December 13, 2025 • 19 mins
It's been a brutal few days for host Matt Perrault but he hopes to turn things around on the weekend. Matt has 3 bets for you on the Saturday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt. You guys
can follow me across all of my socials at Sports
Talk Matt, and I come to you today with a
little bit of a difficult admission. So I try to
be really transparent and I try to tell you all
the time, like when I'm up, when I'm down.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
We'll get to the record.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
Yesterday was awful, but that's not why I need to
apologize to you guys who do trust me with knowledge
information and some of you follow, some of you fade,
whatever you may do. But yesterday life got the best
of me and I did something quickly, and I did
(00:59):
something too fast. And it's not an excuse and it's
not something that I'm ever going to have happen again.
But I think it's only fair that if you guys
were looking at the prop bet cheat sheet and then
you look at the play that I made, you would say,
wait a minute, Matt. The prop bet cheat sheet said
Darius Garland under twenty seven and a half, not over.
(01:23):
You played over. Well, the under came in and the underhit. Now,
if I had the ability to link my sports books
to the app, to the betting pros app. This wouldn't
be a problem because once I would place the bet,
the bet would automatically be tracked. You guys can do
that in other states. In Nevada we cannot do that.
(01:44):
The books will never allow anyone to have that type
of back end access. And the reason is is because
most of the sports books are tied to large casino
properties here in town that oftentimes get hacked. And so
if you enable a sinking of your sports book to
an application that is not controlled by the property, well
(02:04):
you can use that as a trojan horse back door
to get into the information of the actual property. And
it has happened. It happened when I was working at
the Palazzo where they were hacked by international hackers and
caused all sorts of problems. So in Nevada there is nothing.
We cannot sportsbook sync on anything at any book. It
(02:27):
does not happen. And I live in obviously Las Vegas,
so I have to manually do it. And so when
I put in the prop bet chic sheet and I
am going through and I put it on the app
as to what I am going to play, well, it's
on me. There is no failsafe, there is no backup.
There is nobody to say, Matt Waite, you played under,
(02:50):
not over. And look, I'm not trying to excuse the record.
I'm not trying to I was one in three, Okay,
Like I'm not saying that was good, but that number,
and we're going to count it for what it was. Garland,
I should have played under. I did bet under. I
went one and one on player props. The over didn't
(03:11):
come in for this. It was a three to two
final for Chicago and Saint Louis. We couldn't get the
empty net. We couldn't get the extra goal to make
it go over. So it goes under five and a
half and the Hawk got killed. I mean the second half.
The Pistons blew the damn doors off the Hawks. Atlanta
was in the game until they really weren't, and Detroit win.
That won that game by a million. So that was
a huge win for the Pistons and a really bad
(03:34):
bet by me. But there's always one bet that there's
always one bet that's bad. The Kobe White over landed
at twenty seven point three bounds and assists. It was
supposed to be twenty over twenty eight and a half
that was supposed to be. You know, that was a bucket.
We came a bucket short there. But the Garland play
is going to sit with me for a bit. And look,
(03:57):
it's the holiday season. I'm running around doing a thousand things.
And if you saw when the prop bets went up,
the prop bets went up at three thirty Pacific time,
six thirty Eastern. That's later than I normally ever put
up a prop. Okay, I normally put the props up
at the middle of the day twelve o'clock. When I
get done with BBB, my other show, I then go
(04:18):
and do the player props. That's the normal cadence. Some
things were going on here today that we're a bit unusual,
and thus I take a great deal of responsibility for
being accountable but also being someone who pays attention to
what they are doing. So this is me coming to
you guys, hat in hand and saying I really screwed up,
(04:41):
and I'm really sorry about this, and it won't happen again,
and I'll make sure of it. I will double check
my work. I will make sure that the plays are
put in properly, that when we do the prop bet
cheat sheet, because it has been very profitable. The prop
bet cheat sheet has been tremendous again this year, and frankly,
we're about to get into the part of the year,
(05:02):
mainly January, where we have, you know, a dwindling number
of football games and we will have way more prop
bet prop betting going on for the NBA. So I
guess maybe it's a blessing in disguise that I blew
it here early that once we get into the heavy
part of the year January, February, March April. Really when
(05:23):
we made a ton of money last year with the
prop bet cheat sheet, that I screwed up here versus
screwing up later. But you know this is on me,
So it's an orange four day. Officially, it really is
a one in three day. In case you're worried about
the prop bet cheat sheet not hitting, it did go
one in one on the plays last night. I just
(05:43):
was a moron and fat fingered it, if you will,
and just was rushing and didn't realize it was supposed
to be under and I played over and I didn't
correct it, and I am sorry, So long way of
explaining a horrible day and now we've missed seven straight
bets and depending on how you do the two days
ago bet like one and two oh and three oh
(06:04):
and four not the way we want to put ourselves
into a darn big hole here into the weekend, but
we do have some time to climb our way out
of it and kind of slowly but surely climb our
way out of it, and that's hopefully what we're going
to be able to do. If you guys want to
avoid my mistakes with the propet cheat sheet and you
want to have full ability, full access to not just
(06:25):
the Basketball prop bet cheat sheet, but the NFL prop
bet cheat sheet, you can get six months of Betting
Pros Premium for free. That's a seventy five dollars value
by upgrading, by simply going to Bettingpros dot com slash
Premium and making it a deposit and a bet at
a partner sportsbook, and we will give you six months
(06:46):
of Betting Pros Premium that is a seventy five dollars value.
We will do that for six months for you guys.
If you go to Bettingpros dot Com slash Premium and
make a deposit, make a bet after that deposit and
then you will claim your upgrade for betting pros premium.
Speaker 1 (06:59):
Now let's talk Army Navy here at the top.
Speaker 2 (07:05):
So Army Navy historically speaking, has been a blind bet
to the under for a lot of people. But Navy
is an over team this year, like a really significant
over team this year. Not kind of over, but way over.
(07:26):
Eight and three. I believe to the over right, Army
can score. They can get to sixteen seventeen points.
Speaker 1 (07:36):
They can. Navy, I think, is going to score even
more than that.
Speaker 2 (07:42):
And I think when you look at Army versus Navy
and everyone is so like blindly betting on these games,
I think the reason why the professionals have decided to say,
hold on a second, we're gonna come in here and
we're gonna bet the over because Army away from home
went five and one to the under, but Navy eight
(08:05):
and three overall, five.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
And one at home, three and two on the road.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
And look at these point totals scored by Navy against Memphis.
They scored twenty eight. Against South Florida, they scored forty one.
Against Notre Dame, they scored ten. That's Notre Dame. They
scored seventeen against North Texas, forty two against Florida Atlantic,
thirty two against Temple in thirty four against air Force.
(08:33):
On the flip side, Army scored twenty seven points against Utsa,
twenty five points against Tulsa, fourteen points against Temple, twenty
points against air Force. Their game was twenty to seventeen.
Their game went under, while the air Force game went
over by thirteen and a half. Games For Navy, there's
a common opponent there. Temple was fifty two and a half.
(08:56):
Navy game went over by ten and a half. The
Temple game went under by eighteen and a half. You
see the commonality here. Navy is scoring and the games
are going over.
Speaker 1 (09:07):
Army is not.
Speaker 2 (09:08):
In the games are going under. Now this number being
six and a half, people are betting it. They're saying,
bet Navy.
Speaker 1 (09:16):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
I understand the logic, I do, but in Army Navy,
this just feels like a game that is going to
be tight, and I think it's going to be high scoring.
But it could very well be right around the number
of thirty eight or thirty eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (09:32):
It could be right there.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
I think the better way of looking at this is
the team total for Navy and how many points is
Navy going to score? The team total is twenty one
and a half for Navy. I think they score twenty
four points in this game, all right, Like I mentioned,
twenty eight, forty one, ten, seventeen, forty two, thirty two,
(09:55):
thirty four going back to the beginning of October. In
the last two months, only two games saw Navy score
less than twenty four points. And we're laying over twenty
one and a half. If they get to twenty two
or twenty three and twenty three is really possible we
get over twenty one and a half. Some books have
moved to twenty two and a half. I don't think
(10:16):
there's a big difference between twenty one and a half
and twenty three and a half.
Speaker 1 (10:20):
Enturry twenty two and a half or twenty one and.
Speaker 2 (10:22):
A half because you need, you know, it could be
field goal, field goal, field goal, right touchdown, touchdown, then
three field goals. That's twenty three. So we're over twenty
two and a half and we're over twenty one and
a half, So I'm okay with that. If it gets
to twenty three and a half, that's a stop sign.
I don't like that at all. But I think Navy
over twenty one and a half or over twenty two
and a half, I like this. I think Navy scores.
(10:43):
I think Army gives up points. Again, if this game is,
you know, twenty four seventeen, even.
Speaker 1 (10:50):
Twenty four to twenty, that game goes over. I guess.
But you know, I think Navy is going to score.
Speaker 2 (10:56):
I don't know about Army, and so that's why I
think people are laying the same and a half. I
think I'm more inclined to bet the team total. Again,
if you want to fade me, you can go ahead
and fade me. I mean, I am ice cold this week,
so if you guys want to go ahead and fade me.
But I think the Army Navy game probably goes over.
But I'm not sure about Armies offense. I do think
Navy scores. We're gonna come in and we're gonna bet
(11:17):
Navy team total over twenty one and a half at
minus one twenty for one point two units. Now, if
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Speaker 1 (12:07):
Today, let's talk about.
Speaker 2 (12:09):
The Las Vegas Bowl, and they made the announcement that
this bowl game is going away. This Bowl game will
be done after this year after Boise and Washington play.
That's it, I guess officially it's the LA Bowl hosted
by Gronk if you want to be official. But these teams, look,
this is a really quick turnaround. They played on the
(12:30):
fifth of December. It is now going to be what
is tomorrow? Tomorrow's the thirteenth Okay, today's the thirteenth. It's
a week. It's a one week situation where they have
to travel to go play a team that they did
not know they were going to play. Washington and Boise
were not on each other's radar screen at all at all.
(12:53):
So now you have a nine and four Boise in
an eight and four Washington, and the number is ten.
That's a bit big number. Tens a big number. I'm
not really interested in laying ten points. However, Washington's overall
resume and the level of competition they have played, it's
so much better than what Boise State has played. So
(13:14):
Boise scored thirty eight against un LV, they scored twenty
five against Utah State, they scored forty nine against Colorado State,
but against like somewhat decent teams like Notre Dame, Boise
scored seven points. On the flip side, Washington played Oregon
last week, gave up twenty six points. They played Ohio State,
(13:36):
they gave up twenty four points in that game. They've
played Michigan, they gave up twenty four points in that game. Like,
they've just played some really tough competition and they've their
defense has been the story. Their defense has been really good.
I think their defense shines again. I'm not really interested
(13:56):
in getting involved with the side on this game, even
though I do think Washington wins. I don't want to
be worried about a nine and a half or a
ten point spread, even though I think this could be
somewhat of a lopsided game and Washington does win. I
just don't think Boise State's gonna score. I think the
defense for Washington's gonna be the story here in this game.
(14:17):
And Washington this season they were six and six flat
from a total perspective. Away from home, they were three
and two to the under, but Boise away from home
when they were five and one.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
To the under.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
This year, the total keeps on crip creeping up. I'm
gonna take it at fifty three and a half and
I'm gonna bet under. I hope you guys get fifty four.
I hope it keeps on climbing, and I'm gonna come
in on the under. I just think this is Washington's
defense being the difference in this game, and Washington's defense
only giving up twenty point three points per game, which
(14:51):
is top twenty in the country.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
Boise is not that far behind, but the level of
competition is much different.
Speaker 2 (14:56):
But boys only giving up twenty three point eight points
per game. Both these offenses scoring about thirty points per game,
but on a quick turn on the road in a
bowl game that I don't know exactly how committed these
teams are going to be. That makes it complicated. I
do think Washington wins. I do think their defense is
going to be the difference. But I'm gonna come in here.
I'm gonna bet the under under fifty three and a
(15:19):
half for Washington in Boise in the LA Bowl for
one point one units. And finally we'll go to college
basketball to Dana Altman and the Ducks of Oregon, who
are currently zero to nine against the spread. They are
the worst team in college basketball against the spread, and
they are now thirteen point favorites against UC Davis. Now,
(15:41):
you see Davis last year was a really fun team
to watch. I saw him here in Vegas a couple
of times. They were a fun team last year. Now
totally different roster, all the kids left. But this you
see Davis team just looking at what kempom is thinking.
Ten point win. So we get three points of value
here with kempom. Oregon has lost five games in a row.
(16:02):
They lost to Auburn, San Diego State, Creighton, USC, and UCLA.
Those are not great basketball teams, by the way. Auburn
is good, but I mean they lost to Creighton here
in Vegas. The only win the Jays had was against
Dane Altman and Oregon, their former head coach, which is
somewhat surprising. But they need to win desperately, but they're
banged up. Dane Altman said all week that look, they
(16:24):
got to get going. It's been a dreadful start, but
they got to get guys onto the court. And it
does not look like Oregon is going to be completely
healthy for this game. They're missing a couple of really
key components here. You see Davis is a highly efficient team.
And you see Davis that come in with a five
and three record and one of the most efficient offenses
(16:46):
in their conference. Their second in the Big West in
field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage. They can
play defense, they lead the Big West in their ranked
forty fourth nationally in turnovers force per game. They can
get up, they can turn you over, and they got
a couple of really nice guys who can score, and
they got a really good big on the interior to
(17:06):
protect the rim.
Speaker 1 (17:08):
Look, this is a team that will block shots. This
is a team that I think will hang.
Speaker 2 (17:12):
And if you go to basketball, play basketball at you
see Davis, and you have a chance to go play
in Eugene, Oregon to play the Ducks. Don't tell me
you're not gonna be fired up. You're gonna be ecstatic.
You're gonna be really really interested. This team is coached
by a former Division war a former NBA player, for
you see Davis and Jim Less, so he knows the game.
He's a former NBA guard, he knows.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
How to play.
Speaker 2 (17:34):
I think you see Davis has got a shot here.
I don't even win the game, but I'll take the
points a team that's zero to nine, that's banged up,
in reeling and in desperate need of just getting a w.
I don't think Oregon wins the game by fifteen to
twenty points. I think it's a take the dog. You
see Davis on the road, and if they lose, they lose.
But I don't think they lose by as many points
as the books are projecting here. I know Oregon's desperate
(17:57):
for a win. And you see Davis is coming off
of a loss to Hawaii on the road, seventy five
to sixty nine. They lost to Colorado ninety five to
seventy nine on the road, So I think think that's why.
Speaker 1 (18:09):
This number is where this number is.
Speaker 2 (18:11):
But I don't know really what's going on with Oregon,
like how banged up they are. Dane Altman's a tremendous coach,
but things I think they just want to get a
w here, get a win and get out of Dodge.
Speaker 1 (18:22):
I'll take the points.
Speaker 2 (18:23):
You see Davis plus thirteen on the road against Oregon.
So bets for today and again you want to fade away.
I'm not going to be offended at all. I cannot
wait to get to Sunday tomorrow for the NFL because
I feel much better But my bets in the NFL
tomorrow than I do coming up here for today. But
Navy team total of over twenty one and a half
under fifty three and a half for Washington and Boise
(18:45):
in the LA Bowl, and you see Davis plus thirteen
on the road up against Oregon.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
My name is Matt Parolz.
Speaker 2 (18:52):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt every morning where every guys get podcasts.
Speaker 1 (18:56):
It is the Daily Juice. PST, PST, PST from center
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt. You guys
can follow me across all of my socials at Sports
Talk Matt, and I come to you today with a
little bit of a difficult admission. So I try to
be really transparent and I try to tell you all
the time, like when I'm up, when I'm down.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
We'll get to the record.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
Yesterday was awful, but that's not why I need to
apologize to you guys who do trust me with knowledge
information and some of you follow, some of you fade,
whatever you may do. But yesterday life got the best
of me and I did something quickly, and I did
(00:59):
something too fast. And it's not an excuse and it's
not something that I'm ever going to have happen again.
But I think it's only fair that if you guys
were looking at the prop bet cheat sheet and then
you look at the play that I made, you would say,
wait a minute, Matt. The prop bet cheat sheet said
Darius Garland under twenty seven and a half, not over.
(01:23):
You played over. Well, the under came in and the underhit. Now,
if I had the ability to link my sports books
to the app, to the betting pros app. This wouldn't
be a problem because once I would place the bet,
the bet would automatically be tracked. You guys can do
that in other states. In Nevada we cannot do that.
(01:44):
The books will never allow anyone to have that type
of back end access. And the reason is is because
most of the sports books are tied to large casino
properties here in town that oftentimes get hacked. And so
if you enable a sinking of your sports book to
an application that is not controlled by the property, well
(02:04):
you can use that as a trojan horse back door
to get into the information of the actual property. And
it has happened. It happened when I was working at
the Palazzo where they were hacked by international hackers and
caused all sorts of problems. So in Nevada there is nothing.
We cannot sportsbook sync on anything at any book. It
(02:27):
does not happen. And I live in obviously Las Vegas,
so I have to manually do it. And so when
I put in the prop bet chic sheet and I
am going through and I put it on the app
as to what I am going to play, well, it's
on me. There is no failsafe, there is no backup.
There is nobody to say, Matt Waite, you played under,
(02:50):
not over. And look, I'm not trying to excuse the record.
I'm not trying to I was one in three, Okay,
Like I'm not saying that was good, but that number,
and we're going to count it for what it was. Garland,
I should have played under. I did bet under. I
went one and one on player props. The over didn't
(03:11):
come in for this. It was a three to two
final for Chicago and Saint Louis. We couldn't get the
empty net. We couldn't get the extra goal to make
it go over. So it goes under five and a
half and the Hawk got killed. I mean the second half.
The Pistons blew the damn doors off the Hawks. Atlanta
was in the game until they really weren't, and Detroit win.
That won that game by a million. So that was
a huge win for the Pistons and a really bad
(03:34):
bet by me. But there's always one bet that there's
always one bet that's bad. The Kobe White over landed
at twenty seven point three bounds and assists. It was
supposed to be twenty over twenty eight and a half
that was supposed to be. You know, that was a bucket.
We came a bucket short there. But the Garland play
is going to sit with me for a bit. And look,
(03:57):
it's the holiday season. I'm running around doing a thousand things.
And if you saw when the prop bets went up,
the prop bets went up at three thirty Pacific time,
six thirty Eastern. That's later than I normally ever put
up a prop. Okay, I normally put the props up
at the middle of the day twelve o'clock. When I
get done with BBB, my other show, I then go
(04:18):
and do the player props. That's the normal cadence. Some
things were going on here today that we're a bit unusual,
and thus I take a great deal of responsibility for
being accountable but also being someone who pays attention to
what they are doing. So this is me coming to
you guys, hat in hand and saying I really screwed up,
(04:41):
and I'm really sorry about this, and it won't happen again,
and I'll make sure of it. I will double check
my work. I will make sure that the plays are
put in properly, that when we do the prop bet
cheat sheet, because it has been very profitable. The prop
bet cheat sheet has been tremendous again this year, and frankly,
we're about to get into the part of the year,
(05:02):
mainly January, where we have, you know, a dwindling number
of football games and we will have way more prop
bet prop betting going on for the NBA. So I
guess maybe it's a blessing in disguise that I blew
it here early that once we get into the heavy
part of the year January, February, March April. Really when
(05:23):
we made a ton of money last year with the
prop bet cheat sheet, that I screwed up here versus
screwing up later. But you know this is on me,
So it's an orange four day. Officially, it really is
a one in three day. In case you're worried about
the prop bet cheat sheet not hitting, it did go
one in one on the plays last night. I just
(05:43):
was a moron and fat fingered it, if you will,
and just was rushing and didn't realize it was supposed
to be under and I played over and I didn't
correct it, and I am sorry, So long way of
explaining a horrible day and now we've missed seven straight
bets and depending on how you do the two days
ago bet like one and two oh and three oh
(06:04):
and four not the way we want to put ourselves
into a darn big hole here into the weekend, but
we do have some time to climb our way out
of it and kind of slowly but surely climb our
way out of it, and that's hopefully what we're going
to be able to do. If you guys want to
avoid my mistakes with the propet cheat sheet and you
want to have full ability, full access to not just
(06:25):
the Basketball prop bet cheat sheet, but the NFL prop
bet cheat sheet, you can get six months of Betting
Pros Premium for free. That's a seventy five dollars value
by upgrading, by simply going to Bettingpros dot com slash
Premium and making it a deposit and a bet at
a partner sportsbook, and we will give you six months
(06:46):
of Betting Pros Premium that is a seventy five dollars value.
We will do that for six months for you guys.
If you go to Bettingpros dot Com slash Premium and
make a deposit, make a bet after that deposit and
then you will claim your upgrade for betting pros premium.
Speaker 1 (06:59):
Now let's talk Army Navy here at the top.
Speaker 2 (07:05):
So Army Navy historically speaking, has been a blind bet
to the under for a lot of people. But Navy
is an over team this year, like a really significant
over team this year. Not kind of over, but way over.
(07:26):
Eight and three. I believe to the over right, Army
can score. They can get to sixteen seventeen points.
Speaker 1 (07:36):
They can. Navy, I think, is going to score even
more than that.
Speaker 2 (07:42):
And I think when you look at Army versus Navy
and everyone is so like blindly betting on these games,
I think the reason why the professionals have decided to say,
hold on a second, we're gonna come in here and
we're gonna bet the over because Army away from home
went five and one to the under, but Navy eight
(08:05):
and three overall, five.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
And one at home, three and two on the road.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
And look at these point totals scored by Navy against Memphis.
They scored twenty eight. Against South Florida, they scored forty one.
Against Notre Dame, they scored ten. That's Notre Dame. They
scored seventeen against North Texas, forty two against Florida Atlantic,
thirty two against Temple in thirty four against air Force.
(08:33):
On the flip side, Army scored twenty seven points against Utsa,
twenty five points against Tulsa, fourteen points against Temple, twenty
points against air Force. Their game was twenty to seventeen.
Their game went under, while the air Force game went
over by thirteen and a half. Games For Navy, there's
a common opponent there. Temple was fifty two and a half.
(08:56):
Navy game went over by ten and a half. The
Temple game went under by eighteen and a half. You
see the commonality here. Navy is scoring and the games
are going over.
Speaker 1 (09:07):
Army is not.
Speaker 2 (09:08):
In the games are going under. Now this number being
six and a half, people are betting it. They're saying,
bet Navy.
Speaker 1 (09:16):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
I understand the logic, I do, but in Army Navy,
this just feels like a game that is going to
be tight, and I think it's going to be high scoring.
But it could very well be right around the number
of thirty eight or thirty eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (09:32):
It could be right there.
Speaker 2 (09:34):
I think the better way of looking at this is
the team total for Navy and how many points is
Navy going to score? The team total is twenty one
and a half for Navy. I think they score twenty
four points in this game, all right, Like I mentioned,
twenty eight, forty one, ten, seventeen, forty two, thirty two,
(09:55):
thirty four going back to the beginning of October. In
the last two months, only two games saw Navy score
less than twenty four points. And we're laying over twenty
one and a half. If they get to twenty two
or twenty three and twenty three is really possible we
get over twenty one and a half. Some books have
moved to twenty two and a half. I don't think
(10:16):
there's a big difference between twenty one and a half
and twenty three and a half.
Speaker 1 (10:20):
Enturry twenty two and a half or twenty one and.
Speaker 2 (10:22):
A half because you need, you know, it could be
field goal, field goal, field goal, right touchdown, touchdown, then
three field goals. That's twenty three. So we're over twenty
two and a half and we're over twenty one and
a half, So I'm okay with that. If it gets
to twenty three and a half, that's a stop sign.
I don't like that at all. But I think Navy
over twenty one and a half or over twenty two
and a half, I like this. I think Navy scores.
(10:43):
I think Army gives up points. Again, if this game is,
you know, twenty four seventeen, even.
Speaker 1 (10:50):
Twenty four to twenty, that game goes over. I guess.
But you know, I think Navy is going to score.
Speaker 2 (10:56):
I don't know about Army, and so that's why I
think people are laying the same and a half. I
think I'm more inclined to bet the team total. Again,
if you want to fade me, you can go ahead
and fade me. I mean, I am ice cold this week,
so if you guys want to go ahead and fade me.
But I think the Army Navy game probably goes over.
But I'm not sure about Armies offense. I do think
Navy scores. We're gonna come in and we're gonna bet
(11:17):
Navy team total over twenty one and a half at
minus one twenty for one point two units. Now, if
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(11:38):
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Speaker 1 (12:07):
Today, let's talk about.
Speaker 2 (12:09):
The Las Vegas Bowl, and they made the announcement that
this bowl game is going away. This Bowl game will
be done after this year after Boise and Washington play.
That's it, I guess officially it's the LA Bowl hosted
by Gronk if you want to be official. But these teams, look,
this is a really quick turnaround. They played on the
(12:30):
fifth of December. It is now going to be what
is tomorrow? Tomorrow's the thirteenth Okay, today's the thirteenth. It's
a week. It's a one week situation where they have
to travel to go play a team that they did
not know they were going to play. Washington and Boise
were not on each other's radar screen at all at all.
(12:53):
So now you have a nine and four Boise in
an eight and four Washington, and the number is ten.
That's a bit big number. Tens a big number. I'm
not really interested in laying ten points. However, Washington's overall
resume and the level of competition they have played, it's
so much better than what Boise State has played. So
(13:14):
Boise scored thirty eight against un LV, they scored twenty
five against Utah State, they scored forty nine against Colorado State,
but against like somewhat decent teams like Notre Dame, Boise
scored seven points. On the flip side, Washington played Oregon
last week, gave up twenty six points. They played Ohio State,
(13:36):
they gave up twenty four points in that game. They've
played Michigan, they gave up twenty four points in that game. Like,
they've just played some really tough competition and they've their
defense has been the story. Their defense has been really good.
I think their defense shines again. I'm not really interested
(13:56):
in getting involved with the side on this game, even
though I do think Washington wins. I don't want to
be worried about a nine and a half or a
ten point spread, even though I think this could be
somewhat of a lopsided game and Washington does win. I
just don't think Boise State's gonna score. I think the
defense for Washington's gonna be the story here in this game.
(14:17):
And Washington this season they were six and six flat
from a total perspective. Away from home, they were three
and two to the under, but Boise away from home
when they were five and one.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
To the under.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
This year, the total keeps on crip creeping up. I'm
gonna take it at fifty three and a half and
I'm gonna bet under. I hope you guys get fifty four.
I hope it keeps on climbing, and I'm gonna come
in on the under. I just think this is Washington's
defense being the difference in this game, and Washington's defense
only giving up twenty point three points per game, which
(14:51):
is top twenty in the country.
Speaker 1 (14:53):
Boise is not that far behind, but the level of
competition is much different.
Speaker 2 (14:56):
But boys only giving up twenty three point eight points
per game. Both these offenses scoring about thirty points per game,
but on a quick turn on the road in a
bowl game that I don't know exactly how committed these
teams are going to be. That makes it complicated. I
do think Washington wins. I do think their defense is
going to be the difference. But I'm gonna come in here.
I'm gonna bet the under under fifty three and a
(15:19):
half for Washington in Boise in the LA Bowl for
one point one units. And finally we'll go to college
basketball to Dana Altman and the Ducks of Oregon, who
are currently zero to nine against the spread. They are
the worst team in college basketball against the spread, and
they are now thirteen point favorites against UC Davis. Now,
(15:41):
you see Davis last year was a really fun team
to watch. I saw him here in Vegas a couple
of times. They were a fun team last year. Now
totally different roster, all the kids left. But this you
see Davis team just looking at what kempom is thinking.
Ten point win. So we get three points of value
here with kempom. Oregon has lost five games in a row.
(16:02):
They lost to Auburn, San Diego State, Creighton, USC, and UCLA.
Those are not great basketball teams, by the way. Auburn
is good, but I mean they lost to Creighton here
in Vegas. The only win the Jays had was against
Dane Altman and Oregon, their former head coach, which is
somewhat surprising. But they need to win desperately, but they're
banged up. Dane Altman said all week that look, they
(16:24):
got to get going. It's been a dreadful start, but
they got to get guys onto the court. And it
does not look like Oregon is going to be completely
healthy for this game. They're missing a couple of really
key components here. You see Davis is a highly efficient team.
And you see Davis that come in with a five
and three record and one of the most efficient offenses
(16:46):
in their conference. Their second in the Big West in
field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage. They can
play defense, they lead the Big West in their ranked
forty fourth nationally in turnovers force per game. They can
get up, they can turn you over, and they got
a couple of really nice guys who can score, and
they got a really good big on the interior to
(17:06):
protect the rim.
Speaker 1 (17:08):
Look, this is a team that will block shots. This
is a team that I think will hang.
Speaker 2 (17:12):
And if you go to basketball, play basketball at you
see Davis, and you have a chance to go play
in Eugene, Oregon to play the Ducks. Don't tell me
you're not gonna be fired up. You're gonna be ecstatic.
You're gonna be really really interested. This team is coached
by a former Division war a former NBA player, for
you see Davis and Jim Less, so he knows the game.
He's a former NBA guard, he knows.
Speaker 1 (17:33):
How to play.
Speaker 2 (17:34):
I think you see Davis has got a shot here.
I don't even win the game, but I'll take the
points a team that's zero to nine, that's banged up,
in reeling and in desperate need of just getting a w.
I don't think Oregon wins the game by fifteen to
twenty points. I think it's a take the dog. You
see Davis on the road, and if they lose, they lose.
But I don't think they lose by as many points
as the books are projecting here. I know Oregon's desperate
(17:57):
for a win. And you see Davis is coming off
of a loss to Hawaii on the road, seventy five
to sixty nine. They lost to Colorado ninety five to
seventy nine on the road, So I think think that's why.
Speaker 1 (18:09):
This number is where this number is.
Speaker 2 (18:11):
But I don't know really what's going on with Oregon,
like how banged up they are. Dane Altman's a tremendous coach,
but things I think they just want to get a
w here, get a win and get out of Dodge.
Speaker 1 (18:22):
I'll take the points.
Speaker 2 (18:23):
You see Davis plus thirteen on the road against Oregon.
So bets for today and again you want to fade away.
I'm not going to be offended at all. I cannot
wait to get to Sunday tomorrow for the NFL because
I feel much better But my bets in the NFL
tomorrow than I do coming up here for today. But
Navy team total of over twenty one and a half
under fifty three and a half for Washington and Boise
(18:45):
in the LA Bowl, and you see Davis plus thirteen
on the road up against Oregon.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
My name is Matt Parolz.
Speaker 2 (18:52):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt every morning where every guys get podcasts.
Speaker 1 (18:56):
It is the Daily Juice. PST, PST, PST from center
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