October 24, 2024 • 36 mins
Our favorite data nerd, Ryan Girdusky, joins Clay and Buck to analyze the very latest early voting and polling data. Girdusky nails CNN on General Kelly's allegations. Doug Emhoff accuser tells Daily Mail he slapped her across the face so hard her head spun around, other media not reporting story, Kamala hasn't been asked about it. Kamala was in the lead of trying to take down Brett Kavanaugh. Kamala holds press conference.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Oh, welcome in our number two Clay Travis buck Sexton show.
We bring in our favorite. I'll just say it. I
think he would think it's affectionate. Our favorite. Data nerd
Ryan Gerdusky to look at the early voting numbers and
what are out there that we should all be aware of.
Speaker 2 (00:23):
Ryan, let me bring you in here.
Speaker 1 (00:24):
I'm going to hit you with the absolute latest gambling
market numbers in all seven swing states as legitimately I'm
talking to you right now. Trump the favorite in Michigan
fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Pennsylvania fifty seven percent,
Trump the favorite in Georgia seventy one percent, Trump the
(00:47):
favorite in North Carolina sixty seven percent, Trump the favorite
in Wisconsin fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Nevada
sixty four percent, and Trump the favorite in Arizona seventy
two percent. He does not need to win all of
these states. But all seven of these states are early voting.
(01:09):
We tell all of you we want one hundred percent
early vote and or voting participation, So don't listen to
me and not go vote. But do you think those
are accurate? Do you think the Trump team is confident?
Quietly here twelve days out. Given those numbers, I just
ran you through gambling odds in the seven battleground states.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
So gambling odds are a lot of times changed based
upon public perception a lot of us on the internet.
I don't follow that. I don't believe that to be
not that I don't believe these numbers could be accurate
or Trump could win them all, but I don't think
the gambling odds are the best place to get these
kinds of information. Wisconsin is a very unusual thing. There
is no party registration and you can register to vote
(01:53):
on election day. So if a thousand Democrats wake up
and say hey, I've never a vote before, they can
register on election day. It's very very difficult to estimate
wiscons without party registration and with people being able to
register to vote up till the minute that they do vote.
In Michigan is not the same thing with party registration.
They have the same thing with party registration, so there's
no political parties and they don't give out race data.
(02:16):
It's just geographic and there's there, but there is a
cutof date. You can't register the day of. So that
being said, I really don't know a lot we don't
know a lot outside the polling in Michigan and Wisconsin,
which is really fifty to fifty depending on what poll
you want to look at. In the state of Pennsylvania
right now, which is a little different because they do
have information on party registration. One point one million Democrats
(02:40):
that have requested an absentee ballot and seven hundred and
twenty six thousand have voted in five hundred ninety seven
thousand Republicans have requested an appsenty ballot in three hundred
and sixty one thousand have voted, and two hundred and
forty thousand Independents and have requested a ballot. One hundred
and ten thousand have voted Democrats in penn Sylvania in
the early but will break heavily for the Democrats, probably
(03:04):
by a two to one margin. That's not unusual. That's
what happens in almost every election. Right now. Republicans lead
in absentee ballot requests in thirty five counties. I just
want to put that in a I want to look
at that compared to pass elections. In twenty twenty two
they led in two counties, and in twenty twenty they
led in thirteen counties. Significant more numbers of rural voters
(03:26):
are requesting than in pass elections for the Republicans. In
Pike County became the first county I think it was today.
If not, it will happen tomorrow where there are more
returns and requests than in the twenty twenty election. In
covid that is a sixty to forty Republican county in
the last election. So then you go to Florida, which
(03:47):
is not really a spring state, but Republicans are obliterating
the numbers. They are one point two million to one million.
Miami Dade could flip Republican or yet very very close.
North Carolina yesterday became the third state to flip to
a Republican lead in the absentee ballads. That was not
really expected because many thought the hurricane would put a
(04:09):
lot of Republican counties out, But those Republican counties in
the hurricane affected areas are seeing record breaking turnout. Georgia
does not have party registration, but they do list results
based on race. Now, I know everyone's saying this huge
surge of black support for Donald Trump is real, but overall,
something to the effect of ninety percent or eighty five
(04:31):
percent of all black voters will be voting for the Democrat,
and in Georgia, around eighty to eighty five percent of
all white voters will be voting for the Republican. That
is the tradition. Fifty nine point sixty six percent of
the vote so far as white, twenty six point five
percent is black. That is a one point increase among
white voters and a one percent decrease among black voters
compared to twenty twenty, and is a tie from twenty
(04:51):
twenty two. There is a surge of Hispanic and Asian
voters though in the state, which is to be expected.
Arizona Republicans lead to Democrats by thirty eight thousand votes
from twenty twenty to thirty thousand more Republicans than twenty twenty.
There are one hundred and thirty seven thousand fewer Democrats
among new voters now, Arizona is unusual in the fact
(05:14):
that they give you the data based upon how often
someone has voted. Among newly registered voters, Democrats sorry, Republicans
lead Democrats by two point two thousand new registered voters
voters who have never voted in the state before or
registered in the state before. Among people who have been
registered but never voted. Republicans have one point nine thousand,
(05:37):
almost two thousand more voters who have been registered, just
never carrot decided to vote before they lead. And in Nevada,
Nevada was supposed to be Kamala's best swing state, that
state that she was never going to go, she was
never going to lose. Really, Republicans lead Democrats by seventeen
thousand votes. There are something known as the Clark County Firewall.
(05:58):
This is something that that Harry Reid machine built up
in the mid two thousands where Democrats would have such
an enormous leading Kark County it wouldn't matter what the
worlds did or what was Shoa did, that they were
going to win because this Clark County league will be
tens of thousands of votes in favor of Democrats. As
of right now, with thirty percent of the overall vote
in for the election day vote with the estimated elector
(06:19):
v vote will be Republicans lead Democrats statewide by seventeen
thousand and Democrats only leave Republicans in Clark County, which
is Las Vegas, by just seven thousand votes. That is
way way way under what Democrats are used to and
this whole idea of Kammo's amazing ground game operation is
(06:41):
really being called into question right now.
Speaker 4 (06:43):
Ryan, I don't know if I got all of that
down on my notepad, but I got a lot of
I know, there was a lot of no, no.
Speaker 3 (06:49):
No no.
Speaker 4 (06:49):
We like THEI GUR dusky around around the world with
the data. That's fine. But if you were to pick
the top one or two things right now that are
that are a real right, that are not projections that
we know are happening based on the data, So you know,
not not including polling that is concerning to the Kamala campaign,
(07:11):
like what is keeping the head of the Kamala twenty
twenty four committee up at night right now?
Speaker 3 (07:18):
The most so in Arizona. Arizona is the only say
that breaks this down. New voters are showing up in
big numbers. Remember a lot of new eighteen year olds,
a lot of immigrants, but a lot of people moved
around this country between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four
because of COVID. A lot of senior citizens moved around
because of COVID. I wrote my substack the National Populist newsletter.
(07:39):
Forty five percent of all new Georgia voters are over
the age of fifty. A lot of new voters in
Arizona are over the age of fifty. These new voters,
a lot of them retirees, are voting in big numbers
for Republicans. That's one thing. New voters Republicans are showing
up and lower pensity voters Republicans are showing up. Secondly,
(08:00):
then that's important because does this huge surge of early
vote by Republicans is it eating away at their election
day vote? Partially? It is one hundred percent partially eating
with their election day vote, but the surge of logro
pensity and new voters shows that it's not just our
election day voters being eaten away at. Trump's numbers on
election day will be smaller than twenty twenty, but he
(08:22):
will overall win election day. That's first of all. Secondly,
the absentee ballot requests in Pennsylvania. If Pennsylvania on election Day,
before election day, Democrats have less than five hundred thousand
votes banked over Republicans, and they will have more because
more Democrats are on the permanent absentee list, that is
a very bad sign. Democrats need about half a million
(08:45):
or more in the bank before election date because Republicans
will win election day. That is extremely concerning. And then lastly,
if you look at where these early turnouts are coming
in the rural counties from Pennsylvania to Nevada to Georgia,
all of them are showing tremendous strengths, even in states
that don't have party registration while a lot of places.
(09:07):
The worst performing county in Pennsylvania for early vote compared
to twenty twenty and twenty twenty two is Philadelphia. That
is not a good place for Democrats. Atlanta is having
issues with the black vote. That is not a good
thing for Democrats. They are sitting there and very very
panicked and keep on saying out loud, well, they'll just
show up on election day. There's no guarantee they will.
There's no guarantee they won't, but there's no guarantee they will.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
So if you were setting up we've asked you this
for months now and you're talking to Ryan Gerdski, encourage
you to go read his populist substack newsletter. Very very good.
I'm a subscriber. I think you guys will enjoy it
as well. If you were setting odds right now, chances
Trump wins twelve days out, chances that Kamala wins twelve
(09:50):
days out.
Speaker 2 (09:51):
What do you think are reasonable projections At this point.
Speaker 3 (09:55):
Trump is the favorite to win, but it's probably fifty
five percent to forty five percent. Kamala can still win
this race. It's not a guarantee, although a lot of
things are moving in his general direction. And it's not
a guarantee because Kamala has one group of voters that
Trump doesn't have, which is highly educated white voters, and
(10:15):
she has the support of a lot of black voters.
They will be mobilized through souls to the polls on
the weekend before election day. For the black voters and
white college educated voters are the most active voters in
the country. About almost eighty five to ninety percent of
them show up in these kinds of elections. That will
be very, very beneficial in the Philadelphia Coller counties in Pennsylvania.
(10:38):
That'll be very beneficial, around the Raleigh and a Drham
area in Wake County, North Carolina, around Atlanta suburbs. That
is what she is depending on is that these people
are no longer afraid of COVID but will be showing
up and showing up big for her. So Trump as
the lead, it's not a tremendous lead. It's not the
lead he had with Joe Biden, and Republicans can't act
(10:58):
like he does. But Democrats are increased becoming unhinged by
the numbers.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
One more question. If you were telling us, and I
know we're twelve days out, but early voting numbers coming
in on election night, I think we will likely have
Florida complete before a lot of our listeners will go
to bed. Will Florida tell us much in your mind? Like,
if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or more points,
(11:24):
which seems highly likely based on how voting is going
so far, is that an indication for other states? Is
there somewhere else that you would point to that may
have reliable early data that could give us a sign
of how the nation is voting. What would you point
to as, like, hey, pay you.
Speaker 3 (11:41):
Than this so the state of Florida. No, I would
look at Midwestern retire communities in Florida. That was the
first sign that Bill Clinton got from his political campaign
director from nineteen ninety two that Hillary was going to
lose in twenty sixteen because the margins in the Midwestern
retire Commune were explosive and they were overwhelmingly favoring Donald Trump.
(12:04):
If those numbers look like they do in this election
as well, it will be very very good in Pennsylvania, Michigan,
and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania on election night, the early ballads
will come in first, so unlike twenty twenty, so what
you will see is huge numbers for Democrats starting out
the night, and as it continues it whittling down and
(12:26):
whittling down and willing down. There is going in much
of the same way. There was a quote unquote read
mirage in twenty twenty. There will be a blue mirage
in twenty twenty four at the very beginning of the night.
Don't get panicked, wait and see as the election ning
numbers are counted. It will be interesting to see by
how much she's winning this early vote, considering Republicans have
(12:47):
invested so much in it. In twenty twenty in Pennsylvania,
she was winning the early vote by something like thirty
six percent. If she's winning the early vote by twenty
five percent, that is a very very very bad sign
for Kambala, Harris.
Speaker 4 (13:00):
Ryan or Dusk everybody National Populist newsletter is his substack.
Clay and I are subscribers. Go check it out for yourself.
Great insights on politics. Ryan. We're gonna have to have
you back before the big day, so study up. Thanks
for being with us.
Speaker 1 (13:14):
A lot of good data there, buck from Ryan, and
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Speaker 3 (15:02):
Stories are freedom stories of America, inspirational stories that you unite.
Speaker 2 (15:08):
Us all each day.
Speaker 3 (15:09):
Spend time with Clay and find them on the free.
Speaker 1 (15:13):
iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
Speaker 4 (15:16):
And welcome back into Clay and Buck. We just had
our buddy Ryan Grodusky on.
Speaker 2 (15:19):
He was amazing.
Speaker 4 (15:21):
Just you remember like around the horn and baseball where
you just throw the throw the ball. I didn't play
much baseball, but I do remember that. Uh he did that,
but with all the battleground states and all the data
that we have so far. So if you miss that,
go back and if you want to be really up
to speed on where this election is as of today,
latest data, latest number is great. Uh, great rundown with
Ryan Gardusky on that one. But you know he's still
(15:42):
going on CNN.
Speaker 3 (15:44):
Uh.
Speaker 4 (15:44):
And I want to give him credit for this one too.
You know, we're talking behind the scenes. I keep telling him,
don't let those communists get you down. He's like, I'm
going in there fighting, like he's ready to go. But
he explained to them that this last minute Trump is
a fascist. General Kelly says, he's a fascist thing. No
normal people care about this. This is twenty nine play it.
Speaker 5 (16:04):
I honestly, god like most Americans do not care about
General Kelly's farewell tour, where he tries to make amends
for working for Donald Trump since Democrats said we're gonna
run all these Republicans work for Trump out of town
unless they somehow make peace. So two weeks before election day,
he runs to liberal journalist Susan Glasser about a conversation
that allegedly happened four years ago. It doesn't pass a
(16:27):
smell test, and that is why people are turned off
to all of these stories. They remember Donald Trump's president
for low inflation, jobs, peace through strength, controlled borders. That's
why they care. No one believes Jeffrey Goldberg and the
article from a publication that's owned by one of Harris's donors.
Speaker 4 (16:48):
Total smear campaign and Ryan just nailing it like it's
just play. It just reeks of desperation from the Kamala camp.
Speaker 1 (16:57):
Speaking of desperation, Kamala has scheduled an impromptu press conference
supposed to start in about five minutes. I would imagine
she is going to call Trump hitler that CNN town
hall did not go well for her. I would also
imagine that all of these numbers that Ryan just ran through,
the early voting numbers have Democrats incredibly nervous all over
(17:21):
the country and they are now in the panicked just
throw everything you can at the wall stage of her campaign.
And I think all of you need to anticipate and
expect and next level nastiness over the next twelve days
because they're losing.
Speaker 2 (17:40):
They know it.
Speaker 1 (17:41):
What you can best do is get out and vote, vote, vote.
When we come back, we'll give you the absolute latest
on whatever Kamala says and more.
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Speaker 1 (18:51):
Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all
of you hanging out with us as we are rolling
through the twelve days out from the election. Go get
your votes in all of that is extremely important, But Buck,
there are lots of stories that are popping. I don't
know that we're going to have a traditional October surprise
(19:13):
because it's now more difficult to have October surprises because
somewhere around potentially thirty million of you have already or
will already have voted by the end of today. There's
a huge number, and no matter what happens after this,
your vote's already banked. Buck, my vote's already banked. So
you're chasing a diminishing return when we have election season
(19:35):
as opposed to election day. With that in mind, there
are going to be stories that continue to pop. The Guardian,
which is a left wing publication, came out with a
woman who says, oh, Trump growte to me thirty five
years ago, or whatever the heck it was, she waited
until now to tell her story. I think it's having
limited impact. You have the Atlantic story where they tried
(19:59):
to say, oh, Trump envied Hitler all these things. Again,
I think the impact on that has been limited. But
were at the throw everything at the wall stage. It's
not just coming in one direction. The Daily Mail has
been willing to cover Doug Imhoff, who is the husband
of Kamala Harris, his past. They broke the story that
(20:20):
he had a got his nanny pregnant and that was
why his first marriage ended.
Speaker 2 (20:26):
They then broke a story.
Speaker 1 (20:28):
That a woman that he was dating had been slapped
by him at a fancy VIP party in Can as
they were waiting at the valet line that woman. Early
this morning, Buck went public, not with her name, she
wanted to remain anonymous. She evidently is a very successful
(20:48):
lawyer at a major law firm. Traditional Democrat donor, I
think she said her husband, and she gave ten thousand
dollars to Joe Biden's twenty two campaign. So this is
not some right wing activist. She actually is a Democrat traditionally,
and she's just fed up with Doug m Hoff selling
(21:09):
himself as this paragon of mel virtue. And she came
out with her story and she said, yes, he slapped
me so hard it spun me around and it ended
our relationship because he thought I was flirting with the
valet after a high end can tuxedo clad event. Most
(21:33):
people are not talking or covering this. I think it's significant, Buck,
and I'm curious what your take would be, because Kamala
Harris has made a big part of her platform hashtag
believe all women, and she was willing to accept that
Christine Blasi ford absurd allegations against Kavanaugh. And yet, to
my knowledge, not one media member has even asked her,
(21:55):
do you think that the woman who is accusing your
husband of slapping her so hard in the face that
it's spun her around is lying or do you believe
her as well? This is I think significant given Kamala
Harris's past characterizations.
Speaker 4 (22:10):
I think there are a lot of reasons to be
offended by the notion of Kamala Harris as president or
vice president for that matter, but certainly as president, that's
a whole other level, whole other league of power and influence.
For me, really still the top of the heat. I
mean that you could say that the wanting to raise
(22:31):
helping to raise money for the rioters of Minneapolis because
of BLM and the madness and the race riots underway
and all of that, I mean, that's grotesque that she
that she was a part of that, and we should
not forget that, but her leading the charge really to
destroy Brett Kavanaugh with allegations from a woman who was
(22:52):
clearly it was clearly a political send up.
Speaker 2 (22:55):
It was a hit job.
Speaker 4 (22:56):
She did not she could not produce a single witness
to corroborate anything. She had no evidence to corroborate anything.
She could not remember where, she could not remember the address,
she could not remember the year. Okay, and also there's
a whole other thing too, like the conduct that she alleges.
She's like, he tried to like corner me and then
(23:18):
grab me, and then I ran away. I'm like, this
is something that's so traumatic that you said you had
to have two doors installed on your house. You're a
crazy person. Okay.
Speaker 1 (23:25):
Now, not only is a crazy person, Buck, I always
when you're a lawyer, you're instructed, as part of your
legal training to sometimes assume, and judges have to do
this too, that everything alleged and a complaint is true.
This was important, and I hammered this a lot back
in the day, and very few people focused on it.
Even if everything that she said was true, and to
your point, manifestly much of it was not true. But
(23:48):
even if you accepted her story, as the full truth.
It wasn't criminal behavior. There was no crime. So even
her story, if you accepted it and said this is
one hundred percent accurate, it still wouldn't have been a crime.
And and that's why I think, Look, Doug Imhoff, to me,
Buck does not seem like a good dude. I think
(24:09):
if you get your nanny pregnant, as a general rule,
you're probably not that good of a dude.
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Is that fairness?
Speaker 4 (24:17):
And I I'm this is this is sort of a
sensitive area. I understand all you know, infidelity is bad,
it's a moral It destroys families. Divorce is so painful,
so often it comes out of infidelity. So infidelity bad, okay,
But there are also levels within that, right, correct, There's
the infidelity, just like there's levels within murder. There's levels
(24:38):
within everything. Okay, there's infidelity, that's the you know, I
was on a business trip and I got a little drunk.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
And I did bad.
Speaker 4 (24:45):
That's bad, that can still destroy marriage whatever. But the
nanny who is taking care of your kids and lives
in your house. I mean, I think we can all
understand there's a level of disrespect and and just it's
just even more heinous and grows cringy and uncomfortable. And
(25:06):
you can understand why if you were married to Doug
m Hoff and he did that, you would get divorced.
I But my thing on it, Buck is just when
you combine that with he slapped me so hard in
the face that I had to spin around, and all
the talk about him being creepy and unlikable to women
(25:27):
in his law firm, I can't believe that the media
allows that dude to lecture men in America about how
we should behave and what toxic masculinity is. One of
my frustrations with this, and as you know, this was
like probably the thing that got the most virality when
I did Bill Maher a couple weeks ago, Clay, was
this discussion of masculinity. But one of the things I
(25:49):
think it's so funny as you sit here, the Democrats
are saying, like why do we have a problem with
masculine men? Like why can't we get their votes? Look
at the men they put forward. Yes, you know you
brought this up too. We had hung cow on yesterday.
We got a specop's veterans running for Congress joining us
in just a little bit here we got Sam Brown
back joining us tomorrow. All of the guys that you
(26:12):
basically I know this is gonna be like a simplistic
barbarian kind of a. All of the guys that you
would want to have your back if you were being
jumped in a dark alley, without exception a Republican in politics, yea,
all of them. Every guy that you're like, I feel
safer walking down a dark street with this individual is
a Republican. And all the ones that would shriek like
(26:34):
girls and run away happen to be Democrats. I think
that's what Well said, and and I think oftentimes these
in the Democrat males also have no real achievement outside
of politics. And I just for him to be lecturing
all of us and for Kamala to not get asked
about it. She tried to destroy Brett Kavanaugh's life with
(26:58):
a BS allegation. She used it to elevate her profile,
even though she's a former prosecutor. We hear about all
the time, she would have understood that that prosecutor's case
was garbage. I mean that individual's case. If she were
a prosecutor and had to determine whether or not to
bring a criminal charge that would have been garbage. She
(27:20):
would have never been able to get that charge brought.
And so for no one to say to her, hey,
do you believe the woman who says that your husband
physically assaulted her? For not one reporter to ask that question,
because you've said hashtag believe all women. And really, I
don't begrudge Kamala if she says no, I don't believe
(27:43):
that woman. But you can't say, hey, hashtag believe all women.
And then when someone that you're close.
Speaker 1 (27:52):
To is accused of a crime, suddenly you want there
to be some sort of fair and impartial justice. This
was my thing from the get go, and I'm glad
we bring this up, Buck, because I think it's so important.
The entire purpose of a court system is for justice
to be blind. Democrats made as that their closing argument
(28:12):
in twenty eighteen and all through the Me Too movement.
If a woman says it, it's true, that was their position. Yeah,
that's just as bad as saying if a white person
says it, it's true, which was in the South in
the Jim Crow era and before the foundation of many
people being convicted of crimes. Democrats have gone full circle
(28:33):
and they now are arguing that your identity, whether your sex,
your gender, your ethnicity, your sexual orientation, whatever it is,
that determines whether or not you're telling the truth. The
reality is men lie, women lie, White people lie, Asian
people lie, Hispanic people, black people. You can't use identity
as a proxy for truth. But they never intended this
to be a standard. It was always just a weaponization
(28:56):
against Republicans. It was a weapon against Republicans. It was
never our team is also going to have to play
by these rules. I mean, I'll say the maybe the
only exception of that is what they did to Al
Franken was I was actually surprised, but he got caught
up in the machinery of it at the moment and
they forced him out of office.
Speaker 4 (29:13):
It's like, what exactly this guy hated?
Speaker 1 (29:14):
And that was like a decade old the funny picture
that he got taken on an airplane if I remember
like a back in the day.
Speaker 4 (29:20):
Yeah, I mean it was it was like, you know,
frat boy stuff.
Speaker 1 (29:24):
You and ile and inappropriate, but not to me the
determinative of whether the guy could have a political career
fifteen years later.
Speaker 4 (29:31):
Yeah, and of course Al frank it would never defend
you or me or anyone else listening to this who
was unfairly maligned in any way. But we don't care.
We'll say, We'll call it like it is. Kamala Harris
was willing to engage in a ritualistic reputation torture of
Brett Kavanaugh in front of the entire nation, tens of
(29:52):
millions of people watching. This also that Democrats could have
their sacred right of abortion protected. It's one of the
most grotesque things I've ever seen in American politics. The
fact that Kamala Harris is now the Democrat nominee actually
speaks to how powerful the god Molok is within the
Democrat Party and the child sacrifice that they demand, because
(30:13):
she definitely doesn't have a skill set beyond being absolutely
ruthless and completely free of morals. And you see who
her husband is.
Speaker 1 (30:20):
And I'm just going to say it, not surprised, Not surprised. Yeah,
I think it's very valid. And again, what I would
say is even more integral here to this story is
that Kama is not being asked about it at all.
Notice how they ran immediately with the Atlantic story, which
had no substantiation, was based entirely on anonymous sources, and
(30:44):
every newscast in America that is on the left used
it as their lead story. Almost none of them will
even mention the allegations of im Hoff. And he's been
interviewed all over media and nobody's even asked him directly
about it.
Speaker 2 (30:59):
Significant.
Speaker 4 (31:01):
Well, we weren't allowed to really talk about it on
the Marshow play because it was you know, we don't
want to be unfair. It's not verified yet. Well, it's
not about verified like it's not about innocence until proven guilty,
is it. Because whenever there's an allegation, look at the
allegations against Trump, they're putting stuff forward, Oh he grabbed.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
It's always leading the news.
Speaker 4 (31:21):
It's it's it's absurd. I will take some of your
calls here coming up. We want to hear from all
of you. You know, gun owners. I know you've got
a lot of options out there as a ton of guns.
I go to my FFL here in Florida and I
look at the walls and yes, it's like kid in
a candy store. There's a lot of stuff there. But
if you're looking for a firearm company that you might
not be familiar with. Though, if you listened to the show.
You are, but you might not have seen that much before.
(31:43):
But you're talking about getting the best bang for your buck.
Speaker 2 (31:46):
See what I did.
Speaker 4 (31:46):
They're best value in terms of craftsmanship, accuracy, and also
supporting a company that stands with your values. Believe it
or not, there are gun companies that won't advertise on
talk radio. There are gun companies out there that don't
want to talk about the fact they sell AR fifteen's
because they're scared of the Biden administration. I could name them,
I won't do that, but instead, let's name one that
(32:07):
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top quality products. Bear Creek Arsenal. Bear Creek Arsenal is
the gun company you need to check out. I was
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(32:28):
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(32:51):
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Speaker 2 (33:03):
Apply cheap up with Clay and Bucks campaign coverage with
twenty four a Sunday highlight reel from the week.
Speaker 1 (33:11):
Find it on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 4 (33:15):
Welcome back into Clay and Vock. We've got more for
you on the campaign situation here and also the closing
argument of the Kamala campaign which is underway. I mean,
they're they're really going with Trump as Hitler. I thought
they were going to go more likely Clay with Trump
as a felon. But I think that given one of
(33:38):
the one of the indictments dismissed Florida, Atlanta indictment told
the backle with with complete partisan imbeciles running it New York,
the and the only, the only case they got a
conviction in is so preposterous and so unfair, such a
weaponization of law that no serious person could think otherwise.
(34:02):
And then in DC, I keep sitting here, people get
so up, so they're like, what about the insurrection? I'm like,
what is the crime that Trump committed in your so
called insurrection?
Speaker 2 (34:10):
What is it? Really?
Speaker 4 (34:11):
You're really gonna go with incitement to insurrection even though
he said be peaceful in your protest, he's responsible for
if he's a guilty of insiement insurrection, Democrats like Kamala Harris,
who are inciting BLM riots all through twenty twenty, guilty
of incitement insurrection.
Speaker 1 (34:30):
I agree with you that it is illogical. I think
they are at the desperation stage of their campaign. Her
final rally, Buck, I believe, is on the ellipse on
Tuesday of next week, like the final Big rally, which
is designed to harken back to January sixth.
Speaker 2 (34:49):
Did you see this story? So?
Speaker 1 (34:51):
I think next week they're going to try to pivot
back to Trump is hitler and also he's a convicted
felon and America will end if you elect him. So
I think that's gonna be her closing argument, which is
funny because they talked about how her campaign was one
of joy and effervescence. And remember feels a very long
(35:11):
time ago now that we had the Brat summer when
everybody was talking about how great Kamala was, and now
she's just falling back on Trump is hitler and January
sixth was the worst day since the Civil War in
the United States. I don't think that's going to register
at all. And again, we'll give you some of the cuts.
She just had a press conference in Philadelphia. Trump on
(35:33):
his way to Arizona for a big rally out there
as well as a big rally in Nevada, I believe
as he tries to cement the Southwest, and I know
we have some people listening in New Mexico if you
want to kind of just think a little bit under
the radar state that nobody's paying attention to. I think
New Mexico could end up pretty close because Trump is
(35:56):
doing very well in Arizona, He's doing very well in Nevada.
Speaker 2 (36:01):
Right now, everybody get out and vote, keep voting.
Speaker 1 (36:04):
I think New Mexico is going to be a single
digit state, one that is maybe a three or four
point margin before all is said and done. That a
lot of people. I don't even hear anybody talking about
it at all. But if you're listening to us in
New Mexico right now, there is some really good momentum
for the Trump team and Republicans in general in your state.
And I don't hear anybody talking about it, but feel
(36:28):
good about the momentum.
Speaker 4 (36:29):
There can I throw something else out there, breaking news
story from today that we can get into with all this,
Trump has said he's open to pardoning. Yeah, Hunter Biden,
I actually think there's a lot behind this. I think
we should talk about this play coming up here because
Trump is onto something
Oh, welcome in our number two Clay Travis buck Sexton show.
We bring in our favorite. I'll just say it. I
think he would think it's affectionate. Our favorite. Data nerd
Ryan Gerdusky to look at the early voting numbers and
what are out there that we should all be aware of.
Speaker 2 (00:23):
Ryan, let me bring you in here.
Speaker 1 (00:24):
I'm going to hit you with the absolute latest gambling
market numbers in all seven swing states as legitimately I'm
talking to you right now. Trump the favorite in Michigan
fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Pennsylvania fifty seven percent,
Trump the favorite in Georgia seventy one percent, Trump the
(00:47):
favorite in North Carolina sixty seven percent, Trump the favorite
in Wisconsin fifty six percent, Trump the favorite in Nevada
sixty four percent, and Trump the favorite in Arizona seventy
two percent. He does not need to win all of
these states. But all seven of these states are early voting.
(01:09):
We tell all of you we want one hundred percent
early vote and or voting participation, So don't listen to
me and not go vote. But do you think those
are accurate? Do you think the Trump team is confident?
Quietly here twelve days out. Given those numbers, I just
ran you through gambling odds in the seven battleground states.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
So gambling odds are a lot of times changed based
upon public perception a lot of us on the internet.
I don't follow that. I don't believe that to be
not that I don't believe these numbers could be accurate
or Trump could win them all, but I don't think
the gambling odds are the best place to get these
kinds of information. Wisconsin is a very unusual thing. There
is no party registration and you can register to vote
(01:53):
on election day. So if a thousand Democrats wake up
and say hey, I've never a vote before, they can
register on election day. It's very very difficult to estimate
wiscons without party registration and with people being able to
register to vote up till the minute that they do vote.
In Michigan is not the same thing with party registration.
They have the same thing with party registration, so there's
no political parties and they don't give out race data.
(02:16):
It's just geographic and there's there, but there is a
cutof date. You can't register the day of. So that
being said, I really don't know a lot we don't
know a lot outside the polling in Michigan and Wisconsin,
which is really fifty to fifty depending on what poll
you want to look at. In the state of Pennsylvania
right now, which is a little different because they do
have information on party registration. One point one million Democrats
(02:40):
that have requested an absentee ballot and seven hundred and
twenty six thousand have voted in five hundred ninety seven
thousand Republicans have requested an appsenty ballot in three hundred
and sixty one thousand have voted, and two hundred and
forty thousand Independents and have requested a ballot. One hundred
and ten thousand have voted Democrats in penn Sylvania in
the early but will break heavily for the Democrats, probably
(03:04):
by a two to one margin. That's not unusual. That's
what happens in almost every election. Right now. Republicans lead
in absentee ballot requests in thirty five counties. I just
want to put that in a I want to look
at that compared to pass elections. In twenty twenty two
they led in two counties, and in twenty twenty they
led in thirteen counties. Significant more numbers of rural voters
(03:26):
are requesting than in pass elections for the Republicans. In
Pike County became the first county I think it was today.
If not, it will happen tomorrow where there are more
returns and requests than in the twenty twenty election. In
covid that is a sixty to forty Republican county in
the last election. So then you go to Florida, which
(03:47):
is not really a spring state, but Republicans are obliterating
the numbers. They are one point two million to one million.
Miami Dade could flip Republican or yet very very close.
North Carolina yesterday became the third state to flip to
a Republican lead in the absentee ballads. That was not
really expected because many thought the hurricane would put a
(04:09):
lot of Republican counties out, But those Republican counties in
the hurricane affected areas are seeing record breaking turnout. Georgia
does not have party registration, but they do list results
based on race. Now, I know everyone's saying this huge
surge of black support for Donald Trump is real, but overall,
something to the effect of ninety percent or eighty five
(04:31):
percent of all black voters will be voting for the Democrat,
and in Georgia, around eighty to eighty five percent of
all white voters will be voting for the Republican. That
is the tradition. Fifty nine point sixty six percent of
the vote so far as white, twenty six point five
percent is black. That is a one point increase among
white voters and a one percent decrease among black voters
compared to twenty twenty, and is a tie from twenty
(04:51):
twenty two. There is a surge of Hispanic and Asian
voters though in the state, which is to be expected.
Arizona Republicans lead to Democrats by thirty eight thousand votes
from twenty twenty to thirty thousand more Republicans than twenty twenty.
There are one hundred and thirty seven thousand fewer Democrats
among new voters now, Arizona is unusual in the fact
(05:14):
that they give you the data based upon how often
someone has voted. Among newly registered voters, Democrats sorry, Republicans
lead Democrats by two point two thousand new registered voters
voters who have never voted in the state before or
registered in the state before. Among people who have been
registered but never voted. Republicans have one point nine thousand,
(05:37):
almost two thousand more voters who have been registered, just
never carrot decided to vote before they lead. And in Nevada,
Nevada was supposed to be Kamala's best swing state, that
state that she was never going to go, she was
never going to lose. Really, Republicans lead Democrats by seventeen
thousand votes. There are something known as the Clark County Firewall.
(05:58):
This is something that that Harry Reid machine built up
in the mid two thousands where Democrats would have such
an enormous leading Kark County it wouldn't matter what the
worlds did or what was Shoa did, that they were
going to win because this Clark County league will be
tens of thousands of votes in favor of Democrats. As
of right now, with thirty percent of the overall vote
in for the election day vote with the estimated elector
(06:19):
v vote will be Republicans lead Democrats statewide by seventeen
thousand and Democrats only leave Republicans in Clark County, which
is Las Vegas, by just seven thousand votes. That is
way way way under what Democrats are used to and
this whole idea of Kammo's amazing ground game operation is
(06:41):
really being called into question right now.
Speaker 4 (06:43):
Ryan, I don't know if I got all of that
down on my notepad, but I got a lot of
I know, there was a lot of no, no.
Speaker 3 (06:49):
No no.
Speaker 4 (06:49):
We like THEI GUR dusky around around the world with
the data. That's fine. But if you were to pick
the top one or two things right now that are
that are a real right, that are not projections that
we know are happening based on the data, So you know,
not not including polling that is concerning to the Kamala campaign,
(07:11):
like what is keeping the head of the Kamala twenty
twenty four committee up at night right now?
Speaker 3 (07:18):
The most so in Arizona. Arizona is the only say
that breaks this down. New voters are showing up in
big numbers. Remember a lot of new eighteen year olds,
a lot of immigrants, but a lot of people moved
around this country between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four
because of COVID. A lot of senior citizens moved around
because of COVID. I wrote my substack the National Populist newsletter.
(07:39):
Forty five percent of all new Georgia voters are over
the age of fifty. A lot of new voters in
Arizona are over the age of fifty. These new voters,
a lot of them retirees, are voting in big numbers
for Republicans. That's one thing. New voters Republicans are showing
up and lower pensity voters Republicans are showing up. Secondly,
(08:00):
then that's important because does this huge surge of early
vote by Republicans is it eating away at their election
day vote? Partially? It is one hundred percent partially eating
with their election day vote, but the surge of logro
pensity and new voters shows that it's not just our
election day voters being eaten away at. Trump's numbers on
election day will be smaller than twenty twenty, but he
(08:22):
will overall win election day. That's first of all. Secondly,
the absentee ballot requests in Pennsylvania. If Pennsylvania on election Day,
before election day, Democrats have less than five hundred thousand
votes banked over Republicans, and they will have more because
more Democrats are on the permanent absentee list, that is
a very bad sign. Democrats need about half a million
(08:45):
or more in the bank before election date because Republicans
will win election day. That is extremely concerning. And then lastly,
if you look at where these early turnouts are coming
in the rural counties from Pennsylvania to Nevada to Georgia,
all of them are showing tremendous strengths, even in states
that don't have party registration while a lot of places.
(09:07):
The worst performing county in Pennsylvania for early vote compared
to twenty twenty and twenty twenty two is Philadelphia. That
is not a good place for Democrats. Atlanta is having
issues with the black vote. That is not a good
thing for Democrats. They are sitting there and very very
panicked and keep on saying out loud, well, they'll just
show up on election day. There's no guarantee they will.
There's no guarantee they won't, but there's no guarantee they will.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
So if you were setting up we've asked you this
for months now and you're talking to Ryan Gerdski, encourage
you to go read his populist substack newsletter. Very very good.
I'm a subscriber. I think you guys will enjoy it
as well. If you were setting odds right now, chances
Trump wins twelve days out, chances that Kamala wins twelve
(09:50):
days out.
Speaker 2 (09:51):
What do you think are reasonable projections At this point.
Speaker 3 (09:55):
Trump is the favorite to win, but it's probably fifty
five percent to forty five percent. Kamala can still win
this race. It's not a guarantee, although a lot of
things are moving in his general direction. And it's not
a guarantee because Kamala has one group of voters that
Trump doesn't have, which is highly educated white voters, and
(10:15):
she has the support of a lot of black voters.
They will be mobilized through souls to the polls on
the weekend before election day. For the black voters and
white college educated voters are the most active voters in
the country. About almost eighty five to ninety percent of
them show up in these kinds of elections. That will
be very, very beneficial in the Philadelphia Coller counties in Pennsylvania.
(10:38):
That'll be very beneficial, around the Raleigh and a Drham
area in Wake County, North Carolina, around Atlanta suburbs. That
is what she is depending on is that these people
are no longer afraid of COVID but will be showing
up and showing up big for her. So Trump as
the lead, it's not a tremendous lead. It's not the
lead he had with Joe Biden, and Republicans can't act
(10:58):
like he does. But Democrats are increased becoming unhinged by
the numbers.
Speaker 1 (11:03):
One more question. If you were telling us, and I
know we're twelve days out, but early voting numbers coming
in on election night, I think we will likely have
Florida complete before a lot of our listeners will go
to bed. Will Florida tell us much in your mind? Like,
if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or more points,
(11:24):
which seems highly likely based on how voting is going
so far, is that an indication for other states? Is
there somewhere else that you would point to that may
have reliable early data that could give us a sign
of how the nation is voting. What would you point
to as, like, hey, pay you.
Speaker 3 (11:41):
Than this so the state of Florida. No, I would
look at Midwestern retire communities in Florida. That was the
first sign that Bill Clinton got from his political campaign
director from nineteen ninety two that Hillary was going to
lose in twenty sixteen because the margins in the Midwestern
retire Commune were explosive and they were overwhelmingly favoring Donald Trump.
(12:04):
If those numbers look like they do in this election
as well, it will be very very good in Pennsylvania, Michigan,
and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania on election night, the early ballads
will come in first, so unlike twenty twenty, so what
you will see is huge numbers for Democrats starting out
the night, and as it continues it whittling down and
(12:26):
whittling down and willing down. There is going in much
of the same way. There was a quote unquote read
mirage in twenty twenty. There will be a blue mirage
in twenty twenty four at the very beginning of the night.
Don't get panicked, wait and see as the election ning
numbers are counted. It will be interesting to see by
how much she's winning this early vote, considering Republicans have
(12:47):
invested so much in it. In twenty twenty in Pennsylvania,
she was winning the early vote by something like thirty
six percent. If she's winning the early vote by twenty
five percent, that is a very very very bad sign
for Kambala, Harris.
Speaker 4 (13:00):
Ryan or Dusk everybody National Populist newsletter is his substack.
Clay and I are subscribers. Go check it out for yourself.
Great insights on politics. Ryan. We're gonna have to have
you back before the big day, so study up. Thanks
for being with us.
Speaker 1 (13:14):
A lot of good data there, buck from Ryan, and
I know a lot of you are very fired up
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(13:35):
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(14:39):
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Speaker 3 (15:02):
Stories are freedom stories of America, inspirational stories that you unite.
Speaker 2 (15:08):
Us all each day.
Speaker 3 (15:09):
Spend time with Clay and find them on the free.
Speaker 1 (15:13):
iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
Speaker 4 (15:16):
And welcome back into Clay and Buck. We just had
our buddy Ryan Grodusky on.
Speaker 2 (15:19):
He was amazing.
Speaker 4 (15:21):
Just you remember like around the horn and baseball where
you just throw the throw the ball. I didn't play
much baseball, but I do remember that. Uh he did that,
but with all the battleground states and all the data
that we have so far. So if you miss that,
go back and if you want to be really up
to speed on where this election is as of today,
latest data, latest number is great. Uh, great rundown with
Ryan Gardusky on that one. But you know he's still
(15:42):
going on CNN.
Speaker 3 (15:44):
Uh.
Speaker 4 (15:44):
And I want to give him credit for this one too.
You know, we're talking behind the scenes. I keep telling him,
don't let those communists get you down. He's like, I'm
going in there fighting, like he's ready to go. But
he explained to them that this last minute Trump is
a fascist. General Kelly says, he's a fascist thing. No
normal people care about this. This is twenty nine play it.
Speaker 5 (16:04):
I honestly, god like most Americans do not care about
General Kelly's farewell tour, where he tries to make amends
for working for Donald Trump since Democrats said we're gonna
run all these Republicans work for Trump out of town
unless they somehow make peace. So two weeks before election day,
he runs to liberal journalist Susan Glasser about a conversation
that allegedly happened four years ago. It doesn't pass a
(16:27):
smell test, and that is why people are turned off
to all of these stories. They remember Donald Trump's president
for low inflation, jobs, peace through strength, controlled borders. That's
why they care. No one believes Jeffrey Goldberg and the
article from a publication that's owned by one of Harris's donors.
Speaker 4 (16:48):
Total smear campaign and Ryan just nailing it like it's
just play. It just reeks of desperation from the Kamala camp.
Speaker 1 (16:57):
Speaking of desperation, Kamala has scheduled an impromptu press conference
supposed to start in about five minutes. I would imagine
she is going to call Trump hitler that CNN town
hall did not go well for her. I would also
imagine that all of these numbers that Ryan just ran through,
the early voting numbers have Democrats incredibly nervous all over
(17:21):
the country and they are now in the panicked just
throw everything you can at the wall stage of her campaign.
And I think all of you need to anticipate and
expect and next level nastiness over the next twelve days
because they're losing.
Speaker 2 (17:40):
They know it.
Speaker 1 (17:41):
What you can best do is get out and vote, vote, vote.
When we come back, we'll give you the absolute latest
on whatever Kamala says and more.
Speaker 4 (17:54):
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Speaker 1 (18:51):
Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all
of you hanging out with us as we are rolling
through the twelve days out from the election. Go get
your votes in all of that is extremely important, But Buck,
there are lots of stories that are popping. I don't
know that we're going to have a traditional October surprise
(19:13):
because it's now more difficult to have October surprises because
somewhere around potentially thirty million of you have already or
will already have voted by the end of today. There's
a huge number, and no matter what happens after this,
your vote's already banked. Buck, my vote's already banked. So
you're chasing a diminishing return when we have election season
(19:35):
as opposed to election day. With that in mind, there
are going to be stories that continue to pop. The Guardian,
which is a left wing publication, came out with a
woman who says, oh, Trump growte to me thirty five
years ago, or whatever the heck it was, she waited
until now to tell her story. I think it's having
limited impact. You have the Atlantic story where they tried
(19:59):
to say, oh, Trump envied Hitler all these things. Again,
I think the impact on that has been limited. But
were at the throw everything at the wall stage. It's
not just coming in one direction. The Daily Mail has
been willing to cover Doug Imhoff, who is the husband
of Kamala Harris, his past. They broke the story that
(20:20):
he had a got his nanny pregnant and that was
why his first marriage ended.
Speaker 2 (20:26):
They then broke a story.
Speaker 1 (20:28):
That a woman that he was dating had been slapped
by him at a fancy VIP party in Can as
they were waiting at the valet line that woman. Early
this morning, Buck went public, not with her name, she
wanted to remain anonymous. She evidently is a very successful
(20:48):
lawyer at a major law firm. Traditional Democrat donor, I
think she said her husband, and she gave ten thousand
dollars to Joe Biden's twenty two campaign. So this is
not some right wing activist. She actually is a Democrat traditionally,
and she's just fed up with Doug m Hoff selling
(21:09):
himself as this paragon of mel virtue. And she came
out with her story and she said, yes, he slapped
me so hard it spun me around and it ended
our relationship because he thought I was flirting with the
valet after a high end can tuxedo clad event. Most
(21:33):
people are not talking or covering this. I think it's significant, Buck,
and I'm curious what your take would be, because Kamala
Harris has made a big part of her platform hashtag
believe all women, and she was willing to accept that
Christine Blasi ford absurd allegations against Kavanaugh. And yet, to
my knowledge, not one media member has even asked her,
(21:55):
do you think that the woman who is accusing your
husband of slapping her so hard in the face that
it's spun her around is lying or do you believe
her as well? This is I think significant given Kamala
Harris's past characterizations.
Speaker 4 (22:10):
I think there are a lot of reasons to be
offended by the notion of Kamala Harris as president or
vice president for that matter, but certainly as president, that's
a whole other level, whole other league of power and influence.
For me, really still the top of the heat. I
mean that you could say that the wanting to raise
(22:31):
helping to raise money for the rioters of Minneapolis because
of BLM and the madness and the race riots underway
and all of that, I mean, that's grotesque that she
that she was a part of that, and we should
not forget that, but her leading the charge really to
destroy Brett Kavanaugh with allegations from a woman who was
(22:52):
clearly it was clearly a political send up.
Speaker 2 (22:55):
It was a hit job.
Speaker 4 (22:56):
She did not she could not produce a single witness
to corroborate anything. She had no evidence to corroborate anything.
She could not remember where, she could not remember the address,
she could not remember the year. Okay, and also there's
a whole other thing too, like the conduct that she alleges.
She's like, he tried to like corner me and then
(23:18):
grab me, and then I ran away. I'm like, this
is something that's so traumatic that you said you had
to have two doors installed on your house. You're a
crazy person. Okay.
Speaker 1 (23:25):
Now, not only is a crazy person, Buck, I always
when you're a lawyer, you're instructed, as part of your
legal training to sometimes assume, and judges have to do
this too, that everything alleged and a complaint is true.
This was important, and I hammered this a lot back
in the day, and very few people focused on it.
Even if everything that she said was true, and to
your point, manifestly much of it was not true. But
(23:48):
even if you accepted her story, as the full truth.
It wasn't criminal behavior. There was no crime. So even
her story, if you accepted it and said this is
one hundred percent accurate, it still wouldn't have been a crime.
And and that's why I think, Look, Doug Imhoff, to me,
Buck does not seem like a good dude. I think
(24:09):
if you get your nanny pregnant, as a general rule,
you're probably not that good of a dude.
Speaker 2 (24:16):
Is that fairness?
Speaker 4 (24:17):
And I I'm this is this is sort of a
sensitive area. I understand all you know, infidelity is bad,
it's a moral It destroys families. Divorce is so painful,
so often it comes out of infidelity. So infidelity bad, okay,
But there are also levels within that, right, correct, There's
the infidelity, just like there's levels within murder. There's levels
(24:38):
within everything. Okay, there's infidelity, that's the you know, I
was on a business trip and I got a little drunk.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
And I did bad.
Speaker 4 (24:45):
That's bad, that can still destroy marriage whatever. But the
nanny who is taking care of your kids and lives
in your house. I mean, I think we can all
understand there's a level of disrespect and and just it's
just even more heinous and grows cringy and uncomfortable. And
(25:06):
you can understand why if you were married to Doug
m Hoff and he did that, you would get divorced.
I But my thing on it, Buck is just when
you combine that with he slapped me so hard in
the face that I had to spin around, and all
the talk about him being creepy and unlikable to women
(25:27):
in his law firm, I can't believe that the media
allows that dude to lecture men in America about how
we should behave and what toxic masculinity is. One of
my frustrations with this, and as you know, this was
like probably the thing that got the most virality when
I did Bill Maher a couple weeks ago, Clay, was
this discussion of masculinity. But one of the things I
(25:49):
think it's so funny as you sit here, the Democrats
are saying, like why do we have a problem with
masculine men? Like why can't we get their votes? Look
at the men they put forward. Yes, you know you
brought this up too. We had hung cow on yesterday.
We got a specop's veterans running for Congress joining us
in just a little bit here we got Sam Brown
back joining us tomorrow. All of the guys that you
(26:12):
basically I know this is gonna be like a simplistic
barbarian kind of a. All of the guys that you
would want to have your back if you were being
jumped in a dark alley, without exception a Republican in politics, yea,
all of them. Every guy that you're like, I feel
safer walking down a dark street with this individual is
a Republican. And all the ones that would shriek like
(26:34):
girls and run away happen to be Democrats. I think
that's what Well said, and and I think oftentimes these
in the Democrat males also have no real achievement outside
of politics. And I just for him to be lecturing
all of us and for Kamala to not get asked
about it. She tried to destroy Brett Kavanaugh's life with
(26:58):
a BS allegation. She used it to elevate her profile,
even though she's a former prosecutor. We hear about all
the time, she would have understood that that prosecutor's case
was garbage. I mean that individual's case. If she were
a prosecutor and had to determine whether or not to
bring a criminal charge that would have been garbage. She
(27:20):
would have never been able to get that charge brought.
And so for no one to say to her, hey,
do you believe the woman who says that your husband
physically assaulted her? For not one reporter to ask that question,
because you've said hashtag believe all women. And really, I
don't begrudge Kamala if she says no, I don't believe
(27:43):
that woman. But you can't say, hey, hashtag believe all women.
And then when someone that you're close.
Speaker 1 (27:52):
To is accused of a crime, suddenly you want there
to be some sort of fair and impartial justice. This
was my thing from the get go, and I'm glad
we bring this up, Buck, because I think it's so important.
The entire purpose of a court system is for justice
to be blind. Democrats made as that their closing argument
(28:12):
in twenty eighteen and all through the Me Too movement.
If a woman says it, it's true, that was their position. Yeah,
that's just as bad as saying if a white person
says it, it's true, which was in the South in
the Jim Crow era and before the foundation of many
people being convicted of crimes. Democrats have gone full circle
(28:33):
and they now are arguing that your identity, whether your sex,
your gender, your ethnicity, your sexual orientation, whatever it is,
that determines whether or not you're telling the truth. The
reality is men lie, women lie, White people lie, Asian
people lie, Hispanic people, black people. You can't use identity
as a proxy for truth. But they never intended this
to be a standard. It was always just a weaponization
(28:56):
against Republicans. It was a weapon against Republicans. It was
never our team is also going to have to play
by these rules. I mean, I'll say the maybe the
only exception of that is what they did to Al
Franken was I was actually surprised, but he got caught
up in the machinery of it at the moment and
they forced him out of office.
Speaker 4 (29:13):
It's like, what exactly this guy hated?
Speaker 1 (29:14):
And that was like a decade old the funny picture
that he got taken on an airplane if I remember
like a back in the day.
Speaker 4 (29:20):
Yeah, I mean it was it was like, you know,
frat boy stuff.
Speaker 1 (29:24):
You and ile and inappropriate, but not to me the
determinative of whether the guy could have a political career
fifteen years later.
Speaker 4 (29:31):
Yeah, and of course Al frank it would never defend
you or me or anyone else listening to this who
was unfairly maligned in any way. But we don't care.
We'll say, We'll call it like it is. Kamala Harris
was willing to engage in a ritualistic reputation torture of
Brett Kavanaugh in front of the entire nation, tens of
(29:52):
millions of people watching. This also that Democrats could have
their sacred right of abortion protected. It's one of the
most grotesque things I've ever seen in American politics. The
fact that Kamala Harris is now the Democrat nominee actually
speaks to how powerful the god Molok is within the
Democrat Party and the child sacrifice that they demand, because
(30:13):
she definitely doesn't have a skill set beyond being absolutely
ruthless and completely free of morals. And you see who
her husband is.
Speaker 1 (30:20):
And I'm just going to say it, not surprised, Not surprised. Yeah,
I think it's very valid. And again, what I would
say is even more integral here to this story is
that Kama is not being asked about it at all.
Notice how they ran immediately with the Atlantic story, which
had no substantiation, was based entirely on anonymous sources, and
(30:44):
every newscast in America that is on the left used
it as their lead story. Almost none of them will
even mention the allegations of im Hoff. And he's been
interviewed all over media and nobody's even asked him directly
about it.
Speaker 2 (30:59):
Significant.
Speaker 4 (31:01):
Well, we weren't allowed to really talk about it on
the Marshow play because it was you know, we don't
want to be unfair. It's not verified yet. Well, it's
not about verified like it's not about innocence until proven guilty,
is it. Because whenever there's an allegation, look at the
allegations against Trump, they're putting stuff forward, Oh he grabbed.
Speaker 2 (31:19):
It's always leading the news.
Speaker 4 (31:21):
It's it's it's absurd. I will take some of your
calls here coming up. We want to hear from all
of you. You know, gun owners. I know you've got
a lot of options out there as a ton of guns.
I go to my FFL here in Florida and I
look at the walls and yes, it's like kid in
a candy store. There's a lot of stuff there. But
if you're looking for a firearm company that you might
not be familiar with. Though, if you listened to the show.
You are, but you might not have seen that much before.
(31:43):
But you're talking about getting the best bang for your buck.
Speaker 2 (31:46):
See what I did.
Speaker 4 (31:46):
They're best value in terms of craftsmanship, accuracy, and also
supporting a company that stands with your values. Believe it
or not, there are gun companies that won't advertise on
talk radio. There are gun companies out there that don't
want to talk about the fact they sell AR fifteen's
because they're scared of the Biden administration. I could name them,
I won't do that, but instead, let's name one that
(32:07):
stands for the Second Amendment and your freedom and makes
top quality products. Bear Creek Arsenal. Bear Creek Arsenal is
the gun company you need to check out. I was
firing the Grizzly nine millimeter last weekend. I have my
BC fifteen rifle. These are amazing guns at prices that
you'll honestly just be shocked when you see it. You
(32:28):
can get a Grizzly nine millimeters, they have a compact
and they have a full size. It's like less than
three hundred bucks and you're like, whoa, how good is
this gun? I mean, I'm telling you, I'm very accurate
with it and not as accurate as some of you
who watch. Oh I'm so whatever. It's a great gun.
Go check it out for yourself. Bear Creek Arsenal is
my favorite firearms company based here in America these days.
You gotta check them out. Go to Bearcreek Arsenal dot com.
(32:51):
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Speaker 2 (33:03):
Apply cheap up with Clay and Bucks campaign coverage with
twenty four a Sunday highlight reel from the week.
Speaker 1 (33:11):
Find it on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 4 (33:15):
Welcome back into Clay and Vock. We've got more for
you on the campaign situation here and also the closing
argument of the Kamala campaign which is underway. I mean,
they're they're really going with Trump as Hitler. I thought
they were going to go more likely Clay with Trump
as a felon. But I think that given one of
(33:38):
the one of the indictments dismissed Florida, Atlanta indictment told
the backle with with complete partisan imbeciles running it New York,
the and the only, the only case they got a
conviction in is so preposterous and so unfair, such a
weaponization of law that no serious person could think otherwise.
(34:02):
And then in DC, I keep sitting here, people get
so up, so they're like, what about the insurrection? I'm like,
what is the crime that Trump committed in your so
called insurrection?
Speaker 2 (34:10):
What is it? Really?
Speaker 4 (34:11):
You're really gonna go with incitement to insurrection even though
he said be peaceful in your protest, he's responsible for
if he's a guilty of insiement insurrection, Democrats like Kamala Harris,
who are inciting BLM riots all through twenty twenty, guilty
of incitement insurrection.
Speaker 1 (34:30):
I agree with you that it is illogical. I think
they are at the desperation stage of their campaign. Her
final rally, Buck, I believe, is on the ellipse on
Tuesday of next week, like the final Big rally, which
is designed to harken back to January sixth.
Speaker 2 (34:49):
Did you see this story? So?
Speaker 1 (34:51):
I think next week they're going to try to pivot
back to Trump is hitler and also he's a convicted
felon and America will end if you elect him. So
I think that's gonna be her closing argument, which is
funny because they talked about how her campaign was one
of joy and effervescence. And remember feels a very long
(35:11):
time ago now that we had the Brat summer when
everybody was talking about how great Kamala was, and now
she's just falling back on Trump is hitler and January
sixth was the worst day since the Civil War in
the United States. I don't think that's going to register
at all. And again, we'll give you some of the cuts.
She just had a press conference in Philadelphia. Trump on
(35:33):
his way to Arizona for a big rally out there
as well as a big rally in Nevada, I believe
as he tries to cement the Southwest, and I know
we have some people listening in New Mexico if you
want to kind of just think a little bit under
the radar state that nobody's paying attention to. I think
New Mexico could end up pretty close because Trump is
(35:56):
doing very well in Arizona, He's doing very well in Nevada.
Speaker 2 (36:01):
Right now, everybody get out and vote, keep voting.
Speaker 1 (36:04):
I think New Mexico is going to be a single
digit state, one that is maybe a three or four
point margin before all is said and done. That a
lot of people. I don't even hear anybody talking about
it at all. But if you're listening to us in
New Mexico right now, there is some really good momentum
for the Trump team and Republicans in general in your state.
And I don't hear anybody talking about it, but feel
(36:28):
good about the momentum.
Speaker 4 (36:29):
There can I throw something else out there, breaking news
story from today that we can get into with all this,
Trump has said he's open to pardoning. Yeah, Hunter Biden,
I actually think there's a lot behind this. I think
we should talk about this play coming up here because
Trump is onto something
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