December 10, 2025 • 17 mins
Back-to-Back 2-1 winning nights for host Matt Perrault as he started off the week on the right foot. Matt is back with 3 bets for the NBA Cup tonight and 1 NFL play for the Wednesday episode of the Daily Juice presented by Hard Rock Bet.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:15):
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. And we've opened the week with back
to back winning two and one nights. We get the
two and one last night thanks to both NBA Cup
games coming in for us, the under for the heat
(00:36):
and the magic that comes in in the Knicks take
care of business easily on the road against Toronto, Vegas
lost the game outright in a shootout to the Islanders.
They did tie the game at four with about twenty
seconds to go, so the game does go to a tie.
So some of you guys were packing the tie at
(00:57):
plus three point fifty there, so you got that beat
to cash, but I did not, so I lost that
only one unit though, so it's a plus money play
on the Golden Knights in regulation. So two and one night,
up one unit for us, So up one point nine
units for the week so far. As we continue here
in the month of December, we've had a good December.
Speaker 1 (01:15):
Let's keep it rolling here.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
Coming up for today, Now, I got three bets for
tonight all NBA plays and the hard rock bet of
the Day is for tomorrow for Thursday night, so I'll
give that to you today. That bet is for tomorrow
for our hard rock bet of the Day, so stay
tuned for that. If you are looking for NBA player props, however,
(01:37):
because I know you guys have been asking a lot, Matt,
you haven't been doing them any NBA player props. That's true,
I haven't, But you can do it yourself if you want.
It's all available on the prop bet cheat sheet. If
you want to go and check it out. You can
crush your NBA bets with the prop bet cheat sheet
for the NBA. We've done really well with this historically speaking,
(02:01):
hitting about sixty percent of the time. You've got top
player picks based on projections in sportsbook lines. It's updated
daily with recommended bets for points, rebounds, assists, in more,
and the five star prop bets have a fifty four
percent win rate and are now up over one hundred
and twenty five units in twenty twenty five. Go to
(02:22):
Bettingpros dot com slash NBA props or download the Betting
Pros app to start cashing in. That's bettingpros dot Com
slash NBA Props. Let's start with OKC and their game
at home against the Phoenix Suns. Here, this is the
other side of the knockout round for the NBA Cup.
(02:44):
Winner goes to Vegas for Saturday for the semifinal and
the final on Monday. So the Knicks are coming to Vegas,
which is cool, and the Knicks will face off against
the Orlando Magic. It's a good matchup. So what will
be the other side? Well, Okasee is a fourteen and
a half point favorite. It opened at fifteen and a half.
(03:05):
It's now fourteen and a half, so no one's going
near that except taking the points with the Suns. But
given how often Okasee has blown out teams this season,
it's a little bit difficult to lay or take that number.
Speaker 1 (03:20):
So let's look at the total.
Speaker 2 (03:22):
This comes from Matt Moore at the on the Action Network,
who is a guy who I've known for quite a
long time. They've uncovered he's uncovered that the unders in
knockout round games. This is only like year two, right,
but so far in the quarterfinal knockout rounds, the under
is ten and three in this game and now it's yeah.
(03:43):
I guess now you'd say it's uh, it might be
twelve and three after last night. Both games went under
last night. So here we are with a number that
looks a little bit easy to take. The over between
OKAC and Phoenix. The number is to twenty five and
a half. These teams played a couple of weeks ago,
(04:05):
and you might go, well, Matt, hold on a second.
When these guys played, it's kind of a similar bet
you made last night because the numbers, well, look at
the totals, right. The Knicks took care of business against Toronto.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
They did again.
Speaker 2 (04:17):
The under for the Magic and the heat came in
by thirty points. Didn't go in by thirty points last night,
but the under came in again.
Speaker 1 (04:23):
Well, the over hit When these two.
Speaker 2 (04:26):
Teams played back on the twenty eighth of November in OKC,
the total was two twenty three and a half and
the game went over by eighteen and a half points. However,
in knockout round games, I understand why the under is
coming in consistently because these teams are playing defense.
Speaker 1 (04:44):
These teams are playing it.
Speaker 2 (04:46):
It's not a playoff game, but they're giving you maximum
effort and the rotations are different. The star players are
playing longer, the teams want to win. You weren't seeing
the same, like pull up rotation and be like, eh,
it's a regular seas season game in December.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
I don't care. This matters.
Speaker 2 (05:05):
Ok See is the number one defensive team in the NBA,
giving up just one oh six point nine points per game.
But Phoenix isn't that bad either. Phoenix is eighth in
the NBA in points given up per game at one
thirteen and a half. And you look at Okase's offense
one twenty three. I mean, they crush people. But if
(05:26):
Phoenix can hold them down to one hundred and five
one hundred and ten points, I'm not sure how many
points Phoenix wants up scoring. I mean, okay see one
oh six point nine. Again, this is the number one
defense in the NBA. Their average scoring margin of sixteen
point two is number one.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
In the NBA.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
They're opposing fast break points per game given up is
only ten point six. That's number one in the NBA.
Points in the paint given up thirty eight point eight,
that's number one in the NBA. Opposing assists turnover ratio
is one point three, that is number one in the NBA.
I mean twenty three point nine assists per game. That's
(06:09):
number two in the NBA. This is the best defensive
team in the NBA. In a game that I think
these young kids care coming to Vegas matters, I don't
want to lay fourteen and a half points. I just
don't think Phoenix scores will go ahead and come in
with the under under two twenty five and a half
for OKC and Phoenix for one point one units. Now,
(06:32):
I got two bets on the second game. And while
I just said all that about the under, and I
talked about all this under all the under, under under, right,
I'm gonna bet the over in the late game. And
the reason is the Lakers are on a hell of
a run right now to the over. They are ten
(06:53):
to oher to the over at home this season, the
Lakers are twelve and four to the over against the
Western Conference, and the Spurs are eight and four to
the over and without when Biyama. They are running and
they are scoring. The game against Orlando went under, but
(07:16):
that would be the only game of the last six
that went under for this San Antonio Spurs, and they're
going over by a pretty good clip twenty eight and
a half, seven and a half, thirteen and a half,
three point five is an anomaly, and then thirty six
and a half the game's going over the total. The
total for this game is set at two thirty seven
(07:38):
and a half or to thirty seven, depending on the book.
San Antonio I think will be able to score. The
Lakers with Lebron on the court, they are not good defensively.
In fact, you look at the under came in for
Philadelphia for their last game, went under by thirteen and
a half points, but that snapped a six game streak
(07:59):
of going over for the Lakers, and at home every
game has gone over ten and oh seven and three
over their last ten overall, four and one and four
and one for the Spurs over their last ten games
as well our five games as well. Rather, I think
we see offense. I think we see pace. Even with
(08:23):
the fact that the under has been a good bet
in the knockout rounds.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
Lakers don't play defense with Lebron, they just don't. They run.
Speaker 2 (08:31):
I think Luca has a big game here today. I
think Castle is a big game today. I think just
the guards for the Spurs will score, but the Lakers
will get theirs. I think this is a track meet,
fast game, fast paced game, up and down. I'm taking
the over over two thirty seven. Think I got two
thirty six and a half. Sorry, I got two thirty
six and a half better number two thirty six and
(08:53):
a half for Lakers and the Spurs for one point
one units. Shop around the book I was just looking
at was two thirty seven. I got to thirty six
and a half better number two thirty six and a half.
I don't think it matters. I think this game gets
in the two forties for Sperkrit for the Lais for
the Lakers in the Spurs and second bet, same game.
Let's go to the side and that's five and a half.
It opened up four and a half. It's now five
(09:14):
and a half for the Lakers and the Spurs. The
Lakers are fifteen and eight against the number this year.
They're ten and six against the number against the West.
The Spurs are seven eight and one against the West.
And if when Miyamo is playing in this game, this
number one wouldn't be five and a half and two,
I would give the Spurs a pretty good chance of
(09:34):
winning this game outright. But the Lakers have been really
good at home. The Lakers have been a scoring machine.
And again I like Luca, I like Lebron, I like
offense here.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
I think the.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Lakers score a ton of points tonight here in this game,
and I do think it's two possessions, so it's mainly
kind of over two possessions. But I think there's a
good shot, much like the Nick game yesterday, where I
think the number you can kind of chase steam a bit.
Here Lakers are at home. I think the Lakers will
be locked in and this is not a Spurs team
(10:09):
without Wemby Yama. I just don't think they're the same
team at all in terms of the punch. And I
think the number just isn't great. I mean, they've been okay.
They're two and two over their last five games against
the number. They're three and one straight up, beating New Orleans,
losing to Cleveland, beating Orlando, beating Memphis. They lost to
(10:30):
Minnesota by thirteen. They win over Denver was impressive on
the road. They won at the Nuggets by three. But
I just think this Lakers team at home has been
really good. I think straight up wise, you know, seventeen
and six for the Lakers are seven and three at
home straight up. They're eight and two over their last
(10:50):
ten games in the twelve and four straight up against
the Western Conference, and I do think that they want
to win this game. I do think coming to Vegas,
I think it's up to Lebron wants to have a
team here. I think Lebron playing in Las Vegas, there's
a lot of reasons business wise. I think Lebron wants
this victory. I think he'll be focused. I think he'll
be locked in to win this game. And I think
(11:11):
Luca could have a monster night tonight for the Lakers.
Speaker 1 (11:15):
I'll take La.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I'll lay the five and a half, Lakers minus five
and a half, so OKC in Phoenix under two twenty
five and a half, Lakers Spurs over two thirty six
and a half, and the Lakers minus five and a half.
That takes us to our hard Rock bet of the day.
This is for tomorrow on Thursday Night football between the
(11:37):
Tampa Bay Bucks and the Atlanta Falcons. Man this is
a trend collision course coming up here for this game.
At first and foremost, let me remind you about our
friends at hard Rock Bet that they are the presenting
sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast and they are also
the sponsor of the hard Rock Bet of the Day.
(12:00):
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(12:21):
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(12:43):
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So download the hard Rock Bet app and make your
first deposit today. So let's go to the hard Rock
Bet of the Day Tampa Bay. We're seven and two
now on these bets. Get a load of the trends. Okay,
this is again a complete collision course. Normally, betting Baker
(13:05):
Mayfield as a home favorite.
Speaker 1 (13:06):
Is a very bad deal, a very bad idea.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
Baker Mayfield in fourteen starts at night in primetime is
two and twelve straight up, four and ten against the spread.
Tampa Bay is reeling at the moment. The Bucks are
in complete free fall at the moment. They're now a
five hundred football team. Or sorry, they're seven and six now,
excuse me, but they're three and three straight up at home,
(13:32):
and they have lost four of five. They beat Arizona,
but they've lost to New Orleans, Buffalo, the Rams, and
the Patriots here over the last five games. On the
flip side, though, Atlanta is two and five on the road,
and with Kirk Cousins playing quarterback, they are one in
(13:55):
nine ats. That is horrible, I'm sorry, one in eight
eight ats. Over the last nine starts since twenty twenty two,
Kirk Cousins is seventeen twenty six and one against the spread.
Kirk Cousins in starts in December or later is two
and nine against the spread.
Speaker 1 (14:15):
This number has come.
Speaker 2 (14:16):
All the way down to four because of the injury
to Baker Mayfield. Baker is not healthy, Okay, his left
shoulder is a mess. He does not win at night
in Baker Mayfield as a favorite.
Speaker 1 (14:28):
It's not good.
Speaker 2 (14:29):
He's thirteen twenty four and one as a favorite at home. Okay,
just not good, not good at all. Over the last decade,
Baker's record of twenty two thirty five and one against
the spread is one of the worst in the NFL.
It's actually the worst in the NFL. The second worst
(14:50):
is Kirk Cousins, so we have two diametrically opposing quarterbacks.
Here's the difference outdoor games. This year, the Falcons are
zero and five straight up and two to three against
the number an outdoor game. Since twenty twenty, the Falcons
are eleven and twenty one straight up and they've lost
seven straight games entering this week. And the Falcons got
(15:13):
blasted by the Seahawks at home last week thirty seven
to nine. They were outscored thirty one to three in
the second half, and frankly, I think this Tampa defense,
it's time for them to step up. Okay, it is
time for them to play a four quarter game against
a Falcons team that amazingly enough. When they run the football,
(15:35):
they're a worse team even with Bejhon Robinson. Yes, they've
got a great tight end in Kyle Pitts. It looks
like Drake Lennon is not going to play in this game.
This just has to be an all hands on deck
type game. The Panthers have caught the Bucks for the division.
They play them two times in the next four weeks.
This is a short week. Tampa's at home, Tampa's outside.
(15:57):
I think Tampa wins. I think Tampa cover here. I'm
not trusting Kirk Cousins in primetime. I'm not trusting the
Falcons on the road, and Tampa is absolutely up against it.
Speaker 1 (16:08):
This is a.
Speaker 2 (16:09):
Complete panic spot here where I think this team all
hands on deck. I think the coaching staff knows it.
I think the quarterback knows it. I think the running
backs know it. Everyone knows it. They need Ubuka to
have a big game. I think he can. They need help.
They need a receiver to step up and be the
number one weapon here for Baker Mayfield. I know, look,
(16:30):
betting on Baker as a home favorite is a dangerous proposition.
But this is Kirk Cousins and a Dome team and
the Falcons going outdoors on a short week.
Speaker 1 (16:38):
I'm going in with it link give me.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
Four Tampa Bay minus four at minus one ten for
one point one units for the hard rock bet of
the Day for Thursday Night football. Okay, that's tomorrow. For today,
three plays okay see Phoenix under Lakers, Spurs over and
the Lakers minus five and a half min is Matt Parolt.
(17:00):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (17:06):
It is the Daily Juice
What's up, guys?
Speaker 2 (00:15):
How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of
the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You
guys can follow me across all of my socials at
Sports Talk Matt. And we've opened the week with back
to back winning two and one nights. We get the
two and one last night thanks to both NBA Cup
games coming in for us, the under for the heat
(00:36):
and the magic that comes in in the Knicks take
care of business easily on the road against Toronto, Vegas
lost the game outright in a shootout to the Islanders.
They did tie the game at four with about twenty
seconds to go, so the game does go to a tie.
So some of you guys were packing the tie at
(00:57):
plus three point fifty there, so you got that beat
to cash, but I did not, so I lost that
only one unit though, so it's a plus money play
on the Golden Knights in regulation. So two and one night,
up one unit for us, So up one point nine
units for the week so far. As we continue here
in the month of December, we've had a good December.
Speaker 1 (01:15):
Let's keep it rolling here.
Speaker 2 (01:17):
Coming up for today, Now, I got three bets for
tonight all NBA plays and the hard rock bet of
the Day is for tomorrow for Thursday night, so I'll
give that to you today. That bet is for tomorrow
for our hard rock bet of the Day, so stay
tuned for that. If you are looking for NBA player props, however,
(01:37):
because I know you guys have been asking a lot, Matt,
you haven't been doing them any NBA player props. That's true,
I haven't, But you can do it yourself if you want.
It's all available on the prop bet cheat sheet. If
you want to go and check it out. You can
crush your NBA bets with the prop bet cheat sheet
for the NBA. We've done really well with this historically speaking,
(02:01):
hitting about sixty percent of the time. You've got top
player picks based on projections in sportsbook lines. It's updated
daily with recommended bets for points, rebounds, assists, in more,
and the five star prop bets have a fifty four
percent win rate and are now up over one hundred
and twenty five units in twenty twenty five. Go to
(02:22):
Bettingpros dot com slash NBA props or download the Betting
Pros app to start cashing in. That's bettingpros dot Com
slash NBA Props. Let's start with OKC and their game
at home against the Phoenix Suns. Here, this is the
other side of the knockout round for the NBA Cup.
(02:44):
Winner goes to Vegas for Saturday for the semifinal and
the final on Monday. So the Knicks are coming to Vegas,
which is cool, and the Knicks will face off against
the Orlando Magic. It's a good matchup. So what will
be the other side? Well, Okasee is a fourteen and
a half point favorite. It opened at fifteen and a half.
(03:05):
It's now fourteen and a half, so no one's going
near that except taking the points with the Suns. But
given how often Okasee has blown out teams this season,
it's a little bit difficult to lay or take that number.
Speaker 1 (03:20):
So let's look at the total.
Speaker 2 (03:22):
This comes from Matt Moore at the on the Action Network,
who is a guy who I've known for quite a
long time. They've uncovered he's uncovered that the unders in
knockout round games. This is only like year two, right,
but so far in the quarterfinal knockout rounds, the under
is ten and three in this game and now it's yeah.
(03:43):
I guess now you'd say it's uh, it might be
twelve and three after last night. Both games went under
last night. So here we are with a number that
looks a little bit easy to take. The over between
OKAC and Phoenix. The number is to twenty five and
a half. These teams played a couple of weeks ago,
(04:05):
and you might go, well, Matt, hold on a second.
When these guys played, it's kind of a similar bet
you made last night because the numbers, well, look at
the totals, right. The Knicks took care of business against Toronto.
Speaker 1 (04:16):
They did again.
Speaker 2 (04:17):
The under for the Magic and the heat came in
by thirty points. Didn't go in by thirty points last night,
but the under came in again.
Speaker 1 (04:23):
Well, the over hit When these two.
Speaker 2 (04:26):
Teams played back on the twenty eighth of November in OKC,
the total was two twenty three and a half and
the game went over by eighteen and a half points. However,
in knockout round games, I understand why the under is
coming in consistently because these teams are playing defense.
Speaker 1 (04:44):
These teams are playing it.
Speaker 2 (04:46):
It's not a playoff game, but they're giving you maximum
effort and the rotations are different. The star players are
playing longer, the teams want to win. You weren't seeing
the same, like pull up rotation and be like, eh,
it's a regular seas season game in December.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
I don't care. This matters.
Speaker 2 (05:05):
Ok See is the number one defensive team in the NBA,
giving up just one oh six point nine points per game.
But Phoenix isn't that bad either. Phoenix is eighth in
the NBA in points given up per game at one
thirteen and a half. And you look at Okase's offense
one twenty three. I mean, they crush people. But if
(05:26):
Phoenix can hold them down to one hundred and five
one hundred and ten points, I'm not sure how many
points Phoenix wants up scoring. I mean, okay see one
oh six point nine. Again, this is the number one
defense in the NBA. Their average scoring margin of sixteen
point two is number one.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
In the NBA.
Speaker 2 (05:47):
They're opposing fast break points per game given up is
only ten point six. That's number one in the NBA.
Points in the paint given up thirty eight point eight,
that's number one in the NBA. Opposing assists turnover ratio
is one point three, that is number one in the NBA.
I mean twenty three point nine assists per game. That's
(06:09):
number two in the NBA. This is the best defensive
team in the NBA. In a game that I think
these young kids care coming to Vegas matters, I don't
want to lay fourteen and a half points. I just
don't think Phoenix scores will go ahead and come in
with the under under two twenty five and a half
for OKC and Phoenix for one point one units. Now,
(06:32):
I got two bets on the second game. And while
I just said all that about the under, and I
talked about all this under all the under, under under, right,
I'm gonna bet the over in the late game. And
the reason is the Lakers are on a hell of
a run right now to the over. They are ten
(06:53):
to oher to the over at home this season, the
Lakers are twelve and four to the over against the
Western Conference, and the Spurs are eight and four to
the over and without when Biyama. They are running and
they are scoring. The game against Orlando went under, but
(07:16):
that would be the only game of the last six
that went under for this San Antonio Spurs, and they're
going over by a pretty good clip twenty eight and
a half, seven and a half, thirteen and a half,
three point five is an anomaly, and then thirty six
and a half the game's going over the total. The
total for this game is set at two thirty seven
(07:38):
and a half or to thirty seven, depending on the book.
San Antonio I think will be able to score. The
Lakers with Lebron on the court, they are not good defensively.
In fact, you look at the under came in for
Philadelphia for their last game, went under by thirteen and
a half points, but that snapped a six game streak
(07:59):
of going over for the Lakers, and at home every
game has gone over ten and oh seven and three
over their last ten overall, four and one and four
and one for the Spurs over their last ten games
as well our five games as well. Rather, I think
we see offense. I think we see pace. Even with
(08:23):
the fact that the under has been a good bet
in the knockout rounds.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
Lakers don't play defense with Lebron, they just don't. They run.
Speaker 2 (08:31):
I think Luca has a big game here today. I
think Castle is a big game today. I think just
the guards for the Spurs will score, but the Lakers
will get theirs. I think this is a track meet,
fast game, fast paced game, up and down. I'm taking
the over over two thirty seven. Think I got two
thirty six and a half. Sorry, I got two thirty
six and a half better number two thirty six and
(08:53):
a half for Lakers and the Spurs for one point
one units. Shop around the book I was just looking
at was two thirty seven. I got to thirty six
and a half better number two thirty six and a half.
I don't think it matters. I think this game gets
in the two forties for Sperkrit for the Lais for
the Lakers in the Spurs and second bet, same game.
Let's go to the side and that's five and a half.
It opened up four and a half. It's now five
(09:14):
and a half for the Lakers and the Spurs. The
Lakers are fifteen and eight against the number this year.
They're ten and six against the number against the West.
The Spurs are seven eight and one against the West.
And if when Miyamo is playing in this game, this
number one wouldn't be five and a half and two,
I would give the Spurs a pretty good chance of
(09:34):
winning this game outright. But the Lakers have been really
good at home. The Lakers have been a scoring machine.
And again I like Luca, I like Lebron, I like
offense here.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
I think the.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Lakers score a ton of points tonight here in this game,
and I do think it's two possessions, so it's mainly
kind of over two possessions. But I think there's a
good shot, much like the Nick game yesterday, where I
think the number you can kind of chase steam a bit.
Here Lakers are at home. I think the Lakers will
be locked in and this is not a Spurs team
(10:09):
without Wemby Yama. I just don't think they're the same
team at all in terms of the punch. And I
think the number just isn't great. I mean, they've been okay.
They're two and two over their last five games against
the number. They're three and one straight up, beating New Orleans,
losing to Cleveland, beating Orlando, beating Memphis. They lost to
(10:30):
Minnesota by thirteen. They win over Denver was impressive on
the road. They won at the Nuggets by three. But
I just think this Lakers team at home has been
really good. I think straight up wise, you know, seventeen
and six for the Lakers are seven and three at
home straight up. They're eight and two over their last
(10:50):
ten games in the twelve and four straight up against
the Western Conference, and I do think that they want
to win this game. I do think coming to Vegas,
I think it's up to Lebron wants to have a
team here. I think Lebron playing in Las Vegas, there's
a lot of reasons business wise. I think Lebron wants
this victory. I think he'll be focused. I think he'll
be locked in to win this game. And I think
(11:11):
Luca could have a monster night tonight for the Lakers.
Speaker 1 (11:15):
I'll take La.
Speaker 2 (11:16):
I'll lay the five and a half, Lakers minus five
and a half, so OKC in Phoenix under two twenty
five and a half, Lakers Spurs over two thirty six
and a half, and the Lakers minus five and a half.
That takes us to our hard Rock bet of the day.
This is for tomorrow on Thursday Night football between the
(11:37):
Tampa Bay Bucks and the Atlanta Falcons. Man this is
a trend collision course coming up here for this game.
At first and foremost, let me remind you about our
friends at hard Rock Bet that they are the presenting
sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast and they are also
the sponsor of the hard Rock Bet of the Day.
(12:00):
You guys know, with the holidays here, there is so
much to bet on. There is football, baseball, basket on baseball,
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things to jump into. The whole sports sleigh is completely
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(12:21):
of your winnings. That's for some holiday magic. Hard Rock
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(12:43):
and now Michigan. Hard Rock Bet offers zoom promos daily,
So download the hard Rock Bet app and make your
first deposit today. So let's go to the hard Rock
Bet of the Day Tampa Bay. We're seven and two
now on these bets. Get a load of the trends. Okay,
this is again a complete collision course. Normally, betting Baker
(13:05):
Mayfield as a home favorite.
Speaker 1 (13:06):
Is a very bad deal, a very bad idea.
Speaker 2 (13:09):
Baker Mayfield in fourteen starts at night in primetime is
two and twelve straight up, four and ten against the spread.
Tampa Bay is reeling at the moment. The Bucks are
in complete free fall at the moment. They're now a
five hundred football team. Or sorry, they're seven and six now,
excuse me, but they're three and three straight up at home,
(13:32):
and they have lost four of five. They beat Arizona,
but they've lost to New Orleans, Buffalo, the Rams, and
the Patriots here over the last five games. On the
flip side, though, Atlanta is two and five on the road,
and with Kirk Cousins playing quarterback, they are one in
(13:55):
nine ats. That is horrible, I'm sorry, one in eight
eight ats. Over the last nine starts since twenty twenty two,
Kirk Cousins is seventeen twenty six and one against the spread.
Kirk Cousins in starts in December or later is two
and nine against the spread.
Speaker 1 (14:15):
This number has come.
Speaker 2 (14:16):
All the way down to four because of the injury
to Baker Mayfield. Baker is not healthy, Okay, his left
shoulder is a mess. He does not win at night
in Baker Mayfield as a favorite.
Speaker 1 (14:28):
It's not good.
Speaker 2 (14:29):
He's thirteen twenty four and one as a favorite at home. Okay,
just not good, not good at all. Over the last decade,
Baker's record of twenty two thirty five and one against
the spread is one of the worst in the NFL.
It's actually the worst in the NFL. The second worst
(14:50):
is Kirk Cousins, so we have two diametrically opposing quarterbacks.
Here's the difference outdoor games. This year, the Falcons are
zero and five straight up and two to three against
the number an outdoor game. Since twenty twenty, the Falcons
are eleven and twenty one straight up and they've lost
seven straight games entering this week. And the Falcons got
(15:13):
blasted by the Seahawks at home last week thirty seven
to nine. They were outscored thirty one to three in
the second half, and frankly, I think this Tampa defense,
it's time for them to step up. Okay, it is
time for them to play a four quarter game against
a Falcons team that amazingly enough. When they run the football,
(15:35):
they're a worse team even with Bejhon Robinson. Yes, they've
got a great tight end in Kyle Pitts. It looks
like Drake Lennon is not going to play in this game.
This just has to be an all hands on deck
type game. The Panthers have caught the Bucks for the division.
They play them two times in the next four weeks.
This is a short week. Tampa's at home, Tampa's outside.
(15:57):
I think Tampa wins. I think Tampa cover here. I'm
not trusting Kirk Cousins in primetime. I'm not trusting the
Falcons on the road, and Tampa is absolutely up against it.
Speaker 1 (16:08):
This is a.
Speaker 2 (16:09):
Complete panic spot here where I think this team all
hands on deck. I think the coaching staff knows it.
I think the quarterback knows it. I think the running
backs know it. Everyone knows it. They need Ubuka to
have a big game. I think he can. They need help.
They need a receiver to step up and be the
number one weapon here for Baker Mayfield. I know, look,
(16:30):
betting on Baker as a home favorite is a dangerous proposition.
But this is Kirk Cousins and a Dome team and
the Falcons going outdoors on a short week.
Speaker 1 (16:38):
I'm going in with it link give me.
Speaker 2 (16:40):
Four Tampa Bay minus four at minus one ten for
one point one units for the hard rock bet of
the Day for Thursday Night football. Okay, that's tomorrow. For today,
three plays okay see Phoenix under Lakers, Spurs over and
the Lakers minus five and a half min is Matt Parolt.
(17:00):
You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 (17:06):
It is the Daily Juice
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