Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
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Enjoy the show, and thanks so much for listening to tons. Yeah,
(00:42):
that's welcome. Great with now you get you inside up
Studio thirty four. This he's in BFS. He is Frank Standfell.
(01:05):
I am Greg Susman's having a happy Monday to you.
Here to talk about the deepest position in fantasy baseball today,
the third base position. Yes, we are here to talk
about the third base position. But before we do, I
just leave. But I slept very well. It was tough
to get out of bed. I don't know. I didn't
stay up too late. Nothing crazy last night. Just man
(01:27):
alarm went off today. It was tough getting out of bed.
How about you something well? I was I was up
thinking about work pretty early and I was like very
up before my alarm went off. Taking with the third
base ranks early in the morning. Greg, No, not really,
I was just thinking about the whole stuff I had
to do before anyone was like, oh, man, I gotta
do my third base ranks, right, So I you know,
I just I was just often about very early. I
(01:50):
was in College Park, Maryland over the weekend. It was
cool being back. Nostalgic. Not so cool with the result,
but cool being back. Oh does that mean Maryland actually played?
Is that why you were there? You went to a game? Yes?
What happened? Who they face? Oh? College game Day? Was there?
What happened? They lost? They were very badly. The first
(02:11):
time out, the under sixteen time out was the first
time basketball. It would be down nine nothing. They wind
up tying the game three Michigan State. They went on
a seven point run. Michigan stay good. Yeah there it
was good. Um, Maryland, Maryland good. I didn't think so
that was wrong. Um. In the second half, they never
got closer than nine any point, and you were there
(02:35):
to watch it all in person. It was very bad.
I'm sorry. Greg. Well, outside of that, that was the
rest of your weekend. It was awesome because after the game,
we got like two beers and a mixed drink. It
was like a fifteen dollars total, and I was like
I love color. I haven't seen these prices since. How
was it called? It was fantastic and you just you know.
I'll tell you some off gap, but that's fine. Come on,
we got a third base ranks. I want some updates,
(02:56):
some pictures that were worried about Blake Snell for all that.
Alex Pisano with your news updab I am Alex Passano
with your sport grid news update here on the fantasy
bfs in the NFL, that Jaguars will use their franchise
(03:18):
tag on defensive end yannick In Gotuay leads. Sources told
ESPNS Adam Schefter the tag will allow them to trade
him if that's what they decide on or forced to do.
Fun facts for you, Greggy uh In Gotay is a
Maryland Terrapin graduate. There you go, right there. In Gottway
tweeted on Monday morning that his time in Jacksonville is over.
Here's a quick quote from the tweet. The Jaguars are
(03:38):
aware I no longer have interests in signing a long
term contract in Jacksonville. The franchise tag carriage an approximate
salary of nineteen point three million dollars in in the NBA.
The New York Knicks have officially named former player agent
Leon Rose and as their new president. In a letter
to the team's fans, Rose said that he will support
interim coach Mike Miller and his staff. I want to
(04:00):
thank Mike. This is a quote from Leon Rose. I
want to thank Mike for his continued leadership and professionalism
during this period. While noting that the Knicks have young talent,
Rose continued, nothing about this is easy or quick, so
I ask you for your continued patients. This was a
part one of three part tweet from Rose to the
Knicks fans. Rose has been one of the top agents
(04:22):
in basketball for decades, with clients including Joel Embid, Chris Paul,
Devin Booker, and Kyle Kuzma, and in Major League Baseball,
Guys Randing Nationallygue MVP. Cody Bellinger was a late scratch
in the Dodgers spring training lineup on Monday with side discomfort.
He took part in Albert Pooh Holes, his annual charity event,
held in Scottsdale, Arizona, on Sunday, but Dodgers manager Dave
(04:43):
Roberts said Monday he did not believe Bellinger's side sword
and this had anything to do with the golf swings.
He said he expects Bellinger to return this week. He
got a full slate of NBA, NHL, and college hoops tonight.
Some games you want to look at the Portland Trailblazers
visiting the Orlando Magic. Magic your seven point favorites. The
total two one. Also, the Milwaukee Bucks take on the
Miami Heat. Bucks are your four and a half point favorites.
(05:03):
The total is two. I'm Alex Passano and this has
been your sports grid news update. Now back to the
Fantasy b FF's all right back here. B f f's
Frank Greg and job Alex uh Frankie Blake Snell over
the weekend and a quarter zone shot in his elbow
doesn't seem good. That seems terrible. He said. He was
(05:27):
fine pitching even afterwards, get a little more soreness, so
he wanted to be cautious and he's not sure if
he'll be ready for opening day. He is not going
to be ready for opening day. Greg, and this is
one of your keepers. I take it ready, it is, Frank.
So we did get an update earlier today. Noon Raise
manager Kevin Cass said Monday that Blake Snell it's quote
(05:49):
feeling good and remains on track to play catch on Tuesday.
So obviously something to monitor here when it comes to
Blake's now. And again just another picture that is going
to fall down draft boards right now due to injury.
Luis Savourno after the year, Chris Sale with the flu
is obviously falling down draft boards, going to start the
year on the I L Mike Clevinger. Uh, We've actually
(06:10):
seen some positive reports from cleve I saw just last week.
I mean he was ramping up his throwing activity. Guy
looks like he's ready to pitch right now. Hopefully they
don't push him too quickly. But some good news there
out of Clevinger. And then obviously everything that's going on
with Blake Snow Greig gets a Cornzon shot in his
left elbow, his throwing arm, the same elbow where he
had a clean up last year mid season. Man, this
(06:32):
this is a scary situation. Look, I think if you're
going into perhaps you're gonna get him a bit of
a value. Same thing when it comes to auctions. I
think he went for like eighteen dollars in labor yesterday
in the mixed the twelve team mixed auction yesterday, um,
which obviously is much lower than he would have gone
for normally. But um, there's a there's risk, there's there's
obviously a big reward, but I would say right now
(06:54):
the uh, the risk outweighs the reward in my opinion
when it comes to Blake Snow. Yeah, you know, I
get very nervous where it comes to these picture injuries
and they normally more often than not come back to
bite you in the ass and other times like you're fine,
but what reserving shot ready like this would be a
fifteen d fifteen a d Elston he had he and
you have to work his way back up. It's really
(07:17):
really scary as the Blake Snell Uh, as a Blake
Snell owner here, do you hear out what to do?
I wouldn't pay eighteen dollars from I couldn't. Just to
put that in perspective, Blake Snell went for eighteen dollars
yesterday and then trying to see someone else who went
for a simone price like Clevinger went for seventeen, Granky
(07:37):
went for nineteen, so her Shaw twenty. So at an
eighteen dollar price tag, that's someone who based on these
other prices is like a fourth, fifth round starting pitcher.
Still might be too much risk to take on there
when it comes to Blake's Now, there was more going
on of course last night. Is there more going around
the last weekend in regards to fantasy baseball? Before we continue,
(07:57):
let's talk a little fantasy basketball for this evening. For Yeah,
and I know earlier today you met up with not
met up with you, you did the tip drill with
Drew dig Meyer of Deli Rodo dot com. And obviously
Drew and those guys have been phenomenal all season long
and especially recently when it comes to the NBA tip draw.
I know you had a chance to speak to him
about who he's targeting at the center position tonight. Let's
(08:18):
take a look at that on tonight's NBA dfeste. Let's
move over to the center here. And this one another
obvious one for us as Incleuveland Tristan Thompson. He's not
expected to play, which means increased playing time for Andre
(08:39):
Drummond tonight. The top matchup though it gets ready to
go there, Yeah, that's the big thing with Andrea Drummond. Now,
you know the press texts dipped all the way down
to seventy. And that's in large part because when you
have Tristan Thompson playing behind you, they have to regulate
Andre Drummond's minutes more than they did in Detroit. You know,
he's playing kind of low thirties, uh sometimes, you know,
struggling to get up at the thirty minutes because Tris
and Thompson behind him was it needs to play eighteen
(09:01):
to twenty five minutes on each and every night. So
you remove Tristan Thompson from that equation, fins out that
front court for the Calves a little bit and gives
that minutes upside Andre Drummond to get back into the
thirty thirty six range. He's always handled his own pretty
well against Rudy Gobert. We think he'll be able to
do so tonight. And the seventy price tag is miles
away from the price tags you were paying for Andre
Drummond in Detroit earlier in the season, so we think
(09:23):
he's severely under priced here. Bff's there, Andre Jonman, the
guy you don't want to get in your lab tonight.
Without Tristan Thompson expected to play for Cleveland rank yeah,
I think that makes a lot of sense obviously what
Drew dick Meyer said about Tristan Thompson. Since German was
traded over to the Cleveland Cavs obviously had to split
some time there, which are just in Thompson still playing
(09:43):
around twenty five minutes to night with him expected out tonight,
we should expect Andre Drummond to get back into the
thirties in minutes and obviously had a suppressed price tag.
He's someone that you should be building your lineups around,
especially at the center position. All right, So heading back
to fantasy baseball, though, Frank, I was just so anxious
and answy to talk to you about publicks. Now, what
else did I miss over the weekend about players gonna
(10:04):
hurt like Aaron Judge. Yeah, Aaron Judge on Friday apparently
extend some discomfort again while swinging, and I know that
he was going to undergo some test today. I haven't
seen any results or anything mentioned about Aaron Judge so far.
We can check that out during the break and see
if anything. There's nothing on Aaron Judge. All right, so
we'll have to pay attention and to see I know
that he is someone who's going for cheaper prices right
(10:25):
now at auctions and slipping non draft boards because again
his dealt with injuries in the past, had the oblique
last year, has the shoulder right now, had surgery on
the other shoulder a couple of years ago. You don't
know if he's going to be ready for opening day.
They still they keep saying that there's a chance that
he could be ready for opening Day, but obviously that's
all up in the air right now. When it comes
to Aaron Judge and another one, Greig, where if he's
(10:47):
good to go by opening day, or even if he
misses the first week or so, you're gonna get him
at a massive discount when it comes to Fantasy baseball.
So he was typically someone I wasn't targeting because he
was still a second third round pick and I didn't
really like that price. Say if he starts falling into
the four fifth round and you know you're getting him
at that value, then maybe there's a chance that I
do jump in on him right at that cost. We
(11:09):
talked to last week we're doing our outfielders. How you
commented how high I have Aaron Judge, and I said,
if your mains hurt, it all changes. It's scary right now,
and I don't see how I can keep him where
I have them, which was outfielder there number ten, you're
not driving. Here's the top swelve outfielder right now, there's
no there's no way. I'll have to figure out where
I'm going to drop him. I don't know where that's
(11:30):
going to be quite yet, but it's probably gonna be
closer to He has ten play that much. So over
the weekend his a DP was thirty two, So it
really hasn't fallen that far. I thought it would have,
you know, dropped a little bit further than that. But
those are from drafts one from Friday through yesterday, and
his a DP is at thirty two, so still you know,
(11:51):
solid third round pick. When it comes to Fantasy Baseball,
that seems like too big of a price action you
would spend. H don't fifteen bucks? Can we get him
in fifteen bucks? Probably? Not? Alright? Alright? Where I want
to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk on your
(12:12):
NBA dfs competition with Daily Rodal dot com and dominate
on fandel and DraftKings this season. Compete with the pros
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winning NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk. Visit daily
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Rodo dot com backslash dunk to learn more. It's a
third base ranking s Frank, you have any more news
and notes yet too before we reveal our ranking, Greg,
the biggest news of all that you missed from the
weekend was that Joe Musgrove is dealing with shoulders. I
(12:56):
did see that. I'm so sorry and I felt terrible
because I woke up yesterday in a little breakfast prep myself,
got everything ready to watch Joe Musgrove against the Toronto
Blue Perfect Sundown Pirates broadcast is talking about how Joe
Musgrove is hitting nine miles per hour consistently on the gun.
(13:17):
The fastball Vello was up late last year. That's when
he started performing well. The breaking pitches look great. And then,
of course, late last night on a Sunday evening, Greg,
we got the news Joe Musgrove is dealing with shoulder discomfort.
So do with that what you will. I mean, most
people he's more nothing more than a back end rotation
piece anyway, your SP five, R s P six, maybe
(13:38):
even if you're playing a twelve team league, he's one
of your bench starting pitchers. But somebody I was targeting
once again is Joe Musgrove. Let's see what comes out
of this, Greig. I'm sorry, Frankie, right, okay, all Rlet's
move over our third DAS rankings. Frank And this is
the first time this season we have a different player
at number one. This is weird. This is years for
(14:00):
me for a couple of reasons. Your number one overall
third baseman, my number one here is Alex Bregman. Your
number one third basement overall is Josie Ramirez. And this
is weird for me because I am the Josie Ramirez guy.
You know that about me. I've been on Josie Ramirez forever.
And I'm also the guy that likes to ignore first
(14:21):
half like they don't matter. He's just say, hey, the
second half was great, Like who cares about the first half.
I can't do that right now, because we saw how
bad that Jose Ramirez can be. You yourself, as a
Jose Ramirez owner, suffered through that first half. Where he
(14:42):
batted under two hundred for most of the half. Still ran,
but he couldn't fine, he couldn't hit a damn thing. Now,
the second half was un freaking real, and he's one
of the only players legitimately there's a chance to go
if not forty forty, and you're getting him way later
than you're getting Trout and yell at Nacunia, you know,
(15:03):
and way later. But that slump was really disgusting, Frank
and if he middles out somewhere, I'm going to rather
have Alex Bregman. I feel safer drafting Alex Bregman that
I do no one A Ronando because those start home
(15:24):
road splits and Josier mirrors, because we know how bad
that slump can be. Alex Bregman is not going to
hit the depths that Jose Ramirez did. You're not getting
stolen basis. I get that, and everything else you should
better average. I like Alex Bregman more than I like
the other two guys, which is, by the way, he
(15:44):
is third in your poll right now through the top
third basement. The first baseman you want to draft, it's
Arnadano by far and away number one you have by far,
then Jose Ramirez, then Alex Bregman. Alex Bregman is my
number one overall third basement and I think some people
might be scared off by the whole cheating scandal when
it comes to you're not wrong, uh. Injury risk also
(16:06):
going up with those hit by pitches, Greg. But I
will preface this by saying, in a head to head
points league, Alex Bregman should be the number one third
baseman off the board. In fact, he should probably be
a top ten pick overall, maybe even higher than that.
He was the number one hitter in head to head
points leagues last year. That was Alex Bregman. And I
really do like no Erronado as well. I think you
can make the argument for any of these three third
baseman to be the number one third baseman this year,
(16:29):
Greg Nolan. Erronado's average offensive line over the past five
seasons three d batting average, forty home runs, one and
four runs scored, one and twenty four ribbies and three
stolen bases. He is as elite of a four category
contributor as you can find. Of course, there is risk
that he could be traded away from Colorado, which would
(16:50):
affect his overall production because his home road splits, as
Greg mentioned, are very stark. He's much better in coors Field,
like most hitters who played for the Rockies, So how
you have to keep that in mind. As of now,
it looks like Nolan Arronado is going to stay put
with the Colorado Rockies and Alex Bregman, the guy just
continues to get better and better. Say what you want
about him, whether it's cheating related or not. I guess
we're gonna find out this upcoming season. But look in
(17:11):
two thousand, eighteen eighties sixty homers up over a hundred, runs,
over a hundred Ribbies, ten Stone bass p s. Last year,
Greg ops over a thousand and twenty two runs, hundred
and twelve r b I's five steals and stole basis
are coming down. I don't know if you're gonna get
many steals out of Bregman anymore. UM and Craig Miss
(17:35):
actually spoke with him on Fantasy Supports today. We had
an interview with Alex Bregman and said he's focused on
getting off to a quicker start because the past couple
of seasons he really gets off to a slow start.
Had absolutely ridiculous second half last year with an OPS
over eleven hundred. If he gets off to a faster start,
and of course there is an opportunity for Alex Bregman
to have a even better season. Maybe it's three fifteen,
(17:55):
three twenty with forty home runs and and the rest
of those county sets. Greg from me, I do have
Jose Aramirez first, because uh, these are for Roto rankings
five by five, and I just think the ability to
get thirty stolen bases what we saw out of him.
You know, from July one on last year and only
forty nine games, he finally figured out stop trying to
(18:17):
lift the ball so much. Zira miror Is, You're a
great hitter the way that you are. You don't need
to change a single thing. In the first half, Greg,
his flyball percentage was nearly fifty percent from July one
on the fly ball percentage was he lowered it nine
percentage points, started hitting more line drives, started pulling the
ball more. That is what made Jose Aramire is a
great player. A couple of seasons ago. You brought up
(18:40):
that upside, Greg, someone that can flirt at type season.
I don't know that we'll see the batting average well
over three anymore. I think he can approach two eighty average,
twenty five home runs, five stolen bases, really good county
stacks in the middle of the Cleveland Indians lineup. This
just comes down to preference. What categories do you want?
If you trust that you can find stolen bases later
on in the draft, then go ahead by all means,
(19:03):
take a Bregman, take a Eranado. I don't have a
problem with either of those guys. Greg I like building
out my foundation early on with everything and holds your
mirrors to me, is one of those players that will
give you everything. I think he started to figure it
out there in the second half, and it's frankly, it's
something that I do trust going into this show. So
I agree you figured it out in the second half.
He was amazing. He talked about how he became the
line drive hit her again. But it's really hard to
(19:25):
get that first half out of my mind. Like it happened,
and it wasn't like it happened five years ago. It
just happened. That's really scary, Like to invest what you're
gonna have to invest in here as your number one
overall third basement. You want a little more safety than
you're a safe player normally. Do you want that? I
want the safe stolen basis? Greg, That's when it comes
(19:46):
down to and you know, look, Greg, last year I
was all over a position scarcity didn't really work out
for me. I was pulling outfielders up the board. You know,
maybe this year I'm going a little bit too far
when it comes to the category scarcity, batting average, stolen basis.
But I do trust what I saw from Josei miire
is in that second half. And look, if you don't understand,
you want someone a little bit more safe. Aeronado is
(20:07):
the safet of the three. If you want safety, you
think he's gonna remain in Colorado, then take non Arnado.
There's no doubt about that. But there is a chance
that Bregman continues to get even better. And if he
does get better than what we saw last year, then
that means he's going to be better than non Arronado.
And if Josier Miirez is the player he was over
those final forty nine games for an entire season again,
then he's more than likely the number one third base
(20:29):
and he's probably you know, thirty thirty player with a
good batting average as well. Greg, those final forty nine
games he had three one awesome. He was awesome, man,
you know, I love him. I think it's more of
a type of league format do you play in more
than anything. I think if you play in Rhodo again,
for me, it's Jose and if you play in head
to head points it's Alex Bregman. And if you're a
(20:49):
safe player, then just take Eronado right up next. Let's
get you are fourth and fifth, top third basion because
I think there's a clear drop off after that. For me,
I think it's the same for you. Um for me,
I haven't at the Rendon raffievers you have it, Rafi
devers Anthony Rendon. How come I just expect a little
bit more power out of Anthony Rendon and he is
switching leagues. It's kind of like the Mookie Bets argument
(21:11):
that I made. Greg. I think Anthony Rendon is a
phenomenal player and I still have in my top five.
But if I'm splitting hairs, I mean last year was
a career year for Anthony Rendon, and of course he
came in a contract year, so I'm not gonna be
completely skeptical of what I saw from Anthony Rendon, because
I do trust that he is a great player. The
bad of ball data was great last year. The stack
cast data was awesome when it came to Anthony Rendon.
(21:34):
He doesn't strike out under fourteen percent strike out right
now three years in a row. Really great plate discipline.
Except instead of getting the thirty four home runs in
the juice ball, a hundred and twenty six r B
I s, I think we're probably closer to right around
thirty home runs close to a three batting average. Good
counting stats for me, Greg Raphael Devers can get even better.
(21:57):
I mean, he did what he did last year and
and his what age twenty to twenty three season um
look three eleven batting average, a hundred and twenty nine
runs scored. He'll even chip in five to ten soul
and basses. That is Raphael Devers. And he really really
cut down on his strikeouts from C to SE. That's
the biggest difference when it comes to Raphael Devers. The
(22:19):
strides that he's made is that he's just making more contact.
Extremely aggressive swinger reminds me a lot of Javier Baias
go to swing it pitches outside the strike zone. But Greg,
I look at Rafael Devers and I see a player
that is a sending. Not that Rendon is necessarily descending,
but I think that if Devers continues to get better,
that better will be better right now. But it comes
(22:43):
down to splitting hairs. I do like both of those guys.
I like both of them to Endeavor's year last year
was just remarkable. Was the year that we hoped he
had UH the year prior batting three eleven compared the
two forty UH the year the year before that. Um,
I think there is he was a much much better hitter.
But again I go with safety and quite frankly, I
just trust and Rendown a little bit more to give
you what he did last year more than ever. Maybe
(23:06):
that's where my head's at. What I think, Rendown, you
know what you're getting. I think Devers could still be ascending,
or maybe last year is a career here, I don't know.
I'm not altor Raffie Denvers by any means that we're
splitting hairs. I just trust more what every Rendown did.
I think that don't worry about him changing leaks. Probably
not professional hitter, professional hitter. I like that the babbit
(23:27):
was the same exact number in back to back years
at I love points the lead type of stuff. He
walks almost as much as he caves, Like that's the stuff.
I absolutely love all these numbers across that we were
all very similar over the past few years. And the
only thing one up with the all runs and everyone's
home runs went up because the US Ball clue Raffie nevers.
So for me, I'm taking every rendown very very confidently.
(23:48):
It's again just like he's safer pick. It reminds me
of my bregmant, Like it's just why I take a
chance we can get safety here with a any rendom,
And I think that's maybe play an area that I'm
growing as a fantasy ping Greg, is that you know,
I'm starting to take more risks early on in drafting
me more like you, I think. So we're we're swapping.
(24:08):
We're swapping draft philosophies here. Normally I do like the
safer player, but it's hard to argue with what Raffi
Devons did last year, and on the off chance that
he is again ascending um and potentially even getting better
than what we saw last year and I think that
season will outproduce what Anthony Rendon will do in year
one with the Angels. At number six, we got the
(24:29):
same third baseman. We'll go through that next year of
our top third baseman right here on the BFFs. Want
to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk on your
NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot Com and dominate
on fandel and draft kings this season. Compete with the
(24:51):
pros with Daily Rodal dot Com optimizer and the most
accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts, breaking news,
lake swap support, and much more on winning NBA DFS
advice with promo code Dunk. Visit dot com backslash dunk
to learn more. All right, here we go. Let's keep
(25:18):
it rocking, Frank, keep it going. Let's go. This is
a deep position, man. We gotta get as many in
as we possibly can. So my six and seven here
for me, or many Machado and you on Mocado. Those
are your six and seven. Yeah, let's go. I've talked
to you a lot, so that's kind of why we're
on the same page year at six and seven. These
are two players that very in on I'm interested in
(25:39):
drafting because I believe that they very easily wind up
in the top tier. You're getting them at a not
top tier price. Yeah, these are players that you're getting
in the fourth fifth round range right now. And Manny Machado,
we've seen him have a down year before and then
bounce back um the following year. We've seen in two
thousand and seventeen he hit two fifty nine and then
bounced back the next year. We batting average, thirty seven
(26:02):
home runs, a hundred and seven Ribbies. That was the
year that he spent half the year with the Dodgers,
half the year with the Baltimore Orioles. And he was
someone who was a borderline first round pick last year,
first year, mega contract, new location in San Diego. I'm
kind of giving him a pass for what we saw
last year out of Manny Machado. Uh. And he struggled
against right handed pitching in two thousand nineteen, which is
(26:24):
not like him to thirty nine batting average seven OPS
in his career to seventy five batting average in eight
oh eight OPS. And that's with a huge sample size
of data. So I expect him to bounce back against
right handed pitching. Greg. If you are a conspiracy theorists,
I have this for your Jeff Zimmerman of Rhodograss tweeted
this out a couple of weeks ago that Manny Machado
(26:44):
was hit by a pitch on August eighth last season.
Before that hit bi pitch, he was batting two seventy
two three triple slash after the Hippi pitch to thirteen three,
three seventy five. So if you continued to play through
some kind of in jury after the hit by pitch,
then I think that that's that's what can explain the
final two months slump there. But we like Fernando Tatis,
(27:07):
Greg still likes Tommy fam It's a solid line up there.
I think that there's gonna be, you know, opportunities for
county stats and maybe you know seven eight stolen bases,
thirty to thirty five home runs to eighty. He's just
solid Greg across the board. He's not going to hurt
you anywhere. It's a clear life rank. He's all right
finding those solid guys aren't going to hurt you. That's
(27:28):
why I think I found hope. Yeah, I hope so
as well. And look Joan Moncata last year really reminded
me a lot of what we saw from Raphael. He
was actually more aggressive last year. He was someone in
the past who was a little bit more passive, and
he was. He has a really good eye at the plate,
but last year started chasing pitches outside of the zone
nine percent more than in eighteen. Yet his contact rate
(27:52):
on pitches both inside and outside of the zone went up.
He struck out less last year as well. His four
h six babit was incredibly high for you on Moncada,
but look at the quality of contact that he makes
point eight mile per hour average eggit velocity nine seven
percentile in baseball career best twelve percent barrel rate, and
he maintained high babbos across every level in the minor
(28:14):
leagues as well. So I think he's another one like
Devor's who could take that next examply and he's someone
that we're drafting as like a borderline first round pick
next year, Greg, you on Moncada wouldn't surprise me if
it's to eighty to ninety. I don't think he's gonna
hit over three hundred like he did last year, but
approach thirty home runs really take that next step. Counting
stats are gonna be there, really good line up, ten
(28:36):
to fifteen stolen bases, another one doesn't hurt you anywhere,
and he's probably going to give you more speed than
Manny Machado as well. Totally. And if you've made the
case for put Moncada ahead of Machado, I think I
would actually be okay with it. But I think there's
a clear top seven, and Moncada has that ability over
thirty home runs proce just power in a good line
up in a good ballpark. It all ends up to
be really nice year from me on Moncada. Then we
(28:58):
get to my eight nine, which I feel very passionately
about as well, specifically Vladim errig Guerrero Jr. I think
also could I kind of ascend like we thought he
was gonna happen last year. It didn't. Maybe there's a
little project fatigue on him and people may have written
him off way too quickly. So I like Vladimir Guerrero.
And then in there I also Chris Bryan. I know
you have Chris Bryant way late later than I do,
(29:19):
and I think I get that you don't like Chris Bryant.
I understand that, but I think the heat has just
gone too far. He's not nearly as bad as you
think he is. Great. I think you should pull up
his Baseball Savant stat cast page. I have a fan
graphs page, and you'll see a lot of You see
a lot of blue on that page. Blue. It's a
lot of white and green on his fan graphs. Ice
(29:41):
cold for Chris Bryant. The stat cast data the bad
and ball data for Chris Bryant, and it really doesn't
do much outside of hit home runs. Fine, they'll give
you a run thirty home runs, and he's gonna score
runs runs scored a scatters category as well. Seventy seven
RBIs last year, fifty two r BIS the year before,
seventy three r bis and two thousand seventeen expected to
(30:01):
lead off. The guy's not going to be a contributor
in rb I's not going to steal many bases that
it's been seven to four each of the past three seasons.
Average is fine, not gonna hurt you, they're not going
to help you. So but average runs and home runs
that's pretty good. I would say he's more of a
two and a half category player. No, I mean I don't.
I don't think he's gonna hit two eighty. I think
it's I think that's who gazy. I think he's probably
(30:23):
more of like a town he's never been. But his
stat cast data, Gregg says that he got incredibly lucky
least like he was hurt last year too. Well, he's
hurt every year. Look at the year before that in
two thousand and eighteen, he played a hundred and two games.
He's dealt with shoulders. Something's not hurt every year. He
was hurting eighteen. All right, he played a hundred forty
seven games last year. But he has dealt with like
(30:47):
nagging stuff, you know what I'm saying, Greg, Like he's
played through it before and and that might be why
it's hurt his performance in the past. All Right, Maybe
maybe he's a three category contribute. That's fine, Agree to disagree.
You think he's gonna hit two eighty. I think he's
probably closer to like at two sixty. That's fine. Yeah,
I'm out on Chris Bryan. I'm not gonna have him anywhere.
I just think that's why I have him ranked the
way that I do. I have him down at fresh
(31:08):
brankings back up like, I think you've just you've gone
too far here, you really have, So I don't think
there's much upside there is my opinion. Why can't Chris
Bryant be better better than Josh Donaldson. You guys have
gonna hurt. You have Ben hurt. Last year you wouldn't
draft Shosh and I was roll. Now he's back inside
your top eight. He's in the best lineup in baseball,
Greg Chris Bryant is leading off a regular field. What
(31:30):
is it? So what he's not gonna give you RBIs
Josh Donaldson is going to give you home runs. He's
going to give you r bis, gonna give you run scores,
gonna give you run more run scored at a better average.
And is he gonna batting average? Yes, slightly better, slightly
better batting average, more home runs out of Josh Town.
It's definitely way more RBIs. We're talking like thirty more
rbs and they're both talk gonna give you stolen basis.
(31:54):
So pick and choose. What do you want? You want
a little more average time he's speaking choosing you have
him everybody by five spots. It's not like they're all
in the same tear for me, they're all in the
same time. My tears from six through sixteen, I wouldn't
mind getting again. This is a deep position pick and
choose who you want. Josh Donaldson isn't the best line
up in baseball with the Minnesota Twins get hurt again.
(32:14):
I don't have any shares of him yet because no,
I've been drafting Manny Machado everywhere. Like, to me, he's
the best value on the board. Like so, I haven't
wound up with Josh Jonalson. But if if you're just
asking me, let's say we're in the sixth round, my
first what is that? Eight third basement are are already gone,
and I'm deciding between Josh Donaldson, Matt Chapman, and Chris Bryant.
(32:36):
I'm not taking Chris Bryant. I'm taking either Josh Jonalson
or Matt Chapman. Mat Chapman to me, is young Josh Donaldson.
He does a lot of the same things. Good played, disciplined,
walks a lot, hits the ball extremely hard, hits the
ball in the air, and his batting average was incredibly unlucky.
Last year. He went from like two eighty to nine.
Nobody's always been like a tithe of the hitter. But
(32:57):
his quality of contact Regy, it's all so hard that
his batting average based on actually improved his play discipline
a ton from when he was in the minors to
the Major He doesn't strike out as much as he
used to. Any projections system's batting fifty Matt Chapman. I
think he could be better than that. Literally, I think
he'd be like he's done at once. Yeah, but I
(33:18):
mean he's only been up in then the majors for
what two and a half years, So he's one of
those guys. Were you still young enough where he can
take that next step as well? Greg, he is a
year younger than Chris Bryan. It makes him younger like
Josh Donaldton and match happened to me are just their
clones to sixty good home runs, power numbers runs RB.
(33:40):
I that's fine, really, I think you can make the argument. Look,
if you think he's safer, you're not worried about as
many injuries. Fine, yeah, I mean you can. Honestly, Greg,
you can talk me into moving Match Chapman ahead of
Josh Jhnson. Now. The only reason why I didn't is
because you're almost paying for Matt Chapman to do what
Josh Donaldson does every single year until he's or cowls
(34:01):
Josh Donaldson and Greg. If you're worried about the injuries,
that's fine, then you should be fading before. To be fair,
I'm not taking I'm not I'm not taking Josh Donaldson
the same exact things last year. But again, look best
linem in baseball, just put get it. Where does easily
Mayhew following all this because he's a different player than
these other guys, right Like, we're talking about Matt Chapman,
we're talking about Chris Bryant, We're talking about Josh Donaldson.
(34:21):
These are all guys that are gonna get your thirty
home runs score close to a hundred runs ideally have
close to hundred RB eis Obviously Chris Bryan hasn't gotten
near that recently. Lea Mayhew for me is number ten
for you, he's right around the same number. He's rund
the same number here. Where does where does he kind
of fall in this mix? I think he gets drafted
in a similar range as Donaldson, as Matt Chapman, and
(34:42):
I don't have a problem with that. I think it
comes down to draft philosophy what you need on your
team in that moment. If you want to put an
emphasis on power, then I think you lean with a
Josh Donaldson or a Matt Chapman. But if you want
to solidify your batting average and your run scored, then
then you can leave with D. L. Mayhew. And again,
taking someone like le Mayhew allows you to take risks
(35:02):
on power hitters later on in your draft that are
going to hurt your batting average. So LEA. Mayhew last year,
while it was a career season, he had three seven.
We have seen him hit for that hive of a
batting average in the past. When he has now led,
he has won a batting title in both the National
League and the American League. His expected batting average was
three twenty two last year. That was the third best
(35:23):
in baseball. His quality of contact GJ. Mayhew was ridiculous.
His swing is built for Yankee Stadium. He's a line
drive hitter. He hits the ball to right field. I
think you expect some natural regression, but it wouldn't surprise
me at all. If he hits three fifteen, if he
hits three twenty, if he even approaches that number, that
we saw last year. But he's going to give you
a batting average probably closer to twenty home runs than
(35:45):
the what do you have twenty seven last year? That's
not realistic. I think eighteen to twenty home runs really
good run scored could lead the American League, and run
scored to be honest, uh, seventy to a d r
BIS and a handful of stolen basis. Greg. It just
comes down to what you want at that point in
the AFT. If you want to continue to build out
your runs and your batting average, you know that you
can find home run, home runs and RBIs later on
(36:06):
in your in your drafts, then I think Mayhew was
the answer for you. Um I think that he is
right in the same range, fifth sixth round. I don't
have a problem where he's going, you know, le maayhew A.
This this interesting because I don't want him. I'd rather
have Chapman, Bryant, Pinstripe, Prime, Donaldson. If it's my sense,
I don't want my third basement basement because you want
(36:27):
power run. Second base sucks and we'll talk about that
later in the week. Say they sucks. And I was
doing my second base rankings earlier today and I was like,
oh my god, you're right. You're right about that. This
is horrible and I feel Mayhew has versatility everywhere first, second,
third base. But if you use him anywhere other than
second base, you are making a mistake. It's like using
a catcher at first base. Don't do it. I think
(36:48):
you're making a big mistake. Dj Le Mayhew as your
second nation, makes a whole lot more, says your third basement.
I'd rather have the power guys and then maybe think
he was my second basement. That's cool that averaging runs,
but that fits well with remember whole stadium. You have
power guys in dead All right, we've gone through basically
the first half. We got a touch on flat. We
didn't talk about lad what time around. I want to
(37:12):
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DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot Com and dominate on
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and much more safe ten percent on winning NBA DFS
(37:33):
advice with promo code Dunk. Visit Daily Rodal dot com
backslash dunk to learn more. All here, we gonna get
a lot to do. Frank, Let's let's roll right through
power through power hour. Right now, it's talk more about
(37:55):
a lad Yeah. I think Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Can have
an Anthony Rendell in type season. Greg, it wouldn't surprise
me one bit. Talk about him being in better shape
this upcoming season in his second season, and I tweeted
out a video of a home run that he hit
yesterday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Just ridiculous. It was like
a frozen rope that went like four hundred feet. It
was like, this guy's hands are incredibly quick. I think
(38:18):
that last year obviously got a taste in the majors,
got worn down a little bit, We saw some fatigue
later on, comes back to shape, comes back this year
to camp in better shape. Um, and what he did
in the minor leagues, Greg and two thousand, eight three
one batting average, thousands, seventy three o p s. He's
gotta raise the launchego. He hit too many groundballs, but
I think if he does that, we're looking at someone
(38:40):
who can approach the three D batting average twenty five
to thirty home runs, good counting stats because they have
a solid line up out there in Toronto, good ballpark
to hit in other good ballparks that hidden in his
division in the American League East. After Machado and Yoan
Maka to go off the board, Greg Vladim mcguarreo Jr.
Is the next third baseman that I would be looking
for the problem is I that point? More often than not,
(39:01):
he's already gone. Yeah, because there's someone that likes lad
more than I do. There's obviously hype surrounding um Latimer,
as there should be, but you can't make that jump,
which is kind of exciting. Let's move on to the
next crew over third base man, hear a frank and
it's my it's really the start. Oh my next tier
and it's Max Munsey's in there, Mike mus Stocks is
in there like I. Justin Turner is in there as well.
(39:23):
I bumped Justin turn up because it Justin Turner and
I feel he's underappreciated. Munsey stock Is are similar to
Donaldson and to Chapman, as these guys are just monstrous
power hitters, and he's just get a little bit later
and the value is still really good. Yeah, I think
that makes a lot of sense. Um, Max Munsey someone
who if you thought it was a fluke, it's clearly
not a fluke when it comes to Max Munsey improved
(39:43):
against left handed pitching last year. Gonna bat uh, you know,
towards the top of that Dodger's lineup, probably gonna score
over a hundred runs as long as he stays healthy,
remains in that lineup. Um, not gonna help you in
batting average, obviously, he's actually gonna hurt. He's probably more
like a two fifty two STICKSI hitter, but going to
hit a thirty five home runs maybe even approach forty
RBIs might be a little bit low because he's again
(40:05):
probably gonna bat second in the lineup. But I think
that Maxi Monty is very similar to those players that
you mentioned Greg. Same thing with Mike mustak is, same
thing with a Uhniyo Suarez, who I all have in
the same area. It's you know, I have months He
at twelve, Chris Bryan at thirteen, I have Mustakis at fourteen,
Jeff McNeil at fifteen, uh and then a U Henio
Suarez at sixteen, Jeff McNeil, similar to DJ Lemayhew, you
(40:26):
gotta use that guy at second base or even in
your outfield. You're not using him at third base in
my opinion, Greg, But that rounds out my top sixteen.
Suarez I have a little bit lower, just because I
think him and Micha Umsakis are gonna give you similar numbers. Great,
but I worry about the shoulder injury. I agree, isn't
playing it. Is he gonna be ready for opening Day?
I don't know, you know, so my question with Anyo
(40:46):
Suarez was where how far drawings remember sixteen third basement
right exactly where I have him too, And I'm wondering
I did with Miguel Sha know, ahead of him, I
don't think so. I think that's because at least with Suarez,
he's not gonna bat h He's not gonna have as such,
uh such of a low batting average as mcguils soon know.
He's gonna hit like two sixty probably similar power. Maybe
Snow has more power upside, but hasn't shown the ability
(41:08):
to stay healthy as well, So you know, if you're
talking about risk, I think Snow does have a little
bit more than a u Heno Sauarez, okay um, I
want to open about Justin Turner. We drest him. I
don't mind Justin Turner as like a corner infielder. No,
it's fine if we could get him for I don't
have the auction values. You have forty five tabs open,
and that's not one of them. I I changed it
(41:29):
back to a DP, right, he legitimately has thirty tabs open. Computer.
You never know what you're gonna need. You just say
Turner nine dollars nine dollar corner infielder. Expensive, maybe too expensive.
We'll talk more about it, but he is what he is.
It's fine. He's gonna give you a good batting average.
You know, he's gonna miss probably thirty games throughout the
course of the season, good county stats, lift the ball
(41:51):
with the Dodgers, gonna hit twenty five home runs, he's firing.
He gives a good batting average at a good point
in the draft as well. Nine dollars his average auction
value over at the NFBC and his a DP from
over the weekend Greg is one. So he's the twenty
second third baseman off the board. It's just it's so weird.
That's how deep the position is that you're talking about
(42:12):
Justin Turner as the twenty second third baseman off the board. Greg,
It's crazy, It's ridiculous. Where do you have him again?
I haven't met, Sorry Greig. My reasoning Miguel Sinnell. I
love Miguel Sinell, and I think he has the upside
to hit fifty home runs. Juli Gurriel, I think is
probably gonna give you similar numbers to Justin Turner and
probably going to stay healthy as an been as injury
(42:34):
prone as a Justin Turner in the past. A really
good line up with the Houston Ashtari is my number
twenty third baseman. And it's interesting cause they never been
the Julie Gurriel guy and I always neither. I'm always
surprised about how old he is. He started five. That
just turns younger. He came over a little bit later
than then some of the other Cubans came to the league.
Juli gary Hell was amazing last year. There's thirty home
(42:55):
runs essentially all those RV eyes. He was awsome, doesn't
really strike out, which I like a lot, makes a
lot of contact, always hits for good batting average. The
difference for him last year was he raised the launch
angle and the juice ball. So I'd be a little
skeptical that he comes close to the thirty home runs
he hit last year, but you know, mid twenties, I
think he can approach that good county seat. Is gonna
play every day for the Houston Astros, really good lineup.
(43:18):
The only other name I have ahead of Turner as
well greg is Scott Kingary because I think he could
be player this year, very very n and the and
the position versatility third base in outfield. It helps, especially
in deeper leagues where is war. I have ed wardo
Escarty one. I'm I don't know. I'm just not buying it.
(43:40):
Look if I'm wrong. If edwardo Escuar comes out and
has another fantastic season, that's fine. He really really struggled
in the second half. Is that something that's gonna carry
over this year? I do worry about it with him.
He's gonna hit in the middle of the Arizona diamond
Backs lineup, so the RBI opportunities should continue to be there.
But last year strikes me as a career year in
terms of the power. I think he's probably gonna give
(44:00):
you similar power numbers. So like a Gurio twenty three,
maybe home runs not nearly as good of a batting
average man. I'm out, man, he's better on a point,
so he hits a lot of doubles. We got about
six minutes left. She's some sleepers were like, yeah, let's
go all right. So I asked you about a month
ago because I looked at the list list. I looked
(44:21):
at the list, and there was one name on the
list is the first name he's talking about that long ago,
and it was Brave Story Basement Austin Riley. And you
had obviously not gotten there yet. You haven't looked into
it um and you weren't super in and I kind
of tried to sell. He was like, hey, he's a
really good lineup. He's obviously a top prospect. Like I
feel like people kind of overlooking him now that he
just had some time to research. Now you've been about
(44:43):
Austin Riley. I like Austin Riley. I have him as
my seven third baseman right now, and I have just
ahead of him the Yankee guys and to R and
g or Schella, who I think are great values right
now as well. Austin Riley. The risk with Austin Riley
is that he still is in a position battle with
Johann Camargo. So obviously Riley has more prospect pedigree and
(45:06):
has higher upside. And what I really like so far
is I think he has like thirteen spring training at bats.
I tweeted this out yesterday, drink Greg, he only has
one strikeout in thirteen at bats so far in the spring.
What he really struggled with in the Major's last season
was a thirty six percent strikeout rate. That's something that
we need to see him cut down, obviously, uh and
at every level in the minors he struck out less
(45:28):
than the thirty six percent. So if he does that,
I think it could be like a two sixty ish
hitter with obviously very big power upside in a really
good lineup. But he still needs to win that third
base job against Johan Camargo first, So there still is
a little bit of a downside here, Greg. But I
also do really like the Yankees guys with Andrew Harror
and he Sella. Considering the injuries to stand and Judge,
(45:48):
I think at least for the early part of the
season they have pretty regular playing time. We will be
in the ladder, but we'll both be able to hit. Obviously,
Charla has his career year last year out of nowhere,
and he changes the launch angle, and he bought the
stack cast evolution obviously, and do har went through all
of his shoulder injuries last year, but he's been practicing
uh full bore in spring training and beforehand. But you
(46:09):
do wonder how the position switch could affect his swing
and mentally, I think there's question marks running both Yankee
third basement eligible players. That's fine. I'm just looking for
exposure to a really good lineup going late in draft.
It was kind of the reason why you know, people
were drafting DJ le Mayhew last year. If you did
look out and get a d J. L. Mayhew, you're like,
all right, he's a super utility guy for the New
(46:29):
York Yankees. Really good line up. Let me's just take
a shot here and see what works out. And then
look what happened with DJ le Mayhew, Uh, Andrew Hard
We've seen the upside in the past. Someone who can
hit near three hundred. The hit tool is obviously there,
and then we started to see the power developed. Will
that carry over? He did have shoulder surgery so something
to consider. Maybe the power takes a little bit of
a step back for Andy Harr, but I do think
(46:50):
especially early on Greg, he's going to see every day
playing time, whether it's in left field, d H, first base,
H third base. I think if they play six or
seven times a week, he's probably be playing in five
or six of those games. Is Mgel and har And
I would say the same thing for g Orhella. In
that one game, maybe he doesn't play a third they'll
put Andy harder there. I'd like to see for Shella,
I could do what he did last year again because
(47:11):
he really came out of nowhere as a corner infielder.
Though I don't mind it, Okay, who was your other
sleeping was a list? Um? That would be yeah, look,
not gonna give you a good batting average, obviously gonna
hurt you there, but hitting in the middle of a
solid lineup Toronto, and he completely bottomed out last year.
I realized that, Greg. But you know, his average season
(47:32):
in the two seasons before last year up over thirty
home runs, close to a two sixty batting average, solid
counting stats. He gets on base via the walk, um,
the strikeouts are gonna hurt you. I'm buying that last
year was not the real Travis Shaw. I think this
everything went wrong for last year. He dealt with a
risk injury. I said he was trying to tweak his
(47:54):
his swing all season long, which ended up not working.
But a really really cheap corner infielder in deeper league
fifteen team mixed roto, maybe even a twelve team roto
UM and obviously in ale only. I think someone that
you could look at as well who can hit home
runs with a to forty fifty batting average. I think
that's fair. Where he's going. He's free, He's he's like
a one dollar player. I agree. I like Travis Shaw
(48:17):
as a utility or as a corner I have no
issue with that. All right, Uh, quickly, Frank, explain them
met guys to me, j D. Davis and Jeff MacNeil.
So Jeff McNeil is probably going to play the outfield
more than anything. The same thing when it comes to UM.
When it comes to J. D. Davis and j D
Davis has a great stack cast numbers. Greg, I mean
(48:38):
you look at the stack cast page. He hits the
ball extremely hard, just didn't get the opportunity to play
every day. He's dealing with the injury in camp right now,
so we'll see how that plays out. But expected to
play left field quite regularly for the Mets is J
D Davis. Uh. And then when it comes to when
it comes to Jeff McNeil, he's basically DJ Lemahew, like,
(48:58):
really good contact hitter, hit for batting average in every
level of the miners, actually showed a little bit of
power in the miners as well, So maybe you know
he can actually maintain those twenty home runs that he
hit last year. You can actually chip in a handful
of stolen basis. He is dtail La Mayhew like Greig.
I'm gonna hit near the top of the Mets lineup.
You're gonna give you a good batting average, probably to
(49:19):
not the same batting average as La Mayhew, but that's
why you get him like twenty to thirty picks later.
All Right, there you have it. That's our third base
preview tomorrow. We'll move onto the short stops for l
Coast to coast. He is coming up next. I want
to thank Shan Waimaki and Alex Psamo for their help.
Grank staff. I'm Greg Sousman. Having fantast the rest of
your afternoon. We'll do it all go tomorrow. We hope.
(49:42):
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on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rodal dot com
and dominate on fandel and DraftKings this season. Compete with
the pros with Daily Rodal dot Com optimizer and the
most accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts,
breaking news, lake swaps, a wort and much more. Save
ten on winning NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk.
(50:05):
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