Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
Happy Friday, guys, what's up?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
Welcome into a new episode of the Daly Juice Podcast
with me Matt Pereltz. You guys can follow me on
my socials at Sports Talk Matt. Can we come back
after another winning night? It's been a good.
Speaker 1 (00:26):
Week for us.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
Dallas does not get there, unfortunately, they got beat, got
beat badly by Detroit, but their team total did come
in and Gibbs did go over one and eighteen rushing
and receiving. So it's a two and one night, up
point nine units for the day. That continues a winning
week for us as we head to Friday and a
big college football day with two really four, but two
(00:51):
games we're going to focus in on. One being a
defecto playoff game, essentially the winner will go to the
plays as the group of five representative in the College
Football Playoff, and the other is a rematch of back
to back Mountain West Conference championship games Boise un l V.
(01:12):
We'll get to that here on the podcast. Yes I
work at UNLV, Yes I am a homer, But we'll
get to the play coming up here in just one
second for un LV and Boise State before we do
any of that, though, let me give away what we
told you we were going to do in the month
of November. That was going to be the Bo Nicks
(01:37):
signed mini helmet. The winner is Raymond Nolan three six
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(02:00):
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this autographed Boonix Denver Broncos mini helmet thanks to Pristine.
Speaker 1 (02:22):
Auction dot com.
Speaker 2 (02:23):
Now, for the month of December, we're going to give
away another mini helmet, but this time it is the
George Kittle signed mini helmet that will be given away
at the end of the month in December. If you
would like to win the autographed George kittlemini helmet thanks
to Pristine Auction dot com, just go and follow the
Betting Pros YouTube channel. We're trying to get to one
(02:45):
hundred thousand subscribers. We're probably not gonna get there, but
if you haven't subscribed yet, help us out. Go subscribe
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do to enter into the contest to win a George
maybe the best tight end in football signed mini helmet,
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(03:06):
friends at Pristine Auction Dot Come. Okay, two games, three plays.
Talk about the first one. U and LV is on
the road at Boise. Okay, so here's the thing. This
number was three and a half. It is now five
and a half. This is the rematch of the last
(03:27):
two title games, both won by Boise. Boise played against
you and LV at home earlier this year. There's a
big argument to we had about why New Mexico is
not in this game, and I'm here for it. You
can argue it. Okay, you can argue it. They are
more deserving. New Mexico beat UNLV on the road. But
(03:49):
the computers, thanks to the win over UCLA and UCLA
playing better do the stretch. The computers liked Boise, sorry,
liked you and LV to play Boise over New Mexico
to play Boise Why.
Speaker 1 (04:04):
I don't know. Is that a stupid way of determining
a four way tie? Yes? Will you and LV take it? Yes?
Speaker 2 (04:12):
U and LV has not won a conference title since
nineteen ninety four when they won the Big West.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Okay, but here is the thing.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
Maddox Madson played quarterback in that first matchup. He's hurt.
He's not playing in this game. That is a massive deal.
Max cut Forth is the quarterback for Boise State. They
went two and two straight up with him at the
quarterback spot. UNLV is facing a much different team and
(04:43):
a much different offense in which they faced in the
first matchup. I have people that I know at U
and LV who have told me that this is a
very confident coaching staff up again this quarterback. They were
concerned about Mattison, about Mattox Madson because of his running ability,
(05:06):
his leadership ability, and just his overall acumen as a quarterback.
They were worried about Madson. They're not as worried about
Max Cutforth. UNLV's offense has been tremendous this year. And
while you have a dome team going outdoors in the
(05:26):
rain in forty degree temperatures in Boise, Idaho. Concerning right,
I would agree. Concerning I don't love it. However, they
went on the road and you can say, well, Matt
Wyoming is not Boise State, but I'll give it to you.
But they went on the road to Wyoming and that
game was in the snow, and they played really well.
(05:50):
UNLV they were on the road, it's snowed in October,
and they won the game, laying four and a half points.
They won the game by fourteen. They then they went
to Boise and they lost by twenty five, but again
different quarterback. On the road to Colorado State in late
in mid November, they went two CSU, laying six. They
(06:11):
won by thirty two points. Thirty two points, Okay.
Speaker 1 (06:16):
On the road.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
Boise beat CSU at home by twenty eight. They beat
Hawaii badly at home two and a half point favorites,
crushed them by twenty eight. And then they went on
the road to go and win the rivalry game against
Nevada by seven points. There are seven point favorites. They
won by twenty five points. Last game for Boise on
(06:40):
the road against Utah State, they won by a point
one point They've covered a grand total of one game
in their last five, the last four being played without
Madison Maddocks. Once this number got to five and a half,
I'm taking you in LV, this is two hi. This
(07:00):
I think is going to be a tighter game than
people think. And yes, a wet football could lead towards
turnovers and a dome team from the desert going up
to Boise on the blue turf to take on Boise State.
UNLV has gotten housed housed by Boise. I was there
the last time they played in the regular season in UNLV,
(07:21):
Boise housed them. It was Ashton Genty, it was Madison Maddox.
They killed UNLV. But this is not the same Boise
State team that we have seen in the past. They
lost to Fresno State at home. They lost to San
Diego State at home again, no Madison Maddocks. Maybe Boise
wins because they're at home. But I got told by
(07:45):
somebody that the coaching staff thinks that they got something.
The quote I was told was they think they got
something from Boise State. And this could be a turning
point moment for this football program for U and l V.
With a first year head coaching Dan Mullins and an
offense that can score on anyone.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
And if the offense for.
Speaker 2 (08:07):
Boise is not as good with a backup quarterback as
it has been, U and lv's defense has gotten better
down the stretch. It's not great, but it's gotten better
down the stretch and it could be good enough to
keep them in this game close. Seventeen points given up
to Nevada, ten points given up to Hawaii, twenty six
(08:29):
points get up to Utah State, ten points given up
to Colorado State after they got housed by New Mexico
and gave up forty points forty thirty five the final.
In that game, they gave up fifty six to Boise State.
But since then their defense has really jelled and they've
(08:49):
played well. Boise State most likely wins this game by three,
five and a half.
Speaker 1 (08:56):
It's too heavy, it's too many points. Taking you and LV.
Speaker 2 (09:01):
Call it a homer play, call it a gut play,
call it a rumor play, call it whatever you want.
Speaker 1 (09:06):
I'm taking you and LV.
Speaker 2 (09:08):
There is a lot of professional money at certain books
that have come in and taken You and LV. There's
others who have seen big money come in on Boise
and that's why this number is climbed once it.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
Hit over five.
Speaker 2 (09:19):
I like you and LV give me the rebels plus
five and a half for one point one units. Before
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between North Texas and TWU Lane.
Speaker 1 (10:47):
Get ready for offense.
Speaker 2 (10:49):
Okay, when you start breaking down these numbers, you start
breaking down what each team is capable of doing. It
is It is pretty interesting when you look at the benefit.
Speaker 1 (11:01):
Two Lane will run the ball all.
Speaker 2 (11:04):
Over North Texas and North Texas is gonna throw the
ball all over two Lane tonight. Neither defense I think
will have much of us say. Even though it is
a championship game. North Texas is five and oh to
the over on the road this year Two Lanes at
home TOWU Lane is one in five, five and one
(11:26):
to the under at home and three straight games have
gone under. But I don't think that's gonna happen here
because of the defense. For North Texas. I think two
Lane scores, and they score a lot, much like the
game against Memphis in which they put up thirty eight
points or thirty five points against Florida Atlantic or thirty
seven points against Temple. I think Two Lane's gonna put
(11:48):
up numbers, But on the flip side, so will North Texas.
They're gonna put up numbers. Two They scored fifty two,
fifty six, and fifty three points in their last three games.
All three games have gone over against UAB, Rice and Temple,
giving up twenty four, twenty four, and twenty five points.
When you dig a little deeper into the stats, this
(12:11):
is quite remarkable for North Texas. They are running the
ball at five point four yards per clip. Okay, but
two Lanes rush defense is really good three point five
yards giving up per per per rush stempts. That is
twenty third best top twenty five in the country. But
on the flip side, unt North Texas nine point nine
(12:32):
yards per pass play that is third best in the country.
Up against a defense it's giving up seven point four
yards per pass and two hundred and fifty one point
nine yards per game. North Texas throws the ball for
three hundred and twenty four and a half yards per game.
That's second best in the country. Okay, North Texas is
(12:54):
gonna throw the ball and they're gonna score.
Speaker 1 (12:57):
On the flip side. Two Lanes is gonna run the ball.
Speaker 2 (13:00):
Tu Lane four point seven yards per rush, thirty fifth
best in the country up against a defense for North
Texas that gives up five point one yards per rush
that's one hundred and eighteenth in the country. And they
give up two hundred and twenty four point two yards
on the ground per game. That's one hundred and thirty
(13:21):
third worst in college football. Now, Tulane can pass a
little too, eight point one yards per pass play up
against a pretty good secondary for North Texas six point
three yards per pass play. That's twenty second best in
the country. So it's good on good when it comes
to that two and two and forty eight yards passing
per game for Tulane one seventy one point six give
(13:41):
it up for North Texas. That number of three hundred
and twenty four point five yards per game passing is
incredible for North Texas. This is going to be a
ton of fun to watch. The winner of this game,
the winner of the American will be in the College
Football Playoff. It's a play in game. We get a
playoff game here tonight. Two Lane they're well balanced, they're
(14:06):
at home. Both offenses are going to go off. This
is going to be an absolute barn burner. I cannot
wait to watch this game. But I think if we're
looking at points here and looking at home dogs in
a championship championship game setting, I'm almost always going to
take points. Okay, if you give me points, I'm going
(14:28):
to take it. In particular, I think we're going to
see a ton of offense. The total is sixty six
and a half for this game, but go find three.
I don't want two and a half. I want three.
There's thre's in the market. But we're taking two lane
plus three at home, and we're taking the over sixty
(14:49):
six and a half between North Texas and Tulane. I
think we we're in for an awesome football game here
in the American for a championship. For taking points here
plus three for two lane North Texas in two lane
over sixty six and a half. You couple that with
UNLV in the Mountain West Conference championship game at plus
five and a half up against Boise State, and there
(15:11):
are your plays for Friday. That's it. We're just doing
college football. We're gonna watch two games in college football.
I can't wait to watch two championship games. Let's have
some fun tonight and watch some championship college football. Mine's
Matt Parol. You guys can follow me across all my
socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys
get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (15:31):
It is the Daily Juice.