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November 23, 2025 • 16 mins

A 1-2 Saturday wasn't great but host Matt Perrault is still up for the week. Matt has a bunch of NFL plays going on the Sunday episode of Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet. 

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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

Speaker 2 (00:17):
Welcome into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast.
MI name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me
across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And
we are back after a losing Saturday. We won on Friday.
We are still having a winning week. We are still
up two units for the week as we head towards Sunday.
But we get the Penn State bet right Florida got

(00:38):
killed BYU and Cincinnati did not come close to the over.
I leaned toward b YU minus two and a half.
That was the better bet to jump on BYU. So
one in two night down one point one Actually that
should be one point. That should be one point two units. Sorry,
one point two units down on the night for last
night doesn't change it. We're still a Maybes one point

(01:01):
nine units.

Speaker 1 (01:01):
Now.

Speaker 2 (01:02):
We're up for the week for us, So we head
to Sunday. As I said last night, I like this
card a lot. I've got two straight plays, I've got
two or two side plays, i have two teasers, and
I have one total bet for us coming up here
for today, including the hard rock bet, which we've gone
for and one so far taking the hard rock bet

(01:23):
of the day. So we're gonna go ahead and jump
in on that. But before we do the hard rock.

Speaker 1 (01:29):
Bet of the day.

Speaker 2 (01:30):
If you guys have not downloaded the Betting pros app yet,
I highly recommend you do so. Why you can track
all your bets with this, which is obviously something I
recommend you doing to keep track of how you make plays,
what you're profitable with, and what you're not. But also
for the prop bit cheat sheet, if you guys, that
offer is still available. If you make a deposit at

(01:50):
a sports book that we're partnered with, and you go
ahead and make a play after depositing, you will get
six months for free of betting pro su premium. That's
a seventy five dollars value. It includes the prop bet
cheat sheet and the sharp Ai tools. The prop bet
cheat sheet can help you a lot if you'd like
to bet prop bets today. For the NFL, All right,

(02:12):
I've already given you one bet with case minus three. Okay,
already played it. It's now three and a half kansasity
minus three. If you're curious to reiterate the trend for
the Chiefs, it's too good to overlook in my opinion
for Kansas City, the Chiefs are the fifteenth team since

(02:33):
nineteen ninety to be five and five straight up or
worse and favored against a team that has an eighty
percent or better win percentage during week eleven or later.
That would be the Cults. The Colts are off of.
Buy it doesn't matter because this trend is fourteen and
oh straight up and twelve oh to two against the number.

Speaker 1 (02:55):
Equally.

Speaker 2 (02:56):
How about this trend? This stat Andy Reid when his
team has been five hundred or worse. Andy Reid as
a head coach with the Philadelphia and Kansas City is
eighty forty seven and one against the number. The Chiefs
are five and five eighty forty seven and one for
an Andy Reid coach team. So already given it to

(03:18):
Chiefs minus three. Now let's talk Cowboys. Okay, and the
Cowboys are up against the Eagles in a game in
which the Cowboys absolutely have to win, like they just
have no choice.

Speaker 1 (03:31):
And with this new look defense.

Speaker 2 (03:34):
It's Dak Prescott at home against the NFC East. He
has absolutely dominated the NFC East. He is thirty one
and thirteen against the spread against his home division. He
is the most profitable quarterback since twenty three for a
QB against his own division. Dak has been an underdog

(03:57):
versus the NFC East two times since twenty nineteen, both
on the road, and they both were outright losses. This
is at home for Dak Prescott. In his career as
a starter, he's only been a home dog against a
divisional foe twice in twenty three games, and none since
twenty seventeen, one in one straight up, in one in

(04:20):
one against the number. However, at home, Dak Prescott is
twenty one and two straight up and seventeen and six
against the number. At home against the division, Dak has
won eighteen consecutive home games outright against the NFC East,
dating back to twenty seventeen. For me, all the trends,

(04:41):
the way the defense played on Monday Night, the fact
that the Eagles don't really need this game, but boy,
oh boy, do the Cowboys need this game desperately. They
play the Chiefs on Thanksgiving on a short week on Thursday,
I'm coming in and taking the Dallas Cowboys plus three
and a half four Dallas. Now I actually have to load.

(05:03):
That's not actually the right slide. Hold on one second,
let's get the right slide in there, because I don't
know what that didn't That didn't take the way it
was supposed to. Hold on, we need to go ahead
and change that. So that's that's the right Make sure
that's the right one. Okay, Yes we're gonna replace that.

Speaker 1 (05:23):
Okay, so that should have replaced it. There we go.

Speaker 2 (05:27):
That's the right slide. Cowboys plus three and a half.
Now two teasers. The first teaser is the Patriots against
the Bengals. This is similar to what I did last week.
I think we did a Patriots Lions teaser last week.
But I mean the Lions off of a loss are
just an automatic bet. Right, you should bet the Lions
straight up anyway, laying the points. Rather, you should bet

(05:50):
the Lions. I mean off of a loss. The Lions
are an automatic, an automatic bet you'd be. I think
I don't care about it. The number doesn't matter. I mean,
it's climbing and climbing and climbing. What we got thirteen
fourteen for this off of a loss for Jared Goff
and Dan Campbell, I mean they have won and covered
thirteen games in a row off of a loss. With

(06:13):
Dan Campbell and Jared Goff together. That's ridiculous. Okay, so
the number now is up to thirteen. It doesn't really matter.
Twelve and a half doesn't really matter. You've met the Lions.
But I'm gonna tease them down six point t'ser. I'm
gonna pull it down to under a touchdown, to six
and a half. And I'm gonna pair it up with
the Patriots, who have won eight straight games, and the
Patriots a whore against Joe Flacco. Not Joe Burrow, It's

(06:35):
Joe Flacco starting tonight, and we have an opportunity to
see the Patriots go up against this really poor Bengals
defense and really poor Bengals offensive line, plus no Jamar Chase.
Maybe the Patriots don't win the game, or don't cover rather,
but I can't see the Patriots not winning this game,
given how much is at stake for them here on
the road against Cincinnati, then at home against the Giants,

(06:56):
and then they go to a bye week. The loss
for the Bills opened up a gigantic door for the
Patriots here to improve to ten and two on the year,
and it puts them in the driver's seat for the
AFC East. The Bengals really have struggled without Joe Burrow.
I mean Zach Taylor. I do not like Zach Taylor
as the head coach. I've been pretty adamant about this year.

(07:17):
And when Zach Taylor does not have Joe Burrow at quarterback,
things go really, really poorly for the Bengals. He'll have
him back next week against the Ravens. He won't have
him here in this game here against the Patriots. The
pat to play on Monday Night against the Giants next week.
Teams since twenty twenty who have a Monday night football

(07:38):
game on deck are covering at about a fifty eight
percent clip, and this season, teams with a Monday night
football game on deck are sixteen to seven and one
against the spread. Patriots are seven and a half point favorites.
I don't need to go ahead and bet the Patriots
lay the seven and a half.

Speaker 1 (07:54):
Just tease it down.

Speaker 2 (07:55):
So to a first teaser Patriots minus one and a
half and the Lions minus six and a half and
minus one twenty five. Don't pay more than minus one
thirty at your book, whatever it might be. But tease
the Patriots down and tease the Lions down. We hit
this with the Lions. The Lions should be good. The
question is going to be the Patriots as to whether

(08:16):
the Patriots can cover that number.

Speaker 1 (08:18):
I think that they can.

Speaker 2 (08:19):
I think they should win the game by at least
three points up against the Bengals on the road.

Speaker 1 (08:23):
So Patriots Lions teaser. Second teaser. We're going to go to.

Speaker 2 (08:27):
The Cardinals who are at home, catching two and a
half points. And the Cardinals have been feisty at home
and the Cardinals, look, it's a backup quarterback situation obviously
with maybe the better quarterback for the team and Jacoby
Brissett up against the Jaguars, and I just don't like

(08:48):
the Jags. I haven't liked the Jags this year. The
Cardinals have lost six consecutive games outright in their game
directly following the forty nine Ers four and nineteen straight
up since twenty twelve, and they've been dominated by the
forty nine Ers. Now worry here, because we're gonna tease
up to eight and a half. Go from two and
a half to eight and a half. The Chargers are

(09:10):
on a complete and crazy wild run here. They had
a bye week, they had an overtime win against Vegas,
then they blew that nineteen point lead in the fourth
quarter against the Texans. Then they blew out the Chargers
thirty five to six. That's just a complete roller coaster ride.
But how about this. Since nineteen ninety, teams that blow
a fourteen point lead in the fourth quarter and lose
the game and then win their next game outright, which

(09:33):
is the bounce back spot against the Chargers that following game,
they're nine to twenty and two against the spread. Since
twenty sixteen, they're seven and one ats. So look, fading
the Jags not a bad idea. But I'm just gonna
tease it up to point to to get a plus
eight and a half for the Arizona Cardinals, and then

(09:54):
I'm gonna do a Baker Mayfield teaser again, just like
we did it last week with the Bills. We pushed
on it because we at twelve and it pushed. But
this same thing here, it's Baker Mayfield in primetime as
a dog, and Baker now gets thirteen points, it's now
plus seven, it goes to plus thirteen on the road
against the Rams.

Speaker 1 (10:16):
It's just beton.

Speaker 2 (10:16):
Baker, bettan on Baker to do Baker things This defense
by Todd Poles and needs to figure out what's going
on here.

Speaker 1 (10:24):
They have not been good.

Speaker 2 (10:25):
They give up forty four points last week to the Bills,
give up twenty eight points to the Patriots the week before.
The Bucks have now lost too in a row against
the spread and straight up as underdogs, losing by double
digits in both those games. In twenty six starts as
a dog for Tampa, Baker is twenty three and three
in a six point teaser. This is a six point teaser,

(10:47):
so we're jumping in here with that for cac minus three,
Cowboys plus three and a half, Patriots laying one and
a half, teas with the Lions laying six and a half,
Cardinals plus eight and a half, and the Bucks plus thirteen.
So a favorite teaser and a dog teaser, you get
one of each coming up here for today. That takes

(11:12):
us to the hard Rock Bet of the Day, being
brought to you by hard Rock Bet. Hard Rock Bet
is the presenting sponsor of the Daily Juice Podcast. Awesome
time of the year because there's so much to bet on. Heck,
we got an F one race last night here in
Las Vegas. They still have the offer where if you
make a five dollar wager and it wins, you will
not only get the winnings from that bet, but you'll

(11:33):
also get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets.
You can check out the hard Rock Bet Stats Hub
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you make your plays sportsbook. The hard Rock Sportsbook app
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(11:53):
and Colorado. Hard Rock Bet offers new promos every single day,
So download the hard Rock Bet app and make your
first deposit today. The hard Rock Bet play of the
day We're gonna hold our nose and we're gonna bet
the under on the Browns and Shador Sanders' first start
against the Raiders.

Speaker 1 (12:14):
Now, this number was thirty seven and a half.

Speaker 2 (12:16):
It's been bet down to thirty six or even thirty
five and a half at certain books, certain books.

Speaker 1 (12:21):
I got thirty six and a half.

Speaker 2 (12:23):
And the theory really comes down to Shador Sanders not
being able to move the football consistently on the Raiders,
and in fact that the Raiders' offense is a mess
now I know, and this is I read a tweet
from our guy Debro and it really I'm not gonna lie.
It caused me to have a little bit of a
fear factor on this bet from the under because since

(12:47):
Week seven, Cleveland has allowed the six most rushing yards
per game, the fifth highest explosive run rate, and the
twelfth highest yards before contact per attempt, and they rank
fifteenth in misstackle rate. This is supposed to be one
of the best defenses in particularly one of the best
run defenses in the NFL. But I think the offensive
line for the Raiders is such a mess that this

(13:09):
defensive pass rush and the fact that Chip Kelly well
just refuses to run the football. He only ran only
called four runs in the first half last week against
the Cowboys, that.

Speaker 1 (13:21):
They don't think they can run.

Speaker 2 (13:23):
They have injuries on the offensive line, and I think
blocking this pass rush is going to be a huge problem.

Speaker 1 (13:28):
But equally, I don't think the Raiders run.

Speaker 2 (13:31):
The football that effectively, and on the flip side, as
should or Sanders finally gets to work with the ones
and they build a entire offense around what he can do.
I assume he's going to look a lot better than
he did last week when he came in after Dylan
Gabriel went out with a concussion, but I'm not positive
that's going to happen. The Browns have been an over team.

(13:52):
If you want to talk trends, the Browns have been.

Speaker 1 (13:54):
An over team. That is a little bit of a
worry here.

Speaker 2 (13:56):
The Browns last four games have all gone over, and
two of those four games were on the road at
New England and at the Jets, both those games going over.
Now nine and a half and four and a half
doesn't really fly over, but it did go over. Last
game out for Cleveland against Baltimore twenty three sixteen, the
total was thirty eight and it went over only by

(14:17):
a point, but it went over. Now we're at thirty
six and a half here, it's pretty low. Vegas thirty
three sixteen losers to Dallas last week. That was more
in the Dallas side, but it did go over by
half a point. The safety is what put that over,
and they're at home. Game before that was Jacksonville. It
was a thirty to twenty nine overtime game, so it

(14:38):
went over by fifteen points because of overtime. They had
a game against Tennessee twenty to ten to win. Forty
one and a half was the total. It went under
by eleven and a half. I just don't think shud
Or Sanders is going to move the football. All that
consistently in front of that offensive line for the Cleveland
Browns is awful, and I think you're gonna see Max
Crosby get after it. I think both fronts for the

(15:00):
Raiders and the Browns both make life really difficult for
either offenses. It's low, but I'm gonna lay it for
the hard rock bet of the day. We're four and
one on these so far, Cleveland and the Raiders under
thirty six and a half for one point one units. Guys,
join us coming up at noon Eastern time nine am Pacific.
Seth Willcock and myself have got you for an hour

(15:23):
leading up to kickoff from twelve to one Eastern on
the Betting Pros YouTube channel, will break down every game.
I will give you more prop bets than what I
just gave you. From a betting perspective, I don't think
there's gonna be a long teaser out there, but if
there is something there to create a long teaser. I
will talk about that as well, but player props from
Seth and his plays as well.

Speaker 1 (15:41):
Coming up here.

Speaker 2 (15:42):
At noon eastern nine am Pacific time on the Betting
Pros YouTube channel for our live stream. Hope to see
you all in the chat coming up here later on today.

Speaker 1 (15:53):
My name is Matt Perrault.

Speaker 2 (15:54):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt. Wherever you guys get your podcast us.
It is The Daily Juice
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