November 29, 2025 • 12 mins
It's the last day of the regular season for college football and host Matt Perrault is looking to end the year out on a strong note. Matt has had B2B losing days and hopes the weekend is better. Find out the plays on the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into
the last Saturday regular season wise for college football for
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
sports Talk Matt. I apologize for the later the normal
posting for the podcast and the hostage video. I got
a lot going on. I'm traveling today. We're trying to
(00:35):
wrap up a bunch of different stuff, so today's been
a wacko morning, so I apologize for the delay here
for the podcast. Only three plays for us, but that's
probably not a bad thing considering the last two days
have been brutal. Oh and three egos lose outright Texas
tex scores thirty one points at Texas A and M
in Texas big second half, really bad three to three
(00:56):
at the break. That's what killed the over bet. But
Texas did win. So look, sometimes you're just not seeing
the board right and traveling can throw everything off. But
like I was wise to avoid a couple of things.
I would have taken Texas A and M. Glad I
didn't do that because Texas was the right side pretty
much the whole game. That was the right side in
(01:18):
that game, I mean underdogs on Thanksgiving and Black Friday
went four and oh straight up and four and oh
against the spread. If you checked out any of the
survivor pools, it eviscerated every survivor pool, including the big one,
you know, the one hundred thousand dollars one in Vegas
with Circus Sports, and the Grand Tissimo that's done, all
(01:40):
six entries gone. It took from nine hundred entries left
in the regular Survivor the eighteen million dollar one that
got eviscerated down to forty nine, like nine hundred to
forty nine in two days. So like, I'm not the
only one here who got crushed. This was a wonderful
two day stretch for the sports books. They did very
(02:01):
very well the last two days. It's not really an excuse,
it's just you know, if you're watching this video, my
guess is it didn't do very well. Okay, I didn't
do very well. I've done poorly. I'm going to have
a losing week. Most likely, I'll have to check and see.
We lost in October, we may be losing in November.
My gut tells me we're kind of like near flat
for October or for November, but got a couple of
(02:24):
days left. So we've done very well in the NFL
this year, so hopefully tomorrow we'll do great. But we're
going to wrap up college football coming up here for today.
Before we give you the plays for today, let's talk
about our friends at hard Rock Bet. If you guys
haven't used their offer, it is still available the five
dollars bet. If it wins, you get your winnings plus
one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets, extra bonus bets.
(02:46):
If you've not checked out the hard Rock Stats Hub,
you should do so. It's pretty cool. They've got trends, streaks, stats,
a lot of stuff that can help you with numbers.
If you like data, it's in there for you guys,
to go ahead and check it out. Remember, hard Rock
Bet is the only legal sport or book in Florida,
but it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
in Colorado. Hard Rock Bets got new promos every single day,
(03:09):
so download the hard rock Bet app and make your
first deposit today. All right, so let's start with two
college football games. Ones at noon Michigan Ohio State. Look,
I'm i I've been cold this week, so I'm just
gonna bet what I think and you guys can fade
it all you want. Okay, I'm taking the ten and
a half points with Michigan because I think in a
(03:31):
rivalry game at home, Michigan can keep this game close.
I don't think they win the game. I think Michigan
wins by seven. Sorry, Ohio State wins by seven. I
don't think Michigan gets blown out at home. And I
am very curious see what this offense does, how the
running game does. But it is Michigan Ohio State. It
is the game. You can take every number that you want.
(03:53):
You can take every trend that you want about Michigan
in the two thousand and two hundred days or whatever
it's been says Michigan has last lost to Ohio State.
But they are six and five on the year. Ohio
State is four and seven ats they're zero to four
on the road. Okay, they have not covered a game
on the road yet. Michigan is two and three at home,
(04:13):
which isn't great. But I mean, sorry, hold on, that's
over under Excuse me, they're three and one on the
Ohio State's three and one on the road. That's the total.
So if you want to go with the under, they're
owing four four and out of the under, Ohio State
is on the road. Ohio State's nine to one and
one ats two in three in Michigan. That number is
right two. Michigan's two and three, but the three and
one ATS. I don't care what the numbers are, Okay,
(04:37):
the numbers can say whatever you want. Ohio State has
won by thirty three, thirty eight, twenty four, twenty four,
and thirty four the last five weeks, they've destroyed everybody.
Michigan beat Maryland by twenty five, they beat Northwestern by two,
they beat per new by five, they beat Michigan State
by eleven, they beat Washington by seventeen. They haven't lost
since they've lost to USC on the road. They're playing better.
(04:59):
These are game games. You just take the numbers and
you throw them out and you just say it's a
rivalry game. And I think Michigan can keep the game
within ten points. That's about the best handicap I can
give you. I have been very high on Michigan all
year long, going into the year I bet them to
win the big ten loss. I bet them to go
undefeated loss. I thought Michigan was going to have a
(05:20):
much better season than what they have had. But if
they beat Ohio State today, they've made their year. I mean,
this is about a super Bowl game for Michigan here
against Ohio State. I'll take the points. You guys can
take Ohio State all you want. Could be a blowout.
I'll take Michigan at plus ten and a half. Game
number two Alabama and Auburn. This number continues to come down.
(05:41):
We're all the way down to five and a half
for Alabama on the road against Auburn. The books need Alabama.
This is a very interesting place for the Iron Bowl
for Alabama where they have everything riding on this game
for the Crimson Tide. If they lose this game, they're
not playing in the SEC champion Ship Game and they're
not playing in the College Football Playoff. Kellen de boorr
(06:04):
Went is backed against the wall in a must win
game in a game that his team must have has
been extremely profitable and has been very good to back.
Look Auburn fired their coach. It's a very similar situation
for Alabama and Auburn and on general you know, on
any other year, I probably would be backing Auburn at
home home dog a chance to derail Alabama wins by three.
(06:27):
Take Auburn plus the points right all that. I just
feel like this Alabama team has got something to prove.
I think this Alabama team is going to play really well.
And I just can't trust Auburn. Like I wish I
could trust Auburn, I just can't trust them given what
they've looked like this year. There's no dead cat bounce
(06:48):
going into this. You know, if they had fired Hugh
Freeze like last week, maybe I would say. But you know,
Alabama is four two and one ATS in the SEC.
Auburn is two four and one in the in the SEC. Again,
you got to throw this out, but Auburn is one
in five at home this year ATS. The only game
that they covered at home this year was their last
(07:10):
game against Mercer, Okay, where they were laying twenty five
points and they won by forty five. So they had
been zero to five ATS before the game. Last week.
Alabama comes in off of a blowout win over Eastern Illinois,
but they lost at home to Oklahoma. Really put their
backs against the wall, they beat LSU, they won by
(07:30):
seven against South Carolina in their last game. They'd beat
Missouri by three in the game before that. They beat
Georgia by three the game before that. So you can say, Matt,
it's gonna be a three point win for Alabama. Take
the points with Auburn. I don't mind it, except I
think when you look at the backs against the wall
and the mistakes that Auburn has made this year, I
(07:51):
think this Alabama team pins their ears back and they
go to business. I think BENMA wins by seven. It's
going to be right around the number. Okay, I don't know.
I don't sit here and tell you like I don't
think BEMA wins by forty. I don't think they're going
to annihilate Auburn and the Iron Bowl. I'm just going
to take the better team, the better quarterback, and take
the fact that Alabama has to have it and the
(08:11):
Iron Bowl and the number keeps on being bent down,
and I'm on the side of the books. I'm okay
with being on the side of the books. For the
Iron Bowl. The books are going to need It's kind
of crazy, but the books are going to need Michigan two,
which is not that I mean Michigan at plus ten
and a half a lot of money, but that most
of the money's come in on Ohio State minus eight
and a half, minus nine and a half. Now we're
up to ten and a half. Same thing here with
(08:32):
the money coming in on Auburn. A lot of that
money's coming in at six and a half. At six,
now we're at five and a half, so it keeps
on moving down. Let's get a six point win for
Alabama and let's cover here for the Crimson died. Cover
the five and a half Alabama minus five and a
half here for that. I don't know if you guys
just heard that or not, but the dog just came
on and to come stay hi. So dog wanted to
(08:54):
come hang out. How it works? You know things are going? Okay,
one NBA player prop to give you, guys, because I
haven't given you guys an NBA player prop in a while,
and obviously that's been a very profitable thing for us.
So we're going to come in with Moses Moody. Okay,
Moses Moody hasn't covered this number in four the last
five games. He's ten and fifteen to this number at
eighteen and a half points in rebounds for Moses Moody.
(09:16):
You got the game today at home against the Pelicans.
This is a five star rated play. This is a
seventy eight percent cover probability. It's a plus thirty eight
expected value play for the guard for and there is
a little bit of an injury situation to look at this,
So take a look at to see what's going to
happen here against Houston back on the twenty sixth. It's
(09:37):
when he played last. So let's see what happens here
where he was big up against dating back against the
Pelicans before he scored thirty two points against the Pelicans
on the road on the sixteenth. But hopefully he's good
to go today. And if he is good to go,
prop bet cheat sheets all over his under for points
(09:58):
and rebounds for Moses Moody. So he is a date.
He's day to day, but he should be okay. He
did play in the last game, so he should be
good to go. He did explode again back time on
the sixteenth at New Orleans. This game is at home.
Prop bit cheat sheet comes in with an under for
Moses Moody. Actually that number just moved as we're talking.
You can take at BETMGM. Betmgm's got it at nineteen
(10:21):
and a half, so you actually can get a better number. Yeah,
there it is. Yeah the signal I played. Okay, so
it moved nineteen and a half. Let's play that. It's
nineteen and a half at BETMGM. It'spending MGM at a
hard rock bet. It's BETMGM. It's nineteen and a half
at a couple offshore places. So BETMGM is in hard
rock bet, both at places where you guys can go
(10:42):
and get this under nineteen and a half. So I
did play the right number. That's good. But that number
is moving, it's going up. So there's other books who
have joined in on that for that. So the pros
think that number is too low, but the prop bet
cheat sheet likes it, thinks it's right at nineteen and
a half. So play for today Michigan plus ten and
a half in the game against Ohio State Iron Bowl
(11:04):
Alabama laying five and a half on the road against
Auburn and Moses Moody under nineteen and a half points
and rebounds at minus one twenty five for one point
two five units. Those are our plays here today. I
will be back in Vegas late tonight, so I'm probably
gonna have to tape this either like first thing in
(11:24):
the morning West Coast time or when I get back.
But I'm landing at twelve forty five, so it's going
to be the Today's kind of a chaotic day. I'm
leaving to go to Boston in a couple minutes to
go down there and then get on the airplane and fly,
and it's it's a whole crazy travel day today. It's
traveling at Thanksgiving is a nut is nuts. So not
sure when the Sunday Daily Juice will drop, but Pat
(11:47):
Fitzmorris and myself will have you covered for a live
stream at noon Eastern time coming up tomorrow. There is
no Discord channel chat today, in cause you're looking for it.
No Discord Channel chat today. I'm just too crazy busy
to do it. But we will be live tomorrow at
noon Eastern time for the Sunday episode Sunday live stream
on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. As my parog you
(12:07):
guys can call because all my socials at Sports Talk
Mat every morning where every guys get your podcasts. It
is the Daily jewe
What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into
the last Saturday regular season wise for college football for
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
sports Talk Matt. I apologize for the later the normal
posting for the podcast and the hostage video. I got
a lot going on. I'm traveling today. We're trying to
(00:35):
wrap up a bunch of different stuff, so today's been
a wacko morning, so I apologize for the delay here
for the podcast. Only three plays for us, but that's
probably not a bad thing considering the last two days
have been brutal. Oh and three egos lose outright Texas
tex scores thirty one points at Texas A and M
in Texas big second half, really bad three to three
(00:56):
at the break. That's what killed the over bet. But
Texas did win. So look, sometimes you're just not seeing
the board right and traveling can throw everything off. But
like I was wise to avoid a couple of things.
I would have taken Texas A and M. Glad I
didn't do that because Texas was the right side pretty
much the whole game. That was the right side in
(01:18):
that game, I mean underdogs on Thanksgiving and Black Friday
went four and oh straight up and four and oh
against the spread. If you checked out any of the
survivor pools, it eviscerated every survivor pool, including the big one,
you know, the one hundred thousand dollars one in Vegas
with Circus Sports, and the Grand Tissimo that's done, all
(01:40):
six entries gone. It took from nine hundred entries left
in the regular Survivor the eighteen million dollar one that
got eviscerated down to forty nine, like nine hundred to
forty nine in two days. So like, I'm not the
only one here who got crushed. This was a wonderful
two day stretch for the sports books. They did very
(02:01):
very well the last two days. It's not really an excuse,
it's just you know, if you're watching this video, my
guess is it didn't do very well. Okay, I didn't
do very well. I've done poorly. I'm going to have
a losing week. Most likely, I'll have to check and see.
We lost in October, we may be losing in November.
My gut tells me we're kind of like near flat
for October or for November, but got a couple of
(02:24):
days left. So we've done very well in the NFL
this year, so hopefully tomorrow we'll do great. But we're
going to wrap up college football coming up here for today.
Before we give you the plays for today, let's talk
about our friends at hard Rock Bet. If you guys
haven't used their offer, it is still available the five
dollars bet. If it wins, you get your winnings plus
one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets, extra bonus bets.
(02:46):
If you've not checked out the hard Rock Stats Hub,
you should do so. It's pretty cool. They've got trends, streaks, stats,
a lot of stuff that can help you with numbers.
If you like data, it's in there for you guys,
to go ahead and check it out. Remember, hard Rock
Bet is the only legal sport or book in Florida,
but it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
in Colorado. Hard Rock Bets got new promos every single day,
(03:09):
so download the hard rock Bet app and make your
first deposit today. All right, so let's start with two
college football games. Ones at noon Michigan Ohio State. Look,
I'm i I've been cold this week, so I'm just
gonna bet what I think and you guys can fade
it all you want. Okay, I'm taking the ten and
a half points with Michigan because I think in a
(03:31):
rivalry game at home, Michigan can keep this game close.
I don't think they win the game. I think Michigan
wins by seven. Sorry, Ohio State wins by seven. I
don't think Michigan gets blown out at home. And I
am very curious see what this offense does, how the
running game does. But it is Michigan Ohio State. It
is the game. You can take every number that you want.
(03:53):
You can take every trend that you want about Michigan
in the two thousand and two hundred days or whatever
it's been says Michigan has last lost to Ohio State.
But they are six and five on the year. Ohio
State is four and seven ats they're zero to four
on the road. Okay, they have not covered a game
on the road yet. Michigan is two and three at home,
(04:13):
which isn't great. But I mean, sorry, hold on, that's
over under Excuse me, they're three and one on the
Ohio State's three and one on the road. That's the total.
So if you want to go with the under, they're
owing four four and out of the under, Ohio State
is on the road. Ohio State's nine to one and
one ats two in three in Michigan. That number is
right two. Michigan's two and three, but the three and
one ATS. I don't care what the numbers are, Okay,
(04:37):
the numbers can say whatever you want. Ohio State has
won by thirty three, thirty eight, twenty four, twenty four,
and thirty four the last five weeks, they've destroyed everybody.
Michigan beat Maryland by twenty five, they beat Northwestern by two,
they beat per new by five, they beat Michigan State
by eleven, they beat Washington by seventeen. They haven't lost
since they've lost to USC on the road. They're playing better.
(04:59):
These are game games. You just take the numbers and
you throw them out and you just say it's a
rivalry game. And I think Michigan can keep the game
within ten points. That's about the best handicap I can
give you. I have been very high on Michigan all
year long, going into the year I bet them to
win the big ten loss. I bet them to go
undefeated loss. I thought Michigan was going to have a
(05:20):
much better season than what they have had. But if
they beat Ohio State today, they've made their year. I mean,
this is about a super Bowl game for Michigan here
against Ohio State. I'll take the points. You guys can
take Ohio State all you want. Could be a blowout.
I'll take Michigan at plus ten and a half. Game
number two Alabama and Auburn. This number continues to come down.
(05:41):
We're all the way down to five and a half
for Alabama on the road against Auburn. The books need Alabama.
This is a very interesting place for the Iron Bowl
for Alabama where they have everything riding on this game
for the Crimson Tide. If they lose this game, they're
not playing in the SEC champion Ship Game and they're
not playing in the College Football Playoff. Kellen de boorr
(06:04):
Went is backed against the wall in a must win
game in a game that his team must have has
been extremely profitable and has been very good to back.
Look Auburn fired their coach. It's a very similar situation
for Alabama and Auburn and on general you know, on
any other year, I probably would be backing Auburn at
home home dog a chance to derail Alabama wins by three.
(06:27):
Take Auburn plus the points right all that. I just
feel like this Alabama team has got something to prove.
I think this Alabama team is going to play really well.
And I just can't trust Auburn. Like I wish I
could trust Auburn, I just can't trust them given what
they've looked like this year. There's no dead cat bounce
(06:48):
going into this. You know, if they had fired Hugh
Freeze like last week, maybe I would say. But you know,
Alabama is four two and one ATS in the SEC.
Auburn is two four and one in the in the SEC. Again,
you got to throw this out, but Auburn is one
in five at home this year ATS. The only game
that they covered at home this year was their last
(07:10):
game against Mercer, Okay, where they were laying twenty five
points and they won by forty five. So they had
been zero to five ATS before the game. Last week.
Alabama comes in off of a blowout win over Eastern Illinois,
but they lost at home to Oklahoma. Really put their
backs against the wall, they beat LSU, they won by
(07:30):
seven against South Carolina in their last game. They'd beat
Missouri by three in the game before that. They beat
Georgia by three the game before that. So you can say, Matt,
it's gonna be a three point win for Alabama. Take
the points with Auburn. I don't mind it, except I
think when you look at the backs against the wall
and the mistakes that Auburn has made this year, I
(07:51):
think this Alabama team pins their ears back and they
go to business. I think BENMA wins by seven. It's
going to be right around the number. Okay, I don't know.
I don't sit here and tell you like I don't
think BEMA wins by forty. I don't think they're going
to annihilate Auburn and the Iron Bowl. I'm just going
to take the better team, the better quarterback, and take
the fact that Alabama has to have it and the
(08:11):
Iron Bowl and the number keeps on being bent down,
and I'm on the side of the books. I'm okay
with being on the side of the books. For the
Iron Bowl. The books are going to need It's kind
of crazy, but the books are going to need Michigan two,
which is not that I mean Michigan at plus ten
and a half a lot of money, but that most
of the money's come in on Ohio State minus eight
and a half, minus nine and a half. Now we're
up to ten and a half. Same thing here with
(08:32):
the money coming in on Auburn. A lot of that
money's coming in at six and a half. At six,
now we're at five and a half, so it keeps
on moving down. Let's get a six point win for
Alabama and let's cover here for the Crimson died. Cover
the five and a half Alabama minus five and a
half here for that. I don't know if you guys
just heard that or not, but the dog just came
on and to come stay hi. So dog wanted to
(08:54):
come hang out. How it works? You know things are going? Okay,
one NBA player prop to give you, guys, because I
haven't given you guys an NBA player prop in a while,
and obviously that's been a very profitable thing for us.
So we're going to come in with Moses Moody. Okay,
Moses Moody hasn't covered this number in four the last
five games. He's ten and fifteen to this number at
eighteen and a half points in rebounds for Moses Moody.
(09:16):
You got the game today at home against the Pelicans.
This is a five star rated play. This is a
seventy eight percent cover probability. It's a plus thirty eight
expected value play for the guard for and there is
a little bit of an injury situation to look at this,
So take a look at to see what's going to
happen here against Houston back on the twenty sixth. It's
(09:37):
when he played last. So let's see what happens here
where he was big up against dating back against the
Pelicans before he scored thirty two points against the Pelicans
on the road on the sixteenth. But hopefully he's good
to go today. And if he is good to go,
prop bet cheat sheets all over his under for points
(09:58):
and rebounds for Moses Moody. So he is a date.
He's day to day, but he should be okay. He
did play in the last game, so he should be
good to go. He did explode again back time on
the sixteenth at New Orleans. This game is at home.
Prop bit cheat sheet comes in with an under for
Moses Moody. Actually that number just moved as we're talking.
You can take at BETMGM. Betmgm's got it at nineteen
(10:21):
and a half, so you actually can get a better number. Yeah,
there it is. Yeah the signal I played. Okay, so
it moved nineteen and a half. Let's play that. It's
nineteen and a half at BETMGM. It'spending MGM at a
hard rock bet. It's BETMGM. It's nineteen and a half
at a couple offshore places. So BETMGM is in hard
rock bet, both at places where you guys can go
(10:42):
and get this under nineteen and a half. So I
did play the right number. That's good. But that number
is moving, it's going up. So there's other books who
have joined in on that for that. So the pros
think that number is too low, but the prop bet
cheat sheet likes it, thinks it's right at nineteen and
a half. So play for today Michigan plus ten and
a half in the game against Ohio State Iron Bowl
(11:04):
Alabama laying five and a half on the road against
Auburn and Moses Moody under nineteen and a half points
and rebounds at minus one twenty five for one point
two five units. Those are our plays here today. I
will be back in Vegas late tonight, so I'm probably
gonna have to tape this either like first thing in
(11:24):
the morning West Coast time or when I get back.
But I'm landing at twelve forty five, so it's going
to be the Today's kind of a chaotic day. I'm
leaving to go to Boston in a couple minutes to
go down there and then get on the airplane and fly,
and it's it's a whole crazy travel day today. It's
traveling at Thanksgiving is a nut is nuts. So not
sure when the Sunday Daily Juice will drop, but Pat
(11:47):
Fitzmorris and myself will have you covered for a live
stream at noon Eastern time coming up tomorrow. There is
no Discord channel chat today, in cause you're looking for it.
No Discord Channel chat today. I'm just too crazy busy
to do it. But we will be live tomorrow at
noon Eastern time for the Sunday episode Sunday live stream
on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. As my parog you
(12:07):
guys can call because all my socials at Sports Talk
Mat every morning where every guys get your podcasts. It
is the Daily jewe
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