Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Pereltz. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt, and we are back after not a
great week so far Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. Well Tuesday was tiny,
but we were down a unit plus on Monday and
we're down a unit plus on Wednesday. So we're basically
(00:40):
like down two and a half two point seventy five
units for the week. Now we've got Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
and Sunday to climb out of it. So bad start
to the week does not mean we're going to have
a losing week. But the Celtics and the Sixers, what
was that forty four points scored by the Sixers in
the fourth quarter? That game was trending perfectly and then
all of a sudden we just got burned. There did
(01:00):
two thirty three Cleveland and New York goes over to
twenty six.
Speaker 1 (01:04):
And a half. And the bad bet of the night
was the Dallas Mavericks.
Speaker 2 (01:07):
They got smote by Victor Webbiyama the Spurs. Okay, that
was pretty good. It was one game. It was an opener.
But that team looks good like Western Conference problem good
Victor wen Byama all, I mean everyone already the Shoho
(01:29):
Tani stuff is already jumping off the screen when you
look at him, just as the freak of nature. But
what a game, what a performance, domination on both ends
of the floor. He's got help, Harper was good. Castle's great.
Uh oh Sixers, I mean sorry, the Spurs, uh oh,
(01:51):
they looked they looked good. So a one in two Monday,
one in one Tuesday, in a one and two Wednesday
for us, and we had to Thursday. I've got three
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(02:13):
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(02:34):
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Speaker 3 (03:01):
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Speaker 2 (03:27):
Let's start in Well, we have hockey, we have football,
we have basketball. The game that I'm actually the most
intrigued on the night is Denver on the road at
Golden State.
Speaker 1 (03:40):
It's only two games tonight on the schedule for the NBA.
Speaker 2 (03:42):
But the fact this number has flipped from the Nuggets
minus one to the Warriors plus two and a half.
Is that because of the recency bias or is somebody
out for the Denver Nuggets. I don't know. I have
looked around. I've tried to find something. This is the
danger of betting overnight. Maybe I'm just dead wrong, But
(04:03):
when it comes to steam early in the NBA, I
tend to fade it. Look, Denver is really good, and
I don't know how the Warriors are going to guard Jokic. Now,
Michael Porter Junior has been traded away, so this is
kind of a new look Denver Nuggets team. But this
Denver team is going to be a problem. Like this
(04:25):
Denver team is going to be good. They have the
best player, Jamal Murray, also tremendous, Christian Braun just got
a big new contract for him. Russell Westbrook, you know,
not being a part of this pro team anymore, I
think is just audition by subtraction. I liked Michael Porter
Junior being on this team. But you know, I think
this is the bench is different for the Denver Nuggets.
(04:49):
It's a deeper bench and what they've had in years past.
And I look, the Warriors have been tremendous. We talked
about it. They're twenty four and eight when Brett when
they have Curry, Butler, and Green all on the court
at the same time. But again, this is Denver catching
two and a half points on the road and the
(05:10):
best player in This is Game one for the Nuggets
in a huge situation. Again, this number totally flipped. The
Nuggets were favored at open. Now it's two and a
half for the Golden State Warriors. You know, maybe the
pros know something, but I'm gonna fade it. I'm gonna
take the Nuggets plus the points. Maybe the Warriors win
by two. But once it crossed two and the two
(05:32):
and a half. Give me Denver. I'll take Denver a
plus two and a half here, and I love the Warriors.
I like their team a lot, but I'm getting points
on the opener for the Denver Nuggets. Give me Jokic
plus two and a half here for Denver. Bet number two,
we go to the Chargers and the Vikings. I have
(05:52):
no idea. I'm just being frank. I don't know who wins.
I have no clue what this game looks like, except
I don't trust either defense. I know Brian Flores is
a very good defensive coordinator, but I haven't liked what
we've seen the last couple of weeks. I didn't like
it last week when he could not figure out that
the Eagles were throwing the ball deep. They geared up
(06:13):
to stop the run, and they got burned over the
top multiple times.
Speaker 1 (06:16):
Jalen Hurts killed them.
Speaker 2 (06:17):
Does Carson Wentz do the same thing, I mean, I mean, sorry,
does Justin Herbert to do the same thing?
Speaker 1 (06:22):
Maybe very very possible.
Speaker 2 (06:25):
I'm just not a very big fan of what's going
on with the Vikings defense at the moment. Justin Herbert
has got weapons to throw the football down the field
to on the flip side, Carson Wentz throws too many picks.
The reason why the Vikings lost to the Eagles was
because of Carson Wentz his pick six. So I can't
get behind and say, okay, the Vikings plus three plus.
Speaker 1 (06:47):
Three and a half.
Speaker 2 (06:48):
And I'm not laying it with the Chargers either at home,
even though I think they are the right side. I
think the Chargers win the game four and three Chargers
three and three, Vikings. It's at so, but the Chargers
just gave up thirty eight points to the Colts.
Speaker 1 (07:06):
Like their defense is trash as well.
Speaker 2 (07:09):
The only thing, the only play, the only logical thing
to do with this, in my opinion, is the over.
It's forty four and a half. I don't like the
Vikings defense. I don't like the Chargers defense. I like
the Chargers offense. I don't really love the Vikings offense,
but I like it good enough to put points up
on the board to have either team. I don't know
who wins. Both teams might score. I mean thirty to
(07:32):
twenty seven type final. I think this is a shootouts.
I think this is an up and down, back and
forth battle. Neither defense stopping the other. I know unders
on Thursday night tend to be profitable, but I'm going over.
I just don't trust these offenses. I mean, these defense
are rather against these against these offenses. Give me the
over chargers Vikings over forty four and a half for
(07:56):
one point one units. Guys, have you you gone and
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I don't know who's in net for these teams here tonight.
And that's one little bit of a hiccup, because obviously
it's difficult to do that to know that when you're
betting overnight, you don't know. However, I went and found
(08:40):
it kind of a wild stap Denver and Colorado four
games in a row. These teams have played four straightovers,
and the overs are normally six and a half four
straight games, the total being six and a half. All
four games went over. Current total for this game is
(09:02):
five and a half. Five and a half. Okay, I
think we see a high scoring game here. I think
we see offense. I think we see not great goaltending.
And look at the history tells us these teams go
up and down. These teams go fast. Look against Utah
(09:26):
four to three overtime loss. In the last game for Colorado,
they gave up four goals on the road. They score,
They score four goals against Boston. They scored four goals
against Columbus on the road. They were three to one
winners against Buffalo coming up on the road, five to
four against Dallas back on October the eleventh. On October
(09:51):
the ninth, it was two to one against Utah against
the Kings. It was four to one on opening night
for the Colorado Avalanche. I mean, this is a team
right now in terms of overs. They've had won just
two games go over, but most of their totals are
six or six and a half. This is five and
a half for Carolina four to one loss in their
(10:13):
last game to Vegas four to three win over La
the game before that for to one win over Anaheim,
five to one win over San Jose. They went one
in three or three and one to the over on
the last four game road trip. This is a fifth
game of that road trip. Tired legs may be a
foot here for Carolina. That means offensive opportunities for the
(10:36):
Avalanche five and a half. We're going over it to
a little juicy, but I'm gonna lay it down. I'm
gonna lay the minus one thirty for Colorado and Carolina
over five and a half. In fact, they might go
over six and a half in my mind coming up
here for this game on Thursday Night. So plays for
tonight Denver plus two and a half in the NBA
(10:57):
on the road against the Golden State Warriors the Chargers
in the Vikings on Thursday Night football, we're going over
forty four and a half for that game on Thursday
night in Colorado and Carolina. In the NHL, we're going
over five and a half at minus one thirty. If
you guys want to hear more picks, plays and breakdown
everything happening in the NHL, NBA, NFL and more. You
(11:20):
can join me later on today on The Bostonian Versus
the Book. That is a show that will air on
YouTube and Twitter at one pm Eastern Time live. Just
search at Boston Versus the Book on YouTube or x
or you can go listen to the audio podcast that
will drop after it is over by just searching at
Boston Versus the Book. Wherever you get your audio podcasts.
(11:42):
The show is replayed on sports grid TV every night
at ten pm Pacific time. My name's Matt Parolic. You
guys can follow me across all my socials at Sports
Talk Matt every morning.
Speaker 1 (11:54):
Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is The Daily
Juice pnside PST PST
Speaker 2 (12:05):
From the Sunt Put the Sunder