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December 1, 2025 • 15 mins

Welcome to December! Host Matt Perrault closed out Sunday with a 3-2 mark and looks to close out the NFL week with a strong Monday. Find out the MNF bets on the latest episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet. 

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Speaker 1 (00:15):
Happy Monday, guys, what's up. Welcome into a new episode
of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault.
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt, and we come to you after a
long but winning day yesterday. Three and two on the
day thanks to the late Washington Commanders covering the six

(00:37):
and a half Raiders. They were the bad bet of
the day, Jets good bet of the day. The Browns
unfortunately do not cover, so we missed the teaser, but
the under came in so we made it up for that.
Hard rock bet improved a six and two on our
hard rock bet selections, so we go three and two
for the day, up point sixty five units. Here's a

(01:00):
couple of things for you guys who are in the
comment section who like to talk. You can bet whatever
you want. Okay, If you don't like the fact that
I bet the Commanders, the Jets and the Raiders and
you don't want to follow that, that's fine. That's what
this podcast is all about. But those plays went two
and one. So this is why the books are in business, guys,

(01:22):
because you look at the bet and you go, oh
my god, no, you're betting on the worst. Yes, betting
on the worst teams in November and December is exactly
what you should be doing because the numbers are totally inflated.
Everyone was on the Commanders yesterday. Everyone now, should they
have covered? Probably? Okay, the referees did everything in their

(01:45):
power for them to cover, and yet going for two
at the end was the right play. And you know
they score a touchdown. It was a refereed aided play
and then there were some calls that came back on
the other side. It was a very poor league game,
poorly officiated game on both sides. But you know from
a book perspective, the Commander's covering was the cherry on

(02:08):
top of a very good Sunday. I mean there were
numerous dogs to win outright on Sunday, namely the Jets. Okay,
your moneyline parlay's got blown up. This is you have
to change your mindset when you're gambling and you're gonna
do it consistently. You can't go by this narrative of

(02:29):
what you just saw or what you think is going
to happen, is going to happen every time. It's actually
the opposite. Like what you think is going to happen.
Bet the opposite. You'll probably be more successful doing that,
just by the nature of human mindsets and the way
that we gamble in what our eyes tell us versus

(02:51):
what actually happens in the NFL from a book making perspective,
because the books have seen the same thing that you did, right,
That's why I took the ten points, and the Raiders
had numerous chances to cover that number. Okay, they just
they're the worst team in football. They are either you're
betting against the Raiders. That's the last time I will
bet on the Raiders. They are now eliminated from the postseason.

(03:13):
So that's it. I mean, I thought they'd have a
dead cat bounce, and I thought their offense it did play.
Their offense looked better than it did previously. But I mean,
Gino Smith is gone awful. He's just he's absolutely horrible
at the quarterback spot for the Raiders. So and then
Justin Herbert breaks his hand and the team couldn't take advantage.
So that was unfortunate. We could have gone three and

(03:34):
zero on those plays, but Jets and the Commanders those
were the right sides. Even if the bet does those
bets don't cash. Those are the right sides the entire time.
So three and two up point sixty five units. So
winning Saturday, winning Sunday. I don't know what we did
for the week because the person that keeps track of
all that just had his third baby, and so we're

(03:55):
a little bit on. We're a little bit behind. We're
almost like a week behind, and all the tracking, I'm
assuming that's going to get caught up at some point
in the next couple of days, so we'll be able
to kind of tell you, guys what we're doing. But
we're pretty far behind going back before Thanksgiving. So I'm
sure we'll catch up at some point in the next
couple of days and I'll be able to give you
an accurate number as to what we're doing. But we
one on Saturday, one on Sunday. We start a new

(04:17):
week here on Monday. Now, when my team plays on
Monday Night football, I'm only betting this game. I'm only
betting Monday Night. I'm not betting anything else because it's
the only thing I'm watching. Patriots up against the Giants.
I got three plays for us all in that game,
one total and two side bets to get into but
Before that, let me tell you about our friends at

(04:40):
hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet well, they'll have an
announcement tomorrow to tell you about. But hard Rock Bet
the presenting sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast. They are
the only sportsbook live in Florida, but they're also live
in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado.
They've got the five dollars bet first bet. You get

(05:00):
your winnings if it wins, but they'll also give you
one fifteen bonus bets if it wins. Don't forget about
the stats hub on hard rock Bet. It'll help you
take a look at what bets, trends, streaks and stats
are there for you to go ahead and jump in on.
Hard Rock Bet offers new promos daily plus their big
legendary reward drops every Thursday to getting gifts under the tree.

(05:24):
So whenever you're listening check the open up the app
and check out what's they're waiting for you. Download the
hard rock Bet app and make your first deposit. Coming
up here for today, All right, let's talk Patriots, Giants
and the total at forty six and a half. So
the Giants have all of a sudden become a straight
over team. Giants four and one to the over over

(05:45):
their last five games. They're seven and five overall. They
are on the road this year, four and three to
the over against Detroit over by ten and a half.
In their last game against Green Bay over by five
and a half. Their road game against Chicago was twenty
four twenty. The total was forty four and a half.
It closed at so it didn't go over by half

(06:08):
a point, but before that it was over by ten
and a half, over by fifteen, over by twenty four,
and over by ten. This Giant defense is not good.
They get gashed in the run game. They give up
all sorts of yardage on the ground, and that's great
for a Patriot offense. It comes in averaging twenty six

(06:28):
point five points per game. They're averaging not a great
three point nine yards per rush. But the Giants are
the worst rush defense in football, giving up five point
nine yards per carry. That's the last one hundred and
fifty seven point two yards per game. That's last. They're
giving up twenty six point five rushes per game. That's fifteenth.

(06:50):
Teams should run the ball more against them, but they're
giving up one point four rushing touchdowns, so they get
down in the red zone. Teams can run the ball
in on the Giant so should be able to have
a lot of success running the football. And on the
other side, Jackson Dart, he'll be the quarterback tonight. I
would rather have Jamis Winston in the game to bet
the over. But even with Jackson Dart quarterbacking this offense,

(07:11):
he does make plays and they do play hard for him.
He's a mobile quarterback. The Patriots won't have Milton Williams.
They have not been able to stop the run recently.
The Patriots, you know, giving up four runs four yards
per rush is mostly due to the first half of
the season. They are number one in opposing rushing touchdowns
per game, but again that's because of Milton Williams. He's

(07:32):
not going to be there today. He's injured. So a
lot of the rushing numbers of the Patriots not very
accurate defensively, but you know, you have a mobile quarterback,
a guy who can hurt you in the red zone.
The Giants score one point three yards per game on
the per touchdowns on the ground per game. That's third
best in the NFL. Largely thanks to Jackson Dart his

(07:54):
ability to pick up first downs and touchdowns with his legs.
So I mean, is Patriot defense giving up eighteen point
eight eight yards are points per game again a little
bit deceptive because they were very good early, they haven't
been great as of late. The Patriots last two games
have gone under, but they've given up twenty fourteen, twenty three,

(08:15):
twenty three points over their last four games. If they
give up twenty three points here tonight, I think this
game is going way over forty six and a half.
I think the Patriots team total is a good look.
You want to go and bet that for them to
go over their team total. I think the Pats will
score thirty points tonight up against this defense. For the Giants,
weather's a little bit of a concern, but not that
big of a concern. It might be wet, it might

(08:36):
be some snow flurries, but not a lot of rain
to worry about. It'll be cold tonight in Foxborough, but
I don't think that's going to slow down the scoring
all that much. Here. Patriots have scored twenty six, twenty seven,
twenty eight, twenty four, thirty two and thirty one here
over their last six games, and this offense read by
Drake May. Drake May is right behind now for the MVP,

(09:00):
after what happened yesterday with the Rams, you can same
game tease this. With Drake May and company now being
close to the odds on favor to win the MVP,
you can take this down from seven to one and
then take the total from forty six and a half
down to forty and a half and bet over. I'm
gonna do that. But there's a shot that Patriots lose
this game. Pats have won nine straight games, they have

(09:21):
the bye week next week. They've been rolling through people,
and for the Patriots to lose this game here to
go eleven and two and now ten and three wouldn't
done many people look at happened yesterday with last night
with the Broncos, right, I mean, they were lucky to
win that game against the Commanders, So if it was
a playoff game, they would have kicked the extra point
and kept on playing here to see who was going

(09:42):
to win the playoff game. So you know, going for
two was just because of the situation for the Commanders,
which why not you're at home, go for the win.
I liked it a better quarterback probably pump fakes and
gets that touchdown, gets that two point conversion to be converted.
Simple pump fake. You know, guy goes up in the air,
go underneath the and pass the ball to a wide
open running back for two points and you win the game.

(10:04):
Marcus Mariota couldn't do that. So that's you know, that's
the Broncos, and the Broncos have been living extremely dangerously.
They've been trailing in every game for nine straight wins.
I mean, that's just playing with fire in the postseason.
You will not be able to do that if you
were Denver, and the Denver better have the one seed
because going on the road. Bo Nix on the road

(10:24):
is a totally different quarterback than bo Nicks at home.
Boenix at home is an auto fire bet on ride
bo Nicks. But if they're not the one seed and
they got to go on the road in the postseason,
I don't think Denver winds up in the super Bowl.
But we'll see how how the year is going to
play out. We'll see how the bracket gets formed for this.
But for tonight, officially, I'm gonna bet the over over

(10:46):
forty six and a half between the Giants and the Patriots.
I think we see a lot of offense here for
both sides. Again, I do think you can same game
tease this. Take the Patriots down from seven to one,
take the total forty six and a half down to
forty and a half, and bet over. I will be
doing that, but officially we're going over forty six and
a half for the Patriots and the Giants. Now two

(11:06):
player prop bets to give you guys here, the first
being Trevion Henderson and the Patriots, who again up against
this horrific running defense for the Giants. Travon Henderson, three
of the last four games has gone over this number
for receiving and rushing Eighty two and a half yards
is what this is set at. The prop bet cheat

(11:27):
sheet is projecting eighty eight point one rushing and receiving yards,
a seventy two percent cover probability, a plus thirty five
expected value member plus forty is the highest you can
get with the prop bet cheat sheet and a five
star play for Travion Henderson to go over eighty to
eighty two and a half rushing and receiving yards here
for tonight. He won up with eighty one in his

(11:50):
last game ninety three against the Jets, one hundred and
fifty against Tampa Bay, eighty seven against Atlanta, and seventy
five against Cleveland. He's been a very big part of
this offense with Drake May and company, and with a
two offensive linemen out for the Patriots, I don't think
they want Drake May passing the ball a ton I
think Drake May will pick up yardage. I than I

(12:12):
don't mind him on his over rushing for tonight, but
quarterback rushing could be a little funky, and so we'll
go Traymon Henderson over eighty two and a half rushing
and receiving for the Patriots. But to stick right with that,
I think Tyrone Tracy from the Giants, who's gone over
his number three games in a row against Detroit Green
Bay in Chicago seventy and a half, is rushing and receiving.

(12:34):
Number prop BEATGCHI is projecting seventy five. It's a sixty
nine percent cover probability, a plus twenty eight expected value,
and also a five star play here. One hundred and
thirty yards rushing and receiving. The last game against Detroit
one hundred and thirty nine yards against Green Bay, seventy
one against Chicago. Not a good game against San Francisco,

(12:57):
but against Philly he had fifty three and Denver he
had forty six. Those were over his projected numbers fifty
three and forty six. He was twenty six and a
half against Philly in eighteen and a half against Denver.
He's getting a much bigger workload now here in this backfield,
and he's been a highly effective weapon both receiving and rushing.

(13:19):
He ran the ball twenty times for sixty two yards
against the Lions. He was targeted four times for sixty
eight yards receiving in that game, and that was with
Jameis Winston last game. But even I think with Jackson
Dart he still will get the football quite a bit.
We're going to go ahead and play the over seventy
and a half rushing and receiving for Tyrone Tracy for

(13:39):
us coming up for two days, So if you guys
are looking for other plays, I won't have anything Tuesday Wednesday.
During the week, I'll come at you and give you
some stuff, But for right now, I'm just going to
go with one game and just come in here with
the over forty six for the Patriots and the Giants
at one point one units, Trebon Henderson over eighty and

(14:01):
a half rushing and receiving, and Tyrone Tracy over rushing
and receiving at sixty nine and a half. If you
want more breakdown of the other things going on in
the sports world, and taking a look at the College
for All playoff, taking a look at the fact we
have Georgia to win the SEC. That ticket is live
against Alabama coming up on Saturday. We'll talk about how

(14:23):
we're going to play off. Of that, you can come
over and watch the Bostonian Versus the Book BVB as
we call it. It's a one thirty Eastern time start
on the BVB YouTube channel. Just go and search at
Boston Versus the Book on YouTube and or on Twitter
at Boston Versus the Book. You can subscribe to that
YouTube channel so you always know when I go live.

(14:45):
But Monday at one thirty Eastern time, full breakdown of
the Giants and the Patriots, in a recap of the
entire weekend, coming at you here at one thirty eastern
on BVB on the discord sorry, on the YouTube channel
at Boston Versus the Book my name is Matt Parolt.
You guys in following me across all my socials at
Sports Doc Matt. Every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

(15:07):
It is the Daily Juice
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