Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys, How are you time for a Monday
morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Matt Perelz. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we were back
after a winning Sunday, not a big winning Sunday, but
it's a winning Sunday. Nonetheless, if you were with us
on the live stream, you got three player props. We
went two and one on the player props, so overall
(00:36):
we went up five and three on the day. Basically
not bad, up over a little over a unit. But
for the Daily Juice official plays, the Bucks was the
game that I can't believe I got wrong. Bears under
comes in the Lions Broncos teaser hits the forty nine
Ers could have gotten us there. If we'd hit that,
it would have been a really good day. But we
(00:57):
missed on that teaser and the Chargers were big over
the Stealers. So a three and two day for us.
Now we have a Monday night football game. I got
a couple of bets on that for tonight, and I've
got a NBA player prop that I want to get
involved with coming up here for today. On a Monday night.
I'll give you also a hockey play that won't be official,
But if you want to make a hockey play, I've
(01:18):
got one of those as well for you if you
would like. If you want to go in search your
own prop bets, you can do that on the prop
bet cheat sheet. It is available for tonight's NFL game
and the NBA action on tonight the NFL, the NBA
Major League Baseball prop bet cheat sheet. It will show
you the best value for plays every single day. Get
(01:40):
daily player prop value rankings based on projections. You can
find the best props available all major passing, rushing, receiving stats,
plus NBA's points, points and rebounds and more through week
nine of our five star NFL prop bets fifty eight
percent win rate and up over ninety five units. With
the NFL version of the prop bit cheat cheat go
(02:01):
use it now at bettingpros dot com, slash props, or
go and get it on the Betting Pros app All right,
let's start with the Eagles on the road of the Packers.
Packers lost at home as fourteen point favorites to the Panthers,
stunning loss, one of the worst losses in recent memory
(02:22):
in the NFL, in a game that you just cannot lose, period.
The Eagles are off of a buy. And here's the
thing with this matchup. The Eagles are underdogs. They're catching
one point here. Packers are favored. Philly is not an
underdog very often. Jalen hurts when he's a dog. He's
ten and eight as a dog overall in his career,
(02:43):
just eighteen times. But since the start of last year,
the Eagles in Jalen hurts as dogs four and oh
straight up, four and oh against the number. Okay, I
like the Eagles tonight. I don't trust Matt Lafleur in November.
He coaches just like Shane Steichen who had a miracle
(03:05):
push of a six point spread in Berlin. But that
was more on the Falcons than I thought, more than
the Colts. But you look at Shane Styke and you
look at Matt Lafleur. For whatever reason, they simply don't
play well in November. And this has been Jordan Love
has been great at night games at home lambeau Field
at night, four and one straight up, four and one
(03:26):
against the spread. You know, night games. He's done in primetime.
But Eagles are on the road. You look at them
as underdogs off of a bye with an extra day
on Monday night football to get ready. Dogs are twenty
four and thirteen against the number in this spot. Jalen
(03:47):
Hurts is eleven and five straight up in night games. Look,
I just think this Packers team, you don't lose to
a Carolina Panthers team at home and then everything is
perfect and everything goes is okay. I just again, I'm
not huge on Matt Lafleoor. This is a loss. Packer
(04:08):
losses by the spread since nineteen seventy They lost as
thirteen and a half point favorites to the Cardinals and
twelve and a half point favorites of the Colts in
nineteen ninety seven, twenty eighteen, and then the loss last
week where the number closed at twelve and a half
but was as high as fourteen and a half. So
Matt lafour has been pretty good off a loss since.
(04:33):
Since we got into the year twenty twenty five, Matt
Lafleoor is nine to eleven against the spread off of
a loss, but in their last three games following a loss,
they're two to one straight up but zero to three
against the spread. Again, the number is just one here
for today. I just don't think the offense is going
to be able to run the football up against this
(04:53):
Eagles defense. I think Josh Jacobs is going to have
a rough debt night tonight, and I think this offense
by JFJ. Hurts after the buye I think they're going
to find different ways of moving the ball through the
air and getting aj Brown more involved and getting the
passing attack more involved in general, and then they'll find
a way to get Saquon Barkley going. They have not
(05:14):
really done that so far this year. But I think overall,
the Eagles just a better team and I think this
Packers team has some pretty big problems. And I do
like the Packers once we get to the playoff tournament
that the Packers could be one of those teams that
could sneak up and bite somebody and maybe make a run.
But I don't like it for tonight. Off of a
bye with Jalen Hurts after what happened last week, I'm
(05:35):
going to go ahead and take the point Eagles plus
one for one point one units. Now. I do have
one bet from the prop bet cheat sheet going on
this game. It is Josh Jacobs under his rushing and
receiving yardage at ninety two and a half. Prop bet
cheat sheet is projecting this for ninety and a half.
(05:56):
It is a fifty nine percent cover, probability eleven, it's
an eleven percent and expected value. It's a four star
rated prop. But he went over last game against Carolina,
but the previous two games against Pittsburgh and Arizona he
did not go over. In fact, against the best defenses Detroit, Cleveland,
Arizona and Pittsburgh, he has gone under. Against the bad
(06:17):
defenses Carolina, Cincinnati, and Dallas. He has gone over ninety
two and a half receiving in rushing yards. This is
a good defense. Eagles are a good defense. I don't
expect him to have nearly as much of an impact
on this game as what he has had in previous games,
and I just think this is a really good defense.
It's going to key in on Josh Jacobs and not
(06:38):
allow him to break big runs and hurt them in
the running game. And Jacobs for the most part, is
a streaky guy when it comes to the screen pass
game or him out as a receiver. It's more him
running the football for the Packers under ninety two and
a half rushing and receiving for Josh Bacups. Before I
(07:01):
give you the last play of the day, how about
our first two hard Rock Bet bets of the day.
Cashing got the Great and Blue Jays right and we
got the Chargers right. That's not bad. This podcast is
being brought to you by hard Rock Bet. This is
a big game night they are. There's NFL football, there's
(07:23):
NBA basketball, there's NHL in college basketball, all going on
here tonight. If you guys not have not taken advantage
of the first bet, the five dollars wager, and if
it hits, you win, you win what the wager pays,
plus one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Great
place to check out some stats and information is that
the hard Rock Bet Stats Hub trends, streaks, and stats
(07:46):
all available to have to make better plays. The hard
Rock Bet sportsbook app is the only legal book in Florida,
but it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
and Colorado. More states coming online soon. Plus hard Rock
Bet offers new promos every single day. Download the hard
Rock bet app and make your first deposit today. Okay,
(08:08):
I was telling you about the hockey play before I
give you the basketball bet. If you want to take
the Islanders and the Devil's first period over or a gift,
I like it both the gift the numbers play it
out to. These are two of the best gift. Teams
go in the first ten minutes for that one, so
I think that's a miss one fifty four bet. If
(08:28):
you want to cut say it's going to be a
higher scoring first period than normal. Both these teams aren't
extremely high scoring in the first app they just score early.
They are They give up a goal early in the game.
But you can bet over one and a half goals
in the first period at mius one thirty five. That's
not horrible if if you don't mind the Jews a
little over one fifty I get to take the Islanders
(08:50):
and the Devil's first period over for tonight is a
look you can get into. But in the NBA, let's
talk about Josh Giddy, who has been tremendous to start
year for the Bulls. But the Bulls are taking on
the Spurs, who right now are seven to two in
one of the top teams in the NBA. Defensively, Josh
Getty's points, assists, in rebounds prop is set at forty
(09:13):
and a half. The projection is for thirty four point eight,
so a pretty big discrepancy there. This has a seventy
five percent cover probability and a twenty eight plus twenty
eight expected value. It is a five star play on
the prop bet cheat sheet, and it's not even that
juicy to go under here for Josh Giddy. Last two
games against Cleveland and against Milwaukee have gone under four points,
(09:37):
rebounds and assists for Josh Gittty. The three previous games
had gone over, but that snapped a five game streak
in which he did not go over This number for
Josh Getty points, rebounds and assists Josh Getty over forty
and a half points, rebounds and assists at minus one
eleven for one point one units. So we've got three
(09:57):
bets there. If you throw the hockey bet on there,
that is a four bet card if you want it.
First period a gift goal in the first ten minutes
for the Islanders and the Devils tonight in the NAHL,
So once again we got the Eagles plus one Josh
Jacobs under ninety two and a half rushing and receiving
and Josh Giddy pointy bound assists under forty and a half. Now,
(10:19):
the sports world over the weekend was absolutely rocked by
a gigantic revelation that the two pitchers Luis Ortiz and
Emmanuel Class, who had been indefinitely suspended by Major League
Baseball for the allegation of throwing pitches or throwing innings,
being in the pocket of gamblers and pitch fixing is
(10:41):
what they're calling it, throwing a ball when they were
supposed to and gamblers betting up to four hundred, five
hundred thousand dollars on the first pitch of an inning
being a ball. Now, what book was stupid enough to
take it? We'll get into all that coming up here.
Bostonian Versus of the Book is my other show. It's
my long form show. We will spend a lot of
(11:02):
time talking about Louis Ortiz and Emmanuel Class. They have
both been indicted. They're both facing sixty five years in
jail for what they did. We'll get into all of that. Also,
a ton on the Patriots win. We'll talk to Fitzie
from Wei in Boston about what happened in Tampa for
(11:23):
Drake May. That is seven straight wins for the Patriots
here who are now eight and two on the year.
Incredible run for New England. We'll get into that with
Fitzi from Wei and also obviously breakdown a ton happening
with the game tonight with the Eagles and the Packers
minus Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all
my socials at Sportstok Matt every single morning. You guys
(11:46):
can go and follow me at Sportstock Matt and go
and find the Daily Juice podcast Hunted, Hunted, Be Hunted
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