Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
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(00:38):
Yeah right now, as welcome your host by rights that
(01:00):
spun fine guy Brobran stand ball, ladies and gentlemen yours.
(01:21):
With that, we will get your inside of studio of
thirty four. This is the b f FS. He is
Frank stamfle I am Greg Sauceman. What's happening, Frankie? Great?
Happy Thursday, Happy Thursday, Thirsty Thursday to you, budd. I
sleep about drinking a beer or oh yeah, me too? Nice?
How about that? How about that? Let make it happen?
What's going on? How's your Thursday? I just sleep last night?
(01:43):
You know what. I trouble sleeping last night, but for
good reasons, because you were struggling with your outfield ranking. Nope,
all right, I could not fall asleep last night because
I was on a high from your Maryland terravants, Frank
Sea come up that sewn Shan Shan come up to
do the first second? How about that ending? Let's talk
(02:04):
some college pass. Was that not amazing? Yeah? Fantastic, fantastyan Yes,
oh my god. Down sixty points at halftime, seventeen points
with forty seconds left to go in the first half. Maryland,
despite horrific referees, despite horrific play. Marilyn gerffans find a
way to do it. Man, it was Oh my god.
(02:25):
That was a getting it done in the best conference
in America, best conference in America. I'm excited. Uh, Sean,
we are what we're like a week away, two weeks
away now from Maryland Michigan here. I know that's gonna
be fun. It's gonna be a good one in college.
That's that's what worries me. That's the issue for you
at absolutely all right, Uh, no more Maryland talking. I'm
(02:47):
just answering Frank's question because that's why couldn't I sleep
because I was watching Maryland. They're champions, baby, more game
away from me, the Big Ten champs. We'll see what happens.
Will they rank when do we come back? The out
feel the rankings begin. But first, here's your update from
Alex Pasana. I am Alex Pasana with your sports grid
(03:18):
news update here on the fantasy b f f's. In
Major League Baseball, the Boston Red Sox left hander Chris
Sale will start the season on the injured list. Manager
Ron Rennicky said on Thursday, Sale, who reported to camp
with pneumonia, is behind schedule. He will be placed on
a fifteen day injured list and will remain in Fort
Myers for extended spring training when the team breaks camp.
(03:40):
This a quote from quote from Rennicky. With the sickness,
it cost him two weeks time, and that two weeks
is what we'd like to give him to make sure
that he's right. He's worked hard on getting his arm right,
and we didn't think four starts in spring training was
fair to him. Sale also ended last season on the
injured list. Some quick notes out of Major League Baseball,
Outfielder Max Kepler for the Minnesota Twins is expected to
(04:01):
make his spring debut Friday against the Red Sox. Also
in Major League Baseball, Salvador Perez, the catcher for the
Kansas City Royals, will bat third as the d H.
He will not be catching in today's matchup. Also, Laurentzo
Cane will be making his Cactus League debut. The outfielder
for the Brewers will play center field and bat leadoff
in today's matchup for the Brewers. Also for and in
(04:23):
the NBA, Let's go to Joel and beat where he
has injured. Well, that's his shoulder and beat The Sixers
center exited the game last night against Cleveland Cavaliers in
the first quarter and was ruled out with the shoulder
spring and m r I revealed today that he has
showed sprained his shoulder and no update yet as to
the timetable. Here's a quote from Sixers coach Brett Brown saying,
(04:45):
I feel like when you don't have Joel and you
don't have Ben, it's an opportunity for others to put
their hand up and declare this is who we are.
It is who we are. He's obviously referring to the
All Stars guard Ben Simmons, who missed his second straight
game because of nerve impingement in his lower back. So
now they are without Ben Simmons and Joe l em beat.
You've got a full slate of games of NBA, NHL,
(05:05):
and college hoops tonight, let's look at the National Hockey League,
because why not? Uh? The New York Islanders visiting the St.
Louis Blues. Blues your goal and a half point favorites.
The total is five and a half. Also, the Dallas
Stars visiting the Boston Bruins. Bruins your favorite. The total
is five goals and really quick one not some NBA
scut scores for tonight. The NIXT visiting the seventy six
(05:26):
ers sixers or your seven point favorites. The total is
two ten and a half. Also, the Los Angeles Lakers
visiting the Golden State Warriors. Lakers, you're tending a half
point favorites. The total is twenty two. I'm Alex Posano
and this has been your sports Grid news update. Now
back to Greg and Frank. I'm a Fantasy BFFs. Thanks
as always, Alex Passano with the news update here on
the BFFs we mentioned we're going to get into our
(05:48):
outfield rankings Part one. This is our preview here. We're
gonna go over to the top twenty outfielders in Fantasy
baseball in the season. But before we do any of that,
we are going to take a look at what drew.
What Ricky Sanders, rather Ricky Sanders of Daily Rodo had
to say with Greg Sussman earlier today on the NBA
Tip Trill, the guys at Daily Rodo Gregg had been
(06:09):
doing a phenomenal job of setting you up for success
when it comes to NBA dfs. Here's what Ricky Sanders
had to say earlier on today, wherever Joel Embiad is out,
we tell you to start out. Orford not just a bead,
It's Simmons to words, a must play as well. Orford
(06:32):
is a definition of must play tonight. Not only does
he have all the improvements that we've discussed and that
his rates are gonna go up without Joel Embiid, he's
priced under five thousand on vanduels. So I mean he
is shown to be a guy that we're willing to play,
you know, price tags into the mid sevens without Joel Embiid.
So we're obviously gonna be playing this price tag for him.
(06:53):
We're projecting him on Daily Rodo for over thirty four
minutes tonight, he used a rate about a rebound rate
over fourteen percent and assist right about without both Embid
and Ben Simmons. So this is a strong races player
across the board. This is the guy who's just way,
way way too cheap. Might be a lock button candidate
(07:13):
depending on how many lineups are playing tonight. I just
don't see a scenario which I wouldn't play Al Horford.
That salary is super low when it comes to Al
Horford forty dollars tonight over on FanDuel Greg. The Philadelphia
seventy sixers are completely banged up. No Joel Embiid, no
Ben Simmons. Al Horford should get more run. Tobias Harris
should see more work as well. I know that we
(07:33):
were trying to figure out who to pick up in
our fantasy basketball season long league, looking at guys like
fur Can Cork, maz uh and Milton. What's his first name?
I am it's fine, Shake Milton, Shake Milton. Yeah. So
the seventy sixers are banged up right now, and because
of that, you could take advantage with Al Horford in
your sex message. I think it's shake Milton. Isn't it
(07:55):
sounds right right? It's gotta be a thing. Yeah. No,
but that that price tag on alp Horford is way
too cheap yeah, it shall. Yeah, shake Milton, let's go
shake Milon. We can get him, Frank, So why are
we reading for him? It's fine, I'm using them in
dffest today. It's probably be super cheap. He certainly is.
Certainly all the Philly guys on the tables like an
have a back to back for them. We'll begin to
(08:15):
get to the outfields in a few moments, but we
wanted to start with Chris Sale, who has already been
announced gonna start on the I l h to start
the year fifteen days. As you heard from Alex a
few moments ago, he is going to begin in extended
spring training. Frank, what month is it? It is February.
It is the twenty seventh of February. So baseball officially
starts in four weeks from today, less than a twenty
(08:36):
eight days away. And they already now that Chris Sale,
dude in pneumonia. Pneumonia can't get ready in twenty eight days. Yeah,
this isn't gonna be days, right, Like you could just
Harry mull roster, let him start game two or three
or four. No no, no, no, no, no no, he's
gotta be the openy days starter. Greg the screen days
(08:57):
on the I L Chris sal Yeah. Or pneumonia or pneumonia? Yes?
Have you ever had pneumonia in your elbow? Greg? I have?
It seems like you're just smelling your arm bits. All right. Well,
I I don't know that you can smell a pneumonia, Greg,
(09:19):
but I hope you don't have one in your elbow.
Chris Tale might have one in his elbow. Look, you
can buy the pneumonia, the flu. Whatever they're saying about
Chris Sale right now, I am not. I'm allowed to
be skeptical of this, and that's exactly what I'm going
to do. Greg. He met with Dr James Andrews in
August due to uh something going on with his elbow,
and all of a sudden he's not going to be
ready for the start of the season because he's sick.
(09:41):
And especially when you look into what Ron Rennicky had
to say now the manager of the Boston Red Sox,
it was unfair to give him just four starts this spring, Greg,
in order to be ready. Well, Matthew J. Of rotal
world dot Com at this a sales number of starts
the last four springs Greig three five four two So
(10:05):
in three of the last four years, four spring starts
or less has been ample enough time for Chris Sale.
Granted he didn't get off to a great start last year.
All the other years you got he got off to
a fine start issue. So three of the last four
years having four starts or less in spring training was
enough for Chris Sale. But all of a sudden, when
Chris Sale has pneumonia, ron Rennicky says that four starts
(10:28):
is not ample time for Chris Sale. I am buying it.
I think it's a leobo. I there's something sound, something wrong.
Yesterday or two days ago, we revealed or starting pitching rankings.
Ranky and I had Chris Sale rank number fifteen. Overall.
You had him believed ten, exactly where I have dropped
him to one. So we mentioned that our top twenty
(10:51):
one pictures are basically we want two of those guys,
and that's really the cut off the top twenty one.
Those are your your your your pictures that you would
feel right with as your SP one in your SP two.
You want two of those top twenty one guys for
sale unless he falls to the fifth round, the sixth
round at Zach Ranky Range. I'm not getting involved, Greg,
because again, there are so many injuries that are gonna
(11:12):
take place throughout the course of the season. Why would
you want to start off behind the eight ball already?
Maybe if you get a Jacob Degraham or Gerrick Cole
and you just see feel really confident and you want
to take that shot on a Chris Sale at fifth
round range. Sure, anything before then, I can't see taking
him over some of these guys who are gonna start
the season healthy, like Synderguard, like Darvish, like Paddock. I'm
(11:33):
not getting involved all right out Feelers coming up next,
You're on your BFS. I want to be the next
Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk on your NBA DFS competition with
Daily Rodal dot com and dominate on fandel and DraftKings
this season. Compete with the pros with Daily Rodal dot
Com optimizer and the most accurate projections in NBA DFS,
(11:54):
plus line up alerts, breaking news, lake swap support, and
much more safe ten percent on winning m a DFS
advice with promo code Dunk. Visit dot com backslash dunk
to learn more. Back with you here on the the FFS.
(12:19):
He's frank Um Greg. These are your outfield rankings for
twenty Fantasy Baseball with a end Frank that there are
three outfielders that are going the first three picks. Their
names are Ronald Cunia, Mike Shrout, and Christian Yellows. That's
the order for me, that's the order for you. That's
the order you should have as well. Yeah, they're pretty
(12:40):
damn good, and I think you can rearrange these three
however you want to. I think you can make the argument.
Christian Yellis says that he is healthy. Of course, he
fouled the ball off of his knee last year and
fractured his knee. Cap, who was a freak injury, missed
the final month of the season and was still ridiculous.
He had thirty three home runs and thirty stolen bases
and a hunt in thirty games. Something we've always said
(13:02):
about Christian Yellois greg is that if he just started
to lift the ball a little bit, like we say
about a lot of players who just typically hit too
many ground balls, if they just lift the ball a
little bit more. He always made great contact, always hit
for a good batting average, that those doubles would turn
into home runs. And that was the case for Christian Yellich,
not only last year, but the year before that in
eighteen when he won the m v P. So if
you had any doubt on Christian Yelloich, I don't think
(13:24):
that you should. And if you think that he is healthy,
I think that you you you can argue that he
should be the number one on this list right. But
for me, I have Ronald Ducuna as my number one
just because of the difference in stolen bases. Last year
forty one home runs, thirty seven steals. I mean, that's ridiculous.
He told Ozzi Albi's he wants to go, let's do
(13:45):
nothing wrong with trying, and he legitimately Mike seven last year,
on years old, was to say that he can't get better.
He does strike out, the batting average isn't gonna be
as high as like a Mike Trout or a Christian Yelloich.
I realized that. But with this your city and stolen bases,
I am taking Ronald Kuna in a Roto league with
my first overall pick. If you're playing the Categories league, however,
(14:06):
I can see taking Mike Trout no head to head points.
I could see taking a Mike Trout or a Christian
Yellot ahead of him. Obviously. When I did the numb
one pick, I would take Gary Cole over all of them.
And if you want a hitter, I would go with
Trout or Yellow. In a head to head paints, I
know it's at the head points. I know it's had
to add categories that changes it from Rhodo. Ronald Cone
is my number one pick even a head to head points. Yeah.
(14:28):
He strikes out more than those guys. Doesn't walk as
much either. He walks a lot, just doesn't walk as
much as Trout and Yellow. He's amazing. He's amazing. Matters
more in Rhodo than anything. All right, let's move out
of the top of three after this is really not
much else that do we have to spend more time
on them? I don't know we should spend time a
number four because we disagree who goes at four? Who
goes at five? I have a four, my number four
player overall, as Mookie bets, you have Cody Bellinger. Yeah,
(14:52):
and it's just a matter of mistakes. No, it's not
a mistake. Greg. You know what a mistake is having
Trevor Bauer ranked. It's your twints. I can starting pitchers.
Now that's a huge um. Look, it's Mookie Betts is
changing leagues and he's gonna see new pitches. He's gonna dominate. Look, Greg,
we just have to split hairs here, and Kobe Bellinger
(15:14):
isn't changing teams. He's been with the Dodgers for obviously
ever in the first three seasons of his career, he
has been great, and he's one of the true five
category players being drafted in the first round. There's a
reason why he's inside. You know, this group of five
outfielders here. Thirty forty seven home runs last year, runs
hundred and fifteen ribbies. He was great against left handed
(15:36):
pitching last year, much like he was in his rookie season.
And if you want to make the argument for Mookie Betts, Greg,
I'm really not going to argue with it. The only
difference is we do have to rank these players, and
I'm splitting hairs. Mookie Betts is changing leagues and he
did see that's what we're doing, the changing league thing. Yeah,
he's gonna see new pictures that he hasn't seen before.
(15:58):
Should he likely should? Well? Well, i mean, Greg, what's
your reason for Mookie Betts over Cody Bellinger. I can
pull up fan grash my damn computtery in freezer. Someone
went the fan graphs, Frank, I have both TAM's open
for Mookie Beets and Cody Bellinger and doesn't know, and
it's like not loading. It's like enraging to me. But
I think Mookie had a down year last year, right
down at nine five three six MBP year uh the
(16:18):
year before that ope, and a down year four thirty
eight the year before. Home runs were right where they
would be. I think he steals more bases this year
for Dave Roberts and the Los Angeles Dodgers across on
top of that, When you set the over underrun stolen
basis for Mookie Betts and it's good number twenty a half,
sure you will have more. And you say he goes over,
(16:39):
you'll have more steals and Cody Bellinger, that's fair. Cody
Bellinger will have last year probably fifteen to twenty more
home runs. Okay there. I think their averages will be close.
I think the O b P will be close. I
think more RBIs for Bellinger, more runs for Mookie. It's close.
What do you want? Basically, here's the trade off. Do
(16:59):
you No, No, you're right, I didn't know you watch
a basis, Frank. You always argue about solid basis. Frank,
do you realize that? Last year in All Hours Drive?
But here's what I'm saying, all I heard was you
need power. You need power right now, I'm sorry. Don't
we always have power? You need steals, give me steals
and run scored when he steals run scored, Greg, you
can't just bring you have power and we've shot here.
All the guys you like, they don't steal basis? But
(17:21):
is not a zero in stolen basis? No, Mookie's better.
What is he gonna give you five more stone basis?
Maybe ten? Maybe ten? Yeah, I will take the five
less stolen basis. I will take the five less stolen
basis and the fifteen to twenty more home runs and
the ten less runs. Is he gonna have tenless from Yes?
How many runs with Cody balance you have? Let that's
(17:44):
pretty damn good. And you asked me how many runs
that you best that last year? That's fourteen more. That
was in the same league, on the same team that
he's always played for. Greg. It always comes down comes
back to him changing. Why don't you buy what if
he struggles a little bit though, No, seriously, like having
over to a new team, new league, he might somewhat
get off to a slow start. I'm not doubting him.
(18:05):
I'm just if we're doing Bellinger versus Bets, I will
take Blones are over Bets, Well, let me throw this
at you. Are you're gonna changing leave things? What have?
Last year was the anomaly for Cody Bellinger. Here's a
two year prior to that he bet at two sixty
there's sixty seven to sixty power four home runs or
run one year, twenty five year after that, in a
hundred and sixty two games, what have last year? Everything
(18:28):
kind of went right for him? And then listen, Cody
Bellingers awesome. And again you could you could certainly say
he's twenty four years only got better. I agree with that,
and it was plenty of hairs at four verses five.
But I'm just saying, if you're gonna get average, potentially
from Mookie Bets, who has proven in a longer way
than Cody Bellinger has, you're gonna get runs and steals
that's three compared to home run in r V. I
(18:49):
give mean Mookie Bets at four. What if I told
you Greg that Cody Bellinger hit three or five last
year and his expected batting average was three three amazing
last year. Here's unbelievable best in baseball. He was incredible.
He was number one and expected banting average he was
incredible last year. I mean number five. Flare overall? Right, Yeah,
we're spending too much time on this. If you agree
(19:09):
with Greg, take Mookie Bets. If you agree with me,
take Cody Baloncer. Also, you get positioned versatility with Cody
Balancer first base. Alright, at number six, Let's put Frank's
rankings up here on the on the screens, because I
have mine in front of me. All right, says we
both have Won Soto seven, we both have JD. Eight,
we both have Fresce Harper. Oh there you go, right nine,
we both have Starling Marte. It's kind of boring when
(19:29):
we agree on stuff. Which out of this group do
you want to talk about most? Like a lot about
j D Martinez. I don't want to do that. J
D should not be going in the secondround. I feel
like we kind of agree on a lot too. Let's
get to Bryce Harper and Starling Marte. Here because Bryce Harper,
we both feel going a little bit later than he should. Yeah,
and look with Bryce Harper, I think he got off
(19:50):
to a really slow start. You look at the first half,
the batting average was down, the strikeouts were up. That
that's the biggest key for change league. He's just changed teams.
He just changed teams. But it was the first year
of a mega contract. Both he and Manny Machado did
not live up to expectations respectfully, and I think contract
here for movie bets. There you go, Greg, this keeps
finding a random arguments. We're gonna keep going back to
(20:12):
movie bets all so long. Bryce Harper, though, in the
second half, he did cut down on the strikeouts and
he saw the batting average spike up a little bit.
It wouldn't surprise me if he gets back into the
two seventy to eighty batting average range this upcoming season.
And the stolen bases actually bounced back last year. For
Bryce Harper, I think if you're projecting him to seventy
to seventy five, forty plus home runs, really good counting
(20:33):
stats over a dreies. So if you're playing a points league,
he's gonna walk a lot. If you're playing in o
b P League. He's a borderline first round picking in
ob P league because he's gonna have an ob P
over four hundred. That's who Bryce Harper is. I think
it was the first half struggles. The strikeouts were up, Greg.
And if he can bring those strikeouts down, if he
can legit get the strikeouts back to where they were
(20:55):
three four years ago, you can see him hit three
hundred just because of his quality of contact when he
puts the ball in play. His quality of contact is
among you know, the top five ten percentile in all
of baseball. And I think we're gonna see that out
of Bryce Harper again this upcoming season. So I have
no problem where he's going in the second round. Uh.
And this goes back to what I've said all along, Greg,
(21:15):
you can take an ace in the first round because
you can get eight Martinez in the second, Bryce Harper
in the second. Those guys should not be second round picks.
They should not be around, and I understand why they
are because, like there's other players that do things that
are more scarce, right like Tevor Story and Francisco Lindor.
They're gonna steal twenty to thirty bass and Jose Ramirez
is gonna do the same thing. And you know, Bregman
(21:36):
is someone who just continues to get better and better.
There's just a lot of really good hitters and because
of that, that's why you should take a picture in
the first in the first round. I totally get that logic.
Another player that we like both at number nine inside
our top Tyler will higher on him than some others.
It's Starling Marte. We've talked about starring Marte here in
the show, but you can see the projections right below
you right now. Starring Marte in a new environment, on
(21:59):
a better team and better hitting ballpark should be in
line for a really good year as long as these
stays healthy, as long as the stage off I mean
that's the steroids, that's the biggest question mark, is stay healthy. Yeah.
So yeah, he's already had the suspension. That's worth mentioning
because he had hit with another p D suspension, Greg,
I believe it's one sixty two or is it eight?
(22:21):
Didn't he miss eight games? He missed eight, right, So
I think the second offense sixty two probably won't happen,
Probably not gonna happen. But I'm just throw it out there.
He has been suspended before. Uh, And look, you have
to imagine he's gonna miss at least fifteen to twenty
games throughout the course of the season. Last year one
thirty two. The year before that, seventeen only played seventy
seven because of the suspension. Seen he played one nine.
(22:44):
So you have to bake in he's gonna miss fifteen
to twenty games at least one Aisleston throughout the course
of the season. But Greg, all the other five true
five category players that we spoke about Trout, that's Cody,
Bellinger and Yellow. Those guys are all top five picks.
Staling Marte you get at the end of the second round,
(23:04):
the beginning of the third round, So the injury risk
is already baked into his price. He's gonna hit to
nine plus. He's a two eighties seven career hitter. The
home runs have been up the past couple of years,
twenty and twenty three. If I'm projecting him, I think
twenty is safe. I think twenty home runs is safe,
especially in a better hitting ballpark. Now I understand the
human door is out there in Arizona. It has helped
it become more of a neutral park even maybe even
(23:27):
uh favor starting pitching a little bit. But it's a
better hitter's park still than Pittsburgh is. He is in
a better lineup now. He gave you ninety seven runs
last year, eighty two Ribbies, twenty five stolen bases. Of
course he's not gonna give you the same counting stats
as you know, those top five players, those five category players.
But he hurts you nowhere except for availability. He's gonna
(23:48):
miss about twenty games about the course of the season,
but that's baked into his price correct I have acstutely
no problem where selling Marte is going this year. Somebody
that I'm in on juice ball ever helped him last year?
I think help him again? Is this the game next?
(24:10):
I want to be the next Daily Fantasy millionaire. Dunk
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(24:33):
Visit Daily Rodal dot com backslash dunk to learn more
full time fantasy. I'm happy with this. Now. Here's why
I might be slightly upset because Rivers has maybe a
two to three year window. I mean it's a small
(24:54):
window of success, right, this is you gotta get it
done now, dude. But if I'm the cold, do I
really think I can win with Jakobe for sett I
have him signed for one more year. I keep them
as the backup just in case Philip Rivers gets injured
week days two pm Eastern on the Fantasy Sports Network
and on your popular podcast providers PFF's Rocking with You
(25:17):
Outfield or addition, as we go through our rankings here, right,
we've got gotten through the top nine. Nine at nine,
that's bad. We're about halfway through the show, and we're
about halfway down on the day's program. There you go.
We're moving at a fantastic pace. That's why you are
the one and only Greg Sussman. So if you're a wrestler,
(25:40):
that's it. No, this is I think him in Creuse
Jericho when he debuted like and he goes like this, Yeah,
he used to come out with the it's like his
back like that. Yeah, breakdown the walls, break the walls down,
break the walls down. Any who, Let's just let's get back.
(26:02):
Let's keep moving. Let's let's keep a movement, which is
where we difference. Number ten, I have Aaron Judge already.
I'm sorry, very nice. Why would you do this? Number ten?
I have Aaron Judge, followed by Charlie Blackman, George Springer
in my Man Kettle Marte two Morte's inside my Top
thirteen love Kettle mort this year he is fantastic. Let's
(26:23):
pull up Frank's Top twenty here I feel out how
he differs the next few players and number ten you
have Austin Meadows. By number fourteen, then you have Charlie
Blackman and George Springer just like I do, uh, followed
by Aaron Judge. Marte is fourteen for you. So the
difference between you and I basically is Judge and Meadows here.
What are you like Austin Meadows were than Aaron Judge.
It just comes down to availability. And I understand Austin
(26:43):
Meadows has dealt with injuries in the past as well,
but yeah, I mean Aaron Judge is currently hurt Greg.
To quote Eric Young, He's currently not a baseball player.
He's throwing the ball right right right right right right
right right right right right right right right right right
right right right right right as he played a spring
training game. Greg. Now, Austin Meadows, Actually I don't know,
I know he has played a game. No, no, he did.
(27:06):
He has played a game. And Austin Meadows comes with
about the same, if not more prospected pedigree than an
Aaron Judge. He finally had the opportunity to play every
single day last year. He's gonna give you a better
batting average and Aaron Judge, he'll give you less home runs,
but he's also gonna chip in, you know, twelve to
fifteen stolen bases. And again we're talking about a true
five category player. Greg. Austin Meadows is not going to
(27:26):
hurt you anywhere. Aaron Judge probably hit two sixty five
to seventy, probably gonna miss some time throughout the course
of the season. He's dealt with oblique injuries. Now he
has the shoulder thing. He previously had surgery on his
other shoulders. So I'm just a little bit more worried
about when I am building the foundation of my team
early in drafts. I want guys that are healthy now.
(27:47):
I want guys that are going to be reliable, guys
that could potentially get better. And that's exactly what I
see in an Austin Meadows. And maybe Aaron Judge could
even get better than where he's been the past couple
of seasons, but I would need to see him on
the field first and foremost and healthy spring training before
moving him back up my rankings. I think it's clothes Greig,
but better batting average, a few more steels out of
Austin Meadows, and I think he's a player that's just
(28:07):
coming into his prime right now. He is coming into
this prime and aust Meadows is good. That's what I
haven't number fourteen for me. But while the average is
gonna be better, you are going to lose quite a
few home runs ideally, ideally, you're gonna lose quite a
few rb I you are the hard hit percentages for
Aaron Judge last year it was probably around fifty, maybe
even over fifty. Nobody hits the ball harder than Aaron Judge.
(28:30):
If that's a category in your rod to league, then
you should take Aaron Judge in the first round. Are
you doing that? You're going there, We're the target's good
at hitting the ball hard. He's gonna hitting the ball period.
He's really strikes out a lot to Greg. I mean,
he could work on the strikeout right, You know, Greg,
you gotta call you out if you're not gonna like
Frand mill Rans because he strikes out too much. You know,
(28:51):
why do you like Aaron Judge so many groundballs? Fan Mills?
That's what kills me Aran Judge ground ball, Yes, he does.
He hits a lot of line drives as well. One
thing that it will say about Judge and and he
is true to his word. He is not a home
run hitter. He is just a hitter who hits home
runs because he's massive and he's incredibly strong. So it's
seven more of a line drive hitter than anything. A
hundred games last year runs yeah years, If he plays
(29:13):
a hundred fifty plus, Aaron Judge is probably gonna hit
forty five to FIFA the first round. Back. I understand
why he goes where he goes. But again I'm putting
an emphasis on batting average in soul and basis. But
now when it comes to mookie bats, Austin Meadows is
going to have the edge there, Greg, this is crazy.
Cody Bellinger had a better batting average and mookie bats
last year. How is that anomalous? Two years prior to that,
(29:34):
He's keeps sixty. He's getting better, he's younger. Who's to
say that Cody Bellinger can't get better. Maybe Movie Beat
just passed his prime. Greg, what you're saying he passed
is that the well you want to go down? Do
you play in any hard hit percentage of leagues of Gregg?
I don't play in any hard hit percentage leaues rank.
We use it all the time to judge Jogi's outfielders players.
(29:54):
How many times can you say judge in a one
minute spand Greg judge as well. Um, we've all had
a Charlie Blackman next we're talking off the are yesterday,
I was like, I was like, I kind of like
Charlie Blackman. You're like, yeah, I get it, he's good.
He's undervalued, but I took him in the Great Fantasy
based plantation, so I do kind of like him as well.
So you were telling me, like, it's not I get
why you like him because he's under value because he
(30:14):
doesn't run anymore, so people don't like him, but he
doesn't really good average. So let's Tonnel runs and plays
half his games of course field. The problem is, if
the Rockies do wind up rebuilding this year and they
start slumping out of the gate, they could trade Charlie
Blackman get out of that contract. I don't know who
would want it, but I mean, yeah, that's the next
piece if they If they do get out of the contract,
he no longer plays half his games of course field.
And if you look at his home in Rose splits um,
(30:36):
you can ignore our Nolan Arnado's because Charlie Blackman's they're
quite stark. Yeah, looking up the splits right now here
we go greg for Charlie Blackman in his career on
the road, he is a seven forty three ops player.
Uh yeah, I mean that's not really going to get
it done with a two sixty one batting average. So
(30:56):
there's still that possibility that they trade away a Charlie Blackman.
But he's on Colorado right now, and he is my
eleventh ranked outfielder. You look at what he's done the
past couple of seasons. He has has not hit lower
than to eighty three in any season of his career.
I mean dating back to his when he was a rookie,
when he only played twenty seven games, but the past
(31:17):
couple of years three, fourteen, three, thirty one, three four.
You want someone that's going to help you in batting
average and not really hurt you anywhere else. Not gonna
give you stolen bases anymore. Maybe he'll give you a
handful of steels, but not really expecting that out of
Charlie Blackman, who he went two for seven on the
base pass last year. Still hit thirty three home runs,
Still give you a hundred and twelve runs scored, eighties,
(31:37):
six rb. I Charlie Blackman, to me, Greg, as long
as he's in Colorado, is one of the safest outfielders.
And now you're getting him fourth, maybe even in the
fifth round of a twelve teamer. I got him in
the fourth round of the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, that's
a fifteen team league. I got Charlie Blackman in the
fourth round. He should not be going in the fourth round.
He should not be. He absolutely should not be. Like
(31:57):
I said, people are done with Charlie black He took
It's they are there isn't still basic anymore. I was like, Oh,
he's old and sucks, but he doesn't. He's really good
at what he's good at, which is average of power.
He's a four category player. I mean three four thirty
two homers, a hundred and twelve runs, eighty six RBI.
Eighty six RBI is not great, but that's about what
Starring Marte is gonna give you. And he's going at
the two three turn, so it's really just stolen basis.
(32:19):
And I get that people want stolen basis. That's fine,
but Aaron Judge isn't gonna give you steals. George Springer
is going in this range. He's not gonna give you
any more steals. I mean maybe he'll give you seven
or eight steals, not much more than probably Blackman is here,
so you know he's proven he kind of is what
he is. The only reason why you would fade him
is if you think he's going to be traded, which
if that's the case, I means you're probably fading No.
One Arnado as well. I don't think they're not gonna
(32:42):
be traded, that's the thing. They also don't think they
could get out of blackness. Contracts. I don't think he's traded.
I don't. That's why point, and that's why black Man
is where he still has what three or four years left,
He's an amount of money. Yeah, black Men on number
eleven in both of our rankings. I believe next is
George Finger. Guy I was are on than you were
last year. That worked out a right even out on
(33:02):
most astros guys. Specifically we got our infield rankings, but
Bragman it out to you, but you're not super high
on those guys. George Springer inside of your top twelve. Yeah,
I don't mind George Springer and I would take him
over Aaron Judge right now. I think they do a
lot of similar things. And last year George Springer to
two batting average, and he's entering a contract year this
year as well. So look, I understand there's gonna be
(33:25):
people that say, well, I've done a study about contract
year players, and there's no such thing. I think when
it comes to these big name players who know that
they can earn huge, huge contracts, I think George Springer
is one of those people that is going to show
up this year in a contract year. I'm not worried
about the cheating scandal. I mean, this guy has been
um great for years now. Basically the past four seasons.
(33:47):
He's been, you know, a top fifty hitter in Fantasy
Baseball for each of those seasons. Thirty nine home runs,
nine runs fbies last year and only add twenty two games, Greg,
So not really gonna give you many storm basis. Maybe
I'll give you a six seven eight steals, but two
eighty batting average I think is attainable. Thirty five ish
home runs good counting stats as well, And if you
(34:08):
play in a points league, the guy had a twelve
percent walk great, He's gotten eleven percent walk great in
his career, A three six one O b P and
his career, I think, no matter what format you play
in points, roto O B peelee, whatever it might be,
George Springer is a fine pick where he's going. Much
like Blackman, it seems like he's undervalued. I agree, and
maybe it's the ask yourself that's going on. So it
was really good when he was healthy last year, and
(34:29):
he the injuries are frustrating. We kind pays right back
up where he left off after the injury. I like Springer.
I think this is a great spot to take him.
I would take Aaron Judge higher because I think the
upside is higher, pending that I want to just state
this pending that Judges is healthy right like he is
batting that shoulder injury right now. If we see him
play a bunch of spring training games and the shoulder
doesn't seem to be an issue, like, I think you'll
(34:49):
move him back up. Also, if he doesn't and it lingers,
obviously I drop him down, right, I'm not If he
doesn't play much as him training or plays a week,
I am going to drop him down. But I still
think there's plenty of time Aaron Judge to be ready.
And that's why I haven't where he is. If George
Springers stays healthy for let's say a hundred and fifty
games and has a contract, it's a lot of games
for him, dty games under forty games contract year. He
(35:12):
winds up having a career year. What does that look like?
Career year? Yeah, we're talking runs, George Springer, you're talking
l stolen bases. I'll get there. Um, I think you're
talking vs and run score probably right, that's a career year. Yeah. Well,
(35:33):
I think if everything works out, he can hit three
last year. Yeah, sure, in a career year at three times.
I don't think we're going to see that, though it
might be better than Aaron Judges, which we might have
seen his career year ready. I don't see that kind
of a year for Springer. I like a lot. He's saying,
like we have happened the same if you're projecting there
like ninety percentile outcomes, right, George Springers might be better
(35:55):
than Aaron Judges could be. It could be I still
rather and Jogjah, but both are healthy. But anyways, we're
healthy right now. By the way, almost swung out of
his shoes yesterday. Did you see that? Bring your number twelve?
For both Frank and myself. When do we come back,
We're gonna get into Kettle Marte. We're both in on
Kettle Marte this year. Who's awesome? Last year you finally
figured it out. Both in on him. And then we'll
(36:17):
get to the bottom half all of our top twenty there.
It is a whole lot to talk about there. I
want to get into Eddie Rosario. I'd like to talk
about Tommy Fan briefly, and Elo Jimenez as well. We'll
get into those four players. At least we'll come back
a little bit. It's a fantasy BFF right year on
the Sports Trade TV Network. Know, come in, share, want
(36:42):
to be the next daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk on your
NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot Com and dominate
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(37:02):
DFS advice with promo code Dunk. Visit daily dot Com
backslash Dunk to learn more. Had a lot of fun
on today's program. We want to keep going, so I
(37:24):
don't want to waste any time with uh anything. Actually,
just die right back in into kettle more Tay. We're
both you know here, he's my number thire ten believes
number FURTEENA fielders. We're both right there. We both really
like him. Canny repeat what he did last year. I
think he can, and I know that and maybe not
completely right, Like if I'm projecting him, he's not going
over thirty home runs again, I wouldn't project something like that.
(37:46):
But you look at his transformation over the years. I
mean when he came into camp last year and throughout
the course of the season, he looked jacked up. I mean,
Kettle Marte looked like someone where you know, his body
was just getting bigger. He was like progressing as a
baseball player and someone who always made a ton of contact.
Greg I mean fourteen percent k rate or less in
(38:07):
each of the past two seasons, and last year again
career year, wound up hitting three thirty thirty two home runs,
over ninety runs, over nine d R B I S,
ten stolen basis, could do a little bit of everything,
and his stack cast numbers were all career high. They
all kind of back up what he did last year.
Greg career high nine point three percent barrel rate, right
around ninety miles per hour, average exit velaci, eleven point
(38:28):
five degree launch angle, hard contact. Those were all career
highs last year for Kettle Marte. And if you were
worried about it being a fluke and well, okay, it's
a juice ball, he must have fallen off in the
second half. No ops, in the first half, Greg a
one thousand, eighty one o p s in the second
half for Kettle Marte. You want someone going in the
(38:51):
third fourth round range, was gonna hit for a good
average three, probably gonna hit twenty five home runs, give
you good counting stats either adding second or third in
that diamondback line up ten to twelve stolen basis. He
does a little bit of everything, and he doesn't hurt
you anywhere. The only reason why you wouldn't take him
is if you're skeptical of anything he did last year. Uh,
And me personally, I think you have to protect for
(39:12):
a little bit lower in almost every category that he
had last year, maybe outside of stolen basis, but even
if he's nine percent of the player that he was
last year, he's going to return value where he's going
some play levels out of here here for a moment,
you talk about things coming down a little bit in
every category across the board. Last year at thirty two
home runs, the most prior in his career was fourteen
(39:33):
year before three games. It wasn't like he didn't play
a full season anything like that. He's from fourteen to
thirty two in a single year, in less games played
all across the board, he ninety scored ninety two Rivis,
you're prior to that in more games, let's runs, let's rbs,
stolen mass fine, his average jumped seventy points from nineteen. Yes,
(39:54):
he's an improving player. Absolutely. I understand that the hard
hit percentage yet way better last season. Totally under sstand
that as well run a fly ball ratio, he was
lucky last year compared to where he has been previously
in his career. What eleven percent all of up to
nineteen last year. I think there's a lot to look
at here of Hall Martin regressing back the mean a
(40:16):
little bit. And this is this is what comes with
projecting a player who did something last season that he's
never done before. And this is the difficulty of projecting
that is how much of last year was a fluke,
how much of it was juice ball related, and you
know how much of it was him actually progressing and
getting better. And I leaned towards that because the battle
ball numbers were the best numbers of his career. The
(40:37):
stack cast numbers back up what he did. He started
lifting the ball more last year. His fly ball rate
went from eighteen to thirty four point eight, so he
was consciously trying to lift the ball. Two line drive
rate was the highest career that's gonna lend itself to
a higher babbit lend itself to a higher batting average.
In general, his expected batting average, which again is lower
(40:57):
than his three I realized that, but in lower it
then projected for three hundred. Even if you get a
three hundred hitter. I think so. I think that he
just progressed as a player, and he was someone who
did have some prospect pedigree, and they gave up a
decent amount to get him in return at the time,
to give up Jean Sigura, who was coming off I
(41:18):
believe a career year that as all right, Yeah they
got I think they traded away Jean Sigura, and I
think it was Taiwan Walker at the time. They traded
four tail traded it traded away if I remember correctly,
Jean and Mitch Hanagher for in Taiwan Walker, which I
guess was like a fair trade for both teams at
the time. But look, he was a highly regarded player
(41:40):
and he makes a lot of contact, and I understand
if people are going to be skeptical, but plays at
a thin position second base and outfield. Has that dual
position eligibility if you don't buy what he did last
year as him just progressing as a player, then I
understand why you would be off him. I tend to
lean more towards that way, and I'm not even protecting
him for anything close to what he did last year again,
which is why he's going to where he's going. Three average,
(42:01):
twenty five home runs, good counting stacks, and ten to
twelve steals. I think that's all attainable. A little bit
more nervous than Kindle Martin than I was last week. Yeah,
you were all over him. I was over last week.
It was all over him. I understand it's tough when
a player does something they've never done before. It's how
much of it is, you know, fact versus fiction? How
much of it is real? I don't know. Let me
(42:22):
jump around a little bit more inside our top twent
because I want to try to get as many act
feelers as I can. We spoke about Chris Bryant last week.
He's been number sixteen outfielder. We spoke up with Maryfield
and the same in the same vein. We'll talk about him,
um a little bit more at the second baseman, right,
he's like he's eligible Marcella Zuna. I do want to
mention though, Marcella Juna. Now remember the bree is I
asked you if you're in on him? You sure he's
(42:44):
not an active target of mine. It's a it's a
favorite frank phrase. You say that three times, that's favorite
Frank phrase. Jesus, that's hard. Marzilla Juna not an active
target of yours? Play that lineup with those players around him,
Freddie Freeman, Ronald you have your Ossuna's and your Ozuna's
and your Accunias, and you got all the tongue twisters
(43:06):
sitting around Acuna Alb's Freeman, where's all this? You know?
Kind of just slots into that Josh Donaldson roll. We
know what Donaldson did last year? Why can't do something
similar to that? The reason why I guess he's not
an active target. And I'll try to break this down
as best as I can. I have him as my
twenty one outfield right now. I don't have is how
(43:29):
does he separate himself from someone like Eddie Rosario and
Nick cass I think all those guys are kind of similar.
Where they're gonna hit around two seventy eight. Yes, they're
gonna give you good power numbers Castanos again, you might
be projecting him to do something he's never done before.
Uh you know, if you if you think he can
hit thirty thirty five home runs playing in the Great
American small park, it's the best part that he's ever
played in. Again with Castanos, My question, Greg is how
(43:53):
does he separate himself away from Castanos or Rosario, because
I think they're all very similar, And if you ask me,
I would just take the one that's going last out
of the three. I think that they're all kind of
similar skill sets. I think right now that's probably Castiano
is going last, right, yes, okay um. I think they
him and o Zuna are basically like neconnect the doing around.
(44:14):
I think it depends a kind of league you playing.
I guess like and it result it wasn't walk right,
he walks like three percent of the time. Marcello Zuno
walks eleven percent at the time. That's pretty good. The
OVP should be higher. That's a good point for Marcello Zuna.
So I like him a little bit more. I say,
an doesn't walk all that month, he's like seven percent,
but hits a lot of doubles. He does and in Castianos,
I worry about um. I'm trying to remember what like
(44:37):
about Cascianos in the past, and I always felt he
was underappreciated and undervalued. Maybe it's because so many doubles,
like didn't turn it own runs, But now he's plays
and STANDI it should theoretically. He saw in the National
League last year with the show of Chicago Cubs, where
he was fantastic seven runs a career high last season,
plays every day. His ops with the Cubs is over
a thousand. He was amazing, he was ridiculous, and it
(44:58):
seemed like he was finally motivated too. And something that
he's spoken about was when hitting in America that the
ball basically just died in the outfield there. So you know,
obviously that's gonna sap anyone's power playing in America. I
think hitting in Cincinnati for a full season, we could
see thirty to thirty five home runs out of Casiano's career.
Hard hit percentage is high Marcella's, do you know. I
(45:19):
think what I've learned here is that Marcella's, you know,
Ni Castianos are very similar players like probably like your's
hard at the least, I think Eddie Rosario is probably
the safest. Why because you, I mean, you play in
obi Pe League, so he's not gonna walk there. I
understand that. But if you're just play in a batting
average like Rosario is so safe for to eight thirty
(45:39):
five home runs a hundred ribbies, that's not nothing. That's
a great season. I think that again, I think it
goes back to what I said, and comparing all three
of these players is they're they're almost going too late,
because I think everyone kind of thinks the same thing.
They're like, oh well, these guys are all kind of
the same, Like how do I differentiate them? And I
I could just wait and take whoever falls out of
(45:59):
all three of them. And Ozuno might have the highest
upside because last year he was incredibly unlucky. We've gone
over we went over this when he signed with the Braves.
His babbit last year was to fifty seven. He's a
career three fourteen babbit. And his expected batting average was
much higher than his two forty one actual batting average
last year. And we've seen it before. I mean back
Ineen with the Marlins, of all teams, he had thirty
(46:21):
seven home runs with a hundred and twenty four Ribbys
and last year he started running out of nowhere. Greg
get twelve stolen basis. So I mean Zuna is someone
that can legitimately hit two eighty thirty thirty five bombs,
good County stats in the middle of the Braves lineup
and eight to ten stolen basis and if he does that,
he's probably a top five round player next year. Where
does elm in that grouping? So I have elohimenez at
(46:45):
I have I haven't met fifteen. I have him higher
than all of them. It comes with more prospect. Pedigrees
had a monster second half Greg, and he's someone who
in that lineup in that ballpark with the White Sox,
I think the White Sox legit have top five line
up in all of baseball right now. He's one of
these guys where you could see him take that second
(47:05):
year leap almost something like an Aaron Judge did, not
to the same extent, but like forty five plus home runs.
And I don't know that the other guys that we're
talking about have that type of upside. But remember two
years ago when we were talking about him and we
were kind of projecting, Oh, what is the player that
he can become, I said Nelson Cruz, I think he
could be a two eighty hitter, forty plus home runs
(47:27):
and one Ribbies, and like one of those elite four
category players, he's not going to steal any basis at all.
The other guys all do that. Well, I haven't done
it before. Zuna hasn't done it before. Rosario, I don't
believe he's had forty home runs so and again, obviously
Elo hasn't done it yet either, but he's only only
going into the second year old. I mean that line
(47:49):
up again, Tim Anderson, Joan Moncada, jose A Braave Edwin
and Carnacio, Luis Robert and Elohiman is going to be
right in the middle of that. It wouldn't really surprise
anyone if he goes out and has a hundred and
thirty RBI's this here, I don't think it would. I
think it's upside is the highest of all of these
four category players. Maybe a Juna can tip in eight
to ten steals. Last year was kind of the outwied
(48:10):
for him, the only year that we ever saw him run.
But if you're just looking at four category players, you
look Menez has the highest upside of all those players
we're talking about right now, all right tomorrow on the show.
I want to get to a similar batchel of players
that do similar things, but not similar to these guys.
What I mean is, you're looking at guys to give
you the best chance twenty show last week, but you're
Tommy Fams, your Victor Robles, your Moon Loriano. I think
(48:31):
all those guys are all in a group together, and
I think that's how we need to start off tomorrow's
show discussing that group. Um, I have Tommy found the highest.
I know he's not healthy right now either. If he
isn't healthy by the time the season starts, I'll drop
him down with the other guys up right now, Fam
is my highest, follow My Loriano and Rolls. They're back
to back for me. We have a whole lot more
to talk about, a lot more outfitlers to get too,
(48:52):
or we're gonna do it all tomorrow on the final
day of the week. Coming out next it's for out
Coast to coast. I will join him in our number
two to look forward to that. I want to think
Sean and Alex downstairs, Frank Staff, I am Greg Sousman,
We'll do it all again tomorrow. We hope. I want
to be the next Daily Fantasy millionaire. Dunk on your
(49:13):
NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot com and dominate
on FanDuel and DraftKings this season. Compete with the pros
with Daily rodal dot Com optimizer and the most accurate
projections in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts, breaking news,
late swap support, and much more safe ten percent on
winning NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk. Visit Daily
(49:33):
Rodo dot com backslash dunk to learn more.