Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Merry Christmas and welcome back to a numbers game with
Ryan Grodowski. Thank you guys so much for being here
on Christmas Day. I hope you're haring a wonderful day
with whatever you're doing. I'm sure a lot of you
are with family, or you're wrapping gifts. Hopefully you're going
to church for a minute or two, or you went
the day before. If maybe you're like me and you're
seeing extended family who haven't seen a while, that can
get exhausting. You know, you got to see cousins that
(00:23):
you haven't seen in a while, and second cousins and
you're hearing around your cousin Brenda's divorce, or who lost
their job, or who has a mold that needs to
get removed.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
I know, it's just it gets too much after a while.
So you need to break.
Speaker 1 (00:32):
You need to take a walk, you need to go
in the car for a minute, you need to take
a cigarette. Whatever you're doing, and maybe listen to this podcast.
And I appreciate you for that. Thank you guys so much.
I have some very cool pulling information on Christmas, some
cool political stuff. I want to sit there and say,
if you are Italian, like me. I hope you did
the Seven Fishes if you're not Italian, and you're probably
(00:55):
more well adjusted a human being. Christmas Eve is really
our big holiday that the Seven Fishes. It's seven hundred
family members are all yelling at each other over like
who has the last meet ball. This is Christmas Day
is much more relaxed than Christmas Eves. So hopefully you're
having much more relaxed day than I was the day before.
But I have some very cool polling information to get to.
(01:17):
So first, Scott Rasmussen, who does not own Rasmussen Polling.
He used to, but they cite his that that polster
very often. It's not my favorite, but Scott's a pretty
good pollster. Scott found that a majority seventy eight percent
of registered voters say that the man the history knows
is Jesus Christ, that Catholics and Christians ow is their
Lord and savior. Seventy eight percent of registered voters believe
(01:40):
that he walked the earth. This is about the same
as it was last year. There was no change. Eighty
five percent of Republicans and seventy four percent of Democrats
believe that Jesus Christ existed and walked This Earth. Interestingly enough,
the people least likely to believe that our government employees
just thirty six percent. I thought that was really fascinating
of all the people that Scott sat there and kind
(02:02):
of samples. Secondly, a majority seventy six percent of Americans
believe that Jesus Christ is the Son of God. More
women than men believe that. Women believe that at eighty percent.
Women believe it at seventy two percent. Seventy two percent
believe that Mary had a virgin birth, that she was
a virgin at the time of Christ's birth. That is
actually up four points from last year, so you know,
(02:25):
the virgin birth's making a comeback. And a smaller percentage
of American sixty two percent say that they believe in
most of the elements of the Christmas story, and like
the Star over Bethlehem, the angels appearing to shepherds, the
visit of the Magi really happened. That's slightly more than
than last year. About one in four say they're not
really sure that all that stuff happened, but they're not
(02:45):
against leaving in it. More Republicans than Democrats believe in
that statement. The most disagreement is the last one regarding
to christas one. Three quarters of Republicans believe that it's true.
Fifty five percent believe it's not true. That's the whole
three three three wise men, the magi. Anyway, interesting news
on Christmas. How many people in this country believe in it, large,
(03:06):
large groups across across party lines, across gender, across race,
which is nice. It's nice that we have something that
we all sit there and believe in, and we have
really good news this Christmas, good economic news this Christmas.
And that's over the Q three filings, GDP was up
four point three percent. It's the highest is twenty twenty three.
(03:27):
Consumption was the key driver. Consumption is up three point
five percent, with strong purchases for both goods and services,
slightly stronger exports and unusually low imports. So you know
why because all the tariffs, but the media is not
going to give credit to the tariffs, are going to
sit there and just say, oh, it's imporce versus exports.
AI investment, believe in it was not the biggest driver
(03:49):
like it was the year prior, like it was earlier
there the year. AI investment is not a key driver
of the GDP growth. That's good. It's good because having
a broad, diverse economy that's sitting there and growing jobs
is growing the economy is good than just depending on
one thing. Is if the one thing goes belly up,
(04:10):
then everything kind of falls apart. We saw that many
times throughout our country's history. Wages are up three point
five percent and inflation is down to zero point seven percent.
This is all good economic news. It's good economic news
for the president, for his administration. Hopefully it continues into
twenty twenty six. Is good for the average person, especially
with tax cuts coming, especially reimbursements possibly coming that will
(04:34):
be sax Ma imbursements that will be a big deal.
That would help a lot of families and hopefully it
will help your family going into this Christmas. Now, I
know this is a quick, quick episode, quick segment by
one against a little bit of AI data polling that
came out a little bit of political polling. So that
will be up next. So Tony Fabrizio, President Trump's pollster, brilliant,
(04:58):
brilliant guy, got to meet him several times and speak
to him throughout the campaign last year and during JD's
campaign in twenty twenty two. He did a poll with
one thousand registered voters on the topic of AI. You know,
I'm very very interested in so I'm very fascinating how
people are responding. First, he found that Democrats hold a
seven point lead in the generic ballad going into next year. Right,
(05:21):
Democrats leave forty five to thirty eight. That's a Democrat monsoon.
That's a nine point swing from the previous election. It
would be one of the biggest Democratic swings in the
last two decades.
Speaker 2 (05:33):
Basically there were.
Speaker 1 (05:34):
Twenty eighteen, twenty oh six, and twenty eight right, very
very big swing. Democrats were probably net eighteen seats when
the majority of the House eighteen to twenty seats in
the majority of the House, and possibly pick up a
Senate seat or two.
Speaker 2 (05:48):
That's a big deal.
Speaker 1 (05:49):
Tony Fabreeze just says, one of the ways that Republicans
can sit there and actually push back against Democrats. Huge
Surgeon polling is actually coming out in support of AI regulation.
Found that overwhelming majority of Americans support regulating AI at
the federal level. They want federal regulation specifically about how
(06:10):
children are dealing with AI and seeing AI. So, first,
there's four policies he went through that I want to
go through one a national law requiring AI platforms to
design and operate features to take responsible steps to reduce
risks to minors, including risk of cyber bullying, mental health issues,
sexual exploitation, substance abuse, gambling, and self harm. That bill
(06:32):
has a whopping eighty five percent support, including eighty two
percent support among Trump voters and ninety two percent support
against Harris voters, eighty percent support among Swing voters. Secondly,
a national law requiring AI platforms to provide parents tools
to manage their children's privacy, screen time, and account deletion
that is supported by eighty two percent of Trump supporters,
(06:55):
ninety one percent of Horror supporters, and eighty five percent
of the public at large. Third, a national law making
it a crime to use AI to create imitant imitations
basically like pornography imitations.
Speaker 2 (07:06):
I don't know what We've tried to sit there and say.
Speaker 1 (07:07):
That, but creating a likeness of someone famous or someone
not famous in pornography.
Speaker 2 (07:13):
That is popular, very popular eighty two.
Speaker 1 (07:15):
Percent nationwide, eighty percent among Trump supporters, eighty seven percent
among Harror supporters. And Lastly, a national law requiring AI
platforms to confirm users age before granting chatbox access. That
support of a eighty one percent of the public, including
eighty three percent of both Harris and Trump voters. That
is very important because there are many lawsuits going on
right now where chat gpt openly encourage users to commit
(07:39):
self harm and to end their life. It's a big,
big deal. It's going to be bigger as more people
sit there and use it. They would also overwhelmingly support
President Trump going ahead of Congress and doing this by
executive order. Right Even Harry supporters, who hate everything that
President Trump does, they would they would support it. They
(08:00):
would oppose it more than a support. It would be
forty six forty two, so basically a tie swing voters.
Speaker 2 (08:05):
Everyone else would be very much for it.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
If asked if the Republicans would support all these AI platforms,
are they more likely to sit there and vote for Republicans?
The numbers are overwhelmingly in favor of Republicans if they
support these AI regulations.
Speaker 2 (08:20):
In a generic.
Speaker 1 (08:21):
Ballot, if they support these AI regulations and run on them,
Republicans are up twenty twenty point swing. It is a
tremendous amount. They would be a forty five thirty two.
That's thirteen points from a negative seven to a plus thirteen.
That's the twenty point swing. A twenty point swing, tremendous.
If they opposed AI regulation, they would be down sixteen points.
(08:42):
It would be a negative nine point swing. So AI
regulation overwhelmingly popular with voters. Voters do not care about
this whole race against China. It's just I understand the
importance of it. Voters do not care. They are worried
about safety, they were about mental health, they're worried about
the safety of kids. All that stuff is playing a
much bigger deal than this supposed fight against China. And
(09:07):
I think that Republicans really need to have a come
to Jesus moment where AI accelerationists really really need to
realize they need to make concessions for the general public
unless they want to have a very anti or very
critical of AI person come into the White House.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
In twenty twenty eight or beyond.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
Lastly, there was the anfest, the Turning Point USA, sorry
it's Earning Point USA anfests. Over the week, they did
a straw pol Now stropholes not scientific, right, They're not
going to sample all groups of people. They're really looking
at activists. But there was a I didn't know this.
There was over thirty thousand people at AMFES this year.
It was gigantic. So given in such a large amount
(09:47):
of the base of the Republican Party, the activists, a
group of the Republican Party, it's a good sample size
for that specific population within the country. Right. It's not
all Republicans, it's not all anybody, it's just all certainly
not all young kule but it's all basically activists Republicans
within the GOP. So first thing they found was that
(10:08):
overwhelming support for JD Vance. Going into twenty twenty eight,
eighty four percent would support Vance. The second most was
Ruby at four point eight, then Ron desand Is at three.
I mean, it's it's dvances to lose very you know,
very clearly right now. Secondly, they strongly approve the base
of the party of people who went to anfest who
(10:28):
took this pull. They strongly approve of basically everybody in
the Republican Trump's cabinet. The only person, by the way,
who only has very high negatives is Pam Bondy. Pam Bondi,
she had a sixty four percent approerating twenty nine percent
unfavorable rating of her job. It's all the Epstein files.
I mean, this handling of the Epstein files should go
(10:51):
down in history and what not to do. But twenty
nine percent unfavorable Among the party's most activist based people
who you know, love everyone. Rubio has a two percent
unfavorable rating, Scott Bessett has a three percent, uh, Pete
Hasge has a two percent. This is I mean, these
people support everything basically, am Pam BONDI close to thirty
(11:15):
percent negative? Not really good for Pam Bondy Okay. Question
on Israel, because you know, it was kind of like
the subject that was being talked about left and right.
Do you find that Israel is an ally, not an
ally or.
Speaker 2 (11:28):
A top ally?
Speaker 1 (11:29):
Thirty three percent of respondents that it is the top
ally of America, So one in three respondents that it
is the top ally, fifty three percent that is one
of many allies, and thirteen percent that Israel is not
an ally. Interestingly enough, they ask people based on the
podcaster that they listen to how they feel at Israel,
and they found that a majority of people who listened
(11:50):
to Canice, Owens and Tuger Carlson all have a favorable
opinion of Israel, and even among Nick Falent's listeners they
had a one percent favorable. It was basically tie on Israel.
So I mean, I think that means that we're listening
to these people for other reasons than just Israel. But anyway,
thirty percent non ally thirty three percent top all I
fifty three percent one of our allies is a pretty
(12:14):
good sample size. I think that's pretty accurate for how
Republicans feel. The most important issue going into next year.
Number one is winning the mid terms. Number two is voting,
voter integrity and voter id Winning the midterms is by
like by far the biggest sixty four percent. Voter integrity
is just at nine. Affordability is number three at eight,
(12:34):
mass deportations is five percent at four, and then accountability
of the deep state is the last at four percent.
So overwhelmingly, winning the midterms is everything to these people,
and rightfully so. Do you support a moratorium on immigrations
United States? Ninety percent said yes. Ninety percent won a
(12:56):
full moratorium on immigration to the United States. This is
not a controversial opinion. This is not a what does
the base really feel opinion. This is not a question
of is there is there some color between them. No,
it is black and white. The base wants immigration moratorium
ninety percent. Every Republican running for Congress should say we
(13:19):
need an immigration moratorium. Maria Salazar should be primary for
wanting an amnesty for illegal immigrants. Like this is not
there's no more this whole Gang of Eight era of
the GOP.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
It is over. It is over.
Speaker 1 (13:36):
They want an immigration moratorium, and that's what every Republican
should respond with. Then they asked what is the biggest
threat facing America? Number one was radical Islam, number two
was socialism, and number three was mass migration. Very interesting
that came in ahead of head of the economy, ahead
of a lot of stuff. A lot of crime came
ahead of crime too, and has a low fertility. Anyway,
(13:58):
that was the sample size. I thought it was fast saying.
I think that really stays to where the base is,
where it's going. Remember, Charlie Kirk at the end of
his life believed in a lot of the same exact stuff.
Talked about Islamic immigration, talk about immigration moratorium, talked about
identity of a nation, really rejected what the nonsense FOVEC said.
Speaker 2 (14:14):
But that was last episode. I don't want to get
into it again. Guys. This is really where the party is.
Speaker 1 (14:18):
So it's important that the GOP politicians start reflecting the
party that they represent. Okay, next up, Ask Me Anything.
Stay tuned, Welcome back for the Ask Me Anything segment.
If you want to be part of the Ask Me
Anything segment, emil me Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com.
That's Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com. Plural all the numbers.
(14:40):
This question comes from Derek. He says, Hi, Ryan, love
the show. I want to hear an update on the
state of the Kentucky, Alabama, and Texas GOP primaries. I
have been able to find very good data and wanted
to see your thoughts on these races. I know you're
plugged in with a lot of Morgan Murphy and Nate Moore,
so I work for the Morgan Murphy.
Speaker 2 (14:57):
Campaign, so I'm very biased.
Speaker 1 (15:00):
Became the first Senate candidate in Alabama to get small
dollar donations from all fifty states, which is very, very big.
Speaker 2 (15:07):
He's a great guy.
Speaker 1 (15:08):
If you've never checked him out, please check him out
if you live in Alabama. If you don't, you don't
check him out. But if you live in Alabama and
you're looking for a candidate. Morgan's doing very well. Other
candidates in Alabama who are doing well. I think that
the Congressman Barrymore has a lot of strength. You've got
a lot of endorsements, and the age Senate candidate Steve
Marshall is definitely also in the top three. I don't
(15:30):
think that Jared Hudson's really holding a lot of weight
to his campaign right now. I think that's really kind
of I think he wants to be I know he's
definitely paid some influencer or reached out of some influence.
Don't want to say he paid them, but he definitely
reached out for some influencers who I know don't do
anything for free.
Speaker 2 (15:45):
So they've been they've.
Speaker 1 (15:48):
Been trying to promote him, push for him, but his
numbers aren't aren't super strong. Oh. In Texas, I mean,
I think that Wesley Hunt entering the race really is
the nail in the often for John Cornyn. I just
I mean, the anti corn voter is split, but Wesley
Hunt does have a lot of support among Cornyn voters
and I just haven't seen any evidence where Cornyn's strength
(16:11):
is going up. And Ken Paxton is just I mean,
he has a very high level of support, it will definitely.
Speaker 2 (16:18):
Go to a runoff.
Speaker 1 (16:20):
Cornan's really as only hope is if he sits there
and gets into a runoff.
Speaker 2 (16:25):
If if Wesley.
Speaker 1 (16:27):
Hunt's able to really kind of I think hurt Paxton
throughout the campaign is what Hunt needs packs and supporters,
if he's able to attack and hurt Paxton and Paxson
goes into a runof, because it seems like Packson's definitely
making a run off. If Paxson goes into a runoff
wounded with high negativities because of Wesley Hunt, then I
think that it will be it will be the Samey
(16:48):
corn and I think kind of survives. Cornyn is one
of only two Republicans in Texas not to have received
a incumbent Republicans in Texas not to have received a
Trump endorsement, the other being Dan Crenshaw, which I think
is very very interesting. And last right was Kentucky. You know,
Kentucky's very interesting because Kentucky is Nate Morris is running
a campaign really built on undoing mcconnald's legacy, and mcconnald's
(17:14):
not a popular figure, you know, anywhere in the country.
But the thing about Kentucky is they have a special
affinity towards McConnell, and I think that basing your campaign
on that a little bit can bite you.
Speaker 2 (17:27):
I do.
Speaker 1 (17:28):
I think that's saying a few things, but I think
I think Morris has made it a really essential part
is overturning McConnell's legacy and his I mean, McConnell got
every road in Kentucky paved, like I mean, you know
what I mean, Like, that's what I'm talking. He brought
so much pork back to a very poor state that
a lot of people, a lot of older voters, you know,
respect Mitch McConnelly, but they don't love him, and they
(17:50):
don't like an old man getting kicked while he's down.
But you know, I think that Nate's probably got the
best chance for a Trump endorsement over everybody. I don't
know if he's got the best chance of winning right now,
but if the Trump endorsement gailerant, he is a win,
and then he's got the best chance of Trump endorsement,
and that's really his only I think hope for winning
is Trump coming in and endorsement, and maybe that will happen.
I'm not exactly sure. I don't know where Trump's thinking
(18:12):
about endorsements for candidates in the future, but he certainly
looks like it. He's got the support of a lot
of people close to Trump orbit and that does a
lot when it comes to getting the Trump endorsement itself.
Speaker 2 (18:23):
So all right, guys, thank you so much. I hope
you have a marry, marry, merry Christmas. I hope you
have such a wonderful day. I will speak to you
guys on Monday. Have a wonderful weekend.
Speaker 1 (18:32):
Be safe everybody, and please like and subscribe to this
podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get your.
Speaker 2 (18:37):
Podcasts, and on YouTube.
Speaker 1 (18:38):
That's your Christmas gift to me if you subscribe, Thank
you guys so much.
Speaker 2 (18:41):
I will speak to you guys next week.