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May 2, 2025 16 mins
  • Terrell Furman Jr. breaks down tonight’s Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Game 6 with a sharp betting angle before diving into three official WNBA futures bets for the upcoming season. He spotlights the new expansion franchise Golden State Valkyries, projects major regression for the Connecticut Sun, and explains why the Las Vegas Aces, led by A'ja Wilson and new addition Jewell Loyd, are poised for dominance despite losing Kelsey Plum.

    Timestamps:

    • 00:00 – Intro + No recap this week
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    Episode Transcript

    Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
    Speaker 1 (00:15):
    Yah, You're back with another edition of faz Break Bets,
    presented by betting pros. You know me, no voicing the guys,
    me really well, Villain Rae's real Firman Junior. Here at
    your ser Okay, no recap today. It's been a bad

    (00:51):
    week already. But what I do have, and it's a
    good reason because I have a lot to get through
    and and not a lot of time, and so we
    gotta get to it. We gotta get down business. I'm
    going to give out one bet for the Golden State
    Warriors in the Houston Rockets Game six over there in

    (01:14):
    Golden State, and then I have one to three bets
    to give you futures for the WNBA, and so that's
    gonna be a large part of this conversation. But the
    first play here Golden State versus the Rockets, I mean,
    the offensive explosion that the Rockets have in Game five

    (01:37):
    just more solidified for me what I already felt like.
    I knew that that was the Rockets do or die game,
    and they were gonna make sure that they didn't go
    home on their home floor right there. I give them
    no shot here in game five. I'm not gonna lie
    to you this feels extremely extremely chalk. But I don't
    think that if the Rockets can't score like they did
    in Game five, they're not going to be able to win.

    (02:00):
    Like they're not winning a slugfest defensive battle with Golden
    State going down into the wires of the fourth quarter,
    and they just haven't been able to get it done.
    They haven't been consistent of I don't think that they're
    gonna get the twenty plus, twenty five, twenty seven plus points,
    whatever it was from Dylan Brooks. Again, We'll see if
    they get it from fred van Fleet. Frevanfleet has been

    (02:20):
    pretty good recently, so maybe they do. But I am very,
    very concerned about the scoring options. And they actually have
    found ways to slow down Shanggu. One being Draymond Green
    and so getting really physical with Shangoun inside the paint
    kind of setting him off getting into foul trouble as well.

    (02:40):
    Like I can see ways that Shanggun really doesn't have
    a good game. I don't want to go. I may
    decide to take a player prop later. I don't have
    a prop now. Only thing I'm doing now is what
    I knew that I was gonna do. I felt like
    Golden State was gonna win this and six they were
    gonna win it on their home floor. I still taking
    Golden State to get it done here in six, I'm

    (03:02):
    laying the five of Golden State. I think that this
    they're gonna go away towards the end of the game.
    I think they're gonna pull away here free throws with
    the Rockets trying to extend the game and give themselves
    a chance. Puts us at seven eight as a final
    score here of what the Warriors win. Pie. Do I
    think that is a closely consisting game, Yes, but I
    do think that they pull away and good enough to

    (03:23):
    cover two possessions. So I like the Warriors laying five here.
    Before we get into the WNBA futures, however, gotta make
    sure that I talk to you about one our NBA
    Playoffs prop contests. You have to get down in the

    (03:43):
    NBA Playoffs prop contest if you have not already, We
    are giving away and autograph Sean kemp Jersey for our listeners.
    In the contest, all you have to do is go
    over there to that betting pros app and just submit
    your first round bets for player props into the contest.
    All you have to do is select a quick pick

    (04:04):
    is super easy is right there. You can select it
    and enter it into the contest for a chance to
    win round one a shan kemps sign jersey. Round two
    it'll be a different prize and the grand prize and
    Alan iverson signed jersey. So make sure you do that
    and get into that playoff prop contest over there at
    the Betting Pros at or go to Betting pros dot
    com slash Playoffs. We are also brought to you by Microsoft,

    (04:32):
    and that brings you so. Microsoft empowers visionaries with AI solutions,
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    (04:52):
    make informed decisions, sparking new ideas, and driving impactful change.
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    dot Com slash Challengers to learn more. All right, here

    (05:18):
    is how I feel about the w thus far. Three
    quick quick bets. Wow, couldn't even say that right, quick
    bets that I want to give you. First up, there's
    a new team in the W. They go by the
    Golden State Valkyrie. Talking about Golden State, let's just go
    ahead talk about the Valkyrie. They currently have a win

    (05:40):
    total of thirteen and a half. It is the lowest
    win total on the board. Basically they saying they don't
    even have a shot in the league this year. Now,
    new head coach Natalie Nicasse, first year head coach. She
    was the number one assistant over there for Becky Hammond
    and at Las Vegas Aces team during the run that

    (06:01):
    they made. So she's been there working, she's been in
    the W, she's been in personnel. She knows what she's doing.
    Brand new head coach, brand new team, but she knows
    what she's doing. So you look at the team, I
    think that this is not a bad team to make. Fact,
    Bla being an option to be on the team as

    (06:22):
    a big was very, very surprising to me. I didn't
    think that the Fever were gonna let her go. And
    I think that her along with cayleb Thornton and Kate Martin,
    like Julie Van lu all of these players. So maybe
    I need to go back and explain that for the
    people that don't know the w So with the new
    Golden State Valkyrie team, they had a draft where every

    (06:45):
    other team in the league got to pick their top
    six players and then the rest of the players were
    put into a pool and the Valkyrie could draft their
    team out of that. So majority of these players, besides
    the rookies and Hayes because Tiffity Hayes signed with them
    in the off season of her own volition, all these

    (07:05):
    were basically the castaways from their different teams. Yeah, we
    can protect six people, you're not gonna make it. And
    there's a lot of good players on these seen like
    only Billings is a forward that can drive, get to
    the rim, brings you a lot of energy. You got
    Julie Van lou Is, a pass first guard that could
    shoot the three. You got zandal Assini, very very good

    (07:29):
    d point shooter. I think she led the WN three
    point percentage one year. I'm pretty sure, or if she
    didn't lead, at the end of the year, she was
    like second or third. You have Kayler Thornton, who is
    a champion coming over from the New York Liberty. She
    gives you energy, she gives you defense. Stephanie Talbot gives
    you some defense there as well. Like I said, Timmy
    effect Bla gives you rebounding, gives you energy, gives you hustle,

    (07:52):
    gives you defense. Tip Hayes is a bucket. Kate Martin
    is a three and D type player. Like not. Nase
    drafted this team with an idea of what I want
    them to look like, what this is gonna fit into
    a system. She already has that idea. They just have
    to put it in the motion. Am I saying they're
    gonna go out there and beat the best teams of

    (08:13):
    the WO. They're actually probably gonna get smoked by those teams.
    But all those bottom feeder teams in the W, like
    one that I'm about to talk to you in just
    a second about, they can compete with those the Los
    Angeles Sparks who don't play any form of defense. They
    might actually beat them in the first game of the season.
    If the Sparks don't respect this team. These are still

    (08:34):
    w NBA players. They may have been the castaways from
    their team, but they are still very valid players and
    a lot of them are still really good. So I
    think that this Golden State Valkyrie team is going to
    shock people. I think they're gonna win more games than
    people think. Give me the Valkyries to go over thirteen
    and a half wins. Next, playing the w Connecticut Son,

    (08:55):
    their win total is at sixteen and a half. They
    have a brand new head coach, They have a brand
    new team because everybody left. In fact, they have one
    player on the roster right now that was at training
    camp last summer. Oh man, it's gonna be a long

    (09:18):
    season for the Connecticut Sun, a very very long season.
    They bring in Tina Charles and it's like, Okay, Lindsay Allen,
    Diamond De Shields, Draftning Samiros and Sinai Rivers, but like

    (09:39):
    they don't even have a chance to succeed like this,
    the turnover from being a semi finalist year after year
    after year to now this team doesn't even look like
    they can win ten games, let alone sixteen games. This

    (10:00):
    is going to be very very rough for a first
    time head coach in Rashi Mazzan or Maine Mazan.

    Speaker 2 (10:07):
    No.

    Speaker 1 (10:07):
    I think it's Missianne. I gotta figure that out. But
    first time head coach coming from overseas, trying to build
    a culture in this team, and he just it doesn't
    even feel like he has the players to be able
    to do that, and I can't. I don't even know
    if that's not even partially his fault. Like, I just
    have no idea what Connecticut is doing. They didn't try
    to replace majority of what they have. We'll see how

    (10:30):
    long they go throughout the season with Marina Mabury, who
    already asked for a trade and they denied it because
    they don't have any other options. I argue that Tina
    Charles only signed there just to go ahead, go somewhere,
    get a max paycheck real quick. But like they had
    two solid draft picks. But this is easily, like easily

    (10:52):
    the worst team in the league. I'm not even questioning it.
    I think Connecticut is going to struggle to get ten
    games over the course of the season. I really really do.
    They're gonna lose a lot of basketball games, and at
    one point it's gonna be like, all right, well, we
    might as well just start tanking for Olivia Miles or
    Lauren Betts, Like we're gonna have to do that. So
    I think it's over. I really do. I think it's over.

    (11:14):
    Before the season started. I'm fading Connecticut. Give me connecticuts
    an under sixteen and a half wins and then save
    the best for last, because I do think they are
    gonna be the best regular season team over the course
    of the season. The Las Vegas Aces lose Kelsey Plum
    over the course of the offseason, but they gained Jewel Lloyd.

    (11:38):
    Oh and if you don't know me, and I will
    admit this, So if you want to take this on
    a grain of salt, you can, but you'll probably be
    wrong because I think I'm right and I'm almost positive
    this is going away. I think it's gonna go. But
    if you don't know, I'm the biggest Jeweloyd fan. I
    will fight over Jeweloyd. That is my dog, absolute killer

    (12:02):
    on the court, straight killer. Love her game. She has
    a lot to prove this season because they were talking
    a lot in the off season about her the beef
    with the Storm and Scylet, Dick and Smith. Now she
    gets the trade over there to the Aces. She's got
    a lot to prove, but I think she can. I
    think she's easily a twenty point per game scorer, and honestly,

    (12:23):
    I think it's very very scary as well, with what
    Chelsea Gray looked like in the unrivaled league that I
    was talking about earlier this year, Chelsea Gray looked amazing.
    The injury that she walked into the season with last
    year and was battling with over the course of the
    entire season looks like a thing of the past, and
    Chelsea Gray looks like she's going back to looking like

    (12:44):
    a Finals MVP and champion that she is and so
    multiple time champion. Excuse me. So I think that was
    the thing that really it really really messed up the
    Aces over the course of the season, is that they
    didn't have Chelsea Great to be able to be that
    additional option that they really really needed. At times she wasn't.

    (13:06):
    She was like a traffic cone defensively and really couldn't
    keep up with anybody, and she's normally a really good defender.
    So I think she'll be a much better defender for
    them this year, and they're really good and needed because
    there was the biggest criticism of everything last year was
    that they couldn't stop anybody, and so now I think that, hey,
    they can start to become slightly better defensively. Would I
    still like for them to have a better big alongside

    (13:29):
    Asia Wilson that's not named Kia Stokes or Megan Gustafson. Yes,
    unfortunately we all can't get what you want, but I
    still think they'll be okay. Maybe Queen Eggbo would get
    better minutes and that would be a really big lift
    to this team. I think Seyanne Parkinsias is pregnant right now,

    (13:49):
    but she's expecting to come back towards the end of
    the season, and she can be another really really good
    post player to play in relief of Asia and give
    them a spark off of the bench. Like I like
    what they did with the team. They bring in Dana
    Evans as well. I think they can get some good
    usage out of her, especially as a backup point guard.
    Jackie Young is still there. We know how Jackie Young

    (14:10):
    get down, and then they have the greatest player on
    the planet in Asia Wilson. So I think this team
    is locked in. I think they are really really sour
    about not only how last season ended, getting knocked out
    of playoffs, but getting knocked out of playoffs by the
    Liberty and in convincing fashion. And I think it's a
    revenge store over the course of the entire season. I

    (14:32):
    really really do. And there's a lot of teams that
    I just don't think are going to match up with
    them starting with the New York Liberty, especially with the
    injuries that the Liberty have, I don't think that they're
    gonna be good, and I actually think they're gonna take
    an l on ring night, first nine of season, and
    the Aces are gonna go ahead and get us win
    number one in this win total. So give me the
    Aces over twenty seven and a half wins. That's everything

    (14:56):
    for this episode. Golden State Land five is to play
    for tonight with the game not doing anything else right now,
    just Golden State handle business Valkyries over thirteen and a
    half wins. They shock can not be the worst team
    in the league in their first season Connecticut Son under

    (15:17):
    sixteen and a half wins. They go from a perennial
    playoff team to worst team in the league in one season,
    and then the Aces reclaim their spot as top dogs
    over twenty seven and a half wins. There we go.
    That's it at really underscore unerscore. MA should give me
    a follow at Betting Pros on x and TikTok at

    (15:38):
    Betting Pros NFL on instgrim and YouTube dot com slash
    Betting Pros where you can go over there. Make sure
    your subscribe job comment and have a chance to win
    that Dennis Rodinside Jersey. All right with that? That is it.
    I have nothing else saying to throw stud another way
    if it in the podcast, just kind of like this.
    We are the.

    Speaker 2 (16:02):
    Pe peo Peo Peo
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