Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:16):
How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralt. You guys
can follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk.
Matt and we were back after a one in one
night for us. We were heavy on the futures yesterday,
but we wind up going one in one. If you
were on the Discord channel chat, you saw me when
I said take okayc plus two and a half at
(00:38):
the beginning of the second overtime, and that cashed because
okay See won the game, but our pre flop loss
came in with under seven and a half. The Warriors
win easily over the Lakers. The Lakers are going to stink,
as we talked about last night, but the Warriors looked
very good. I like the Warriors a lot. I like
what Jimmy Butler looked like last night, thirty one points
(00:59):
for him with Steph. I'm high on the Warriors. I
think they're going to be a formidable opponent here for
the OKAC Thunder and other teams in the Western Conference.
So one in one, down point one, so it's a
flat day. But we lost on Monday, so we're off
to a losing start to the week on Monday and Tuesday.
As we head here into a Wednesday, it is an
(01:21):
NBA day again. Today, I'm not going to bet hockey,
and then baseball starts Friday.
Speaker 1 (01:27):
Tomorrow night.
Speaker 2 (01:28):
We have NFL football, So we will do basketball today
and then we'll do football tomorrow, and then we'll do
baseball on Friday, and then we'll see Saturday on the
weekends and whatnot as we roll. So just heads up, FYI,
as the week is going to roll for us. However,
for those of you asking about the prop bet cheat sheet,
and for those of you asking about the prop bets
that we did very well with last year, you have
(01:50):
to allow the prop bet cheat sheet. The algorithm needs data,
and so anything that's being projected right now is off
of last season, and so even the bets I'm gonna
give you here tonight today for the NBA, it's all projections, right,
it's all I mean, we're flying blind in the beginning
(02:10):
part of the NBA season, and really this is kind
of how I do it. I come out of the gate,
I make some plays early. We hope to be basically
five hundred, and then we let things marinate and we'll
go and bet football, and then we'll come back to
the NBA next week. After about ten days. That's when
I tend to look at the prop bet cheat sheet
(02:31):
and start to pull NBA prop bets. So look at
it's October. We're going to be betting the NBA consistently
from now until June. Okay, So, like I know there's
this added, like where are the prop bets? It was
so good last year. Hold on a second, we're going
to get into the prop bets. But I use the
prop bet cheat sheets and let's let these games be played,
(02:53):
and we need a couple of games for each team
before we get to any real data to be able
to pull from. So again, even the bets I'm making today,
we are flying blind on this. We're just using some
data from last year and some common sense to make
the projection right. I think the Lakers are going to stink.
I like the Warriors. The Warriors remind us two point favorites.
(03:14):
Easy pasy, make the bet. Okay, bet the Warriors. That
was the easy play. The OKAC Thunder got their ring
game with a double overtime. It was an incredible matchup.
Thunder are going to be are going to be very good,
but the Rockets are going to be equally good. I
doubt the Rockets are going to be you know, seven
and a half point dogs much ever again this season
(03:34):
given Kevin Durant and everything else. So great game, great performance,
but the Warriors. Sorry, but the Thunder win the game.
They just don't cover the seven and a half point spread,
so one in one I will take it. Before we
get into the picks for today, a reminder that this
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Speaker 1 (04:47):
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Speaker 1 (05:13):
All right, so let's start with the Celtics.
Speaker 2 (05:16):
I told you last night I like Boston over forty
one and a half wins. Celtics and the Sixers huge rivalry.
Now Boston owned Philly because Joel Embiid could never beat
Al Horford. It's why the Celtics were so excited to
(05:37):
bring al Horford back after he went to Philadelphia. Sixers were,
you know, we can't beat him, join him type of thing.
So they couldn't beat the Celtics with Al Horford, so
they signed Al Horford.
Speaker 1 (05:48):
So Al Horford went to Philadelphia.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
It was a disaster because well, the Sixers are a disaster,
and so then you go and get al Horford back.
And now Al Horford has gone again. Now Al Horford
is with the Warriors. I love this signing for Al
Horford to go to the Warriors, hated for the Celtics. However,
there is a quote going around and I've been talking
about this Starting five show so much that Netflix should
(06:12):
start paying me because I've been quoting it so much.
But there is an unbelievable quote from the show between
Jalen Brown and Joe Missoula. I was laughing so hard
when I heard it last night that my daughter had
to came in and asked me why I was laughing
so hard and what was so funny?
Speaker 1 (06:31):
And I had to explain to her that.
Speaker 2 (06:34):
Joe Missoula, the head coach of the Celtics, was asked
about it getting into a fight with Jalen Brown and
who would win in a fight between Jalen Brown and
Joe Missoula, and Joe said, well, Jalen will probably win,
but neither one of us are coming out alive, like
literally saying I might lose, but I'm going to kill you.
(06:57):
That is the mentality of the Boston Seltics head coach.
He is insane. I can't stress how much I love
Joe Miszula, like, I absolutely love the guy. He's a
mixed martial artist, he does jiu jitsu.
Speaker 1 (07:15):
He is a no joke, no.
Speaker 2 (07:17):
Frills, no nonsense, take someone out at all costs type
of coach. The Sixers coming to town, I don't think
are prepared for what's gonna happen. Boston's not gonna get
into firefights with teams. We have seen a steady stream
of over money bets come in here over the last
(07:38):
forty eight hours. This number has ballooned from an opener
of two twenty four and a half to now two
twenty eight and a half. I just don't think Boston's
gonna play the way that everybody thinks. I mean, maybe
Boston is gonna play really up tempo and shoot a
(07:59):
ton of threes like they have before. Maybe without Jason
Tatum's ability to drive to the basket, they're gonna shoot
even more threes.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
Maybe.
Speaker 2 (08:07):
But defensively, I think Boston's gonna absolutely lock in and
lock down. I think they know the only way they
can contend is by being the best defensive team in
the league. That they have to play an elite brand
of defense, that Jalen Brown is a great defender, and
the guys like Tyrese Maxi cannot get to the rim.
(08:29):
You cannot allow him to beat you because then Joel
Embiid gets going. Boston doesn't really have an answer for Embiid,
to be quite honest tonight. I mean, I'm not sure
how Boston defends Joel Embiid. It could be just let
Embiid get his and then nobody else gets anything else,
because I'm not sure there's a real matchup. It was
Al Horford and Al's gone, so I am very curious
(08:51):
to see how Boston is going to defend. But I
think Boston's gonna play slower than people think. I think
Boston's gonna be more deliberate, and I'm going to come
in and take the under. It's all the way up
to two twenty eight and a half. You guys might
get two twenty nine, you might get two thirty, you
may get a better number.
Speaker 1 (09:08):
But I think this game goes under.
Speaker 2 (09:10):
I don't think we see you know, a one twenty
to you know to one ten type of basketball game here,
Boston's favored.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
I would lean to Philly a little bit here early
in the year for.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
Boston in particular, if Joel Embiid really goes off. But
I think the best play in the game is the
under Celtics sixers under two twenty eight and a half
for one point one units second bet.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
And I went and.
Speaker 2 (09:37):
Took a look at this a little bit from last year. No,
these are all old stats from last year. However, when
you look at teams on the road being favored like
Cleveland was last year tonight, and look for last year
when Cleveland was on the road in favored last year,
the over hit twenty five times and missed thirteen times.
(09:57):
That's a sixty six percent clip that they went over
when they were a road favorite. As a home underdog.
The new York Knicks. They were only home underdogs six
times last year, five and one to the over. Now
Tibbs is gone. Okay, so you have Mike Brown coming
in new coach. But I think they're gonna play more
(10:18):
up tempo. I think the Knicks are gonna play more
like the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't think they're gonna be deliberate.
I think they're gonna shoot a bunch of threes. I
think they're gonna be a bit more up tempo. And
Cleveland we know what they do. They bomit. They come
in and just start jacking threes. Donovan Mitchell and company.
You know they're basically taking threes from the bus. So
(10:40):
no Max Strus, he's out. No Darius Garland he is out.
Game time decision for DeAndre Hunter, which to me doesn't
hurt the overplay because he's a great defensive player. Karl
Anthony Towns is a game time decision OG and Anobi
is also a game time decision. But Mitchell Robinson is out.
Josh Hart is out for this game for the New
(11:01):
York Knicks. I think we see points. I think it's
up tempo. I think it's up and down. I think
we should a ton of threes. I'm playing the over
over Cleveland and New York over two twenty six and
a half for one point one units. Before we talk
about the last play of the day, let me remind
you about the Ricky Piersol jersey that's available right now.
(11:23):
If you guys want to win it, all you have
to do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel
and comment on this video and we may select you
to win this jersey. Thanks to our friends at Pristine
Auction dot com, a forty nine ers autographed Ricky Piersol
jersey will be given away in the first week of November.
Subscribe to the YouTube channel and comment on this video
(11:44):
to enter in to win that signed jersey. Finally, Dallas
and the Spurs. I am a big fan of Cooper Cup.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
I keep it going.
Speaker 2 (11:56):
I want to call him Cooper Cup. I can't. I
need Cooper Flag. It's like the fifth time today I've
said him the wrong word. But Kyrie Irving is out, okay,
blew out his knee. Acl Will Anthony Davis stay healthy
because the Sixers, because the Lakers really could use him.
Speaker 1 (12:14):
Gonna use him last night.
Speaker 2 (12:15):
But now you have a backcourt where Kyrie Irving at
some point will play when we don't know, but they
brought in D'Angelo Russell to pick up the minutes. Okay,
this is about Cooper Flag and Anthony Davis. Okay, they're
playing Wembi Yama I out of the gate. That's going
(12:37):
to be a very difficult matchup. However, Ryan Nemhart has
played well here in the preseason, the former Creighton point
guard who went to Gonzaga, and he's played pretty well
off the bench, and there's some interesting opportunities maybe for
him to be the quote true point guard. He's undersized,
but maybe he the chance to play a bit more
(12:57):
than people think they need Russell to shoot three. But
I think Cooper Flag announces his presence here. I think
Cooper Flag is going to be such an incredible pro
and such a huge, huge get for the Dallas Mavericks.
Mavericks this season. The number is only two and a
half because I don't think people know exactly what Dallas is.
(13:20):
And frankly, you have Wemby yama and Wemby is Wemby
and he is going to be in the MVP conversation.
I just think you have a home favorite two and
a half. Most people are going to be on Dallas.
It's a popular play. This number probably should be three
and a half or four. So why is it so low?
Probably because the pros are taking the dog and keeping
(13:41):
this number depressed. But I'm going to take Dallas at home.
They're healthy at the moment, well they stay healthy, I
don't know, but I'm going to take it with Cooper
Flag making his NBA debut in the Mavericks to get
a win over the Spurs and Wemby Yama. I can't
wait to watch this game. This is going to be
an awesome game to watch to get a good feel
(14:02):
for where these two teams are. But I'll lay it
Dallas minus two and a half at home against the
San Antonio Spurs. So plays for today Celtics sixers under
two twenty eight and a half, Cleveland Knicks over two
twenty six and a half, and Dallas at home against
the Spurs laying two and a half points. All those
(14:24):
bets for one point one units. My name is Matt Parolz.
You guys can follow me across my socials at sports
Doc Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts.
It is the daily juice