October 13, 2025 • 16 mins
A roller coaster of a weekend for host Matt Perrault. 3-0 to 0-5 to 4-0 yesterday. Matt is back looking at 3 bets in 3 games going tonight on the Monday episode of the Daily Juice podcast presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
My name is Matt Perolti.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and what a roller coaster. So
on Friday we went three and oh, on Saturday we
went zero to five, and on Sunday we went four
and oh. So if you're counting at home, that is
a seven and five record. That is a winning three
(00:42):
day stretch. It's a losing week, but it's a monster
bounce back. After losing five point five units on Saturday,
winning three units on Friday, and then winning four units
on Saturday, that's up seven down five point five. So
it's a winning three day weekend for us, up one
point five units.
Speaker 1 (01:04):
That is variance. That is betting.
Speaker 2 (01:08):
I wish I could tell you that. I you know,
some of you guys were running your mouth in the
comments section, okay, like on Saturday, Okay, Like sure, I
am transparent with all of this. So we go three
and oh on Friday, we go four and oh on Sunday,
and we couldn't get a bet on college football to
save our lives. But we bet on everything, and you know,
(01:30):
sometimes it's work working out. So NFL football good, college
football bad, baseball good. It's kind of a weird twenty
twenty five. I don't know what to tell you. So
that's not a horrible thing. But heading into tonight, we
have two Monday night football games in two baseball games.
I only have one bet on baseball as of now.
If that changes, I'll tell you in the Discord channel.
(01:52):
I want to bet Toronto, but I am concerned about
the pitching for Seattle and what that looked like yesterday.
That was an impressive performance a three to one win.
Toronto is a much better hitting team at home. I
know it's a best of seven, but this is a
really big game for Toronto to win. Otherwise they're going
to Seattle down two. That is not a good situation.
(02:16):
But a really good pitcher going on the mound for
the Mariners today. I don't know if I'm comfortable backing
the Blue Jays in Game two. They should win, but
I don't know. After watching last night, an exhausted pitching staff,
a tired offense was able to win the game three
to one.
Speaker 1 (02:32):
So can they do that again today? Maybe? Yeah, Maybe
that's a.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
Bit of a concern, so one play on baseball two
Monday night football game bets to get into. But first
let me tell you about hard rock Bet. If you
guys haven't heard us talk about hard rock bet yet,
I'm surprised. But in case you have not, it is
a Monday night doubleheader tonight for Week six, Atlanta hosting
Buffalo in Chicago against Washington. Here are the streaks you
(03:00):
can find some information about from the hard Rock bet
stats hub. You can find live odds to bet on
on all these streaks in the hard rock bet app.
DeAndre Swift has scored a touchdown in five straight games
against Washington. Bijon Robinson has reached paydart in five consecutive
home games, Atlanta hasn't covered the spread as an underdog
against an AFC team in seven straight games. Rome Withdonda
(03:23):
is on a four game touchdown streak, and Washington has
won six games in a row as favorites and covered
the spread in five straight home games. If you've not
tried your first bet yet on hard rock Bet, there's
still time to do so and get a one hundred
dollars bonus bet bonus bets if you win, just play
five dollars and if the bet hits, you normally get
your winnings, but also the one hundred and fifteen bonus bets.
(03:44):
Plus Tonight hard Rock Bet you can get a Monday
Night parlay boost for the games. There's new promos every day,
so boost your same game, parlay your SGP max tonight
so your bet pays extra winnings. Download the hard Rock
bet and make your first to put it to day. Okay,
let's talk football. There's two games. I've made two bets.
(04:10):
I don't like either bet, but I've made them. I
don't like them because it's a difficult game. Both these
games are tough to bet, all right. Let's start with
the Bills on the road against Atlanta. The Bills are
screaming mad, screaming mad. They lost to the Patriots in
very embarrassing fashion. But you saw what Drake May did yesterday. Okay,
(04:31):
Drake May was tremendous yesterday. It's why you know I'm
wearing a Bucks hat but also very happy as a
Patriot fan to go ahead and see Patriots cover Raiders,
cover books, cover Colts cover over in Dallas was easy.
We got all four of those Patriots won big by six.
Raiders one big by ten. Bucks won. I forget the
foul score, but they covered. Colts won by. It was
(04:53):
good one by four. We were good there, but then
Dallas way over like we saw yesterday. Really well, okay,
does it carry over to tonight?
Speaker 1 (05:01):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Here's the problem. Bills are four and one, Falcons are
two and two. Falcons are off of bye. The Bills
are off of a loss. Looking at the trends, the
trends aren't great. Raheem Morris, as the Falcons head coach
at home as a favorite, is nine and nine. As
a home underdog, He's four and sixteen against the number.
(05:25):
He's a home underdog here tonight, up against the Bills,
the Bills are laying four or three and a half.
Josh Allen making his fifteenth career start inside a dome.
He enters the dome ten three and one against the spread,
covering by over eight points per game. In a six
point teaser, Allen is thirteen and one if you tease
(05:47):
it now, I don't recommend doing that, but it's four
you can or three and a half. Here's my problem.
The Bill's rush defense is awful. The Bill's most likely
won't have Dalton Kinka tonight, and Bijon Robinson very well
might go off. The Falcons before the bye beat the
(06:10):
Commanders at home. They put up thirty four points. They
had lost to Carolina thirty to nothing the week prior,
so Michael Pennix had to go ahead and show something
in that the Bills and the Commanders both really look
to control tempo and possession. So I don't hate to
play on the under in this game. Do you want
(06:32):
to bet the under forty nine and a half? Don't
hate the under at all. In fact, there probably will
be on that in some form or fashion coming up
here tonight. However, if Bijon Robinson goes nuclear tonight up
against a defense that is not good at stopping the run,
(06:52):
this could be the difference in the game Bjon Robinson
in primetime. This could be one of those games where
we're talking about him having a his store or type
knight running the football. I think in a low scoring game,
in a time of possession game, turnovers will be huge,
and Michael Pennix can't throw interceptions against this Bills team.
But if you don't do that, as the Patriots proved,
(07:14):
if you don't turn the ball over and you run
and you roll out and have a quarterback who's mobile
like Michael Pennix and throwing the ball down the field
like I think the Falcons will be able to do
against this Bills defense. I think this could be a
three point game. Call me crazy, but everyone likes the Bills.
Yet this number continues to tick down from five and
(07:38):
open to four and a half to four to three
and a half. Okay, the pros did very well yesterday.
The pros were all over Kansas City. The pros were
all over the Jets yesterday. Okay, pro money coming in
and driving this down a home dog in the NFL,
even with someone with as bad of a record as
(07:58):
Raheem Morris has. I don't think the Falcons win the game,
but I think it's a twenty seven to twenty four
final somewhere in that range. Okay, that would be over
by the way it goes twenty seven to twenty four,
that would be over forty nine and a half. So
that's why I'm a little cautious. I'm going with the under,
but again, time of possession is a big deal here.
But I do think we could see some offense. I
(08:19):
think everyone's going to be on the Bills. Everyone's taking Buffalo,
but the numbers going towards Atlanta. Okay, I'm gonna say,
let's play a feel here and go with the steam.
It's chasing steam, But I think Beijon Robinson might be
the best player on the field tonight for the Atlanta Falcons.
Speaker 1 (08:38):
I'll lay the four points.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
Falcons plus four as home dogs tonight at home against
the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1 (08:45):
At number two.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
The Commanders are at home up against the Chicago Bears. Look,
this is a primetime game involving a quarterback who I
don't want to back in prime time the Bill those
are The Bears are zero and four straight up in
primetime since the start of last season. That means kayleb
Williams zho and four straight up in primetime. With a
(09:09):
loss on Monday Night, Caleb Williams will have the most
losses without an outright win in night games for any
court any starting quarterback in the NFL getting back in
two thousand and three, He's currently tied with Josh dobbson
Zach Wilson.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
In the last decade.
Speaker 2 (09:25):
The Bears are eleven and twenty three straight up in primetime.
Of the nine QBS to start at night in that span,
none are above five hundred as quarterbacks. The Bears and
the Commanders face off for the first time since the
Hail Mary.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
For Jaden Daniels.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
With that loss, Chicago is two and nine straight up
and three and eight against the spread against Washington.
Speaker 1 (09:48):
Since two thousand and four.
Speaker 2 (09:50):
Of those eleven meetings, eight were decided by single digits,
with seven being decided by five points or less.
Speaker 1 (09:56):
The current number is five five or five five and
a half. Here's the thing.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
I know there's questions about Jayden Daniels in his knee
and how healthy he is going to be, But Jaden
Daniels facing four opponents on extended rest, Commanders are three
and one straight up and three and one against the spread,
and they have scored big time against those teams with
thirty two points per game. Dan Quinn, with Jayden Daniels
(10:23):
as his quarterback, it's fourteen, eight and one against the spread.
With Jayden Daniels as a favorite, he's eight and four
ats They're favored by five.
Speaker 1 (10:35):
I don't like the Commanders. Sorry, I don't like the Bears.
Speaker 2 (10:38):
I like the Commanders at home here I'm going to
go ahead and jump in and say the Commander's defense
plays a bit better than we think. And I think
Jaden Daniels is healthy enough, maybe not super healthy, but
hopefully healthy enough to come and win this game by
seven points. I think turnovers are going to play a
big factor in this game for the Bears. I'm going
to come in and lay the five points. Commanders minus
five for one point one units, Falcons plus four Commanders
(11:02):
minus five for one point one units. Guys, if you
want prop bets and you want to make your own
prop bets and find your own prop bets, we'll check
out the prop bet cheat sheet. This is something I
use consistently. NFL prop bet cheat sheet shows you the
best value plays every day. Get daily prop bet value
rankings based on projections. Find the best props for all
(11:25):
major passing, rushing, and receiving stack categories. Use it now
at bettingpros dot com, slash props, or on the Betting
Pros app Let's Talk baseball. Blake Snell is starting for
the Dodgers, Lefty, not Otani. We don't know who is
starting for the Brewers. It may be a bullpen game.
(11:47):
But you just saw what happened with the Mariners and
how the Mariners piecemeal a game together. You can do
that if you have good arms and coming off of
a very tough series, I know, up against the Cubs,
but the Brewers were at home. Have had tremendous success
this season against the Dodgers. This is going to be
(12:07):
a whale of a series. And I will tell you
right now, I don't know what to do yet with
our future ticket on the Brewers. Clearly we have to
find a time to hedge. Okay, clearly that we have
to hedge. But what if the Brewers win Game one?
Because I think that they do. They win Game one,
(12:27):
Now we're in a different situation here. The Brewers have
home field in this series. They win Game one, we
should see the price come down. I don't want to
lay two fifty on the Dodgers, okay, because I want
to guarantee myself some money. Remember we've bet two times already.
We've already taken two units off this twenty seven to
one ticket. It's now twenty five to one for the
Brewers to win the World Series. How much do I
(12:50):
want to dip into this? If we get down to
like minus one ten or one fifty even with the Dodgers.
I think then we come in with four to five units.
We come in pretty heavy on the other side to
guarantee ourselves that we're getting the Brewers to the World Series.
That would drop it down to a twenty to one ticket,
and then whoever they're playing, we would then go ahead
and hedge again four to five units on the other side,
(13:11):
and we'll guarantee ourselves ten units with the Brewers, and
we'll come in and just sit there or let it
ride if you want to see if you can get
it to cash. But I want to make you know,
I want to make educated risk assessment bets here. And
the Brewers are six and zero this year up against
the Dodgers. They played the Dodgers in July six times.
In July they won nine to one, three one, three
(13:35):
two two nothing, eight seven six', five all pretty consistently
one or two run, games except for the first, game
a nine to one win for The. Brewers but they
found ways to. Win at home In milwaukee it was, three,
two three to one nine. One blake's now is a.
(13:55):
Lefty we've been betting on The brewers money line whenever
a left is getting started. AGAIN i don't know who's
pitching for The, brewers which could be dangerous given the
lineup that The dodgers.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Have i'll give that to.
Speaker 2 (14:08):
You BUT i Like Pat murphy AND i think could
be able to piecemell this together and try to get
out there and get a. W AND i think the
offense could come to life here up Against Blake. Snell
Blake snell on the road this year had AN era
of four point. Three HIS era at home was one
point one. Seven he's a totally different pitcher on the
road and The brewers are at, home and The brewers
(14:29):
can rake at. Home in the month Of august And,
SEPTEMBER era about two and a half For Blake. Snell
he was very good coming down the. Stretch i'm not
gonna deny, that but he never faced The. Brewers he
didn't pitch in that six game, stretch so he hasn't
seen their, lineup but the lineup hasn't seen him. Either,
LOOK i think this game is probably a very low scoring.
(14:52):
GAME i think we're under seven and a. Half in
some former fashion, unists The dodgers. Erupt if The brewers
are going to, win it's probably a three to two
type of. GAME i don't mind to play on the
under in this game, Either, okay But i'm going to
take the plus money and take a shot here and,
say you know, What game, one The brewers might be
able to Steal game, one given who's starting In Blake
(15:13):
snell's struggles on the road and the fact that this
team for The Brewers hammer's. Lefties it's again a system
Play i've been making all. Year it's been very profitable for.
Us we're going to come in here and do it.
Again so for, today we're Going falcons plus, Four commanders minus,
five And brewers on the money. Line if you want
to hear a full breakdown of everything that happened yesterday
(15:35):
and over the, weekend Including James franklin's firing At Penn,
states the brawl after the game between The chiefs and The,
lions how the professionals did yesterday up against the sports,
books and, overall just a betting recap of everything going
on over the weekend heading into, tonight where we've got
two games in baseball and two games in THE.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
Nfl you can check.
Speaker 2 (15:54):
Out my other, Show The Bostonian versus The book at
one Pm eastern time on The Bostonian versus The book
YouTube channel that is At Boston versus The book to,
search it's the same thing on X. Twitter will be
live there at one Pm Eastern time for two games
Involving Monday night. Football come on over and join me
if you want a more long form program that's about
(16:14):
an hour to an hour and twenty. Straight if you
miss it, live you can always watch it on replay
and you can always listen to it on audio. Podcasts
wherever you guys get audio, Podcasts just go and search
At Boston versus The book or The Bostonian versus The.
Speaker 1 (16:29):
Book my Name's Matt.
Speaker 2 (16:30):
Parologic you can Follow mihocross on my socials At Sports
Talk matt every. Morning wherever you guys get your, podcasts
audio or. Video it's The Daily juice
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
My name is Matt Perolti.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and what a roller coaster. So
on Friday we went three and oh, on Saturday we
went zero to five, and on Sunday we went four
and oh. So if you're counting at home, that is
a seven and five record. That is a winning three
(00:42):
day stretch. It's a losing week, but it's a monster
bounce back. After losing five point five units on Saturday,
winning three units on Friday, and then winning four units
on Saturday, that's up seven down five point five. So
it's a winning three day weekend for us, up one
point five units.
Speaker 1 (01:04):
That is variance. That is betting.
Speaker 2 (01:08):
I wish I could tell you that. I you know,
some of you guys were running your mouth in the
comments section, okay, like on Saturday, Okay, Like sure, I
am transparent with all of this. So we go three
and oh on Friday, we go four and oh on Sunday,
and we couldn't get a bet on college football to
save our lives. But we bet on everything, and you know,
(01:30):
sometimes it's work working out. So NFL football good, college
football bad, baseball good. It's kind of a weird twenty
twenty five. I don't know what to tell you. So
that's not a horrible thing. But heading into tonight, we
have two Monday night football games in two baseball games.
I only have one bet on baseball as of now.
If that changes, I'll tell you in the Discord channel.
(01:52):
I want to bet Toronto, but I am concerned about
the pitching for Seattle and what that looked like yesterday.
That was an impressive performance a three to one win.
Toronto is a much better hitting team at home. I
know it's a best of seven, but this is a
really big game for Toronto to win. Otherwise they're going
to Seattle down two. That is not a good situation.
(02:16):
But a really good pitcher going on the mound for
the Mariners today. I don't know if I'm comfortable backing
the Blue Jays in Game two. They should win, but
I don't know. After watching last night, an exhausted pitching staff,
a tired offense was able to win the game three
to one.
Speaker 1 (02:32):
So can they do that again today? Maybe? Yeah, Maybe
that's a.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
Bit of a concern, so one play on baseball two
Monday night football game bets to get into. But first
let me tell you about hard rock Bet. If you
guys haven't heard us talk about hard rock bet yet,
I'm surprised. But in case you have not, it is
a Monday night doubleheader tonight for Week six, Atlanta hosting
Buffalo in Chicago against Washington. Here are the streaks you
(03:00):
can find some information about from the hard Rock bet
stats hub. You can find live odds to bet on
on all these streaks in the hard rock bet app.
DeAndre Swift has scored a touchdown in five straight games
against Washington. Bijon Robinson has reached paydart in five consecutive
home games, Atlanta hasn't covered the spread as an underdog
against an AFC team in seven straight games. Rome Withdonda
(03:23):
is on a four game touchdown streak, and Washington has
won six games in a row as favorites and covered
the spread in five straight home games. If you've not
tried your first bet yet on hard rock Bet, there's
still time to do so and get a one hundred
dollars bonus bet bonus bets if you win, just play
five dollars and if the bet hits, you normally get
your winnings, but also the one hundred and fifteen bonus bets.
(03:44):
Plus Tonight hard Rock Bet you can get a Monday
Night parlay boost for the games. There's new promos every day,
so boost your same game, parlay your SGP max tonight
so your bet pays extra winnings. Download the hard Rock
bet and make your first to put it to day. Okay,
let's talk football. There's two games. I've made two bets.
(04:10):
I don't like either bet, but I've made them. I
don't like them because it's a difficult game. Both these
games are tough to bet, all right. Let's start with
the Bills on the road against Atlanta. The Bills are
screaming mad, screaming mad. They lost to the Patriots in
very embarrassing fashion. But you saw what Drake May did yesterday. Okay,
(04:31):
Drake May was tremendous yesterday. It's why you know I'm
wearing a Bucks hat but also very happy as a
Patriot fan to go ahead and see Patriots cover Raiders,
cover books, cover Colts cover over in Dallas was easy.
We got all four of those Patriots won big by six.
Raiders one big by ten. Bucks won. I forget the
foul score, but they covered. Colts won by. It was
(04:53):
good one by four. We were good there, but then
Dallas way over like we saw yesterday. Really well, okay,
does it carry over to tonight?
Speaker 1 (05:01):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (05:03):
Here's the problem. Bills are four and one, Falcons are
two and two. Falcons are off of bye. The Bills
are off of a loss. Looking at the trends, the
trends aren't great. Raheem Morris, as the Falcons head coach
at home as a favorite, is nine and nine. As
a home underdog, He's four and sixteen against the number.
(05:25):
He's a home underdog here tonight, up against the Bills,
the Bills are laying four or three and a half.
Josh Allen making his fifteenth career start inside a dome.
He enters the dome ten three and one against the spread,
covering by over eight points per game. In a six
point teaser, Allen is thirteen and one if you tease
(05:47):
it now, I don't recommend doing that, but it's four
you can or three and a half. Here's my problem.
The Bill's rush defense is awful. The Bill's most likely
won't have Dalton Kinka tonight, and Bijon Robinson very well
might go off. The Falcons before the bye beat the
(06:10):
Commanders at home. They put up thirty four points. They
had lost to Carolina thirty to nothing the week prior,
so Michael Pennix had to go ahead and show something
in that the Bills and the Commanders both really look
to control tempo and possession. So I don't hate to
play on the under in this game. Do you want
(06:32):
to bet the under forty nine and a half? Don't
hate the under at all. In fact, there probably will
be on that in some form or fashion coming up
here tonight. However, if Bijon Robinson goes nuclear tonight up
against a defense that is not good at stopping the run,
(06:52):
this could be the difference in the game Bjon Robinson
in primetime. This could be one of those games where
we're talking about him having a his store or type
knight running the football. I think in a low scoring game,
in a time of possession game, turnovers will be huge,
and Michael Pennix can't throw interceptions against this Bills team.
But if you don't do that, as the Patriots proved,
(07:14):
if you don't turn the ball over and you run
and you roll out and have a quarterback who's mobile
like Michael Pennix and throwing the ball down the field
like I think the Falcons will be able to do
against this Bills defense. I think this could be a
three point game. Call me crazy, but everyone likes the Bills.
Yet this number continues to tick down from five and
(07:38):
open to four and a half to four to three
and a half. Okay, the pros did very well yesterday.
The pros were all over Kansas City. The pros were
all over the Jets yesterday. Okay, pro money coming in
and driving this down a home dog in the NFL,
even with someone with as bad of a record as
(07:58):
Raheem Morris has. I don't think the Falcons win the game,
but I think it's a twenty seven to twenty four
final somewhere in that range. Okay, that would be over
by the way it goes twenty seven to twenty four,
that would be over forty nine and a half. So
that's why I'm a little cautious. I'm going with the under,
but again, time of possession is a big deal here.
But I do think we could see some offense. I
(08:19):
think everyone's going to be on the Bills. Everyone's taking Buffalo,
but the numbers going towards Atlanta. Okay, I'm gonna say,
let's play a feel here and go with the steam.
It's chasing steam, But I think Beijon Robinson might be
the best player on the field tonight for the Atlanta Falcons.
Speaker 1 (08:38):
I'll lay the four points.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
Falcons plus four as home dogs tonight at home against
the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1 (08:45):
At number two.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
The Commanders are at home up against the Chicago Bears. Look,
this is a primetime game involving a quarterback who I
don't want to back in prime time the Bill those
are The Bears are zero and four straight up in
primetime since the start of last season. That means kayleb
Williams zho and four straight up in primetime. With a
(09:09):
loss on Monday Night, Caleb Williams will have the most
losses without an outright win in night games for any
court any starting quarterback in the NFL getting back in
two thousand and three, He's currently tied with Josh dobbson
Zach Wilson.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
In the last decade.
Speaker 2 (09:25):
The Bears are eleven and twenty three straight up in primetime.
Of the nine QBS to start at night in that span,
none are above five hundred as quarterbacks. The Bears and
the Commanders face off for the first time since the
Hail Mary.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
For Jaden Daniels.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
With that loss, Chicago is two and nine straight up
and three and eight against the spread against Washington.
Speaker 1 (09:48):
Since two thousand and four.
Speaker 2 (09:50):
Of those eleven meetings, eight were decided by single digits,
with seven being decided by five points or less.
Speaker 1 (09:56):
The current number is five five or five five and
a half. Here's the thing.
Speaker 2 (10:02):
I know there's questions about Jayden Daniels in his knee
and how healthy he is going to be, But Jaden
Daniels facing four opponents on extended rest, Commanders are three
and one straight up and three and one against the spread,
and they have scored big time against those teams with
thirty two points per game. Dan Quinn, with Jayden Daniels
(10:23):
as his quarterback, it's fourteen, eight and one against the spread.
With Jayden Daniels as a favorite, he's eight and four
ats They're favored by five.
Speaker 1 (10:35):
I don't like the Commanders. Sorry, I don't like the Bears.
Speaker 2 (10:38):
I like the Commanders at home here I'm going to
go ahead and jump in and say the Commander's defense
plays a bit better than we think. And I think
Jaden Daniels is healthy enough, maybe not super healthy, but
hopefully healthy enough to come and win this game by
seven points. I think turnovers are going to play a
big factor in this game for the Bears. I'm going
to come in and lay the five points. Commanders minus
five for one point one units, Falcons plus four Commanders
(11:02):
minus five for one point one units. Guys, if you
want prop bets and you want to make your own
prop bets and find your own prop bets, we'll check
out the prop bet cheat sheet. This is something I
use consistently. NFL prop bet cheat sheet shows you the
best value plays every day. Get daily prop bet value
rankings based on projections. Find the best props for all
(11:25):
major passing, rushing, and receiving stack categories. Use it now
at bettingpros dot com, slash props, or on the Betting
Pros app Let's Talk baseball. Blake Snell is starting for
the Dodgers, Lefty, not Otani. We don't know who is
starting for the Brewers. It may be a bullpen game.
(11:47):
But you just saw what happened with the Mariners and
how the Mariners piecemeal a game together. You can do
that if you have good arms and coming off of
a very tough series, I know, up against the Cubs,
but the Brewers were at home. Have had tremendous success
this season against the Dodgers. This is going to be
(12:07):
a whale of a series. And I will tell you
right now, I don't know what to do yet with
our future ticket on the Brewers. Clearly we have to
find a time to hedge. Okay, clearly that we have
to hedge. But what if the Brewers win Game one?
Because I think that they do. They win Game one,
(12:27):
Now we're in a different situation here. The Brewers have
home field in this series. They win Game one, we
should see the price come down. I don't want to
lay two fifty on the Dodgers, okay, because I want
to guarantee myself some money. Remember we've bet two times already.
We've already taken two units off this twenty seven to
one ticket. It's now twenty five to one for the
Brewers to win the World Series. How much do I
(12:50):
want to dip into this? If we get down to
like minus one ten or one fifty even with the Dodgers.
I think then we come in with four to five units.
We come in pretty heavy on the other side to
guarantee ourselves that we're getting the Brewers to the World Series.
That would drop it down to a twenty to one ticket,
and then whoever they're playing, we would then go ahead
and hedge again four to five units on the other side,
(13:11):
and we'll guarantee ourselves ten units with the Brewers, and
we'll come in and just sit there or let it
ride if you want to see if you can get
it to cash. But I want to make you know,
I want to make educated risk assessment bets here. And
the Brewers are six and zero this year up against
the Dodgers. They played the Dodgers in July six times.
In July they won nine to one, three one, three
(13:35):
two two nothing, eight seven six', five all pretty consistently
one or two run, games except for the first, game
a nine to one win for The. Brewers but they
found ways to. Win at home In milwaukee it was, three,
two three to one nine. One blake's now is a.
(13:55):
Lefty we've been betting on The brewers money line whenever
a left is getting started. AGAIN i don't know who's
pitching for The, brewers which could be dangerous given the
lineup that The dodgers.
Speaker 1 (14:06):
Have i'll give that to.
Speaker 2 (14:08):
You BUT i Like Pat murphy AND i think could
be able to piecemell this together and try to get
out there and get a. W AND i think the
offense could come to life here up Against Blake. Snell
Blake snell on the road this year had AN era
of four point. Three HIS era at home was one
point one. Seven he's a totally different pitcher on the
road and The brewers are at, home and The brewers
(14:29):
can rake at. Home in the month Of august And,
SEPTEMBER era about two and a half For Blake. Snell
he was very good coming down the. Stretch i'm not
gonna deny, that but he never faced The. Brewers he
didn't pitch in that six game, stretch so he hasn't
seen their, lineup but the lineup hasn't seen him. Either,
LOOK i think this game is probably a very low scoring.
(14:52):
GAME i think we're under seven and a. Half in
some former fashion, unists The dodgers. Erupt if The brewers
are going to, win it's probably a three to two
type of. GAME i don't mind to play on the
under in this game, Either, okay But i'm going to
take the plus money and take a shot here and,
say you know, What game, one The brewers might be
able to Steal game, one given who's starting In Blake
(15:13):
snell's struggles on the road and the fact that this
team for The Brewers hammer's. Lefties it's again a system
Play i've been making all. Year it's been very profitable for.
Us we're going to come in here and do it.
Again so for, today we're Going falcons plus, Four commanders minus,
five And brewers on the money. Line if you want
to hear a full breakdown of everything that happened yesterday
(15:35):
and over the, weekend Including James franklin's firing At Penn,
states the brawl after the game between The chiefs and The,
lions how the professionals did yesterday up against the sports,
books and, overall just a betting recap of everything going
on over the weekend heading into, tonight where we've got
two games in baseball and two games in THE.
Speaker 1 (15:52):
Nfl you can check.
Speaker 2 (15:54):
Out my other, Show The Bostonian versus The book at
one Pm eastern time on The Bostonian versus The book
YouTube channel that is At Boston versus The book to,
search it's the same thing on X. Twitter will be
live there at one Pm Eastern time for two games
Involving Monday night. Football come on over and join me
if you want a more long form program that's about
(16:14):
an hour to an hour and twenty. Straight if you
miss it, live you can always watch it on replay
and you can always listen to it on audio. Podcasts
wherever you guys get audio, Podcasts just go and search
At Boston versus The book or The Bostonian versus The.
Speaker 1 (16:29):
Book my Name's Matt.
Speaker 2 (16:30):
Parologic you can Follow mihocross on my socials At Sports
Talk matt every. Morning wherever you guys get your, podcasts
audio or. Video it's The Daily juice
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