Wade predicts the outcome of the main event of UFC 316 Merab Dvalishvili Vs Sean O'Malley and EXPOSES how this time Sugar Sean will get the job done...
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
All right, so we are back on the way concept
(00:01):
presented it by the Ring magazine The Bible of Boxing.
But today we're taking a look at the MMA side
of things because I want to break down UFC three
sixteen's main event, chan O'Malley versus Morobed Volashvilly. This is
going to be a rematch that the UFC needs, a
rematch that will really determine where the sport is and
(00:24):
where it's going, and honestly may determine, based on Morob's resume,
one of the greatest one hundred and thirty five pound
fighters the UFC's ever seen. But I think this rematch
is going to be a lot different from the first fight.
I think that s Ean Omalley has something to say
about that, and I think this time around he will have.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
A lot more success. Will he win?
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Will Morob win and continue this dominant streak and capture
big name after big name on his resume?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I have my answer, I have my prediction, So let's
get to it.
Speaker 1 (00:55):
UFC three sixteens main event Chano Maalley and Morobed Volash Phlly.
I hate say that last name because I know I
don't do it well and it sounds like I'm mumbling
a bunch of sounds. I'm trying my best, Marab. I apologize,
But who wins and why the breakdown?
Speaker 2 (01:08):
Let's go, folks.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Before we get into the breakdown, I want to say
a big thank you to the sponsor of today's video,
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Speaker 2 (01:14):
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Speaker 2 (01:17):
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Speaker 1 (01:19):
Sean O'Malley versus Morab, who you pick there and why?
Or you want to bet on something like the NBA
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Speaker 1 (01:32):
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Speaker 2 (01:42):
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Speaker 2 (02:02):
Sports betting needs.
Speaker 1 (02:04):
DraftKings, the crown is yours and as always, folks, when
using DraftKings sportsbook, please gamble responsibly. All right, So number one,
Sean O'Malley and Morob, let's get things out of the
way that we already know.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Number one, the fight already happened the first time.
Speaker 1 (02:19):
Morob won by essentially controlling the fun That's a little
bit of a light term, but it's the one that
I have to use. Rob controlled where the fight took place.
When he did not want to engage, he circled around
the cage or at a distance that was safe for
him and not in the firing line of Sean o malley.
When he did want to engage, he was able to
close distance, avoid the big strikes of Sean O'Malley and
(02:40):
take him down, whether it was a single leg that
he would try to raise and Sean would get out of,
and then the second attack would get Sean to the ground.
And when he did get Sean Omalley to the ground,
he was able to be very successful ground and pound again,
holding him in position, whether it was on the ground
or on the cage, and generally just being able to
Controlan O'Malley and the fight with that tactic, With that ability,
(03:03):
he has to really never get tired, or at least
never show that he's tired. While it wasn't anything that
jumped off the page at you on the feet from
Morob in that fight, the next fight against Umar and mcgamettov,
he showed better striking, I would say, and so that
can definitely be a part of how this second fight goes,
Marob potentially showing better striking than he did in the first.
Although I still don't think it's a great idea to
(03:25):
stand in front of Shan O'Malley with flat feed and
look to strike with him.
Speaker 2 (03:29):
I don't think Morob is going to do that.
Speaker 1 (03:30):
In the first fight, Shan O'Malley looked a bit stagnant,
looked a bit lost for the volume, the variability, the combinations,
and finally the ultimate thing that chan Omalley seems to
do to everybody, which is fine, the shot that will
eventually either chao them, hurt them, or start the downhill
stumble to a long, painful for the other fighter.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
Decision victory. Look at what he did to.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
Chio Vera or Chris Mautino. He'st both of them up
like they were puzzles on your grandma's table. That was
a dominant performance, but in a way that Sean O'Malley
was able to control the fight with his volume, reach
and eventually precisions strike. This is, you know, what you
would consider a classic grappler versus strike or matchup, where
the idea is Sean O'Malley needs to gain respect or
(04:15):
at least gain the advantage in this fight by hurting
Marob with a punch, with a kick, with whatever. He's
going to need to slow down the Thomas, the trained,
little engine that could motor that Mirob possesses and seems
to not really care about whether he's tire or not.
I think there was a quote, I don't know who
said it, someone essentially said, Mirob Debolish really is the
(04:36):
only fighter they'd ever heard of that doesn't fear fatigue.
And now everybody knows at this point. The old quote
is fatigue makes you know, cowards of us all, especially
in the fight game. If you are tired and another
guy across from you is not It's probably the most
terrifying thing or position to be in. And not to
make excuses for anybody because Morob has fought with I'm
pretty sure he fought with staff. At one point someone
(04:56):
said he might have broke his toe in this camp,
so we'll see how that affects him. But he has
gone into fights injured before. Sean and Tim O'Malley is
putting a lot of investment into the idea that because
he had a torn hip laborm going into the first
fight and wasn't able to grapple and train grappling the
way he wanted to, or really just train in the
positions he wanted to for that fight, that it affected
him and the fact that he's gotten the surgery and
(05:18):
now feels healthy that it's going to be a different
fight this time around, And that very well may be
the case, but that's not something that I can really
look at and point to and say that will make
things different. Let's talk about things that potentially can be
Number One, I think that Sean O'Malley has an elite
level of accuracy and precision with his striking, and he
is a bit of an unpredictable striker.
Speaker 2 (05:37):
Right there are people that have what they do best.
Speaker 1 (05:40):
Connor McGregor's left hand and you know it's coming, so
it is a bit predictable, but yet he still finds
a way to land it. Francis and Ghanu with the
big overhand and the left hook, everybody knew he had it,
but eventually it would still be thrown and landed. These
things we know that in fights guys like to do.
For Shan Omalley, he might be one of the most
un predictable strikers in the game right now. He can
(06:02):
not only box but also kick out of both stances.
As a striker, he might be the most fluid in MMA.
Maybe bar Is Real a lout of Soigna, but even
Sean I think pieces combos together better. And that unpredictability
obviously gives him so many different weapons to catch the
classic striker versus wrestler paradigm off guard.
Speaker 2 (06:23):
He doesn't have to throw a certain strike to keep
a wrestler off him.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
In the first fight, there were moments in the fifth
round where he threw the teap kick to the stomach
and it hurt Morob or at least Morob was known
for I guess faking being hurt just to capitalize on it.
He did give visceral signs of oh right to the
stomach and put his hands there as if it did
hurt him, and Sean found that a couple of different times,
But that was the most significant stuff outside of maybe
a switch dance up jab that Sean would throw from
(06:48):
the orthodox position standing in bang with the upjab then
goes south paw. Those things are very small moments in
a much broader stagnant and lack of creativity fight.
Speaker 2 (06:59):
For Sean O'Malley number one, for him, he needs to
be creating.
Speaker 1 (07:02):
I think that there are things that Morob didn't even
see out of Sean in that first fight that Sean
still has in the tank and in the bag to
be able to show Morob and potentially catch him in positions.
And this is the most important thing for seanal malley.
He absolutely has to catch him. He has to hit
him with something that either wobbles Morob or gains his respect.
Speaker 2 (07:20):
And Morab has been wobbled multiple times.
Speaker 1 (07:23):
He doesn't have a granite chin, he doesn't have this
this unbreakable face. He has an unbreakable will, He has
an unbreakable gas tank, but his chin can be tested
and can be exposed.
Speaker 2 (07:35):
And for Shannal Malley, it's almost a need.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
It's not even a w it's a need for that
to happen, because, as we've seen in every fight Morob
has had recently, if you don't hurt him or you
don't stop him, he is going to mow you down.
He's going to run you over, and eventually he's going
to find the control that he had in the first
fight and continue to use that to dominate space, time
and the fight. So if you're Sean Malley, what are
(07:59):
the two things that I just laid out for you guys,
meet the creativity and being able to catch Morob? Well,
the two things in this case equal pockets in space bars.
Sean O'Malley has to create traps and has to create
space for Morob to walk onto shots because standing in
front of Morob and just trying to hit him with
things without Morob engaging, like you kind of saw in
(08:21):
the first fight where Morob was just circling one side
to the other and Sean was kind of there plodding
forward and throwing a shot at a time and a
shot at a time and never really getting Morob's attention
or getting him to fight in a way that Sean wanted,
walking him into space, cutting off the octagon and using
that space to then get Morob to either shoot, because
that's what Morab wants to do, is find a way
(08:42):
to level change under some strikes from Sean O'Malley, get
to his body and take advantage of that.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
Space, drive Sean into the CASI and take him down.
Speaker 1 (08:48):
Sean wasn't able to do that, and so there was
no space to even create opportunity. It was either Morob
was all the way out or all the way in
the middle ground wasn't a spot where Sean could really
take advantage of and there were small moments for him
to take advantage of it in the first place. So
this time around again, whether it's Tim Welsh in the
corner talking about go Morob go and creating that opportunity
like we saw with al Joe, even though Aljo said
(09:10):
he never heard that instruction, but al Joe created an
opportunity for Sean O'Malley to drop an absolute nuclear of
a right hand on his head by shooting without anything
to cover it up. Seanomalley has to get Morob desperate
enough to start shooting more without any sort of cover
to give Sean the ability to pinpoint accurately land counter punches.
(09:31):
Where that means Sean needs to throw strikes to get
a reaction out of Morob and make him shoot to
then step back and look for the upper cut, step back,
look for the right hand, step back, look for the knee.
There's there's a lot of options he has to go to,
but he's going to need to find a way to make.
Speaker 2 (09:45):
Morob a bit more desperate.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
I was shocked by the underutilization of Sean Omalley's kicks
in the last fight as well, and I know that
that is a big no note when it comes to
grapplers that they catch a kick or if you're off
balance and they blitz as you're kicking, that's an automatic takedown.
And as we saw on the first fight, that can
be minutes upon minutes upon rounds on the ground for
Sean O'Malley is Morob again, He's got great control. When
(10:07):
he is in that top position in ground and pound,
or he's in half guard, he can stay there for
the entirety of the round and steal around.
Speaker 2 (10:14):
Without really much happening. At all.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Again, I think the formula is simple, and I say
it's simple because yeah, verbally, when I sit here, it's
simple to say Jan O'Malley needs to be able to
cut off the octagon and when doing so, remain very
creative in his striking, with all of that combining to
bait or draw in morob demolishability to do what he
(10:37):
normally does to people, to rush them, to grab them,
to look for a single leg, to look to chain wrestle,
all the while not being there or stuffing that takedown
or sprawling or stepping back and having that ace up
the sleeve the attack that he needs. When it all happens,
then finish off the masterpiece that is a stoppage victory.
(10:57):
On the other side of things, again, I said that
the Sean O'Malley fight plan was simple, and it may,
again just verbally coming out of my mouth, be simple,
but in reality it's very difficult to execute, which is
why the striker wrestler matchup, unless you have incredible takedown
defence and the wrestler gets tired, usually goes to the
wrestler because they can continuously control the fight with their
(11:20):
grappling control the fight with their pace, control the fight
with their top positioning, because a striker who isn't as
great at defending the takedown or isn't as great at
getting off their back and can't land their light changing
difference making strike will ultimately fall victim to the same
things that Morob has put guys in bad positions with before.
And the reason he's become an all time great in
(11:41):
the UFC is absolutely maniacal.
Speaker 2 (11:44):
I don't even know if that's a.
Speaker 1 (11:45):
Word, but ridiculous pace, pressure and grappling a billion And
when it comes to second fight, Morob, you know, is
a bit of a showman in there. He likes to
stop and even the first fight was kind of showing
when Shawn would miss a kick, he was doing the
Billy Joe Saunders and that all is off the confidence
that at any point in the fight he can take
the fight back over with his cardio, with his pressure,
(12:05):
with his pace, and again even then the Umar fight
he started to believe in his striking more. Again, not
something that I would necessarily if I'm coaching Morob say hey,
let's go and strike for strike with Sean O'Malley. Definitely
not the ideal game plan, but it is there, and
he is even in the first fight, landed some shots
on Sean O'Malley that most people don't because of the
other things he's good at.
Speaker 2 (12:25):
So when you look at this second fight and.
Speaker 1 (12:28):
What Morob should do differently, what Morob should look to
implement this time around, it's really hard to top that
first performance in terms of controlling the fight again. He
was safe when he needed to be safe. When he
did engage, it was on his terms and it was
exactly what he wanted to do. So if it is
not broken, do not fix it. Don't go out and
try to top your first performance by going you know what,
(12:49):
I'm gonna be a bit more stationary and I'm gonna
strike more.
Speaker 2 (12:51):
No, if Morob wants to strike.
Speaker 1 (12:53):
He can do that again with the same mentality involved
being at a distance that is either safe for him,
bouncing around, slide and shuffling laterally, or in the pocket
looking for strikes to take downs or takedowns to strikes.
These are the things that Morob does very well, and
it doesn't make sense to not go back to them,
knowing that you have a guy in front of you
that won. Sean O'Malley is not taking a fight since
(13:15):
the Morob fight. It's coming up close to a year now.
It is about eight nine months ago, and that's not
the craziest layoff ever, but it is someone that the
last time they were in the octagon tasted defeat at
your own hands. How confident is Sean really or is
it just window dressing for things are gonna change because
I'm healthier and we got a new approach and this,
that and the other.
Speaker 2 (13:35):
We don't really know. As a matter of fact.
Speaker 1 (13:37):
What we do know is that Sean is coming off
a surgery, he is coming off a little bit of
a layoff, and he is coming off a loss, all
things that at least mentally work in the favor of
the guy that just beat And Morob is coming off
another win. He is more active as the champion, and
again the truth of the rematches.
Speaker 2 (13:53):
Sean has to do more. Sean is the one that lost.
Speaker 1 (13:56):
Morob did exactly what he wanted to do, how he
wanted to do it, when he wanted to do it.
For the most part, in the entirety of the fight,
I think Sean had success in the early parts of
round one with his striking, and the latter parts of
round five with his striking, but outside of that, this
was a clean sweep for Morob. This was not a
very competitive fight because he was able to stay safe
(14:17):
while attacking, while entering the fray, while being at the
range where Sean is dangerous, and Sean could not keep
him at that range. So not only was he safe
on the blitzes, but when he got to the spots
where Sean was vulnerable, he was very vulnerable. Morob took
Sean O'Malley down with ease, and I know that O'Malley's
campus saying that's because of the hip, that's because of
(14:38):
the hip. It also may just be because Morob de
Violash Philly is far better as a grappler. The Georgian
grappling we're starting to see more and more now is
as good as what we've seen out of certain fighters
at a Dakastan as well, and Umar looked toe to
toe with their grappling. So it's a matchup problem for
Sean O'Malley, even with the healthy hip and with this
reinvigorated life, it's a really tough matchup. The only thing
(15:00):
I would caution Morob against is falling in love with
trying to have a better performance than the first fight,
or topping that first fight performance by adding in more
wrinkles to the game plan that are not necessarily in
his favor, like Morob going out and trying to exclusively
strike to prove a point, or to look for a
knockout with his striking and get over zealous and reach
(15:21):
out and overreach on a punch, or over commit to
a takedown and give Seano Maalley that opening he's looking
for for a counter shot and one that could end
the night. So yeah, I expect Morob to move laterally
really never stop moving in this fight. I expect them
to be very bouncy on his feet. I expect a
lot of faints. I expect some leg kicks from Arob,
and I expected that some point for him to either
(15:43):
level change under Shan Omalley throwing big, damaging punches and
get to Sean Omalley either single leg body lock something
to where he can dump Sean on the ground hold
him there, or while Sean's getting back to his feet,
look for ground and pound, look for shovel hooks, look
for things uppercuts to damage sean knees to the leg
that he had in the first fight. It's definitely a
possibility we could see this second fight go the exact
(16:04):
same way, or at least in a similar way we.
Speaker 2 (16:06):
Did the first one.
Speaker 1 (16:07):
But with all that being said, here's how both fighters win.
I think it's time for me to predict. I think
this fight is going to go differently. I think that
there are opportunities for Sean Omalley to hurt Morob, and
I think even in those opportunities, Sean O'Malley still is
going to have failures in this fight. I think it's
going to be a back and forth one. I think
there are going to be times where Morob looks to
(16:27):
have taken control of this fight by taking Sean Omalley down,
especially early.
Speaker 2 (16:31):
I think that.
Speaker 1 (16:32):
First round potentially could be one where you're like, here
we go again. Morob is going to do what he
did the last fight. But I don't know why. Maybe
it's the way curse, but I see Morob falling in
love with the idea of doing it better. I once say,
getting more relaxed with technique because Morob is unorthodox in
a wild man as it is well, letting apprehensions go
and fighting as a crowd pleaser. Potentially right doing the
(16:53):
looks into the crowd and talking to Sean O'Malley, and
maybe potentially some of that funneling into his game.
Speaker 2 (17:00):
Is steadfast believed.
Speaker 1 (17:01):
In his in vulnerability, in the fact Shawn is far
better than he showed in the first fight. I think
there are pockets in Morob's striking game that are very
very available. They're very very open. Rob is not a
polished striker, and he does take some risks to get
to the grappling exchanges, to get to your body, to
find ways to put you on the ground and have
to pressure you, try to get you around the cage
(17:22):
and then strike.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
And here's the interesting part about this.
Speaker 1 (17:24):
Morob is so unorthodox that the first time you fight
him is for most fighters i'd assume a bewildering experience,
one that you can't really replicate in the practice room,
or at least not in the way that is exactly Morob,
but especially when you can't replicate until you see it.
And Morob has never rematched anyone, which I think is
a very interesting wrinkle to this fight as well. That
(17:45):
may be expanding into like the Grand Canyon here, but
I think that's a big part of why I'm going
to lean towards Sean O'Malley in this remack. Like I said,
I think they're massive holes in Morob's striking, and he's
able to cover those with insane pressure in cardio and
ability to control time and massive parts of the fight
by being literally connected to his opponent or completely out
(18:07):
of rank. But in those moments where the striking exchanges happen,
and in the first fight where Sean O'Malley had not
seen anything like that in front of him before, there
will be a familiarity in this fight that potentially can
present patterns to Morob's game. Let's be honest, it's not
a very complicated fight style that Morab Debollash really has.
They're looking logo ag kicks, jab, right hands, bounce, circle, bounce, bounce,
(18:31):
level change, takedown, ground and pound, get up, take down,
ground and pound, get up, separate way back out of range, bounce, bounce, jab, jab,
right hand, low kick jab, And it's kind of the
same thing. And again there have been moments where Morab
has paid for this. Again, maybe I'm making a mountain
out of a mole hill, and the smart money would
(18:51):
be on Morab by decision or Morob by submission or
Morob by mauling or however.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
Do you want to look at it.
Speaker 1 (18:59):
But Sean O'Malley has this ability to flip narratives and
change fights in one strike. He is an insanely accurate striker.
I think he's better at getting back to his feet.
Maybe not with take down defense, especially with Morob, who
finds chain wrestling as easy as breathing out of his
mouth because his nose is does Sean Omalley has a
strike for every action. I think that Sean O'Malley stops
Morob devolish Philly, And again it's based off a very
(19:23):
unlikely circumstance of things, but that's how I tend to
look at fight.
Speaker 2 (19:26):
Maybe it's just me trying to find.
Speaker 1 (19:29):
The one variable that I think is the most important
and stretch it out to mean that that's the difference maker.
Speaker 2 (19:34):
It probably won't be.
Speaker 1 (19:36):
But if you believe in the Wade curse, then go
the opposite of what I'm saying, because I think Sean
Omalley wins this fight by knockout and we get the
rubber match, potentially the third one, which I think would
be warranted based on the fact that Morob did give
Sewn the rematch but we'll see how it goes. Coments section.
This is where you help me out. Why am I
wrong or right in your opinion? How does this fight go?
(19:57):
Does Morob get it done in dominant decision again? Or
to Sean O'Malley with a renewed commitment to MMA with
a new hip apparently, and with the experience of being
in front of Mirob for twenty five minutes and having
Morob in the first rematch where someone has been able
to study him and go and try it again.
Speaker 2 (20:16):
Will all these things lead up to.
Speaker 1 (20:18):
Another Shan O'Malley upset knockout performance. I don't have those answers,
but you have. C three sixteen is this week. Hopefully
I'll be done with commentary for the night because I
am going to be doing some boxing commentary on Saturday
night so I can get back and stream the fight.
So if not, we'll be back here Snday to break
him down. But you guys let me know what you
think down below. Who wins this fight and why. I
don't have those answers, but I guess we'll find out
All right, so we are back on the way concept
(00:01):
presented it by the Ring magazine The Bible of Boxing.
But today we're taking a look at the MMA side
of things because I want to break down UFC three
sixteen's main event, chan O'Malley versus Morobed Volashvilly. This is
going to be a rematch that the UFC needs, a
rematch that will really determine where the sport is and
(00:24):
where it's going, and honestly may determine, based on Morob's resume,
one of the greatest one hundred and thirty five pound
fighters the UFC's ever seen. But I think this rematch
is going to be a lot different from the first fight.
I think that s Ean Omalley has something to say
about that, and I think this time around he will have.
Speaker 2 (00:41):
A lot more success. Will he win?
Speaker 1 (00:43):
Will Morob win and continue this dominant streak and capture
big name after big name on his resume?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I have my answer, I have my prediction, So let's
get to it.
Speaker 1 (00:55):
UFC three sixteens main event Chano Maalley and Morobed Volash Phlly.
I hate say that last name because I know I
don't do it well and it sounds like I'm mumbling
a bunch of sounds. I'm trying my best, Marab. I apologize,
But who wins and why the breakdown?
Speaker 2 (01:08):
Let's go, folks.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Before we get into the breakdown, I want to say
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Sean O'Malley and Morob, let's get things out of the
way that we already know.
Speaker 2 (02:17):
Number one, the fight already happened the first time.
Speaker 1 (02:19):
Morob won by essentially controlling the fun That's a little
bit of a light term, but it's the one that
I have to use. Rob controlled where the fight took place.
When he did not want to engage, he circled around
the cage or at a distance that was safe for
him and not in the firing line of Sean o malley.
When he did want to engage, he was able to
close distance, avoid the big strikes of Sean O'Malley and
(02:40):
take him down, whether it was a single leg that
he would try to raise and Sean would get out of,
and then the second attack would get Sean to the ground.
And when he did get Sean Omalley to the ground,
he was able to be very successful ground and pound again,
holding him in position, whether it was on the ground
or on the cage, and generally just being able to
Controlan O'Malley and the fight with that tactic, With that ability,
(03:03):
he has to really never get tired, or at least
never show that he's tired. While it wasn't anything that
jumped off the page at you on the feet from
Morob in that fight, the next fight against Umar and mcgamettov,
he showed better striking, I would say, and so that
can definitely be a part of how this second fight goes,
Marob potentially showing better striking than he did in the first.
Although I still don't think it's a great idea to
(03:25):
stand in front of Shan O'Malley with flat feed and
look to strike with him.
Speaker 2 (03:29):
I don't think Morob is going to do that.
Speaker 1 (03:30):
In the first fight, Shan O'Malley looked a bit stagnant,
looked a bit lost for the volume, the variability, the combinations,
and finally the ultimate thing that chan Omalley seems to
do to everybody, which is fine, the shot that will
eventually either chao them, hurt them, or start the downhill
stumble to a long, painful for the other fighter.
Speaker 2 (03:52):
Decision victory. Look at what he did to.
Speaker 1 (03:54):
Chio Vera or Chris Mautino. He'st both of them up
like they were puzzles on your grandma's table. That was
a dominant performance, but in a way that Sean O'Malley
was able to control the fight with his volume, reach
and eventually precisions strike. This is, you know, what you
would consider a classic grappler versus strike or matchup, where
the idea is Sean O'Malley needs to gain respect or
(04:15):
at least gain the advantage in this fight by hurting
Marob with a punch, with a kick, with whatever. He's
going to need to slow down the Thomas, the trained,
little engine that could motor that Mirob possesses and seems
to not really care about whether he's tire or not.
I think there was a quote, I don't know who
said it, someone essentially said, Mirob Debolish really is the
(04:36):
only fighter they'd ever heard of that doesn't fear fatigue.
And now everybody knows at this point. The old quote
is fatigue makes you know, cowards of us all, especially
in the fight game. If you are tired and another
guy across from you is not It's probably the most
terrifying thing or position to be in. And not to
make excuses for anybody because Morob has fought with I'm
pretty sure he fought with staff. At one point someone
(04:56):
said he might have broke his toe in this camp,
so we'll see how that affects him. But he has
gone into fights injured before. Sean and Tim O'Malley is
putting a lot of investment into the idea that because
he had a torn hip laborm going into the first
fight and wasn't able to grapple and train grappling the
way he wanted to, or really just train in the
positions he wanted to for that fight, that it affected
him and the fact that he's gotten the surgery and
(05:18):
now feels healthy that it's going to be a different
fight this time around, And that very well may be
the case, but that's not something that I can really
look at and point to and say that will make
things different. Let's talk about things that potentially can be
Number One, I think that Sean O'Malley has an elite
level of accuracy and precision with his striking, and he
is a bit of an unpredictable striker.
Speaker 2 (05:37):
Right there are people that have what they do best.
Speaker 1 (05:40):
Connor McGregor's left hand and you know it's coming, so
it is a bit predictable, but yet he still finds
a way to land it. Francis and Ghanu with the
big overhand and the left hook, everybody knew he had it,
but eventually it would still be thrown and landed. These
things we know that in fights guys like to do.
For Shan Omalley, he might be one of the most
un predictable strikers in the game right now. He can
(06:02):
not only box but also kick out of both stances.
As a striker, he might be the most fluid in MMA.
Maybe bar Is Real a lout of Soigna, but even
Sean I think pieces combos together better. And that unpredictability
obviously gives him so many different weapons to catch the
classic striker versus wrestler paradigm off guard.
Speaker 2 (06:23):
He doesn't have to throw a certain strike to keep
a wrestler off him.
Speaker 1 (06:27):
In the first fight, there were moments in the fifth
round where he threw the teap kick to the stomach
and it hurt Morob or at least Morob was known
for I guess faking being hurt just to capitalize on it.
He did give visceral signs of oh right to the
stomach and put his hands there as if it did
hurt him, and Sean found that a couple of different times,
But that was the most significant stuff outside of maybe
a switch dance up jab that Sean would throw from
(06:48):
the orthodox position standing in bang with the upjab then
goes south paw. Those things are very small moments in
a much broader stagnant and lack of creativity fight.
Speaker 2 (06:59):
For Sean O'Malley number one, for him, he needs to
be creating.
Speaker 1 (07:02):
I think that there are things that Morob didn't even
see out of Sean in that first fight that Sean
still has in the tank and in the bag to
be able to show Morob and potentially catch him in positions.
And this is the most important thing for seanal malley.
He absolutely has to catch him. He has to hit
him with something that either wobbles Morob or gains his respect.
Speaker 2 (07:20):
And Morab has been wobbled multiple times.
Speaker 1 (07:23):
He doesn't have a granite chin, he doesn't have this
this unbreakable face. He has an unbreakable will, He has
an unbreakable gas tank, but his chin can be tested
and can be exposed.
Speaker 2 (07:35):
And for Shannal Malley, it's almost a need.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
It's not even a w it's a need for that
to happen, because, as we've seen in every fight Morob
has had recently, if you don't hurt him or you
don't stop him, he is going to mow you down.
He's going to run you over, and eventually he's going
to find the control that he had in the first
fight and continue to use that to dominate space, time
and the fight. So if you're Sean Malley, what are
(07:59):
the two things that I just laid out for you guys,
meet the creativity and being able to catch Morob? Well,
the two things in this case equal pockets in space bars.
Sean O'Malley has to create traps and has to create
space for Morob to walk onto shots because standing in
front of Morob and just trying to hit him with
things without Morob engaging, like you kind of saw in
(08:21):
the first fight where Morob was just circling one side
to the other and Sean was kind of there plodding
forward and throwing a shot at a time and a
shot at a time and never really getting Morob's attention
or getting him to fight in a way that Sean wanted,
walking him into space, cutting off the octagon and using
that space to then get Morob to either shoot, because
that's what Morab wants to do, is find a way
(08:42):
to level change under some strikes from Sean O'Malley, get
to his body and take advantage of that.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
Space, drive Sean into the CASI and take him down.
Speaker 1 (08:48):
Sean wasn't able to do that, and so there was
no space to even create opportunity. It was either Morob
was all the way out or all the way in
the middle ground wasn't a spot where Sean could really
take advantage of and there were small moments for him
to take advantage of it in the first place. So
this time around again, whether it's Tim Welsh in the
corner talking about go Morob go and creating that opportunity
like we saw with al Joe, even though Aljo said
(09:10):
he never heard that instruction, but al Joe created an
opportunity for Sean O'Malley to drop an absolute nuclear of
a right hand on his head by shooting without anything
to cover it up. Seanomalley has to get Morob desperate
enough to start shooting more without any sort of cover
to give Sean the ability to pinpoint accurately land counter punches.
(09:31):
Where that means Sean needs to throw strikes to get
a reaction out of Morob and make him shoot to
then step back and look for the upper cut, step back,
look for the right hand, step back, look for the knee.
There's there's a lot of options he has to go to,
but he's going to need to find a way to make.
Speaker 2 (09:45):
Morob a bit more desperate.
Speaker 1 (09:47):
I was shocked by the underutilization of Sean Omalley's kicks
in the last fight as well, and I know that
that is a big no note when it comes to
grapplers that they catch a kick or if you're off
balance and they blitz as you're kicking, that's an automatic takedown.
And as we saw on the first fight, that can
be minutes upon minutes upon rounds on the ground for
Sean O'Malley is Morob again, He's got great control. When
(10:07):
he is in that top position in ground and pound,
or he's in half guard, he can stay there for
the entirety of the round and steal around.
Speaker 2 (10:14):
Without really much happening. At all.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Again, I think the formula is simple, and I say
it's simple because yeah, verbally, when I sit here, it's
simple to say Jan O'Malley needs to be able to
cut off the octagon and when doing so, remain very
creative in his striking, with all of that combining to
bait or draw in morob demolishability to do what he
(10:37):
normally does to people, to rush them, to grab them,
to look for a single leg, to look to chain wrestle,
all the while not being there or stuffing that takedown
or sprawling or stepping back and having that ace up
the sleeve the attack that he needs. When it all happens,
then finish off the masterpiece that is a stoppage victory.
(10:57):
On the other side of things, again, I said that
the Sean O'Malley fight plan was simple, and it may,
again just verbally coming out of my mouth, be simple,
but in reality it's very difficult to execute, which is
why the striker wrestler matchup, unless you have incredible takedown
defence and the wrestler gets tired, usually goes to the
wrestler because they can continuously control the fight with their
(11:20):
grappling control the fight with their pace, control the fight
with their top positioning, because a striker who isn't as
great at defending the takedown or isn't as great at
getting off their back and can't land their light changing
difference making strike will ultimately fall victim to the same
things that Morob has put guys in bad positions with before.
And the reason he's become an all time great in
(11:41):
the UFC is absolutely maniacal.
Speaker 2 (11:44):
I don't even know if that's a.
Speaker 1 (11:45):
Word, but ridiculous pace, pressure and grappling a billion And
when it comes to second fight, Morob, you know, is
a bit of a showman in there. He likes to
stop and even the first fight was kind of showing
when Shawn would miss a kick, he was doing the
Billy Joe Saunders and that all is off the confidence
that at any point in the fight he can take
the fight back over with his cardio, with his pressure,
(12:05):
with his pace, and again even then the Umar fight
he started to believe in his striking more. Again, not
something that I would necessarily if I'm coaching Morob say hey,
let's go and strike for strike with Sean O'Malley. Definitely
not the ideal game plan, but it is there, and
he is even in the first fight, landed some shots
on Sean O'Malley that most people don't because of the
other things he's good at.
Speaker 2 (12:25):
So when you look at this second fight and.
Speaker 1 (12:28):
What Morob should do differently, what Morob should look to
implement this time around, it's really hard to top that
first performance in terms of controlling the fight again. He
was safe when he needed to be safe. When he
did engage, it was on his terms and it was
exactly what he wanted to do. So if it is
not broken, do not fix it. Don't go out and
try to top your first performance by going you know what,
(12:49):
I'm gonna be a bit more stationary and I'm gonna
strike more.
Speaker 2 (12:51):
No, if Morob wants to strike.
Speaker 1 (12:53):
He can do that again with the same mentality involved
being at a distance that is either safe for him,
bouncing around, slide and shuffling laterally, or in the pocket
looking for strikes to take downs or takedowns to strikes.
These are the things that Morob does very well, and
it doesn't make sense to not go back to them,
knowing that you have a guy in front of you
that won. Sean O'Malley is not taking a fight since
(13:15):
the Morob fight. It's coming up close to a year now.
It is about eight nine months ago, and that's not
the craziest layoff ever, but it is someone that the
last time they were in the octagon tasted defeat at
your own hands. How confident is Sean really or is
it just window dressing for things are gonna change because
I'm healthier and we got a new approach and this,
that and the other.
Speaker 2 (13:35):
We don't really know. As a matter of fact.
Speaker 1 (13:37):
What we do know is that Sean is coming off
a surgery, he is coming off a little bit of
a layoff, and he is coming off a loss, all
things that at least mentally work in the favor of
the guy that just beat And Morob is coming off
another win. He is more active as the champion, and
again the truth of the rematches.
Speaker 2 (13:53):
Sean has to do more. Sean is the one that lost.
Speaker 1 (13:56):
Morob did exactly what he wanted to do, how he
wanted to do it, when he wanted to do it.
For the most part, in the entirety of the fight,
I think Sean had success in the early parts of
round one with his striking, and the latter parts of
round five with his striking, but outside of that, this
was a clean sweep for Morob. This was not a
very competitive fight because he was able to stay safe
(14:17):
while attacking, while entering the fray, while being at the
range where Sean is dangerous, and Sean could not keep
him at that range. So not only was he safe
on the blitzes, but when he got to the spots
where Sean was vulnerable, he was very vulnerable. Morob took
Sean O'Malley down with ease, and I know that O'Malley's
campus saying that's because of the hip, that's because of
(14:38):
the hip. It also may just be because Morob de
Violash Philly is far better as a grappler. The Georgian
grappling we're starting to see more and more now is
as good as what we've seen out of certain fighters
at a Dakastan as well, and Umar looked toe to
toe with their grappling. So it's a matchup problem for
Sean O'Malley, even with the healthy hip and with this
reinvigorated life, it's a really tough matchup. The only thing
(15:00):
I would caution Morob against is falling in love with
trying to have a better performance than the first fight,
or topping that first fight performance by adding in more
wrinkles to the game plan that are not necessarily in
his favor, like Morob going out and trying to exclusively
strike to prove a point, or to look for a
knockout with his striking and get over zealous and reach
(15:21):
out and overreach on a punch, or over commit to
a takedown and give Seano Maalley that opening he's looking
for for a counter shot and one that could end
the night. So yeah, I expect Morob to move laterally
really never stop moving in this fight. I expect them
to be very bouncy on his feet. I expect a
lot of faints. I expect some leg kicks from Arob,
and I expected that some point for him to either
(15:43):
level change under Shan Omalley throwing big, damaging punches and
get to Sean Omalley either single leg body lock something
to where he can dump Sean on the ground hold
him there, or while Sean's getting back to his feet,
look for ground and pound, look for shovel hooks, look
for things uppercuts to damage sean knees to the leg
that he had in the first fight. It's definitely a
possibility we could see this second fight go the exact
(16:04):
same way, or at least in a similar way we.
Speaker 2 (16:06):
Did the first one.
Speaker 1 (16:07):
But with all that being said, here's how both fighters win.
I think it's time for me to predict. I think
this fight is going to go differently. I think that
there are opportunities for Sean Omalley to hurt Morob, and
I think even in those opportunities, Sean O'Malley still is
going to have failures in this fight. I think it's
going to be a back and forth one. I think
there are going to be times where Morob looks to
(16:27):
have taken control of this fight by taking Sean Omalley down,
especially early.
Speaker 2 (16:31):
I think that.
Speaker 1 (16:32):
First round potentially could be one where you're like, here
we go again. Morob is going to do what he
did the last fight. But I don't know why. Maybe
it's the way curse, but I see Morob falling in
love with the idea of doing it better. I once say,
getting more relaxed with technique because Morob is unorthodox in
a wild man as it is well, letting apprehensions go
and fighting as a crowd pleaser. Potentially right doing the
(16:53):
looks into the crowd and talking to Sean O'Malley, and
maybe potentially some of that funneling into his game.
Speaker 2 (17:00):
Is steadfast believed.
Speaker 1 (17:01):
In his in vulnerability, in the fact Shawn is far
better than he showed in the first fight. I think
there are pockets in Morob's striking game that are very
very available. They're very very open. Rob is not a
polished striker, and he does take some risks to get
to the grappling exchanges, to get to your body, to
find ways to put you on the ground and have
to pressure you, try to get you around the cage
(17:22):
and then strike.
Speaker 2 (17:22):
And here's the interesting part about this.
Speaker 1 (17:24):
Morob is so unorthodox that the first time you fight
him is for most fighters i'd assume a bewildering experience,
one that you can't really replicate in the practice room,
or at least not in the way that is exactly Morob,
but especially when you can't replicate until you see it.
And Morob has never rematched anyone, which I think is
a very interesting wrinkle to this fight as well. That
(17:45):
may be expanding into like the Grand Canyon here, but
I think that's a big part of why I'm going
to lean towards Sean O'Malley in this remack. Like I said,
I think they're massive holes in Morob's striking, and he's
able to cover those with insane pressure in cardio and
ability to control time and massive parts of the fight
by being literally connected to his opponent or completely out
(18:07):
of rank. But in those moments where the striking exchanges happen,
and in the first fight where Sean O'Malley had not
seen anything like that in front of him before, there
will be a familiarity in this fight that potentially can
present patterns to Morob's game. Let's be honest, it's not
a very complicated fight style that Morab Debollash really has.
They're looking logo ag kicks, jab, right hands, bounce, circle, bounce, bounce,
(18:31):
level change, takedown, ground and pound, get up, take down,
ground and pound, get up, separate way back out of range, bounce, bounce, jab, jab,
right hand, low kick jab, And it's kind of the
same thing. And again there have been moments where Morab
has paid for this. Again, maybe I'm making a mountain
out of a mole hill, and the smart money would
(18:51):
be on Morab by decision or Morob by submission or
Morob by mauling or however.
Speaker 2 (18:58):
Do you want to look at it.
Speaker 1 (18:59):
But Sean O'Malley has this ability to flip narratives and
change fights in one strike. He is an insanely accurate striker.
I think he's better at getting back to his feet.
Maybe not with take down defense, especially with Morob, who
finds chain wrestling as easy as breathing out of his
mouth because his nose is does Sean Omalley has a
strike for every action. I think that Sean O'Malley stops
Morob devolish Philly, And again it's based off a very
(19:23):
unlikely circumstance of things, but that's how I tend to
look at fight.
Speaker 2 (19:26):
Maybe it's just me trying to find.
Speaker 1 (19:29):
The one variable that I think is the most important
and stretch it out to mean that that's the difference maker.
Speaker 2 (19:34):
It probably won't be.
Speaker 1 (19:36):
But if you believe in the Wade curse, then go
the opposite of what I'm saying, because I think Sean
Omalley wins this fight by knockout and we get the
rubber match, potentially the third one, which I think would
be warranted based on the fact that Morob did give
Sewn the rematch but we'll see how it goes. Coments section.
This is where you help me out. Why am I
wrong or right in your opinion? How does this fight go?
(19:57):
Does Morob get it done in dominant decision again? Or
to Sean O'Malley with a renewed commitment to MMA with
a new hip apparently, and with the experience of being
in front of Mirob for twenty five minutes and having
Morob in the first rematch where someone has been able
to study him and go and try it again.
Speaker 2 (20:16):
Will all these things lead up to.
Speaker 1 (20:18):
Another Shan O'Malley upset knockout performance. I don't have those answers,
but you have. C three sixteen is this week. Hopefully
I'll be done with commentary for the night because I
am going to be doing some boxing commentary on Saturday
night so I can get back and stream the fight.
So if not, we'll be back here Snday to break
him down. But you guys let me know what you
think down below. Who wins this fight and why. I
don't have those answers, but I guess we'll find out
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