November 16, 2025 • 17 mins
After a 5-1 run, host Matt Perrault came down to earth on Saturday with a 1-3 mark. Matt still can have a winning week and looks to close out the week with a strong Sunday. Find out the plays on the latest episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? Welcome in to another episode
of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paralt. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matts, and I hope to see you each
and every one of you guys in the live stream
chat coming up today. You'll join myself and Andrew Erickson
at noon Eastern time for a week eleven of the NFL.
(00:36):
We will go through every single game, line movement, picks,
props and more coming at you at nine am Pacific time,
noon Eastern as we will watch the excuse me International
game in Spain wrap up, and then head on into
the one o'clock Kick games with you guys. Lots of
bets given out in a lot of plays and thoughts,
(00:56):
breakdowns and more coming up at noon Eastern time. Now
for last night, at least I can see it coming
before it hits me. Because I told you yesterday that
I thought I should be betting hockey and other things. Well,
that would have been a disaster because well it would
(01:17):
have been as bad as the s yesterday because both
my hockey plays went down, my UFC play went down.
It didn't matter what I bet yesterday. Yesterday was just
a disaster, so it was pick and choose, and there
was one game that I got right, and that was
the Georgia game that came in Georgia wind. But other
than that, Alabama lost outright a and m outscored South
(01:40):
Carolina twenty eight to nothing in the second half. If
they had done that in the first half, we would
have covered. Instead we did not. The bad bet of
the day was pit They got housed by Notre Dame.
So we go down two point two units a one
in three day officially for the Daily Juice podcast, so
we go two and one, three inh and then one
(02:02):
in three. So over three days that's up. Okay, that's
not great, but it still gets us to a place
where we're like, okay, we won three point nine units
and then we gave back two point two. So you know,
over a three game stretch, three day stretch, if we
(02:23):
do that consistently, we're fine. So that's profit. So that's good.
It's not fun when it happens, I'll admit it. You
know that stinks. When you're five and one, you go
one in three, so you turn around and now you're
six and four. Now you're up, but it's not great.
So today I like the card. Today, I'm actually pretty
bullish on the card. Today. I'm looking forward to seeing
(02:44):
how the plays go. Today. There are so many games
that are big that I'm staying away from now. Yesterday
I got involved with all the big games. Today I'm
really not getting involved with the big games. I'm gonna
go a little bit off the beaten path because Broncos, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks, Cardinals,
forty nine Ers, Eagles, Lions like these are all really
(03:06):
really big games. It's a great week to watch football.
Don't think it's a great week to bet football per se,
but it's a great week to watch football. So when
everyone's going to be geared on and focused on those games,
we're going to go the other way here. But if
you guys have not downloaded the day the betting pros
app yet, you should absolutely go and do so. You
(03:28):
can use Sportsbooks Sync to automatically track your bets across
all major sports books in one spot. You can easily
monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including
game picks, props, and parlays. You can create custom betting systems,
define winning trends, and we have a special offer for
Betting Pros Premium, which is the prop bet cheat sheet
for six months for free. To claim the offer, just
head on over to Bettingpros dot com slash Premium, make
(03:51):
a deposit and a partner sportsbook place your wager and
you will get a seventy five dollars value offer for
US six months of Betting Pros Premium for fur free
with the Betting Pros app going downloaded today by searching
Betting Pros in your app store. Okay, the Dolphins are
playing in Madrid. I am going to give you a
(04:11):
bet I have made, but I don't think we're gonna
count it for the Daily Juice because of when it
kicks off. So it is ten to thirty Pacific time.
This game is kicking off at six thirty, so this
podcast will only be live for like eight hours for
you guys to be able to bet this. So it's
currently one thirty Eastern. Game picks off at nine to
(04:33):
thirty Eastern, so if you are an overnight late night owl,
you get this. If you're not well, I've got an
extra play on this, So we're not going to count
the Dolphins, but I am laying the two and a
half with the Miami Dolphins up against the Washington Commanders. Now,
the reason is this, favorites have done very well on
the international games. They're playing on a really fast surface,
(04:55):
one of the best surfaces they've ever played an international
game because of this new technology that the field, how
it's made in Spain. I'm sure they're gonna show all
about it on the broadcast, but it's pretty cool, very
good for the Dolphins given their speed and what they
have done. Tua as a pick them or an underdog,
is eight and seventeen away from home. He is stunk. Okay,
(05:18):
So I'm not saying that like two is going to
be great today. But this, I think is a game
in which the Dolphins have the advantage at the quarterback
position because of what we've seen with Marcus Mariota and
this offense. For the Commanders, I don't think I think
their defense is gonna be able to stop this running
attack either. Marcus Mariota has lost seven straight starts when
(05:38):
he's been listed as an underdog, and they are an
underdog here Dolphins laying two and a half points. I
just cannot trust Marcus Mariota. I cannot trust the Commanders.
They've just been you know, they're a bad football team. Okay,
straight up, they're just a bad football team. So I
like the Dolphins laying two and a half here today.
So it's Miami minus two and a half. It doesn't
(05:59):
really have officially kick in here, but it's to play
if you get this overnight and you have time, that's
the play that I would make, Dolphins minus two and
a half. Now let's talk about the Jamis Winston starting
for the Giants game. Look at this is a fad
on the Packers. Okay, it's much of anything. This is
a fad on the Packers. The Packers are not good
(06:23):
in November and December. It is wild to watch, but
when they are favored by seven points or more, they
just don't cover. Like, they just don't cover. You can
talk about the dead cat bounce here. Brian Damble gets fired,
you have interim staff coming in to taking over. Will
(06:44):
they be able to cover a seven and a half
point spread? I think we're going to Since twenty ten,
we've seen nineteen coaches fired entering week ten or later,
the teams go eleven and eight ats in their first
game five following that coaching change, okay, but the Packers
are a problem. The Packers have allowed thirty just thirty
(07:08):
nine total points and seven hundred and eighty total yards
in their three losses this season. It's amazing. They're the
first team in NFL history to allow forty points or
in fewer less than forty points in fewer than eight
hundred yards in their first three losses of the season
since well, I guess it was nineteen forty lions modern NFL.
(07:29):
It's never happened. They just don't win, Okay. I know
the Giants aren't great. I know the Giants are banged up,
but defensively, I think you look at where Jordan Love
is in what he has done late in seasons. From
week eleven on, Jordan Love isn't great. He's eleven seven
(07:49):
and one ats. He's okay. In the first ten weeks
of the regular season, Jordan Love is ten and sixteen ats.
But it really comes down to the number being seven
and a half. It feels just way too heavy in
my opinion for this Packer team when they just don't
cover big numbers seven and a half. I think we
(08:11):
could easily see the Giants have a shot here and
keep this game close. They're at home. I like Jamis Winston.
I'm taking the Giants. It's one of those games where
it's like, why isn't the number different? You know, where
are we? Why isn't it bigger? Packers last week did
not look good offensively at all against the Eagles. They
were at home, didn't look good at in the week
(08:33):
prior against the Panthers they were at home, And now
they're on the road to New York with this offense
as seven and a half point favorites, I'm taking the dog.
I'm ice cold. If you're a Packer fan, you like it,
but I'm taking the dog. Give me the Giants plus
seven and a half at minus one ten for one
point one units. Third bet Casey and Denver. Look, I
(08:56):
think the Chiefs win this game. Okay. Patrick Mahomes is
eighteen and one straight up all time against the Denver Broncos.
He owns Denver. I don't trust Bonicks, but I do
trust this defense, and I do think that the overall
offense for the Chiefs is not that explosive. So even
though Mahomes has played very well this year, I think
(09:18):
this Broncos defense, with the best pass rush in football
it's going to be able to keep Patrick Mahomes in
the pocket, not allow him to beat them with their
leg with his legs. And I do think the running
attack for this Chief team will be stagnated and slowed
down by this offense, by this defense for the Broncos.
And on the flip side, I don't like bon Nicks.
(09:39):
Just don't think bo Nicks is going to score very much.
I don't think they're gonna move to the football. We
saw them play it against then against the Raiders, and
what they did against the Raider defense. Chief defense is
way better and a much better defensive coordinator in Steve Spagnolo. Look,
I think the only way to play this game is
really to go ahead and bet the under. I think
under forty five is the way you jump in here
(09:59):
with these two teams. I just divisional game, big game, brawl,
rock fight, low scoring. Just I don't think we're going
to see a lot of offense between these two teams
at all. They're not converting in the red zone nearly enough.
These you know, it's altitudes, so you're gonna get kicks
that can go far, but you know it could very
well be you know, the Broncos are one in four
(10:22):
in the red zone over the last two games. They
just haven't scored. It's crazy. Here's a stat after facing
the Raiders. Denver hasn't won a game by double digits
since September of twenty thirteen. Always tight with the Raiders,
you know since twenty seventeen. The Broncos are three and
ten ats in the game following facing the Raiders. If
(10:43):
you like the next game and it's the Chiefs, so
I think you can bet the Chiefs here. I do.
I think the Chiefs laying three and a half are
laying four. I think you're going to be safe. You
can bet team total Broncos under, but I think game
under forty five is the best way to play this.
Broncos Chiefs under forty five for one point one units.
The teaser of the week Baker as a dog Bills.
(11:09):
I just don't think the Bills. I think there's something
wrong to be frank with the Buffalo Bills. They got
spanked by the Dolphins last week, and I think that's
a sign of some bigger problems going on with this
Bills defense. Their inability to stop the run, and I
think you're gonna see the offense move the football. I
think Baker Mayfield is gonna be able to put points
(11:30):
up here. I don't mind an over bet on the Bills.
In the Broncos are the Bills and the Bucks here,
I think the Bills are gonna throw. I think the
Bucks are gonna throw. I think we see offense on
both sides of the ball. But I'm gonna give the
Bucks twelve from plus six to plus twelve here. Just
keep the game within ten points or eleven points, really
eleven or fewer. I think they got a shot to
(11:50):
do so, and just don't lose the game by two touchdowns.
Don't get blown out. I think the Bucks will play good.
We'll play well. I think they'll keep the game close.
I like the Bucks plus twelve. On the other side,
it's the Ravens against Cleveland, and the Ravens are on
a mission. The Ravens are the hottest team in football
not named the Patriots, and they've got a great quarterback
in Lamar Jackson. Look, they don't need to do much
(12:12):
besides just win the football game. Okay, don't cover the
seven and a half. Just win by two or more
and we're good. I think the Ravens had a real
shot here to get a w I'm taking bucks plus
twelve teas with the Ravens minus one and a half
for one point two five units. That brings us to
the hard rock bet of the day. I have not
(12:33):
missed one of these yet. I am three and oh
on the hard rock bet of the day. What is
the hard rock bet of the day? Well, I'm taking
the Vikings laying two and a half up against the
Chicago Bears. Why the numbers are quite stark here for Chicago.
It really is a fade on Caleb Williams. He's been atrocious.
(12:56):
Caleb is one in seven straight up and eight starts
against his own division, beat the Packers at Lambeau at
the end of last year on a normal seven day rest.
Caleb's oho to five straight up against the NFC North,
losing by an average of eleven points per game. On
the flip side, JJ McCarthy has gone and made four
career starts against the NFC North. He's done it twice
(13:19):
so far. He's two and oh straight up and two
to zero against the number. Both those games came on
the road, So Caleb one win against the North with
eight starts. JJ two wins against the North with two starts.
That's not great. The Bears are playing close games like crazy.
They've been living on the edge. You could say, okay,
(13:39):
they've pulled rabbits out of the hat. I'm not sure
they can do that on the road against this defense
for the Vikings. The Vikings at home are just a
different beast. Since twenty twenty the Bears are seven and
twenty five straight up against the North. Only the Jets
have fewer wins against their own division than Chicago does.
This year, they're zero to two, and they're six and
(14:00):
one straight up outside the division zero and two straight up,
So in road games, the Bears are four and twenty
two straight up here. Since the start of twenty twenty two,
it's been very very ugly here. And now we've got
this Vikings team, who look, they've been bad against the Lions,
They've been bad against good football teams. This is not
(14:21):
a good football team. I think the Bears are overrated
in my mind. Caleb Williams, I think is going to
have a difficult time. He's had a relatively clean pocket
this season. The one benefit here for having Ben Johnson
is that they're not having negative plays that Kayleb Williams
is not taking sacks and Kayleb Williams is getting rid
of the football, but I think this Vikings team will
make his life difficult. Here today, it's only two and
(14:43):
a half. I'm laying it with the Vikings Vikings minus
two and a half for one point one units for
our hard Rock Bet Play of the Day. This podcast
is being brought to you by our friends at hard
rock Bet. Pro football, college football, college basketball, and are
all available this week. At hard rock Bet, you guys
(15:03):
can bet five dollars and if that bet hits, you'll
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top of your winnings for that bet. If you don't
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on over to the hard Rock Bet Stat's hub and
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your first deposit two days. So four bets for us
here really five you include the Dolphins, but four officially
because like most of you, are going to wind up
waking up and go, oh right, go listen to the
(15:46):
dearly juice. So the Dolphin play is not official, but
it is in there. I have bet the Dolphins here
to beat the Commanders over in Spain. So I'm laying
the two and a half points with that Dolphins past
two and a half, Giants plus seven and a half
at home. Let's go with the fighting jamis Winston and
the dead cat bounce for the New York Giants, Casey
Denver under forty five for the afternoon game. Teaser is
(16:11):
Bucks plus twelve and the Ravens minus one and a
half and their two games at minus one twenty five,
and the hard rock bet of the day the Vikings
laying two and a half at home up against Chicago
Bears and taking JJ McCarthy and company over Chicago laying
two and a half points there. I will talk to
you guys with Andrew Rickson coming up at noon Eastern time.
Full breakdown of the entire betting slates here for week
(16:32):
eleven of the NFL. Hope to see you there with
us for the live stream on the Betting Pros YouTube
channel minus Matt Parole. You guys can follow me across
all my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning wherever
you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice.
Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? Welcome in to another episode
of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paralt. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matts, and I hope to see you each
and every one of you guys in the live stream
chat coming up today. You'll join myself and Andrew Erickson
at noon Eastern time for a week eleven of the NFL.
(00:36):
We will go through every single game, line movement, picks,
props and more coming at you at nine am Pacific time,
noon Eastern as we will watch the excuse me International
game in Spain wrap up, and then head on into
the one o'clock Kick games with you guys. Lots of
bets given out in a lot of plays and thoughts,
(00:56):
breakdowns and more coming up at noon Eastern time. Now
for last night, at least I can see it coming
before it hits me. Because I told you yesterday that
I thought I should be betting hockey and other things. Well,
that would have been a disaster because well it would
(01:17):
have been as bad as the s yesterday because both
my hockey plays went down, my UFC play went down.
It didn't matter what I bet yesterday. Yesterday was just
a disaster, so it was pick and choose, and there
was one game that I got right, and that was
the Georgia game that came in Georgia wind. But other
than that, Alabama lost outright a and m outscored South
(01:40):
Carolina twenty eight to nothing in the second half. If
they had done that in the first half, we would
have covered. Instead we did not. The bad bet of
the day was pit They got housed by Notre Dame.
So we go down two point two units a one
in three day officially for the Daily Juice podcast, so
we go two and one, three inh and then one
(02:02):
in three. So over three days that's up. Okay, that's
not great, but it still gets us to a place
where we're like, okay, we won three point nine units
and then we gave back two point two. So you know,
over a three game stretch, three day stretch, if we
(02:23):
do that consistently, we're fine. So that's profit. So that's good.
It's not fun when it happens, I'll admit it. You
know that stinks. When you're five and one, you go
one in three, so you turn around and now you're
six and four. Now you're up, but it's not great.
So today I like the card. Today, I'm actually pretty
bullish on the card. Today. I'm looking forward to seeing
(02:44):
how the plays go. Today. There are so many games
that are big that I'm staying away from now. Yesterday
I got involved with all the big games. Today I'm
really not getting involved with the big games. I'm gonna
go a little bit off the beaten path because Broncos, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks, Cardinals,
forty nine Ers, Eagles, Lions like these are all really
(03:06):
really big games. It's a great week to watch football.
Don't think it's a great week to bet football per se,
but it's a great week to watch football. So when
everyone's going to be geared on and focused on those games,
we're going to go the other way here. But if
you guys have not downloaded the day the betting pros
app yet, you should absolutely go and do so. You
(03:28):
can use Sportsbooks Sync to automatically track your bets across
all major sports books in one spot. You can easily
monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including
game picks, props, and parlays. You can create custom betting systems,
define winning trends, and we have a special offer for
Betting Pros Premium, which is the prop bet cheat sheet
for six months for free. To claim the offer, just
head on over to Bettingpros dot com slash Premium, make
(03:51):
a deposit and a partner sportsbook place your wager and
you will get a seventy five dollars value offer for
US six months of Betting Pros Premium for fur free
with the Betting Pros app going downloaded today by searching
Betting Pros in your app store. Okay, the Dolphins are
playing in Madrid. I am going to give you a
(04:11):
bet I have made, but I don't think we're gonna
count it for the Daily Juice because of when it
kicks off. So it is ten to thirty Pacific time.
This game is kicking off at six thirty, so this
podcast will only be live for like eight hours for
you guys to be able to bet this. So it's
currently one thirty Eastern. Game picks off at nine to
(04:33):
thirty Eastern, so if you are an overnight late night owl,
you get this. If you're not well, I've got an
extra play on this, So we're not going to count
the Dolphins, but I am laying the two and a
half with the Miami Dolphins up against the Washington Commanders. Now,
the reason is this, favorites have done very well on
the international games. They're playing on a really fast surface,
(04:55):
one of the best surfaces they've ever played an international
game because of this new technology that the field, how
it's made in Spain. I'm sure they're gonna show all
about it on the broadcast, but it's pretty cool, very
good for the Dolphins given their speed and what they
have done. Tua as a pick them or an underdog,
is eight and seventeen away from home. He is stunk. Okay,
(05:18):
So I'm not saying that like two is going to
be great today. But this, I think is a game
in which the Dolphins have the advantage at the quarterback
position because of what we've seen with Marcus Mariota and
this offense. For the Commanders, I don't think I think
their defense is gonna be able to stop this running
attack either. Marcus Mariota has lost seven straight starts when
(05:38):
he's been listed as an underdog, and they are an
underdog here Dolphins laying two and a half points. I
just cannot trust Marcus Mariota. I cannot trust the Commanders.
They've just been you know, they're a bad football team. Okay,
straight up, they're just a bad football team. So I
like the Dolphins laying two and a half here today.
So it's Miami minus two and a half. It doesn't
(05:59):
really have officially kick in here, but it's to play
if you get this overnight and you have time, that's
the play that I would make, Dolphins minus two and
a half. Now let's talk about the Jamis Winston starting
for the Giants game. Look at this is a fad
on the Packers. Okay, it's much of anything. This is
a fad on the Packers. The Packers are not good
(06:23):
in November and December. It is wild to watch, but
when they are favored by seven points or more, they
just don't cover. Like, they just don't cover. You can
talk about the dead cat bounce here. Brian Damble gets fired,
you have interim staff coming in to taking over. Will
(06:44):
they be able to cover a seven and a half
point spread? I think we're going to Since twenty ten,
we've seen nineteen coaches fired entering week ten or later,
the teams go eleven and eight ats in their first
game five following that coaching change, okay, but the Packers
are a problem. The Packers have allowed thirty just thirty
(07:08):
nine total points and seven hundred and eighty total yards
in their three losses this season. It's amazing. They're the
first team in NFL history to allow forty points or
in fewer less than forty points in fewer than eight
hundred yards in their first three losses of the season
since well, I guess it was nineteen forty lions modern NFL.
(07:29):
It's never happened. They just don't win, Okay. I know
the Giants aren't great. I know the Giants are banged up,
but defensively, I think you look at where Jordan Love
is in what he has done late in seasons. From
week eleven on, Jordan Love isn't great. He's eleven seven
(07:49):
and one ats. He's okay. In the first ten weeks
of the regular season, Jordan Love is ten and sixteen ats.
But it really comes down to the number being seven
and a half. It feels just way too heavy in
my opinion for this Packer team when they just don't
cover big numbers seven and a half. I think we
(08:11):
could easily see the Giants have a shot here and
keep this game close. They're at home. I like Jamis Winston.
I'm taking the Giants. It's one of those games where
it's like, why isn't the number different? You know, where
are we? Why isn't it bigger? Packers last week did
not look good offensively at all against the Eagles. They
were at home, didn't look good at in the week
(08:33):
prior against the Panthers they were at home, And now
they're on the road to New York with this offense
as seven and a half point favorites, I'm taking the dog.
I'm ice cold. If you're a Packer fan, you like it,
but I'm taking the dog. Give me the Giants plus
seven and a half at minus one ten for one
point one units. Third bet Casey and Denver. Look, I
(08:56):
think the Chiefs win this game. Okay. Patrick Mahomes is
eighteen and one straight up all time against the Denver Broncos.
He owns Denver. I don't trust Bonicks, but I do
trust this defense, and I do think that the overall
offense for the Chiefs is not that explosive. So even
though Mahomes has played very well this year, I think
(09:18):
this Broncos defense, with the best pass rush in football
it's going to be able to keep Patrick Mahomes in
the pocket, not allow him to beat them with their
leg with his legs. And I do think the running
attack for this Chief team will be stagnated and slowed
down by this offense, by this defense for the Broncos.
And on the flip side, I don't like bon Nicks.
(09:39):
Just don't think bo Nicks is going to score very much.
I don't think they're gonna move to the football. We
saw them play it against then against the Raiders, and
what they did against the Raider defense. Chief defense is
way better and a much better defensive coordinator in Steve Spagnolo. Look,
I think the only way to play this game is
really to go ahead and bet the under. I think
under forty five is the way you jump in here
(09:59):
with these two teams. I just divisional game, big game, brawl,
rock fight, low scoring. Just I don't think we're going
to see a lot of offense between these two teams
at all. They're not converting in the red zone nearly enough.
These you know, it's altitudes, so you're gonna get kicks
that can go far, but you know it could very
well be you know, the Broncos are one in four
(10:22):
in the red zone over the last two games. They
just haven't scored. It's crazy. Here's a stat after facing
the Raiders. Denver hasn't won a game by double digits
since September of twenty thirteen. Always tight with the Raiders,
you know since twenty seventeen. The Broncos are three and
ten ats in the game following facing the Raiders. If
(10:43):
you like the next game and it's the Chiefs, so
I think you can bet the Chiefs here. I do.
I think the Chiefs laying three and a half are
laying four. I think you're going to be safe. You
can bet team total Broncos under, but I think game
under forty five is the best way to play this.
Broncos Chiefs under forty five for one point one units.
The teaser of the week Baker as a dog Bills.
(11:09):
I just don't think the Bills. I think there's something
wrong to be frank with the Buffalo Bills. They got
spanked by the Dolphins last week, and I think that's
a sign of some bigger problems going on with this
Bills defense. Their inability to stop the run, and I
think you're gonna see the offense move the football. I
think Baker Mayfield is gonna be able to put points
(11:30):
up here. I don't mind an over bet on the Bills.
In the Broncos are the Bills and the Bucks here,
I think the Bills are gonna throw. I think the
Bucks are gonna throw. I think we see offense on
both sides of the ball. But I'm gonna give the
Bucks twelve from plus six to plus twelve here. Just
keep the game within ten points or eleven points, really
eleven or fewer. I think they got a shot to
(11:50):
do so, and just don't lose the game by two touchdowns.
Don't get blown out. I think the Bucks will play good.
We'll play well. I think they'll keep the game close.
I like the Bucks plus twelve. On the other side,
it's the Ravens against Cleveland, and the Ravens are on
a mission. The Ravens are the hottest team in football
not named the Patriots, and they've got a great quarterback
in Lamar Jackson. Look, they don't need to do much
(12:12):
besides just win the football game. Okay, don't cover the
seven and a half. Just win by two or more
and we're good. I think the Ravens had a real
shot here to get a w I'm taking bucks plus
twelve teas with the Ravens minus one and a half
for one point two five units. That brings us to
the hard rock bet of the day. I have not
(12:33):
missed one of these yet. I am three and oh
on the hard rock bet of the day. What is
the hard rock bet of the day? Well, I'm taking
the Vikings laying two and a half up against the
Chicago Bears. Why the numbers are quite stark here for Chicago.
It really is a fade on Caleb Williams. He's been atrocious.
(12:56):
Caleb is one in seven straight up and eight starts
against his own division, beat the Packers at Lambeau at
the end of last year on a normal seven day rest.
Caleb's oho to five straight up against the NFC North,
losing by an average of eleven points per game. On
the flip side, JJ McCarthy has gone and made four
career starts against the NFC North. He's done it twice
(13:19):
so far. He's two and oh straight up and two
to zero against the number. Both those games came on
the road, So Caleb one win against the North with
eight starts. JJ two wins against the North with two starts.
That's not great. The Bears are playing close games like crazy.
They've been living on the edge. You could say, okay,
(13:39):
they've pulled rabbits out of the hat. I'm not sure
they can do that on the road against this defense
for the Vikings. The Vikings at home are just a
different beast. Since twenty twenty the Bears are seven and
twenty five straight up against the North. Only the Jets
have fewer wins against their own division than Chicago does.
This year, they're zero to two, and they're six and
(14:00):
one straight up outside the division zero and two straight up,
So in road games, the Bears are four and twenty
two straight up here. Since the start of twenty twenty two,
it's been very very ugly here. And now we've got
this Vikings team, who look, they've been bad against the Lions,
They've been bad against good football teams. This is not
(14:21):
a good football team. I think the Bears are overrated
in my mind. Caleb Williams, I think is going to
have a difficult time. He's had a relatively clean pocket
this season. The one benefit here for having Ben Johnson
is that they're not having negative plays that Kayleb Williams
is not taking sacks and Kayleb Williams is getting rid
of the football, but I think this Vikings team will
make his life difficult. Here today, it's only two and
(14:43):
a half. I'm laying it with the Vikings Vikings minus
two and a half for one point one units for
our hard Rock Bet Play of the Day. This podcast
is being brought to you by our friends at hard
rock Bet. Pro football, college football, college basketball, and are
all available this week. At hard rock Bet, you guys
(15:03):
can bet five dollars and if that bet hits, you'll
score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets on
top of your winnings for that bet. If you don't
know what to bet on for your first bet, head
on over to the hard Rock Bet Stat's hub and
you'll see trend streaks in stat to help you guide
with your picks. Hard Rock Bet Sports Book is the
only legal book in Florida, but it's also live in Arizona, Ohio,
(15:24):
New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado. More states
coming soon. Plus. Hard rock Bet offers new promos every
single day. Download the hard rock Bet app and make
your first deposit two days. So four bets for us
here really five you include the Dolphins, but four officially
because like most of you, are going to wind up
waking up and go, oh right, go listen to the
(15:46):
dearly juice. So the Dolphin play is not official, but
it is in there. I have bet the Dolphins here
to beat the Commanders over in Spain. So I'm laying
the two and a half points with that Dolphins past
two and a half, Giants plus seven and a half
at home. Let's go with the fighting jamis Winston and
the dead cat bounce for the New York Giants, Casey
Denver under forty five for the afternoon game. Teaser is
(16:11):
Bucks plus twelve and the Ravens minus one and a
half and their two games at minus one twenty five,
and the hard rock bet of the day the Vikings
laying two and a half at home up against Chicago
Bears and taking JJ McCarthy and company over Chicago laying
two and a half points there. I will talk to
you guys with Andrew Rickson coming up at noon Eastern time.
Full breakdown of the entire betting slates here for week
(16:32):
eleven of the NFL. Hope to see you there with
us for the live stream on the Betting Pros YouTube
channel minus Matt Parole. You guys can follow me across
all my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning wherever
you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice.
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