Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:02):
Welcome in What's Driving Nick Right? Episode three ninety five.
This episode of What's Right and Nick Right has presented
to you, as always by our friends at boost Mobile.
It is our week twelve gambling show and we would
greatly appreciate if you would like great subscribe review to
the pod and a reminder for all of you. All
our lines are from hard Rock Bet our Friday gambling shows,
(00:23):
particularly when demanday's out ur nice little kind of bite
sized pods for you guys, go through all the games
very quickly, give you our picks. Had a winning week
last weekend, even though it didn't feel like that because
of what happened with the chiefs at the end. Three
and two on the week, twenty seven and twenty eight
(00:46):
on the year, which means a great week this weekend
and we'll be above five hundred an okay week, we'll
be right at five hundred and a below five hundred week,
we will have to start digging ourselves out once again.
But our request of five out of six years having
a profitable VIIG included season is still alive. Last week
(01:11):
we had this Miami minus two and a half Agans Washington.
They tried their best to give that away, but Marcus
Mariota wouldn't let them. Chicago plus three at Minnesota. They
tried their best to give that one away after being
up thirteen in the fourth quarter, but they ended up
pulling it out of the fire. They would have covered anyway,
they would have just lost the game outright. Tampa minus
(01:33):
five and a half at Buffalo, I don't hate that bet.
That game had I think eight lead changes. Tampa's right there,
and they even had a chance for back door cover
lighton Todd Bowles took knees killed me. San Francisco minus
two and a half at Arizona. That was easy all
the way along, so I feel really good about the
(01:54):
side I was on all four of those. And then
Chefs minus three and a half at Denver, and that
bet was never covering. Had an opportunity to be covering,
but a extra point got blocked and they lost anyway.
So that was a bad one and it cost me
(02:16):
a lot of money and heartache and heartbreak. But we've
talked to that all week. We turned the page two.
Week twelve Gambling Show means we're looking ahead to week twelve,
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New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, here are
the games we're not betting this weekend. This might surprise you. India,
Kansas City. We are not betting that one. Now, there
(04:20):
is an insane trend on that that applies to this game,
which is since nineteen ninety, there have been fifteen instances
where a team that's five and five or worse is
favored against a team with an eighty plus percent winning
(04:44):
percentage like the Colts do. Those teams that were favored
have gone fourteen and zh against the spread and twelve
I'm sorry, fourteen and oh straight up and twelve zero
and two against the spread, So that is rationale to
(05:08):
ride with Kansas City. I however, I'm just on an
emotional and a logical level going to say that half
point feels ominous. And even though the Chiefs have all
of their games have wins have been blowouts, so it
(05:30):
hasn't mattered. I'm just going I'm not a superstitious guy,
but I'm just gonna stay away from it. I hated
the what I went through last week, and I am
(05:51):
anxious about a team that absolutely can be has the
bones of a team that can be the best team
in the entire NFL. I need them to get back
to that place. Now. I will add one other thing.
Since Andy Reid has been there, pre dating Mahomes, every
(06:14):
single year Andy's been there, they've had at least they've
had a winning streak of at least five games. This year,
their longest one is three. Be a hell of a
time to rip off a five game winning streak. Also,
staying away from New England at Cincinnati Cincinnati plus seven.
This is I don't know as of today, if Burrow's
(06:35):
playing or not. If Burrow is playing, it should be
New England by three. Without Burrow, it's New England by seven.
So I have to stay away there. Giants at Lions,
Lions laying ten and a half. I it feels like
(06:56):
a Lions bounce back spot. However, if that Giants defensive
line can create even forty percent of the havoc the
Eagles defensive line did, they will you know? They could
give golf real trouble. I so that part makes me anxious.
(07:24):
Jackson Dart is going to be back for the game.
I don't know though. Again, I feel I feel like
I can make a compelling case to lay the ten
and a half with Detroit or to grab the ten
and a half with the Giants. And that's why you
don't have to bet every game. That's why it's a
stay away and we are staying away. Additionally, Minnesota at
(07:49):
green Bay, green Bay laying six and a half. The
Vikings are in real trouble, but the Packers are still
getting respect like they're a super Bowl contending team. I'm
not sure they are six and a half. Right, they
barely covered would have covered six and a half against
(08:11):
the Giants last weekend. Minnesota is better than them. I'm
staying away. Philly at Dallas. Dallas getting three at home.
Dallas should be able to move the ball, and Philly's
offense has been awful, and I understand Dallas just added
(08:31):
Quinn Williams. However, Dallas has shown the ability to just
get have the ball moved all over the field on him.
Showed the ability is a weird way to put it.
They have teams have been able to exploit that defense.
I don't think Quinn Williams, despite what we saw against
(08:52):
the Raiders, is going to remake that defense by himself.
So I don't feel comfortable grabbing Dallas in the point.
But given how bad Philly's offense has been, I also
don't feel comfortable laying three points with Philly against a
team that can score thirty on anybody. So I'm staying
away there. Atlanta at New Orleans where Kirk Cousins Tyler shuck,
(09:16):
no chance. I'm just staying away. Bad game, gross, Tampa
at the Rams. Listen, I believe in Tampa. And you
might say Nick how much do you believe in Tampa
If you're not taking them getting seven points, I need
to I need to pause backing Tampa at this moment
(09:41):
of the season. Part of the math on believing in
them was the six game stretch they had after this game,
the fact that I thought they had a real shot
at the one seed. Now you lose this game. Any
shot you had at the one seed is dead. But
the Rams have looked so good and Tampa is still
(10:06):
banged up, so I'm staying away. And then Carolina at
San Francisco. I don't think San Francisco is favored by seven.
That feels too rich for a team with their defensive injuries.
But Carolina has just been a different team on the
road than at home. So I'm staying away. Teams on
Buys or Denver, the Chargers, the Dolphins, and the Commanders.
(10:27):
It leaves us with these five games and a reminder,
all of these lines are from our friends at hard
Rock BET. I am rolling with Chicago laying two and
a half at home against Pittsburgh. I just you are
either going to get Mason Rudolph or you're going to
get Aaron Rodgers with a broken wrist. I I don't
(10:53):
I don't understand how this game is not three and
a half. It feels like a Bears ugly repoint when
also for Ben Johnson this kind of you get a
lot of internal credit with the fans in the organization
for beating Aaron because in everybody's mind he's still a Packer.
(11:16):
I think Chicago is right now a the exact same
caliber of teams Pittsburgh, but one team's quarterback has a
broken wrist and the other team's quarterback doesn't, and Chicago's
at home. I'll take Chicago minus to two and a
(11:37):
half the Jets getting thirteen and a half at Baltimore.
This is an ugly one, I will admit. However, Lamar
now is on the you know, mispractice again this week.
(11:57):
Last week was for a knee, this week is for
an ankle. He has not looked like Lamar since he
came back from his injury, and he is refusing to
run the ball, which is super noteworthy because that has
a knock on effect on how on his passing and
(12:18):
on the team's overall efficiency. Also, I think the Jets
are starting their best option at quarterback in Tyrod Taylor.
For all those reasons and the fact that I get
nearly two full touchdowns. I will take the thirteen and
a half points while I will lay the thirteen and
a half points with Seattle. Seattle is at Tennessee. What
(12:44):
that defense is going to do to cam Ward is
going to be borderline criminal. I do not see how
Tennessee can get to ten. Maybe ten, but not thirteen,
(13:09):
and so can Seattle get to twenty four? Huge spot
for Seattle after the very disappointing loss to the Rams
bounce back, I still think they're an excellent team. I
understand I am laying thirteen and a half points on
the road, but Seattle, prior to that Rams game had
(13:30):
won ten in a row on the road. Tennessee's the
worst team in the NFL. I will take Seattle laying
the thirteen and a half. Arizona getting three at home
against Jacksonville. Arizona has not been good. Jacksonville has been okay,
(13:53):
But they are coming off Jacksonville their best win, their
most dominating performance of the year. I should say their
best win wis Konas City. This is the most dominating
and they are a very up and down team. We've
seen it throughout the year that the Jags are not
(14:14):
really able to build on successes. They beat the Chiefs,
then immediately lose back to back to the Seahawks and Rams.
They beat the Raiders in you know, not miracle, but
the Raiders have a two point conversion in overtime to
beat them. They then respond by blowing a horrified by
(14:37):
blowing a nineteen point fourth quarter lead to the Texans.
They blow out the Chargers. They're now on the road
going cross country to the Cardinals, and I'm getting three
whole points. I will take Arizona plus three and then
in a game that might shock the audience that I
am including Cleveland in Shador's first start, getting three and
(15:04):
a half at the Raiders. This is very simple. That
Raiders offensive line against that Browns defensive line is the
single biggest mismatch of the week. I do not care
who is playing quarterback for Cleveland. Miles Garrett could set
(15:25):
the single game and single season sack record in this game.
The all time sack record for a game is seven
Derek Thomas, late Great Kansaity chief. The all time sack
record for a season is twenty two and a half.
So if Miles Garrett got eight, he would set the
season and game record. He could do that against this
(15:48):
Raiders offensive line. I will take Cleveland plus the three
and a half. So my five picks this weekend are
the Bears laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh,
the Jets getting thirteen and a half at Baltimore, Seattle
laying thirteen and a half at Tennessee, Arizona getting three
against Jacksonville, and Cleveland getting three and a half at
(16:12):
the Las Vegas Raiders. Before we get to Demonse's teaser,
which one last week, reminder to you guys, you ever
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(16:58):
All right, Demonse's teaser last week wins. I gave it
an a half. He broke all the teaser rules. It
didn't matter. He had Miami plus five and a half,
they win in overtime. He had Houston plus one and
a half. They win by three against Tennessee. He had
Tampa plus thirteen and a half. They lose by twelve
(17:22):
to Buffalo. Let's see what demonte has this week for
his week twelve teaser. Let's go to them.
Speaker 2 (17:31):
All right, y'all, reporting live from Baby Lamb with the
Week twelve teaser. It's an eight point three teamer per usual.
You know how we're doing it. I told myself after
what happened to the Chiefs last week with the Broncos,
no matter what the spread was against the Colts, I
was throwing them in the teaser. So first off, we
got the Chiefs from minus three and a half to
plus four and a half. We're gonna tease the Browns
(17:53):
from plus four to plus twelve at the Raiders. Hey man,
that defense Gino might throw like four or five picks
and then blame on me for putting them in the teaser,
so that's in there. And then we got the Jags
at minus three to plus five at the Cardinals. That
is the week twelve teaser. That's ride.
Speaker 1 (18:12):
All right, well done, Demons, we love it again. You're breaking,
you're teasing through the zero, which we don't love. But
I do like this. I don't love the Jags leg.
I love the Cleveland leg, and I like the Kansas
City Leg as much as I could love a leg
where you're teasing through the zero. I'll give you a
(18:34):
B minus on that one, as you try to get
to five hundred on your teasers on the year. All right,
touchdown Genie lost, But again, we've only lost two touchdown
Genies ever, and both of them were because someone we
(18:55):
had got injured. Early. One was Ceedee Lamb earlier in
the year. This one was Josh Jacobs who left the
game early. I will take touchdown, Jeanie. No, I won't.
(19:18):
I'm staying away from this one. We're staying away this week.
If we're not feeling it, We're staying away. I was
going to say Pacheco and I was like, you know what, No,
I'm not. I'm staying away from touchdown Geenie this week.
Now we have the offer which did hit. We picked
(19:39):
the Prince and Jamis both to throw a pick. The
offer this week they're offering me is Shadoor over one
hundred and sixty passing yards and over half a passing touchdown.
I do not want Shador's over passing yards, so I
turned this down and in fact, in you know what,
(20:00):
but in place of touchdown, Jeannie, just go ahead and
bet Schador under one hundred and sixty and a half
passing yards. Ride with that one. They're gonna have a lead.
They're not gonna want to make me turn the ball
over Shador under one hundred and sixty and a half
passing yards. That one sounds like a better bet minus
one ten, No big deal. Reminder everybody like great subscribe,
(20:20):
review and shout out to the volume into Blue Duck
and of course our great sponsors hard Rock, Bet Boost
and Zen. Good luck everybody this weekend, most notably the Chiefs.
Talk to you guys soon. We'll track