Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys, Happy Saturday.
Speaker 2 (00:16):
Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 1 (00:20):
My name is Matt Parolt.
Speaker 2 (00:21):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sportstock. Matt, Tim we're back finally. I told you
the slumpbuster would work. No sling, no problem. Three and oh,
Washington and Rutgers got there at the end, big interception
(00:41):
Tigers and the Mariners. My god, it's eleven pm Pacific time.
The game just got over late night on the East coast.
Vegas was easy. That was a laugh for Congratulations to
the Vegas Aces, their third championship in four years.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
Their dynasty is secure. Three and oh up.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
Three units on the day, and that puts us into
a position where if we have a good Saturday and
a good Sunday, we could have a winning week.
Speaker 1 (01:05):
Even with us.
Speaker 2 (01:05):
Losing on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday go up three units.
We're still down, but we have a shot here if
we have a good Saturday and a good Sunday that
we can wind up being up for the week. So
I got five bets for us today. I like the
card today, I like the card tomorrow. Sometimes it gets
me into trouble, but I do like the cards today
(01:26):
in both college and in the NFL for tomorrow. A
reminder that our Discord channel chat happens at eleven am
Eastern time on our Discord channel eight am Pacific bettingpros
dot Com slash Chat. Come on over, I break down
most every game. We let you guys talk, you jump on,
you give me picks, plays and thoughts on the card
(01:47):
that you are betting for tomorrow for today on Saturday.
Speaker 1 (01:50):
So looking forward to seeing all you guys.
Speaker 2 (01:52):
Coming in at eleven am Eastern time eight am Pacific
time for our weekly college football chat for Week seven
of college football. This podcast is being brought to you
by our friends at hard Rock Bet. Now this is
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(02:15):
you fired up for college football.
Speaker 1 (02:18):
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So if you're listening to this.
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and in ver Virginia Okay, let's talk the games today now,
(03:37):
red River. Let's start with Oklahoma in Texas. Is John
Materier playing? I actually don't really care. Here's why. The
defense for Oklahoma. This is why I'm going to take
Oklahoma to win this game. I don't believe in the offense.
I don't believe in arch Manning. I don't believe in Sarkesian.
(03:58):
They've played two defenses that are really good this year
and they've lost them both. Now, both were on the road,
but they weren't pretty. Texas against Ohio State couldn't really
really do anything in that football game, and Texas has
had a really hard time moving the ball against good
quality defenses. Oklahoma has beaten Michigan at home, and John
Mattier is arguably the best player in college football. And
(04:20):
even if he does play seventeen days after having surgery
on his broken thumb, it would be a marvel, it
would be incredible. But the backup kid's not that bad.
And this is all about the defense. I don't mind
the under forty four and a half. I don't mind
betting the under on this game either, because I don't
think Texas is going to score, and I think if
you're a Longhorn fan, I think you're somewhat disappointed on
(04:43):
what you were told about Arch Manning about how good
of a quarterback he is. And I think Brent Vettererbills
has one of the better defenses in college football. And
I think Texas is going to really struggle. I don't
need to worry about points. I don't worry about points spreads.
Just a straight money line player on Oklahoma. Heck could
be a pick six for Oklahoma. Their defense could make
(05:05):
a big play to set up the offense. I like
OU's offense with or without Matier, but I love OU's defense.
I do not like Texas's offense. I think they lose
another one here. I think Texas falls with three losses
before we get to Halloween, which is insane if we
think about team was ranked number one in college football preseason.
Give me Oklahoma. Oklahoma on the money line here at
(05:29):
minus one ten. Let's talk about UNLV in their game
against air Force coming up here for today. The Rebels
have been really explosive on offense, but some of the
Falcons they have played pretty well recently, but they lost
to Navy in their last game, which they could be
somewhat disappointed after losing the Commander in Chiefs Trophy. UNLV
(05:50):
is four and one ats on the year, and UNLV
has been playing really really well this year. Only two
home games, but four straight games they have covered. They
didn't cover against Idaho State that was like the weird
first game for the Dan Mullins era, and they won
by seven as thirty point favorites. But then after that
(06:10):
Sam Houston they won by seventeen.
Speaker 1 (06:12):
Covered. They beat UCLA as dogs at home.
Speaker 2 (06:15):
But everybody was beating UCLA back then Miami of Ohio
there are one point favorites on the road, they won
by three. In last time out against Wyoming, laying four
and a half, they won by fourteen. That was the
real eye opener. Here you have four straight losses for
Air Force. They're one in four against the spread over
those games. They lost to Utah State and didn't cover,
(06:37):
Boise State and didn't cover, Hawaii, didn't cover. And then
on the road they were catching thirteen and they lost
by three to Navy, so they did cover. But this
here they are now catching six and a half from UNLV.
Speaker 1 (06:50):
The first move was to the dog.
Speaker 2 (06:51):
I don't really understand it given the way that you
and he has played, the way they've played at home.
Speaker 1 (06:56):
This is a three point thirty eastern time kick.
Speaker 2 (06:59):
So it's a game that I think I might meander
my way over to and take a look at at
some point if I have some free time to go
over and see it. But I think UNW wins by
at least by a touchdown. Now that that game has
dropped below seven and we're down to six and a half,
I like you and LB give me the Rebels minus
six and a half at home against Air Force. We're
(07:20):
gonna lay it number two, number three, four and five
bets are coming up here in just one second. But
before we do that, let me remind you about the
upgrade that's available right now for Betting Pros Premium. You
get six months for free. Just make a deposit in
place your wager at a partner. Sportsbook. Premium gives you
access to the sharp AI tools, Betting Systems, prop at
(07:43):
cheat sheet, and the same game parlay builder. All you
need are the tools to make you a smarter better
Claim your upgrade now at bettingpros dot com slash Premium.
Bettingpros dot com slash Premium. At some point and I'm
not sure when I'll do this, but at some point
I will get into the betting systems off the app.
(08:06):
If you haven't downloaded the app, you really it's it's
got a lot of really cool things and there's new
there's some cool features actually that are coming down the
pike as well, but more like curated picks that you
can jump in on yourself and grab for yourself. And
I was really I was fooling around last night looking
at some of the plays that what is being recommended
(08:27):
to me by the app, And there's a system about
playing at home for in college that like I have
to find ways of like explaining this to you guys,
because I actually was like really stunned. Only four people
were following this system, and I was like, wait a minute.
Speaker 1 (08:48):
How is that possible?
Speaker 2 (08:49):
But it was really profitable for teams at home that
are either you know, it's basically against the spread bets
for teams at home. At some point and I'll explain
how to play it and then we wa us to
get into it. But download the app and full around
with some of the custom recommendations. It curates bets that
you're gonna like, and you also can search it by
(09:10):
bet type can search it by recommendations on college football
and whatnot. But the betting systems that it recommends are
pretty cool, and we are not doing a good enough
job of highlighting or explaining to you guys how profitable
the one I found last night since the start of
the college football season is up thirty nine and a
half units, So pretty good, pretty good run that it's
(09:31):
been on so far. Let's continue talking about picks and
plays here. Like I said, the first two Oklahoma money
line and UNLV laying six and a half. Let's talk
Michigan in USC total open in fifty five and a
half and now it's been bet up to fifty six
and a half. O USC is four and one to
the over. Michigan is three and two to the over.
USC at home is three and oh to the over.
(09:53):
Michigan State went over by twenty Georgia Southern went over
by seventeen and a half, and Missouri State went over
by twenty six. This number, being fifty six and a
half is the lowest or nearly the lowest so far
this year. Michigan State at home on the twentieth of
September it was fifty six forty five to thirty one.
Final went over by twenty points for Michigan on the road.
(10:15):
Oh it went under against Wisconsin in the last game
twenty four to ten, but that was more that Wisconsin
didn't have a lot of offense. Nebraska went over my
nine points. The Oklahoma game went under because well Michigan
didn't score. They got held to thirteen points in that game.
But this is a team in Michigan that's facing an
offense with a really good quarterback, former UNLV quarterback in Maeva,
(10:39):
and two NFL wide receivers. Michigan, I think it's going
to be able to move the football at will here
on USC. I don't like Lincoln Riley's defenses. I haven't
liked really ever Lincoln Riley's defenses. I think Michigan money
line is a good look here. I think it's possible,
but I think the game goes over. I think we're
going to see a ton of offense here between these
two football teams. I don't think this is going to
(11:00):
be a typical Big Ten game. We bet the under
sixty and a half between Washington and Rutgers last night.
That game almost went over. It would have gone over
fifty six and a half Michigan and USC. We're gonna
go ahead and play the over. I think we see
a lot of offense here for both these teams, not
a lot of defense. Michigan USC over fifty six and
(11:22):
a half. Arguably the game of the day is Indiana
at Oregon. Say that again, huh, that's a wild statement,
but it is true.
Speaker 1 (11:30):
Look at here's the deal.
Speaker 2 (11:33):
I don't buy Indiana as of yet to go to
one of the most difficult places to play in college football,
to go across the country and to upset the Oregon
Ducks off of a bye.
Speaker 1 (11:47):
You could say, well, Matt.
Speaker 2 (11:48):
They're riding high after what happened up against Penn State,
and they're going to be having a letdown. I don't
think so. Okay, I don't think so. Game day is
a new gene. Oregon is four and one ATS and
they're three and ohero at home ATS. They've beaten Penn State,
They've beaten Northwestern, they beat Oklahoma State, they beat Oregon State.
(12:10):
Is that a great murders row of competition?
Speaker 3 (12:14):
No?
Speaker 2 (12:14):
But who is Indiana played? They beat Iowa by five,
They beat Illinois by fifty three. Great, that's Illinois. Indiana State,
Kenishaw State, and Old Dominion. Okay, so you could hang
a huge number on Indiana State and a huge number
on Illinois.
Speaker 1 (12:30):
And then you squeak by Iowa. Well, guess what.
Speaker 2 (12:33):
Oregon's way better than Iowa in all facets back to
back road games, although there was a bye week in
between for Indiana. I just think this is a baptism
by fire in a lot of ways that all of
the kirksinetty talk and everything.
Speaker 1 (12:49):
Else that's gone Indian Indiana.
Speaker 2 (12:50):
Yeah, Indiana's good, but Oregon speed winds up winning this
game in the end, and I'm gonna lay the seven
points the number open up at nine. All the came
in on Indiana. The books in some way might need
Oregon at the end of the day, given how much
money has come in on Indiana. I'm comfortable taking the
Ducks and leading the Ducks at home. I'll lay the
(13:11):
seven Indiana minus seven at home for one point one units.
And speaking being at home, I got this pick from
one from the system play I was talking about on
the betting pros app Auburn at home up against Georgia.
Georgia is only covered in four of the last fourteen games,
(13:34):
that's not good. Georgia has not been good against the
number this season. Georgia's one in four on the road,
they are oh to one. They're one in three at home.
Auburn is oh and two at home. That didn't cover
against Ball State or South Alabama. Not a big deal.
Those lines were forty two and a half and twenty
(13:55):
six and a half. They're catching four points now. I
don't know if Georgia is gonna be able to move
the ball at will against a feisty Auburn team. And
I've liked what I've seen out of Auburn. I fitted
them against Baylor and I was wrong. I watched them
against Texas A and M. They covered. They lost by
six on the road at six and a half point favorites.
It was a push on the road against Oklahoma, a
(14:17):
game that we got very lucky. Remember we bet the
six and that safety at the end. They should have
covered against Oklahoma. They did cover against sixts A and M.
I think Auburn is better than people think. I think
george is a bit down in what we thought it
was going to be this year for Georgia. They won
on the road at Tennessee, but the line was three
and a half. They won by three. This is very
well another three point game. They lost to Bama by
(14:40):
three at home. Here comes Auburn. I think this is
a three point game one way or the other. And
if i can get Auburn plus four, I'm going to
take the Tigers. Give me Auburn plus four war Eagle
at home to go ahead in the oldest rivalry in
the South, to either get an outright win or to
lose the game by f three points up against Georgia
(15:02):
for today, So the plays for Saturday, Oklahoma money line
in the Red River UNLV laying six and a half
at home against Air Force Michigan and USC over fifty
six and a half, Oregon at home against Indiana laying seven,
and Auburn catching four at home up against Georgia. I
(15:24):
will talk to you on the Discord channel chat at
eleven am Eastern Time on our Discord channel. To get
there bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. My name is Matt Parolz.
To follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk
Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (15:38):
It is the Daily Juice. Yeah,