October 12, 2025 • 21 mins
One of the coldest weeks of 2025 for host Matt Perrault who did not follow up the Friday sweep with another one. Well, it was a reverse sweep but Matt is back with 4 bets for you for Week 6 of the NFL for the latest episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday
morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is
Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials in whoa Boy? Did I get smoked yesterday?
Like smoked like a bong at a high school party? Bad?
Bad bad? Oh and five? Now, if you were with
us on the Discord channel chat, you know that I
(00:38):
didn't go oh and five personally the whole day, but
officially I went oh and five. I wound up going
four and eight, which is not much better. Okay, I'm
not saying that oh and five versus four and eight,
there's not I mean okay. I was down a little
bit better than what the official plays were, but not
much like, not much better in terms of what we did. Oklahoma.
(01:02):
I don't know why John Matteer did it played. I
think he heard Oklahoma by playing. Actually in that football game,
the over was the play U and LV wins, but
they don't cover. They won by three. Michigan couldn't score
and once they lost their starting running back, that was
a bad break because they couldn't do anything. You know,
USC did their part. Oregon lost outright. That was the
bad bet of the day and the Auburn game. I mean, look,
(01:28):
I am not a conspiracy theorist. I do not believe
that sports are fixed. I do not believe that there
is some caboul somewhere running and pulling strings and making
sure everything goes the way that the books want and
pick the phone up and make a phone call. Right, No,
I don't believe that. However, the incompetence that was shown
by the referees in that football game for Auburn and
(01:51):
Georgia was of epic proportions. That was a seventeen to
nothing football game. Auburn scored. I'm sorry, Auburn scored a touchdown.
I have no idea. I agree with Sean McDonough. I
agree with the rules analyst on ABC. That's touchdown, seventeen nothing.
Kirby Smart was seen running down the sidelines to call
(02:11):
time out, and then he was able to convince a clueless,
ridiculously ill prepared referee that he was clapping. He was
telling them to clap it to snap the football, not
calling time out, which he was clearly and they let
him get away with it. There were targeting calls, they
were missed holding calls, they were missed off sides, they
(02:34):
were missed false starts. In every referee call just happened
to go against Auburn in most cases, not every time,
but in most cases. Again, I don't think the game
was fixed. I just think in competence leads people to
ask questions. That is not good. And then what in
the heck was that at the end of the game.
(02:55):
Why would you score that touchdown there? Why would Gunner
Stockton score that touchdown? At least the coaches ripped him
a new one for doing that. That was stupid. They
could have ended the football game. Slide at the two
yard line, take three knees, the game's over. You win
the game by three. The only way you lose that
game is by allowing Auburn had the football back, which
(03:16):
would have cast our plus four. I thought we'd go
one in four. No, just one of those days, just
a bad day at the office. We recalibrate, and we
get rolling once again. Now I've told you guys this before.
I don't win every day, I don't win every week,
and I don't win every month. We're due for a
losing month. October is off to a really bad start,
and we're due to have a bad month. I mean,
(03:38):
look at, we won in June, we won in July. Sorry, no,
we lost in June. We won in July, we won
in August, we won in September. No, do we win
in June. I gotta go back and to protect that.
I know we didn't win in May. I know May
we lost. We had back to back losing months. I think, right,
I don't know we're up still big, long story short
(03:59):
that we're still up over thirty units for the for
the year. It's just I know I've had a three month.
I haven't had a losing month in a while. I
know that in October is off to a bad start,
so we'll probably have a losing month in October. I mean,
we have time to dig out of this heat and
look at, if the Brewers win the World Series, we're
gonna be on easy Street for the month. That saves
(04:20):
the month. If the Brewers win the World Series, or
at least get into it where I can hedge dramatically
and have a huge position. I'm we have that twenty
six to one ticket on them. So just you know,
we've given a unit back with the Padres, a unit
back with the UH with the Cubs. So it's twenty
five to one ticket now on the Brewers against the Dodgers.
(04:42):
I don't know what I'm doing yet, so just hold on.
I got to ask some people. I got to figure out.
Do I want to let that series play out? It's
very possible. I'm gonna let that series play out a
bit before I get involved. Minus two point fifty on
the Dodgers is not a great price to get into.
I'd rather see if the Brewers can win game one.
They are six and oh you know this season against
the Dodgers, so let's see what they can do here
(05:03):
at home. They have home field, and they're going to
be confident as holy heck, and their pitching is going
to be lined up the Dodgers as well. But the
Dodgers are not a good road team. They've been great
at home. They've been not great, even though they won
two games against the Phillies and the DS series on
the road. I've been great on the road this year,
so I'm inclined to let that play out a little
(05:24):
bit to see how that seven game series is going
to go before we get involved. To hedge off of
our position with the Brewers to win the World Series.
So more to come on that. I've got four plays
for us, and I tell you right here, after a
day like yesterday, I am not going to get hooked. Okay.
I have bought the half a point on three bets,
(05:45):
I'm paying the juice. Will it burn me? Maybe? Okay maybe,
But I'm willing to risk it here because I do
think it's the right way. It's the right play rather
than getting ourselves in trouble because we might need that
hook at the end. It may give us a push
versus giving us a loss on the Hulk, and I
don't I don't think my mental capacity can handle losing
(06:07):
games on the hook. Today on a Sunday, a reminder
that we have the live stream with Terrell Ferman and myself.
Terrell's going to step in here with me for one
hour from noon to one Eastern time on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. You're watching it right now or you're
listening to it, but come on over to the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. We'll break down every game, give you picks, plays,
more bets, props, and other things. Maybe a long teaser
(06:29):
if it makes sense for us coming up here during
the live stream with Charell Ferman and myself coming up
at twelve noon, nine am Pacific time on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. Let me remind you about our friends
at hard Rock Bet. Today's show is being brought to
you by hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet the sportsbook
Gap gives you so much info before you place your bets.
Crazy stats. Check out all these streaks that we're alive
(06:51):
entering the games on Sunday. Casey is one twelve in
a row at home as a favorite. Can they make
it thirteen in a row? If you want to go
against the public, you can. Month is two and a half.
Devon Ahhane has scored a touchdown in seven straight games,
The Seahawks have won eight in a row on the road.
George Pickens has reached the end zone in five consecutive
Sunday games, and Cleveland has not covered a spread on
(07:11):
the road in seven games. But anything can happen in
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one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
and for Virginia. Okay, let's talk about the Patriots the
(08:16):
Land three and a half. I've bought it down to
three up against the Saints. This is a Mike Vrabel
bet Okay, I'm betting on Mike Vrabel. I'm betting on
Mike Vrabel to have his guys after the win against
Buffalo focused and not to overlook the Saints team that
is not very good. A couple of interesting stats here
about road trips since twenty eighteen. Teams in the middle
(08:39):
of a road trip, and the Patriots are playing Buffalo
on the road, Tennessee on the road, sorry, Buffalo on
the road, New Orleans on the road, and then Tennessee
on the road three weeks in a row in the
middle game, in the middle game of the three game
road trip, those teams are twenty nine and twelve straight
up and eight in thirteen against the spread when you're favored,
(09:06):
so it can be a raw, raw moment. For those
teams on the road who are favored, who cover and
win the games outright in the middle, it can be
a bonding opportunity. Spencer Ratler got his first career win
last week. Of the five other quarterbacks to go oh
in ten straight up or worse, three never actually end
up winning a game again, one never started another game,
(09:28):
and then Derek Carr, who lost fifty two to nothing
in his last in his start after getting his first
win after opening up oh and ten. Drake may four
outright wins so far in a Spacher's career. He hasn't
been great in the first half afterwards, just going one
(09:49):
in three against the spread. But I like Mike vrable
to have his guys focused here Patriots minus three for
one point two? What did I lay one point two?
Hold on, let me see one point two five units
for the Patriots buying that half a point down Pat's
minus three. Okay, let's talk about the Bucks and this
(10:13):
is going to be a very interesting game. Kyle Shanahan
is only fifteen ten and one on a short rest week. Okay,
it's pretty good, but not great. On extended rest. Shanahan's
is not great eighteen and nineteen ats five and ten
when Brock Purdy was in this spot thirteen and nine
ats with all other quarterbacks, namely Mac Jones. This is
(10:35):
the thing about Baker Mayfield. Baker as a dog is awesome. Okay, awesome.
We love Baker as a dog. Sixteen and eight against
the spread as a dog, right, He's twenty five and
seventeen overall with the Bucks. He's nine and nine against
the number. However, if you want to tease him. When
he's a dog, he's tremendous. But when he's favored coming
(10:55):
off of a straight up win, Baker Mayfield is two
and nine ats in his last eleven starts as a favorite.
Not great, but the number tells me the story. We're
at three or three and a half. We opened at
one and a half. The bucks are getting healthy er,
and the bucks at Baker Mayfield. Okay, Baker Mayfield is
(11:16):
someone I want to back. Okay, I want to back
them at home, and I just don't trust Mac Jones
and this forty nine er team to keep this magic
going alive on the road across the country. Just not great. Okay,
I don't like this spot at all. Again, I don't
love laying points with Baker, but I think Baker at
(11:37):
home they've been doing it with magic. I don't want
to get burned. It's three and a half. I bought
it down to three. I don't want to be playing
around here. Most books are at three and a half,
but some books are at three. I like the bucks.
I like Baker Mayfield. I'll lay the mist one twenty
for one point two units on the bucks minus the
three at home here up against the forty nine ers,
(11:58):
who continue to be so banged up going across the country.
I think this is a really tough spot here for
Mac Jones and company. The final straight play. I'm coming
here to the Raiders and you may hate this bet,
but I like this bet, Okay, I do. The Raiders
are laying four and a half against the Titans. This
is a wild stat that I've been giving out and
(12:20):
it's from the Action Network, and I think it's really
a great stat that they uncovered about quarterbacks with eighteen
plus point wins as rookies. So cam Ward became the
fourth quarterback to have an eight team plus point win
in their rookie season come from behind win in their
rookie season. All three rookie teams in the next game
(12:42):
following that victory lost by a combined one seventeen to
thirty eight. All three lost by over twenty one points.
They got killed the next game. The Raiders are desperate
for a win here. The Raiders are playing the Chiefs
next week. Since twenty twenty, when the Raiders were set
(13:03):
to play the Chiefs in the week prior they get
locked in, they're sixty one thirty eight and one against
the spread. Okay, sixty one thirty eight and one the
week before they play the Chiefs. So good trend for
the Chiefs. So for the Raiders. Awful trend here for
the Titans, they got their first win of the year.
(13:24):
It's their second game of a road trip on the
road back out west. There's not going to be any
Titan fans here in Vegas, really, okay, there's not some
big Titan fan base that's coming in here. It's gonna
be primarily Raider fans coming in here. And Pete Carroll
needs to win. They need to win. They got to
calm some people down here. I bought the four and
a half down to four. It was not expensive to
(13:45):
do so at all. Here it was minus one point
fifteen to get off that Raiders minus four for one
point one five units. A twenty four to twenty win
saves us there. But I don't know how many points
the Titans are going to score. I don't mind the
over in the game too. By the way, I don't
mind playing over there either. Now, the big news of
the day is the fact that we do not have
(14:06):
Kyler Murray playing for the Colts. So what are we
doing well. I'll tell you about that here in just
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get six months free of Betting Pros Premium. Colts minus
(14:49):
nine now after Jacoby Brissett is now playing quarterback as
the Cardinals will rest their starting quarterback Kyler Murray and
it's injured foot. That is not good here for the
car Cardinals because the Colts have been arguably the best
team in football. They're the number one seed as of
right now in the AFC, which is crazy to stop
(15:09):
and think about but they absolutely are. They have been
rolling through opponents and they may not need dust to
tease it down. They may just straight up blow the
doors off of the Cardinals. Their defense has been okay,
but I mean this Daniel Jones start is remarkable. He's
three and oh against the number as a favorite this season,
which matches his career high for ATS wins as a
(15:31):
favorite in a single season. Three was the most he
ever had. He's three and oh. It's incredible. Only two
quarterbacks are three and oh against the spread or better
as a favorite this year. Jared Goff and Daniel Jones.
That's it. That's it. I think teams that blow big
(15:52):
leads have a tough time rebounding. Teams after blowing a
lead more than one possession entering the fourth quarter at
home are just twelve and twenty two straight up the
following week over the last ten years, he's down to three.
We're going to three Colts minus three. What are we
doing on the other side? The Cowboys and the Panthers.
(16:16):
The pros are all over the Panthers. They're all over
the Panthers, and the Cowboys need this. They win this game.
After the Eagles loss huge three to two to one.
They're only going to be a game behind for half
a game behind the Eagles. Huge Panthers had a huge
comeback against the Dolphins last week in the fourth quarter, unreal.
(16:37):
Bryce Young is five and one ats on on this
during a home stand second on the second game of
a homestand which is what he is. The total has
my attention, however, because we know what Bryce Young does
at home, he scores. We also know that Dak Prescott
has an offense that can score on pretty much anybody.
(16:59):
Dak Prescott against bad teams in consecutive games, the second
leg of a roadie fourteen to eight and one. They
beat the Jets badly last week, and now they've got
a shot here to beat up on the on the
Panthers with a fourteen to eight and one against the
spread record. Bryce Young has won eight games total as
(17:20):
a starter in the NFL. He's when he's faced a
struggling pass defense. Teams have allowed two hundred of the
yards passing per game, or more like the Cowboys, He's
oh in eight straight up three and five against the number. Though.
I need Cowboys to win, but I'd rather get involved
with the total and pull the total down to forty
one and go over. I like the Colts minus three
(17:42):
and the over forty one for Dallas and the Panthers
at minus one twenty five for one point two five units,
so four plays officially for US. Here for me going
into Sunday, Patriots minus three, Raiders minus four, Bucks, minus three,
Colts minus three, teas with the Cowboys over forty one.
This is a dangerous card, I'm gonna tell you right now.
(18:05):
After going zero to five, having four favorites on the
card is not great. Okay, that is not a great
idea in the NFL. But I'm gonna go ahead and
say that this is a week for favorites, and then
home teams, which I've dominated in the NFL, are going
to have a rough week and road team's rain here
coming up in Week six of the NFL. Now, do
you want to be on the side of the pros, Well,
(18:27):
here's how you do it. Take the Jets plus seven
and a half. Okay, if it goes to eight, even better.
But the Jets plus seven and a half in London,
first game of the day, six thirty am Pacific time
kick nine to thirty am Eastern timekick. Jets up against
the up against the Broncos plus seven and a half.
(18:49):
Second bet if you want to be on the pros,
go ahead and take the Browns at plus five and
a half or plus six Dylan Gabriel Divisional game up
again Mike Tomlin, who sucks as a favorite. And you've
got a Steeler team whose rabbit foot may have been
left overseas because they have gotten pretty lucky over the
(19:11):
last couple of weeks to start this season with the
games they have won. Not in love here with this
Steelers team still, and I think the Browns might, with
Dylan Gabriel, might have something here. They traded away Joe Flacco.
It's Dylan Gabriel's team. Watch out for the Browns. Professionals
are all over the Browns and they're all over the Jets.
(19:32):
They are equally all over the Chiefs, laying two and
a half. If you want to be on the pros,
the three bets you make today and we'll see we'll
recap this coming up on Monday's show. You're going to
go plus seven and a half Jets, plus five and
a half Browns and lay the two and a half
points with the Chiefs at home. If you want to
(19:53):
be on the side of the professionals. There's your pro money. Look,
if that's what you guys are interested in doing. If
you like hearing about that stuff, and if you like
to know more about it, you could always watch my
other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book Monday through Friday.
You guys have often asked about like where can I
email you? You can email me here, ask THEBVB at
(20:13):
gmail dot com. If you have questions about The Bostonian
Versus the Book, you can jump on in. I do
full recaps. I preview every NFL game. I gave you
stats and props and picks and plays, and we'll recap
the entire weekend coming up on Monday at one pm
Eastern Time on the Bostonian Versus the Book YouTube channel.
To find it, it's at Boston Versus the Book, or
(20:34):
you could ask the BVB at gmail dot com. I
will talk to you guys at noon Eastern at nine
am Pacific time for our week six preview show live
stream on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Myself Interroal Firman.
Looking forward to seeing you guys, coming up here later today.
More picks and props to give you guys, coming up
here today MI as Matt Parol, you guys and following
Micross all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever,
(20:56):
you guys, get your socials, get your socials, get your podcasts.
It is the Daily Juice.
What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday
morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is
Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me across all of
my socials in whoa Boy? Did I get smoked yesterday?
Like smoked like a bong at a high school party? Bad?
Bad bad? Oh and five? Now, if you were with
us on the Discord channel chat, you know that I
(00:38):
didn't go oh and five personally the whole day, but
officially I went oh and five. I wound up going
four and eight, which is not much better. Okay, I'm
not saying that oh and five versus four and eight,
there's not I mean okay. I was down a little
bit better than what the official plays were, but not
much like, not much better in terms of what we did. Oklahoma.
(01:02):
I don't know why John Matteer did it played. I
think he heard Oklahoma by playing. Actually in that football game,
the over was the play U and LV wins, but
they don't cover. They won by three. Michigan couldn't score
and once they lost their starting running back, that was
a bad break because they couldn't do anything. You know,
USC did their part. Oregon lost outright. That was the
bad bet of the day and the Auburn game. I mean, look,
(01:28):
I am not a conspiracy theorist. I do not believe
that sports are fixed. I do not believe that there
is some caboul somewhere running and pulling strings and making
sure everything goes the way that the books want and
pick the phone up and make a phone call. Right, No,
I don't believe that. However, the incompetence that was shown
by the referees in that football game for Auburn and
(01:51):
Georgia was of epic proportions. That was a seventeen to
nothing football game. Auburn scored. I'm sorry, Auburn scored a touchdown.
I have no idea. I agree with Sean McDonough. I
agree with the rules analyst on ABC. That's touchdown, seventeen nothing.
Kirby Smart was seen running down the sidelines to call
(02:11):
time out, and then he was able to convince a clueless,
ridiculously ill prepared referee that he was clapping. He was
telling them to clap it to snap the football, not
calling time out, which he was clearly and they let
him get away with it. There were targeting calls, they
were missed holding calls, they were missed off sides, they
(02:34):
were missed false starts. In every referee call just happened
to go against Auburn in most cases, not every time,
but in most cases. Again, I don't think the game
was fixed. I just think in competence leads people to
ask questions. That is not good. And then what in
the heck was that at the end of the game.
(02:55):
Why would you score that touchdown there? Why would Gunner
Stockton score that touchdown? At least the coaches ripped him
a new one for doing that. That was stupid. They
could have ended the football game. Slide at the two
yard line, take three knees, the game's over. You win
the game by three. The only way you lose that
game is by allowing Auburn had the football back, which
(03:16):
would have cast our plus four. I thought we'd go
one in four. No, just one of those days, just
a bad day at the office. We recalibrate, and we
get rolling once again. Now I've told you guys this before.
I don't win every day, I don't win every week,
and I don't win every month. We're due for a
losing month. October is off to a really bad start,
and we're due to have a bad month. I mean,
(03:38):
look at, we won in June, we won in July. Sorry, no,
we lost in June. We won in July, we won
in August, we won in September. No, do we win
in June. I gotta go back and to protect that.
I know we didn't win in May. I know May
we lost. We had back to back losing months. I think, right,
I don't know we're up still big, long story short
(03:59):
that we're still up over thirty units for the for
the year. It's just I know I've had a three month.
I haven't had a losing month in a while. I
know that in October is off to a bad start,
so we'll probably have a losing month in October. I mean,
we have time to dig out of this heat and
look at, if the Brewers win the World Series, we're
gonna be on easy Street for the month. That saves
(04:20):
the month. If the Brewers win the World Series, or
at least get into it where I can hedge dramatically
and have a huge position. I'm we have that twenty
six to one ticket on them. So just you know,
we've given a unit back with the Padres, a unit
back with the UH with the Cubs. So it's twenty
five to one ticket now on the Brewers against the Dodgers.
(04:42):
I don't know what I'm doing yet, so just hold on.
I got to ask some people. I got to figure out.
Do I want to let that series play out? It's
very possible. I'm gonna let that series play out a
bit before I get involved. Minus two point fifty on
the Dodgers is not a great price to get into.
I'd rather see if the Brewers can win game one.
They are six and oh you know this season against
the Dodgers, so let's see what they can do here
(05:03):
at home. They have home field, and they're going to
be confident as holy heck, and their pitching is going
to be lined up the Dodgers as well. But the
Dodgers are not a good road team. They've been great
at home. They've been not great, even though they won
two games against the Phillies and the DS series on
the road. I've been great on the road this year,
so I'm inclined to let that play out a little
(05:24):
bit to see how that seven game series is going
to go before we get involved. To hedge off of
our position with the Brewers to win the World Series.
So more to come on that. I've got four plays
for us, and I tell you right here, after a
day like yesterday, I am not going to get hooked. Okay.
I have bought the half a point on three bets,
(05:45):
I'm paying the juice. Will it burn me? Maybe? Okay maybe,
But I'm willing to risk it here because I do
think it's the right way. It's the right play rather
than getting ourselves in trouble because we might need that
hook at the end. It may give us a push
versus giving us a loss on the Hulk, and I
don't I don't think my mental capacity can handle losing
(06:07):
games on the hook. Today on a Sunday, a reminder
that we have the live stream with Terrell Ferman and myself.
Terrell's going to step in here with me for one
hour from noon to one Eastern time on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. You're watching it right now or you're
listening to it, but come on over to the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. We'll break down every game, give you picks, plays,
more bets, props, and other things. Maybe a long teaser
(06:29):
if it makes sense for us coming up here during
the live stream with Charell Ferman and myself coming up
at twelve noon, nine am Pacific time on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel. Let me remind you about our friends
at hard Rock Bet. Today's show is being brought to
you by hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet the sportsbook
Gap gives you so much info before you place your bets.
Crazy stats. Check out all these streaks that we're alive
(06:51):
entering the games on Sunday. Casey is one twelve in
a row at home as a favorite. Can they make
it thirteen in a row? If you want to go
against the public, you can. Month is two and a half.
Devon Ahhane has scored a touchdown in seven straight games,
The Seahawks have won eight in a row on the road.
George Pickens has reached the end zone in five consecutive
Sunday games, and Cleveland has not covered a spread on
(07:11):
the road in seven games. But anything can happen in
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and for Virginia. Okay, let's talk about the Patriots the
(08:16):
Land three and a half. I've bought it down to
three up against the Saints. This is a Mike Vrabel
bet Okay, I'm betting on Mike Vrabel. I'm betting on
Mike Vrabel to have his guys after the win against
Buffalo focused and not to overlook the Saints team that
is not very good. A couple of interesting stats here
about road trips since twenty eighteen. Teams in the middle
(08:39):
of a road trip, and the Patriots are playing Buffalo
on the road, Tennessee on the road, sorry, Buffalo on
the road, New Orleans on the road, and then Tennessee
on the road three weeks in a row in the
middle game, in the middle game of the three game
road trip, those teams are twenty nine and twelve straight
up and eight in thirteen against the spread when you're favored,
(09:06):
so it can be a raw, raw moment. For those
teams on the road who are favored, who cover and
win the games outright in the middle, it can be
a bonding opportunity. Spencer Ratler got his first career win
last week. Of the five other quarterbacks to go oh
in ten straight up or worse, three never actually end
up winning a game again, one never started another game,
(09:28):
and then Derek Carr, who lost fifty two to nothing
in his last in his start after getting his first
win after opening up oh and ten. Drake may four
outright wins so far in a Spacher's career. He hasn't
been great in the first half afterwards, just going one
(09:49):
in three against the spread. But I like Mike vrable
to have his guys focused here Patriots minus three for
one point two? What did I lay one point two?
Hold on, let me see one point two five units
for the Patriots buying that half a point down Pat's
minus three. Okay, let's talk about the Bucks and this
(10:13):
is going to be a very interesting game. Kyle Shanahan
is only fifteen ten and one on a short rest week. Okay,
it's pretty good, but not great. On extended rest. Shanahan's
is not great eighteen and nineteen ats five and ten
when Brock Purdy was in this spot thirteen and nine
ats with all other quarterbacks, namely Mac Jones. This is
(10:35):
the thing about Baker Mayfield. Baker as a dog is awesome. Okay, awesome.
We love Baker as a dog. Sixteen and eight against
the spread as a dog, right, He's twenty five and
seventeen overall with the Bucks. He's nine and nine against
the number. However, if you want to tease him. When
he's a dog, he's tremendous. But when he's favored coming
(10:55):
off of a straight up win, Baker Mayfield is two
and nine ats in his last eleven starts as a favorite.
Not great, but the number tells me the story. We're
at three or three and a half. We opened at
one and a half. The bucks are getting healthy er,
and the bucks at Baker Mayfield. Okay, Baker Mayfield is
(11:16):
someone I want to back. Okay, I want to back
them at home, and I just don't trust Mac Jones
and this forty nine er team to keep this magic
going alive on the road across the country. Just not great. Okay,
I don't like this spot at all. Again, I don't
love laying points with Baker, but I think Baker at
(11:37):
home they've been doing it with magic. I don't want
to get burned. It's three and a half. I bought
it down to three. I don't want to be playing
around here. Most books are at three and a half,
but some books are at three. I like the bucks.
I like Baker Mayfield. I'll lay the mist one twenty
for one point two units on the bucks minus the
three at home here up against the forty nine ers,
(11:58):
who continue to be so banged up going across the country.
I think this is a really tough spot here for
Mac Jones and company. The final straight play. I'm coming
here to the Raiders and you may hate this bet,
but I like this bet, Okay, I do. The Raiders
are laying four and a half against the Titans. This
is a wild stat that I've been giving out and
(12:20):
it's from the Action Network, and I think it's really
a great stat that they uncovered about quarterbacks with eighteen
plus point wins as rookies. So cam Ward became the
fourth quarterback to have an eight team plus point win
in their rookie season come from behind win in their
rookie season. All three rookie teams in the next game
(12:42):
following that victory lost by a combined one seventeen to
thirty eight. All three lost by over twenty one points.
They got killed the next game. The Raiders are desperate
for a win here. The Raiders are playing the Chiefs
next week. Since twenty twenty, when the Raiders were set
(13:03):
to play the Chiefs in the week prior they get
locked in, they're sixty one thirty eight and one against
the spread. Okay, sixty one thirty eight and one the
week before they play the Chiefs. So good trend for
the Chiefs. So for the Raiders. Awful trend here for
the Titans, they got their first win of the year.
(13:24):
It's their second game of a road trip on the
road back out west. There's not going to be any
Titan fans here in Vegas, really, okay, there's not some
big Titan fan base that's coming in here. It's gonna
be primarily Raider fans coming in here. And Pete Carroll
needs to win. They need to win. They got to
calm some people down here. I bought the four and
a half down to four. It was not expensive to
(13:45):
do so at all. Here it was minus one point
fifteen to get off that Raiders minus four for one
point one five units. A twenty four to twenty win
saves us there. But I don't know how many points
the Titans are going to score. I don't mind the
over in the game too. By the way, I don't
mind playing over there either. Now, the big news of
the day is the fact that we do not have
(14:06):
Kyler Murray playing for the Colts. So what are we
doing well. I'll tell you about that here in just
one second, But first let me tell you about the
Betting Pros app. Have you gone and downloaded the Betting
Pros app yet? You guys should? It's for free with sportsbooks.
Sink automatically track your bets across all major sportsbooks in
one spot. Easily monitor your bet performance by sport and
(14:26):
bet type, including game picks, props and parlays. Custom create
custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities.
We have a special offer for Betting Pros Premium six
months for free. To claim the offer, just go to
Bettingpros dot com slash Premium and make a deposit at
a partner sportsbook and place your wager and you will
get six months free of Betting Pros Premium. Colts minus
(14:49):
nine now after Jacoby Brissett is now playing quarterback as
the Cardinals will rest their starting quarterback Kyler Murray and
it's injured foot. That is not good here for the
car Cardinals because the Colts have been arguably the best
team in football. They're the number one seed as of
right now in the AFC, which is crazy to stop
(15:09):
and think about but they absolutely are. They have been
rolling through opponents and they may not need dust to
tease it down. They may just straight up blow the
doors off of the Cardinals. Their defense has been okay,
but I mean this Daniel Jones start is remarkable. He's
three and oh against the number as a favorite this season,
which matches his career high for ATS wins as a
(15:31):
favorite in a single season. Three was the most he
ever had. He's three and oh. It's incredible. Only two
quarterbacks are three and oh against the spread or better
as a favorite this year. Jared Goff and Daniel Jones.
That's it. That's it. I think teams that blow big
(15:52):
leads have a tough time rebounding. Teams after blowing a
lead more than one possession entering the fourth quarter at
home are just twelve and twenty two straight up the
following week over the last ten years, he's down to three.
We're going to three Colts minus three. What are we
doing on the other side? The Cowboys and the Panthers.
(16:16):
The pros are all over the Panthers. They're all over
the Panthers, and the Cowboys need this. They win this game.
After the Eagles loss huge three to two to one.
They're only going to be a game behind for half
a game behind the Eagles. Huge Panthers had a huge
comeback against the Dolphins last week in the fourth quarter, unreal.
(16:37):
Bryce Young is five and one ats on on this
during a home stand second on the second game of
a homestand which is what he is. The total has
my attention, however, because we know what Bryce Young does
at home, he scores. We also know that Dak Prescott
has an offense that can score on pretty much anybody.
(16:59):
Dak Prescott against bad teams in consecutive games, the second
leg of a roadie fourteen to eight and one. They
beat the Jets badly last week, and now they've got
a shot here to beat up on the on the
Panthers with a fourteen to eight and one against the
spread record. Bryce Young has won eight games total as
(17:20):
a starter in the NFL. He's when he's faced a
struggling pass defense. Teams have allowed two hundred of the
yards passing per game, or more like the Cowboys, He's
oh in eight straight up three and five against the number. Though.
I need Cowboys to win, but I'd rather get involved
with the total and pull the total down to forty
one and go over. I like the Colts minus three
(17:42):
and the over forty one for Dallas and the Panthers
at minus one twenty five for one point two five units,
so four plays officially for US. Here for me going
into Sunday, Patriots minus three, Raiders minus four, Bucks, minus three,
Colts minus three, teas with the Cowboys over forty one.
This is a dangerous card, I'm gonna tell you right now.
(18:05):
After going zero to five, having four favorites on the
card is not great. Okay, that is not a great
idea in the NFL. But I'm gonna go ahead and
say that this is a week for favorites, and then
home teams, which I've dominated in the NFL, are going
to have a rough week and road team's rain here
coming up in Week six of the NFL. Now, do
you want to be on the side of the pros, Well,
(18:27):
here's how you do it. Take the Jets plus seven
and a half. Okay, if it goes to eight, even better.
But the Jets plus seven and a half in London,
first game of the day, six thirty am Pacific time
kick nine to thirty am Eastern timekick. Jets up against
the up against the Broncos plus seven and a half.
(18:49):
Second bet if you want to be on the pros,
go ahead and take the Browns at plus five and
a half or plus six Dylan Gabriel Divisional game up
again Mike Tomlin, who sucks as a favorite. And you've
got a Steeler team whose rabbit foot may have been
left overseas because they have gotten pretty lucky over the
(19:11):
last couple of weeks to start this season with the
games they have won. Not in love here with this
Steelers team still, and I think the Browns might, with
Dylan Gabriel, might have something here. They traded away Joe Flacco.
It's Dylan Gabriel's team. Watch out for the Browns. Professionals
are all over the Browns and they're all over the Jets.
(19:32):
They are equally all over the Chiefs, laying two and
a half. If you want to be on the pros,
the three bets you make today and we'll see we'll
recap this coming up on Monday's show. You're going to
go plus seven and a half Jets, plus five and
a half Browns and lay the two and a half
points with the Chiefs at home. If you want to
(19:53):
be on the side of the professionals. There's your pro money. Look,
if that's what you guys are interested in doing. If
you like hearing about that stuff, and if you like
to know more about it, you could always watch my
other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book Monday through Friday.
You guys have often asked about like where can I
email you? You can email me here, ask THEBVB at
(20:13):
gmail dot com. If you have questions about The Bostonian
Versus the Book, you can jump on in. I do
full recaps. I preview every NFL game. I gave you
stats and props and picks and plays, and we'll recap
the entire weekend coming up on Monday at one pm
Eastern Time on the Bostonian Versus the Book YouTube channel.
To find it, it's at Boston Versus the Book, or
(20:34):
you could ask the BVB at gmail dot com. I
will talk to you guys at noon Eastern at nine
am Pacific time for our week six preview show live
stream on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Myself Interroal Firman.
Looking forward to seeing you guys, coming up here later today.
More picks and props to give you guys, coming up
here today MI as Matt Parol, you guys and following
Micross all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever,
(20:56):
you guys, get your socials, get your socials, get your podcasts.
It is the Daily Juice.
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