December 7, 2025 • 21 mins
Host Matt Perrault went 3-0 on his CFB future bets from the summer and those cashing last night, allowed him to have another winning night. Matt is loaded for a massive Wk 14 NFL card. Find out the plays on the Sunday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Hey, guys, what's up?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. And the end of the regular season
for college football is upon us. We had a pretty
good futures three to zero on futures with Georgia, Ohio State,
(00:36):
and Penn State. We get those right, We got UVA wrong.
How do they lose that game? My goodness, what does
Duke have to do to get into the playoffs? Well,
don't lose five games? About that? Unbelievable. The ACC will
not have a representative in the playoffs. But JM, you
could James Madison be in the playoffs. Unbelievable. But a
(00:59):
good day overall for US. Up one point nine units
Georgia to win the SEC. We did hedge off that
with the Alabama for one point five units, but we
win three point six units there. Ohio State goes over
ten and a half wins, Penn State goes way under
ten and a half wins BYU Bama.
Speaker 1 (01:16):
Wrong.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
So then we get and we get the Alabama money
line wrong as well. But that was the hedge there,
so three and three mark, but up one point nine
units on the day for us, So we continue to
have a very good week here for us. This week,
in the first week of December, i'll recap November. As
I said before, the person that does all the tracking
(01:37):
has been very busy, so we're slowly catching up from
the Thanksgiving holiday, So I should have an answer for
you guys coming up in the near future day or
two for us to be able to recap November. But
I'm pretty sure we had either a flat or a
losing month. October was a loser for sure. I don't
know what we did really with November, so got to
wait and see. We can kind of calculate all of it.
(02:00):
But December off to a very good start for us.
Here today, now, Andrew Erickson and I will have you
for the live stream coming up at noon Eastern time.
We will go through the entire betting slate. Andrew will
give you his bets, his thoughts on the day on
the slates, plus I'll have player props Andrew will as
(02:21):
well for us for one hour. We'll go for one
hour on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Go and search
it at Betting Pros on YouTube nine am Pacific time,
noon Eastern for one hour. We look forward to hearing,
seeing and talking with you guys about the entire NFL
slate and giving out player props. But here is my
(02:41):
card for the day. Today there is a hard rock
bet of the day. We are six and two on
our hard rock bets of the day. Got another one
coming at you here for today. But let's start here
with Jacksonville and their game up against the Colts. Did
you know that the Colts have the hardest strength of
(03:01):
schedule remaining of basically anybody playing football trying to make
the playoffs right now. If you want to bet Indianapolis
to miss the playoffs, most books have it at plus
two hundred.
Speaker 1 (03:16):
I would make that bet.
Speaker 2 (03:18):
I probably should make that bet before this game goes off,
but you can do it if you would like. I
thought about making it official, and I'm not going to
make it official, but it's a very good bet to make.
Why Because they play the Jags, the Seahawks, the forty
nine Ers, the Jaguars, and the Texans. All five of
those teams are currently in the playoffs right now. Under
(03:40):
Shane Steichen, this has been the problem fast starts bad
Decembers eight and four during the first quarter of the year.
Twenty six and twenty they've been fast starters. The gonfen
good starts first quarter they've been great. But Shane Steichen
bounce back off divisional games. India's five and seven ats,
(04:02):
including going oh to four straight up and oh to
four against the spread in his last four games off
an AFC South matchup. That is not good for the Colts.
They beat the Texans last week. Now they play another
AFC South team in Jacksonville, who they cannot beat, at
(04:23):
least against the spread. Since twenty fifteen, Indianapolis is three
and sixteen and one ats against Jacksonville for games on
a neutral field or on the road nine and one
Jacksonville ats wise up against the Colts, nine and one
for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence has started seven games as
(04:45):
a dog, either against the Colts or the Texans, and
he's been very difficult to beat against the spread five
and two ats. This number is down to one and
a half. Daniel Jones has a broken fibula, Soft Gardener
is out. Sauce Gardener is out with a calf strain.
(05:06):
This is all bad news. Jaguars money line. Forget the
point and a half, don't need it. Take the plus
one ten. We're going Jags money line for one unit
bet number two. Let's talk about the Jets in the
Miami Dolphins. I do not like how much money is
on the Dolphins. Everybody thinks this is gonna be an
(05:27):
easy walk in the park for Miami. Nope, this is
Tyrod Taylor. Tyrod Taylor is a caching machine. We backed
him last week. We're backing him again this week. It
was three last week, it's three this week. Tyrod Taylor
is thirty seven twenty one to four against the number
as a starter in the NFL. That dude hits at
(05:51):
sixty three percent. Since the start of twenty twenty two,
he is seven zero to one ats in eight starts. Hi,
he has been phenomenal. Somebody should just give this guy
if you were I mean, the Raiders should one hundred
percent side signed Tyrod Taylor for next year and just
(06:14):
draft a quarterback and let him be that guy. Just
a veteran quarterback who will be competent in the position
while you develop a young quarterback behind him. Tua on
the road against Tua at home on the road or neutral.
TUA is fifteen and twenty one straight up, sixteen nineteen
and one against the spread at home. It's a complete opposite.
(06:35):
He's twenty seven and eleven at home, straight up road
in neutral in December or later. This is a Miami
based team, obviously, the Dolphins in the cold of New England,
in the northeast, in New York in the Tri state area,
tuas three and eight straight up, three and eight against
the spread. No good, no good. The Dolphins drop a bye. Okay,
(06:59):
they get extended. But when coach McDaniel has his team
on extended rest, he's five and eight against the spread.
Speaker 1 (07:07):
What he's a favorite.
Speaker 2 (07:08):
He's three and six in this spot, home dog in
cold temperatures with Tyrod Taylor. Give me the Jets, give
me the Jets. We're taking the Jets at plus three.
We're jumping in. Oh sorry, why sorry, hold on't that
didn't take?
Speaker 1 (07:25):
Hold on? Sorry that should have taken. I don't know
why that didn't take.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
There it is Jags money line, Jets plus three at
home against the Dolphins. Let's keep right here with the
dog play. And this is just the black and blue play.
This is just the auto play of the day Ravens Steelers.
Speaker 1 (07:45):
Whoever's the dog you bet?
Speaker 2 (07:48):
Like? Just in the regular season, when Mike Tomlin plays
against John Harbaugh, the underdog is twenty four seven and three,
twenty four to seven and three, the number is six.
Speaker 1 (08:01):
Crazy. When the line is three or more at six.
Speaker 2 (08:05):
Right now, the underdog is twenty three, five and three.
I mean, that's unbelievable. Both these teams are six and six.
When the Ravens are favored, they're just seven and seven
straight up and three ten in one against the spread.
(08:25):
Lamar Jackson was zero to five ats wise against the Steelers.
He's now won in covered two games in a row.
They've beaten up on the Steelers pretty handedly in those games.
But the last two meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh have
been won by the Ravens by fourteen and seventeen points.
But the margin for the Steelers in the previous nine
(08:48):
meetings ranged from one to seven and basically like every
meeting in between. Since the start of twenty fifteen, the
Steelers in Ravens have met twenty one times. Sixteen of
those twenty one games had a final margin of seven
points or fewer. This number is six. Give me the dog.
I'm taking Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plus six. We go to Sunday
(09:13):
Night Football and we take a look at the KC Chiefs.
Bats are against the wall for both the Texans and
the Chiefs. This is again a de facto game elimination game, right,
Chiefs have to have it. The Chiefs have won five
straight games against the Texans. Patrick Mahomes has been very
good against the Texans. The Chiefs are on a four
(09:36):
game ATS losing streak and they're one in three straight
up over the last four games with Mahomes as the
starting quarterback. This is unusual for him to have these situations.
In fact, I told you guys this.
Speaker 1 (09:52):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:53):
Pat Fitzmorris and I talked about it on Tuesday. I
don't think I talked about on the Juice yet. But
since the the first of November of twenty twenty four,
Patrick Mahomes is nine and fifteen ATS in twenty four starts.
That is the least profitable quarterback against the number in
the NFL. However, when the Chiefs need it, when they
(10:18):
are back to against the wall, when they have to
have it, their defense rises up and their offense will
do enough to win. It's never easy to win at Arrowhead,
but maybe this Texans team has got something for Kansas City.
This is the season for the Chiefs. If they lose,
they go to six and seven, and you can pretty
(10:39):
much say it's done. Sorry if you have kids in
the car, but that's what they'll be. They'll be six
and seven. Good night, goodbye, see you later. I'm not
expecting every call is gonna go Casey's way. Texans are good,
but they're not good enough. I'm gonna lay it with
the Chiefs. Chiefs minus three at home on Sunday night,
(11:01):
up against the Texans. More in this game here in
just one second in for the hard rock play of
the day, but the teaser for the week. This is
a must win for the Buffalo Bills. Look, I hope
I'm wrong. I hope the Bengals go up there and win. Okay,
but the number is five and a half and I
can tease it down to basically half a point moneyline
(11:22):
play for the Bills, and the Bills have to have it.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (11:25):
Burrow will have t Higgins in Borrow will also have
Jamar Chase. You want to bet the over? I like
it bet the over. However, Josh Allen and company. Burrow
is great as a dog. Okay, he's tremendous. So you
want to say that the Bills win Bengals cover, fine, gonna.
Speaker 1 (11:46):
I'm not gonna fight you. I'm not gonna push you
on this.
Speaker 2 (11:48):
But Burrow and the Bengals had been pretty good against
the Bills. So two and oh straight up and two
and oh against the spread when they're coming off of
when they're facing Vin's Burrow against Allen, facing off Josh
Allen at home in December. If they lose this game
(12:10):
next week against the Patriots, really doesn't matter all that much.
But for the Patriots they'd be trying to clinch the
AFC East. I don't think I'm gonna get that. Lucky
Bills will win the game. How they'll find a way. No,
Trey Hendrickson that defense is a big problem shoot out
in Buffalo, But I'll take the Bills to win the
(12:31):
other leg. We're gonna go and take a look at look.
I think there's opportunities here to tease a couple different games.
You can be aggressive with a couple different teams and
a couple different numbers, like you could tease Seattle down
if you wanted to. They're seven. You could go and
(12:52):
take the Vikings and tease the Vikings up. I don't
mind jumping in and doing that, like there's just there's
This is actually a pretty good teaser week with a
bunch of teams that are favored by six, like the Ravens.
You can jump in the Ravens and pull the Ravens
down if you want. I think the Broncos game is
(13:12):
a prop game. I think I don't want to lay
that many points with the Broncos on the road, given
what happened in the first meeting. But I think you
can the other side of the teaser. I'm gonna take
the Packers. I'm gonna pull the Packers down to a
half a point or the Packers down to one point
in a six point teaser because I think the Packer
is gonna win this game. Why Matt Lafleur at home
(13:33):
in December have been dominant In December in general, Matt
Lafleur has been dominant. He's twenty and four straight up
in the month of December when he's the head coach.
Speaker 1 (13:43):
Twenty and four.
Speaker 2 (13:44):
Lafleur has eight plus straight up losses every month during
the regular season except for December. At home Matt Lafleur
is ten and one straight up in December and on
ten days rest, the floor is four and oh straight
up in December. In six and one straight up in
(14:05):
December or later. I know it's Ben Johnson. I know
I've been calling for the Bears to be somewhat exposed.
I don't think they killed. I just think the Packers
find a way to win this game. Okay, even after
winning in Week eighteen last week last year, the Bears
are won in eleven straight up against the Packers, including
(14:26):
a mark of two to ten against the spread over
their last twelve games.
Speaker 1 (14:31):
That is not great.
Speaker 2 (14:35):
The Bears may cover this number they've covered in back
to back games against the Packers. It would be three
straight for the first time since nineteen ninety seven to
nineteen ninety nine, when they covered five straight games against
Green Bay. We don't need them to cover, we just
need them to win the game. The Bears have won
five straight games by single digits of a taken down
(14:57):
the Eagles last week.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
Twenty one.
Speaker 2 (15:00):
Teams in the Super Bowl era have won five straight games,
all by single digits. Three of those twenty one teams
went on to make the Super Bowl, including the twenty
twenty Chiefs were able to do that. So the Bears
have been very good against divisional matchups, but not great
against the number nine. Seventeen to one ats against the
(15:23):
NFC North, that's the worst mark for any team against
their own division in the NFL. We're gonna pull it down.
We're gonna go and jump in on the Bills, lay
in half a point and the Packers on the money line.
Essentially Bills money line, Packers money line for a minus
one twenty five teaser, six point teaser. So we're going
(15:44):
Jags money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgh plus six, Casey
minus three, and the teaser is Bills and the Packers
basically both being money lines. Before we give you the
hard rock play of the day, We're mind you. The
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(16:08):
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Speaker 1 (16:53):
I'll tell you this, I drove the Strip last night.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I had not been down to the strip, probably a
month and a half, two months maybe in two months.
Since I've been down to the Strip, I haven't been
down there very much. I hadn't had a reason to
go down to the Strip. The hard Rock Bet casino,
the guitar. The guitar is going to be where there's
two towers, but the big tower where the hotel rooms
(17:16):
are going to be, is gonna be a monstrosity. I
couldn't believe how big it was. It's about the outline
is about half done and it's huge, like it is
going to light up the strip in such I mean,
we've talked about the sphere changing the skyline of Vegas.
(17:36):
The hard rock guitar is going to change everything. It's
gonna be wild. I knew it was gonna be big.
But you put that and the new ballpark at the
site of the Tropicana across from MGM, and in twenty
twenty eight, the strip's gonna look a lot different. Strip's
(17:56):
gonna look pretty cool, like it's gonna have a couple
of really cool things on it with the hard Rock
be casino set to open up just before the ballpark
is set to open up for the new Las Vegas.
A's who will start playing twenty twenty eight here in
Las Vegas hard rock.
Speaker 1 (18:12):
Bet of the Day. What are we doing?
Speaker 2 (18:14):
We're jumping down the under case Houston under forty one
and a half at minus one ten. Now, why why
are we doing this? Look it to me, this is
going to be a rock fight football game. I think
we're going to be in for two teams that simply
do not score very many points at all on offense.
Four and two to the under this season on the
(18:36):
road for the Houston Texans, and Casey is five and
one to the under at home against the AFC, four
and three to the under for the Chiefs, six and
two to the under for the Houston Texans. This is
the best defense in football. Four of the last five
games for the Texans have gone under, including three straight.
(18:57):
If it wasn't for the Dallas game on Thanksgiving going
it was a run of six consecutive unders for the
Chiefs dating all the way back to the Jacksonville game
on the road. So for home games, Philly home game
under by ten Baltimore did go over, but that's the
(19:18):
only game that went over at home. Detroit under by
four points, Vegas under by thirteen and a half points,
Washington under by thirteen points, Indianapolis under by six and
a half points. It's a primetime game. I don't think
the Chiefs want to get into a shootout or have
Mahomes passing a lot. Just given the pass rush for
the Houston Texans and the banged up the offensive line
(19:41):
for the Chiefs, they got a bunch of injuries to
worry about offensive line wise. Joan Taylor, their tackle is
questionable for this game. Tray Smith guard is questionable for
this game. Jalen Moore questionable for this game. We'll see
who winds up playing. But that's three offensive linemen for
(20:02):
the Chiefs. That are game time decisions coming up. They're
going to run the ball. They don't want to have
Mahomes back there throwing them ball forty times against this
pass rush. I think that it's a conservative game plan.
We're coming in on the under forty one and a
half for the hard rock bet of the.
Speaker 1 (20:17):
Day here today.
Speaker 2 (20:18):
All right, So our plays for today once again Jags
money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgy plus six, Casey minus
three teaser of the Bills and the Packers and the
hard rock bet of the Day of the under Casey
in Houston for Sunday night. Football Player props coming at
you on the live stream with myself and Andrew Erickson
at noon Eastern Time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel
(20:41):
and as Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me across
all my socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning wherever
you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (20:47):
It is the Daily Juice and I don't b
Hey, guys, what's up?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. And the end of the regular season
for college football is upon us. We had a pretty
good futures three to zero on futures with Georgia, Ohio State,
(00:36):
and Penn State. We get those right, We got UVA wrong.
How do they lose that game? My goodness, what does
Duke have to do to get into the playoffs? Well,
don't lose five games? About that? Unbelievable. The ACC will
not have a representative in the playoffs. But JM, you
could James Madison be in the playoffs. Unbelievable. But a
(00:59):
good day overall for US. Up one point nine units
Georgia to win the SEC. We did hedge off that
with the Alabama for one point five units, but we
win three point six units there. Ohio State goes over
ten and a half wins, Penn State goes way under
ten and a half wins BYU Bama.
Speaker 1 (01:16):
Wrong.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
So then we get and we get the Alabama money
line wrong as well. But that was the hedge there,
so three and three mark, but up one point nine
units on the day for us, So we continue to
have a very good week here for us. This week,
in the first week of December, i'll recap November. As
I said before, the person that does all the tracking
(01:37):
has been very busy, so we're slowly catching up from
the Thanksgiving holiday, So I should have an answer for
you guys coming up in the near future day or
two for us to be able to recap November. But
I'm pretty sure we had either a flat or a
losing month. October was a loser for sure. I don't
know what we did really with November, so got to
wait and see. We can kind of calculate all of it.
(02:00):
But December off to a very good start for us.
Here today, now, Andrew Erickson and I will have you
for the live stream coming up at noon Eastern time.
We will go through the entire betting slate. Andrew will
give you his bets, his thoughts on the day on
the slates, plus I'll have player props Andrew will as
(02:21):
well for us for one hour. We'll go for one
hour on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Go and search
it at Betting Pros on YouTube nine am Pacific time,
noon Eastern for one hour. We look forward to hearing,
seeing and talking with you guys about the entire NFL
slate and giving out player props. But here is my
(02:41):
card for the day. Today there is a hard rock
bet of the day. We are six and two on
our hard rock bets of the day. Got another one
coming at you here for today. But let's start here
with Jacksonville and their game up against the Colts. Did
you know that the Colts have the hardest strength of
(03:01):
schedule remaining of basically anybody playing football trying to make
the playoffs right now. If you want to bet Indianapolis
to miss the playoffs, most books have it at plus
two hundred.
Speaker 1 (03:16):
I would make that bet.
Speaker 2 (03:18):
I probably should make that bet before this game goes off,
but you can do it if you would like. I
thought about making it official, and I'm not going to
make it official, but it's a very good bet to make.
Why Because they play the Jags, the Seahawks, the forty
nine Ers, the Jaguars, and the Texans. All five of
those teams are currently in the playoffs right now. Under
(03:40):
Shane Steichen, this has been the problem fast starts bad
Decembers eight and four during the first quarter of the year.
Twenty six and twenty they've been fast starters. The gonfen
good starts first quarter they've been great. But Shane Steichen
bounce back off divisional games. India's five and seven ats,
(04:02):
including going oh to four straight up and oh to
four against the spread in his last four games off
an AFC South matchup. That is not good for the Colts.
They beat the Texans last week. Now they play another
AFC South team in Jacksonville, who they cannot beat, at
(04:23):
least against the spread. Since twenty fifteen, Indianapolis is three
and sixteen and one ats against Jacksonville for games on
a neutral field or on the road nine and one
Jacksonville ats wise up against the Colts, nine and one
for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence has started seven games as
(04:45):
a dog, either against the Colts or the Texans, and
he's been very difficult to beat against the spread five
and two ats. This number is down to one and
a half. Daniel Jones has a broken fibula, Soft Gardener
is out. Sauce Gardener is out with a calf strain.
(05:06):
This is all bad news. Jaguars money line. Forget the
point and a half, don't need it. Take the plus
one ten. We're going Jags money line for one unit
bet number two. Let's talk about the Jets in the
Miami Dolphins. I do not like how much money is
on the Dolphins. Everybody thinks this is gonna be an
(05:27):
easy walk in the park for Miami. Nope, this is
Tyrod Taylor. Tyrod Taylor is a caching machine. We backed
him last week. We're backing him again this week. It
was three last week, it's three this week. Tyrod Taylor
is thirty seven twenty one to four against the number
as a starter in the NFL. That dude hits at
(05:51):
sixty three percent. Since the start of twenty twenty two,
he is seven zero to one ats in eight starts. Hi,
he has been phenomenal. Somebody should just give this guy
if you were I mean, the Raiders should one hundred
percent side signed Tyrod Taylor for next year and just
(06:14):
draft a quarterback and let him be that guy. Just
a veteran quarterback who will be competent in the position
while you develop a young quarterback behind him. Tua on
the road against Tua at home on the road or neutral.
TUA is fifteen and twenty one straight up, sixteen nineteen
and one against the spread at home. It's a complete opposite.
(06:35):
He's twenty seven and eleven at home, straight up road
in neutral in December or later. This is a Miami
based team, obviously, the Dolphins in the cold of New England,
in the northeast, in New York in the Tri state area,
tuas three and eight straight up, three and eight against
the spread. No good, no good. The Dolphins drop a bye. Okay,
(06:59):
they get extended. But when coach McDaniel has his team
on extended rest, he's five and eight against the spread.
Speaker 1 (07:07):
What he's a favorite.
Speaker 2 (07:08):
He's three and six in this spot, home dog in
cold temperatures with Tyrod Taylor. Give me the Jets, give
me the Jets. We're taking the Jets at plus three.
We're jumping in. Oh sorry, why sorry, hold on't that
didn't take?
Speaker 1 (07:25):
Hold on? Sorry that should have taken. I don't know
why that didn't take.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
There it is Jags money line, Jets plus three at
home against the Dolphins. Let's keep right here with the
dog play. And this is just the black and blue play.
This is just the auto play of the day Ravens Steelers.
Speaker 1 (07:45):
Whoever's the dog you bet?
Speaker 2 (07:48):
Like? Just in the regular season, when Mike Tomlin plays
against John Harbaugh, the underdog is twenty four seven and three,
twenty four to seven and three, the number is six.
Speaker 1 (08:01):
Crazy. When the line is three or more at six.
Speaker 2 (08:05):
Right now, the underdog is twenty three, five and three.
I mean, that's unbelievable. Both these teams are six and six.
When the Ravens are favored, they're just seven and seven
straight up and three ten in one against the spread.
(08:25):
Lamar Jackson was zero to five ats wise against the Steelers.
He's now won in covered two games in a row.
They've beaten up on the Steelers pretty handedly in those games.
But the last two meetings between Baltimore and Pittsburgh have
been won by the Ravens by fourteen and seventeen points.
But the margin for the Steelers in the previous nine
(08:48):
meetings ranged from one to seven and basically like every
meeting in between. Since the start of twenty fifteen, the
Steelers in Ravens have met twenty one times. Sixteen of
those twenty one games had a final margin of seven
points or fewer. This number is six. Give me the dog.
I'm taking Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plus six. We go to Sunday
(09:13):
Night Football and we take a look at the KC Chiefs.
Bats are against the wall for both the Texans and
the Chiefs. This is again a de facto game elimination game, right,
Chiefs have to have it. The Chiefs have won five
straight games against the Texans. Patrick Mahomes has been very
good against the Texans. The Chiefs are on a four
(09:36):
game ATS losing streak and they're one in three straight
up over the last four games with Mahomes as the
starting quarterback. This is unusual for him to have these situations.
In fact, I told you guys this.
Speaker 1 (09:52):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (09:53):
Pat Fitzmorris and I talked about it on Tuesday. I
don't think I talked about on the Juice yet. But
since the the first of November of twenty twenty four,
Patrick Mahomes is nine and fifteen ATS in twenty four starts.
That is the least profitable quarterback against the number in
the NFL. However, when the Chiefs need it, when they
(10:18):
are back to against the wall, when they have to
have it, their defense rises up and their offense will
do enough to win. It's never easy to win at Arrowhead,
but maybe this Texans team has got something for Kansas City.
This is the season for the Chiefs. If they lose,
they go to six and seven, and you can pretty
(10:39):
much say it's done. Sorry if you have kids in
the car, but that's what they'll be. They'll be six
and seven. Good night, goodbye, see you later. I'm not
expecting every call is gonna go Casey's way. Texans are good,
but they're not good enough. I'm gonna lay it with
the Chiefs. Chiefs minus three at home on Sunday night,
(11:01):
up against the Texans. More in this game here in
just one second in for the hard rock play of
the day, but the teaser for the week. This is
a must win for the Buffalo Bills. Look, I hope
I'm wrong. I hope the Bengals go up there and win. Okay,
but the number is five and a half and I
can tease it down to basically half a point moneyline
(11:22):
play for the Bills, and the Bills have to have it.
Speaker 1 (11:24):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (11:25):
Burrow will have t Higgins in Borrow will also have
Jamar Chase. You want to bet the over? I like
it bet the over. However, Josh Allen and company. Burrow
is great as a dog. Okay, he's tremendous. So you
want to say that the Bills win Bengals cover, fine, gonna.
Speaker 1 (11:46):
I'm not gonna fight you. I'm not gonna push you
on this.
Speaker 2 (11:48):
But Burrow and the Bengals had been pretty good against
the Bills. So two and oh straight up and two
and oh against the spread when they're coming off of
when they're facing Vin's Burrow against Allen, facing off Josh
Allen at home in December. If they lose this game
(12:10):
next week against the Patriots, really doesn't matter all that much.
But for the Patriots they'd be trying to clinch the
AFC East. I don't think I'm gonna get that. Lucky
Bills will win the game. How they'll find a way. No,
Trey Hendrickson that defense is a big problem shoot out
in Buffalo, But I'll take the Bills to win the
(12:31):
other leg. We're gonna go and take a look at look.
I think there's opportunities here to tease a couple different games.
You can be aggressive with a couple different teams and
a couple different numbers, like you could tease Seattle down
if you wanted to. They're seven. You could go and
(12:52):
take the Vikings and tease the Vikings up. I don't
mind jumping in and doing that, like there's just there's
This is actually a pretty good teaser week with a
bunch of teams that are favored by six, like the Ravens.
You can jump in the Ravens and pull the Ravens
down if you want. I think the Broncos game is
(13:12):
a prop game. I think I don't want to lay
that many points with the Broncos on the road, given
what happened in the first meeting. But I think you
can the other side of the teaser. I'm gonna take
the Packers. I'm gonna pull the Packers down to a
half a point or the Packers down to one point
in a six point teaser because I think the Packer
is gonna win this game. Why Matt Lafleur at home
(13:33):
in December have been dominant In December in general, Matt
Lafleur has been dominant. He's twenty and four straight up
in the month of December when he's the head coach.
Speaker 1 (13:43):
Twenty and four.
Speaker 2 (13:44):
Lafleur has eight plus straight up losses every month during
the regular season except for December. At home Matt Lafleur
is ten and one straight up in December and on
ten days rest, the floor is four and oh straight
up in December. In six and one straight up in
(14:05):
December or later. I know it's Ben Johnson. I know
I've been calling for the Bears to be somewhat exposed.
I don't think they killed. I just think the Packers
find a way to win this game. Okay, even after
winning in Week eighteen last week last year, the Bears
are won in eleven straight up against the Packers, including
(14:26):
a mark of two to ten against the spread over
their last twelve games.
Speaker 1 (14:31):
That is not great.
Speaker 2 (14:35):
The Bears may cover this number they've covered in back
to back games against the Packers. It would be three
straight for the first time since nineteen ninety seven to
nineteen ninety nine, when they covered five straight games against
Green Bay. We don't need them to cover, we just
need them to win the game. The Bears have won
five straight games by single digits of a taken down
(14:57):
the Eagles last week.
Speaker 1 (14:59):
Twenty one.
Speaker 2 (15:00):
Teams in the Super Bowl era have won five straight games,
all by single digits. Three of those twenty one teams
went on to make the Super Bowl, including the twenty
twenty Chiefs were able to do that. So the Bears
have been very good against divisional matchups, but not great
against the number nine. Seventeen to one ats against the
(15:23):
NFC North, that's the worst mark for any team against
their own division in the NFL. We're gonna pull it down.
We're gonna go and jump in on the Bills, lay
in half a point and the Packers on the money line.
Essentially Bills money line, Packers money line for a minus
one twenty five teaser, six point teaser. So we're going
(15:44):
Jags money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgh plus six, Casey
minus three, and the teaser is Bills and the Packers
basically both being money lines. Before we give you the
hard rock play of the day, We're mind you. The
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(16:08):
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Speaker 1 (16:53):
I'll tell you this, I drove the Strip last night.
Speaker 2 (16:56):
I had not been down to the strip, probably a
month and a half, two months maybe in two months.
Since I've been down to the Strip, I haven't been
down there very much. I hadn't had a reason to
go down to the Strip. The hard Rock Bet casino,
the guitar. The guitar is going to be where there's
two towers, but the big tower where the hotel rooms
(17:16):
are going to be, is gonna be a monstrosity. I
couldn't believe how big it was. It's about the outline
is about half done and it's huge, like it is
going to light up the strip in such I mean,
we've talked about the sphere changing the skyline of Vegas.
(17:36):
The hard rock guitar is going to change everything. It's
gonna be wild. I knew it was gonna be big.
But you put that and the new ballpark at the
site of the Tropicana across from MGM, and in twenty
twenty eight, the strip's gonna look a lot different. Strip's
(17:56):
gonna look pretty cool, like it's gonna have a couple
of really cool things on it with the hard Rock
be casino set to open up just before the ballpark
is set to open up for the new Las Vegas.
A's who will start playing twenty twenty eight here in
Las Vegas hard rock.
Speaker 1 (18:12):
Bet of the Day. What are we doing?
Speaker 2 (18:14):
We're jumping down the under case Houston under forty one
and a half at minus one ten. Now, why why
are we doing this? Look it to me, this is
going to be a rock fight football game. I think
we're going to be in for two teams that simply
do not score very many points at all on offense.
Four and two to the under this season on the
(18:36):
road for the Houston Texans, and Casey is five and
one to the under at home against the AFC, four
and three to the under for the Chiefs, six and
two to the under for the Houston Texans. This is
the best defense in football. Four of the last five
games for the Texans have gone under, including three straight.
(18:57):
If it wasn't for the Dallas game on Thanksgiving going
it was a run of six consecutive unders for the
Chiefs dating all the way back to the Jacksonville game
on the road. So for home games, Philly home game
under by ten Baltimore did go over, but that's the
(19:18):
only game that went over at home. Detroit under by
four points, Vegas under by thirteen and a half points,
Washington under by thirteen points, Indianapolis under by six and
a half points. It's a primetime game. I don't think
the Chiefs want to get into a shootout or have
Mahomes passing a lot. Just given the pass rush for
the Houston Texans and the banged up the offensive line
(19:41):
for the Chiefs, they got a bunch of injuries to
worry about offensive line wise. Joan Taylor, their tackle is
questionable for this game. Tray Smith guard is questionable for
this game. Jalen Moore questionable for this game. We'll see
who winds up playing. But that's three offensive linemen for
(20:02):
the Chiefs. That are game time decisions coming up. They're
going to run the ball. They don't want to have
Mahomes back there throwing them ball forty times against this
pass rush. I think that it's a conservative game plan.
We're coming in on the under forty one and a
half for the hard rock bet of the.
Speaker 1 (20:17):
Day here today.
Speaker 2 (20:18):
All right, So our plays for today once again Jags
money line, Jets plus three, Pittsburgy plus six, Casey minus
three teaser of the Bills and the Packers and the
hard rock bet of the Day of the under Casey
in Houston for Sunday night. Football Player props coming at
you on the live stream with myself and Andrew Erickson
at noon Eastern Time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel
(20:41):
and as Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me across
all my socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning wherever
you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (20:47):
It is the Daily Juice and I don't b
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