September 9, 2025 • 19 mins
2 PART SERIES TIME!! Today I look at how Canelo Alvarez can beat Terence Crawford, the strengths of Canelo, the weaknesses of Crawford and ultimately the biggest key to the fight for Canelo that I see. Disagree? Let's talk!!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Folks, I am in Las Vegas Viva Las Vegas, Nevada four,
the fight of the year and potentially one of the
biggest fights boxing can make.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
In Canelo Versus Crawford.
Speaker 1 (00:11):
Welcome back to the Way concept presented by The Ring Magazine,
and today I want to start a two part series
that you guys will see today and tomorrow outlining how
each fighter wins this mega fight. Because, as you've seen
everywhere as the talk has been leading up to this,
most people consider this a fifty to fifty fight, meaning
both fighters can win this thing, and it may come
(00:32):
down to just one or.
Speaker 2 (00:33):
Two very small differences.
Speaker 1 (00:35):
But all week you're going to hear different opinions from
boxing analysts and fighters and everybody else.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
And that's what makes this fight so special.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Everyone will be talking about it and speaking to talking
about it before we get into the video. This week,
I'll be doing a live show at Radio Row for
this fight. I've never done that. It's been one of
my dreams to do a Radio Row live show for
any sort of sport, and having it in boxing for
my first one is going to be amazing. I don't
really know too much of what's gonna go down, it's
just kind of come across my schedule.
Speaker 2 (01:03):
But I know I'm gonna be live Thursday and Friday.
Speaker 1 (01:06):
I don't know the times yet, I don't know the
guests yet, but tune in right here on this channel
because if it's anything like I imagine it, it's gonna be
something you don't want to miss. But today's video is
why Canelo Alvarez beats Terrence Crawford. Again, I'm gonna do
one for Terrence, So before the comments go crazy, just
hold on.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
There'll be another one tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (01:24):
But today we're talking Ganello Alvarez and why he wins.
Speaker 2 (01:28):
The breakdown. Let's go number one.
Speaker 1 (01:32):
Yes, Canelo is the bigger fighter, and what do I
mean by that? He is more experienced at one hundred
and sixty eight pounds, meaning he has fought at the
higher weight class for far longer. He has fought some
of the biggest names and the most experienced guys at
this weight class.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
One's sixty and one seventy five in this era.
Speaker 1 (01:48):
He has a more natural aptitude for one sixty eight
when it comes to his frame, right, look at Canelo
and look at Terrence Crawford. Canelo is more of a stockier, shorter, dense,
thick boy. However you want to go about it, He's
more broad in his shoulders. He carries the weight. It
feels like better. At one sixty eight. Today, they had
their first face off at the Bellagio and the fountains
(02:11):
were going off.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
By the way. They were on.
Speaker 1 (02:13):
A floating pedestal. I don't know how that happened. It
was Dana, it was Turkeyela Shake, it was Canelo, it
was Crawford on some sort of floating platform. How did
they get out there remains to be seen. But you
look at that face off and you see Canelo and
Terrence are not different in height. Like Terrence might be
the taller, I think he is the longer. I think
he has like a three and a half inch reach
fighter than Canelo is, And that'll be a factor when
(02:35):
we talk about his video tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
But the point is.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
Canelo just more dense, more solid and fills into the
way a little better.
Speaker 2 (02:41):
Now.
Speaker 1 (02:41):
That is a clear benefit to Canelo, And I want
you guys to understand why he has felt the punches
of Covile, He's felt the punches of Triple G, He's
felt the punches of Dmitri Bivol, who's not a massive
power puncher, but he still.
Speaker 2 (02:52):
Hit Canelo with a lot of shit at one hundred
and seventy five pounds.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
He has felt and not been at any point really
hurt by those power.
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Punchers and even boxers.
Speaker 1 (03:03):
He's found a way to maneuver past them and ended
up either hurting them winning you know, decisions that are
clearly one sided, or stopping them. That has been Canelo's
bread and butter. When he's made this move to one
sixty eight and one seventy five and again, I said,
we're gonna be nuanced, and we are.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
But one of Canelo's strengths is his strength. It is
his power.
Speaker 1 (03:20):
Even when Canelo was a young lad, a young Canelito
aka Cinnamon, growing up in Mexico. You're Eddie Renozo at
A Renoso's father who trained Canelo first, talk about how
he was a big kid for his age. He was
muscled up at thirteen fourteen when he started boxing in
the gyms of Guadalajara. He was knocking out grown men
by the age of fifteen sixteen, and I know Terrence
(03:42):
Crawford was doing the same over in Omaha, Nebraska.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
My point is Canelo has always.
Speaker 1 (03:47):
Carried some power, carried some strength, carried some devastation in
his hands, and that's gone up with him. And I
know that people have questioned that because who really carries
that kind of power going up? But Canelo's been able
to do it, and you know, people like Manny Pakiao
have been able to do Usually you go up and
when you go up and wait, your skill carries the bill.
And Canelo has skill, and many Pakio had skill, but
(04:10):
there's still that nasty.
Speaker 2 (04:11):
Nasty power in his hands.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
And one of the things that we have seen is
that Canelo, regardless of he's being outboxed maybe early in fights,
or regardless of people have landed on him. Look at
the Caleb Plant fight, look at the Billy Jo Saunders fight.
Again not saying they're the same talent level, but he
has found the button at many points of those fights,
even if he's quote unquote being out boxed, he has
found the button the one place that maybe didn't work
(04:34):
as well or two places I would say where obviously
Floyd Mayweather to meet your bioble in the Triple G fight,
because Triple G was just made out of iron, just
like Canelo is, right, but usually that power carries him through.
So one of his strengths is when he downloads, when
he does dissect, when he does find the opening, he's
able to capitalize in a big way. And all that
boxing you did rounds one to six, it may have
(04:56):
you up on the scorecards, but it leaves you vulnerable
from round seven twelve because Canelo's hitting arms, and he's
hitting shoulders, and he's hitting ribs, and those arms are
getting heavier and they're falling down, and all of a sudden,
here comes a chopping overhand. And it's funny. I said
overhand at the end of that sentence. It's not even
meaning to, but it segues to our next point. I
think there are some holes in Terrence Crawford's defense that
(05:18):
Canelo can take advantage of and capitalize on with an overhand.
Speaker 2 (05:22):
Now let's talk about what I mean here.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Number One, Terrence Crawford is probably the best skilled brawler
in boxing. And I don't mean that disrespectfully. I mean
he'll get in a dog fight with you. This isn't
gonna be Canelo Williams Skull. This isn't gonna be even
Canelo Floyd Mayweather, which was a defensive to offensive masterclass
from Floyd right walking Canelo into things and countering but
not being.
Speaker 2 (05:44):
There to be hit.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
Bud Crawford will be there to be hit in this fight,
and I don't think he's gonna do a lot of
going backward. I wouldn't advise him to do a lot
of going backward. To hear Bo Mack talk, that doesn't
seem like that's their game plan. And tomorrow I'll talk
about who I think they're gonna try to emulate to
get the best of Canelo. But one of the greatest
and most highly touted things about Bud Crawford is the
fact that he's a switch hitter. Right, we talk about
him being one of the best switch hitters ever. Now,
(06:08):
in reality, Bud Crawford is more of a southpaw fighter
than he is an orthodox fighter. He really only goes
orthodox if he's looking for that kill shot or if
his backhand kind of leads him into the orthodox spot
out of southpaw. But usually he stays left handed, and
it's because I think he's better defensively and offensively with
his left hand. I do think he is more comfortable
(06:30):
countering with his left hand. I do feel like When
he's an Orthodox, it's mostly just offense and it gets
him into trouble sometimes. But I think for this fight
he will be southpaw, but out of either stands. One
of the things that gives Bud problems is an overhand
right and it's usually because of what I talked about
a second ago. He is a skilled brawler, one of
the most skilled brawlers ever. He will sit in the
(06:52):
pocket and look the throw volume and in the midst
of that sometimes not on a lot of occasions and
very rarely, but sometimes he can be hit, and when
he is hit, it lands flush. Just take a look
at the tape. If you don't believe me, think you
look at that right hand. And this is again Bud
out of southpaw, and this is the point where it
always happens. Watch again, as here comes the jab and
(07:16):
Bud wants to trigger that check hook over the top.
This is one of his greatest attacks and it sets
up the left hand behind. But in an orthodox southpawd matchup,
you're gonna see a battle of the backhands right, because
what's an orthodox killer in a southpaw stands, it's the
straight left hand right. That's the straight left hand straight
down the pipe. It's tough for right handers to see
because they're used to your lead hand leading the action
(07:37):
and then the backhand. You go backhand first and again
head off the center line.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
Bang. It's tough for right.
Speaker 1 (07:42):
Handers to see, and they're usually trying to parry and
catch the jab first and.
Speaker 2 (07:47):
Then the backhand. So if they missed that backhand, here
comes the overhand.
Speaker 1 (07:51):
There's just a lot of it's backwards for Orthodox fighters
to see. But also southpaws are used to usually seeing
Orthodox fighters. But just like the left hand as an
Orthodox killer, the right hand without the jab or right
behind it is the south paw killer.
Speaker 2 (08:06):
So watch right here. You see the jab to kind
of post boom overhand. Right.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
Bud's gotten caught trying to check hook again and he
gets the right hand dropped up.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
Doesn't hurt him too bad, no big deal.
Speaker 1 (08:18):
But the point was that it landed, and it landed
pretty flush.
Speaker 2 (08:24):
Right there.
Speaker 1 (08:26):
And notice in all these clips, this is Bud being offensive.
This is Bud on his front foot. This is Bud
looking to walk down his opponent. Honestly, I think they're
gonna try to do this to Canelo, and it remains
to be seeing how well that's gonna work for him. Again,
there are some things that I think he can do
to capitalize, and we'll talk about that tomorrow. But this
is why I don't I say, I don't see Bud
(08:47):
looking to go backward much in this. Whether it's gonna
work or not, I'm not sure, but I expect him
to try to maintain position or move forward. And again
you see it here overhand. Look at the extension from
Bud trying to lean away from the shot, thinking probably
it's gonna be a straight right hand off the jab,
but it's a faint jab, big overhand over the top.
(09:08):
Now here's Sean Porter who comes in with a gazelle
hook right, tries to get to range with it and
looks for a right hand, and then they break. Here
comes another overhand where Bud, instead of taking that backstep
to reset, wants to come back with his.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
Check right hook. Again here right, this is the clinch.
Speaker 1 (09:26):
Instead of trying to reset, he's coming back left hand
right hook, uppercut or maybe body shot with the left hand.
Here comes the right hand across, but here comes the
overhand from Porter.
Speaker 2 (09:36):
Boom.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
He traded in that moment and he lost the overhand
right got there first. Every time Bud wants to come
back with something, whether you've hit him or not, if
he's in the pocket, it's boom boom or it's boom boom,
And sometimes he can lose that timing battle, and when
he does, he gets hit with big shots.
Speaker 2 (09:53):
And again here's gamboa.
Speaker 1 (09:54):
Now this one is out of Orthodox position, and this
is probably the most hurt I've ever seen Bud.
Speaker 2 (10:00):
He was tuning up gamboa. Here he was styling on
him a little bit.
Speaker 1 (10:03):
He got a little confident, hands came down and he
eats another right hand. Though out of Orthodox boom on
the button tagged him with the right hand, because even
out of Orthodox and Southpop, Bud will still utilize that
same combination right.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
He'll still look to go boom boom or boom boom.
It's the same thing. He's just switched stands.
Speaker 1 (10:24):
So again, the vulnerability to the overhand right is definitely
something that if you are a Bud Crawford fan, you
don't want to see the canelo land on him, because
when canelo lands overhand rights and I'm gonna show you
a clip of triple G but watch how he chops
that through the guard and drops Charlow, who was at
the time the one hundred and fifty four on disputed chains.
So let's watch Canelo now as he chops this right
(10:47):
hand on triple G.
Speaker 2 (10:49):
Watch how he sets it up right.
Speaker 1 (10:53):
Jab up top, double jab level change boom behind it,
walking triple G down with that double jab boom, cover
the eyes, faint rip room. That is what I call
a massive exploit in Terrence Crawford's defense. I know he
is a great counterpuncher. I know that he uses his
angles and he slides off and he gets his head
(11:14):
off center, and he's able to counter with big time
volume and big time power at one hundred and forty
at one hundred and forty seven. But even when you
watch this Madrimov fight, and i'll play it here, Madromov
over with the right boom, if you stand in front
of Canelo, not to say he's gonna do a ton
of that, but if you stand in front of Canelo
and look to trade with him, that's not gonna be
(11:35):
a great night for Crawford if he does that. And
I expect them to be very aggressive offensively because you
kind of have to be one. I think there's a
bit of pride in Terrence Crawford not wanting to be
walked down by Canelo, not wanting to be on the
back foot, not wanting to be the defensive fighter, whereas
a guy like Floyd Mayweather didn't really care about that.
He was gonna box very slick. He was gonna catch
Canelo lean and l. It was also twenty three at
(11:56):
the time, bit of a baby. But the point is
Terrence cross is not. He doesn't fight the same way
Floyd does, and I don't expect him to. I expect
him to fight more like Demitri Bivol Triple G in
some of those cases where he wants to bring the action.
The problem is, I don't know that he has the
chin of Triple G, and I know he's not anywhere
close to just the size and frame of Demitri Bivel, who,
(12:17):
by the way, said that Canelo hits harder and throws
harder than someone even like Archer better Bia. So when
I look at this fight, I could see Terrence Crawford
being the more skilled guy.
Speaker 2 (12:27):
I can see Terrence Crawford landing more punches.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
In fact, I almost want to predict that that will
happen when we look at the final stats of this thing.
If it goes the distance, I think it's going to
be a super close fight. But if it doesn't and
Canelo is able to stop Terrence Crawford, We're going to
look at this and go damn. Terrence was having such
good rounds almost again like the Billy Joe Sunders fight.
He was having such good rounds until he didn't right
until the right hand comes through. And I really think
that's gonna be the difference maker if Terrence wants to
(12:51):
stay in the pocket and look for multiple counters, which
I think he should, because when Terrence plays that risky
game that I think he has to play in this fight,
and I think it's just the reality of the fight.
He has to be risky. To beat Canelo, you have
to endure the fray. Look at the guys that have
won with the skill sets they have, right. No one
has Floyd made with their skill set. So the other
guys that have given Canelo problems, they've gotten risky, right,
(13:13):
they've played the game with Canelo, or they've been able
to back him up and use their volume. I think
Terrence is going to have to try to do that.
But again, in that phray, you risk getting knocked out cold,
or in that fray, you risk itting beat up with
right hands and chopped on with the left hook right.
Speaker 2 (13:28):
And another thing.
Speaker 1 (13:29):
Canello will throw that left hook out, even out of
the south popposition, just to see where you're going to
move your head right or to lead you back into.
Speaker 2 (13:35):
That big overhand right.
Speaker 1 (13:37):
But I think that's probably the biggest factor in this
fight is not just the right hand. It's not the
susceptibility to right hands. It's Terrence Crawford's willingness to play
the game, to be risky right.
Speaker 2 (13:48):
And I bring up the whole right hand.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
Scenario to say this, It's not just about Canelo landing
the right hand and the only susceptibility from Crawford is
the right hand. It is what you see in those
clips that merge the two together is that Terrence is
willing to play the game.
Speaker 2 (14:00):
He's going to try to stand in front of Canelo.
Speaker 1 (14:02):
He's gonna try to counter him with multiple punches, which
again I think is probably the path to victory. But
in that path, somewhere along it, there's going to be
roadblocks or potential street shutdowns. When Canelo decides I'm done
playing this back and forth. Here comes in overhand, or
I found your timing. I've found the spots in between
with my head movement, with my upper body movement, and.
Speaker 2 (14:23):
You can't hurt me like I can hurt you.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
That may be the difference maker when Terrence feels like
he's gotten all the power that Canelo has, when Terrence
feels he can hurt Canelo when he gets confident in
the pocket and he throws those combinations and he stays
just a little bit too long in there, right little
bit too long in the kitchen, and Canelo finds that
right hand, or Canelo finds that left hook, or Canelo
progressively over the rounds where him hitting you in the.
Speaker 2 (14:47):
Shoulders early on it didn't really hurt as much.
Speaker 1 (14:50):
But now round six and seven's coming and it's harder
to hold your hands down, and you still got to
do that game plan. You still have to be in
front of him, you still have to walk him down
because if you get on the back foot, then things
really start going downhill.
Speaker 2 (15:02):
And I know everybody's super impressed by.
Speaker 1 (15:03):
Terrence Crawford's footwork, and he may actually be able to
fight a great defensive fight should he get up early
in the cards. But I'll offer you this reminder, not
just how you play the game, not just the power difference.
But remember this is his first fight at one hundred
and sixty eight pounds. This will be a bit of
a different feel in there. So yes, while you have
success early, what happens if you do get a little
(15:23):
tired late on? Right, What happens if you do want
to transition to a more defensive posture later on. And
those feet are a little heavier than they felt at
one forty seven, well heavier than they felt in the
madramaf fight at fifty four. Terrence didn't look super spry
in that fight. So again, this video being Canelo's path
to victory, I look at all those scenarios and say
Terrence could be up early.
Speaker 2 (15:42):
I almost expect him to be up early in this fight.
Speaker 1 (15:44):
Landing combinations having success, but Canelo having more damage when
he lands, having more effect when he lands, and round
by round by round starting to accumulate, and Terrence starting
to slow down again, not being used to the weight,
not being used to himself at the weight, not just
fighting a guy in Canelo that's more dance.
Speaker 2 (16:04):
But just himself.
Speaker 1 (16:05):
And then the power from Canelo sets in, and then
the timing starts to become equal, and then those risks
that you were taken earlier and getting away with because
you were fresh, because you had prepared well, they start
to fall by the wayside. Because if Canelo is not hurt,
which I don't expect him to be, and Canelo is
still trying to find that opening and he's still throwing
hard punches, eventually the levee will break. And that's why
(16:29):
I lean more toward a Canelo knockout because it'll be
a we've talked about a fifty to fifty fight.
Speaker 2 (16:33):
I think it'll be tougher for Canelo to win a decision.
Speaker 1 (16:36):
I do just because of the skills and the ability
and the well roundedness of Terence Crawford if he decides
to really take that fight to Canelo early and really
leave no doubt in the judge's mind. But again, that
back half of the fight will be so important. And
if he falls off a cliff, whether it's you know,
the stamina, whether it's just the power that Canelo has
got in his hands that eventually takes a toll, how
(16:58):
does that back half look and can Canelo, you know,
make the comeback on the fight. I truly think that
it'll be an early successful fight for Terrence Crawford, which
may be the biggest dose of poison for him in
this fight, if that makes sense, because that success in
him continuing to engage with that success ultimately I think
will lead to his demise. Is the success early, the
(17:19):
willingness to trade, the willingness to be.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
In the fire.
Speaker 1 (17:22):
And when I again I keep calling him this, and
I don't mean it disrespectful, but to be a skilled brawler,
to be there when Canelo is throwing, not backing away
from punches, getting head off the center, trying to look
for the check hook over the top, trying to look
for the left hand of the body, and the combinations
just eventually you either are perfect in those exchanges or
Canelo finds one, or he finds two, or he finds
one that leads to two, then three, then four. I
(17:44):
know Terrence has parked big guys. I know that he's
got Lester Martinez in camp.
Speaker 2 (17:47):
I know all that.
Speaker 1 (17:49):
But eventually Charlo found it, Plant founded out, COVID have
found it out, to Metribvo even said it. Saunders founded
out these bigger guys, found out that the power with Canelo,
regardless of what you've felt before.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Is different.
Speaker 1 (18:01):
If you take too many, they will accumulate, and eventually
that will be the reason he finds the knockout shot. That,
ladies and gentlemen, is how I feel Canelo Alvarez can
win this fight. I think it'll be a slower start
for Canelo.
Speaker 2 (18:13):
I think Terrence.
Speaker 1 (18:14):
Crawford would have a lot of success early, but eventually,
playing that game of Roulette, right we're in Vegas, and
Terrence Crawford gambling that much, risking that much, playing that
game of Roulette over and over and over, Eventually, Canelo
will find the button. As many right hands as I've
seen Terrence Crawford take, especially when he wants to trade,
(18:35):
especially when he wants to counter over the top of
your shots and doesn't look to get out of range.
I just think it'll be devastating to lead off fight week.
That is how I think Canelo wins this. And you
guys know that I am predicting Canelo to win, but
it doesn't mean that's how it has to happen.
Speaker 2 (18:49):
Tomorrow. I'm coming back with.
Speaker 1 (18:50):
A breakdown of how Terrence Crawford can win this fight
and Honestly, there's a lot of avenues there. This isn't
just Caneloland and Terrence has no shot. I'm telling you
right now, they're calling this a fifty to fifty fight
for a reason. Terrence Crawford's skill is far better than
Canelo is seen in a very long time.
Speaker 2 (19:07):
We'll talk about it tomorrow. Let me know what you
guys think down below.
Speaker 1 (19:09):
I already know you guys are gonna slaughter me because again,
you think this is me saying Canelo is going to win,
and this is the only scenario.
Speaker 2 (19:15):
That's not what I'm saying.
Speaker 1 (19:16):
I'm just giving you this video as a reference to
how I think it can happen tomorrow Terrence Crawford's turn.
But if you disagree with what I said here, let
me know why down below. And who do you think
wins and why? Because I don't have those answers. But
we're only four days away. So Saturday, September thirteenth, Live
an Allegiance Stadium, presented by The Ring Magazine. It's Canelo,
It's Crawford. Both men fight for legacy. One will walk
(19:38):
out the winner. Who will that be?
Speaker 2 (19:40):
I guess we'll find out
Folks, I am in Las Vegas Viva Las Vegas, Nevada four,
the fight of the year and potentially one of the
biggest fights boxing can make.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
In Canelo Versus Crawford.
Speaker 1 (00:11):
Welcome back to the Way concept presented by The Ring Magazine,
and today I want to start a two part series
that you guys will see today and tomorrow outlining how
each fighter wins this mega fight. Because, as you've seen
everywhere as the talk has been leading up to this,
most people consider this a fifty to fifty fight, meaning
both fighters can win this thing, and it may come
(00:32):
down to just one or.
Speaker 2 (00:33):
Two very small differences.
Speaker 1 (00:35):
But all week you're going to hear different opinions from
boxing analysts and fighters and everybody else.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
And that's what makes this fight so special.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Everyone will be talking about it and speaking to talking
about it before we get into the video. This week,
I'll be doing a live show at Radio Row for
this fight. I've never done that. It's been one of
my dreams to do a Radio Row live show for
any sort of sport, and having it in boxing for
my first one is going to be amazing. I don't
really know too much of what's gonna go down, it's
just kind of come across my schedule.
Speaker 2 (01:03):
But I know I'm gonna be live Thursday and Friday.
Speaker 1 (01:06):
I don't know the times yet, I don't know the
guests yet, but tune in right here on this channel
because if it's anything like I imagine it, it's gonna be
something you don't want to miss. But today's video is
why Canelo Alvarez beats Terrence Crawford. Again, I'm gonna do
one for Terrence, So before the comments go crazy, just
hold on.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
There'll be another one tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (01:24):
But today we're talking Ganello Alvarez and why he wins.
Speaker 2 (01:28):
The breakdown. Let's go number one.
Speaker 1 (01:32):
Yes, Canelo is the bigger fighter, and what do I
mean by that? He is more experienced at one hundred
and sixty eight pounds, meaning he has fought at the
higher weight class for far longer. He has fought some
of the biggest names and the most experienced guys at
this weight class.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
One's sixty and one seventy five in this era.
Speaker 1 (01:48):
He has a more natural aptitude for one sixty eight
when it comes to his frame, right, look at Canelo
and look at Terrence Crawford. Canelo is more of a stockier, shorter, dense,
thick boy. However you want to go about it, He's
more broad in his shoulders. He carries the weight. It
feels like better. At one sixty eight. Today, they had
their first face off at the Bellagio and the fountains
(02:11):
were going off.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
By the way. They were on.
Speaker 1 (02:13):
A floating pedestal. I don't know how that happened. It
was Dana, it was Turkeyela Shake, it was Canelo, it
was Crawford on some sort of floating platform. How did
they get out there remains to be seen. But you
look at that face off and you see Canelo and
Terrence are not different in height. Like Terrence might be
the taller, I think he is the longer. I think
he has like a three and a half inch reach
fighter than Canelo is, And that'll be a factor when
(02:35):
we talk about his video tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
But the point is.
Speaker 1 (02:37):
Canelo just more dense, more solid and fills into the
way a little better.
Speaker 2 (02:41):
Now.
Speaker 1 (02:41):
That is a clear benefit to Canelo, And I want
you guys to understand why he has felt the punches
of Covile, He's felt the punches of Triple G, He's
felt the punches of Dmitri Bivol, who's not a massive
power puncher, but he still.
Speaker 2 (02:52):
Hit Canelo with a lot of shit at one hundred
and seventy five pounds.
Speaker 1 (02:55):
He has felt and not been at any point really
hurt by those power.
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Punchers and even boxers.
Speaker 1 (03:03):
He's found a way to maneuver past them and ended
up either hurting them winning you know, decisions that are
clearly one sided, or stopping them. That has been Canelo's
bread and butter. When he's made this move to one
sixty eight and one seventy five and again, I said,
we're gonna be nuanced, and we are.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
But one of Canelo's strengths is his strength. It is
his power.
Speaker 1 (03:20):
Even when Canelo was a young lad, a young Canelito
aka Cinnamon, growing up in Mexico. You're Eddie Renozo at
A Renoso's father who trained Canelo first, talk about how
he was a big kid for his age. He was
muscled up at thirteen fourteen when he started boxing in
the gyms of Guadalajara. He was knocking out grown men
by the age of fifteen sixteen, and I know Terrence
(03:42):
Crawford was doing the same over in Omaha, Nebraska.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
My point is Canelo has always.
Speaker 1 (03:47):
Carried some power, carried some strength, carried some devastation in
his hands, and that's gone up with him. And I
know that people have questioned that because who really carries
that kind of power going up? But Canelo's been able
to do it, and you know, people like Manny Pakiao
have been able to do Usually you go up and
when you go up and wait, your skill carries the bill.
And Canelo has skill, and many Pakio had skill, but
(04:10):
there's still that nasty.
Speaker 2 (04:11):
Nasty power in his hands.
Speaker 1 (04:13):
And one of the things that we have seen is
that Canelo, regardless of he's being outboxed maybe early in fights,
or regardless of people have landed on him. Look at
the Caleb Plant fight, look at the Billy Jo Saunders fight.
Again not saying they're the same talent level, but he
has found the button at many points of those fights,
even if he's quote unquote being out boxed, he has
found the button the one place that maybe didn't work
(04:34):
as well or two places I would say where obviously
Floyd Mayweather to meet your bioble in the Triple G fight,
because Triple G was just made out of iron, just
like Canelo is, right, but usually that power carries him through.
So one of his strengths is when he downloads, when
he does dissect, when he does find the opening, he's
able to capitalize in a big way. And all that
boxing you did rounds one to six, it may have
(04:56):
you up on the scorecards, but it leaves you vulnerable
from round seven twelve because Canelo's hitting arms, and he's
hitting shoulders, and he's hitting ribs, and those arms are
getting heavier and they're falling down, and all of a sudden,
here comes a chopping overhand. And it's funny. I said
overhand at the end of that sentence. It's not even
meaning to, but it segues to our next point. I
think there are some holes in Terrence Crawford's defense that
(05:18):
Canelo can take advantage of and capitalize on with an overhand.
Speaker 2 (05:22):
Now let's talk about what I mean here.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Number One, Terrence Crawford is probably the best skilled brawler
in boxing. And I don't mean that disrespectfully. I mean
he'll get in a dog fight with you. This isn't
gonna be Canelo Williams Skull. This isn't gonna be even
Canelo Floyd Mayweather, which was a defensive to offensive masterclass
from Floyd right walking Canelo into things and countering but
not being.
Speaker 2 (05:44):
There to be hit.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
Bud Crawford will be there to be hit in this fight,
and I don't think he's gonna do a lot of
going backward. I wouldn't advise him to do a lot
of going backward. To hear Bo Mack talk, that doesn't
seem like that's their game plan. And tomorrow I'll talk
about who I think they're gonna try to emulate to
get the best of Canelo. But one of the greatest
and most highly touted things about Bud Crawford is the
fact that he's a switch hitter. Right, we talk about
him being one of the best switch hitters ever. Now,
(06:08):
in reality, Bud Crawford is more of a southpaw fighter
than he is an orthodox fighter. He really only goes
orthodox if he's looking for that kill shot or if
his backhand kind of leads him into the orthodox spot
out of southpaw. But usually he stays left handed, and
it's because I think he's better defensively and offensively with
his left hand. I do think he is more comfortable
(06:30):
countering with his left hand. I do feel like When
he's an Orthodox, it's mostly just offense and it gets
him into trouble sometimes. But I think for this fight
he will be southpaw, but out of either stands. One
of the things that gives Bud problems is an overhand
right and it's usually because of what I talked about
a second ago. He is a skilled brawler, one of
the most skilled brawlers ever. He will sit in the
(06:52):
pocket and look the throw volume and in the midst
of that sometimes not on a lot of occasions and
very rarely, but sometimes he can be hit, and when
he is hit, it lands flush. Just take a look
at the tape. If you don't believe me, think you
look at that right hand. And this is again Bud
out of southpaw, and this is the point where it
always happens. Watch again, as here comes the jab and
(07:16):
Bud wants to trigger that check hook over the top.
This is one of his greatest attacks and it sets
up the left hand behind. But in an orthodox southpawd matchup,
you're gonna see a battle of the backhands right, because
what's an orthodox killer in a southpaw stands, it's the
straight left hand right. That's the straight left hand straight
down the pipe. It's tough for right handers to see
because they're used to your lead hand leading the action
(07:37):
and then the backhand. You go backhand first and again
head off the center line.
Speaker 2 (07:41):
Bang. It's tough for right.
Speaker 1 (07:42):
Handers to see, and they're usually trying to parry and
catch the jab first and.
Speaker 2 (07:47):
Then the backhand. So if they missed that backhand, here
comes the overhand.
Speaker 1 (07:51):
There's just a lot of it's backwards for Orthodox fighters
to see. But also southpaws are used to usually seeing
Orthodox fighters. But just like the left hand as an
Orthodox killer, the right hand without the jab or right
behind it is the south paw killer.
Speaker 2 (08:06):
So watch right here. You see the jab to kind
of post boom overhand. Right.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
Bud's gotten caught trying to check hook again and he
gets the right hand dropped up.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
Doesn't hurt him too bad, no big deal.
Speaker 1 (08:18):
But the point was that it landed, and it landed
pretty flush.
Speaker 2 (08:24):
Right there.
Speaker 1 (08:26):
And notice in all these clips, this is Bud being offensive.
This is Bud on his front foot. This is Bud
looking to walk down his opponent. Honestly, I think they're
gonna try to do this to Canelo, and it remains
to be seeing how well that's gonna work for him. Again,
there are some things that I think he can do
to capitalize, and we'll talk about that tomorrow. But this
is why I don't I say, I don't see Bud
(08:47):
looking to go backward much in this. Whether it's gonna
work or not, I'm not sure, but I expect him
to try to maintain position or move forward. And again
you see it here overhand. Look at the extension from
Bud trying to lean away from the shot, thinking probably
it's gonna be a straight right hand off the jab,
but it's a faint jab, big overhand over the top.
(09:08):
Now here's Sean Porter who comes in with a gazelle
hook right, tries to get to range with it and
looks for a right hand, and then they break. Here
comes another overhand where Bud, instead of taking that backstep
to reset, wants to come back with his.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
Check right hook. Again here right, this is the clinch.
Speaker 1 (09:26):
Instead of trying to reset, he's coming back left hand
right hook, uppercut or maybe body shot with the left hand.
Here comes the right hand across, but here comes the
overhand from Porter.
Speaker 2 (09:36):
Boom.
Speaker 1 (09:36):
He traded in that moment and he lost the overhand
right got there first. Every time Bud wants to come
back with something, whether you've hit him or not, if
he's in the pocket, it's boom boom or it's boom boom,
And sometimes he can lose that timing battle, and when
he does, he gets hit with big shots.
Speaker 2 (09:53):
And again here's gamboa.
Speaker 1 (09:54):
Now this one is out of Orthodox position, and this
is probably the most hurt I've ever seen Bud.
Speaker 2 (10:00):
He was tuning up gamboa. Here he was styling on
him a little bit.
Speaker 1 (10:03):
He got a little confident, hands came down and he
eats another right hand. Though out of Orthodox boom on
the button tagged him with the right hand, because even
out of Orthodox and Southpop, Bud will still utilize that
same combination right.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
He'll still look to go boom boom or boom boom.
It's the same thing. He's just switched stands.
Speaker 1 (10:24):
So again, the vulnerability to the overhand right is definitely
something that if you are a Bud Crawford fan, you
don't want to see the canelo land on him, because
when canelo lands overhand rights and I'm gonna show you
a clip of triple G but watch how he chops
that through the guard and drops Charlow, who was at
the time the one hundred and fifty four on disputed chains.
So let's watch Canelo now as he chops this right
(10:47):
hand on triple G.
Speaker 2 (10:49):
Watch how he sets it up right.
Speaker 1 (10:53):
Jab up top, double jab level change boom behind it,
walking triple G down with that double jab boom, cover
the eyes, faint rip room. That is what I call
a massive exploit in Terrence Crawford's defense. I know he
is a great counterpuncher. I know that he uses his
angles and he slides off and he gets his head
(11:14):
off center, and he's able to counter with big time
volume and big time power at one hundred and forty
at one hundred and forty seven. But even when you
watch this Madrimov fight, and i'll play it here, Madromov
over with the right boom, if you stand in front
of Canelo, not to say he's gonna do a ton
of that, but if you stand in front of Canelo
and look to trade with him, that's not gonna be
(11:35):
a great night for Crawford if he does that. And
I expect them to be very aggressive offensively because you
kind of have to be one. I think there's a
bit of pride in Terrence Crawford not wanting to be
walked down by Canelo, not wanting to be on the
back foot, not wanting to be the defensive fighter, whereas
a guy like Floyd Mayweather didn't really care about that.
He was gonna box very slick. He was gonna catch
Canelo lean and l. It was also twenty three at
(11:56):
the time, bit of a baby. But the point is
Terrence cross is not. He doesn't fight the same way
Floyd does, and I don't expect him to. I expect
him to fight more like Demitri Bivol Triple G in
some of those cases where he wants to bring the action.
The problem is, I don't know that he has the
chin of Triple G, and I know he's not anywhere
close to just the size and frame of Demitri Bivel, who,
(12:17):
by the way, said that Canelo hits harder and throws
harder than someone even like Archer better Bia. So when
I look at this fight, I could see Terrence Crawford
being the more skilled guy.
Speaker 2 (12:27):
I can see Terrence Crawford landing more punches.
Speaker 1 (12:29):
In fact, I almost want to predict that that will
happen when we look at the final stats of this thing.
If it goes the distance, I think it's going to
be a super close fight. But if it doesn't and
Canelo is able to stop Terrence Crawford, We're going to
look at this and go damn. Terrence was having such
good rounds almost again like the Billy Joe Sunders fight.
He was having such good rounds until he didn't right
until the right hand comes through. And I really think
that's gonna be the difference maker if Terrence wants to
(12:51):
stay in the pocket and look for multiple counters, which
I think he should, because when Terrence plays that risky
game that I think he has to play in this fight,
and I think it's just the reality of the fight.
He has to be risky. To beat Canelo, you have
to endure the fray. Look at the guys that have
won with the skill sets they have, right. No one
has Floyd made with their skill set. So the other
guys that have given Canelo problems, they've gotten risky, right,
(13:13):
they've played the game with Canelo, or they've been able
to back him up and use their volume. I think
Terrence is going to have to try to do that.
But again, in that phray, you risk getting knocked out cold,
or in that fray, you risk itting beat up with
right hands and chopped on with the left hook right.
Speaker 2 (13:28):
And another thing.
Speaker 1 (13:29):
Canello will throw that left hook out, even out of
the south popposition, just to see where you're going to
move your head right or to lead you back into.
Speaker 2 (13:35):
That big overhand right.
Speaker 1 (13:37):
But I think that's probably the biggest factor in this
fight is not just the right hand. It's not the
susceptibility to right hands. It's Terrence Crawford's willingness to play
the game, to be risky right.
Speaker 2 (13:48):
And I bring up the whole right hand.
Speaker 1 (13:49):
Scenario to say this, It's not just about Canelo landing
the right hand and the only susceptibility from Crawford is
the right hand. It is what you see in those
clips that merge the two together is that Terrence is
willing to play the game.
Speaker 2 (14:00):
He's going to try to stand in front of Canelo.
Speaker 1 (14:02):
He's gonna try to counter him with multiple punches, which
again I think is probably the path to victory. But
in that path, somewhere along it, there's going to be
roadblocks or potential street shutdowns. When Canelo decides I'm done
playing this back and forth. Here comes in overhand, or
I found your timing. I've found the spots in between
with my head movement, with my upper body movement, and.
Speaker 2 (14:23):
You can't hurt me like I can hurt you.
Speaker 1 (14:25):
That may be the difference maker when Terrence feels like
he's gotten all the power that Canelo has, when Terrence
feels he can hurt Canelo when he gets confident in
the pocket and he throws those combinations and he stays
just a little bit too long in there, right little
bit too long in the kitchen, and Canelo finds that
right hand, or Canelo finds that left hook, or Canelo
progressively over the rounds where him hitting you in the.
Speaker 2 (14:47):
Shoulders early on it didn't really hurt as much.
Speaker 1 (14:50):
But now round six and seven's coming and it's harder
to hold your hands down, and you still got to
do that game plan. You still have to be in
front of him, you still have to walk him down
because if you get on the back foot, then things
really start going downhill.
Speaker 2 (15:02):
And I know everybody's super impressed by.
Speaker 1 (15:03):
Terrence Crawford's footwork, and he may actually be able to
fight a great defensive fight should he get up early
in the cards. But I'll offer you this reminder, not
just how you play the game, not just the power difference.
But remember this is his first fight at one hundred
and sixty eight pounds. This will be a bit of
a different feel in there. So yes, while you have
success early, what happens if you do get a little
(15:23):
tired late on? Right, What happens if you do want
to transition to a more defensive posture later on. And
those feet are a little heavier than they felt at
one forty seven, well heavier than they felt in the
madramaf fight at fifty four. Terrence didn't look super spry
in that fight. So again, this video being Canelo's path
to victory, I look at all those scenarios and say
Terrence could be up early.
Speaker 2 (15:42):
I almost expect him to be up early in this fight.
Speaker 1 (15:44):
Landing combinations having success, but Canelo having more damage when
he lands, having more effect when he lands, and round
by round by round starting to accumulate, and Terrence starting
to slow down again, not being used to the weight,
not being used to himself at the weight, not just
fighting a guy in Canelo that's more dance.
Speaker 2 (16:04):
But just himself.
Speaker 1 (16:05):
And then the power from Canelo sets in, and then
the timing starts to become equal, and then those risks
that you were taken earlier and getting away with because
you were fresh, because you had prepared well, they start
to fall by the wayside. Because if Canelo is not hurt,
which I don't expect him to be, and Canelo is
still trying to find that opening and he's still throwing
hard punches, eventually the levee will break. And that's why
(16:29):
I lean more toward a Canelo knockout because it'll be
a we've talked about a fifty to fifty fight.
Speaker 2 (16:33):
I think it'll be tougher for Canelo to win a decision.
Speaker 1 (16:36):
I do just because of the skills and the ability
and the well roundedness of Terence Crawford if he decides
to really take that fight to Canelo early and really
leave no doubt in the judge's mind. But again, that
back half of the fight will be so important. And
if he falls off a cliff, whether it's you know,
the stamina, whether it's just the power that Canelo has
got in his hands that eventually takes a toll, how
(16:58):
does that back half look and can Canelo, you know,
make the comeback on the fight. I truly think that
it'll be an early successful fight for Terrence Crawford, which
may be the biggest dose of poison for him in
this fight, if that makes sense, because that success in
him continuing to engage with that success ultimately I think
will lead to his demise. Is the success early, the
(17:19):
willingness to trade, the willingness to be.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
In the fire.
Speaker 1 (17:22):
And when I again I keep calling him this, and
I don't mean it disrespectful, but to be a skilled brawler,
to be there when Canelo is throwing, not backing away
from punches, getting head off the center, trying to look
for the check hook over the top, trying to look
for the left hand of the body, and the combinations
just eventually you either are perfect in those exchanges or
Canelo finds one, or he finds two, or he finds
one that leads to two, then three, then four. I
(17:44):
know Terrence has parked big guys. I know that he's
got Lester Martinez in camp.
Speaker 2 (17:47):
I know all that.
Speaker 1 (17:49):
But eventually Charlo found it, Plant founded out, COVID have
found it out, to Metribvo even said it. Saunders founded
out these bigger guys, found out that the power with Canelo,
regardless of what you've felt before.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
Is different.
Speaker 1 (18:01):
If you take too many, they will accumulate, and eventually
that will be the reason he finds the knockout shot. That,
ladies and gentlemen, is how I feel Canelo Alvarez can
win this fight. I think it'll be a slower start
for Canelo.
Speaker 2 (18:13):
I think Terrence.
Speaker 1 (18:14):
Crawford would have a lot of success early, but eventually,
playing that game of Roulette, right we're in Vegas, and
Terrence Crawford gambling that much, risking that much, playing that
game of Roulette over and over and over, Eventually, Canelo
will find the button. As many right hands as I've
seen Terrence Crawford take, especially when he wants to trade,
(18:35):
especially when he wants to counter over the top of
your shots and doesn't look to get out of range.
I just think it'll be devastating to lead off fight week.
That is how I think Canelo wins this. And you
guys know that I am predicting Canelo to win, but
it doesn't mean that's how it has to happen.
Speaker 2 (18:49):
Tomorrow. I'm coming back with.
Speaker 1 (18:50):
A breakdown of how Terrence Crawford can win this fight
and Honestly, there's a lot of avenues there. This isn't
just Caneloland and Terrence has no shot. I'm telling you
right now, they're calling this a fifty to fifty fight
for a reason. Terrence Crawford's skill is far better than
Canelo is seen in a very long time.
Speaker 2 (19:07):
We'll talk about it tomorrow. Let me know what you
guys think down below.
Speaker 1 (19:09):
I already know you guys are gonna slaughter me because again,
you think this is me saying Canelo is going to win,
and this is the only scenario.
Speaker 2 (19:15):
That's not what I'm saying.
Speaker 1 (19:16):
I'm just giving you this video as a reference to
how I think it can happen tomorrow Terrence Crawford's turn.
But if you disagree with what I said here, let
me know why down below. And who do you think
wins and why? Because I don't have those answers. But
we're only four days away. So Saturday, September thirteenth, Live
an Allegiance Stadium, presented by The Ring Magazine. It's Canelo,
It's Crawford. Both men fight for legacy. One will walk
(19:38):
out the winner. Who will that be?
Speaker 2 (19:40):
I guess we'll find out
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