November 13, 2025 • 18 mins
It's been a tough few weeks for host Matt Perrault but NFL betting continues to be strong. Matt is back with another bet tonight on TNF plus another hockey bet on the Thursday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys.
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of
the Daily Juice Podcast.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
My name is Matt Parrelt.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and unfortunately we can't shake this
for whatever reason. I'll have something to talk about with
the prop bet cheat sheet here in just one second.
But a one in three day. The only bet we
get right is the hockey play and that was the
hard rock bet of the day. We're now three to
oher on the hard rock bet of the day. It's
(00:43):
just everything else went to crap. I mean, you Mass
gave up forty five points themselves. I mean and I
you went over that by themselves forty five to three.
The final U Mass actually set off a fireworks show
for the three points they scored. Duncan Robinson went way
over and Allen equally goes way over. And that takes
us to the prop bet cheat sheet. Okay, here here
(01:05):
is something to talk about with the prop bet cheat sheet.
This happened last year pretty much right around this time.
I think it was a little bit later last year,
but and some of you guys commented on this during
on the on the Discord channel, and you're correct if
you look at the prop bet cheat sheet on say. Okay,
so it's right now, it is nine to thirty Pacific
(01:27):
time that I am taping this on Wednesday night. If
I go and look at the prop bet cheat sheet
right now, the bets that are listed as five star
plays will be different tomorrow morning.
Speaker 1 (01:39):
Why, here's what I've been told.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
The algorithm takes a look at the bet, the points,
who is playing, who is not, and what the numbers
are the movement for the prop so numbers going up,
numbers going down. So by the time the games went
off yesterday, Grayceon Allen points and rebounds was not a
(02:02):
five star play. Neither was Duncan Robinson. In fact, the
numbers moved, it moved up. Duncan Robinson closed at eighteen
and a half and Grayson Allen closed at about twenty
one and a half for points and rebounds. So that
means to me, that signals to me that we're back
to where we were last year, which is we don't
(02:23):
bet with the prop bet cheat sheet for the NBA.
And remember I have hit at sixty six percent with
the prop bet cheat sheet doing this, Okay, it doesn't
mean we win every night, and there are zero to
two's and owen threes and bad weeks and bad months.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
Okay, it's not like a full proof. We're not gonna win.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
Every bet, but we've won a lot more than what
we have lost. By doing this, you're gonna have to
do a little extra work. And the reason why not
everyone loves me to do this is because it does
create a secondary barrier for you.
Speaker 1 (02:52):
Guys have to go get the bets.
Speaker 2 (02:53):
So if you want to trail the prop bet cheat
sheet picks that I will make, and I'll make at
least one today for the m maybe two if I
like them, I'm gonna start by putting them on the
Discord channel.
Speaker 1 (03:05):
Okay, I'm telling you right now.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
The powers that be, they're gonna want me to put
it on the Betting Pros app. Okay, that's gonna happen.
So for today, I'm gonna put it on the Discord channel.
I will also put it on the app if you're
on the Discord channel, because I've asked you guys to
go and be a part of the Discord channel. Okay,
Bettingpros dot Com slash chat in the Daily Juice portion
(03:29):
that channel on our Discord That's where I will put
now at everyone so everyone will see it. I will
put the prop that I'm going to bet for the NBA.
I will also put it on the app. But I'm
just warning you that I'm pretty confident that the order
will be handed down relatively soon that Matt, don't put
it on the Discord channel, put.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
It on the app.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
Okay, So if you haven't downloaded the Betting Pros app yet,
you should probably go and do so, because I will
start to put the prop bet on on the Betting
Pros app. Go down on the app and then search
at Sports Talk Matt. It's my handle on the app.
It's my handle on Discord and you'll be able to
follow me there and get the plays, and you can
set alerts. It'll alert you on the app. Or said,
(04:14):
you're going to be a notification when that play is made.
So we're now.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Going to do that day off.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
Okay, so NBA player props when we start making those
plays and will make them consistently. When we make those bets,
they're not going to be on the Deal Juice podcast. Okay,
just heads up, they're not going to be on the
Deal Juice Podcast. Just to let you guys know, today's
podcast is being brought to you by our friends at
hard Rock Bet. Have you guys gone and checked out
(04:42):
hard rock Bet yet? They are the presenting sponsor during
this time of the year where there's so much to
bet on. Pro football Tonight Thursday Night Football, let's go
NBA college football, college troops all.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
On the same stage. There's always something to bet on.
Speaker 2 (04:56):
First bet for five bucks if it hits, you get
that and you get your winnings. Plus I you had
one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets with your
first bet at hard rock Bet. Check out the hard
rock Bet stats hub for trend streaks and stats. Hard
Rock Bet is the only legal sportsbook in Florida, but
it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
(05:16):
and Colorado. More states coming plus. Hard Rock Bet offers
new promos every day. Download the hard rock Bet app
and make your first deposit.
Speaker 1 (05:25):
Two day payble and bonus.
Speaker 3 (05:27):
Bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe
of Florida. In Florida, offered by the Seminal hard Rock
digital LLC in other states. Must be twenty one and
physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about
gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight Admit it.
In Indiana, if you are something you know as a
gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and
nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,
(05:50):
in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (05:52):
Okay, let's talk about tonight's game Patriots Jets. I have
gone over this game fifteen times in my head, and
when you're cold, you tend to overthink things like this
is just what happens when you're not hitting. And I
have not been hitting for almost two months now. We've
been cold all of October now here halfway into November,
we've been cold. So eventually it starts to play tricks
(06:15):
with me, and I start to kind of struggle and
overthink things because I have thought about same game, teasing
this taking the Patriots from twelve and a half down
to six and a half, taking the total down from
forty three down to thirty seven and thirty seven and
going over.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
You can do that. I have thought about betting initially.
When I taped on.
Speaker 2 (06:34):
Tuesday with Pat fitz Morris our look ahead numbers, I
was on the under. I was on the under, and
I thought, Okay, the Jets aren't going to score on
this Patriots defense because they won't run the football, because
no one runs the football, and Justin Fields will have
to throw the football. But as I looked at the
numbers and I went again, this is where you become
(06:57):
a little bit on the second guest side of things.
But the Jets are six and three to the over
and the Patriots are six and four to be over.
The Patriots last four games have gone over, the Jets
last two games have gone over, and they just traded
away their two best defensive players. So last week they
win twenty seven to twenty. The problem with this is
(07:17):
their defense wasn't awful against a Cleveland Browns team that can,
you know, at times, move the football. Against Sinzy, they
scored thirty nine points and they gave up thirty eight points.
I am really concerned that the Patriots team total being
twenty seven and a half is sort of a trap.
Because I looked at it, I was like, Okay, let's
(07:38):
go Patriots. Team totals twenty seven and a half. Could
the pat score twenty seven? Yes, very possible. So I
was like, mm all right, twenty four to twenty. That
gets that's over. Okay, how many points will the Jets score? Ah, look,
they're not going to run the ball, but the Patriots
(07:58):
can be thrown on defense. Gave up twenty three points
to Tampa, twenty three points to Atlanta, thirteen points to Cleveland,
thirteen points to Tennessee, nineteen points to New Orleans, twenty
points to the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1 (08:13):
Patriots have been playing great.
Speaker 2 (08:14):
I'm not denying that you could bet the over twenty
seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (08:18):
That would I mean?
Speaker 2 (08:19):
But they scored twenty eight on the road against Tampa,
twenty four against Atlanta, thirty two against Cleveland, thirty one
against Tennessee, and twenty five against New Orleans, twenty three
against Buffalo, forty two against Carolina. I could see the
Patriots scoring a ton of points here tonight. I really could.
The number is twelve and a half. The Patriots might
kill the Jets, and you might just go lay the
(08:39):
points with the Patriots lay.
Speaker 1 (08:41):
The twelve and a half.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
I can't do it. It's a divisional game on a
short week. If this wasn't my team playing, I would
tell you to take the Jets. In fact, I'm going
to take the Jets personally, Okay.
Speaker 1 (08:55):
I'm gonna look around.
Speaker 2 (08:56):
I'm gonna wait for this number to climb today because
I think this number is going to at thirteen and
a half. That twelve and a half. It's climbing. But
this is a short week game. Again, if it wasn't
my team, the handicap is the Jets. The handicap is
to take the Jets. It's been too easily bet. The
(09:17):
Patriots have won seven games in a row. They're six
and one ats over those seven games, but their last
four games going over in the last two games, are
the Jets going over? That at least says okay, if
the Patriots are going to blow out the Jets, the
game should go over. So if I like the Patriots
to win, because I do, then the Patriots defense comes
(09:37):
in and how many points.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Do the Patriots d how do they give up?
Speaker 2 (09:41):
And if the Patriots are going to be in the game,
you have to assume that the Jets would score twenty.
If the Jets score twenty, are they really going to
hold the Patriots down to like seventeen points? I mean,
I guess. But the Patriots this year offensively, I mean,
they haven't scored since the Pittsburgh game. They scored fourteen
(10:01):
points and they had two fumbles on the goal line.
They should have scored twenty eight points in that game
that went under. The Vegas game opener, they lost twenty
to thirteen. They only scored thirteen points that game went under.
But those are the two only home games that have
gone over that have gone under for the Patriots. And
they're a different football team than they were against Vegas
and against the Steelers, Like this is a totally different team.
(10:24):
But I don't think Trevon Henderson goes off today. I
do think the Patriots are going to throw the ball
and Drake May is going to run the ball, and
Drake May is going to have a chance to throw
all over this Jets defense. I do think the Jets
are in trouble there. So Patriots go and score four touchdowns?
Is that possible? Yeah, I think that's really possible. So again,
team total Patriots. I like Patriots laying twelve and a half, No,
(10:48):
thank you. I would I say take the Jets plus
twelve and a half. But I've gone back and forth,
back and forth. I'm just gonna go with what I
think is the most logical thing to happen. I think
the most logic thing is that the Patriots score between
twenty four and thirty one points somewhere in that range, okay,
and the Patriots give up somewhere in the range of
(11:10):
twenty points to the Jets.
Speaker 1 (11:12):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (11:13):
Maybe it's garbage time, maybe it's it doesn't matter. But
I do think the Jets are going to be even
without Garrett Wilson. And I know you could say, well,
Matt Garrett Wilson, who's gonna do it. We've just seen
this before where players on a short week they just
rise up and they do big things.
Speaker 1 (11:28):
You know, they just it happens.
Speaker 2 (11:31):
Garret Wilson, I guess is questionable, but I doubt he plays.
I mean, I don't think Garrolson's going to play in
this game here for tonight. Pretty much sounds like he's
going to be out. But you know, Brice Hall equally,
what does Brice Hall do tonight.
Speaker 1 (11:45):
It's a short week, it's a rivalry game. Again.
Speaker 2 (11:48):
My initial first thought, my first read on Tuesday, was
to bet the under. But then I started to really
poke around, and I think both teams are going to score.
We might need a special teams play in here, we
might need a pick six, or we might need a
fumble setting up the offenses. But again, fade it if
you want. I'm not gonna be mad. I've been nice cold.
(12:10):
I'm completely stumped by this game. I don't love this
bet by any means, but I'll take the over forty three.
I bet over forty three for the Patriots and the Jets.
This number opened up at forty five and a half.
It's been bet down to forty three, so a lot
of pro money come is like in the under. I
don't know if this is a headfake and we see
a ton of money when the limits open up tomorrow
or today on Thursday, we see all overs money. But
(12:31):
I'm gonna come in and bet the over forty three
on the Patriots and the Jets.
Speaker 1 (12:36):
Maybe we get off to a really fast start and.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
That thing explodes back up to like fifty two to
fifty three or something, and we can middle, it bet
the under and hopefully have some type of middle.
Speaker 1 (12:46):
So that's how I'm gonna play it.
Speaker 2 (12:47):
But first initial play is just take a plant the
flag with the over forty three for the Patriots and
the Jets. Prop bets if you like Justin Fields over
his passing Traveon Henderson under his rushing Drake May over
five and a half rushing attempts. Okay, I want some
prop bets. Those are things I like, but I'm not
betting them as now. I'm not officially betting them for
(13:08):
the podcast, but I am eyeballing those and I will
watch those as we go throughout the entire day. Justin
Field's passing prop is down to one thirty four and
a half. That is stupid low for a passing prop
here tonight for Justin Fields. That is a five star
play on the prop bet chie sheet. If you're curious
one hockey bet to get into here for today, let's
talk about overs five and a half. I told you
(13:31):
guys to bet this on the Discord channel because the
numbers moving. Some books are at five and a half,
some books are at six. The Toronto may bele leiefs
are fifteen and two to the over this year fifteen
and two. Ten straight games for the Toronto maple Leiefs
have gone over. This is going to be a pretty
(13:51):
fun hockey night, and I'll have a bunch of personal
plays going for hockey. But the La Kings up against
the Toronto may Beliefs. The totals five and a half
at minus one thirty. Some books are at six minus
one ten. I mean, these numbers are ridiculous for Toronto.
Five to one, sorry, five to three, five to four,
five to three, five to three, four to three, last
(14:14):
five games for Toronto, they've lost the last three games,
mind you, but this is an offensive minded team. This
is a team that's not getting great goaltending either, goaltender
in net. I don't really care. If it's Kemper coming
up for the Kings, that's not great for this. But
maybe it's a five to one win here for the
Kings and we're good. It's possible given how poorly Toronto
(14:36):
has played here. But if you get a six, I
think you have a decent push potential with a four
to two final. But I think over five and a half,
if you can find it, I think that's the right
play here for this. Just keep on betting Toronto they're
at home, keep on betting them over here at home.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
This year they're nine to one.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
Toronto is at home this year to the over on
the road this year for the LA they're five and five,
so they're flat. But when you have a Toronto team
that's giving up so many goals, go right ahead and
jump on that if you want something extra or some
extra plays here for today. These are bets that I
will make personally. But Boston and Ottawa, this is it
(15:17):
is kind of crazy. The Bruins are to a first
period over sixty four point seven percent of the time,
eleven of seventeen games first period over, Ottawa eleven of
sixteen games first period over. But these two teams played
each other three games ago and it didn't go over
in the first period. So that's why be careful of
(15:38):
that because I could see it being won nothing again
and then you lose on this. But Boston and Ottawa
both have been very popular teams first period over one
and a half goals, you can you can bet the
game over, but it's six and a half, so it's
high for Boston and Ottawa. But the Bruins have been
a very good over bet this year so far the
Bruins over the last let's see, oh, last ten games
(16:01):
for the Bruins er seven and three to the over.
Ottawa is what five to four and one Ottawa is
over their last ten games to the over, So I
don't mind an overplay there. But Anaheim is back in
action and Anaheim has been an absolute cash cow for
betting first period overs. Eleven of fifteen games first period
(16:25):
over for Anaheim. That's seventy three percent for the Anaheim
Ducks to a first period over. They're also great from
a gift perspective, if you want to jump in on that.
For a goal in the first ten minutes for Anaheim,
that's twelve of fifteen games, eighty percent goal in the
first ten minutes. But they're playing Detroit, and this is
(16:46):
why it's not official, because Detroit fifty percent for a
gift go in the first ten minutes, and then for
them for a going over in the first period only
fifty percent for Detroit. So I'm a little bit hesitant, say,
you could wind up having a one nothing first period
and then you don't get it. So that's why it's
not official. But those are a lot of plays and
(17:08):
options that I've given you guys here for today.
Speaker 1 (17:10):
It's kind of where I am at the moment. Like
you know, when you're.
Speaker 2 (17:15):
Cold, you tend to see the board, and then you
just don't see the board all that clearly. So you
see plays you could make, and then plays you want
to make, and then you do make, and then the
plays you want to make or you like that you
don't play hit and the plays that you did bet don't.
It's kind of the way these things kind of work out.
If you want to hear me talk even more about
(17:35):
these games and break down this Patriots Jet game even more,
you can do so on my show, The Bostonian Versus
the Book BVB as we call it. It airs on
at Boston Versus the Book on YouTube and x at
one pm Eastern Time Monday through Friday. Audio podcasts follow
wherever you guys get your audio podcasts. Obviously a huge game,
(17:57):
obviously lots of prop bets to look at and have
a good time with and get involved. Will do full
breakdowns of Jets and the Patriots, plus the NHL schedule
and the NBA slate will recap what's going on with
Jokich tonight. Yokic had fifty two points in the third
through three quarters tonight for the Denver Nuggets, So we'll
see what he winds up with at Boston Versus the
(18:17):
Book on ex Twitter and on YouTube one pm Eastern time.
Live audio podcast follows for the Bostonian Versus the Book
today at one pm Eastern Time. My name is Matt Parolt.
You guys involve me across all my socials at Sports
Talk Matt. Wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is
the Daily Juice
What's up, guys.
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of
the Daily Juice Podcast.
Speaker 1 (00:19):
My name is Matt Parrelt.
Speaker 2 (00:20):
You guys can follow me across all of my socials
at Sports Talk Matt, and unfortunately we can't shake this
for whatever reason. I'll have something to talk about with
the prop bet cheat sheet here in just one second.
But a one in three day. The only bet we
get right is the hockey play and that was the
hard rock bet of the day. We're now three to
oher on the hard rock bet of the day. It's
(00:43):
just everything else went to crap. I mean, you Mass
gave up forty five points themselves. I mean and I
you went over that by themselves forty five to three.
The final U Mass actually set off a fireworks show
for the three points they scored. Duncan Robinson went way
over and Allen equally goes way over. And that takes
us to the prop bet cheat sheet. Okay, here here
(01:05):
is something to talk about with the prop bet cheat sheet.
This happened last year pretty much right around this time.
I think it was a little bit later last year,
but and some of you guys commented on this during
on the on the Discord channel, and you're correct if
you look at the prop bet cheat sheet on say. Okay,
so it's right now, it is nine to thirty Pacific
(01:27):
time that I am taping this on Wednesday night. If
I go and look at the prop bet cheat sheet
right now, the bets that are listed as five star
plays will be different tomorrow morning.
Speaker 1 (01:39):
Why, here's what I've been told.
Speaker 2 (01:42):
The algorithm takes a look at the bet, the points,
who is playing, who is not, and what the numbers
are the movement for the prop so numbers going up,
numbers going down. So by the time the games went
off yesterday, Grayceon Allen points and rebounds was not a
(02:02):
five star play. Neither was Duncan Robinson. In fact, the
numbers moved, it moved up. Duncan Robinson closed at eighteen
and a half and Grayson Allen closed at about twenty
one and a half for points and rebounds. So that
means to me, that signals to me that we're back
to where we were last year, which is we don't
(02:23):
bet with the prop bet cheat sheet for the NBA.
And remember I have hit at sixty six percent with
the prop bet cheat sheet doing this, Okay, it doesn't
mean we win every night, and there are zero to
two's and owen threes and bad weeks and bad months.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
Okay, it's not like a full proof. We're not gonna win.
Speaker 2 (02:39):
Every bet, but we've won a lot more than what
we have lost. By doing this, you're gonna have to
do a little extra work. And the reason why not
everyone loves me to do this is because it does
create a secondary barrier for you.
Speaker 1 (02:52):
Guys have to go get the bets.
Speaker 2 (02:53):
So if you want to trail the prop bet cheat
sheet picks that I will make, and I'll make at
least one today for the m maybe two if I
like them, I'm gonna start by putting them on the
Discord channel.
Speaker 1 (03:05):
Okay, I'm telling you right now.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
The powers that be, they're gonna want me to put
it on the Betting Pros app. Okay, that's gonna happen.
So for today, I'm gonna put it on the Discord channel.
I will also put it on the app if you're
on the Discord channel, because I've asked you guys to
go and be a part of the Discord channel. Okay,
Bettingpros dot Com slash chat in the Daily Juice portion
(03:29):
that channel on our Discord That's where I will put
now at everyone so everyone will see it. I will
put the prop that I'm going to bet for the NBA.
I will also put it on the app. But I'm
just warning you that I'm pretty confident that the order
will be handed down relatively soon that Matt, don't put
it on the Discord channel, put.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
It on the app.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
Okay, So if you haven't downloaded the Betting Pros app yet,
you should probably go and do so, because I will
start to put the prop bet on on the Betting
Pros app. Go down on the app and then search
at Sports Talk Matt. It's my handle on the app.
It's my handle on Discord and you'll be able to
follow me there and get the plays, and you can
set alerts. It'll alert you on the app. Or said,
(04:14):
you're going to be a notification when that play is made.
So we're now.
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Going to do that day off.
Speaker 2 (04:20):
Okay, so NBA player props when we start making those
plays and will make them consistently. When we make those bets,
they're not going to be on the Deal Juice podcast. Okay,
just heads up, they're not going to be on the
Deal Juice Podcast. Just to let you guys know, today's
podcast is being brought to you by our friends at
hard Rock Bet. Have you guys gone and checked out
(04:42):
hard rock Bet yet? They are the presenting sponsor during
this time of the year where there's so much to
bet on. Pro football Tonight Thursday Night Football, let's go
NBA college football, college troops all.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
On the same stage. There's always something to bet on.
Speaker 2 (04:56):
First bet for five bucks if it hits, you get
that and you get your winnings. Plus I you had
one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets with your
first bet at hard rock Bet. Check out the hard
rock Bet stats hub for trend streaks and stats. Hard
Rock Bet is the only legal sportsbook in Florida, but
it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois,
(05:16):
and Colorado. More states coming plus. Hard Rock Bet offers
new promos every day. Download the hard rock Bet app
and make your first deposit.
Speaker 1 (05:25):
Two day payble and bonus.
Speaker 3 (05:27):
Bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe
of Florida. In Florida, offered by the Seminal hard Rock
digital LLC in other states. Must be twenty one and
physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about
gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight Admit it.
In Indiana, if you are something you know as a
gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and
nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,
(05:50):
in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 2 (05:52):
Okay, let's talk about tonight's game Patriots Jets. I have
gone over this game fifteen times in my head, and
when you're cold, you tend to overthink things like this
is just what happens when you're not hitting. And I
have not been hitting for almost two months now. We've
been cold all of October now here halfway into November,
we've been cold. So eventually it starts to play tricks
(06:15):
with me, and I start to kind of struggle and
overthink things because I have thought about same game, teasing
this taking the Patriots from twelve and a half down
to six and a half, taking the total down from
forty three down to thirty seven and thirty seven and
going over.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
You can do that. I have thought about betting initially.
When I taped on.
Speaker 2 (06:34):
Tuesday with Pat fitz Morris our look ahead numbers, I
was on the under. I was on the under, and
I thought, Okay, the Jets aren't going to score on
this Patriots defense because they won't run the football, because
no one runs the football, and Justin Fields will have
to throw the football. But as I looked at the
numbers and I went again, this is where you become
(06:57):
a little bit on the second guest side of things.
But the Jets are six and three to the over
and the Patriots are six and four to be over.
The Patriots last four games have gone over, the Jets
last two games have gone over, and they just traded
away their two best defensive players. So last week they
win twenty seven to twenty. The problem with this is
(07:17):
their defense wasn't awful against a Cleveland Browns team that can,
you know, at times, move the football. Against Sinzy, they
scored thirty nine points and they gave up thirty eight points.
I am really concerned that the Patriots team total being
twenty seven and a half is sort of a trap.
Because I looked at it, I was like, Okay, let's
(07:38):
go Patriots. Team totals twenty seven and a half. Could
the pat score twenty seven? Yes, very possible. So I
was like, mm all right, twenty four to twenty. That
gets that's over. Okay, how many points will the Jets score? Ah, look,
they're not going to run the ball, but the Patriots
(07:58):
can be thrown on defense. Gave up twenty three points
to Tampa, twenty three points to Atlanta, thirteen points to Cleveland,
thirteen points to Tennessee, nineteen points to New Orleans, twenty
points to the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1 (08:13):
Patriots have been playing great.
Speaker 2 (08:14):
I'm not denying that you could bet the over twenty
seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (08:18):
That would I mean?
Speaker 2 (08:19):
But they scored twenty eight on the road against Tampa,
twenty four against Atlanta, thirty two against Cleveland, thirty one
against Tennessee, and twenty five against New Orleans, twenty three
against Buffalo, forty two against Carolina. I could see the
Patriots scoring a ton of points here tonight. I really could.
The number is twelve and a half. The Patriots might
kill the Jets, and you might just go lay the
(08:39):
points with the Patriots lay.
Speaker 1 (08:41):
The twelve and a half.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
I can't do it. It's a divisional game on a
short week. If this wasn't my team playing, I would
tell you to take the Jets. In fact, I'm going
to take the Jets personally, Okay.
Speaker 1 (08:55):
I'm gonna look around.
Speaker 2 (08:56):
I'm gonna wait for this number to climb today because
I think this number is going to at thirteen and
a half. That twelve and a half. It's climbing. But
this is a short week game. Again, if it wasn't
my team, the handicap is the Jets. The handicap is
to take the Jets. It's been too easily bet. The
(09:17):
Patriots have won seven games in a row. They're six
and one ats over those seven games, but their last
four games going over in the last two games, are
the Jets going over? That at least says okay, if
the Patriots are going to blow out the Jets, the
game should go over. So if I like the Patriots
to win, because I do, then the Patriots defense comes
(09:37):
in and how many points.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Do the Patriots d how do they give up?
Speaker 2 (09:41):
And if the Patriots are going to be in the game,
you have to assume that the Jets would score twenty.
If the Jets score twenty, are they really going to
hold the Patriots down to like seventeen points? I mean,
I guess. But the Patriots this year offensively, I mean,
they haven't scored since the Pittsburgh game. They scored fourteen
(10:01):
points and they had two fumbles on the goal line.
They should have scored twenty eight points in that game
that went under. The Vegas game opener, they lost twenty
to thirteen. They only scored thirteen points that game went under.
But those are the two only home games that have
gone over that have gone under for the Patriots. And
they're a different football team than they were against Vegas
and against the Steelers, Like this is a totally different team.
(10:24):
But I don't think Trevon Henderson goes off today. I
do think the Patriots are going to throw the ball
and Drake May is going to run the ball, and
Drake May is going to have a chance to throw
all over this Jets defense. I do think the Jets
are in trouble there. So Patriots go and score four touchdowns?
Is that possible? Yeah, I think that's really possible. So again,
team total Patriots. I like Patriots laying twelve and a half, No,
(10:48):
thank you. I would I say take the Jets plus
twelve and a half. But I've gone back and forth,
back and forth. I'm just gonna go with what I
think is the most logical thing to happen. I think
the most logic thing is that the Patriots score between
twenty four and thirty one points somewhere in that range, okay,
and the Patriots give up somewhere in the range of
(11:10):
twenty points to the Jets.
Speaker 1 (11:12):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (11:13):
Maybe it's garbage time, maybe it's it doesn't matter. But
I do think the Jets are going to be even
without Garrett Wilson. And I know you could say, well,
Matt Garrett Wilson, who's gonna do it. We've just seen
this before where players on a short week they just
rise up and they do big things.
Speaker 1 (11:28):
You know, they just it happens.
Speaker 2 (11:31):
Garret Wilson, I guess is questionable, but I doubt he plays.
I mean, I don't think Garrolson's going to play in
this game here for tonight. Pretty much sounds like he's
going to be out. But you know, Brice Hall equally,
what does Brice Hall do tonight.
Speaker 1 (11:45):
It's a short week, it's a rivalry game. Again.
Speaker 2 (11:48):
My initial first thought, my first read on Tuesday, was
to bet the under. But then I started to really
poke around, and I think both teams are going to score.
We might need a special teams play in here, we
might need a pick six, or we might need a
fumble setting up the offenses. But again, fade it if
you want. I'm not gonna be mad. I've been nice cold.
(12:10):
I'm completely stumped by this game. I don't love this
bet by any means, but I'll take the over forty three.
I bet over forty three for the Patriots and the Jets.
This number opened up at forty five and a half.
It's been bet down to forty three, so a lot
of pro money come is like in the under. I
don't know if this is a headfake and we see
a ton of money when the limits open up tomorrow
or today on Thursday, we see all overs money. But
(12:31):
I'm gonna come in and bet the over forty three
on the Patriots and the Jets.
Speaker 1 (12:36):
Maybe we get off to a really fast start and.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
That thing explodes back up to like fifty two to
fifty three or something, and we can middle, it bet
the under and hopefully have some type of middle.
Speaker 1 (12:46):
So that's how I'm gonna play it.
Speaker 2 (12:47):
But first initial play is just take a plant the
flag with the over forty three for the Patriots and
the Jets. Prop bets if you like Justin Fields over
his passing Traveon Henderson under his rushing Drake May over
five and a half rushing attempts. Okay, I want some
prop bets. Those are things I like, but I'm not
betting them as now. I'm not officially betting them for
(13:08):
the podcast, but I am eyeballing those and I will
watch those as we go throughout the entire day. Justin
Field's passing prop is down to one thirty four and
a half. That is stupid low for a passing prop
here tonight for Justin Fields. That is a five star
play on the prop bet chie sheet. If you're curious
one hockey bet to get into here for today, let's
talk about overs five and a half. I told you
(13:31):
guys to bet this on the Discord channel because the
numbers moving. Some books are at five and a half,
some books are at six. The Toronto may bele leiefs
are fifteen and two to the over this year fifteen
and two. Ten straight games for the Toronto maple Leiefs
have gone over. This is going to be a pretty
(13:51):
fun hockey night, and I'll have a bunch of personal
plays going for hockey. But the La Kings up against
the Toronto may Beliefs. The totals five and a half
at minus one thirty. Some books are at six minus
one ten. I mean, these numbers are ridiculous for Toronto.
Five to one, sorry, five to three, five to four,
five to three, five to three, four to three, last
(14:14):
five games for Toronto, they've lost the last three games,
mind you, but this is an offensive minded team. This
is a team that's not getting great goaltending either, goaltender
in net. I don't really care. If it's Kemper coming
up for the Kings, that's not great for this. But
maybe it's a five to one win here for the
Kings and we're good. It's possible given how poorly Toronto
(14:36):
has played here. But if you get a six, I
think you have a decent push potential with a four
to two final. But I think over five and a half,
if you can find it, I think that's the right
play here for this. Just keep on betting Toronto they're
at home, keep on betting them over here at home.
Speaker 1 (14:52):
This year they're nine to one.
Speaker 2 (14:55):
Toronto is at home this year to the over on
the road this year for the LA they're five and five,
so they're flat. But when you have a Toronto team
that's giving up so many goals, go right ahead and
jump on that if you want something extra or some
extra plays here for today. These are bets that I
will make personally. But Boston and Ottawa, this is it
(15:17):
is kind of crazy. The Bruins are to a first
period over sixty four point seven percent of the time,
eleven of seventeen games first period over, Ottawa eleven of
sixteen games first period over. But these two teams played
each other three games ago and it didn't go over
in the first period. So that's why be careful of
(15:38):
that because I could see it being won nothing again
and then you lose on this. But Boston and Ottawa
both have been very popular teams first period over one
and a half goals, you can you can bet the
game over, but it's six and a half, so it's
high for Boston and Ottawa. But the Bruins have been
a very good over bet this year so far the
Bruins over the last let's see, oh, last ten games
(16:01):
for the Bruins er seven and three to the over.
Ottawa is what five to four and one Ottawa is
over their last ten games to the over, So I
don't mind an overplay there. But Anaheim is back in
action and Anaheim has been an absolute cash cow for
betting first period overs. Eleven of fifteen games first period
(16:25):
over for Anaheim. That's seventy three percent for the Anaheim
Ducks to a first period over. They're also great from
a gift perspective, if you want to jump in on that.
For a goal in the first ten minutes for Anaheim,
that's twelve of fifteen games, eighty percent goal in the
first ten minutes. But they're playing Detroit, and this is
(16:46):
why it's not official, because Detroit fifty percent for a
gift go in the first ten minutes, and then for
them for a going over in the first period only
fifty percent for Detroit. So I'm a little bit hesitant, say,
you could wind up having a one nothing first period
and then you don't get it. So that's why it's
not official. But those are a lot of plays and
(17:08):
options that I've given you guys here for today.
Speaker 1 (17:10):
It's kind of where I am at the moment. Like
you know, when you're.
Speaker 2 (17:15):
Cold, you tend to see the board, and then you
just don't see the board all that clearly. So you
see plays you could make, and then plays you want
to make, and then you do make, and then the
plays you want to make or you like that you
don't play hit and the plays that you did bet don't.
It's kind of the way these things kind of work out.
If you want to hear me talk even more about
(17:35):
these games and break down this Patriots Jet game even more,
you can do so on my show, The Bostonian Versus
the Book BVB as we call it. It airs on
at Boston Versus the Book on YouTube and x at
one pm Eastern Time Monday through Friday. Audio podcasts follow
wherever you guys get your audio podcasts. Obviously a huge game,
(17:57):
obviously lots of prop bets to look at and have
a good time with and get involved. Will do full
breakdowns of Jets and the Patriots, plus the NHL schedule
and the NBA slate will recap what's going on with
Jokich tonight. Yokic had fifty two points in the third
through three quarters tonight for the Denver Nuggets, So we'll
see what he winds up with at Boston Versus the
(18:17):
Book on ex Twitter and on YouTube one pm Eastern time.
Live audio podcast follows for the Bostonian Versus the Book
today at one pm Eastern Time. My name is Matt Parolt.
You guys involve me across all my socials at Sports
Talk Matt. Wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is
the Daily Juice
Popular Podcasts
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
Las Culturistas with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang
Ding dong! Join your culture consultants, Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang, on an unforgettable journey into the beating heart of CULTURE. Alongside sizzling special guests, they GET INTO the hottest pop-culture moments of the day and the formative cultural experiences that turned them into Culturistas. Produced by the Big Money Players Network and iHeartRadio.
Crime Junkie
Does hearing about a true crime case always leave you scouring the internet for the truth behind the story? Dive into your next mystery with Crime Junkie. Every Monday, join your host Ashley Flowers as she unravels all the details of infamous and underreported true crime cases with her best friend Brit Prawat. From cold cases to missing persons and heroes in our community who seek justice, Crime Junkie is your destination for theories and stories you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a seasoned true crime enthusiast or new to the genre, you'll find yourself on the edge of your seat awaiting a new episode every Monday. If you can never get enough true crime... Congratulations, you’ve found your people. Follow to join a community of Crime Junkies! Crime Junkie is presented by audiochuck Media Company.