February 26, 2020 • 49 mins
We've given you our top 21 pitchers on the board, so let's break down our next 21! Gregg Sussman and Frank Stampfl dive into the hype guys, the players that they're avoiding and the pitchers that play in Cincinnati!
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast. If you want to
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Enjoy the show and thanks so much for listening. Tee
(00:30):
dun Yeah yeah. As welcome by ex spun find Rob Say,
(01:06):
Prancess practice, start ball Ladies and job in yours. With that,
we look at you inside up studio at thirty four.
(01:26):
This is the BFFs. Here's Frank Snaffle. I am grand sauce. Mean,
what's happening? Breggy? Hey, what's going on? Man? Feeling better
now that we're here talk a little Fantasy Baseball pulled
the story earlier on Fantasy Sports Today was running for
the bus. He like pulled my calf. I feel like
an old man. I'm all banged up, but happy to
be here with you. Greg. Continuing our starting picture preview
(01:48):
Part two, Part Part nose you go? What's going on
with you? Hi? To sleep last night? I slept pretty
well last night. Now issues great? I feel I almost
started my um my next position ranks, and we're doing
the outfielders the next two days. It's like almost started that.
Good luck with that too, but then I did. It's
only like a hundred and fifty of them to rank,
(02:09):
you know, I always find a way. There's so many
starting pitchers, there's just so many outfielders. And I got
the starting pictures done. I saw it. It's true, so
all the colors, this guy, it's real. What's the content
that you need doing my job? So tonight I'll have
to work on the outfields. I could have done it
last night instead of I had a debate to watch,
so I couldn't do it one of those. I mean,
(02:31):
come on, we can just how about you, uh tell
us about your Trevor Bauer rankings, Greg, and then we
can just have a debate right here on this. As
you'll find out in just a few moments, Trevor Bauer
number twenty two on my rankings. Unbelievable. Let's unbelievable that
there's Trevor Bauer the best Red's picture question we're gonna
have to answer. Learned anything last year? Greg? We owned him.
(02:54):
We owned him, that we lived through it. Find that
in much much cheaper, much cheaper for this year. Many back.
You know, I want to hear more in Sunny Gray.
The hey guys will get into you. I want to
talk about It's honey as well as and a sleepers
as well. First as wells update. Thank you Greg Susman.
(03:17):
I have song Bostocky and we their bff sportscred news updates.
All right, let's head over to the NBA breaking news.
Hornets gardener Leak Monk has been suspended indefinitely for violating
the NBA's antique drug program. Note word on how many
games Malik Monk will miss at this point, but he
has suspended indefinitely, so he will be off the roster
(03:40):
tonight when the Hornets host the Knicks seven ten pm
Eastern Times. Hornets are getting two points in that matchup,
two of seven your total. A couple of great games
later on tonight you have the Memphis Grizzlies at the
Houston Rockets. Rockets favored by eleven and a half points
to thirty seven and a half on your total. After that,
you have the clip first at the Phoenix Suns the
(04:01):
Clippers seven point favorites two thirty two and a half
year total and the nightcap ten forty pm Eastern Time
from Utah Boston at UTAW the Jazz five and a
half point favorites to eighteen and a half your total
in that one. Let's go to the MLB score card here.
Spring training games going on. But the news is J. D.
Davis and m R I revealed Wednesday. No new structural
(04:25):
damage per mets GM Brody Van wagon In looks like
Davis has an avoided significant injury. And Justin Verlander, the
astros ace and number three pitcher on Frank Stanfold and
Greg Susten's players starting pitchers list has been scratched Thursday.
Not significant injuries though expected there. And Maria sherf Polva
(04:49):
tennis star, five time Grand Slam champion has retired from tennis.
That's it nineteen years. The turney two year old Russian
reached number one in the w t A rankings in
eight and twenty twelve, but has dropped to in the
world the last ranking she was involved in. That's it
(05:12):
from Maria Charova and that's it for me with your
BFFs sports script news update guys, back to all right,
Thanks a lot there, sewn. Maria Sharapova to quote book
of t five time, five time, five time, five time,
five time Grand Slam Champion, hanging it up, hanging up
the racket? Is that what they call it? I don't know. Anyway,
(05:32):
We're gonna get into our starting pitcher preview Part two,
the rest of the show here on the Fantasy BFS,
specifically getting out our top forty seven starting pitchers, and
we'll give you some sleepers as well as well. You do,
Greg something like to say as well, But what we
also have is a snippet of the NBA tip trill
from earlier today, Greg Susman with Daily Rhodo dot COM's
(05:55):
Drew dink Meyer to talk about one of the players
that they're focusing on tonight in the NBA b F slate.
Let's go over to shooting guard here, Drew, and that Raises.
(06:16):
Now do well Marta Rosen, which makes sense because La
Marcus Aldres is not in there tonight, like end, A
lot more of that coming your way. But in these
games between San Antonio and Dallas, you gotta like Tmarta Rosen. Yeah,
Tmarta Rosen. In the games without LaMarcus Alders this year,
his usage rate a shot up to over thirty. The
rebounding and the assist rates have have bounced up as well,
(06:38):
and so he's just got a huge opportunity set whenever
LaMarcus Aldridge is off the floor. And that's consistent when
you look at on a game level basis, or just
in the regular season when they both played in the
same game and Aldred just been off the floor, the
use of right really skyrockets. So you know, thirty five
plus minutes of that tonight against Dallas, a team that
you know plays fast and is a little bit loose
around the defensive side of the ball, a really good
(06:59):
price tag on to Marta Rosen. It doesn't look like
it's been adjusted for the assumption that Aldridges out price
below seven thousand. You should really take advantage of that tonight.
This is kind of like the c j MC Collumns
situation from the last few nights, where without Damian Lillard,
c j MC Collins rates explode without LaMarcus soldiers to
Marta Rosen's rates explode. I don't know if we'll quite
get the performances from tomorrow that we've been getting from
(07:20):
c J, but I think it's very likely to pay
off the six price tag and shout out to Daily
Rhodo Andrew dick Meyer. The guys have been absolutely crushing
it all season long. From an NFL NBA Dfest perspective,
also from an NFL Dfest perspective, But right now we're
in NBA season. We're prepping for Fantasy baseball as well.
But these guys have done a phenomenal job. They gave
out Joel Embid the other day, Greg, and he dropped
(07:42):
a career high forty nine points tonight to Marta Rosen.
With La Marcus Aldridge out, the usage rate goes up,
the points per game go up for Demarta Rosen. I
think it makes a ton of sense de mar de
Rosian with a Lamargus Aldridge, He's gotta be a lock
for your lot up. I know Drew also likes Luka
doantech Here to night givebout joellan vehicle days ago, as
you said, Dwelling Bead was your NBA Fantasy Player of
the night. Thanks for those forty nine points. All right,
(08:05):
let's get a new starting pitching Part du Part two,
Part dose, and we begin with Claire. I have two, Frank,
because we did one twenty one yesterday Claire twenty two.
It's power power, let's go. There's no way that you
actually want Trevor Bauer and he is a target of yours.
Why not? All right, So tell me why, Greg, I'll
(08:26):
tell you why you're wrong. The Trevor Bauer obviously two
years ago. It was awesome last year he was drafted
as an ace like pitcher. He's just twenty nine years old.
And listen, he had to set back last year. Didn't
really feel right in Cleveland. Warily work out that well. Um,
but while all the numbers were much worse last year
than they were the year prior, you're doing a great job,
(08:50):
doing a great job of selling Trevor Bauer. You can
bounce back. You've got nothing, dude, Why do you have
Trevor Bauer? Reg Number twenty two at starting pitcher? Here's
to here's what you need to know. He had one
phenomenal season. Can't take anything away from him. Back at
two eighteen, a two point to one e r A
great If you had him that year, probably helped to
win a Fantasy Baseball championship. If you own him last year,
(09:12):
he did not help you. In fact, he hurt you.
He was terrible. He had an ear a over four
a four point four eight ear a like he has
had for most of his career. Actually, in fact, outside
of that two thousand eighteen season, Trevor Bauer has had
an ear a of at least four point one nine
in every single season as a starting pitcher in Major
League baseball. He's not good. He's Robbie Ray. Robbie Ray
(09:34):
and Trevor Bauer have the basically same career numbers, and
I will illustrate that to you right now. Robbie Ray
four eleven career e r A one three five whip
career eleven case per nine. Trevor Bauer four point zero
four ear a. Alright, he's point zero seven better, one
point three zero whip point zero five better. There nine
(09:57):
and a half case per nine in his career. I
will give you this. Over the past three seasons, his
caper nine has been up over ten. Still not as
good as Robbie Ray. Why are we drafting Trevor Bower two, three,
four rounds ahead of Robbie Ray. If you want someone
who's gonna suck at everything except give you strikeouts, why
don't you just take Robbie Ray? Greg Okay, you think
that sherevor Bower can still improve, Like I feel Robbie
(10:18):
Ray is Robbie Robbie Ray is can't you ever? I
know you're gonna say, but isn't eighteen like the aberration?
Isn't that just the outliers? Obviously? But I think that
not these both of these guys didn't have that top
prospect pedigree, And I like, I don't like Robbie Robbie right,
Robbie Ray ragged. I'll tell you the time that you
(10:39):
draft Robbie Ray, greg is you pair him with Kyle
Hendricks And I don't. And I believe it was I
believe it was Alex Chamberlain, who was a Baseball Writer
of the Year last year, Fantasy Baseball Writer of the
Year with Fan Grafs still the phenomenal job. He kind
of brought about the idea of pairing together Robbie Ray
and Kyle Hendricks and making one super picture because it
makes a lot of sense. Hendricks is gonna give you
(11:00):
ear a, He's gonna give you whip. I'm not gonna
give you strikeouts. I'll be Ray. I'm gonna give you strikeouts,
gonna give you nothing else. Maybe he'll give you wins.
Because that division outside of the Dodgers is lackluster and
should have good run support behind him. But outside of Batman.
But I get it on Trevor Bauer, the swinging strike percentage,
the strikeout ability, I understand it. But you can get
(11:21):
strikeouts later on in the draft. We'll talk about to
Nelson limit, We'll talk about Robbie Ray, Canton, Mayata. You
can get strikeouts anywhere. All he's gonna do is hurt
your ear and whip as well, unless he doesn't sally
about Sunny Gray, his teammate the other side up. Yes,
I want to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk
(11:43):
on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot Com
and dominate on fandel and draft kings this season. Compete
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(12:03):
Visit Daily road dot Com backslash Dunk to learn more.
Tompson had done it, and just like into the ground,
(12:25):
rock and Roll was being born. Marijuana. We with scorn
all your here on the show. Game you wanted to
talk about Trevor Bauer, You got it now. All I
want to do is talking right back here. B f
F's Frank, I'm Greg. We we talked about Trevor Bauer
and we talked about well. Frank mentioned during the break
(12:46):
to me they maybe the pigeon coach Larry Johnson in
Cincinnati the work his magic, because he's worked his magic before,
specifically with his old pupil, Sonny Gray. Sunny Gray. Last
year you had a really nice bow back yere from
his couple of tough years in New York. Sonny Gray
is my number? Where is he? My number? Twenty five
(13:07):
pitcher off the board right? Where is he for you?
Sonny Gray is my number right, So we both have
He's at our top twenty five there. I know you
really like Sonny Gray. This year a great bashback year.
Why do you think, uh, he's twenty twenty, more like
twenty nineteen. Then says seen, Well, I think that they
figured some things out last year, and you mentioned that
(13:28):
he was reunited with his former pitching coach Derek Johnson,
and Derrek Johnson came over from the Brewers and obviously
did a phenomenal job with players while he was with
in Milwaukee, and then last year wound up helping Sonny
Gray and Luis Castillo get to the next level. And
he was just phenomenal last year. UH sub three e
r A one oh eight whip the x fit was
a little bit higher three six five. But even if
(13:50):
he gave you, you know, a mid three's e r
A this year, based on where he's going at top
twenty five starting pitcher, I think that you would be
all right with that the strikeouts were up. He does
exactly what you want. He gets strikeouts, He gets a
lot of groundballs, nearly a percent groundball rate. Still struggles
a little bit too much with the walks. But last year, Greg,
and we've always said this about Sonny grade is that
he didn't get enough strikeouts to mitigate the walks. Last
(14:12):
year was the year that he actually finally did that.
Posted a career high eleven percent swinging strike rate pent
K rate was by far the highest of his career
and fourteenth highest among qualified starting pitchers last year. The
biggest difference for him was that he started using his
breaking pitches more, and we hear that a lot in
baseball is get away from the bast the fastball, use
(14:32):
your breaking pitches more. That's exactly what he did. Use
the slider more, used the curveball more. Uh and the
slider rated as a top twelve pitch according to fan
Graphs pitch Values. His curveball was top five among curveballs
last year as well. So there's some people that speculate
that his breaking pitches won't be as good. And I
believe when we had Nick Pollock on a pitcher list,
that was his hesitancy when it comes to Sonny Gray.
(14:56):
But you know, if he can come anywhere close to
replicating what he did with his breaking pitches last year, Greg,
I think that he can give you a you know,
three five to three seven e r A with you
know one one five, two to one two oh whip
with you know, really good strike outs, add eighty innings.
And you know, if he does that, he's likely going
to be a top five, top thirty starting pitcher once again.
(15:17):
Sony is obviously not sexy. Um, like you said, the
washer down strike guys, we're up. Um. I feel like
you just have fatigue on Sonny Greg, Greg, is that
I do? I I think that he's a really good
word for it. What do you want him as? So
that's a good question, and I was going to bring
this up as well. I think if you play in
a fifteen team league, and that's more so for deep
(15:39):
performance NFBC formats, I don't mind him as my SP two.
I don't love it, but ideally I would want him
as my SP three. And I think there's something we
should break down as well, and I wanted to mention
this is that we went over our top twenty one
pitchers yesterday. Greg. When I'm doing my drafts, I want
to come away with at least two of my top
(15:59):
twenty one, right, and that's when that's what Garrit Cohler
to Graham in the first round. If not, you know,
maybe a Patrick Corbin or a Geldo in the third.
But I do want to grab a Morton or a
Paddock or a Synder Guard. I know you like Syndergraard
a lot in that fourth round range. Give me two
of my top twenty one starting pitchers, and then I
also want to extend that to give me three of
(16:19):
my top thirty Sunny Grays inside of that top thirty.
So I wouldn't mind him as my SP three ideally
fair enough, Sunny great for me. I haven't met twenty five.
Like I said, he's an SP three here A draft
Sunny Gray, you're not in. I can only see me
drafting Sunny Grey Wight team with you, like I can
(16:40):
be talkings anywhere, like, hey, this is how the team
is kind of shaped. Me up. I want Sunny Gray here,
but like, okay, I can see that. I don't see
myself really drafting him. The thing is, the price isn't
anywhere near what he did last year, because it's because
it's not just me that has getting in like a
you know, the six eight rounds in the seventh round. Yeah,
it's not just me that has that. It's he goes. Yeah,
(17:00):
there's a lot of people who are skeptical of what
he did last year. Right, So that's why you know,
if you like him, you'll get him at at a
solid value. If not, I mean, just keep letting them
fall down the board. So I have a tier that
goes from two to twenty seven. I mention Trevor Bauer,
I mentioned Sonny Grace. You only have six guys in
that tire. I only have six guys in that's here
because my mind is similar. I have it from thirty one.
It's a little bit bigger. Okay, that's interesting. One. I'm
(17:21):
gonna read you, my guys, and then you can get
into years. You can put it, and you guys should
put it up so everybody can see what we're talking about.
So I got Trevor Bauer here at two, followed by
Jose Burrios, Corey Kluber, Sonny Gray or Less Carrasco and
Tyler Glass. Now, and that's really when my tear ends,
and I have Wheeler starting my next year. What I know,
you hate Bauer and that's fine. What do you think
(17:41):
about the rest of it, Frank Corey Cluber? I I'm
not in on either this year because at the point
you were. We did the starting picture preview on FC
earlier today. My two bus were Trevor Bauer and Corey Cluber. Okay, yeah,
you're just not buying that. Clue were always a terrible
apron onnoight, are you just not buying that, Corey Cluber
and bounce back in anyway? I mean, I'm not ruling
it out. There's definitely maybe having some a year off
from that shoulder like that could be helpful. It might
(18:03):
it might actually help him, right, and he's older now,
But I think what we saw last year, we just
can't completely dispute that. And I understand much last year.
He normally gets off to slow starts, Greg, But I
mean what he did last year was really bad. Yeah,
but he meets seven starts. It's not like insignificant. That's
almost a quarter of the season. Well, fine, Star Wars,
but like you know, if the slow start, those seven
(18:25):
starts at eight fil nay, it wasn't warm yet, it's
cold in Cleveland. You're making the case for Clover here, Greg,
And look, he he might make me look stupid here
if he bounces back with Texas. He's not in the
r angeen. Yeah, that's why it looks. It's hard to be.
He's one year removed from a two eight nine e
r A was zero point nine nine. Like he was great,
(18:46):
there's no doubt about that. But I think late in
twenty eight teen we started to see the skills a
road a little bit, definitely, and then early last year,
so that's all we have to go on. It's like
the first month of last year and the last month
or two of eighteen and those last three months have
not been good and he's getting up there in age
as well. Over here, here's what lander and granky. There's
(19:06):
no signs right with Cluber. There is a bad months,
three months was a bad month, five eight e r
A and seven starts last year the walks three point
seven nine bad. That's not something you normally see out
of Klueber. His twenty two percent hey rate was his
lowest and twenty thirteen in those first seven starts. And
here's another thing, Greg three seventy babbitt for the record.
(19:28):
But here's what I get to on the babbitt last
over the past two seasons is hard contact rate is
thirty six point seven percent. From two thousand and eleven
through seventeen, his hard contact was twenty seven percent over
the past two seasons now and again this is going
back to eighteen where we're starting to see a trend
of him giving up hard contact. The past two seasons
(19:49):
up over thirty six percent hard contact, which is nowhere
what it has been in years past. For Corey Klueber.
There is a range of outcomes, um where he completely
makes me look foolish and he goes back to being
the Corey Cluober of old. I I recognize that, but
I'm not willing to take that gamble. Give me someone
like Sonny Gray, who I still think is young enough
and you know, showed us what his upside was last year.
(20:12):
Give me one of these you know hype guys starting
pitchers with Mantas and Max Freed and Gallen all players
who we think could take that next step. Corey Cloober
Greg at age thirty four, is someone that I am
worried about this season. We'll say this, Corey Clubers fastball,
Uh was the slowest that has ever been ninety one
point in a six miles per hour in those seven
starts last year. Uh he usually around ninety three and
(20:37):
ninety one. If he's losing juicual the fastball, that's not
so good. Who do you have closing out this whole
tier or is making up this whole tier for you? Yeah?
So I have a twenty two through thirty one. For me,
this is my tier three, and I really want one
of these guys as my SP three if at all possible.
I have Tyler Glass now at SP twenty two, followed
by Brandon Woodruff, Jose Barrios, Sonny Gray, Carlos Carrasco Max
(21:02):
Freed to seven, Zack Gallon at, Frankie Mantas at nine,
Zach Wheeler at thirty, and Mike Saroka at thirty one.
That rounds out that tier for me. And as you
can see up on the screen, Uh, the start of
thirty two is the beginning of the next year. So
for me, you're hiring than Brandon would you have which
we which we knew already that you literally leave that
up Alt Saw. I want to be able to compare.
(21:23):
So Brandon, would you if you have higher than than
I do, which we which we knew about. He's your
number twenty three overall? What makes you so high? I
would your I get Glass note right, like, I'm a
little bit worried about the health with Glass now after
you come back last year. But it was tough for him.
I'm starting to buy in a little bit all this
talk about using like a split change up to even
if he uses that like ten, it's it's literally it's
(21:44):
a matter of staying healthy. But if Glass now stays
healthy for like one fifth year, one sixty, it's like
the steel the draft. Totally agree with that. I was
totally all on the glass now you can stay healthy. Um,
there is risk, Bob. But Brandon, would you you have
a twenty three, I have him down at thirty and
then you have all the hype guys back to back
to back year twenty nine. The Lazardo is a little
bit lower here for you at thirty four and a
(22:05):
different tier. Um, we're getting those guys in a few moments.
But why are you showing brand Wood this year? So
he is very fastball and sinker reliant, which normally I
would like a starting pitcher to have, you know, a
breaking pitch that he really can rely on. He used
the slider about twenty percent. Uh, and it's a solid slider.
But he's really really reliant on his four steamer and
(22:25):
his sinker ball. And last year, Greg, I mean it
was a breakout. You remember, throughout spring training he was
someone that you know, a lot of people were touting
as a sleeper and it came to fruition A three
six t e r A last year a three point
three six x Fips says that maybe he should have
been even better than he was last season. Greg a
one one four whip. I think the strikeouts might take
a little bit of a step back. He was at
(22:46):
ten and a half case per nine. Yet his uh,
his strikeout rate was it seems a little deceptive based
on the eleven point nine percent swinging strike rate. Actually
wrote next with swinging strike crate Matt. So maybe the
strikeout has come down a little bit for Woodruff. But
he's someone that could get groundballs. He has good command.
He didn't walk too many batters two point two two
(23:07):
walks for nine last year, and there were always kind
of signs of him being good. He was just never
used solely as a starting pitcher. He's been using relief,
bouncing back and forth a little bit. But in the
minor leagues he was very good. Um, I think there's
a lot to like. He relies on his fastball. He
throws it like miles per hour. I saw his first
start the other day in spring training. He was hitting
like ninety nine regularly. So I mean he throws extremely
(23:28):
hard and as one of the best fastballs in the game. Um,
I'm buying in. I don't mind him as an SP
three or again, if you play in one of these
deeper leagues in the great fantasy based presentations, I not ideally,
but I wound up with him as my SP two
with Patrick Corbin. So I'm gonna continue to hammer out
starting pitching in that draft, but I do not mind
him whatsoever as an SP three. Greg and the numbers
(23:49):
all going up for Brandon wouldr Off. Of course, he's
gotta get you on the Brandon would Off training. Come on,
it's funny. Look at the stats last year. I was like, sure,
we're talking to Brandon would More. He's good and all
over him last year and I was like missing something here,
it's pretty good. Yes, you get back in on them
this year. All right, let's get the hype guys here
a little bit and go further down in our top forty.
Stick around Dave's roll out after this. I want to
(24:12):
be the next Daily Fantasy millionaire. Dunk on your NBA
DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot com and dominate on
fandel and DraftKings this season. Compete with the pros with
Daily Rodal dot com optimizer and the most accurate projections
in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts, breaking news, lake
swap support, and much more safe ten percent on winning
NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk Visit Daily road
(24:36):
dot com backslash dunc you learn more all right back
here on the b F F F Brant, Saucepan and
Frank standfor let's get to the hype guys here a
little bit, Frank and you had your boy Max Freed
(24:57):
kind of leading this tier off, Max Free, Zach Allen,
Frankie Mullintos all in that pack for you. These are Lozardo.
A little bit later on, I Lozardo as the head
of my hype guys. You mentioned it on Twitter last night.
You mentioned as you walked in the Haris Lozardo now
has a new high pick in the NFBC going in
(25:17):
the sixth round. People are buying the hype once again
on Hazar's Lizardo. Yeah, and I like Lozardo. The reason
why I have him ranked a little bit lower than
some of those other guys is, as you can see
the projection below, they have him projected over on Fangraphs
for a hundred and forty nine endings pitch. That to
me is extreme best case scenario, because this is somebody
who only pitched fifty five innings last year, pitched three
(25:41):
more in the postseason. The year before that, he threw
a hundred and nine innings only through forty three. This
guy has never really thrown that many endings. And I
know that the reports that have come out of Oakland
are there's gonna be no ending's limit for Lozardo and A. J. Puck.
I'm not buying that, because they want to play in
the postseason, they want to go deep. They need Lozardo
and Puck to yes, help them get there, but they're
(26:01):
also gonna need them once they get to the postseason.
So and if I'm projecting Lozardo, I'm not giving him
much more than a hundred and thirty or a hundred
and forty endings pitch greg And for that reason, that's
why I have him ranked below names like Freed and
Gallon and Montage, just because I think that those guys
are gonna give you more endings. Maybe Lozardo is better
on a per ending basis, but the thing is you're
(26:23):
probably going to get thirty to forty more endings pitch
out of those other pictures. Yeah, you exactly what I
was going to say that I think he's just better
than all the guys that you mentioned, Gallen Freed, It's
hard to argue with that. I mean, the guy is
ridiculous to five three r A in the minors. Sure,
last year, Montas pitch h nineties six citings around a
major suspension that wiped him out for most of the year.
He was phenomenal last year. I remember you, Floria and
(26:44):
I were hanging out, uh and dancing around Frankie Montas.
We all bought in and it worked out. I remember
Florio at first did not like Frankie mont hitting and
I had to try and talk him into it. But
you know, Frankie Mantas what he did last year, and
it was not p D related. He finally just put
it all together. Look at his career, his career log
year by year. There was one year where he got
a ton of strikeouts but would walk too many batters,
(27:06):
and in the next year he limited the walks and
then didn't get any strikeouts. And last year he finally
figured it all out. Has prospect pedigree always through hard,
so it's not pe D related. What he did last
year was related to the fact that he introduced a splitter.
He introduced a new pitch, and last year thirty five
percent chase rate that would have ranked twelve among starting pitchers.
(27:26):
Fortcent groundball rate has solid command, gives you groundballs, solid strikeouts,
you know, maybe around a strikeout for any like nine
per nine kind of guy. Not gonna wow you there.
But I think someone who can pitch to a you
know again, three five to three seven e R. I
think someone similar to like a Sonny Gray. That's why
I have these guys ranked similarly. Some people might be
(27:46):
skeptical because it was the only season he's ever done
it Greg, but I'm not one of those people. Raymondas
is twenty six years older Jurdge wenty seven at the
end of March, and I agree, finally put it all together.
He was a guy that once it started going right
last year, we all kind of notice because what he
was doing seemed legitimate. And when he came back from
the suspension, I picked up where he left off. I
(28:09):
think his final start, he only made one start after suspensions,
good six innings of one run ball with six strikeouts
against the of the Anahi Mangels Los Angeles Angels. Whatever, Well,
this is good and if he could just continue on
this path, You're got a nice value here. With Frankie Mantaz,
I think, yeah, I'm with you. I like Frankie Mantas,
not as much as I like Freed and Zach Gallen.
(28:30):
We spoke about these guys a lot, but we'll just
kind of reiterated real quick. I mean with Zach Gallen,
traded over from the Miami Marlins last year, and what
he did in the PCL, the Pacific Coach League, mind
you wear, the average e r A was like five
in this league last year. That's how bad pitching was.
He had a one seven seven e ar A, a
zero point seven whip and and twelve strikeouts and a
(28:53):
third endings pitch. When he came up last year, did
struggle with command a little bit. I didn't. I don't
think he had enough confidence in his stuff from the
get go. But as the season went along, once he
got traded to the dimeback, stills walks started to come
down a little bit, the strikeouts remained all along. He
has four different pitches that he can rely on, four seam, curve, cutter,
change up, and he threw a hundred and seventy one
(29:13):
and a third endings pitch between the Miners and the
Major's last year. So I don't think he's gonna be
on any type of endings limit. I think He's probably
gonna give you a hundred seventy five hundred endings of
really really good baseball. That is Zack zac Gallen and
then Max Freed. Greg, just look at the numbers, man,
it's the strikeouts were phenomenal. He really took a step
forward in terms of command the spring, not the spring. No, no, no,
(29:35):
but that's good. Look, if you're scared off of Max Freed,
continue to let him fall because I will take him
in all of my drafts. He did get blown up
in his first start here in the springcent groundball rate, Greg,
how about this in the second half for Max Freed
ten point two case for nine three point six r
A with a three point one to x fit. We're
all in on Max Freed. And let's go over to
(29:56):
Greg Suspen with I don't know a sports screed news update.
You're not gonna believe this, Bam, bam, bamy. You are
going to believe everything about Tell you Edwin Diaz shut
down for the season because he stinks. Wrong team, Thank
you very much. Try again? Uh, what team and what
player do you think we get hurt it spring training
(30:17):
in February? Um, do you any spice very close in
right City. Oh is it a Brandon Nemo? I saw
it was hurt early. Oh no, no, right he was
on again, Right City. Don't say Garrett colegreg right team.
Oh no, no, no no, you expect this player to
(30:38):
get Judge, Chuck. Carlos Stanton heard his right calf during
outfield work and an m R I revealed the grade
one calf stream. This is insane. This is absolutely insane.
I would like you to please stand up right now
and pat me on the back. Come over here and
(30:58):
just give me a pat on the back. Let's go.
Greg Susan here on the BFS Live, give me a
pat on the back. For anyone who watched Fantasy Sports
today the other day, believe it was tuesday. We had
our outfield preview. I said my bus at the position
we're gian Carlos Stanton and Aaron Judge, These gentlemen cannot
stay healthy. You need to stop buying in oh, fifty
(31:23):
home runs one year in Marlins Park. He has one
season over forty home runs in his career. He closes
his eyes when he swings, he can't hit a breaking pitch,
he's overrated, and now he's hurt once again. How much
time is he gonna miss? Unlikely to be ready to go?
There you go, perfect, Clint Frasier, Welcome to the team. Sockman,
(31:45):
Mike Tuckman, Oh no, I know who it's gonna be,
Miguel and dude, dude, the do The first batted ball
in today's Yankee game went to who Mike in left field?
And let me tell you, he looked good. Pretty damn
shaky cat good ball look better than Stanton did. Well,
it's not hard to look better than sating, Greg. All
(32:07):
you gotta do is be on the field. This is ridiculous. Man.
I'm more so angry just from like a Yankee fan perspective.
I'm obviously, look, I don't want anyone to get hurt,
but it's just like it's obvious to me, why do
we keep drafting these guys that are built like Adonis's.
That's it's just doesn't work in baseball. It doesn't. George
(32:30):
always hurt, Stanton always hurt. Joey Gallo last year, Oblique,
he's built like a mammoth human being as well. Greg.
It's just it's frustrating all around from a baseball perspective,
fantasy perspective, It's it never ends, man, It never ends.
Stanton felt the CAF injury yesterday at the end of
his workout, Yankee sent him for an m RI. I today,
(32:50):
all right, Greg, are you gonna draft Max for you
this year? What? Yeah? Alright? Cool? Max? Straight? Um, I
noticed that one hype guy is a little bit oh right,
he's actually hiring your rankings and most people, but he's
a little bit lower than I have them. That's the
Nelson Lamette. Um, how come you're a little bit lower
hinds with the other guys. Yeah, it just comes back
to the projection. How many endings are you projecting for
(33:12):
to Nelson Lamette this upcoming season? The strikeouts are gonna
be great, There's no doubt about that. And last year
he was unlucky pitched to an ear a over four
a three point four for Xfit, but the whip was high.
It's always gonna be high because he walks a lot
of guys. He's very similar to this mold of like
a Trevor Bauer or a Robbie Ray type, except I
think the ear A can be a little bit better.
(33:32):
He had a thirty three point six percent strikeout rate
last year that would have ranked fourth among starting pitchers
if he qualified. But you know, over three and a
half walks per nine last season, over four walks per
nine for his career. Uh, the swinging strike rate was
great fourteen percent. That would have been tied with Chaine
Bieber for ninth among starting pitchers last year. Uh. Kind
(33:53):
of worry about him being just a two pitch Picture Greg.
He used like a four seams sinker and he uses
a slider. It's like it's like a or it's like
a slider curve type pitch of the time, and it's
a great pitch. But I worry about him just being
a two pitch pitcher. I'm probably not going to own
him just because there's always someone in the draft that
likes him more than I. But I do acknowledge that
the talent is there and the strikeout upside is there.
(34:14):
But I do worry about the projected endings as well.
He's probably giving you like one fifty if we're being
on I think innings are a fair question mark. Control
obviously also a fair question mark when it comes to limit.
I'm high on him. I have no issue drafting him
pretty much where he's going, Like I want one of
these guys you know it's fun. You wanted to get
it right, I won't one in every single one. I
don't want to leave a draft without one of Franks Freed,
(34:36):
Zach Gallen, Frankie Mantas, Lizardo or even if you want
to put into this mix as well, who you your
eyes with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Well, so your eyes
isn't inside my top forty seven. I think he's very similar,
Like he's forty really good. So here's my thing, with
how many innings, how many things you set it with Lizardo,
he's in the rotation you set it with the Nelson Limt.
(34:58):
You've already said he's in. Really he's in, He's already
you know he's he's the sp four. They're basically saying
that their rotation is set with Alex Wood rounding it out.
And you know that mind, that's what it really get
scerning about him. You still have to worry about it
because the Dodgers have a lot of really really good
depth greg they have rows tripling if if Urias is struggling, obviously,
(35:19):
the Dodgers have aspirations of I don't know if they're
ever gonna do it winning a World Series and going
deep into the postseason once again. I mean, if there's
any year they can do it, it's this year. But
last year only seventy nine and two thirds endings pitched
in the Major and in the major's two endings in
the minors, so you know, slightly over eighty. And look,
I've I've got to be fair in my analysis. If
I'm criticizing someone like Lazardo for not getting much more
(35:43):
than a hundred and thirty hundred forty endings pitched, I
have to be consistent with Urias, and I think that
some of those concerns remain. Uh fan graphs they have
him projected for, you know, right around between a hundred
and thirty and a hundred forty. I think that's a
fair projection. But he's probably gonna be really good in
those one nings. You're talking like a sub three point
five e r A a good whip and over a
(36:04):
strikeout for any I really think that's attainable. For who
we are, Your rights rights in the rotation because cantatas
you right, you are not talking about them when they're
new places. Next, I want to be the next Daily
Fantasy millionaire dunk on your NBA DFS competition with Daily
rodal dot com and dominate on fandel and DraftKings this season.
(36:26):
Compete with the pros with Daily rodal dot Com optimizer
and the most accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus line
up alerts, breaking news, lake swap support, and much more
safe ten percent on winning NBA DFS advice with promo
code dunk. Visit Daily rodo dot com backslash dunk to
learn more. Next for real, those cust live on sports
(36:56):
from Jared Smits will check in the wrong it doesn't
join me on the NBA Twitch program to the NBA
Fantasy Our at some point, I assume you will stick
around for this, right for the NBA Fantasy Hour. Yeah,
maybe you can. Uh, I don't know. It tice me me,
I don't know, take me out for dinner and well
and then we'll do the Fantasy Hour together. No, we
(37:17):
do what the plan aren't auction. We also have to
plan a date for you to make me some buttermilk
fried chicken. It look pretty good, dude, It was amazing.
It was a lot of work, admittedly, yeh. Was it
worth it? Yes? Yes? Speaking of which, Greg, will you
be trying the new KFC fried chicken on a doughnut sandwich.
(37:37):
I understand a lot of people are going to be
grossed out by it, and I get it. It's one
of those things, Greig, where I have to try it.
I had to try it. At least you're going to
have a heart attack. I think I am so plan
for a new coast. I don't want to do that.
I mentioned going to break about Julia. You said it's
in the rotations, the number four starting picture announced by
(37:57):
the Dodgers. I'm gonna do my research to make sure
you're not lying at it. I hope I'm not lying either.
You just take him, No, I didn't take him. We
took res Hoskins in the ninth round. It's my guy. Um.
But the reason that there are spots in the rotations
just hundred, Ryou and Kenta Mayata are no longer in
the rotation with the Dodgers because they're no longer on
the Dodger My he's in Minnesota and Ryou heads over
(38:19):
to Toronto. I have these players both inside of my
top forty seven, with Rye being at forty three, my
hand at forty seven. But I think it very similar, Um,
similar pictures obviously right. He was amazing last year. Where
are these guys for you? So I have re you
at thirty nine. I have David Price at forty three.
You didn't bring up David Price. Well, he's joining the rotation.
(38:39):
I have him at thirty seven. Okay, so we all
have We have these guys in pretty much similar ranges,
and I have my Ada at forty six. We're very
close there. So here's the three guys inside our top
forty seven. Yeah, and here's what I'll say if we
could throw the rankings back up again, my basically thirty
two through forty seven, and you see thirty two through
forty here, I'll let you know just not listed here, uh,
(39:00):
forty one through forty seven. I have a Rod, Kyle Hendricks,
David Price, Robbie Ray, Matthew Boyd Quentamida, and of course
Joe must grow like I got it mcget him inside
the top forty seven year. But unless it was Greg,
it's a good mix of this area of the draft
is you have pictures who are going to be really
really good on a per ending basis. Guys like your Ryots,
(39:23):
guys like you, Guys like Quentomata, guys like David Price.
They're going to be really good when they're on the mound.
But for whatever reason, whether it's due to injury risk
or the fact that they've never pitched that many endings before,
you can't really project them for much more than a
hundred and fifty maybe a hundred and sixty endings. But
you do have some good balancing acts with Kyle Hendricks,
(39:45):
someone like a Madison bum Garner, somebody like and Eduardo Rodriguez,
or someone like a Joe must Grow. These are all
pictures who I think are going to give you ennings,
and they're not gonna be as good of endings. They're
probably gonna be you know, high three's e r A
if we're being honest. But they're also going to, you know,
give you close to tings and they're gonna give you
(40:06):
solid strikeout. It's not great, you know, between seven and
eight case per nine, and a lot of these guys
are gonna give you good whip. Greg. If there's one
thing Kyle Hendricks is going to give you, it's a
good whip. Over the last four seasons, he has a
one point one one whip that is twelve best. I'm
unqualified starting pitchers last year. I think I believe Bumgunner
had around like a one zero whip and he did
that for two d endings. Getting two hundred endings of
(40:28):
a whip is awesome, and those are that that's an
elite whip specialist everything else that Bum'm gonna give you. Personally,
I don't really like Bummy because the underlying numbers were
not great. It's probably gonna give you close to a
four ear right, maybe even more than that. The guys
out here, you know, Rodeo in and and doing all
this other stuff. Mason Saunders nickname whatever he is. Uh,
(40:48):
he is an injury risk as well, but it's two
last year. Uh gives you that volume and gives you
a good whip as well. So I think this range
of starting pitchers greg is really good in terms of
giving you endings but also giving you players who are
really good on a per ending basis. And you can
kind of pair some of those pictures together. Yeah, I
I think I like all of them. The current Dodger picture,
(41:12):
the X Dodgers pictures. I think I'm in on all
of them because I think they're been undervalued. I know
there is there's injury risk specifically, right, you always missed
his time when you kind of just leave him alone
and let him beat in the starting rotation. Frank, he's
pretty good, man. I think he just in the a
(41:32):
L probably pitched around a four E r A, maybe
a little bit less than that. It's a great division
to pitching. He has to face the tigers and oils
in the Indians. Yeah, Indian strike out a lot. The
strikeout numbers have always been good. Four. He has a
fourteen percent swinging strike right and backed back seasons, Greig,
some of that comes out of the pen. I realized
(41:52):
that well last year made twenty six starts like thirty
seven appearances, undred and fifty three endings. Pitch. I don't
have a problem with him. Question is does he separate
himself from the other pictures in this tier? You know, Greg,
it seems like a lot of them are similar. How
do you differentiate Kenta Maeda from like a David Price,
for example, because David Price last year had his highest
strikeout race like the past five years. I think so
(42:14):
I actually like Price. I have Price. Price is gonna
get you wins too, and Priced ten spots higher that
I have kids in my hand. He'll get you wins.
But I have priced ten spots higher because out of
Boston and in the NL, those are two really good
factors for David Price. I think so for David Price.
I looked into this last night, his career versus the Yankees.
(42:34):
I mean, we all know it's bad. An e r
A over five horrible, a one four three whip in
head of in two hundred and fifty two hundred and
fifty nine ning sample that's like to David Price seasons
and he has an e r A overre five against
the Yankees. He doesn't have to face the Yankees anymore.
He gets to face the Giants four or five times
a season, the Padres, who Okay, yeah, we're kind of
(42:56):
excited about Tatis and Machado, but I think there's still
some question mark. Yeah, I don't have to go to Colorado.
That's true, all right? So those are top Are there
anybody else inside your top seven? That's when my tear ends.
But there anybody in this section of guys that are
on your list or right outside your list that you
have not mentioned that you wanted to at least get
on getting on before we want to some of our
(43:17):
late round sleepers just quickly mentioned Matthew Boyd. I think
Matthew Boyd is basically the American League version of Robbie Ray.
I think they're very similar. They give up a lot
of hard contact, a lot of home runs. That was
an issue for Boyd last year, but he's going to
give you strike out. So again, if you can marry
a Matthew Boyd with a Kyle Hendricks who's gonna help
your ratios, or you know, someone similar to that, I
think it makes a lot of sense as well. Joe
(43:39):
must Grove, I'll just say it quickly, Greg, I know
that you're out on must Grove finally. For years we're
pounding the table on Joe must Grove. But Ray Series
is no longer. The Pitching Coach Series puts an emphasis
on fastballs and sinkers. Joe must Grows fastball was not
a good one. The final month of the season, he
saw an uptick in velocity, started using his slider more,
started using his breaking pitches more, and he does have
(44:00):
very good command. He's going to be a plus whip contributor.
I still believe in the skills of Musgrove. I think
one of these years he's going to put it together,
and frankly, a lot of people were burned by him
last year, and he's following down draft boards and you
can get him as like your SP five or your
SP six. So at that point, why not My next
crew is numbers forty ninety eight that included Joe Muscrow,
(44:20):
also includes Joe Muscrow's ex teammate Lance mc colors. He's
like a lot today, frank about some of these younger
pictures that will be limited and how many Anis are
going to give you. You look kind of jumping back
in a Lasma Colors who hasn't started a game yet
in screen training. You know, he's working his way up
towards that. Hopefully we'll get there next week. Here's someone
the drafting. Probably not because he's going into similar range
as you're riots and not going much later than a
(44:42):
lot of the names that we just mentioned, and he
might be as good as those guys on a per
enning basis. Career three six seven e ar a from
the Colors, but he's never pitched more than a hundred
and twenty eight endings, and coming off the injury, he
has struggled with command in the past. He has a
career three point five three walks per nine. I feel
like the first season Backgreg, it's you know, that's something
that someone struggles with right coming off of a major
(45:05):
injury like this, is they can struggle with command early on.
Lansom Color strikes me as someone who, you know, if
he's shaky this year, I'll be in on heading into
next year, assuming that he's healthy, because you'll get him
at a discount. Lansom Colors not really someone that I'm
targeting this upcoming season. I think we could see some
rough patches early on Greg. Also in this crew of
guys around Lansmer Colors for me, or some names that
(45:27):
we talked about in the past that we like, Frank
Luke Weaver, he's in there, Marcus Stroman is in there,
Rivn Canny and Caleb Smith as well. Yeah. Look, when
it comes to Luke Weaver, he was great last year.
He just got hurt and I understand it's scary like
he's he was dealing with a forearm injury. It seems
like at any point his elbow could just fall off
(45:47):
this upcoming year, but he was finally starting to figure
it out. And we know that Luke Weaver has that
prospect pedigree came over in the Paul Goldsmith trade, devastating
fastball changeup combination. The difference was last year Greg, he
started using a cutter about fift the time and it
was a really really good cutter. So having that third
pitch that he can go to. H you saw it
pitching too, you know, uh a sub three five e
ar a um gets groundballs as well. Luke Leaver is
(46:10):
someone that I like. I realized there is risk with him,
but if he can stay healthy, he's one of these
guys that can return potentially top thirty starting pitcher value
and the other names you mentioned. Caleb Smith first eleven
starts last year was lights out. That really really struggled
in the second half. I believe he was pitching through
injury and that's what ultimately affected him. Stroman started using
(46:31):
his slider more in the final months of the season.
When we went over to the New York Mets, Greg,
the strikeouts went up for him. He's always someone who's
gonna give you a lot of groundballs. If he can
maintain some of those some of those swinging miss numbers
that we saw what the Mets, then this could potentially
be the best season that we see out of Marcus Stroman,
and he's been good for long time. In his initial
adding with Mets this spring, all right, I'm gonna throw
(46:52):
we have two minutes left, Zill Ferrell, I'm gonna just
throw names at you. You give me like a one
sentence response. Sure, I mean he is a football. Um,
well do they get baseball last year? All right, ready,
let's go her mom Marquez No, Jake Odoriesi, No, not really.
(47:12):
Mike foltonevitch I was originally in on Faulty. I don't
mind him as a back end rotation piece. But last
year the swinging miss still wasn't Their strikeouts weren't great.
So the walks a lot of guys. There are a
lot of players in this range that I like more
like Caleb Smith, I like more Andrew Heeny, Andrewhani. I like.
(47:32):
It's just a matter of staying healthy. We know that
he's a really really good pitcher. Interesting pitch mix, but
gets a lot of strikeouts as well, and solid command,
not not bad command for the strikeouts that he gives you.
Just needs to stay healthy. I think he's really good
when he's on the mount. Adrian Houser Adrian Houser is
a name that I'm targeting, and you can get him
as you know, a bench piece um in your league's
And he's someone who got a lot of groundballs last year. Greg,
(47:55):
I think in your fifty crown ball rate over nine
case for nine last year had solid come in. Maybe
it was just a blip and and aberration, but you
look pretty damn good last year. The brewers randomly find
starting pictures like this. I like Adrian Houser alright. Finally
John Gray. Uh, maybe he'll be in a Yankee uniform soon, Greg,
and then I could buy in there. But I'm someone
(48:16):
that's just never going to own pictures in Colorado. You
can tell me about the swinging strike Rade, the strikeouts
all you want with Marquez and John Gray and what
will you can stream them on the road. It's too
much of a headache. I want a player that I
can use all the time. John Gray is not one
of those guys. All right, there you have those are
starting picture rank sweeted us what you like and what
you don't for roll coach coaches up next. Thanks to
Seawan and Alex down stairs. For Frank, I'm Gregg all
(48:38):
again tomorrow. I want to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire.
Dunk on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot
com and dominate on fandel and draft kings this season.
Compete with the pros with Daily rodal dot Com optimizer
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up alerts, breaking news, lake swap support, and much more
(48:59):
safe ten percent on winning NBA DFS advice with promo
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learn more. H
Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast. If you want to
listen live, all you have to do is download the
I Heart Radio app and search for Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Also,
if you want to catch this show on video, for
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Enjoy the show and thanks so much for listening. Tee
(00:30):
dun Yeah yeah. As welcome by ex spun find Rob Say,
(01:06):
Prancess practice, start ball Ladies and job in yours. With that,
we look at you inside up studio at thirty four.
(01:26):
This is the BFFs. Here's Frank Snaffle. I am grand sauce. Mean,
what's happening? Breggy? Hey, what's going on? Man? Feeling better
now that we're here talk a little Fantasy Baseball pulled
the story earlier on Fantasy Sports Today was running for
the bus. He like pulled my calf. I feel like
an old man. I'm all banged up, but happy to
be here with you. Greg. Continuing our starting picture preview
(01:48):
Part two, Part Part nose you go? What's going on
with you? Hi? To sleep last night? I slept pretty
well last night. Now issues great? I feel I almost
started my um my next position ranks, and we're doing
the outfielders the next two days. It's like almost started that.
Good luck with that too, but then I did. It's
only like a hundred and fifty of them to rank,
(02:09):
you know, I always find a way. There's so many
starting pitchers, there's just so many outfielders. And I got
the starting pictures done. I saw it. It's true, so
all the colors, this guy, it's real. What's the content
that you need doing my job? So tonight I'll have
to work on the outfields. I could have done it
last night instead of I had a debate to watch,
so I couldn't do it one of those. I mean,
(02:31):
come on, we can just how about you, uh tell
us about your Trevor Bauer rankings, Greg, and then we
can just have a debate right here on this. As
you'll find out in just a few moments, Trevor Bauer
number twenty two on my rankings. Unbelievable. Let's unbelievable that
there's Trevor Bauer the best Red's picture question we're gonna
have to answer. Learned anything last year? Greg? We owned him.
(02:54):
We owned him, that we lived through it. Find that
in much much cheaper, much cheaper for this year. Many back.
You know, I want to hear more in Sunny Gray.
The hey guys will get into you. I want to
talk about It's honey as well as and a sleepers
as well. First as wells update. Thank you Greg Susman.
(03:17):
I have song Bostocky and we their bff sportscred news updates.
All right, let's head over to the NBA breaking news.
Hornets gardener Leak Monk has been suspended indefinitely for violating
the NBA's antique drug program. Note word on how many
games Malik Monk will miss at this point, but he
has suspended indefinitely, so he will be off the roster
(03:40):
tonight when the Hornets host the Knicks seven ten pm
Eastern Times. Hornets are getting two points in that matchup,
two of seven your total. A couple of great games
later on tonight you have the Memphis Grizzlies at the
Houston Rockets. Rockets favored by eleven and a half points
to thirty seven and a half on your total. After that,
you have the clip first at the Phoenix Suns the
(04:01):
Clippers seven point favorites two thirty two and a half
year total and the nightcap ten forty pm Eastern Time
from Utah Boston at UTAW the Jazz five and a
half point favorites to eighteen and a half your total
in that one. Let's go to the MLB score card here.
Spring training games going on. But the news is J. D.
Davis and m R I revealed Wednesday. No new structural
(04:25):
damage per mets GM Brody Van wagon In looks like
Davis has an avoided significant injury. And Justin Verlander, the
astros ace and number three pitcher on Frank Stanfold and
Greg Susten's players starting pitchers list has been scratched Thursday.
Not significant injuries though expected there. And Maria sherf Polva
(04:49):
tennis star, five time Grand Slam champion has retired from tennis.
That's it nineteen years. The turney two year old Russian
reached number one in the w t A rankings in
eight and twenty twelve, but has dropped to in the
world the last ranking she was involved in. That's it
(05:12):
from Maria Charova and that's it for me with your
BFFs sports script news update guys, back to all right,
Thanks a lot there, sewn. Maria Sharapova to quote book
of t five time, five time, five time, five time,
five time Grand Slam Champion, hanging it up, hanging up
the racket? Is that what they call it? I don't know. Anyway,
(05:32):
We're gonna get into our starting pitcher preview Part two,
the rest of the show here on the Fantasy BFS,
specifically getting out our top forty seven starting pitchers, and
we'll give you some sleepers as well as well. You do,
Greg something like to say as well, But what we
also have is a snippet of the NBA tip trill
from earlier today, Greg Susman with Daily Rhodo dot COM's
(05:55):
Drew dink Meyer to talk about one of the players
that they're focusing on tonight in the NBA b F slate.
Let's go over to shooting guard here, Drew, and that Raises.
(06:16):
Now do well Marta Rosen, which makes sense because La
Marcus Aldres is not in there tonight, like end, A
lot more of that coming your way. But in these
games between San Antonio and Dallas, you gotta like Tmarta Rosen. Yeah,
Tmarta Rosen. In the games without LaMarcus Alders this year,
his usage rate a shot up to over thirty. The
rebounding and the assist rates have have bounced up as well,
(06:38):
and so he's just got a huge opportunity set whenever
LaMarcus Aldridge is off the floor. And that's consistent when
you look at on a game level basis, or just
in the regular season when they both played in the
same game and Aldred just been off the floor, the
use of right really skyrockets. So you know, thirty five
plus minutes of that tonight against Dallas, a team that
you know plays fast and is a little bit loose
around the defensive side of the ball, a really good
(06:59):
price tag on to Marta Rosen. It doesn't look like
it's been adjusted for the assumption that Aldridges out price
below seven thousand. You should really take advantage of that tonight.
This is kind of like the c j MC Collumns
situation from the last few nights, where without Damian Lillard,
c j MC Collins rates explode without LaMarcus soldiers to
Marta Rosen's rates explode. I don't know if we'll quite
get the performances from tomorrow that we've been getting from
(07:20):
c J, but I think it's very likely to pay
off the six price tag and shout out to Daily
Rhodo Andrew dick Meyer. The guys have been absolutely crushing
it all season long. From an NFL NBA Dfest perspective,
also from an NFL Dfest perspective, But right now we're
in NBA season. We're prepping for Fantasy baseball as well.
But these guys have done a phenomenal job. They gave
out Joel Embid the other day, Greg, and he dropped
(07:42):
a career high forty nine points tonight to Marta Rosen.
With La Marcus Aldridge out, the usage rate goes up,
the points per game go up for Demarta Rosen. I
think it makes a ton of sense de mar de
Rosian with a Lamargus Aldridge, He's gotta be a lock
for your lot up. I know Drew also likes Luka
doantech Here to night givebout joellan vehicle days ago, as
you said, Dwelling Bead was your NBA Fantasy Player of
the night. Thanks for those forty nine points. All right,
(08:05):
let's get a new starting pitching Part du Part two,
Part dose, and we begin with Claire. I have two, Frank,
because we did one twenty one yesterday Claire twenty two.
It's power power, let's go. There's no way that you
actually want Trevor Bauer and he is a target of yours.
Why not? All right, So tell me why, Greg, I'll
(08:26):
tell you why you're wrong. The Trevor Bauer obviously two
years ago. It was awesome last year he was drafted
as an ace like pitcher. He's just twenty nine years old.
And listen, he had to set back last year. Didn't
really feel right in Cleveland. Warily work out that well. Um,
but while all the numbers were much worse last year
than they were the year prior, you're doing a great job,
(08:50):
doing a great job of selling Trevor Bauer. You can
bounce back. You've got nothing, dude, Why do you have
Trevor Bauer? Reg Number twenty two at starting pitcher? Here's
to here's what you need to know. He had one
phenomenal season. Can't take anything away from him. Back at
two eighteen, a two point to one e r A
great If you had him that year, probably helped to
win a Fantasy Baseball championship. If you own him last year,
(09:12):
he did not help you. In fact, he hurt you.
He was terrible. He had an ear a over four
a four point four eight ear a like he has
had for most of his career. Actually, in fact, outside
of that two thousand eighteen season, Trevor Bauer has had
an ear a of at least four point one nine
in every single season as a starting pitcher in Major
League baseball. He's not good. He's Robbie Ray. Robbie Ray
(09:34):
and Trevor Bauer have the basically same career numbers, and
I will illustrate that to you right now. Robbie Ray
four eleven career e r A one three five whip
career eleven case per nine. Trevor Bauer four point zero
four ear a. Alright, he's point zero seven better, one
point three zero whip point zero five better. There nine
(09:57):
and a half case per nine in his career. I
will give you this. Over the past three seasons, his
caper nine has been up over ten. Still not as
good as Robbie Ray. Why are we drafting Trevor Bower two, three,
four rounds ahead of Robbie Ray. If you want someone
who's gonna suck at everything except give you strikeouts, why
don't you just take Robbie Ray? Greg Okay, you think
that sherevor Bower can still improve, Like I feel Robbie
(10:18):
Ray is Robbie Robbie Ray is can't you ever? I
know you're gonna say, but isn't eighteen like the aberration?
Isn't that just the outliers? Obviously? But I think that
not these both of these guys didn't have that top
prospect pedigree, And I like, I don't like Robbie Robbie right,
Robbie Ray ragged. I'll tell you the time that you
(10:39):
draft Robbie Ray, greg is you pair him with Kyle
Hendricks And I don't. And I believe it was I
believe it was Alex Chamberlain, who was a Baseball Writer
of the Year last year, Fantasy Baseball Writer of the
Year with Fan Grafs still the phenomenal job. He kind
of brought about the idea of pairing together Robbie Ray
and Kyle Hendricks and making one super picture because it
makes a lot of sense. Hendricks is gonna give you
(11:00):
ear a, He's gonna give you whip. I'm not gonna
give you strikeouts. I'll be Ray. I'm gonna give you strikeouts,
gonna give you nothing else. Maybe he'll give you wins.
Because that division outside of the Dodgers is lackluster and
should have good run support behind him. But outside of Batman.
But I get it on Trevor Bauer, the swinging strike percentage,
the strikeout ability, I understand it. But you can get
(11:21):
strikeouts later on in the draft. We'll talk about to
Nelson limit, We'll talk about Robbie Ray, Canton, Mayata. You
can get strikeouts anywhere. All he's gonna do is hurt
your ear and whip as well, unless he doesn't sally
about Sunny Gray, his teammate the other side up. Yes,
I want to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk
(11:43):
on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot Com
and dominate on fandel and draft kings this season. Compete
with the pros with Daily Rodal dot Com optimizer and
the most accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus lineup alerts,
breaking news, lake swap support and much more safe temper
sent on winning NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk.
(12:03):
Visit Daily road dot Com backslash Dunk to learn more.
Tompson had done it, and just like into the ground,
(12:25):
rock and Roll was being born. Marijuana. We with scorn
all your here on the show. Game you wanted to
talk about Trevor Bauer, You got it now. All I
want to do is talking right back here. B f
F's Frank, I'm Greg. We we talked about Trevor Bauer
and we talked about well. Frank mentioned during the break
(12:46):
to me they maybe the pigeon coach Larry Johnson in
Cincinnati the work his magic, because he's worked his magic before,
specifically with his old pupil, Sonny Gray. Sunny Gray. Last
year you had a really nice bow back yere from
his couple of tough years in New York. Sonny Gray
is my number? Where is he? My number? Twenty five
(13:07):
pitcher off the board right? Where is he for you?
Sonny Gray is my number right, So we both have
He's at our top twenty five there. I know you
really like Sonny Gray. This year a great bashback year.
Why do you think, uh, he's twenty twenty, more like
twenty nineteen. Then says seen, Well, I think that they
figured some things out last year, and you mentioned that
(13:28):
he was reunited with his former pitching coach Derek Johnson,
and Derrek Johnson came over from the Brewers and obviously
did a phenomenal job with players while he was with
in Milwaukee, and then last year wound up helping Sonny
Gray and Luis Castillo get to the next level. And
he was just phenomenal last year. UH sub three e
r A one oh eight whip the x fit was
a little bit higher three six five. But even if
(13:50):
he gave you, you know, a mid three's e r
A this year, based on where he's going at top
twenty five starting pitcher, I think that you would be
all right with that the strikeouts were up. He does
exactly what you want. He gets strikeouts, He gets a
lot of groundballs, nearly a percent groundball rate. Still struggles
a little bit too much with the walks. But last year, Greg,
and we've always said this about Sonny grade is that
he didn't get enough strikeouts to mitigate the walks. Last
(14:12):
year was the year that he actually finally did that.
Posted a career high eleven percent swinging strike rate pent
K rate was by far the highest of his career
and fourteenth highest among qualified starting pitchers last year. The
biggest difference for him was that he started using his
breaking pitches more, and we hear that a lot in
baseball is get away from the bast the fastball, use
(14:32):
your breaking pitches more. That's exactly what he did. Use
the slider more, used the curveball more. Uh and the
slider rated as a top twelve pitch according to fan
Graphs pitch Values. His curveball was top five among curveballs
last year as well. So there's some people that speculate
that his breaking pitches won't be as good. And I
believe when we had Nick Pollock on a pitcher list,
that was his hesitancy when it comes to Sonny Gray.
(14:56):
But you know, if he can come anywhere close to
replicating what he did with his breaking pitches last year, Greg,
I think that he can give you a you know,
three five to three seven e r A with you
know one one five, two to one two oh whip
with you know, really good strike outs, add eighty innings.
And you know, if he does that, he's likely going
to be a top five, top thirty starting pitcher once again.
(15:17):
Sony is obviously not sexy. Um, like you said, the
washer down strike guys, we're up. Um. I feel like
you just have fatigue on Sonny Greg, Greg, is that
I do? I I think that he's a really good
word for it. What do you want him as? So
that's a good question, and I was going to bring
this up as well. I think if you play in
a fifteen team league, and that's more so for deep
(15:39):
performance NFBC formats, I don't mind him as my SP two.
I don't love it, but ideally I would want him
as my SP three. And I think there's something we
should break down as well, and I wanted to mention
this is that we went over our top twenty one
pitchers yesterday. Greg. When I'm doing my drafts, I want
to come away with at least two of my top
(15:59):
twenty one, right, and that's when that's what Garrit Cohler
to Graham in the first round. If not, you know,
maybe a Patrick Corbin or a Geldo in the third.
But I do want to grab a Morton or a
Paddock or a Synder Guard. I know you like Syndergraard
a lot in that fourth round range. Give me two
of my top twenty one starting pitchers, and then I
also want to extend that to give me three of
(16:19):
my top thirty Sunny Grays inside of that top thirty.
So I wouldn't mind him as my SP three ideally
fair enough, Sunny great for me. I haven't met twenty five.
Like I said, he's an SP three here A draft
Sunny Gray, you're not in. I can only see me
drafting Sunny Grey Wight team with you, like I can
(16:40):
be talkings anywhere, like, hey, this is how the team
is kind of shaped. Me up. I want Sunny Gray here,
but like, okay, I can see that. I don't see
myself really drafting him. The thing is, the price isn't
anywhere near what he did last year, because it's because
it's not just me that has getting in like a
you know, the six eight rounds in the seventh round. Yeah,
it's not just me that has that. It's he goes. Yeah,
(17:00):
there's a lot of people who are skeptical of what
he did last year. Right, So that's why you know,
if you like him, you'll get him at at a
solid value. If not, I mean, just keep letting them
fall down the board. So I have a tier that
goes from two to twenty seven. I mention Trevor Bauer,
I mentioned Sonny Grace. You only have six guys in
that tire. I only have six guys in that's here
because my mind is similar. I have it from thirty one.
It's a little bit bigger. Okay, that's interesting. One. I'm
(17:21):
gonna read you, my guys, and then you can get
into years. You can put it, and you guys should
put it up so everybody can see what we're talking about.
So I got Trevor Bauer here at two, followed by
Jose Burrios, Corey Kluber, Sonny Gray or Less Carrasco and
Tyler Glass. Now, and that's really when my tear ends,
and I have Wheeler starting my next year. What I know,
you hate Bauer and that's fine. What do you think
(17:41):
about the rest of it, Frank Corey Cluber? I I'm
not in on either this year because at the point
you were. We did the starting picture preview on FC
earlier today. My two bus were Trevor Bauer and Corey Cluber. Okay, yeah,
you're just not buying that. Clue were always a terrible
apron onnoight, are you just not buying that, Corey Cluber
and bounce back in anyway? I mean, I'm not ruling
it out. There's definitely maybe having some a year off
from that shoulder like that could be helpful. It might
(18:03):
it might actually help him, right, and he's older now,
But I think what we saw last year, we just
can't completely dispute that. And I understand much last year.
He normally gets off to slow starts, Greg, But I
mean what he did last year was really bad. Yeah,
but he meets seven starts. It's not like insignificant. That's
almost a quarter of the season. Well, fine, Star Wars,
but like you know, if the slow start, those seven
(18:25):
starts at eight fil nay, it wasn't warm yet, it's
cold in Cleveland. You're making the case for Clover here, Greg,
And look, he he might make me look stupid here
if he bounces back with Texas. He's not in the
r angeen. Yeah, that's why it looks. It's hard to be.
He's one year removed from a two eight nine e
r A was zero point nine nine. Like he was great,
(18:46):
there's no doubt about that. But I think late in
twenty eight teen we started to see the skills a
road a little bit, definitely, and then early last year,
so that's all we have to go on. It's like
the first month of last year and the last month
or two of eighteen and those last three months have
not been good and he's getting up there in age
as well. Over here, here's what lander and granky. There's
(19:06):
no signs right with Cluber. There is a bad months,
three months was a bad month, five eight e r
A and seven starts last year the walks three point
seven nine bad. That's not something you normally see out
of Klueber. His twenty two percent hey rate was his
lowest and twenty thirteen in those first seven starts. And
here's another thing, Greg three seventy babbitt for the record.
(19:28):
But here's what I get to on the babbitt last
over the past two seasons is hard contact rate is
thirty six point seven percent. From two thousand and eleven
through seventeen, his hard contact was twenty seven percent over
the past two seasons now and again this is going
back to eighteen where we're starting to see a trend
of him giving up hard contact. The past two seasons
(19:49):
up over thirty six percent hard contact, which is nowhere
what it has been in years past. For Corey Klueber.
There is a range of outcomes, um where he completely
makes me look foolish and he goes back to being
the Corey Cluober of old. I I recognize that, but
I'm not willing to take that gamble. Give me someone
like Sonny Gray, who I still think is young enough
and you know, showed us what his upside was last year.
(20:12):
Give me one of these you know hype guys starting
pitchers with Mantas and Max Freed and Gallen all players
who we think could take that next step. Corey Cloober
Greg at age thirty four, is someone that I am
worried about this season. We'll say this, Corey Clubers fastball,
Uh was the slowest that has ever been ninety one
point in a six miles per hour in those seven
starts last year. Uh he usually around ninety three and
(20:37):
ninety one. If he's losing juicual the fastball, that's not
so good. Who do you have closing out this whole
tier or is making up this whole tier for you? Yeah?
So I have a twenty two through thirty one. For me,
this is my tier three, and I really want one
of these guys as my SP three if at all possible.
I have Tyler Glass now at SP twenty two, followed
by Brandon Woodruff, Jose Barrios, Sonny Gray, Carlos Carrasco Max
(21:02):
Freed to seven, Zack Gallon at, Frankie Mantas at nine,
Zach Wheeler at thirty, and Mike Saroka at thirty one.
That rounds out that tier for me. And as you
can see up on the screen, Uh, the start of
thirty two is the beginning of the next year. So
for me, you're hiring than Brandon would you have which
we which we knew already that you literally leave that
up Alt Saw. I want to be able to compare.
(21:23):
So Brandon, would you if you have higher than than
I do, which we which we knew about. He's your
number twenty three overall? What makes you so high? I
would your I get Glass note right, like, I'm a
little bit worried about the health with Glass now after
you come back last year. But it was tough for him.
I'm starting to buy in a little bit all this
talk about using like a split change up to even
if he uses that like ten, it's it's literally it's
(21:44):
a matter of staying healthy. But if Glass now stays
healthy for like one fifth year, one sixty, it's like
the steel the draft. Totally agree with that. I was
totally all on the glass now you can stay healthy. Um,
there is risk, Bob. But Brandon, would you you have
a twenty three, I have him down at thirty and
then you have all the hype guys back to back
to back year twenty nine. The Lazardo is a little
bit lower here for you at thirty four and a
(22:05):
different tier. Um, we're getting those guys in a few moments.
But why are you showing brand Wood this year? So
he is very fastball and sinker reliant, which normally I
would like a starting pitcher to have, you know, a
breaking pitch that he really can rely on. He used
the slider about twenty percent. Uh, and it's a solid slider.
But he's really really reliant on his four steamer and
(22:25):
his sinker ball. And last year, Greg, I mean it
was a breakout. You remember, throughout spring training he was
someone that you know, a lot of people were touting
as a sleeper and it came to fruition A three
six t e r A last year a three point
three six x Fips says that maybe he should have
been even better than he was last season. Greg a
one one four whip. I think the strikeouts might take
a little bit of a step back. He was at
(22:46):
ten and a half case per nine. Yet his uh,
his strikeout rate was it seems a little deceptive based
on the eleven point nine percent swinging strike rate. Actually
wrote next with swinging strike crate Matt. So maybe the
strikeout has come down a little bit for Woodruff. But
he's someone that could get groundballs. He has good command.
He didn't walk too many batters two point two two
(23:07):
walks for nine last year, and there were always kind
of signs of him being good. He was just never
used solely as a starting pitcher. He's been using relief,
bouncing back and forth a little bit. But in the
minor leagues he was very good. Um, I think there's
a lot to like. He relies on his fastball. He
throws it like miles per hour. I saw his first
start the other day in spring training. He was hitting
like ninety nine regularly. So I mean he throws extremely
(23:28):
hard and as one of the best fastballs in the game. Um,
I'm buying in. I don't mind him as an SP
three or again, if you play in one of these
deeper leagues in the great fantasy based presentations, I not ideally,
but I wound up with him as my SP two
with Patrick Corbin. So I'm gonna continue to hammer out
starting pitching in that draft, but I do not mind
him whatsoever as an SP three. Greg and the numbers
(23:49):
all going up for Brandon wouldr Off. Of course, he's
gotta get you on the Brandon would Off training. Come on,
it's funny. Look at the stats last year. I was like, sure,
we're talking to Brandon would More. He's good and all
over him last year and I was like missing something here,
it's pretty good. Yes, you get back in on them
this year. All right, let's get the hype guys here
a little bit and go further down in our top forty.
Stick around Dave's roll out after this. I want to
(24:12):
be the next Daily Fantasy millionaire. Dunk on your NBA
DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot com and dominate on
fandel and DraftKings this season. Compete with the pros with
Daily Rodal dot com optimizer and the most accurate projections
in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts, breaking news, lake
swap support, and much more safe ten percent on winning
NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk Visit Daily road
(24:36):
dot com backslash dunc you learn more all right back
here on the b F F F Brant, Saucepan and
Frank standfor let's get to the hype guys here a
little bit, Frank and you had your boy Max Freed
(24:57):
kind of leading this tier off, Max Free, Zach Allen,
Frankie Mullintos all in that pack for you. These are Lozardo.
A little bit later on, I Lozardo as the head
of my hype guys. You mentioned it on Twitter last night.
You mentioned as you walked in the Haris Lozardo now
has a new high pick in the NFBC going in
(25:17):
the sixth round. People are buying the hype once again
on Hazar's Lizardo. Yeah, and I like Lozardo. The reason
why I have him ranked a little bit lower than
some of those other guys is, as you can see
the projection below, they have him projected over on Fangraphs
for a hundred and forty nine endings pitch. That to
me is extreme best case scenario, because this is somebody
who only pitched fifty five innings last year, pitched three
(25:41):
more in the postseason. The year before that, he threw
a hundred and nine innings only through forty three. This
guy has never really thrown that many endings. And I
know that the reports that have come out of Oakland
are there's gonna be no ending's limit for Lozardo and A. J. Puck.
I'm not buying that, because they want to play in
the postseason, they want to go deep. They need Lozardo
and Puck to yes, help them get there, but they're
(26:01):
also gonna need them once they get to the postseason.
So and if I'm projecting Lozardo, I'm not giving him
much more than a hundred and thirty or a hundred
and forty endings pitch greg And for that reason, that's
why I have him ranked below names like Freed and
Gallon and Montage, just because I think that those guys
are gonna give you more endings. Maybe Lozardo is better
on a per ending basis, but the thing is you're
(26:23):
probably going to get thirty to forty more endings pitch
out of those other pictures. Yeah, you exactly what I
was going to say that I think he's just better
than all the guys that you mentioned, Gallen Freed, It's
hard to argue with that. I mean, the guy is
ridiculous to five three r A in the minors. Sure,
last year, Montas pitch h nineties six citings around a
major suspension that wiped him out for most of the year.
He was phenomenal last year. I remember you, Floria and
(26:44):
I were hanging out, uh and dancing around Frankie Montas.
We all bought in and it worked out. I remember
Florio at first did not like Frankie mont hitting and
I had to try and talk him into it. But
you know, Frankie Mantas what he did last year, and
it was not p D related. He finally just put
it all together. Look at his career, his career log
year by year. There was one year where he got
a ton of strikeouts but would walk too many batters,
(27:06):
and in the next year he limited the walks and
then didn't get any strikeouts. And last year he finally
figured it all out. Has prospect pedigree always through hard,
so it's not pe D related. What he did last
year was related to the fact that he introduced a splitter.
He introduced a new pitch, and last year thirty five
percent chase rate that would have ranked twelve among starting pitchers.
(27:26):
Fortcent groundball rate has solid command, gives you groundballs, solid strikeouts,
you know, maybe around a strikeout for any like nine
per nine kind of guy. Not gonna wow you there.
But I think someone who can pitch to a you
know again, three five to three seven e R. I
think someone similar to like a Sonny Gray. That's why
I have these guys ranked similarly. Some people might be
(27:46):
skeptical because it was the only season he's ever done
it Greg, but I'm not one of those people. Raymondas
is twenty six years older Jurdge wenty seven at the
end of March, and I agree, finally put it all together.
He was a guy that once it started going right
last year, we all kind of notice because what he
was doing seemed legitimate. And when he came back from
the suspension, I picked up where he left off. I
(28:09):
think his final start, he only made one start after suspensions,
good six innings of one run ball with six strikeouts
against the of the Anahi Mangels Los Angeles Angels. Whatever, Well,
this is good and if he could just continue on
this path, You're got a nice value here. With Frankie Mantaz,
I think, yeah, I'm with you. I like Frankie Mantas,
not as much as I like Freed and Zach Gallen.
(28:30):
We spoke about these guys a lot, but we'll just
kind of reiterated real quick. I mean with Zach Gallen,
traded over from the Miami Marlins last year, and what
he did in the PCL, the Pacific Coach League, mind
you wear, the average e r A was like five
in this league last year. That's how bad pitching was.
He had a one seven seven e ar A, a
zero point seven whip and and twelve strikeouts and a
(28:53):
third endings pitch. When he came up last year, did
struggle with command a little bit. I didn't. I don't
think he had enough confidence in his stuff from the
get go. But as the season went along, once he
got traded to the dimeback, stills walks started to come
down a little bit, the strikeouts remained all along. He
has four different pitches that he can rely on, four seam, curve, cutter,
change up, and he threw a hundred and seventy one
(29:13):
and a third endings pitch between the Miners and the
Major's last year. So I don't think he's gonna be
on any type of endings limit. I think He's probably
gonna give you a hundred seventy five hundred endings of
really really good baseball. That is Zack zac Gallen and
then Max Freed. Greg, just look at the numbers, man,
it's the strikeouts were phenomenal. He really took a step
forward in terms of command the spring, not the spring. No, no, no,
(29:35):
but that's good. Look, if you're scared off of Max Freed,
continue to let him fall because I will take him
in all of my drafts. He did get blown up
in his first start here in the springcent groundball rate, Greg,
how about this in the second half for Max Freed
ten point two case for nine three point six r
A with a three point one to x fit. We're
all in on Max Freed. And let's go over to
(29:56):
Greg Suspen with I don't know a sports screed news update.
You're not gonna believe this, Bam, bam, bamy. You are
going to believe everything about Tell you Edwin Diaz shut
down for the season because he stinks. Wrong team, Thank
you very much. Try again? Uh, what team and what
player do you think we get hurt it spring training
(30:17):
in February? Um, do you any spice very close in
right City. Oh is it a Brandon Nemo? I saw
it was hurt early. Oh no, no, right he was
on again, Right City. Don't say Garrett colegreg right team.
Oh no, no, no no, you expect this player to
(30:38):
get Judge, Chuck. Carlos Stanton heard his right calf during
outfield work and an m R I revealed the grade
one calf stream. This is insane. This is absolutely insane.
I would like you to please stand up right now
and pat me on the back. Come over here and
(30:58):
just give me a pat on the back. Let's go.
Greg Susan here on the BFS Live, give me a
pat on the back. For anyone who watched Fantasy Sports
today the other day, believe it was tuesday. We had
our outfield preview. I said my bus at the position
we're gian Carlos Stanton and Aaron Judge, These gentlemen cannot
stay healthy. You need to stop buying in oh, fifty
(31:23):
home runs one year in Marlins Park. He has one
season over forty home runs in his career. He closes
his eyes when he swings, he can't hit a breaking pitch,
he's overrated, and now he's hurt once again. How much
time is he gonna miss? Unlikely to be ready to go?
There you go, perfect, Clint Frasier, Welcome to the team. Sockman,
(31:45):
Mike Tuckman, Oh no, I know who it's gonna be,
Miguel and dude, dude, the do The first batted ball
in today's Yankee game went to who Mike in left field?
And let me tell you, he looked good. Pretty damn
shaky cat good ball look better than Stanton did. Well,
it's not hard to look better than sating, Greg. All
(32:07):
you gotta do is be on the field. This is ridiculous. Man.
I'm more so angry just from like a Yankee fan perspective.
I'm obviously, look, I don't want anyone to get hurt,
but it's just like it's obvious to me, why do
we keep drafting these guys that are built like Adonis's.
That's it's just doesn't work in baseball. It doesn't. George
(32:30):
always hurt, Stanton always hurt. Joey Gallo last year, Oblique,
he's built like a mammoth human being as well. Greg.
It's just it's frustrating all around from a baseball perspective,
fantasy perspective, It's it never ends, man, It never ends.
Stanton felt the CAF injury yesterday at the end of
his workout, Yankee sent him for an m RI. I today,
(32:50):
all right, Greg, are you gonna draft Max for you
this year? What? Yeah? Alright? Cool? Max? Straight? Um, I
noticed that one hype guy is a little bit oh right,
he's actually hiring your rankings and most people, but he's
a little bit lower than I have them. That's the
Nelson Lamette. Um, how come you're a little bit lower
hinds with the other guys. Yeah, it just comes back
to the projection. How many endings are you projecting for
(33:12):
to Nelson Lamette this upcoming season? The strikeouts are gonna
be great, There's no doubt about that. And last year
he was unlucky pitched to an ear a over four
a three point four for Xfit, but the whip was high.
It's always gonna be high because he walks a lot
of guys. He's very similar to this mold of like
a Trevor Bauer or a Robbie Ray type, except I
think the ear A can be a little bit better.
(33:32):
He had a thirty three point six percent strikeout rate
last year that would have ranked fourth among starting pitchers
if he qualified. But you know, over three and a
half walks per nine last season, over four walks per
nine for his career. Uh, the swinging strike rate was
great fourteen percent. That would have been tied with Chaine
Bieber for ninth among starting pitchers last year. Uh. Kind
(33:53):
of worry about him being just a two pitch Picture Greg.
He used like a four seams sinker and he uses
a slider. It's like it's like a or it's like
a slider curve type pitch of the time, and it's
a great pitch. But I worry about him just being
a two pitch pitcher. I'm probably not going to own
him just because there's always someone in the draft that
likes him more than I. But I do acknowledge that
the talent is there and the strikeout upside is there.
(34:14):
But I do worry about the projected endings as well.
He's probably giving you like one fifty if we're being
on I think innings are a fair question mark. Control
obviously also a fair question mark when it comes to limit.
I'm high on him. I have no issue drafting him
pretty much where he's going, Like I want one of
these guys you know it's fun. You wanted to get
it right, I won't one in every single one. I
don't want to leave a draft without one of Franks Freed,
(34:36):
Zach Gallen, Frankie Mantas, Lizardo or even if you want
to put into this mix as well, who you your
eyes with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Well, so your eyes
isn't inside my top forty seven. I think he's very similar,
Like he's forty really good. So here's my thing, with
how many innings, how many things you set it with Lizardo,
he's in the rotation you set it with the Nelson Limt.
(34:58):
You've already said he's in. Really he's in, He's already
you know he's he's the sp four. They're basically saying
that their rotation is set with Alex Wood rounding it out.
And you know that mind, that's what it really get
scerning about him. You still have to worry about it
because the Dodgers have a lot of really really good
depth greg they have rows tripling if if Urias is struggling, obviously,
(35:19):
the Dodgers have aspirations of I don't know if they're
ever gonna do it winning a World Series and going
deep into the postseason once again. I mean, if there's
any year they can do it, it's this year. But
last year only seventy nine and two thirds endings pitched
in the Major and in the major's two endings in
the minors, so you know, slightly over eighty. And look,
I've I've got to be fair in my analysis. If
I'm criticizing someone like Lazardo for not getting much more
(35:43):
than a hundred and thirty hundred forty endings pitched, I
have to be consistent with Urias, and I think that
some of those concerns remain. Uh fan graphs they have
him projected for, you know, right around between a hundred
and thirty and a hundred forty. I think that's a
fair projection. But he's probably gonna be really good in
those one nings. You're talking like a sub three point
five e r A a good whip and over a
(36:04):
strikeout for any I really think that's attainable. For who
we are, Your rights rights in the rotation because cantatas
you right, you are not talking about them when they're
new places. Next, I want to be the next Daily
Fantasy millionaire dunk on your NBA DFS competition with Daily
rodal dot com and dominate on fandel and DraftKings this season.
(36:26):
Compete with the pros with Daily rodal dot Com optimizer
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safe ten percent on winning NBA DFS advice with promo
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learn more. Next for real, those cust live on sports
(36:56):
from Jared Smits will check in the wrong it doesn't
join me on the NBA Twitch program to the NBA
Fantasy Our at some point, I assume you will stick
around for this, right for the NBA Fantasy Hour. Yeah,
maybe you can. Uh, I don't know. It tice me me,
I don't know, take me out for dinner and well
and then we'll do the Fantasy Hour together. No, we
(37:17):
do what the plan aren't auction. We also have to
plan a date for you to make me some buttermilk
fried chicken. It look pretty good, dude, It was amazing.
It was a lot of work, admittedly, yeh. Was it
worth it? Yes? Yes? Speaking of which, Greg, will you
be trying the new KFC fried chicken on a doughnut sandwich.
(37:37):
I understand a lot of people are going to be
grossed out by it, and I get it. It's one
of those things, Greig, where I have to try it.
I had to try it. At least you're going to
have a heart attack. I think I am so plan
for a new coast. I don't want to do that.
I mentioned going to break about Julia. You said it's
in the rotations, the number four starting picture announced by
(37:57):
the Dodgers. I'm gonna do my research to make sure
you're not lying at it. I hope I'm not lying either.
You just take him, No, I didn't take him. We
took res Hoskins in the ninth round. It's my guy. Um.
But the reason that there are spots in the rotations
just hundred, Ryou and Kenta Mayata are no longer in
the rotation with the Dodgers because they're no longer on
the Dodger My he's in Minnesota and Ryou heads over
(38:19):
to Toronto. I have these players both inside of my
top forty seven, with Rye being at forty three, my
hand at forty seven. But I think it very similar, Um,
similar pictures obviously right. He was amazing last year. Where
are these guys for you? So I have re you
at thirty nine. I have David Price at forty three.
You didn't bring up David Price. Well, he's joining the rotation.
(38:39):
I have him at thirty seven. Okay, so we all
have We have these guys in pretty much similar ranges,
and I have my Ada at forty six. We're very
close there. So here's the three guys inside our top
forty seven. Yeah, and here's what I'll say if we
could throw the rankings back up again, my basically thirty
two through forty seven, and you see thirty two through
forty here, I'll let you know just not listed here, uh,
(39:00):
forty one through forty seven. I have a Rod, Kyle Hendricks,
David Price, Robbie Ray, Matthew Boyd Quentamida, and of course
Joe must grow like I got it mcget him inside
the top forty seven year. But unless it was Greg,
it's a good mix of this area of the draft
is you have pictures who are going to be really
really good on a per ending basis. Guys like your Ryots,
(39:23):
guys like you, Guys like Quentomata, guys like David Price.
They're going to be really good when they're on the mound.
But for whatever reason, whether it's due to injury risk
or the fact that they've never pitched that many endings before,
you can't really project them for much more than a
hundred and fifty maybe a hundred and sixty endings. But
you do have some good balancing acts with Kyle Hendricks,
(39:45):
someone like a Madison bum Garner, somebody like and Eduardo Rodriguez,
or someone like a Joe must Grow. These are all
pictures who I think are going to give you ennings,
and they're not gonna be as good of endings. They're
probably gonna be you know, high three's e r A
if we're being honest. But they're also going to, you know,
give you close to tings and they're gonna give you
(40:06):
solid strikeout. It's not great, you know, between seven and
eight case per nine, and a lot of these guys
are gonna give you good whip. Greg. If there's one
thing Kyle Hendricks is going to give you, it's a
good whip. Over the last four seasons, he has a
one point one one whip that is twelve best. I'm
unqualified starting pitchers last year. I think I believe Bumgunner
had around like a one zero whip and he did
that for two d endings. Getting two hundred endings of
(40:28):
a whip is awesome, and those are that that's an
elite whip specialist everything else that Bum'm gonna give you. Personally,
I don't really like Bummy because the underlying numbers were
not great. It's probably gonna give you close to a
four ear right, maybe even more than that. The guys
out here, you know, Rodeo in and and doing all
this other stuff. Mason Saunders nickname whatever he is. Uh,
(40:48):
he is an injury risk as well, but it's two
last year. Uh gives you that volume and gives you
a good whip as well. So I think this range
of starting pitchers greg is really good in terms of
giving you endings but also giving you players who are
really good on a per ending basis. And you can
kind of pair some of those pictures together. Yeah, I
I think I like all of them. The current Dodger picture,
(41:12):
the X Dodgers pictures. I think I'm in on all
of them because I think they're been undervalued. I know
there is there's injury risk specifically, right, you always missed
his time when you kind of just leave him alone
and let him beat in the starting rotation. Frank, he's
pretty good, man. I think he just in the a
(41:32):
L probably pitched around a four E r A, maybe
a little bit less than that. It's a great division
to pitching. He has to face the tigers and oils
in the Indians. Yeah, Indian strike out a lot. The
strikeout numbers have always been good. Four. He has a
fourteen percent swinging strike right and backed back seasons, Greig,
some of that comes out of the pen. I realized
(41:52):
that well last year made twenty six starts like thirty
seven appearances, undred and fifty three endings. Pitch. I don't
have a problem with him. Question is does he separate
himself from the other pictures in this tier? You know, Greg,
it seems like a lot of them are similar. How
do you differentiate Kenta Maeda from like a David Price,
for example, because David Price last year had his highest
strikeout race like the past five years. I think so
(42:14):
I actually like Price. I have Price. Price is gonna
get you wins too, and Priced ten spots higher that
I have kids in my hand. He'll get you wins.
But I have priced ten spots higher because out of
Boston and in the NL, those are two really good
factors for David Price. I think so for David Price.
I looked into this last night, his career versus the Yankees.
(42:34):
I mean, we all know it's bad. An e r
A over five horrible, a one four three whip in
head of in two hundred and fifty two hundred and
fifty nine ning sample that's like to David Price seasons
and he has an e r A overre five against
the Yankees. He doesn't have to face the Yankees anymore.
He gets to face the Giants four or five times
a season, the Padres, who Okay, yeah, we're kind of
(42:56):
excited about Tatis and Machado, but I think there's still
some question mark. Yeah, I don't have to go to Colorado.
That's true, all right? So those are top Are there
anybody else inside your top seven? That's when my tear ends.
But there anybody in this section of guys that are
on your list or right outside your list that you
have not mentioned that you wanted to at least get
on getting on before we want to some of our
(43:17):
late round sleepers just quickly mentioned Matthew Boyd. I think
Matthew Boyd is basically the American League version of Robbie Ray.
I think they're very similar. They give up a lot
of hard contact, a lot of home runs. That was
an issue for Boyd last year, but he's going to
give you strike out. So again, if you can marry
a Matthew Boyd with a Kyle Hendricks who's gonna help
your ratios, or you know, someone similar to that, I
think it makes a lot of sense as well. Joe
(43:39):
must Grove, I'll just say it quickly, Greg, I know
that you're out on must Grove finally. For years we're
pounding the table on Joe must Grove. But Ray Series
is no longer. The Pitching Coach Series puts an emphasis
on fastballs and sinkers. Joe must Grows fastball was not
a good one. The final month of the season, he
saw an uptick in velocity, started using his slider more,
started using his breaking pitches more, and he does have
(44:00):
very good command. He's going to be a plus whip contributor.
I still believe in the skills of Musgrove. I think
one of these years he's going to put it together,
and frankly, a lot of people were burned by him
last year, and he's following down draft boards and you
can get him as like your SP five or your
SP six. So at that point, why not My next
crew is numbers forty ninety eight that included Joe Muscrow,
(44:20):
also includes Joe Muscrow's ex teammate Lance mc colors. He's
like a lot today, frank about some of these younger
pictures that will be limited and how many Anis are
going to give you. You look kind of jumping back
in a Lasma Colors who hasn't started a game yet
in screen training. You know, he's working his way up
towards that. Hopefully we'll get there next week. Here's someone
the drafting. Probably not because he's going into similar range
as you're riots and not going much later than a
(44:42):
lot of the names that we just mentioned, and he
might be as good as those guys on a per
enning basis. Career three six seven e ar a from
the Colors, but he's never pitched more than a hundred
and twenty eight endings, and coming off the injury, he
has struggled with command in the past. He has a
career three point five three walks per nine. I feel
like the first season Backgreg, it's you know, that's something
that someone struggles with right coming off of a major
(45:05):
injury like this, is they can struggle with command early on.
Lansom Color strikes me as someone who, you know, if
he's shaky this year, I'll be in on heading into
next year, assuming that he's healthy, because you'll get him
at a discount. Lansom Colors not really someone that I'm
targeting this upcoming season. I think we could see some
rough patches early on Greg. Also in this crew of
guys around Lansmer Colors for me, or some names that
(45:27):
we talked about in the past that we like, Frank
Luke Weaver, he's in there, Marcus Stroman is in there,
Rivn Canny and Caleb Smith as well. Yeah. Look, when
it comes to Luke Weaver, he was great last year.
He just got hurt and I understand it's scary like
he's he was dealing with a forearm injury. It seems
like at any point his elbow could just fall off
(45:47):
this upcoming year, but he was finally starting to figure
it out. And we know that Luke Weaver has that
prospect pedigree came over in the Paul Goldsmith trade, devastating
fastball changeup combination. The difference was last year Greg, he
started using a cutter about fift the time and it
was a really really good cutter. So having that third
pitch that he can go to. H you saw it
pitching too, you know, uh a sub three five e
ar a um gets groundballs as well. Luke Leaver is
(46:10):
someone that I like. I realized there is risk with him,
but if he can stay healthy, he's one of these
guys that can return potentially top thirty starting pitcher value
and the other names you mentioned. Caleb Smith first eleven
starts last year was lights out. That really really struggled
in the second half. I believe he was pitching through
injury and that's what ultimately affected him. Stroman started using
(46:31):
his slider more in the final months of the season.
When we went over to the New York Mets, Greg,
the strikeouts went up for him. He's always someone who's
gonna give you a lot of groundballs. If he can
maintain some of those some of those swinging miss numbers
that we saw what the Mets, then this could potentially
be the best season that we see out of Marcus Stroman,
and he's been good for long time. In his initial
adding with Mets this spring, all right, I'm gonna throw
(46:52):
we have two minutes left, Zill Ferrell, I'm gonna just
throw names at you. You give me like a one
sentence response. Sure, I mean he is a football. Um,
well do they get baseball last year? All right, ready,
let's go her mom Marquez No, Jake Odoriesi, No, not really.
(47:12):
Mike foltonevitch I was originally in on Faulty. I don't
mind him as a back end rotation piece. But last
year the swinging miss still wasn't Their strikeouts weren't great.
So the walks a lot of guys. There are a
lot of players in this range that I like more
like Caleb Smith, I like more Andrew Heeny, Andrewhani. I like.
(47:32):
It's just a matter of staying healthy. We know that
he's a really really good pitcher. Interesting pitch mix, but
gets a lot of strikeouts as well, and solid command,
not not bad command for the strikeouts that he gives you.
Just needs to stay healthy. I think he's really good
when he's on the mount. Adrian Houser Adrian Houser is
a name that I'm targeting, and you can get him
as you know, a bench piece um in your league's
And he's someone who got a lot of groundballs last year. Greg,
(47:55):
I think in your fifty crown ball rate over nine
case for nine last year had solid come in. Maybe
it was just a blip and and aberration, but you
look pretty damn good last year. The brewers randomly find
starting pictures like this. I like Adrian Houser alright. Finally
John Gray. Uh, maybe he'll be in a Yankee uniform soon, Greg,
and then I could buy in there. But I'm someone
(48:16):
that's just never going to own pictures in Colorado. You
can tell me about the swinging strike Rade, the strikeouts
all you want with Marquez and John Gray and what
will you can stream them on the road. It's too
much of a headache. I want a player that I
can use all the time. John Gray is not one
of those guys. All right, there you have those are
starting picture rank sweeted us what you like and what
you don't for roll coach coaches up next. Thanks to
Seawan and Alex down stairs. For Frank, I'm Gregg all
(48:38):
again tomorrow. I want to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire.
Dunk on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot
com and dominate on fandel and draft kings this season.
Compete with the pros with Daily rodal dot Com optimizer
and the most accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus line
up alerts, breaking news, lake swap support, and much more
(48:59):
safe ten percent on winning NBA DFS advice with promo
code Dunk. Visit Daily rodo dot com backslash donc to
learn more. H
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