin Hayes is gonna be their opening day gress. That's right, gratulations.
I love Austin Hays too. Reserve rounds fifth olfielder, young
guy on the fifth halfialder all right, he's a backup
to our other fifth outfielder, which remains to be named
right now, we will not reveal that information. Who is it?
I'll text check e chat. But tree Mancini last year,
(31:57):
much like Josh Bell, someone who started to lift the
ball us here Greg for a long time. He hits
the ball hard, but always hit the ball in the ground,
started hitting more line drives. Last year. The fly ball
rate went up to thirty one percent, which is still
not great, but it's great compared to where he was
at uh in in past years. So he's a lot
like Josh Bell. I have him ranked in the tier
below him. I have Trey Mancini at fourteen, so I
(32:19):
have him just behind Reese Hoskins, Miguel Sino, and Julie Guriel.
I just think a lot went right for tray Mancini
last year. I think the home runs take a little
bit of a step back. I don't think he comes
close to thirty five again. I think he's probably. Yeah.
I think he's you know, late twenties and home runs, solid,
batting average like at two seventy to eighty hitter and
(32:42):
however you want to project the counting stats for him,
it's the Baltimore Orioles. It's not a great lineup. Look
around him. Austin Hayes, Bernado nun Yez, Anthony Santander crushed Davis,
the wrong crush Davis by the way, maybe you get
eight runs a d r b S. I just worry
about the line up around him. Greg, He's fine. He's
also like Josh Bell and Paul Voltchman, just a tier lower.
(33:05):
I think I'm a little bit really a target of mine.
I think I'm a little bit higher on train than
than you are. Actually it's just context, you know, I
understand the team context. But I think if you look
what he's literally done in the last three years. Yes,
the home runs arout thirty five, that's too high. He's
probably closer in between twenty five and thirty. But he
gave you those home runs every n I think the
I think the average is closer to what you saw
(33:25):
two in the last three years, around that to ninety number.
I think that what you saw Adam train Mancini outside
of all of the all of those home runs, I
think it's pretty legitimate. Man. What I will say about
Trey Mancini is if you are somebody who buys into
what he did last year, then he is an absolute
bargain for you, and you should be in on him
and on him, you know, either a late first baseman
(33:47):
or a corner infielder, or utility about whatever it might be.
If you buy what he did last year and you
think he hits around to nine once again, and you know,
approaches thirty home runs, and if he does all that,
you know maybe the counting stats are actually all right
in that ballpark, then he is a value for you.
The thing is, I don't think that he gets to
those numbers specifically, Greg No, man. I think it's closer
(34:07):
than than you might realize or you might believe. I
shouldn't say realize. You might believe Andre Mazzine a little
bit higher on him, which is why I have him
at number ten. For me. We're talking about Max Monsey
a lot on the show I Want to Move Faster, Dad.
We talking about the girls. You know, I didn't even
rank it as the first basement. We talked about him
a lot. You will have first based eligibility early in
the season, so we talked about him a lot. When
we move over with some guys, he's the best. Think
(34:28):
he's just tough to um. Even though Carlo Santana he
was awesome last year. He's another one like Trey Mancini,
right coming off the career year, and carl Santana is
a little bit older as well, so you know he
has the breakout year. How old is he Greg if
you have that information, he's like thirty two thirty three
years old. So it's just a weird time to be
(34:48):
coming off a career year for Carlos Santana last year,
which included him hitting two eight one, thirty four home runs,
a hundred and ten runs scores, and eight and ninety
three RB. I s he is he will be thirty
four years old. Thirty four years old, much better in
points leagues. Look if you can get this guy in
a points league at a discount, because people see the
(35:09):
name and they're reacting exactly how I'm reacting right now, like, oh,
I don't want Carlos Santana. He is so great and
points league put this in perspective, he was the seventh
ranked first baseman in ROTO still really good. Last year
number four, he was the fourth best first baseman in
head to head points leagues, and he basically does that consistently. Greg.
He walks a ton, he has great play discipline. He's
(35:30):
awesome for O B P leagues as well. His second
half came back to a little bit. In the second half, Greg,
we saw the batting average drop a little bit. Two
sixty two eight fifty five ops. Still really good um
to sixty eight expected batting average last year behind the
entire career to fifty career hitter expected. That's awesome. I
(35:54):
will say, like, where are he's going. It's fine, it's
awesome in a points league, But Greg, do you them
as your starting first basement in a ROTO league? Ideally not.
But it really excels nowhere, at least when you talk
about Peter Anso and those guys, like they're gonna excel
in path uns. Ye, it wouldn't surprise you if Carl
Santana hits two fifty six home runs, eighty five runs
(36:16):
and eighty five r b i's and nothing else, Like, yes,
he doesn't do anything else. It would because if he
does that, the average is be lowers should be close.
It's true, right, he's great and points leaves. I'm not drafting.
I love you, Carlos Santana. I always will man other
first basement, I have we look like Julie Guriel before.
(36:37):
I like Julie Guriel. I think he's I think he's
a good player. How much do you buy into the
power of Greg just Ball? Where would you set the
over under for home runs? Last year he had thirty one,
which was by far career high runs. Have a projection
written down here with twenty two you can be under,
(36:57):
but also with to nine batting average and eighty five
ribies look at for average? Are we not very good?
Do you find power? He is a fallback option at
first base who gives you batting average, which you cannot
say about a lot of players in this range. Great
speak of guys will not give you batting average. Look
about the power guys, Eddie Luke, Voyd, Christian Walka on
the ground. I want to light the lamp on draft
(37:20):
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(37:43):
That's promo code action for a ten percent discount. Alright, fine,
a few minutes your program. First Base Preview. He's frank
I'm Greg. Thanks for joining us year today. Craggy Reese Hoskins.
I realized talk a lot about him this spring, because well,
(38:06):
I like Reese Hoskins a lot. So Franklin, why are
you now backing off oh Man a little bit? I
don't want to worry too much about spring training, but
based on how he end of the year, Greg second
half hit one eight, which was the lowest qualified batting
average for any hitter last year. In the second half
of the season, it was not good bad. A lot
(38:27):
of strikeouts and Reese Hoskins trying to hit the ball
in the air too much. Seems like he's kind of
selling out for home runs. And so far here in
the spring he has a swing adjustment. Greg he has
a new swing, and he is three for seventeen with
nine strikeouts. So I don't want to put too much
stock into spring training, but based on the second half
that he had last year, I would have liked to
see something out of Reese Hoskins here throughout spring. But Greg,
(38:51):
if he can come anywhere close to the first half
that he had last year, if he can repeat that
for a full season, then he's absolutely a seal right now,
because everyone's looking at the second half and I get it.
But in the first half of the season, Greg, he
hit to sixty three with a four oh one on
base percentage and a five thirty slug with twenty home
runs and fifty nine r b i s in the
(39:12):
first half of the season, obviously mentioned. The second half,
his fly ball rate balloon to fifty two percent. Greg,
I mean, he was basically it wasn't even three true outcomes.
It was walk, strike out, or flyout. It wasn't even
home runs because he was just you know, the launch
angle was too high. He was trying too hard to
hit home runs. So he just has to go back
to doing what he does best, try to hit more
(39:33):
line drives again, lower that launch angle. A little bit
because he's trying too hard to lift the ball. His
launch angle last year was number one in all of baseball,
so again just trying too hard to lift there. And
if he does that, I think he hit two to
fifty thirty five home runs. Really good counting stats because
obviously gets on base a lot. Greg a fifteen percent
walk right over the past three seasons. That is sixth
(39:55):
best in baseball. He's better in ov P leagues, better
in points leagues because of the on base per centage
UH and the walks obviously, but I think you know,
comparable numbers once again to him Matt Olsen, not the
same type of upside, but runs eighty five plus runs
close to a hundred ribbies, really good lineup, really good ballpark.
All that is true, he plays every day. The vatting
(40:17):
average has to bounce back a little bit here, man.
I think it has to. He's not hitter, right. I mean,
if he continues to strike out as much as he
does and only hit five balls, Greg, then is and
it might, right, it might stay at around to twenty.
That's the risk of riees Hoskins. You're absolutely right, going
down a little bit further a lot further. In this case,
(40:39):
we get to Edwin and Carnassium, who is in the
same guy for the last decade. Right, He's a guy
that average is not going to be great, but he's
gonna hit a ton of power. Last year for the
Yankees and for the Marriage bed at four thirty four bombs,
eight sixbies, eighty one runs scored, played in just a
hundred and nine games and still giving thirty four on runs.
(41:01):
He's hit thirty home runs at least every years twelve
rank pretty good. I get it, he's like forty. He's
thirty seven years old. But much like Nelson Cruise are
we spoken about there's really no sign up slowing down
here in the juice ball. Yeah, helping at thirty four
and just a hundred and nine games. This is a
guy that has legitimate forty home run power that's going
way later. So I have to ask why are we
(41:23):
wasting and not wasting? But why are we having a
draft pick on Matt Olson when way later and when
at Carnacion he gets similar numbers. It's a fair question,
and there's obviously more downside to Encarnacion at his age
of thirty seven years old. There's obviously injury risk as well.
He hasn't played much here in spring training and only
played a hundred and nine games last year. So the
obvious answer, Greg is there's more downside than someone like
(41:46):
Matt Olson, who is much younger and you know obviously
could be due for a career year this upcoming season.
But I'm with you, I think another fallback option at
first base. If you want power and someone who is
obviously going hurt your batting average, then why not just
wait on someone like Incarnacion, who I think is gonna
hit around thirty five home runs, He's gonna drive in
(42:06):
probably close to a hundred. Because that White Sox lineup again,
Jose A brave Mankada, Tim Anderson, Eloy Jimenez, Incarnacion is
going to be in the middle of all of that.
It's just a matter of how healthy can he be.
And for anyone who thinks that, you know, it was
just all aided by Yankee Stadium last year. He was
actually better with the Mariners than he was with the Yankees.
He hit twenty one home runs in sixty five games
(42:29):
with the Seattle Mariners last year, uh and actually had
a higher home run to fly ball ratio with them.
A higher isolated power with the Mariners last year, and
he still walks a ton as well. So even if
you're playing O B P or in a points league,
I don't mind Incarnacion. You just have to bake in
that he's probably gonna miss at least thirty games, Greig.
And that's the downside to Incarnacio. Okay, but where you're
(42:50):
getting him, he was fine. He's going later than anyone
we've talked about yet. And there's so much And where
do you have him? Because I have him at I
haven't met sixteen fourteen. But there's just a few players
that you don't include in the ranks, right like well Mayhew, Okay,
we probably haven't been a similar spot. Yeah, we probably
probably Ultimately you have him behind Mancinia Julie gae Um.
(43:14):
I mentioned a couple of times on the show Christian
Walker and Luke Voit, which one of those two players
you'd rather have? So I actually have these guys back
to back and they start off the next here for me,
really guys that I'd rather have as corner infielders than
starting first baseman. And I do have Christian Walker one
spot higher. Christan Walker is someone who last year Greg
look at the stat cast numbers, I mean, everything just
pops off the page for Christian Walker last year. Uh,
(43:35):
and he is somebody that for years we didn't know
if he was just like a Quad A players. He's
someone that just dominates Triple A. But he had twenty
nine home runs in a hundred and fifty two games,
ninety one mile per hour average eggs of velocity eighty
five percentile, thirteen point one percent, barrel rate ninety percentile
last year in his career in the minors, hit ter
(43:58):
eight thirty nine o p s. I mean, I think
that there's a lot to like about Christian Walker, and
I think, frankly, greg he's just a little bit safer
in terms of injuries than someone like Luke Voit. Luke
Void might have higher upside because obviously Yankee Stadium and
hitting in that lineup, but remember Luke Voit is coming
off of core surgery. Christian Walker did stay healthy four
and fifty two games last year, and it's a solid
(44:19):
lineup out there in Arizona, and he projects a hit
right in the middle of it as well. So I
think someone who can hit to fifty home runs, I
think that's fair from Christian Walker. I think everything you're saying,
and it also described Luke Voit like every like literally
that entire stat lit we just saw for Christian Walker.
It could happen, and the upside is higher for Luke Void. Agree.
I'm not going to dispute that his swing is built
(44:39):
for Yankee Stadius. He can go the opposite way. He
hits a ton of line drives. I just think that
there's more downside there because of the injury risk, all right,
that I'd rather just take the upside, especially at this
corner infield spot, especially at this price. Give me the
higher upside with Lukevoi than Christian Walker. He's a good person. Nah,
I trust Christian Walker more. You shouldn't. All right, let's
(45:01):
move on. There's nobody else I really like to be
with you. There's no other first patients that I like
at all Right, tell us about Danny Santana none is
eligibility everywhere starting center fielder for the Texas Rangers, and asked,
I know that's it should be utility guy Sanna's every
day center fielders. We want to talk about Eric Cosmer.
(45:22):
Greig was actually up because he stinks and don't draft him.
All right? Moving on, I got him as my corner
infielder in the Great Fantasy Base Team League. Why he's fine, Greg,
What does he do that is the key word here?
What does he do well? Fine? R B I last year,
everybody's like these days, right, do they? He's hitting in
the middle of the lineup that a lot of people
(45:43):
like stinks. He's just fine. It's twenty two homers of
the juice ball. He's been playing every day because it's
too many groundballs. He's the next one man. I will
say this about Hosmer. If he's six percent groundholen the
six percent. We've seen other guys that have that were
stubborn about this in the past. Change He's like, if
he lowers it, if he lowers it the fiftent. If
(46:05):
he just lowers it the fifty percent, and he's a
twenty five home run hitter with likely to seventy batting average,
you know the last you're the last time his granda
probably never never, fifty six percent was down from the
year prior. Hit a lot of groundball Team League. No,
(46:29):
he is fine as a corner He's not. I just
agree he's bad. We're not drafting him. Cut him off.
You don't have to thought, Sep, do you realize how
the auction between Greg Sausman and myself has clearly become
a dictatorship? I disagree. Why did you all of a
sudden cross him off the list? We don't we only
need fun players. Greg's idea. You know what was a
fun player last year? Ramo Loriano? Greg? What happened there?
(46:51):
You didn't want Romo Loriana Ramono Lorianna didn't say who's
the same one? Who I'm gonna say? You know he's
this year's Mauriceo Dubon Watch Dubons gonna have a great year.
Who's very I don't even know what team he plays for?
They don't. I still don't remember San Francisco Giants, Gregg,
I don't think you want many giants, Greg, Who would
you rather take? Last question regarding Eric Cosmer Osmer or
(47:14):
Daniel Murphy? I don't have Daniel Murphys in Colorado. Hey
doesn't play against left handed pitching. I'd rather than Daniel
Murphy in Colorado. You would who'd rather have Eric Hosmer
or Will Myers? Greg would rather have Daniel Murphy than
Eric Cosmos. Yes, and he says no to every other
boring player that I bring up here on you know,
I have Daniel Murphy at like thirteen home runs. I
(47:36):
do have Eric Cosmy. You said Eric Cosmer was bad
and the Juice Ball year because he had twenty two runs.
Murphy in Colorado twelve home runs. So you know, I
answered that with Eric Cosmers my eighteenth rank first baseman,
and Daniel Murphy it's twenty two. So I would rather
Erica have Erick Cosmer reg higher than I do. Well,
let's be fair, I don't have cree guys in you.
(47:58):
So in the Great Fantasy Basic Mo Invitational, I was
debating between Eric Hosmer and Dania Murphy. What what about
the other guys like has Aguilar Justin No, I like
Justin Smoke, I'm not I'm not doing the haz Justin
Smoke in Milwaukee said he gonna play every day or
they might he might play every day. It seems like
(48:18):
he's gonna play every day with the Milwaukee Brewers that
they're going to kind of split time in the outfield
with Ryan Braun and Visa Garcia your boy, which doesn't
bode well for Evil Garcia obviously, but you know, look
that's what they're saying now, there's still a chance, you know,
maybe against left handed pitching. They use Ryan Brown at
first base and they use Garcia in the outfield. But
(48:39):
I think Justin Smoke obviously going over to Miller Park,
a ballpark that is so conducive to power for left
handed batters. And yes, Justin Smoke is a switch hitter,
but most of his power comes from the left hand side. Um, look,
we're just talking about Christian Walker hitting two fifty with
thirty home runs. Justin Smoke might be able to do
that and you get them like a hundred picks later.
So as a fallback corner infielder, Greg, if you want
(49:00):
to put him on the list for auction, I have
no problems with Justin Smoke, no issue with Justin I'd
rather have c J. Crown over both. But I like C. C.
Moore as well. I just changed rings because I had
Smoke once spy higher. Now I have c J. Crown
at twenty three and Justin Smoke at twenty four, and
let move Justin Smoke up. C J. Cron By the way,
(49:22):
before we on the show, fifty five one runs over
the last two seasons, hit twenty five last year and
only twenty five games and was six in baseball in
barrel percentage. He's gonna play every day with the Detroit Tigers.
As long as he's with the Detroit Tigers, We'll see
what happens with c. J. Crow. Tomorrow, we wrap up
the week with our Catcher Report. Good Times, I will
do utility players to Elsie Cruz, Miguel Andohart Just Davis
(49:44):
with k Let's go growls up next with it all
Gonnamorrow we go. Are you ready for the nation's first
and only, free, twenty four hour network dedicated to you,
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you with a real time content, statistics and gaming intelligence
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